Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 27 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.7° C
0.2° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 12s period, S swell with 1,652 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Mon 27th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 9s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 30th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 11s
Most Powerful 1AM (Fri 31st Jul)8ft (2.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Manly's got cookin' over the next couple of weeks. The water's sittin' at 63.9°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We're in for a bit of a flat spell to start. There's nothing really worth paddling out for from Monday the 27th right through to Wednesday the 29th. Just small, weak, and messy – a few knee-high dribbles with onshore wind messing things up. You're better off waiting.

The first real glimmer of hope hits us on Thursday morning, the 30th of July. The Manly point comes alive with a solid 8.2ft southerly swell. The period is a clean 10 seconds, and with a light offshore breeze out of the southwest, it's gonna be glassy and lined up. The combined swells pushing up to 2153 (moderate wave energy) – that's proper grunt. But look, with that size, this one's for the experienced crew only. Beginners, sit this one out on the sand. The crowds are likely to be an issue here, it's Manly after all.

Friday the 31st looks decent too – that morning session is the standout with a 7.5ft swell, still from the south, period bumping up to 11 seconds, and that same glassy southwest offshore wind. This is the best of the week for advanced surfers wanting clean, powerful lines with 1194 (moderate wave energy). By the afternoon, the wind swings cross-off and it loses a bit of its sparkle.

Saturday the 1st of August holds some fun offerings – 5.2ft from the SSE with a moderate offshore breeze in the morning, so it's still clean. After that, the swell fades and the winds get a bit funky. There’s a long gap of small, poor surf until we get another clean window on Tuesday the 4th of August with the morning offshore wind, but the 3.9ft swell is nothing to write home about.

The next potential standout appears on Sunday morning the 9th of August. We get 5.9ft of easterly windswell and a gentle offshore from the SSW, making for some clean, long walls on the Manly point. It should be a fun, user-friendly size for a broader range of surfers. After that, the next few days look choppy and disorganised, with onshore winds and building swell that’s just not clean.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Mon morning, fresh winds from the WSW by Wed afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2
2
3
1
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
S
9
1
S
8
0.8
S
8
0.5
S
8
0.4
S
9
0.3
S
9
0.2
S
17
0.1
S
15
0.3
NE
6
2.5
S
10
2.3
S
10
2.5
S
12
2.3
S
11
2.1
S
10
1.8
S
10
1.6
SSE
10
1.6
SSE
10
1.4
SSE
10
1.2
SSE
10
1.1
SSE
12
1
SSE
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
230
143
80
28
24
13
22
5
7
1347
1004
1652
1190
890
627
523
445
363
253
330
280
Wind (km/h)
10
W
10
NE
10
NNW
15
WNW
5
NNE
15
WNW
25
W
30
WSW
25
WSW
15
SW
15
SSE
15
W
15
SW
15
SSE
15
SW
20
SSW
15
S
10
W
5
NW
25
NE
10
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
on
cross
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
cross
High Tide
6:53PM1.48m
7:35AM0.99m
7:32PM1.53m
8:12AM1.04m
8:09PM1.56m
8:48AM1.08m
8:44PM1.56m
9:24AM1.13m
9:18PM1.54m
10:00AM1.17m
9:54PM1.49m
10:38AM1.21m
10:31PM1.41m
Low Tide
12:15PM0.43m
1:45AM0.24m
12:58PM0.39m
2:20AM0.19m
1:38PM0.36m
2:54AM0.16m
2:18PM0.34m
3:26AM0.14m
2:57PM0.33m
3:57AM0.13m
3:38PM0.34m
4:28AM0.13m
4:22PM0.36m
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:50
6:50
6:50
6:48
6:48
6:47
6:47
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:10
5:12
5:12
5:13
5:14
5:14
5:15
 mm
1
Temp °C
15
15
15
19
20
14
16
16
10
13
14
13
14
14
14
14
15
14
15
16
15
Feels °C
13
13
13
15
17
10
10
8
2
8
9
9
10
9
11
11
12
13
12
12
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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