Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s in store for Manly over the next couple of weeks.

First thing, it’s a slow start. There’s a real dry patch from now until Tuesday the 15th of July. For the first few days, we’re looking at tiny, weak dribble – swell heights barely scraping 2ft, with combined wave energy sitting at a weak 63 on Sunday. The wind is cross-off, but the waves just aren’t there. It’s a flat spell, mate. Save your wax.

The first real sign of life shows up on the morning of Wednesday the 15th of July. A solid 8ft S swell arrives, but it’s packing a short, punchy period of 8 seconds and the combined energy jumps to 850 (moderate). The wind is fresh and offshore from the SSW, which will make the surface clean. But the swell is right on the edge of being too big for beginners. It’s a window for experienced surfers, but the quality is still a bit average.

The swell builds through that Wednesday, hitting 12ft by the afternoon (energy 2452 – strong), but the wind swings cross-off and it’s a bit messy. That pulses through Thursday and Friday, but the period stays short and the wind is cross-off, so it’s less than ideal. The wave energy is still moderate to strong, but the shape will be junky.

Now, the standout. The best chance of the whole run is Sunday the 19th of July. The morning session is the pick. We’ve got a solid 12ft swell from the east, with a nice 11-second period (groundswell). The combined energy is a beefy 3154 (strong to very strong). The wind is a light breeze from the SSE, creating clean, cross-off conditions. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The water temp is about 65°, which is normal for the time of year. This is a big, powerful swell that’s best suited for the point, but it might be a bit straight for the beach. It’s a true standout, but it’s a week away, so keep an eye on it.

After that, the swell levels off into the 5ft to 8ft range through the 20th to the 22nd, with mostly clean conditions and light winds. The energy is moderate (around 500-800), and it’s surfable for the crew who are keen. By the 23rd, the wind turns onshore from the NE and the size drops, and we’re back to ordinary, small, and weak conditions for the rest of the forecast period.

So, to sum it up: a flat start, a big but messy mid-week pulse, one clear standout on the 19th of July for the experienced crew, then a slow fade into small stuff. Not a classic run, but that Sunday has some real potential.

Rusty.

Read more