Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 27 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.7° C
0.2° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, S swell with 1,493 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 2.0m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Thu 30th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 10s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 30th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 10s
Most Powerful 4AM (Thu 30th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s break it down. The next sixteen days start with a bit of a flat spell, but a solid winter groundswell window opens up later. Manly is the only spot on the cards, a sheltered point break that’s a beginner’s haven when it’s small. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days are a write-off. Monday the 27th has a tiny 4ft south swell with a short 9-second period, but the wind is a messy cross-off and the combined energy is only 244, so it’s weak and ordinary. That afternoon and all of Tuesday and Wednesday are flat and poor. We’re looking at a 3-day gap with no real surf on offer.

Thursday the 30th is where it gets interesting. The morning brings a solid 7ft south swell, 9-second period, with a clean offshore wind from the WSW at 9 mph. The combined energy jumps to 1383, which is strong. The point will be a bit chunky for the groms at that size, but conditions will be clean and lined up. Thursday afternoon still holds at 6ft with 509 combined energy.

Friday the 31st keeps the run going: 6ft south swell, 10-second period, gentle offshore in the morning. Combined energy at 760. Good, clean waves with a bit of punch. Saturday morning the 1st drops to 5ft but still has that offshore wind, though the energy is down to 344. It’s surfable, but nothing special.

After that, we hit another lull. Sunday the 2nd through to Tuesday the 5th morning is mostly small, under 4ft, with poor wind directions. Tuesday afternoon the 5th sees a 4ft south swell with a short 7-second period, so it’s weak and messy. The combined energy is only 247.

The real standout comes on Wednesday the 5th morning: 6ft south swell, 7-second period, but the wind is a solid offshore at 12 mph. The combined energy is 457, and the conditions will be clean. That afternoon, though, it gets bumpy with stronger wind.

Thursday the 6th morning is another good one: 6ft south swell, 8-second period, moderate offshore wind. Combined energy at 468. Clean and punchy.

But the highlight of the entire outlook is Friday the 7th. The morning serves up a 8ft swell from the southeast, with a very long 12-second period – that’s proper groundswell. The wind is a moderate offshore from the SW at 12 mph, and the combined energy is a massive 1393. That’s a big, clean, powerful swell. For a point break like Manly, that long period will wrap in nicely and give some great, long walls. It’s a bit too big for beginners, but for intermediate and above, it’s the pick of the fortnight.

Saturday the 8th is even bigger, with 12ft from the southeast and 11-second period, combining for a whopping 2924 energy. That’s expert-only territory. The morning is glassy with a light cross-off, but the size is intimidating. After that, Sunday the 9th drops to 7ft, but the wind shifts onshore, so it’s messy.

The second week fades out with small, weak swells and poor wind. Nothing to get excited about from Monday the 10th onward.

So, to sum it up: the first few days are a wash. The real action is Thursday the 30th through to Friday the 7th. The standout is Friday the 7th morning – that 8ft, 12-second groundswell with offshore wind is the one to circle. The earlier Thursday and Friday windows are also solid, especially if you want a bit less size. If you’re an expert, Saturday the 8th morning is a beast, but respect the power.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
3
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
S
9
1
S
8
0.7
S
8
0.5
S
8
0.4
S
9
0.3
S
9
0.2
S
17
0.1
S
15
0.4
S
11
2.2
S
9
1.7
S
9
2.1
S
11
1.9
S
10
1.9
S
10
1.7
S
10
1.4
SSE
9
1.3
SSE
9
1.3
SSE
9
1.1
SSE
10
1
SSE
10
0.9
SSE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
230
143
65
28
24
13
22
7
37
848
469
1030
753
673
529
333
260
272
250
194
163
Wind (km/h)
10
W
10
NE
10
NNW
15
WNW
5
N
15
NW
25
WSW
25
WSW
25
WSW
15
WSW
15
SSE
15
W
15
SW
15
SSE
10
WSW
10
WSW
10
ESE
10
NW
10
N
20
NE
10
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-on
cross
cross-on
on
cross
High Tide
6:53PM1.48m
7:35AM0.99m
7:32PM1.53m
8:12AM1.04m
8:09PM1.56m
8:48AM1.08m
8:44PM1.56m
9:24AM1.13m
9:18PM1.54m
10:00AM1.17m
9:54PM1.49m
10:38AM1.21m
10:31PM1.41m
Low Tide
12:15PM0.43m
1:45AM0.24m
12:58PM0.39m
2:20AM0.19m
1:38PM0.36m
2:54AM0.16m
2:18PM0.34m
3:26AM0.14m
2:57PM0.33m
3:57AM0.13m
3:38PM0.34m
4:28AM0.13m
4:22PM0.36m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:50
6:50
6:50
6:48
6:48
6:47
6:47
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:10
5:12
5:12
5:13
5:14
5:14
5:15
 mm
Temp °C
15
16
15
19
20
15
16
17
10
13
13
13
14
14
14
15
15
15
18
18
19
Feels °C
13
13
13
15
17
11
9
9
3
9
9
10
10
11
12
14
13
13
15
15
16
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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