
Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 12s period, SSW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, S swell with 7,640 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 12s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for Lake Ferry. Gotta be straight with you – the start of this forecast period is pretty grim. We are looking at a solid gap of no surf for the first couple of days, with nothing but howling wind and messy conditions. The wind settles down and the swell kicks in after that, but there’s a lot of reading between the lines.
The first real recommendation pops up on Sunday, 2 August. The morning sees a solid 7ft swell from the S, with a period of 11 seconds, so it’s a groundswell and that’s a good sign for shape. The combined energy of all swells directed here is a strong 2059, so there’s plenty of push. The wind is a light cross-off from the NNW at 6 mph, which is a big tick for clean conditions. This is a standout for experienced surfers only – that swell size is up there. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no nasty surprises.
The afternoon on Sunday drops to 4ft from the SSW at 10 seconds, with a light cross-off breeze. The combined energy is 705. It’s a good, user-friendly drop-off session. Then Monday, 3 August, keeps the good vibes going with a clean 3ft morning swell from the SSW at 10 seconds, and light offshore wind from the N at 6 mph. The combined energy is 368, so it’s a fun, manageable size for a wide range of surfers.
Now, Tuesday, 4 August, is a big one. The forecast shows a huge 15ft to 13ft swell from the S and SSW, with periods hitting 15 seconds. That’s very long period groundswell, and the combined energy rockets up to 7648 and 5586. This is pumping, but it’s too big for this break. It’s an expert-only zone, and even then, the raw power is immense. The onshore wind from the SSW isn’t helping either. This is one to watch from the beach.
Wednesday, 5 August, is another standout. The morning is a bit marginal with an 8ft S swell at 12 seconds, but the afternoon is where it’s at. A 8ft S swell at 12 seconds, combined energy of 1963, and glassy wind from the SW at only 3 mph. That’s going to be clean, powerful, and lined up. Excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon is the pick of the whole run.
The rest of the week holds up. Thursday, 6 August, has a 6ft S swell at 11 seconds in the morning with glassy conditions, and the afternoon goes full glassy, calm wind, with 4ft from the SSW. Both are clean and very surfable. Friday, 7 August, has a 7ft S swell at 10 seconds with a light offshore, but the afternoon jumps to 12ft with a 9-second period, which is too big for most.
The second week is a bit of a mixed bag. Saturday, 8 August, has a 8ft S swell at 13 seconds in the afternoon with a moderate cross-off breeze, which is solid for experienced surfers. The rest of the week goes into a lull, with smaller swells from the SE and short periods around 7 to 8 seconds. The combined energy drops to 214 and below, indicating weak wave energy. The wind is generally cross-off, but the surf is ordinary and small. Friday, 14 August, has a small 6ft SSW swell with a short 6-second period, which is a bit messy.
So, the big takeaways here: Sunday morning, 2 August, is a solid start, but the absolute standout is the afternoon of Wednesday, 5 August. The glassy conditions and solid 8ft S groundswell will be worth the wait. On Tuesday, 4 August, don’t be a hero – that swell is too big for this spot.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu night, min 5°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Fri night, light winds from the SW by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 6°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 7 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
67 | 28 | 25 | 480 | 7108 | 7260 | 3017 | 1107 | 294 | 230 | 159 | 439 | 1459 | 7640 | 5586 | 2951 | 1933 | 1544 | 944 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | on | on | on | on | on | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 5:47AM1.07m | 6:13PM1.20m | 6:33AM1.07m | 6:59PM1.19m | 7:19AM1.08m | 7:44PM1.18m | 8:06AM1.09m | 8:30PM1.18m | 8:54AM1.12m | 9:18PM1.18m | 9:43AM1.16m | 10:07PM1.18m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:52PM0.24m | 11:57AM0.21m | 00:38AM0.23m | 12:44PM0.20m | 1:23AM0.22m | 1:31PM0.20m | 2:07AM0.21m | 2:19PM0.20m | 2:51AM0.19m | 3:08PM0.19m | 3:36AM0.18m | 3:59PM0.17m | |||||||
— | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | |
mm | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 5 |
Feels °C | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | WNW 6 | SE 16 | SE 15 | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 10 | SSE 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 |
67 | 28 | 25 | 21 | 245 | 266 | 3017 | 1107 | 294 | 230 | 159 | 439 | 1459 | 7640 | 5586 | 2951 | 1933 | 1544 | 944 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | SSW 14 | SE 16 | SE 15 | E 13 | E 12 | SE 14 | SSW 11 | SSE 11 | SSW 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 14 | SE 14 | — | — | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 13 |
25 | 21 | 9 | 37 | 30 | 11 | 218 | 487 | 260 | 169 | 90 | 67 | 8 | 8 | — | — | 102 | 126 | 454 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | — | — | — | SSE 13 | SSE 13 | S 22 | S 13 | SSW 18 | SE 14 | — | — | — | — | SSE 14 | — |
— | 9 | 9 | 57 | — | — | — | 465 | 151 | 9 | 119 | 64 | 8 | — | — | — | — | 293 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 6 | WNW 6 | SSW 7 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | — | NW 3 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | NW 3 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 |
248 | 198 | 176 | 480 | 7108 | 7260 | — | 6 | 10 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 240 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 91 | 91 | 130 | 91 | 140 | 236 | 47 | 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 251 | 64 | 64 | 106 | 84 | 23 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











