Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 9s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, SE swell with 742 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 9s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.5m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break it down. For the next couple of weeks at Picao (Baia Formosa), it’s a rough stretch. The wind stays mostly cross-offshore, but the swell just isn’t delivering. The first week offers small, weak waves with combined energy mostly in the low 200s or even under 100, and the swell period is short, around 6 to 8 seconds. That’s a lot of chop and no real power.
Starting Sunday, July 19th, and through the week, the surf is small and messy. Swell heights are between 3 ft and 6 ft, but the direction is mostly ESE, which is not what this spot wants—it needs a NE swell. The winds are cross-offshore, but with such short period and weak energy, it’s not clean. Water temp is 81°, just 0.5° above average, so nothing unusual.
There’s a slight bump around Tuesday, July 22nd, with a 4 ft E swell, but it’s still just marginal. The best any session scores is a 1 out of 10, which is barely worth paddling out for. No standout days.
The second week is even worse. From Sunday, July 26th, the swell drops to 2 ft to 3 ft, and combined energy barely breaks 100 most days. The period is short, 6-7 seconds, and the wind stays cross-offshore. There’s a tiny spike on August 2nd with a 5 ft E swell, but the wind turns cross-shore and the quality is still poor.
Honestly, there’s no good surf in this entire 16-day window. The consistent cross-off winds might be fun for kiteboarding, but for paddling, it’s a flat spell. For this area, a blank run like this isn’t that rare—it happens. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d say stay home.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 35mm), heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 26°C on Sun morning, min 24°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 32mm), heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 26°C on Wed morning, min 23°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | E 8 | ESE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 277 | 263 | 283 | 361 | 359 | 616 | 359 | 376 | 616 | 219 | 219 | 537 | 133 | 200 | 195 | 161 | 156 | 277 | 169 | 110 | 207 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:04PM1.92m | 8:22AM1.94m | 8:53PM1.80m | 9:16AM1.76m | 9:48PM1.70m | 10:20AM1.62m | 10:53PM1.63m | 11:35AM1.55m | 00:03AM1.63m | 12:48PM1.56m | 1:06AM1.68m | 1:46PM1.63m | 1:58AM1.78m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:52PM0.36m | 2:08AM0.51m | 2:39PM0.52m | 3:03AM0.63m | 3:33PM0.65m | 4:08AM0.70m | 4:36PM0.74m | 5:21AM0.72m | 5:46PM0.77m | 6:32AM0.68m | 6:51PM0.73m | 7:30AM0.59m | 7:44PM0.65m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 |
Feels °C | 23 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | N 8 | E 8 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | E 8 | SE 9 | SE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 |
| kJ | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 309 | 3 | 8 | 316 | 65 | 41 | 159 | 133 | 200 | 195 | 161 | 156 | 144 | 138 | 110 | 134 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | NE 9 | N 11 | N 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | N 10 | N 10 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 6 | NE 6 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 9 |
| kJ | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 70 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | N 11 | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | N 9 | N 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NE 10 | — |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 4 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | SSE 4 | ESE 7 |
| kJ | 277 | 263 | 283 | 361 | 359 | 616 | 359 | 376 | 616 | 219 | 219 | 537 | — | — | — | — | — | 277 | 169 | 10 | 207 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1115 | 1564 | 988 | 979 | 1564 | 979 | 981 | 1564 | 503 | 833 | 1564 | 0 | 37 | 2065 | 0 | 831 | 1653 | 0 | 1479 | 1653 | 1479 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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