Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 21 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.8° C
0.1° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 13s period, S swell with 1,756 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.3m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Wed 22nd Jul)4ft (1.2m) 10s
Best Surf10AM (Fri 24th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 10s
Most Powerful10PM (Fri 24th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s see what’s cookin’ for Manly.

The next couple of days are a bit of a write-off, but don’t get too down. The forecast starts with a bit of a gap, with nothing worth paddling out for on Tuesday the 21st or Wednesday the 22nd. The waves are small and weak, and the wind is all over the shop. We’ll see a bit of surfable slop on Wednesday afternoon when the wind goes glassy, but it’s only 4ft from the ENE with weak energy (251), so it’s more of a longboard cruise than anything to get excited about. Thursday is also pretty ordinary, with the swell dropping off.

Then, Friday morning the 24th is where things start to get interesting. The wind swings offshore from the SW, and we get a solid 8ft pulse from the south, with a moderate 9-second period. The energy jumps up to 1469, so there’s some real push behind it. That morning session is the pick of the first week – clean, punchy, and with that offshore breeze grooming it up. It’s a bit too big for beginners, but good for anyone who’s got their wits about them. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is pretty standard for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The stand-out, though, is the run from the 30th of July into the 1st of August. This is big-boy territory. Thursday morning the 30th sees an 12ft south swell with a long 11-second period, and the energy is absolutely pumping at 4517. The wind is light and cross-shore, so it’ll be a bit tricky, but the size is there. Then Friday morning the 31st is the real gem – another 12ft south swell, but this time with a clean offshore breeze from the WNW and a 12-second period. The energy is 3235, and the conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. This is well over 8ft, so it’s experts only, and the crowd will be a factor, as Manly can get busy. That long period will make the sets line up nice, but it might be a bit straight for the beach breaks, so keep an eye on the rip bowls.

After that, things settle down a bit. Saturday the 1st of August still has solid 10ft waves, but the wind is cross-off, so it’s still clean. By Sunday the 2nd, it’s back down to a more manageable 5ft from the south, with a gentle offshore breeze, making for a fun, clean session for the average punter.

The second week trails off into smaller, weaker surf with a lot of onshore winds, so don’t bank on much after the 4th of August. The best bet is hands down Friday morning the 31st of July – that’s the one to circle on the calendar. But do keep in mind it’s a long-range call, so it could change.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed afternoon, fresh winds from the WSW by Thu afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
2
2
0
1
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
ENE
10
1.2
ENE
10
1.1
ENE
10
1
ENE
9
0.9
ENE
9
0.8
ENE
9
1.6
SSW
9
2.4
S
10
2.2
S
12
2.2
S
12
1.8
S
11
1.3
S
10
1.4
S
12
1.7
S
10
1.6
S
9
1.4
S
9
1
S
8
1
S
8
0.8
SSE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
339
269
210
168
119
92
388
1026
1321
1413
730
352
511
601
445
299
136
144
92
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
10
WNW
0
N
15
WNW
20
W
30
SW
25
WSW
15
SW
10
E
15
W
25
W
15
SW
15
WSW
15
WSW
10
SE
10
WSW
10
SW
10
SE
5
WNW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross
cross-off
off
cross
glassy
High Tide
1:53AM1.01m
2:46PM1.28m
2:59AM0.91m
3:41PM1.30m
4:11AM0.87m
4:35PM1.33m
5:17AM0.88m
5:25PM1.37m
6:11AM0.91m
6:11PM1.43m
6:55AM0.95m
6:53PM1.48m
Low Tide
7:56AM0.39m
9:28PM0.50m
8:44AM0.45m
10:38PM0.47m
9:39AM0.48m
11:37PM0.42m
10:35AM0.49m
00:26AM0.36m
11:28AM0.46m
1:07AM0.30m
12:15PM0.43m
1:45AM0.24m
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:54
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:07
5:07
5:08
5:09
5:09
5:10
 mm
1
Temp °C
16
18
20
16
19
18
11
13
13
11
18
18
12
15
15
15
15
16
15
Feels °C
14
14
18
13
14
11
3
9
9
8
13
14
7
12
13
14
12
14
14
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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