Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.9° C
0.1° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period, S swell with 1,041 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.4m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Wed 15th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 6s
Best Surf10AM (Wed 15th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 10s
Most Powerful10AM (Wed 15th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. Rusty here, with the local scoop for Manly.

Right now, the ocean is flat. Like, lake-flat. We’re looking at a few days of nothing doing until the real action cranks up. The first bit of hope comes on Wednesday morning, the 15th of July. That’s the standout.

We’ve got a solid 8ft S swell rolling in, and with a 10-second period, it’s got some proper grunt to it. The kicker is a light offshore wind from the SW, keeping it clean. The combined energy is pumping hard at 1771, so there’s serious power in the water. This is a point break, so it will handle that size well. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, but at this size, it’s more for the confident surfer.

Thursday morning, the 16th, still has some good juice. 7ft from the SSW with a moderate offshore wind, so it’ll be a bit bumpy but still clean. The swell period drops to 8 seconds, which is a bit shorter, so the waves will be a bit more sectiony. The energy is still strong at 1152.

After that, the swell starts to fade. Friday sees the size drop to 3ft, and the wind goes cross-offshore, so it’s messy. Not worth paddling for. The weekend through to the following Wednesday is mostly small and cross-shore, so it’s blown out and not great. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is pretty average for this time of year.

The second week is a bit of a write-off. There are a few pulses of swell from the E, but the winds are mostly onshore or cross-shore. The wave heights barely crack 5ft, and the energy is low. The period gets long again, up to 12-13 seconds, which is great for a point break, but the wind just won’t cooperate. The 27th of July has a tiny 3ft E swell with a 13-second period and a light offshore, but it's just too small to get excited about.

So, bottom line: Wednesday morning, the 15th, is the pick. Get out there early for the best of it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the S by Thu morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri afternoon, min 15°C on Thu afternoon). Mainly fresh winds.

Mon
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
1
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSW
11
0.2
S
11
0.1
S
20
0.2
S
12
0.3
S
10
2.4
S
10
2.3
S
10
1.5
S
8
2.2
S
8
1.8
S
8
1.6
S
7
0.9
S
6
0.9
S
6
0.8
S
10
1.1
ESE
7
1.2
E
7
1.4
E
8
1.5
E
9
1.5
E
9
1.6
E
9
1.5
E
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
25
9
8
11
19
1041
1039
295
655
391
247
63
60
125
132
152
253
356
380
449
405
Wind (km/h)
5
N
10
W
20
WNW
25
WSW
15
SW
15
SW
20
S
15
SW
25
SSW
30
S
15
S
15
S
15
SSE
10
SSE
15
SE
15
SE
15
SE
15
ESE
15
SE
10
SE
10
ESE
Wind State
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
7:13PM1.78m
8:05AM1.12m
8:05PM1.82m
8:57AM1.15m
8:55PM1.81m
9:46AM1.18m
9:43PM1.74m
10:35AM1.20m
10:31PM1.63m
11:23AM1.23m
11:18PM1.47m
12:11PM1.24m
00:05AM1.31m
Low Tide
2:07AM-0.03m
1:31PM0.24m
2:57AM-0.07m
2:24PM0.23m
3:44AM-0.07m
3:17PM0.24m
4:29AM-0.03m
4:10PM0.28m
5:12AM0.04m
5:04PM0.33m
5:53AM0.13m
6:02PM0.40m
6:33AM0.22m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:58
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:04
5:04
5:05
5:06
5:06
 mm
5
2
2
3
1
Temp °C
19
13
19
19
15
15
15
15
15
16
16
16
17
17
16
16
16
15
16
17
16
Feels °C
17
9
14
13
11
11
11
12
9
11
12
13
14
14
12
13
12
12
13
15
15
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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