Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, SE swell with 2,416 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let's get into this, folks. Rusty here, looking at the charts for the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, but we've got a real gem hiding at the end if you're patient.
The pattern starts off with some sizable, but messy swell. We've got a solid 12 ft (2909 combined energy) SSE swell rolling in on Tuesday the 7th, but that strong S wind at 19 mph is going to put a chop on it, and it's a cross-off wind for Manly. Not the cleanest, but there's power there for the brave. Wednesday the 8th sees the swell drop a little to 8 ft SE, but the wind eases, making it a bit more manageable. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is about average for this time of year.
The real standout, and the one I'm telling you to circle on your calendar, is Thursday morning, the 16th of July. Manly is looking absolutely firing. We've got a 8 ft S swell with a very long 15-second period – that's pure groundswell energy (2412 combined energy). The wind is a light offshore from the SW. That's the recipe for clean, lined-up, powerful waves. This is serious swell, over 8 ft, so it's for experienced surfers only, but it will be a proper session. The morning is the pick, with the afternoon still holding 7 ft and clean conditions.
Before that, there are other options. Friday the 10th offers a drop in size to 5 ft SE with light WSW winds, clean and manageable for the intermediates. And Wednesday morning the 15th, the swell bumps back up to 5 ft S with an 11-second period and a light offshore. That’s a good, fun day.
But after that 16th, the surf drops away fast. The 17th has some size but turns onshore in the arvo, and the 18th onward is pretty bleak. There’s a dry spell from Sunday the 19th through to Tuesday the 22nd, with nothing but small, weak, or wind-blown slop. The 22nd sees a new pulse of 7 ft SSE swell, but the period is short (9 seconds) and the winds are moderate, so it'll be a bit of a washing machine. Overall, the first 10 days have some windows, but that 16th is the one you wait for.
Stay patient, and keep an eye on that morning of the 16th.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tue 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SW 6 | SW 6 | S 6 | S 9 | SSW 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2904 | 2297 | 1507 | 1116 | 712 | 695 | 589 | 430 | 328 | 441 | 307 | 172 | 153 | 161 | 86 | 56 | 62 | 116 | 28 | 60 | 184 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 1:22AM1.17m | 2:29PM1.31m | 2:29AM1.09m | 3:26PM1.40m | 3:44AM1.04m | 4:25PM1.50m | 4:59AM1.03m | 5:23PM1.60m | 6:08AM1.05m | 6:19PM1.70m | 7:10AM1.08m | 7:13PM1.78m | 8:05AM1.12m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:32PM0.50m | 7:48AM0.25m | 8:46PM0.46m | 8:40AM0.27m | 10:01PM0.38m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:12PM0.27m | 10:39AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.15m | 11:39AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.05m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:07AM-0.03m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 |
 | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | 5:02 |
mm | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 11 | 15 |
Feels °C | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | SE 11 | SE 10 | ESE 13 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SSW 6 | S 6 | S 9 | SSW 10 |
| kJ | 5 | 2297 | 1507 | 462 | 712 | 695 | 589 | 430 | 328 | 441 | 307 | 172 | 136 | 161 | 86 | 56 | 28 | 47 | 28 | 60 | 184 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ESE 14 | S 16 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 16 | SE 12 | S 21 | ESE 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | S 10 | ESE 8 | S 12 | SE 8 | E 7 |
| kJ | — | — | 303 | 5 | 366 | 186 | 39 | 5 | 96 | 9 | 62 | 172 | 153 | 45 | 25 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 16 | — | S 20 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 19 | S 14 | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | SE 7 | SSW 10 | ESE 8 | S 18 | E 10 |
| kJ | — | — | 5 | — | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | — | — | SSE 10 | — | — | — | — | — | S 3 | — | WNW 3 | — | NW 3 | WSW 4 | SW 5 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 5 | SSW 6 |
| kJ | 2904 | — | — | 1116 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 22 | 52 | 62 | 116 | 36 | 33 | 41 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 113 | 105 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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