Neakahine Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, let's talk about the next couple of weeks of surf, and truth be told, we've got a lot of flat and messy ocean to wade through before we see anything worth a hoot. For the first week or so, we're stuck with weak, small swells and wind that's just not our friend. The cross-onshore flow is going to have everything chopped up. You're looking at ankle-to-thigh high dribble, and the energy is weak (155-215). It's not going to be worth getting wet for, unless you're desperate for a paddle.

Through the 17th, it's a total write-off. The swell is tiny, and the wind, while light, is onshore or cross-onshore, making it a mess. You can see the groundswell is there on the charts, but it's gutless. We need a change, and it's not coming quick.

From the 18th, things start to get a bit more interesting. We see the swell start to pick up, and on the 19th, there's a 3ft W swell, but that NNW wind jumps to 25 km/h in the afternoon, shredding it. The morning of the 20th looks a bit better with that 4-5ft WNW swell, but it's still a marginal call. Getting closer, but the quality just isn't there.

The standout, the one you've been waiting for, is Saturday morning, the 22nd. That's the one. The wind goes glassy, truly dead, and there's a 3ft WNW swell. It's not the biggest of the week, but that clean surface is going to make Neakahine Point (Big Island) look like a different break. This is the one time in the forecast where the stars align for clean, fun waves on the reef and point. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The energy is moderate at 205, but the quality of surf will be far better than anything else we've seen. It's still inconsistent, so you'll have to be patient, but it'll be worth it.

Looking further out, the following week starts to look more promising in size. We see a significant pulse of energy around the 26th, with a 6-7ft NW swell. The energy jumps to 764, which is strong. But, that SSW wind is just going to be cross-shore and turn it into a washing machine on the point. This looks more like a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing day, with all that power and chop. The swell is solidly in the expert zone, and the wind ruins it.

The last few days of the month offer a hint of something cleaner, but we're into the long-range and it's all a bit iffy. The 29th shows another pulse of SW groundswell at 2ft and 16 seconds, but the wind is cross-onshore again, another marginal day.

So, in short: the window is limited. Sleep in, save your energy, and make sure you're free on the morning of the 22nd. That's your session. Everything else is either too small, too messy, or both.

Rusty.

Read more