
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, S swell with 1,894 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Imperial
Alright, Manly (Manly), it's a bit of a slow cooker. We're looking at a point break that's pretty sheltered, so it doesn't grab every swell that comes through. The pattern this far out is for a few days of nothing much, then a couple of windows that could get interesting, especially if you're not a beginner.
The water temp is sitting at 63°, which is about normal for this time of year, so don't expect any surprises when you get in.
The first few days are a write-off. Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th have some size, but the wind is all wrong. That cross and cross-off wind from the SSE and SE is just mucking it up. The swell energy is moderate at 218 on Saturday, but the surf is poor. Sunday the 19th has a bigger 7ft swell from the ENE, but the period is a long 11 seconds, and with that cross wind, it's marginal at best. The combined energy is strong at 1314, but it's not coming together.
Monday the 20th is the first real sign of life. The morning has a clean 6ft from the ENE with a cross-off wind from the WNW. That's a solid setup. The period is 11 seconds, so there's some push there. The energy is moderate at 885. It's not a world-beater, but the best on offer in the early part of the run. It’s a fairly consistent spot, so it shouldn't be a total washout.
Then we hit a lull. Tuesday the 21st through to Thursday the 23rd morning is all small or junk. The swell drops to 3ft or less, the energy crashes down to 140. It's pretty flat. Thursday afternoon the 23rd, though, things get spicy. A 10ft S swell hits with a 19 mph cross-off wind. That's big. The combined energy is a massive 1522. But at 10ft, that's expert territory, and the wind is going to be a handful. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing if you ask me, with that much wind and size.
Friday the 24th morning is a standout. The swell drops to a still-chunky 7ft from the S, but the wind is a light cross-off from the WSW. The period is 10 seconds, and the energy is strong at 941. It's going to be clean and powerful. This is the best bet for the first week.
The weekend of the 26th and 27th is messy again. The swell is from the S, but the wind is onshore or cross, making it poor. The 28th of July has a 22 mph offshore wind, but the swell is all over the place, and the rain won't help.
The real standout, the one to circle on the calendar, is the 1st and 2nd of August. Saturday afternoon the 1st of August has a 10ft swell from the E, with a gentle offshore wind. The combined energy is 1149. That's a very long period swell at 8 seconds, but a 10ft E swell on a point is going to be something special. It's a big, powerful, clean easterly. Then Sunday the 2nd of August morning is even better for the average punter. The swell drops to 8ft from the E, still a very long period of 10 seconds, and the wind is a light cross-off from the W. The energy is 1041. That's going to be a full day of pumping, clean waves. Expect crowds because it's going to be firing.
So, to sum it up, skip the first few days. Monday the 20th is okay, Friday the 24th is solid. But the real winner is the weekend of the 1st and 2nd of August. That's the one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Thu afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed afternoon, fresh winds from the S by Thu morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | E 7 | E 8 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
108 | 113 | 364 | 1091 | 901 | 808 | 692 | 607 | 442 | 373 | 325 | 312 | 161 | 119 | 90 | 42 | 1494 | 977 | 900 | 521 | 313 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | on | cross | cross | on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:23AM1.23m | 11:18PM1.47m | 12:11PM1.24m | 00:05AM1.31m | 1:01PM1.26m | 00:56AM1.14m | 1:52PM1.27m | 1:53AM1.01m | 2:46PM1.28m | 2:59AM0.91m | 3:41PM1.30m | 4:11AM0.87m | 4:35PM1.33m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:04PM0.33m | 5:53AM0.13m | 6:02PM0.40m | 6:33AM0.22m | 7:05PM0.46m | 7:13AM0.31m | 8:14PM0.50m | 7:56AM0.39m | 9:28PM0.50m | 8:44AM0.45m | 10:38PM0.47m | 9:39AM0.48m | 11:37PM0.42m | ||||||||
6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | |
— | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | E 7 | E 8 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 |
69 | 113 | 364 | 1091 | 901 | 808 | 692 | 607 | 442 | 373 | 325 | 312 | 161 | 119 | 90 | 42 | 28 | 15 | 900 | 521 | 313 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 21 | S 10 | S 9 | S 17 | S 16 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | S 18 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 |
34 | 45 | 24 | 211 | 176 | 160 | 184 | 134 | 84 | 56 | 50 | 31 | 31 | 19 | 18 | — | — | 6 | 16 | 16 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 19 | S 20 | S 18 | SE 17 | SE 17 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 15 | S 15 | S 15 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | — | S 10 | — | — | — | S 18 | S 19 | S 19 |
7 | 31 | 107 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 4 | 3 | — | 18 | — | — | — | 25 | 29 | 29 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | S 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | — | NE 3 | NNE 5 | WNW 3 | NE 3 | WSW 3 | SSW 6 | S 9 | S 9 | — | — | — |
108 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | 3 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 186 | 1494 | 977 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 60 | 72 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 105 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.









