Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 12s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period, SSE swell with 1,068 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 1.3m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.7m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's chew the fat on what's coming.
To be straight with you, the next few days are flat. We’ve got a dry spell from now until Wednesday morning, the 30th of July. The first real pulse of swell shows up on Thursday morning, the 30th.
That Thursday morning at Manly is the first one to circle. We’re looking at a clean 6ft swell from the S, with a period of 9 seconds. The wind is offshore from the WSW, and the wave energy is moderate (478). For a sheltered point break, that’s a proper fun-sized wave. It’s not too big for beginners, and the offshore wind will keep it glassy. The water temp is about average for the season. This is a stand-out, but remember, it’s a point break, so it can get a bit finicky if the swell direction is off, but the S swell is the sweet spot.
Friday morning, the 31st, is the real gem. The swell picks up to 6ft from the SW, with a period of 11 seconds. That’s a longer period groundswell, so you’ll get more push and better shape. The wave energy is strong (818). With a light offshore breeze, it’ll be clean. This is the best of the bunch if you can handle the size. It’s a bit too much for beginners, but for the rest of us, it’s a go.
Saturday, the 1st of August, has some fun ones too. The morning sees a 5ft S swell, clean with a light offshore wind. The afternoon is very promising with a glassy 5ft SSE swell. The energy is moderate (507 and 444). Good for a long paddle.
After that, the quality goes south. Sunday morning, the 2nd of August, has a bigger 6ft SSE swell, but it’s a long period (14 seconds) and the wind is onshore, making it a washing machine. That’s more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle session. The following week, from Monday, the 3rd of August, through to Wednesday, the 12th of August, is mostly small, weak, and messy. There are a few clean moments, like Wednesday morning the 7th of August with a 3ft ENE swell, but the energy is weak and the waves are tiny.
So, bottom line: if you can, get out Thursday morning the 30th for a start, but Friday morning the 31st of July is the one to chase. Don't miss it.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 17 | S 16 | S 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 65 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 471 | 318 | 1046 | 810 | 1037 | 673 | 499 | 399 | 351 | 1068 | 787 | 500 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:35AM0.99m | 7:32PM1.53m | 8:12AM1.04m | 8:09PM1.56m | 8:48AM1.08m | 8:44PM1.56m | 9:24AM1.13m | 9:18PM1.54m | 10:00AM1.17m | 9:54PM1.49m | 10:38AM1.21m | 10:31PM1.41m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:45AM0.24m | 12:58PM0.39m | 2:20AM0.19m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:54AM0.16m | 2:18PM0.34m | 3:26AM0.14m | 2:57PM0.33m | 3:57AM0.13m | 3:38PM0.34m | 4:28AM0.13m | 4:22PM0.36m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 19 | 20 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 15 |
Feels °C | 13 | 15 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 16 | ENE 6 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 |
| kJ | 65 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 471 | 318 | 1046 | 810 | 818 | 673 | 499 | 399 | 351 | 1068 | 787 | 500 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | S 17 | NE 7 | S 12 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | — | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SSE 14 | SSE 14 | NE 9 | E 17 | NE 4 |
| kJ | 20 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 1 | — | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 173 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 16 | — | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 6 | SE 13 | SE 13 | E 12 | E 12 | — | E 13 | — | E 13 | E 12 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | E 17 | S 22 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 10 | — | 8 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 3 | NW 2 | N 3 | W 3 | NW 3 | WSW 4 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | NNE 4 |
| kJ | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 90 | — | — | — | — | 1037 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 26 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 0 | 7 | 145 | 280 | 280 | 23 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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