Manly Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.80° S 151.30° E

Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 23 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manly sea temperature is
17.9° C
0.0° 

Manly surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manly surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period, S swell with 1,494 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manly this week:

The surf forecast for Manly over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manly in the next 16 days are 2.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Fri 24th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 7s
Best Surf10AM (Fri 24th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 10s
Most Powerful10PM (Fri 24th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manly over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s cooking for Manly over the next couple of weeks in feet and Fahrenheit.

First up, the water temp is sitting at about 64°F, which is right on average for this time of year – no surprises there.

The pattern starts slow. Thursday the 23rd sees a small 3ft easterly-northeasterly swell pushing in, with a clean 25 km/h southwesterly offshore. The energy's weak (111) but it's rideable for a beginner. It’s something to wet the line on, but nothing to get excited about.

Friday the 24th morning is where it gets interesting. We've got a solid 7ft southerly swell that's packing some proper punch – combined energy of 1395. With a 15 km/h west-southwesterly offshore and clear skies, the conditions are set to be very good. This is the standout session of the first week. The 10-second period means long, clean lines off the point. If you're an intermediate or above, this Friday morning is your window. Crowds are often here at Manly, so get in early.

Saturday the 25th morning drops a bit to 6ft southerly swell with a cross-offshore 15 km/h westerly, and it’s clean. Energy’s still decent at 697. Sunday morning the 26th is similar – 6ft southerly, 20 km/h west-southwesterly cross-offshore. Both are rideable but nothing special.

From Monday the 27th through to Wednesday the 29th, the swell fades badly. We’re looking at 3ft down to 2ft with very low energy (88-126). The wind stays clean for parts of it, but there’s just not enough push. These are poor to ordinary days, best spent on the beach.

Then Thursday the 30th morning brings a pulse. A 3ft southerly swell with a 12-second period and clean 15 km/h south-southeasterly cross-offshore. Energy climbs to 483. It’s a good pick for a sneaky session. Friday the 31st morning is similar with 4ft and light southwesterly offshore – clean, but ordinary in size.

Now, for the second week – here’s the real talk. Saturday the 1st of August afternoon sees a jump to 8ft southerly, but it’s short-period (8 seconds) and messy. Not the one.

Sunday the 2nd of August morning is the absolute standout of the whole outlook. We’re talking a serious 12ft southerly groundswell, 10-second period, with a 20 km/h southwesterly offshore. Combined energy is a massive 3816 – that’s strong wave energy. This is excellent surf, but only for experienced surfers. It’s too big for beginners. Expect long lines down the point, but be warned – that much energy on a point break can get powerful. You’ll want your confidence up. Crowds will be full, so plan accordingly.

Sunday afternoon gets mucky – that 45 km/h southwesterly wind turns it into a washing machine. Don’t bother.

Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th stay big, with 10ft to 13ft southerly swells, but the wind is cross-shore and choppy. Energy is still huge (up to 4168), but the quality is poor. This window is more for the tow crew or the kites, not paddle surfing.

Wednesday the 5th is similar – 12ft but onshore and choppy.

Then Thursday the 6th of August morning – this is the other standout. A 13ft southeasterly swell with a 13-second period and glassy conditions. That’s right – glassy. Combined energy hits 5599, which is very strong wave energy. This is for expert surfers only. The long period will make the sets powerful and the gaps between them long. It’ll be a challenge to get out, but if you’re skilled, the rewards will be massive. Again, expect crowds.

Friday the 7th morning holds 12ft from the east-southeast, 13-second period, with a light 5 km/h westerly cross-offshore – clean. Energy is still huge at 3501. Another expert-only session.

So, to sum it up: Friday 24th July morning is your best bet for a classic, manageable good day, and Sunday 2nd August morning and Thursday 6th August morning are the big, heavy standouts for the experienced crew.

Stay safe out there.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Thu afternoon, calm by Fri afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thu
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
3
1
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
ENE
9
1.3
SSW
7
2.1
S
10
1.8
S
10
2.1
S
13
1.7
S
11
1.3
S
10
1.2
S
11
1.7
S
11
1.5
S
10
1.3
S
10
1
S
9
1
S
10
1
S
9
0.7
S
9
0.6
S
8
0.4
S
15
0.4
S
19
0.4
S
19
1.5
S
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
92
149
830
573
1484
676
345
335
670
477
331
173
181
164
76
50
73
110
116
295
Wind (km/h)
25
SW
25
WSW
15
WSW
10
SE
15
WNW
15
W
5
NNE
20
W
20
WSW
15
SE
15
W
10
WNW
10
ESE
10
NW
10
NNW
5
N
15
WNW
20
SSW
25
S
20
S
Wind State
off
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:11AM0.87m
4:35PM1.33m
5:17AM0.88m
5:25PM1.37m
6:11AM0.91m
6:11PM1.43m
6:55AM0.95m
6:53PM1.48m
7:35AM0.99m
7:32PM1.53m
8:12AM1.04m
8:09PM1.56m
Low Tide
10:38PM0.47m
9:39AM0.48m
11:37PM0.42m
10:35AM0.49m
00:26AM0.36m
11:28AM0.46m
1:07AM0.30m
12:15PM0.43m
1:45AM0.24m
12:58PM0.39m
2:20AM0.19m
1:38PM0.36m
2:54AM0.16m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:50
6:50
6:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:07
5:08
5:09
5:09
5:10
5:12
5:12
 mm
1
Temp °C
18
11
13
13
11
17
18
14
17
16
13
16
15
15
19
20
15
14
14
14
Feels °C
12
4
9
10
7
14
15
8
13
13
8
13
13
13
15
17
11
10
9
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manly Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manly provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manly can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manly surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manly) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manly may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Manly is 6 km (4 miles) from Dee Why. If you plan a holiday in Sydney North Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dee Why. Dee Why has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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