Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you. The next couple of weeks at Dumps (Brandon Bay) are looking bleak. We've got a long stretch of poor conditions ahead, so don't go getting your hopes up. The water's sitting at 63°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, but that's about the only thing that's gonna feel good.

We're looking at a solid gap of a week or more with nothing worth paddling out for. For the first stretch, from Wednesday afternoon, August 5th, through to the middle of next week, it's a whole lot of cross-onshore wind, lumpy, choppy mess. The energy is weak to moderate, with combined swell energy readings mostly in the low hundreds [436 is the biggest early on, but it's a messy 6ft at a short 8 seconds]. That's just not gonna be any fun.

There's a tiny flicker of hope on Monday, August 10th, with the wind going glassy and the swell dropping to under 3ft. But the energy is still weak [189], and the W/NW swell is just too small and weak to make Dumps work. It’s there, but it's so ordinary you'd be better off doing something else.

The real kicker comes on Monday, August 17th. After that initial flat spell, we get a pulse of swell. The morning is still junk with a cross-shore breeze and a short-period 6ft WNW swell [422]. But the afternoon turns things around a bit. The wind swings offshore, the surf cleans up, and we get a 7ft swell from the NNW [504]—that's a solid, moderate-sized wave. The problem is the period is only 7 seconds, so it's steep and crumbly, more of a challenge than a joy. It's the best we've got, but it's still only for the experienced crew who can handle a shifty, short-period beach break. This is a one-off thing though, as the following days see the wind howling back onshore and the swell dying again.

Basically, there's no clean, consistent swell on the cards. The only thing close to a highlight is that Monday afternoon, August 17th, and even that's not a classic. The rest is onshore slop or flat. This is one of those quiet spells where you just have to wait it out.

Rusty, out.

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