Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 5 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with 3,093 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 5 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the cards for the coming days.
Right off the bat, we've got a big, meaty groundswell hammering Lake Ferry on Wednesday, but it's not one for the casual surfer. The swell is a solid 13ft from the south with a 12-second period, and the combined energy is massive at 4811. That's a massive amount of power, and it's pushing straight into a strong onshore wind, making for poor conditions. The water temp is sitting at 51°, which is a bit colder than the norm for this time of year. As the day goes on, the swell drops to 12ft and the wind eases slightly, but it's still onshore and the forecast is clear: this is too big for this break, even for experienced surfers. Wednesday afternoon is the only real standout, despite the size, because the wind and tide line up to make it work.
After that big pulse, things settle down. Thursday and Friday mornings are a mixed bag with smaller, cleaner swells, but nothing that's really firing. The real gem comes in on Friday morning, the 7th of August. We've got a 5ft south swell, but the period is a very long 15 seconds, which is classic groundswell energy. The combined energy is a solid 1361, and the wind is a gentle offshore breeze from the north. This is going to be clean, well-shaped, and punchy. The crowd factor is "sometimes" here, so it's worth getting out there early. This is advanced territory, but for those who know what they're doing, it's the best of the week.
The rest of the period is a bit of a mixed bag. We get a couple of days of small, clean, but unremarkable surf through the weekend and into early next week. The swell drops right off, with a long gap of very poor conditions from the 12th of August right through to the 15th. The swell wraps back up on the 16th of August, but it's marginal at best, with the wind turning cross-off and the swell short and wonky. The 18th of August sees a 12ft southerly swell hammering in again, but the wind is howling onshore, making it a total write-off.
The last few days of the window, the 19th and 20th of August, are small and generally poor, with the wind onshore again. There's a small window on the 20th of August afternoon with a 4ft south swell and a little period, but it's nothing to get excited about.
So, the clear standout is Friday morning, the 7th of August for the experienced crew. The rest is a bit of a wait for something decent.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 11°C on Fri night, min 4°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Thu morning, fresh winds from the NW by Fri afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sun night, calm by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSW 7 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4804 | 3093 | 1512 | 810 | 443 | 279 | 1119 | 1275 | 738 | 556 | 387 | 296 | 200 | 117 | 179 | 106 | 100 | 82 | 116 | 112 | 99 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | on | cross-off | glassy | off |
High Tide | 9:43AM1.16m | 10:07PM1.18m | 10:34AM1.22m | 10:58PM1.19m | 11:26AM1.27m | 11:51PM1.21m | 12:20PM1.33m | 00:45AM1.23m | 1:16PM1.38m | 1:40AM1.25m | 2:12PM1.42m | 2:36AM1.27m | 3:08PM1.45m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:59PM0.17m | 4:23AM0.15m | 4:51PM0.15m | 5:11AM0.13m | 5:45PM0.12m | 6:01AM0.10m | 6:40PM0.10m | 6:54AM0.06m | 7:36PM0.07m | 7:49AM0.03m | 8:33PM0.05m | 8:46AM0.00m | 9:31PM0.04m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — |
 | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — |
mm | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
Feels °C | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 19 | SE 18 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | WNW 5 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSW 7 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 7 | 12 | 1512 | 810 | 443 | 279 | 1119 | 1275 | 738 | 556 | 387 | 296 | 200 | 117 | 46 | 106 | 100 | 68 | 116 | 112 | 99 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 11 | SSE 12 | S 10 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 12 | S 16 | S 18 | SSE 13 | S 12 | SSE 12 | SSW 5 | SSW 15 | SSE 9 | SE 12 | SE 11 | S 18 |
| kJ | — | — | 41 | 35 | 134 | 239 | 183 | 24 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 101 | 112 | 179 | 11 | 21 | 82 | 35 | 32 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 16 | SE 15 | SSE 15 | S 18 | SSE 9 | — | — | — | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | NW 8 | SE 12 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
| kJ | — | — | 93 | 80 | 21 | 161 | 59 | — | — | — | 5 | 4 | 48 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 7 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | — | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | — | NW 6 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | NE 3 |
| kJ | 4804 | 3093 | — | — | — | 3 | 18 | 123 | 114 | 63 | 31 | 8 | 31 | 62 | — | 1 | 35 | — | — | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 112 | 172 | 91 | 25 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 82 | 31 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 82 | 27 | 42 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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