Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf Break

Lat Long: 52.29° N 10.04° W

Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 pm 01 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Dumps (Brandon Bay) sea temperature is
17.3° C
1.5° 

Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period, NW swell with 261 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period with NW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumps (Brandon Bay) this week:

The surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Dumps (Brandon Bay) in the next 16 days are 1.7m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sat 1st Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 7s
Best Surf10PM (Sat 1st Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 7s
Most Powerful10PM (Wed 5th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here again. Let's break down the Dumps (Brandon Bay) in feet and Fahrenheit.

The water temp is a mild 63°, which is a touch warmer than usual for the time of year – a nice little bonus, but not enough to fix the early forecast.

We're facing a long, dry spell. From Saturday the 1st all the way to Friday the 14th, it's a tough watch. The swell energy is weak, mostly in the double digits or low triple digits (95), and the wind is all over the place. You'll see a few clean mornings, like on the 2nd, 10th, and 11th, but the waves are tiny and gutless. That 3ft NW swell on the 1st is poor, and the 5ft bump on the 5th is just a choppy, cross-onshore mess. There's a solid two-week gap where you're better off doing something else.

But hold on to your board, because things change quick. The window to keep your eyes on is the weekend of the 15th and 16th. Saturday the 15th starts with a clean 6ft NW groundswell, period at 9 seconds, and light cross-offshore winds from the ENE. The energy jumps to 507 – that's proper moderate energy. It's a solid, fun day. Clean, powerful, and actually surfable.

Then, Sunday the 16th is the big one. The swell is pushing 7ft to 8ft from the WNW, with a 9-second period. The combined energy is a massive 705 to 772. That's strong, meaty power. The wind is light and offshore from the NE in the morning, dropping to a gentle cross-shore in the arvo. This is the pick of the whole forecast. It's a lot of water moving, so this is for the experienced crew. It's going to be a heavy, powerful day at the Dumps, but for those who can handle it, it's going to be excellent.

So, to sum it up: don't bother for the first two weeks. Wait for the 15th and 16th, with Sunday the 16th being the absolute standout. Get on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 14°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Wed morning, light winds from the W by Thu night).

Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
NW
7
0.8
NW
7
0.8
NW
7
0.9
NW
8
0.7
WSW
9
0.6
WSW
9
0.5
SW
9
0.4
SW
8
0.3
N
9
0.4
NW
6
0.4
NNW
6
0.3
NW
7
0.6
NNW
8
1.5
NW
6
1.6
NW
7
0.9
NNW
7
0.6
NW
6
0.5
NW
6
0.5
NW
9
0.8
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
65
55
57
91
75
54
39
18
14
9
13
7
39
183
240
68
31
15
41
103
239
Wind (km/h)
5
SW
10
NW
10
E
15
SE
10
SE
20
E
15
ESE
10
SE
15
SSE
15
SSW
15
W
20
WNW
30
WNW
25
NW
20
WNW
10
WSW
15
WNW
10
SW
10
WSW
15
NW
10
SW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
7:39PM3.88m
8:05AM3.61m
8:12PM3.80m
8:40AM3.57m
8:49PM3.68m
9:19AM3.48m
9:30PM3.50m
10:03AM3.36m
10:20PM3.30m
10:58AM3.22m
11:23PM3.12m
12:06PM3.13m
00:44AM3.02m
Low Tide
1:20PM0.51m
1:45AM0.27m
1:53PM0.54m
2:18AM0.33m
2:28PM0.62m
2:53AM0.45m
3:08PM0.75m
3:34AM0.63m
3:55PM0.92m
4:24AM0.85m
4:56PM1.09m
5:31AM1.06m
6:19PM1.18m
part cloud
cloud
mod rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:58
6:01
6:01
6:03
6:05
6:07
6:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:31
9:30
9:28
9:25
9:24
9:22
9:21
 mm
6
4
1
4
1
4
1
3
1
2
1
Temp °C
15
15
15
13
15
15
15
17
17
20
19
16
15
15
15
16
16
15
15
16
15
Feels °C
14
13
14
11
14
12
14
16
16
19
18
14
9
10
11
13
13
14
14
14
13
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Dumps (Brandon Bay) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumps (Brandon Bay) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumps (Brandon Bay) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumps (Brandon Bay)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumps (Brandon Bay) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Kerry? If you are looking for accommodation near Dumps, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Kerry, consider staying in Fenit which is 12 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Kerry where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Tra Li which is 22 km (14 miles) away, Valentia, Foynes and Bantry.

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