Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, SSW swell with 2,786 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 16s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 2.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what we've got on the table from Lake Ferry.
Straight up, this is a tough stretch for most of the 16-day window. We are looking at a long, quiet run with nothing really worth paddling out for until the morning of Friday the 17th. The swell is tiny, the wind is messy, and the conditions are just plain poor. The water is sitting at 51°F, which is a fair bit colder than what you'd expect for this time of year, so you'll be wanting a thick hood and gloves.
Now, the real story here is what happens on Friday the 17th. That's the standout. The morning brings a glassy sea with a 7ft SSW swell, and the energy is pumping in at a strong 1842. By the afternoon, it's even bigger, hitting 8ft of the same SSW swell with a massive 2686 in combined energy. The period is 13-14 seconds, so it's a solid groundswell with some proper grunt. This is expert territory only, though – that size at a sandbar setup like Lake Ferry will be a handful. The wind is glassy on Friday, so it will be clean, but it’s a powerful wave for the experienced crew only.
Monday the 20th also looks promising for the big-wave hunters. The morning is clean with a 8ft SSW swell, serious energy at 2227, and a light offshore wind from the NNE. That’s a classic looking session, but again, it’s a bomb for experienced surfers only.
Beyond that, there are a few smaller windows of cleaner surf. The morning of Saturday the 18th has a 4ft SSW swell with offshore winds, and later on Tuesday the 21st, the afternoon glass-off with a 5ft S swell is worth a mention. The 24th and 25th also have some cleaner, smaller options, but nothing that compares to the big Friday the 17th or Monday the 20th.
The first few days right up to the 17th, and then again from the 26th onward, are a write-off. If you're not an expert, hold out for the 17th. If you are an expert, that Friday is the one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Mon afternoon). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mon 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | S 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | ESE 16 | SE 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | ESE 14 | S 23 | SSW 16 | SSW 10 | S 9 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 173 | 82 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 46 | 44 | 23 | 26 | 67 | 1700 | 2515 | 828 | 248 | 136 | 371 | 590 | 586 | 497 | 2190 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | off |
High Tide | 3:26PM1.46m | 3:51AM1.29m | 4:24PM1.49m | 4:49AM1.30m | 5:22PM1.50m | 5:47AM1.30m | 6:20PM1.48m | 6:46AM1.30m | 7:17PM1.45m | 7:44AM1.28m | 8:14PM1.40m | 8:42AM1.27m | 9:10PM1.34m | 9:39AM1.25m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:49PM0.03m | 10:02AM-0.02m | 10:49PM0.00m | 11:02AM-0.04m | 11:48PM-0.01m | 12:01PM-0.05m | 00:47AM-0.01m | 1:01PM-0.04m | 1:44AM-0.01m | 2:00PM-0.02m | 2:39AM0.01m | 2:57PM0.02m | 3:32AM0.04m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | |  | | |  | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 |
 | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | 5:13 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
Feels °C | 7 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | S 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | S 6 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 173 | 82 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 26 | 46 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 | 1700 | 2515 | 828 | 248 | 132 | 240 | 590 | 586 | 249 | 2190 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | SW 12 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 13 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | SE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | SE 15 | ESE 14 | S 23 | SE 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 20 | SE 12 |
| kJ | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 67 | 142 | 171 | 160 | 217 | 136 | 371 | 84 | 366 | 128 | 37 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 4 | ENE 6 | — | E 10 | S 18 | S 8 | S 20 | ESE 14 | ESE 15 | ESE 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | S 24 | SSW 23 | ESE 14 | SSW 22 | ESE 13 | SE 12 | — |
| kJ | 2 | 3 | — | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 23 | 26 | 42 | — | — | — | 11 | 103 | 129 | 154 | 65 | 38 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 6 | WNW 4 | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 4 | S 5 | SSW 8 | — | S 9 | — |
| kJ | 80 | 50 | 202 | 199 | 177 | 92 | 76 | 103 | 258 | 16 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 7 | 85 | 355 | — | 497 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 30 | 30 | 130 | 82 | 82 | 31 | 82 | 82 | 94 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 112 | 112 | 64 | 9 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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