Hemorrhoids Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board, let’s get into it. This is Rusty.

Looks like we’ve got a pretty drawn-out stretch of small surf on offer here. The first solid recommendation isn’t until the 15th, but even then, it’s nothing to write home about. We’ve got a bit of a gap from the start until that Saturday afternoon where we finally see some rideable waves.

The standout window isn’t a massive one, but the morning of the 28th and the morning of the 29th look like the real highlights of this whole 16-day run. The water temp on the 15th is sitting at 85°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing to worry about there.

Hemorrhoids is our only break in the mix here. On the Saturday 15th we get into it with a 4ft SW swell, period of 16 seconds. That’s a groundswell, which means longer gaps between sets and some real power. Offshore wind from the ENE at 22 mph will keep things clean. Energy is moderate, with a reading of 767. It’s a reef setup, so the long period works in its favor. Crowds are often here, so expect company.

Moving through the week, the swell drops a little. The Sunday 16th and Monday 17th have 4ft and 3ft swells respectively. The Monday morning has a light NE breeze, making for clean conditions, but it’s still small. The wind swings cross-off on Monday afternoon, so things get choppier. The Tuesday 18th and Wednesday 19th offer consistent offshore breezes (ENE and E) but the swell is dropping further into the 3ft range. Periods stay around 14-15 seconds.

From the 20th through the 27th, we are essentially in the doldrums. Swell heights hover around 2ft to 1ft. Wave energy plummets (down to 138 by the 26th). There are a few sessions with clean wind, but it’s just too small for any real fun. You’re looking at a solid week of waist-high or smaller surf at best.

Then, like a gift from the surf gods, the Friday 28th morning rolls around. We see a 3ft SW swell with a 16-second period. The wind is gentle offshore from the ENE at 9 mph – glassy goodness. Wave energy jumps back up to 660, which is moderate but feels bigger given the conditions. The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions," and I’m feeling that. This is the first real standout.

The Saturday 29th morning is the absolute pick of the litter. A 3ft SW swell, period of 17 seconds, and barely a breath of wind from the E at 6 mph. Lightest of breezes. Energy hits 687 and the forecast calls for "very good surf conditions" again. This is a reef break that loves a long-period SW groundswell, and with that kind of glassy morning, it’s going to be lined up and fast. The Saturday afternoon also holds with the same swell size and a 16-second period, even though the wind picks up a touch and shifts cross-off. Still clean.

By the Sunday 30th, the swell is back down to 3ft. The morning session has a slight air and clean conditions, but the afternoon gets messy with cross-on wind.

So, to lay it plain: the first week is a slow grind of small, clean but underwhelming surf. The real action is on the morning of the 28th and the morning of the 29th. That’s where you want to be in the water. The long-period SW groundswell with gentle offshore winds at Hemorrhoids will be the best this region sees in the next 16 days.

Rusty.

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