Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, ESE swell with 318 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.7m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 12s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, and I gotta level with you—this next stretch is a total bummer for the lineup around Baia Formosa. Don’t even bother waxing up for a while.
We’re looking at a long dry spell with no real waves. For days on end, from the get-go, the surf is flat out poor. The wind will be cross or cross-off at times, which would normally be alright, but the swell is just pathetic—barely reaching 2 ft at best and mostly in the 2 ft to 5 ft range. The period is always short, under 8 seconds, so those waves have no push and just crumble. The combined energy is weak, hanging between 88 and 273. That’s nothing to write home about.
The only spot in the mix is Picao (Baia Formosa), a consistent reef. But with the constant “poor surf conditions” label, there’s nothing to recommend. Even when the wind cleans up to a nice cross-off starting the 10th of September, the swell never gets above 5 ft. And it’s still coming from the east or southeast, missing the northeast direction that this place really needs to work.
Forget about finding a standout day. The water might be whatever temperature it is, but with no waves to ride, who cares? Into the second week, it’s the same song: clean wind, dead surf. If you’re dead set on getting in the water, this setup is honestly more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddler. I’d keep the board in the car and save the energy for a proper swell.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sat morning, min 25°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Warm (max 27°C on Tue morning, min 23°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | E 7 | E 9 | E 8 | E 6 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 227 | 56 | 38 | 108 | 47 | 111 | 155 | 111 | 127 | 83 | 128 | 195 | 128 | 161 | 302 | 181 | 196 | 168 | 186 | 216 | 310 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 10:50AM1.63m | 11:21PM1.76m | 12:21PM1.72m | 00:41AM1.91m | 1:28PM1.88m | 1:41AM2.11m | 2:19PM2.05m | 2:30AM2.29m | 3:02PM2.19m | 3:13AM2.41m | 3:41PM2.28m | 3:53AM2.46m | 4:17PM2.32m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:04PM0.73m | 6:01AM0.52m | 6:29PM0.63m | 7:12AM0.35m | 7:30PM0.47m | 8:05AM0.19m | 8:19PM0.31m | 8:50AM0.06m | 9:02PM0.19m | 9:30AM-0.01m | 9:41PM0.10m | 10:07AM-0.03m | 10:18PM0.07m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — |
 | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 8 | 6 | 1 | 4 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 28 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | E 9 | E 6 | NNE 8 | ESE 8 | NNE 8 | E 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | E 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | E 7 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | E 8 | NNE 12 | SE 11 | E 8 |
| kJ | 68 | 40 | 28 | 13 | 39 | 6 | 107 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 124 | 7 | 6 | 181 | 13 | 12 | 168 | 13 | 33 | 216 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | NNE 9 | E 9 | N 10 | NNE 8 | NE 10 | NE 9 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | NNE 8 | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 14 | NNE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 13 | NNE 11 | NE 11 |
| kJ | 43 | 16 | 38 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 24 | 29 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 9 | — | NNE 8 | — | NE 10 | S 13 | S 12 | NE 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | E 15 | — | N 16 | NE 8 | NNE 14 | ESE 14 | NNE 12 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ESE 12 |
| kJ | 8 | — | 14 | — | 4 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | — | 5 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | E 7 | — | E 8 | E 6 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | ESE 8 | — | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 |
| kJ | 227 | 56 | — | 108 | 47 | 111 | 155 | 111 | 127 | 83 | 128 | 195 | 128 | 161 | 302 | 181 | 196 | — | 186 | 216 | 310 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 69 | 1586 | 1745 | 820 | 2683 | 1967 | 820 | 1965 | 1653 | 1564 | 1564 | 1479 | 1479 | 1564 | 1564 | 1586 | 1586 | 1586 | 1564 | 1586 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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