
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SSW swell with 3,509 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the surf ahead for the Manly area. Honestly, we’ve got a bit of a slow, ordinary run to start, but there’s a punchy window late in the first week that could make things interesting for the crew willing to wait.
For the first several days, the wave energy is weak, with combined swell energy readings mostly sitting between 92 and 296, and the swell is small, under 3ft, with a short period. The wind is a mess – cross-on, cross-off, and onshore at times – so the surf is mostly poor or very ordinary. There’s a brief moment on the morning of Saturday the 10th with a 5ft swell from the ENE and a fresh cross-off wind keeping it clean, but the wave quality is still rated poor, so nothing to get excited about. We’re looking at a gap of several days with no real standout surf.
Things start to shift a bit on Tuesday afternoon, the 11th of August. The swell drops back to 3ft, but it shifts to the SSW with a longer 11-second period, giving the wave a bit more shape. The combined energy jumps to 257, and the cross-off wind from the west keeps the surface clean. Still, it’s only “surfable but very ordinary.” Not the headline.
The real standout – and I mean the only one worth pointing a board at – is Thursday the 13th of August. Manly wakes up to a solid 8ft swell from the SSW with a 10-second period, and the combined energy rockets to 1227. That is strong, powerful water. The wind is a fresh offshore from the southwest, 30 km/h, keeping the surface clean. This is expert territory – over 8ft is big, and it’s going to be a handful. The swell direction (SSW) is not the optimum (SE) for this sheltered point, but the size and clean conditions make it the best on offer. Thursday afternoon gets even bigger, hitting 10ft from the S with 11-second period and 1927 energy, but still with a cross-off wind. Friday the 14th holds at 7ft in the morning, still clean, but the energy drops.
After that, the swell fades quickly through the weekend and into the next week, with combined energy dropping below 400 and swell heights back under 5ft. The winds become more cross-shore or onshore, and the surf is mostly poor. There’s a brief moment on Friday the 21st with glassy conditions in the morning, but only 3ft from the ENE, so it’s small and weak.
One thing to note: the water temperature is about average for the time of year here, so no major surprises on that front.
Best Bet: Thursday the 13th of August, early morning. Big, clean, offshore. For experts only. Bring your big-wave board.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, fresh winds from the NNE by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon morning, light winds from the W by Tue morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | SSE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
38 | 53 | 50 | 48 | 43 | 30 | 67 | 153 | 276 | 421 | 370 | 172 | 71 | 49 | 202 | 110 | 149 | 98 | 50 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:14AM1.00m | 2:58PM1.42m | 3:39AM0.96m | 4:06PM1.49m | 4:58AM0.98m | 5:10PM1.58m | 6:05AM1.04m | 6:08PM1.67m | 7:01AM1.10m | 7:01PM1.74m | 7:50AM1.17m | 7:51PM1.76m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:07AM0.36m | 9:51PM0.35m | 9:16AM0.38m | 11:05PM0.25m | 10:26AM0.37m | 00:08AM0.14m | 11:31AM0.33m | 1:02AM0.05m | 12:29PM0.27m | 1:50AM-0.01m | 1:23PM0.22m | 2:34AM-0.04m | |||||||
— | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 11 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | SE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | ENE 9 |
38 | 53 | 50 | 48 | 43 | 27 | 67 | 153 | 3 | 421 | 370 | 172 | 71 | 49 | 202 | 110 | 149 | 98 | 50 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | SSE 10 | S 8 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | S 7 | NE 5 | E 14 | E 14 | S 13 | N 6 | E 13 | SSW 7 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | — |
27 | 37 | 34 | 25 | 18 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 51 | 56 | 55 | 54 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SSE 12 | ENE 6 | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 6 | S 10 | — | E 14 | — | SSW 12 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | — | NE 5 | S 18 |
24 | 27 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | — | 4 | — | 48 | 6 | 5 | — | 7 | 6 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 3 | — | — | SSW 3 | — | — | NE 4 | NE 5 | ENE 9 | N 5 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | N 5 | W 5 | WSW 6 |
1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 17 | 23 | 276 | 60 | 44 | 45 | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 85 | 87 | 221 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 30 | 179 | 30 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 23 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










