Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 19s period, SSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 19s period, SSW swell with 5,358 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 19s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 19s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, let's have a look at what's cooking for us at Lake Ferry over the next couple of weeks. It's a sandbar set-up, wide open to the south, and it can get a bit of a crowd sometimes, so keep that in mind.
The whole run is a bit of a mixed bag, with a bit of a wait for the right moment. The first real glimmer of good surf hits Monday morning, the 20th of July. We're looking at a solid 8ft swell out of the SSW, and the wind is going glassy. That's a beautiful combo – clean faces and decent size. The water's sitting at 52°F, which is about 2°F colder than average for this time of year, so you'll want a decent wetsuit. The combined swell energy is cooking at (3654) – that's a proper amount of power for this break, and with a 19-second period, it's a long-period groundswell. Just remember, with a period that long, the waves might be a bit straight at the sandbar; it could be lining up better if there's a rip or a channel in the works. It'll be fantastic for experienced surfers, but that size and power might be a bit much for beginners.
If you can't make Monday, Tuesday the 21st of July is also worth a paddle. The morning has a clean 7ft swell from the SSW with an offshore NNE breeze at 6 mph, keeping things tidy, and energy is (1669). The afternoon drops to a still-clean 6ft with a cross-offshore wind. Both those windows are solid.
After that, it drops off significantly. There's a glassy 4ft S swell on Wednesday the 22nd, but the energy is down to (364), so it's more of a fun-size day. Then from Thursday the 23rd through the end of the month, it gets small and messy, with a couple of days having almost nothing. That's a long gap of nearly a week with no real options.
There is one other standout if you're patient, but it's a long-range bet. On Sunday morning, the 26th of July, a big 12ft SSW swell (1951 energy) hits, but with a 12 mph onshore wind and only 8 seconds of period, it's going to be a total washing machine. That's one for the kite crew, not for a standard paddle session. And then the run fizzles out with poor conditions into the start of August.
So, the clear winner here is Monday morning, the 20th of July at Lake Ferry. Get it while it's good.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 5°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 6°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Thu night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 22 | SSW 19 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4063 | 3245 | 1818 | 1498 | 1776 | 3490 | 5358 | 3228 | 1657 | 1058 | 598 | 336 | 265 | 138 | 119 | 54 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 870 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | off | on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:14PM1.40m | 8:42AM1.27m | 9:10PM1.34m | 9:39AM1.25m | 10:05PM1.28m | 10:34AM1.23m | 10:57PM1.22m | 11:27AM1.22m | 11:48PM1.17m | 12:16PM1.21m | 00:35AM1.14m | 1:02PM1.20m | 1:21AM1.11m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:39AM0.01m | 2:57PM0.02m | 3:32AM0.04m | 3:54PM0.07m | 4:24AM0.07m | 4:48PM0.12m | 5:13AM0.12m | 5:40PM0.17m | 6:00AM0.16m | 6:30PM0.21m | 6:45AM0.20m | 7:18PM0.24m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | |  |  | |  | |
 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — |
 | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5 |
Temp °C | 13 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 9 |
Feels °C | 11 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 22 | SSW 19 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | NW 4 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 4063 | 3245 | 1818 | 1498 | 1776 | 3490 | 5358 | 3228 | 1657 | 1058 | 598 | 336 | 265 | 138 | 119 | 54 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 23 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | E 11 | SE 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 8 | SE 13 |
| kJ | 134 | 123 | 68 | 65 | 38 | 37 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 90 | 47 | 18 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 24 | — | — | SSW 19 | ESE 12 | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | S 12 | E 11 | S 11 | S 10 | NW 6 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | — | 99 | — | — | 125 | 127 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 23 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 4 | — | S 4 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NNW 5 | — | SSW 8 |
| kJ | — | 18 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | 12 | 77 | 157 | 29 | — | 870 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 9 | 34 | 64 | 9 | 9 | 47 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 82 | 82 | 167 | 130 | 64 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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