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Surf Forecasts:
Patons Rock surfForecast / Nelson – Tasman Bay / New Zealand
48hr Weather and Surf, issued 5 pm Monday 11 May 2026 NZSTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Patons Rock surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Patons Rock sea temperature is
15.7° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)How big are the waves at Patons Rock today?
The current surf forecast for Patons Rock at 10PM is: 0.4m 4s primary swell from a East-northeast direction (forecast issued at 05:00pm May 11). An open ocean swell of 0.2m 13s is not directed at the surf break. The wind direction is predicted to be cross-offshore.
| Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height | Wave Period |
|---|---|---|
| Morning (11 May) | - | - |
| Afternoon (11 May) | 2ft (0.6m) | 4s |
| Evening (11 May) | 1.5ft (0.4m) | 4s |
Table - waves today at Patons Rock. (Swell directed towards the surf break)
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mon 11 | Tuesday 12 | Wednesday 13 | Thu 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||
3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | 3 AM | 6 AM | 9 AM | 12 PM | 3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | 3 AM | 6 AM | 9 AM | 12 PM | 3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | 3 AM | 6 AM | 9 AM | 12 PM | |
Swell Height Map |    |    |    |    | ||||||||||||||||||||
ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | WNW 3 | NW 4 | NW 14 | NW 14 | W 14 | E 3 | ENE 4 | E 4 | E 4 | ENE 4 | E 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | E 4 | E 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | |
16 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | |
High Tide | 4:39PM3.83m | 5:06AM4.03m | 5:44PM4.00m | 6:05AM4.31m | 6:43PM4.28m | 6:55AM4.61m | ||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:42PM1.65m | 11:23AM1.57m | 11:51PM1.46m | 12:18PM1.26m | 00:47AM1.17m | |||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | — | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7:26 | — | — |
 | 5:24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5:22 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 13 |
8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 12 | |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 13 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | WNW 13 | NW 14 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | — | ENE 4 | E 4 | E 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 6 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | E 4 | E 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 |
 kJ | 17 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | 5 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | — | NW 7 | NW 14 | NW 14 | W 14 | W 14 | NW 7 | NW 14 | NW 14 | NW 14 | NW 22 | ENE 6 | NW 20 | NE 4 | WNW 18 | WNW 18 | WNW 18 | NW 17 | NW 16 |
| kJ | 3 | 44 | 17 | 17 | 17 | — | 2 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 33 | 30 | 30 | 11 | 10 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | — | NW 7 | N 12 | NW 6 | W 7 | W 14 | — | W 24 | W 23 | W 14 | NW 21 | W 14 | NW 19 | — | — | — | W 5 | W 5 |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | — | 11 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 15 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 4 | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | NW 4 | — | — | — | E 3 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | — | ESE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 16 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 6 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 73 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 128 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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