
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SE swell with 2,766 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Righto, let’s have a look at what we’ve got for Manly (Manly). The forecast period starts with a bit of a wait, because the first few days are a write-off – big, messy, and blown out.
Hold onto your hats for Thursday the 16th of July though. That morning is the clear standout. We’re looking at a solid 8ft SW groundswell with a long 13-second period. The combined energy is pumping at 2171, and with a moderate offshore wind from the SW, it’s gonna be clean, powerful, and lined up. This is proper expert territory – well over 8ft, so it’s not for the faint-hearted. The water temp is sitting around 64°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.
The days leading up to that are pretty grim. Tuesday the 7th through Wednesday the 15th is a real mixed bag of cross-off winds, dropping swell, and poor conditions. There’s a brief window on Thursday morning the 9th and Friday morning the 10th with some clean, surfable 5-6ft SE swell (combined energy around 440-887), but the crowds at Manly are often there, so you’ll have company. The best of that period is Thursday morning the 9th – light S wind, clean, and 6ft SE swell – but it’s nothing to write home about compared to that big 16th.
After the 16th, things fade again. Friday the 17th has some clean 5-5ft SSE swell (energy around 480-501), but it’s just okay. Then from Saturday the 18th onwards, it’s mostly tiny, weak, and chopped out. There’s a long, flat run from the 18th all the way through the 22nd, with barely anything rideable.
For the best surf, your absolute target is Thursday the 16th of July morning – that’s the one. The rest is just filler or flat.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | S 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2078 | 2766 | 2297 | 1536 | 1116 | 712 | 695 | 602 | 440 | 335 | 441 | 347 | 182 | 164 | 118 | 50 | 28 | 35 | 30 | 13 | 41 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:34PM1.23m | 1:22AM1.17m | 2:29PM1.31m | 2:29AM1.09m | 3:26PM1.40m | 3:44AM1.04m | 4:25PM1.50m | 4:59AM1.03m | 5:23PM1.60m | 6:08AM1.05m | 6:19PM1.70m | 7:10AM1.08m | 7:13PM1.78m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:32PM0.50m | 7:48AM0.25m | 8:46PM0.46m | 8:40AM0.27m | 10:01PM0.38m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:12PM0.27m | 10:39AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.15m | 11:39AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.05m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:07AM-0.03m | ||||||||
6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | |
— | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | |
mm | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 8 | 3 | — | 4 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 18 | 19 | 14 |
Feels °C | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | S 16 | SE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 13 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | S 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 11 |
471 | 5 | 2297 | 1536 | 462 | 712 | 695 | 602 | 440 | 335 | 441 | 347 | 182 | 142 | 118 | 50 | 28 | 35 | 30 | 13 | 41 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | — | — | ESE 14 | S 16 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 16 | SE 12 | S 21 | ESE 16 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | S 12 | SE 8 |
6 | — | — | 277 | 5 | 366 | 186 | 38 | 5 | 98 | 9 | 25 | 139 | 164 | 47 | 26 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 16 | — | S 15 | S 18 | S 17 | S 20 | S 19 | S 14 | S 17 | E 9 | S 16 | — | ESE 12 | SE 8 | S 10 | S 10 | ESE 8 | — |
— | — | — | 5 | — | 4 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 40 | 5 | — | 28 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 7 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SE 11 | — | — | SSE 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | WSW 4 | W 3 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 4 | SW 6 |
2078 | 2766 | — | — | 1116 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 25 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 12 | 78 | 32 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 104 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.









