Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf Break

Lat Long: 52.29° N 10.04° W

Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 19 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Dumps (Brandon Bay) sea temperature is
18.0° C
2.3° 

Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 11s period, W swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, WNW swell with 846 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 11s period with W swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumps (Brandon Bay) this week:

The surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Dumps (Brandon Bay) in the next 16 days are 2.1m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Mon 20th Jul)1.5ft (0.5m) 11s
Best Surf 1AM (Mon 20th Jul)1.5ft (0.5m) 11s
Most Powerful10PM (Sat 25th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up at Dumps (Brandon Bay). I’ve got to be straight with you – the next 16 days are a bit of a mixed bag, and the opening stretch is pretty grim. We’ve got a lot of waiting to do before anything really gets going.

We kick off on Sunday the 19th with barely a ripple. Just 3ft of short-period, weak NNW swell, and the water is a very unusual 64°F – that’s much warmer than normal for this time of year. The wind is a cross-off in the morning, but the wave comment says it all: poor surf conditions. We’re stuck in this rut for days. Monday through to Thursday morning (20th to 23rd) are all tiny, with swell heights under 2ft and combined energy rarely cracking 100 – that’s low energy stuff. The wind stays mostly cross-off or cross, but there’s just no power. Expect a long, quiet gap with no real surf to speak of.

Friday the 24th finally shows a little flicker of life. The morning brings a 2ft NW swell, with a period of 10 seconds and combined energy hitting 104 (moderate). The clean morning conditions with a light cross-off breeze make it surfable, but it’s very ordinary. The afternoon bumps up to 3ft with a bit more energy (149), but the wind shifts cross-shore and it gets a slight chop. It’s not a standout, just a minor window to get wet.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting, but messy. Saturday the 25th sees a proper jump in size – 6ft from the NW in the morning, with a 11-second period. The combined energy rockets up to 789 (strong wave energy). But the wind is onshore and light, and the forecast is marginal. The swell is going to be a bit too big for beginners, and the quality is questionable. By Sunday the 26th, we’re looking at 7ft to 7ft from the WNW, but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore, making it choppy and lumpy. Despite the size, the conditions are poor.

The real standout period, if you can call it that, is around Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th. Monday morning pumps out an 8ft WNW swell with a 9-second period and a massive combined energy of 1093 (very strong). That’s a lot of water moving. But here’s the rub – the wind is a fresh cross-onshore, making it lumpy and poor. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s going to be a battle. The wind is just ruining the quality. Tuesday the 28th drops slightly to 7ft from the NW with an 11-second period, and the energy is still strong at 1031. The wind is a gentler cross-onshore, but it’s still a chop magnet. This is the best of a bad bunch, but don’t expect perfection.

After that, it trails off. From the 29th of July through to the 3rd of August, the swell fades and the wind stays mostly onshore or cross-onshore, keeping everything messy and poor. The 3rd of August brings a weak 4ft W swell, but again, onshore wind and poor conditions.

So, the honest truth? The best bet is probably Tuesday the 28th. It’s the biggest, most powerful swell of the window, with strong energy, but it’s only for experienced surfers who don’t mind a bit of chop. The wind is never truly glassy or offshore for the big swells, so the quality is never going to be epic. If you’re desperate, Friday the 24th morning offers the cleanest, smallest window for a beginner-friendly paddle.

That’s the long and short of it. Keep an eye on the sky, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue night, min 12°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
NNW
7
0.9
NNW
7
0.5
W
11
0.5
W
11
0.5
W
10
0.9
NNW
6
0.4
W
10
0.4
W
9
0.9
NNW
6
0.7
NNW
5
0.7
NNW
5
0.9
NNW
5
0.4
NNW
6
0.4
NNW
6
0.3
W
8
0.6
NW
10
1
NW
8
0.8
NW
12
1.8
NW
11
1.9
WNW
11
2.2
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
68
64
62
57
56
53
30
28
51
24
23
40
12
12
12
79
142
217
780
799
699
Wind (km/h)
15
NNE
20
N
15
NNE
15
NNE
20
NNW
15
NNE
15
NNE
20
NNW
10
NNE
15
NE
20
NNW
10
NNE
10
NE
15
N
10
NNE
10
NNE
15
N
10
NNW
10
W
15
WSW
15
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
on
cross-on
on
High Tide
9:35PM3.71m
10:10AM3.40m
10:23PM3.40m
10:58AM3.20m
11:15PM3.11m
11:51AM3.03m
00:16AM2.89m
12:54PM2.93m
1:28AM2.78m
2:04PM2.93m
2:43AM2.81m
3:09PM3.03m
3:45AM2.94m
Low Tide
3:14PM0.66m
3:45AM0.51m
4:02PM0.90m
4:33AM0.81m
4:57PM1.12m
5:26AM1.10m
6:03PM1.30m
6:32AM1.30m
7:21PM1.37m
7:47AM1.39m
8:35PM1.32m
8:53AM1.34m
9:33PM1.17m
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:41
5:41
5:43
5:45
5:46
5:47
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:51
9:49
9:47
9:46
9:45
9:44
9:43
 mm
4
6
Temp °C
14
16
16
15
15
15
14
16
17
14
15
16
15
15
16
17
16
15
16
15
15
Feels °C
11
12
13
12
12
13
12
13
15
11
12
15
13
13
16
15
13
13
14
12
13
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Dumps (Brandon Bay) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumps (Brandon Bay) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumps (Brandon Bay)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Kerry? If you are looking for accommodation near Dumps, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Kerry, consider staying in Fenit which is 12 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Kerry where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Tra Li which is 22 km (14 miles) away, Valentia, Foynes and Bantry.

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