Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 08 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
16.9° C
1.1° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 12s period, S swell with 1,926 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 8 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sat 8th Aug)2.5ft (0.7m) 8s
Best Surf 1PM (Thu 13th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 10s
Most Powerful 4PM (Thu 13th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Manly over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a pretty quiet start. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th aren’t offering much to write home about. The swell is small and the wind is messy, so don’t expect anything worth paddling out for. Monday the 10th looks downright ugly with a strong cross-shore breeze and lumpy conditions – that’s a kite surfer’s day, not a paddle surfer’s.

Things start to get interesting around Thursday the 13th. The morning brings a clean 6 ft swell from the SSW with a moderate offshore breeze from the WSW. That’s a solid improvement, and the water is a bit colder than normal at 62°, but that’s a couple of degrees off the average, so it’s notable. The real standout, though, is Thursday afternoon. The swell jumps to 8 ft from the S, with a 12-second period and a light offshore breeze. The combined wave energy is massive at 1946, and it should be absolutely pumping. This is the best on offer in the whole window – clean, powerful, and a proper groundswell. That height is getting into expert-only territory, but if you’ve got the skill, Thursday afternoon is the session.

Friday the 14th morning is still decent with a clean 5 ft from the S, but the wind turns onshore later in the day. Saturday the 15th morning has a tiny 2 ft swell but it’s a 23-second period groundswell, which is very long and clean. That’s a weird one – it’ll be glassy and perfect for a point break, but at a beach break like Manly, that long period can make waves break too straight. Worth a look for the novelty, but it’s a specialty wave.

After that, we hit another quiet stretch. From Sunday the 16th through to the end of the window, it’s mostly small, messy, or onshore. There’s a brief moment on Wednesday the 20th and Friday the 22nd mornings with clean, glassy conditions, but the swell is tiny. Those are better for a longboard cruise than any real power.

Overall, if you’re chasing the best, Thursday the 13th afternoon is the clear winner. The rest of the 16 days have a lot of gaps where you’ll be sitting on the beach. The water is a bit chillier than average for this time of year, so bring a thicker suit.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Sat morning, strong winds from the NW by Mon afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Wed morning, light winds from the SSE by Thu afternoon).

Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
1
2
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
S
8
0.6
S
7
0.7
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
9
1.1
ENE
9
2.4
NE
7
2.1
ENE
9
1.6
NE
9
1.1
NE
9
0.8
ENE
9
0.7
ENE
9
0.6
S
12
0.6
ENE
9
0.6
ENE
10
0.5
ENE
10
1.9
SSW
8
2.5
S
12
1.8
S
10
1.5
S
10
1.2
S
9
1
S
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
58
39
67
156
203
540
723
456
194
103
70
99
64
74
54
477
1926
605
434
234
142
Wind (km/h)
10
W
15
ENE
10
NNW
15
N
15
N
30
NNE
35
NW
40
NW
30
WNW
15
WNW
25
WNW
15
NNW
30
NW
35
W
30
W
25
WSW
10
SSE
20
W
10
W
15
E
10
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
High Tide
4:06PM1.49m
4:58AM0.98m
5:10PM1.58m
6:05AM1.04m
6:08PM1.67m
7:01AM1.10m
7:01PM1.74m
7:50AM1.17m
7:51PM1.76m
8:35AM1.24m
8:37PM1.72m
9:18AM1.29m
9:21PM1.64m
Low Tide
11:05PM0.25m
10:26AM0.37m
00:08AM0.14m
11:31AM0.33m
1:02AM0.05m
12:29PM0.27m
1:50AM-0.01m
1:23PM0.22m
2:34AM-0.04m
2:14PM0.19m
3:14AM-0.02m
3:03PM0.19m
3:52AM0.02m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
6:39
6:39
6:37
6:37
6:35
6:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:19
5:20
5:21
5:21
5:22
5:22
5:22
 mm
2
3
Temp °C
15
15
14
18
17
17
16
15
16
19
18
13
18
14
13
15
15
11
16
16
15
Feels °C
13
12
11
14
13
12
7
6
9
15
12
9
11
5
5
10
11
5
13
12
14
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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