Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf Break

Lat Long: 52.29° N 10.04° W

Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Dumps (Brandon Bay) sea temperature is
17.0° C
2.0° 

Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period, W swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period, W swell with 388 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period with W swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumps (Brandon Bay) this week:

The surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Dumps (Brandon Bay) in the next 16 days are 1.3m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Thu 9th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 9s
Best Surf10AM (Thu 9th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 9s
Most Powerful10AM (Fri 10th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaking for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s a window of surf coming through that’s worth keeping an eye on. The first few days are pretty quiet, but we do get a pulse of energy that sets up the best conditions of the stretch.

The only break on the menu is Dumps (Brandon Bay). The water temp is sitting at 63°, which is a couple of degrees warmer than average for this time of year, so you’ll be feeling that touch of extra warmth on your skin.

The first real chance for a paddle comes on Thursday morning, July 9th. It’s early, but it’s a beauty. You’ve got a 4ft swell out of the west, a 9-second period, and the wind is glassy. That’s the kind of morning you set your alarm for. The combined swell energy is moderate (281), and the lack of any wind chop means it’ll be clean. It’s a small-scale, beginner-friendly day, but for Dumps, that’s a good thing.

Then, Friday morning, July 10th, is the standout. The swell bumps up a touch to 4ft from the west, but the period stretches to 11 seconds, giving it more push. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the NNE, and the combined energy jumps to 388 – that’s solid moderate energy. The waves will have some shape to them, and the crowd factor is only “sometimes,” so you might get a few waves to yourself.

After that, the swell drops off fast. From Saturday the 11th right through to the end of the window, it’s a sad story. By Sunday the 12th, we’re down to 2ft and weak energy (54). The wind turns onshore or cross-shore most days, and the wave heights barely reach 2ft. There’s a long stretch of flat, choppy, or just plain messy conditions from Monday the 13th all the way out to Wednesday the 23rd. The swell does pick up a bit around the 20th and 21st, with 3ft waves and moderate energy (153), but the wind is howling onshore at 22-25 mph, so it’s blown out and messy. That’s kite-surfing weather, not for a paddle.

So, to sum it up: your best bet is Thursday morning, July 9th for the glassy conditions, and Friday morning, July 10th for the best combination of size, period, and clean wind. The rest of the 16 days is a write-off. Don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
0
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
W
10
1.1
W
9
1.3
W
9
1.3
W
9
1.1
W
9
1.3
W
11
1.2
WNW
10
1
WNW
9
0.7
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
9
0.8
NNW
7
0.5
WNW
8
0.4
WNW
7
0.4
WNW
7
0.2
W
8
0.3
W
13
0.4
W
11
0.5
W
10
0.6
W
10
0.4
W
9
0.4
W
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
262
202
281
270
180
388
288
181
75
113
59
33
21
18
5
28
39
51
71
26
25
Wind (km/h)
5
WNW
10
SW
5
SSW
10
NW
5
NNE
10
NNE
20
N
15
NNE
20
NNE
20
N
15
NNE
15
NE
15
N
15
NE
20
NE
20
ENE
15
ENE
10
ENE
15
ENE
5
NNW
10
ESE
Wind State
on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
glassy
off
High Tide
11:55PM3.16m
12:40PM3.20m
1:05AM3.15m
1:48PM3.29m
2:20AM3.24m
2:56PM3.46m
3:30AM3.42m
3:58PM3.69m
4:33AM3.63m
4:54PM3.93m
5:29AM3.82m
5:46PM4.13m
6:20AM3.94m
Low Tide
5:35PM1.14m
6:09AM0.93m
6:50PM1.12m
7:22AM0.93m
8:06PM0.98m
8:34AM0.85m
9:14PM0.74m
9:38AM0.69m
10:14PM0.46m
10:34AM0.51m
11:08PM0.19m
11:26AM0.36m
11:58PM-0.01m
12:14PM0.27m
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
light rain
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:28
5:30
5:31
5:31
5:33
5:33
5:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
10:00
10:00
10:00
9:59
9:58
9:57
9:55
9:54
 mm
2
1
1
Temp °C
17
16
18
18
17
16
17
17
18
21
20
22
26
24
22
25
20
19
24
20
19
Feels °C
16
16
19
18
17
15
15
16
16
19
18
21
26
23
18
21
16
17
22
19
19
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Dumps (Brandon Bay) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumps (Brandon Bay) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumps (Brandon Bay)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Kerry? If you are looking for accommodation near Dumps, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Kerry, consider staying in Fenit which is 12 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Kerry where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Tra Li which is 22 km (14 miles) away, Valentia, Foynes and Bantry.

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