Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks around Manly are looking pretty bloody ordinary for a surf. We’ve got a long stretch of small, gutless, and messy waves ahead, and only a couple of brief windows where you might actually want to paddle out. There’s a big gap of nothing worth chasing from this Saturday morning through to the following Friday afternoon, so don’t be in a rush.

The first real glimmer of hope is this coming Wednesday morning, the 19th. We’ll see some clean conditions with a light offshore wind, and the swell will be around 4ft from the ESE with a short 7-second period. The wave energy is weak-moderate (241). It’s surfable, but honestly, it’s just very ordinary. Manly (Sydney) is a point break, and it’s fairly consistent, so it might be worth a paddle for a beginner or someone just wanting to get wet. The water temp is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 62°F, which is about 3°F off the average. Not a standout by any means.

The next one to maybe circle is Sunday morning, the 23rd. Again, we get a clean-looking morning with a light cross-offshore breeze, and the swell is 4ft from the south with an 8-second period. Energy is moderate (261). It’ll be clean, but it’s still just a so-so wave. Don’t expect much.

Then we go quiet again. The real potential pops up on Tuesday morning, the 25th. This is by far the best of the lot. The swell jumps to 7ft from the SSE with a short 7-second period. The wind is a gentle cross-offshore breeze, and the conditions are clean. The combined energy reads 421, which is moderate, but this is the first time the forecast is actually saying “expect good surf conditions.” This is your window. Manly will be handling that south swell, and it’ll have some push to it. Crowds are often there, so be prepared for company, but it should be worth it.

After that, things get messy and big. The end of the month sees a big pulse of easterly swell, with heights pushing past 8ft and some serious energy readings hitting 1772. But the wind turns onshore and strong, so it’s going to be a chunky, blown-out mess. That’s not surf for paddling; that’s more like a kite-surfing day. Give it a miss.

So, to sum it up: next week is mostly a write-off. The standouts are Wednesday morning the 19th if you’re desperate, and Tuesday morning the 25th if you want the best chance at a proper wave. Long-range stuff is promising but less certain, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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