Neakahine Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about the next couple of weeks. To be honest, looking at the charts for our stretch of coast, it’s a bit of a flat, frustrating run for a while. We’re looking at a lot of small, weak, and messy surf, with tricky cross-onshore winds messing up the surface more often than not. It’s going to be a real test of patience. The first real chance of anything decent doesn’t show up until around the 19th, so be prepared for a long stretch of small days before that.

Starting off now, and through the next several days, it’s pretty gutless. We’re talking ankle-biters in the 1ft range, with short, weak periods. The energy is just not there, and the wind is mostly from the northwest, which keeps things lumpy and cross-chopped. The water temp is hovering around average for this time of year, so the 3/2 will be fine for most of you.

Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th bring a tiny bump in swell, but it’s still small and the light winds go onshore. The swell direction is more from the west, which is a bit better, but there’s not enough size to get excited about. It’s just a case of getting wet and making the most of the small clean ones if you can find them.

The first day that’s worth circling on the calendar is Wednesday the 19th. The swell starts to pick up, with heights around 4ft. The period jumps to 11 seconds, which is a bit more promising. The energy is also starting to build. The direction is out of the west-northwest, which is a bit off the optimum for Neakahine Point, and the wind is still a light cross-on.

That trend continues into the 20th, but the wind gets a touch stronger and more side-shore, so the surface gets a bit uglier. The swell is still there, but it’s not firing on all cylinders. We then see it back off into the 21st and 22nd. The 22nd has a moment of glassy conditions in the afternoon, but the swell has dropped right back down to around 3ft and the period is short and weak. It’s a tease, really.

The real standout for this whole period, if we’re being honest, is still that window on Wednesday the 19th and into Thursday the 20th. The swell is at its biggest, and while the winds aren’t perfect, they are light. It’s a long way out, so take it with a grain of salt, but it’s the only time we see consistent, rideable waves pushing the 5ft mark. For the second week, the outlook is much the same—small, weak, and mostly messy. There just isn’t much to get excited about.

Overall, it’s a tough outlook. There’s no real firing day, and the conditions are mostly poor. If you’re desperate, the 19th and 20th are your best bet, but temper your expectations. It’s one of those stretches where the beach might look more interesting for the windsurfers and kitesurfers than us paddle surfers.

Stay patient.

Rusty.

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