Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 23 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.6° C
0.3° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, S swell with 1,748 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.1m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Thu 23rd Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 9s
Best Surf10AM (Fri 24th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 10s
Most Powerful10PM (Fri 24th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what we’ve got coming.

It’s a slow start on Thursday, July 23rd – small, weak, and not worth paddling out for. The first real fun shows up on Friday, July 24th. Friday morning is the standout. We’re looking at a clean 7ft south swell, with a light offshore breeze from the southwest. The waves will be lined up, punchy, and full of energy, with a combined energy reading of 1331 (moderate to strong). This is the best session of the whole outlook. The swell direction is a great match for Manly, and it’s a point break, so it’ll handle that long-period groundswell nicely. It can get crowded, but it’s worth it.

Saturday morning, July 25th, still has a solid 6ft south swell, but the wind is cross-off. The 11-second period gives it good shape, but Friday is the clear winner.

Sunday, July 26th, is similar with a 6ft swell and clean wind, but the energy is a touch lower. Monday and Tuesday are small and weak, with the swell dropping to almost nothing.

Then things get wild. Thursday, July 30th, a massive 10ft to 13ft south swell rolls in, but the conditions are tricky. The wind is strong offshore in the afternoon, hitting 19 mph, so it’ll be clean, but 13ft is only for the expert crew. The combined energy hits 3362 (very strong). This is a big, heavy ocean.

Friday, July 31st, is still huge at 10ft, with a strong offshore wind and heavy rain. It’s a raw, stormy scene.

The first weekend of August is more manageable. Saturday, August 1st, has a solid 7ft south-southeast swell with clean offshore wind all day. The energy is 724 (moderate), and the conditions are good. Sunday, August 2nd, drops off, and the next week is mostly small and ordinary.

Water temp is 64°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

Bottom line: get out there Friday, July 24th, morning. That’s the one. The big stuff at the end of the month is for the brave or the crazy.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Thu afternoon, light winds from the SSW by Fri morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
3
1
3
1
0
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
ENE
9
0.8
ENE
9
0.5
ENE
9
2
S
10
1.5
S
9
2.2
S
13
1.7
S
11
1.3
S
10
1.2
S
11
1.7
S
11
1.5
S
10
1.4
S
9
1.1
S
9
1
S
8
0.8
S
8
0.5
S
9
0.4
S
8
0.3
S
8
0.2
S
16
0.2
S
19
1.6
S
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
119
92
45
755
367
1679
688
345
348
701
468
341
189
140
88
37
22
11
19
28
331
Wind (km/h)
15
W
25
SW
25
WSW
15
SW
10
ESE
15
WNW
20
W
5
NNW
20
WSW
15
W
10
E
10
WSW
10
W
15
ENE
15
NW
10
NW
10
NNE
15
WNW
25
NW
30
WNW
20
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
cross-off
on
cross
cross
on
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
3:41PM1.30m
4:11AM0.87m
4:35PM1.33m
5:17AM0.88m
5:25PM1.37m
6:11AM0.91m
6:11PM1.43m
6:55AM0.95m
6:53PM1.48m
7:35AM0.99m
7:32PM1.53m
8:12AM1.04m
8:09PM1.56m
Low Tide
10:38PM0.47m
9:39AM0.48m
11:37PM0.42m
10:35AM0.49m
00:26AM0.36m
11:28AM0.46m
1:07AM0.30m
12:15PM0.43m
1:45AM0.24m
12:58PM0.39m
2:20AM0.19m
1:38PM0.36m
2:54AM0.16m
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:50
6:50
6:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:07
5:08
5:09
5:09
5:10
5:12
5:12
 mm
1
Temp °C
18
18
11
13
13
11
17
19
13
14
15
14
15
16
15
19
19
14
15
12
8
Feels °C
13
12
3
10
9
8
13
16
8
11
13
12
13
13
12
15
16
10
8
4
2
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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