
Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 13s period, SSW swell with 10,348 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 5.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 18ft (5.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about the surf at Lake Ferry (sandbar).
The 16-day outlook is a bit of a mixed bag with a clear standout. Water temp is sitting at 52°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so nothing crazy there.
The first couple of days are a write-off. Saturday afternoon is a complete mess with a 13ft SSW swell, a strong 16 mph onshore wind, and a massive wave energy value of 4563. It's just heavy, blown-out junk. That's a hard pass.
Sunday, August 2nd, is where it starts to get interesting. The morning session is the real highlight of the whole period. Swell has dropped to 7ft from the south, with an 11-second period, and the wind is a light 6 mph cross-off from the NNW. That's clean, lined-up, and powerful. The wave energy is still a solid 1433. This is ideal for experienced surfers – the size is serious enough to have some punch but not out of control. The afternoon is smaller at 4ft but still clean and very rideable.
Monday and Tuesday morning see cleaner conditions with waist-to-chest high waves, but the wind stays on it for Tuesday afternoon. Then Wednesday, August 5th, has a real problem: a 10ft swell from the south with a 12-second period, and wave energy is a huge 2791. The wind is favorable, but that's just too much juice for this sandbar setup. It'll be a washing machine.
Thursday, August 6th, is a good reset. The morning is clean with 6ft south swell and light winds. A solid, fun, clean day.
Now, the absolute top pick for the whole forecast is Friday, August 7th. The afternoon session is prime. You've got an 8ft south swell with a very long 15-second period, combined with a light 3 mph cross-off breeze. The wave energy is pumping at 3292. That's proper groundswell, long lines, and plenty of power. For a sandbar, that long period can make it a bit tricky to find the peak, but when you do, it'll be a dream. The morning is also excellent with a 7ft, 16-second period swell and offshore winds. Glassy, clean, and powerful.
Saturday, August 8th, is also a beauty. The morning is glassy – zero wind, 7ft south swell, and a wave energy of 1139. That's a clean, user-friendly morning. The afternoon stays glassy with smaller 6ft surf.
The second week sees the swell drop off significantly. Sunday, August 9th, has some clean, small leftovers with glassy conditions, but it's more of a longboard or grovel session. From Monday, August 10th onwards, the wave heights drop below 3ft and the energy falls away to under 300. There's a brief, small spike on the morning of Sunday, August 16th with 5ft swell from the SSW, but it's a short-period, weak windswell, so it won't have much shape.
All in all, the best windows are Sunday morning, August 2nd, and the standout is Friday afternoon, August 7th. Don't sleep on Saturday morning, August 8th either.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 4°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, strong winds from the SSW by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 10°C on Thu afternoon, min 3°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Tue afternoon, calm by Wed night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
4485 | 2693 | 1027 | 353 | 300 | 265 | 519 | 1143 | 9270 | 9654 | 5473 | 2784 | 1902 | 593 | 743 | 361 | 326 | 2089 | 3191 | 1821 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on | on | on | on | glassy | cross-off | cross | off | off | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 6:59PM1.19m | 7:19AM1.08m | 7:44PM1.18m | 8:06AM1.09m | 8:30PM1.18m | 8:54AM1.12m | 9:18PM1.18m | 9:43AM1.16m | 10:07PM1.18m | 10:34AM1.22m | 10:58PM1.19m | 11:26AM1.27m | 11:51PM1.21m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:23AM0.22m | 1:31PM0.20m | 2:07AM0.21m | 2:19PM0.20m | 2:51AM0.19m | 3:08PM0.19m | 3:36AM0.18m | 3:59PM0.17m | 4:23AM0.15m | 4:51PM0.15m | 5:11AM0.13m | 5:45PM0.12m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | |
5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 7 |
Temp °C | 8 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
Feels °C | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 4 | -3 | -3 | -2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 15 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 |
60 | 2693 | 1027 | 353 | 300 | 265 | 519 | 1143 | — | — | — | 2784 | 1902 | 593 | 743 | 361 | 326 | 2089 | 3191 | 1821 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSW 9 | SSE 10 | WNW 6 | — | — | — | E 19 | SE 18 | SSE 11 | SE 15 | SE 10 | SE 13 | S 9 | SE 10 | SE 13 |
18 | 261 | 406 | 226 | 234 | 121 | 72 | 3 | — | — | — | 7 | 12 | 582 | 34 | 139 | 28 | 246 | 60 | 27 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSE 13 | S 22 | SSE 11 | SSW 18 | SE 15 | — | — | — | — | — | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 15 | S 14 | SE 12 | SE 13 | — |
— | — | — | 120 | 10 | 101 | 64 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 41 | 77 | 35 | 15 | 92 | 41 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | — | NW 3 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 3 | S 7 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4485 | — | 9 | 13 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 435 | 9270 | 9654 | 5473 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 236 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 224 | 240 | 112 | 91 | 106 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











