Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, ESE swell with 468 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get real about the surf in Baia Formosa. The name on the table is Picao, a reef break. It’s a consistent spot, intermediate level, and it’s fairly exposed to the swell. The water’s sitting at 81°F – that’s about normal for the time of year, no big surprises there.
The truth is, the next couple of weeks aren’t really giving us a green light. We’re looking at a long gap of nothing much to write home about. From Thursday the 30th right through to the end of the first week of August, we’re stuck with small, weak swell and cross-off or cross-shore winds. The wave energy is barely there, mostly under 100 or just creeping into triple digits, and the swell heights are tiny, around 1 ft to 4 ft, with short periods. The commentary says it all: poor surf conditions. The wind is a constant breeze, not helping. It’s frustrating.
The first real tick of interest shows up on Tuesday the 4th of August. We see a jump in combined energy to 751, which is a strong pulse, and the swell hits 6 ft from the ESE with a period of 8 seconds. But look closer – the wind shifts to a cross-shore, and the forecast says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” It’s a bit of a tease. The waves are there, but the quality is a gamble. For a reef break, that cross-shore wind can mess with the shape. It’s not a standout for paddle surfing; with that much energy and average wind, it might actually be more interesting for a kite session.
The standouts? Honestly, there isn’t a classic, clean day in the whole run. The swell directions are mostly from the E or ESE, which is not the optimum NE direction for Picao. The winds aren’t truly offshore; they’re cross-off or cross, so the wave faces won’t be that clean. If I had to pick a moment, the morning of Tuesday the 4th has the most size, but it’s a low confidence call. It’s a bit of a blank run for decent surf. Given the consistency issues and the lack of quality, it’s one of those periods where you just have to wait. The forecasts can change, but for now, don’t get your hopes up.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sat morning. Warm (max 27°C on Fri morning, min 22°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Wed morning. Warm (max 26°C on Sun afternoon, min 23°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 55 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 149 | 288 | 322 | 301 | 138 | 94 | 228 | 155 | 163 | 410 | 468 | 323 | 326 | 295 | 247 | 322 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:51PM2.04m | 5:00AM2.24m | 5:24PM2.07m | 5:33AM2.24m | 5:57PM2.07m | 6:08AM2.21m | 6:32PM2.05m | 6:45AM2.13m | 7:11PM1.99m | 7:28AM2.02m | 7:57PM1.91m | 8:20AM1.89m | 8:52PM1.83m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:48PM0.31m | 11:15AM0.18m | 11:21PM0.30m | 11:48AM0.20m | 11:55PM0.32m | 12:22PM0.25m | 00:32AM0.37m | 12:59PM0.32m | 1:13AM0.43m | 1:41PM0.41m | 2:03AM0.50m | 2:34PM0.52m | ||||||||
 |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — |
 | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
Temp °C | 26 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 25 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | ESE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | E 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 11 | E 8 | E 8 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | E 8 |
| kJ | 22 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 11 | 186 | 7 | 6 | 106 | 6 | 12 | 223 | 270 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 213 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 10 | E 9 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 13 | NNE 8 | S 12 | S 15 | NNE 8 | S 12 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 9 | S 14 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 11 | NNE 8 |
| kJ | — | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | SE 13 | E 12 | SE 12 | — | — | — | — | S 15 | S 11 | N 13 | NE 11 | N 12 | N 11 | S 15 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | SSE 9 | SE 11 |
| kJ | 2 | 6 | 3 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | ESE 5 | ESE 6 | ESE 5 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 |
| kJ | 55 | 61 | 40 | 58 | 149 | 288 | 322 | 301 | 138 | 94 | 228 | 155 | 163 | 410 | 468 | 323 | 326 | 295 | 247 | 322 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 401 | 324 | 353 | 2021 | 2014 | 979 | 1564 | 988 | 1002 | 1564 | 0 | 345 | 1564 | 0 | 1564 | 1564 | 0 | 979 | 1586 | 979 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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