Conchalio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let's look at what's coming up for Conchalio over the next couple of weeks. It’s a run of small but clean conditions, with a couple of windows that are really worth circling in your calendar.

The water here is sitting at 87°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – about 2° above average, so you’re in for a pleasantly warm paddle.

The first real standout is this Saturday morning, the 11th. We’ve got a sweet 4ft SSW groundswell rolling in with a long 16-second period, packing a solid moderate energy (688). The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNE at 6 mph, and the conditions are clean. This is a beginner-friendly break, and with the long period, it’s going to shape up nicely, though the swell direction is a little off the optimum for Conchalio. Expect some fun, clean lines. Be aware that crowds are sometimes an issue here.

Sunday morning, the 12th, is another beauty. The swell drops a touch to 4ft from the SSW, but the period is still a solid 14 seconds (energy 530). The wind is dead calm, glassy, with a slight ENE breeze. It’ll be clean as a whistle. The early session is the one to have.

The mid-week mornings from Monday the 13th through Friday the 17th are all about small, clean conditions. We’re looking at 2ft to 3ft SSW swell, mostly with glassy or light offshore winds. The energy drops off into the low to moderate range (225 to 384). It’s not going to be epic, but it’s perfectly surfable for the beginner crew, especially on the glassy mornings.

Now, the long-range stuff: the real standout for the second week is shaping up for Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th. Saturday morning the 25th has a 3ft SSW groundswell with a very long 21-second period, delivering strong energy (783). The wind is dead calm, glassy. Sunday morning the 26th is even better: 3ft SSW swell, still a long 18-second period, and the energy is pumping at 980. Again, dead calm and glassy. These are two mornings that could be really special, but it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it. The longer period swell will be best at the point and reef setups, not so much if it’s a straight beach break.

There is a bit of a gap in the middle of the period, with the afternoons generally being a write-off due to onshore or cross-onshore winds. And be aware that the last week of the window, from the 23rd, the energy drops way off (144) and the swell direction goes a bit west, so it’s more of a gamble.

Overall, the mornings are your friend here. The best of the best is the Saturday and Sunday mornings of the 25th and 26th, but the first weekend (11th and 12th) is also a solid, reliable bet.

Rusty, signing off.

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