Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 23 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.0°C
0.8° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 27 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period, SSE swell with 407 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 26 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period with NE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.3m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Wed 26th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 8s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 27th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 8s
Most Powerful 4PM (Fri 28th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right off the bat, things are pretty flat and ugly around here. We’ve got a bit of a wait ahead. The first real chance at a wave doesn't show up until Thursday morning the 27th, so there’s a couple of days of nothing much to start.

Manly is a point break that’s fairly consistent and sheltered, but we need the stars to align.

That Thursday morning the 27th is your first real standout. You’ve got a 5ft swell coming from the south with a period of 8 seconds. The combined wave energy is moderate (415). The best part is the wind: glassy, dead calm. That’s about as clean as it gets for a point break like this. The water temp is sitting at 63°F, which is about average for this time of year.

Friday the 28th morning is another moment to watch. The swell drops to around 3ft from the south, 9-second period, but again, we get that glassy wind off the northwest. Wave energy is still moderate (281). It’s not huge, but clean and surfable.

Then on Monday the 31st morning, there’s a real interesting one. A tiny 2ft swell from the south, but the period jumps to 19 seconds—that’s very long period groundswell. The energy is moderate (455). Again, glassy wind. For a point break, that long period can wrap in nicely and give you some real shape, but the size is tiny, so it’ll be more of a longboard glide than anything powerful.

Into Tuesday the 1st of September morning, we’ve got another clean one: around 3ft from the south, 14-second period, glassy wind off the west. Energy at 454. Another solid, clean morning.

Honestly, after that first week, the second week looks pretty grim. There are small pulses, but the wind gets on it, and the swell is weak and short period. The 5th of September Saturday has a 5ft swell from the SSW, but it’s only 7 seconds and the wind is cross-off, so it’ll be chopped up and messy. Not worth paddling out for.

Overall, the best bet is Thursday morning the 27th and the Monday the 31st morning. Keep expectations in check for the rest.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 23°C on Tue morning, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Sun night, fresh winds from the S by Wed morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 14°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Sun
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
S
13
1.1
S
10
0.8
S
10
0.7
S
10
1.4
NE
6
1.5
NE
7
1.6
NE
7
1.4
NE
8
1.2
ENE
8
1
ENE
8
1.4
S
7
1.5
S
8
1.3
S
8
1.3
S
10
0.9
S
9
1.3
SSE
11
1
SSE
10
0.9
SSE
9
1
SSE
10
0.9
SSE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
222
247
123
96
152
189
248
229
166
130
215
320
224
338
123
407
209
146
201
119
Wind (km/h)
15
NE
15
N
10
N
25
NE
15
N
15
N
10
N
10
WNW
15
SSW
30
S
15
SSE
5
SSE
15
E
5
NW
5
NW
15
ESE
10
S
5
S
10
E
5
WNW
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
4:57PM1.32m
5:49AM0.92m
5:45PM1.39m
6:30AM0.99m
6:27PM1.45m
7:07AM1.06m
7:05PM1.51m
7:42AM1.14m
7:41PM1.53m
8:16AM1.21m
8:16PM1.53m
8:50AM1.28m
8:52PM1.50m
Low Tide
11:58PM0.37m
11:07AM0.49m
00:38AM0.30m
11:56AM0.43m
1:12AM0.23m
12:39PM0.37m
1:44AM0.17m
1:19PM0.32m
2:15AM0.13m
1:59PM0.28m
2:45AM0.10m
2:40PM0.25m
3:16AM0.10m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:24
6:22
6:20
6:20
6:18
6:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:31
5:32
5:34
 mm
4
2
Temp °C
17
16
19
18
17
23
17
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
17
16
16
16
16
15
Feels °C
14
13
15
14
15
19
17
15
14
13
13
15
13
15
15
14
16
14
14
15
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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