Neakahine Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

First off, the big picture is a bit slow to start. We’ve got a real gap at the beginning with no surf worth paddling out for until the afternoon of Monday the 14th, and even that’s a slim window. The best of this whole 16-day run is going to be in a few specific, promising pockets. Let’s break it down.

The first real chance at a wave is Monday morning the 14th at Neakahine Point. We’ve got a 3ft swell from the WNW, with a short 8-second period—a bit of a windswell. The combined energy is moderate at 275. The wind is glassy, dead calm from the SW, making for clean, smooth conditions. It won’t be powerful, but for a Monday morning it’s got that *quiet lineup* vibe. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no need for extra rubber.

But don’t get too comfy. Monday afternoon and Tuesday are a bust with cross and cross-on winds tearing it up.

Keep your eye on Thursday afternoon the 17th. The swell pushes up to 5ft from the NW, still short period at 8 seconds, but the combined energy climbs to 404 (moderate). The critical part is the wind goes glassy again, from the WSW. That’s your standout window of the first week. Clean faces, decent push, the reef will start to work. That’s the session I’d aim for.

Friday the 18th morning is marginal, then the weekend falls apart. Saturday and Sunday the 19th–20th are a write-off—crosswinds, chop, and the swell drops to barely 1ft. A gap you can safely sleep through.

Now the second week gets interesting. By Monday morning the 22nd, we see a real shift. Swell size is up to 5ft from the WNW, and the period stretches to 11 seconds (groundswell). The combined energy jumps to 740—strong energy. But the wind is cross-shore from the north at 9 mph, so it’s not clean. This is bordering on too big for beginners, and the crosswind will make it lumpy.

The real standout of the second week? Look at Tuesday morning the 29th. We’ve got a 3ft swell from the WNW with a very long 16-second period—this is a proper groundswell. The combined energy is a solid 670 (strong). And the wind is a clean cross-off from the SSE at 6 mph, so it will be pristine. This is the day where Neakahine Point will offer long, lined-up waves. The long period means bigger gaps between sets, but the paddle out will be easier. This spot is a reef and point, so that long-period energy will wrap in nicely and give you real shape. The catch is it’s an inconsistent break, and crowds are possible. Get in early and you could score the best waves of the entire forecast.

Late on the 28th there’s a tiny window too—Monday afternoon—with 1ft swell but a 19-second period and glassy wind. It’s small, but if you’ve got a log, a long period groundswell can be surprisingly fun.

So to wrap it up: Thursday the 17th afternoon is your first-week standout. For the second week, lock in Tuesday the 29th morning. That’s the session to chase.

Rusty.

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