Surf Forecasts:
Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 27 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period, W swell with 956 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumps (Brandon Bay) this week:
The surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dumps (Brandon Bay) in the next 16 days are 2.4m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 29) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (IST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s happening at Dumps (Brandon Bay). Don’t bother flipping the chart; the whole story is right in front of us for the next couple of weeks.
The headline is: a lot of waiting. The first few days are frustrating. The real reward is buried deep in the forecast, and it’s the morning of the 5th of September that’s the standout.
The Long Wait (Now through early September)
From Thursday the 27th of August, you can paddle out, but it’s not calling my name. The swell is small, about 3ft from the WNW, with a so-so 9-second period. The combined energy is weak (121). The wind is cross-off in the morning, so it’ll be clean, but it’s thin. The water sits near 63°F, feeling a touch warmer than the norm.
Then from the 28th of August right through to the 3rd of September, it’s a rough stretch. The surf is poor. We get a few pulses to maybe 5ft–6ft, but every time, the wind slams onshore or cross-onshore, turning it into a choppy, blown-out mess. That’s just time you won’t get back.
The Big, Messy Pulse (4th September)
Friday the 4th brings some serious muscle. We’re talking a massive 13ft groundswell from the WNW, with a long 12-second period. The energy is through the roof (4366 in the afternoon). This is a ton of water. But the wind is cross-on and choppy. At this size, with these winds, it’s a beast for experts only—and honestly, it looks better for kites than a surfboard.
The One to Chase (5th September)
Now, Saturday the 5th of September? That’s the golden window. The swell backs down to a much friendlier 7–8ft from the WNW, still with a 10-second period and strong energy (1104). The critical difference is the wind: a light 6 mph cross-off from the SSE. Glassy. Clean. The report calls for “very good surf conditions.” This is the call. It will be crowded, so be ready to share, but that morning session will be the best of the whole 16-day stretch.
The Slow Fade (6th through 11th September)
After that peak, the quality drops off fast. The 6th gets ravaged by strong winds. The days following see either strong onshores or tiny, clean but insignificant waves. By the 10th and 11th, we’re down to ankle-snappers around 2ft with no energy.
So here’s the plan: write off the first week. Friday the 4th is for the kamikaze crew only. The session you want is early on Saturday, 5th September. That’s the one.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Thu afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sun night, light winds from the WSW by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 4 | WSW 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
121 | 90 | 59 | 59 | 21 | 16 | 20 | 114 | 246 | 203 | 220 | 755 | 390 | 313 | 349 | 418 | 328 | 191 | 94 | 62 | 422 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | off | cross-on | on | cross | cross | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | cross | on |
High Tide | 5:33PM3.84m | 5:57AM3.68m | 6:05PM3.98m | 6:29AM3.81m | 6:37PM4.05m | 7:00AM3.87m | 7:10PM4.04m | 7:33AM3.87m | 7:44PM3.96m | 8:08AM3.79m | 8:22PM3.79m | 8:47AM3.64m | 9:05PM3.55m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:20AM0.60m | 11:44PM0.28m | 11:51AM0.43m | 00:13AM0.13m | 12:22PM0.32m | 00:43AM0.06m | 12:53PM0.27m | 1:14AM0.07m | 1:27PM0.30m | 1:47AM0.18m | 2:02PM0.41m | 2:23AM0.37m | 2:42PM0.59m | 3:05AM0.64m | |||||||
6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | |
— | 8:39 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:32 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:29 | — | — | 8:25 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 16 | 1 | — | 6 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 17 |
Feels °C | 17 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | NW 9 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SW 8 | WSW 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | — | W 9 | NNW 6 | — | — | W 18 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WSW 8 |
121 | 90 | 59 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 114 | 246 | 203 | 220 | — | 390 | 45 | — | — | 6 | 191 | 94 | 36 | 422 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 12 | NW 11 | — | NW 9 | NW 7 | — | NW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | — | NNW 6 | — | — | — | — | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 |
— | 3 | 5 | — | 3 | 11 | — | 2 | 19 | 9 | 8 | — | 58 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NW 9 | — | — | N 7 | E 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
— | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 10 | 10 | 9 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | — | NW 8 | WNW 4 | — | NW 4 | NW 5 | — | S 2 | — | W 10 | — | W 9 | W 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | — | — | WSW 6 | — |
8 | 3 | — | 59 | 18 | — | 20 | 52 | — | 1 | — | 755 | — | 313 | 349 | 418 | 328 | — | — | 62 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 33 | 122 | 6 | 602 | 182 | 279 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 147 | 8 | 227 | 393 | 579 | 1040 | 0 | 0 | 340 | 643 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kerry | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Ireland | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumps (Brandon Bay) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumps (Brandon Bay) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumps (Brandon Bay)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Kerry? If you are looking for accommodation near Dumps, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Kerry, consider staying in Fenit which is 12 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Kerry where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Tra Li which is 22 km (14 miles) away, Valentia, Foynes and Bantry.











