Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 11 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
18.3° C
0.3° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 10s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 2,040 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Wed 15th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 6s
Best Surf 7PM (Fri 17th Jul)4.5ft (1.4m) 10s
Most Powerful 4PM (Wed 15th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Manly’s got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, it’s a pretty slow start. We’re looking at a run of flat to tiny, poor surf from Saturday the 11th right through to Tuesday the 15th of July. The water temp is sitting at about 65°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The first real chance to get wet comes on Wednesday the 15th. A new S swell pushes in, jumping up to 7.2ft by morning, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag. The wind is a fresh offshore from the SSW, making it clean, but the numbers are telling me it’s marginal, more of a one-star situation. By the afternoon, the swell is pumping to 10ft (2040 combined energy), but that’s proper big – only for the experienced crew. The wind holds offshore to cross-off, so it’ll be clean, but it’s definitely a "big boy" session.

Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th are still a bit messy with the wind, and the swell drops back down into the mediocre range. Nothing to write home about.

Now, the first real standout pops up on Saturday the 18th. The morning is looking tidy with a light WSW offshore breeze and a solid 5ft of E swell (438 energy). The period is a mid-range 9 seconds, so reasonable shape. This is the best bet for the average surfer in the first week. Conditions are clean and the break is a fairly consistent point, though look out, crowds are often an issue here.

The next big highlight is a proper pulse that arrives on the 22nd of July. Starting Wednesday morning, we’ve got an 8ft S swell rolling in with a 9-second period, and the combined energy is a hefty 1882. The wind is a light offshore from the SW, so it’s going to be clean and lined up. The afternoon holds the same size and a similar 10-second period. This is a very good, solid swell. The break (Manly) is a sheltered point, so it’ll handle this size, but it’s a big one – definitely for the experienced, not one for beginners. Thursday the 23rd still has a solid 8ft S swell in the morning with a light cross-off breeze, but the wind shifts onshore by the afternoon.

After that, it fades out again. There’s a glassy morning on the 26th with a tiny 4.3ft S swell, but the wind is onshore by the afternoon, and the energy is weak.

So, overall, we’ve got a slow start, a decent window on the 18th, and then a proper, punchy swell on the 22nd and 23rd. The 18th is your best bet for a fun, clean session, and the 22nd is the one for the experts looking for a push.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds.

Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
ESE
12
0.9
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
10
0.7
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
10
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SSW
6
0.3
SSW
12
0.3
SSW
8
0.2
S
11
0.3
SSW
7
0.4
SSW
11
2.2
S
10
3
S
10
2.1
S
8
1.9
SSE
7
1.4
S
7
0.9
ESE
6
0.9
S
12
1.3
E
9
1.5
E
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
213
217
180
86
52
20
15
27
14
9
9
40
976
2040
603
365
188
65
232
287
397
Wind (km/h)
10
NW
15
NE
20
NNW
25
WNW
30
WNW
30
WNW
20
W
20
W
15
NW
20
WNW
20
WSW
20
WSW
30
SSW
30
SSW
15
SSW
20
SSW
20
S
15
SSW
20
SSW
20
S
10
SSW
Wind State
cross
on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
5:23PM1.60m
6:08AM1.05m
6:19PM1.70m
7:10AM1.08m
7:13PM1.78m
8:05AM1.12m
8:05PM1.82m
8:57AM1.15m
8:55PM1.81m
9:46AM1.18m
9:43PM1.74m
10:35AM1.20m
10:31PM1.63m
Low Tide
10:39AM0.30m
00:15AM0.15m
11:39AM0.29m
1:13AM0.05m
12:36PM0.26m
2:07AM-0.03m
1:31PM0.24m
2:57AM-0.07m
2:24PM0.23m
3:44AM-0.07m
3:17PM0.24m
4:29AM-0.03m
4:10PM0.28m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:56
6:56
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:00
5:00
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:04
5:04
 mm
Temp °C
16
16
14
15
14
11
18
19
13
19
18
14
14
14
15
15
15
15
15
16
16
Feels °C
13
12
10
7
7
5
12
14
8
13
13
10
6
8
11
11
12
12
11
13
13
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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