Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 06 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.1° C
0.9° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period, SW swell with 422 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Thu 6th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 8s
Best Surf10AM (Thu 13th Aug)6ft (1.8m) 8s
Most Powerful 7AM (Thu 13th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, surfers, Rusty here, checking in with the local outlook for Manly.

First up, it’s gonna be a real slow start. For the first several days, we’re looking at a pretty flat spell with nothing worth paddling out for. The ocean is just not giving us much to work with through to the middle of next week. You’ll be waiting until Thursday the 13th of August before the energy levels start to build into something we can actually ride.

Let’s get into it.

That first real glimmer of hope comes on the morning of Thursday the 13th. A clean, moderate offshore from the southwest will groom a 6ft swell coming from the southwest, with moderate combined energy (400). The conditions will be good, but it's a short period swell at 8 seconds, so don’t expect much grunt. This one is for the experienced crew – anything over 5ft is pushing it for beginners. The crowd situation is likely to be an issue though, as Manly is often busy.

The standout session, and the best on offer, is hands down the morning of Friday the 14th of August. We’ve got a solid 10ft south swell rolling in, with a very strong combined wave energy (2873). The wind will be a light cross-off from the WNW, keeping the faces clean. This is big, powerful groundswell with a 10-second period, so only experienced surfers should even think about it. The water temperature is sitting at a normal 63°, which is about what you’d expect for this time of year.

Saturday the 15th keeps the momentum going. The morning sees a 5ft SSE swell, but it’s a bit messy with a cross-off wind. The afternoon, however, is a beauty: a gentle offshore from the WSW cleans up a 6ft SSE swell, making for a solid afternoon session with moderate energy (484). Good conditions.

After that peak, the surf settles down for the second week. The morning of Monday the 17th offers a small, clean 4ft SSE swell with a gentle offshore, but the period is short at 7 seconds. It’s ridable, but nothing to get excited about. Beyond that, the forecast is a lot of small, weak surf with poor conditions and onshore winds right through to the end of the outlook on the 21st. There’s nothing else that really stands out as a goer.

So to wrap it up: don’t bother this week. Wait for the windows on Thursday the 13th, and definitely get out there for the main event on the morning of Friday the 14th. Saturday afternoon is a good backup.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Sun night, light winds from the NW by Mon night).

Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
S
10
1
S
8
0.7
S
9
0.6
S
9
0.5
SSE
10
0.5
SSE
9
0.6
S
8
0.4
SSE
9
0.7
E
8
1.1
ENE
9
1.1
ENE
9
1.7
ENE
7
1.5
ENE
9
1.1
NE
9
0.9
SSW
7
1.2
S
10
1
S
8
1
S
11
0.9
S
10
0.7
S
9
0.7
ENE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
45
129
76
55
54
48
40
30
60
184
184
270
370
194
78
262
147
231
151
87
73
Wind (km/h)
15
W
15
NE
10
WNW
10
W
10
E
10
W
5
WNW
20
ENE
10
NNW
15
N
25
NNE
35
WNW
35
WNW
30
W
15
WNW
15
W
20
WNW
15
NW
30
NW
25
NW
25
W
Wind State
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
1:52PM1.36m
2:14AM1.00m
2:58PM1.42m
3:39AM0.96m
4:06PM1.49m
4:58AM0.98m
5:10PM1.58m
6:05AM1.04m
6:08PM1.67m
7:01AM1.10m
7:01PM1.74m
7:50AM1.17m
7:51PM1.76m
Low Tide
8:30PM0.41m
8:07AM0.36m
9:51PM0.35m
9:16AM0.38m
11:05PM0.25m
10:26AM0.37m
00:08AM0.14m
11:31AM0.33m
1:02AM0.05m
12:29PM0.27m
1:50AM-0.01m
1:23PM0.22m
2:34AM-0.04m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:41
6:41
6:39
6:39
6:37
6:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:17
5:19
5:19
5:20
5:21
5:21
5:22
 mm
1
6
Temp °C
15
15
13
16
15
14
15
15
14
18
15
15
14
15
13
19
20
15
13
14
13
Feels °C
13
11
11
14
11
12
12
11
11
13
9
11
5
7
7
14
15
11
6
9
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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