
Surf Forecasts:
Rosarito surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 21 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SW swell with 573 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rosarito this week:
The surf forecast for Rosarito over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rosarito in the next 16 days are 1.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rosarito over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.
To be straight with you, the next week and a half is a bit of a struggle. We’ve got waves, but they’re small and the wind is just messy enough to keep things from really cleaning up. The water temp is sitting at 69°, which is a notch warmer than usual for this time of year – about 2° above average, so the water feels nice.
Rosarito is the only spot on the menu, and it's a consistent, exposed beach, reef, and rivermouth setup that’s best for beginners. The swell is coming from the SW, which is its optimum direction, but the size is tiny.
For Tuesday morning, the 14th, we’ve got a 1ft SW swell with a 19-second period. That’s a very long period groundswell, which usually means better shaped waves, but here it’s just too small. The wind is a cross-on from the NW at 9 mph, and the combined energy is weak (320). It’s poor. The afternoon gets a little bigger at 3ft, but the wind picks up to 12 mph and it’s choppy. Not worth paddling out.
Wednesday and Thursday are more of the same – small surf, cross-shore or onshore wind, with the combined energy staying low (between 200 and 400). The few sessions that sneak into "marginal" territory are just not worth the drive.
By Saturday the 18th, we see a slight bump in energy to 533, but it’s still a 3ft SW swell with a light cross-on breeze. It’s marginal at best.
Sunday the 19th afternoon shows a jump in combined energy to 1028 (moderate), but the swell is still only 3ft and the wind is cross-on. It’s a tease.
The real change comes around Thursday the 23rd. The swell starts to push up to 5ft from the S, and by Thursday afternoon it’s hitting 6ft with a 14-second period. The wind is light and cross-on from the SW, with combined energy hitting 1244 (strong). This is the first time the surf starts to look like it has some push behind it, but it’s still listed as marginal.
Friday the 24th is the best stretch of the whole forecast. The swell holds at 6ft from the S, with a 14-second period, and the combined energy is 1643 (strong). The wind is a gentle cross-shore in the morning, dropping to a light cross-on in the afternoon. This is the standout. The waves will have some real power, but the long-period S swell might break a bit straight at the beach, so keep an eye on the tide. The water is still warm, but the south wind keeps it a bit lumpy. This is for the competent surfers – 6ft is getting solid for a beginner.
Saturday the 25th is also big, with 7ft from the SSW on the morning, and a light offshore wind. That’s the cleanest window we get. The combined energy is 1818 (very strong). This is a powerful swell, and with the onshore wind, the waves will be walled up. This is expert territory only. For the average punter, it’s going to be a washing machine.
After that, the swell drops back down to the 3ft to 4ft range for the last few days of the month, with lighter winds, but the energy is still moderate.
Bottom line: The first week is a write-off. The best on offer is Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th, with the 24th being the pick of the week for the mix of size and manageable wind. If you’re an expert, the 25th morning with the offshore wind could be a blast, but it’s big. For the rest of us, wait for the forecasts to change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Wed morning, min 20°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sun morning, min 20°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 11 | SW 17 | S 12 | S 11 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
127 | 183 | 249 | 190 | 129 | 206 | 203 | 162 | 227 | 181 | 132 | 136 | 366 | 307 | 233 | 408 | 482 | 361 | 411 | 496 | 502 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:36AM1.63m | 9:33PM2.52m | 11:17AM1.68m | 10:22PM2.42m | 11:59AM1.73m | 11:09PM2.23m | 12:40PM1.78m | 11:58PM1.99m | 1:22PM1.81m | 00:50AM1.72m | 2:06PM1.83m | 1:53AM1.46m | 2:53PM1.84m | 3:27AM1.27m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:17PM0.96m | 4:47AM-0.12m | 4:11PM0.92m | 5:28AM-0.01m | 5:05PM0.91m | 6:07AM0.15m | 6:04PM0.92m | 6:44AM0.35m | 7:09PM0.93m | 7:20AM0.57m | 8:26PM0.93m | 7:54AM0.78m | 9:57PM0.88m | ||||||||
5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | |
— | 7:55 | — | — | 7:55 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:53 | — | — | 7:53 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
Feels °C | 23 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | W 8 | WNW 8 | SW 18 | S 12 | S 11 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
106 | 183 | 249 | 190 | 129 | 55 | 113 | 162 | 123 | 120 | 116 | 54 | 366 | 175 | 233 | 322 | 464 | 345 | 208 | 496 | 502 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | W 6 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | S 12 | SW 18 | W 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 10 | S 8 |
85 | 154 | 98 | 64 | 16 | 206 | 203 | 155 | 227 | 132 | 132 | 136 | 136 | 307 | 127 | 408 | 482 | 361 | 411 | 154 | 51 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | W 15 | WNW 4 | W 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 19 | WNW 18 | S 12 | W 8 | W 7 | SW 16 | W 16 | WNW 15 | WNW 15 | W 15 | WNW 14 | SSW 9 |
127 | 38 | 6 | 36 | 83 | 82 | 47 | 46 | 103 | 181 | 62 | 41 | 31 | 25 | 89 | 124 | 76 | 74 | 109 | 69 | 34 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | S 3 | S 3 | S 3 | — | — | — | WNW 8 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 4 |
2 | 7 | 11 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 12 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 37 | 37 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 173 | 173 | 11 | 202 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 37 | 0 | 37 | 37 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 12 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rosarito Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rosarito provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rosarito can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rosarito surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rosarito) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rosarito may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rosarito is 5 km (3 miles) from the very large city of Rosarito. If you plan a holiday in Baja Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Rosarito. Rosarito has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as cheap car hire and transport links.










