Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. It’s a bit of a slow start, but don’t write it off just yet. The next few days are pretty ordinary, but there’s a couple of windows that are worth circling on the calendar.

First up, the water temp at Manly is sitting at 64°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

We’ve got a few days of small, messy surf to start. Saturday the 5th, the wind is a bit of a nuisance, and the swell is small and weak. It’s not really doing anything for us. The pattern continues through Sunday with a bit of a cleaner look but still small. Monday the 7th, the swell bumps up to 6ft, but the period is short and the wind is blowing cross-onshore, making it a choppy mess. The energy is moderate (432), but it’s not worth paddling out for.

Now, Tuesday the 8th is where it starts to get interesting. Tuesday morning, the swell is 8ft from the S, with a period of 10 seconds and a moderate cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is strong (1295). This is solid, but it’s big. For the average surfer, 8ft is pushing into expert territory. Tuesday afternoon, the swell holds at 8ft, but the period stretches to 11 seconds, and the wind goes light and cross-shore. The energy jumps to 1722. This is a lot of water moving around. It’s going to be a powerful, clean afternoon, but only for those who know what they’re doing.

The standout in the first week is Thursday, 10th of September. Thursday afternoon, the swell hits 10ft from the S, with a 10-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSE. The combined energy is enormous (2817). The forecast says excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers, and that’s not an exaggeration. This is a proper groundswell, and it’s going to be powerful. With the wind cleaning it up, the point at Manly is going to be running. This is the one to aim for.

Friday the 11th morning is still good, with a 7ft, 11-second S swell and a light offshore. It’s a step down in size but still clean and punchy. The energy is moderate (987). Saturday the 12th morning is glassy, with 5ft, and a 10-second period. That’s a great option for a more relaxed session, but it’s not the standout.

The second week starts to look a bit more inconsistent. There’s a gap from Sunday the 14th through to Tuesday the 16th, with mostly poor, weak swells and onshore winds. Then Wednesday the 16th afternoon, we get another pulse. The swell is 10ft from the S, with a 12-second period again, and a moderate cross-offshore breeze. The energy is huge (2429). This is another big, clean swell, but it’s over a week out, so take it with a pinch of salt. It’s promising, but not locked in.

So, the best bets are Thursday the 10th afternoon for the big, clean power, and maybe a look at Wednesday the 16th afternoon if you’re watching the charts. The rest is a mix of small or too windy. Keep an eye on that Thursday, it’s got the goods.

Rusty.

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