Rosarito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I’ll be straight with you – the next week and a half is a tough slog. We’ve got a long, flat gap with almost nothing worth paddling out for. The first real surf we see is a tiny pulse on Wednesday morning, July 15th, but it’s barely a ripple at 2 ft from the SW. The energy is weak (248), and the model is calling it marginal. That’s not a surf session, that’s a float.

The whole stretch from now through to about Saturday, July 19th, is plagued by poor conditions. The wind is mostly cross-onshore, the swell is tiny, and the energy is low. It’s a real bummer. The rare exceptions are a couple of windows on Wednesday, July 15th, and into the 16th, but the swell direction swings to the WNW with a short period around 9 seconds – that’s just windswill, not proper groundswell. It’s gonna be messy and weak.

The first real standout, and honestly the only one worth getting excited about, arrives around Wednesday, July 22nd. The S swell starts to build, and by the afternoon we’re looking at 6 ft from the S with a long period of 17 seconds. That’s proper groundswell. The energy is pumping at 1988! The wind is a gentle cross-shore with just a slight chop, so it’ll be clean. This is a solid setup for Rosarito (beach, reef and rivermouth). The swell direction is a good match for the optimum SW direction here. The period is long, so expect some nice, powerful lines, but at a beach break it might throw a few straight ones. Still, this is the best we’ve got by a long shot.

That swell hangs around into Thursday, July 23rd, with the same S swell pushing 7 ft to 7 ft. That’s getting into the big stuff for the average surfer – definitely expert territory. The energy is huge (over 1900), but the wind is cross-onshore and a bit stronger, so it’ll be a bit bumpy. Think big, powerful, but a little messy. If you’re a charger, that Thursday morning might be your window before the crowds, but it’s not as clean as the 22nd.

After that, the swell drops again. The rest of the month looks like a slow fade back to small, onshore slop. The Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th offer some small, clean-ish windows with offshore winds and a 4 ft SSW swell, but the period drops to 12 seconds and the energy is moderate. It’s a poor consolation prize after that mid-week pulse.

So, to sum it up: the first week and a half is a write-off. Wednesday, July 22nd, is your best bet. It’s the standout. Get that afternoon session if you can. The long period S swell with gentle cross-shore wind will be the cleanest, most powerful wave we see all month. Thursday the 23rd is for the experts only if you want size.

Stay patient, friends. The ocean will deliver, but not for a while.

Rusty.

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