Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 06 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.0° C
1.0° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 12s period, S swell with 7,400 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 7s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 5.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Fri 7th Aug)2ft (0.6m) 7s
Best Surf 1AM (Tue 11th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 12s
Most Powerful 7PM (Thu 13th Aug)16ft (5.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Manly over the next couple of weeks.

First thing you need to know is that the water temp is sitting at 63°, which is a bit colder than we're used to for this time of year. A full degree and a half cooler than average, so you’ll want that 4/3.

Honestly, the first few days are a bit of a letdown. Thursday the 6th has a tiny 3ft south swell, but it's onshore and the combined energy is only 159, so it's weak and messy. Stay out of the water. Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th are similar – small, weak, and uninspiring. You’re looking at waist-high dribble with a bit of wind bump. Sunday the 9th sees a bump in swell from the ENE, around 4ft, but the wind swings northerly and it gets choppy. The energy is moderate at 203, but it won't be pretty.

Monday the 10th is a write-off. Strong westerly winds, 25 mph, will have the place blown out, even if the swell is up to 5ft. The energy is moderate at 341, but it's just not surfable.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Tuesday the 11th is our standout. We’ve got a clean 5ft south swell pushing in, with a period of 9 seconds. The wind is light and variable, turning glassy in the afternoon. The combined energy jumps to a solid 691, so there’s some proper push behind it. This is the best session of the whole forecast. The morning will be clean with that light westerly cross-off, and by the afternoon, it’s going to be glassy perfection. Manly (Manly) is a point break, so it should handle this swell well. Get in the water.

Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th are a mess. The wind goes onshore again, and Thursday morning sees a strong 25 mph offshore wind with a short-period 7ft swell. The energy is 498, but it's going to be a washing machine. However, Thursday afternoon the 13th is worth a mention. A massive 16ft swell from the SSW rolls in, with a long 12-second period. The combined energy is 11116, which is huge. The wind is cross-off, but this is for experts only. If you're not a pro, stay on the sand. The same goes for Friday the 14th, with a solid 12ft south swell and 11-12 second periods. The energy is 3512 and 6117. It’s a big, powerful groundswell that will be breaking straight at the beach, but it could be incredible for the point if you’re experienced.

The second week is a real drop-off. From Saturday the 15th onward, the swell drops, and the wind is persistently onshore or cross-off, with rain showers. The energy goes from 1643 down to 64 by Friday the 21st. There’s nothing worthwhile in the second week. The waves are small, weak, and messy. The only thing to note is a brief window of light offshore on Wednesday the 19th morning with a tiny 3ft swell, but it’s not enough to get excited about.

So, your one and only true standout is Tuesday the 11th. That’s your session. The long-range stuff on the 13th and 14th is promising but only for the big-wave crew. After that, it’s a two-week wait for the next proper swell.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Mon morning, calm by Tue morning).

Thu
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
S
8
0.6
S
7
0.6
S
9
0.5
SSE
9
0.5
SSE
9
0.7
S
8
0.5
S
7
0.8
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
9
0.9
ENE
9
1.8
ENE
8
1.4
NE
9
0.9
ENE
9
1.3
S
12
1.6
S
9
0.9
S
12
1.5
S
11
1.2
S
10
0.8
S
9
0.8
NE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
129
38
55
50
48
60
27
83
193
143
412
338
151
456
459
220
524
271
104
59
Wind (km/h)
10
NE
10
WNW
10
WNW
10
ESE
10
W
10
W
15
ENE
10
NNW
15
N
20
NNE
35
NW
40
WNW
35
W
15
W
10
W
5
N
15
NW
20
N
30
NW
40
W
Wind State
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
High Tide
2:14AM1.00m
2:58PM1.42m
3:39AM0.96m
4:06PM1.49m
4:58AM0.98m
5:10PM1.58m
6:05AM1.04m
6:08PM1.67m
7:01AM1.10m
7:01PM1.74m
7:50AM1.17m
7:51PM1.76m
Low Tide
8:30PM0.41m
8:07AM0.36m
9:51PM0.35m
9:16AM0.38m
11:05PM0.25m
10:26AM0.37m
00:08AM0.14m
11:31AM0.33m
1:02AM0.05m
12:29PM0.27m
1:50AM-0.01m
1:23PM0.22m
2:34AM-0.04m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
6:41
6:39
6:39
6:37
6:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:17
5:19
5:19
5:20
5:21
5:21
5:22
 mm
2
1
Temp °C
16
13
15
15
13
14
15
14
19
18
16
15
14
11
15
17
13
13
14
13
Feels °C
12
11
13
11
11
11
11
11
15
13
10
5
5
5
12
14
9
6
7
5
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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