Neakahine Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, giving you the same picture in feet and miles per hour.

Truth is, the next couple of weeks aren't looking good for any real surf. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak, and messy conditions. The swell is mostly tiny or the winds are all wrong, leaving us with hardly anything worth paddling out for. The first real chance to even think about a surf doesn’t come until Friday, July 24th, and even then, it’s a marginal call.

For the whole 16-day window, the only spot that even gets a mention is Neakahine Point. It’s a reef and point break, exposed to a SW swell, and it’s inconsistent – don’t expect it to be working often. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a good wetsuit.

Let’s run through it. Friday, July 24th afternoon shows a tiny 1 ft SW swell with a 24-second period, which is a very long period groundswell. That’s great for a point break like this, but the energy is weak (314). The wind is a light cross-onshore from the SW at 6 mph, and the whole thing is rated as marginal. Not exactly a standout.

Saturday the 25th? Forget it. Saturday morning is a write-off with 2 ft and a cross-shore wind at 12 mph. The combined energy climbs to 402 by afternoon, but the swell is still only 3 ft, and the wind stays messy. Sunday the 26th is similar – small swell, gentle cross-shore breeze, and the wave energy sits around 601 to 680, but it’s still just marginal.

From Monday the 27th onwards, the swell height bumps up a bit, but the wind stays cross or cross-onshore, and the period drops off. The energy starts to climb into the moderate range, but the surf quality is consistently poor. By the time we get into early August, the swell is pushing 5 ft to 6 ft, but the period is short (7 to 9 seconds), and the wind is nearly always onshore or cross-onshore, creating chop and messy conditions. The energy values are moderate (200 to 500 range), but that’s all wind and chop, not clean wave energy.

The window around August 4th and 5th has a bit more size, but the period is short (7-9 seconds), and the wind is still cross-onshore. The swell direction is from the NW and WNW, which is not the optimum SW direction for Neakahine Point. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, especially with the cross-shore winds and messy conditions.

So, honestly, there’s no standout session here. The best you could hope for is maybe a quick, grovelly session on a small, clean shoulder, but even that’s a stretch. The forecast is poor for the entire 16 days, and given the inconsistency of this spot, a blank run like this is not unusual for the area. Keep your eye on the charts, though – it tends not to stay this poor for long.

Rusty.

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