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Surf Forecasts:
Patons Rock surfForecast / Nelson – Tasman Bay / New Zealand
48hr Weather and Surf, issued 5 am Monday 11 May 2026 NZSTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Patons Rock surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Patons Rock sea temperature is
15.9° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)How big are the waves at Patons Rock today?
The current surf forecast for Patons Rock at 1PM is: 0.8m 5s primary swell from a East direction (forecast issued at 05:00am May 11). An open ocean swell of 0.3m 13s is not directed at the surf break, a second open ocean swell of 0.2m 8s is not directed at the surf break. The wind direction is predicted to be cross-onshore.
| Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height | Wave Period |
|---|---|---|
| Morning (11 May) | 2.5ft (0.8m) | 5s |
| Afternoon (11 May) | 2.5ft (0.7m) | 5s |
| Evening (11 May) | 1.5ft (0.5m) | 4s |
Table - waves today at Patons Rock. (Swell directed towards the surf break)
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 11 | Tuesday 12 | Wednesday 13 | Thu 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||
3 AM | 6 AM | 9 AM | 12 PM | 3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | 3 AM | 6 AM | 9 AM | 12 PM | 3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | 3 AM | 6 AM | 9 AM | 12 PM | 3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | |
Swell Height Map |    |    |    |    | ||||||||||||||||||||
E 6 | NW 14 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | WNW 3 | NW 14 | NW 14 | NW 14 | W 14 | E 3 | E 4 | ENE 4 | E 4 | E 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | E 4 | ENE 4 | E 4 | |
2 | 0 | 34 | 32 | 22 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | |
High Tide | 3:53AM3.85m | 4:39PM3.83m | 5:06AM4.03m | 5:44PM4.00m | 6:05AM4.31m | 6:43PM4.28m | ||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:11AM1.79m | 10:42PM1.65m | 11:23AM1.57m | 11:51PM1.46m | 12:18PM1.26m | |||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | — | — | — | 7:26 |
 | — | — | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 |
— | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 8 | |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 13 | NW 14 | NW 14 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | WNW 13 | WNW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | — | W 14 | E 4 | ENE 4 | E 4 | E 4 | NW 22 | ENE 5 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | E 4 |
 kJ | 84 | 65 | 46 | 35 | 17 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | 4 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 14 | — | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | — | NW 14 | NW 14 | NW 14 | W 14 | N 6 | N 6 | N 5 | N 5 | — | W 14 | NW 21 | NW 20 | NW 19 | NE 4 |
| kJ | — | 21 | — | 11 | 3 | 45 | 17 | 18 | 18 | — | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 4 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | NW 6 | E 3 | N 13 | — | — | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | W 7 | W 7 | NW 6 | — | NW 14 | NW 14 | NW 14 | W 14 | — | W 14 | NE 6 | W 14 | WNW 18 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | 8 | 8 | 8 | 4 | — | 4 | 1 | 4 | 32 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | E 3 | E 4 | E 4 | ESE 4 | E 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | E 4 | — | — |
| kJ | 34 | 43 | 34 | 32 | 22 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 7 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 90 | 90 | 90 | 166 | 90 | 90 | 30 | 30 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 128 | 30 | 30 | 34 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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