Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 23 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
16.9°C
0.9° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 27 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 9s period, SSE swell with 612 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 9s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.9m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sun 23rd Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 9s
Best Surf 1AM (Thu 27th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 8s
Most Powerful10AM (Sat 29th Aug)6ft (1.9m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Manly over the next couple weeks.

Right off the bat, don’t get your hopes up for the next few days. We’ve got a bit of a slow start. The run of surfable days kicks off this Sunday morning, August 23rd, with a small, clean little wave. Swell is 5 ft from the south, period hanging around 9 seconds – not a groundswell but it’s got enough push to get a longboard or a foamy groveling. The wind is glassy, which is a beautiful thing, and the water’s sittin’ at 62°, pretty much normal for this time of year. Combined energy is moderate at 374. It’s a mellow little session, nothing to write home about, but for a beginner-friendly point break like Manly, it’ll be fun if you’re just wanting a paddle.

Now, after that, it gets pretty grim for a good stretch. From Sunday afternoon all the way through Wednesday afternoon, the 26th, we’ve got onshore winds, rain, and choppy junk. Not worth your time.

Thursday morning, the 27th, though… that’s where things get interesting. Manly comes alive with a solid south swell pushing 6 ft, period around 9 seconds. It’s clean with glassy conditions, and the energy is strong, hitting 552. This is the standout of the whole forecast. For a point break, south swell works nicely, and with zero wind, you’re gonna get some clean, fun walls. Not too big for the average surfer, just a good, punchy size. Make sure you get out early before the afternoon onshores mess it up.

After that, we see a few other mornings that are clean – the 30th of August Sunday morning has 6 ft south swell and offshore wind – decent, but the conditions aren’t quite as perfect as Thursday. The 31st Monday morning is cross-onshore and bumpy despite the 6 ft swell, so skip it.

Then we hit a real dry spell from September 2nd onwards. The second week has a few clean-looking mornings with offshore winds, but the swell drops right off – under 3 ft, with combined energy down to three-digit weak numbers. There’s a brief moment on September 4th Friday morning with a tiny 1.0 ft south groundswell – period 13 seconds – but that is barely a ripple. Not worth paddling out for unless you’re desperate for a salt rinse.

So, the bottom line: the real highlight is Thursday morning, August 27th at Manly. That 6 ft south swell with glassy wind is your best window. After that, it’s a long stretch of small, weak surf. The break is fairly consistent but this is a pretty lean outlook, especially through the first week of September. Keep an eye on it – forecasts change, but right now, that Thursday is your golden ticket.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, fresh winds from the NNE by Mon afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
S
9
0.8
S
13
1.1
S
10
0.8
S
10
0.7
S
10
1.4
NE
6
1.5
NE
7
1.2
ENE
7
1.1
NE
7
1.1
NE
8
0.9
ENE
8
1.7
S
8
1.7
S
9
1.4
S
9
1.3
S
10
1
S
9
1.2
SSE
11
1.1
SSE
10
1.9
SSE
9
1.2
S
8
1.1
S
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
320
222
247
123
96
143
195
146
122
136
103
393
492
299
345
148
343
227
612
191
198
Wind (km/h)
5
N
15
NE
15
N
10
N
25
NE
10
N
15
NNW
20
N
15
NNW
25
SSW
20
SSE
15
SSE
5
SSE
15
ENE
10
W
20
WSW
20
SE
10
S
10
NW
5
ENE
20
WSW
Wind State
glassy
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
glassy
cross-off
High Tide
4:57PM1.32m
5:49AM0.92m
5:45PM1.39m
6:30AM0.99m
6:27PM1.45m
7:07AM1.06m
7:05PM1.51m
7:42AM1.14m
7:41PM1.53m
8:16AM1.21m
8:16PM1.53m
8:50AM1.28m
8:52PM1.50m
Low Tide
10:09AM0.53m
11:58PM0.37m
11:07AM0.49m
00:38AM0.30m
11:56AM0.43m
1:12AM0.23m
12:39PM0.37m
1:44AM0.17m
1:19PM0.32m
2:15AM0.13m
1:59PM0.28m
2:45AM0.10m
2:40PM0.25m
3:16AM0.10m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:24
6:24
6:22
6:20
6:20
6:18
6:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:31
5:32
5:34
 mm
5
3
2
2
Temp °C
16
17
16
19
18
17
19
17
16
16
16
15
15
15
15
17
16
16
20
20
15
Feels °C
13
14
12
16
14
15
16
15
14
12
12
13
15
12
14
13
12
13
17
18
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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