Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, ESE swell with 296 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.6m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is a tough one to call.
To be straight with you, the outlook for Picao at Baia Formosa over the next 16 days is pretty grim. We’re looking at a long stretch of barely rideable conditions. The finder’s calling it poor surf right through, with nothing that really screams "paddle out." The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 81°F.
The first real chance of anything half-decent shows up on Sunday the 13th of September. The morning session has a bit more energy in the water, with combined swell energy hitting 411 (moderate). Swell is coming from the ESE at 5ft, with a period of 8 seconds. That's a short-period windswell, so don't expect any real power or shape. The wind is cross-offshore from the SE at 16 mph, which will keep the surface clean, but the wave comment is still only "marginal." It’s the best of a bad bunch, but it’s not a standout. For the rest of the week, and right through to the 25th, we’re looking at small, weak swell, mostly between 3ft and 5ft, with short periods of 6 to 8 seconds. The wind is mostly cross or cross-shore, with a few moments of cleaner cross-offshore conditions, but the swell just isn't there to make it worthwhile.
Honestly, mate, this is one of those periods where the forecast just doesn't have the goods. Picao is a consistent reef break, but it needs a proper swell to work, and this run of easterly windswell isn’t delivering. The combined energy is mostly below 200 (weak), and the direction is off from the optimum NE direction. There’s nothing here that’s a true standout. It’s a dry spell. Keep an eye on the charts, because it tends not to stay this quiet for long, but for now, the board stays in the car.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Sat morning, min 24°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sun morning, min 24°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 147 | 183 | 181 | 221 | 221 | 296 | 187 | 187 | 285 | 253 | 142 | 131 | 145 | 169 | 112 | 127 | 131 | 85 | 85 | 71 | 46 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross |
High Tide | 3:41PM2.28m | 3:53AM2.46m | 4:17PM2.32m | 4:30AM2.44m | 4:51PM2.30m | 5:07AM2.35m | 5:25PM2.22m | 5:42AM2.20m | 5:58PM2.11m | 6:18AM2.01m | 6:32PM1.96m | 6:55AM1.81m | 7:09PM1.80m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:30AM-0.01m | 9:41PM0.10m | 10:07AM-0.03m | 10:18PM0.07m | 10:41AM0.02m | 10:54PM0.09m | 11:15AM0.11m | 11:29PM0.16m | 11:47AM0.24m | 00:05AM0.27m | 12:20PM0.40m | 00:42AM0.41m | 12:55PM0.56m | 1:25AM0.56m | |||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | |
 | 5:16 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — |
 | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — |
mm | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | NNE 13 | ESE 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | E 7 | NE 10 | NE 10 | E 7 | E 8 | NNE 9 | SE 8 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 |
| kJ | 13 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 183 | 27 | 25 | 156 | 138 | 8 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 14 | NNE 12 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | NE 10 | NNE 9 | N 13 | NNE 9 | NE 12 | NE 12 | N 15 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 8 | NE 8 | SE 13 | ESE 12 |
| kJ | 18 | 18 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 12 | 12 | 23 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 26 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 14 | NE 9 | NE 8 | S 12 | NNE 8 | ESE 12 | S 18 | S 17 | ESE 11 | N 13 | N 9 | — | S 12 | S 12 | N 15 | N 14 | N 13 | NE 10 | SE 14 | NE 8 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 19 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 26 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 |
| kJ | 147 | 183 | 181 | 221 | 221 | 296 | 187 | 187 | 285 | 253 | 142 | 131 | 145 | 169 | 112 | 127 | 131 | 85 | 85 | 71 | 46 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1586 | 1586 | 1586 | 1586 | 1586 | 1586 | 820 | 1640 | 324 | 833 | 1653 | 979 | 1586 | 1564 | 1586 | 1653 | 1586 | 1564 | 831 | 1965 | 1653 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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