Surf Forecasts:
Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 21 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, ESE swell with 715 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:
The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
Alright, so we’re looking at Picao (Baia Formosa) and honestly, the next couple of weeks are a bit of a grind. The water temp is sitting right around 81°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The best chance we’ve got in this whole 16-day window is actually the first session on the books. Tuesday morning, the 21st of July. We’ve got a solid 7ft swell rolling in from the SE, with a moderate 955 units of energy behind it. The period is 9 seconds, so it’s a bit of a windswell, not the cleanest groundswell, but it’s the biggest pulse we see. The wind is a cross-off at 12 mph, and that’s going to keep the face pretty clean. It’s a reef break, so it has some shape to it, and it’s consistent, but it’s also a spot that can get a crowd. This is the one to aim for. The afternoon of the same day drops off quick and gets messy.
After that, it’s a real struggle. The swell drops off a cliff, and for days we’re looking at tiny, weak waves. The wind stays cross-off or cross for most of the run, but the energy is just pathetic. From Wednesday the 22nd right through to the end of July, we’re dealing with small, poor quality surf. The rare morning that gets a “surfable but very ordinary” rating is on the 24th of July with a 4ft E swell, but it’s only 8 seconds and pretty weak. The following week, into the start of August, it’s more of the same – small, short-period slop, mostly sub-3ft with energy values barely cracking 100.
There is a flicker of life on the 2nd of August, Sunday afternoon, with a 5ft swell from the ESE, but it’s still a poor quality forecast. The very end of the window, the 3rd of August (Monday) into the 4th, shows a little more size – around 5ft to 6ft – but the energy is still only moderate (698) and the conditions are still marginal. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but it’s not a guaranteed winner.
For most of this period, the swell is small and weak, so the standout is that Tuesday morning, the 21st. Don’t waste your time on the rest unless you’re desperate for a paddle.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 49mm), heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 23°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 26°C on Fri morning, min 23°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 9 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | SE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 657 | 385 | 616 | 234 | 512 | 156 | 235 | 234 | 191 | 157 | 148 | 116 | 70 | 90 | 199 | 188 | 124 | 113 | 144 | 77 | 93 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 9:16AM1.76m | 9:48PM1.70m | 10:20AM1.62m | 10:53PM1.63m | 11:35AM1.55m | 00:03AM1.63m | 12:48PM1.56m | 1:06AM1.68m | 1:46PM1.63m | 1:58AM1.78m | 2:32PM1.73m | 2:41AM1.89m | 3:11PM1.83m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:33PM0.65m | 4:08AM0.70m | 4:36PM0.74m | 5:21AM0.72m | 5:46PM0.77m | 6:32AM0.68m | 6:51PM0.73m | 7:30AM0.59m | 7:44PM0.65m | 8:18AM0.48m | 8:28PM0.56m | 8:58AM0.38m | 9:07PM0.46m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | |  |  | | | |  | |  | | | | |
 | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | 6 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | NNE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 |
| kJ | 290 | 8 | 316 | 234 | 185 | 156 | 235 | 234 | 191 | 157 | 148 | 116 | 70 | 90 | 108 | 103 | 7 | 7 | 77 | 77 | 72 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 9 | N 10 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | SE 9 | SE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 8 | ESE 9 | NE 10 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | E 15 | E 14 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 |
| kJ | 8 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 65 | 81 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | N 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 7 | — | SE 16 | SE 15 | — | E 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | — | 10 | 9 | — | 4 | 7 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | — | ESE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 3 | SE 3 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 |
| kJ | 657 | 385 | 616 | — | 512 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 199 | 188 | 124 | 113 | 144 | 51 | 93 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 981 | 1564 | 1586 | 1479 | 1586 | 0 | 69 | 2683 | 0 | 0 | 1564 | 0 | 0 | 1586 | 0 | 820 | 1586 | 369 | 69 | 1653 | 979 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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