Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period, ENE swell with 783 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 1.9m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright mate, let's look at what Manly has cookin'.
First few days are slow. Thursday afternoon sees a 8ft southerly swell but a strong 19 mph southerly wind messin' it up – that's a cross-off and not pretty. The water's around 63°, right where it should be for winter.
Friday through Saturday morning the swell drops to 3ft or less, with weak, short-period waves. The energy is low. You're not gonna get much more than a bump.
Sunday and Monday morning show some promise. A 6ft east-northeast swell rolls in, with 11-second periods – that's real groundswell. The wind is light, cross-shore Sunday, then offshore Monday from the west-northwest at 6 mph. This is cleaner, but still not the main event.
Then Tuesday, July 21st morning – glassy! A 5ft ENE swell, 10-second period, with the wind from the northwest at just 3 mph. The water is flat, the waves are clean. That's the first proper session. Watch for crowds.
The midweek gets small again, 3ft max, with more onshore wind.
Now, Friday, July 24th afternoon – this is it. An 8ft southerly groundswell at 11 seconds. The combined energy is massive at 2883. The wind drops to a light southerly breeze at 3 mph. That’s clean, powerful, expert-only surf. This is the best day of the whole run.
Saturday and Sunday still have some 5ft to 6ft swell, but the wind gets on it, 22 mph plus, making it messy.
Second week is patchy. Monday the 27th has 6ft but ruined by onshore stuff. Tuesday the 28th morning you get a 5ft southerly swell with offshore wind from the west-southwest at 6 mph – clean and worth a look. Wednesday the 29th afternoon has 6ft with a fresh offshore breeze, but it's borderline.
Thursday the 30th morning is another decent clean one: 6ft southerly, gentle offshore, energy of 581. Friday the 31st morning has 6ft but short period, light cross-shore – just okay.
So the two real standouts: Tuesday morning the 21st for fun clean waves, and Friday afternoon the 24th for a proper heavy session for the experienced crew. The rest is a mixed bag.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 15°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Thu afternoon, light winds from the SSE by Fri night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 7 | S 6 | E 8 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 718 | 188 | 78 | 89 | 111 | 88 | 123 | 187 | 769 | 769 | 740 | 641 | 562 | 512 | 464 | 373 | 318 | 253 | 217 | 180 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross | glassy | on | cross | cross-off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:43PM1.74m | 10:35AM1.20m | 10:31PM1.63m | 11:23AM1.23m | 11:18PM1.47m | 12:11PM1.24m | 00:05AM1.31m | 1:01PM1.26m | 00:56AM1.14m | 1:52PM1.27m | 1:53AM1.01m | 2:46PM1.28m | 2:59AM0.91m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:29AM-0.03m | 4:10PM0.28m | 5:12AM0.04m | 5:04PM0.33m | 5:53AM0.13m | 6:02PM0.40m | 6:33AM0.22m | 7:05PM0.46m | 7:13AM0.31m | 8:14PM0.50m | 7:56AM0.39m | 9:28PM0.50m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — |
 | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — |
mm | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
Feels °C | 10 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | S 7 | S 6 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 25 | 188 | 78 | 89 | 85 | 88 | 123 | 187 | 769 | 769 | 740 | 641 | 562 | 512 | 464 | 373 | 318 | 253 | 217 | 180 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 18 | E 6 | S 6 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 10 | S 17 | S 16 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 |
| kJ | — | 26 | 33 | 32 | 54 | 69 | 66 | 59 | 147 | 121 | 160 | 138 | 134 | 84 | 56 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 16 | 21 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 8 | E 8 | S 8 | S 5 | S 21 | S 20 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | — |
| kJ | — | 5 | 19 | 21 | 13 | 34 | 33 | 24 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 3 | 3 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | ESE 6 | — | — | ESE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | N 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 718 | 31 | — | — | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 109 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 163 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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