Montoya Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for your neck of the woods. I gotta be straight with you—this forecast is a long, slow burn. We’re looking at a whole lot of nothing for the next couple of weeks before a big, late-summer pulse finally shows up right at the end of the window. So, buckle up for a quiet stretch.

First up, the water temp at Montoya is sitting at 12°, which is about a degree warmer than usual for this time of year. Nothing crazy, but it’s a nice little touch for your morning session.

Now, we’ve got a pretty grim run of surf from now until basically the 24th of August. The wind is a problem, almost constantly onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell is either small, short period, or blown out. There are a few days where the wave energy is present, like the morning of the 11th with a moderate 767 energy reading and a 6ft SSE swell, but the onshore SE wind at 10 km/h just kills it. The scores tell the whole story – it’s a write-off for days. We’re talking about a solid two-week gap with no real recommendations, just borderline conditions or straight-up poor surf. If you’re a kiter, you might get a look on the 20th when the wind cranks from the West at 31 mph, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a no-go.

Then, finally, on the morning of the 25th of August, things get interesting. The whole pattern shifts. We’ve got a solid 6ft swell coming from the SSE, but here’s the kicker—the period is 15 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell, and the combined energy is a massive 1346, which is a huge jump in power. This is the kind of energy that gets you excited. The caveat? The wind is a light cross-onshore from the S at 10 km/h, which is manageable, but with such a long period, this swell will be breaking straight and fast. Montoya is a beach and point setup, so you’ll want to hunt for the point or a river mouth to get the best out of it. It’ll be clean enough with that light breeze, but it’s not going to be a glassy, perfect day. This is a promising, late-season chance, but it’s a long way off, so don’t hold your breath just yet.

So, here’s the deal: the next two weeks are a flat, windy mess. Your only real standout is that Tuesday morning, the 25th of August, at Montoya. It’s a big, powerful, long-period groundswell, but you’ll need to pick your spot carefully. Not a beginner’s day with that size and length of period.

Stay patient, lads.

Rusty

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