Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, SSW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, SSW swell with 3,501 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 16s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 1ft (0.3m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Lake Ferry over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, it's a slow start. We're looking at pretty much nothing worth getting wet for from now through to Thursday the 16th. The swell is tiny, about 0.7ft to 1.0ft, and even though the wind is mostly cross-offshore, the wave energy is super weak (29-76). It's a flat spell, plain and simple.
The real story starts to build on Friday the 17th. That morning, a proper SSW groundswell arrives, jumping to 8ft with a solid 14-second period. The combined energy is a meaty 2179, and with glassy conditions and a light S wind, this is the standout window for the whole forecast. It's a big swell, so this is definitely for experienced surfers only. The afternoon pushes it even bigger to 10ft, but the note says it might be too large for the break itself, so the morning session is the call.
Saturday the 18th drops right back down to 2ft. The morning has clean conditions with a light offshore, but the energy is a fraction of the day before (439). It's a breather day.
Sunday the 19th is a write-off. A 7ft SSW swell is on the way, but a cross-onshore wind from the SSE makes it choppy and messy. The energy is high (1400), but the quality is poor.
Next week, from Monday the 20th, the swell hangs around the 6ft to 6ft mark from the SSW, with a nice 14-second period. The energy is strong (1360-1561). Monday afternoon is the pick with glassy conditions, offering excellent waves for those who can handle the size. Tuesday the 21st is also a great call, with clean 4ft surf and glassy conditions in the afternoon. The energy is moderate (556-573), making for a much more manageable session.
The second week is quieter. From Wednesday the 22nd onwards, the swell drops to under 3ft. The energy is weak to moderate (69-643). The most promising day in that run looks like Monday the 27th, with a 3ft SSW swell, a 14-second period, and a light ENE wind. The energy is a solid 643, and it's noted as "very good surf conditions," but for a lake break, it's a small-scale affair.
In a nutshell, if you're an experienced surfer, have the Friday the 17th morning circled in red. That's the biggest, cleanest, most powerful swell of the period. The following Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st are also very solid options for the more capable crew. The rest of the forecast is for smaller, cleaner days that might be fun on a longboard, but nothing else is a standout.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Thu morning, calm by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat morning, min 4°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the S by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | S 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | ESE 17 | SE 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | SE 15 | SE 14 | S 7 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 19 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 27 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 48 | 44 | 45 | 28 | 66 | 2041 | 2513 | 563 | 217 | 206 | 491 | 800 | 622 | 471 | 1533 | 1223 | 887 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | off | off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | off | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:24PM1.49m | 4:49AM1.30m | 5:22PM1.50m | 5:47AM1.30m | 6:20PM1.48m | 6:46AM1.30m | 7:17PM1.45m | 7:44AM1.28m | 8:14PM1.40m | 8:42AM1.27m | 9:10PM1.34m | 9:39AM1.25m | 10:05PM1.28m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:02AM-0.02m | 10:49PM0.00m | 11:02AM-0.04m | 11:48PM-0.01m | 12:01PM-0.05m | 00:47AM-0.01m | 1:01PM-0.04m | 1:44AM-0.01m | 2:00PM-0.02m | 2:39AM0.01m | 2:57PM0.02m | 3:32AM0.04m | 3:54PM0.07m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — |
 | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | S 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | S 7 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | S 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 18 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 27 | 8 | 1 | 26 | 48 | 44 | 45 | 22 | 56 | 2041 | 2513 | 563 | 147 | 94 | 385 | 800 | 622 | 384 | 1533 | 1223 | 887 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | S 12 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 13 | ESE 15 | ESE 17 | SE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | SE 15 | SE 14 | S 22 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 19 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | SE 9 |
| kJ | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 28 | 66 | 138 | 169 | 209 | 217 | 206 | 354 | 516 | 362 | 471 | 28 | 14 | 20 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 10 | S 18 | S 8 | S 20 | ESE 14 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | NW 6 | — | — | — | SSW 14 | SSW 23 | ESE 14 | SE 13 | ESE 13 | SSW 14 | — | ESE 12 | ESE 12 |
| kJ | — | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 8 | 7 | 8 | — | — | — | 75 | 100 | 127 | 84 | 64 | 215 | — | 123 | 13 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 4 | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | — | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 165 | 172 | 157 | 114 | 79 | 138 | 183 | 21 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | 491 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 82 | 82 | 82 | 31 | 82 | 82 | 94 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 112 | 64 | 112 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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