Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 05 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.4° C
0.6° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, NE swell with 719 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Thu 6th Aug)2ft (0.6m) 9s
Best Surf10AM (Thu 6th Aug)2ft (0.6m) 9s
Most Powerful 7AM (Mon 10th Aug)7.5ft (2.3m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty average for Manly. The surf is small and the conditions are mostly ordinary. We’ve got a long stretch of marginal days ahead, so don’t get your hopes up for anything epic. The water’s sitting at 63°, which is about normal for this time of year.

The first real chance of anything decent doesn’t show up until Friday the 14th. That morning, we’ve got a 4ft swell coming from the south with a 9-second period. It’s not huge, but the wind is light and offshore from the west, which should keep things clean. The swell energy is moderate at 449, so there’s a bit of push behind it. This is the standout of the whole period, but it’s still a couple of weeks out, so treat it as promising rather than locked in.

Before that, there’s a heap of nothing. Wednesday the 5th through to Wednesday the 12th are all small, mostly under 3ft, with weak energy readings in the low hundreds or less. The winds are often cross-off or cross, but the surf just isn’t there. Monday the 10th does see a bump in energy (538) with 6ft from the east, but the wind is a fresh 35 km/h cross-off, and the conditions are still rated poor. That’s more of a messy, blown-out day than anything surfable.

Thursday the 13th is still ordinary, and then Friday the 14th morning is the one to watch. After that, the swell drops back down again. The 15th and 16th have some south swell around 3ft, but the winds are cross-off or cross, and the quality just isn’t there. The 17th through 20th fizzle out completely, with wave heights dropping to 1ft-2ft and weak energy. It’s a barren run to end the period.

So, bottom line: if you’re keen, pencil in Friday the 14th morning. It’s the only real window with decent size and clean conditions. Everything else is a case of “check the cams and don’t bother.” The water’s average, the surf’s small, and the wind’s not doing us any favors. It’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Sat morning, strong winds from the WNW by Mon morning).

Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
E
10
0.4
E
9
0.3
S
10
0.6
S
9
1
S
8
0.6
S
7
0.7
S
9
0.6
SSE
9
0.5
SSE
9
0.7
S
8
0.6
ENE
7
0.7
E
8
0.9
ENE
9
0.9
ENE
9
1.9
ENE
6
1.8
ENE
9
1.4
NE
9
0.7
NE
9
1
S
13
0.9
S
12
0.8
S
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
18
27
17
56
120
38
83
59
48
66
31
63
137
106
268
535
314
84
334
224
152
Wind (km/h)
20
W
10
SW
15
W
15
WSW
15
ENE
10
WNW
15
W
15
SE
10
W
10
WNW
15
ENE
10
N
15
N
20
N
30
N
35
WNW
35
WNW
20
W
15
W
30
WNW
20
W
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
12:53PM1.33m
1:00AM1.09m
1:52PM1.36m
2:14AM1.00m
2:58PM1.42m
3:39AM0.96m
4:06PM1.49m
4:58AM0.98m
5:10PM1.58m
6:05AM1.04m
6:08PM1.67m
7:01AM1.10m
7:01PM1.74m
Low Tide
7:13PM0.42m
7:07AM0.31m
8:30PM0.41m
8:07AM0.36m
9:51PM0.35m
9:16AM0.38m
11:05PM0.25m
10:26AM0.37m
00:08AM0.14m
11:31AM0.33m
1:02AM0.05m
12:29PM0.27m
1:50AM-0.01m
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:43
6:41
6:41
6:39
6:39
6:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:19
5:20
5:21
5:21
 mm
2
Temp °C
16
18
13
15
15
13
15
15
14
15
15
14
19
20
19
15
14
12
17
17
13
Feels °C
11
14
8
13
11
10
11
13
13
12
12
11
14
14
13
6
5
6
12
9
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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