
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, SE swell with 1,536 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here again. Let's talk about what's coming our way for the Manly stretch.
Right now, the surf is a bit of a mixed bag. We've got a solid pulse of swell hitting Wednesday morning, with waves pushing 8ft from the SE, but the wind is a cross-off from the S at 12 mph. The water temp is sitting at a pretty average 64°, so nothing unusual there. The overall energy is strong, clocking in at 1839, but the quality is being held back by the wind and some tricky tide conditions. It's surfable, but not the cleanest, and the Southerly winds are making things a little lumpy.
Heading into Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th, the swell eases a bit, dropping to around 5-6ft. But the wind turns offshore from the SSW and SW, which is a big plus. This is where we'll see some cleaner, better-shaped waves, especially on the Thursday morning when you get that light offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (887 and then 528), but don't let that fool you – the quality will be much nicer. These will be the better, more manageable days for the less experienced crew.
Then we hit a dry spell. From Saturday the 11th right through to the 16th, the surf is pretty poor. We're looking at small, weak waves under 3ft, often with messy cross-shore or onshore winds. There's a tiny pulse on the 16th with 7ft, but the wind is howling offshore at 25 mph, which will make it incredibly hard to paddle into and frankly, a bit of a chore. Honestly, for about five or six days, you're better off leaving the board in the car.
Now, the second week starts to wake up. We get some more solid swell around the 18th, with 7ft from the ESE, but it’s still considered marginal. The real standout is shaping up for Thursday the 23rd of July. We're looking at a powerful 10ft S swell with a long 11-second period, and it's coming with a clean offshore wind from the WSW (12 mph). The combined energy is a huge 2629. This is big, groundswell energy dumping into the point. This will be an expert-only session – it's going to be heavy, powerful, and not for the faint of heart. It's the one day that looks truly special, but only if you know what you're doing.
The following afternoon on the 23rd, it even bumps up to 12ft from the S with a 13-second period – massive energy (4726). The wind holds clean, but the crowd factor at Manly is often a thing, so just be ready for that if you're paddling out.
So, the story is simple: a few decent, clean days this Thursday and Friday, then a long flat spell, and finally a big, powerful event for the experts on Thursday the 23rd.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | S 10 | S 7 | SSW 11 | SSW 8 | S 10 | S 19 | S 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1536 | 1147 | 712 | 695 | 614 | 440 | 373 | 459 | 307 | 172 | 176 | 161 | 58 | 38 | 100 | 44 | 41 | 35 | 17 | 29 | 25 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | cross |
High Tide | 2:29PM1.31m | 2:29AM1.09m | 3:26PM1.40m | 3:44AM1.04m | 4:25PM1.50m | 4:59AM1.03m | 5:23PM1.60m | 6:08AM1.05m | 6:19PM1.70m | 7:10AM1.08m | 7:13PM1.78m | 8:05AM1.12m | 8:05PM1.82m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:46PM0.46m | 8:40AM0.27m | 10:01PM0.38m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:12PM0.27m | 10:39AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.15m | 11:39AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.05m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:07AM-0.03m | 1:31PM0.24m | 2:57AM-0.07m | ||||||||
6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | |
— | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | |
mm | 2 | — | 7 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | ESE 13 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | S 10 | S 7 | S 7 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | S 7 | SSW 5 |
1536 | 462 | 712 | 695 | 614 | 440 | 373 | 459 | 307 | 172 | 112 | 161 | 58 | 38 | 100 | 44 | 28 | 35 | 17 | 8 | 7 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 14 | S 16 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SE 13 | SE 12 | S 21 | ESE 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | ESE 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 18 |
303 | 5 | 366 | 186 | 38 | 63 | 151 | 9 | 39 | 172 | 176 | 44 | 15 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 41 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 25 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 20 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | — | — | S 12 | SE 7 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 10 | S 19 | S 10 |
— | — | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 7 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSE 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NNE 2 | NNW 4 | WSW 4 | SW 5 | SW 6 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | — | WNW 2 |
— | 1147 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 23 | 41 | 53 | 81 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | — | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 107 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 144 | 38 | 74 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.









