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Surf Forecasts:
Patons Rock surfForecast / Nelson – Tasman Bay / New Zealand
48hr Weather and Surf, issued 11 am Sunday 10 May 2026 NZSTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Patons Rock surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Patons Rock sea temperature is
15.9° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)How big are the waves at Patons Rock today?
The current surf forecast for Patons Rock at 3PM is: 0.6m 6s primary swell from a Northwest direction (forecast issued at 11:00am May 10). An open ocean swell of 0.4m 14s is not directed at the surf break, a second open ocean swell of 0.4m 9s is not directed at the surf break. The wind direction is predicted to be cross-shore.
| Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height | Wave Period |
|---|---|---|
| Morning (10 May) | - | - |
| Afternoon (10 May) | 2ft (0.6m) | 6s |
| Evening (10 May) | 1ft (0.3m) | 3s |
Table - waves today at Patons Rock. (Swell directed towards the surf break)
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun morning, min 7°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sun 10 | Monday 11 | Tuesday 12 | Wed 13 | |||||||||||||||||||||
9 AM | 12 PM | 3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | 3 AM | 6 AM | 9 AM | 12 PM | 3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | 3 AM | 6 AM | 9 AM | 12 PM | 3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | 3 AM | 6 AM | |
Swell Height Map |    |    |    |    | ||||||||||||||||||||
NW 10 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 13 | E 3 | E 5 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 5 | E 5 | E 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | NW 13 | NW 14 | NW 14 | NW 14 | NNE 6 | E 3 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | |
0 | 18 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 98 | 124 | 0 | 41 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | |
High Tide | 3:31PM3.79m | 3:53AM3.85m | 4:39PM3.83m | 5:06AM4.03m | 5:44PM4.00m | |||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | 8:50AM1.84m | 9:28PM1.71m | 10:11AM1.79m | 10:42PM1.65m | 11:23AM1.57m | 11:51PM1.46m | ||||||||||||||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7:26 |
 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | — | — | 5:22 |
— | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Temp °C | 15 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
13 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 | |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | NW 10 | NW 14 | NW 13 | NW 9 | E 5 | NW 13 | NW 14 | NW 14 | NW 13 | WNW 13 | E 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | — | NW 4 | WNW 5 | N 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | E 4 | NNE 5 |
 kJ | 10 | 24 | 51 | 134 | 29 | 33 | 87 | 48 | 46 | 46 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 5 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 15 | WNW 15 | NW 9 | N 7 | NW 12 | NW 12 | — | N 13 | — | — | NW 8 | NW 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | NW 13 | NW 14 | NW 14 | NW 5 | NW 5 | W 14 | NW 14 | NNE 6 | W 14 |
| kJ | 23 | 21 | 21 | 1 | 37 | 49 | — | 3 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 16 | N 7 | N 7 | NNW 14 | WNW 15 | WNW 15 | NNW 7 | — | — | E 6 | — | — | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | — | — | NW 14 | NW 14 | NW 6 | N 11 | NW 14 | W 24 |
| kJ | 10 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 10 | NW 5 | NW 6 | — | E 3 | ESE 5 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 5 | E 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 3 | E 4 | ESE 4 | E 4 |
| kJ | 98 | 18 | 19 | — | 2 | 87 | 98 | 124 | 75 | 41 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 167 | 128 | 66 | 73 | 31 | 143 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 73 | 90 | 128 | 30 | 30 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 128 | 169 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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