Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 10s period, S swell with 4,166 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 5.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what we've got coming up at Lake Ferry. It’s going to be a wild ride, so hold on.
Look, the next week and a half is pretty much a write-off. It’s a long, gnarly stretch. We start off Tuesday and Wednesday with a chunky 5.2ft to 7.9ft swell, but the wind is a mess – cross-shore or straight on – and the conditions are described as marginal to poor. That 7.9ft on Wednesday afternoon is a short-period 7-second thing, just a mess. Then Thursday gets proper scary with a 14.8ft wall of water and a "strong breeze" on it, combined energy hitting over 4000. That's not surfing, that's survival. You’d be mad to paddle out, it's more of a kite surfing day if anything. We stay in the poor zone right through until Saturday the 12th.
Saturday the 11th sees the swell drop right away, but conditions are still marginal with a light cross-onshore. Then, Sunday the 12th is our first real glimmer of hope. We get a clean-looking day with a small 2.6ft SSW groundswell, a nice 14-second period. The wind goes light offshore from the NNE in the morning and light cross-off in the afternoon. The combined energy is modest at 323, but it'll be clean. This is the best we'll see for a while, but it's tiny.
After that, it flatlines again. Monday the 13th through to Thursday the 17th is all tiny, weak stuff with poor conditions. There's a glassy moment on Wednesday the 15th, but the swell is only 1.3ft. Not worth the trip.
Now, here's where it gets interesting. The real standout is looking at Monday the 20th of July. We've got a solid 5.9ft SSE groundswell rolling in with a 12-second period. Combined energy is a meaty 1129. The wind is looking light offshore from the NNE, meaning clean, groomed faces. This is the one. The forecast calls for excellent conditions for experienced surfers. Lake Ferry is an advanced wave, a sandbar that’s fairly consistent. The optimum swell direction is from the south, and this SSE is close enough. It’s going to be a proper session for those who know what they’re doing. The crowds here can be a factor sometimes, but for a Monday in winter, you might have it more to yourself.
The back half of that day and Tuesday the 21st stays clean and fun with dropping swell in the 3.6ft to 2.6ft range, still with good period and glassy conditions. It'll be a nice run.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 99mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon night, min 10°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Mon night, strong winds from the S by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 10°C on Thu night, min 5°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSE on Thu night, calm by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Mon 13 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SSW 10 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 6 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 725 | 452 | 473 | 427 | 413 | 539 | 2886 | 3628 | 4121 | 1929 | 897 | 440 | 173 | 213 | 157 | 459 | 269 | 247 | 152 | 58 | 95 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:43PM1.17m | 10:07AM1.09m | 10:28PM1.17m | 10:55AM1.14m | 11:17PM1.18m | 11:45AM1.20m | 00:08AM1.20m | 12:37PM1.27m | 1:02AM1.22m | 1:32PM1.34m | 1:57AM1.25m | 2:28PM1.41m | 2:54AM1.27m | 3:26PM1.46m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:04AM0.20m | 4:17PM0.21m | 4:47AM0.18m | 5:06PM0.18m | 5:32AM0.15m | 5:58PM0.15m | 6:20AM0.12m | 6:53PM0.12m | 7:12AM0.08m | 7:51PM0.09m | 8:06AM0.05m | 8:50PM0.05m | 9:04AM0.01m | ||||||||
 |  | |  | |  |  | | |  |  | |  |  |  |  |  |  | | | | |
 | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — |
 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 |
mm | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 11 | 9 | 3 | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | ESE 11 | — | SSW 16 | — | SSW 18 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SSW 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 671 | 452 | 473 | 111 | 95 | 43 | — | 137 | — | 64 | 167 | 182 | 133 | 213 | 135 | 459 | 269 | 247 | 152 | 58 | 95 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | ESE 10 | S 20 | — | — | — | — | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 |
| kJ | 103 | 95 | 87 | — | 37 | 8 | — | — | — | — | 141 | 236 | 65 | 92 | 64 | 56 | 54 | 35 | 22 | 16 | 7 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | ESE 10 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | E 10 |
| kJ | 8 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 20 | 65 | 157 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SE 7 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 6 | S 6 | S 6 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 5 |
| kJ | 725 | 218 | 289 | 427 | 413 | 539 | 2886 | 3628 | 4121 | 1929 | 897 | 440 | 173 | 114 | 83 | — | — | — | 7 | 49 | 80 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 42 | 47 | 64 | 105 | 106 | 175 | 175 | 236 | 236 | 236 | 112 | 183 | 112 | 91 | 130 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 34 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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