Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, ENE swell with 409 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.7m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you—this outlook for the next couple of weeks is a real test of patience. The forecast shows a long, quiet run with tiny surf and more often than not, pretty ordinary conditions. Don't plan anything big just yet, because the good stuff is a long way off.
First up, there's Manly, and it's a fairly consistent point break that's sheltered and suits the beginners when it's working. But for the first week, from Tuesday the 4th of August right through to the morning of Monday the 10th, it's a grim run. The swell is tiny, with heights barely cracking 1 ft to 2 ft, and the combined energy is weak, staying under 100. The wind is mostly cross-off or offshore, which keeps the surface clean, but there's just no wave energy to work with. The water temp is sitting at 63°, which is about normal for this time of year.
Things start to look a little more interesting around the 10th of August. On Monday morning, we get a 6 ft swell from the ENE, but it's coming with a fresh breeze of 19 mph, cross-off, so it's clean but a bit of a handful. The combined energy jumps to 414, which is moderate, but it's still not a standout—the conditions are just too poor to get excited about. The real interest is on Friday the 14th of August. Friday morning, the swell picks up to 6 ft from the south, with a solid 12-second period, and the combined energy is 888, which is strong. The wind is light and cross-off, so it's clean. That's the best on offer, but it's still only rated as "expect good surf conditions," so keep your expectations in check. Saturday the 15th morning also looks decent, with a 3 ft south swell and a 10-second period, light offshore winds, and combined energy of 406. It's clean, but not huge.
The rest of the second week, from the 16th onwards, fades again. Swell drops back under 3 ft, and while the wind is sometimes offshore or glassy, the energy is low and the conditions are just ordinary. The 17th and 18th have some clean moments, but nothing to write home about. The long-range outlook is a bit of a gamble—there's a promising window on the 14th and 15th, but it's a long way off, so don't bank on perfection.
So, if you're keen, keep your eyes on Friday the 14th of August morning for the best chance of a decent wave. But honestly, for most of this period, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, with the wind and small swell. Patience, mate.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Fri night, fresh winds from the NNE by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SSW 5 | SSE 13 | E 10 | E 9 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | E 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 25 | 9 | 16 | 18 | 27 | 17 | 105 | 142 | 99 | 155 | 75 | 50 | 44 | 43 | 27 | 65 | 178 | 284 | 409 | 211 | 133 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:03PM1.29m | 00:01AM1.20m | 12:53PM1.33m | 1:00AM1.09m | 1:52PM1.36m | 2:14AM1.00m | 2:58PM1.42m | 3:39AM0.96m | 4:06PM1.49m | 4:58AM0.98m | 5:10PM1.58m | 6:05AM1.04m | 6:08PM1.67m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:06PM0.41m | 6:18AM0.25m | 7:13PM0.42m | 7:07AM0.31m | 8:30PM0.41m | 8:07AM0.36m | 9:51PM0.35m | 9:16AM0.38m | 11:05PM0.25m | 10:26AM0.37m | 00:08AM0.14m | 11:31AM0.33m | 1:02AM0.05m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | |  | | | |  | |  | | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — |
 | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 13 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SSW 5 | E 6 | E 10 | E 9 | SSW 5 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | E 8 | ENE 8 | SSE 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 25 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 27 | 7 | 105 | 142 | 99 | 155 | 74 | 47 | 29 | 39 | 18 | 65 | 11 | 72 | 409 | 211 | 133 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 11 | E 13 | SSW 5 | S 10 | E 10 | E 12 | NNE 3 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | ENE 10 | S 7 | S 9 | S 13 | SSW 5 |
| kJ | 10 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 25 | 4 | 25 | 75 | 50 | 44 | 43 | 27 | 13 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | SSE 10 | SSE 13 | S 10 | S 11 | E 10 | SSE 13 | NE 8 | SSE 10 | NE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 9 | E 8 | ENE 7 | S 7 | S 6 | E 14 | S 10 | S 13 | — | S 12 |
| kJ | 3 | 9 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 3 | 38 | 10 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 3 | — | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 5 | — | SW 5 | SW 4 | W 3 | W 3 | WSW 3 | — | N 4 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NE 4 | NE 8 | NE 7 | W 3 | WSW 4 | NW 3 |
| kJ | 16 | — | 30 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 3 | — | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 178 | 284 | 8 | 7 | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 107 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 99 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 10 | 30 | 60 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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