
Surf Forecasts:
Manly surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 10s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SE swell with 2,860 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 10s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:
The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 1.6m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, grab your wetties. It’s a tricky few weeks ahead, but there are a couple of windows where it could fire.
The word is that things start out pretty grim. We’ve got a pulse of energy rolling in from the SSE that’s bringing a solid 10-foot to 12-foot swell, but it’s coming with a strong 15 to 18 mph cross-off wind out of the SSW and S, which is just ruining it. It’s an absolute washing machine out there. The wave energy is massive, hitting 2617 to 2865, but honestly, it’s a blown-out mess for paddle surfing. Stick to the cliff walks on Tuesday.
Wednesday calms down a bit with the swell dropping to 8 feet from the SE, but that 12 mph south wind is still making it lumpy. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises there. You’re still looking at marginal conditions with a score that leaves no one excited.
Now, here’s the one true standout for the first week. Thursday morning, July 9, things start to tidy up. The swell settles to a clean 6 feet from the SE, and the wind goes light out of the SSW at just 6 mph. The wave energy drops to a more manageable 813, but it’s clean. Then, the real magic happens on Friday, July 10. We’ve got a 5-foot SE swell with a 9-second period, but the wind goes *glassy*. A light WNW breeze in the morning and a glassy calm in the afternoon. This is your window. The wave energy is moderate at 412 to 463, but with those clean, smooth conditions, Manly (Sydney) is going to have some fun, shapely waves. This is the pick of the fortnight.
Saturday, July 11, the size drops to 4 feet and then 2 feet. The morning is cross-shore, but the afternoon goes glassy again with a long 13-second period pushing in from the ESE. The wave energy is weak (272), but for a longboard or a mini-mal, that afternoon session will be a treat.
After that, it goes flat and weak. From Sunday, July 12, right through to Monday, July 20, we’re looking at a long dry spell. Swell sizes are mostly below 3 feet, with wave energy dropping into the double digits and low hundreds (128, 86, 28...). There are some light offshore winds here and there, but there’s just not enough push. It’s a true lull, and it’s going to feel like a long one.
But hold onto your hats because the second week has a promise. On Tuesday, July 21, we see a massive Groundswell event sneaking in from the S. The combined energy jumps to a staggering 7113. The swell height is forecast at 16 feet. This is big, heavy, and for experts only. The period is 12 seconds, so it’s a proper groundswell with a lot of power. It’s going to be breaking straight and fast at beach breaks, so you want a point or a reef. The wind is a strong 25 mph cross-off from the west, which will keep it from being completely blown out, but it will be raw. This is a long-range call, so it’s promising but not locked in yet. If it hits, it will be the biggest day of the outlook. Wednesday, July 22, it drops to a still-chunky 8 feet from the S, with a moderate offshore. That’s a big, powerful day that will need your best board and your A-game.
So, in short: Friday July 10 for the cleanest, funnest waves of the first week. Then, keep an eye on Tuesday July 21 for a monster swell that could be the real story if the winds play nice.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Wed morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | S 11 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2140 | 2860 | 2297 | 1418 | 1067 | 733 | 640 | 542 | 440 | 405 | 450 | 320 | 225 | 149 | 138 | 92 | 63 | 34 | 15 | 9 | 116 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:34PM1.23m | 1:22AM1.17m | 2:29PM1.31m | 2:29AM1.09m | 3:26PM1.40m | 3:44AM1.04m | 4:25PM1.50m | 4:59AM1.03m | 5:23PM1.60m | 6:08AM1.05m | 6:19PM1.70m | 7:10AM1.08m | 7:13PM1.78m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:32PM0.50m | 7:48AM0.25m | 8:46PM0.46m | 8:40AM0.27m | 10:01PM0.38m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:12PM0.27m | 10:39AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.15m | 11:39AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.05m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:07AM-0.03m | ||||||||
6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | |
— | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | |
mm | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | — | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 14 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | S 16 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SSW 6 | SSW 5 | S 11 |
471 | 5 | 2297 | 1418 | 1067 | 607 | 640 | 542 | 440 | 405 | 450 | 320 | 225 | 118 | 138 | 92 | 63 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 116 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | — | — | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 16 | — | S 21 | ESE 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 13 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 |
6 | — | — | 220 | 462 | 646 | 167 | 39 | 5 | — | 9 | 19 | 57 | 149 | 69 | 31 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 7 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 16 | — | S 20 | S 18 | S 17 | S 20 | S 19 | S 14 | S 17 | ESE 15 | S 15 | S 15 | S 16 | — | S 9 | SE 7 | S 11 | — |
— | — | — | 5 | — | 8 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 42 | 5 | 4 | 5 | — | 7 | 2 | 9 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SE 11 | — | — | — | SSE 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 2 | — | W 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 2 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | SW 4 | SSW 5 |
2140 | 2860 | — | — | — | 733 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 12 | 113 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 280 | 56 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sydney North Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.









