Neakahine Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with the long-range look at Neakahine Point. Let's get into it.

First thing’s first, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. Tuesday the 1st is pretty much a write-off with poor, choppy conditions and only small 3-4ft swell. The water temp here is sitting at 60°, which is bang on average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

Now, Wednesday the 2nd brings a bit of a bump up in size, hitting 6-6ft from the SW, but the weather is messy with rain and the wind isn’t cooperating. It’s a marginal call at best.

The first real standout for me is Thursday the 3rd. The morning session is looking prime for the experienced crew. We’ve got a solid 8ft swell thumping in from the W with a 12-second period, giving it some serious grunt (combined wave energy of 2149). The wind is clean, cross-off from the SSE, which should keep the faces nice and tidy. This is the best on offer for the whole outlook, but only for those who know what they’re doing.

After that big push, things settle down quickly. Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th drop back to a much more manageable 4-4ft from the WNW. The real treat here is the wind: we’re looking at glassy conditions off the back of the rain on Friday arvo, and Saturday is completely calm in the morning with flat glass all day. It’ll be small but super clean.

Sunday the 6th is a weird one. A long-period 15-second groundswell from the SW only delivers a tiny 2ft wave. The energy is still there (321), but it’s going to be very inconsistent. A glassy window on Sunday arvo might offer a sneaky ride if you’re patient.

From Monday the 7th through to Wednesday the 9th, it’s pretty quiet. Swell drops below 3ft and the wind turns onshore or cross-onshore, making for poor conditions. Best to take a few days off.

We get another little spike around Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th with 4-5ft from the WNW, but the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, so the quality is going to be average at best. Not really worth getting excited about.

The second week, from Saturday the 12th onward, looks consistently small. We’re stuck in a pattern of 3-5ft WNW swell with periods around 9-11 seconds. The morning of Sunday the 13th is a glimmer of hope with clean, glassy conditions and 4ft, but the energy is only moderate (420). The rest of the days are a mix of cross-shore wind and onshore junk. Nothing stands out as a real winner.

The bottom line: Thursday the 3rd is your day if you’re after size and power, but it’s strictly for experts. For the everyday surfer, the small, glassy windows on Friday arvo and Saturday the 5th are your best bet for a fun, uncrowded paddle. The rest of the 16 days is mostly waiting for the next real swell.

Rusty.

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