Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with 3,153 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here, let’s have a look at what’s coming our way over the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag on the cards. The next few days actually look pretty decent, with solid, clean surf, but then we hit a long, flat lull before a late pulse tries to show up. So, make the most of the early action.
Thursday morning (July 9th) starts us off with Manly. There’s a clean 6ft swell rolling in from the SE with a period of 10 seconds – that's a nice, solid groundswell with plenty of push. The wind is light offshore from the SSW, so expect clean, lined-up waves. The combined swell energy is moderate at 832, so there's some real grunt in the water. This carries through Thursday afternoon too, with a cross-off breeze keeping things tidy. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing unusual there.
Friday (July 10th) keeps the quality up. Morning sees another 6ft SE swell with offshore wind. The real standout is Friday afternoon: the wind goes glassy from the ESE, and we’ve got a clean 6ft SE swell. That’s about as good as it gets for a point break like Manly – smooth, lined-up waves. For a beginner-friendly spot, this is the best on offer. The energy is still moderate at 593.
Then, unfortunately, things drop right off. Saturday (July 11th) sees the swell dip to 3ft, and the period drops a bit. The wind turns onshore in the afternoon, making it choppy. By Sunday (July 12th) , the swell is tiny, and while the wind is clean, there’s just no power – the energy is down to a weak 93. This flat spell stretches right through the middle of the week.
We’ve got a long gap of several days with practically no surf. The swell stays below 3ft, and the energy readings are in the weak two-digit range until we get to Wednesday, July 22nd – that’s over a week of flat, boring surf.
There is a flicker of hope on Thursday, July 24th. A new 3ft swell from the SSW with a short 6-second period shows up, and the wind is offshore. The energy is a weak 137, so it’s not a standout, but at least it’s surfable after the drought. However, that short period will mean crumbly, less powerful waves.
The only real standouts are Thursday and Friday. If you can get out there, do it. Later calls are just too unreliable and weak to get excited about.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wed 15 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 7 | S 12 | S 9 | S 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 19 | SSW 10 | S 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 754 | 640 | 602 | 492 | 554 | 580 | 365 | 210 | 170 | 143 | 78 | 38 | 36 | 71 | 142 | 51 | 48 | 78 | 64 | 125 | 892 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 2:29AM1.09m | 3:26PM1.40m | 3:44AM1.04m | 4:25PM1.50m | 4:59AM1.03m | 5:23PM1.60m | 6:08AM1.05m | 6:19PM1.70m | 7:10AM1.08m | 7:13PM1.78m | 8:05AM1.12m | 8:05PM1.82m | 8:57AM1.15m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:40AM0.27m | 10:01PM0.38m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:12PM0.27m | 10:39AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.15m | 11:39AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.05m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:07AM-0.03m | 1:31PM0.24m | 2:57AM-0.07m | 2:24PM0.23m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |  | | | |
 | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — |
 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 |
mm | 5 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 13 | 18 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 7 | S 8 | S 9 | S 7 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 8 | SSW 10 | S 18 |
| kJ | 754 | 640 | 602 | 492 | 554 | 580 | 365 | 194 | 132 | 143 | 78 | 38 | 36 | 71 | 142 | 51 | 48 | 78 | 24 | 125 | 27 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SE 14 | S 19 | S 21 | ESE 15 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | ESE 9 | S 12 | — | S 11 | — | S 19 | S 19 | S 16 | — |
| kJ | 313 | 186 | 39 | 89 | 7 | 9 | 42 | 210 | 170 | 33 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 71 | — | 9 | — | 7 | 64 | 19 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | — | S 14 | S 16 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | N 4 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | E 8 | — | E 10 | S 12 | E 10 | — |
| kJ | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | — | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 2 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | WNW 4 | NW 3 | — | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | — | SW 4 | SSW 6 | S 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 13 | 20 | 21 | 11 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 15 | 41 | 892 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 85 | 419 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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