Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what Manly’s got cookin’ over the next couple of weeks.

Straight off the bat, we’ve got some swell, so no waiting around. The water temp is about 66°F, which is pretty standard for the season – nothing strange.

Saturday, July 4th – The morning is the move. We’ve got about 5ft of swell from the south, with a 12-second period – that’s real groundswell. Wind is light, 6 mph from the west, blowing cross-offshore, so the waves will be clean. The combined energy is 546, which is moderate but workable. By afternoon the swell drops and the wind turns onshore, so get in early.

Sunday, July 5th – The swell cranks up to 12ft from the south. That’s a lot of water. Period is short at 11 seconds, and the energy is a hefty 2517. This is for experts only – over 8ft is serious business. The wind is a strong 19 mph from the SSW, blowing cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean but intimidating. Not one for the faint-hearted.

Monday, July 6th – Swell sticks around at about 8ft from the SSE, period is short at 10 seconds. Wind is moderate from the SSE at 16 mph, cross-offshore. Energy is still strong at 1281. It’s big and a bit raw, but if you’ve got the nerve, there’ll be waves.

Tuesday 7th & Wednesday 8th July – These mornings look good. Tuesday morning has 8ft SSE swell with a true offshore wind from the SSW at 16 mph – that’s clean and groomed. Energy is 1476. Wednesday morning is similar: 10ft from the SSE, 13 mph offshore from the SW, energy at 1610. Both are described as very good conditions. The periods are around 10 seconds, so not super long, but that offshore wind will sort it out.

Friday, July 10th – The afternoon is a sleeper hit. Swell is 7ft from the SSE, but the wind goes glassy – only 3 mph from the ESE. The energy is moderate at 1068, but a flat-calm surface is a rare treat. Perfect for a cleaner, easier paddle.

The surf then goes quiet from the 11th to the 13th, with swell dropping under 5ft and energy below 300. It’s a lull, but forecasts can change.

Tuesday, July 14th – The ocean roars back. Afternoon brings a solid 13ft pulse from the south at 10 seconds, with a 19 mph offshore wind from the SW. Energy is 3546. That’s big, powerful, and clean, but strictly for experts. The period is short for that size, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and lined up, but the offshore wind will help.

Weekend of 18th & 19th July – This is the highlight. Saturday afternoon sees 12ft from the SSE with an 11-second period, and energy at 6166 – that’s a monster. Sunday morning is the king: 12ft from the south at 10 seconds, with a gentle 9 mph offshore from the SW. Energy is 3995, and it’s rated excellent for experienced surfers. That light offshore breeze will make for glassy, hollow, powerful waves. If you can handle it, this is the best session of the forecast. Remember, long-period swells like this can wall up at a point break, but the quality is undeniable.

Bottom line: Friday 10th afternoon for the glassy, manageable fun, and Sunday 19th morning for the heavy, clean, expert-grade stuff.

Rusty.

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