
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 9s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 1,539 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at Manly for the next couple of weeks.
Right now, we’re in a pretty flat spell. For the first few days, through Saturday the 11th and into the start of the week, there’s really nothing worth paddling out for. The swell is tiny, mostly under 3 feet, and the wind isn’t playing ball either. We’ve got a stretch of poor conditions until the 15th, so that’s a solid four-day gap with no real surf on offer at Manly.
Then, things start to change on Wednesday morning, July 15th. We get a pulse of 10ft swell from the south, with a fresh offshore wind. That’s a big jump in size, and even though the period is short at 10 seconds, the wave energy is strong, reading 1539. This is proper, powerful stuff, but the quality is described as marginal. The size is over 8ft, so this is really only for experienced surfers – it’s not a beginner’s day. The wind is offshore and clean, so the face will be tidy, but be wary of that raw energy.
The morning of Thursday the 16th still has some size, around 6ft from the south, with a moderate offshore breeze. The energy has dropped to 396, so it’s less intense, but still surfable. The period is short, though, at 8 seconds, so the waves will be a bit crumbly and lack real punch.
After that, it drops right back off into Friday and Saturday the 18th, with waves around 3ft. The wind looks light and clean, but the energy is low. It’s ordinary.
The next real standout shows up on Tuesday afternoon, July 21st. We get around 5ft from the east, period of 10 seconds, with a gentle breeze that’s cross-offshore. The energy is moderate at 421, and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” This is the pick of the period for most surfers. The wind is light enough to keep it clean, and the size is manageable for intermediate crew. It’s not a monster, but it’s fun.
Also worth a look is Wednesday morning, July 22nd. We see about 5ft from the south, period of 10 seconds, with a light breeze and cross-offshore wind. The energy is 670, so there’s some push behind it. This one also says “expect good surf conditions.” It’s clean and has a bit more power than the Tuesday session, so if you want a little more grunt, hit the water early on Wednesday.
The rest of the week into the 24th fades back to small, ordinary stuff, with swell around 2ft and clean conditions, but not much punch.
Overall, the water temp is about average for this time of year. No major anomaly to report, so just your standard winter wetsuit situation. With the pulse on the 15th being over 8ft, that’s only for the hardcore lot. The pick of the fortnight is Tuesday the 21st afternoon and Wednesday the 22nd morning – those are the sessions to aim for over the next 16 days.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Fri night, fresh winds from the WNW by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Fri 17 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 8 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 7 | ESE 6 | E 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
365 | 213 | 217 | 180 | 86 | 52 | 16 | 27 | 45 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 1539 | 899 | 660 | 391 | 311 | 175 | 30 | 28 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:59AM1.03m | 5:23PM1.60m | 6:08AM1.05m | 6:19PM1.70m | 7:10AM1.08m | 7:13PM1.78m | 8:05AM1.12m | 8:05PM1.82m | 8:57AM1.15m | 8:55PM1.81m | 9:46AM1.18m | 9:43PM1.74m | 10:35AM1.20m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:12PM0.27m | 10:39AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.15m | 11:39AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.05m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:07AM-0.03m | 1:31PM0.24m | 2:57AM-0.07m | 2:24PM0.23m | 3:44AM-0.07m | 3:17PM0.24m | 4:29AM-0.03m | 4:10PM0.28m | |||||||
— | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | |
— | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 8 | 2 | 1 |
Temp °C | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 13 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | SSW 12 | SSW 8 | S 7 | S 10 | SSW 11 | — | S 9 | S 10 | S 15 | S 14 | S 12 | ESE 6 | E 6 |
365 | 172 | 132 | 180 | 86 | 52 | 14 | 18 | 45 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 24 | — | 665 | 660 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 30 | 28 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 15 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 7 | S 11 | S 10 | — | E 10 | — | — | — | — | E 11 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
42 | 213 | 217 | 45 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | 13 | 14 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | NE 5 | S 11 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | S 4 | S 20 | S 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 9 | S 12 | S 11 |
5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 26 | 22 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNE 2 | NNW 3 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 4 | — | NW 3 | NW 3 | SW 3 | SSW 6 | S 10 | S 9 | — | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 7 | S 6 | S 6 |
— | — | 1 | 10 | 27 | 21 | 14 | 8 | — | 3 | 9 | 10 | 137 | 1539 | 899 | — | 391 | 311 | 175 | 89 | 101 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 212 | 280 | 212 | 65 | 72 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










