Rosarito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be honest with you about what's on the table.

Look, I've scanned the whole 16-day window for Rosarito, and I’ve got to call it straight: this is a grim run. We're looking at a stretch of poor surf conditions that basically lasts the entire forecast period. The wind is a constant issue, always coming from the NW or WNW, slapping the swell side-on and keeping the waves chopped and unruly. It’s not going to be clean or fun.

The first hint of anything showing up is on the Wednesday, but it’s all "poor surf conditions" or "marginal" at best. From there, it’s nearly two straight weeks of cross-onshore wind messing things up. There are no standouts here, no days worth circling on the calendar. The wave energy starts off moderate, around 420 (moderate wave energy), and actually builds through the weekend of the 5th to the 7th, with combined energy hitting over 1600 (strong to very strong wave energy). But it doesn't matter – the wind is blowing right across it all. By Saturday the 12th, we finally get a glimpse of "on" shore wind, which is our first offshore wind, but the swell is tiny, only 2ft, and the waves are so weak the energy drops to 375 (moderate wave energy). It’s a tease.

Even the bigger pulses, like the 7ft SSW swell on the 6th and 7th (Sunday/Monday), are wasted by the wind. At that size and with the cross-on wind, the rip currents will be messy, and the shape will be junk. For beginners, that 7ft is going to be too much, and for everyone else, the conditions will just be frustrating. The water's about average temp for this time of year, sitting around 72°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for the area.

Honestly, the strongest swell periods here are long – 15-18 seconds – which suggests groundswell, but at Rosarito with this constant cross-onshore wind, that energy isn't going to translate into good waves. You'd probably have a better time kitesurfing than trying to paddle out in this mess. The setup here just looks more interesting for kite than paddle surfing for this whole stretch.

The only thing close to a recommendation is the Saturday morning of the 12th, with that light wind shifting to SW and then a brief period of "on" shore wind from the W in the afternoon. The waves will be tiny, but it’ll be the cleanest you’ll see. Don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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