Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 02 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.8°C
0.1° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 12s period, S swell with 596 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Thu 3rd Sep)2ft (0.6m) 10s
Best Surf10AM (Tue 8th Sep)5.5ft (1.7m) 8s
Most Powerful 4PM (Sun 6th Sep)5ft (1.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what we've got for the Manly stretch over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow burner with a few bright spots if you can pick your days right.

The water is sitting around 64°, which is pretty average for this time of year, nothin' shocking there.

We’re looking at a bit of a flat start. The first few days are pretty grim. Wednesday the 2nd and Thursday the 3rd are a write-off. The swell is tiny at 2-2ft from the south and the wind has too much west in it to clean anything up, leaving the place feeling ordinary. You’d be better off waxing your board at home.

Friday morning the 4th sees a little bump up to 4ft south swell with light north-west winds. The combined energy hits 329 (moderate). It's surfable, but still feels ordinary, nothing to get excited about.

The weekend is frustrating. Saturday has a 2ft south swell, but strong onshore or cross winds just ruin the surface. Sunday morning the 6th looks cleaner with a 3ft south swell (318 energy) and a light offshore wind, which is the first time we see a gentle offshore and clean setup. It's surfable, but the waves are small. Sunday afternoon jumps to 5ft with a 12-second period, which sounds alright, but the east cross-onshore wind makes it choppy and messy.

Monday the 7th is messy with onshore winds all day. The swell sticks around at 4ft but it’s not worth it.

Now here’s where it gets interesting. Tuesday morning the 8th is the first real standout. The swell pushes to 6ft from the SSE with a clean 8-second period. The wind is a gentle SSE breeze, keeping it clean. The combined energy is a solid 410 (moderate). This is the best we've seen so far. It’s not huge, but the conditions will finally line up for some fun, clean waves at Manly (Sydney). It's fairly consistent and the swell direction (SSE) is a good match for the spot. Expect some company though, as this place gets crowded often.

After that, things drop off again. Wednesday the 9th is tiny and windy. No good.

Then we hit the big one. For the second week, we’ve got a stronger southerly groundswell arriving. Thursday morning the 10th is big - 8ft S swell with clean offshore-ish wind, but the energy is massive at 1351 (strong). That size is getting into expert territory. Thursday afternoon the 10th sees a 5ft south swell with a *very long* 17-second period and 2377 energy (very strong). This is serious groundswell, huge energy. The offshores are clean. For a point break like Manly, this long period will wrap in and shape up beautifully, but it will be big and powerful. Not a day for the faint-hearted.

Friday morning the 11th is the highlight of the whole run. A 8ft south swell, 12-second period, clean offshore wind, and energy at 1567 (strong). That is a proper, powerful south swell with light winds. This is your call if you’ve got the skills. The crowd will be thick for this one.

The rest of the second week fades. The 12th and 13th drop in size and turn onshore. It's flat and messy from the 14th through the 17th, with dribbles of south swell but always onshore or cross winds ruining the shape.

Best bets: Tuesday morning the 8th for clean fun waves, and Friday morning the 11th for a proper, powerful session if you're experienced. Look forward to that long period groundswell wrapping around Manly.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Fri morning, fresh winds from the NW by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 28°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun night).

Wed
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
10
0.6
S
10
0.6
S
10
0.5
S
10
0.4
SSE
10
1.2
S
10
0.9
S
8
0.5
S
11
0.7
S
10
0.5
S
9
0.4
S
10
1
S
10
1.5
S
12
1.1
S
8
1.3
S
10
1
S
9
1.8
SSE
8
1.7
SSE
8
1.4
SSE
8
0.7
S
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
76
71
73
52
33
313
113
60
87
43
28
204
596
169
318
157
385
402
251
55
Wind (km/h)
15
W
15
WNW
25
W
20
WSW
25
SW
5
NW
20
ENE
10
NW
25
NNW
30
WNW
20
SW
15
SW
15
E
5
WNW
5
N
20
SSE
20
SSE
15
SSE
15
ENE
10
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-on
High Tide
11:49PM1.12m
12:22PM1.41m
00:55AM1.01m
1:26PM1.40m
2:18AM0.94m
2:40PM1.42m
3:46AM0.94m
3:54PM1.47m
5:00AM1.00m
5:00PM1.54m
5:57AM1.09m
5:56PM1.60m
Low Tide
5:55PM0.31m
5:44AM0.32m
7:04PM0.34m
6:39AM0.39m
8:25PM0.34m
7:49AM0.45m
9:47PM0.30m
9:09AM0.46m
10:57PM0.22m
10:24AM0.42m
11:54PM0.14m
11:29AM0.34m
00:42AM0.07m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:11
6:09
6:09
6:07
6:05
6:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:38
5:38
5:39
5:40
 mm
1
Temp °C
26
21
25
25
17
19
17
17
29
28
20
17
16
15
18
16
16
16
16
15
Feels °C
22
17
20
20
12
15
12
16
23
22
15
13
12
15
15
12
12
13
13
12
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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