Montoya Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s talk about Montoya. This is a beach and point setup, exposed to the open ocean swell. To be honest with you, the next few days look pretty flat and frustrating. The water temp here is running about average for the time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

We’re looking at a long, slow start. From Tuesday the 7th right through to the end of the week, it’s a struggle. Waves are tiny, barely a ripple at 1 ft Thursday morning with a light offshore wind, but the energy is so weak (combined energy of all swells directed here: 55) that it’s not worth paddling out for. That glassy Friday morning on the 10th with 3 ft from the ESE sounds promising, but the wave energy is still just moderate (163) and it’s backed by a long-period groundswell (11 seconds). That long period at a beach-and-point setup can mean the waves just run straight, offering little shape. Still, with glassy conditions and that south-east direction, it might give you a few little runners if you’re desperate for a splash.

Saturday the 11th is the first real standout but with a major caveat. The morning has 3 ft from the ESE (363 combined swell energy) with a cross-offshore wind, but it’s a long-period swell again at 11 seconds. The afternoon though, this is the pick of the whole outlook, if you can wait. Swell is still 3 ft from the ESE, but the period jumps to 14 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy, and the combined energy hits 662, a solid moderate-to-strong pulse. The wind is a moderate breeze cross-offshore. This long-period swell is ideal for a point break like Montoya, but it might make the beach section a bit too straight. If you’re a longer board or like a line, this is your window. Crowds are possible here.

After that, Sunday the 12th gets messy. Strong breeze winds (28 mph) and a short-period 4 ft swell from the ESE make for poor conditions. That trend of poor surf continues for a full week. There is a glimmer on Sunday the 19th afternoon – a long-period 3 ft swell from the east (265 combined energy) with a light offshore wind. For such a quiet run, that’s worth noting as a second choice. But honestly, the main event is that Saturday the 11th afternoon session. It’s got the best wind, the best period, and the most energy of the whole 16 days.

Everything else is either blown out, tiny, or short-period junk. The long-range Friday the 17th jump to 5 ft from the east (273 energy) is all cross-onshore wind and messy chop – that’s more of a kite-surfing show than a paddle session.

Rusty.

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