
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with 3,227 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, checking in on the Manly stretch. We've got a bit of a mixed bag coming our way over the next couple of weeks, so let's get into it.
First up, the water temp is sitting at 64°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year. Nothing weird going on there.
The weekend kicks off with some hope. Saturday afternoon the 25th of July looks tidy. We've got a 5ft S swell rolling in with a 10-second period, and the wind is glassy from the NNW. That's a rare treat. The wave energy is moderate (424), and it's a point break setup that likes this S direction. It won't be massive, but for a beginner-friendly spot like Manly, that's perfect clean fun. The crowd factor is "often" here, so expect company.
Sunday morning the 26th of July builds on it. The swell pushes up to 7ft from the S with a longer 11-second period, and the wind is a clean cross-off from the WSW. The energy is ramping up to 938, which is a solid moderate reading. This is the pick of the weekend, with good shape and power, but still manageable.
Now, here's where things go quiet. From Sunday afternoon the 26th, through to Wednesday the 29th of July, the surf drops off a cliff. We're talking small, weak, messy waves. Energy readings fall below 100 at times. A gap of about 3 days where nothing is really worth paddling out for, unless you just want a splash.
The next real standout shows up on Thursday the 30th of July. The morning session is a ripper for the experienced crew. A solid 12ft S swell hits, with an 11-second period, and a strong offshore wind from the SW. The combined energy is a massive 4938, which is very strong. This is legitimately big, powerful groundswell. This is for experts only. Beginners, stay well away. The long period (11 seconds) means it'll have plenty of punch and wall up nicely on the point, but the size makes it serious.
Friday the 31st of July morning remains excellent for strong surfers. It’s still 10ft from the S with a clean offshore, and energy at 1600. Still big and powerful.
After that, we ease back. Saturday the 1st of August morning is back to a more manageable 7ft with good wind, and that trend continues into the following week with a few solid but not epic mornings, like Wednesday the 5th of August (7ft, SSW offshore) and Thursday the 6th of August (6ft, clean).
The second week sees a persistent E/SE swell pattern, but unfortunately, the wind turns onshore from the east for most of it, spoiling the quality. From the 7th of August onward, it's largely a write-off for clean surfing at Manly. The swell is there, but the wind is just rubbish.
So, the bottom line: The absolute standouts are Thursday morning the 30th of July for big-wave specialists, and Sunday morning the 26th of July for the best all-round session with good size and clean conditions. The weekend to start is your best bet for a good time in the water.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Tue afternoon, fresh winds from the WSW by Wed morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | NW 4 | S 18 | SSW 6 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
416 | 573 | 932 | 627 | 307 | 225 | 147 | 61 | 38 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 181 | 3046 | 2566 | 3113 | 1600 | 1129 | 775 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | on | cross | cross-off | on | cross | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 5:25PM1.37m | 6:11AM0.91m | 6:11PM1.43m | 6:55AM0.95m | 6:53PM1.48m | 7:35AM0.99m | 7:32PM1.53m | 8:12AM1.04m | 8:09PM1.56m | 8:48AM1.08m | 8:44PM1.56m | 9:24AM1.13m | 9:18PM1.54m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:26AM0.36m | 11:28AM0.46m | 1:07AM0.30m | 12:15PM0.43m | 1:45AM0.24m | 12:58PM0.39m | 2:20AM0.19m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:54AM0.16m | 2:18PM0.34m | 3:26AM0.14m | 2:57PM0.33m | 3:57AM0.13m | |||||||
— | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | |
5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 17 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | SE 6 | S 18 | NE 7 | S 11 | — | — | S 10 | — | SSE 9 |
416 | 573 | 932 | 627 | 307 | 225 | 147 | 61 | 38 | 24 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 1890 | — | — | 1600 | — | 775 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | S 10 | SE 8 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | S 7 | NE 7 | S 15 | NE 6 | — | — | — | — | E 13 |
7 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | — | — | — | SE 18 | NE 7 | SE 16 | NNE 4 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1 | 1 | — | — | — | 12 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 | W 2 | NE 2 | WSW 3 | NW 4 | WSW 4 | SSW 6 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | — | SSE 10 | — |
— | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 181 | 3046 | 2566 | 3113 | — | 1129 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 145 | 270 | 388 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.









