Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 12 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, SE swell with 292 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.6m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Wed 12th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Wed 12th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Wed 12th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Gather 'round, surfers. Rusty here. To be honest, this is a tough one to call. The whole 16-day window for Picao (Baia Formosa) is a real struggle. We're looking at a stretch of weak, short-period windswell that just doesn't have the juice for a proper surf. The combined energy of all swells stays mostly in the moderate range (67 to 281), but the wave comment is almost universally "poor surf conditions." The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The whole first week is a write-off. From Saturday the 8th right through the next weekend, the surf is basically a no-go. The swell is tiny, the period is short (6-8 seconds), and the wind is either cross or cross-offshore, which is the only saving grace, keeping it clean. But the energy is just not there. On Sunday the 10th, there's a slight bump as the combined energy hits 281 (the highest of the whole run), but it's still a "marginal" call with rain showers and a cross-offshore wind. That's not something to get excited about.
The second week brings more of the same, with a few cleaner sessions but still no real swell. The whole forecast is a bust. There are no standouts, no "best day" to pick. The swell direction is consistently east, which is not the optimum northeast direction the reef at Picao really wants to see. The consistent cross-offshore winds from the south-southeast keep the surface clean, but without a decent swell, clean conditions are just a tease.
Real talk: this is a blank run. For this area, it's not unusual to have a stretch like this. The consistent crowd of surfers at Picao means there's always hope, but this outlook is a solid "stay on the sand." The setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the clean, cross-offshore winds and the lack of wave energy.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 27°C on Sat afternoon, min 24°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Tue morning, min 22°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 67 | 49 | 85 | 71 | 109 | 149 | 222 | 172 | 124 | 160 | 167 | 177 | 136 | 202 | 181 | 273 | 153 | 167 | 123 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:25PM1.79m | 12:18PM1.75m | 00:44AM1.90m | 1:31PM1.88m | 1:48AM2.08m | 2:29PM2.03m | 2:42AM2.26m | 3:18PM2.16m | 3:30AM2.40m | 4:03PM2.25m | 4:14AM2.49m | 4:44PM2.29m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:59AM0.51m | 6:29PM0.58m | 7:14AM0.36m | 7:36PM0.46m | 8:14AM0.19m | 8:30PM0.32m | 9:05AM0.04m | 9:18PM0.20m | 9:50AM-0.05m | 10:01PM0.12m | 10:33AM-0.08m | 10:43PM0.10m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 |
Feels °C | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 8 | NE 10 | SE 9 | N 10 | NE 10 | E 7 | E 7 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 11 | NNE 9 | ESE 7 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | ESE 7 | NNE 10 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 |
| kJ | 17 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 142 | 103 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 136 | 10 | 10 | 143 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | N 10 | SE 15 | SE 13 | S 12 | N 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | — | E 12 | E 12 | NE 11 | NNE 9 | NE 8 | SSE 16 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | S 16 | S 16 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | N 7 | S 11 | N 10 | — | SE 12 | — | E 13 | S 19 | SE 12 | N 9 | S 17 | S 16 | — | N 8 | S 16 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 6 | — | 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 5 | — | 1 | 5 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | S 4 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 |
| kJ | 67 | 49 | 85 | 71 | 109 | 149 | 222 | 172 | 124 | 160 | 167 | 177 | 10 | 202 | 181 | 273 | 153 | 167 | 123 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1745 | 820 | 2163 | 2010 | 1670 | 1586 | 979 | 979 | 1653 | 37 | 988 | 1653 | 1653 | 981 | 1640 | 234 | 981 | 1564 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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