Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, ESE swell with 554 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 12s period and expected on Monday (Aug 31) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya from the beach. Let's get into it.
Alright, look, I'm not gonna sugarcoat it. For the next 16 days, this stretch of coast is in a serious slump. The waves are on the small side, the wind is mostly on it or cross, and the energy is just not there. It's a long stretch of nothing special, and I'm talking about a solid gap of days where you're better off doing something else.
We're looking at Picao (Baia Formosa) here, and it's a reef break that's fairly exposed to the swell. The water temp is sitting at a warm 81°, which is pretty much bang on for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first real standout, if you can even call it that, is the morning of the 13th of September. Now, I'm calling it a "standout" because it's the only time in the whole 16-day window where the forecast even whispers "marginal." We're looking at a clean 4 ft swell from the ESE, with a period of 9 seconds. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the SE at 12 mph, which will keep the surface nice. The combined energy is moderate at 280. It's small, it's only just surfable, and the quality is still questionable, but it's the best you're gonna get. If you're a beginner, these 4 ft waves are fine, but don't expect any power. For the rest of the time, the wind is a mess, the swell is tiny and weak, or the period is so short the waves are just crumbly and weak. The energy values are mostly in the low to mid 100s and 200s, which is just weak. There's a good 12 days of poor conditions before that 13th, and then it's back to poor again after.
Honestly, with the consistent cross-onshore chop and weak swell, this setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddler. Keep your board waxed and your eyes on the longer-range charts, but for now, it's a hard pass.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Mon morning, min 25°C on Sun afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu night, min 25°C on Wed afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | ESE 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 133 | 307 | 382 | 339 | 516 | 313 | 328 | 299 | 299 | 258 | 214 | 131 | 104 | 89 | 88 | 123 | 95 | 94 | 103 | 202 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 5:26PM2.21m | 5:41AM2.28m | 6:02PM2.16m | 6:20AM2.16m | 6:41PM2.07m | 7:05AM2.01m | 7:27PM1.95m | 8:00AM1.83m | 8:26PM1.81m | 9:14AM1.68m | 9:46PM1.73m | 10:50AM1.63m | 11:21PM1.76m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:29PM0.18m | 11:51AM0.17m | 00:06AM0.23m | 12:28PM0.27m | 00:48AM0.32m | 1:11PM0.42m | 1:40AM0.44m | 2:06PM0.58m | 2:50AM0.56m | 3:24PM0.71m | 4:26AM0.60m | 5:04PM0.73m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | | | |  |  | |  |  | | | | |  | |
 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — |
 | 5:20 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — |
mm | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 26 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 |
Feels °C | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NNE 10 | E 8 | NNE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 12 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 8 |
| kJ | 27 | 24 | 24 | 18 | 305 | 8 | 328 | 299 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 66 | 68 | 66 | 65 | 43 | 43 | 29 | 26 | 102 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | NNE 9 | N 13 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 12 | NE 12 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 11 | NE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 |
| kJ | 25 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | N 15 | N 14 | N 13 | NE 9 | N 13 | NE 13 | NE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 11 | NNE 8 | — | — | — | — | N 11 | N 11 | S 12 |
| kJ | — | — | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | — | — | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | ESE 8 |
| kJ | 133 | 307 | 382 | 339 | 516 | 313 | — | — | 299 | 258 | 214 | 131 | 104 | 89 | 88 | 123 | 95 | 94 | 103 | 202 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1967 | 1971 | 1971 | 2014 | 2009 | 820 | 1989 | 2063 | 831 | 1653 | 216 | 831 | 1640 | 820 | 820 | 1994 | 1586 | 820 | 1586 | 1967 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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