Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 06 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
18.1°C
0.1° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,590 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 2.5m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sun 6th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Best Surf10PM (Sun 6th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 10th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Manly over the next couple of weeks.

It’s a bit of a slow start, but hang in there. The first few days are a write-off with poor surf, though we do get a little window on Monday the 7th. The water’s sitting at 65°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real chance to get wet that’s worth mentioning is Monday morning, the 7th of September. We’ve got a 5ft southerly swell, but the real story is the wind: NNW at 5 mph and glassy. That’s a beautiful start to the day. The wave energy is moderate (308), and while the swell is short period at 8 seconds, the clean conditions will make it feel better than it looks. It’s a beginner-friendly point break, so if you’re just getting into it, this is your moment.

Tuesday the 8th sees a jump in size – 8ft from the SSE – but the wind is a cross-off at 12 mph, keeping it clean. The energy is strong (900). Still, it’s marginal for tide and quality, so only a score of 1 for the morning. The afternoon drops to 6ft with a light cross-shore, but it’s choppy and not the best.

Now, the standout. Friday morning, the 11th of September – this is the one to circle. We’ve got 8ft southerly swell with a 10-second period, and the wind is light WSW at 6 mph, cross-off. That’s clean, lined-up, and powerful. The combined wave energy is a massive 2355, which is strong to very strong. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The break is a point, so it should handle that size and direction nicely. If you’ve got the skill, this is the best on offer in the whole forecast.

Saturday the 12th brings a touch less size – 6ft from the south at 11 seconds – and offshore wind from the SW at 6 mph. Clean, good energy (754), and a solid option for a decent session. Sunday morning the 13th is small and not worth it.

There’s a gap of a few days after that with mostly poor or marginal conditions, but then Tuesday the 15th gives a little bump: 6ft southerly swell, 8-second period, and light SSE wind at 6 mph, cross-off. The energy is moderate (608) and it’s clean. A fair session for a weekday.

The second week gets a bit weird. On Thursday the 17th, we have a tiny 3ft swell but with a very long 17-second period from the south. The wind is glassy, ENE at 3 mph. For a point break, that long period could wrap in nicely, but it’s small. Energy is moderate (691). It’s a promising but uncertain call.

Later, on Friday the 18th afternoon, there’s a 3ft south swell with a 19-second period – that’s seriously long. The wind is cross-off from the WNW at 16 mph, keeping it clean. The wave energy is strong (1251). Again, the point should handle the long period, but the size is small. Worth a look if you’re keen on a long-period groundswell.

Overall, Friday the 11th is the clear winner. The rest is a mix of small windows and clean conditions, but nothing else comes close to that session.

Keep an eye on the forecasts, but for now, that’s the story.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the S by Wed morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Wed afternoon, light winds from the SW by Sat morning).

Sun
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
4
4
0
2
2
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
S
8
2.1
S
9
1.4
S
8
1.6
SSE
9
2.5
S
8
2.5
SSE
9
1.9
SSE
8
1.4
S
9
1.1
S
8
2.5
S
8
3.5
S
10
3
S
10
3
S
10
3
S
11
2.5
S
10
2.1
S
10
1.9
S
10
1.7
S
11
1.5
S
10
1.3
SSE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
187
748
245
380
765
892
460
306
169
822
2590
1509
1591
1995
1325
830
730
708
486
308
Wind (km/h)
25
SSE
10
SW
5
NNW
15
E
35
S
20
SSE
10
ESE
10
NW
30
SSW
45
S
30
SSW
25
SSW
20
S
15
W
10
WSW
20
SE
15
SW
10
SW
15
E
10
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
off
cross-on
cross
High Tide
5:00AM1.00m
5:00PM1.54m
5:57AM1.09m
5:56PM1.60m
6:46AM1.19m
6:47PM1.63m
7:28AM1.28m
7:32PM1.62m
8:08AM1.36m
8:15PM1.56m
8:46AM1.41m
8:56PM1.47m
Low Tide
10:57PM0.22m
10:24AM0.42m
11:54PM0.14m
11:29AM0.34m
00:42AM0.07m
12:24PM0.27m
1:23AM0.03m
1:15PM0.20m
2:01AM0.03m
2:02PM0.17m
2:36AM0.06m
2:48PM0.16m
3:09AM0.12m
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:05
6:05
6:03
6:01
6:00
5:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:43
 mm
1
1
Temp °C
17
16
18
17
16
16
15
14
16
14
14
14
14
14
17
16
15
15
15
14
Feels °C
12
14
15
14
10
11
12
12
10
5
5
8
9
11
12
12
12
13
13
12
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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