Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, this is Rusty. Look, I'm not going to sugar-coat it – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for waves around here. We've got a real long stretch of nothing much to get excited about, so let's just walk through it.

We're kicking off the period on Sunday the 5th of July with a solid pulse of S swell pushing 12 ft. Now, the good news is we've got offshore winds early, but the bad news is this is a short-period wind swell with only 11 seconds between waves, and the water temp is sitting at 65°, which is about average for this time of year. The combined energy is a very strong 2917, so there's plenty of power, but the wave comment calls it marginal, and for good reason – this is a beginner-friendly point break sheltered to the south-east, but this swell is too big and too raw for most. It's really only going to suit advanced surfers who want a challenge.

By Sunday afternoon, the wind swings and the quality drops further. Monday the 6th sees the swell drop to 10 ft with a bit more period, but still cross-off winds and marginal conditions. The combined energy is still high at 1807, but the scores are low. Tuesday the 7th is more of the same – 10 ft swell with rain showers and cross-off breeze. Wednesday the 8th has some offshore wind again with 8 ft SSE swell, but it's still not clean enough for a standout session.

From Thursday the 9th onward, the swell starts to fade away quickly. We go from 7 ft on Thursday down to 1 ft by Monday the 13th. There's a gap here of several days – from about Thursday the 9th right through to the end of the forecast window – where there's really no surf worth paddling out for. The combined energy drops to double digits, which is weak. The scores are all zeros or ones. Friday the 10th has a glimmer of hope with light offshore winds and 6 ft swell, but the energy is only 603 (moderate) and the wave comment says "expect good surf conditions" but the score is still only 2 out of 10. Not much to get excited about.

By Saturday the 11th, the swell is down to 4 ft and the wind goes onshore in the afternoon. From there it's a long, drawn-out flat spell. We've got a few days with tiny 1 ft to 2 ft waves, mostly clean but completely undersized. The period is short, the energy is weak, and the forecasts are all "poor surf conditions." There's nothing here that'll get your heart racing.

So to sum it up: the only window with any size at all is this weekend coming (5th and 6th of July), but it's big, messy, and only for experts. After that, it's a long, flat run with no standout options. For a spot that is fairly consistent, this kind of blank run is a bit of a downer, but it happens. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it, but right now, I'd be finding something else to do.

Stay patient.
Rusty.

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