Montoya Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I'm lookin' at the charts for Montoya, and I gotta be straight with you – it's a tough read. For a spot that's a beach and point setup, exposed to the south, we're in for a long stretch of pretty average to downright ordinary conditions. The water's sittin' at about 53°, which is around normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Right off the bat, we've got a little something this Sunday afternoon. Swell is a weak 4ft out of the east, with a short period of 8 seconds, and the energy is low. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the WSW, keeping things clean. It's surfable, but it's pretty ordinary – a real "take what you can get" kind of session.

Then we hit a wall. From Monday the 17th right through to Thursday the 21st, it's a write-off. We're talking onshore winds, rain, and messy, choppy surf. The energy drops right off, with some days really low. There's nothing to get excited about there.

Things get a bit more interesting on Friday the 21st. A solid pulse of SSW swell rolls in, 8ft on the morning with a period of 8 seconds. The energy jumps up big time. But here's the kicker – the wind is howling from the SSW at 25 mph, making for a messy cross-shore chop. This isn't a paddle session. This setup looks way more interesting for a kite surfer.

Saturday the 22nd morning looks like our best bet in the whole outlook. The wind swings around to a clean, cross-offshore WNW breeze at 16 mph. We've got a 6ft south groundswell rolling in with a solid 11-second period, giving it some decent energy. This is a proper, long-period groundswell, which can be great on the point, though at a beach break it might break a bit straight. The conditions will be clean, making it the standout session by a long shot. Keep in mind, it's inconsistent here, so patience will be key. And with crowds being "sometimes" possible, you might have some company.

Sunday the 23rd gets heavy. An even bigger SSW swell pushes through, hitting 8ft on the afternoon with a very long 12-second period and a massive energy reading. That's a powerful swell. But again, the wind is a messy cross-shore from the SW at 22 mph. That's expert-only territory, and the quality is going to be poor with all that lumpy chop.

Monday the 24th sees the swell drop a bit to 7ft out of the south, still with that 11-second period. The wind is lighter, but still an onshore cross, making conditions a bit choppy but maybe manageable. It's marginal. From Tuesday the 25th onwards, it's a slow fade. The swell drops off, the wind stays messy, and by the end of the month, we're looking at tiny, weak waves.

So, to wrap it up: the one true standout is the Saturday morning of the 22nd. It's not perfect, but that clean, offshore wind and a solid groundswell is the best we're gonna see. After that, the big swells mid-week are for experts and kite surfers only. The rest of the window is a slow, flat decline.

Rusty.

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