Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 8 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 9s period, S swell with 537 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.9m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s in store for the next couple of weeks.
To be honest, the first week is a bit of a struggle. There’s nothing worth paddling out for until Friday the 4th. The whole setup looks pretty flat and the wind is messy. If you’re desperate, maybe have a look at the jetty, but don’t expect much.
The first real whisper of something happens on Friday morning, September 4th. Manly will see a small 4 ft swell from the south, with a period of 10 seconds. The wind is glassy – that’s a huge plus – so it will be clean. The combined wave energy is moderate (327). But it’s a beginner-friendly point break, and the swell is nothing special. It’s surfable, but it’s not going to get your heart racing.
We then have a few days of nothing much. Saturday and Sunday are both poor, with the wind swinging around. The water temp is around 64°, which is about average for this time of year.
The first truly standout day arrives on Tuesday morning, September 8th. Manly is looking good. The swell is a solid 6 ft from the south, with a 9-second period, and the wind is offshore from the WSW, just 6 mph. That’s clean as a whistle. The combined swell energy is a solid 546 (moderate to strong). This is a proper point break wave, and with that offshore wind, it’ll be peeling. Just a heads up: 6 ft is getting a bit meaty for absolute beginners, but for everyone else, get in the water. The crowd is often out here, so expect some company.
The next few days are a bit of a mixed bag. Wednesday the 9th is a write-off. Thursday the 10th has a morning with a 5 ft SSE swell and strong offshore wind (19 mph), but the period is short (7 seconds), so it’s a bit of a messy, choppy affair. The energy is high (750), but it’s not quality. Probably more fun for the kite surfers than paddle surfers.
Now, we get another good run. Friday morning, September 11th. Manly is clean again. Swell is 5 ft from the south, period 12 seconds, and wind is a gentle cross-off from the SSE. Combined energy is strong (594). This is a nice, long-period groundswell. It’ll have some punch, and the waves will be well-shaped. A solid option.
After that, the weekend of the 12th and 13th is a dud. Onshore winds and a messy NE swell.
The next real standout is Wednesday morning, September 16th. Manly sees a 6 ft swell from the east, with a short 8-second period, but the wind is offshore from the west at 9 mph. The energy is moderate (468). It’s not the most powerful swell, but that offshore wind will make it clean and fun. Then Wednesday afternoon gets even better: 6 ft from the east, with a moderate offshore breeze from the WSW. The wave comment says “expect good surf conditions,” and I agree.
Thursday the 17th is a return to poor conditions with onshore wind.
So, to sum it up: If you want the best of the best, set your alarm for Tuesday morning, September 8th for the best combo of size and offshore wind. Friday morning, September 11th is a close second for the longer period groundswell. The second week has a couple of solid days, but they are less certain at this range.
-Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the NNE by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 12 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
106 | 76 | 71 | 73 | 52 | 33 | 308 | 86 | 61 | 89 | 65 | 29 | 313 | 403 | 155 | 352 | 173 | 68 | 537 | 213 | 151 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | on | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:28AM1.42m | 11:49PM1.12m | 12:22PM1.41m | 00:55AM1.01m | 1:26PM1.40m | 2:18AM0.94m | 2:40PM1.42m | 3:46AM0.94m | 3:54PM1.47m | 5:00AM1.00m | 5:00PM1.54m | 5:57AM1.09m | 5:56PM1.60m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:55PM0.31m | 5:44AM0.32m | 7:04PM0.34m | 6:39AM0.39m | 8:25PM0.34m | 7:49AM0.45m | 9:47PM0.30m | 9:09AM0.46m | 10:57PM0.22m | 10:24AM0.42m | 11:54PM0.14m | 11:29AM0.34m | 00:42AM0.07m | ||||||||
6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
— | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 22 | 23 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 23 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | NNE 5 | S 10 | NE 7 | S 10 | S 8 | NE 5 | S 10 | NE 5 | NE 6 | S 11 | S 12 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 |
106 | 76 | 71 | 23 | 52 | 16 | 308 | 86 | 19 | 89 | 23 | 18 | 313 | 403 | 155 | 352 | 173 | 68 | 537 | 213 | 151 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | S 10 | NE 6 | SSE 10 | NE 7 | SSW 11 | S 7 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | NE 6 | NE 6 | S 13 | NE 4 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 9 | E 10 | ENE 10 |
20 | 15 | 11 | 73 | 16 | 33 | 12 | 25 | 40 | 17 | 65 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 114 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 11 | S 16 | E 9 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | NE 8 | E 10 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 6 | NE 8 | SSE 10 |
33 | 33 | 33 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 61 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 2 | SSW 3 | SSW 5 | — | NE 7 | — | NNE 5 | WNW 4 | SSW 3 | — | — | ENE 4 | — | NE 4 | SSE 6 | — | ENE 3 | NE 4 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 33 | — | 26 | — | 29 | 13 | 8 | — | — | 5 | — | 4 | 87 | — | 3 | 18 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 348 | 0 | 0 | 401 | 32 | 0 | 28 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










