Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 30 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.1°C
0.8° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period, S swell with 497 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.3m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sun 30th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 9s
Best Surf10AM (Sun 6th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 12s
Most Powerful10AM (Sun 6th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s look at what we’ve got coming down the line at Manly.

The next 16 days start off pretty quiet. We’ve got a long stretch of small, ordinary surf with cranky wind, so don’t bother paddling out until next week. There’s a bit of ankle-snapper on offer Sunday morning (Aug 30) with a 3ft south swell and a 9-second period, but it’s cross-off wind and the wave energy is weak (283). Same again Monday and Tuesday – small and messy. Honestly, from now right through to Saturday September 5th, it’s a wasteland. The swell stays tiny or onshore, and there’s nothing worth suiting up for.

But then, mark your calendar. On Sunday morning September 6th, we get a sudden pulse of proper groundswell. The south swell jumps to 4ft with a 12-second period and light offshore SSW wind – glassy clean. The combined energy jumps right up to 511 (moderate). It’s still a beginner-friendly height with clean conditions, so if you’re keen for an early session, that’s the first window.

Don’t get excited about the rest of that day though. By afternoon the onshore gets nasty again, and Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th are blown out or weak.

Now, the real standout comes later. Thursday morning September 10th is the day. South swell pumps up to 8ft with a 13-second period and light offshore WSW wind. The combined wave energy hits 2426 – that’s strong, powerful surf. Conditions are clean and orderly with gentle offshore wind. This is for experienced surfers only – big, long-period south groundswell piling into Manly point. That kind of period and size will make the point reel with some proper lines. Crowds can be a factor here, so you’ll want to be sharp and early. If you can handle it, this is the best day of the outlook.

Friday morning September 11th keeps the energy alive. Still a 10ft south swell, 12-second period, and more offshore SW wind. Combined energy is 2346 – still very strong. Excellent but only for experts again. The afternoon holds at 8ft with those clean offshores, so still solid if you’ve got the experience.

After that the swell tapers off quickly for the weekend and into the second week. There’s a 4ft to 6ft south swell on the 12th and 14th, but winds turn cross or onshore, making it choppy and not worth the paddle. The run looks pretty ordinary after that.

Water temp is sitting at 63°F right now, which is about 1°F cooler than average for this time of year – nothing too crazy, just a little fresh. It's a point break, so that long-period groundswell on the 10th and 11th will wrap in nicely.

Forget the beach setup when it's big – for that Thursday and Friday, it’s strictly a point wave show. Winds are offshore and the shape should be super clean. This is your highlight, so plan around it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
S
9
1
S
9
1.1
S
10
1
S
8
0.9
S
9
0.9
S
9
0.9
S
11
0.9
S
11
0.8
S
10
0.7
S
10
0.6
S
10
0.6
S
10
0.6
S
10
0.5
S
10
0.5
S
10
1
S
10
0.3
S
18
0.8
S
10
0.7
S
10
0.6
S
10
0.6
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
160
153
214
138
123
134
185
185
136
106
76
71
71
50
45
202
54
131
89
72
80
Wind (km/h)
5
WNW
10
ESE
5
WNW
5
N
20
NE
10
N
15
N
10
WNW
15
NNW
15
WNW
15
WNW
15
NW
15
WSW
15
S
10
W
5
NNW
20
ENE
15
NW
30
N
35
W
25
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
glassy
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross
cross-on
cross-off
off
High Tide
9:30PM1.43m
10:02AM1.38m
10:10PM1.34m
10:43AM1.41m
10:55PM1.23m
11:28AM1.42m
11:49PM1.12m
12:22PM1.41m
00:55AM1.01m
1:26PM1.40m
2:18AM0.94m
2:40PM1.42m
3:46AM0.94m
Low Tide
3:22PM0.24m
3:48AM0.13m
4:07PM0.25m
4:22AM0.17m
4:57PM0.28m
5:00AM0.24m
5:55PM0.31m
5:44AM0.32m
7:04PM0.34m
6:39AM0.39m
8:25PM0.34m
7:49AM0.45m
9:47PM0.30m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:16
6:15
6:13
6:13
6:11
6:09
6:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:38
 mm
1
Temp °C
17
16
15
16
16
16
23
26
20
26
27
21
23
23
17
18
18
17
24
17
15
Feels °C
15
14
15
13
13
15
19
23
16
22
23
17
18
19
15
14
14
15
18
9
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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