Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, SSW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 5,028 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s cooking for Lake Ferry over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a wild ride, so strap in.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a decent gap before anything really gets going. The first couple of days are a write-off. Sunday the 30th and Monday the 1st have some swell, but the wind is ripping, and the surf quality is poor. Monday morning on the 31st, there is a spike in size to 8ft from the SSW, but a 22 mph cross-off wind is just too messy for it to be any good.
The real standout action is locked in for Tuesday, September 1st, and Wednesday, the 2nd. Tuesday morning is a beast at 13ft from the SSW, but with a 12 mph cross-on wind it’ll be a choppy mess and frankly, too big for most of us. The real gem is Tuesday afternoon. The wave energy is huge (3840), pushing 12ft from the SSW, and the wind goes glass. Absolutely dead calm. That’s the session to circle on your calendar. It’s going to be big and powerful, so it’s strictly for experienced surfers only. The water temp is sitting at 53°, which is pretty standard for this time of year.
Wednesday morning, September 2nd, offers a second shot. Still a solid 10ft from the SSW, with a clean cross-off breeze. The swell period is a very long 17 seconds, which brings incredible energy (5028) and shape, but at a beach and sandbar setup like Lake Ferry, that long period can make it break a bit too straight and fast. It’s still a top-notch option for the crew who can handle it.
After that, things drop off fast. Thursday the 3rd has some smaller, cleaner waves, but the quality is only marginal. Then we hit another dead zone. From Thursday afternoon, straight through to Monday the 7th, it’s mostly small, weak, and windy. Zero recommendations. That blank run stretches about four days.
We get a tiny flicker of hope on Tuesday the 8th with some very ordinary but surfable waves, but it’s nothing to write home about.
Then, the forecast gets wild again for the second week. Saturday the 12th sees another massive pulse, with 16ft from the SSW on Saturday afternoon. The wave energy is extreme (4638), and the wind is light, but that size is off the charts for a paddle session. It’s a kite surfer’s dream setup for sure.
Sunday the 13th is still huge at 12ft, but the wind turns nasty. The real silver lining for the second week is Monday, September 14th. We get a clean 8ft from the south, with glassy conditions in the morning and light winds in the afternoon. The energy is still strong (922), making for a much more manageable size with excellent conditions. It’s a solid, high-quality day for the intermediate and above crew.
So, long story short: Tuesday afternoon, September 1st is the absolute standout. Get on it if you have the skills. For a slightly more mellow but still excellent option, Monday the 14th in the second week looks like a beauty, though that one is a bit further out, so keep an eye on it.
Stay salty,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 5°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
107 | 169 | 380 | 1607 | 1324 | 4693 | 4393 | 3840 | 2907 | 5028 | 3099 | 1269 | 511 | 330 | 286 | 102 | 96 | 41 | 59 | 281 | 434 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:26PM1.19m | 6:49AM1.14m | 7:15PM1.19m | 7:39AM1.18m | 8:05PM1.19m | 8:31AM1.22m | 8:57PM1.20m | 9:23AM1.26m | 9:50PM1.20m | 10:17AM1.31m | 10:43PM1.21m | 11:11AM1.35m | 11:37PM1.23m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:14PM0.17m | 00:47AM0.19m | 1:05PM0.16m | 1:35AM0.17m | 1:58PM0.15m | 2:23AM0.16m | 2:51PM0.14m | 3:12AM0.14m | 3:45PM0.12m | 4:02AM0.12m | 4:38PM0.10m | 4:54AM0.09m | 5:32PM0.09m | ||||||||
6:48 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
Feels °C | 11 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 7 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 7 | SSW 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 |
107 | 169 | 79 | 1607 | 1324 | 3876 | 3496 | 3840 | 2907 | 5028 | 3099 | 1269 | 511 | 330 | 286 | 102 | 96 | 29 | 59 | 281 | 434 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSW 16 | SE 11 | NW 6 | — | — | — | S 18 | — | SE 12 | — | — | WNW 7 | SE 11 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | S 9 | SSW 14 | S 8 | — |
31 | 8 | 380 | 5 | 103 | — | — | — | 751 | — | 6 | — | — | 18 | 5 | 21 | 48 | 41 | 40 | 5 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | — | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 4 | E 9 | SE 11 | — | SSW 15 | SE 12 | SE 11 | N 16 |
6 | 6 | 6 | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 5 | — | 22 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | NW 4 | WNW 5 | NW 6 | WNW 6 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | SE 4 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 4 |
24 | 37 | 44 | 372 | 114 | 4693 | 4393 | — | 12 | 25 | 241 | 451 | 145 | 12 | 206 | 223 | 115 | 85 | 160 | 96 | 10 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 27 | 9 | 94 | 27 | 64 | 27 | 9 | 27 | 27 | 34 | 140 | 34 | 21 | 91 | 105 | 27 | 84 | 27 | 9 | 91 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











