Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 04 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.8°C
0.2° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,279 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Sun 6th Sep)4.5ft (1.4m) 7s
Best Surf 1AM (Mon 7th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 10s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 10th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about Manly. Look, I’m not gonna sugar-coat it – the next 16 days are a mixed bag, and you’ll have to be patient. The first few days are pretty grim, with only a whisper of swell and messy wind. But if you’re keen and you can wait, there’s a couple of windows that’ll get the blood pumping.

We kick off on Saturday, September 5th with a tiny 2ft S swell, but a cross-on N breeze at 9 mph is just chopping it up. Afternoon isn’t any better – a junky 4ft NNE swell with a cross NW wind. Sunday the 6th cleans up a bit with a WSW offshore at 16 mph, but the swell is still small at 4ft from the SSW, and honestly, it’s just not doing much. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Now, Monday the 7th morning – this is where we see a glimmer. The wind drops to glassy, dead calm, and there’s a 5ft S swell with a moderate wave energy (344). It’s surfable, but the conditions are very ordinary. The period is 8 seconds, so it’s a bit of a weak, short-period chop, but if you’re desperate for a paddle, you’ll find something. Afternoon gets cross-shore again and messy.

Tuesday the 8th is the standout. The morning delivers a solid 8ft SSE swell with a clean cross-offshore S breeze at 9 mph. The wave energy jumps to 872 – that’s a proper punch. This is for the experienced crew; 8ft is getting into expert territory, and it’ll be powerful. The period is 9 seconds, so it’s got some shape but will be a bit walled-up at a beach break like Manly. Crowds are often here, so expect company if you paddle out. Tuesday afternoon gets a touch bigger at 8ft SSE with a longer 11-second period, but the wind swings cross-on from the E, making it a bit choppy. Still, if you’re a confident surfer, the morning is your best bet.

Wednesday the 9th morning cleans up with a light SW offshore and a 5ft SSE swell (324 energy), but it’s just ordinary – nothing to write home about. Afternoon gets howling S wind at 28 mph, so forget it. Thursday the 10th sees a solid 8ft S swell (1056 energy) with a clean cross-off SSW breeze in the morning – that’s another expert-only session, but the period is only 9 seconds so it’ll be a bit dumpy. Friday the 11th drops off to 5ft S swell with an 11-second period, but it’s cross-off and clean – good for a cheeky session if you’re not fussy.

Into the second week, things get quieter. Saturday the 12th has a nice 4ft to 4ft S swell with a clean wind, and the period stretches to 11 seconds, giving the waves a bit of push. That’s a fun small-wave day for the beginners. Sunday the 13th brings a weird 3ft S swell with an 18-second period – that’s a very long period groundswell. At a point break, that’s gold, but at Manly, a beach break, it’ll break straight and be tricky. The afternoon rises to 6ft with a 13-second period, but the cross-on E wind messes it up.

From Monday the 14th onwards, the surf fades into poor territory. We’re talking onshore winds, rain showers, thunderstorms, and tiny waves in the 2ft to 4ft range. The wave energy drops to 120 or less – weak stuff. There’s a gap of several days with no real recommendations. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing during that stretch.

So to keep it simple: Tuesday the 8th morning is the only true standout – a solid 8ft SSE swell with clean offshore wind. For the less experienced, Saturday the 12th morning with a 4ft S swell and glassy conditions is your best bet. Everything else is a gamble or a rest day.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Mainly strong winds.

Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
1
2
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
11
0.7
S
9
1.3
NNE
5
0.5
S
10
1.2
SSW
7
1.3
SSW
8
2.5
S
10
1.6
S
8
1.2
SSE
8
3
SSE
9
2.3
SSE
9
2.4
SSE
11
1.7
SSE
10
1.4
SSE
9
1.9
SSE
9
3.5
S
10
2.4
S
9
2.2
S
10
1.9
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
89
85
83
45
123
202
1301
334
184
1215
863
1291
586
322
572
2279
961
928
759
Wind (km/h)
5
NW
15
N
20
NW
25
WSW
25
WSW
25
SSE
15
SSW
5
NW
20
ESE
30
S
15
S
15
E
10
NNW
10
SW
45
S
30
S
25
SSW
20
S
15
W
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
2:18AM0.94m
2:40PM1.42m
3:46AM0.94m
3:54PM1.47m
5:00AM1.00m
5:00PM1.54m
5:57AM1.09m
5:56PM1.60m
6:46AM1.19m
6:47PM1.63m
7:28AM1.28m
7:32PM1.62m
Low Tide
7:49AM0.45m
9:47PM0.30m
9:09AM0.46m
10:57PM0.22m
10:24AM0.42m
11:54PM0.14m
11:29AM0.34m
00:42AM0.07m
12:24PM0.27m
1:23AM0.03m
1:15PM0.20m
2:01AM0.03m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:09
6:07
6:05
6:05
6:03
6:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:38
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:40
5:42
 mm
1
Temp °C
16
28
30
23
20
18
16
18
16
15
14
14
14
17
14
14
13
13
14
Feels °C
15
24
25
19
16
13
12
15
12
9
11
11
11
14
5
5
7
8
11
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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