Neakahine Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a long look at the forecast for Neakahine Point over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s break it down day by day.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. Friday the 11th sees some chest-high swell at 5ft from the northwest, but it’s a bit junky with a light cross-onshore breeze. The energy is sitting at a moderate 617, but it’s nothing to get too fired up about. The swell period is short at 9 seconds, which will make for some soft, weak waves. Then the weekend, the 12th and 13th, is pretty much a write-off. The swell drops away to under 3ft, the winds get messy, and there’s rain showers on Sunday. You’re better off finding something else to do.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Monday the 14th, early morning, has that glassy feel. The wind is almost nothing, just a slight air. The swell is still small, around 4ft from the west-northwest, but the period has dropped to 8 seconds. The energy is weak, only at 297. It might be surfable but it’s pretty weak and soft.

The middle of the week isn't much better. Tuesday and Wednesday are also small and sloppy, with cross-shore winds picking up, especially Wednesday afternoon when a fresh breeze kicks in. The energy dips right down to 165 on Thursday morning, which is just weak, and the waves are tiny.

But hold on. Thursday the 17th afternoon, there’s a spark. The swell is tiny at 1ft, but the period jumps up to 21 seconds. That’s very long period groundswell, which is full of energy and has some punch, even if it's small. The wave comment says “expect good surf conditions,” and the winds are glassy. It’s a long-period swell though, which can sometimes close out a beach break, but for a point and reef set-up like this one, it should wrap in nicely. This is a very interesting little window, but the size is really small, so it’s more for the longboard or a fun mid-length.

After that little tease, it goes quiet again for a stretch. From the 18th through to the 23rd, the swell stays tiny, under 2ft, with poor conditions and messy winds. There's a lot of weak energy around the 300 mark. A long, flat, and frustrating run of days. The swell direction is coming from the southwest, which is not the direction this break loves – it prefers some west-northwest in there.

Then, we finally get something to look forward to, but it's over a week away. On Tuesday the 24th of September, the energy levels start to build. Thursday afternoon the swell is back up to 5ft from the west-northwest with a 12-second period, and the energy is solid at 803. It’s a shame it’s tagged as “marginal,” but the building trend is a good sign. And then, Saturday the 26th, is the standout. The swell is at a solid 5ft from the west-northwest, and the morning calls for glassy conditions. The wave comment is “expect very good surf conditions.” The energy is moderate at 529. This is the day to circle. It’s got good size, the right direction, and clean conditions. It won’t be for beginners at 5ft, but for the intermediate surfer, this is your window.

So, the pattern is: a couple of poor days, then a tiny but promising blip next Thursday, followed by a long flat spell. But the light at the end of the tunnel is that Tuesday the 24th and especially Saturday the 26th of September are looking like the best bets of the whole run. Keep your fingers crossed for that longer forecast.

Alright, that’s all from me. Stay stoked.

Rusty

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