Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 16 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.3° C
0.6° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, S swell with 2,003 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Fri 17th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 6s
Best Surf 4AM (Mon 20th Jul)6ft (1.8m) 10s
Most Powerful 4AM (Fri 24th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got a look at what’s coming up for Manly over the next couple of weeks. The water temperature is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but things eventually get interesting. The first few days are pretty ordinary – Friday the 17th has some small, weak 3ft swell from the south with a short 6-second period and a light cross-off breeze, but it’s just not doing much. The energy is way down at 113. Saturday and Sunday are a write-off with poor conditions and bigger, messy swell. By Sunday the 19th we’re looking at 7ft from the east-northeast, but with a cross-onshore wind and a 10 to 11-second period, it’s choppy and marginal.

Monday the 20th morning is the first real glimmer – clean conditions with a light cross-off breeze from the west-northwest. The swell drops to 6ft, still from the east-northeast with a 10-second period, and the energy is moderate at 766. It’s not a standout, but it’s rideable.

The real standout comes on Friday the 24th. The morning brings a solid 10ft swell from the south with a 10-second period, and a strong offshore wind from the southwest. That’s clean, powerful, and only for the experienced crew – way too big for beginners. The energy is strong at 1959. Manly is a point break, so the long-period groundswell should wrap in nicely, but with that size, it’s going to be a handful.

The run continues into Saturday the 25th with a cleaner 5ft from the south, but the magic fades. Sunday the 26th bumps back up to 8ft from the south with a strong cross-off breeze, but it’s a bit chaotic.

Then, on Tuesday the 28th morning, we get another beauty. The swell is 6ft from the south with a 10-second period, and a light offshore from the southwest creating glassy conditions. The energy is strong at 1376, and the forecast is really good. This is your second standout – punchy, clean, and a lot more manageable with light offshore winds.

After that, it drops off. Wednesday the 29th turns ordinary, and Thursday the 30th morning has a tiny 2ft groundswell from the south with a 17-second period and glassy conditions – but it’s just too small to get excited about. The rest of the run into early August is a mix of windy, messy, and poor conditions, with no real surfing to be had.

So, to wrap it up: the first week is a slow burn, but Friday the 24th morning and Tuesday the 28th morning are your two windows of proper, clean, powerful surf. Mark them in your calendar.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 15°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
S
7
0.9
S
6
0.7
S
6
0.9
E
7
1.1
E
7
1.2
E
7
1.4
E
8
2.2
ENE
11
2
ENE
10
1.9
ENE
10
1.7
ENE
10
1.7
ENE
10
1.7
ENE
10
1.4
ENE
10
1.3
ENE
10
1.2
ENE
10
1.2
ENE
10
1.1
ENE
9
1.2
ENE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
162
61
33
82
113
152
258
1111
842
720
619
584
548
402
325
258
264
217
226
Wind (km/h)
15
SE
10
SSE
10
S
10
SSE
15
SE
15
SSE
15
SE
15
ESE
10
ESE
5
NW
5
WNW
15
NE
10
NNW
5
NW
10
ENE
10
WNW
10
NNW
15
NE
15
NW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross
High Tide
10:35AM1.20m
10:31PM1.63m
11:23AM1.23m
11:18PM1.47m
12:11PM1.24m
00:05AM1.31m
1:01PM1.26m
00:56AM1.14m
1:52PM1.27m
1:53AM1.01m
2:46PM1.28m
2:59AM0.91m
Low Tide
4:29AM-0.03m
4:10PM0.28m
5:12AM0.04m
5:04PM0.33m
5:53AM0.13m
6:02PM0.40m
6:33AM0.22m
7:05PM0.46m
7:13AM0.31m
8:14PM0.50m
7:56AM0.39m
9:28PM0.50m
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:54
6:54
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:04
5:05
5:06
5:06
5:07
5:07
 mm
9
2
1
1
Temp °C
16
16
16
16
16
17
17
17
16
15
16
16
16
16
16
16
19
19
18
Feels °C
13
15
14
15
13
13
14
14
14
14
14
13
14
15
15
16
16
16
14
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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