Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Manly over the next couple of weeks.

First thing you need to know is that the water temp is sitting at 63°, which is a bit colder than we're used to for this time of year. A full degree and a half cooler than average, so you’ll want that 4/3.

Honestly, the first few days are a bit of a letdown. Thursday the 6th has a tiny 3ft south swell, but it's onshore and the combined energy is only 159, so it's weak and messy. Stay out of the water. Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th are similar – small, weak, and uninspiring. You’re looking at waist-high dribble with a bit of wind bump. Sunday the 9th sees a bump in swell from the ENE, around 4ft, but the wind swings northerly and it gets choppy. The energy is moderate at 203, but it won't be pretty.

Monday the 10th is a write-off. Strong westerly winds, 25 mph, will have the place blown out, even if the swell is up to 5ft. The energy is moderate at 341, but it's just not surfable.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Tuesday the 11th is our standout. We’ve got a clean 5ft south swell pushing in, with a period of 9 seconds. The wind is light and variable, turning glassy in the afternoon. The combined energy jumps to a solid 691, so there’s some proper push behind it. This is the best session of the whole forecast. The morning will be clean with that light westerly cross-off, and by the afternoon, it’s going to be glassy perfection. Manly (Manly) is a point break, so it should handle this swell well. Get in the water.

Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th are a mess. The wind goes onshore again, and Thursday morning sees a strong 25 mph offshore wind with a short-period 7ft swell. The energy is 498, but it's going to be a washing machine. However, Thursday afternoon the 13th is worth a mention. A massive 16ft swell from the SSW rolls in, with a long 12-second period. The combined energy is 11116, which is huge. The wind is cross-off, but this is for experts only. If you're not a pro, stay on the sand. The same goes for Friday the 14th, with a solid 12ft south swell and 11-12 second periods. The energy is 3512 and 6117. It’s a big, powerful groundswell that will be breaking straight at the beach, but it could be incredible for the point if you’re experienced.

The second week is a real drop-off. From Saturday the 15th onward, the swell drops, and the wind is persistently onshore or cross-off, with rain showers. The energy goes from 1643 down to 64 by Friday the 21st. There’s nothing worthwhile in the second week. The waves are small, weak, and messy. The only thing to note is a brief window of light offshore on Wednesday the 19th morning with a tiny 3ft swell, but it’s not enough to get excited about.

So, your one and only true standout is Tuesday the 11th. That’s your session. The long-range stuff on the 13th and 14th is promising but only for the big-wave crew. After that, it’s a two-week wait for the next proper swell.

Rusty.

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