Neakahine Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, Rusty here again. Let's break this down in feet and old-school units.

Honestly, the next couple of weeks at Neakahine Point look pretty grim. The wind is our enemy, blowing from the NW or NNW most of the time, putting a chop on everything. The water's running about 57°, which is a bit nippier than average for this time.

Our first real, and probably only, decent chance comes on Wednesday, July 8th. Late in the afternoon, the wind is set to go almost glassy with a light WNW breeze. The swell is tiny at 2ft, but it's a proper groundswell out of the SW with a long 18-second interval. That long period means energy, and for a reef and point, it could wrap in and give you a few clean, lined-up waves despite the size. The combined energy is moderate at 394. You might see a few other heads out as crowds are "sometimes," but it'll be the pick of a very poor bunch.

Thursday the 9th keeps that SW groundswell around 2ft with a 16-second period, but the NNW wind picks back up and chops it out.

There's a big dry spell of poor, blown-out conditions until Wednesday, July 15th. We get a pulse of very long-period west swell at 21 seconds, with moderate energy at 456, but it's only 2ft and the wind is back on it. Thursday the 16th is similar – 3ft of WNW groundswell with 18-second periods and a cross-onshore breeze.

The only other event on the horizon is Saturday, July 18th. We see the biggest swell of the forecast at 5ft from the WNW, with a strong combined energy of 623 in the morning and 696 in the afternoon. But the period drops to 9 seconds, and the wind stays cross-onshore from the NW and NNW. It’s gonna be a lumpy mess. At 5ft and that chop, it's expert territory only and looks more like a day for the kite guys than a paddle surfer.

So your window is that late afternoon on July 8th. Otherwise, it's a waiting game. The forecast can always change, but right now, it's a tough one.

Rusty.

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