Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, E swell with 214 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sun 12th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
Alright, let’s break down what’s happening at Picao (Baia Formosa). I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the next couple of weeks look pretty bleak for a proper surf. The reef here gets a fair bit of swell, and it’s consistent, but the wind and direction are all wrong for most of it.
Starting Thursday the 9th of July, we’ve got a tiny 3ft easterly swell with a period of only 6 seconds, combined wave energy sitting at just 96 – that’s weak. There’s a cross-off breeze at 12 mph, so it’s clean, but there’s no power. The water temp is about what you’d expect for this time of year.
This same story runs for days. Through the weekend, the swell bumps up to 4ft by Sunday the 12th, but the period stays short at 7 seconds, and the wind goes cross-shore. The energy climbs a little, hitting 204 by Sunday morning – still in the moderate range – but it’s all tagged as poor surf.
Monday the 13th brings the biggest pulse of the first week, with a 5ft east swell and combined energy of 350, but it’s cross-shore and no good. Then the swell starts to die.
From Thursday the 16th through Saturday the 18th, we hit a dry spell. Wave heights drop below 3ft, and energy readings are under 100. Clean wind, but no waves. A three-day gap with nothing to ride.
The following week shows a glimmer of hope. On Sunday the 19th of July, the swell jumps back up to 5ft from the east with 277 energy, and the wind is cross-off and clean. It’s only classed as marginal, but it’s something.
The best-looking window in the whole 16 days comes up on Tuesday the 21st of July. We’ve got a 6ft swell from the ESE, period stretching to 8 seconds, and the combined energy is strong at 423. The wind is a clean cross-off. It’s still only a marginal call, but for a local who knows the reef, that’s the one to keep an eye on. Wednesday the 22nd is similar, with 5ft and 381 energy, also clean.
After that, Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th show the swell building to 6ft with energy up to 491, but the wind cranks up to a fresh 19 mph cross-off. That’s a lot of breeze, and everything is still being written off as poor. Wave heights over 5ft here are going to be too much for beginners anyway.
So, the honest truth is there’s no real standout. The best bet is Tuesday the 21st of July if you’re keen for a paddle and a few grovelly ones. The crowds *sometimes* show up here, but I reckon you’ll have plenty of room.
Keep your hopes in check.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 27°C on Thu morning, min 23°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 27°C on Sun morning, min 25°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wed 15 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 92 | 64 | 64 | 52 | 52 | 73 | 131 | 78 | 95 | 148 | 131 | 128 | 159 | 187 | 114 | 139 | 117 | 97 | 100 | 82 | 77 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 10:36PM1.82m | 11:09AM1.82m | 11:45PM1.87m | 12:23PM1.86m | 00:52AM1.96m | 1:32PM1.95m | 1:54AM2.10m | 2:33PM2.06m | 2:50AM2.24m | 3:28PM2.15m | 3:41AM2.36m | 4:18PM2.21m | 4:30AM2.44m | 5:05PM2.23m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:55AM0.57m | 5:29PM0.53m | 6:09AM0.47m | 6:38PM0.48m | 7:16AM0.33m | 7:41PM0.39m | 8:17AM0.17m | 8:37PM0.29m | 9:12AM0.04m | 9:28PM0.21m | 10:03AM-0.05m | 10:17PM0.16m | 10:51AM-0.07m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — |
 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 |
mm | 8 | 1 | — | 9 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 |
Feels °C | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | NE 9 | NE 10 | NE 9 | E 6 | SE 13 | SE 13 | E 6 | E 7 | SE 12 | SE 12 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | NNE 8 | E 7 | NNE 8 | ENE 7 | NNE 8 |
| kJ | 58 | 20 | 15 | 19 | 23 | 22 | 94 | 61 | 62 | 83 | 131 | 23 | 23 | 135 | 114 | 97 | 6 | 97 | 6 | 82 | 7 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | SE 16 | SSE 15 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | NE 9 | NE 9 | SE 13 | SE 12 | NE 9 | NNE 8 | SE 12 | NNE 8 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | NE 8 | SE 11 | NNE 8 | NNE 12 |
| kJ | 21 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 25 | 24 | 40 | 22 | 21 | 61 | 53 | 19 | 7 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 16 | E 10 | NE 11 | E 9 | ESE 8 | SE 15 | NE 9 | SE 13 | SE 13 | NE 9 | NE 9 | E 13 | SE 12 | NNE 8 | SE 12 | NNE 8 | N 13 | SE 11 | N 12 | NE 12 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 10 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | — | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | — | E 7 | E 7 | — | E 7 | — | E 7 |
| kJ | 92 | 64 | 64 | 52 | 52 | 73 | 131 | 78 | 95 | 148 | — | 128 | 159 | 187 | — | 139 | 117 | — | 100 | — | 77 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 825 | 1653 | 1002 | 979 | 1479 | 820 | 324 | 1564 | 0 | 820 | 1586 | 833 | 814 | 1564 | 983 | 731 | 820 | 820 | 981 | 1653 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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