Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 24 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.9° C
0.0° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 9s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period, S swell with 1,890 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 9s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.3m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Fri 24th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 9s
Best Surf10AM (Fri 24th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 1AM (Sat 25th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the surf ahead for us.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag. The early part of the forecast is a bit of a grind, with small, weak energy and tricky winds. The real action, the stuff that’ll get you out of bed, is a fair way off. There’s a notable gap of about five days where the surf is just not worth the paddle, from the 28th of July through to the 1st of August.

Let’s start with the first decent window. Friday morning, July 24th, at Manly (point). We’ve got a solid 7ft swell from the south, with a period of 9 seconds. The wind is a clean offshore from the southwest, so the waves will be holding up nicely. The water temp is 64°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The combined energy is a strong 1226, so there’s plenty of push. This is a good one for the early birds.

The conditions get a bit scrappy on Friday afternoon and through Saturday, with the wind shifting onshore and the swell dropping. Sunday morning, July 26th, shapes up again with a clean 6ft south swell and a good offshore breeze from the west-southwest. The energy is still solid at 841. A solid morning session.

Then we hit the quiet spell. From Monday the 28th through to Friday morning, August 1st, the swell drops right off. We’re talking about wave heights under 3ft with energy levels in the double digits. It’s a real flat spell, and not much to get excited about.

Now, hold onto your board, because the real standout is a long way off. Sunday, August 2nd, is the one to circle on the calendar. We’re looking at a massive 16ft south swell, with a period of 12 seconds. The energy is absolutely pumping at 6580 – that’s serious power. The wind is a light offshore from the west-northwest in the morning, meaning the waves will be clean and lined up. This is expert territory only; anything over 8ft is for the crew who know what they’re doing. The size alone will make it a proper challenge.

After that, the swell backs off a bit, but Monday, August 3rd, still has a solid 8ft swell from the south-southeast, though the wind is more cross-offshore. There’s another good run from Thursday, August 6th, through Friday, August 7th, with 6ft to 8ft south-east swells, clean winds, and very good surf conditions. The energy is back up to 1000-1752, so it’s definitely worth a look.

So, the standout is that Sunday, August 2nd. It’s a long way out, so the forecast could shift, but if it holds, it’s going to be a day for the experienced crew only. The rest of the week around that date has some solid, clean options too.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
1
3
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
S
9
1.8
S
12
2.3
S
14
1.8
S
11
1.4
S
10
1.3
S
11
1.9
S
11
1.5
S
10
1.3
S
10
1.1
S
10
1.1
S
10
0.8
S
9
0.7
S
9
0.5
S
8
0.2
S
16
0.2
S
16
0.1
S
18
1.5
S
8
1.2
S
7
0.5
S
13
1.2
S
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
705
855
1890
757
400
394
835
468
340
214
220
106
73
36
19
20
6
270
130
87
403
Wind (km/h)
15
SW
10
ESE
15
WNW
15
W
5
N
20
W
20
WSW
10
ESE
10
WSW
10
W
10
E
10
NW
10
NW
15
N
15
WNW
15
SW
25
SSE
15
S
15
S
15
SE
0
SW
Wind State
off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
glassy
High Tide
4:35PM1.33m
5:17AM0.88m
5:25PM1.37m
6:11AM0.91m
6:11PM1.43m
6:55AM0.95m
6:53PM1.48m
7:35AM0.99m
7:32PM1.53m
8:12AM1.04m
8:09PM1.56m
8:48AM1.08m
8:44PM1.56m
Low Tide
11:37PM0.42m
10:35AM0.49m
00:26AM0.36m
11:28AM0.46m
1:07AM0.30m
12:15PM0.43m
1:45AM0.24m
12:58PM0.39m
2:20AM0.19m
1:38PM0.36m
2:54AM0.16m
2:18PM0.34m
3:26AM0.14m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
mod rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:50
6:50
6:50
6:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:08
5:09
5:09
5:10
5:12
5:12
5:13
 mm
1
3
4
2
1
10
Temp °C
13
14
12
17
19
15
16
15
15
16
15
14
19
20
15
15
15
14
14
14
14
Feels °C
9
12
9
13
16
10
13
12
14
14
12
12
15
16
10
11
11
11
11
11
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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