Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period, S swell with 553 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.6m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. The outlook for Manly is a long, drawn-out stretch of frustrating conditions before a couple of windows of real promise. The water temperature is sitting at 63°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first few days are a write-off. Monday the 31st starts with a glassy morning on a small 3ft south swell, but the energy is weak at 271. It’s surfable but ordinary, and the wind goes onshore in the afternoon. Tuesday through to the following Monday are all poor surf conditions – the swell sticks around 2ft to 4ft, the wind is mostly cross-off or cross-on, and the energy is low, often under 200. There’s a brief bump on Friday the 4th morning with a 4ft south swell and 397 energy, but the wind is cross-on, so it’s messy. A real grind.
Then, Sunday the 6th of September morning is the standout. The swell picks up to a clean 5ft from the south, with a period of 10 seconds and a solid combined energy of 566. The wind is glassy – ENE at just 3 mph – so it’ll be smooth as glass. This is the best on offer in the whole forecast. Manly is a point break, so it handles a long-period south swell well, and the offshore wind direction from the SW is a match for the optimum. Keep in mind, crowds are often a factor here, so expect company.
After that, the wind goes onshore again Sunday afternoon, and the following week is a mixed bag. Monday the 7th to Saturday the 12th is mostly poor, with strong S and SSE winds ramping up to 34 mph on Wednesday the 9th, bringing a 7ft south swell but with near-gale winds – that’s a kite-surfing setup, not a paddling one. The energy hits 858, but it’s too blown out.
The last glimmer comes on Monday the 14th of September morning, with a glassy 4ft SSE swell, but the energy is only 318, and the period is short at 8 seconds. It’s surfable but nothing special. Tuesday the 15th morning is glassy again with a tiny 3ft ENE swell, but again, it’s ordinary.
Overall, if you’re picking a session, it’s Sunday the 6th of September morning. That’s the one to aim for. Everything else is either blown out, too small, or too weak.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 14°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Thu night, strong winds from the WNW by Sat morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 9 | S 14 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 11 | S 9 | S 11 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 142 | 129 | 136 | 196 | 182 | 133 | 104 | 76 | 71 | 52 | 53 | 33 | 371 | 164 | 182 | 85 | 55 | 27 | 553 | 214 | 199 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:02AM1.38m | 10:10PM1.34m | 10:43AM1.41m | 10:55PM1.23m | 11:28AM1.42m | 11:49PM1.12m | 12:22PM1.41m | 00:55AM1.01m | 1:26PM1.40m | 2:18AM0.94m | 2:40PM1.42m | 3:46AM0.94m | 3:54PM1.47m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:07PM0.25m | 4:22AM0.17m | 4:57PM0.28m | 5:00AM0.24m | 5:55PM0.31m | 5:44AM0.32m | 7:04PM0.34m | 6:39AM0.39m | 8:25PM0.34m | 7:49AM0.45m | 9:47PM0.30m | 9:09AM0.46m | 10:57PM0.22m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — |
 | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 16 | 16 | 23 | 26 | 21 | 26 | 26 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 23 | 24 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 15 | 19 | 23 | 18 | 22 | 23 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | NNE 5 | S 10 | SSW 5 | S 11 | S 9 | S 11 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 |
| kJ | 142 | 129 | 104 | 196 | 182 | 133 | 104 | 76 | 71 | 18 | 53 | 12 | 371 | 164 | 182 | 85 | 55 | 27 | 553 | 214 | 199 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 16 | S 14 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 10 | S 10 | NE 6 | SSE 10 | NE 7 | ENE 10 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | E 11 | E 11 | ENE 10 | E 10 |
| kJ | 112 | 79 | 136 | 23 | 37 | 32 | 19 | 12 | 33 | 52 | 14 | 33 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | N 12 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSE 13 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | NE 7 | ENE 10 | S 18 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | E 9 | NE 6 | NE 5 | S 17 | E 9 |
| kJ | 17 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 19 | 19 | 11 | 19 | 7 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 2 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | WNW 2 | NW 3 | NNE 6 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | WSW 3 | SW 5 | — | NE 3 | NW 2 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | SW 2 | NNE 5 | ENE 3 | NE 5 |
| kJ | — | 1 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 38 | — | 8 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 60 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 117 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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