
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with 1,277 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 17) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag heading our way over the next couple of weeks. The first few days are pretty ordinary, but there’s some real light at the end of the tunnel if you’re patient.
To start, it’s flat and forgettable. Tuesday the 14th is a write-off – tiny 1.0ft to 0.7ft slop with a moderate cross-off breeze, just not worth paddling out for. Wednesday the 15th, though, things wake up. The morning brings a solid 8ft south swell with a moderate offshore wind, and the wave energy is pumping at 1155. That’s a powerful, clean push that’ll have Manly (point) looking proper. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there. This swell is a bit on the bigger side for beginners, but for anyone with a bit of experience, it’s a standout window. The period is 10 seconds, so decent groundswell rhythm, but that afternoon the wind swings cross-off and the size drops to 7ft, so the morning is the pick.
Thursday the 16th is still bumpy with a fresh cross-off breeze and 7ft, but the energy is dropping off (677) and the period shortens to 8 seconds, making it a bit of a messy, fat wave. Friday the 17th fades fast, with rain showers and a piddly 3ft.
We hit a dry spell Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th – marginal, average conditions at best. Then Monday the 20th brings a little relief. The morning has 6ft from the east-northeast with a near-slick cross-off breeze and a combined energy of 757. The afternoon turns glassy, with 6ft and a light north-easterly, and that’s a proper welcome sight. It’s clean, but not huge.
Now, here’s the real untold benefit of waiting. The standout for the whole forecast period is Wednesday the 23rd. The morning rolls in with a clean 7ft east swell, 12-second period, and a gentle offshore from the south-west. Combined energy is sitting at 1084, so it’s a strong, solid swell. The afternoon holds size with a light cross-off breeze. That’s the day to call in sick, no doubt. The following Thursday the 24th still has 6ft at 12 seconds, but the wind turns onshore by the afternoon, so morning is the go.
The second week settles into a more consistent, manageable run. From Friday the 24th through to Sunday the 27th, we see 5ft to 6ft east swell with long periods, which is promising for shape and power, but the wind is mostly cross-off or light, so it’s decent but not epic. The last few days, Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th, the swell drops back under 2ft, and it’s back to small, ordinary conditions.
So, bottom line: the first few days are a bust, but Wednesday the 15th morning gives you a taste of the good stuff, and Wednesday the 23rd is the absolute best on offer – clean, strong, and properly juicy. Don’t waste your energy on the rest.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | S 12 | SSW 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 6 | S 11 | S 10 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 8 | E 10 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
9 | 11 | 94 | 1155 | 840 | 453 | 659 | 558 | 226 | 51 | 10 | 123 | 90 | 143 | 338 | 573 | 883 | 834 | 641 | 562 | 480 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:05PM1.82m | 8:57AM1.15m | 8:55PM1.81m | 9:46AM1.18m | 9:43PM1.74m | 10:35AM1.20m | 10:31PM1.63m | 11:23AM1.23m | 11:18PM1.47m | 12:11PM1.24m | 00:05AM1.31m | 1:01PM1.26m | 00:56AM1.14m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:31PM0.24m | 2:57AM-0.07m | 2:24PM0.23m | 3:44AM-0.07m | 3:17PM0.24m | 4:29AM-0.03m | 4:10PM0.28m | 5:12AM0.04m | 5:04PM0.33m | 5:53AM0.13m | 6:02PM0.40m | 6:33AM0.22m | 7:05PM0.46m | ||||||||
6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | |
— | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | S 12 | S 11 | — | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | S 7 | S 6 | ENE 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | E 10 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
9 | 11 | 22 | — | 5 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 226 | 51 | 10 | 123 | 90 | 65 | 40 | 573 | 883 | 834 | 641 | 562 | 480 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 7 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | S 18 | E 5 | ESE 5 | S 11 | S 23 | S 21 | S 19 | S 19 | ENE 12 | S 9 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 |
2 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 24 | 13 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 7 | 29 | 175 | 25 | 55 | 107 | 102 | 59 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 20 | S 17 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | S 8 | S 16 | S 17 | S 18 | S 16 | SE 18 | S 9 | S 17 | S 8 | SE 15 | SSE 15 | SE 14 |
8 | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | 51 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 90 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | WNW 3 | SSW 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | E 5 | — | SSE 6 | ESE 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | 1 | 94 | 1155 | 840 | 453 | 659 | 558 | 14 | — | 87 | 75 | 86 | 143 | 338 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 280 | 280 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 105 | 152 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 0 | 7 | 78 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.









