Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
18.0° C
0.0° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with 3,153 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 9th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 10s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 9th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 10s
Most Powerful 7PM (Wed 15th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


Alright, Rusty here, let’s have a look at what’s coming our way over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag on the cards. The next few days actually look pretty decent, with solid, clean surf, but then we hit a long, flat lull before a late pulse tries to show up. So, make the most of the early action.

Thursday morning (July 9th) starts us off with Manly. There’s a clean 6ft swell rolling in from the SE with a period of 10 seconds – that's a nice, solid groundswell with plenty of push. The wind is light offshore from the SSW, so expect clean, lined-up waves. The combined swell energy is moderate at 832, so there's some real grunt in the water. This carries through Thursday afternoon too, with a cross-off breeze keeping things tidy. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing unusual there.

Friday (July 10th) keeps the quality up. Morning sees another 6ft SE swell with offshore wind. The real standout is Friday afternoon: the wind goes glassy from the ESE, and we’ve got a clean 6ft SE swell. That’s about as good as it gets for a point break like Manly – smooth, lined-up waves. For a beginner-friendly spot, this is the best on offer. The energy is still moderate at 593.

Then, unfortunately, things drop right off. Saturday (July 11th) sees the swell dip to 3ft, and the period drops a bit. The wind turns onshore in the afternoon, making it choppy. By Sunday (July 12th) , the swell is tiny, and while the wind is clean, there’s just no power – the energy is down to a weak 93. This flat spell stretches right through the middle of the week.

We’ve got a long gap of several days with practically no surf. The swell stays below 3ft, and the energy readings are in the weak two-digit range until we get to Wednesday, July 22nd – that’s over a week of flat, boring surf.

There is a flicker of hope on Thursday, July 24th. A new 3ft swell from the SSW with a short 6-second period shows up, and the wind is offshore. The energy is a weak 137, so it’s not a standout, but at least it’s surfable after the drought. However, that short period will mean crumbly, less powerful waves.

The only real standouts are Thursday and Friday. If you can get out there, do it. Later calls are just too unreliable and weak to get excited about.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wed
15
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
SE
10
1.8
SE
10
1.8
SE
10
1.7
SE
9
1.8
SE
10
1.7
SE
10
1.4
SE
10
0.9
ESE
12
0.9
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
10
0.6
ESE
10
0.4
ESE
10
0.6
SSW
7
0.5
S
12
0.9
S
9
0.7
S
7
0.5
S
10
0.6
S
10
0.3
S
19
0.8
SSW
10
3
S
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
754
640
602
492
554
580
365
210
170
143
78
38
36
71
142
51
48
78
64
125
892
Wind (km/h)
15
S
5
SSW
10
SSE
5
SW
10
WSW
5
ESE
10
WNW
10
NW
15
NNE
25
NNW
25
W
25
WSW
15
WNW
15
WNW
15
W
20
NW
15
WNW
20
SW
20
WNW
35
WSW
50
SSW
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
High Tide
2:29AM1.09m
3:26PM1.40m
3:44AM1.04m
4:25PM1.50m
4:59AM1.03m
5:23PM1.60m
6:08AM1.05m
6:19PM1.70m
7:10AM1.08m
7:13PM1.78m
8:05AM1.12m
8:05PM1.82m
8:57AM1.15m
Low Tide
8:40AM0.27m
10:01PM0.38m
9:38AM0.30m
11:12PM0.27m
10:39AM0.30m
00:15AM0.15m
11:39AM0.29m
1:13AM0.05m
12:36PM0.26m
2:07AM-0.03m
1:31PM0.24m
2:57AM-0.07m
2:24PM0.23m
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
cloud
clear
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:00
5:00
5:00
5:00
5:01
5:02
5:02
 mm
5
2
4
2
1
Temp °C
15
14
16
14
13
14
13
17
18
14
15
15
11
16
18
13
18
18
13
14
13
Feels °C
11
12
13
12
12
13
11
14
15
10
8
8
6
12
14
7
12
12
9
5
2
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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