Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 12s period, S swell with 607 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s have a look at what’s on offer for the Manly stretch over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – it’s a tough run for the most part.
We start off with a bit of a gap. The first few days are a write-off for any decent paddle. Wednesday the 2nd and Thursday the 3rd are basically flat with tiny, weak swell and bumpy winds. You’re looking at a combined wave energy of just 139 early on Wednesday, dropping to 82 by Thursday arvo. Not worth wetting your wetsuit for.
Friday the 4th morning shows a glimmer – a 3ft south swell, with a light offshore breeze out of the west-northwest. The energy climbs to 229, but it’s still just ordinary. The wind is light though, so it’ll be clean. If you’re desperate for a paddle, dawn patrol might give you a couple of knee-high runners.
The weekend is a mess. Saturday has strong onshore wind and the swell drops. Sunday the 6th morning actually has a better looking 3ft south swell with a longer 12 second period and that light southerly breeze – clean conditions. Combined energy jumps to 311. That’s your first real chance for a session, but don’t expect perfection.
The following week is a bit of a mixed bag. Monday the 7th has some size but it’s onshore and messy. Tuesday the 8th morning is weird – glassy conditions with a tiny 4ft north-east swell, but the period is a short 7 seconds. It’s clean but the energy is weak (144). You’ll get a few dribblers.
Wednesday the 9th morning is also glassy, with a light north-west wind and a 3ft north-east swell. Again, clean but small. The shine wears off by the afternoon with a nasty 34 mph southerly.
Now, if you’ve got patience, the real standout is Tuesday the 15th. The morning kicks in with a solid 10ft south swell, a 13 second period, and a clean cross-off wind from the south. The combined energy is a massive 2788 – that’s serious power. But here’s the catch: that’s big, heavy groundswell. For a point break like Manly, that’s a good thing, but it’s also expert-only territory. The tide and direction will be key. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The afternoon drops to 8ft and goes a bit cross-shore, so the morning is the window.
The rest of the run into the 17th is mostly onshore, choppy, and dropping. The 14th has some OK-looking surf but nothing special.
So, to sum it up: the best surf on offer is Tuesday the 15th morning. Big, powerful south groundswell, clean offshore wind, and plenty of energy. It’s for the experienced crew only. The second-best option is Sunday the 6th morning – smaller, but clean and with a bit more shape than the rest.
Crowds are always a factor at Manly, so expect company, especially when it’s clean.
The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.
Stay patient, and keep an eye on that Tuesday the 15th.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSW 7 | S 12 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
106 | 76 | 50 | 73 | 53 | 33 | 249 | 66 | 60 | 92 | 66 | 28 | 144 | 596 | 224 | 185 | 119 | 234 | 144 | 119 | 81 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | on | cross | cross-on | cross | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | on | cross |
High Tide | 11:28AM1.42m | 11:49PM1.12m | 12:22PM1.41m | 00:55AM1.01m | 1:26PM1.40m | 2:18AM0.94m | 2:40PM1.42m | 3:46AM0.94m | 3:54PM1.47m | 5:00AM1.00m | 5:00PM1.54m | 5:57AM1.09m | 5:56PM1.60m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:55PM0.31m | 5:44AM0.32m | 7:04PM0.34m | 6:39AM0.39m | 8:25PM0.34m | 7:49AM0.45m | 9:47PM0.30m | 9:09AM0.46m | 10:57PM0.22m | 10:24AM0.42m | 11:54PM0.14m | 11:29AM0.34m | 00:42AM0.07m | ||||||||
6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
— | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 22 | 23 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 23 | 22 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | NE 5 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 8 | NE 5 | S 10 | NE 5 | NE 6 | SSW 7 | S 12 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | NE 4 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 |
106 | 76 | 50 | 21 | 53 | 33 | 249 | 66 | 27 | 92 | 23 | 18 | 86 | 596 | 224 | 185 | 119 | 2 | 144 | 119 | 81 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 10 | S 10 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | SSW 11 | S 7 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 8 | SSE 11 | S 8 | E 10 | NE 4 | E 10 | E 10 |
20 | 15 | 33 | 73 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 25 | 27 | 17 | 66 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 66 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 8 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | NE 6 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 11 | S 16 | E 9 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 8 | NE 8 | N 9 | NE 7 |
33 | 33 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 60 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | — | NW 2 | NNW 3 | SW 3 | SW 5 | — | NE 3 | — | NNE 5 | WNW 4 | WSW 4 | SSW 7 | — | — | — | NE 3 | S 8 | — | ENE 7 | NE 4 |
1 | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 38 | — | 4 | — | 27 | 15 | 18 | 144 | — | — | — | 4 | 234 | — | 5 | 6 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 615 | 0 | 4 | 105 | 0 | 6 | 134 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










