Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 pm 11 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
10.8° C
1.3° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 17 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, S swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 18 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, SSW swell with 3,251 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 8s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 6PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Wed 12th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 8s
Best Surf 6AM (Mon 17th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 9s
Most Powerful 9PM (Tue 18th Aug)13ft (4.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight up – Lake Ferry is looking at a real mixed bag over the next couple of weeks, with plenty of flat spells and a whole lot of blown-out, angry water in between. The water temp is sitting at 11°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want the thickest wetsuit you’ve got.

First up, Tuesday the 11th of August has a bit of swell on the way with 5 ft from the south, but the cross-shore wind and a weak combined energy of only 290 makes for a pretty ordinary session. Don’t get your hopes up.

Wednesday the 12th is a tease – the morning has a small 2 ft south-easterly swell with offshore NE wind keeping things clean, but the energy’s barely there at 79. It’s surfable, just not memorable. The afternoon drops to 1 ft. Thursday the 13th is flat with tiny, unrideable waves. Friday the 14th is barely a ripple.

Saturday the 15th has a glassy morning with 1.0 ft and a very long 17-second period from the SSW, but there’s just no power (64 energy). The afternoon goes onshore and messy.

Now, things get real from Sunday the 16th, but not in a good way. Blowing 22 mph onshore wind with a messy 13 ft south swell – combined energy of 2,769 – that’s a washing machine. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Monday the 17th has a massive 10 ft south swell (1,689 energy), but it’s too big for this break and still onshore. Tuesday the 18th is more of the same: 13 ft and onshore wind.

The standout, if you’re an expert, is Wednesday the 19th. A solid 15 ft south swell (4,085 energy) with WNW cross-shore breeze. That’s serious power, but it’s a sandbar break and the swell direction is south, while the optimum here is from the south. The period is 11 seconds – decent groundswell, but at this size it’ll be heavy and unforgiving. Only for the brave.

Thursday the 20th still has big 10 ft swell and glassy conditions in the morning, but the wave comment says it’s favorable. Still big, still expert territory.

Finally, a real highlight for the patient surfer: Friday the 21st of August. The morning has 6 ft from the south (654 energy) with calm, glassy conditions. That’s a clean, paddle-friendly window with good shape potential. Saturday the 22nd drops off quick with increasing wind.

After that, it fades into small, messy conditions through to the 26th, with a small window on Monday the 24th morning – 2 ft but glassy with a very long 17-second SSW swell. It’s small, but clean and with that period it’ll hold up nicely on the sandbar if you’re on the right bank.

Overall, the best bets are Friday the 21st morning for a clean, fun session, and Wednesday the 19th for experts wanting serious size. Don’t bother with the rest unless you’re desperate.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the S by Sat night).

Tue
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
!
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
S
8
1.1
SSE
8
0.7
SE
7
0.4
SSE
10
0.4
SSE
9
0.4
SSE
9
0.2
SSE
9
0.2
SSW
16
0.2
SSW
15
0.2
SSW
15
0.2
SSW
15
0.3
SSW
17
0.5
SSW
16
2.2
SSW
6
4
SSW
9
4
SSW
9
4
S
9
3
S
8
2.3
S
9
1.6
S
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
266
131
49
33
29
27
7
24
23
21
21
59
144
381
2733
2517
2351
1288
769
838
Wind (km/h)
10
SE
10
NE
15
NE
10
NNE
10
N
10
NNE
10
NNW
10
NNE
5
NE
5
SSE
10
ENE
5
W
15
SSW
20
SSW
35
S
30
S
25
S
15
SSW
15
SW
10
WSW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
High Tide
3:32AM1.28m
4:05PM1.45m
4:29AM1.28m
5:01PM1.44m
5:26AM1.28m
5:57PM1.41m
6:23AM1.27m
6:53PM1.37m
7:20AM1.26m
7:49PM1.32m
8:16AM1.25m
8:43PM1.26m
Low Tide
9:31PM0.04m
9:44AM-0.02m
10:28PM0.03m
10:42AM-0.03m
11:26PM0.02m
11:41AM-0.02m
00:22AM0.03m
12:40PM0.00m
1:17AM0.04m
1:38PM0.03m
2:11AM0.06m
2:34PM0.07m
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light rain
light rain
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:13
7:13
7:11
7:09
7:09
7:07
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:32
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:38
 mm
1
4
Temp °C
12
8
13
14
10
16
15
12
15
14
12
12
11
10
9
9
7
9
10
9
Feels °C
10
6
10
12
8
14
13
10
14
13
11
11
9
7
1
1
0
4
6
6
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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