Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 05 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.4° C
0.6° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 11 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 10s period, S swell with 552 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.7m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Thu 6th Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 8s
Best Surf 7AM (Tue 11th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 10s
Most Powerful 7AM (Tue 11th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be real with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper surf at Manly. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak, and often messy waves ahead. The first real glimmer of hope doesn't show up until Tuesday the 11th, and even that’s a bit iffy. Hang tight, because there are a couple of days that might just be worth the wait.

The water temp is sitting at 63°F, which is about average for this time of year, so a decent wettie is still the go.

We’re starting with a real dud. Wednesday and Thursday are basically flat to tiny, with poor conditions. There’s a little pulse of energy on Thursday arvo, but it’s cross-onshore and junky. The weekend isn't much better – Saturday morning is clean but tiny, and Sunday gets chopped up by a northerly breeze. You’d be wasting your time paddling out for these.

Now, here’s the first thing that gets the heart rate up a bit. Monday the 10th sees a jump in size with a cross-offshore wind, but the swell direction is poor and it’s just not wrapping in right – looks like a washing machine out there. Not worth it.

The first real standout is Tuesday morning, August 11th. The swell is up to 5ft from the south, and the wind is a clean cross-off from the west-northwest. The energy is moderate (498), and it’s clean. This is the first time you could actually get a few decent ones. It’s a point break, so it handles a bit of size, but the period is only 9 seconds, so it might be a bit lumpy. Still, it’s your best bet in the first week.

We get a bit of a reset on Wednesday the 12th with strong offshore winds, but the swell is small and the energy is weak. Then, hold onto your board – Thursday morning, August 13th is the big one. The swell jumps to 7ft from the south, with a very strong energy reading of 1206. The wind is light offshore from the southwest, and it’s clean. This is a proper pulse. The period is only 8 seconds, which is a bit short, but the size and the clean conditions will make it a fun, punchy day. This is the standout of the whole period. It’s over 5ft, so a bit much for beginners, but for the rest of us, it’s game on.

After that, Friday the 14th is average, and Saturday the 15th looks good again with 7ft south swell and a clean cross-off breeze, but the energy isn't as strong as Thursday's. The following week gets a bit more complicated. Sunday the 16th has size but cross-shore winds mess it up. The energy stays high, but the quality drops.

Looking into the second week, the standout is Tuesday morning, August 18th. The wind is forecast to go glassy, with a 5ft south-southeast swell and a decent 10-second period. The energy is strong (571), and glassy conditions are a massive plus. This could be a really clean, fun day, though the long period at a point break might make it a bit walled. It’s promising, but less certain than Thursday’s pulse.

The rest of the second week is a mix of small, junky, and onshore conditions. The swell direction is never quite right, and the winds aren't helping. There’s a bit of size on Monday the 17th, but the cross-shore wind chops it up. So, to sum it up: the first week is mostly a write-off, with Thursday the 13th being the clear standout – a proper solid pulse with clean wind. The second week has a glassy Tuesday the 18th that could be special if it comes together. Keep an eye on the forecasts, because this one could be a sneaky good one. This is Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Sat morning, strong winds from the NW by Sun night).

Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
E
10
0.4
E
9
0.3
S
10
0.5
S
9
1.1
S
8
0.8
S
9
0.8
S
9
0.8
SSE
9
0.5
SSE
9
0.5
SSE
9
0.4
SSE
9
0.7
E
8
1.1
ENE
9
0.9
ENE
9
1.6
NE
8
1.8
ENE
9
1.3
ENE
9
1.1
SSW
7
1.6
S
9
1.5
S
10
1.2
S
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
18
27
18
41
152
97
108
110
47
45
30
61
184
134
381
535
276
118
450
434
210
Wind (km/h)
20
WSW
15
WSW
15
W
15
W
10
ENE
10
NW
10
W
15
SE
10
W
5
WNW
20
NE
15
N
20
N
20
NNE
50
NW
35
W
35
W
15
WNW
15
WNW
15
W
10
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
12:53PM1.33m
1:00AM1.09m
1:52PM1.36m
2:14AM1.00m
2:58PM1.42m
3:39AM0.96m
4:06PM1.49m
4:58AM0.98m
5:10PM1.58m
6:05AM1.04m
6:08PM1.67m
7:01AM1.10m
7:01PM1.74m
Low Tide
7:13PM0.42m
7:07AM0.31m
8:30PM0.41m
8:07AM0.36m
9:51PM0.35m
9:16AM0.38m
11:05PM0.25m
10:26AM0.37m
00:08AM0.14m
11:31AM0.33m
1:02AM0.05m
12:29PM0.27m
1:50AM-0.01m
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:43
6:41
6:41
6:39
6:39
6:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:19
5:20
5:21
5:21
 mm
3
Temp °C
16
18
12
15
15
13
15
15
13
15
15
14
19
19
18
15
14
10
17
19
13
Feels °C
11
13
7
13
12
11
13
11
12
12
11
10
14
14
14
5
5
5
13
14
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Manly:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Manly surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest