Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 22 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.0° C
0.8° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 27 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period, S swell with 372 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 11s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.3m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 27) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sun 23rd Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 11s
Best Surf10AM (Thu 27th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 7s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sun 23rd Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, it’s Rusty. Alright mate, let’s talk Manly. We’ve got a real mixed bag here over the next couple of weeks, but let’s not beat around the bush—there’s nothing screaming “epic” at you. The water temp is sitting at 63°F, which is pretty average for this time of year, no surprises there.

Right off the bat, Saturday the 22nd is a write-off for surfing. The swell is tiny at 1ft from the NE with a short 6-second period and weak energy (17), plus the winds are cross-off but the conditions are just poor. You’re better off having a sleep-in.

Sunday the 23rd morning is our first real peek at something half-decent. The swell bumps up to 4ft from the south with a 9-second period and moderate energy (338). Best part? Glassy conditions with a NW breeze at 3 mph. That’s a rare treat for Manly—clean, smooth waves. The break is a point, so it handles the south swell okay, but it’s a sheltered setup and the optimum swell is from the SE. Still, for a beginner-friendly wave, this is the standout of the whole outlook. Monday the 24th has a bit of energy (229) with a 3ft south swell, but the cross-on wind spoils it—nasty ripples on the surface.

Tuesday the 25th gets ugly: light cross-on wind and a weak, short-period swell from the NE. Not worth paddling out. Wednesday the 26th has some 4ft swell but 19 mph south winds on the afternoon make it more of a windsurfing day.

Now, Thursday the 27th morning is the next highlight. We get a solid 5ft south swell with a 7-second period and strong energy (427), and the wind is offshore from the SSW at 12 mph. That’s clean and punchy. The break is a point, so the shorter period isn’t ideal—it can get a bit peaky—but with offshore wind, the shape should be fun. Crowds are often here, so expect company. This is your best bet for the first week.

After that, it’s a frustrating run. Friday 28th to Sunday 30th offers some surfable but ordinary conditions—waist-high leftovers with light winds, but nothing gets above a 3ft. The energy drops to around 100-330 through this stretch. Monday the 31st has a 2ft south swell at a super long 16 seconds, but it’s onshore wind and the energy (359) doesn’t save it.

Into the second week: Tuesday 1st September morning has a 2ft south swell with offshore wind, but it’s weak (131). Wednesday 2nd morning is tiny and glassy—1ft from the ENE with 10-second period, glassy calm—but energy is just 100. Long-period groundswell at a point break can be tricky if it’s too straight, but there’s almost no wave here. Thursday 3rd has a big bump in energy (429) from a 3ft south swell with a long 12-second period, but the wind is cross-shore and messy. Friday 4th morning has a 3ft south swell with moderate energy (282) and clean cross-off wind, but it’s only ordinary.

The last few days, Saturday 5th through Sunday 6th September, are poor—tiny swell and strong winds make it a non-starter.

So here’s the truth: the only standout is Sunday 23rd August morning for the glassy, clean conditions on a 4ft south swell. After that, Thursday 27th August morning is the other call with a 5ft south swell and offshore wind. Both are at Manly. It’s a lean run for decent surf, so don’t get your hopes up for anything pumping.

Stay frothy,
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sat morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NE
6
0.4
SSW
8
0.2
S
13
1.3
S
9
0.9
S
13
1.1
S
10
0.9
S
10
0.8
S
10
1.5
NE
6
1.1
NE
6
1
ENE
7
1.3
NE
7
1.2
NE
8
1.2
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
1.4
S
7
1.1
S
7
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
9
22
13
274
277
242
156
128
148
80
91
167
178
171
103
189
114
111
111
105
111
Wind (km/h)
15
W
15
ESE
10
E
5
NNW
20
NE
15
N
10
N
25
NE
10
NNW
10
NNE
10
NNE
20
N
20
SSW
30
S
20
SSW
20
SSW
15
ESE
5
NNW
5
WNW
10
ENE
15
SSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross
cross
cross-off
on
off
High Tide
4:00PM1.27m
4:56AM0.87m
4:57PM1.32m
5:49AM0.92m
5:45PM1.39m
6:30AM0.99m
6:27PM1.45m
7:07AM1.06m
7:05PM1.51m
7:42AM1.14m
7:41PM1.53m
8:16AM1.21m
8:16PM1.53m
Low Tide
11:10PM0.43m
10:09AM0.53m
11:58PM0.37m
11:07AM0.49m
00:38AM0.30m
11:56AM0.43m
1:12AM0.23m
12:39PM0.37m
1:44AM0.17m
1:19PM0.32m
2:15AM0.13m
1:59PM0.28m
2:45AM0.10m
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:26
6:24
6:24
6:22
6:20
6:20
6:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:31
5:32
 mm
1
4
2
1
Temp °C
20
17
16
16
16
16
19
17
17
22
20
16
17
16
15
16
16
15
20
20
17
Feels °C
17
13
15
13
12
13
16
13
15
20
19
13
14
11
11
13
14
14
19
18
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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