Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 14 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.5°C
0.7° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,592 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 7s period with NE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Tue 15th Sep)3.5ft (1.0m) 7s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 17th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 16th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Righto folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming our way for the Manly area. The first few days are pretty ordinary, but there’s a couple of standout sessions that’ll make it worth keeping an eye on the charts.

The week starts off sluggish. Tuesday the 15th has tiny, weak waves around 3ft from the NE with a short period, and the combined swell energy is a paltry 98, so barely a ripple. Wednesday the 16th sees a big jump in size, with 12ft southerly swell, but it’s howling with a 22 mph cross-off wind, making it messy and marginal. The energy is huge though, hitting 2239 in the morning, so there’s power in the water, just not great conditions.

Now, Thursday morning the 17th is where it gets interesting. That’s the standout. We’ve got a solid 10ft southerly groundswell pumping in with a 10-second period, and the combined energy is a whopping 2905. The wind swings offshore from the SSW at a gentle 9 mph, keeping the surface clean. This is proper, powerful surf, but with that size, it’s strictly for experienced surfers only. Manly itself is a sheltered point, so it should hold the swell well, and the offshore wind will be a major plus, offering some clean, lined-up waves.

Friday morning the 18th is a nice one for the intermediate crew. The swell drops to a manageable 5ft from the south, still with a 9-second period, and the wind goes glassy – a perfect NNW at 3 mph. The energy is a moderate 485. It won’t have the grunt of Thursday, but for clean, fun waves with no wind, it’s a top call. Crowds are likely at Manly, but with conditions this good, it’ll be worth jostling for a few.

After that, we slide back into a long, quiet patch. From Friday afternoon right through to the end of the forecast on the 30th, it’s mostly poor surf with onshore winds and small, weak swell. There’s a brief flicker on Tuesday morning the 22nd, with a glassy 6ft south swell and a solid 1127 energy, which could offer some very good conditions, but it’s a long way out and the afternoon turns to rubbish with rain showers and a cross-onshore wind. The gap of poor surf from the 19th to the 21st, and then again from the 23rd onward, is a long stretch of nothing special. A few mornings in the last week show some offshore wind, like the 29th, but the swell is too weak to get excited about.

So, to wrap it up: Thursday morning the 17th is the big dog for the experts – huge, clean south swell. Friday morning the 18th is the best bet for everyone else, with glassy conditions and a fun size. Don’t hold your breath for the second week; it looks like a write-off.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Mon night, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Mon night, strong winds from the S by Tue afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
1
2
1
2
4
1
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
NE
6
0.9
NE
7
0.4
S
9
3
S
9
3.5
S
10
3.5
S
10
3.5
S
10
3
S
10
2
S
9
1.6
S
9
1.5
S
9
1.3
S
10
1.1
S
9
0.9
S
10
0.8
S
9
0.7
S
9
0.5
S
8
0.4
S
8
0.2
S
19
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
186
63
33
1261
2177
2491
2518
1584
679
402
380
301
210
149
111
78
35
22
27
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
10
SSW
25
SSE
30
S
35
SSW
35
S
30
SSW
15
SSW
10
ESE
10
WNW
5
NNW
20
NE
10
W
15
WSW
15
E
10
WNW
10
NNW
15
NNE
15
NW
Wind State
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
glassy
on
cross-off
off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross
High Tide
10:17PM1.22m
10:36AM1.42m
10:59PM1.09m
11:16AM1.37m
11:45PM0.98m
12:02PM1.31m
00:41AM0.90m
12:58PM1.25m
1:55AM0.85m
2:06PM1.22m
3:20AM0.85m
3:17PM1.23m
Low Tide
4:13AM0.28m
5:04PM0.29m
4:46AM0.37m
5:55PM0.37m
5:22AM0.45m
6:55PM0.43m
6:06AM0.53m
8:07PM0.47m
7:07AM0.58m
9:23PM0.47m
8:26AM0.60m
10:27PM0.43m
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
5:54
5:52
5:50
5:48
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:46
5:47
5:49
 mm
1
Temp °C
22
21
17
13
13
14
14
14
13
13
20
18
18
24
22
22
25
27
25
Feels °C
18
19
14
6
4
5
6
10
10
12
17
14
17
19
17
18
21
23
20
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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