Surf Forecasts:
Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 6s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 5s period, NNW swell with 97 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 6s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumps (Brandon Bay) this week:
The surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dumps (Brandon Bay) in the next 16 days are 1.3m 5s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (IST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here. Look, I've stared at the charts for the next 16 days and, to be honest, it's a pretty grim run for the Brandon Bay area. There's no real swell energy to speak of for most of the period, and the conditions are just ordinary. The first few days are a total write-off with tiny, weak, messy waves. From the 15th right through to the 24th of July, the swell barely hits 2 ft, and the energy numbers are all in the low teens to seventies, backing up just how weak it is. That's a solid ten days of mostly flat, poor surf with nothing to recommend.
The only thing that gets remotely interesting is the morning of Saturday the 25th of July. A pulse of NNW swell comes through, pushing 5 ft, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 304, which is the first real pulse we've seen. But here's the kicker – the wind is a moderating 12 mph cross-onshore and the conditions are choppy. The swell is big enough to offer something, but it’s not clean, and probably too rough for a fun paddle. The following day, Sunday the 26th, has a similar but smaller pulse, but again, the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, keeping it messy.
The standout, if you can call it that, is the morning of Saturday the 25th at Dumps (Brandon Bay). The swell is from the NNW, coming in at 5 ft, which is the biggest wave of the whole outlook. It’s a fairly exposed spot, so it will catch that energy, but the crowd factor is "sometimes" so you might have company. The wind is onshore, so it's a rough, choppy mess. This one is for the hardcore, experienced crew only, as it's over 5 ft and the conditions are not friendly. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no need to worry about a winter wetsuit.
Everything else before the 25th and after the 26th is a flat, wind-affected dud. The glassy conditions on the morning of Thursday the 23rd of July might look tempting, but the swell is a pathetic 1 ft. It's a complete blank. For this area, a long quiet spell like this isn't super unusual, but it's a bummer. The setup on the 25th with the strong onshore wind and 5 ft swell might be more interesting for the kite surfers than for us paddlers.
Stay tuned, things can change. I'm Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 25°C on Wed afternoon, min 18°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri night, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 8 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | NW 10 | NNW 6 | NW 8 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | N 6 | NNW 6 | WNW 12 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 25 | 12 | 23 | 13 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 25 | 51 | 31 | 36 | 91 | 32 | 44 | 45 | 59 | 55 | 49 | 45 | 26 | 26 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy |
High Tide | 6:20AM3.94m | 6:34PM4.25m | 7:08AM3.97m | 7:20PM4.27m | 7:55AM3.92m | 8:06PM4.18m | 8:40AM3.79m | 8:50PM3.98m | 9:24AM3.60m | 9:35PM3.71m | 10:10AM3.40m | 10:23PM3.40m | 10:58AM3.20m | 11:15PM3.11m | |||||||
Low Tide | 12:14PM0.27m | 00:46AM-0.12m | 1:00PM0.25m | 1:32AM-0.11m | 1:44PM0.32m | 2:17AM0.01m | 2:29PM0.46m | 3:01AM0.23m | 3:14PM0.66m | 3:45AM0.51m | 4:02PM0.90m | 4:33AM0.81m | 4:57PM1.12m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:35 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:54 | — | — | 9:53 | — | — | 9:52 | — | — | 9:52 | — | — | 9:51 | — | — | 9:49 | — | — | 9:47 |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 24 | 24 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 8 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NW 10 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | W 7 | NNW 6 | N 6 | WNW 9 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | W 10 | NNW 5 | N 5 | W 9 | N 4 |
| kJ | 25 | 12 | 23 | 13 | 22 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 51 | 24 | 10 | 91 | 32 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 55 | 20 | 14 | 26 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | W 10 | N 3 | W 11 | SW 15 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | NW 9 | NW 8 | W 10 | WNW 9 | NW 7 | W 19 | WNW 12 | W 11 | W 7 | W 10 | W 10 | W 6 | W 9 |
| kJ | 10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 39 | 31 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 59 | 1 | 49 | 45 | 1 | 26 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | SW 14 | WNW 10 | — | W 8 | W 8 | W 15 | W 7 | W 9 | W 9 | NNW 6 | — | W 18 | — | N 7 | — | — |
| kJ | — | 10 | 10 | 8 | — | 8 | 10 | — | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 13 | — | 6 | — | 1 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | — | NNE 4 | NNE 3 | — | — | NNW 5 | — | — | NNW 5 | — | — | NNW 6 | — | — | NNW 6 | — | — | N 6 | — |
| kJ | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | 10 | — | — | 36 | — | — | 44 | — | — | 13 | — | — | 15 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 17 | 20 | 36 | 17 | 36 | 17 | 54 | 1559 | 25 | 0 | 627 | 308 | 33 | 108 | 0 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 36 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kerry | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Ireland | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumps (Brandon Bay) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumps (Brandon Bay) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumps (Brandon Bay)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Kerry? If you are looking for accommodation near Dumps, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Kerry, consider staying in Fenit which is 12 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Kerry where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Tra Li which is 22 km (14 miles) away, Valentia, Foynes and Bantry.
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