
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 12s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 12s period, S swell with 1,297 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 1.8m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.2m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, looking at what’s on the cards for Manly over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow start, but we’ve got some proper windows of fun surf coming, especially if you can pick your days.
The first few days are a write-off with barely a ripple. Wednesday the 29th and Thursday morning the 30th are flat and useless, so don’t bother paddling out. Things finally kick into gear on Thursday morning the 30th with a clean 6 ft S swell rolling in, period a solid 9 seconds, and a gentle offshore wind from the SW. The water temp is sitting around average for this time of year, nothing weird. The combined energy is moderate (545), so you’ll feel some push. This is a nice little window for a beginner-friendly point break like Manly, with clean conditions and a fun wave. Thursday afternoon stays clean but drops a touch to 5 ft.
Friday morning the 31st is the standout for the first week. We’ve got a clean 7 ft S swell, 10-second period, with a gentle offshore from the SSW. The energy is solid (872), and the wave shape should be good for a point break. This is the best of the lot for the early days – get out there early for the cleanest lines. Friday afternoon holds size but the wind swings cross-off, and the quality drops off a bit.
Saturday the 1st of August is still worth a look in the morning with a clean 5 ft SSE swell, light cross-off wind, and moderate energy (421). The afternoon turns onshore and choppy, so morning is the call. Sunday the 2nd is marginal at best with a cross-shore wind and a lumpy 5 ft SSE swell – not great. Monday the 3rd is small and ordinary, with 3 ft surf and barely any energy (160). Tuesday the 4th is a write-off again with tiny, weak, short-period swell.
Now, hold onto your board – Thursday the 6th of August afternoon is a proper spike. We’re looking at a 10 ft S swell, 11-second period, and the combined energy is monstrous (3417). That’s expert territory only – way too big for beginners. The wind is light and cross-off from the SSW, so the wave faces will be clean. This is a serious groundswell for experienced surfers looking for a big, powerful point break session. Friday the 7th stays good in the morning at 7 ft, but the afternoon turns onshore again.
Saturday the 8th of August is another solid option with a clean 5 ft SSE swell in the morning, light offshore, and moderate energy (539). The afternoon stays clean but smaller. Sunday the 9th is small and ordinary again, and then from the 10th through the 13th we’ve got a long stretch of poor, small, or onshore conditions. A few surfable but very ordinary waves on the 12th and 13th, but nothing you’d get excited about.
Best bet: Friday morning the 31st of July for the sweet spot of size and quality, or if you’re expert, Thursday afternoon the 6th of August for the big stuff. Keep an eye on the forecast – things can change, but this window looks promising.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 20°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 17 | S 16 | S 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SSE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
13 | 23 | 7 | 25 | 539 | 357 | 1049 | 867 | 776 | 561 | 370 | 315 | 623 | 495 | 419 | 253 | 145 | 90 | 34 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:12AM1.04m | 8:09PM1.56m | 8:48AM1.08m | 8:44PM1.56m | 9:24AM1.13m | 9:18PM1.54m | 10:00AM1.17m | 9:54PM1.49m | 10:38AM1.21m | 10:31PM1.41m | 11:18AM1.26m | 11:12PM1.31m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:20AM0.19m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:54AM0.16m | 2:18PM0.34m | 3:26AM0.14m | 2:57PM0.33m | 3:57AM0.13m | 3:38PM0.34m | 4:28AM0.13m | 4:22PM0.36m | 5:01AM0.16m | 5:10PM0.39m | |||||||
— | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 12 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | NNE 4 | S 16 | S 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SSE 9 |
13 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 539 | 357 | 1049 | 867 | 776 | 561 | 370 | 315 | 623 | 495 | 419 | 253 | 145 | 90 | 34 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 4 | S 8 | SE 13 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | S 15 | — | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SE 14 | SSE 13 | NE 7 | NE 4 | E 17 | NE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 8 | ESE 8 |
1 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 67 | — | 5 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 147 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | S 17 | SE 6 | SE 13 | E 13 | NE 6 | — | — | E 13 | E 13 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 18 | NE 9 | E 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SE 14 | NE 5 |
2 | 23 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | NW 3 | SW 4 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 3 | — | NW 2 | NNE 5 | WSW 4 |
1 | 5 | 16 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 11 | 9 | — | 1 | 8 | 11 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 145 | 589 | 280 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.









