
Surf Forecasts:
Burros surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SW swell with 367 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Burros this week:
The surf forecast for Burros over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Burros in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Burros over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty.
Well, it’s a bit of a slow start, no doubt about it. The first few days are more about getting wet than getting barrelled. We’re looking at a pretty long wait for anything that really gets the heart pumping, but the back half of this 16-day window is where it’s at.
The run starts on Thursday morning, July 16th, with just tiny 1ft of swell wrapping in from the SW. The water is cookin' at 88°, a full 4° above normal for this time of year, so it feels like a bath. The combined energy is weak, sitting at (122). The wind is a light cross-offshore from the NE, so the surface will be clean, but honestly, it’s barely surfable. You’ll be fighting for scraps on a longboard.
Friday stays small, 1.0ft to 1ft, but Friday afternoon goes glassy. Still, the energy is weak (145). Saturday morning is glassy too, but still tiny. The energy starts to climb a little by Saturday afternoon, hitting (251), but the wind turns cross-onshore, making it choppy.
Sunday the 19th is where it starts to feel like a proper swell. The morning has 2ft of SW swell, dead glassy, and the energy jumps to (509). This is certainly a step up, but it’s still small. Look for a fun little bank.
Monday the 20th through Wednesday the 22nd keeps the SW swell rolling in the 2ft to 3ft range, with glassy to clean conditions in the mornings. The energy stays solid, between (443) and (505). The wind is light and offshore, so the line-up will be tidy. It’s not huge, but it’s a hell of a lot better than those first few days. The swell period is long (14-16 seconds), so it’s proper groundswell, but it’s breaking a bit straight on the beach here at Burros (reef).
Now, the real standout. Listen up. Friday morning, July 24th. The swell bumps up to 3ft from the WSW, and the energy rockets to (599) with glassy conditions. That’s a solid fun wave. The morning of Saturday the 25th is even better for the connoisseur: 2ft, but the period is a massive 21 seconds, with zero wind, dead calm. The energy is at (576). That’s a long, lazy, beautiful groundswell, perfect for this reef. It’s not big, but the quality will be insane.
But the absolute best on offer? That’s Monday morning, July 27th. Swell size hits 3ft from the SW, with a 17-second period, glassy as a lake, and the energy is pumping at (684). The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions." That’s the session to circle. It’s a week and a half away, so it’s a long-range call, but it’s the one with the most promise. The morning of Thursday the 30th also looks good, with 4ft of SSW swell and clean cross-offshore wind, energy at (626).
The crowds here are listed as "sometimes" busy, so you might have company on those glassy mornings, but it’s not a circus.
So, long story short: suffer through the first week on a log if you have to, but keep your eyes on the 24th, 25th, and especially the 27th of July. That’s when the magic happens.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Thu night. Warm (max 30°C on Thu morning, min 25°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 26°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 17 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 17 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
64 | 60 | 84 | 55 | 53 | 107 | 104 | 95 | 325 | 232 | 122 | 186 | 367 | 302 | 284 | 326 | 241 | 93 | 116 | 137 | 166 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:38AM1.24m | 10:38PM1.44m | 12:09PM1.24m | 11:19PM1.30m | 12:40PM1.23m | 00:02AM1.13m | 1:10PM1.22m | 00:54AM0.97m | 1:44PM1.20m | 2:40AM0.83m | 2:27PM1.18m | 3:34PM1.17m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 4:47PM0.72m | 5:31AM0.21m | 5:32PM0.71m | 5:58AM0.37m | 6:23PM0.72m | 6:18AM0.53m | 7:28PM0.73m | 6:27AM0.67m | 9:21PM0.72m | 6:06AM0.78m | 11:45PM0.63m | 00:46AM0.51m | |||||||||
6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | |
— | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:44 | — | |
mm | — | — | 10 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 33 | 33 | 33 | 29 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 34 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 |
64 | 60 | 84 | 49 | 41 | 36 | 63 | 84 | 325 | 178 | 122 | 184 | 367 | 302 | 284 | 326 | 241 | 75 | 116 | 137 | 166 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 15 | SW 19 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 17 | WSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 17 | WSW 12 | SW 15 | WSW 9 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
33 | 42 | 58 | 54 | 53 | 107 | 104 | 95 | 129 | 232 | 117 | 186 | 92 | 154 | 114 | 73 | 49 | 93 | 93 | 96 | 69 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 12 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | WNW 18 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | WNW 16 | W 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | WNW 15 | WNW 15 | W 9 | W 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 |
25 | 13 | 56 | 55 | 51 | 49 | 44 | 66 | 64 | 99 | 106 | 53 | 46 | 24 | 19 | 44 | 44 | 26 | 14 | 16 | 14 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | — | — | — | — |
— | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 506 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Burros Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Burros provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Burros can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Burros surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Burros) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Burros may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Burros is 27 km (17 miles) from Puerto Vallarta. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Puerto Vallarta. Puerto Vallarta has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










