
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period, E swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, E swell with 1,613 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here, and I’m looking at the next couple of weeks at Manly, and it’s a real slow burn. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing before anything worth paddling out for shows up.
The first week, from Sunday the 12th through Saturday the 18th, is almost a total loss. We’re seeing tiny, weak swell, like 0.6 to 3 feet, with poor conditions across the board. The combined energy is in the low two-digit range, which is just pathetic. The wind is mostly cross-off, so it’s clean, but there’s simply no wave to ride. You’re wasting your time.
Then on Wednesday the 15th, the swell jumps to 8 feet from the south, but it’s a short period, about 8 seconds, and the wind is a messy cross-off at 15 mph. The combined energy hits 829 (moderate), but it’s still poor. By the afternoon, the energy climbs to 1083, but it’s a marginal, messy slog. Not worth it.
The only real standout, the one that gets me excited, is the following Sunday, the 19th of July. We’re looking at a solid 8 to 10 feet of easterly swell, with a period of 11 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, and the combined energy is a massive 2093 in the afternoon (strong wave energy). The morning is looking clean with a light SSW breeze at 6 mph. Manly is a point break, and it’s sheltered from the southeast, so this east swell is a good fit. The water temp is about 65°, which is normal for the season. The crowds are listed as "sometimes," so expect company. For that Sunday morning, it’s the best we’ve got.
Monday the 20th rolls over with a 8-foot east swell, still 11 seconds, but the wind turns onshore and cross-shore, messing up the surface. The energy is still high (1486), but it’s not clean. Then we get a solid Wednesday the 22nd. The morning shows a 6-foot east swell with a very long period of 13 seconds and a light offshore wind from the west at 6 mph. The combined energy is 1324. The guidance says "very good surf conditions," and that light wind should keep it glassy. That’s a second highlight, but remember, that long period can make the waves a bit too straight at a beach break, but Manly is a point, so it should handle it well.
The rest of that week into the next weekend gets messy again. Swell hangs around the 5 to 7 foot range, but the wind is inconsistent, with a lot of cross and cross-on conditions, and the energy drops. By the 26th and 27th, we’re back to tiny, weak surf.
So, to put it simply: the first week is a total dud. The only real bet is to pencil in the morning of Sunday the 19th for the best combination of size and clean conditions. The Wednesday the 22nd morning is a good backup for cleaner, longer-period waves, but it’s smaller. Don’t plan your life around anything else.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 13 | SSW 11 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 7 | S 7 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 9 | E 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
111 | 50 | 20 | 12 | 26 | 22 | 8 | 29 | 39 | 809 | 1083 | 701 | 408 | 155 | 395 | 455 | 377 | 359 | 422 | 450 | 1245 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 6:19PM1.70m | 7:10AM1.08m | 7:13PM1.78m | 8:05AM1.12m | 8:05PM1.82m | 8:57AM1.15m | 8:55PM1.81m | 9:46AM1.18m | 9:43PM1.74m | 10:35AM1.20m | 10:31PM1.63m | 11:23AM1.23m | 11:18PM1.47m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:39AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.05m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:07AM-0.03m | 1:31PM0.24m | 2:57AM-0.07m | 2:24PM0.23m | 3:44AM-0.07m | 3:17PM0.24m | 4:29AM-0.03m | 4:10PM0.28m | 5:12AM0.04m | 5:04PM0.33m | ||||||||
6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | |
— | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 13 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 6 | SSW 11 | S 7 | S 13 | SSW 11 | S 16 | — | S 16 | S 14 | S 7 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | S 8 | S 7 | E 9 | E 10 |
111 | 50 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 29 | 39 | 20 | — | 5 | 15 | 155 | 395 | 455 | 377 | 13 | 9 | 450 | 900 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSW 6 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | E 8 | S 10 | SSW 7 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | S 13 | S 7 | S 11 | S 8 | S 19 | S 10 | S 10 | S 17 |
18 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 13 | 91 | 23 | 11 | 64 | 8 | 8 | 23 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | — | S 11 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | E 10 | S 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 8 | S 12 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 18 | S 17 | S 9 |
2 | — | 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 24 | 8 | 22 | 9 | 25 | 23 | 6 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | WSW 3 | W 4 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | W 3 | SSW 5 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 7 | ESE 6 | — | S 6 | S 5 | ESE 8 | E 8 | S 5 | E 10 |
14 | 9 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 809 | 1083 | 701 | 408 | 114 | — | 50 | 28 | 359 | 422 | 19 | 1245 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 3 | 175 | 201 | 178 | 280 | 280 | 393 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 63 | 35 | 0 | 42 | 32 | 12 | 16 | 60 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.









