Neakahine Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – the outlook for Neakahine Point is a tough one. This spot is a reef and point setup that's inconsistent at the best of times, and this forecast window is mostly a dud. We're looking at a long, frustrating stretch of poor conditions.

The water temperature is sitting around 58°, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

For the first week and a half, from Friday the 7th of August all the way through to the 20th, it's just grim. We've got tiny, weak swell, mostly from the NW, with a combined energy that barely gets into the low hundreds (179) on a good day, and often below 100. The wind is a constant problem – cross-on or cross-shore from the NNW and NW, putting a nasty chop on everything. The swell period is short, around 6 to 7 seconds, so the waves are weak and crumbly. It's a complete write-off. There's a tiny window on the 11th of August with a long-period 19-second swell from the SW, but it's only 1 foot – pure theory, no surfable wave.

There is a glimmer, but it's a long way off. Tuesday the 18th of August sees a pulse of energy coming in. The swell jumps to 4 foot from the WNW with a period of 11 seconds, and the combined energy hits 459. It's still a cross-on wind, so it's messy, but it's a sign of life. The real standout is Wednesday the 19th of August. The morning shows a 7 foot swell from the W with a 12-second period and a combined energy of 1410! That's a proper, powerful groundswell. The wind is cross-shore, so it's not perfect, but it will be far cleaner than anything else. A 7 foot wave at a reef and point is expert territory, not for the faint-hearted. The afternoon backs off a bit to 6 foot, still strong.

Later in the week, the 20th and 21st drop back to smaller, wind-affected junk. The 22nd is the same story.

So, bottom line: if you're desperate, your only real shot is the morning of Wednesday the 19th of August. That's the standout. But with a 7 foot swell and a cross-shore wind, it's a big, powerful ocean out there. The rest of the 16 days is a case of leave the board in the car.

Rusty.

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