Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 14s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 13 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, SSW swell with 3,371 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 2.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 10) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Sun 13th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's on the cards for Lake Ferry.
We’ve got a pretty quiet start to the 16-day window, with nothing worth a paddle for the first few days. The surf really gets going from Friday the 11th onward.
The real standout is the weekend of the 12th and 13th. Saturday morning the 12th is your best bet. Lake Ferry itself is an exposed sandbar, and we’ll see a clean 5ft swell from the SSW with a 13-second period, that’s a decent groundswell with proper energy (combined energy of 605). With a light offshore wind (NE at 3 mph), it’ll be glassy and clean. For a sandbar, that long period can make the waves a bit straight, but the conditions should be prime for an experienced crew.
Saturday afternoon gets bigger, pushing 7ft, but the wind swings cross-offshore and it’s a bit on the edge. That’s getting into expert territory. Then Sunday the 13th is another big day with a powerful 7ft SSW groundswell at 15 seconds (combined energy of 1949), and light cross-offshore winds on the morning making for clean peaks. Again, that wave size is only for the experienced.
Later in the run, Monday the 21st looks promising again with a clean, offshore wind and a solid 8ft SSW swell, though the period is a short 6 seconds so it won't have the same grunt. Still a good session.
Water temps are around 56°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so it’s not too bad.
Overall, if you’ve got the experience, Saturday the 12th morning is the one to circle. Keep in mind this is a sandbar so it can get a bit inconsistent. Go get it.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed morning, min 5°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the NNW by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 7°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 7 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 7 | SSW 18 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 163 | 173 | 125 | 106 | 55 | 34 | 34 | 12 | 18 | 110 | 360 | 251 | 121 | 441 | 604 | 1438 | 2516 | 1949 | 3371 | 2056 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | glassy | cross-on | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:26AM1.25m | 1:56PM1.40m | 2:20AM1.25m | 2:51PM1.40m | 3:15AM1.26m | 3:46PM1.38m | 4:10AM1.26m | 4:40PM1.35m | 5:05AM1.26m | 5:34PM1.31m | 6:00AM1.25m | 6:28PM1.27m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:22PM0.06m | 7:35AM0.03m | 8:17PM0.06m | 8:31AM0.02m | 9:12PM0.05m | 9:28AM0.02m | 10:07PM0.06m | 10:25AM0.02m | 11:02PM0.06m | 11:22AM0.04m | 11:56PM0.08m | 12:20PM0.07m | 00:49AM0.10m | |||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — |
 | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 8 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 8 |
Feels °C | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 72 | 173 | 125 | 106 | 55 | 34 | 34 | 12 | 11 | 110 | 77 | 157 | 85 | 441 | 604 | 1438 | 2516 | 1949 | 3371 | 2056 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SE 6 | S 13 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SSW 14 | WNW 6 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 15 | E 7 | ENE 13 | NE 13 | NW 4 | ENE 12 | — | — |
| kJ | 43 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 72 | 251 | 121 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 19 | 14 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 14 | — | S 13 | S 12 | S 19 | S 18 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 7 | SSW 18 | — | E 7 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 8 | — | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 107 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 7 | SE 6 | — | ESE 7 | — | — | NW 3 | NW 6 | WNW 4 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | — | NW 2 | NW 4 | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | — | — | WNW 5 |
| kJ | 163 | 36 | — | 9 | — | — | 9 | 287 | 26 | 6 | 360 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 16 | 8 | — | — | 19 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 64 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 94 | 82 | 84 | 112 | 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 130 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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