Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf Break

Lat Long: 52.29° N 10.04° W

Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 pm 20 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Dumps (Brandon Bay) sea temperature is
17.5° C
1.8° 

Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 11s period, NW swell with 1,313 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period with NNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumps (Brandon Bay) this week:

The surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Dumps (Brandon Bay) in the next 16 days are 2.4m 11s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Wed 22nd Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 6s
Best Surf 1AM (Wed 22nd Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 6s
Most Powerful 1PM (Sat 25th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Dumps (Brandon Bay). Honestly, it’s a pretty grim stretch ahead. We’ve got a long, dry run of poor conditions before a couple of windows that might just make it worth paddling out.

The first real sign of life doesn’t show up until Thursday the 30th of July. Before that, it’s a whole lot of nothing. From now through the 20th, 21st, 22nd, 23rd, 24th, 25th, 26th, 27th, 28th, and 29th – that’s ten days of straight-up poor surf, a mix of cross-shore chop, onshore junk, and really weak swell. The morning of the 25th sees a jump in size with a 7ft swell from the WNW, but it’s onshore wind and the combined energy hits 1155 (strong), so it’s just a messy, blown-out lump. Too big for beginners, and with the wind howling, it’s more of a kite session than a paddle. That same pattern sticks around, with onshore winds and lumpy conditions through the 27th, 28th, and 29th, even though the swell stays in the 6ft to 7ft range.

Now, Thursday the 30th of July. This is the standout. Morning glass – zero wind, WSW, glassy as a mirror. The swell is 5ft from the NW with a 9-second period, and the combined energy is 421 (moderate). That’s a solid, clean wave for an intermediate surfer. The water’s sitting at 64°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. Dumps is a fairly exposed spot, and with the optimum swell direction from the NW, this is the best we’ve got. It’s not huge, but it’s clean, and you’ll have the place to yourself – crowds are only sometimes. The afternoon on the 30th turns cross-on, so make the most of that morning.

Then Friday the 31st of July, another bright spot. Morning offshore wind from the E at just 3 mph, clean conditions, and a 5ft swell from the W with a 9-second period. The combined energy is 376 (moderate). It’s a touch smaller than Thursday, but the offshore breeze will groom it nicely. Again, Dumps is fairly consistent, so this is a legit option. The afternoon gets a bit cross-shore, but the morning is where it’s at.

After that, it fades. Saturday the 1st of August has a 3ft swell from the W, but it’s cross-off and surfable, but nothing special. The combined energy drops to 220 (weak). Then from Sunday the 2nd onwards, it’s back to poor conditions, onshore winds, and small, weak swell. The 3rd of August sees a 5ft swell but with onshore winds, so it’s messy. The 4th of August has a 7ft swell in the morning and 8ft in the afternoon, but both are onshore and poor, with the afternoon energy hitting 1083 (strong) – again, more kite territory.

So, the play: aim for the morning of Thursday the 30th of July, or the morning of Friday the 31st of July. Those are the clean, fun windows. Everything else is a write-off. Don’t hold your breath for the rest.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Thu morning, fresh winds from the NW by Sat night).

Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
W
11
0.5
W
10
0.9
NNW
6
0.4
W
10
0.8
NNW
6
1
NNW
6
0.7
NNW
5
0.7
NNW
5
0.8
NNW
5
0.5
NNW
6
0.4
NNW
6
0.3
W
8
0.9
NW
9
1.1
NW
8
1.4
NW
10
2.2
WNW
11
2.4
NW
10
2.1
WNW
10
2.3
WNW
9
2.3
WNW
9
2
WNW
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
57
56
55
30
38
68
26
25
32
18
14
12
144
154
348
1155
1181
873
883
883
710
Wind (km/h)
15
NNE
20
NNW
15
NE
15
NNE
20
N
15
NE
10
NE
15
NNW
10
N
5
NNE
20
NNW
10
NNW
10
NW
15
NW
15
W
20
W
25
NW
20
WNW
30
NW
30
NW
15
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
High Tide
10:10AM3.40m
10:23PM3.40m
10:58AM3.20m
11:15PM3.11m
11:51AM3.03m
00:16AM2.89m
12:54PM2.93m
1:28AM2.78m
2:04PM2.93m
2:43AM2.81m
3:09PM3.03m
3:45AM2.94m
4:03PM3.20m
Low Tide
4:02PM0.90m
4:33AM0.81m
4:57PM1.12m
5:26AM1.10m
6:03PM1.30m
6:32AM1.30m
7:21PM1.37m
7:47AM1.39m
8:35PM1.32m
8:53AM1.34m
9:33PM1.17m
9:47AM1.21m
10:20PM0.98m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:41
5:43
5:45
5:46
5:47
5:48
5:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:49
9:47
9:46
9:45
9:44
9:43
9:40
 mm
2
2
Temp °C
15
15
15
14
15
15
13
14
15
15
15
14
15
16
16
15
16
15
15
15
15
Feels °C
12
12
13
11
12
12
10
11
14
15
13
13
13
14
14
13
13
13
10
10
13
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Dumps (Brandon Bay) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumps (Brandon Bay) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumps (Brandon Bay)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Kerry? If you are looking for accommodation near Dumps, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Kerry, consider staying in Fenit which is 12 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Kerry where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Tra Li which is 22 km (14 miles) away, Valentia, Foynes and Bantry.

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