
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period, ENE swell with 395 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.6m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's chew through what's cooking for Manly.
Right out of the gate, it's a rough start. Wednesday the 5th is flat with a weak 1-foot easterly wind swell and a combined energy of just 40. It's barely a ripple. The water temp is about normal for this time of year.
We're in a bit of a lull until Thursday the 6th, when a small 2-3 foot south swell shows up, but the conditions are still pretty ordinary. The real action doesn't fire up until the following week. There's a solid building trend from the 13th onwards.
The standout period is a no-brainer: from Thursday the 13th through to Tuesday the 18th. We start getting proper south groundswells. On the 13th, we get a 5-foot SSW swell with a clean offshore wind from the SW at 15 mph. That's the first real taste of quality. The energy jumps to 399 (moderate), and the wind is offshore, so the lineup will be clean.
But the best on offer is Friday the 14th morning. It's a 6-7 foot south swell at 11 seconds, which is a nice clean groundswell. The wind is offshore from the SW at 12 mph, and the combined energy is a solid 918. This is a proper point break wave, and with the offshore wind, it'll be holding up nicely. This is too big for beginners, but for the experienced crew, it's the pick of the forecast.
Monday the 17th is also worth a look. The morning is glassy with a 4-foot SE swell, but the afternoon is the real gem: 4-5 feet on a 9-second south-east swell with glassy conditions. The energy is 448, and the wind is dead calm. That's rare, and it'll be silky smooth.
The following week, around the 18th and 19th, we see another pulse of 5-6 foot SE swell on Tuesday the 18th morning, but the wind turns cross-on that afternoon, messing it up. Wednesday the 19th morning is glassy again with a 3-foot ESE swell, but it's small. The real promise is in that first week of solid south swell with good wind.
Crowds at Manly are often an issue, so expect some company, especially on the good days. The spot is a point break, fairly consistent, but it's sheltered from the main swell direction, so it needs a solid south or south-east push to get going.
Overall, there's a proper run of surf from the 13th to the 18th. The 14th morning is the one to circle on the calendar. The rest of the fortnight is mostly small or blown out.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, strong winds from the WNW by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 5 | E 10 | E 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 7 | S 7 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
20 | 18 | 27 | 17 | 106 | 132 | 37 | 106 | 88 | 74 | 53 | 38 | 30 | 194 | 131 | 395 | 258 | 135 | 79 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 00:01AM1.20m | 12:53PM1.33m | 1:00AM1.09m | 1:52PM1.36m | 2:14AM1.00m | 2:58PM1.42m | 3:39AM0.96m | 4:06PM1.49m | 4:58AM0.98m | 5:10PM1.58m | 6:05AM1.04m | 6:08PM1.67m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:18AM0.25m | 7:13PM0.42m | 7:07AM0.31m | 8:30PM0.41m | 8:07AM0.36m | 9:51PM0.35m | 9:16AM0.38m | 11:05PM0.25m | 10:26AM0.37m | 00:08AM0.14m | 11:31AM0.33m | 1:02AM0.05m | |||||||
— | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 16 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 5 | E 10 | E 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 7 | S 7 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 9 |
20 | 18 | 27 | 17 | 106 | 132 | 37 | 106 | 88 | 74 | 53 | 38 | 30 | 194 | 131 | 395 | 258 | 135 | 79 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 13 | SSW 5 | E 10 | E 10 | E 12 | S 9 | SSE 12 | ENE 6 | SSE 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | E 14 | S 8 | SW 4 | SSW 6 |
3 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 4 | 64 | 29 | 32 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | S 10 | S 11 | E 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | SE 10 | E 9 | E 8 | ENE 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 6 | E 15 | SE 10 | S 13 | E 13 | E 13 |
10 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 30 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | SW 4 | — | SW 4 | W 3 | — | N 3 | WSW 3 | — | — | WSW 3 | — | NE 4 | NNE 5 | NE 5 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | W 4 | WNW 3 |
2 | 14 | — | 15 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | 22 | 47 | 42 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 145 | 7 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 3 | 17 | 30 | 30 | 175 | 5 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










