Montoya Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's get into it.

Alright, folks, let's be straight with you. We've got a 16-day window here, and honestly, it's a bit of a write-off for Montoya. There's no real stand-out swell in the mix, and the wind is just not cooperating. We're looking at a long stretch of poor surf conditions, so don't be holding your breath for any magic sessions.

The first few days are a total dud. Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th bring tiny, weak swell in the 2ft to 3ft range with onshore breezes. It's messy, it's small, and it's not worth paddling out for. The water temp is sitting at about 54°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that's about the only thing going for us.

We get a bit of a bump in energy around Thursday the 31st of July, with a 4ft swell from the east. The combined energy hits 163 (moderate), and the wind is a clean cross-off, which is promising. But the period is a short 8 seconds, so it won't have much push. Still, it's the best we've seen so far, but it's still not great.

The first week of August is a constant battle with cross-shore winds. The swell stays small, mostly under 3ft, and the energy is weak to moderate. There's a pulse on the 3rd and 4th where the combined energy climbs into the 200s (moderate), and the swell hits 4ft to 4ft, but the wind is either cross or cross-off, making it lumpy. You might get a couple of rideable ones, but it's a lot of work for very little reward.

Looking further out, the period from the 7th of August onward starts to show a little more life. The swell gets a bit bigger, hitting 5ft on the morning of the 8th with a clean offshore wind from the northwest. That's actually the best-looking window in the whole forecast. The swell is coming from the SSW, which is the optimum direction for Montoya, and the combined energy is 196 (moderate). It's not a huge swell, but with clean offshore winds, it could be a decent session for the more experienced crew. A word of caution though: the period is a short 7 seconds, so it won't be as powerful as a longer-period swell.

The 9th of August brings a bigger energy reading (286) but the wind swings back to a cross-off, and by the 10th, the wind is onshore, making it choppy. The energy levels climb into the 500s and 600s (strong) on the 10th and 11th, with a 4ft to 4ft swell from the south, but the wind is onshore, ruining any chance of clean surf. It's a frustrating pattern of energy with no quality.

So, to sum it up, the only real standout in this whole 16-day outlook is the morning of August 8th. That's a long way off, so don't bet the farm on it, but it's the only time the forecast shows a clean offshore wind with a rideable swell. Everything else is a case of poor conditions, lumpy seas, and onshore chop. Honestly, if you're desperate for a paddle, you might find something, but it's not going to be pretty.

Rusty.

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