Neakahine Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the next week or so is looking pretty flat and messy for the most part. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak swell and cross-shore winds that are gonna keep things choppy and uninviting.

We start off from Wednesday, the 26th of August, with a tiny 2ft SW groundswell wrapping in at a lazy 16 seconds. The combined energy is weak, coming in at 210, and the wind is a light cross-onshore, leaving the surface with small ripples. The water is sitting at 56°, which is over 4° colder than usual for this time of year – you’ll feel that chill. It’s a marginal setup at best. Thursday and Friday look even worse, with the swell dropping to 1ft and moderate cross-shore winds making a mess. Saturday and Sunday, the 29th and 30th, are still poor with the swell stuck around 1ft to 2ft and cross-onshore winds. The energy is low, and it’s just not worth paddling out.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Tuesday, the 1st of September. The swell picks up to 3ft from the WNW, but the period is short at 9 seconds, and the wind is a moderate cross-shore. The energy is moderate at 278, but the quality is still poor. Wednesday also looks average with similar conditions.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. On Thursday morning, the 3rd of September, we finally get something worth setting the alarm for. The swell bumps up to 5ft from the WNW, with a 10-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 600 – that’s moderate to strong. But the real kicker is the wind: glassy. Dead flat, offshore conditions. That’s a major positive. The waves will be clean and lined up. This is the standout of the whole forecast. The only caveat is that it’s a point and reef setup, and with a 10-second period, it’s a decent groundswell that should wrap in nicely. The afternoon goes a bit lumpy with a cross-onshore, but that morning session will be gold. Crowds are possible at Neakahine Point, but for that quality, you’ll cop it.

Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th see the swell drop back to 4ft to 4ft, but Saturday morning, the 5th of September, is another glassy clean session with 4ft WNW swell and moderate energy at 500. That’s a solid second option, but not as strong as Thursday.

Sunday the 6th of September pushes the swell up to 6ft from the NW, with a 10-second period, and the energy is strong at 768. That’s getting into the more powerful range, but it’s also getting big enough to be a bit much for beginners. The morning wind is offshore, so it’ll be clean, but the tide conditions might be a bit tricky. Monday the 7th of September sees the biggest swell of the run – 7ft from the NW with a 10-second period and a massive combined energy of 1117. That’s strong wave energy, and it’s only for experienced surfers. The wind is a clean cross-offshore in the morning, so the shape should be good, but that afternoon turns into a fresh 19 mph cross-shore, making it lumpy and messy.

The second week tails off. Tuesday the 8th of September is still a solid 5ft with clean cross-offshore winds in the morning, but the energy drops to 455. Wednesday the 9th of September is smaller at 4ft with glassy conditions in the morning – a nice clean option for the log or a mid-length. By Thursday the 10th of September, we’re back to tiny 2ft SW swell with a long 16-second period, but the wind is cross-onshore, and the energy is weak. The window closes out flat.

The absolute best on offer is Thursday morning, the 3rd of September, at Neakahine Point – 5ft WNW swell, glassy wind, and moderate-to-strong energy. That’s the one to circle. The second pick is Saturday morning, the 5th of September, with 4ft and glassy conditions. The big Monday session on the 7th is for the experienced crew only.

Rusty.

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