Surf Forecasts:
Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast from 13 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 11s period, WNW swell with 4,377 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumps (Brandon Bay) this week:
The surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dumps (Brandon Bay) in the next 16 days are 4.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (IST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 19th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Brandon Bay over the next couple of weeks.
To be honest, if you’re looking for a good session, you’re going to be waiting a while. The surf quality is pretty grim for the first week or so. From Thursday, 13 August, right through to the end of the following week, the conditions are just ordinary. We’ve got small, weak swell bumping into a lot of cross and cross-onshore wind, making for chop and ripples. The combined wave energy is weak, sitting between 59 and 279, and that’s just not enough to get excited about. There’s a real gap here with no real standouts.
The first real flicker of hope comes on Sunday, 16 August, in the morning. Dumps (Brandon Bay) will see a tiny 3 ft swell from the NW, but the wind drops to a glassy 5 mph from the SSW. That’s the kind of quiet you can hear a pin drop on the water. It’s surfable, but very ordinary – just a little ankle-to-knee-high bump. The energy is only 82, so you’re not getting much push.
Now, the big one. Wednesday, 19 August, is a monster on paper, but it’s a classic case of *don’t get fooled*. We’ve got a massive 15 ft swell from the WNW, with a period of 11 seconds, and the combined energy is a whopping 4252. That’s a lot of power. But the wind is howling from the NW at 25 mph, cross-on, making it an absolute washing machine. It’s blown out, messy, and frankly, dangerous. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s going to be a slog. The setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The best chance for a clean wave comes on Thursday, 20 August, in the morning. The swell drops to a more manageable 6 ft from the NW, with a 9-second period (702 energy). The wind swings around to a NNE breeze at 15 mph, giving us a clean, cross-off wind. This is the standout of the whole forecast. The conditions are clean, the swell is solid, and it’s an intermediate-friendly size. It’s not a total classic, but it’s the best you’ll get. Just be aware, Dumps can get crowded sometimes, so you might have some company.
After that, the end of the month looks like a slow fade. Friday, 22 August, has a glassy morning with a 3 ft W swell, but the energy is low (126). Sunday, 23 August, sees a clean 3 ft W swell with a cross-off wind, but again, it’s small. The final week from 24 August onwards is mostly onshore slop or strong wind, with a few spots of rain and even thunderstorms. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no need for a thicker wetsuit just yet.
So, bottom line: if you’ve got to paddle out, aim for the morning of Thursday, 20 August. That’s your one true window. Everything else is a gamble or a wait.
Stay salty,
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, fresh winds from the NW by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | W 8 | WSW 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | WSW 7 | W 10 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | NW 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
279 | 231 | 192 | 136 | 171 | 172 | 170 | 142 | 117 | 73 | 50 | 190 | 197 | 205 | 152 | 126 | 247 | 2927 | 4252 | 3366 | 1710 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 6:07AM3.98m | 6:18PM4.31m | 6:49AM4.04m | 6:59PM4.33m | 7:29AM4.01m | 7:39PM4.21m | 8:07AM3.89m | 8:18PM3.99m | 8:44AM3.71m | 8:57PM3.70m | 9:22AM3.47m | 9:38PM3.37m | 10:03AM3.22m | 10:24PM3.04m | |||||||
Low Tide | 12:00PM0.20m | 00:29AM-0.20m | 12:41PM0.14m | 1:08AM-0.18m | 1:20PM0.18m | 1:46AM-0.03m | 1:58PM0.32m | 2:23AM0.22m | 2:37PM0.54m | 2:59AM0.54m | 3:17PM0.80m | 3:38AM0.88m | 4:01PM1.09m | ||||||||
6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | |
— | — | 9:09 | — | — | 9:07 | — | — | 9:05 | — | — | 9:02 | — | — | 9:00 | — | 8:59 | — | — | 8:57 | — | |
mm | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 22 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 22 | 21 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 8 | WNW 8 | N 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | W 8 | NNW 7 | N 8 | N 8 | W 7 | — | — | — | — | — |
279 | 231 | 192 | 136 | 171 | 2 | 170 | 142 | 117 | 73 | 50 | 190 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 7 | W 6 | W 6 | NW 7 | N 8 | NW 7 | — | N 7 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 8 | W 11 | N 9 | — | W 18 | — | SW 17 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | 6 | — | 6 | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 7 | W 7 | W 7 | — | WSW 7 | W 10 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | NW 10 |
— | — | — | — | — | 172 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 197 | 205 | 152 | — | 247 | 2927 | 4252 | 3366 | 1710 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 27 | 227 | 17 | 399 | 52 | 227 | 600 | 36 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 227 | 6 | 27 | 8 | 386 | 580 | 402 | 186 | 17 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kerry | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Ireland | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumps (Brandon Bay) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumps (Brandon Bay) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumps (Brandon Bay)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Kerry? If you are looking for accommodation near Dumps, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Kerry, consider staying in Fenit which is 12 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Kerry where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Tra Li which is 22 km (14 miles) away, Valentia, Foynes and Bantry.











