Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 21 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
10.7° C
1.2° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 24 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 24 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SSW swell with 3,344 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 21 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 13s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 23) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3PM (Fri 21st Aug)5ft (1.5m) 13s
Best Surf 9AM (Mon 24th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 13s
Most Powerful12PM (Mon 24th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, checking in on the local scene. We've got a 16-day outlook ahead, but the first few days are a write-off, so don't rush down.

The window opens up on Friday the 21st of August. It kicks off with a solid pulse of long-period groundswell, delivering some serious energy. The water is sitting at 51°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year, so you'll want the thick rubber.

Friday the 21st of August is the standout of the first week. Lake Ferry is the call. Friday morning we've got a clean 5ft swell from the south, with a very long 15-second period, meaning those waves will have plenty of push. The combined energy is a hefty 1239 (moderate to strong). The wind is a light northeast offshore breeze, keeping the surface glassy and clean. This is top-shelf stuff for experienced surfers, but that water temp is a reminder it's not tropical. Friday afternoon stays clean with a light north wind, dropping slightly to 5ft but still offering very good surf.

Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd are a complete loss. Strong northwesterly winds, gusting 25 mph, will chop the ocean to pieces on a dropping swell. It's a full skip.

Now, the next real standout doesn't arrive until Monday the 24th of August. Monday morning sees a massive 10ft swell from the SSW with a period of 13 seconds and an absolutely pumping combined energy of 2673 (very strong). The wind is a light NNE offshore, but this is too big for the break – it's going to be a washing machine for anyone but the elite. However, Monday afternoon is an absolute gem for experienced surfers. The swell eases to a still-chunky 8ft, the wind is a light cross-offshore from the NNW, and the energy stays high at 1923. This is a session for the big-wave crew.

Tuesday the 25th keeps the fun going with smaller, cleaner 4ft swell and gentle cross-offshore winds. Good fun, but not the highlight.

We have another long gap through the end of the week and into the weekend as a strong northwesterly blows through again.

A real sleeper hit comes on Thursday the 27th of August. Thursday afternoon, Lake Ferry gets a spike of 8ft from the SSW with an incredibly long 17-second period. The combined energy is massive at 3264 (very strong). The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze from the ENE, making for clean conditions. This is another one for the experienced crew only, but the potential is huge.

The following Monday, the 31st of August, is notable. It starts flat in the morning, but the afternoon glass-off is a thing of beauty. We've got 7ft from the SSW, a 17-second period, and absolutely zero wind – glassy perfection. The combined energy is a solid 2230. It’s another big swell, but in those conditions, it will be a sight for sore eyes for the advanced surfers.

After that, the first couple of days of September look okay for lighter winds and some fun 4ft swell, but the window starts to close again with onshore winds and lumpy conditions for the rest of the run. There's a glimmer on the afternoon of the 4th of September with a glassy 4ft, but it's a long wait.

So, your two true standouts: Friday morning, August 21st for the first clean, powerful swell, and Thursday afternoon, August 27th for that massive, long-period event in clean conditions. The rest is either blown out, too big, or quiet.

Stay keen, stay warm. This is Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 7°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sat night, light winds from the N by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Mon morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Wed afternoon).

Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
4
2
2
1
1
2
0
0
0
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
S
15
1.5
S
13
1.2
S
12
1
S
11
0.9
S
11
0.7
S
10
0.4
S
10
0.3
S
10
0.9
SSW
7
3
SSW
13
2.5
SSW
13
1.8
SSW
11
1.3
SSW
10
1.2
SSW
10
1
SSW
14
1.1
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
1.1
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
17
1.2
SSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1232
764
397
247
188
100
31
16
75
3102
2415
786
385
300
431
519
289
472
294
297
749
Wind (km/h)
10
NE
10
N
25
NNW
40
NNW
40
NW
40
NW
40
NW
30
WNW
30
WNW
5
NNW
15
NNW
15
N
15
NNW
15
NNW
20
NNW
15
N
30
NNW
30
NW
30
NW
35
NW
25
NNW
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:42AM1.21m
00:03AM1.12m
12:27PM1.21m
00:48AM1.10m
1:11PM1.20m
1:31AM1.09m
1:55PM1.20m
2:14AM1.09m
2:39PM1.20m
2:57AM1.08m
3:23PM1.20m
3:41AM1.08m
4:07PM1.20m
Low Tide
5:59PM0.22m
6:10AM0.22m
6:44PM0.24m
6:53AM0.24m
7:28PM0.25m
7:35AM0.24m
8:12PM0.26m
8:18AM0.23m
8:56PM0.26m
9:02AM0.22m
9:41PM0.25m
9:47AM0.21m
10:27PM0.23m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:01
7:00
6:58
6:56
6:56
6:54
6:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:43
5:44
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:47
5:49
 mm
1
2
Temp °C
12
12
10
13
13
13
13
12
10
13
13
10
15
15
11
14
13
13
14
14
14
Feels °C
10
9
5
5
5
6
5
5
2
9
9
5
11
12
8
9
7
8
8
8
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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