Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period, E swell with 154 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.3m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
Right, folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Picao (Baia Formosa).
Straight up, the next week and a half is a write-off for any decent waves. The pattern is set in with small, weak, and messy conditions. We're looking at a solid 14-day stretch where the surf is pretty much unsurfable. The energy is consistently weak, with that combined swell energy figure hovering below 200 (107 at its peak on the first Wednesday), which is just not enough to get anything going. The wind is either a cross-off or a straight cross breeze, which just chops things up and kills any chance of a clean face. For most of the first week, we're talking 3ft of short-period, 6-7 second slop from the ESE, which is about as inviting as a swimming pool with a washing machine on. The water temp is sitting at 81°, which is bang on average for the time of year, so that's neither here nor there.
As we move into the second week, there's a tiny flicker of life. On Wednesday, the 22nd of July, the morning shows a bit of a pulse. The swell bumps up to 5ft from the ESE with a slightly longer period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy hits 366 (moderate). That’s the best of a bad bunch, but it's still only just scraping into "marginal" territory. The wind stays cross-off from the SSE, so it will be clean, but 5ft with that short period won't be holding much shape, especially on a reef break. For a confident surfer, it might be worth a paddle, but don't expect much. It's not a beginner wave at that size, and honestly, with the constant cross-off wind, the setup might be more appealing for a kite session than a proper paddle session. The rest of the time, it's tiny and messy, with combined energy dropping right back down.
Keep an eye on it, but for now, the forecast is pretty grim. Conditions like this can turn around, so don't lose all hope, but the outlook is poor.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 26°C on Wed morning, min 23°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 27°C on Sun morning, min 25°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 82 | 75 | 85 | 50 | 67 | 52 | 71 | 98 | 104 | 117 | 83 | 123 | 104 | 107 | 144 | 131 | 131 | 135 | 94 | 94 | 97 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 9:56AM1.84m | 10:36PM1.82m | 11:09AM1.82m | 11:45PM1.87m | 12:23PM1.86m | 00:52AM1.96m | 1:32PM1.95m | 1:54AM2.10m | 2:33PM2.06m | 2:50AM2.24m | 3:28PM2.15m | 3:41AM2.36m | 4:18PM2.21m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:19PM0.54m | 4:55AM0.57m | 5:29PM0.53m | 6:09AM0.47m | 6:38PM0.48m | 7:16AM0.33m | 7:41PM0.39m | 8:17AM0.17m | 8:37PM0.29m | 9:12AM0.04m | 9:28PM0.21m | 10:03AM-0.05m | 10:17PM0.16m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 |
Feels °C | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | NE 9 | E 6 | E 6 | NE 8 | NE 9 | NE 10 | NE 9 | E 7 | E 7 | SE 13 | E 7 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | NE 8 |
| kJ | 7 | 12 | 48 | 42 | 18 | 19 | 23 | 22 | 104 | 89 | 62 | 85 | 54 | 37 | 23 | 22 | 131 | 114 | 94 | 94 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 19 | SE 18 | NE 9 | NE 9 | SSE 15 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 13 | NE 9 | SE 13 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | NNE 8 | SE 10 |
| kJ | 14 | 12 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 28 | 26 | 24 | 40 | 61 | 21 | 61 | 20 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 13 | S 13 | SE 16 | SE 16 | NE 11 | E 9 | — | SE 15 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | NE 9 | SE 12 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | SE 11 | N 12 |
| kJ | 4 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | — | 8 | 22 | 22 | 28 | 20 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | — | ESE 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | — | E 7 | — | — | E 7 |
| kJ | 82 | 75 | 85 | 50 | 67 | 52 | 71 | 98 | — | 117 | 83 | 123 | 104 | 107 | 144 | 131 | — | 135 | — | — | 97 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 366 | 1653 | 0 | 1479 | 1613 | 1002 | 981 | 1564 | 366 | 773 | 1653 | 0 | 378 | 1564 | 1002 | 554 | 1564 | 139 | 569 | 1653 | 820 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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