Mossies (Brandon Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's talk about what's cooking at Mossies (Brandon Bay).

Right off the bat, we've got a bit of a rough patch to get through. The first few days of September are pretty grim with onshore winds and messy conditions. The water is sitting at 63°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that's a small comfort. But honestly, the surf is poor until we hit a bit of a window.

The real standout, the one you want to circle, is the morning of Saturday the 5th. We're looking at a solid 7ft swell from the WNW, with a period of 10 seconds. That's a decent groundswell. But the real magic is that wind – it's a gentle offshore breeze from the SSE. That's going to clean things up nicely. The combined swell energy is moderate at 963, so there's some push behind it. The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions," and I'm buzzing for that. It's a reef break, so that longer period will wrap in nicely. This is the pick of the entire outlook.

The afternoon of the 5th will drop off a bit to 6ft, with the wind shifting to cross-offshore. It's a marginal call, but still a session worth having if you're there.

After that, we get a bit of a lull. Sunday the 6th through Monday the 7th sees the swell dropping and the wind getting messy again. There's a spike on Monday the 7th with a 12ft swell from the W, but it's being hammered by a strong cross-onshore breeze – that's a kite-surfing wind, not a paddle-surfing wind. It's lumpy and blown out.

The next flicker of hope comes on Wednesday the 9th. The morning is a bit iffy, but the afternoon shows a 8ft WNW swell with a clean offshore wind from the SE (16 mph). The energy is moderate at 866. It's a marginal call, but with that offshore wind, it could clean up into something fun.

Then we get another gap. Things get blown out again through the 10th and 11th.

The next real mention is on Saturday the 12th. The morning has a 5ft W swell with a clean cross-offshore breeze. It's small, but with a period of 9 seconds, it's a longboard-friendly wave. The energy is low at 373. This is a good session for the log.

Now, looking way out, there's a monster on the horizon for Sunday the 13th of September. We're looking at a massive 12ft swell from the WNW with a very long period of 15 seconds. The combined energy is a whopping 5100. That's a serious, powerful groundswell. The problem is the wind is forecast to be onshore, which is a total bummer. The afternoon score is a 4/10, but still marginal. If that wind swings offshore, it could be an all-time session, but long-range forecasts are less certain, so keep an eye on it. That size is for experts only.

The final decent window is on Tuesday the 15th. Both morning and afternoon show small 3ft to 4ft NW swell with clean offshore or cross-offshore winds. Very light winds make for glassy conditions. It's small, but it's clean. Good for a beginner or a fun end-of-season session.

So, to wrap it up: the clear winner is the morning of Saturday the 5th. If you can only get one session, that's it. The 9th afternoon is a backup, and the 12th morning is for the longboard crew. That big swell on the 13th is a tantalizing promise, but we'll have to wait and see how the wind plays out.

Rusty.

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