Pennington Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming down the pipe for Pennington Bay over the next couple of weeks.

We've got a real mixed bag of a forecast. The good stuff doesn't kick in until the end of the month, but there's a couple of windows where it's going to get really fun. The water temp is sitting at 58°F, which is bang on average for late August, so not too chilly.

The only real standout on offer kicks off on Monday the 31st of August. Morning light offshores from the NE will groom a clean 6ft south swell with a long 15-second period. The combined energy is strong at 2124, and it's carrying plenty of push for a point or reef setup. By the afternoon, it's cleaning up even more with N winds and the swell building to 7ft from the south, period stretching out to 17 seconds and energy hitting 2428. That's a solid run of excellent conditions, but this size is really for experienced surfers only – too much punch for the beginners.

Before that, Saturday the 29th is a slight teaser. A clean 4ft south swell with a period of 14 seconds (energy at 613) and light E cross-off winds will make for some fun, small waves. It's enough to get wet, but not the main event.

Be warned, after the Monday standouts, the wind gets real nasty. A strong NW change Tuesday morning will blow 19 mph right through to the weekend, keeping things messy or too blown out for paddle surfing. For a sandbar setup like this, the 10ft+ onshore slop that shows up from the 5th of September onward looks way more like a kiteboarding session than a surf. By Sunday the 6th, we're looking at a massive 12ft to 13ft SSW swell with brutal offshore winds over 25 mph – clean but absolutely pumping, and way too big for this break.

Things do settle down a little in the second week. Wednesday the 9th of September is a bit of a wildcard. The afternoon looks glassy with a 5ft south swell and a very long period of 19 seconds (energy 2514). That long period means the sets will be lined up, but it might break a bit straight on a sandbar like this. Best for the reefs, if you can find one. Then Saturday the 12th offers a cleaner 6ft south swell in the morning, though the cross-off wind is a bit stiff at 16 mph.

Overall, lock in that Monday the 31st and the morning of the 1st of September for your best chance at a proper session. The rest is a battle with onshore wind or just too much size.

- Rusty

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