Conchalio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, it’s just me, Rusty, with a look at what’s coming up over the next couple of weeks for Playa-Conchalio. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s some real magic shaping up if you’re patient.

Right now, through the weekend and into early next week, things are pretty small and the conditions are hit and miss. Saturday the 18th isn’t worth paddling out for, with a weak, cross-onshore breeze and only marginal surf. Sunday the 19th morning is a different story though – glassy, clean, with a tiny but promising 2ft SSW groundswell. It’s a long period (19 seconds) which means the waves will have good shape and be a lot of fun on a longboard, especially with the water sitting at a very warm 86°F, which is about average for the time of year. But the energy is moderate (354). The window is short though, as the wind swings onshore in the afternoon. Monday and Tuesday mornings follow a similar pattern: glassy with clean lines, but still just knee-to-waist high at 3ft. The swell period drops slightly and energy picks up (487 on Monday morning, 541 on Tuesday morning). The problem is these mornings are the only clean sessions, with the afternoons getting chopped by onshore winds.

Now, here’s where it gets good. Into the second week, the swell really starts to ramp up. The standout, no question, is Saturday the 25th of July. We’re looking at a solid 3–4ft SSW swell arriving with a very long 21-second period. The wave energy jumps right up, hitting a strong 1267. And the wind? Dead calm and glassy all morning. This is the kind of morning where Conchalio turns on, with clean, lined-up waves for experienced surfers. It’s a beginner-friendly break normally, but with that energy, it might be a little punchy for someone just starting.

Sunday the 26th is also an absolute gem. Slightly bigger at 4ft in the morning, going up to 4ft by the afternoon, both with glassy conditions. The period stays long, and the energy is strong (1160 to 1091). The only thing that might make you scratch your head is the mention of a risk of thunderstorms on Sunday afternoon, but with glassy wind, that can still be perfectly clean, just keep an eye on the sky. Monday the 27th morning pushes up to 5ft, still with that clean window, and the energy climbs again (1457). Tuesday the 28th is the biggest swell of the run – 6ft SSW, with a period of 17 seconds. This is strictly for experienced surfers at that size, and the morning is glassy again, making it a serious option for a good paddle. The energy is very high, peaking at 1913.

The whole stretch from the 25th to the 30th of July is packed with strong, clean mornings. The best call for the dedicated surfer is absolutely the morning of Saturday the 25th, with the glassy conditions and that long, powerful groundswell. By the end of the run into the beginning of August, the swell fades back to knee-high and the conditions become inconsistent again.

So, get ready for a quiet few days, then a fantastic run of early morning sessions from around the 24th through the 30th. Set your alarm, because the afternoons are no good.

Rusty.

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