
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, S swell with 4,067 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sat 4th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s size up the Manly forecast in good old feet and miles.
First real surf hits Saturday afternoon July 4th, but it’s not much. A weak south swell at 3ft with a period around 9 seconds, and a 9 mph cross wind from the southeast puts a little chop on it. Wave energy is low (256). Water temp is 65°, which is dead average for the season. Not worth the drive.
Sunday July 5th brings a proper pulse: 11–12ft south swell, with a long period of 11 seconds, jumping to 14 seconds in the afternoon. Wave energy cranks to 2556 in the morning, then 4087. Winds are 19–22 mph from the SSE, cross-off, so it’s clean. At 11–12ft, this is for experts only—beginners stay on the sand. Manly is a point break, so that long-period energy will wrap in nicely, but expect crowds often.
Monday July 6th through Wednesday July 8th stays solid: solid 8–12ft swell from the SSE and SE, with moderate to strong wave energy (around 1400–2800). Winds stay cross-off at 16 mph. Clean, but still big and marginal for most. Not the top pick.
Thursday July 9th and Friday July 10th drop to around 6ft from the SE, with periods of 9–11 seconds. Energy settles to 600–900. Thursday morning has a 9 mph offshore from the southwest, delivering clean conditions. Friday morning has light cross-off airs. Better for a wider crew, but not a standout.
Then we hit a gap from Saturday July 11th to Tuesday July 14th. Swell plummets to 1–2ft, energy drops under 350, and some days barely 20. Winds variable. A solid four days of flatness.
The big standout is Wednesday July 15th: a 13ft south swell with an 11-second period, and wave energy at a massive 3722. Offshore wind from the southwest at 12 mph, so the waves are lined up and clean. This is expert country only—over 8ft and it’s serious. The point will handle it with style. Afternoon drops to 11ft with cross-off wind, still strong.
Thursday July 16th and Friday July 17th still have 6–8ft swell, but winds hit 22–28 mph from the SSW, making a mess. Poor riding.
Saturday July 18th offers a small 4ft SE swell, with a 12 mph offshore—clean but weak, energy around 500. Just okay.
Sunday July 19th is a real treat: 4–5ft SE swell with a long 12-second period, and the wind goes glassy at 3 mph from the northwest. Wave energy is 677, and it’s described as glassy. The point will give you smooth, clean lines. Not big, but for a fun, easy session, this is the one.
For the experienced crew, Wednesday July 15th is the call—big, clean, powerful. For the rest of us, Sunday July 19th is a glassy gem.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 13°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sat 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 14 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
168 | 177 | 2539 | 4067 | 2181 | 1484 | 1384 | 1538 | 1939 | 2816 | 2264 | 1701 | 1580 | 1063 | 784 | 599 | 526 | 574 | 762 | 569 | 335 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 10:57PM1.42m | 11:57AM1.11m | 11:38PM1.35m | 12:44PM1.16m | 00:25AM1.26m | 1:34PM1.23m | 1:22AM1.17m | 2:29PM1.31m | 2:29AM1.09m | 3:26PM1.40m | 3:44AM1.04m | 4:25PM1.50m | 4:59AM1.03m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:39PM0.45m | 5:43AM0.19m | 5:28PM0.48m | 6:20AM0.20m | 6:26PM0.50m | 7:01AM0.22m | 7:32PM0.50m | 7:48AM0.25m | 8:46PM0.46m | 8:40AM0.27m | 10:01PM0.38m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:12PM0.27m | 10:39AM0.30m | |||||||
— | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | |
4:57 | — | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | 5:00 | |
mm | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 13 | S 15 | E 14 | — | — | S 17 | SE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 12 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 9 |
168 | 177 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 227 | 4 | — | — | 5 | 2264 | 1701 | 172 | 1063 | 784 | 599 | 526 | 574 | 762 | 569 | 335 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | E 14 | E 13 | — | NE 9 | E 14 | — | — | — | — | ESE 14 | S 16 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | S 20 | S 15 | S 15 | S 18 | S 16 |
75 | 134 | 4 | 14 | — | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 207 | 5 | 143 | 77 | 56 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | ENE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | S 12 | S 17 | S 20 | S 19 | S 19 | — | E 15 |
13 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 7 | — | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 11 | S 14 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | — | — | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | WSW 3 |
— | — | 2539 | 4067 | 2181 | 1484 | 1384 | 1538 | 1939 | 2816 | — | — | 1580 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 0 | 72 | 348 | 250 | 185 | 113 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










