Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 02 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
11.2° C
0.9° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 5 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 12s period, SSW swell with 10,024 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 6.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3PM (Sun 2nd Aug)5ft (1.5m) 10s
Best Surf 9AM (Wed 5th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Most Powerful12PM (Tue 4th Aug)20ft (6.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what Lake Ferry’s got coming for the next couple of weeks. This sandbar needs a southerly swell to light up, and there’s a decent long-period groundswell on the way. Water temp is about 52°F, which is a touch under a degree Fahrenheit cooler than average – nothing crazy, just a bit brisk.

Sunday August 2nd is a cracker. The morning swell is from the south at 7ft with an 11-second period, and the combined energy is pumping at 1433 – that’s strong, powerful stuff. Winds are light cross-off from the NNW, keeping the surface clean. This is advanced-surfer territory only, and it’s one of the true standouts of the whole forecast. The swell drops to 5ft by the afternoon, but it’s still clean and rideable.

Monday 3rd sees the swell back off to 3ft in the morning, but the period stretches to 13 seconds from the SSW, so there’s still some shape. The energy is moderate at 495, and the wind stays light cross-off. A fun, easy day. The afternoon bumps up to 4ft with a 12-second period – clean but unremarkable.

Then things go sideways. Tuesday 4th and Wednesday 5th are no-go for paddling. The swell hits 20ft and 12ft, with strong southerly winds blasting straight onshore. The energy readings are massive – 10,958 and 9,017 on Tuesday, 3,536 on Wednesday – but the wind and size make this a kite-surfing zone, not a paddle spot. Thursday 6th is marginal at 6ft with cross-shore wind.

Friday 7th brings the second standout. Morning swell is 5ft from the south with an incredible 17-second period – very long-period groundswell. The combined energy is 1,368, and the wind is glassy. This is the session to chase. The long period will have the waves wrapping nicely, but expect long waits between sets. The afternoon goes to 6ft with a 15-second period, but the wind shifts onshore.

Saturday 8th is smaller: 5ft, 12-second swell, light cross-off winds. Clean but not special. Sunday 9th through Monday 10th are tiny – 2ft to 3ft – with clean conditions but weak energy. From Tuesday 11th to Saturday 15th, the swell drops to nearly nothing, with combined energy as low as 15 to 30. It’s a long flat spell.

Sunday 16th, a new pulse shows up. The morning has 6ft but with a short, messy 6-second period. The afternoon jumps to 15ft with a 10-second period and energy at 3,211. The wind is cross-off from the NNW, but the size is way too big for this break. Monday 17th stays big and windy.

The two best windows: Sunday morning August 2nd and Friday morning August 7th. Both have solid, clean swell with good wind. Get it while you can.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun morning, fresh winds from the SSW by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 10°C on Fri morning, min 4°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
3
2
3
3
0
0
0
!
!
2
2
1
2
4
4
3
3
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
S
11
1.5
S
10
1.2
SSW
10
0.9
SSW
13
1.3
SSW
12
2.2
SSW
15
6
SSW
12
5.5
SSW
12
5
SSW
12
3.5
S
12
3
S
12
2.3
S
11
1.8
S
11
1.4
S
10
1.2
S
10
1
S
16
1.4
S
15
1.3
S
13
1.3
S
12
1.2
S
11
1.2
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1027
452
300
269
519
1994
9143
8808
7097
3901
2524
1280
727
394
284
533
892
563
446
335
290
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
10
NW
15
NNE
10
NW
10
NNW
10
S
35
SSW
35
SSW
35
SSW
20
S
15
SSW
10
SSW
10
SW
5
SW
5
N
5
NNE
15
NNW
10
N
10
NNE
10
NNW
10
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
High Tide
7:44PM1.18m
8:06AM1.09m
8:30PM1.18m
8:54AM1.12m
9:18PM1.18m
9:43AM1.16m
10:07PM1.18m
10:34AM1.22m
10:58PM1.19m
11:26AM1.27m
11:51PM1.21m
12:20PM1.33m
00:45AM1.23m
Low Tide
1:31PM0.20m
2:07AM0.21m
2:19PM0.20m
2:51AM0.19m
3:08PM0.19m
3:36AM0.18m
3:59PM0.17m
4:23AM0.15m
4:51PM0.15m
5:11AM0.13m
5:45PM0.12m
6:01AM0.10m
6:40PM0.10m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:24
7:24
7:22
7:22
7:20
7:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:27
5:28
5:29
5:30
 mm
5
2
4
4
2
Temp °C
11
12
8
13
14
9
6
6
7
8
8
7
8
8
5
10
10
7
11
12
10
Feels °C
8
9
4
10
11
5
-2
-3
-2
3
3
3
5
5
3
8
6
4
8
9
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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