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Surf Forecasts:
Patons Rock surfForecast / Nelson – Tasman Bay / New Zealand
48hr Weather and Surf, issued 11 am Saturday 16 May 2026 NZSTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Patons Rock surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Patons Rock sea temperature is
14.9° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)How big are the waves at Patons Rock today?
The current surf forecast for Patons Rock at 5PM is: 0.4m 4s primary swell from a East direction (forecast issued at 11:00am May 16). An open ocean swell of 0.1m 19s is not directed at the surf break, a second open ocean swell of 0.1m 13s is not directed at the surf break. The wind direction is predicted to be glassy.
| Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height | Wave Period |
|---|---|---|
| Morning (16 May) | 1.5ft (0.4m) | 4s |
| Afternoon (16 May) | 1.5ft (0.4m) | 4s |
| Evening (16 May) | 2.5ft (0.7m) | 5s |
Table - waves today at Patons Rock. (Swell directed towards the surf break)
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 11°C on Sat morning, min 7°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sat 16 | Sunday 17 | Monday 18 | Tue 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
9 AM | 12 PM | 3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | 3 AM | 6 AM | 9 AM | 12 PM | 3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | 3 AM | 6 AM | 9 AM | 12 PM | 3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | 3 AM | 6 AM | |
Swell Height Map |    |    |    |    | ||||||||||||||||||||
E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 5 | E 5 | WNW 18 | E 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | E 3 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 3 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | NW 18 | NW 17 | NW 16 | NW 16 | |
5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | glassy | off | off | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | |
High Tide | 8:29AM5.09m | 9:12PM5.24m | 9:17AM5.21m | 9:57PM5.40m | 10:06AM5.23m | 10:42PM5.42m | ||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | 2:34PM0.53m | 3:04AM0.35m | 3:21PM0.47m | 3:48AM0.29m | 4:11PM0.49m | 4:35AM0.37m | ||||||||||||||||||
 |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7:31 |
 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | — | — | 5:17 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Temp °C | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
8 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | NW 21 | NW 20 | NW 19 | WNW 19 | WNW 18 | E 4 | E 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | WNW 16 | ENE 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 3 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | — | NW 17 | NW 16 | NW 16 |
 kJ | 5 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 34 | 31 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 11 | 10 | 10 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 14 | W 14 | E 6 | W 13 | W 13 | NW 13 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | ENE 4 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | NW 15 | NW 14 | NW 14 | — | NW 14 | W 14 | W 18 | NW 18 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | — | 8 | 4 | 6 | 12 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 22 | — | W 13 | — | — | E 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 14 | — | W 19 | W 13 | W 13 | W 13 | — | — |
| kJ | 18 | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 5 | E 5 | ESE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | E 3 | E 4 | ESE 4 | SE 3 | ESE 3 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 9 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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