Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 13 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
16.6° C
1.4° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period, S swell with 492 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.7m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Friday (Aug 14) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Thu 13th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 7s
Best Surf10AM (Thu 13th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 7s
Most Powerful 4PM (Thu 13th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Manly over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, for a point break that’s usually a reliable little gem, this stretch looks pretty quiet for a while. We’ve got a real dry spell on our hands, with hardly any surf worth paddling out for. From now through most of the month, it’s a whole lot of small, weak, and messy. The water temp is sitting at 62°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – you’ll want a decent steamer.

The only real window that gets my heart beating is right at the very end of the forecast period. Thursday the 27th of August sees a solid pulse of southerly groundswell pushing in. Early morning you’ve got 8 ft from the S, with a period of 10 seconds – that’s got some proper push behind it, combined wave energy reading 1445. It’s clean with a light offshore breeze, so Manly’s point should start shaping up nicely. That afternoon, the swell jumps to 10 ft from the S, period stretching to 13 seconds, and the combined energy rockets up to 5070. That’s a serious amount of juice. For a point break, that longer period will mean nice, lined-up sets – but 10 ft is big. This is expert territory. Beginners, stay on the sand for this one.

Friday the 28th of August still has good energy rolling in – 6 ft from the S, period 11 seconds, energy at 812 – but the wind swings around a bit more and there’s light rain around. It’s still surfable, but that Thursday morning window is the clear standout. That’s the one to circle on the calendar.

Other than that, it’s a long, flat wait. There’s a few mornings with glassy conditions and tiny, weak swell, but nothing that’ll get you out of bed.

So, save your energy, keep an eye on that Thursday the 27th. Could be a cracker if the forecast holds.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun night, min 13°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SSW
7
1.7
S
9
1.4
S
8
1.2
S
8
1.1
S
8
1.3
S
9
1.3
S
9
1.7
S
8
1.3
SSE
7
1.4
SE
7
1.4
SE
7
1.5
ESE
7
1.3
ESE
7
1
E
7
1.3
ESE
6
1.2
ESE
6
0.5
S
11
0.8
SE
7
1.2
ESE
6
1.1
ESE
6
0.9
SE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
214
492
266
195
138
276
251
350
161
178
183
192
149
88
132
110
56
65
113
104
65
Wind (km/h)
20
WSW
15
SE
15
WSW
10
WSW
15
ESE
5
SW
15
S
25
S
10
SE
20
SE
15
SE
15
E
10
ESE
20
E
15
E
10
E
15
ESE
5
WSW
5
SSE
15
ENE
5
N
Wind State
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
on
cross-on
High Tide
8:37PM1.72m
9:18AM1.29m
9:21PM1.64m
10:00AM1.32m
10:04PM1.51m
10:41AM1.34m
10:46PM1.36m
11:23AM1.34m
11:30PM1.20m
12:07PM1.32m
00:16AM1.05m
12:55PM1.29m
1:12AM0.93m
Low Tide
2:14PM0.19m
3:14AM-0.02m
3:03PM0.19m
3:52AM0.02m
3:52PM0.22m
4:28AM0.10m
4:41PM0.28m
5:03AM0.19m
5:33PM0.35m
5:38AM0.29m
6:29PM0.42m
6:14AM0.38m
7:34PM0.47m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:35
6:35
6:33
6:33
6:31
6:31
6:30
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:25
5:27
 mm
4
4
1
4
1
3
3
Temp °C
17
16
15
16
15
15
14
15
15
15
15
16
16
16
15
16
16
15
16
16
16
Feels °C
13
12
11
13
12
15
12
10
12
10
11
12
13
12
12
12
12
13
13
13
14
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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