Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Manly over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag kicking off. The first few days actually look pretty decent for a beginner-friendly point break. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.

Starting Thursday morning, the 9th of July, we’ve got a clean 6ft swell from the southeast, with a 10-second period. The wind is light and offshore from the SSW, so the face will be looking smooth. This is a solid, clean option for a wave. The combined energy is sitting at 789 (moderate energy), so it’s got enough push for a fun, long ride. Thursday afternoon stays clean, still 6ft, just a slight cross-off shift, but still really good.

Friday the 10th continues the trend. Morning is clean offshore again, 6ft from the SE, same period. Afternoon drops to 6ft, light cross-off, still clean. This is a nice little run of surf.

Saturday the 11th, the swell drops right off to 3ft from the ESE. The period jumps to 12 seconds, which is a long-period groundswell, but the size is tiny. The morning is cross-shore, and the afternoon is a cross-onshore mess. It’s not worth the paddle.

Sunday the 12th is a write-off. The swell is almost gone, down to 2ft and then 1ft. The energy is weak (96 and 41). Total flat spell.

Monday the 13th we see a small pulse of 3ft from the south, but it’s a 12-second period. The energy is 189 (weak), and the wind is cross-off, so it’s clean but very small and ordinary. Not a standout.

Then we hit a real dead zone. Tuesday the 14th, Wednesday the 15th, and Thursday the 16th are all poor. Wednesday the 15th is a bit of a joke – the swell jumps to 6ft and then 12ft, but the wind is howling at 31 mph from the SSE. That’s a near gale. The energy is 2152 (strong), but the conditions are unsurfable. That 12ft and 13ft swell on Thursday the 16th is just blown out, too. The energy hits 2895 (very strong), but with 25 mph wind, it’s a mess. This is kite-surfing territory, not for a paddle board.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th still have size, 12ft and 10ft from the SE, but the wind is cross-shore or cross-off at 15-19 mph. The energy is massive (2599 and 1854), but the wind keeps it lumpy and marginal. This is expert-only, and even then, it’s not clean.

Sunday the 19th is the best of the second week. The swell drops to a manageable 6ft from the SE, 10-second period. The wind is a light cross-off from the SSW. The energy is back to 770 (moderate). The morning is clean, but the afternoon gets a bit better, with a clean look. This is the standout for the later part of the forecast.

The week after that, from the 20th to the 24th, is a slow fade. Swell drops to 5ft and then 2ft by the 24th. There are a few clean windows, like Monday the 20th with a gentle offshore, but the swell is small and the energy is weak (399 and below). Nothing to get excited about.

So, the call is clear: the first two days, Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th, are your best shots. Clean, consistent, 6ft SE swell, light offshore winds. That’s your pick. The second week has a potential window on Sunday the 19th, but it’s a step down.

Keep an eye on that big blow-up mid-month. It’s not for the faint-hearted.

Rusty.

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