- Forecast
- Maps
- Live
- Weather State
- Spot Information
Surf Forecasts:
Patons Rock surfForecast / Nelson – Tasman Bay / New Zealand
12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 11 am Wednesday 17 Sep 2025 NZST
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Patons Rock this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Patons Rock in the next 12 days are 1.2m 6s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 24) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 9s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 21) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Wed 24th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Patons Rock over the next 12 days.
Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed morning, min 5°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Wed night, calm by Fri morning). | Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 33mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Sun afternoon, calm by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 17 | Thursday 18 | Friday 19 | Saturday 20 | Sunday 21 | Monday 22 | Tuesday 23 | |||||||||||||||
| AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Rating (10 max) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
| Wave Height (m) & direction (?) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Period(s) (?) | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 4 |
Wave (?)Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ (?) | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 11 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Wind State (?) onshore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore offshore glassy | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross | cross | cross- off | cross | on | cross- off | glass | cross- on | cross | on | on | cross | glass | glass | glass | glass | on | cross |
High Tide / height (m) | 6:25PM 3.98 | 6:32AM 3.90 | 7:26PM 4.31 | 7:32AM 4.16 | 8:09PM 4.61 | 8:19AM 4.44 | 8:45PM 4.83 | 8:59AM 4.67 | 9:19PM 4.98 | 9:35AM 4.83 | 9:50PM 5.05 | 10:08AM 4.93 | 10:21PM 5.04 | ||||||||
Low Tide / height (m) | 11:28AM 1.77 | 12:31AM 1.45 | 12:51PM 1.58 | 1:27AM 1.16 | 1:50PM 1.28 | 2:10AM 0.89 | 2:33PM 0.99 | 2:47AM 0.70 | 3:08PM 0.76 | 3:21AM 0.59 | 3:38PM 0.62 | 3:52AM 0.55 | 4:06PM 0.58 | ||||||||
Wednesday 17 | Thursday 18 | Friday 19 | Saturday 20 | Sunday 21 | Monday 22 | Tuesday 23 | |||||||||||||||
| Sunrise | 6:26 | - | - | 6:26 | - | - | 6:24 | - | - | 6:22 | - | - | 6:20 | - | - | 6:18 | - | - | 6:16 | - | - |
| Sunset | - | 6:20 | - | - | 6:21 | - | - | 6:22 | - | - | 6:22 | - | - | 6:23 | - | - | 6:24 | - | - | 6:25 | - |
 |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | |  | | | | |
Rain (mm) | - | - | 16 | - | - | - | 3 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 3 | 27 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 1 |
| Temp. °C | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 10 |
| Feels °C (?) | 10 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
Recent Eyeball Surf Reports for Nelson - Tasman Bay
Onshore wind has changed to cross-on at Patons Rock (moderate winds from the NNW at Collingwood 25 km from Patons Rock). No surfable waves
25 km away, 1 h 2 min ago
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Patons Rock surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Patons Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Patons Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Patons Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Patons Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Patons Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Patons Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Patons Rock, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 70 km (43 miles) away.
Nearest