Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the surf ahead for us.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag. The early part of the forecast is a bit of a grind, with small, weak energy and tricky winds. The real action, the stuff that’ll get you out of bed, is a fair way off. There’s a notable gap of about five days where the surf is just not worth the paddle, from the 28th of July through to the 1st of August.

Let’s start with the first decent window. Friday morning, July 24th, at Manly (point). We’ve got a solid 7ft swell from the south, with a period of 9 seconds. The wind is a clean offshore from the southwest, so the waves will be holding up nicely. The water temp is 64°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The combined energy is a strong 1226, so there’s plenty of push. This is a good one for the early birds.

The conditions get a bit scrappy on Friday afternoon and through Saturday, with the wind shifting onshore and the swell dropping. Sunday morning, July 26th, shapes up again with a clean 6ft south swell and a good offshore breeze from the west-southwest. The energy is still solid at 841. A solid morning session.

Then we hit the quiet spell. From Monday the 28th through to Friday morning, August 1st, the swell drops right off. We’re talking about wave heights under 3ft with energy levels in the double digits. It’s a real flat spell, and not much to get excited about.

Now, hold onto your board, because the real standout is a long way off. Sunday, August 2nd, is the one to circle on the calendar. We’re looking at a massive 16ft south swell, with a period of 12 seconds. The energy is absolutely pumping at 6580 – that’s serious power. The wind is a light offshore from the west-northwest in the morning, meaning the waves will be clean and lined up. This is expert territory only; anything over 8ft is for the crew who know what they’re doing. The size alone will make it a proper challenge.

After that, the swell backs off a bit, but Monday, August 3rd, still has a solid 8ft swell from the south-southeast, though the wind is more cross-offshore. There’s another good run from Thursday, August 6th, through Friday, August 7th, with 6ft to 8ft south-east swells, clean winds, and very good surf conditions. The energy is back up to 1000-1752, so it’s definitely worth a look.

So, the standout is that Sunday, August 2nd. It’s a long way out, so the forecast could shift, but if it holds, it’s going to be a day for the experienced crew only. The rest of the week around that date has some solid, clean options too.

Rusty.

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