Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 6s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, ESE swell with 236 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.6m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Hey everyone, Rusty here. Let's look at what's cookin' for the next couple of weeks. I gotta be honest, it's lookin' like a slow grind out there.
We've got a big ol' stretch of nothing good on the immediate horizon. The first time we see anything worth paddling out for isn't until Wednesday morning, July 8th at Picao (Baia Formosa). That's almost a full week of flat or junk surf to get through first.
So that Wednesday morning is our one and only real standout in this whole 16-day window. The models show a 5ft swell from the ESE, with the wind turning offshore from the south at about 9 mph. That's gonna be clean, glassy surf. The swell period is a short 7 seconds, so it won't have much grunt, but the combined energy is moderate (347). For this stretch, that's as good as it gets. It's a reef break, consistent, intermediate level. Just know it can get a little crowded sometimes.
After that one session, it's a long, sad story. The rest of the days are filled with annoying cross-off winds, short-period slop, and energy readings that barely move the needle. The swell is mostly from the east, which is okay, but the wind just won't cooperate. For a spot that really needs an offshore from the south-west to work its magic, this forecast is a bummer. You'll see some 5ft to 5ft swells later on, like on the 20th and 21st of July, but with 15 to 18 mph cross-off winds, it'll be a windy, choppy mess. Not worth the hassle.
Truth is, for most of this period, this setup looks way better for kite surfing than for regular paddle surfing, especially when that wind kicks up.
Keep your eye on that Wednesday morning window. It's not big, but it'll be clean, and that's the best we've got.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Mon morning, min 22°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Warm (max 26°C on Thu morning, min 23°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sun 12 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 190 | 163 | 207 | 168 | 204 | 128 | 236 | 192 | 104 | 80 | 61 | 57 | 77 | 139 | 116 | 136 | 68 | 88 | 94 | 111 | 111 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 8:00AM1.97m | 8:35PM1.84m | 8:53AM1.90m | 9:31PM1.81m | 9:56AM1.84m | 10:36PM1.82m | 11:09AM1.82m | 11:45PM1.87m | 12:23PM1.86m | 00:52AM1.96m | 1:32PM1.95m | 1:54AM2.10m | 2:33PM2.06m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:45AM0.56m | 2:20PM0.47m | 2:38AM0.60m | 3:15PM0.52m | 3:42AM0.61m | 4:19PM0.54m | 4:55AM0.57m | 5:29PM0.53m | 6:09AM0.47m | 6:38PM0.48m | 7:16AM0.33m | 7:41PM0.39m | 8:17AM0.17m | ||||||||
 |  | | |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — |
 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 |
Feels °C | 25 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | ESE 8 | NE 9 | NE 9 | ESE 7 | NE 8 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | NNE 8 | E 6 | E 6 | NE 9 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | SE 12 | E 7 |
| kJ | 190 | 163 | 21 | 20 | 132 | 11 | 118 | 130 | 104 | 80 | 61 | 14 | 45 | 73 | 22 | 101 | 68 | 88 | 94 | 53 | 111 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | NE 9 | N 11 | N 11 | NE 9 | — | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | SSE 14 | NE 9 | NE 10 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | NE 9 | SE 12 |
| kJ | 23 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 19 | — | 7 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 23 | 25 | 57 | 60 | 59 | 57 | 20 | 52 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 15 | N 9 | S 14 | S 16 | S 15 | S 21 | SE 19 | SE 18 | SE 16 | SE 15 | NNE 11 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 15 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | ESE 13 | NE 9 |
| kJ | — | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 25 | 8 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 16 | 19 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 4 | SSW 3 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | — | — | — | E 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | — | — | — | E 7 | — |
| kJ | 25 | 1 | 207 | 168 | 204 | 128 | 236 | 192 | — | — | — | 57 | 77 | 139 | 116 | 136 | — | — | — | 111 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 979 | 1653 | 981 | 979 | 1564 | 820 | 0 | 1653 | 0 | 0 | 1653 | 0 | 979 | 1586 | 6 | 0 | 1564 | 201 | 324 | 1564 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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