Dumps (Brandon Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at the surf on offer at Dumps (Brandon Bay) over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, it's a mixed bag. The water is sitting at 64.2°, which is a touch warmer than normal for the time of year, so that’s a wee bonus for the skin. The pattern coming in is pretty ordinary to start, with weak, short-period NW swells and a lot of cross-onshore junk. The first few days are riddled with small, messy conditions. Monday the 10th starts off with a light cross-offshore breeze and some clean 2.6 ft waves from the NW, but it’s only surfable at best, with a combined wave energy of just 167 – not much punch. By the arvo, it's cross-on and ordinary. Tuesday the 11th? Forget it, tiny 1.6 ft and then a 2.3 ft W swell in the arvo, but the wind is ruining the shape. It stays rough and chunky right through the week.

We see a bit more size come through Thursday the 14th and Friday the 15th, with 3.6 ft to 4.6 ft waves from the W, but period is a short 8 seconds and it’s all cross-onshore chop. The energy picks up to 259 on the Saturday morning, but the description says “poor surf conditions” for all of those sessions, so honestly, it’s not where you want to be. Sunday the 16th is a glimmer of hope – a light cross-offshore breeze in the morning with clean 3.3 ft NW swell (122 energy), and then a real treat in the arvo: glassy 2.6 ft NW waves with an offshore breeze. That’s clean and fun for a small board.

The next standout comes on Tuesday the 19th morning, with a light cross-offshore and clean 2.3 ft swell from the W. It’s small, but if the banks are good, you’ll get a few. However, the real highlight, the one morning I’d circle on the calendar, is Friday the 21st of August. We get a clean, 4.9 ft WNW swell (455 energy) with a light cross-offshore NE breeze. That’s a good-sized, punchy wave for intermediate surfers, and it looks the best on offer across the whole 16 days. The wind is light, the swell is up, and it’ll be fun.

After that, it falls apart again. The weekend of the 22nd and into the next week is back to small, choppy, cross-onshore slop. The last few days from Monday the 24th see more messy, onshore conditions with weak energy and only small waves. There’s nothing to recommend in that final run.

Don't forget – Dumps can be inconsistent and doesn't always turn on, so when you get a clean window like that Friday the 21st, you gotta pull the trigger. The crowds are "sometimes" an issue, so an early morning paddle is the go.

Stay stoked.

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