Neakahine Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you—this 16-day stretch for Neakahine Point is a tough one. The forecast is basically a long, flat spell of poor surf conditions, with only a couple of very marginal moments that might be worth a paddle if you’re desperate. There’s a big gap of nothing worthwhile from now all the way through.

We kick off on Monday, August 3rd, with a 5ft northwest swell, but it’s short period at 7 seconds and a strong north wind at 22 mph has it all lumpy and cross-chop. The water’s sitting at 59°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The combined energy’s weak at 245, and the score’s a zero. That’s pretty much the story for the whole first week—small, short-period northwest swells, cross or cross-onshore winds, and a lot of chop. Tuesday morning the 4th drops to 4ft, energy at 137, and still messy. Wednesday the 5th bumps up to 5ft but with a cross-onshore breeze, so it’s choppy. Thursday the 6th morning is the only time in this whole run that hits a score of 1 out of 10—marginal surf with a 4ft swell and light west wind, but it’s onshore, so it’s not clean. After that, it’s all zeros again.

The second week doesn’t give us much hope either. We get a couple of long-period swells—like Monday the 10th morning with a 1.0ft southwest swell at 15 seconds, energy at 64—but it’s tiny and cross-onshore. That’s a pattern: a few longer-period pulses, but they’re so small they’re barely breaking. The only real standout, if you can call it that, is Friday the 14th afternoon. We’ve got a 5ft northwest swell, period 8 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 472—moderate energy—but the wind is north at 12 mph, cross, so it’s got a cross-chop. Still, that’s the most energy we see in the whole window. Saturday the 15th has a 2ft west swell at 17 seconds, with an onshore wind, and the energy’s at 371 and 470, but it’s tiny and onshore. Not great.

Neakahine Point is a reef and point break, exposed to swell, and it’s inconsistent. For this run, it rarely breaks with anything rideable. The occasional longer-period swells (like 15–20 seconds) are groundswell, which can be better-shaped, but on a reef point that’s actually a positive—it’s not a beach break, so it won’t straighten out. But the size is just too small. If you’re a total beginner, those 1.0ft–2ft days might be a novelty, but with the wind, it’s not worth it.

Overall, it’s a blank run. The forecast can change, but right now, there’s nothing to get excited about. I’d keep an eye on the 14th afternoon, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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