
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 12s period, SE swell with 578 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.4m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, it’s Rusty. Let’s cut to the chase for the next couple of weeks. It’s a pretty bleak forecast for the most part, with a lot of small, weak, or blown-out days. The first real wave of note doesn’t show up until the middle of next week, so don’t get your hopes up for the next several days.
This Sunday arvo is a waste of time. There’s 1.8m of SE swell, but a NE wind is just going to chop it up. The combined energy is moderate (1000), but it’s a mess. Water temp is 63°F, which is about normal for this time of year.
The first part of next week is just as poor. Monday through Thursday mornings all have surf under a metre, and the wind is inconsistent. A few periods have light winds, but there’s just no energy to ride. It’s a frustrating, flat spell.
Thursday the 6th has a bit more size – 1.6m S swell – but the onshore ENE wind ruins it. Friday the 7th has some S swell in the morning, but it’s weak.
The weekend of the 8th and 9th is flat out grim. Saturday has just 0.6m leftovers and then a NE breeze. Sunday gets blown out with a strong NW wind. This is the low point.
Early the following week, we see cleaner conditions with WSW winds on the 10th and 11th, but the swell remains tiny, around 0.7m. Not worth the paddle.
The 12th and 13th continue the same theme – small ENE swell and light winds, but no power.
Things finally start to move on Friday the 14th. A 1.9m NE groundswell with a 9-second period shows up, and the energy jumps to 546. The wind is a cross-off S, which is promising, but it’s still a bit marginal.
Saturday the 15th afternoon is where it starts to get real: a 2.0m SSW groundswell with a 12-second period, strong energy at 1263, and a light S cross-off wind. It’s getting closer, but still not perfect.
And then we get to the standout. Sunday the 16th morning is the one to mark in the diary. We’ve got 2.0m of S groundswell, with a 13-second period, and the energy is cranking – 1353. But the kicker is the gentle offshore SSW wind. That’s the clean, powerful combo we’ve been waiting for. The wave comment says it all: “expect very good surf conditions.” This will be a proper south swell pushing into Manly. It’s sizable, so not for beginners, but for anyone comfortable in overhead waves, this is the session.
Monday the 17th is still a good follow-up, with 1.9m S swell and a 14-second period, along with light offshore W winds in the morning. Energy is still strong at 1529. It’s not quite as perfect as Sunday but still very solid. The afternoons get a bit messy with the ESE cross-shore, so get on it early.
So, it’s a long, flat grind until next Sunday. But when that S groundswell hits, it’s going to be well worth the wait. Keep an eye on it as the date gets closer, but that Sunday morning is the one I’d save for.
Stay salty.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | SSE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | ESE 7 | SSE 10 | SSE 13 | SSW 9 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | NNE 5 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
956 | 449 | 229 | 166 | 68 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 147 | 83 | 127 | 239 | 464 | 320 | 230 | 194 | 122 | 63 | 42 | 50 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:31PM1.41m | 11:18AM1.26m | 11:12PM1.31m | 12:03PM1.29m | 00:01AM1.20m | 12:53PM1.33m | 1:00AM1.09m | 1:52PM1.36m | 2:14AM1.00m | 2:58PM1.42m | 3:39AM0.96m | 4:06PM1.49m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:22PM0.36m | 5:01AM0.16m | 5:10PM0.39m | 5:37AM0.20m | 6:06PM0.41m | 6:18AM0.25m | 7:13PM0.42m | 7:07AM0.31m | 8:30PM0.41m | 8:07AM0.36m | 9:51PM0.35m | 9:16AM0.38m | 11:05PM0.25m | |||||||
— | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | |
5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 22 | 21 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 12 | 12 | 18 | 18 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | SSE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | E 11 | SSW 9 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | NE 5 |
956 | 449 | 229 | 166 | 68 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 147 | 83 | 127 | 239 | 464 | 320 | 230 | 194 | 122 | 63 | 42 | 26 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 21 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SSE 13 | E 10 | E 9 | E 12 | E 12 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 10 | SSE 9 | E 8 | S 7 |
35 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 26 | 16 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 27 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 17 | S 21 | S 21 | E 15 | E 15 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | E 6 | E 13 | E 13 | E 8 | NE 8 | E 16 | E 16 | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 6 | E 10 | SSE 9 | E 8 |
6 | 36 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 10 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 4 | SW 4 | WNW 2 | SW 5 | SW 5 | SW 6 | — | W 3 | — | — | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | NE 7 | NNE 5 |
3 | 39 | 19 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 118 | — | 5 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | 11 | 50 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 168 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 589 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 615 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










