Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 08 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
16.9° C
1.1° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NE swell with 1,318 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.6m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Thu 13th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 8s
Best Surf 4PM (Thu 13th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 11s
Most Powerful 7AM (Mon 10th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s get to it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s break it down.

The first few days are going to be a write-off, I’m not gonna lie to you. We’ve got some cross-onshore winds and messy, choppy conditions through the weekend and into Monday. The swell is small and weak, with combined energy around 87 to 232 – just not enough push to get you excited. Water temp is sitting at 62°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want the hood if you’re getting in.

We’ve got a real lull from now until Thursday the 13th. That’s a long stretch with nothing worthwhile. But hold on, because Thursday morning is where it starts to turn.

Manly (Sydney) – On Thursday the 13th, we finally see some life. A 7ft SSW swell rolls in with a period of 8 seconds. The wind is offshore from the SW at 12 mph, and it’s looking clean. The combined energy jumps right up to 953 – that’s a solid, moderate pulse. By the afternoon, the wind drops right out to a slight air from the SSE, and the swell holds at 7ft, but the period stretches to 11 seconds. This is the standout of the whole run. It’s going to be proper. The water is still a touch cold, but you won’t care.

Friday the 14th morning still has some juice – 5ft of S swell at 11 seconds, with a cross-offshore WSW wind. It’s good, but not quite as strong as Thursday. The afternoon gets a bit onshore from the east, so get your session in early.

After that, we drop back into mediocrity. The weekend and early next week are small, with wave heights around 3ft to 4ft, and the winds are mostly cross or onshore. It’s not going to be great. The swell energy is weak to moderate, and a lot of it is coming from the south with short periods – not ideal for this spot.

Looking further out, there’s a glimmer on Sunday the 23rd. The morning shows a 5ft ENE swell with an 11-second period, and it’s glassy with a light WSW wind. Combined energy is up at 593, and it could be a decent one. But it’s over a week away, so don’t book your flights just yet. The afternoon gets onshore again, so again, morning is the go.

So, to sum it up: Thursday the 13th is your day. Get on it. The rest is either flat, small, or messy. Keep an eye on that Sunday the 23rd forecast, but treat it as a promising maybe.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sat night, strong winds from the NNE by Sun night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Wed night, calm by Fri morning).

Sat
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0
2
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
7
0.7
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
9
1.1
ENE
9
2.5
NE
6
2.2
ENE
9
1.8
NE
9
1.1
NE
9
0.8
ENE
9
0.7
ENE
9
1
S
12
0.8
S
8
0.7
S
9
0.5
ENE
10
2.1
SSW
8
2.1
S
11
1.3
S
9
1.4
S
11
1.2
S
10
1.1
S
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
39
67
156
203
496
749
549
198
106
71
284
92
87
52
575
992
257
442
288
152
Wind (km/h)
15
ENE
10
NW
15
N
20
N
40
NNE
35
NW
40
NW
30
WNW
20
WNW
25
W
15
NNW
30
NW
25
W
30
WSW
20
SW
5
SSE
20
W
15
WSW
15
E
5
SW
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
High Tide
4:06PM1.49m
4:58AM0.98m
5:10PM1.58m
6:05AM1.04m
6:08PM1.67m
7:01AM1.10m
7:01PM1.74m
7:50AM1.17m
7:51PM1.76m
8:35AM1.24m
8:37PM1.72m
9:18AM1.29m
9:21PM1.64m
Low Tide
11:05PM0.25m
10:26AM0.37m
00:08AM0.14m
11:31AM0.33m
1:02AM0.05m
12:29PM0.27m
1:50AM-0.01m
1:23PM0.22m
2:34AM-0.04m
2:14PM0.19m
3:14AM-0.02m
3:03PM0.19m
3:52AM0.02m
part cloud
clear
cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:39
6:39
6:37
6:37
6:35
6:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:19
5:20
5:21
5:21
5:22
5:22
5:22
 mm
3
2
3
Temp °C
15
15
17
19
16
15
17
16
18
17
14
20
18
13
16
17
12
17
16
16
Feels °C
12
12
13
14
9
6
8
10
12
11
10
13
12
5
12
14
7
14
11
15
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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