Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 29 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
18.2° C
0.3° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 11s period, S swell with 1,214 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.2m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 30th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 11s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 30th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 11s
Most Powerful10PM (Thu 30th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break down the Manly forecast in feet and knots.

The first few days are a total bust. Wednesday the 29th is flat and messy. A real gap with no surf until Thursday the 30th.

Thursday morning the 30th brings a new south swell around 6ft, but with a short 9-second period. Light offshore wind, so it’s clean. Moderate energy (621). It’s a start, but nothing special.

Friday the 31st morning is better: a consistent 6-7ft of south swell, 10-second period, and a moderate offshore breeze keeping it clean. Energy is moderate (858). A decent session for a beginner who’s got a bit of confidence.

Saturday morning the 1st of August drops to 5ft, but the wind is light cross-offshore, and the period holds at 10 seconds. Clean and manageable. The afternoon gets trashed by onshore wind, so be early.

After that, it’s flat from Sunday the 2nd through Tuesday the 5th. Swell fades, wind turns bad. Just a stretch of nothing.

Wednesday the 5th of August morning gives us a small pulse: 5ft of south swell, 9 seconds, clean with a light offshore. It’s surfable, but nothing great. The real fun starts Thursday the 6th.

Thursday morning the 6th: 5-6ft of south swell, offshore wind, clean, with moderate energy (471). A solid, clean wave. Friday morning the 7th is the real standout early in the week – 5-6ft, 10-second period, gentle offshore, and energy jumping to 814. That’s a top session.

Now, the big one. Wednesday the 12th of August morning is pure magic. We’re looking at 8ft of south swell, a long 11-second period, and the wind is glassy. Absolutely glassy. The combined energy is strong at 1393. This is a proper groundswell, and for a point break like Manly, that’s the dream. The size is solidly in expert territory – not for beginners. This is the best session of the whole outlook.

Thursday the 13th of August morning is huge – 11-12ft of south swell, but with a moderate cross-offshore breeze and a shorter 10-second period. The energy is very strong (2212), but at that size and with a shorter period, it’s going to be a heavy, bumpy paddle and slopey on the face. Only for the experienced.

Water temp is 65°F, right about average for the season, so no surprises there.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
2
2
3
2
1
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
S
17
0.1
S
16
0.3
S
12
1.9
S
9
1.6
S
9
2.2
S
11
2
S
10
2
S
10
1.8
S
10
1.5
S
10
1.4
SSE
10
1.5
SE
11
1.5
SSE
12
1.3
SE
11
0.9
SSE
10
0.9
SE
10
0.7
SE
10
0.5
SE
10
0.4
SE
11
0.4
SE
11
1.3
S
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
23
7
25
614
407
1130
850
761
627
432
351
544
604
368
182
157
102
45
30
30
375
Wind (km/h)
20
W
25
WSW
15
SW
15
WSW
15
SSE
15
WSW
20
SSW
20
S
5
SW
10
WNW
15
ENE
10
NNW
10
N
25
NE
10
NNW
15
WNW
20
W
20
WSW
25
WSW
15
SE
15
W
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
on
cross
cross-on
on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
8:09PM1.56m
8:48AM1.08m
8:44PM1.56m
9:24AM1.13m
9:18PM1.54m
10:00AM1.17m
9:54PM1.49m
10:38AM1.21m
10:31PM1.41m
11:18AM1.26m
11:12PM1.31m
12:03PM1.29m
00:01AM1.20m
Low Tide
1:38PM0.36m
2:54AM0.16m
2:18PM0.34m
3:26AM0.14m
2:57PM0.33m
3:57AM0.13m
3:38PM0.34m
4:28AM0.13m
4:22PM0.36m
5:01AM0.16m
5:10PM0.39m
5:37AM0.20m
6:06PM0.41m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:50
6:48
6:48
6:47
6:47
6:46
6:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:12
5:13
5:14
5:14
5:15
5:15
5:15
 mm
4
Temp °C
16
17
11
13
14
14
14
14
14
15
16
16
17
16
17
21
21
13
15
15
12
Feels °C
9
9
4
8
10
11
9
10
12
13
12
12
13
11
13
16
15
7
10
10
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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