Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 07 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
18.1°C
0.1° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, S swell with 2,849 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 9s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 2s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Tue 8th Sep)7ft (2.1m) 9s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 10th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 10th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, grab a coffee and settle in. Let’s talk about the next couple of weeks at Manly.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. Monday the 7th is pretty much a write-off with small, junky waves. Not worth paddling out for.

But things start to shift on Tuesday the 8th. The morning brings a muscular 8ft S swell, but that’s paired with a strong 16 mph SSE wind. It’s big, but messy. The afternoon is the real story here. The swell drops to a still-solid 7ft from the SSE, the wind eases right back to 6 mph and goes cross-offshore. It’s a major positive – the waves will be clean. This is the standout session of the first half of the week for a confident surfer. The combined swell energy is a strong 624, so there’s plenty of push. At that size, it’s more for intermediate-to-advanced crew.

Wednesday the 9th sees the swell drop right off in the morning to a weak 3ft S swell (207 energy), and while the wind is offshore, the conditions are just too small and weak to get excited about. The afternoon is the opposite problem – a bigger 10ft S swell but with a brutal 28 mph wind. That’s a survival session or a kite day, not a paddle day. Same story for Thursday the 10th and Friday morning, with 10ft+ S swells and strong onshore winds creating angry, blown-out surf. The energy is huge – up to 2400 – but the quality isn’t there.

Okay, now we’re talking. Friday, September 11th, morning is the absolute standout of the entire 16-day window. We’ve got a clean 8ft S swell (10-second period, 1185 energy) and a beautiful offshore 9 mph SSW wind. This will be Manly at its best – powerful, clean lines with hollow sections. This is the session to plan around. For the experts, this is it. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

Saturday the 12th is a good follow-up with a dropping 6ft S swell, light offshore winds, and clean conditions. That’s a fun, manageable day for the average surfer. The 11-second period will give it some nice shape and energy (837).

After that, we hit a long, dry spell. From Sunday the 13th all the way through to Monday the 21st, there is almost nothing worth paddling for. The swell plummets, mostly under 3ft, with persistent onshore and cross-onshore winds. There’s a small window on Friday the 18th with a 3ft swell and a cross-offshore wind, but it’s too weak. This gap runs for about eight days.

The forecast tries to fire up again on Tuesday, September 22nd, with a big 10ft S swell rolling in, but it’s met with a 13 mph onshore wind from the NE. That size with NE wind on Manly will mean it’s a washing machine. The combined energy is up around 1319, so there’s serious power, but the quality will be poor. That one’s for the experts who don’t mind a beating, but it’s not a recommendation.

Water temp is running right around average for this time of year at 65°, so you won’t need a winter suit.

Remember, the first week’s forecast is solid; the second week is promising in size but very uncertain in quality.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Mon morning, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Thu morning, light winds from the NNW by Sat night).

Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
3
3
1
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
S
8
1.6
SSE
9
3
S
8
2.5
S
9
2.1
SSE
9
1.4
S
9
1
S
8
3
S
8
4
S
10
3
S
10
3.5
S
10
3
S
10
2.5
S
10
2.1
S
9
1.9
SSE
10
1.8
S
11
1.6
S
10
1.3
SSE
10
1.1
S
10
0.9
SSE
9
0.8
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
245
396
1130
1099
616
306
136
1187
2849
1702
2229
1853
1170
775
710
790
562
335
221
147
122
Wind (km/h)
5
NW
15
E
35
S
25
SSE
10
SSE
10
NNW
25
SSW
45
S
35
SSW
25
SSW
25
S
15
SW
15
SSW
20
SSE
15
SW
10
SSW
10
E
10
NW
10
N
25
NE
10
NW
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross
High Tide
5:00PM1.54m
5:57AM1.09m
5:56PM1.60m
6:46AM1.19m
6:47PM1.63m
7:28AM1.28m
7:32PM1.62m
8:08AM1.36m
8:15PM1.56m
8:46AM1.41m
8:56PM1.47m
9:22AM1.44m
9:37PM1.35m
Low Tide
10:24AM0.42m
11:54PM0.14m
11:29AM0.34m
00:42AM0.07m
12:24PM0.27m
1:23AM0.03m
1:15PM0.20m
2:01AM0.03m
2:02PM0.17m
2:36AM0.06m
2:48PM0.16m
3:09AM0.12m
3:33PM0.18m
3:41AM0.19m
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:05
6:05
6:03
6:01
6:00
5:58
5:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:39
5:40
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:43
5:44
 mm
Temp °C
19
17
15
16
16
14
16
14
14
14
14
15
16
15
15
15
15
14
18
17
16
Feels °C
16
14
9
11
13
12
10
5
5
7
8
12
12
11
12
13
13
12
13
12
14
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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