
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 12s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 12s period, S swell with 1,330 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 12s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.1m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s on the menu for Manly. The next week and a bit is gonna be a real mixed bag, with a long stretch of flatness to start before we finally get a proper pulse. The water temperature is sitting right on 64°, which is pretty standard for this time of year, so no nasty surprises there.
First up, the bad news: there’s nothing worth paddling out for from Monday afternoon through to Wednesday afternoon. The swell is tiny, mostly under 2ft, and the energy is dead – combined energy maxing out at a pathetic 44. A few moments of glassy wind on Tuesday afternoon will make for a pretty lake, but there’s no wave to ride. Stick to the coffee shop.
Things finally get interesting on Thursday morning, the 30th of July. The south swell jumps to a solid 7ft with a 9-second period, and the combined energy rockets up to 1123. That’s proper moderate energy. The wind is offshore from the WSW, so Manly’s point setup will be clean and lined up. This is a top pick for the whole forecast period. That said, 7ft is getting a bit meaty for beginners, so intermediate and up will have a ball. The swell is from the south, right in the sweet spot for this sheltered point. Expect some clean, punchy walls.
Friday morning, the 31st, is another standout. Similar size at 7ft, slightly longer period at 10 seconds, and still offshore from the SW. Combined energy is even higher at 1416. This is the best you’ll see all week – strong, clean, and consistent. The long period means the sets will have some real grunt, and the gaps will give you a breather. This is the one to circle on the calendar.
By Saturday morning, the 1st of August, the swell drops a touch to 4ft, but it’s still clean with light WSW offshore winds. Combined energy is 405, still decent. The waves will be smaller and more manageable, perfect for a wider range of ability. It’s a solid, fun session, but not a standout like Thursday or Friday.
The rest of the long-range stuff is a bit of a letdown. Sunday the 2nd has a 5ft south-southeast swell with a long 12-second period, but the wind is cross-onshore, making it bumpy. Combined energy is 609, but the quality won’t be there. The following week, from Monday the 3rd through to Tuesday the 11th of August, is mostly messy or small. There’s a glimpse of clean conditions on Monday the 3rd morning with a 4ft south-southeast swell and offshore wind, but it’s just okay. The swell direction is hitting the exposed side of the point, and the energy is moderate at 436.
Later in the second week, Wednesday the 5th shows a 6ft south-southeast swell in the morning with a super short 6-second period. That wind swell will be lumpy and weak, despite the size. By Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th, the swell picks up again to 5ft and 7ft, but the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the direction is from the southeast, which isn’t ideal for the point. The long period (10 seconds) on the 8th will bring energy, but the onshore breeze will chop it up. It’s more of a windswell mess than a clean surf day.
If you’ve got a kite, the later part of the second week with the onshore winds and lumpy 7ft+ swell might be worth a look, but for paddle surfing, the clear winners are Thursday and Friday (30th and 31st of July). The long-range stuff later on is too uncertain and messy to get excited about. Don’t hold your breath for the second week.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 17 | S 16 | S 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
143 | 65 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 23 | 7 | 66 | 621 | 349 | 984 | 818 | 654 | 541 | 287 | 295 | 397 | 598 | 454 | 275 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross | cross-on | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:53PM1.48m | 7:35AM0.99m | 7:32PM1.53m | 8:12AM1.04m | 8:09PM1.56m | 8:48AM1.08m | 8:44PM1.56m | 9:24AM1.13m | 9:18PM1.54m | 10:00AM1.17m | 9:54PM1.49m | 10:38AM1.21m | 10:31PM1.41m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:45AM0.24m | 12:58PM0.39m | 2:20AM0.19m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:54AM0.16m | 2:18PM0.34m | 3:26AM0.14m | 2:57PM0.33m | 3:57AM0.13m | 3:38PM0.34m | 4:28AM0.13m | 4:22PM0.36m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | |
5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 18 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 16 | S 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 |
143 | 65 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 66 | 389 | 349 | 984 | 590 | 654 | 541 | 287 | 295 | 397 | 598 | 454 | 275 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | SE 8 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | S 17 | SE 13 | ENE 6 | S 12 | S 12 | — | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SSE 14 | SSE 14 | SSE 14 | NE 6 | E 17 | SSE 14 |
2 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 110 | 347 | — | 5 | 5 | 5 | 113 | 82 | 220 | 6 | 6 | 140 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | SE 16 | NE 4 | SE 15 | N 3 | SE 6 | SE 6 | S 13 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 11 | E 11 | NE 4 |
8 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 9 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNE 4 | NW 2 | N 3 | W 3 | NW 3 | SW 4 | SSW 5 | S 9 | — | — | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | — |
— | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 621 | — | — | 818 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 145 | 589 | 280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.









