Rosarito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

First off, it’s a bit of a slow start here. We’re looking at a run of days where the surf is just not cooperating. For the first week, from Monday the 13th right through to late in the following week, the conditions are mostly poor or marginal. It’s not until around Wednesday the 22nd that things start to show a bit of life, and even then, it’s a slow build. There’s a real gap of about a week with very little worth paddling out for.

Our only spot in this outlook is Rosarito (beach, reef and rivermouth), a consistent beginner-friendly break that’s exposed to the swell. Water temperature is sitting at 68°, and for this time of year that’s about average, nothing weird going on there.

Let’s walk through it. Monday morning the 13th, we’ve got a 3 ft swell from the SSW with a period of 13 seconds, but the wind is onshore from the WNW at 6 mph. The energy is moderate at 370, but the surf is just poor. That theme sticks with us for days. Tuesday the 14th drops down to a tiny 1 ft in the morning, cross-on wind messing it up. Swell energy is still moderate at 320, but it’s not giving us anything clean.

We’ve got a few glimmers. Saturday the 18th morning brings a 3 ft SW swell, 18-second period – that’s a long-period groundswell – and light cross-onshore winds. The energy is solid at 565, but it’s only called marginal. Still, that long period suggests better shaped waves, more push between sets. The break is a rivermouth setup, so that long-period swell could wrap in nicely if the tides play ball. But it’s a gamble. Later that day it drops back to poor.

Sunday the 19th shows a 4 ft S swell, 12-second period, with light onshore wind at 6 mph. The energy jumps to 969, so there’s some real juice in the water. The conditions are still marginal, but if you’re patient, there could be the odd fun one.

Now, the standout – if I had to pick *one* window in this whole 16-day stretch, it’s Wednesday the 22nd afternoon. We’re seeing a 4 ft S swell, 14-second period, with the energy roaring up to 1034 – that’s strong wave energy, no doubt. The wind is light from the WSW, onshore, but it’s light enough that it shouldn’t tear it up too badly. It’s still only a marginal call, but the size is there, the period is solid, and the break is consistent. It’s the best we’ve got on offer. Just keep an eye on the tide.

Following that, Thursday the 23rd is another shout: 6 ft S swell in the morning, 14-second period, energy at 1381. That’s getting up there in size – a bit much for beginners, but for the more experienced crew, that’s a proper swell. Wind is light cross-onshore, so it could be a bit bumpy, but the power is real.

After that, it fades. Friday the 24th still shows 6 ft in the morning, but the wind is cross-on from the WNW, and energy is still high at 1505, so it’s got grunt, but the quality drops. By Saturday the 25th, the swell is dropping and the winds are chopping it up. Sunday the 26th goes flat again with tiny 3 ft surf.

The second week gets thin. Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th bring back small, marginal waves with light to gentle winds, but nothing that really stands out. Swell energy hangs around the 500-700 range, so there’s some life, but it’s not worth getting too excited about.

So, in a nutshell: wait for Wednesday the 22nd afternoon or Thursday the 23rd. That’s your best bet. It’s not perfect, but it’s the most punch this forecast has to offer.

Stay patient, keep an eye on the wind shifts.

Rusty.

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