Conchalio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's talk about what's on the menu for Playa-Conchalio over the next couple of weeks.

Right now, we’ve got a solid pulse of south-southwest groundswell rolling in, and it's hanging around for a few days. The water temp is sitting at 86°, which is about 2° warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing crazy, but you’ll notice it’s a little more like bathwater than normal.

The standout is Tuesday morning, July 28th. We’re looking at a clean 6 ft swell from the SSW with a very long 18-second period, and glassy conditions with barely a breath of wind from the SSE at 3 mph. The combined energy is strong (1859), meaning there’s plenty of push. This is proper groundswell, so it’s going to have some serious shape and power. It’s a bit much for beginners at this size, but for experienced surfers, this is the best on offer. The only catch is that long-period swell like this can be a bit straight at beach breaks, but with the offshore wind and exposed setup, Conchalio should handle it well. Crowds are possible, so get in early.

Wednesday morning, July 29th, is another good one – same size, 6 ft, still from the SSW, still a very long period (16 seconds), and glassy again with light ESE winds. The energy is still strong (1375). It’s a repeat of the good stuff, just a fraction less power.

Thursday morning, July 30th, the swell drops a touch to 4 ft, but the period is still a solid 14 seconds, and it’s glassy with a light SSE breeze. The energy is moderate (712). This is still very good surf, just a step down in size.

Friday morning, July 31st, is smaller again at 4 ft, but with a clean ENE breeze and glassy water. The period is 14 seconds, so it’s still got some shape. A good option for a fun session, but nothing special.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. Saturday and Sunday mornings (August 1st and 2nd) are small and clean, but the swell is fading fast – 3 ft and 2 ft. The energy is weak (298 and 286). It’s surfable, but you’ll be scratching for waves.

From Monday, August 3rd, through to Thursday, August 7th, the swell drops to below 3 ft, and the afternoons get messy with onshore winds. The mornings are still glassy, but the waves are tiny and weak. This is a real gap in quality surf. Nothing to get excited about.

Things start to look up again on Saturday, August 8th. The morning brings a 3 ft SSW swell with a nice 16-second period, and we get a light offshore breeze from the NE. The energy is moderate (618). This is a promising return of clean, lined-up waves.

Sunday morning, August 9th, is similar – 4 ft, 14-second period, glassy with a light NE breeze. Energy is moderate (537). Another good morning session.

The following Monday and Tuesday mornings (August 10th and 11th) are still clean and glassy, with 3 ft swell and 13-second periods. The energy is moderate (499). It’s consistent, but the size is just average.

Finally, on Wednesday morning, August 12th, we see a spike in quality. The swell is only 2 ft, but the period jumps to a very long 19 seconds, and the energy is moderate (601). The wind is light from the ESE and glassy. This is a sneaky good session – small but with real groundswell grunt. It’ll be clean and lined up, but you’ll need to be patient between sets.

Overall, the first week is the clear winner, with Tuesday and Wednesday mornings being the absolute best. The second week has some decent mornings, but nothing that matches that early pulse. The afternoons are generally a write-off with onshore winds. If you’re a beginner, aim for the smaller, cleaner mornings after the first few days.

Rusty.

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