Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 11s period, S swell with 1,212 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 12s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 1.5m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.3m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here with the long-range look for the Northern Beaches. Let’s break it down.
It’s a slow start, but we’ve got a solid pocket of fun surf from Thursday through Saturday. The water temp is about 65°F, which is right where it should be for this time of year.
First real action is Thursday morning, July 30th, at Manly. We’ve got a clean 6ft south swell with a 9-second period. The wind is light offshore from the WSW, glassy as it gets. The combined wave energy is moderate (546). The swell direction is south, and while the spot likes it from the southeast, it’s still making waves. Good for beginners and intermediates.
Friday morning, July 31st, is the standout. Manly again. Swell is 7ft from the south, with an 11-second period, giving it some real groundswell power. The combined energy jumps to 905 (moderate-strong), and the wind is offshore from the SW. This is the clean, punchy, best session of the whole forecast. The longer period means better shaped waves but longer lulls between sets.
Saturday morning, August 1st, still has some life. Swell drops to 5ft from the SSE, with a 10-second period, and the wind is almost calm from the WNW. The energy is still moderate (549). It’s a decent backup option.
After that, it’s a long stretch of nothing. Sunday and Monday see dropping swell and onshore winds, and by Tuesday it’s flat. There’s a gap of poor conditions from August 2nd all the way through August 12th. We get a brief 6ft on the afternoon of the 5th, but it’s short-period (8 seconds) with cross-off wind, so it’s not great. From the 7th to the 12th, it’s all onshore winds from the ENE and NE, making it lumpy and choppy. That setup is more for kite surfers than paddle surfers.
So, the call is: Thursday morning and Friday morning are your windows. Friday is the best. After that, it’s a long wait for the next one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 17 | S 15 | S 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 24 | 13 | 23 | 7 | 26 | 539 | 357 | 1065 | 900 | 776 | 552 | 463 | 356 | 462 | 333 | 210 | 135 | 108 | 68 | 24 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | on | cross | cross | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 7:32PM1.53m | 8:12AM1.04m | 8:09PM1.56m | 8:48AM1.08m | 8:44PM1.56m | 9:24AM1.13m | 9:18PM1.54m | 10:00AM1.17m | 9:54PM1.49m | 10:38AM1.21m | 10:31PM1.41m | 11:18AM1.26m | 11:12PM1.31m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:20AM0.19m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:54AM0.16m | 2:18PM0.34m | 3:26AM0.14m | 2:57PM0.33m | 3:57AM0.13m | 3:38PM0.34m | 4:28AM0.13m | 4:22PM0.36m | 5:01AM0.16m | 5:10PM0.39m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — |
 | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 20 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 15 |
Feels °C | 17 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | N 3 | S 15 | S 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 |
| kJ | 24 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 539 | 357 | 1065 | 900 | 776 | 552 | 463 | 356 | 462 | 333 | 210 | 135 | 108 | 68 | 24 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | SE 7 | S 8 | S 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | — | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | NE 7 | NE 6 | SE 13 | NE 5 | ENE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 |
| kJ | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | 5 | 5 | 6 | 81 | 116 | 2 | 2 | 84 | 31 | 19 | 10 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 15 | NNE 4 | S 17 | SE 13 | SE 13 | E 13 | E 12 | — | — | E 13 | E 13 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 18 | NE 9 | S 22 | SE 12 | E 16 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 8 | 1 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 38 | 38 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | WSW 4 | SSW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 7 | NNE 3 | NE 3 | — | NW 3 | NW 3 | SW 4 |
| kJ | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 9 | — | 2 | 2 | 16 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 145 | 589 | 280 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 63 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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