Montoya Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for Montoya over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we're staring down a long, flat spell. The first real chance of a wave doesn't show up until Saturday morning, July 11th. Before that, it's a write-off with weak, messy, onshore junk. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild there.

Saturday the 11th is our first real standout. We’re looking at a clean 3ft swell from the ESE, and the kicker is the wind – it's glassy, dead calm. That’s a major positive. The wave energy is moderate (408), and the period is a solid 11 seconds, so there's some shape to it. Crowds are possible here, as it's a break that can get busy. This is the best it’s going to get for a while, so make the most of it.

Saturday afternoon holds a bit more size at 3ft, but the period bumps up to a very long 14 seconds and the wind switches to a clean cross-offshore. The wave energy is a bit stronger (442). This long-period groundswell is better suited to the point at Montoya than the beach section, as it might break a bit too straight on the sand. Solid session possible.

Sunday the 12th is a hard pass. A short-period, messy 7ft from the south with a fresh cross-shore wind will make for lumpy, poor conditions. That’s too big for beginners and not clean enough for anyone else.

The rest of the following week falls into a slump. Monday the 13th through Friday the 17th offers small, weak waves with mostly average winds. The energy drops off a cliff, with values falling from 239 down to a measly 22. There are some clean-looking windows, but the swell is just too small (1ft to 4ft) to get excited about.

Then we hit a real lull. From the 18th of July through the 22nd, there’s almost nothing. Wave heights are tiny, and the energy is bottomed out, often below 100. The 20th and 21st see a bump in size to 4ft and 6ft, but it’s short-period, onshore junk. Not worth the paddle.

Now, here’s the long-range wildcard. On Thursday the 23rd of July, we see a massive pulse of swell. The forecast shows a 13ft beast from the ESE with a very long 12-second period. The combined energy is a staggering 4583 – that’s very strong. This is expert-only territory. The wind is a fresh cross-shore, so it won't be clean, but the raw power is undeniable. This is a promising but less certain long-range prospect.

Friday the 24th looks similar, with an 12ft swell from the SE and a 13-second period. The wind is a clean cross-offshore, which is a major positive for this size. Energy is still through the roof at 3797. Again, this is for experienced surfers only. The conditions are marginal because of the sheer size and power, but if you’ve got the balls and the board, it could be a memorable session.

Rusty.

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