Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 6s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, ESE swell with 171 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 6s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 13s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
Alright, let’s call it like it is. I’ve been looking over the outlook for Picao (Baia Formosa), and for the next 16 days, it’s a tough slog. This is a reef break that needs a specific swell from the NE, and we’re getting hammered with a constant stream of short, weak E and ESE windswell. The period is struggling to get past 7 seconds, sometimes dropping to 6, which makes for lumpy, gutless waves with no real energy. The water temp is 81°, which is pretty normal for the time of year, so that’s not a problem, but it’s the only good news.
The first time you could even think about paddling out is Thursday the 23rd of July. The morning of the 23rd shows a 5ft swell from the ESE, with a 8-second period, and the combined energy is a moderate 504. The wind is cross-off from the SSE at 16 mph, so it’ll be clean. But the whole thing is just “marginal.” It’s not good, just barely rideable for someone who knows the spot. The same goes for Saturday the 25th of July, with another 5ft, 8-second ESE swell, giving 454 energy, also clean from the SSE wind. Again, marginal.
Before that, from the 11th right through to the 22nd of July, it’s a dead zone. Every single session is a zero, with poor surf conditions. The wind is often cross-off, which would be a good thing, but with no swell to work with, it’s just a clean, flat ocean. The combined energy numbers are mostly in the double or low triple digits, which is weak. That’s a stretch of 11 days with absolutely nothing worthwhile. That’s a big gap.
So, the harsh reality? There are no standouts here. The best you’ve got is a marginal chance on the morning of the 23rd of July, and that’s a big “if.” It’s not worth getting excited about. This is a rough 16-day window for Picao. The spot is usually consistent, so this is a bit of a surprise, but forecasts can change. For now, just leave the board at home and maybe find something else to do.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Warm (max 26°C on Sat morning, min 23°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 27°C on Wed morning, min 24°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 100 | 94 | 165 | 97 | 128 | 131 | 128 | 92 | 74 | 77 | 77 | 61 | 78 | 82 | 109 | 69 | 74 | 82 | 71 | 119 | 161 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:32PM1.95m | 1:54AM2.10m | 2:33PM2.06m | 2:50AM2.24m | 3:28PM2.15m | 3:41AM2.36m | 4:18PM2.21m | 4:30AM2.44m | 5:05PM2.23m | 5:17AM2.45m | 5:50PM2.20m | 6:03AM2.40m | 6:35PM2.13m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:41PM0.39m | 8:17AM0.17m | 8:37PM0.29m | 9:12AM0.04m | 9:28PM0.21m | 10:03AM-0.05m | 10:17PM0.16m | 10:51AM-0.07m | 11:03PM0.16m | 11:38AM-0.03m | 11:48PM0.20m | 12:23PM0.06m | 00:33AM0.28m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — |
mm | 2 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 6 | 1 | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 27 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | SE 13 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | NE 9 | NNE 8 | E 7 | NNE 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 9 | E 6 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | SSE 13 | SSE 15 | E 6 |
| kJ | 74 | 62 | 100 | 97 | 128 | 19 | 7 | 92 | 7 | 77 | 77 | 61 | 7 | 7 | 69 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 101 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | NE 9 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | NNE 8 | SE 11 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 8 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | SSE 14 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | SE 14 |
| kJ | 61 | 21 | 61 | 53 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 7 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 31 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | SE 13 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | N 14 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | N 12 | NNE 11 | SE 14 | SE 14 | NNE 11 | N 10 | N 10 | NNE 10 |
| kJ | 22 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | — | — | E 7 | E 7 | — | E 7 | — | — | — | E 7 | E 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 |
| kJ | 100 | 94 | 165 | — | — | 131 | 128 | — | 74 | — | — | — | 78 | 82 | 109 | 69 | 74 | 82 | 71 | 119 | 161 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 814 | 1653 | 983 | 820 | 1564 | 831 | 554 | 2182 | 201 | 216 | 1967 | 1019 | 1613 | 1653 | 1564 | 1564 | 1564 | 485 | 1564 | 1564 | 139 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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