
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 10s period, S swell with 932 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.2m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
G’day, it’s Rusty. Looks like we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming up for Manly over the next couple of weeks. There’s some decent swell on the way, but a lot of it is going to be let down by the wind. The standout will be the first session, then a long quiet spell, before a few more hopeful windows pop up in the second week.
We kick off on Friday, the 10th of July, with the best surf of the whole period. Manly’s a point break, sheltered from the SE, and the swell is coming right from that direction at 6 feet, with a period of 10 seconds. The combined wave energy is solid at 573 (moderate). The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is about normal for the time of year. The wind is a light SW at 3 mph, pushing the surface to glassy. You’ll have clean, lined-up waves. Beginners will be fine at this size, but it’s still a good wave for everyone. Just be aware this spot can get crowded fairly often.
Friday afternoon holds similar conditions, still glassy, with the swell dropping slightly to 5 feet. It’s still a good time to be out.
Then we hit a long dry patch. From Saturday morning, the 11th, right through to the end of Tuesday, the 14th, the swell drops away to nothing useful – 3 feet down to 0.7 feet, with poor surf conditions all the way. The combined energy plummets to as low as 21 (weak). Not worth paddling out.
Wednesday, the 15th, sees a jump in size with a south swell at 6 feet, but the wind is a cross-offshore breeze at 16 mph, and the wave energy is 1057 (strong). The problem is the conditions are marginal, and the swell is too big for beginners at this point. The period is short at 9 seconds, so the waves will be a bit lumpy. It’s a big, messy day – more interesting for the kite surfers than paddle surfing.
Thursday, the 16th, gets a bit better. The morning has a 5 foot south swell with a gentle offshore wind from the WSW at 9 mph, making for clean waves. The combined energy is 494 (moderate). The period is 10 seconds, so there’s some shape. This is a solid option for experienced surfers, but it’s still a bit big for beginners.
The following days, from the 17th to the 19th, are mostly weak small swells and onshore winds, so nothing to get excited about. The 20th and 21st are similar – small, messy, and not worth the drive.
The final standout window is on Saturday, the 18th, in the morning. Manly picks up a 5 foot easterly swell with a period of 10 seconds, combined energy of 447 (moderate), and light offshore cross-off wind from the west at 6 mph. The waves will be clean and should offer some fun, lined-up sections. It’s a solid option for a late-winter paddle.
After that, the last few days of the forecast window are small and mostly cross-off or onshore, with nothing that really stands out. Some surfable waves on the 22nd and 23rd, but nothing to change your plans for.
So, overall – Friday the 10th is the absolute pick of the bunch. After that, Thursday the 16th morning and Saturday the 18th morning are your next best bets. The rest is a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the WNW by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 8 | S 11 | SSW 6 | S 11 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
530 | 365 | 213 | 217 | 180 | 86 | 50 | 16 | 27 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 26 | 57 | 735 | 932 | 408 | 307 | 185 | 124 | 110 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:25PM1.50m | 4:59AM1.03m | 5:23PM1.60m | 6:08AM1.05m | 6:19PM1.70m | 7:10AM1.08m | 7:13PM1.78m | 8:05AM1.12m | 8:05PM1.82m | 8:57AM1.15m | 8:55PM1.81m | 9:46AM1.18m | 9:43PM1.74m | 10:35AM1.20m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:12PM0.27m | 10:39AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.15m | 11:39AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.05m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:07AM-0.03m | 1:31PM0.24m | 2:57AM-0.07m | 2:24PM0.23m | 3:44AM-0.07m | 3:17PM0.24m | 4:29AM-0.03m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | |
5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | 5:04 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 18 | 13 | 18 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 11 | SSW 8 | S 7 | S 17 | S 11 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 |
530 | 365 | 172 | 132 | 180 | 86 | 50 | 8 | 16 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 57 | 562 | 682 | 408 | 307 | 185 | 124 | 110 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 21 | ESE 15 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 7 | SSW 4 | S 11 | S 10 | S 8 | — | — | — | S 15 | S 14 | S 12 | S 12 |
9 | 42 | 213 | 217 | 46 | 17 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 21 | — | — | — | 18 | 15 | 27 | 46 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 16 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | NE 5 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | S 11 | S 20 | S 12 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | E 11 | E 10 | — |
4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | W 4 | WSW 4 | W 4 | WNW 3 | NNW 2 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | SSW 6 | SSW 5 | S 9 | S 10 | — | WSW 2 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 8 | 23 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 44 | 735 | 932 | — | 1 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 24 | 3 | 61 | 3 | 3 | 280 | 280 | 65 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










