Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Comin’ at you with the outlook for Manly, a point break that’s sheltered and best with a SE swell.

The water’s sittin’ around 64°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year – nothin’ to write home about.

Right off the bat, the next few days are a write-off. Saturday the 5th is junk – tiny 2ft S swell with a cross-on breeze, just messy. Sunday the 6th ain’t much better, with a short-period 4ft SSW swell and fresh offshore wind, but the wave energy is weak at 135. We’re stuck in a flat, wind-affected spell until Monday the 7th.

Monday morning the 7th is where things finally wake up. The swell bumps up to 6ft from the south at 9 seconds, and here’s the kicker – glassy conditions with a WNW breeze at just 3 mph. Combined energy hits a healthy 431, so there’s decent power. This is your best early call – clean, lined-up waves, good for all levels since it’s under the 8ft mark. The shoulder-high sets will be peeling nicely off the point.

Tuesday the 8th sees bigger 8ft S swell, but it’s cross-offshore and clean in the morning. Energy jumps to 1085 – solid power, but that’s gettin’ into bigger territory, more for the experienced crew. The wind switches to cross-shore by the afternoon.

Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th stay in the 5ft to 8ft range, but it’s windy and messy. Not your time.

Now, Friday the 11th morning is a standout window. We’ve got 7ft S swell at 10 seconds, light W wind at 6 mph making it cross-off and clean, with energy roaring at 1008. This is proper groundswell, good shape, and the point will handle it beautifully. Lined-up sets, plenty of grunt.

Saturday the 12th morning is glassy again – zero wind from the SW, 5ft S swell at 11 seconds – that’s a dreamy session for a surfer who likes smooth, clean lines.

After that, we hit a flat patch. Sunday the 13th through Tuesday the 15th sees the swell drop under 4ft with onshore winds and low energy. Not worth paddlin’ out.

Now, jump ahead to Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th – here comes the big one. We’re talkin’ 13ft S swell at 12 to 13 seconds, with energy numbers like 8278 and 5369 – that’s a serious groundswell, full-on power. Thursday afternoon the 17th has clean cross-off conditions with light SSE wind at 6 mph. This is expert-only territory – solid, heavy, and the period is long enough to jack up on the point. If you’re experienced, this is the highlight of the forecast. It’s a week away so keep an eye on it, but the potential is huge.

Friday the 18th still has 10ft swell with offshore WSW wind in the morning – another big, clean session for the brave. The energy is still massive at 3772.

Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th drop back to a more manageable 6ft to 12ft range, with Sunday morning the 20th lookin’ excellent – 12ft S swell, light offshore SSW breeze at 3 mph, and clean lines. Another solid option for advanced surfers.

Overall, the best bets are Monday morning the 7th for clean, fun waves, and the big groundswell window from Wednesday the 16th through Sunday the 20th for the experienced crew. The point will handle the long-period energy just fine – better than a beach break – so expect proper lines.

Rusty.

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