
Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 4 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 9s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 3 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 9s period, ESE swell with 923 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 9s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.5m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 2.3m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 14s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 09) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sat 4th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sat 4th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Fri 3rd Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s talk about Picao (Baia Formosa) in feet and miles per hour.
Straight up, this is a rough 16-day run. The first few days have some height, but the wind and swell quality never play ball. The closest thing we get to a session is Friday morning, 3rd July. Swell is 6 ft from the ESE, period of 9 seconds. That’s moderate energy at 507, so there’s some grunt, but the wind is cross-off from the SE at 16 mph, keeping the surface messy. Water temp is 81°F, which is normal for the season. However, it’s rated as poor conditions, plain and simple.
Saturday the 4th keeps the swell around 7 ft, but still that short-period windswell (9 seconds) and stiff cross-off wind. The energy is strong (1001), but it’s not the kind of energy that makes for good waves – it’s just wind-chop energy. Marginal is the best you could call it.
Sunday morning the 5th is 7 ft but the period drops to 8 seconds – weak shape. By Sunday afternoon we’re down to 5 ft and an 8-second period with energy down to 316. From Monday onward, the swell drops out fast. By Wednesday 8th July we’re under 3 ft with 7-second period, and it only gets smaller.
Basically, from the 8th of July through the rest of the outlook, it’s junk. Swell stays under 3 ft, periods are 6 to 7 seconds, all from the east. The wind goes light sometimes, but there’s just not enough swell to do anything with. We’re looking at a solid week-plus of nothing worth paddling for.
If you’re into kite surfing, the early days have consistent cross-off wind and some size, so that could be fun. For us surfers, it’s a quiet spell. Picao is usually a pretty consistent break, so this blank run is a bit of a bummer, but it happens. Forecasts can always change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 43mm), heaviest during Fri morning. Warm (max 26°C on Fri morning, min 23°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 22°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
484 | 923 | 783 | 629 | 601 | 601 | 537 | 301 | 422 | 372 | 371 | 204 | 250 | 167 | 178 | 108 | 79 | 45 | 43 | 53 | 62 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 6:26PM1.91m | 6:35AM2.07m | 7:04PM1.89m | 7:15AM2.03m | 7:46PM1.86m | 8:00AM1.97m | 8:35PM1.84m | 8:53AM1.90m | 9:31PM1.81m | 9:56AM1.84m | 10:36PM1.82m | 11:09AM1.82m | 11:45PM1.87m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:16PM0.33m | 00:21AM0.47m | 12:54PM0.37m | 1:01AM0.52m | 1:34PM0.42m | 1:45AM0.56m | 2:20PM0.47m | 2:38AM0.60m | 3:15PM0.52m | 3:42AM0.61m | 4:19PM0.54m | 4:55AM0.57m | 5:29PM0.53m | ||||||||
5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | |
— | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | |
mm | 6 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
Feels °C | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | NNE 10 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | NE 9 | ESE 7 | NNE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | NNE 9 | NE 9 |
7 | 506 | 421 | 363 | 347 | 324 | 295 | 9 | 257 | 223 | 218 | 20 | 140 | 7 | 111 | 67 | 61 | 45 | 43 | 15 | 19 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 9 | NNE 10 | SE 10 | NNE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | N 11 | NNE 9 | N 10 | NNE 8 | NNE 10 | NNE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 |
13 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 20 | 17 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | NE 9 | N 12 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | N 10 | N 10 | S 16 | N 9 | N 9 | S 14 | S 16 | S 15 | — | S 19 | SE 18 | SE 16 | SE 16 | NE 11 | E 16 |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 19 | — | 7 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | — | — | ENE 6 | ENE 6 |
484 | 923 | 783 | 629 | 601 | 601 | 537 | 301 | 422 | 372 | 371 | 204 | 250 | 167 | 178 | 108 | 79 | — | — | 53 | 62 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1118 | 1564 | 1019 | 979 | 1564 | 0 | 979 | 1653 | 979 | 979 | 1653 | 981 | 587 | 1564 | 820 | 773 | 1653 | 1 | 0 | 1564 | 201 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










