Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 1 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 11s period, SSW swell with 8,351 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 1 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 5.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 7s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Mon 7th Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Rusty here, and I’ll break down Lake Ferry for you in feet and degrees.
First week is a big ol' washout for most surfers, unless you’ve got ice in your veins. The early days are just too big and messy.
Tuesday the 1st of September sees a 13-foot SSW swell with crazy high energy (8021). That’s gonna be way too much for this sandbar. The morning is cross-onshore, but the afternoon goes glassy – unreal conditions if it wasn’t so heavy. The water is about 54°F, normal for early September.
Wednesday the 2nd is still huge. A 10-foot SSW swell with a very long 17-second period and strong energy (5043). That’s a long-period groundswell, and with clean cross-off wind, it’s going to be hollow and heavy. Only for the fearless. By the afternoon, it’s down to 8 feet with a 14-second period but the wind kicks up to 15 mph, making it less perfect. Thursday and Friday are a write-off with strong winds and dropping swell.
Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th are flat with combined energy under 160. Nothing doing.
Monday the 7th of September looks ugly – 10-foot onshore slop, and then a massive 18-foot SSW swell hits in the afternoon (6033 energy). Onshore and dangerous. Stay on the beach.
Tuesday the 8th is the first real highlight for the big-wave crew. Still a 12-foot S swell, but it goes glassy calm in the morning. Energy is very strong (3046). It’s still massive, but clean. That’s a true adrenaline session.
The best all-round session is Wednesday the 9th of September. The swell drops to a much more manageable 8 feet from the SSE with a 12-second period and light offshore N winds. Energy is solid (1815). The wind grooms it perfectly, and the direction is close to the optimum S. The afternoon stays decent at 7 feet but gets a bit breezy. This is the sweet spot for experienced intermediates and above.
Then we hit a long flat spell. From Thursday the 10th through Sunday the 13th, swell is under 5 feet and mostly blown out by strong NW winds. Energy is weak. Not worth packing a bag.
Sunday the 13th shows a tiny 2-foot pulse of very long period 17-second SSW swell, but no push. Monday the 14th is just short-period windswell.
The final standout is Wednesday the 16th of September. We see a clean 8-foot SSW swell with a 14-second period and light offshore NNE wind. Energy is strong (2388). This is a proper groundswell for experienced surfers, and the morning is the pick. Being 16 days out, take it as a promising forecast, not a guarantee.
The best of the run: the glassy big-wave morning of Tuesday the 8th, and the clean, powerful morning of Wednesday the 16th for the heavies. For the best all-around size and quality, the morning of Wednesday the 9th is your main event.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (calm on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Fri morning, moderate winds from the NW by Sat morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 17 | S 14 | S 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 7 | SSW 10 | SSW 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4772 | 5146 | 3296 | 5043 | 2890 | 1379 | 503 | 336 | 156 | 33 | 24 | 44 | 57 | 154 | 121 | 49 | 100 | 98 | 864 | 6033 | 6133 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on | glassy |
High Tide | 8:05PM1.19m | 8:31AM1.22m | 8:57PM1.20m | 9:23AM1.26m | 9:50PM1.20m | 10:17AM1.31m | 10:43PM1.21m | 11:11AM1.35m | 11:37PM1.23m | 12:06PM1.38m | 00:31AM1.24m | 1:01PM1.40m | 1:26AM1.25m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:58PM0.15m | 2:23AM0.16m | 2:51PM0.14m | 3:12AM0.14m | 3:45PM0.12m | 4:02AM0.12m | 4:38PM0.10m | 4:54AM0.09m | 5:32PM0.09m | 5:46AM0.07m | 6:27PM0.07m | 6:40AM0.04m | 7:22PM0.06m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | |  |  |  | | | | |
 | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — |
 | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 17 | S 14 | S 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | S 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | NW 8 | — | — |
| kJ | 3249 | 5146 | 3296 | 5043 | 2890 | 1379 | 503 | 336 | 156 | 33 | 16 | 44 | 57 | 154 | 121 | 37 | 100 | 98 | 3 | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 18 | — | SE 13 | — | — | SE 12 | SE 11 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SSW 16 | SSW 9 | — | NW 8 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 246 | — | 7 | — | — | 5 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 21 | 40 | 4 | 5 | 49 | 17 | — | 11 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 10 | E 9 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | S 9 | SSW 11 | S 9 | E 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 22 | 24 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | NW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 6 | SSW 7 | SSW 10 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 4772 | — | 34 | 17 | 46 | 177 | 190 | 363 | 199 | 710 | 182 | 164 | 61 | 45 | 152 | 258 | 342 | 145 | 864 | 6033 | 6133 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 23 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 91 | 91 | 82 | 82 | 82 | 130 | 91 | 31 | 27 | 82 | 138 | 34 | 143 | 140 | 278 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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