Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, S swell with 1,748 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.1m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what we’ve got coming.
It’s a slow start on Thursday, July 23rd – small, weak, and not worth paddling out for. The first real fun shows up on Friday, July 24th. Friday morning is the standout. We’re looking at a clean 7ft south swell, with a light offshore breeze from the southwest. The waves will be lined up, punchy, and full of energy, with a combined energy reading of 1331 (moderate to strong). This is the best session of the whole outlook. The swell direction is a great match for Manly, and it’s a point break, so it’ll handle that long-period groundswell nicely. It can get crowded, but it’s worth it.
Saturday morning, July 25th, still has a solid 6ft south swell, but the wind is cross-off. The 11-second period gives it good shape, but Friday is the clear winner.
Sunday, July 26th, is similar with a 6ft swell and clean wind, but the energy is a touch lower. Monday and Tuesday are small and weak, with the swell dropping to almost nothing.
Then things get wild. Thursday, July 30th, a massive 10ft to 13ft south swell rolls in, but the conditions are tricky. The wind is strong offshore in the afternoon, hitting 19 mph, so it’ll be clean, but 13ft is only for the expert crew. The combined energy hits 3362 (very strong). This is a big, heavy ocean.
Friday, July 31st, is still huge at 10ft, with a strong offshore wind and heavy rain. It’s a raw, stormy scene.
The first weekend of August is more manageable. Saturday, August 1st, has a solid 7ft south-southeast swell with clean offshore wind all day. The energy is 724 (moderate), and the conditions are good. Sunday, August 2nd, drops off, and the next week is mostly small and ordinary.
Water temp is 64°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.
Bottom line: get out there Friday, July 24th, morning. That’s the one. The big stuff at the end of the month is for the brave or the crazy.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Thu afternoon, light winds from the SSW by Fri morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 16 | S 19 | S 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 119 | 92 | 45 | 755 | 367 | 1679 | 688 | 345 | 348 | 701 | 468 | 341 | 189 | 140 | 88 | 37 | 22 | 11 | 19 | 28 | 331 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | on | cross | cross | on | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:41PM1.30m | 4:11AM0.87m | 4:35PM1.33m | 5:17AM0.88m | 5:25PM1.37m | 6:11AM0.91m | 6:11PM1.43m | 6:55AM0.95m | 6:53PM1.48m | 7:35AM0.99m | 7:32PM1.53m | 8:12AM1.04m | 8:09PM1.56m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:38PM0.47m | 9:39AM0.48m | 11:37PM0.42m | 10:35AM0.49m | 00:26AM0.36m | 11:28AM0.46m | 1:07AM0.30m | 12:15PM0.43m | 1:45AM0.24m | 12:58PM0.39m | 2:20AM0.19m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:54AM0.16m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 18 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 8 |
Feels °C | 13 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | NE 5 | NE 5 | S 12 |
| kJ | 119 | 92 | 45 | 535 | 367 | 1679 | 688 | 345 | 348 | 701 | 468 | 341 | 189 | 140 | 88 | 37 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 77 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | ENE 8 | S 12 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | S 15 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | SE 14 | SE 16 | NE 3 | SE 7 | SE 6 | S 8 | S 19 | NE 8 |
| kJ | 8 | 16 | 41 | 40 | 214 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 219 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 8 | SE 8 | E 7 | ENE 8 | — | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 8 | — | — | NE 8 | S 13 | NE 7 | NE 8 | SE 7 | SE 15 | SE 14 | S 16 | SE 13 | E 14 |
| kJ | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 28 | — | 2 | 2 | 6 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 7 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 2 | SW 2 | SSW 6 | S 10 | — | — | W 3 | — | WSW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | NNE 4 | NE 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | SW 4 | S 8 |
| kJ | 1 | 2 | 115 | 755 | — | — | 5 | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 331 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 3 | 3 | 61 | 270 | 314 | 49 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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