Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 11s period, S swell with 1,214 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.2m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break down the Manly forecast in feet and knots.
The first few days are a total bust. Wednesday the 29th is flat and messy. A real gap with no surf until Thursday the 30th.
Thursday morning the 30th brings a new south swell around 6ft, but with a short 9-second period. Light offshore wind, so it’s clean. Moderate energy (621). It’s a start, but nothing special.
Friday the 31st morning is better: a consistent 6-7ft of south swell, 10-second period, and a moderate offshore breeze keeping it clean. Energy is moderate (858). A decent session for a beginner who’s got a bit of confidence.
Saturday morning the 1st of August drops to 5ft, but the wind is light cross-offshore, and the period holds at 10 seconds. Clean and manageable. The afternoon gets trashed by onshore wind, so be early.
After that, it’s flat from Sunday the 2nd through Tuesday the 5th. Swell fades, wind turns bad. Just a stretch of nothing.
Wednesday the 5th of August morning gives us a small pulse: 5ft of south swell, 9 seconds, clean with a light offshore. It’s surfable, but nothing great. The real fun starts Thursday the 6th.
Thursday morning the 6th: 5-6ft of south swell, offshore wind, clean, with moderate energy (471). A solid, clean wave. Friday morning the 7th is the real standout early in the week – 5-6ft, 10-second period, gentle offshore, and energy jumping to 814. That’s a top session.
Now, the big one. Wednesday the 12th of August morning is pure magic. We’re looking at 8ft of south swell, a long 11-second period, and the wind is glassy. Absolutely glassy. The combined energy is strong at 1393. This is a proper groundswell, and for a point break like Manly, that’s the dream. The size is solidly in expert territory – not for beginners. This is the best session of the whole outlook.
Thursday the 13th of August morning is huge – 11-12ft of south swell, but with a moderate cross-offshore breeze and a shorter 10-second period. The energy is very strong (2212), but at that size and with a shorter period, it’s going to be a heavy, bumpy paddle and slopey on the face. Only for the experienced.
Water temp is 65°F, right about average for the season, so no surprises there.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | S 16 | S 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | SSE 12 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | S 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 23 | 7 | 25 | 614 | 407 | 1130 | 850 | 761 | 627 | 432 | 351 | 544 | 604 | 368 | 182 | 157 | 102 | 45 | 30 | 30 | 375 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | on | cross | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:09PM1.56m | 8:48AM1.08m | 8:44PM1.56m | 9:24AM1.13m | 9:18PM1.54m | 10:00AM1.17m | 9:54PM1.49m | 10:38AM1.21m | 10:31PM1.41m | 11:18AM1.26m | 11:12PM1.31m | 12:03PM1.29m | 00:01AM1.20m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:54AM0.16m | 2:18PM0.34m | 3:26AM0.14m | 2:57PM0.33m | 3:57AM0.13m | 3:38PM0.34m | 4:28AM0.13m | 4:22PM0.36m | 5:01AM0.16m | 5:10PM0.39m | 5:37AM0.20m | 6:06PM0.41m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — |
 | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 21 | 21 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | S 16 | S 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | SSE 12 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SSW 5 | S 11 |
| kJ | 2 | 5 | 25 | 614 | 407 | 1130 | 850 | 761 | 627 | 432 | 351 | 544 | 604 | 368 | 182 | 157 | 102 | 45 | 30 | 9 | 375 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SE 13 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | — | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SSE 13 | SSE 13 | SE 14 | NE 8 | SSE 13 | NE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 8 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | SE 11 | SE 11 |
| kJ | 5 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | 5 | 5 | 5 | 68 | 195 | 197 | 3 | 114 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 29 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | SE 6 | SE 13 | E 13 | E 12 | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 6 | NE 6 | S 14 | SE 12 | NE 8 | E 15 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 23 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 73 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | SW 4 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 8 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NE 5 | WSW 3 | SW 4 | — | — |
| kJ | 4 | 14 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 11 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 589 | 270 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 163 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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