Conchalio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a solid run of surf ahead at Conchalio, starting from the very first session. This is a clean, exposed spot with good consistency over the next week and a bit, but things do taper off. The best of the best is right at the start, so don’t sleep on it.

The big news is the first day. Tuesday the 7th of July, we’re looking at a really strong start. The combined wave energy is pumping at 1452 – that’s serious power for this break. We’ve got a consistent 4ft swell running in from the SSW, with a very long period of 18 seconds. That’s pure groundswell, deep water energy. For a beach setup like Conchalio, that long period can make the waves a little straight, but with glass conditions and zero wind, it’s going to be clean and lined up. Water temps are sitting at 86°, which is pretty normal for the time of year. No major anomaly there.

Tuesday afternoon the wind swings to a cross-onshore and it gets a bit bumpy, not the best call. So the standout window is definitely the mornings.

Wednesday the 8th is another cracking morning. Same offshore wind pattern out of the north at just 3 mph, the swell drops a touch to 5ft, but the period is still a meaty 16 seconds. Energy is still strong at 1122. This is quality, expert-friendly surf. The afternoons get a bit messy with onshore wind.

Thursday the 9th, Friday the 10th, and Saturday the 11th all offer clean glassy mornings with the swell gradually easing from 4ft down to 3ft, but periods stay in the 15-16 second range. Combined energy drops from 785 down to 596, still moderate to strong. These are excellent, clean, user-friendly sessions.

Sunday the 12th is a bit different. Morning has a clean offshore breeze from the ENE at 3 mph, swell 4ft, 14 seconds – another good one. But the afternoon brings a risk of thunderstorms and a cross-shore wind that chops things up.

From Monday the 13th through to Tuesday the 22nd of July, the wave energy drops significantly, mostly staying under 400. The swell shrinks to under 3ft most days, with periods between 13 and 17 seconds. There’s a slight uptick on Wednesday the 22nd morning, with a SSW swell of 5ft, period 16 seconds, and energy jumps back up to 997 – that’s a promising late-stage pulse. Winds look glassy that morning too, which could be a goer, but it’s a long way out so don’t lock it in just yet.

Overall, the first few days are the clear winners. Low crowds early in the week, clean glass, and solid SSW groundswell lined up. If you need a board under your arm, Tuesday the 7th and Wednesday the 8th mornings are the ones to circle.

Rusty.

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