Manly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's chew through what's cooking for Manly.

Right out of the gate, it's a rough start. Wednesday the 5th is flat with a weak 1-foot easterly wind swell and a combined energy of just 40. It's barely a ripple. The water temp is about normal for this time of year.

We're in a bit of a lull until Thursday the 6th, when a small 2-3 foot south swell shows up, but the conditions are still pretty ordinary. The real action doesn't fire up until the following week. There's a solid building trend from the 13th onwards.

The standout period is a no-brainer: from Thursday the 13th through to Tuesday the 18th. We start getting proper south groundswells. On the 13th, we get a 5-foot SSW swell with a clean offshore wind from the SW at 15 mph. That's the first real taste of quality. The energy jumps to 399 (moderate), and the wind is offshore, so the lineup will be clean.

But the best on offer is Friday the 14th morning. It's a 6-7 foot south swell at 11 seconds, which is a nice clean groundswell. The wind is offshore from the SW at 12 mph, and the combined energy is a solid 918. This is a proper point break wave, and with the offshore wind, it'll be holding up nicely. This is too big for beginners, but for the experienced crew, it's the pick of the forecast.

Monday the 17th is also worth a look. The morning is glassy with a 4-foot SE swell, but the afternoon is the real gem: 4-5 feet on a 9-second south-east swell with glassy conditions. The energy is 448, and the wind is dead calm. That's rare, and it'll be silky smooth.

The following week, around the 18th and 19th, we see another pulse of 5-6 foot SE swell on Tuesday the 18th morning, but the wind turns cross-on that afternoon, messing it up. Wednesday the 19th morning is glassy again with a 3-foot ESE swell, but it's small. The real promise is in that first week of solid south swell with good wind.

Crowds at Manly are often an issue, so expect some company, especially on the good days. The spot is a point break, fairly consistent, but it's sheltered from the main swell direction, so it needs a solid south or south-east push to get going.

Overall, there's a proper run of surf from the 13th to the 18th. The 14th morning is the one to circle on the calendar. The rest of the fortnight is mostly small or blown out.

Rusty.

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