Montoya Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Montoya over the next couple of weeks. It’s been a tough stretch with a lot of wind and blown-out junk, but there are a couple of windows that’ll get a surfer out of bed. The water temp at Montoya is sitting at 53°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so don’t expect any surprises on that front.

The forecast starts off rough. Friday the 3rd is a write-off—solid 8ft S swell but it’s getting hammered by a 22 mph cross-shore, creating lumpy, unrideable conditions. We don’t see anything worth paddling out for through the weekend. Saturday has some waist-high leftovers but the wind is still cross-onshore, so it’s choppy. Not your day.

Now, Sunday morning the 5th is where we finally get a little glimmer. Glassy conditions, dead calm wind, with a 4ft ESE groundswell at a solid 10-second period. That combined wave energy sits at 259 (moderate), and while it’s not big, it’ll be clean and workable. This is the first real standout in the period. Montoya is a beach and point setup, so with that longer-period swell coming from ESE, it should wrap nicely around the point. Expect some fun, rideable waves without the battle. Because the break can draw a crowd sometimes, you might have some company, but with conditions like that, it’s worth sharing the water.

After that, we go into a flat, windy, or junky spell. Monday and Tuesday have clean conditions at times but tiny swell—under 3ft. You’ll be scratching for scraps.

The next real standout is Monday morning the 13th. This one’s got some punch. We’re looking at 5ft SSW swell with a 9 mph offshore from the WNW. That’s a clean, lined-up setup with moderate wave energy coming in at 451. The period is only 8 seconds, so it’s more of a windswell—shorter intervals, more pushy, less glide. Still, with offshore wind and that size, the beach section could offer some punchy walls. Keep an eye on the tide. This is a solid option for intermediates and up; beginners might find that 5ft a bit much, especially if it’s closing out.

Then Tuesday the 14th morning is another glassy one. 4ft SE swell at 11 seconds, almost no wind, and moderate energy (443). That’s a beauty for cruising. Clean, glassy conditions make everything better. Again, crowds might turn up, but for these windows, it’s worth it.

The biggest energy spike comes through Wednesday morning the 15th. Combined energy hits 791 (strong) with a 4ft SE swell at a very long 13-second period. That’s proper groundswell. Offshore cross-off winds from the NNE keep the surface clean. This is the best on offer for the whole forecast period. The long period means the waves will have real power and shape—great for the point and reef sections. If you’re an experienced surfer, that’s your call. It might be a bit much for groms.

After that, the swell fades and the wind picks up again, with a few marginal days in the second week but nothing that stands out as a guaranteed good session. Thursday the 16th still has some size and period but the cross-shore wind starts chopping things up. By the 18th, we’re back to knee-high and glassy, which is rideable but not worth planning a trip around.

So, bottom line: Sunday the 5th morning is your clean little gem for fun waves. Wednesday the 15th morning is the real standout for power and quality—that’s the session you wait for. Most of the rest of the window is blown out or too small, but those two windows are the ones to chase.

Rusty.

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