Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, SE swell with 650 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 6s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again, but in feet and miles. Let’s break down Picao.
First off, the water temp is 27°, right about normal for the season, no drama there. But the surf story is a long, flat, and frustrating one.
From now through until about Tuesday July 21st, it’s pretty much dead. Swell runs 3 to 4 ft from the ENE or E, with short periods of 6 to 7 seconds – that’s junk windswell. Combined energy is weak, reading between 75 and 156. Winds are cross-onshore or cross-off, so nothing clean. Not worth suiting up.
From Wednesday July 23rd through Friday July 25th, the swell picks up a little – 4 ft to 5 ft, still short period at 7–8 seconds. Energy climbs to moderate levels like 251, but the wind stays cross-off from the SE and ESE, keeping it clean but not punchy. The wave comment still says poor conditions.
There are a few mornings that might save the trip. Tuesday July 21st morning shows 6 ft from the ESE at 8 seconds, with a big jump in energy to 626 – that’s strong. Wind is light cross-off from the SSE at 15 km/h, so clean. But it’s flagged as marginal, so tide will be key.
Saturday July 25th morning has 4 ft from the SE, 8 seconds, with energy at 368, and a gentle cross-off from the SE at 15 km/h. Again, it’s tagged marginal.
The best of the whole run comes on Wednesday July 29th morning: 5 ft from the ESE, 8 seconds, energy of 372, and light cross-off wind from the SSE. Clean, with the most push we’ll see. The direction isn’t perfect for a break that wants NE, so it won’t be firing, but it’s the highlight.
No real standouts here. If you’re keen, the mornings of July 21st, July 25th, and July 29th are your best bets. Go in with low expectations and cross your fingers.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 27°C on Wed morning, min 23°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 73mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Warm (max 26°C on Fri morning, min 23°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | SE 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 79 | 65 | 64 | 81 | 79 | 80 | 99 | 89 | 79 | 97 | 112 | 368 | 161 | 203 | 209 | 280 | 279 | 245 | 247 | 247 | 195 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:18PM2.21m | 4:30AM2.44m | 5:05PM2.23m | 5:17AM2.45m | 5:50PM2.20m | 6:03AM2.40m | 6:35PM2.13m | 6:48AM2.28m | 7:19PM2.03m | 7:34AM2.12m | 8:04PM1.92m | 8:22AM1.94m | 8:53PM1.80m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:03AM-0.05m | 10:17PM0.16m | 10:51AM-0.07m | 11:03PM0.16m | 11:38AM-0.03m | 11:48PM0.20m | 12:23PM0.06m | 00:33AM0.28m | 1:08PM0.20m | 1:19AM0.39m | 1:52PM0.36m | 2:08AM0.51m | 2:39PM0.52m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | — | 7 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 25 |
Feels °C | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | ENE 7 | NNE 8 | E 7 | NNE 9 | E 6 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | E 7 | NE 10 | NE 10 | E 7 | N 9 | NNE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 |
| kJ | 6 | 65 | 6 | 62 | 8 | 80 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 192 | 4 | 4 | 209 | 2 | 8 | 245 | 247 | 247 | 195 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | NNE 8 | SE 10 | NNE 8 | NNE 12 | NE 8 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | SE 13 | N 9 | NE 10 | NE 9 | N 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | N 8 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 5 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 13 | SE 11 | N 12 | NE 12 | SE 10 | N 11 | S 14 | SE 13 | SE 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SE 12 | N 10 | — | N 10 | N 9 | N 11 | N 7 | N 10 | NE 10 | — |
| kJ | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | — | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | SE 8 | E 7 | E 7 | SE 9 | ESE 8 | E 8 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 79 | — | 64 | 81 | 79 | 111 | 99 | 89 | 79 | 97 | 112 | 368 | 161 | 203 | 61 | 280 | 279 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 820 | 1967 | 1613 | 1613 | 1653 | 1564 | 1564 | 1564 | 1564 | 1564 | 1564 | 0 | 1564 | 1564 | 1564 | 981 | 1564 | 1564 | 833 | 1564 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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