Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what we've got for the Manly stretch over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow burner with a few bright spots if you can pick your days right.

The water is sitting around 64°, which is pretty average for this time of year, nothin' shocking there.

We’re looking at a bit of a flat start. The first few days are pretty grim. Wednesday the 2nd and Thursday the 3rd are a write-off. The swell is tiny at 2-2ft from the south and the wind has too much west in it to clean anything up, leaving the place feeling ordinary. You’d be better off waxing your board at home.

Friday morning the 4th sees a little bump up to 4ft south swell with light north-west winds. The combined energy hits 329 (moderate). It's surfable, but still feels ordinary, nothing to get excited about.

The weekend is frustrating. Saturday has a 2ft south swell, but strong onshore or cross winds just ruin the surface. Sunday morning the 6th looks cleaner with a 3ft south swell (318 energy) and a light offshore wind, which is the first time we see a gentle offshore and clean setup. It's surfable, but the waves are small. Sunday afternoon jumps to 5ft with a 12-second period, which sounds alright, but the east cross-onshore wind makes it choppy and messy.

Monday the 7th is messy with onshore winds all day. The swell sticks around at 4ft but it’s not worth it.

Now here’s where it gets interesting. Tuesday morning the 8th is the first real standout. The swell pushes to 6ft from the SSE with a clean 8-second period. The wind is a gentle SSE breeze, keeping it clean. The combined energy is a solid 410 (moderate). This is the best we've seen so far. It’s not huge, but the conditions will finally line up for some fun, clean waves at Manly (Sydney). It's fairly consistent and the swell direction (SSE) is a good match for the spot. Expect some company though, as this place gets crowded often.

After that, things drop off again. Wednesday the 9th is tiny and windy. No good.

Then we hit the big one. For the second week, we’ve got a stronger southerly groundswell arriving. Thursday morning the 10th is big - 8ft S swell with clean offshore-ish wind, but the energy is massive at 1351 (strong). That size is getting into expert territory. Thursday afternoon the 10th sees a 5ft south swell with a *very long* 17-second period and 2377 energy (very strong). This is serious groundswell, huge energy. The offshores are clean. For a point break like Manly, this long period will wrap in and shape up beautifully, but it will be big and powerful. Not a day for the faint-hearted.

Friday morning the 11th is the highlight of the whole run. A 8ft south swell, 12-second period, clean offshore wind, and energy at 1567 (strong). That is a proper, powerful south swell with light winds. This is your call if you’ve got the skills. The crowd will be thick for this one.

The rest of the second week fades. The 12th and 13th drop in size and turn onshore. It's flat and messy from the 14th through the 17th, with dribbles of south swell but always onshore or cross winds ruining the shape.

Best bets: Tuesday morning the 8th for clean fun waves, and Friday morning the 11th for a proper, powerful session if you're experienced. Look forward to that long period groundswell wrapping around Manly.

Rusty.

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