Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 28 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.4°C
0.5° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 9s period, SSE swell with 402 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sat 29th Aug)4ft (1.2m) 9s
Best Surf10AM (Sat 29th Aug)4ft (1.2m) 10s
Most Powerful 1PM (Sat 29th Aug)5ft (1.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here.

Alright, let’s be straight up – the next week and a half is pretty grim for a proper paddle at Manly. We’ve got a few small windows, but nothing that’ll get you out of bed before the sun’s up. The real action, if you can call it that, doesn’t kick in until we’re well into the second week.

We start off with the best of a rough bunch on Saturday morning, the 29th. Manly’s got a clean 4ft SSE swell with a 10-second period, and a light SSW offshore breeze. The water temp is about average for this time of year. The combined energy is sitting at 401 (moderate), and the conditions are clean, so if you’re a beginner or just want a cruisy, small-wave session, this is your window. It’s a point break, sheltered and fairly consistent, but expect it to get a bit busy as it’s often crowded.

That’s about it for the first week, honestly. From Saturday afternoon through to the morning of Tuesday the 8th of September, it’s a write-off. We’re looking at days of onshore junk, small weak swells, and cross-shore chop. The wave energy drops into the double digits (86, 47, 65) by Thursday and Friday – that’s barely enough to push a foamie around. Those “surfable” tags on a few afternoons are generous; it’s just ordinary.

Then, hold on to your board. Tuesday the 8th of September looks like a proper event. An S swell pumps in at 11ft in the morning, building to 13ft in the afternoon, period around 10 to 11 seconds. The combined energy hits 2065 in the morning and a staggering 4082 in the afternoon – that’s strong to very strong. Winds are light and cross-offshore. This is big, powerful, and heavy. If you’re not an expert, you have no business being in the water. The crowd profile won't be an issue because most people will be watching from the beach.

Wednesday the 9th stays big, with 8ft to 10ft S/SSE swell, but the wind picks up to a fresh 15-18 mph offshore. It’s still clean, but that’s a lot of power and a lot of wind. The wave energy remains strong (around 1700). This is still expert-only territory.

After that pulse, we see it slowly drop off into the following weekend, with the swell settling back to 5ft to 5ft on the 11th and 12th, with cleaner conditions but nothing truly standout for the average surfer.

So, to boil it down: the one true standout is Tuesday the 8th of September for the experienced chargers only. Saturday the 29th is your small-wave, beginner-friendly option. The rest is a long stretch of flatness or closeout slop.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SSE
9
1.2
SSE
10
1.2
SSE
10
0.9
SSE
9
0.9
S
9
1
S
9
1.2
S
9
0.6
S
15
1
S
11
1
S
9
1
S
11
1
S
11
0.8
S
11
0.7
S
10
0.6
S
10
0.5
S
10
0.5
S
10
0.4
SSE
9
0.4
SSE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
287
269
251
151
130
152
235
163
242
170
229
233
141
96
68
50
48
29
28
Wind (km/h)
10
SSE
10
SSW
10
SE
5
WSW
5
NW
10
SE
5
W
5
N
20
NE
10
N
15
N
10
NE
15
NW
20
NW
15
W
15
NW
25
NNW
25
WNW
15
W
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross
glassy
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
8:50AM1.28m
8:52PM1.50m
9:25AM1.34m
9:30PM1.43m
10:02AM1.38m
10:10PM1.34m
10:43AM1.41m
10:55PM1.23m
11:28AM1.42m
11:49PM1.12m
12:22PM1.41m
00:55AM1.01m
Low Tide
2:45AM0.10m
2:40PM0.25m
3:16AM0.10m
3:22PM0.24m
3:48AM0.13m
4:07PM0.25m
4:22AM0.17m
4:57PM0.28m
5:00AM0.24m
5:55PM0.31m
5:44AM0.32m
7:04PM0.34m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:18
6:16
6:15
6:13
6:13
6:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:34
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:36
5:37
 mm
Temp °C
15
15
15
14
16
15
15
17
16
16
22
23
20
26
26
22
28
27
19
Feels °C
13
13
14
13
14
13
15
14
13
15
17
20
16
22
22
19
22
22
14
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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