
Surf Forecasts:
Burros surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period, SSW swell with 191 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Burros this week:
The surf forecast for Burros over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Burros in the next 16 days are 0.7m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 12s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Burros over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here, let’s get into it.
The 16-day window throws up a bit of a slow start, but there’s a serious pulse building for the end of next week. Right now, the first real surf option is a small, clean window on Thursday afternoon, but it’s nothing to write home about.
### Thursday 9th July – Monday 13th July
We’re in a flat spell. The first wave on offer is Burros (reef) on Thursday afternoon with a clean 2ft swell from the SSW—long period groundswell at 15 seconds—and a light NNE offshore breeze. The water is a very unusual 88°, much warmer than normal for this time of year. The wave energy is weak (226) though, so it’s small and slow. Not a standout. Friday and Saturday mornings stay clean with the same small 2ft SSW swell, but the afternoons get messy with cross-off winds. Sunday brings a drop to 2ft and the combined energy falls (138). By Monday, the surf is barely surfable with poor conditions.
### Tuesday 14th July – Wednesday 15th July
Tuesday morning offers a tiny 1ft SSW swell with a cross-off breeze, but it’s weak. The combined energy drops further (124). There’s a risk of thunderstorms. Wednesday morning is similar, glassy with a 1ft SW groundswell at 18 seconds, but wave energy is still low (133). It’s not worth a paddle out.
### Thursday 16th – Friday 17th July
Thursday morning you’ll find glassy conditions with a 1ft SW swell, but it’s still weak. The energy lifts slightly (140). Then Friday 17th July is where things start to get interesting. The morning brings a glassy 3ft SW swell and the combined energy jumps to 474—moderate wave energy. The afternoon is also glassy with a 3ft SSW swell and 408 energy. This is the first real taste of something decent, but it’s still small.
### Saturday 18th – Sunday 19th July
Saturday morning is the pick of this period. Burros picks up a 4ft WSW swell with a cross-off breeze and strong wave energy (621). The 12-second period gives it decent shape. This is a solid, clean option for advanced surfers. Saturday afternoon and Sunday see the energy stay high (606 and 547) but conditions become marginal with cross-shore winds and moderate rain.
### Monday 20th – Tuesday 21st July
Monday morning is glassy again with a 3ft SW groundswell at 16 seconds, and solid energy (415). The 20th of July is a good clean option. Tuesday morning stays clean with a cross-off breeze and 3ft SW swell. The energy is still healthy (362). These are consistent, clean waves, but nothing huge.
### Wednesday 22nd – Thursday 23rd July
This is the standout window. Wednesday morning, 22nd July, brings a 6ft SW swell with a light ENE cross-off breeze and the combined energy hits 1268—very strong. This is serious, powerful groundswell. The 13-second period means it’s well-shaped, but at this size it’s for experts only. The afternoon pushes 7ft SW but with a cross-on wind, so the morning is the call. Thursday 23rd morning is glassy with a 6ft SW swell and 814 energy. This is another premium session for experienced surfers on the reef. The water is still warm, but the anomaly is back to average.
### Friday 24th July
Friday morning delivers a clean 4ft WSW swell with a light offshore N breeze. The energy is 474—moderate, but clean and fun. The afternoon turns cross-off and a bit messier.
Overall, the best on offer is Wednesday 22nd July morning at Burros, with a 6ft SW swell, strong energy, and clean offshore wind. The runner-up is Thursday 23rd July morning, glassy and 6ft. Both are for experts. The first week is mostly a write-off, but the second week builds into a solid, powerful groundswell event.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Fri morning, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 25°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thu 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
207 | 191 | 188 | 188 | 191 | 186 | 186 | 188 | 131 | 134 | 136 | 107 | 102 | 68 | 68 | 111 | 111 | 78 | 93 | 66 | 64 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 4:50PM1.34m | 7:55AM1.06m | 5:52PM1.43m | 8:40AM1.15m | 6:48PM1.51m | 9:20AM1.20m | 7:39PM1.59m | 9:56AM1.23m | 8:27PM1.62m | 10:31AM1.25m | 9:12PM1.62m | 11:05AM1.25m | 9:56PM1.55m | 11:38AM1.24m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:44AM0.28m | 11:52AM0.93m | 1:34AM0.11m | 1:00PM0.91m | 2:20AM-0.01m | 1:52PM0.86m | 3:03AM-0.09m | 2:38PM0.81m | 3:44AM-0.09m | 3:21PM0.77m | 4:23AM-0.04m | 4:03PM0.73m | 4:59AM0.07m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | |
7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | 7:45 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | 1 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 |
Feels °C | 32 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 32 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 31 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 12 |
207 | 191 | 188 | 188 | 191 | 186 | 186 | 188 | 131 | 134 | 136 | 107 | 102 | 68 | 68 | 111 | 62 | 29 | 93 | 66 | 51 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 8 | WNW 12 | WNW 11 | NW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | NW 4 | NW 4 | SW 21 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | SW 19 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
13 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 96 | 5 | 5 | 68 | 111 | 78 | 29 | 66 | 64 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 11 | NW 11 | NW 11 | SW 21 | SSW 19 | WNW 5 | SW 19 | SW 18 | W 17 | WSW 4 | SSW 16 | W 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 37 | 5 | 59 | 51 | 6 | 1 | 26 | 5 | 15 | 25 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NW 8 | — | — | NNW 3 | — | — | NW 4 | — | — | — | S 6 | — | WSW 5 | — | — | WNW 5 | — | — |
— | — | — | 11 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Burros Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Burros provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Burros can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Burros surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Burros) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Burros may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Burros is 27 km (17 miles) from Puerto Vallarta. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Puerto Vallarta. Puerto Vallarta has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











