Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 11s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with 1,325 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 17) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
Alright mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, it’s a pretty quiet start for Manly. We’re looking at a whole lot of nothing for the first few days. From Monday the 13th right through to Tuesday afternoon the 14th, the swell is tiny, barely 0.7ft to 1.0ft, and the energy is weak (46 to 21). There’s just nothing to ride. You’re better off doing something else.
Wednesday the 15th morning is where things get a bit interesting, but it’s not for everyone. The swell jumps to 8ft from the S, with a period of 10 seconds. That’s a lot of water moving around, with strong wave energy (2263). This is expert territory only. The wind is a cross-off from the SSW, so it’ll be clean, but that size and power at a point break like Manly (Sydney) will be heavy and challenging. The afternoon drops to 6ft, but still a solid session for the experienced crew.
Thursday the 16th morning is probably your best bet of the whole outlook. The swell is a still-chunky 6ft from the S, period 8 seconds, and the wind is offshore from the SSW. That’s clean, lined-up waves at Manly. The energy is moderate (521), and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions”. This is the standout morning. The afternoon gets a bit blown out with a stronger S wind.
The rest of the week is a bit of a letdown. Friday the 17th drops right off, and the weekend sees some small, surfable waves (2ft to 4ft) but with ordinary conditions. Sunday the 19th morning has glassy conditions with a 4ft ENE swell, but the energy is low (277). It’s clean, but you’ll be scratching for waves.
Looking further ahead, there’s no real standout in the second week. The swell stays small, mostly under 5ft, and the wind directions are often onshore or cross-shore, creating poor conditions. Wednesday the 22nd morning has another glassy window with a 3ft ENE swell, but it’s weak. The rest is a mix of rain showers and poor surf. The wave energy drops to under 400 for most of it and the water temp is about average for this time of year, so it’s not a shock to the system.
The Call: If you’re an expert, Wednesday the 15th morning will have some power, but Thursday the 16th morning is the pick for a cleaner, more manageable session. For the rest, it’s a long, quiet period.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sun 19 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 16 | 25 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 37 | 1325 | 753 | 270 | 505 | 302 | 212 | 11 | 21 | 35 | 92 | 89 | 93 | 206 | 222 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | on |
High Tide | 7:10AM1.08m | 7:13PM1.78m | 8:05AM1.12m | 8:05PM1.82m | 8:57AM1.15m | 8:55PM1.81m | 9:46AM1.18m | 9:43PM1.74m | 10:35AM1.20m | 10:31PM1.63m | 11:23AM1.23m | 11:18PM1.47m | 12:11PM1.24m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:13AM0.05m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:07AM-0.03m | 1:31PM0.24m | 2:57AM-0.07m | 2:24PM0.23m | 3:44AM-0.07m | 3:17PM0.24m | 4:29AM-0.03m | 4:10PM0.28m | 5:12AM0.04m | 5:04PM0.33m | 5:53AM0.13m | 6:02PM0.40m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — |
 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 18 | 19 | 13 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 6 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 11 | S 8 | SSW 7 | S 12 | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 8 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | E 5 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 12 | 14 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 37 | 938 | 753 | 270 | 16 | 30 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 71 | 89 | 93 | 206 | 222 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | SSW 11 | SSW 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 7 | E 10 | — | S 17 | E 11 | — | E 11 | E 10 | S 17 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 16 |
| kJ | 16 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | — | 5 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 92 | 64 | 37 | 19 | 82 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | — | S 20 | E 11 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 9 | E 7 | S 18 | S 21 | S 16 | S 18 | S 17 | S 7 |
| kJ | 3 | 7 | 3 | — | 8 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 52 | 10 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | SSW 5 | S 10 | — | — | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 6 | S 6 | SSE 5 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 1325 | — | — | 505 | 302 | 212 | 122 | 78 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 175 | 3 | 72 | 522 | 543 | 314 | 0 | 7 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 63 | 63 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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