Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 14 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, ESE swell with 303 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.6m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 17s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 12) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you: the surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over this stretch is looking pretty grim. We're staring down a long stretch of small, weak, and messy waves. There's nothing on the table that’s worth getting excited about, so if you're jonesing for a wave, you might want to plan a trip elsewhere or find another way to get your fix.
We're looking at a solid two weeks plus of poor surf conditions. The swell direction is all over the shop, mostly out of the east, which isn't what this reef likes – it wants that northeast energy. More importantly, the period is short, mostly in that 6 to 8 second range. That means the waves are going to be soft, gutless, and lack any real push. It's the kind of surf that’s more frustrating than fun.
The energy in the water is consistently weak, with values mostly sitting in the 100s (moderate) but on the lower end, like 113 to 205. It's just not enough to get this place firing. And the winds, they're just not cooperating. We've got cross and cross-offshore winds blowing at 12 to 19 mph for most of the period, which is chopping up an already weak surface and making things look ugly.
Look at this run: Wednesday the 9th, Thursday the 10th, all the way through to Tuesday the 24th of September – you're seeing the same story over and over. The forecast is basically one long gap with no real surf on offer. The wave heights hover around the 3ft to 5ft mark, but it's not about the size; it's the total lack of quality. It's just poor surf conditions, day after day. The water temp is about 81°, which is roughly normal for this time of year, so at least you won't be cold if you do go for a paddle.
So, capping it off: there are no standouts, no hidden gems in this forecast. It's a complete washout for surfers. With the combination of weak swell and steady chop, the setup here looks more interesting for a kite surfer than someone with a paddle in their hand. Save your energy, boys and girls; this one's a write-off. Hang loose, and we'll see what the next swell brings.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 27°C on Thu morning, min 24°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 26°C on Sat afternoon, min 23°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 161 | 229 | 166 | 238 | 215 | 156 | 178 | 217 | 221 | 187 | 270 | 168 | 145 | 112 | 159 | 145 | 131 | 146 | 127 | 76 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 3:02PM2.19m | 3:13AM2.41m | 3:41PM2.28m | 3:53AM2.46m | 4:17PM2.32m | 4:30AM2.44m | 4:51PM2.30m | 5:07AM2.35m | 5:25PM2.22m | 5:42AM2.20m | 5:58PM2.11m | 6:18AM2.01m | 6:32PM1.96m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:02PM0.19m | 9:30AM-0.01m | 9:41PM0.10m | 10:07AM-0.03m | 10:18PM0.07m | 10:41AM0.02m | 10:54PM0.09m | 11:15AM0.11m | 11:29PM0.16m | 11:47AM0.24m | 00:05AM0.27m | 12:20PM0.40m | 00:42AM0.41m | |||||||
 |  | | | | |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — |
 | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — |
mm | — | 3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | E 7 | ESE 14 | NNE 13 | ESE 12 | SE 12 | ESE 12 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | E 8 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | SE 8 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | SE 8 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | SE 8 |
| kJ | 6 | 120 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 37 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 25 | 160 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 18 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | ESE 12 | NNE 14 | NE 9 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 11 | ESE 12 | NNE 10 | ESE 11 | NE 10 | N 13 | N 13 | NNE 9 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NNE 9 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 7 | 15 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 24 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 16 | NE 8 | NE 8 | N 7 | NE 9 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | S 11 | N 10 | S 17 | ESE 11 | N 9 | N 9 | S 13 | S 12 | — | N 15 | N 14 | N 13 | NE 8 |
| kJ | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 |
| kJ | 161 | 229 | 166 | 238 | 215 | 156 | 178 | 217 | 221 | 187 | 270 | 168 | 145 | 112 | 159 | 145 | 131 | 146 | 127 | 76 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1564 | 1564 | 1564 | 1586 | 833 | 823 | 1586 | 1586 | 814 | 1564 | 69 | 1967 | 2021 | 2245 | 1586 | 1640 | 1019 | 820 | 1586 | 1564 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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