Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, SE swell with 329 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.6m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 11s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days at Picao (Baia Formosa) are a tough watch. There’s no good surf to kick things off. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, short-period, weak swell with cross-offshore winds that just aren’t shaping up. The water temp is sitting at 80°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a thick suit.
The first real flicker of something happens on the morning of Friday, 24 July. We’ve got 6ft of swell from the ESE, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy reading is moderate (594). It’s the best-looking wave window in the whole run, with a rating that suggests it could be fun. The wind is a cross-off from the SSE at 9 mph, which will keep the surface clean. It’s a reef break, consistent, and sometimes crowded. This is your standout, but it’s a short-lived window.
The morning of Thursday, 30 July shows a bit of size again with 5ft from the ESE, period 7 seconds, and moderate energy (355). But the conditions are described as marginal, so it’s a gamble. The same goes for the morning of Tuesday, 4 August, with 6ft from the ESE, period 8 seconds, and moderate energy (684). That’s the biggest swell of the forecast, but with cross-off winds and only a marginal rating, it’s not a clean winner.
The rest of the days are a washout. Small surf, poor conditions, and mostly cross-offshore breezes. The wind shifts to a direct cross-shore on Saturday, 8 August, which only adds a chop to the surface. Not what you want.
For a spot like this, it’s not unusual to see a blank run. The forecast can change, but right now, I’d say the only real chance to get a wave is that Friday morning window. After that, it’s a waiting game. The setup here, with the size and wind, might actually look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on some of those afternoons.
Stay patient, and keep an eye on the sky.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 26°C on Fri morning, min 22°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 22°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 394 | 187 | 306 | 257 | 163 | 191 | 73 | 82 | 77 | 80 | 100 | 75 | 62 | 59 | 58 | 123 | 79 | 192 | 219 | 89 | 57 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:48PM1.56m | 1:06AM1.68m | 1:46PM1.63m | 1:58AM1.78m | 2:32PM1.73m | 2:41AM1.89m | 3:11PM1.83m | 3:18AM2.01m | 3:46PM1.92m | 3:53AM2.11m | 4:19PM1.99m | 4:27AM2.19m | 4:51PM2.04m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:51PM0.73m | 7:30AM0.59m | 7:44PM0.65m | 8:18AM0.48m | 8:28PM0.56m | 8:58AM0.38m | 9:07PM0.46m | 9:35AM0.29m | 9:42PM0.39m | 10:10AM0.23m | 10:16PM0.34m | 10:43AM0.19m | 10:48PM0.31m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | |  | | | | |  | | | |  | | | | |  | |
 | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | 6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 26 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | NE 8 | ESE 8 | E 7 | NNE 10 | E 7 | ESE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 9 | ESE 7 | NE 10 | NE 9 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 |
| kJ | 192 | 2 | 151 | 134 | 9 | 113 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 62 | 24 | 23 | 110 | 89 | 57 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | N 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | N 7 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | E 15 | SE 8 | E 14 | E 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | NE 10 | SE 11 | E 13 | NE 10 | NE 5 | NE 5 |
| kJ | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 11 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 8 | N 8 | S 10 | S 10 | E 14 | S 10 | S 12 | S 16 | S 15 | SE 12 | — | SE 11 | ESE 11 | S 13 | E 13 | NE 9 | NE 9 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 6 | — | 5 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | — | — |
| kJ | 394 | 187 | 306 | 257 | 163 | 191 | 73 | 82 | 77 | 80 | 100 | 75 | 62 | 59 | 58 | 123 | 79 | 192 | 219 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 1653 | 485 | 979 | 1564 | 0 | 981 | 1653 | 1019 | 981 | 1564 | 1586 | 1564 | 2021 | 2010 | 1969 | 2021 | 0 | 820 | 2161 | 979 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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