Conchalio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with the skinny on what’s cooking at Conchalio.

We’ve got a solid run of cleaner, smaller surf kicking things off, with some real quality mornings on the cards. The water temp is sitting at a warm 87°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might not even need the full spring suit. The opening days look like a classic early glass-off scenario.

Tuesday morning the 15th is all about perfection. It's small at 2ft from the SSW, but with a glassy surface and a super long 18-second period, those waves will have some real push for the size. The combined swell energy is moderate (547). A standout for a classic log or a mid-length.

Wednesday morning the 16th builds a touch, hitting 4ft from the SSW on a 16-second period, still with that morning glass. Swell energy is strong (922), making it the pick of the first few days for something with a bit more power.

Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th keep the same theme: clean mornings with glassy winds and waist-to-chest high waves from the SSW and SW. Friday afternoon gets interesting—it drops back to 2ft but the period jumps to 20 seconds, which is a very long groundswell. That kind of period can make for some weirdly straight waves at a beach break unless the sandbanks are perfect, but if they are, it’ll be a rippable little wave.

Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th are a mixed bag. Clean mornings with small, long-period swell again, but the afternoons get blown out by a cross-onshore breeze. The Sunday morning session on the 20th is worth noting: 3ft, 19-second period, glassy. Another cracker.

Monday the 21st starts with a clean 4ft SW swell (18-second period), strong energy (823) but watch for afternoon thunderstorms kicking up a cross-shore breeze.

Then we get a bit of a lull from Tuesday the 22nd through to Friday the 25th. The swell drops, the period shortens, and we’re looking at small, weaker waves with a lot of wind and stormy afternoons. It’s not a write-off, but the quality dips noticeably.

Now, if you've got the skill and the nerve, mark your calendar for Saturday the 26th. That morning, a solid 8ft S swell with a short 10-second period hits with an offshore wind and glassy conditions. The combined energy is massive (1460). This is expert territory only—too big for beginners, and that short period will make for some thick, punchy walls. The wind holds offshore through the afternoon at 8ft, so it’s a full day for the experienced crew.

Sunday the 27th is a letdown—big leftover swell but cross-shore and onshore winds turn it into a mess. Monday the 28th is a complete loss with strong onshore winds and poor quality.

Looking way out, Tuesday the 29th morning sees a drop back to 4ft with a decent 12-second period and glassy conditions again. Then Wednesday the 30th has a clean 6ft morning building to a 7ft afternoon, both from the SSW, with glassy winds. That afternoon is a standout for the second week: clean, punchy head-high waves, but it's far enough out to be less certain.

So overall, the clear standouts are the Tuesday morning 15th for a long-period, glassy small-wave session, and the Saturday morning 26th for the big, punchy stuff for experts only.

Rusty.

Read more