Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, ESE swell with 414 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer.
Look, I’m gonna be straight with you – it’s a tough run ahead for Picao (Baia Formosa). The whole 16-day window is a real grind. The wind is stuck in a cross-off or cross pattern, churning up the water and keeping the quality low. The swell is around, but it’s short-period stuff (6 to 8 seconds) bumping in from the E/ESE, which doesn’t match the break’s optimum NE direction, and it’s just not lining up. It’s one of those stretches where the ocean is giving us the cold shoulder.
The water is sitting at 80°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
We do have a couple of days that are slightly better than the rest, but I'm not calling them standouts. On August 5th, Wednesday morning, we finally scrape a "marginal" call. The swell is 5 ft from the E with an 8-second period, and the combined energy is moderate at 279. The wind is still a cross-off, but it’s clean. The wave comment says "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions," so it’s a gamble, but it’s the best shot we get in the first week.
Then there’s August 10th, Monday. The morning shows a bump in energy to 6 ft from the ESE with an 8-second period and a strong combined energy of 583. But the wind is straight cross, making it choppy, and the wave comment is "poor surf conditions." The afternoon on the 10th rates a "marginal" again, with 5 ft from the E, a clean cross-off wind, and moderate energy at 267. That afternoon session is the closest thing to a decent chance in the whole outlook.
Other than that, it's a long stretch of poor conditions. The swell gets a bit bigger on some days, hitting 6 ft, but with the onshore or cross wind and lousy period, it’s no good. For beginners, anything over 5 ft is a handful, and with the choppy conditions, it's not a learning day. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
So, what’s the call? The best on offer is the afternoon of August 10th. It’s not going to be world-class, but it’s the only time the stars partially align. Don’t get your hopes up for the rest of it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon afternoon, min 23°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 22°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 62 | 62 | 61 | 72 | 61 | 82 | 77 | 61 | 56 | 56 | 52 | 120 | 89 | 250 | 193 | 314 | 156 | 249 | 183 | 196 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:11PM1.83m | 3:18AM2.01m | 3:46PM1.92m | 3:53AM2.11m | 4:19PM1.99m | 4:27AM2.19m | 4:51PM2.04m | 5:00AM2.24m | 5:24PM2.07m | 5:33AM2.24m | 5:57PM2.07m | 6:08AM2.21m | 6:32PM2.05m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:07PM0.46m | 9:35AM0.29m | 9:42PM0.39m | 10:10AM0.23m | 10:16PM0.34m | 10:43AM0.19m | 10:48PM0.31m | 11:15AM0.18m | 11:21PM0.30m | 11:48AM0.20m | 11:55PM0.32m | 12:22PM0.25m | 00:32AM0.37m | |||||||
 |  | | |  | | | | |  |  | | |  | | | |  | | | |
 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — |
 | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 |
Feels °C | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 9 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | E 6 | NE 9 | ESE 6 | E 6 | NE 9 | ESE 7 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | E 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 |
| kJ | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 56 | 22 | 52 | 52 | 21 | 140 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 131 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | NE 10 | — | NE 9 | NE 9 | — | NE 9 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | NNE 8 | S 15 | S 13 |
| kJ | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23 | — | 21 | 21 | — | 20 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | SE 13 | S 15 | S 14 | — | E 15 | S 9 | E 14 | E 11 | S 11 | E 10 | E 12 | SE 12 | — | — | — | — | S 12 | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15 | — | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 |
| kJ | 62 | 62 | 61 | 72 | 61 | 82 | 77 | 61 | 82 | 56 | 69 | 120 | 89 | 250 | 193 | 314 | 156 | 249 | 183 | 196 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1564 | 981 | 979 | 1586 | 1019 | 831 | 1994 | 1973 | 1635 | 1989 | 37 | 979 | 1564 | 1564 | 1564 | 1564 | 1564 | 989 | 1106 | 1564 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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