Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Issued: 9 pm 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
18.8° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, S swell with 2,864 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 04) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sat 4th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 11s
Best Surf 1AM (Wed 8th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 11s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sun 5th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, I’m talkin’ about what’s cookin’ at Manly. It starts slow, then gets real good.

On Saturday morning, July 4th, you’re lookin’ at a waist-high 5ft south swell with a light cross-offshore breeze. Water temp is normal for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate at 537, nothin’ crazy. It’s surfable and clean. But don’t stick around for the afternoon, ’cause it goes side-shore and the waves drop.

The real standouts are Wednesday morning, July 8th, and Tuesday morning, July 14th. On July 8th, there’s a clean 8ft SSE groundswell with a gentle offshore breeze. The period’s 10 seconds, energy is a heavy 2646. This is thick, powerful stuff – too big for learners, but any experienced surfer should be stoked.

Then on July 14th: the morning has a clean 8ft south swell with moderate offshore winds, and the afternoon jumps to 10ft with the wind dropping to almost nothing – glassy, perfect conditions. The energy readings are massive at 2651. This is serious, grunty south groundswell made for this point break. It’s gonna be big, so only the guys who know what they’re doing should be out there.

We hit a dead lull from July 11th through the 13th – flat, weak, hardly anything. But it builds back. The last week is hit-and-miss with wind and short-period slop. Saturday July 18th morning might give you a small, cleaner 5ft east swell with a light offshore, but it’s short-period at 7 seconds, so it’ll be a bit soft. Not a real standout, just one to wet the line.

All in all, Wednesday July 8th morning and Tuesday July 14th morning are your best bets. Crowds are often at Manly, so you won’t have the place to yourself. But the waves will be worth sharing.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Sat morning, fresh winds from the SSE by Sun afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon night, min 11°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Fri
10
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
0
1
3
2
1
2
1
2
3
2
4
4
1
3
2
2
3
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
SSW
7
1.4
S
11
1.2
S
9
0.7
S
12
3.5
S
11
3
S
12
3
SSE
11
2.5
SSE
10
2.5
SSE
10
2.1
SE
9
2.3
SSE
10
3
SSE
11
3
SSE
11
2.5
SSE
10
2.3
SSE
10
3
SSE
9
2.5
SSE
9
3
SSE
11
2.5
SSE
11
2.3
SSE
10
2.2
SSE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
93
510
235
132
2493
2667
1807
1181
1149
750
978
1933
1749
1394
1001
1473
1073
2195
1518
1096
1010
Wind (km/h)
25
WSW
10
W
10
SE
15
S
30
SSW
35
SSE
25
SSE
25
SSE
25
S
20
SSW
20
SSW
25
S
20
SSW
15
SW
30
SSW
25
SW
25
SSW
30
SSW
20
SSW
25
SSW
25
S
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
High Tide
10:20PM1.48m
11:13AM1.07m
10:57PM1.42m
11:57AM1.11m
11:38PM1.35m
12:44PM1.16m
00:25AM1.26m
1:34PM1.23m
1:22AM1.17m
2:29PM1.31m
2:29AM1.09m
3:26PM1.40m
3:44AM1.04m
4:25PM1.50m
Low Tide
5:08AM0.18m
4:39PM0.45m
5:43AM0.19m
5:28PM0.48m
6:20AM0.20m
6:26PM0.50m
7:01AM0.22m
7:32PM0.50m
7:48AM0.25m
8:46PM0.46m
8:40AM0.27m
10:01PM0.38m
9:38AM0.30m
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:00
7:00
7:00
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:57
4:58
4:58
4:59
4:59
5:00
5:00
 mm
1
1
1
3
1
1
1
1
1
3
Temp °C
13
16
16
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
15
15
14
15
14
13
14
13
14
15
Feels °C
7
13
12
13
8
7
9
10
10
11
9
11
10
9
8
9
7
8
8
9
10
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
NE
8
1.4
S
11
1.2
S
9
0.7
S
12
0.2
E
8
0.1
E
13
0.1
E
13
0.1
E
14
0.1
E
14
1.2
S
10
0.7
S
10
2.5
SE
10
2.4
SE
11
2.4
SSE
10
2.3
SSE
10
0.1
S
23
0.5
S
15
3
SSE
11
2.5
SSE
11
2.3
SSE
10
2.2
SSE
10
Energy kJ
28
510
235
132
6
3
3
4
4
277
108
1299
1338
1147
1001
11
109
1846
1518
1096
1010
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
12
0.4
NE
7
0.4
NE
7
0.3
NE
7
0.1
NE
7
0.3
ENE
8
0.2
E
14
0.2
E
13
0.2
E
12
0.6
ESE
14
0.6
S
11
0.6
S
10
0.5
ESE
14
0.5
ESE
12
0.1
S
18
0.3
ESE
10
0.1
S
21
0.1
S
20
Energy kJ
11
14
13
7
2
12
14
14
12
121
88
75
105
86
6
19
8
7
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
19
0.2
E
13
0.2
E
12
0.2
E
12
0.1
S
18
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
23
0.1
S
23
Energy kJ
7
13
12
11
6
5
5
11
10
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
SSW
7
0.6
W
4
1
S
8
3.5
S
11
3
S
12
3
SSE
11
2.5
SSE
10
2.5
SSE
10
2.1
SE
9
2.3
SSE
10
3
SSE
11
3
SSE
11
2.5
SSE
10
3
SSE
9
2.5
SSE
9
3
S
11
Energy kJ
93
12
127
2493
2667
1807
1181
1149
750
978
1933
1749
1394
1473
1073
2195
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
2
2
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
4
4
4
4
5
4
4
4
Distance (km)
6
0
12
0
72
207
241
113
113
8
0
12
0
0
12
0
7
12
0
0
12
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
2
2
4
4
5
5
4
4
4
4
5
4
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
5
4
5
4
5
4
4
8
7
5
5
9
5
5
4
5
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
4
5
9
7
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
9
9
5
6
6
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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