Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this forecast for Manly is a real mixed bag, and we’ve got a long wait ahead. For the next four days, from Saturday the 11th to Tuesday the 14th, there’s just nothing doing. Tiny, weak dribble and iffy winds mean you’re better off finding something else to do. It’s a proper gap with no surf on offer.

Things finally start to flicker around Wednesday the 15th. We get a pulse of S swell pushing in, around 6ft with a 10-second period and a clean offshore breeze from the SSW. The energy jumps to a solid moderate level (921), and the setup looks clean. This is a point break that’s sheltered from the south, so it’ll be picking up the energy nicely. Wednesday morning is the pick of the early window. It’s still beginner-friendly in size, so a solid option to get wet.

Thursday the 16th morning looks even better – same S swell, a touch bigger at 7ft, still with that clean offshore wind. The wave energy is strong (1058) and it’s pointing at excellent surf conditions. This is the standout of the first week: clean, solid lines at the point. But by Thursday afternoon the wind swings onshore and the quality drops fast.

There’s a bit of a lull again from Friday the 17th through to early next week, with ordinary conditions and smaller swell. Then, we start seeing a proper run of surf from Monday the 20th. The E groundswell builds, hitting 7ft with an 11-second period by Monday afternoon. Winds stay light and cross-off, keeping it clean. Wave energy is strong (992). It’s not the best, but it’s surfable.

Now, the real standout of this whole 16-day window is Thursday the 23rd of July. This is the one to circle. We get a serious S swell hitting 12ft with a 9-second period, and offshore winds from the WNW. The energy is massive (2947), and the call is excellent for experienced surfers. This is legit powerful, solid groundswell – a point break handles that energy well. But the absolute gem is Thursday afternoon: the swell drops slightly to 8ft, but the wind goes glassy from the NNW. That’s a rare treat at Manly. Clean, lined-up waves for the crew that know what they’re doing. This is the top pick.

Friday the 24th morning also fires – 8ft SSE groundswell with a very long 13-second period, light offshore wind, and huge energy (2901). Again, this is expert territory, but the quality is there.

Overall, don’t bother paddling out until Wednesday the 15th. The first true standout is Thursday the 16th morning for a cleaner, manageable session, but the big prize is Thursday the 23rd. That glassy afternoon session is the stuff dreams are made of. Keep an eye on the long-range – it’s promising but a week and a half away, so don’t lock it in just yet.

Stay stoked.

Rusty

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