Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Issued: 9 am 05 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
18.4° C

Normal for this time of year

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, S swell with 3,944 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Wed 8th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 11s
Best Surf10PM (Wed 8th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 11s
Most Powerful 4PM (Sun 5th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

G'day, this is Rusty. Look, I'm not going to sugar-coat it – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for waves around here. We've got a real long stretch of nothing much to get excited about, so let's just walk through it.

We're kicking off the period on Sunday the 5th of July with a solid pulse of S swell pushing 12 ft. Now, the good news is we've got offshore winds early, but the bad news is this is a short-period wind swell with only 11 seconds between waves, and the water temp is sitting at 65°, which is about average for this time of year. The combined energy is a very strong 2917, so there's plenty of power, but the wave comment calls it marginal, and for good reason – this is a beginner-friendly point break sheltered to the south-east, but this swell is too big and too raw for most. It's really only going to suit advanced surfers who want a challenge.

By Sunday afternoon, the wind swings and the quality drops further. Monday the 6th sees the swell drop to 10 ft with a bit more period, but still cross-off winds and marginal conditions. The combined energy is still high at 1807, but the scores are low. Tuesday the 7th is more of the same – 10 ft swell with rain showers and cross-off breeze. Wednesday the 8th has some offshore wind again with 8 ft SSE swell, but it's still not clean enough for a standout session.

From Thursday the 9th onward, the swell starts to fade away quickly. We go from 7 ft on Thursday down to 1 ft by Monday the 13th. There's a gap here of several days – from about Thursday the 9th right through to the end of the forecast window – where there's really no surf worth paddling out for. The combined energy drops to double digits, which is weak. The scores are all zeros or ones. Friday the 10th has a glimmer of hope with light offshore winds and 6 ft swell, but the energy is only 603 (moderate) and the wave comment says "expect good surf conditions" but the score is still only 2 out of 10. Not much to get excited about.

By Saturday the 11th, the swell is down to 4 ft and the wind goes onshore in the afternoon. From there it's a long, drawn-out flat spell. We've got a few days with tiny 1 ft to 2 ft waves, mostly clean but completely undersized. The period is short, the energy is weak, and the forecasts are all "poor surf conditions." There's nothing here that'll get your heart racing.

So to sum it up: the only window with any size at all is this weekend coming (5th and 6th of July), but it's big, messy, and only for experts. After that, it's a long, flat run with no standout options. For a spot that is fairly consistent, this kind of blank run is a bit of a downer, but it happens. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it, but right now, I'd be finding something else to do.

Stay patient.
Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Sun morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
1
1
1
3
2
2
3
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
S
11
3.5
S
13
3
S
11
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SE
11
3
SE
11
2.5
SSE
11
2.4
SSE
9
2.1
SSE
10
2
SE
10
2
SE
9
1.9
SE
9
1.9
SE
9
1.8
SE
10
1.5
SE
9
0.8
ESE
12
1.1
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2904
3944
2221
1620
1522
1640
1741
2505
1951
1498
880
873
738
678
599
599
637
382
205
285
184
Wind (km/h)
30
SSW
35
S
30
SSE
25
SSE
30
S
25
S
25
SSW
30
S
20
S
25
SSW
20
S
15
S
15
SSW
20
S
5
ESE
10
W
10
SW
10
W
10
WNW
15
ENE
10
NW
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross
High Tide
11:57AM1.11m
11:38PM1.35m
12:44PM1.16m
00:25AM1.26m
1:34PM1.23m
1:22AM1.17m
2:29PM1.31m
2:29AM1.09m
3:26PM1.40m
3:44AM1.04m
4:25PM1.50m
4:59AM1.03m
5:23PM1.60m
Low Tide
5:28PM0.48m
6:20AM0.20m
6:26PM0.50m
7:01AM0.22m
7:32PM0.50m
7:48AM0.25m
8:46PM0.46m
8:40AM0.27m
10:01PM0.38m
9:38AM0.30m
11:12PM0.27m
10:39AM0.30m
00:15AM0.15m
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:00
7:00
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:58
4:58
4:59
4:59
5:00
5:00
5:00
 mm
1
1
4
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
1
9
2
2
2
Temp °C
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
16
16
14
14
14
15
15
14
13
14
13
15
15
15
Feels °C
9
7
9
10
9
10
9
11
12
8
9
11
11
11
12
11
12
11
13
13
13
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
ENE
8
0.2
E
13
0.2
E
13
0.6
S
16
0.1
E
14
1
SE
13
0.1
S
17
3
SE
11
1.1
ESE
13
1.5
ESE
12
2.1
SSE
10
2
SE
10
2
SE
9
1.9
SE
9
1.9
SE
9
1.8
SE
10
1.5
SE
9
1.2
SE
8
1.1
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
10
Energy kJ
13
14
14
183
4
352
5
1951
434
636
873
738
678
599
599
637
382
205
285
184
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
E
14
0.1
E
14
0.1
S
18
0.1
S
15
1.2
ESE
13
0.1
S
16
0.6
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
10
0.4
ESE
10
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
15
0.4
ESE
14
0.8
ESE
12
0.9
SSE
9
0.7
SE
8
Energy kJ
4
4
6
4
506
5
95
163
39
4
4
68
172
135
70
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
20
0.1
S
18
0.1
S
17
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
19
0.1
S
18
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
15
Energy kJ
7
6
6
5
7
6
5
5
4
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
S
11
3.5
S
13
3
S
11
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SE
11
2.5
SSE
11
2.4
SSE
9
1.9
SSE
9
Energy kJ
2904
3944
2221
1620
1522
1640
1741
2505
1498
880
646
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
Distance (km)
12
348
314
185
113
12
12
12
12
8
12
5
8
63
0
0
0
0
0
10
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
9
7
4
4
4
5
4
5
7
5
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
4
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
9
7
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
5
5
5
8
7
6
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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