Conchalio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, ol' Rusty here with the long-range look for our local stretch. Let's get into it.

We've got a proper pulse of swell hitting us mid-week, but it's a bit of a mixed bag. The real standout, without a doubt, is the Wednesday morning session. It's not the biggest, but it's the cleanest and most powerful we'll see in this whole window. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 86.5°, which is a nice bonus.

Wednesday morning, July 29th – This is the one to circle. Conchalio is an exposed spot, and we're getting a solid 5.6ft SSW groundswell rolling in with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is a hefty 1375, that's some serious push. The wind is dead calm, glassy as a mirror. This is going to be pumping, but it's a powerful wave. At 5.6ft with that much energy and period, it's a step up from the beginner stuff. Expect some sets. Crowds are sometimes a thing here, and on a morning like this, you can bet the locals will be out.

Wednesday afternoon – The wind swings cross-on, and the quality drops. The swell backs off a hair to 5.0ft, but it's not the same. Forget it.

Thursday morning, July 30th – Still a good wave. The swell drops to 4.3ft from the SSW, 14-second period, and it's glassy. The energy is still moderate at 712. This is a solid morning, but not the standout.

Thursday afternoon – Onshore wind kills it.

Friday morning, July 31st – A cleaner 4.0ft SSW swell with a 14-second period. Glassy conditions. It's a good, fun morning wave. The energy is 512.

Friday afternoon onwards – Gets pretty small and weak. The mornings stay clean, but the swell is dropping through the weekend and into the next week. We're looking at waist-high leftovers most days, with the occasional 1.6ft to 2.3ft bump. The mornings are usually glassy, but the wind goes onshore each afternoon.

The second week – Things get a bit more interesting again around the 7th and 8th of August. The swell picks back up to about 3.0ft to 3.3ft, with a very long period from the SSW. The energy pushes back into the moderate range. The Saturday afternoon of August 8th looks promising with a 3.3ft SSW swell, 16-second period, and glassy conditions. It's a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but it could be a good one.

Monday morning, August 10th – Clean, but the swell is back down to 2.6ft.

Tuesday morning, August 11th – A weird one. The swell is only 2.0ft, but the period is a massive 19 seconds. The energy is 470. That's a very long-period groundswell. It'll be clean with offshore winds, but that kind of period can make a beach break like this close out or wall up. Might be more interesting for the point or reef if there was one nearby.

The last few mornings – Glassy and clean, but the swell is small and weak. The Wednesday and Thursday mornings of the 12th and 13th offer clean 2.3ft to 3.0ft SW swell.

So, the bottom line: Wednesday morning, July 29th is your best chance for a proper session. A close second, if you can wait, is the Saturday afternoon, August 8th, but that's a week and a half away and less certain. The rest of the time is clean but small, or blown out.

Stay stoked.

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