Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 12 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
18.2° C
0.2° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, E swell with 3,552 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sat 18th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Best Surf 7AM (Sun 19th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sun 19th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s in store for Manly over the next couple of weeks.

First thing, it’s a slow start. There’s a real dry patch from now until Tuesday the 15th of July. For the first few days, we’re looking at tiny, weak dribble – swell heights barely scraping 2ft, with combined wave energy sitting at a weak 63 on Sunday. The wind is cross-off, but the waves just aren’t there. It’s a flat spell, mate. Save your wax.

The first real sign of life shows up on the morning of Wednesday the 15th of July. A solid 8ft S swell arrives, but it’s packing a short, punchy period of 8 seconds and the combined energy jumps to 850 (moderate). The wind is fresh and offshore from the SSW, which will make the surface clean. But the swell is right on the edge of being too big for beginners. It’s a window for experienced surfers, but the quality is still a bit average.

The swell builds through that Wednesday, hitting 12ft by the afternoon (energy 2452 – strong), but the wind swings cross-off and it’s a bit messy. That pulses through Thursday and Friday, but the period stays short and the wind is cross-off, so it’s less than ideal. The wave energy is still moderate to strong, but the shape will be junky.

Now, the standout. The best chance of the whole run is Sunday the 19th of July. The morning session is the pick. We’ve got a solid 12ft swell from the east, with a nice 11-second period (groundswell). The combined energy is a beefy 3154 (strong to very strong). The wind is a light breeze from the SSE, creating clean, cross-off conditions. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The water temp is about 65°, which is normal for the time of year. This is a big, powerful swell that’s best suited for the point, but it might be a bit straight for the beach. It’s a true standout, but it’s a week away, so keep an eye on it.

After that, the swell levels off into the 5ft to 8ft range through the 20th to the 22nd, with mostly clean conditions and light winds. The energy is moderate (around 500-800), and it’s surfable for the crew who are keen. By the 23rd, the wind turns onshore from the NE and the size drops, and we’re back to ordinary, small, and weak conditions for the rest of the forecast period.

So, to sum it up: a flat start, a big but messy mid-week pulse, one clear standout on the 19th of July for the experienced crew, then a slow fade into small stuff. Not a classic run, but that Sunday has some real potential.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Mon night, fresh winds from the SSW by Wed morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 14°C on Wed afternoon). Mainly fresh winds.

Sun
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
ESE
9
0.3
ESE
9
0.3
SSW
11
0.3
SSW
11
0.2
S
10
0.2
S
10
0.2
S
12
0.4
SSW
11
2.5
S
8
3.5
S
10
2.5
SSE
8
2.3
SSE
7
1.9
SSE
7
1.6
ESE
9
1.9
ESE
9
1.8
ESE
8
2.1
ESE
8
2.4
ESE
9
3
E
11
3.5
E
12
3.5
E
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
50
16
25
25
9
9
11
38
850
2452
768
581
342
387
524
450
588
942
1924
3312
3052
Wind (km/h)
30
W
30
WNW
20
WNW
20
W
15
NW
20
WNW
15
W
20
WSW
30
SSW
35
SSW
30
SSE
25
SSE
20
SSE
20
SE
25
SSE
20
SSE
25
SSE
25
SSE
20
S
15
SSE
10
SSE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
6:19PM1.70m
7:10AM1.08m
7:13PM1.78m
8:05AM1.12m
8:05PM1.82m
8:57AM1.15m
8:55PM1.81m
9:46AM1.18m
9:43PM1.74m
10:35AM1.20m
10:31PM1.63m
11:23AM1.23m
11:18PM1.47m
12:11PM1.24m
Low Tide
1:13AM0.05m
12:36PM0.26m
2:07AM-0.03m
1:31PM0.24m
2:57AM-0.07m
2:24PM0.23m
3:44AM-0.07m
3:17PM0.24m
4:29AM-0.03m
4:10PM0.28m
5:12AM0.04m
5:04PM0.33m
5:53AM0.13m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:58
6:58
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:00
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:04
5:04
5:05
5:06
 mm
1
1
3
3
2
Temp °C
15
12
19
19
13
19
19
14
14
15
16
16
16
16
17
17
16
17
17
16
17
Feels °C
8
7
14
14
8
14
14
10
7
8
9
11
11
12
11
12
11
12
13
13
14
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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