Montoya Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Montoya's got cooking over the next couple of weeks, and I gotta be straight with you – it's a slow burner.

For the first week and a bit, it's pretty grim. We’re looking at a run of tiny, weak, and mostly messy surf starting from Thursday the 23rd. The mornings might offer a little window with lighter winds, but the swell is small – 3ft at best with short, weak periods from the SSE. The wave energy is weak (101). Water temp is hanging around 52°, which is about normal for the time of year. You’ll see some clean-ish conditions pop up on Friday the 24th afternoon with a bit of a longer period S swell (13 seconds, 146 energy), but it's still nothing to get excited about. We get a glimmer on Sunday the 26th morning with clean, glassy conditions and a small 1ft SSE groundswell, but again, it's tiny.

Then it gets ugly. From Monday the 29th through Friday the 1st of August, the wind howls onshore and we’ve got some proper rain. There’s a spike in size on the 1st of August with an 8ft ESE swell, but the wind is ripping cross-onshore at 12-22 mph, making it a total washing machine. The combined energy jumps to 808, but under those winds, that’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session. It would be a battle out there.

Now, here’s where it gets a bit interesting. The real standout window is Sunday the 2nd of August. The forecast shows a solid 8ft ESE swell with a period of 10 seconds, pumping a combined energy of 1139. The wind shifts to a strong offshore from the WSW at 22 mph. That wind is going to groom that swell into clean, powerful lines at this beach and point set-up. Now, at 8ft, this is serious beginner territory – for experts and confident intermediates only. The period is moderate at 10 seconds, so it will have some punch. This spot is exposed to the swell and the direction matches the optimum S direction, so it should wrap in nicely. Crowds are sometimes a factor here, so with this kind of quality, expect a crew.

The following morning, Monday the 3rd of August, is another solid option. The swell drops slightly to 6ft, but with a light offshore breeze from the North at just 3 mph, the surf will be clean and lined up, with the combined energy still strong at 763. This is a much friendlier size for a wider range of surfers looking for a good session.

After that, the swell fades fast. We’re back to small, weak, and messy from Tuesday the 4th onwards, with winds swinging onshore again and barely any energy left.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. The clear standouts are Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd of August. Sunday the 2nd is the big one for the crew who can handle it, while Monday the 3rd offers a slightly more manageable size with likely perfect conditions. Mark your calendars.

Rusty.

Read more