Surf Forecasts:
Burros surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 15s period, SW swell with 322 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Burros this week:
The surf forecast for Burros over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Burros in the next 16 days are 0.9m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Burros over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. The long-range picture for Punta Burros is a bit of a waiting game. There’s a stretch of small, pretty average surf for the next couple of weeks, but if you’re patient, there’s a little window of clean conditions that shapes up at the end of the month that’s worth keeping an eye on.
Right now, through the rest of this week and into the next, we’re looking at a lot of knee-to-waist high leftovers. The swell energy is weak, with readings mostly in the low hundreds, like 150 to 250. The swell direction is hanging in that southwest window, which is what Burros wants to see, but the size just isn’t there. Most mornings will offer something rideable, especially when the wind goes light or glassy. Saturday the 15th is a write-off with wonky winds and a poor forecast. Sunday the 16th, there’s a bit of hope early with a glassy 3ft SW swell under some clouds, but it’s pretty average. We’ll see a similar story on Monday morning, clean but small. The wave periods are mostly in that 14-second range, which is decent groundswell, but with this little energy, it’s not doing much.
A standout in the early part of next week will be Wednesday morning, the 19th. It’s still small at 2ft, but we’ve got a clean offshore wind from the NE and a slightly longer 15-second period. It won’t be big, but it could be the cleanest, most lined-up wave we’ve seen so far. The water’s running real warm too, about 89°, which is well above average for this time of year—almost 5° warmer than normal, so you might not even need a spring suit.
After that, the surf dips even further. The energy drops below 100 for a few days there around the 20th and 21st, and we’ve got stronger cross-onshore winds kicking up chop. That Friday the 21st looks particularly poor. There’s a lot of nothing on offer. It’s a flat spell, plain and simple.
The week after, from the 22nd to the 28th, we see a bit more consistency in the swell direction but the size stays small, hovering around that 2ft mark. A few windows of glassy conditions and light offshores will make it surfable for a log or a fish, but it’s not going to get the heart rate up. The period does stretch out to 17 or 18 seconds on the 23rd and 24th, which is long-period groundswell, but with that little energy, it’s breaking pretty straight and fat. The 28th brings a bit more energy and a 17-second period, but the afternoon turns onshore.
Now, here’s the one to circle on your calendar: Saturday the 29th of August. This is the standout of the entire window. The swell finally pushes up to 3ft, which is still modest, but the energy jumps to 379 and 396, the highest readings we see in the whole forecast. More importantly, the winds are set to be calm and glassy all day. Saturday morning looks clean and clean. Saturday afternoon is dead flat calm. This is the best combination of size, clean conditions, and swell direction we get in the whole period. It’s a week and a half away, so don’t book your life around it, but it’s the one that has the potential to be a proper session. The Sunday after that, the 30th, still has some waist-high leftovers with light winds, but it won’t be as good as Saturday.
Burros is a reef break that handles a good SW swell. Anything under 3ft is going to be pretty tame, but given how poor the surrounding days are, that Saturday stand-out will feel like a festival. It’s a spot that can handle a bit more size, so if that 3ft comes in with the glassy conditions, it’ll be well worth the paddle out.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Mon night. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Wed morning, min 27°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
362 | 322 | 251 | 214 | 208 | 203 | 200 | 120 | 160 | 140 | 251 | 144 | 138 | 136 | 93 | 70 | 69 | 67 | 68 | 78 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:04PM1.28m | 11:30AM1.35m | 11:37PM1.13m | 11:47AM1.32m | 00:11AM0.97m | 12:01PM1.28m | 00:57AM0.82m | 12:10PM1.22m | 12:02PM1.16m | 10:52AM1.11m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 5:08PM0.51m | 5:07AM0.45m | 5:44PM0.53m | 5:16AM0.58m | 6:22PM0.57m | 5:14AM0.68m | 7:11PM0.63m | 4:43AM0.75m | 10:17PM0.67m | 00:51AM0.55m | 1:22AM0.43m | |||||||||
— | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | |
7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:27 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | 1 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 12 |
Temp °C | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 33 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 36 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 |
362 | 322 | 251 | 214 | 208 | 203 | 200 | 120 | 160 | 140 | 251 | 144 | 138 | 136 | 93 | 70 | 69 | 67 | 68 | 78 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 13 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | W 14 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | SW 4 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | W 8 | NW 3 | WNW 7 | WNW 9 | NW 3 | WNW 9 | NW 13 | WNW 4 |
3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 7 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 12 | W 12 | — | W 14 | W 11 | W 13 | SW 18 | SW 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 12 | W 12 | WNW 6 | — | SW 18 | WNW 9 | SSW 16 | NW 9 | SW 18 |
— | 3 | 3 | — | 4 | 2 | 3 | 49 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | — | 13 | 8 | 26 | 3 | 49 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | — | — | WNW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 4 | — |
5 | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 327 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Burros Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Burros provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Burros can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Burros surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Burros) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Burros may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Burros is 27 km (17 miles) from Puerto Vallarta. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Puerto Vallarta. Puerto Vallarta has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











