Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, S swell with 4,214 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 4.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey, Rusty here. Slow to start, but there’s proper swell coming in the next few days and into next week – just gotta pick the right windows.
Right now Thursday morning at Manly (point) is only 3ft of weak, short-period ENE swell (129 combined energy) with cross-off wind. Rideable but nothing flash. Thursday afternoon cleans up with offshore wind but still small at 3ft.
Friday 24 July morning is where it gets real: a solid 7ft south swell at 10 seconds, clean with offshore WSW wind. Combined energy jumps to 1388 – moderate power, really surfable. This is a standout: not too big, clean, and the point handles the S direction well. Beginners can handle this as it’s under 8ft. Friday afternoon goes cross-on, so grab the morning.
Saturday 25 July morning still has 6ft S swell (11 seconds, 695 energy) with cross-off wind, but conditions look marginal. Saturday afternoon turns poor with light cross-on. Sunday 26 July morning is another good one: 6ft S swell (11 seconds, 817 energy) and clean cross-off wind. Worth paddling out.
Monday 27 July drops to 4ft and ordinary. From Monday afternoon through to Wednesday 30 July morning, it’s mostly tiny or ugly – a long flat spell. Wednesday 29 July has 4ft S swell but with 40 km/h wind – nasty.
Thursday 30 July morning brings a massive 15ft south swell at 12 seconds with offshore wind. Combined energy hits 9408 – very strong – but that’s expert territory, and with strong wind it’s more suited to kite surfing than paddling at the beach. The point might hold but it’s marginal.
Friday 31 July morning is a standout: 12ft south swell (10 seconds, 4202 combined energy) with gentle offshore wind – excellent for experienced surfers. Still big but much cleaner. Friday afternoon drops to 10ft with cross-off wind, still decent.
Saturday 1 August morning looks great: 8ft SE swell (12 seconds, 1492 energy), light cross-off wind, and very good forecast. That’s manageable for strong intermediates, and the 12-second period gives good shape. Another highlight.
Sunday 2 August stays clean with 5ft SE swell, then it fades through Monday 3 August. There’s a smaller window on Wednesday 5 August afternoon (8ft SE, 8 seconds, clean) and Thursday 6 August morning (7ft SE, 7 seconds, clean) – okay but short period.
Water temp at Manly is about average for this time of year – nothing out of the ordinary.
Overall, Friday 24 July morning, Sunday 26 July morning, and Saturday 1 August morning are your best bets. The big stuff on 30-31 July is for experts only. Crowds are often at Manly, so expect a busy lineup on the good days.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Thu afternoon, light winds from the S by Fri morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 168 | 119 | 92 | 45 | 813 | 538 | 1654 | 676 | 345 | 408 | 811 | 479 | 314 | 199 | 144 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 6 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:59AM0.91m | 3:41PM1.30m | 4:11AM0.87m | 4:35PM1.33m | 5:17AM0.88m | 5:25PM1.37m | 6:11AM0.91m | 6:11PM1.43m | 6:55AM0.95m | 6:53PM1.48m | 7:35AM0.99m | 7:32PM1.53m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:44AM0.45m | 10:38PM0.47m | 9:39AM0.48m | 11:37PM0.42m | 10:35AM0.49m | 00:26AM0.36m | 11:28AM0.46m | 1:07AM0.30m | 12:15PM0.43m | 1:45AM0.24m | 12:58PM0.39m | 2:20AM0.19m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | |  | | |  | | | |  | | | |
 | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 18 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 15 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | NE 5 | NE 5 | S 9 |
| kJ | 168 | 119 | 92 | 45 | 533 | 538 | 1654 | 676 | 345 | 408 | 811 | 479 | 314 | 199 | 144 | 46 | 13 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | S 15 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | SE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 7 |
| kJ | 8 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 40 | 28 | 24 | 17 | 6 | 222 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 10 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 9 | SSW 5 | SE 8 | SE 7 | S 19 | — | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 8 | — | S 16 | — | SE 17 | SE 14 | SE 16 | SE 7 | SE 7 | NE 5 |
| kJ | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 64 | — | 2 | 2 | 7 | — | 5 | — | 12 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 4 | WSW 3 | SW 3 | SSW 6 | S 10 | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | NW 3 |
| kJ | 6 | 1 | 4 | 119 | 813 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 23 | 314 | 388 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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