Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, and I've gotta be straight with you—this sixteen-day stretch for Dumps (Brandon Bay) is a tough one to write. We're looking at a long, long dry spell, and honestly, there's no standout session in the whole window. The first week is a right-off, and we don't see anything worth paddling out for until the second week, and even then it's pretty ordinary.

The pattern starts with Tuesday the 28th of July. We've got a 5ft swell from the west, but with a cross-onshore breeze at 15 mph, it's choppy and messy. The combined swell energy is only 350 (moderate), but the conditions are just poor. That theme carries right through the rest of the week. Wednesday and Thursday bring a bit of a drop in size, around 4ft to 5ft, but the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore, and the period is short at 7 to 8 seconds. Combine that with energy readings that drop from 280 down to 161, and you've got nothing to get excited about. Friday and Saturday the 1st of August are the same story—small, weak, and messy.

We finally get a bit of a reprieve on Sunday the 2nd of August. The swell drops to 4ft in the morning, and 3ft in the afternoon, but the wind switches to a light cross-offshore and then offshore breeze. The water is pretty clean, and the combined energy is 130 to 176 (weak to moderate). The period is still only 8 seconds, so it's not a groundswell, but it's surfable. This is the only real window in the entire forecast where you might get a few fun little waves. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no need for a thicker wetsuit.

After that, it's back to the doldrums. Monday the 3rd of August through to the end of the outlook is a desert. The swell drops to 1.0ft and 1ft, with periods of 5 to 10 seconds, and the energy readings are mostly in the 30s and 40s (weak). There's a glassy morning on Thursday the 6th of August, but with a 1.0ft, 10-second swell, there's just no energy to surf. The combined energy is only 31 (weak).

The best we can offer is that Sunday the 2nd of August is the only day that's surfable, and it's a very ordinary session. For an area that's fairly consistent, this blank run is a bit of a surprise, but it happens. With the wind and swell so unfavourable at Dumps during the larger swells, and the breaks being a beach setup, this might be more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer on those windier days. Stay tuned, things can change.

Rusty.

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