Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin' for Manly over the next couple of weeks.

First up, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. The early part of the week is pretty ordinary. Monday morning the 20th actually has some decent energy in the water with a 6ft swell from the ENE (11-second period), and the combined energy is a solid 1016, which is moderate. Winds are light and cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean. That’s your best bet for the first few days, but it’s a bit of a one-off. After that, things go flat and messy. Tuesday through to Thursday morning see dropping swell and poor conditions – wind swings around onshore or cross-shore, and the size drops below 3ft. You’ll be staring at a flat lake for a few days there.

Now, the real action starts to build. Friday the 24th morning brings a new 7ft S swell (9-second period) with light offshore WSW winds, so it’s clean and punchy. That’s a solid pick for a dawny. The energy is moderate (667). Saturday the 25th is also good, but the wind gets a bit more feisty – moderate offshore in the morning, then cleaner in the afternoon with a 5ft S swell, 12-second period, and 699 energy. That longer period will give you some nice lines.

But the standout? Sunday the 26th morning. That’s the one. We’ve got a 7ft S swell (10-second period) with light offshore WSW winds, and the combined energy jumps to 1402 – strong. It’s clean, it’s got power, and it’s going to be proper fun. That’s the best on offer in the first week. You’ll want to be on it early.

Heads up though, that swell is over 5ft, so it’s a bit much for beginners, and it’s a point break, so it’ll hold its shape. Crowds are often an issue at Manly, so expect company.

The second week gets interesting. Thursday the 30th we see a big jump – 12ft S swell (11-second period) with moderate offshore wind conditions. The energy is a massive 5301 in the morning and 3684 in the afternoon. That’s strong to very strong. This is expert territory – over 8ft, so only for the experienced. It’s clean and powerful. Friday the 31st keeps that size with light offshore winds, still big and clean. Saturday the 1st of August you’re looking at 10ft S swell, still clean, and Sunday the 2nd holds 8ft S swell with light offshore – that’s a solid, long-running swell event.

The water temperature? For the first break, it’s about average for the time of year – nothing unusual, just your standard winter chill.

Overall, the best windows are Sunday the 26th morning for a solid, clean 7ft S swell, and then the big boy stuff from Thursday the 30th through to Sunday the 2nd of August. That second pulse is for the crew who know what they’re doing. For the rest of us, Sunday the 26th is the one to circle.

Rusty out.

Read more