Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 1 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, ESE swell with 528 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 12s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Tue 1st Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here. I’ve been staring at the charts for Picao (Baia Formosa) and the news isn’t great. We’ve got a solid 16-day window staring us down, but the ocean is playing hard to get. The entire run is marked by poor surf conditions, so there’s no standout day to get excited about. The first week is a total write-off, and the second week doesn’t offer much redemption either.
Starting from Saturday the 29th of August, the swell is weak and confused. We’re looking at a meager 3ft out of the east with a short, weak period of 6 seconds. The combined energy is a low 125 – that’s barely a ripple. The wind is a cross-shore breeze from the ESE at 12 mph, which just messes with any chance of a clean face. Water temp is sitting at 80°, which is about normal for this time of year, so at least the bath is warm.
The next few days don’t get any better. Swell picks up a touch on Monday the 31st, hitting 6ft from the east with a period of 8 seconds, and the energy kicks up to 410 (moderate), but the wind stays stubbornly cross-shore from the ESE at 12-16 mph. The wave comment is consistently "poor surf conditions". It’s a beach-and-reef setup, so with that cross-chop, this is looking more like a kite session than a paddle session.
We drift into the second week and the situation is the same story, just re-told. From the 1st to the 13th of September, the swell hovers between 3ft and 5ft, period stays short between 6 and 9 seconds, and the wind is almost always a cross or cross-off breeze. The energy ranges from a weak 91 to a moderate 339, but not once does the rating break zero. Even on the 8th of September, when the swell hits 5ft out of the east and the wind goes clean cross-off from the SE at 19 mph, the surf is still rated as poor. The direction is east, but the optimal swell direction is from the northeast, so it’s just not lining up.
To be honest, this is a blank run. For an area like this, it’s not unusual to have a stretch where the conditions just don’t click. The consistency is there, but the quality is non-existent. Keep the board in the car, but don’t hold your breath. Forecasts can change, but right now, there’s nothing to recommend.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Mon morning, min 24°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Fri morning, min 25°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 9 | E 7 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
81 | 76 | 123 | 126 | 314 | 382 | 343 | 516 | 313 | 328 | 493 | 252 | 251 | 127 | 103 | 127 | 111 | 123 | 258 | 107 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:53PM2.22m | 5:05AM2.34m | 5:26PM2.21m | 5:41AM2.28m | 6:02PM2.16m | 6:20AM2.16m | 6:41PM2.07m | 7:05AM2.01m | 7:27PM1.95m | 8:00AM1.83m | 8:26PM1.81m | 9:14AM1.68m | 9:46PM1.73m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:54PM0.17m | 11:17AM0.11m | 11:29PM0.18m | 11:51AM0.17m | 00:06AM0.23m | 12:28PM0.27m | 00:48AM0.32m | 1:11PM0.42m | 1:40AM0.44m | 2:06PM0.58m | 2:50AM0.56m | 3:24PM0.71m | ||||||||
— | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | |
5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 |
Feels °C | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NNE 10 | E 8 | NNE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | NNE 9 | E 9 |
34 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 24 | 24 | 9 | 305 | 8 | 328 | 292 | 7 | 7 | 86 | 74 | 76 | 60 | 61 | 17 | 42 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | SE 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | NNE 9 | N 13 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 11 | NE 11 | NNE 11 | NE 10 | NNE 10 | N 12 | NNE 9 |
2 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 30 | 11 | 24 | 18 | 3 | 8 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | — | — | — | — | N 15 | N 14 | N 13 | S 12 | N 13 | NE 13 | N 12 | NNE 8 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | — | — | — | — |
8 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | — | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 9 | E 7 |
81 | 76 | 123 | 126 | 314 | 382 | 343 | 516 | 313 | — | 493 | 252 | 251 | 127 | 103 | 127 | 111 | 123 | 258 | 107 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2021 | 2014 | 820 | 1967 | 1971 | 820 | 2014 | 1971 | 823 | 1965 | 2046 | 820 | 2557 | 216 | 1653 | 1994 | 742 | 814 | 1564 | 139 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











