Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 29 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
18.3° C
0.3° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with 1,453 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 2.0m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 30th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 10s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 30th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 10s
Most Powerful 7AM (Thu 30th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at Manly. We’ve got a solid run of surf coming up, but it’s a bit of a slow starter for the next couple of days. The real standouts are sitting further out, so keep an eye on the calendar.

The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild to report there.

First bit of action hits Thursday, July 30. Morning sees a clean 8 ft swell out of the south, with a gentle offshore breeze. Decent energy on that (1772), making for a clean session. The swell period is 10 seconds, so it's got a bit of push. Afternoon holds up too with 7 ft from the south, still clean but more cross-off. That’s a good, solid day.

Friday, July 31, keeps things going. Morning offshore wind again with a 6 ft south swell (10 seconds). Clean lines. The afternoon drops off a bit in quality though, wind swings cross-off and the wave comment suggests tide might get tricky. Not the best window.

Now, Saturday, August 1, is where it gets interesting. Morning is a real treat – glassy conditions, wind barely there, with a 6 ft south-southeast swell. That is as clean as it gets. The energy is moderate (595), but for a point break like Manly, that’s just lovely. This is your standout for the first week.

After Saturday, things get messy. Sunday, August 2, sees the wind swinging onshore, dropping the quality. Monday, August 3, and Tuesday, August 4, are a write-off – tiny surf and poor conditions. There’s a gap there of a few days with pretty much nothing worth paddling for.

We get a bit of a pulse back Wednesday, August 5. Morning brings a clean 6 ft south swell with a light offshore. It’s okay, but nothing to write home about compared to Saturday.

The energy builds again Thursday, August 6, with 7 ft from the south and a moderate offshore. Clean, punchy waves. That’s a good winter session.

Friday, August 7, gets hammered by strong winds in the afternoon, so only the morning window is worth a look. Saturday, August 8, and Sunday, August 9, are a washout – rain, strong winds, and messy surf. Another gap.

Monday, August 10, has a small 5 ft north-east swell, but it’s short period (6 seconds) and weak. Not really inspiring. The next couple of days are marginal at best.

Then we get to the big one. Thursday, August 13. Look at that morning. 8 ft south swell, clean, offshore wind, and the energy is pumping (2002). It’s big, so this one is for the experienced crew. If you’ve got the skills, that’s your session. The afternoon holds 10 ft from the south, still clean. This is a serious couple of days.

Friday, August 14, morning still has 8 ft from the south, but the quality drops to marginal for tide. Still worth a look if you’re brave.

So, bottom line: Saturday, August 1, is the pick for a clean, fun, glassy session that suits most. If you want real size and power, circle Thursday, August 13. The other days have some surf, but you’ll be working for it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
3
3
3
2
1
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
14
2.4
S
10
2.1
S
9
2.2
S
11
1.9
S
10
2
S
10
1.9
S
9
1.8
SSE
9
1.6
SSE
9
1.6
SSE
12
1.7
SSE
12
1.8
SE
12
1.4
SE
11
1.1
SE
10
0.8
SE
11
0.6
ESE
10
0.3
E
7
0.9
SSW
6
1.2
SSW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
7
1070
707
1069
682
730
641
544
406
646
864
851
431
240
159
65
9
53
197
Wind (km/h)
20
SW
15
SW
15
SSE
15
WSW
20
SSW
20
S
15
WSW
5
SW
10
ENE
10
NNW
10
NNW
25
NE
15
N
25
NW
25
W
25
W
20
WSW
5
S
20
W
Wind State
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
glassy
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
8:48AM1.08m
8:44PM1.56m
9:24AM1.13m
9:18PM1.54m
10:00AM1.17m
9:54PM1.49m
10:38AM1.21m
10:31PM1.41m
11:18AM1.26m
11:12PM1.31m
12:03PM1.29m
00:01AM1.20m
Low Tide
2:54AM0.16m
2:18PM0.34m
3:26AM0.14m
2:57PM0.33m
3:57AM0.13m
3:38PM0.34m
4:28AM0.13m
4:22PM0.36m
5:01AM0.16m
5:10PM0.39m
5:37AM0.20m
6:06PM0.41m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:48
6:48
6:47
6:47
6:46
6:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:13
5:14
5:14
5:15
5:15
5:15
 mm
2
Temp °C
11
13
14
14
14
14
14
14
15
15
16
16
16
21
20
12
15
16
12
Feels °C
4
8
10
11
9
9
11
14
13
12
12
11
12
15
13
5
11
13
6
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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