Neakahine Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Yo, this is Rusty, and I gotta be straight with you – the outlook for Neakahine Point over the next 16 days is a tough one. We’re looking at a real dry spell, with no solid surf windows to get excited about. The forecast is packed with poor surf conditions and a whole lot of chop, so get ready for a long wait.

Alright, let’s break it down. Starting from Monday, August 3rd, right through to Sunday, August 16th, it’s a real struggle. The swell is hanging around the 3 ft to 6 ft range, mostly from the NW or WNW, but it’s a short-period, weak energy swell (mostly between 135 and 656 in the combined energy). The wind is a constant problem. We’re seeing cross-shore and cross-onshore winds, from the N, NNW, and NW, that are just ruining the surface. A few mornings, like Thursday the 6th, have a light onshore breeze, but the conditions are still labelled “marginal” at best. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so that’s one thing not working against us.

The best of a bad bunch might be around Friday, August 14th, and Saturday, August 15th. The swell picks up a touch to 6 ft from the NW, with a combined energy hitting 656. There’s a light SW wind on the Friday morning, and a light WNW on the Saturday morning, giving us a “light cross-onshore with small wind ripples”. It’s still not clean, but it’s the best we’ll see. This spot is a reef and point break, inconsistent, and exposed to the swell. It’s an intermediate wave, but with the chop and poor conditions, it’s not worth the paddle. The crowds are “sometimes” an issue, but honestly, I don’t think many will be out.

After that, it drops off hard. By Monday, August 17th, the swell tanks to 1 ft, but the period jumps to 16 seconds from the WNW. That’s a very long period groundswell. It’s a weak, inconsistent energy (198), and the wind is light cross-onshore. For a point and reef break like Neakahine Point, that long period *could* be a positive, but the size is so small it’s barely a ripple. Then Tuesday, the 18th, brings rain showers and a 12 mph S wind, with a 2 ft, 15-second swell from the W. That’s just a mess.

So, if you’re set on Neakahine Point, the absolute best bet is the mornings of August 14th and 15th. It’s not a standout, just the least bad option. Be prepared for a long, frustrating stretch. The setup is more interesting for the kite surfers than for paddlers, to be honest.

Rusty.

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