Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf Break

Lat Long: 6.37° S 35.01° W

Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 8 pm 09 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Picao (Baia Formosa) sea temperature is
27.0° C
0.1° 

Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, ESE swell with 158 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:

The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Sat 11th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 6s
Best Surf 3AM (Sun 12th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 7s
Most Powerful12AM (Sun 12th Jul)4.5ft (1.4m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.


Alright, let’s break it down in feet and miles per hour. Picao (Baia Formosa) is a consistent reef, but the next couple of weeks look lean. The swell is coming from the east, but the reef really wants it from the northeast—that’s the main issue. For the first week and a half, the combined energy is weak to moderate, tops out around 280, and the swell period is a short 6 to 7 seconds. That’s windswell, not the good stuff. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

We finally see a change around July 20th. The swell bumps up to 5 to 6 feet, and the period hits 8 seconds. The combined energy climbs into the 300s (moderate). The wind is cross-off from the SSE or SE, keeping the surface clean. The session on Monday afternoon, the 20th, has 5 feet of swell from the ESE with an 8-second period and a combined energy of 334. The cross-off wind keeps it clean, but it’s only a marginal call due to tide or shape. That’s about the best you’ll get. The 22nd and 23rd also show 5 to 6 feet from the ESE, with similar energy, but the ratings are mostly poor.

There’s no real standout. The swell is small and short-period for a reef, and the direction is off. The 20th or 22nd might offer a few rideable waves, but they’ll be far from perfect. The wind is mostly cross-off, so it’ll be clean, but the waves just aren’t firing. By the 25th, the swell holds around 5 feet with a 9-second period, but the wind is a fresh breeze from the SSE at 30 mph, which will mess up the surface. Not a good way to end the run.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Thu night. Warm (max 27°C on Sun morning, min 23°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Mon morning, min 25°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thu
16
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
E
5
1
E
6
1
E
6
1.1
E
6
1.3
ESE
6
1.1
E
6
1.4
ESE
7
1.1
E
7
1.2
E
7
1.2
E
7
1.2
E
7
1.2
E
7
1.1
E
7
1
E
7
0.9
E
7
0.9
E
7
1
E
7
1
E
7
1.1
E
6
1
E
6
1.1
E
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
45
62
67
91
123
97
158
107
131
135
135
135
120
100
81
81
93
94
78
69
88
Wind (km/h)
15
SSE
20
SSE
25
SE
15
SSE
20
SE
25
SE
15
SSE
20
ESE
20
ESE
15
ESE
15
E
15
E
15
E
15
E
15
ESE
20
ESE
25
SE
20
SE
20
SSE
25
SSE
25
SSE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:45PM1.87m
12:23PM1.86m
00:52AM1.96m
1:32PM1.95m
1:54AM2.10m
2:33PM2.06m
2:50AM2.24m
3:28PM2.15m
3:41AM2.36m
4:18PM2.21m
4:30AM2.44m
5:05PM2.23m
5:17AM2.45m
5:50PM2.20m
Low Tide
6:09AM0.47m
6:38PM0.48m
7:16AM0.33m
7:41PM0.39m
8:17AM0.17m
8:37PM0.29m
9:12AM0.04m
9:28PM0.21m
10:03AM-0.05m
10:17PM0.16m
10:51AM-0.07m
11:03PM0.16m
11:38AM-0.03m
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:31
5:31
5:31
5:31
5:31
5:31
5:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:17
5:17
5:17
5:19
5:19
5:19
5:19
 mm
5
2
1
4
1
1
1
1
Temp °C
25
26
26
24
26
26
25
27
27
26
27
27
26
27
27
27
27
27
25
26
26
Feels °C
26
25
25
25
26
26
26
28
28
28
28
28
27
28
28
27
26
26
26
25
25
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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