
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period, S swell with 264 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.3m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Manly.
Mate, it’s a tough start for the next week and a half. The swell is tiny and the conditions are just not cooperating, so we’re looking at a long dry spell up until the second weekend. The first real glimmer of hope comes on Saturday the 16th, but you’ll have to be patient.
For the first several days, Tuesday the 4th through to Thursday the 13th, we’re stuck with nothing worth paddling out for. Swell heights are mostly under 3 feet, energy is weak (between 25 and 348), and the wind is all over the place. The water temp is about average for this time of year, no big anomalies to report.
The action finally kicks off on Friday the 14th of August. A big jump in swell arrives, with a solid 10 feet from the south, but the period is only 9 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 1551 (moderate-strong), but these are big, raw waves – not for the faint of heart. It’s too big for beginners, and with the wind blowing cross-off, it’s messy. The morning is rain showers, the afternoon clears, but it’s still a big, lumpy ocean. Honestly, this looks more like a day for the kite crew than paddle surfing.
The standout window is Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th. Saturday morning sees a massive 16 feet swell from the SSE with 11-second period, and energy readings are through the roof at 5306 (very strong). This is huge, heavy water – expert only territory. The wind is light cross-off in the morning, but by afternoon it turns cross-shore, creating chop. Sunday the 16th morning is the absolute best of the lot. The swell drops slightly to a still massive 15 feet from the SSE, period 11 seconds, with energy at 4937. The wind is from the NW at just 3 mph, glassy and clean. For experienced surfers, this is an excellent window. The wave shape will be powerful, but with a long period, it’ll be better for the point, peeling off clean. Just be aware, the crowds are often around here, so expect a lineup.
After that, the swell drops through Monday the 17th (10 feet, SE) and Tuesday the 18th (6 feet, ESE), but the wind gets stronger and onshore, so the quality fades fast.
To sum it up: The first week is a write-off. The only real chance to score is Sunday the 16th early – that’s the one to circle. The swell is big, but the clean, glassy conditions are a rare treat for the point. Just don’t be a beginner out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the WNW by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | SSW 5 | E 11 | E 10 | E 9 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | SSW 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | E 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
68 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 46 | 92 | 159 | 79 | 86 | 263 | 132 | 67 | 22 | 35 | 80 | 179 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:12PM1.31m | 12:03PM1.29m | 00:01AM1.20m | 12:53PM1.33m | 1:00AM1.09m | 1:52PM1.36m | 2:14AM1.00m | 2:58PM1.42m | 3:39AM0.96m | 4:06PM1.49m | 4:58AM0.98m | 5:10PM1.58m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:37AM0.20m | 6:06PM0.41m | 6:18AM0.25m | 7:13PM0.42m | 7:07AM0.31m | 8:30PM0.41m | 8:07AM0.36m | 9:51PM0.35m | 9:16AM0.38m | 11:05PM0.25m | 10:26AM0.37m | 00:08AM0.14m | |||||||
— | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 20 | 19 | 13 |
Feels °C | 12 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | E 6 | E 10 | E 9 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | SSW 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 6 | ENE 5 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 |
68 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 46 | 92 | 159 | 79 | 86 | 263 | 132 | 67 | 11 | 19 | 80 | 179 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | SE 10 | ESE 7 | E 11 | S 10 | SSW 4 | E 10 | S 10 | E 12 | NNE 3 | SSE 10 | E 7 | E 10 | NE 6 | SE 9 | E 8 | ENE 10 | S 8 | S 7 |
5 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 2 | 37 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 18 | 35 | 10 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 15 | ESE 7 | SSE 10 | ESE 8 | E 13 | S 11 | E 8 | E 10 | SSE 12 | E 10 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | SSE 9 | E 8 | SSE 8 | E 8 | E 15 | SW 5 |
4 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 4 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 3 | SW 5 | ENE 5 | SW 5 | SW 4 | — | SW 4 | W 3 | — | N 3 | W 3 | SSE 2 | — | — | ENE 7 | NNE 4 | NNW 3 | NNE 4 | W 4 |
4 | 31 | 2 | 19 | 12 | — | 17 | 3 | — | 6 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 26 | 22 | 1 | 24 | 10 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 179 | 270 | 48 | 104 | 23 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 47 | 18 | 30 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










