Surf Forecasts:
Patons Rock surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 6s period, N swell with 121 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Patons Rock this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Patons Rock in the next 16 days are 1.4m 6s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 8s period and expected on Friday (Aug 14) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Patons Rock over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 63mm), heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 4°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the N by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | NW 11 | NW 4 | NNW 9 | N 5 | N 5 | N 6 | N 10 | NW 4 | N 10 | N 9 | NNE 2 | E 4 | E 4 | N 8 | ENE 4 | N 7 | NW 11 | NW 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 17 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross | glassy | glassy | on | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 2:50AM4.33m | 3:14PM4.11m | 3:57AM4.16m | 4:39PM3.96m | 5:16AM4.12m | 6:29PM4.10m | 6:36AM4.26m | 7:44PM4.52m | 7:47AM4.51m | 8:37PM4.95m | 8:47AM4.79m | 9:22PM5.28m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:52AM1.40m | 9:49PM1.59m | 10:04AM1.57m | 11:16PM1.57m | 11:29AM1.58m | 00:33AM1.36m | 12:55PM1.40m | 1:39AM1.04m | 2:06PM1.08m | 2:34AM0.70m | 3:02PM0.76m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  | |  |  |  | | | |  | |  |  | | | | |
 | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | 3 | 53 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 6 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
Feels °C | 3 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 11 | N 11 | N 5 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NW 18 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | NW 11 | N 8 |
| kJ | — | 5 | 2 | 11 | 44 | 45 | 13 | 740 | 377 | 226 | 106 | 76 | 50 | 20 | 10 | 87 | 57 | 61 | 42 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 11 | N 11 | NNW 11 | NNW 10 | W 19 | W 19 | — | NW 18 | NW 18 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 | NW 14 | NW 14 | W 19 | ENE 4 | NW 12 | N 9 | NW 11 |
| kJ | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 7 | — | 13 | 12 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 101 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | — | N 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 | W 21 | W 13 | NW 18 | W 17 | W 16 | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 5 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | — | NW 4 | NNW 9 | N 5 | N 5 | N 6 | NW 15 | NW 4 | — | — | NNE 2 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | — | — | NNW 6 | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | 12 | 106 | 17 | 23 | 206 | 8 | 10 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 | — | — | 51 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 34 | 34 | 90 | 66 | 69 | 169 | 128 | 55 | 90 | 62 | 66 | 172 | 30 | 90 | 90 | 30 | 32 | 69 | 31 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Patons Rock surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Patons Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Patons Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Patons Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Patons Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Patons Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Patons Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Patons Rock, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 70 km (43 miles) away.
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