Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 06 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
12.8°C
0.7° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 13 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 15s period, SSW swell with 18,634 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 6.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 10) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Tue 8th Sep)2.5ft (0.7m) 9s
Best Surf 6PM (Sat 12th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful 9AM (Sun 13th Sep)21ft (6.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been staring at this Lake Ferry outlook. Let’s just say, it’s a bit of a mixed bag that’s gonna test your patience.

Overall, this forecast is a long, slow burn. The first full week is basically a write-off with small, messy, or just plain bad conditions. The real excitement is a massive, dangerous swell that shows up way later, which is a wildcard for the brave. There are plenty of gaps with no real recommendations here.

Kicking off on Sunday the 6th, it’s already a no-go. You’ve got a measly 2ft SSW swell with a 16 second period, but that cross-off wind is howling at 22 mph. The water is 55°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year. The wave energy is weak (228). Don’t bother.

Monday the 7th brings a bit more size – 6ft from the S – but the period drops to a short 7 seconds, and the wind is a messy cross-on. The energy is up (469), but it’s chopped up and ugly. Still a hard pass.

Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th are small and marginal. Tuesday morning has a 3ft S swell with a 10-second period and light cross-on winds. It’s not unsurfable, but it’s far from good. Wednesday morning is cleaner with a light offshore (NNE), but the swell is only 2ft and the period is a weak 8 seconds. The energy is pitiful (68).

Thursday the 10th is tiny and unusable, and Friday the 11th has a brief moment of hope with a 6ft SSW swell, but the period is a short 7 seconds and the wind is strong cross-off. It’s a no.

Then we hit the real standout, but it’s a wild one. On Sunday the 13th, the swell explodes to a massive 21ft from the SSW with a very long 15-second period. The combined energy is a huge 18,634 – this is serious, powerful groundswell. The wind is light and cross-shore in the morning. This is only for absolute experts. That size is far too big for anyone but the most experienced, and with a long period like that, it’s going to be a heaving, dangerous beast. For everyone else, it’s more of a spectator sport.

Monday the 14th is still huge at 12ft from the SSW, but the winds stay cross-off, making it clean. Again, experts only. The afternoon drops to 8ft, which is still a heavy wave for a sandbar setup like Lake Ferry.

After that, the swell backs off, but the wind gets nasty again from Tuesday the 15th onward, with strong offshore and cross-off winds ruining any chance of good shape. There’s a brief look on Wednesday the 16th with a 7ft SSW, but it’s cross-on and short period.

The rest of the second week is a mix of messy, cross-shore winds and medium swells. It’s not good. The last few days, like the 19th and 20th, have solid size but terrible onshore wind, making it a complete mess. This stretch is honestly more interesting for the kite surfers than paddle surfers, given the strong wind and lumpy conditions.

Your best bet, if you’re a charger, is Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th. Those are the only true standouts for size and power, but they are not for the faint of heart. For everyone else, keep an eye on the forecast because it *has* to get better after this.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 44mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 5°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sun morning, calm by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed morning, min 6°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Wed night, light winds from the NW by Thu night).

Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
15
0.5
SSW
10
1.9
S
7
1.6
SSE
7
1
S
10
1
S
10
0.8
S
9
0.7
S
9
0.6
S
8
0.5
S
8
0.3
S
8
0.2
SSW
14
0.5
SSW
14
0.3
SSW
19
1.7
SSW
7
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
15
1.2
SSW
14
2.1
SSW
13
3.5
SSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
226
201
63
376
244
200
183
106
74
49
34
12
18
104
74
281
246
207
490
1430
3811
Wind (km/h)
35
NW
30
NNW
15
SW
25
SE
20
SE
10
ESE
5
SE
10
SSE
5
ENE
10
NNE
25
NNW
35
NNW
35
NW
25
NW
30
SSW
30
NW
35
NW
15
WNW
25
WNW
15
SW
20
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
on
cross-on
High Tide
12:06PM1.38m
00:31AM1.24m
1:01PM1.40m
1:26AM1.25m
1:56PM1.40m
2:20AM1.25m
2:51PM1.40m
3:15AM1.26m
3:46PM1.38m
4:10AM1.26m
4:40PM1.35m
5:05AM1.26m
5:34PM1.31m
Low Tide
6:27PM0.07m
6:40AM0.04m
7:22PM0.06m
7:35AM0.03m
8:17PM0.06m
8:31AM0.02m
9:12PM0.05m
9:28AM0.02m
10:07PM0.06m
10:25AM0.02m
11:02PM0.06m
11:22AM0.04m
11:56PM0.08m
part cloud
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
light rain
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:35
6:35
6:33
6:31
6:30
6:28
6:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:59
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:05
 mm
1
22
18
3
2
1
2
Temp °C
14
14
14
7
8
8
12
11
7
13
13
11
13
13
7
12
12
10
10
8
8
Feels °C
7
8
9
2
3
4
8
7
5
9
7
4
8
7
-1
4
5
7
3
4
2
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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