Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 pm 31 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
11.1° C
1.0° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, SSW swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, S swell with 6,070 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Sat 1st Aug)13ft (4.0m) 12s
Best Surf 6PM (Sat 1st Aug)13ft (4.0m) 12s
Most Powerful12PM (Tue 4th Aug)13ft (4.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty, talkin' Lake Ferry. We got a weird one, no doubt. The first few days are a total washout, don't even bother. Then the lake lights up, but it's a tricky dance.

The wait is almost painful. The whole end of July and the first day of August are a bust. Swell shows, but the wind is on it, heavy, and the surf is just poor. Nothin' until Sunday morning, August 2nd.

That Sunday morning is the real deal, the standout. Lake Ferry is wakin' up with a clean 3ft swell out of the south, with a decent 11-second period. The energy is chunky, and with a light NNW breeze keepin' it cross-off and glassy, the face is gonna be smooth. This is advanced territory, though – that's a solid wave for a sandbar, and it'll be a bit of a paddle, but the payoff is huge. Crowds are possible, so don't expect it to yourself, but for the quality, it's worth it. Water temp is about 52°, a degree cooler than average, so you'll want a good hood and gloves.

Sunday afternoon drops a little to 5ft, but still clean and very good. The light wind holds. Monday morning, the 3rd, is a bit smaller at 3ft, but still clean and fun. Things get messy through the middle of the week.

Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th bring a huge pulse of southern groundswell, but it's too big for the break. 11ft to 13ft is just a washing machine on a sandbar, even if the wind is favorable. That's expert-only, and honestly, it looks more like a kite-surfin' day than a paddlin' session. The period stretches out to 14 seconds, a proper groundswell, but it's just gonna close out and be dangerous.

After that peak, things settle. Thursday the 6th is a gem. The morning is 6ft with an ENE cross-off, and by the afternoon it goes glassy. 5ft, glassy, south swell – that's a proper session. The energy is moderate, but the conditions are perfect.

Friday the 7th has a weird morning with a tiny 2ft, but the afternoon fires back up with a 5ft south swell and a very long 16-second period. Lots of energy, and the wind is clean. That long period will make it wall up on the sandbar, but the sets will be further apart, givin' you a breather. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are still rideable, around 4ft to 5ft, but the wind picks up, makin' it more marginal.

The second week is a real mixed bag. From the 10th onward, the swell drops, the period gets short and messy, and the wind stays on it. It's a slow fade into small, junky conditions. The 12th and 13th are tiny, with weak energy. The 14th and 15th are back to a complete no-go. That initial run from the 2nd to the 6th is your window. Don't sleep on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon morning, min 4°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Fri night, calm by Sat night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 3°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Fri
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
!
4
3
2
2
3
1
!
!
!
3
3
4
3
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSW
11
4
SSW
8
5
SSW
11
4.5
SSW
12
3
S
12
2
S
11
1.4
S
10
1.1
SSW
10
1
SSW
10
1.2
SSW
12
1.8
SSW
14
3.5
S
14
4
S
14
3
S
14
2.5
S
13
2.5
S
12
2.1
S
12
1.8
S
11
1.6
S
11
0.9
SSE
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
25
1643
5713
5146
2648
917
408
255
218
454
1277
4713
5765
3723
2431
1850
1215
792
610
187
Wind (km/h)
30
WNW
40
SW
30
SSW
25
SSW
5
W
10
NNW
10
NW
15
N
10
NNW
10
NNW
15
S
15
S
15
S
15
S
10
S
5
SSE
5
ENE
5
ENE
5
ESE
10
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
on
on
on
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
off
High Tide
6:13PM1.20m
6:33AM1.07m
6:59PM1.19m
7:19AM1.08m
7:44PM1.18m
8:06AM1.09m
8:30PM1.18m
8:54AM1.12m
9:18PM1.18m
9:43AM1.16m
10:07PM1.18m
10:34AM1.22m
10:58PM1.19m
Low Tide
00:38AM0.23m
12:44PM0.20m
1:23AM0.22m
1:31PM0.20m
2:07AM0.21m
2:19PM0.20m
2:51AM0.19m
3:08PM0.19m
3:36AM0.18m
3:59PM0.17m
4:23AM0.15m
4:51PM0.15m
clear
light rain
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:26
7:24
7:24
7:22
7:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:27
5:28
 mm
2
1
1
Temp °C
12
9
8
7
6
11
12
7
13
15
10
9
9
7
9
9
5
8
10
5
Feels °C
5
2
1
1
3
8
9
4
10
12
8
5
4
2
5
6
2
6
8
1
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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