Neakahine Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, giving you the same story but in feet and miles.

First off, I’ve gotta level with you: this outlook is a pretty grim one. We’re looking at a solid 16-day stretch, and honestly, the surf quality is just not showing up. The wind is nearly always cross or cross-onshore, messing up the surface, and the wave state is consistently tagged as "poor." There’s a whole lot of nothing good happening here.

Let’s break it down from Saturday, August 1. The weekend kicks off with a 3ft swell from the west, but the wind is a cross-onshore breeze from the NW at 6 mph, making things lumpy. The combined wave energy is sitting at 201 (moderate), but it’s not doing us any favors. Sunday the 2nd picks up a little—swell builds to 5ft from the west, swinging to 5ft from the WNW in the afternoon, with energy jumping to 436 and 460 (strong). But that cross-shore wind from the NNW at 12 mph just chops it all up. Not the clean lines we’re after.

Monday and Tuesday, August 3 and 4, are more of the same: cross-shore winds, moderate to fresh breezes (9-19 mph), and wave heights hovering around 4ft to 5ft. The energy stays moderate, but the surface is lumpy and choppy. It’s looking more like a day to stay on the beach than paddle out.

Now, into the second week, from August 7 onward, the swell drops off a cliff. By Wednesday the 12th, we’re down to a tiny 2ft swell from the west, but here’s the kicker: the period jumps to 15 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell. For a reef-and-point setup like Neakahine Point, that can actually be a good thing—it tends to wrap in cleaner. But the wind is still cross-onshore, and the forecast is still "poor surf conditions." The energy is moderate (around 253 for the morning), but the shape is likely too straight and wind-affected to be fun.

The very end of the run, August 15 and 16, sees a tiny bounce back to 4ft and 5ft, but with that same cross-onshore wind again. The energy is strong (up to 478 on the 16th), but the quality is just not there.

Honestly, there is no standout here. This is a long, dry spell, and for Neakahine Point, it’s just not the time. If you’re desperate for a paddle, maybe the early morning of August 7 gets a marginal nod—4ft swell from the NW, a slight chance of cleaner conditions—but it’s a long shot. Keep an eye on the charts, because it tends not to stay this flat and messy forever.

Rusty.

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