Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
18.2° C
0.2° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 11s period, S swell with 1,271 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.4m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 17) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Wed 15th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 8s
Best Surf 1PM (Wed 15th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 11s
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 15th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


Alright, Rusty here. Let's check out what's happening at Manly over the next two weeks.

It's flat right now. We've got a stretch of tiny, poor surf through Monday and Tuesday of this week – nothing worth getting wet for. That run of small, weak waves with cross-off breezes will keep the lineup empty until Wednesday morning.

Wednesday, July 15, is the day it all comes together. A solid 7.9ft southerly swell rolls in with a 10-second period, and we get offshore wind from the southwest, so the waves will be clean and groomed. That's real groundswell energy, and the combined swell energy is strong at (1793). Being a point break, Manly should handle that southerly direction nicely. Water temp is 64.8°, which is average for this time of year. This swell is over 5ft, so it's getting a bit too big for beginners. Wednesday morning is the standout session of the forecast.

Thursday morning, July 16, keeps it going. Still a solid 6.9ft from the south with moderate offshore wind, energy is still strong at (1116). The waves have punch, but it stays clean. It's big, so you'll want to be an experienced surfer. The afternoon sees the wind go cross-off and the swell start to drop, so morning is the pick.

Then we hit a slump. Friday through to the end of next week looks poor to ordinary. Winds go onshore or cross-shore, the swell fades into the small stuff, and we get a lot of poor surf and marginal days. Nothing to plan a trip around.

By Sunday, July 26, we get some size back, but it's messy. A 6.9ft southerly swell on Sunday morning with cross-shore wind that chops it up. The afternoon pushes to 8.2ft but with a fresh breeze – that's big but ugly. More of a wind-swell mess, and it looks better for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

Monday, July 27, has a 7.5ft swell with cross-off winds – still marginal, not the clean waves from earlier in the forecast. The best bet across the whole 16 days is definitely Wednesday, July 15, morning, with Thursday, July 16, morning as a solid backup. After that, it's a long wait without any true standouts.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSW
11
0.3
SSW
11
0.2
S
11
0.1
S
20
0.3
S
12
0.4
SSW
11
2.4
S
10
2.2
S
10
1.4
S
8
2.1
S
9
1.8
S
8
1.7
SSE
7
1.5
S
6
1.1
S
6
0.8
S
10
0.7
S
10
1
E
7
1.3
E
8
1.4
ENE
9
1.4
ENE
9
1.3
ENE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
25
25
9
8
25
37
1063
919
270
640
422
310
167
80
125
90
100
196
348
300
249
Wind (km/h)
20
WNW
10
WNW
10
WNW
20
NW
20
WSW
20
WSW
15
SW
10
SSE
10
WSW
20
SW
25
S
20
SSW
20
S
25
S
10
S
10
SE
15
ESE
10
ESE
10
ESE
10
E
5
E
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
7:13PM1.78m
8:05AM1.12m
8:05PM1.82m
8:57AM1.15m
8:55PM1.81m
9:46AM1.18m
9:43PM1.74m
10:35AM1.20m
10:31PM1.63m
11:23AM1.23m
11:18PM1.47m
12:11PM1.24m
00:05AM1.31m
Low Tide
12:36PM0.26m
2:07AM-0.03m
1:31PM0.24m
2:57AM-0.07m
2:24PM0.23m
3:44AM-0.07m
3:17PM0.24m
4:29AM-0.03m
4:10PM0.28m
5:12AM0.04m
5:04PM0.33m
5:53AM0.13m
6:02PM0.40m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:58
6:58
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:04
5:04
5:05
5:06
 mm
2
2
1
Temp °C
18
19
13
19
19
15
15
15
15
15
16
15
16
16
16
16
17
16
16
16
16
Feels °C
14
16
9
14
13
11
12
12
12
10
11
11
11
12
13
13
13
12
14
13
14
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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