Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 06 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.8°C
0.1° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,402 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sun 6th Sep)4ft (1.2m) 7s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 10th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 10th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on offer for Manly over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, but there are a couple of windows that’ll get your heart pumping.

We’re starting off slow, real slow. The first few days are a write-off for anything decent. Sunday the 6th has some waist-high swell at 4 ft from the SSW, but that 16 mph southwesterly is making a mess of it. The combined energy is weak at 163, so it’s a big “no thanks.” Monday the 7th morning is a tease: the swell bumps up to 5 ft from the south, but the real story is that glassy, dead-calm wind. It’s gonna be clean, but the energy is still moderate (297), and the 8-second period means it’s pretty weak and wind-affected quickly. Not a standout, just a chance to get wet.

Now, the first real standout comes on Tuesday the 8th. The morning session at Manly is the pick of the whole forecast. We’ve got a solid 8 ft south swell rolling in, with a moderate 9-second period. The combined energy is pumping at 1287 – that’s strong wave energy. But the real kicker is the 12 mph southerly wind blowing cross-offshore, keeping the faces clean. This is expert territory, though; 8 ft is too big for beginners. The crowd factor is “often” here, so expect a crew out, but for the experienced surfer, this is the one to circle.

After that, it gets a bit chaotic. Wednesday the 9th has a 5 ft swell with a clean 16 mph offshore, but the energy drops right back to 351. Thursday the 10th sees another spike to 10 ft, with a 10-second period and massive energy (1739), but the wind is cross-offshore, not true offshore. It’s going to be a beast of a paddle and only for the experts again.

Friday the 11th morning is a nice little gem. The swell settles to 7 ft from the south, 10-second period, and the combined energy is a solid 945. The wind is a light 6 mph offshore from the SW, promising clean, lined-up waves. This is a much more manageable size for a wider range of surfers, and the conditions are good. It’s not the biggest, but it’s the best balance of size and quality.

Saturday the 12th morning is pure magic for the glassy conditions. The swell is 7 ft, 10-second period, with 990 energy, and the wind is dead flat – zero mph. Absolutely glassy. This is a surfer’s dream for clean, powerful lines. Again, it’s a big size, so not for the groms, but if you can handle it, this is an epic session.

The second week drops off a cliff. From Sunday the 13th onward, the swell fades and the wind turns onshore or cross-shore. There’s a pulse of 7 ft on Tuesday the 15th, but the combined energy is high (1734), and the wind is cross-shore, making it choppy. By the time we hit the 17th and beyond, it’s all small, weak, and messy. The run from the 13th to the 21st is a long stretch of poor conditions, with energy dropping into the double digits (95 on the 19th). The water temp is about normal for this time of year at 64°.

So, to sum it up: Tuesday the 8th morning is the big, powerful standout for experts, and Friday the 11th morning and Saturday the 12th morning are the best all-rounders for clean, quality surf. The rest is a waiting game. Stay frothing.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the S by Mon night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Wed morning, calm by Thu night).

Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
2
1
0
0
2
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
3
2
0
2
2
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SSW
7
1.2
S
8
2.3
S
10
1.5
S
8
1.5
SSE
9
3
S
8
2.5
S
9
2.4
SSE
9
1.8
SSE
9
1.5
SSE
9
2.5
S
8
3.5
S
10
3
S
10
2.5
S
10
2.5
S
11
2.1
S
10
2
S
10
1.9
S
10
2.2
S
10
1.8
S
10
1.6
S
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
132
160
956
287
315
1004
1279
979
589
343
717
2402
1651
1380
1547
926
824
789
864
618
643
Wind (km/h)
25
SW
25
S
10
SSW
5
N
20
E
35
S
20
S
10
SE
10
NW
25
SSW
35
S
25
S
20
SSW
15
SE
10
WNW
10
SW
15
ESE
10
SSW
0
SSW
15
ENE
10
NNW
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
cross-on
off
glassy
cross-on
cross
High Tide
3:54PM1.47m
5:00AM1.00m
5:00PM1.54m
5:57AM1.09m
5:56PM1.60m
6:46AM1.19m
6:47PM1.63m
7:28AM1.28m
7:32PM1.62m
8:08AM1.36m
8:15PM1.56m
8:46AM1.41m
8:56PM1.47m
Low Tide
10:57PM0.22m
10:24AM0.42m
11:54PM0.14m
11:29AM0.34m
00:42AM0.07m
12:24PM0.27m
1:23AM0.03m
1:15PM0.20m
2:01AM0.03m
2:02PM0.17m
2:36AM0.06m
2:48PM0.16m
3:09AM0.12m
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:07
6:05
6:05
6:03
6:01
6:00
5:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:43
 mm
1
1
Temp °C
19
18
16
18
17
16
15
15
14
16
15
15
13
13
13
17
16
15
16
15
14
Feels °C
15
13
13
15
14
10
10
13
12
10
7
8
8
9
11
14
12
12
13
12
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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