Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 10s period, ENE swell with 834 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab a coffee, let's take a look at what's cookin' for the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, the start of the period is a bit of a write-off. We've got a solid, but messy, 8ft S swell hitting on Wednesday the 15th, but it's got that short, choppy 9-second period and a stiff cross-off S/SW wind up to 19 mph. The water's a touch cooler than average at 64°, which is pretty standard for mid-July. The next few days, Thursday and Friday, are just as ordinary – the swell drops and that wind stays onshore. It's not until Sunday the 20th that we see a real glimmer of hope. The morning of the 20th is looking mint with a super clean 6ft ENE swell, an 10-second period, and a light offshore WNW breeze. The water's got a moderate amount of energy (772). That's a solid window, but it's a short window before the wind clocks around onshore in the arvo.
There's a bit of a lull again through the middle of the week, with small, weak swell and onshore winds keeping things flat and messy. The real standout, the one to circle on the calendar, is the Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th. The swell builds from the S, hitting 8ft on the 26th with a 10-second period, and the wind is light and offshore from the SSW. The energy is pumping, over 1100. That's proper, clean, powerful stuff. It's a bit big for the groms, but for anyone with a bit of experience, that's the pick of the next fortnight. The Monday the 27th keeps it going with a 6ft S groundswell, a very long 13-second period, and a light offshore. The energy is still over 1000. That long period will make it a bit straight at the beachies, but for a point break like Manly, it could be an absolute dream. After that, it starts to fade out through the end of the month, with smaller swell and a return of the cross-off breeze.
So, for the best waves, you're looking at the weekend of the 26th and 27th of July. Sunday morning is the absolute standout. Get on it.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Thu morning, light winds from the S by Fri night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat night, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 6 | E 6 | S 10 | S 10 | E 8 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1015 | 427 | 652 | 510 | 147 | 78 | 62 | 138 | 158 | 164 | 480 | 833 | 834 | 726 | 641 | 596 | 584 | 543 | 464 | 455 | 325 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:55PM1.81m | 9:46AM1.18m | 9:43PM1.74m | 10:35AM1.20m | 10:31PM1.63m | 11:23AM1.23m | 11:18PM1.47m | 12:11PM1.24m | 00:05AM1.31m | 1:01PM1.26m | 00:56AM1.14m | 1:52PM1.27m | 1:53AM1.01m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:44AM-0.07m | 3:17PM0.24m | 4:29AM-0.03m | 4:10PM0.28m | 5:12AM0.04m | 5:04PM0.33m | 5:53AM0.13m | 6:02PM0.40m | 6:33AM0.22m | 7:05PM0.46m | 7:13AM0.31m | 8:14PM0.50m | 7:56AM0.39m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | |  | |  | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 |
 | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | 5:07 |
mm | — | — | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | S 15 | S 18 | S 18 | S 7 | S 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 5 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 147 | 78 | 62 | 85 | 123 | 164 | 480 | 833 | 834 | 726 | 641 | 596 | 584 | 543 | 464 | 455 | 325 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSW 18 | S 18 | E 8 | S 6 | S 10 | S 21 | S 10 | S 9 | S 17 | S 16 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 61 | 59 | 19 | 33 | 138 | 34 | 45 | 23 | 94 | 124 | 160 | 138 | 136 | 84 | 56 | 32 | 31 | 17 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | E 8 | S 16 | S 8 | S 21 | S 19 | S 19 | S 19 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 15 | SE 14 | S 14 | SE 14 | S 14 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 10 | 19 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 109 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 4 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | — | — | S 10 | S 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1015 | 427 | 652 | 510 | 49 | 43 | — | — | 158 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 8 | 152 | 99 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 78 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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