Hemorrhoids Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into the outlook for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a solid pulse of swell from the south-west coming through, but it's a real expert-only affair for the first few days. The wave energy is pumping hard, with a combined energy reading of 1425 – that’s a lot of power in the water. The water temp is sitting at 85°, which is about 2° warmer than the long-term average for this time of year, so it’s feeling pretty tropical, just a touch toastier than usual.

The standout is Hemorrhoids, a reef setup. This is where you want to be on Monday the 27th of July. We’re looking at a 5ft SW swell with a very long period of 18 seconds. That’s pure groundswell, and on a reef like this, it’s going to line up beautifully. The wind is offshore from the ENE, a gentle breeze, so the surface will be glassy and clean. It's a bit of a heavyweight though – the energy is massive and the period is long, so it’s strictly for the experienced crew. The swell direction matches the optimum direction from the south. Crowds are said to be often here, so expect company for those waves.

Tuesday the 28th stays strong with a 5ft SW swell, but the wind swings around to a light cross-offshore in the morning, so it’s still clean. The afternoon gets a bit tricky with a light cross-onshore wind, so the quality drops off. The wave energy is still very high, sitting at 1576 in the morning.

Wednesday the 29th is a tale of two halves. The morning has a steady 5ft SW swell with a cross-offshore breeze, but the afternoon is the real treat. The wind drops to almost nothing, a slight air, and goes offshore from the ENE. The swell period drops to 16 seconds, and the combined energy is still a solid 1022. The waves will be clean, rippable, and powerful.

From Thursday the 30th onward, the swell size and energy start to drop off. The energy levels fall from 625 down to a few hundred over the following days. The wind stays mostly offshore or cross-offshore, but the surf gets smaller and less consistent. We’ll see a few fun knee to waist-high waves on the 31st of July and the 1st of August, but nothing that will blow your mind.

There’s a long gap of very small, weak surf from around the 4th of August right through until the 11th of August. The energy levels dip into the low double digits, and the swell is mostly under 2ft. It’s pretty flat and ordinary. If you’re desperate, there are tiny, gutless waves, but it’s really not worth paddling out for.

The energy picks up a little bit around the 7th and 8th of August, with swell heights crawling back to 3ft and combined energy hitting 532. But the wind is fresh and mostly cross-offshore, so it’s not going to be clean. It’s a marginal call at best for the experienced crew.

For the best bet this window, lock in Monday the 27th of July at Hemorrhoids. The combination of a long-period SW groundswell and perfect offshore wind is as good as it gets. Tuesday morning is also a strong option. After that, it’s a steady decline into a long, flat spell.

Rusty out.

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