Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, S swell with 1,034 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.3m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at Manly are looking like a bit of a mixed bag. There’s some solid energy on the way, but you're gonna have to be patient and pick your windows carefully, because the wind is gonna be a fussy bugger for a lot of it.
We kick off with a bit of size on Thursday the 10th, with a 8ft south swell rolling in, but that 16 mph south wind is going to mess with it, leaving it a bit of a choppy mess. The water temp is sitting at 64°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Now, Friday the 11th morning is where it gets interesting. The swell drops a touch to 6ft from the south, but the wind swings offshore from the SSW at a light 6 mph. That’s a major positive, cleaning things right up. The wave energy is strong, sitting at (660), and it’s a solid call for the more experienced crew.
Saturday the 12th morning is another standout. The swell is down to a more user-friendly 4ft from the south, with a long 12-second period giving it some real push. But the best part? Glassy conditions with a light northerly breeze, just 3 mph. That’s picture-perfect for a beginner-friendly point break like Manly, with clean lines and easy paddling.
After that, it goes a bit quiet. From Saturday afternoon right through to the end of the following week, the surf is tiny or onshore junk. There’s a real dry spell of about 5 days where you’re better off doing something else.
We do get a pulse of size again on Saturday the 19th. The morning sees a big 10ft south swell, and with a light offshore west wind, the wave energy is strong at (2310). That is serious power and only for experienced surfers. The afternoon cleans up even more, dropping to 8ft with an even lighter 3 mph offshore breeze. That’s about as clean as it gets for a big, lined-up south swell.
Another window opens up on Monday the 21st of September. The swell is a comfortable 5ft from the southeast, and that morning you’ve got glassy conditions again with a light WNW breeze. Perfect for a mid-length or log session.
We end the period with a bit of a weird one. Thursday the 24th of September sees a 8ft north-east swell, but the period is a short 7 seconds, so it’s going to be a bit crumbly. The wind is cross-off from the WNW, so it’ll be clean, but it’s not the kind of groundswell that really works Manly’s banks.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | NE 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1004 | 967 | 618 | 480 | 384 | 404 | 291 | 194 | 181 | 184 | 136 | 121 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 17 | 509 | 845 | 425 | 451 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross | cross-off | glassy | on | cross | on | on | cross | cross | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 7:32PM1.62m | 8:08AM1.36m | 8:15PM1.56m | 8:46AM1.41m | 8:56PM1.47m | 9:22AM1.44m | 9:37PM1.35m | 9:59AM1.45m | 10:17PM1.22m | 10:36AM1.42m | 10:59PM1.09m | 11:16AM1.37m | 11:45PM0.98m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:01AM0.03m | 2:02PM0.17m | 2:36AM0.06m | 2:48PM0.16m | 3:09AM0.12m | 3:33PM0.18m | 3:41AM0.19m | 4:18PM0.23m | 4:13AM0.28m | 5:04PM0.29m | 4:46AM0.37m | 5:55PM0.37m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 22 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | NE 6 | S 11 | S 11 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 5 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 |
| kJ | 233 | 967 | 618 | 480 | 384 | 404 | 291 | 194 | 181 | 184 | 84 | 121 | 81 | 52 | 28 | 11 | 1 | 845 | 425 | 451 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | E 15 | ENE 15 | ENE 14 | S 19 | S 19 | S 17 | S 20 | ENE 4 | ENE 13 | S 10 | NE 6 | ENE 13 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 13 | S 17 | S 15 | ENE 13 |
| kJ | 17 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 61 | 184 | 148 | 121 | 7 | 17 | 136 | 26 | 16 | 48 | 29 | 14 | 18 | 22 | 67 | 17 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 10 | ENE 15 | E 10 | ENE 13 | ENE 14 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 | S 17 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | — | ENE 12 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | S 17 | ENE 14 | ENE 12 | NE 7 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 21 | 2 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 49 | 17 | 17 | 17 | — | 15 | 16 | 17 | 23 | 20 | 15 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | WNW 2 | NE 4 | — | SSW 3 | S 5 | S 8 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1004 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 8 | 29 | — | 1 | 27 | — | 3 | 49 | 509 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 64 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 3 | 4 | 179 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 1 | 196 | 185 | 152 | 72 | 28 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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