Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 15 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
16.5° C
1.5° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 7s period, S swell with 407 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.0m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sat 15th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 7s
Best Surf10PM (Sat 15th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 7s
Most Powerful 4PM (Sat 22nd Aug)6.5ft (2.0m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks around Manly are looking pretty bloody ordinary for a surf. We’ve got a long stretch of small, gutless, and messy waves ahead, and only a couple of brief windows where you might actually want to paddle out. There’s a big gap of nothing worth chasing from this Saturday morning through to the following Friday afternoon, so don’t be in a rush.

The first real glimmer of hope is this coming Wednesday morning, the 19th. We’ll see some clean conditions with a light offshore wind, and the swell will be around 4ft from the ESE with a short 7-second period. The wave energy is weak-moderate (241). It’s surfable, but honestly, it’s just very ordinary. Manly (Sydney) is a point break, and it’s fairly consistent, so it might be worth a paddle for a beginner or someone just wanting to get wet. The water temp is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 62°F, which is about 3°F off the average. Not a standout by any means.

The next one to maybe circle is Sunday morning, the 23rd. Again, we get a clean-looking morning with a light cross-offshore breeze, and the swell is 4ft from the south with an 8-second period. Energy is moderate (261). It’ll be clean, but it’s still just a so-so wave. Don’t expect much.

Then we go quiet again. The real potential pops up on Tuesday morning, the 25th. This is by far the best of the lot. The swell jumps to 7ft from the SSE with a short 7-second period. The wind is a gentle cross-offshore breeze, and the conditions are clean. The combined energy reads 421, which is moderate, but this is the first time the forecast is actually saying “expect good surf conditions.” This is your window. Manly will be handling that south swell, and it’ll have some push to it. Crowds are often there, so be prepared for company, but it should be worth it.

After that, things get messy and big. The end of the month sees a big pulse of easterly swell, with heights pushing past 8ft and some serious energy readings hitting 1772. But the wind turns onshore and strong, so it’s going to be a chunky, blown-out mess. That’s not surf for paddling; that’s more like a kite-surfing day. Give it a miss.

So, to sum it up: next week is mostly a write-off. The standouts are Wednesday morning the 19th if you’re desperate, and Tuesday morning the 25th if you want the best chance at a proper wave. Long-range stuff is promising but less certain, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
S
9
1.6
S
8
1.3
S
7
0.5
S
17
1.1
S
7
0.9
S
11
0.8
S
10
1
ESE
7
0.9
ESE
7
0.6
S
11
0.9
ESE
7
1.1
ESE
7
1.2
ESE
7
1.1
ESE
10
1.1
ESE
9
0.9
ESE
7
0.9
ESE
6
0.9
ENE
6
0.8
ENE
6
0.6
E
6
0.4
ENE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
230
310
150
148
131
182
116
93
78
82
71
105
131
218
197
79
70
66
51
27
13
Wind (km/h)
10
S
20
SSE
15
SSW
20
SE
20
SE
10
SSE
15
ESE
15
SE
15
E
10
E
10
ESE
10
NE
5
W
15
NE
10
NNW
10
NNW
20
NE
5
W
15
NNW
25
NNW
15
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-off
on
cross
cross
on
glassy
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
10:04PM1.51m
10:41AM1.34m
10:46PM1.36m
11:23AM1.34m
11:30PM1.20m
12:07PM1.32m
00:16AM1.05m
12:55PM1.29m
1:12AM0.93m
1:51PM1.26m
2:24AM0.86m
2:55PM1.25m
3:46AM0.84m
Low Tide
3:52PM0.22m
4:28AM0.10m
4:41PM0.28m
5:03AM0.19m
5:33PM0.35m
5:38AM0.29m
6:29PM0.42m
6:14AM0.38m
7:34PM0.47m
6:57AM0.47m
8:49PM0.50m
7:52AM0.53m
10:06PM0.48m
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:33
6:33
6:31
6:31
6:30
6:28
6:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:25
5:27
5:28
5:28
 mm
2
1
3
1
1
4
3
9
2
2
1
Temp °C
16
16
15
15
15
15
14
15
15
16
16
16
14
15
15
19
18
18
14
15
14
Feels °C
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
12
13
13
14
14
13
13
14
16
14
17
11
10
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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