
Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 5 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, ESE swell with 525 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Picao.
Straight up, I gotta be real with you – this 16-day window is a tough one. We’re looking at a long, dry spell before anything even remotely worth paddling out for shows up. There’s a solid gap of almost nothing from the start, all the way through the first week and into the second. The only faint glimmer comes right at the tail end, and even that’s more of a promise than a guarantee.
The one and only day that’s worth getting excited about is Tuesday the 4th of August. Monday morning we’ve got a pulse of swell coming through, but the conditions are pretty ordinary. Then Tuesday morning, things look a bit different. We’ve got a solid 6ft swell pushing in from the ESE with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is pumping hard at 597 (moderate wave energy), which gives the waves some real punch. It’s a reef break here at Picao (Baia Formosa), so that short-period stuff can still throw a decent wall, but it might be a bit fat and quick. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SSE at 9 mph, and the report says it’s clean. That’s your best bet, and really the only standout. It’s an intermediate wave, so if you’re just starting out, 6ft might be a bit much to handle, especially on a reef.
After that Tuesday morning, things drop right off again. The swell backs down, the wind stays junk, and the scores just don’t stack up. You see a few days like the 14th of August where the swell bumps up to 5ft from the SE, but it’s still marginal and the conditions aren’t on. By the time we hit the 15th and 16th, there’s a little bit of long-period groundswell (12-13 seconds) but the wave heights are tiny – 2ft to 2ft – so you’re looking at pretty gutless surf.
So there you have it. A big blank run, then a brief two-star moment on the 4th morning. Stay hopeful, the forecasts can always shift, but for now, that’s the story.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Mon night. Warm (max 26°C on Sun morning, min 22°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Tue night. Warm (max 27°C on Wed morning, min 24°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
183 | 173 | 108 | 91 | 112 | 135 | 164 | 376 | 298 | 525 | 392 | 336 | 291 | 155 | 53 | 82 | 94 | 124 | 111 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 6:08AM2.21m | 6:32PM2.05m | 6:45AM2.13m | 7:11PM1.99m | 7:28AM2.02m | 7:57PM1.91m | 8:20AM1.89m | 8:52PM1.83m | 9:26AM1.77m | 10:03PM1.77m | 10:50AM1.71m | 11:25PM1.79m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:55PM0.32m | 12:22PM0.25m | 00:32AM0.37m | 12:59PM0.32m | 1:13AM0.43m | 1:41PM0.41m | 2:03AM0.50m | 2:34PM0.52m | 3:08AM0.57m | 3:43PM0.62m | 4:31AM0.59m | 5:07PM0.65m | |||||||
— | 5:31 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
Feels °C | 24 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | ESE 7 | NNE 8 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | NE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 6 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 8 |
7 | 102 | 7 | 91 | 112 | 135 | 164 | 208 | 13 | 302 | 247 | 213 | 169 | 102 | 53 | 19 | 18 | 12 | 18 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | NNE 8 | SE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 11 | NE 10 | NE 9 | SE 14 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | SE 9 | SE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 |
3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 15 | S 15 | S 13 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NNE 7 | S 14 | N 10 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | SE 13 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 |
— | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | — | — | — | — | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 3 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 |
183 | 173 | 108 | — | — | — | — | 376 | 298 | 525 | 392 | 336 | 291 | 155 | 2 | 82 | 94 | 124 | 111 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 979 | 979 | 1106 | 0 | 69 | 2021 | 0 | 0 | 1564 | 139 | 979 | 1586 | 0 | 139 | 1586 | 69 | 820 | 1994 | 1745 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











