Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, ESE swell with 458 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 1.1m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
Honestly, the outlook for Picao (Baia Formosa) is a pretty flat story for the next 16 days. We’re looking at a long stretch of mediocrity, with a few glimmers that are more about hope than anything else. The wind is nearly always cross-off or cross-shore, and the swell is just not delivering.
The best we’ve got lands on Thursday the 23rd. It’s the only real window worth mentioning. Picao is a reef break, and it’s fairly exposed to the swell, but the direction is coming from the ESE, which isn't its optimum NE. We’ll see chest-high waves pushing 6 ft, but the period is a short 8 seconds, so it’s a bit of a lumpy, wind-affected mess. The combined energy is moderate at 680. The wind is a cross-off from the SE at 12 mph, which keeps the surface clean, but the rain showers aren't doing anyone any favors. Water temp is sitting at 80°, which is bang on average for this time of year. It’s the only day the score even hints at something, and it’s still a marginal call.
After that, it’s a long, grey slog. From Friday the 24th all the way through to the start of August, the surf is rated poor to very ordinary. The swell drops, the period stays short, and the wind stays on it. There’s a brief moment on the morning of Thursday the 30th where the wind goes light and offshore from the south at 9 mph, which is a positive, but the swell is tiny at 3 ft with a pathetic 6-second period. The combined energy is a weak 97. It’s surfable, but you’d be scratching for anything decent.
The second week is more of the same. Into early August, the swell tries to push back up to 5 ft to 6 ft, but the period is stuck in the 7-8 second range, and the wind is still cross-off. The energy climbs into the 200-350 range, meaning moderate, but the quality just isn't there. The forecast is consistent, but it’s consistent in being poor. For a spot that’s consistently breaking, it’s a frustrating run.
If you’re desperate, Thursday the 23rd is your only real look. The rest, you’re better off waiting for the next system.
Stay safe, Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 33mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Sun morning, min 23°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 26°C on Sun afternoon, min 23°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 433 | 96 | 363 | 335 | 247 | 229 | 160 | 196 | 160 | 79 | 72 | 118 | 79 | 83 | 60 | 59 | 131 | 75 | 104 | 158 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:03AM1.63m | 12:48PM1.56m | 1:06AM1.68m | 1:46PM1.63m | 1:58AM1.78m | 2:32PM1.73m | 2:41AM1.89m | 3:11PM1.83m | 3:18AM2.01m | 3:46PM1.92m | 3:53AM2.11m | 4:19PM1.99m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:46PM0.77m | 6:32AM0.68m | 6:51PM0.73m | 7:30AM0.59m | 7:44PM0.65m | 8:18AM0.48m | 8:28PM0.56m | 8:58AM0.38m | 9:07PM0.46m | 9:35AM0.29m | 9:42PM0.39m | 10:10AM0.23m | 10:16PM0.34m | |||||||
 |  | | | | |  |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — |
 | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | 5 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Temp °C | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 |
Feels °C | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | NNE 10 | E 7 | E 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | ESE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | ESE 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | NE 10 | NE 10 | E 7 |
| kJ | 239 | 96 | 212 | 173 | 145 | 138 | 9 | 117 | 74 | 7 | 7 | 79 | 7 | 7 | 60 | 43 | 60 | 23 | 24 | 103 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | N 10 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | E 15 | ESE 8 | NNE 8 | E 13 | SE 13 | NNE 8 | NE 9 | NE 9 | SE 12 | SE 11 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 6 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 23 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 11 | N 11 | N 10 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | S 11 | SE 16 | S 10 | E 14 | E 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | ESE 8 | — | SE 11 | E 11 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | — | 5 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | E 6 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | — | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 |
| kJ | 433 | 85 | 363 | 335 | 247 | 229 | 160 | 196 | 160 | 79 | 72 | 118 | 79 | 83 | — | 59 | 131 | 75 | 104 | 158 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1967 | 0 | 139 | 1586 | 0 | 1019 | 1564 | 69 | 981 | 1564 | 979 | 979 | 1586 | 1586 | 820 | 2014 | 2008 | 1745 | 2010 | 139 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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