Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Issued: 9 pm 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.9° C

Normal for this time of year

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SE swell with 2,766 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Tue 7th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Best Surf 7AM (Tue 7th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 4PM (Tue 7th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Manly. It’s a bit of a strange run ahead, with a lot of "meh" to sift through before a proper winter groundswell shows up towards the back end. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year.

We’re not kicking off with much to get excited about. The first solid run of surfable waves arrives Thursday morning the 9th of July, with a clean 6ft swell from the SE wrapping in and a light offshore SSW breeze. It’s clean and the wave energy is moderate (810). That’s the pick of the first week really, but don’t expect pumping perfection, it’s more of a fun, manageable wave.

Friday the 10th keeps things going with a similar story: 6ft SE swell and light offshore wind again in the morning. It’s clean and surfable. The combined energy drops off a bit (507) but the conditions are good.

Then we hit a wall. From Saturday the 11th of July through to Tuesday the 14th, it really drops out. Very small, messy, or just poor conditions with minimal energy. You’re looking at a solid four to five days where you’d be better off doing something else.

Things perk back up a little on Wednesday the 15th with a clean 5ft S swell and offshore WSW wind, moderate energy at 434. Then Thursday the 16th offers a decent 5ft S swell with a strong offshore SW breeze, energy picking up to 723 – that’s a good morning session if you time the tide right.

Now, the real standout, and the only one worth getting genuinely stoked about, is Tuesday the 21st of July. This is a proper event – a 16ft S swell with a long 12-second period. The combined energy is massive (7377), and it’s got a clean offshore SW wind. That is expert territory only, it will be big and powerful, but for the crew who know what they’re doing, that’s the day to circle. Wednesday the 22nd still has a solid 12ft S swell on offer, with light offshore wind, still only for experienced surfers, but the energy is dropping (5188).

So the bottom line: a lot of ordinary days in the first week and a half, with Thursday the 9th being your only real "worth it" window for the average surfer. Then the second week saves the whole outlook with a proper, heavy groundswell event late on. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon night, min 12°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Mon
13
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
3
2
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3.5
SE
11
3
SE
11
2.5
SE
10
2.4
SSE
10
1.5
ESE
12
1.8
SE
10
1.8
SE
9
1.7
SE
9
1.7
SE
9
1.7
SE
10
1.5
SE
10
1.2
SE
9
1.1
SE
9
0.8
ESE
11
0.8
ESE
11
0.7
ESE
10
0.6
S
8
0.4
SSW
6
0.2
S
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1832
2078
2766
2211
1418
1147
584
640
531
481
492
569
408
230
172
138
138
92
49
14
10
Wind (km/h)
25
S
25
SSW
30
S
20
S
20
S
25
S
20
SSW
20
SSW
15
SSE
5
WSW
10
WSW
5
SSE
10
NW
15
WNW
20
W
15
WNW
20
WNW
25
W
20
NW
25
W
25
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
00:25AM1.26m
1:34PM1.23m
1:22AM1.17m
2:29PM1.31m
2:29AM1.09m
3:26PM1.40m
3:44AM1.04m
4:25PM1.50m
4:59AM1.03m
5:23PM1.60m
6:08AM1.05m
6:19PM1.70m
7:10AM1.08m
Low Tide
7:01AM0.22m
7:32PM0.50m
7:48AM0.25m
8:46PM0.46m
8:40AM0.27m
10:01PM0.38m
9:38AM0.30m
11:12PM0.27m
10:39AM0.30m
00:15AM0.15m
11:39AM0.29m
1:13AM0.05m
12:36PM0.26m
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:59
4:59
5:00
5:00
5:00
5:00
5:01
 mm
4
2
2
3
2
4
2
2
3
3
Temp °C
16
15
16
16
15
15
15
14
15
15
15
15
14
17
17
13
18
18
14
16
16
Feels °C
11
9
10
12
11
11
11
11
12
14
14
13
12
12
12
9
12
12
9
8
9
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SE
14
0.1
S
16
3
SE
11
2.5
SE
10
1.2
ESE
13
1.7
SSE
10
1.8
SE
10
1.8
SE
9
1.7
SE
9
1.7
SE
9
1.7
SE
10
1.5
SE
10
1.2
SE
9
1.1
SE
9
0.8
ESE
11
0.8
ESE
11
0.7
ESE
10
0.6
S
8
0.4
SSW
6
0.2
ESE
8
Energy kJ
471
5
2211
1418
462
584
640
531
481
492
569
408
230
172
138
138
92
49
12
7
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
18
0.8
ESE
14
0.1
S
16
1.5
ESE
12
0.9
ESE
11
0.4
ESE
10
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
19
0.1
S
21
0.1
S
17
0.3
ESE
14
0.6
ESE
12
0.7
SSE
8
0.4
SSE
8
0.4
SE
8
0.4
ESE
9
0.3
ESE
8
0.2
S
11
Energy kJ
6
220
5
575
164
38
5
7
8
5
40
117
64
26
16
33
14
10
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
20
0.1
S
18
0.1
S
17
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
20
0.1
S
14
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
16
0.3
ESE
13
0.1
S
16
0.2
SSW
5
0.2
SSE
8
0.1
S
12
0.1
S
18
Energy kJ
8
6
6
5
8
4
4
5
35
5
3
6
3
7
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3.5
SE
11
2.4
SSE
10
0.4
NW
3
0.3
WNW
2
0.4
WNW
3
0.5
NW
3
0.5
W
3
0.5
NW
3
0.7
SW
4
Energy kJ
1832
2078
2766
1147
2
1
3
5
5
5
13
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
12
12
12
78
8
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
3
85
167
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
8
7
5
5
7
6
6
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
2
4
5
9
9
7
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
6
6
5
8
6
5
5
5
9
9
7
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Manly:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Manly surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest