
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,500 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 2.5m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. It’s a bit of a slow start, but don’t write it off just yet. The next few days are pretty ordinary, but there’s a couple of windows that are worth circling on the calendar.
First up, the water temp at Manly is sitting at 64°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, nothing unusual there.
We’ve got a few days of small, messy surf to start. Saturday the 5th, the wind is a bit of a nuisance, and the swell is small and weak. It’s not really doing anything for us. The pattern continues through Sunday with a bit of a cleaner look but still small. Monday the 7th, the swell bumps up to 6ft, but the period is short and the wind is blowing cross-onshore, making it a choppy mess. The energy is moderate (432), but it’s not worth paddling out for.
Now, Tuesday the 8th is where it starts to get interesting. Tuesday morning, the swell is 8ft from the S, with a period of 10 seconds and a moderate cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is strong (1295). This is solid, but it’s big. For the average surfer, 8ft is pushing into expert territory. Tuesday afternoon, the swell holds at 8ft, but the period stretches to 11 seconds, and the wind goes light and cross-shore. The energy jumps to 1722. This is a lot of water moving around. It’s going to be a powerful, clean afternoon, but only for those who know what they’re doing.
The standout in the first week is Thursday, 10th of September. Thursday afternoon, the swell hits 10ft from the S, with a 10-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSE. The combined energy is enormous (2817). The forecast says excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers, and that’s not an exaggeration. This is a proper groundswell, and it’s going to be powerful. With the wind cleaning it up, the point at Manly is going to be running. This is the one to aim for.
Friday the 11th morning is still good, with a 7ft, 11-second S swell and a light offshore. It’s a step down in size but still clean and punchy. The energy is moderate (987). Saturday the 12th morning is glassy, with 5ft, and a 10-second period. That’s a great option for a more relaxed session, but it’s not the standout.
The second week starts to look a bit more inconsistent. There’s a gap from Sunday the 14th through to Tuesday the 16th, with mostly poor, weak swells and onshore winds. Then Wednesday the 16th afternoon, we get another pulse. The swell is 10ft from the S, with a 12-second period again, and a moderate cross-offshore breeze. The energy is huge (2429). This is another big, clean swell, but it’s over a week out, so take it with a pinch of salt. It’s promising, but not locked in.
So, the best bets are Thursday the 10th afternoon for the big, clean power, and maybe a look at Wednesday the 16th afternoon if you’re watching the charts. The rest is a mix of small or too windy. Keep an eye on that Thursday, it’s got the goods.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Mon morning, fresh winds from the S by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Wed morning, light winds from the S by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | NNE 5 | S 10 | SSW 7 | S 7 | S 10 | S 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 8 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
85 | 67 | 44 | 99 | 108 | 1409 | 422 | 540 | 1162 | 1293 | 1720 | 725 | 367 | 343 | 1781 | 1514 | 1442 | 1445 | 974 | 789 | 566 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 2:40PM1.42m | 3:46AM0.94m | 3:54PM1.47m | 5:00AM1.00m | 5:00PM1.54m | 5:57AM1.09m | 5:56PM1.60m | 6:46AM1.19m | 6:47PM1.63m | 7:28AM1.28m | 7:32PM1.62m | 8:08AM1.36m | 8:15PM1.56m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:47PM0.30m | 9:09AM0.46m | 10:57PM0.22m | 10:24AM0.42m | 11:54PM0.14m | 11:29AM0.34m | 00:42AM0.07m | 12:24PM0.27m | 1:23AM0.03m | 1:15PM0.20m | 2:01AM0.03m | 2:02PM0.17m | 2:36AM0.06m | ||||||||
6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | |
— | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 29 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 24 | 24 | 19 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | NE 5 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | S 10 | S 8 | SSE 10 | ENE 11 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 16 | E 16 | S 23 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 |
85 | 34 | 33 | 21 | 14 | 1177 | 422 | 540 | 11 | 1293 | 1720 | 725 | 367 | 20 | 5 | 41 | 1146 | 1445 | 974 | 789 | 566 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | S 9 | S 10 | E 11 | E 10 | ENE 10 | NE 8 | E 10 | — | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 16 | E 16 | S 18 | S 24 | E 15 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 |
17 | 62 | 44 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 8 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 225 | 43 | 4 | 18 | 18 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | ENE 9 | E 11 | — | S 15 | — | E 10 | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | E 16 | E 17 | — | NE 16 | E 15 | ENE 15 | S 22 | E 10 | S 19 |
2 | 8 | 9 | — | 4 | — | 8 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 6 | — | 10 | 4 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 28 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | NNE 5 | WSW 3 | SSW 7 | S 7 | S 10 | — | — | SSE 8 | — | — | — | N 3 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | NE 3 | — |
7 | 67 | 3 | 99 | 108 | 1409 | — | — | 1162 | — | — | — | 5 | 343 | 1781 | 1514 | 1442 | — | — | 2 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 113 | 207 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 615 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.









