Montoya Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s check out what Montoya’s got in store over the next couple of weeks. Honestly, it’s a pretty quiet stretch, but there are a couple of moments that might get you out of bed.

The week starts off rough on Sunday the 13th. There’s a 5ft SSE swell, but with a 12 mph cross-on southerly wind, it’s choppy and messy – not worth suiting up. The water’s sitting at 55°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s the only bright spot.

Monday the 14th is your first real chance. Early morning, the wind goes glassy with a light WNW breeze at just 3 mph. There’s a 2ft S swell with a 10-second period – nothing big, but clean and rideable. The combined swell energy is moderate at 167, so there’s a bit of push. It’s small, but if you’ve got a log, that glassy window is worth it. By afternoon, the wind shifts to a light SE offshore, but the conditions drop off.

Tuesday the 15th is a write-off. Morning has a strong 19 mph cross-off W wind, but the swell drops to a tiny 2ft from the east with a short 8-second period and weak energy (54). Afternoon gets a lumpy 4ft SW swell with a 5-second period and a 22 mph cross-shore wind – that’s a mess, and honestly looks more like kite-surfing territory than paddle surfing.

The rest of the week through to the weekend is pretty ordinary. Swell hangs around 1ft to 5ft, mostly from the SSE or S, but winds are generally cross-on or cross-off, and the periods are short – often under 9 seconds. The combined energy stays in the low to moderate range (48 to 339), but the “poor surf conditions” tag says it all. Thursday the 17th afternoon has a small clean 3ft SSE swell with light NNE cross-off winds, but it’s barely knee-high.

We hit a flat spell from about Saturday the 19th through to Monday the 21st. Swell drops to 0.7ft to 2ft with energy as low as 5 – barely a ripple. If you’re desperate, Monday the 21st has a 2ft E swell with a 9-second period and light cross-shore winds, but it’s not going to get the heart pumping.

Now, there’s a glimmer in the second week. Tuesday the 22nd sees a bump in swell – 5ft from the south in the afternoon, but it’s short-period (6 seconds) and cross-on, so it’s choppy. Wednesday the 23rd morning is the standout of the whole outlook. The wind goes light NNE cross-off at 6 mph, cleaning up a 4ft SSE swell with moderate energy at 178. The period is short at 7 seconds, so it’s not a groundswell, but those clean conditions make it the best bet of the fortnight. It’s only for intermediates and up at that size.

From there, the energy fades again. Thursday the 24th has a 4ft E swell in the afternoon with clean cross-off winds, but it’s ordinary. The rest of the second week through to the 28th is small, with swells under 3ft and mostly cross-on or cross-shore winds. Nothing else stands out.

So, overall: a flat and uninspiring run with one glassy morning on Monday the 14th for the small-wave crew, and a cleaner session on Wednesday the 23rd morning as the pick of the lot. Don’t hold your breath for the rest.

Rusty.

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