
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SE swell with 2,766 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Manly. It’s a bit of a strange run ahead, with a lot of "meh" to sift through before a proper winter groundswell shows up towards the back end. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year.
We’re not kicking off with much to get excited about. The first solid run of surfable waves arrives Thursday morning the 9th of July, with a clean 6ft swell from the SE wrapping in and a light offshore SSW breeze. It’s clean and the wave energy is moderate (810). That’s the pick of the first week really, but don’t expect pumping perfection, it’s more of a fun, manageable wave.
Friday the 10th keeps things going with a similar story: 6ft SE swell and light offshore wind again in the morning. It’s clean and surfable. The combined energy drops off a bit (507) but the conditions are good.
Then we hit a wall. From Saturday the 11th of July through to Tuesday the 14th, it really drops out. Very small, messy, or just poor conditions with minimal energy. You’re looking at a solid four to five days where you’d be better off doing something else.
Things perk back up a little on Wednesday the 15th with a clean 5ft S swell and offshore WSW wind, moderate energy at 434. Then Thursday the 16th offers a decent 5ft S swell with a strong offshore SW breeze, energy picking up to 723 – that’s a good morning session if you time the tide right.
Now, the real standout, and the only one worth getting genuinely stoked about, is Tuesday the 21st of July. This is a proper event – a 16ft S swell with a long 12-second period. The combined energy is massive (7377), and it’s got a clean offshore SW wind. That is expert territory only, it will be big and powerful, but for the crew who know what they’re doing, that’s the day to circle. Wednesday the 22nd still has a solid 12ft S swell on offer, with light offshore wind, still only for experienced surfers, but the energy is dropping (5188).
So the bottom line: a lot of ordinary days in the first week and a half, with Thursday the 9th being your only real "worth it" window for the average surfer. Then the second week saves the whole outlook with a proper, heavy groundswell event late on. Keep an eye on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon night, min 12°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Mon 13 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | ESE 12 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 8 | SSW 6 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1832 | 2078 | 2766 | 2211 | 1418 | 1147 | 584 | 640 | 531 | 481 | 492 | 569 | 408 | 230 | 172 | 138 | 138 | 92 | 49 | 14 | 10 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:25AM1.26m | 1:34PM1.23m | 1:22AM1.17m | 2:29PM1.31m | 2:29AM1.09m | 3:26PM1.40m | 3:44AM1.04m | 4:25PM1.50m | 4:59AM1.03m | 5:23PM1.60m | 6:08AM1.05m | 6:19PM1.70m | 7:10AM1.08m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:01AM0.22m | 7:32PM0.50m | 7:48AM0.25m | 8:46PM0.46m | 8:40AM0.27m | 10:01PM0.38m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:12PM0.27m | 10:39AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.15m | 11:39AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.05m | 12:36PM0.26m | ||||||||
— | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | |
— | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | |
mm | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 11 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 14 | S 16 | SE 11 | SE 10 | ESE 13 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 8 | SSW 6 | ESE 8 |
— | 471 | 5 | 2211 | 1418 | 462 | 584 | 640 | 531 | 481 | 492 | 569 | 408 | 230 | 172 | 138 | 138 | 92 | 49 | 12 | 7 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 18 | — | — | ESE 14 | S 16 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 16 | S 19 | S 21 | S 17 | ESE 14 | ESE 12 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | S 11 |
— | 6 | — | — | 220 | 5 | 575 | 164 | 38 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 117 | 64 | 26 | 16 | 33 | 14 | 10 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 20 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 20 | S 14 | — | S 15 | S 16 | ESE 13 | S 16 | SSW 5 | SSE 8 | S 12 | S 18 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 4 | — | 4 | 5 | 35 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 7 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | — | — | SSE 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | WNW 2 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | — | W 3 | NW 3 | SW 4 |
1832 | 2078 | 2766 | — | — | 1147 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | — | 5 | 5 | 13 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 12 | 12 | 78 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 85 | 167 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










