Rosarito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let me tell you about the upcoming swell window.

Look, I’m not going to sugarcoat it: we’re looking at a pretty flat spell on the horizon for Rosarito (Mexico). The first proper pulse of the forecast window doesn't really kick in until we get past a long quiet stretch. From now, we've got a solid eight days with near-nothing rideable – a real gap in the action. The water temp is sitting about average for the time of year, which is fine, but the lack of push is the problem.

The first faint flicker of hope shows up around Wednesday, July 8th. We’ve got a clean 4 ft SW swell rolling in, period around 16 seconds, which is proper groundswell. But the wind? It's cross-on from the WNW, and it’s flagged as just marginal. That combined energy of all swells directed here is pretty moderate (715 to 848). By Thursday, July 9th, we get a light breeze from the SW, and you might find a cleaner 3 ft SW swell. The combined energy is still healthy (around 570 to 603), but the period is long (16s) which is nice for shape but can make things tricky if it's a beach break setup. This is the best on offer, but don’t get too excited – it’s more of a hope than a guarantee. For a beginner, this could be fun on a foamy if the tide lines up.

From July 10th through the 16th, it’s mostly poor surf conditions with wind shifting around. There's a brief look on Monday, July 13th afternoon with a 3 ft SSW swell and light onshore breeze, but the energy is moderate and conditions are marginal. Not a standout.

Then, into the second week, the sniff of something better comes Friday, July 17th morning. There’s a 2 ft W groundswell with a big long 17-second period, but the onshore wind and the poor surf tag don't lie – it’s a swing and a miss. Combined energy is around 511 (moderate), but with the wind on it, the quality won't hold up.

Bottom line: the best bet in this whole 16-day stretch is Thursday, July 9th. That 3 ft SW swell with a light cross-onshore breeze is your cleanest option for a paddle. The rest is flat or blown out. I’d keep an eye on the wind updates because the swell energy is there, but the conditions have to let up.

Rusty.

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