Neakahine Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m taking a look at the outlook for Neakahine Point over the next couple of weeks.

First off, I gotta be straight with you: this is a tough stretch. There’s no real A-grade surf on the horizon, and a lot of the time the conditions are just messy. The wave energy is usually moderate, often in the 200-600 range, but it’s rarely clean. The surf is inconsistent here, and that’s really showing. The water temp is about what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing wild.

The whole first week, from Wednesday the 15th through the end of that week, is mostly a write-off. The wind is almost always cross-on or just plain onshore, and the waves are small and choppy. For example, Wednesday morning the 15th has a 3 ft swell from the WNW at 10 seconds, but with a cross-on 15 km/h breeze, it’s just bumpy. The energy is there (303), but it’s not rideable. Later that week, the swell might push up to 4 ft on Saturday the 18th, but the wind is still cross-shore and choppy. There’s a slight flicker of hope on Monday morning the 20th with a 5 ft WNW swell and a light offshore wind, giving it a score of 2, but it’s still marginal. That’s the best you’ll see in the first week, and it’s not saying much.

The second week, from the 22nd onwards, is a long, dry spell of tiny surf and poor conditions. The swell drops to 2 ft or 2 ft, and while there are some longer period swells (like 14-19 seconds), they’re coming from the SW, which isn’t the optimum direction for this spot. The wind is still cross-on or onshore, keeping everything messy. The energy does pick up a bit around the 26th and 27th, hitting over 700, but the wave height is still small, and the wind is foul. The 27th of July has a 5 ft NW swell, but the cross-on wind ruins it.

The real standout—if you can call it that—is probably the Monday morning of the 20th. It’s the only time the swell is over 5 ft with a clean offshore wind, giving you the best chance at a few half-decent waves. But even then, it’s inconsistent, so don’t expect a classic session. For the rest of this 16-day window, it’s a long, quiet run. There’s a huge gap of days with no real recommendation, from the 22nd all the way through to the end.

All in all, Neakahine Point is a tough call right now. For a spot that’s already inconsistent, this forecast is a proper tester. The only real window to paddle out is that Monday morning, but even then, keep your expectations in check. The combo of small swell and poor wind means this setup might honestly be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing across most of the period.

Rusty.

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