Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey everyone, it’s Rusty. Let’s be real about the Dumps right now – it’s a tough stretch. We’ve got a long dry spell at the start, and the first real surfable moment doesn’t come until Tuesday morning, August 11th, and even then it’s nothing to write home about.

For the first several days, the swell is almost non-existent or the wind is ruining everything. The wave energy is puny, with numbers like 72 and 90. You’re not missing anything.

The first chance to get in the water is Tuesday morning, August 11th. The wind is finally coming from the SSE, cross-offshore, and the report calls it “clean.” The swell is only 2ft from the NW with a period of 8 seconds, so it’s knee-high, but it’s the cleanest we’ve seen. The combined energy is a weak 56. It’s a session for the longboard, at best.

Then we have a gap until Thursday, August 13th. Both the morning and afternoon have clean conditions with cross-offshore wind from the SSE (9 mph) and a consistent 3ft swell from the west (9 seconds). The energy is moderate at 168 in the morning and 227 in the afternoon. That Thursday afternoon is the best of the bunch – small, but clean and with a bit of push.

After that, it’s mostly onshore wind or poor conditions. There’s a tiny clean window on Sunday morning, August 16th, with a 2ft swell from the WSW (8 seconds), but the energy is only 93.

The only time the swell shows up with some power is Wednesday, August 19th. The morning has 6ft from the west with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy is 702 – that’s strong. But the wind is moderate cross-shore with a cross-chop, so it’s messy. That’s big enough to be expert-only, and with the chop, it’s more of a kitesurfing day than a paddle day. The afternoon has 5ft but cross-onshore wind and choppy conditions.

The 20th and 21st of August are just a mess of onshore wind at 19-22 mph from the west. No good.

So, if you’re looking for the best of a bad situation, it’s Thursday afternoon, August 13th. Clean conditions, 3ft from the west, and moderate energy. It’s small, but it’s the only clean swell with any consistency in the whole 16-day window. The Dumps (Brandon Bay) is fairly exposed to the NW, but the wind needs to be right, and for most of this forecast, it’s just not cooperating.

Rusty.

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