Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, ESE swell with 523 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 12s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let me level with you directly about Picao (Baia Formosa).
Look, I’m not gonna sugar-coat it. The whole 16-day run is basically a total washout for decent surfing. The water temp is sitting around 81°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so that’s not the issue. The problem is, we’ve got easterly and east-southeasterly swell coming in, but the wind is just cruel. It’s almost always a cross-shore breeze or worse, and the wave comment across every single forecast slot flat-out calls it “poor surf conditions.”
From Thursday the 27th of August right through to Friday the 11th of September, there is no day where the stars align. The swell heights bounce around between 2ft and 5ft, with the energy ranging from a weak 110 up to a moderate 409. At the end there, around the 10th of September, we see a very long period 16 second groundswell hitting, but it’s only 2ft and the wind is still cross-shore and messy. Even a clean window would struggle with that. The swell is basically all coming from the east or east-southeast, which isn’t matching the optimum NE direction for this reef, and with those short periods of 6 to 8 seconds most days, the shape isn’t there.
Honestly, for anyone looking to paddle surf, there’s nothing to chase. The conditions are consistently cross-shore and bumpy. It’s not often I say this, but if you had a kite, there might be some fun to be had in the bigger 5ft days around the 31st of August and 1st of September, but for a surfer? It’s a big blank run. This happens here sometimes; it’s a tough stretch.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 24°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 27°C on Mon morning, min 24°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 190 | 223 | 210 | 188 | 139 | 107 | 95 | 101 | 126 | 161 | 248 | 270 | 323 | 339 | 347 | 313 | 266 | 223 | 190 | 190 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 3:51PM2.10m | 3:59AM2.30m | 4:22PM2.18m | 4:32AM2.35m | 4:53PM2.22m | 5:05AM2.34m | 5:26PM2.21m | 5:41AM2.28m | 6:02PM2.16m | 6:20AM2.16m | 6:41PM2.07m | 7:05AM2.01m | 7:27PM1.95m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:49PM0.25m | 10:14AM0.11m | 10:21PM0.20m | 10:45AM0.09m | 10:54PM0.17m | 11:17AM0.11m | 11:29PM0.18m | 11:51AM0.17m | 00:06AM0.23m | 12:28PM0.27m | 00:48AM0.32m | 1:11PM0.42m | 1:40AM0.44m | |||||||
 |  | | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — |
 | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 15 | NE 14 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | E 8 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 |
| kJ | 54 | 95 | 87 | 83 | 37 | 36 | 34 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 24 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 266 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | SE 15 | NE 8 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | N 13 | N 13 | N 13 | NNE 9 | NNE 12 | NE 12 | NNE 12 |
| kJ | 11 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 13 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 18 | SE 17 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 16 | NE 8 | SE 14 | — | — | — | — | N 15 | N 14 | N 14 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 13 | NE 9 | N 12 | S 9 |
| kJ | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 8 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | — | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 |
| kJ | 190 | 223 | 210 | 188 | 139 | 107 | 95 | 101 | 126 | 161 | 248 | 270 | 323 | 339 | 347 | 313 | — | 223 | 190 | 190 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1564 | 1564 | 831 | 1586 | 1586 | 831 | 2021 | 2014 | 831 | 1997 | 1971 | 820 | 2014 | 1967 | 820 | 1989 | 1613 | 831 | 2021 | 1994 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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