Surf Forecasts:
Patons Rock surf forecast from 6 Nov 2026:
- Best quality surf: No days rated 1★ or higher at Patons Rock in the next 16 days. The closest to surfable is Saturday 14 Nov, 10PM (local time) – 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, E swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 14 Nov, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, E swell with 173 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): None forecast at Patons Rock before Sunday 22 Nov. Conditions stay below 1★ throughout, with swell peaking at 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s on Saturday 14 Nov.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Patons Rock this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Patons Rock in the next 16 days are 1.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Nov 14) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 7s period and expected on Wednesday (Nov 11) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Sat 14th Nov) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Patons Rock over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 21°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 37mm), heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 6 | Saturday 7 | Sunday 8 | Monday 9 | Tuesday 10 | Wednesday 11 | Thursday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | N 6 | NNW 9 | N 6 | NW 8 | N 7 | N 7 | NNW 4 | NNW 7 | WNW 14 | E 3 | E 4 | N 7 | N 7 | NNW 8 | N 6 | N 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NW 5 | NNW 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 50 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 | 27 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:23PM4.63m | 8:44AM4.59m | 9:04PM4.76m | 9:28AM4.77m | 9:41PM4.83m | 10:08AM4.92m | 10:17PM4.84m | 10:45AM5.02m | 10:52PM4.77m | 11:19AM5.05m | 11:29PM4.66m | 11:52AM5.00m | 00:06AM4.51m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:09PM1.11m | 2:31AM0.89m | 2:52PM0.94m | 3:10AM0.80m | 3:29PM0.84m | 3:47AM0.76m | 4:03PM0.81m | 4:22AM0.77m | 4:36PM0.85m | 4:57AM0.84m | 5:09PM0.92m | 5:33AM0.95m | 5:41PM1.02m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  |  | |  | | |  |  | | |  | |  | | |  | |
 | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — |
 | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:21 | — |
mm | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 27 | — | — | — | 1 | 8 | — | — | — | 8 |
Temp °C | 17 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
Feels °C | 18 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 11 | N 11 | N 6 | N 6 | N 5 | N 7 | N 7 | — | N 6 | N 6 | N 5 | N 6 | N 7 | N 7 | N 8 | — | N 12 | N 16 | W 16 | N 15 | NW 8 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 22 | 35 | 19 | 37 | 39 | — | 29 | 11 | 5 | 28 | 103 | 83 | 58 | — | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 17 | N 17 | NNW 9 | NNW 8 | NW 8 | N 16 | NW 15 | — | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | N 13 | N 13 | NNW 8 | NW 9 | — | N 17 | — | N 16 | N 11 | N 15 |
| kJ | 6 | 6 | 29 | 13 | 15 | 5 | 9 | — | 20 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 20 | — | 6 | — | 5 | 2 | 17 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 17 | W 12 | — | N 15 | — | N 14 | N 16 | — | N 15 | N 14 | N 14 | NW 14 | W 14 | N 13 | N 12 | — | — | — | N 11 | N 16 | NW 15 |
| kJ | 6 | 3 | — | 4 | — | 4 | 5 | — | 17 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | N 6 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 7 | — | E 3 | E 4 | — | — | NNW 8 | N 6 | N 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NW 5 | NNW 6 |
| kJ | 50 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | 45 | 88 | — | 1 | 12 | — | — | 249 | 200 | 269 | 217 | 128 | 94 | 27 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 219 | 184 | 30 | 30 | 90 | 30 | 72 | 180 | 30 | 73 | 90 | 90 | 30 | 172 | 30 | 184 | 188 | 66 | 180 | 66 | 66 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Patons Rock surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Patons Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Patons Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Patons Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Patons Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Patons Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Patons Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Patons Rock, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 70 km (43 miles) away.
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