Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf Break

Lat Long: 6.37° S 35.01° W

Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 28 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Picao (Baia Formosa) sea temperature is
26.8° C
0.3° 

Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, ESE swell with 498 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:

The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Thu 30th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 6s
Best Surf 6AM (Thu 30th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 6s
Most Powerful 6PM (Mon 3rd Aug)6.5ft (2.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – this 16-day stretch for Picao (Baia Formosa) is a tough one. We're looking at a real dry spell to kick things off. The first week and a half ain't offering much at all, with a lot of days where the surf just isn't worth paddling out for. The water temps are sitting around 80°F which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year, so you can't blame the conditions on a weird ocean.

The pattern starts out pretty grim. From Tuesday the 28th of July all the way through to the end of the first week, it's a parade of poor surf conditions. We're seeing a lot of cross-offshore winds that are a bit too strong, and the swell is a mix of weak, short-period junk. The combined energy is mostly in the double digits, often under 100, which is barely a ripple. Even when the swell height bumps up a touch, the period is short, around 6 to 7 seconds, so it's just mushy and weak.

There's a bit of a pulse showing up on the 1st of August, with swell heights around 6 ft, but the wind is still a messy cross-offshore at 19 mph, and the wave energy (333) is still only moderate. It's still being called "poor surf conditions." The same goes for the 2nd of August – the morning shows some marginal potential with a 5 ft swell and a bit more energy (399), but a cross-offshore breeze and a 7-second period means it's a gamble.

The 3rd and 4th of August are similar. We get a bit more size, up to 6 ft, with the period stretching to 8 seconds, and the energy climbing into the 300s, but the wind is still a problem. It's cross-off, and there's a risk of thunderstorms. The forecast calls it "marginal" at best, and honestly, with that wind, the surface is going to be chopped.

The real standout, if you can call it that, is possibly the morning of Sunday the 9th of August. That's when we see a spike in combined energy to 466, with a 5 ft swell from the ESE. It's still a short 8-second period, and the wind is cross-off, so it's not going to be perfect. But it's the most energy we've seen in the whole run. Still, the model is only giving it a "marginal" tag. The next Monday morning, the 10th of August, has a bigger 6 ft swell and even more energy (559), but the wind swings to a pure cross-shore and the forecast says "poor surf conditions."

So, what's the verdict? There's no real standout session here. The consistent cross-offshore wind and short-period swell are the main culprits. For the whole 16 days, I can't point to a true winner. The best bet, if you're desperate, would be the morning of the 9th of August for that bigger energy reading, but keep your expectations on the floor. It's a long wait for not much reward.

Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 23°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Warm (max 26°C on Fri afternoon, min 22°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Tue
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
ESE
6
1.1
ESE
6
0.4
NE
10
0.9
ESE
6
0.9
ESE
6
0.9
ESE
6
1.1
ESE
6
1.1
ESE
6
0.9
ESE
6
1
ESE
6
1.4
ESE
7
1.7
ESE
7
1.6
ESE
7
1.7
ESE
7
1.6
ESE
7
1.2
E
7
1
E
7
1.4
ESE
8
1.5
E
8
1.8
ESE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
77
77
24
61
64
59
74
77
56
72
193
314
280
282
250
150
104
257
284
414
Wind (km/h)
25
SE
20
SE
20
SSE
25
SE
20
SSE
20
SSE
25
SE
20
SSE
20
SSE
25
SE
20
SSE
30
SSE
30
SSE
20
SSE
25
SE
25
SE
20
SSE
25
ESE
25
SE
15
SE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
3:46PM1.92m
3:53AM2.11m
4:19PM1.99m
4:27AM2.19m
4:51PM2.04m
5:00AM2.24m
5:24PM2.07m
5:33AM2.24m
5:57PM2.07m
6:08AM2.21m
6:32PM2.05m
6:45AM2.13m
7:11PM1.99m
Low Tide
9:42PM0.39m
10:10AM0.23m
10:16PM0.34m
10:43AM0.19m
10:48PM0.31m
11:15AM0.18m
11:21PM0.30m
11:48AM0.20m
11:55PM0.32m
12:22PM0.25m
00:32AM0.37m
12:59PM0.32m
1:13AM0.43m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:31
5:31
5:31
5:31
5:31
5:30
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:21
5:21
5:21
5:21
5:21
5:21
5:21
 mm
1
4
3
7
8
14
Temp °C
26
25
26
26
25
26
26
25
26
26
24
26
26
24
26
26
24
25
25
24
Feels °C
25
25
24
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
24
23
23
23
25
25
24
24
25
25
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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