Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 1,478 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, I'm Rusty. Look, I'll be straight with you – the next 16 days at Manly are a bit of a mixed bag, and we've got a long wait for anything genuinely good. The first solid window of proper surf is a week away, so you'll need some patience.
The week kicks off with a pretty average run. Wednesday the 15th through the weekend is all about a cross-off, onshore wind, and lumpy conditions. You've got a 8ft south swell on Wednesday morning, but it's messy with a 30 km/h cross-off wind, and the combined energy is moderate at 994. It's not a paddle. Thursday and Friday don't offer much improvement either, with choppy conditions and smaller, weak swell. The water temp is about 64°, which is normal for this time of year.
The real standout arrives on Monday the 20th. That morning, Manly cleans right up. We've got a 5ft east-northeast swell with a 10-second period, and the wind goes glassy – a light NNW breeze at just 5 km/h. The combined energy is a solid 683, and the forecast is for good surf. This is the pick of the 16 days. It's not huge, but it'll be clean and fun for intermediate surfers. The afternoon sees a light onshore, so make the most of the morning glass.
The next real highlight comes on Thursday the 23rd. The afternoon shows a 6ft east swell with a nice 11-second period, and the wind swings to a clean offshore from the west-southwest at 15 km/h. The combined energy is 822, so there's a bit of punch. That's a good session for anyone wanting a wave with a bit more shape. Friday the 24th morning also looks clean, with a 5ft east swell and a moderate offshore wind, but the afternoon gets blown out.
After that, the last week of July and into the 30th looks pretty ordinary. The swell drops off and the winds are mostly cross or onshore. Saturday the 26th morning has a 3ft east swell and light winds, but it's a weak one. The rest of the month is small, with poor surf conditions dominating.
So, in short: the best on offer is Monday the 20th morning for that glassy, clean 5ft swell. The secondary shout is Thursday the 23rd afternoon for the bigger, clean offshore waves. The rest is a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri night, min 13°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Thu morning, light winds from the SSE by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun morning, min 14°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 6 | E 6 | S 11 | E 7 | E 8 | E 9 | E 11 | E 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 994 | 1184 | 439 | 604 | 593 | 172 | 78 | 41 | 141 | 173 | 160 | 356 | 1026 | 917 | 667 | 533 | 533 | 482 | 492 | 490 | 425 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-off | cross | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:55PM1.81m | 9:46AM1.18m | 9:43PM1.74m | 10:35AM1.20m | 10:31PM1.63m | 11:23AM1.23m | 11:18PM1.47m | 12:11PM1.24m | 00:05AM1.31m | 1:01PM1.26m | 00:56AM1.14m | 1:52PM1.27m | 1:53AM1.01m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:24PM0.23m | 3:44AM-0.07m | 3:17PM0.24m | 4:29AM-0.03m | 4:10PM0.28m | 5:12AM0.04m | 5:04PM0.33m | 5:53AM0.13m | 6:02PM0.40m | 6:33AM0.22m | 7:05PM0.46m | 7:13AM0.31m | 8:14PM0.50m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — |
 | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 3 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 15 | S 18 | S 18 | S 7 | S 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 9 | E 11 | E 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | — | — | 5 | 6 | 25 | 172 | 78 | 41 | 82 | 173 | 160 | 356 | 1026 | 917 | 667 | 533 | 533 | 482 | 492 | 490 | 425 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 18 | S 14 | ESE 5 | E 7 | S 6 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 17 | S 16 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 7 | 14 | 22 | 10 | 35 | 141 | 71 | 46 | 38 | 95 | 82 | 117 | 141 | 136 | 84 | 55 | 31 | 31 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 | S 18 | S 16 | S 8 | — | S 21 | S 19 | S 19 | S 8 | S 7 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 19 | 60 | 20 | 21 | — | 34 | 29 | 62 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | — | ESE 5 | — | — | — | S 5 | S 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | — |
| kJ | 994 | 1184 | 439 | 604 | 593 | — | 36 | — | — | — | 20 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 72 | 12 | 12 | 152 | 185 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 105 | 60 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 117 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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