Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag, and you're gonna need to be patient if you want a wave. The swell window is open, but the wind gods are being downright cruel for most of the run. The water’s sitting at 51°F at Lake Ferry, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you'll want the thickest rubber you own.

The first few days are a write-off. We're looking at tiny, long-period swells with poor surf conditions. It's a bit heartbreaking, really. Friday the 14th won't have anything, and Saturday the 15th is barely surfable, but nothing you'd want to get out of bed for.

Then the ocean wakes up with a vengeance. Sunday the 16th sees a jump to 13ft of southerly swell, but it's coming with a howling 35 km/h cross-onshore wind. It’s a full-on washing machine out there. The energy is weak at 35 on Friday, but it detonates to a strong 2793 by Sunday morning – it's all just messy and blown out. This runs through Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday morning, with big, chunky, short-period swell (8-10 seconds) and onshore winds. This thing is way too big and raw for anything but a tow-in mission, and honestly, at a sandbar break, this is more of a kite-surfing show than a paddle-surfing one. The energy readings are screaming strong, with values hitting 4776 on Wednesday afternoon, but it's just too much.

But hold on. Wednesday afternoon and Thursday the 20th start to show some real promise. The wind finally drops, and the swell cleans up. Thursday morning is still a bit marginal with 8ft, but Thursday afternoon is the standout of the first week. The swell drops to a manageable 7ft from the south with a 12-second period, the wind goes glassy (5 km/h from the SW), and the energy is a solid 1336. The forecast is calling it "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." This is the window. Get out there. It’s still a solid size, so it’s not for beginners, but for the crew who know what they're doing at a sandbar, this is your moment.

Friday the 21st is a step down with cleaner conditions and some cross-offshore wind, but less size. Saturday the 22nd looks promising on paper, with a gentle offshore wind and clean waves, but the size is dropping. It’s surfable, sure, but nothing to write home about after Thursday's event.

The second week starts to fade. Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th see the swell drop right back down and strong winds mess things up again. It turns tiny and ordinary. Tuesday and Wednesday are flat and uninteresting. The energy is just gone.

There is a glimmer of hope at the very end of the run. Thursday the 27th is looking like the second standout. The morning shows a small, clean wave, but the afternoon is where it's at. The swell builds slightly to 4ft from the SSW with a very long 18-second period, the wind goes light and cross-offshore, and the energy jumps to a solid 1011. It's calling for "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." Like Thursday the 20th, this is a distance swell, so that long period could be a bit straight at a sandbar, but the conditions are set to be perfect. This one is a promising but less certain long-range call. Keep an eye on it.

The rest of the run after that fades into smaller, wind-affected slop. It’s a save-your-energy kind of fortnight. Be ready for Thursday the 20th and that final Thursday the 27th.

Rusty.

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