Using Surf-Forecast’s Historical Surf Data To Find The Most Consistent Waves On Earth
Using our statistical data for 7000 spots dating back to 2006, we can find those waves that break the most, with the best winds.
Surf Forecasts:
Patons Rock surfForecast / Nelson – Tasman Bay / New Zealand
48hr Weather and Surf, issued 6 am Thursday 25 Dec 2025 NZDTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Patons Rock surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Patons Rock sea temperature is
17.3° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)How big are the waves at Patons Rock today?
The current surf forecast for Patons Rock at 2PM is: 0.9m 4s primary swell from a North-northwest direction (forecast issued at 06:00am December 25). An open ocean swell of 0.1m 14s is not directed at the surf break. The wind direction is predicted to be cross-onshore.
| Time (NZDT) & Date | Wave Height | Wave Period |
|---|---|---|
| Morning (25 Dec) | - | - |
| Afternoon (25 Dec) | 3.5ft (1.0m) | 4s |
| Evening (25 Dec) | 3.5ft (1.1m) | 5s |
Table - waves today at Patons Rock. (Swell directed towards the surf break)
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Thursday 25 | Friday 26 | Saturday 27 | Sun 28 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 AM | 7 AM | 10 AM | 1 PM | 4 PM | 7 PM | 10 PM | 1 AM | 4 AM | 7 AM | 10 AM | 1 PM | 4 PM | 7 PM | 10 PM | 1 AM | 4 AM | 7 AM | 10 AM | 1 PM | 4 PM | 7 PM | 10 PM | 1 AM | |
Rating (10 max) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Swell Height Map |    |    |    |    | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Wave Height (m) & direction (?) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Period(s) (?) | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Wave (?)Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ (?) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 40 | 46 | 64 | 83 | 178 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 20 | 11 | 31 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wind State (?) onshore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore offshore glassy | cross- off | cross | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross | cross | cross- off | cross- off | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- off | cross- off |
High Tide / height (m) | 1:22AM 4.47 | 1:36PM 4.73 | 2:07AM 4.36 | 2:20PM 4.66 | 2:55AM 4.27 | 3:08PM 4.58 | ||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide / height (m) | 7:25AM 1.00 | 7:35PM 1.17 | 8:03AM 1.08 | 8:23PM 1.22 | 8:47AM 1.21 | 9:16PM 1.26 | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 25 | Friday 26 | Saturday 27 | Sun 28 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Sunrise | - | 5:54 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5:56 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5:56 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Sunset | - | - | - | - | - | 9:00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9:00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9:01 | - | - |
 |  | | | | | |  |  |  | |  | | | | |  | | | | | |  | | |
Rain (mm) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 9 | 6 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - |
| Temp. °C | 11 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 13 | 11 |
| Feels °C (?) | 9 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 9 |
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
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