Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 05 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.8°C
0.1° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 1,665 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sun 6th Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 7s
Best Surf 1AM (Mon 7th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 10s
Most Powerful 1PM (Thu 10th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Comin’ at you with the outlook for Manly, a point break that’s sheltered and best with a SE swell.

The water’s sittin’ around 64°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year – nothin’ to write home about.

Right off the bat, the next few days are a write-off. Saturday the 5th is junk – tiny 2ft S swell with a cross-on breeze, just messy. Sunday the 6th ain’t much better, with a short-period 4ft SSW swell and fresh offshore wind, but the wave energy is weak at 135. We’re stuck in a flat, wind-affected spell until Monday the 7th.

Monday morning the 7th is where things finally wake up. The swell bumps up to 6ft from the south at 9 seconds, and here’s the kicker – glassy conditions with a WNW breeze at just 3 mph. Combined energy hits a healthy 431, so there’s decent power. This is your best early call – clean, lined-up waves, good for all levels since it’s under the 8ft mark. The shoulder-high sets will be peeling nicely off the point.

Tuesday the 8th sees bigger 8ft S swell, but it’s cross-offshore and clean in the morning. Energy jumps to 1085 – solid power, but that’s gettin’ into bigger territory, more for the experienced crew. The wind switches to cross-shore by the afternoon.

Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th stay in the 5ft to 8ft range, but it’s windy and messy. Not your time.

Now, Friday the 11th morning is a standout window. We’ve got 7ft S swell at 10 seconds, light W wind at 6 mph making it cross-off and clean, with energy roaring at 1008. This is proper groundswell, good shape, and the point will handle it beautifully. Lined-up sets, plenty of grunt.

Saturday the 12th morning is glassy again – zero wind from the SW, 5ft S swell at 11 seconds – that’s a dreamy session for a surfer who likes smooth, clean lines.

After that, we hit a flat patch. Sunday the 13th through Tuesday the 15th sees the swell drop under 4ft with onshore winds and low energy. Not worth paddlin’ out.

Now, jump ahead to Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th – here comes the big one. We’re talkin’ 13ft S swell at 12 to 13 seconds, with energy numbers like 8278 and 5369 – that’s a serious groundswell, full-on power. Thursday afternoon the 17th has clean cross-off conditions with light SSE wind at 6 mph. This is expert-only territory – solid, heavy, and the period is long enough to jack up on the point. If you’re experienced, this is the highlight of the forecast. It’s a week away so keep an eye on it, but the potential is huge.

Friday the 18th still has 10ft swell with offshore WSW wind in the morning – another big, clean session for the brave. The energy is still massive at 3772.

Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th drop back to a more manageable 6ft to 12ft range, with Sunday morning the 20th lookin’ excellent – 12ft S swell, light offshore SSW breeze at 3 mph, and clean lines. Another solid option for advanced surfers.

Overall, the best bets are Monday morning the 7th for clean, fun waves, and the big groundswell window from Wednesday the 16th through Sunday the 20th for the experienced crew. The point will handle the long-period energy just fine – better than a beach break – so expect proper lines.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the S by Mon night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Tue night, fresh winds from the S by Wed afternoon).

Sat
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
2
2
3
2
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
9
0.5
S
10
1.1
SSW
7
1.3
SSW
7
2.5
S
10
1.5
S
8
1.2
S
9
1.9
SSE
8
2.1
SSE
9
1.9
SSE
9
1.6
SSE
9
1.3
SSE
9
2.5
S
7
2.5
S
9
2.5
S
10
2.4
S
10
2.3
S
12
2
S
11
1.9
S
11
1.7
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
62
44
105
191
1437
298
220
473
645
579
461
276
688
1189
1333
1247
1447
934
804
633
Wind (km/h)
25
WNW
25
WSW
25
SW
25
SSE
15
SSW
5
WNW
20
E
30
S
25
S
10
ESE
10
NW
25
SSW
35
S
20
S
20
S
15
SE
15
W
10
WNW
15
ENE
5
S
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
3:46AM0.94m
3:54PM1.47m
5:00AM1.00m
5:00PM1.54m
5:57AM1.09m
5:56PM1.60m
6:46AM1.19m
6:47PM1.63m
7:28AM1.28m
7:32PM1.62m
8:08AM1.36m
8:15PM1.56m
Low Tide
9:47PM0.30m
9:09AM0.46m
10:57PM0.22m
10:24AM0.42m
11:54PM0.14m
11:29AM0.34m
00:42AM0.07m
12:24PM0.27m
1:23AM0.03m
1:15PM0.20m
2:01AM0.03m
2:02PM0.17m
2:36AM0.06m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:07
6:05
6:05
6:03
6:01
6:00
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:38
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:40
5:42
5:43
 mm
3
1
Temp °C
29
23
19
18
16
17
16
15
16
15
14
15
14
15
14
13
14
18
16
15
Feels °C
23
20
15
13
12
14
12
11
13
12
12
11
6
10
9
9
12
15
13
15
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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