Montoya Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, looking at the surf ahead for Montoya. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, with a lot of ordinary days and some real grotty wind, but there are a couple of windows worth paddling out for. The water sits at 11° right now, which is pretty much spot on average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The swell energy is moderate at best for the first week, with the combined energy hitting 216 (moderate) on Tuesday the 14th, but it’s a clean 4 ft from the ESE at 10 seconds. That’s a beach and point setup, with a light cross-off breeze from the north, so it’ll be clean. The morning is the pick, with good surf conditions. The afternoon drops to 3 ft and the energy fades.

Wednesday the 15th is a step down. Swell drops to 2 ft, period short at 7 seconds, and energy is weak (83). It’s surfable but very ordinary. The wind is still light, but it’s just not enough push.

Thursday the 16th through the weekend is a write-off. Strong onshore winds, rain, and messy seas. The swell is small and the wind is ruining it. The energy is moderate on Thursday morning (115) but the cross-shore wind is making it choppy.

We get a slight refresh on Saturday the 18th afternoon. The wind goes offshore from the WNW at 15 km/h, and we’ve got 2 ft from the east at 10 seconds. The energy is moderate (102), and it’s clean. It’s still small, but it’s the cleanest of a bad lot that week.

Then there’s a big gap of poor conditions. Monday the 20th brings a jump in swell to 5 ft, but it’s short period from the ESE at 6 seconds, and the wind is a fresh cross-onshore at 30 km/h. That’s lumpy, messy, and not for paddling. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The first real standout comes on Tuesday the 21st in the morning. Swell jumps to 7 ft from the SSE at 10 seconds, and the combined energy is strong at 698. The wind is cross-off from the west at 20 km/h, so it’s clean. This is a solid, powerful swell, but over 5 ft, so it’s pushing into intermediate territory. It’s a moderate breeze, but the wave comment says marginal due to tide, so keep that in mind.

The next big one is a week later, on Sunday the 26th in the afternoon. This is the best on offer. Swell is 6 ft from the SSE at 11 seconds, with the combined energy hitting 722 (strong). The wind is cross-off from the west at 15 km/h, and the wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is a long-period groundswell, so it’ll hold up well at the point, and the clean conditions will make it a cracker. It’s the standout of the whole outlook.

The final week has some smaller, longer-period swells, but the wind is often messy. Tuesday the 28th morning has 4 ft from the ESE at 13 seconds (very long period), with a light cross breeze, but the energy is strong at 551. The wave comment calls it marginal for tide, but the long period means it’ll be lined up and powerful at the point. Worth a look if you’re an experienced surfer.

Overall, the best windows are Tuesday the 21st morning for size, and Sunday the 26th afternoon for quality. The rest is mostly average or poor.

Rusty

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