Neakahine Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up for us.

Honestly, it's a pretty grim outlook for Neakahine Point. We're looking at a solid 16-day stretch here, and the first decent wave I can see isn't until Saturday morning, July 11th. Even then, it's a struggle. The swell is a modest 4ft from the WNW with a 10-second period, and the combined wave energy is moderate at 415. But the real killer is that cross-shore wind from the SSW at 6 mph. The crew at the data desk marked it as marginal, and I'd agree. It's a light breeze, but it's enough to put a rumple on the face. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing to write home about.

From there, Saturday afternoon kicks up a bit, but the wind jumps to 12 mph, making it a cross-chop mess. Sunday, July 12th, through to the end of the week looks like a write-off. The swell hangs around 3ft to 5ft, but the wind is either cross-on or cross-shore, and it's never less than 9 mph. The wave energy is moderate to strong (233 to 631), but it's all chopped up. The Thursday morning session on the 16th has the biggest swell at 5ft but with a fresh cross-shore wind, it's just a lumpy mess.

The second week doesn't offer any relief. The pattern is the same: waist-high waves with a cross-shore or cross-on wind. The swell direction stays mostly WNW or NW, with periods dropping to 7 or 8 seconds, which is short period, windswell junk. The energy levels are still moderate (112 to 444), but it's all poor surf. There's a small bump on the 23rd with a 4ft swell from the NW, but the wind is onshore from the west, which is hopeless.

There is one weird little spike on the 25th and 26th. A tiny 1ft to 2ft groundswell from the SW with a massive 20 to 22-second period. The period is very long, but the size is so small it's barely a ripple. The energy is moderate (128 to 349), but the wind is a fresh cross-shore, so it's not going to be clean. For a spot like Neakahine Point, which is a reef and point setup, this long-period swell would normally be a dream, but there's just not enough water moving to make it work.

Overall, there is no standout session here. The wind is the enemy the entire run. The combination of cross-shore winds and the fact that the swell is mostly short-period windswell means the waves are going to be weak and messy. If you're desperate, the best chance is probably the first Saturday morning, July 11th, with the lightest wind, but don't expect much. For a break that's inconsistent at the best of times, this 16-day blank run is a bit of a tough one, but it's not unusual for the area. Keep the wetsuit handy, though; forecasts can change.

Rusty.

Read more