Neakahine Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at Neakahine Point. This spot is a reef and point set-up, and it’s inconsistent – it doesn’t fire that often, so when it does, you’ve got to be on it. But I’ve got to be straight with you: the next 16 days are looking pretty grim. There’s nothing that’s a true standout, and the surf quality is poor for most of the window. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual there.

The overall pattern is a lot of cross-onshore and cross-shore winds, choppy conditions, and a general lack of clean, rideable waves. The swell energy is mostly moderate, with a couple of stronger pulses, but they’re let down by the wind.

Let’s break it down. The first bit of surf that’s even worth mentioning is on Monday, July 20th. The morning has a 5ft swell from the NW with a short period of 8 seconds, and the wind is light and onshore at 6 mph. The combined energy is moderate (482). It’s marginal, but it’s the best we’ve got early on. The afternoon is a bit smaller with a light cross-onshore, but still not great.

Tuesday the 21st is a write-off with poor conditions. Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd see a bump in size to 5ft, still short period NW swell, but the wind is onshore. The energy is moderate (489-490). Still not clean.

Friday the 24th has that 5ft NW swell again, and the morning has a light onshore wind, but the afternoon turns choppy again.

Then on Saturday, July 25th, we get a long-period groundswell from the SW at 23 seconds, but it’s only 2ft. That’s a very long period, and at a point break like Neakahine, that could bend in nicely, but it’s tiny. The energy is moderate (481). The wind is light cross-onshore. If you’re on a log, you might get a sneaky one, but it’s marginal.

Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th are a mix of cross-shore winds and moderate chop. The swell stays small, despite some longer periods.

The biggest energy spike comes on Monday afternoon, July 27th, with a 4ft NW swell at 10 seconds and an energy of 843 (strong). But the wind is a moderate cross-shore at 15 mph, creating a lumpy cross-chop. It’s poor surf.

The rest of the run into early August is a wasteland of poor conditions, small swells, and onshore or cross-shore winds. The energy drops right off.

So, to be honest, there’s nothing here to get excited about. If you’re desperate, the Monday morning of July 20th or the Friday morning of July 24th might give you a few crumbly walls if the tide plays ball, but don’t expect much. It’s a classic case of the spot being inconsistent and the conditions not lining up. The long-range stuff on July 25th is tantalising with that 23-second period, but it’s just too small.

This is a tough run for Neakahine. It’ll come good again, but not in this window.

Rusty.

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