Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.7° C
0.3° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 1,478 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 16th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 7s
Best Surf10AM (Mon 20th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 10s
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 15th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, I'm Rusty. Look, I'll be straight with you – the next 16 days at Manly are a bit of a mixed bag, and we've got a long wait for anything genuinely good. The first solid window of proper surf is a week away, so you'll need some patience.

The week kicks off with a pretty average run. Wednesday the 15th through the weekend is all about a cross-off, onshore wind, and lumpy conditions. You've got a 8ft south swell on Wednesday morning, but it's messy with a 30 km/h cross-off wind, and the combined energy is moderate at 994. It's not a paddle. Thursday and Friday don't offer much improvement either, with choppy conditions and smaller, weak swell. The water temp is about 64°, which is normal for this time of year.

The real standout arrives on Monday the 20th. That morning, Manly cleans right up. We've got a 5ft east-northeast swell with a 10-second period, and the wind goes glassy – a light NNW breeze at just 5 km/h. The combined energy is a solid 683, and the forecast is for good surf. This is the pick of the 16 days. It's not huge, but it'll be clean and fun for intermediate surfers. The afternoon sees a light onshore, so make the most of the morning glass.

The next real highlight comes on Thursday the 23rd. The afternoon shows a 6ft east swell with a nice 11-second period, and the wind swings to a clean offshore from the west-southwest at 15 km/h. The combined energy is 822, so there's a bit of punch. That's a good session for anyone wanting a wave with a bit more shape. Friday the 24th morning also looks clean, with a 5ft east swell and a moderate offshore wind, but the afternoon gets blown out.

After that, the last week of July and into the 30th looks pretty ordinary. The swell drops off and the winds are mostly cross or onshore. Saturday the 26th morning has a 3ft east swell and light winds, but it's a weak one. The rest of the month is small, with poor surf conditions dominating.

So, in short: the best on offer is Monday the 20th morning for that glassy, clean 5ft swell. The secondary shout is Thursday the 23rd afternoon for the bigger, clean offshore waves. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri night, min 13°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Thu morning, light winds from the SSE by Fri night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun morning, min 14°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
2
1
2
1
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
S
9
2.5
S
9
2
S
7
2.3
S
8
2.3
S
8
1.3
S
7
1
S
6
0.8
E
6
0.8
S
11
1.3
E
7
1.2
E
8
1.5
E
9
2.1
E
11
2
E
11
1.8
ENE
10
1.6
ENE
10
1.6
ENE
10
1.6
ENE
10
1.6
ENE
10
1.6
ENE
10
1.5
ENE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
994
1184
439
604
593
172
78
41
141
173
160
356
1026
917
667
533
533
482
492
490
425
Wind (km/h)
30
SSW
25
SSW
25
SSW
30
SSW
30
S
15
SSE
15
SSE
15
SSE
10
SSE
15
SSE
25
SSE
20
SE
15
SE
15
ESE
5
E
5
NNW
10
ENE
5
WNW
10
NNW
20
NE
10
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-off
cross
on
cross-off
High Tide
8:55PM1.81m
9:46AM1.18m
9:43PM1.74m
10:35AM1.20m
10:31PM1.63m
11:23AM1.23m
11:18PM1.47m
12:11PM1.24m
00:05AM1.31m
1:01PM1.26m
00:56AM1.14m
1:52PM1.27m
1:53AM1.01m
Low Tide
2:24PM0.23m
3:44AM-0.07m
3:17PM0.24m
4:29AM-0.03m
4:10PM0.28m
5:12AM0.04m
5:04PM0.33m
5:53AM0.13m
6:02PM0.40m
6:33AM0.22m
7:05PM0.46m
7:13AM0.31m
8:14PM0.50m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:54
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:02
5:04
5:04
5:05
5:06
5:06
5:07
 mm
3
10
2
2
1
1
Temp °C
14
15
15
15
16
16
16
16
17
16
16
16
17
17
17
17
16
16
18
17
17
Feels °C
7
10
10
9
10
13
13
14
14
12
11
12
14
14
15
16
14
14
15
14
16
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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