Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, checking out Manly for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, there’s a decent run of south-east groundswell pushing in, but the wind is messing with it. The combined swell energy is beefy – 1807 on Monday morning – so there’s plenty of power. The problem is a moderate breeze from the SSE putting a cross-off chop on the face. At 3.0m, this is big for anyone, and with a 10-second period, it’s not clean. That’s expert-only territory, no doubt.

Tuesday the 7th keeps that energy high, hitting 2722 with 3.0m to 3.5m swell from the SSE and SE, but the wind stays cross-off from the S and SSW, building to a fresh breeze in the afternoon. Still lumpy and big. Wednesday morning the 8th eases to 2.5m from the SE, 11-second period, with a gentle SSW breeze. The energy is still up at 1878, but the lighter wind should help. Still, it’s well overhead.

Thursday the 9th looks more manageable at 2.0m from the SE, 10-second period, with a gentle SSE breeze. Energy drops to a moderate 919. This is doable for strong intermediate surfers. Friday the 10th is the standout of the first week: 1.7m south-east swell, 9 to 10-second period, and a light WSW offshore wind in the morning. Energy is a moderate 488, and that offshore wind will give you clean, lined-up waves. This is the pick.

The weekend goes flat. Saturday the 11th starts at 1.2m but drops to 0.9m with onshore wind by afternoon. Sunday and Monday the 12th and 13th are basically dead – 0.5m and 0.3m, energy down to 166 then 21. A couple of days off.

Then it fires back. Tuesday the 14th gets a weak 1.3m SSW windswell, but the real deal is Wednesday the 15th. A 2.5m south swell, 10-second period, moderate SW offshore wind all morning, and energy jumps to 1351. This is a proper winter groundswell with clean offshore conditions. Water temp is about average for July. This is a big session – over 1.5m, so it’s for experienced surfers, but it’s clean and powerful.

Thursday the 16th goes bigger to 3.5m from the south, 10-second period, with a moderate SSW offshore – energy is a massive 2331. That’s expert-only, but the wind is right. Friday the 17th is still solid at 2.3m from the SSE, offshore SW wind, energy 1003. Saturday morning the 18th has a 2.1m SE swell, 11-second period, light W cross-off, energy 1046. Good shape, but the afternoon goes onshore.

After that, it drops off again from the 19th into the 21st, with small, poor conditions. That last entry on the 21st of July shows a 4.0m south swell with a fresh offshore WSW wind, energy 2498, but that’s a long way out – keep it on the radar.

The two best windows: Friday morning the 10th for clean, moderate south-east swell, and Wednesday morning the 15th for the best combo of size, power, and offshore wind.

- Rusty

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