Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, ESE swell with 336 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.7m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 10s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s cookin’ for Picao. I've got to be straight with you – the next two weeks are a tough watch. The whole window is pretty much a write-off for a proper surf session.
Right off the bat, the numbers just aren't there. From Tuesday the 8th of September all the way through to the 23rd, every single slot is flagged as poor surf conditions. We’re looking at a solid two-week gap with nothing worth paddling out for. That’s a rare dry spell for this stretch.
The story here is wind. It’s relentless, coming from the ESE and SE almost every day. Most of the time it's a cross or cross-off breeze, that’s true, but don't let that fool you – it’s still strong, blowing 12 to 19 mph consistently. That’s going to mess with any chance of clean lines, especially when you combine it with these short-period, weak swells.
On the bright side, the water temperature is 81 °F, which is about normal for this time of year. The open water will be nice for a swim, but for surfing? The swell is tiny with combined energies barely cracking 200 (moderate energy at best, mostly under 250), and those periods are stuck down around 6 to 8 seconds. We’ve got one tiny bump on Friday the 11th where the energy hits 500 (moderate wave energy), and the swell gets to 5 ft from the ESE with a cross-off wind, but at that short period and with that wind, it’s going to be a bumpy, gutless mess, not a wave you want to paddle for.
Honestly, with this consistent onshore breeze and short-period chop, the setup here looks way more fun for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, day in and day out.
Don't lose hope too much, though. Forecasts can shift, and it tends not to stay this dead for long. But for now, give the board a rest and save the energy for when the ocean wakes back up.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Thu night. Warm (max 27°C on Tue morning, min 23°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 27°C on Sat morning, min 24°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | SE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 12 | 130 | 205 | 154 | 154 | 251 | 163 | 226 | 336 | 288 | 221 | 217 | 183 | 183 | 244 | 160 | 160 | 134 | 136 | 117 | 236 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:19PM2.05m | 2:30AM2.29m | 3:02PM2.19m | 3:13AM2.41m | 3:41PM2.28m | 3:53AM2.46m | 4:17PM2.32m | 4:30AM2.44m | 4:51PM2.30m | 5:07AM2.35m | 5:25PM2.22m | 5:42AM2.20m | 5:58PM2.11m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:19PM0.31m | 8:50AM0.06m | 9:02PM0.19m | 9:30AM-0.01m | 9:41PM0.10m | 10:07AM-0.03m | 10:18PM0.07m | 10:41AM0.02m | 10:54PM0.09m | 11:15AM0.11m | 11:29PM0.16m | 11:47AM0.24m | 00:05AM0.27m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — |
 | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | — | — | 9 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 |
Feels °C | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | NE 9 | ESE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | E 7 | ESE 11 | NNE 13 | E 8 | E 7 | NNE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | E 7 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | SE 8 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | E 6 |
| kJ | 12 | 12 | 135 | 7 | 6 | 139 | 13 | 16 | 191 | 183 | 12 | 29 | 27 | 25 | 126 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 78 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | NNE 8 | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 14 | NE 9 | ESE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 8 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | N 13 | N 13 | NNE 9 | NE 12 | N 12 | SE 8 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 26 | 12 | 12 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 17 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | N 9 | E 15 | — | N 16 | NE 8 | NNE 14 | N 7 | NNE 12 | ESE 13 | NNE 8 | S 11 | S 17 | S 16 | NE 10 | N 9 | N 9 | S 13 | S 12 | — | NNE 9 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 4 | — | 5 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | SE 8 |
| kJ | 93 | 130 | 205 | 154 | 154 | 251 | 163 | 226 | 336 | 288 | 221 | 217 | 183 | 183 | 244 | 160 | 160 | 134 | 136 | 117 | 236 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 988 | 1564 | 1564 | 1564 | 1564 | 1019 | 1586 | 1564 | 0 | 831 | 1994 | 1670 | 814 | 1564 | 1967 | 2109 | 2021 | 2021 | 979 | 1586 | 1586 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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