Conchalio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into what the next couple of weeks are looking like for our little corner of the coast.

We’ve got a pretty solid run of surf on the way, but it’s a classic story of mornings versus afternoons. The mornings are where it’s at, with clean conditions and building swell. The afternoons, more often than not, get blown out by onshore breezes, so you’ll want to be an early bird.

### The Outlook

Starting off this Wednesday the 5th, it’s a bit of a slow go. Morning brings a tiny 2ft SW swell with a very long 12-second period from a SSW direction, but there’s a risk of thunderstorms and while the wind is light, it’s not perfect. The water’s sitting at 87°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Afternoon gets messy with a cross-onshore wind, so skip it.

Thursday the 6th sees the swell bump up just a touch to 2ft from the SSW with a longer 14-second period, and the morning is looking much better. The wind goes glassy, and while the wave energy is moderate (196), it’ll be surfable. Afternoon is a write-off again.

Now, Friday the 7th is where things start to get exciting. The morning is absolute gold. We’ve got a 2ft SSW groundswell with a *very long* 18-second period, the wind is dead calm and glassy, and the wave energy jumps to a solid moderate level (313). This is a proper long-period groundswell, which will wrap in nicely here, offering clean, lined-up waves. This is a standout morning session for the patient surfer.

Saturday the 8th morning builds on that. The swell pushes up to a clean 3ft from the SSW, still with a nice 16-second period, and it’s dead glassy. The wave energy is strong (719) and the conditions are set for a fantastic morning. The afternoon gets onshore and choppy.

Sunday the 9th is another absolute cracker of a morning. 4ft of SSW swell at 14 seconds, dead calm and glassy, with strong energy (609). Get out there.

The pattern holds through the next week. Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th both have great, clean mornings with building swell around 3ft and solid 13-second periods. Tuesday afternoon is a sleeper, though – the wind goes glassy again, and a very long 18-second period from the SSW pushes the energy into strong territory (663). Worth a late check.

Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th keep the morning glassy windows going, with the swell holding around 2-3ft from the SW.

Then we get to Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th. This looks like the best run of the whole outlook. Friday morning brings 4ft of SW swell with an 18-second period and glassy conditions – strong energy (735). Saturday morning pushes up to 5ft from the SW, with that long 16-second period, clean cross-offshore wind, and very strong energy (951). These are the best waves on offer – clean, solid, and with plenty of push.

Sunday the 16th through Wednesday the 19th keeps the goodness rolling with morning sessions of 3ft to 4ft SW swell, glassy or clean wind, and strong energy. The afternoons are generally blown out or cross-on, so stick to the early sessions.

Finally, Thursday the 20th morning has a massive burst of energy (910) from a long-period 18-second SSW swell at 3ft, but the afternoon gets tricky. The swell actually jumps to 5ft with a 17-second period and strong to very strong energy (1377), but the wind is a cross-onshore breeze making it choppy. For the experienced surfer, that afternoon might offer some heavy, if a bit lumpy, waves, but the morning is where the quality is.

So, your two absolute standouts in this forecast are Friday the 14th morning with that clean, long-period 4ft SW swell, and Saturday the 15th morning with the bigger 5ft SW swell and clean conditions. Those are the sessions to circle on the calendar. This spot is a beginner-friendly beach break, so when the swell gets over 5ft later in the run, it’ll be more for the experienced crew. Keep your eyes on the morning windows, and you’ll score.

Rusty.

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