Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 13 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.1°C
1.0° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 9s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, S swell with 3,200 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 7s period with NE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Tue 15th Sep)3.5ft (1.0m) 7s
Best Surf 7PM (Thu 17th Sep)7.5ft (2.3m) 9s
Most Powerful 4PM (Wed 16th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, it's Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Manly over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we've got a bit of a flat spell to start. There's no surf worth paddling out for on Sunday the 13th or Monday the 14th, and honestly, things are looking pretty average right through until Tuesday the 15th. We're looking at a long gap of quiet water. The first real chance to get wet comes on Tuesday the 15th, but it's nothing to write home about.

On Tuesday morning the 15th, you might find a few small, weak waves pushing in at Manly (point). We're talking about a little 3-foot swell from the NE, but the period is a short 7 seconds, so it won't have much push. The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze, so the surface should be pretty clean, which is a bonus. The combined swell energy is only weak (100). It's surfable, but very ordinary. For a beginner, the small size is fine, but it's inconsistent and not the best quality.

Things get a whole lot bigger but a whole lot messier from Wednesday the 16th. A big pulse of southerly swell arrives. On Wednesday morning the 16th, the swell jumps to 10 feet from the S with a 9-second period, and the energy is strong (1747). But the wind is howling from the SSW at 22 mph, creating messy cross-offshore conditions. This is big, powerful, and choppy – definitely expert territory. It's the same story on Wednesday afternoon, with 13-foot swell and 25 mph southerly winds. This is serious, powerful stuff (3200 combined energy) but the wind is strong, making it a real battle. Thursday the 17th remains large (10 feet and 8 feet) with strong winds, keeping it challenging. Honestly, for the average punter, this stretch is more for the thrill-seekers or the kite surfers given the wind and size.

The next period that might pique some interest is around Saturday the 19th. The early morning shows a tiny 2-foot swell from the S, but the period is a very long 16 seconds. This is a groundswell, so it'll have lots of energy for its size (265 combined energy). The wind is offshore and light at 6 mph, so the conditions will be glassy. This is a classic long-period, clean morning. The catch? It's very small, and at a point break, those long-period lines might not wrap in as well. The water temperature is about 63°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year. Crowds are likely here, especially on a clear Saturday morning.

Looking into the second week, Monday the 21st sees another big southerly pulse (10 feet, 10 seconds, 1820 energy) but the wind is still a moderate cross-off, so it'll be bumpy and challenging again. After that, the swell backs right off from Tuesday the 22nd through the end of the forecast period, with small, weak swells and onshore winds dominating. There's a glimmer of hope on Sunday the 27th, with a clean morning showing a glassy 5-foot swell from the NE. The wind is glassy, which is a huge plus, and the swell is a manageable size for most. The energy is moderate (476), and while the period is short (7 seconds), the clean conditions make it the standout option for the second week. The water temperature by then should be similar.

So, for the best on offer? For a proper clean surf, the Saturday morning the 19th is a real highlight for the smooth, offshore conditions, even if the swell is tiny. For something with a bit more size and still clean, Sunday morning the 27th looks like the best bet in the second week, though it's a long way off. Keep an eye on that one.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun night, strong winds from the SSW by Wed morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Wed afternoon, light winds from the SW by Thu night).

Sun
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
3
1
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
S
11
1.7
NE
7
0.7
S
11
0.6
S
11
1.3
NE
6
0.9
NE
7
0.7
NE
7
3
S
8
3
S
9
4
S
10
4
S
10
3
S
10
2.4
S
10
1.9
SSE
9
1.6
SSE
9
1.6
SSE
9
1
S
9
0.5
S
16
0.5
S
17
0.5
S
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
181
253
123
81
141
65
46
985
1699
3200
3081
1747
1070
612
422
383
160
133
147
39
Wind (km/h)
25
NE
10
NNW
10
N
20
NNE
10
N
10
S
20
SE
35
SSW
35
SSW
40
S
30
SSW
25
SSW
15
SSE
10
WNW
5
NNW
20
NE
10
WNW
10
WSW
15
ENE
10
NW
Wind State
on
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
cross-off
off
on
cross
High Tide
9:37PM1.35m
9:59AM1.45m
10:17PM1.22m
10:36AM1.42m
10:59PM1.09m
11:16AM1.37m
11:45PM0.98m
12:02PM1.31m
00:41AM0.90m
12:58PM1.25m
1:55AM0.85m
2:06PM1.22m
3:20AM0.85m
Low Tide
3:41AM0.19m
4:18PM0.23m
4:13AM0.28m
5:04PM0.29m
4:46AM0.37m
5:55PM0.37m
5:22AM0.45m
6:55PM0.43m
6:06AM0.53m
8:07PM0.47m
7:07AM0.58m
9:23PM0.47m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:56
5:54
5:54
5:52
5:50
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:44
5:45
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:46
5:47
 mm
Temp °C
18
17
22
24
22
20
17
13
13
14
14
14
14
13
18
17
17
24
23
20
Feels °C
14
14
19
20
19
18
15
5
3
4
5
8
10
11
14
13
15
20
18
18
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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