Patons Rock Surf Break

Lat Long: 40.79° S 172.76° E

Issued: 5 pm 22 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Patons Rock sea temperature is
13.7° C

Normal for this time of year

Patons Rock surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Patons Rock surf forecast from 22 Jun 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 24 Jun, 9AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 4s period, ENE swell with 7 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Patons Rock this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Patons Rock in the next 16 days are 0.4m 4s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jun 24) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 8s period and expected on Wednesday (Jun 24) at 6PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 9AM (Wed 24th Jun)1.5ft (0.4m) 4s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Patons Rock over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri afternoon, min 6°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Mon
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
Friday
26
Saturday
27
Sunday
28
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
3
0.2
NNW
9
0.1
W
14
0.1
W
14
0.7
N
6
0.4
ENE
4
1.6
NNE
7
1.3
NNE
8
0.3
ENE
4
0.1
E
7
0.3
E
4
0.3
E
5
0.1
E
12
0.3
E
4
0.1
W
13
0.1
W
13
0.3
E
4
0.2
E
4
0.2
E
4
0.3
E
4
0.3
E
4
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1
0
0
0
0
7
0
0
4
1
3
5
3
2
0
0
3
1
1
3
3
Wind (km/h)
5
NE
5
SW
5
SSW
5
E
10
S
10
E
20
E
10
SSE
10
WSW
20
E
5
SSW
10
SSW
5
NNW
5
SSW
5
SSW
5
ENE
5
SSW
5
SSW
5
N
5
SSW
5
SSW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
off
cross
cross
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
on
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
glassy
glassy
High Tide
3:06PM4.32m
3:33AM4.32m
3:58PM4.17m
4:33AM4.21m
4:54PM4.09m
5:30AM4.16m
5:58PM4.10m
6:25AM4.16m
7:04PM4.24m
7:16AM4.18m
7:59PM4.45m
8:03AM4.23m
8:42PM4.65m
8:47AM4.31m
Low Tide
9:04PM1.50m
9:54AM1.52m
10:12PM1.66m
10:53AM1.61m
11:21PM1.71m
11:48AM1.62m
00:20AM1.68m
12:38PM1.59m
1:11AM1.60m
1:24PM1.53m
1:56AM1.51m
2:09PM1.45m
2:36AM1.40m
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
light rain
heavy rain
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:52
7:52
7:54
7:54
7:54
7:54
7:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:07
5:07
5:07
5:08
5:08
5:08
5:09
5:09
 mm
1
1
5
13
1
1
8
Temp °C
12
9
12
11
12
13
13
13
11
9
8
11
12
8
11
11
8
11
12
10
12
Feels °C
10
7
10
9
10
11
10
11
10
4
5
9
9
5
9
9
6
9
10
8
10
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
NNW
9
0.2
NNW
9
0.1
NW
8
0.1
NW
8
0.7
N
6
0.8
NNE
6
0.1
W
15
1.3
NNE
8
0.8
N
8
0.4
WNW
13
0.4
NW
14
0.2
WNW
13
0.2
E
4
0.3
E
4
0.3
E
4
0.2
E
4
0.2
E
4
0.3
E
4
0.3
E
4
Energy kJ
8
7
3
3
36
51
4
206
84
70
49
16
1
2
3
1
1
3
3
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
NNW
6
0.1
W
14
0.1
W
15
0.1
W
15
0.1
W
7
0.1
W
15
0.4
NW
12
0.4
NNE
8
0.3
E
4
0.3
E
5
0.2
WNW
13
0.1
NW
14
0.1
W
13
0.1
W
13
0.1
W
16
0.1
W
16
0.1
W
15
0.1
NW
15
0.1
NW
14
Energy kJ
3
4
4
4
1
4
35
19
3
5
16
8
3
3
5
5
4
8
8
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
3
0.1
W
16
0.1
W
14
0.1
W
7
0.3
ENE
4
0.1
E
7
0.1
N
7
0.1
E
12
0.1
W
7
0.1
W
6
0.1
W
6
0.1
W
11
0.1
E
6
Energy kJ
1
5
4
1
4
1
1
3
1
1
1
2
1
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
ENE
4
1.6
NNE
7
0.2
SSW
2
0.3
ESE
4
0.3
SSE
3
0.2
SSE
3
0.3
S
3
Energy kJ
7
264
1
3
1
1
1
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
2
2
2
1
2
3
1
1
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
Distance (km)
30
30
30
30
30
66
66
30
66
66
30
30
90
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
1
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
4
4
2
2
4
4
5
4
5
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
6
5
5
5
7
8
8
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
6
6
6
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Patons Rock Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Patons Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Patons Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Patons Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Patons Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Patons Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Patons Rock, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 70 km (43 miles) away.

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