Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 15 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
16.5° C
1.5° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 11s period, S swell with 224 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 17s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sun 16th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 7s
Best Surf 1AM (Sun 16th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 7s
Most Powerful 1AM (Mon 17th Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—it’s been a pretty dead stretch for waves, and we’ve got a long wait ahead. The next week and a half is looking pretty grim, with flat, messy, or blown-out conditions dominating. We’re talking a real desert out there until things finally turn on.

It’s going to be a solid eight-day gap with nothing worth paddling out for. The first real bit of promise doesn’t show up until Sunday the 23rd. There’s a pulse of south swell pushing through with 4ft at 12 seconds, and the morning has a light WSW wind keeping it clean. That’s a brief window of hope, but it’s short-lived. The afternoon gets a NE onshore, and the energy is moderate (511 combined energy). It’s a quick hit, but if you’re keen, that’s your first look.

After that, it drops right back off again. The 24th and 25th are tiny and weak, with offshore winds making it look clean but leaving you with nothing to ride. You’ll be staring at ankle-biters.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The long-range forecast is showing something special, but it’s a long way out. On the 26th of August, we’re looking at a solid SSW groundswell hitting 10ft. The morning has a moderate offshore wind and it’s going to be cooking. This is a big step up, but the water’s still cold and it’s going to be powerful.

The real standout, though, is the morning of Thursday the 27th of August. This is the one to circle on the calendar. We’ve got a 16ft south swell at 12 seconds, with a gentle offshore wind. The energy is just insane (12892 combined energy). This is a heavyweight, expert-only session. If you’re not comfortable in serious, hold-onto-your-lunch waves, stay on the beach. It’s all-time potential but heavily charged.

And the very next morning, Friday the 28th, might just be the pick of the entire run. The swell is up to 18ft from the south at 13 seconds, and the wind is dead glassy—zero, absolute glass. The energy is colossal (16044 combined energy). This is as good as it gets, but again, it’s for pros only. The crowds will be out for this one, so expect the lineup to be packed, but the conditions will be as clean as you’ll ever see. It’s a once-in-a-while type morning.

After that big pulse, it slowly backs off into the 29th and 30th. The 29th still has some serious size (12ft) but the wind starts to shift, making it less ideal. By the 30th, it’s dropping fast and the onshores are back, so the window closes pretty quickly.

So, bottom line: if you’re a beginner or just want a casual paddle, forget the next week and a half. If you’re an experienced charger, you’re waiting for that Thursday the 27th and Friday the 28th window. It’s a long-range call, so don’t hold your breath, but if it comes together, it’ll be worth the wait.

Stay salty.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 20°C on Fri morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Sat
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
S
8
1.3
S
7
0.5
S
18
1.5
SSE
7
1
S
11
0.8
S
9
1
ESE
7
1.1
ESE
6
0.6
S
11
0.9
ESE
7
1.2
ESE
7
1
ESE
6
0.6
ESE
10
1.1
ESE
7
1
E
7
0.9
ENE
7
1.5
NE
6
1.1
ENE
7
1
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
273
150
170
192
224
111
91
96
82
70
127
80
74
114
92
66
156
111
91
88
Wind (km/h)
20
SSE
15
SSW
20
ESE
15
SSE
10
SE
10
E
15
SE
15
E
10
E
15
ESE
10
NE
10
W
15
ENE
10
WNW
10
N
20
NE
10
NNW
20
NW
20
NW
20
NW
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
on
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
10:04PM1.51m
10:41AM1.34m
10:46PM1.36m
11:23AM1.34m
11:30PM1.20m
12:07PM1.32m
00:16AM1.05m
12:55PM1.29m
1:12AM0.93m
1:51PM1.26m
2:24AM0.86m
2:55PM1.25m
3:46AM0.84m
Low Tide
4:28AM0.10m
4:41PM0.28m
5:03AM0.19m
5:33PM0.35m
5:38AM0.29m
6:29PM0.42m
6:14AM0.38m
7:34PM0.47m
6:57AM0.47m
8:49PM0.50m
7:52AM0.53m
10:06PM0.48m
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:33
6:31
6:31
6:30
6:28
6:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:25
5:27
5:28
5:28
 mm
1
3
1
2
4
4
7
1
5
1
Temp °C
16
15
15
16
16
15
15
15
16
16
15
16
16
16
18
17
16
20
20
15
Feels °C
12
12
11
12
12
12
12
12
13
13
13
14
14
14
14
13
14
14
16
11
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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