
Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 22 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 21 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period, SSW swell with 2,114 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 2.3m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Tue 22nd Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Mon 21st Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right away, this stretch is all about Lake Ferry. It’s a sandbar set-up that needs a solid south swell to get pumping, and looking at the next couple of weeks, we’ve got a real mix of waiting, a big pulse, and then some messy drop-offs.
The first few days are pretty flat, with small, weak swell and nothing worth paddling out for. Come Thursday the 19th, there’s a short-period south swell that jumps up to 6ft, but the wind is on it and the period is way too short, so it’s going to be a mess. We’ve got a moderate energy level in the water (508), but honestly, it’s a skunk.
The real standout is Monday the 21st. There’s a solid 6ft south swell with a long 15-second period rolling in, and the wind is clean and cross-offshore. The combined energy is strong at 1409. This is the best looking day of the whole run—proper groundswell with some push, and Lake Ferry (Lake Ferry) should have some proper walls. It’s an advanced spot, so you need to know what you're doing, but for those guys, this is the one to circle. Keep in mind, a 15-second period can make it a bit walled at a sandbar, but the power will be there.
After that, the swell drops back out, but things get interesting again later in the week. Tuesday the 24th brings another solid S swell with a 12-second period, and the morning is looking clean with light cross-offshore winds. It’s a bit bigger, 8ft, and the energy is strong (2774), but it bumps up against the “too big for beginners” mark, and it’s pushing more towards expert territory.
Then we hit a wild card. The 23rd sees a massive swell jump, but it’s got a strong onshore wind and the period is all over the place. It’s a no-go for surfing—honestly, with that kind of size and wind, Lake Ferry is going to be a washing machine. That looks more like a kite-surfing day if anything.
The last few days of the month are tricky. There’s still a decent SSW swell running, with moderate to strong energy, but the winds are up and the conditions are marginal. Some of it is clean, like Friday morning the 27th with 8ft, but the period is short and it’s lumpy. It’s not the clean, lined-up swell we saw earlier, so you’re going to be fighting it.
Overall, the one true standout is Monday the 21st. Get on it early, and you’ll be rewarded. The 24th is a close second, but it’s more for the experienced crew. The rest is either too small, too messy, or too wild to get excited about.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Mon night, strong winds from the NNW by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 6°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | S 8 | SSW 13 | SE 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 6 | SE 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 7 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | S 6 | SSW 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
432 | 225 | 84 | 33 | 34 | 20 | 18 | 41 | 69 | 80 | 48 | 91 | 123 | 285 | 357 | 455 | 255 | 162 | 1348 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 7:48AM1.25m | 8:14PM1.20m | 8:40AM1.24m | 9:06PM1.17m | 9:30AM1.24m | 9:55PM1.14m | 10:19AM1.23m | 10:43PM1.12m | 11:05AM1.21m | 11:28PM1.10m | 11:50AM1.20m | 00:12AM1.09m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:40AM0.12m | 2:10PM0.13m | 2:30AM0.15m | 3:02PM0.15m | 3:18AM0.18m | 3:52PM0.18m | 4:05AM0.20m | 4:39PM0.21m | 4:50AM0.23m | 5:24PM0.23m | 5:33AM0.24m | 6:08PM0.24m | |||||||
— | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Feels °C | 7 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | NW 4 | SSW 6 | SE 13 | S 6 | SSW 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 8 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | S 10 | SSW 10 |
432 | 225 | 84 | 33 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 41 | 7 | 80 | 41 | 22 | 85 | 186 | 310 | 455 | 255 | 88 | 1348 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSW 15 | SSW 10 | SE 8 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SE 12 | SSW 15 | SE 12 | SSW 14 | SE 12 | NW 6 | SSW 14 | ESE 11 |
265 | 42 | 78 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 69 | 41 | 48 | 71 | 123 | 37 | 357 | 21 | 6 | 80 | 12 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 10 | SE 8 | SE 11 | S 8 | S 8 | ESE 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | SSW 15 | SE 11 | NE 10 | SE 11 | ENE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | — |
2 | 44 | 39 | 18 | 11 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 91 | 46 | 4 | 33 | 18 | 13 | 12 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 2 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | SW 4 | — | SSW 6 | — | NNW 4 | SSW 7 | — | NW 5 | S 2 | S 6 | — |
1 | 10 | 18 | 80 | 354 | 411 | 190 | 74 | 9 | — | 37 | — | 11 | 285 | — | 25 | 1 | 162 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 94 | 82 | 82 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 9 | 9 | 34 | 27 | 9 | 153 | 42 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










