Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Manly’s got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, it’s a pretty slow start. We’re looking at a run of flat to tiny, poor surf from Saturday the 11th right through to Tuesday the 15th of July. The water temp is sitting at about 65°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The first real chance to get wet comes on Wednesday the 15th. A new S swell pushes in, jumping up to 7.2ft by morning, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag. The wind is a fresh offshore from the SSW, making it clean, but the numbers are telling me it’s marginal, more of a one-star situation. By the afternoon, the swell is pumping to 10ft (2040 combined energy), but that’s proper big – only for the experienced crew. The wind holds offshore to cross-off, so it’ll be clean, but it’s definitely a "big boy" session.

Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th are still a bit messy with the wind, and the swell drops back down into the mediocre range. Nothing to write home about.

Now, the first real standout pops up on Saturday the 18th. The morning is looking tidy with a light WSW offshore breeze and a solid 5ft of E swell (438 energy). The period is a mid-range 9 seconds, so reasonable shape. This is the best bet for the average surfer in the first week. Conditions are clean and the break is a fairly consistent point, though look out, crowds are often an issue here.

The next big highlight is a proper pulse that arrives on the 22nd of July. Starting Wednesday morning, we’ve got an 8ft S swell rolling in with a 9-second period, and the combined energy is a hefty 1882. The wind is a light offshore from the SW, so it’s going to be clean and lined up. The afternoon holds the same size and a similar 10-second period. This is a very good, solid swell. The break (Manly) is a sheltered point, so it’ll handle this size, but it’s a big one – definitely for the experienced, not one for beginners. Thursday the 23rd still has a solid 8ft S swell in the morning with a light cross-off breeze, but the wind shifts onshore by the afternoon.

After that, it fades out again. There’s a glassy morning on the 26th with a tiny 4.3ft S swell, but the wind is onshore by the afternoon, and the energy is weak.

So, overall, we’ve got a slow start, a decent window on the 18th, and then a proper, punchy swell on the 22nd and 23rd. The 18th is your best bet for a fun, clean session, and the 22nd is the one for the experts looking for a push.

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