Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 28 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
18.2° C
0.3° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 11s period, S swell with 1,212 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 12s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 1.5m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.3m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 30th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 12s
Best Surf 7AM (Fri 31st Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 11s
Most Powerful 7AM (Fri 31st Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here with the long-range look for the Northern Beaches. Let’s break it down.

It’s a slow start, but we’ve got a solid pocket of fun surf from Thursday through Saturday. The water temp is about 65°F, which is right where it should be for this time of year.

First real action is Thursday morning, July 30th, at Manly. We’ve got a clean 6ft south swell with a 9-second period. The wind is light offshore from the WSW, glassy as it gets. The combined wave energy is moderate (546). The swell direction is south, and while the spot likes it from the southeast, it’s still making waves. Good for beginners and intermediates.

Friday morning, July 31st, is the standout. Manly again. Swell is 7ft from the south, with an 11-second period, giving it some real groundswell power. The combined energy jumps to 905 (moderate-strong), and the wind is offshore from the SW. This is the clean, punchy, best session of the whole forecast. The longer period means better shaped waves but longer lulls between sets.

Saturday morning, August 1st, still has some life. Swell drops to 5ft from the SSE, with a 10-second period, and the wind is almost calm from the WNW. The energy is still moderate (549). It’s a decent backup option.

After that, it’s a long stretch of nothing. Sunday and Monday see dropping swell and onshore winds, and by Tuesday it’s flat. There’s a gap of poor conditions from August 2nd all the way through August 12th. We get a brief 6ft on the afternoon of the 5th, but it’s short-period (8 seconds) with cross-off wind, so it’s not great. From the 7th to the 12th, it’s all onshore winds from the ENE and NE, making it lumpy and choppy. That setup is more for kite surfers than paddle surfers.

So, the call is: Thursday morning and Friday morning are your windows. Friday is the best. After that, it’s a long wait for the next one.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
2
1
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
S
9
0.3
S
9
0.2
S
17
0.1
S
15
0.3
S
12
1.8
S
9
1.5
S
9
2.1
S
11
2
S
11
2
S
10
1.7
S
10
1.6
SSE
10
1.4
SSE
10
1.5
SSE
10
1.3
SSE
10
1
SSE
10
0.8
SSE
10
0.7
SE
10
0.6
SSE
10
0.4
SE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
24
13
23
7
26
539
357
1065
900
776
552
463
356
462
333
210
135
108
68
24
Wind (km/h)
5
NW
15
NW
20
W
25
WSW
20
WSW
15
WSW
15
SSE
15
W
15
SW
20
S
5
SSW
5
WNW
15
NE
10
NW
10
NW
15
NE
10
N
10
W
10
WNW
20
SSW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
on
cross
cross
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
7:32PM1.53m
8:12AM1.04m
8:09PM1.56m
8:48AM1.08m
8:44PM1.56m
9:24AM1.13m
9:18PM1.54m
10:00AM1.17m
9:54PM1.49m
10:38AM1.21m
10:31PM1.41m
11:18AM1.26m
11:12PM1.31m
Low Tide
2:20AM0.19m
1:38PM0.36m
2:54AM0.16m
2:18PM0.34m
3:26AM0.14m
2:57PM0.33m
3:57AM0.13m
3:38PM0.34m
4:28AM0.13m
4:22PM0.36m
5:01AM0.16m
5:10PM0.39m
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:50
6:48
6:48
6:47
6:47
6:46
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:12
5:12
5:13
5:14
5:14
5:15
5:15
 mm
3
1
Temp °C
20
15
15
16
11
13
14
13
14
14
13
15
15
15
18
19
19
17
18
15
Feels °C
17
10
9
8
4
9
10
10
9
9
10
12
11
11
15
17
16
13
15
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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