Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 19 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.8° C
0.1° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 11s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, S swell with 1,147 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 11s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.1m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sun 19th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 11s
Best Surf10PM (Sun 19th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 11s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sun 26th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking at Manly over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, but there are a couple of windows worth paddling out for.

Right now, we’re in a bit of a lull. The first real recommendation doesn’t kick in until Monday the 20th, so for the rest of today and into Sunday, you’re looking at pretty average to poor conditions. Not much to get excited about.

Monday morning, 20 July, is where things start to look up. Manly’s a point break, so it’s pretty sheltered. The swell is coming in from the ENE at 6ft with a period of 11 seconds, which is a nice long-period groundswell. That’s packing moderate energy (1016), and the wind is a light, clean WNW breeze, working as a cross-offshore. It’s a clean setup, and the water temperature is sitting at 64°, which is about average for this time of year. This is a decent window for a paddle, but if you’re a beginner, that 6ft swell might be a bit much.

The week then goes a bit flat. Tuesday and Wednesday are pretty ordinary, with onshore winds and weaker swell. Thursday the 23rd has a fresh offshore WSW wind, but the swell is tiny at 2ft, so it’s not going to be worth the effort.

Now, Friday the 24th afternoon is a standout. The wind drops to a near-calm westerly, the swell turns to the south at 5ft with an 11-second period, and the energy is moderate (580). The conditions are clean, and it’s a good window for a solid session. It’s the best of the first week.

The real standout, though, is the weekend of the 1st and 2nd of August. That’s a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it, but it’s a beauty. Saturday the 1st has a solid 10ft south swell, moderate energy (1731), and a gentle offshore SW wind. The waves will be big, powerful, and clean. This is expert-only territory, though. Over 8ft, it’s not for the faint-hearted. The long period (10 seconds) will give it some grunt. Sunday the 2nd morning is still solid with a 8ft south swell, but the wind turns cross-shore, so it’s a bit more tricky. Crowds at Manly are often a thing, so expect company on those days.

The 31st of July is also a good option, with a 5ft south swell and a gentle offshore, but it’s not as big or clean as the first of August.

Overall, the best surf is on Friday the 24th afternoon, and then the big Saturday the 1st of August. Get on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Thu afternoon, light winds from the W by Fri afternoon).

Sun
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
ENE
10
2
ENE
11
1.9
ENE
11
1.8
ENE
11
1.6
ENE
10
1.5
ENE
10
1.4
ENE
10
1.3
ENE
10
1.1
ENE
10
1.1
ENE
10
1
ENE
9
0.8
ENE
9
0.7
ENE
9
1.8
S
8
1.6
S
9
1.5
S
11
1.3
S
11
1.1
S
12
1.3
S
13
1.4
S
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
803
867
823
743
540
442
356
339
226
210
164
100
73
450
390
496
403
333
555
510
Wind (km/h)
10
SE
5
W
10
WNW
15
NE
10
NNW
10
NNW
20
NE
10
NW
15
W
10
NE
20
WNW
25
WSW
30
WSW
25
WSW
20
WSW
5
W
20
WNW
20
W
30
WSW
25
WSW
Wind State
cross
glassy
cross-off
on
cross
cross-on
on
cross
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
00:05AM1.31m
1:01PM1.26m
00:56AM1.14m
1:52PM1.27m
1:53AM1.01m
2:46PM1.28m
2:59AM0.91m
3:41PM1.30m
4:11AM0.87m
4:35PM1.33m
5:17AM0.88m
5:25PM1.37m
Low Tide
6:02PM0.40m
6:33AM0.22m
7:05PM0.46m
7:13AM0.31m
8:14PM0.50m
7:56AM0.39m
9:28PM0.50m
8:44AM0.45m
10:38PM0.47m
9:39AM0.48m
11:37PM0.42m
10:35AM0.49m
00:26AM0.36m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:52
6:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:06
5:06
5:07
5:07
5:07
5:08
5:09
 mm
Temp °C
15
15
15
15
14
16
16
15
18
19
16
16
16
10
14
16
10
18
17
13
Feels °C
13
15
14
12
12
13
14
13
14
16
12
8
8
2
10
12
5
11
10
7
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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