Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 21 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.8° C
0.1° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 13s period, S swell with 1,756 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.3m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Wed 22nd Jul)4ft (1.2m) 10s
Best Surf10AM (Fri 24th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 10s
Most Powerful10PM (Fri 24th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s get into it. Right now, things are flat and ordinary for Manly. The first proper surf window kicks off on Wednesday the 22nd with clean but unremarkable chest-high waves. The ENE swell is weak and the energy is moderate at best (298). Wind is light and cross-off, so it’s not terrible, but there’s nothing to get excited about. It’s one of those mornings where you go for a paddle, not a session.

That Wednesday afternoon, the wind goes glassy, flat calm, and the swell drops a little. The combined energy is still weak (251). It’s clean, but the waves are ordinary. If you’re a beginner, this is your window. For anyone else, it’s a rest day.

Thursday the 23rd – forget it. The morning is clean but the swell is weak and small, combined energy is only 130, and the wind goes moderate cross-off. The afternoon brings a strong offshore wind from the SW at 19 mph, but the wave height is only 3 ft. It’s not worth suiting up.

Then we get to Friday the 24th. This is the standout. Early morning, the S swell jumps to 8 ft, and the combined energy is strong (1763). The wind is a gentle offshore from the SW, keeping the faces clean. This is a proper groundswell with a period of 10 seconds, so it’s got some power. At this size, Manly will be a handful for beginners – it’s more for the experienced crew. The direction is S, which is not the optimum SE for this sheltered point, so it won’t be perfect, but it’ll be the best surf of the whole week. The afternoon stays solid at 7 ft, but the wind swings cross-on and the tide might mess with the shape. The morning is the call.

Saturday morning the 25th drops to 6 ft, cleaner under a moderate cross-off wind, but the energy is moderate (739). It’s fine, but not special. The afternoon goes offshore and clean, but the swell is down to 4 ft and the energy is light (365). Sunday the 26th morning is similar – 6 ft, clean, gentle offshore, moderate energy (607). It’s a good weekend session, but nothing like Friday.

After Sunday, the surf drops off hard. Monday the 27th is small and weak, and Tuesday the 28th is flat with combined energy down to 29. There’s a gap of a few days with no real surf. Wednesday the 29th sees a little bump from the SSW, but it’s rain showers and the wind is onshore in the afternoon for a messy 6 ft. Not recommended.

Thursday the 30th is a write-off – big 10 ft swell but with onshore wind and storms. That’s kite territory, not paddle. The energy is very strong (2502), but the conditions are poor.

Friday the 31st looks better – a clean 5 ft S swell with a moderate offshore wind, and the energy is moderate (476). It’s a good morning session, but far from the quality of the previous Friday.

After that, into August, the surf drops again. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd are small and weak. The entire first week of August looks poor, with onshore winds and messy conditions. The only glimmer is Wednesday the 5th afternoon, when it goes glassy and the swell is 5 ft, but the energy is weak (377) and the period is short (7 seconds). It’s ordinary.

So the bottom line: Friday the 24th morning is the day to circle. Get there early, watch the tide, and enjoy the best swell of the forecast. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too messy.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed afternoon, fresh winds from the WSW by Thu afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
2
2
0
1
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
ENE
10
1.2
ENE
10
1.1
ENE
10
1
ENE
9
0.9
ENE
9
0.8
ENE
9
1.6
SSW
9
2.4
S
10
2.2
S
12
2.2
S
12
1.8
S
11
1.3
S
10
1.4
S
12
1.7
S
10
1.6
S
9
1.4
S
9
1
S
8
1
S
8
0.8
SSE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
339
269
210
168
119
92
388
1026
1321
1413
730
352
511
601
445
299
136
144
92
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
10
WNW
0
N
15
WNW
20
W
30
SW
25
WSW
15
SW
10
E
15
W
25
W
15
SW
15
WSW
15
WSW
10
SE
10
WSW
10
SW
10
SE
5
WNW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross
cross-off
off
cross
glassy
High Tide
1:53AM1.01m
2:46PM1.28m
2:59AM0.91m
3:41PM1.30m
4:11AM0.87m
4:35PM1.33m
5:17AM0.88m
5:25PM1.37m
6:11AM0.91m
6:11PM1.43m
6:55AM0.95m
6:53PM1.48m
Low Tide
7:56AM0.39m
9:28PM0.50m
8:44AM0.45m
10:38PM0.47m
9:39AM0.48m
11:37PM0.42m
10:35AM0.49m
00:26AM0.36m
11:28AM0.46m
1:07AM0.30m
12:15PM0.43m
1:45AM0.24m
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:54
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:07
5:07
5:08
5:09
5:09
5:10
 mm
1
Temp °C
16
18
20
16
19
18
11
13
13
11
18
18
12
15
15
15
15
16
15
Feels °C
14
14
18
13
14
11
3
9
9
8
13
14
7
12
13
14
12
14
14
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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