Conchalio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with the long-range look at what's in store for your little slice of the tropics. We've got one spot to focus on, so let's get into it.

We’re looking at a sweet run of weather and waves coming up. The water is sitting at a warm 86°, which is about a degree and a half warmer than you'd expect for this time of year, so it’s a touch toastier than normal. Nice.

The first real chance to get wet kicks off on the morning of Wednesday, July 8th. The swell is a solid 5ft from the SSW, and that period is a juicy 16 seconds, so there’s some real groundswell grunt in there. The energy reading is strong (1191), so there's plenty of push. The wind is glassy out of the NNE at only 3 mph. That's the dream for clean conditions. This is the standout window for the experienced surfers, as that size is definitely pushing into the “don’t mess around if you’re a beginner” zone.

Things settle down a touch for the rest of the first week, but the quality stays high. Thursday morning, July 9th, gives you 4ft of clean, glassy SSW groundswell. Friday, July 10th, starts with a glassy 3ft, and Saturday, July 11th, is looking choice again with a 4ft to 4ft SSW swell and glassy winds to start. Sunday, July 12th, is the last of this primo block, with a 4ft swell and glassy morning before the onshore winds kick in later.

Now, after that first weekend, we hit a bit of a lull. The size drops off, and the winds get a bit tricky. The energy drops to moderate levels (around 300-450 range), and the wind shifts onshore most afternoons. The morning windows from July 13th through to July 20th offer smaller, cleaner surf in the 3ft to 3ft range, but nothing that’s going to blow your hair back. It’s a long, flat stretch for any real quality.

Then, we get a flicker of hope. The morning of Tuesday, July 21st, is a real standout. We’ve got a glassy, clean 3ft swell from the SW with a 15-second period. The wind is a light cross-off shore, and the energy bumps up to 645, which is a nice moderate jump. That’s a sneaky good day for a longboard or a funboard, and the crowds are only a “sometimes” risk here, so you might get some clean ones to yourself.

After that, the last few days of the window fade back into small, clean morning glass-offs. The surf will be small and weak, but if you have to be out there, the mornings on July 22nd and 23rd will be your best bet.

So, to wrap it up, your best chance for a proper session is the morning of Wednesday, July 8th. That 5ft, 16-second groundswell with glassy wind is a beauty, but it’s for the experienced crew. For the rest of us, circle Tuesday, July 21st on the calendar for a fun, clean morning on smaller waves.

Stay stoked, Rusty.

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