
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, S swell with 3,341 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 04) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sat 4th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what Manly’s got cookin’ over the next couple of weeks.
Straight off the bat, we’ve got some swell, so no waiting around. The water temp is about 66°F, which is pretty standard for the season – nothing strange.
Saturday, July 4th – The morning is the move. We’ve got about 5ft of swell from the south, with a 12-second period – that’s real groundswell. Wind is light, 6 mph from the west, blowing cross-offshore, so the waves will be clean. The combined energy is 546, which is moderate but workable. By afternoon the swell drops and the wind turns onshore, so get in early.
Sunday, July 5th – The swell cranks up to 12ft from the south. That’s a lot of water. Period is short at 11 seconds, and the energy is a hefty 2517. This is for experts only – over 8ft is serious business. The wind is a strong 19 mph from the SSW, blowing cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean but intimidating. Not one for the faint-hearted.
Monday, July 6th – Swell sticks around at about 8ft from the SSE, period is short at 10 seconds. Wind is moderate from the SSE at 16 mph, cross-offshore. Energy is still strong at 1281. It’s big and a bit raw, but if you’ve got the nerve, there’ll be waves.
Tuesday 7th & Wednesday 8th July – These mornings look good. Tuesday morning has 8ft SSE swell with a true offshore wind from the SSW at 16 mph – that’s clean and groomed. Energy is 1476. Wednesday morning is similar: 10ft from the SSE, 13 mph offshore from the SW, energy at 1610. Both are described as very good conditions. The periods are around 10 seconds, so not super long, but that offshore wind will sort it out.
Friday, July 10th – The afternoon is a sleeper hit. Swell is 7ft from the SSE, but the wind goes glassy – only 3 mph from the ESE. The energy is moderate at 1068, but a flat-calm surface is a rare treat. Perfect for a cleaner, easier paddle.
The surf then goes quiet from the 11th to the 13th, with swell dropping under 5ft and energy below 300. It’s a lull, but forecasts can change.
Tuesday, July 14th – The ocean roars back. Afternoon brings a solid 13ft pulse from the south at 10 seconds, with a 19 mph offshore wind from the SW. Energy is 3546. That’s big, powerful, and clean, but strictly for experts. The period is short for that size, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and lined up, but the offshore wind will help.
Weekend of 18th & 19th July – This is the highlight. Saturday afternoon sees 12ft from the SSE with an 11-second period, and energy at 6166 – that’s a monster. Sunday morning is the king: 12ft from the south at 10 seconds, with a gentle 9 mph offshore from the SW. Energy is 3995, and it’s rated excellent for experienced surfers. That light offshore breeze will make for glassy, hollow, powerful waves. If you can handle it, this is the best session of the forecast. Remember, long-period swells like this can wall up at a point break, but the quality is undeniable.
Bottom line: Friday 10th afternoon for the glassy, manageable fun, and Sunday 19th morning for the heavy, clean, expert-grade stuff.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Sat morning, fresh winds from the S by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 9 | S 12 | S 11 | S 13 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
519 | 168 | 687 | 2500 | 3341 | 1875 | 1263 | 1172 | 918 | 1258 | 1733 | 1978 | 1508 | 1210 | 1276 | 1182 | 1156 | 1369 | 1311 | 1060 | 635 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:13AM1.07m | 10:57PM1.42m | 11:57AM1.11m | 11:38PM1.35m | 12:44PM1.16m | 00:25AM1.26m | 1:34PM1.23m | 1:22AM1.17m | 2:29PM1.31m | 2:29AM1.09m | 3:26PM1.40m | 3:44AM1.04m | 4:25PM1.50m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:39PM0.45m | 5:43AM0.19m | 5:28PM0.48m | 6:20AM0.20m | 6:26PM0.50m | 7:01AM0.22m | 7:32PM0.50m | 7:48AM0.25m | 8:46PM0.46m | 8:40AM0.27m | 10:01PM0.38m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:12PM0.27m | ||||||||
7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | |
— | 4:57 | — | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 9 | S 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 13 | E 14 | E 13 | S 10 | SE 13 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SSE 13 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
519 | 168 | 130 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 282 | 212 | 1487 | 1701 | 1508 | 129 | 97 | 57 | 35 | 1369 | 1311 | 1060 | 635 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | S 12 | S 12 | E 14 | E 13 | — | E 13 | E 14 | — | S 18 | S 17 | — | ESE 13 | S 16 | S 20 | S 16 | ESE 9 | SE 14 | S 20 | S 21 | S 17 |
14 | 75 | 134 | 4 | 14 | — | 14 | 4 | — | 6 | 5 | — | 102 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 34 | 221 | 8 | 8 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | NE 7 | NE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 22 | S 17 | S 20 | — | — | S 17 |
13 | 13 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 6 | 8 | — | — | 6 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | — | S 12 | S 11 | S 13 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | — | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | 687 | 2500 | 3341 | 1875 | 1263 | 1172 | 918 | 1258 | 1733 | 1978 | — | 1210 | 1276 | 1182 | 1156 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 12 | 0 | 105 | 207 | 185 | 113 | 113 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 78 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.









