Montoya Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Montoya. We’ve got a pretty quiet start to the outlook, so don’t be in a rush to grab your board just yet. The first week or so is looking pretty bleak, but there’s a glimmer of hope further out if you’re patient.

Things are flat and messy right out of the gate. The first few days are a write-off. Thursday the 30th of July kicks off with a weak 2ft S swell at 12 seconds, but it’s blown out by a cross-onshore wind. The combined energy is only 154, so it’s weak. The next few days through the weekend and into early next week are all no-go. Tiny waves, poor wind, and generally just not worth paddling out for. Lots of 1ft and 2ft bumps with the wrong wind directions. The water temp is about 54°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s a small comfort when there’s nothing to ride.

We finally get a little flicker of life on Monday the 3rd of August. The morning is still marginal, but the afternoon brings a clean 3ft SSE swell at 11 seconds. The wind goes light and cross-offshore, making it tidy. The combined energy is moderate, sitting at 243. It’s not a standout, but it’s the first session that’s actually surfable.

The real action, if you can call it that, is buried in the second week. The best on offer looks like Monday the 10th of August. The morning is clean with a gentle offshore wind from the WNW and a 4ft SSE swell at 11 seconds. The combined energy is 315, so there’s a bit of push. It’s a beach and point setup, so that S-SSE swell direction is hitting the spot. This is a decent paddle for an intermediate surfer.

Following that, Tuesday the 11th of August is also worth a mention. The morning starts with a gentle offshore from the NW and a 3ft SSE swell at 12 seconds, with combined energy of 230. The afternoon is even cleaner with a light cross-offshore wind and the same swell, but the energy jumps to 339. The waves are clean and lined up, but it’s not huge.

The wave heights stay under 5ft for the whole period, so it’s not a problem for beginners. The swell periods are mostly in that 9-12 second range, giving you a decent shape without the long waits of a groundswell.

For the Monday the 10th session, the best of the best, expect a small but clean ride. The swell is from the SSE, which is the optimum direction for this spot. The gentle offshore wind means the faces will be smooth. It’s not a world-beater, but after a week of nothing, it’ll feel like a gift.

The rest of the second week fades into smaller, more ordinary conditions. There’s a bit of a bump on Wednesday the 12th, but it’s small and weak. The long-range stuff on the 13th and 14th of August is just not worth the drive, with poor wind and smaller, less energetic swells.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a total bust. The best chance to get wet is Monday the 10th of August, with Tuesday the 11th as a solid backup. It’s not a swell of the year, but it’s the cleanest, most consistent window we’ve got. Keep an eye on the forecast, but don’t hold your breath for the first few days.

Rusty.

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