Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 03 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.7°C
0.2° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 12s period, S swell with 2,035 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 12s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Fri 4th Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 12s
Best Surf 1AM (Fri 11th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 12s
Most Powerful 1AM (Fri 11th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a solid point break set-up on the menu for the next couple of weeks, but you’re gonna have to pick your moments. The pattern kicks off with a bit of a rocky start, but there’s a couple of real gems hiding in there.

The first real action on offer is a Friday morning session at Manly. It’s a clean, clear morning with a light breeze from the WNW, and the swell is coming in at 5 feet from the S with a period of 11 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and it’s bringing a solid 537 (units) of combined energy. The wind is cross-off, which means the waves will be holding up nicely on that point. It’s a bit of a highlight to kick things off, but it’s a beginner-friendly wave, so don’t expect it to be too heavy. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

The weekend isn’t offering much. Saturday morning is a no-go with a cross-on breeze and only 2 feet of weak S swell. Saturday afternoon cleans up, but the swell is tiny. Sunday morning brings a gusty WSW 16 mph offshore wind with 4 feet of short-period SSW swell (7 seconds) – it’s surfable, but the wind is a bit strong for it to be good. The combined energy is 250 (units), which is on the lower side of moderate.

Now, here’s the one that gets me excited. Monday morning, September 7th. It’s glassy. Dead flat calm, a WSW wind at just 3 mph. The swell is 4 feet from the S with an 8-second period, and the combined energy is 227 (units). That glassy surface is the main event here – it’s going to be as clean as it gets. You’ll be trading off a bit of swell power for that perfect, smooth face. If you can get out there, you’ll be grinning.

The surf builds through the middle of the week. Tuesday morning sees a 7 feet SSE swell with 12 mph cross-off wind, and the combined energy ramps up to 572 (units). The period is still short at 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit lumpy, but there’s some size. Wednesday afternoon is a write-off with a strong 22 mph S wind.

But hold on. Thursday, September 10th is the big one for the crew with experience. The swell jumps to 10 feet from the S, with a period of 11 seconds. The combined energy is massive – 2426 (units) in the morning and 4140 (units) in the afternoon. That is a serious amount of water moving around. The wind is cross-off from the SSE, so the point should handle it, but this is definitely for experts. It’s going to be powerful and heavy.

The swell stays chunky through Friday the 11th with 8 feet to 7 feet S swell, still in the 1000+ (units) energy range. The conditions are clean, but it’s a lot of water.

We get a nice little reprieve on Saturday morning, September 12th. A 5 feet SSE groundswell with a 12-second period, and a light offshore SW wind at 6 mph. The combined energy is 572 (units). This is a sweet spot – clean, offshore, with a nice long period for that point to reel off some proper walls. This is the pick of the second week.

After that, it’s mostly a steep decline. The middle of the second week is a mix of weak, short-period swells and onshore winds. There’s a long gap from around the 13th to the 15th where the surf is just not worth the paddle. The glassy conditions return on Wednesday afternoon, September 16th, with 4 feet of S swell at 11 seconds, but the energy is only 360 (units) and the forecast describes it as ordinary. The final few days of the forecast are a complete washout with strong to near-gale force winds blowing out any chance of a decent wave. Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th are just a mess of onshore wind and rain.

So, the standout windows are clear: Monday morning, September 7th for pristine glass, and Saturday morning, September 12th for the best combo of size, period, and offshore wind. The big Thursday swell on the 10th is for the brave. Don’t hold your breath for the last week of the forecast.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the S by Wed afternoon).

Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSE
10
1.5
S
11
0.9
S
8
0.6
S
11
0.7
S
9
0.6
S
9
0.8
NE
6
1.3
SSW
7
1.3
S
9
1.8
S
10
1.3
S
8
1.1
S
8
1.7
SSE
9
2.1
SSE
8
1.8
SSE
8
1
S
8
1
S
8
1.7
SSE
8
2.5
SSE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
33
498
112
89
85
60
46
134
269
610
217
169
417
560
459
110
132
345
888
Wind (km/h)
20
WSW
10
WNW
20
NE
10
NW
20
NNW
25
NW
25
WSW
25
WSW
20
SSE
10
SW
5
WSW
20
ENE
25
S
20
S
10
SE
10
NNW
10
WNW
35
S
40
S
Wind State
off
cross-off
on
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
glassy
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
00:55AM1.01m
1:26PM1.40m
2:18AM0.94m
2:40PM1.42m
3:46AM0.94m
3:54PM1.47m
5:00AM1.00m
5:00PM1.54m
5:57AM1.09m
5:56PM1.60m
6:46AM1.19m
6:47PM1.63m
Low Tide
6:39AM0.39m
8:25PM0.34m
7:49AM0.45m
9:47PM0.30m
9:09AM0.46m
10:57PM0.22m
10:24AM0.42m
11:54PM0.14m
11:29AM0.34m
00:42AM0.07m
12:24PM0.27m
1:23AM0.03m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:09
6:09
6:07
6:05
6:05
6:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:37
5:38
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:40
 mm
2
4
Temp °C
17
19
17
16
29
30
22
20
18
16
19
17
16
16
16
15
18
16
15
Feels °C
12
16
12
15
24
25
18
15
14
14
16
14
13
12
14
13
13
10
7
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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