Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 14 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
16.5° C
1.5° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 11s period, S swell with 282 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.1m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sat 15th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 9s
Best Surf 4AM (Sat 15th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 9s
Most Powerful10PM (Sun 16th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright mates, Rusty here. Let's break down the next couple of weeks.

The start of this run is a right-off. From Friday the 14th through to the 21st, it's a week of ugly, onshore conditions with weak, short-period swell. There are a few clean reprieves, like early Saturday the 15th, but the surf is just not there. It's a real dry spell, so don't bother waxing up for a while.

The entire picture changes in the second week. The one to get amped on is Tuesday the 25th. We're looking at a 12ft south swell with an 11-second period, and the energy is massive – 5029, which is as strong as it gets. It's supposed to be glassy with a light north wind, which is perfect for our south-facing point at Manly. This is heavy, serious surf – for experts only, no question. This is the standout of the whole window.

A couple of days before, on the 23rd, there's a bit of a pulse with 6ft to 7ft of south swell, but the conditions are iffy and the tide looks like it could spoil the party. Not a guarantee.

After that big Tuesday, it backs down. Wednesday the 26th is still big at 8ft, but the north-east wind will chop it up. Thursday the 27th has a late arvo window with good offshore west-south-west wind and 5ft of south-south-east swell – that's a clean, solid option. Friday the 28th morning is also looking glassy with 5ft of south-east swell.

Also, the water is about 3°F colder than normal for this time of year, so bring the extra rubber.

So, my advice: sit tight, save your energy for the 25th, and keep the 27th and 28th on the radar for some cleaner waves.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri night, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
S
7
1.2
S
9
1.5
S
8
1.3
S
7
1.6
SE
6
1.1
SE
6
0.9
S
11
1.1
ESE
7
1.1
ESE
7
1.1
SE
7
0.6
S
11
1
ESE
6
0.6
ESE
12
1
ESE
7
1.1
ESE
6
1.2
ESE
7
0.9
ESE
7
0.8
ESE
7
1.2
ENE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
103
230
273
152
207
88
182
113
110
100
88
80
111
91
96
132
79
58
113
Wind (km/h)
5
SSE
10
S
20
SSE
15
SSW
20
SE
20
SSE
10
SE
10
SE
15
ESE
15
SE
10
SE
10
SE
5
NW
0
WSW
10
ENE
5
NW
5
N
20
NE
10
NW
Wind State
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
glassy
glassy
on
cross
cross-on
on
cross
High Tide
10:00AM1.32m
10:04PM1.51m
10:41AM1.34m
10:46PM1.36m
11:23AM1.34m
11:30PM1.20m
12:07PM1.32m
00:16AM1.05m
12:55PM1.29m
1:12AM0.93m
1:51PM1.26m
2:24AM0.86m
Low Tide
3:52AM0.02m
3:52PM0.22m
4:28AM0.10m
4:41PM0.28m
5:03AM0.19m
5:33PM0.35m
5:38AM0.29m
6:29PM0.42m
6:14AM0.38m
7:34PM0.47m
6:57AM0.47m
8:49PM0.50m
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:33
6:33
6:31
6:31
6:30
6:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:25
5:27
5:28
 mm
1
2
1
4
1
1
4
4
1
1
Temp °C
16
15
16
15
15
15
16
14
15
16
16
15
15
16
16
16
17
17
17
Feels °C
15
13
12
11
11
10
13
12
12
13
13
13
14
14
14
15
14
14
14
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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