
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 12s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 12s period, S swell with 1,543 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.4m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab your wettie. The next couple of weeks here are a tale of two forecasts: a flat, forgettable start followed by some proper, solid pulses of south swell that’ll get the blood pumping. We’ve got a 3 to 4 day gap of poor-to-no surf right off the bat, so don’t bother paddling out until we hit the last week of July.
Monday the 27th has a tiny 4ft south swell at 9 seconds, and with the morning cross-offshore wind, you could get a few knee-high runners at Manly, but it’s really only for the beginner crew. The energy is weak. The afternoons turn onshore a bit and it gets sloppy.
Tuesday the 28th is a write-off. Swell drops to 2ft, and Wednesday the 29th is even smaller with a weird 0.7ft, 17-second period swell that won't do anything for us. Thursday the 30th is where it finally kicks. The morning has a solid 8ft south swell at 9 seconds, and the energy is suddenly proper strong. The wind is clean cross-offshore, making for what I’d call a standout session. That’s your call to arms for the first of the solid runs. It’s a little big for beginners though, with that size.
Friday the 31st morning keeps the run going with a clean 6ft south groundswell (10 seconds) and true offshore winds from the WSW. Waves will have some real push and shape. Saturday August 1st drops to 5ft, but the wind goes glassy in the afternoon – you might score a clean little window if you’re desperate.
Now for the real standouts – the kind you mark on your calendar. Wednesday the 5th of August morning hits hard. The swell jumps to 8ft from the south at a clean 10-second period, and the combined swell energy is massive. Winds are gentle cross-off from the WSW, keeping it clean. This is for strong intermediate to expert surfers only, but the quality looks excellent.
Then there’s a bit of a clean-up period through the 6th, but by Saturday the 8th of August morning, we’ve got another beautiful pulse: 8ft of southeast groundswell rolling in with a long 12-second period. Light cross-offshore winds mean it’ll be smooth and lined up.
Manly (Sydney) is a point break that's fairly consistent and often has a crew out, but with these solid south swells and offshore winds, the crowds will be worth battling. The water temp is about average for this time of year. Keep your wits about you with the sets on those 8ft days – they’ll have some punch.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Wed afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the WSW by Wed afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 17 | S 16 | S 12 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
356 | 230 | 146 | 65 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 23 | 7 | 72 | 893 | 949 | 917 | 650 | 618 | 388 | 311 | 289 | 225 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 6:55AM0.95m | 6:53PM1.48m | 7:35AM0.99m | 7:32PM1.53m | 8:12AM1.04m | 8:09PM1.56m | 8:48AM1.08m | 8:44PM1.56m | 9:24AM1.13m | 9:18PM1.54m | 10:00AM1.17m | 9:54PM1.49m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:07AM0.30m | 12:15PM0.43m | 1:45AM0.24m | 12:58PM0.39m | 2:20AM0.19m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:54AM0.16m | 2:18PM0.34m | 3:26AM0.14m | 2:57PM0.33m | 3:57AM0.13m | 3:38PM0.34m | |||||||
— | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | N 3 | S 16 | S 12 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 |
356 | 230 | 146 | 65 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 72 | 573 | 949 | 917 | 650 | 618 | 388 | 311 | 289 | 225 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | SE 8 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SSE 6 | S 8 | — | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | — | E 13 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 8 | S 14 | S 13 |
2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 5 | — | 10 | 6 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | SE 17 | SE 14 | SE 16 | ENE 4 | — | SE 14 | S 17 | SE 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | S 16 | ENE 8 | NE 7 |
2 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 1 | — | 8 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NNE 4 | WNW 2 | — | WSW 4 | WNW 3 | SW 4 | SSW 5 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 |
— | — | — | 9 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 893 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 72 | 145 | 270 | 201 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.









