Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, S swell with 2,940 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Tue 8th Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Manly over the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a bit of a quiet start, but there’s a real pulse of energy building in the middle of the week. The water temp is sitting right on average for this time of year at 65°F, so nothing unusual there.
The first real chance to get a wave comes Tuesday, the 8th of September. It’s not a world-beater, but Tuesday afternoon cleans up nicely, with a clean 7ft SSE swell and light cross-off winds. The combined energy is moderate, around 529 – it’s rideable, but not a standout.
Things start to get interesting early Thursday, the 10th of September. That’s the standout. We’ve got a solid 10ft S swell, a 9-second period, and clean offshore winds out of the SSW. The wave energy is pumping hard at 1517, meaning there’s plenty of power in the water. This is a strong, clean setup for Manly, but with that size, it’s definitely for the more experienced crew. The S swell is coming from a good direction for this point, so expect some proper lines.
Friday morning, the 11th, keeps the run going with a 8ft S swell, light cross-off winds, and another very good surf call. The energy is still strong at 1136. It’s a touch smaller than Thursday, but still solid.
The following Tuesday, the 22nd of September, is a weird one. It’s a long way out, so take it with a pinch of salt, but the forecast shows a 8ft S swell, an 8-second period, and glassy conditions. The combined energy is 1072, and the model is calling it very good. It’s a caveat – that short period means it might be a bit sectiony, but if the glass holds, it could be a late surprise.
There are gaps, though. The first few days are poor, and after the Friday morning session, things drop off into a week of mostly small, onshore, or messy conditions. The period from Saturday the 13th through to Monday the 21st is a real write-off for any decent surf. A few days in there have a tiny bump, like Tuesday the 15th afternoon showing a 8ft swell, but it’s cross-off and marginal, so nothing to get excited about.
So, the clear standout is Thursday, 10th September. Big, clean, and powerful. Friday the 11th is a close second. The Tuesday the 22nd window is a long-range whisper.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Mon morning, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Thu morning, light winds from the WNW by Sat morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 245 | 380 | 958 | 996 | 521 | 306 | 136 | 1112 | 2940 | 1386 | 1634 | 1461 | 1102 | 726 | 579 | 645 | 476 | 289 | 147 | 141 | 96 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:00PM1.54m | 5:57AM1.09m | 5:56PM1.60m | 6:46AM1.19m | 6:47PM1.63m | 7:28AM1.28m | 7:32PM1.62m | 8:08AM1.36m | 8:15PM1.56m | 8:46AM1.41m | 8:56PM1.47m | 9:22AM1.44m | 9:37PM1.35m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:24AM0.42m | 11:54PM0.14m | 11:29AM0.34m | 00:42AM0.07m | 12:24PM0.27m | 1:23AM0.03m | 1:15PM0.20m | 2:01AM0.03m | 2:02PM0.17m | 2:36AM0.06m | 2:48PM0.16m | 3:09AM0.12m | 3:33PM0.18m | 3:41AM0.19m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — |
 | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — |
mm | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
Feels °C | 16 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SSE 9 | E 11 | E 10 | SSE 8 | S 9 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 22 | E 15 | E 15 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 10 | NE 6 |
| kJ | 245 | 380 | 9 | 9 | 521 | 306 | 136 | 17 | 69 | 38 | 155 | 4 | 4 | 726 | 579 | 645 | 476 | 289 | 147 | 141 | 58 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | E 10 | NE 8 | — | E 10 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ENE 9 | SSW 16 | S 23 | SE 9 | E 10 | ENE 15 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 | S 18 | S 18 | ENE 13 | S 18 | ENE 13 | S 10 |
| kJ | 60 | 8 | 2 | — | 8 | 67 | 53 | 8 | 51 | 92 | 22 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 18 | 60 | 96 | 16 | 57 | 17 | 96 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 7 | NE 8 | — | — | N 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 17 | S 22 | E 9 | E 15 | ENE 15 | S 21 | E 9 | S 18 | ENE 14 | ENE 14 | S 20 | ENE 13 | S 16 | ENE 13 |
| kJ | 5 | 3 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 33 | 17 | 21 | 17 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 8 | S 9 | — | — | WSW 2 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNE 3 | ENE 4 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 958 | 996 | — | — | 1 | 1112 | 2940 | 1386 | 1634 | 1461 | 1102 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | 31 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 28 | 105 | 104 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 348 | 113 | 0 | 241 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 0 | 2 | 179 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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