Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 07 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
11.1° C
1.0° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 7 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 13s period, S swell with 1,391 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 8 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 2.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Sat 8th Aug)4ft (1.2m) 10s
Best Surf 6PM (Sat 8th Aug)4ft (1.2m) 10s
Most Powerful 3PM (Fri 7th Aug)6.5ft (2.0m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening at Lake Ferry.

It’s a slow burner, but we’ve got a couple of good windows. The first real swell shows up on the morning of Friday, August 7th. We’re looking at a 6ft south swell with a very long period of 15 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The combined energy is a solid 1570 (moderate to strong), and with a light offshore wind from the north, it’ll be clean. This is a standout for experienced surfers only, as it’s well over the 5ft mark. The water is a bit colder than normal for this time of year at 52°, sitting just over a degree below average. The long period can make beach breaks a bit straight, but Lake Ferry is a sandbar, so keep an eye on the banks.

Friday afternoon is a bust – the wind swings to the NNW at 25 km/h, making it cross-off and messy, and the swell drops to 7ft, but the quality is shot.

Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are a wash. The swell is fading and the wind is either cross-off or onshore, so no good. Monday the 10th is also poor with onshore winds and a short-period swell.

Now, Tuesday the 11th of August morning is a real sleeper. The swell is a modest 4ft from the SSE with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy is 319 (moderate). The real star is the wind: glassy, absolutely flat calm from the east at just 5 km/h. That’s as good as it gets for clean conditions. It’s not the biggest, but for smooth, perfect faces, this is the pick of the early week. Crowds are possible here, so paddle out early.

After Tuesday, the energy drops off hard. Wednesday the 12th through Friday the 14th of August offer tiny, weak swells with combined energy barely hitting 30-40 (weak). Not worth the effort.

The 16th of August, a Sunday, is a beast. We’ve got a 13ft south-southwest swell with an 11-second period and combined energy of 3558 (very strong), but the guidance says it’s too big for this break. With light winds, it’s only for the absolute pros, and even then, it’s a dangerous call. The same goes for the 19th and 20th, where we see another 13ft pulse with strong onshore winds – that’s a kite-surfing setup, not a paddle one.

The very end of the window, on Friday the 21st of August, gives us another chance. A 8ft south swell with an 11-second period and combined energy of 1212 (strong) pairs up with glassy, calm conditions in the morning. That’s excellent for experienced surfers, and it’ll be a clean, powerful day. The afternoon is still good with a lighter 7ft and cross-off wind.

So, the best on offer is the Friday morning, August 7th, for the big, clean groundswell, and the Tuesday morning, August 11th, for the glassy, fun-sized waves. The very end of the run, August 21st, is also a standout for a solid, clean session. The rest of the 16 days are mostly poor or too big, with a few days of nothing at all.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 6°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sun morning, light winds from the SW by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Mon afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
2
2
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
S
15
2
S
13
1.6
S
12
1.5
S
11
1.3
S
11
1.1
S
10
0.9
S
10
0.8
S
10
0.7
S
10
0.8
S
10
1.8
SSW
8
1.6
S
9
1.3
SSE
9
1.2
SSE
8
0.8
SSE
8
0.6
SSE
7
0.4
SE
7
0.3
SSE
10
0.3
SSE
9
0.2
SSE
9
0.2
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1212
1391
726
544
387
244
158
125
98
118
448
380
264
185
66
35
14
20
17
10
22
Wind (km/h)
15
N
25
NNW
25
NW
20
NW
15
NNW
10
NNE
25
N
30
NW
25
NW
10
SSW
20
SSW
10
S
5
E
5
NE
20
NE
10
NNE
10
NNE
10
NNE
10
N
10
NNW
10
NE
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
on
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
High Tide
11:26AM1.27m
11:51PM1.21m
12:20PM1.33m
00:45AM1.23m
1:16PM1.38m
1:40AM1.25m
2:12PM1.42m
2:36AM1.27m
3:08PM1.45m
3:32AM1.28m
4:05PM1.45m
4:29AM1.28m
5:01PM1.44m
Low Tide
5:45PM0.12m
6:01AM0.10m
6:40PM0.10m
6:54AM0.06m
7:36PM0.07m
7:49AM0.03m
8:33PM0.05m
8:46AM0.00m
9:31PM0.04m
9:44AM-0.02m
10:28PM0.03m
10:42AM-0.03m
11:26PM0.02m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:20
7:18
7:18
7:16
7:16
7:13
7:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:34
5:35
 mm
1
3
Temp °C
10
11
12
12
13
10
13
13
12
10
11
9
11
12
9
10
11
11
15
16
12
Feels °C
5
5
8
8
10
7
5
7
6
7
6
5
9
10
5
8
9
9
13
14
10
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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