Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 09 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.8°C
0.2° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 2,025 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 10th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 10th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 4AM (Thu 10th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for the Manly stretch over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing to worry about there. The swell pattern is a bit of a mixed bag, with a few windows that are worth paddling out for, but plenty of flat spells in between.

The opening session on Thursday the 10th is a bit of a write-off – 8ft of south swell, but the wind is messy and it’s more of a struggle than a session. We’ve got a gap of poor surf through until the next worthwhile moment.

The real standout is Saturday the 12th morning. Manly has a clean 4ft south swell, with a 12-second period pushing some moderate energy (612). The wind is completely glassy – dead calm. That’s about as good as it gets for a clean, lined-up wave. The swell direction is slightly off the optimum, but when it’s glassy like that, you forgive a lot. Keep in mind it’s a point break that’s fairly consistent, and crowds are often around, so get out early.

After that, we hit a flat spell. From Sunday the 13th through to Friday the 18th, it’s mostly small, weak, and onshore. Not worth writing home about. The energy drops right off, with numbers like 261 and 88. You’ll be waiting.

Then, on Saturday the 19th morning, a big pulse arrives – 12ft of south swell, with a massive 2229 combined energy. That is a serious amount of water moving around. But it’s a bit of a tricky one – the period is 10 seconds, and the wind is only light cross-onshore, so it could be a bit lumpy. This is for experienced surfers only; that size and energy will be a handful, especially for a beach break. It’s not ideal for a paddle, but if you’re a strong swimmer and know the spot, it might be a wild one.

The following week has a couple of moments. Thursday the 24th morning sees a 7ft SSE swell with glassy conditions – very clean, but the period is a short 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit crumbly and less punchy. The energy is still moderate (772). It’s a decent option, but not as clean as the 12th.

Friday the 25th morning rounds things out with a 4ft south swell, 10-second period, and clean cross-off wind. It’s a good, solid end to the forecast window, but nothing to write home about.

Bottom line: The 12th morning is the pick of the bunch – glassy and clean. The 19th is for the brave only. The rest is a lot of waiting around.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Wed night, calm by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 22°C on Mon morning, min 15°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sat night, fresh winds from the SSE by Tue morning).

Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
S
10
2.4
S
9
2.4
S
9
2.2
S
10
1.8
S
10
1.6
S
10
1.4
S
10
1.2
S
12
1.1
S
11
1
S
10
0.9
S
10
0.9
S
11
0.8
S
12
0.7
S
11
0.6
S
11
1.1
NE
6
0.7
S
10
1.8
SSE
6
2.1
S
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2573
963
1005
967
605
470
392
411
284
194
177
184
174
119
82
77
89
252
742
Wind (km/h)
35
S
20
SSW
25
S
15
SW
15
SSW
15
SE
10
WSW
0
W
20
ENE
10
N
10
NE
25
NE
10
N
10
N
25
NE
10
NW
30
SSE
25
SSE
25
SSE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
off
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
7:28AM1.28m
7:32PM1.62m
8:08AM1.36m
8:15PM1.56m
8:46AM1.41m
8:56PM1.47m
9:22AM1.44m
9:37PM1.35m
9:59AM1.45m
10:17PM1.22m
10:36AM1.42m
10:59PM1.09m
Low Tide
1:23AM0.03m
1:15PM0.20m
2:01AM0.03m
2:02PM0.17m
2:36AM0.06m
2:48PM0.16m
3:09AM0.12m
3:33PM0.18m
3:41AM0.19m
4:18PM0.23m
4:13AM0.28m
5:04PM0.29m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:01
6:00
5:58
5:58
5:56
5:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:42
5:43
5:43
5:44
5:45
5:45
 mm
1
Temp °C
15
14
15
15
16
15
15
17
17
16
18
18
17
22
20
22
17
15
15
Feels °C
6
8
10
12
14
13
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
17
16
20
12
10
10
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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