Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SSW swell with 4,305 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s cooking at Lake Ferry for the next couple of weeks. There’s some decent groundswell from the south on the way, but it takes a bit of patience to find the clean window.
We start off Friday the 11th of September with a small, long-period SSW swell running 3 ft at 17 seconds. The wind is a cross-off from the north at 9 mph, keeping things clean, but the energy is only moderate at 439. It’s a toe-dipper.
Saturday morning the 12th is the standout. The swell builds to 6 ft from the SSW with a 15-second period, and the wind turns glassy from the east-southeast at just 3 mph. The combined energy jumps to a strong 1742. This is the session for experienced surfers – at 6 ft it’s too much for beginners. The water temp is about average for this time of year. Head to Lake Ferry (Lake-Ferry), a sandbar break that’s fairly consistent but can draw a crowd sometimes. That long period will give you proper groundswell lines, but on a sandbar it can go a bit straight, so move around to find the bank.
Saturday afternoon hits 10 ft from the same direction, which is too big for this break and strictly for experts. The wind stays light but goes cross-on from the southeast, adding a little chop. Sunday the 13th drops to 7 ft with a 13-second period and light cross-on wind from the west-southwest, so it’s a bit lumpy.
Monday morning the 14th brings clean 5 ft SSW swell with a 12-second period and offshore north winds at 6 mph. Energy sits at a moderate 743 – a clean, fun session for a more mellow paddle. Tuesday the 15th is clean again with 3 ft surf in the morning and offshore winds, but the energy drops to 235. After that, things get blown out.
From Wednesday the 16th onward, we see tiny swell and then a massive 15 ft SSW pulse on Friday the 18th with strong onshore winds – that’s a kite-surfing day, not for paddling.
The second week, starting Saturday the 20th, offers small clean SSW swells in the mornings around 3 to 3 ft with 12-second periods and light north to northwest winds. Energy stays weak to moderate, peaking at 285. It’s surfable and clean, but mellow. A couple of days in the middle of that week get wrecked by strong northwesterlies at 28 mph.
So the clear winner is Saturday morning the 12th of September at Lake Ferry. Glassy, solid 6 ft groundswell, and strong energy. Mark it down.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the NW by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSW 13 | S 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 344 | 116 | 335 | 1358 | 3717 | 3394 | 1532 | 876 | 1248 | 1047 | 786 | 441 | 198 | 154 | 55 | 33 | 17 | 17 | 433 | 168 | 71 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:40PM1.35m | 5:05AM1.26m | 5:34PM1.31m | 6:00AM1.25m | 6:28PM1.27m | 6:54AM1.25m | 7:22PM1.23m | 7:48AM1.25m | 8:14PM1.20m | 8:40AM1.24m | 9:06PM1.17m | 9:30AM1.24m | 9:55PM1.14m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:25AM0.02m | 11:02PM0.06m | 11:22AM0.04m | 11:56PM0.08m | 12:20PM0.07m | 00:49AM0.10m | 1:15PM0.10m | 1:40AM0.12m | 2:10PM0.13m | 2:30AM0.15m | 3:02PM0.15m | 3:18AM0.18m | 3:52PM0.18m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |  |  |  | | | |
 | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — |
 | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 5 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 6 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSW 13 | S 9 | S 4 | SSW 13 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 |
| kJ | 94 | 22 | 335 | 1358 | 3717 | 3394 | 1532 | 876 | 1248 | 1047 | 786 | 441 | 198 | 154 | 55 | 33 | 13 | 6 | 35 | 168 | 71 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 14 | NW 5 | S 7 | ENE 13 | — | NE 12 | S 21 | NE 12 | — | — | ENE 4 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | S 8 | SSW 13 | NW 4 | E 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 344 | 115 | 1 | 124 | 17 | — | 6 | 9 | 6 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 20 | 32 | 12 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 43 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | SSW 17 | E 7 | E 7 | — | — | SE 11 | — | E 12 | — | — | E 9 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSW 9 | — | — | SSW 13 | NW 7 | SE 15 | SE 14 |
| kJ | 1 | 116 | 1 | 4 | — | — | 5 | — | 3 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17 | — | — | 17 | 2 | 9 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 2 | NW 5 | S 3 | — | — | — | NW 3 | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | N 3 | NW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | S 4 | SSW 7 | — | NW 5 |
| kJ | 1 | 99 | 5 | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 27 | 56 | 438 | 338 | 10 | 433 | — | 54 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 64 | 9 | 31 | 64 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 64 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 94 | 91 | 130 | 140 | 112 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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