Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 09 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.8°C
0.2° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,716 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 23s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Thu 10th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 9s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 10th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 9s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 10th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer down at Manly.

Right off the bat, the first day of the period, Wednesday the 9th, isn't a total washout, but it’s definitely not one to get excited about. We’re looking at a clean, manageable 3ft southerly swell, but the wind is a moderate offshore from the SSW. It’s surfable, but the conditions are just ordinary. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so that’s normal.

The real action, the standout of the whole 16-day window, is going to be Thursday the 10th. The morning is the pick. We’ve got a solid 8ft southerly swell rolling in with a 9-second period, and the wind is a moderate offshore from the SSW. The combined energy is pumping at a solid moderate 1027. This is a proper wave, and it’s going to be clean. It’s a bit of a step up in size though, so this one is for the experienced crew. Later in the afternoon, the swell drops a touch to 7ft and the wind goes cross-off, but it’s still a good session.

Friday morning the 11th is still a fun one. The swell is 6ft from the south with a 10-second period, under a light offshore breeze from the SW. The energy is still solid at 637. After that, things start to get tricky. Friday afternoon the wind turns cross-shore, and the quality drops.

Now, here’s a little gem that’s worth noting. Saturday morning the 12th is looking glassy. The wind is a whisper from the NNW, just 3 mph, and it’s glass. The swell is a smaller 4ft but it’s a long-period groundswell from the south, clocking in at 12 seconds. That’s a classic point-break wave. Manly is a point, so that long period will wrap in beautifully. The energy is still a moderate 608. This is a sleeper hit for the intermediate crew.

After Saturday, the bottom falls out. From Sunday the 13th all the way through to the end of the period, it’s a grim run. The swell drops to knee-high or less, and the wind is either onshore or cross-on from the north or east. There’s a brief flicker on Monday the 21st of September with a 5ft southerly swell and a strong offshore, but the wind is 16 mph, which makes it a bit of a battle. That’s the only real pulse in the second week, and it’s not a standout.

Overall, the best on offer is clearly Thursday the 10th morning for the big, clean swell. For a more relaxed, glassy session, Saturday the 12th morning is your quiet champ. The rest of the time, you’re looking at a long stretch of small, bumpy, or blown-out conditions.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Wed afternoon, calm by Fri night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
2
3
2
2
2
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
S
8
3
S
8
3.5
S
10
2.4
S
9
2.1
S
10
2.1
S
10
1.8
S
10
1.6
S
10
1.4
S
10
1.2
S
12
1.1
S
11
0.9
S
10
0.8
S
10
0.8
S
11
1.4
NNE
6
0.7
S
11
0.6
S
11
1.1
NE
6
0.7
NE
6
0.5
NE
6
1.7
S
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
133
882
2716
909
821
890
618
480
377
418
291
158
138
144
136
121
81
98
35
17
486
Wind (km/h)
20
SSW
40
S
30
S
20
SSW
20
S
10
SW
10
SW
10
SE
5
W
5
NNW
20
NE
10
N
10
NNE
25
NE
10
NNW
10
N
25
NE
10
WNW
30
SSE
25
SSE
15
SE
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross
cross-off
glassy
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
6:47PM1.63m
7:28AM1.28m
7:32PM1.62m
8:08AM1.36m
8:15PM1.56m
8:46AM1.41m
8:56PM1.47m
9:22AM1.44m
9:37PM1.35m
9:59AM1.45m
10:17PM1.22m
10:36AM1.42m
10:59PM1.09m
Low Tide
12:24PM0.27m
1:23AM0.03m
1:15PM0.20m
2:01AM0.03m
2:02PM0.17m
2:36AM0.06m
2:48PM0.16m
3:09AM0.12m
3:33PM0.18m
3:41AM0.19m
4:18PM0.23m
4:13AM0.28m
5:04PM0.29m
clear
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:03
6:01
6:00
5:58
5:58
5:56
5:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:43
5:44
5:45
5:45
 mm
Temp °C
16
15
14
13
15
14
15
15
15
17
17
17
18
18
17
23
21
21
17
15
15
Feels °C
11
6
5
9
11
12
13
13
15
14
13
14
14
15
14
19
17
20
13
10
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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