Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 26 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 25 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 7s period, ESE swell with 352 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 26 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.8m 7s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 11s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Wed 26th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Wed 26th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Tue 25th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let's have a look at what's on the cards for our little slice of Brazil. To be honest, it's a tough stretch. I'm looking at Picao (Baia Formosa) and for the next 16 days, there's just not much to get excited about. The swell is coming in from the east and east-southeast most of the time, but the wind is a constant problem. It's mostly a cross-off or cross-shore breeze, sometimes up to 19 mph, which just messes with the face of the wave. It’s clean, but it’s not the good kind of clean.
The water temp is sitting at 80°F, which is about average for the time of year, so that’s one comfort at least.
For this Saturday the 22nd, the swell is a meagre 3 ft from the east with a short, weak period of 7 seconds. The combined energy is a low 169 – there's just no power behind it. The wind is a cross-off at 9 to 12 mph, so while it might look clean, the waves are just poor. It’s not worth paddling out for.
Sunday the 23rd is much the same story. The swell bumps up just a touch to 3 ft to 4 ft, but the period drops to a disappointing 6 seconds, and the energy is even weaker at 78 to 103. The wind picks up to 16 mph, still cross-off. Still poor.
Monday the 24th sees the swell hit 5 ft, but the period stays short at 7 seconds. The energy jumps to a moderate 242 to 260, but the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-off. That will just be a bumpy, blown-out mess. Not for me.
The pattern just keeps repeating itself all the way through the end of August and into the first week of September. We get some periods where the swell is 4 ft to 5 ft, and the energy gets up into the 200s, even a 438 reading on the morning of Wednesday the 26th, but the wind is always there. From the 28th of August through to the 3rd of September, the wind is a straight cross-shore, creating a cross-chop that will be horrible.
It’s not until Thursday the 5th of September that the wind finally turns back to a cross-off, but by then the swell has dropped back to a weak 4 ft from the east with a period of 8 seconds and energy down to 152.
Honestly, the whole 16-day window is a write-off for a decent surf. The wind is the killer. With the swell being so gutless and the wind constantly onshore or cross-shore, Picao is going to be a frustrating place to be. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It’s a consistent break, but that doesn’t help when the conditions are this poor. Keep the board in the car and wait for a better forecast. This run of poor conditions is not unusual for the area, so don’t lose hope.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sun morning, min 24°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue morning. Warm (max 27°C on Thu morning, min 23°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
83 | 82 | 79 | 66 | 94 | 157 | 233 | 251 | 352 | 208 | 214 | 294 | 268 | 191 | 220 | 146 | 177 | 232 | 130 | 162 | 162 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 12:28PM1.47m | 00:44AM1.61m | 1:29PM1.59m | 1:38AM1.75m | 2:12PM1.73m | 2:19AM1.91m | 2:47PM1.87m | 2:54AM2.07m | 3:20PM2.00m | 3:27AM2.20m | 3:51PM2.10m | 3:59AM2.30m | 4:22PM2.18m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:29PM0.81m | 7:12AM0.64m | 7:26PM0.70m | 7:59AM0.50m | 8:08PM0.57m | 8:37AM0.37m | 8:44PM0.45m | 9:10AM0.26m | 9:17PM0.34m | 9:42AM0.17m | 9:49PM0.25m | 10:14AM0.11m | 10:21PM0.20m | ||||||||
5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | |
— | 5:21 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 9 | ESE 7 | NNE 10 | NE 10 | E 7 | E 7 | NNE 9 | E 8 | NE 15 | NE 15 | E 8 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 |
83 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 220 | 9 | 4 | 203 | 156 | 8 | 135 | 57 | 54 | 149 | 87 | 83 | 52 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | N 8 | S 11 | N 11 | N 11 | N 10 | N 11 | N 11 | NE 9 | — | S 15 | NNE 10 | NNE 9 | NE 18 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 14 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 |
3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | 5 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 95 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | N 9 | — | N 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 18 | S 16 | NNE 16 | SE 19 | SE 18 | NNE 8 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 15 |
6 | 6 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 5 | 25 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 9 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 |
77 | 82 | 79 | 66 | 94 | 157 | 233 | 251 | 352 | 208 | 214 | 294 | 268 | 191 | 220 | 146 | 177 | 232 | 130 | 162 | 162 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 378 | 2249 | 1653 | 979 | 1586 | 979 | 979 | 1564 | 979 | 1564 | 1564 | 1019 | 831 | 1564 | 69 | 1586 | 1564 | 1586 | 820 | 1586 | 2010 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











