Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 21 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period, ESE swell with 270 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 14 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.7m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 15) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Fri 21st Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Well, I’ve had a proper look at the charts for the next couple of weeks, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch for anyone looking to get a decent wave around here. The only spot on the cards is Picao (Baia Formosa), and honestly, the outlook is pretty bleak. The wind is mostly coming from the south and east, which ain’t the offshore direction this reef likes, and the swell is short-period, messy stuff. Weak combined wave energy (mostly between 100 and 200), and a lot of it is onshore or cross-shore. For a reef break that needs a clean, lined-up wave, this is a recipe for frustration.
The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual to report there.
Let’s run through it. Friday the 14th kicks off with some small 3 ft swell from the ESE at a short 7 seconds, but the wind is a cross-off from the SSE at 12 mph. The wave comment says it all: poor surf conditions. Saturday the 15th is more of the same, with a bit more size on the afternoon session – 4 ft – but still that short, weak energy and cross-off wind. Sunday the 16th sees the combined energy jump up to 251, which sounds promising, but the swell is still short-period junk, and by the afternoon the wind picks up to a fresh 19 mph cross-off. The 5 ft of swell is just slop. Monday through to the end of the month it’s a rinse and repeat – small waves, short swell periods (6 to 7 seconds), and the wind is either cross-off or cross. There are no standout days, no clean offshore windows, and nothing that would make you want to rush down.
For a beach-break setup, you might get away with a lakey wave on a good day, but this reef requires more. It’s a long 16-day gap with no decent surf on offer. It’s not unusual for this area – sometimes it just flat-lines. Don’t hold your breath; things can change, but right now, it’s a hard pass. Leave the boards in the car and go for a swim.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 26°C on Fri morning, min 22°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Mon morning, min 24°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 5 | ESE 13 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 56 | 50 | 53 | 55 | 51 | 131 | 127 | 234 | 132 | 127 | 139 | 101 | 108 | 73 | 54 | 61 | 77 | 98 | 126 | 157 | 270 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:23PM2.27m | 5:36AM2.42m | 6:01PM2.20m | 6:15AM2.28m | 6:38PM2.09m | 6:55AM2.09m | 7:16PM1.95m | 7:36AM1.88m | 7:57PM1.80m | 8:23AM1.68m | 8:46PM1.65m | 9:26AM1.51m | 9:55PM1.54m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:12AM-0.03m | 11:22PM0.13m | 11:51AM0.06m | 00:01AM0.20m | 12:27PM0.21m | 00:41AM0.32m | 1:04PM0.37m | 1:22AM0.45m | 1:43PM0.54m | 2:09AM0.60m | 2:30PM0.70m | 3:10AM0.72m | 3:35PM0.83m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — |
 | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | NNE 9 | ESE 12 | E 11 | NNE 9 | ESE 11 | NNE 8 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | NNE 10 | SE 9 | NNE 10 | NNE 9 | E 7 |
| kJ | 36 | 37 | 37 | 48 | 33 | 131 | 117 | 8 | 77 | 63 | 8 | 38 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 157 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 10 | NNE 9 | ESE 12 | NE 9 | NE 9 | N 13 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NE 12 | NNE 8 | NNE 11 | NNE 8 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | S 11 | NNE 10 | N 11 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 |
| kJ | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 20 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 15 | SE 16 | SE 16 | NE 9 | S 14 | N 13 | NNE 9 | SE 16 | NE 13 | NNE 9 | NNE 12 | SE 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 8 | S 12 | — | SE 13 | N 11 | SE 12 | S 14 |
| kJ | 5 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 25 | — | 7 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 5 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 |
| kJ | 56 | 50 | 53 | 55 | 51 | 71 | 127 | 234 | 132 | 127 | 139 | 101 | 108 | 73 | 54 | 61 | 77 | 98 | 126 | 157 | 270 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 608 | 1653 | 324 | 979 | 1653 | 2034 | 981 | 1586 | 1586 | 1586 | 1640 | 1564 | 1564 | 1564 | 324 | 981 | 1586 | 1002 | 979 | 1586 | 979 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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