Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf Break

Lat Long: 52.29° N 10.04° W

Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 28 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Dumps (Brandon Bay) sea temperature is
17.6°C
1.7° 

Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, WNW swell with 4,272 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumps (Brandon Bay) this week:

The surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Dumps (Brandon Bay) in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Wed 2nd Sep)4ft (1.2m) 8s
Best Surf 4AM (Wed 2nd Sep)4ft (1.2m) 8s
Most Powerful 7AM (Fri 4th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gonna level with you straight up – looking at the next 16 days for Dumps (Brandon Bay), it’s a real mixed bag of frustration and promise. The water temp is sitting about average for the time of year, so nothing to write home about on that front. The first week is a write-off with a lot of wind and chop, but there’s a glimmer of something special trying to break through near the end of the second week.

For the first week, from the 28th of August right through to the 4th of September, it’s grim. We’ve got onshore winds, cross-onshore junk, and the swell is either too small or blown out. The combined energy is weak to moderate at best, sitting around 50 to 100 (moderate wave energy) early on, then jumping up to 651 (moderate wave energy) by the 31st, but it’s all messy. Don’t even bother paddling out. There’s a tiny window on the morning of the 2nd of September where the wind goes cross-off and the conditions are clean, but the swell is only 4ft from the WNW with a short 8-second period – surfable but very ordinary. The morning of the 3rd of September sees a 7ft WNW swell with a 10-second period, but a 30 km/h cross-shore wind makes it a lumpy, choppy mess.

Then things get real interesting. The morning of the 5th of September is the standout. The wind is light, glassy, and offshore from the west at just 5 km/h. The WNW swell is 8ft with a 11-second period, pushing 1613 (moderate wave energy) of combined energy. That’s groundswell, and for a fairly exposed spot like Dumps, that’s quality. The sets will have some punch, and the lack of wind will mean clean, peeling faces. This is the one to circle on your calendar. The 5th afternoon and the 6th morning are still okay, but the wind shifts and the size drops, so the 5th morning is the real window.

The 7th and 8th of September are small again, 4ft to 4ft, clean but weak. The 9th of September sees a 10ft WSW swell, but it’s accompanied by a 35-45 km/h cross-onshore wind, making it a total mess. The 10th of September is a straight-up gale warning – 15ft NW swell with 60-65 km/h onshore winds. That’s not for paddle surfing; that’s for kite surfers or the insane. The 11th and 12th of September drop back to small, 4ft and 2ft, with strong cross-onshore winds.

So, the best on offer is without a doubt the morning of the 5th of September. That’s a legit session. Get on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 31mm), heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu night, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 13°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sun night, calm by Tue night).

Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
WNW
8
0.7
WNW
7
0.4
WNW
7
0.3
NW
8
0.6
WSW
10
1.1
WSW
9
1.4
WSW
9
1.5
W
9
2.5
W
9
1.9
WNW
10
1.7
W
9
1.5
W
8
1.7
W
8
1.7
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
8
1.1
WNW
8
1.2
W
7
1.7
W
8
2.2
WNW
10
3
WNW
13
3
WNW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
45
47
19
10
63
220
326
356
1148
651
486
295
393
385
226
143
147
368
951
2581
2643
Wind (km/h)
10
WNW
15
W
15
ENE
20
NNW
20
NW
15
S
25
SSW
15
W
40
NW
25
WSW
20
SW
20
SW
30
WSW
20
NW
5
NW
15
SSE
20
S
20
SW
30
S
25
SW
10
W
Wind State
on
on
off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
on
High Tide
5:57AM3.68m
6:05PM3.98m
6:29AM3.81m
6:37PM4.05m
7:00AM3.87m
7:10PM4.04m
7:33AM3.87m
7:44PM3.96m
8:08AM3.79m
8:22PM3.79m
8:47AM3.64m
9:05PM3.55m
9:33AM3.44m
9:58PM3.28m
Low Tide
11:51AM0.43m
00:13AM0.13m
12:22PM0.32m
00:43AM0.06m
12:53PM0.27m
1:14AM0.07m
1:27PM0.30m
1:47AM0.18m
2:02PM0.41m
2:23AM0.37m
2:42PM0.59m
3:05AM0.64m
3:30PM0.83m
3:56AM0.95m
part cloud
part cloud
heavy rain
rain showers
clear
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
rain showers
cloud
cloud
rain showers
light rain
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
cloud
light rain
mod rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:45
6:47
6:48
6:50
6:52
6:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:37
8:35
8:32
8:30
8:29
8:25
8:23
 mm
16
2
10
2
1
1
1
5
3
2
2
7
Temp °C
17
16
16
16
17
16
16
16
15
16
17
16
16
16
14
16
16
17
19
18
17
Feels °C
16
14
16
13
16
12
13
14
7
12
13
13
12
13
11
13
13
15
16
16
17
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Dumps (Brandon Bay) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumps (Brandon Bay) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumps (Brandon Bay)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Kerry? If you are looking for accommodation near Dumps, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Kerry, consider staying in Fenit which is 12 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Kerry where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Tra Li which is 22 km (14 miles) away, Valentia, Foynes and Bantry.

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