
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 10s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SSE swell with 2,749 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here, checking out Manly for the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, there’s a decent run of south-east groundswell pushing in, but the wind is messing with it. The combined swell energy is beefy – 1807 on Monday morning – so there’s plenty of power. The problem is a moderate breeze from the SSE putting a cross-off chop on the face. At 3.0m, this is big for anyone, and with a 10-second period, it’s not clean. That’s expert-only territory, no doubt.
Tuesday the 7th keeps that energy high, hitting 2722 with 3.0m to 3.5m swell from the SSE and SE, but the wind stays cross-off from the S and SSW, building to a fresh breeze in the afternoon. Still lumpy and big. Wednesday morning the 8th eases to 2.5m from the SE, 11-second period, with a gentle SSW breeze. The energy is still up at 1878, but the lighter wind should help. Still, it’s well overhead.
Thursday the 9th looks more manageable at 2.0m from the SE, 10-second period, with a gentle SSE breeze. Energy drops to a moderate 919. This is doable for strong intermediate surfers. Friday the 10th is the standout of the first week: 1.7m south-east swell, 9 to 10-second period, and a light WSW offshore wind in the morning. Energy is a moderate 488, and that offshore wind will give you clean, lined-up waves. This is the pick.
The weekend goes flat. Saturday the 11th starts at 1.2m but drops to 0.9m with onshore wind by afternoon. Sunday and Monday the 12th and 13th are basically dead – 0.5m and 0.3m, energy down to 166 then 21. A couple of days off.
Then it fires back. Tuesday the 14th gets a weak 1.3m SSW windswell, but the real deal is Wednesday the 15th. A 2.5m south swell, 10-second period, moderate SW offshore wind all morning, and energy jumps to 1351. This is a proper winter groundswell with clean offshore conditions. Water temp is about average for July. This is a big session – over 1.5m, so it’s for experienced surfers, but it’s clean and powerful.
Thursday the 16th goes bigger to 3.5m from the south, 10-second period, with a moderate SSW offshore – energy is a massive 2331. That’s expert-only, but the wind is right. Friday the 17th is still solid at 2.3m from the SSE, offshore SW wind, energy 1003. Saturday morning the 18th has a 2.1m SE swell, 11-second period, light W cross-off, energy 1046. Good shape, but the afternoon goes onshore.
After that, it drops off again from the 19th into the 21st, with small, poor conditions. That last entry on the 21st of July shows a 4.0m south swell with a fresh offshore WSW wind, energy 2498, but that’s a long way out – keep it on the radar.
The two best windows: Friday morning the 10th for clean, moderate south-east swell, and Wednesday morning the 15th for the best combo of size, power, and offshore wind.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sun 12 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 12 | SE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2221 | 1620 | 1552 | 1832 | 2000 | 2717 | 2297 | 1536 | 1316 | 988 | 727 | 619 | 481 | 481 | 546 | 399 | 225 | 173 | 107 | 71 | 64 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:38PM1.35m | 12:44PM1.16m | 00:25AM1.26m | 1:34PM1.23m | 1:22AM1.17m | 2:29PM1.31m | 2:29AM1.09m | 3:26PM1.40m | 3:44AM1.04m | 4:25PM1.50m | 4:59AM1.03m | 5:23PM1.60m | 6:08AM1.05m | 6:19PM1.70m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:20AM0.20m | 6:26PM0.50m | 7:01AM0.22m | 7:32PM0.50m | 7:48AM0.25m | 8:46PM0.46m | 8:40AM0.27m | 10:01PM0.38m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:12PM0.27m | 10:39AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.15m | 11:39AM0.29m | ||||||||
— | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | |
— | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | |
mm | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | S 16 | E 14 | — | SE 14 | S 16 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 10 | SSE 8 | ESE 11 |
14 | 183 | 4 | — | 471 | 5 | 2297 | 1536 | 1316 | 988 | 727 | 619 | 481 | 481 | 546 | 399 | 225 | 164 | 107 | 47 | 64 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 14 | E 14 | — | S 18 | — | — | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 16 | S 19 | S 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 |
— | 4 | 4 | — | 6 | — | — | 342 | 350 | 210 | 186 | 39 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 210 | 173 | 79 | 43 | 25 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 20 | S 18 | S 17 | S 20 | — | S 14 | S 17 | E 9 | S 15 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 6 | 6 | 8 | — | 4 | 6 | 41 | 5 | 81 | 71 | 26 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | — | — | — | SSE 10 | — | — | — | WSW 3 | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | N 4 |
2221 | 1620 | 1552 | 1832 | 2000 | 2717 | — | — | — | 763 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 5 | 36 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 314 | 185 | 113 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 78 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










