Using Surf-Forecast’s Historical Surf Data To Find The Most Consistent Waves On Earth
Using our statistical data for 7000 spots dating back to 2006, we can find those waves that break the most, with the best winds.
Surf Forecasts:
Patons Rock surfForecast / Nelson – Tasman Bay / New Zealand
48hr Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Wednesday 24 Dec 2025 NZDTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Patons Rock surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Patons Rock sea temperature is
17.3° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)How big are the waves at Patons Rock today?
The current surf forecast for Patons Rock at 11PM is: 0.9m 4s primary swell from a Northwest direction (forecast issued at 06:00pm December 24). An open ocean swell of 0.4m 7s is not directed at the surf break, a second open ocean swell of 0.1m 14s is not directed at the surf break. The wind direction is predicted to be cross-shore.
| Time (NZDT) & Date | Wave Height | Wave Period |
|---|---|---|
| Morning (24 Dec) | - | - |
| Afternoon (24 Dec) | 4.5ft (1.3m) | 5s |
| Evening (24 Dec) | 3.5ft (1.1m) | 5s |
Table - waves today at Patons Rock. (Swell directed towards the surf break)
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Wednesday 24 | Thursday 25 | Friday 26 | Saturday 27 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 PM | 7 PM | 10 PM | 1 AM | 4 AM | 7 AM | 10 AM | 1 PM | 4 PM | 7 PM | 10 PM | 1 AM | 4 AM | 7 AM | 10 AM | 1 PM | 4 PM | 7 PM | 10 PM | 1 AM | 4 AM | 7 AM | 10 AM | 1 PM | |
Rating (10 max) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Swell Height Map |    |    |    |    | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Wave Height (m) & direction (?) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Period(s) (?) | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 13 |
Wave (?)Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ (?) | 82 | 74 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 49 | 64 | 51 | 77 | 193 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wind State (?) onshore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore offshore glassy | cross- on | cross- on | cross | cross- off | cross- off | cross | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross | cross | cross- off | cross | cross- on | cross- on |
High Tide / height (m) | 1:22AM 4.47 | 1:36PM 4.73 | 2:07AM 4.36 | 2:20PM 4.66 | 2:55AM 4.27 | |||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide / height (m) | 6:50PM 1.13 | 7:25AM 1.00 | 7:35PM 1.17 | 8:03AM 1.08 | 8:23PM 1.22 | 8:47AM 1.21 | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 24 | Thursday 25 | Friday 26 | Saturday 27 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Sunrise | - | - | - | - | - | 5:54 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5:56 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5:56 | - | - |
| Sunset | - | 9:00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9:00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9:00 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
 | |  | | | | | | | | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
Rain (mm) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 9 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Temp. °C | 22 | 19 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 19 |
| Feels °C (?) | 16 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 14 |
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
Latest Updates
Nazare Big Wave Challenge Gets Yellow Alert, Could Run Saturday in Giant Waves
70-foot plus waves predicted for Portuguese big wave tow surfing competition.
Buy Less, Surf More This Black Friday
Surf-forecast is providing a free, all-access pass to our premium features and 12-day forecasts all weekend.
Quiksilver Teams Up With PrimaLoft® For World’s First Thermal Layering System for a Wetsuit.
Previously used in our snow jackets for mountain conditions, PrimaLoft® technology is making its debut in the surf industry. The aim is to bring mountain-grade warmth to the waves.
Read more
Discover more articles and updates in the Greenroom.
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Patons Rock surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Nearest