Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Gather 'round, me hearties, let's talk about what's happening at Dumps (Brandon Bay). I'm not gonna lie to ya, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim. We've got a real rough patch ahead, with a lot of onshore wind and messy conditions. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, coming in at 63°, but that's about the only good news.

We kick off on Tuesday, July 28th, but it's a write-off. We've got a 5 ft wind swell from the west, with a short period of 8 seconds, and a stiff 16 mph cross-wind. The combined energy is a weak 341, and it's just a choppy, cross-shore mess. That theme continues through Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday – the wind is all over the place, the swell is weak and short-period, and the conditions are just poor. It's a real bummer.

We finally get a tiny window of hope on Sunday, August 2nd. The early morning sees a light 3 ft swell from the northwest, but the wind finally turns light and cross-offshore from the southeast. The combined energy is a weak 154, but it's clean. It's surfable, but very ordinary. You'd be out there for the paddle, not the barrels.

Then we hit a proper dead zone. From Monday, August 3rd, through to Friday, August 7th, we've got next to nothing. Swell heights drop below 2 ft, and it's a pointless wait. That's a solid five-day gap with no real recommendations.

Things try to wake up on Saturday, August 8th, but it's a tease. We get a 8 ft west swell with a long period of 11 seconds, and the combined energy rockets up to 1351. That's a lot of power. But the wind is onshore, and the conditions are marginal at best. That's a lot of water moving around with no shape to it. It's more of a challenge for the fit lads than a fun session.

The following week is just more of the same. Through Sunday and Monday, August 9th and 10th, we have fresh, strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy, junky waves. The swell is there, but it's ugly. On Tuesday, August 11th, the wind drops right off, even going glassy in the afternoon, but the swell is tiny and weak. Not worth getting wet for.

In the end, the one true standout, if you can call it that, is the early morning of Sunday, August 2nd. It's the only time the conditions are clean, even if the swell is small. Keep your expectations on the floor, lads. This is a blank run for the area, and it's pretty normal for the season.

Rusty.

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