Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf Break

Lat Long: 52.29° N 10.04° W

Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 pm 16 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Dumps (Brandon Bay) sea temperature is
17.5° C
2.0° 

Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period, NNW swell with 153 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with NNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumps (Brandon Bay) this week:

The surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Dumps (Brandon Bay) in the next 16 days are 1.5m 6s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Fri 17th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 6s
Best Surf10PM (Fri 17th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 6s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sat 18th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right, folks. Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I’m looking at this forecast and it’s a tough one. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a struggle. For the first ten days, the swell is tiny – mostly 1 to 2 feet at best, if that. The wind is a mess too, constantly shifting and bringing in cross-chop or cross-on conditions. We’re looking at a lot of days where it’s just not worth the paddle. The water temp is sitting at 64°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for the time of year, so that’s one small blessing.

There’s a small glimmer of hope right at the end of the run. Things start to change around Friday, the 24th of July. The swell picks up to 4 feet from the WNW, and the combined energy jumps up (339). That’s a moderate bump in energy, but the wind is cross-on, which will mess up the face. Not ideal.

The real standout, if you can call it that, is Saturday morning, the 25th of July. The swell is 4 feet from the WNW, and the combined energy is still moderate (207). But the wind is onshore, pushing straight into the waves. The break is fairly exposed and the optimum direction is NW, so it’s in the right ballpark, but the onshore wind will make it a choppy, blown-out mess. It’ll be sizeable, but only for the hardcore who don’t mind a battle.

Then it gets a bit weird. From Sunday, 26th of July through to the end of the month, the swell stays around 3 to 4 feet, with a lot of onshore and cross-on wind. The energy is in the moderate range (100-258), but the quality just isn’t there. There’s a brief moment on Thursday morning, 30th of July, where the wind goes light cross-off and the swell is 3 feet from the west with a long 9-second period, and the energy is 146 – it’s clean, but the waves are still small and ordinary. A one-star day at best.

Overall, Dumps is pretty inconsistent for this period. There’s no real “best” day to point to. The swell is too weak for the first half, and when it does finally show up, the wind ruins it. For a beginner, anything over 5 feet here is a big ask, but the waves on the 25th and 26th are in that range, so it’s expert territory. The short period (8 seconds) on those days means it’ll be a bit lumpy and weak, too.

Don’t get your hopes up for this one. It’s a flat spell broken by a few days of messy, onshore swell. The only thing to do is wait and see if the forecasts change. The setups look more interesting for kite surfing than a proper paddle session.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
W
9
0.4
W
8
0.3
W
8
0.3
W
8
0.4
NW
10
1.1
NNW
7
0.8
NNW
6
1.2
NNW
5
1.1
NNW
6
0.8
NNW
6
0.8
NNW
6
0.5
W
11
0.5
W
11
0.5
W
10
0.5
W
10
0.4
W
9
0.4
W
9
0.9
NNW
5
0.4
W
9
0.4
W
9
0.9
NNW
5
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
13
22
12
12
25
107
40
77
97
48
47
62
57
56
50
28
27
48
25
25
46
Wind (km/h)
5
NNE
15
NNW
5
WNW
10
NNW
15
NNW
20
NNE
15
NNE
25
NNW
15
NE
10
NNE
20
N
10
NNE
15
NNE
20
NNW
15
NNE
15
NNE
20
NNW
10
N
20
N
20
N
10
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross
glassy
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
7:20PM4.27m
7:55AM3.92m
8:06PM4.18m
8:40AM3.79m
8:50PM3.98m
9:24AM3.60m
9:35PM3.71m
10:10AM3.40m
10:23PM3.40m
10:58AM3.20m
11:15PM3.11m
11:51AM3.03m
00:16AM2.89m
Low Tide
1:00PM0.25m
1:32AM-0.11m
1:44PM0.32m
2:17AM0.01m
2:29PM0.46m
3:01AM0.23m
3:14PM0.66m
3:45AM0.51m
4:02PM0.90m
4:33AM0.81m
4:57PM1.12m
5:26AM1.10m
6:03PM1.30m
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:37
5:37
5:39
5:41
5:41
5:43
5:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:53
9:52
9:52
9:51
9:49
9:47
9:46
 mm
Temp °C
21
22
20
17
17
17
15
14
15
17
18
17
15
15
16
14
15
15
15
15
16
Feels °C
20
19
20
16
15
15
12
9
12
15
15
15
12
12
14
11
12
14
12
12
15
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Dumps (Brandon Bay) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumps (Brandon Bay) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumps (Brandon Bay)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Kerry? If you are looking for accommodation near Dumps, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Kerry, consider staying in Fenit which is 12 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Kerry where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Tra Li which is 22 km (14 miles) away, Valentia, Foynes and Bantry.

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