Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf Break

Lat Long: 6.37° S 35.01° W

Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 24 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Picao (Baia Formosa) sea temperature is
27.0°C
0.7° 

Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 26 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 25 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period, SE swell with 309 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 26 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Picao (Baia Formosa) this week:

The surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Picao (Baia Formosa) in the next 16 days are 1.7m 7s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 12s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 12PM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Wed 26th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 8s
Best Surf 6AM (Wed 26th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 8s
Most Powerful 9PM (Tue 25th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right, so here’s the lowdown for Picao (Baia Formosa). It’s a consistent reef break that likes NE swell, but we’ve got a long, patchy run ahead. The water temp is around 81°F with a normal anomaly of 0.7°, so nothing unusual there. The swell is small – 4ft to 5ft – and the period is short at 7 to 8 seconds, so it’s mostly weak windswell with combined energy in the moderate range (254). The wind is the real bummer. From Monday afternoon the 24th through the next week, it’s cross-off or cross from the ESE or SE at 12 to 22 mph, keeping the surface messy. The best day is Wednesday the 26th morning – swell hits 5ft from the ESE at 8 seconds with combined energy of 378 (moderate). The wind is still cross-off at 16 mph, so it’s not glassy. That’s your best bet, but it’s only marginal.

That Wednesday is the highlight, but it’s not exactly a standout. The rest of the week bleeds into poor conditions with cross-shore winds. By Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th, the swell drops to 4ft and 4ft, and the energy falls to 172. The wind stays cross or cross-on from the E at 9 to 12 mph. No real run of good surf here.

The second week is a wash – small, short-period, choppy, with energy staying below 200. No groundswell or long-period action to get fired up about. For a consistent spot, this is a quiet spell. Wednesday the 26th morning is your only real chance, but keep your expectations in check. I’d say sit this one out and wait for a better window.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Mon afternoon, min 23°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 24°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Mon
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
ESE
7
1.5
E
8
1.4
E
8
1.6
ESE
7
1.7
ESE
7
1.4
ESE
8
1.2
ESE
8
1.4
ESE
8
1.2
E
8
1.2
E
8
1.1
E
8
1.3
E
8
1.4
E
7
1.5
E
7
1.5
E
7
1.4
E
7
1.7
ESE
7
1.4
E
7
1.4
E
7
1.4
ESE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
245
253
221
259
297
226
169
231
185
185
160
212
205
236
223
195
286
187
203
220
Wind (km/h)
35
SE
20
SE
25
SSE
30
SSE
20
SSE
25
SE
20
SE
15
SE
20
ESE
20
ESE
20
ESE
25
ESE
25
ESE
20
ESE
25
ESE
25
ESE
20
ESE
20
ESE
25
SE
20
ESE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
High Tide
2:19AM1.91m
2:47PM1.87m
2:54AM2.07m
3:20PM2.00m
3:27AM2.20m
3:51PM2.10m
3:59AM2.30m
4:22PM2.18m
4:32AM2.35m
4:53PM2.22m
5:05AM2.34m
5:26PM2.21m
Low Tide
8:08PM0.57m
8:37AM0.37m
8:44PM0.45m
9:10AM0.26m
9:17PM0.34m
9:42AM0.17m
9:49PM0.25m
10:14AM0.11m
10:21PM0.20m
10:45AM0.09m
10:54PM0.17m
11:17AM0.11m
11:29PM0.18m
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:20
5:20
5:20
5:20
5:20
5:20
5:20
 mm
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
Temp °C
26
25
26
26
24
26
26
25
26
26
25
26
26
25
25
26
25
26
26
25
Feels °C
24
25
23
23
23
26
26
26
27
26
25
26
26
25
24
26
26
26
26
25
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Picao (Baia Formosa) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Picao (Baia Formosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Picao (Baia Formosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Picao (Baia Formosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Picao (Baia Formosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Picao (Baia Formosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Picao is 12 km (7 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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