Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Issued: 11 am 07 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
11.0° C

1.5°C colder than average for this time of year

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 17s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 10s period, S swell with 4,407 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 18s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 5.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12PM (Sat 11th Jul)1.5ft (0.5m) 18s
Best Surf 3PM (Sat 11th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 17s
Most Powerful 3AM (Thu 9th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, it’s Rusty. Let’s be straight with you – this outlook for Lake Ferry is a bit of a mixed bag, with a lot of rough weather to work through before we get a couple of real windows to enjoy. The lake is a sandbar setup, and it’s exposed to the south swell, so when the wind gets nasty, it gets *really* nasty.

The water is sitting at 52° right now, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want the thickest wetsuit you’ve got.

We start off Tuesday the 7th with a bit of swell, 5ft from the SSW, but with a cross-breeze and a messy energy reading of 747, it’s marginal at best. The wind stays on it through Wednesday and Thursday, with the swell building to a massive 15ft on Thursday morning. That’s all blown out, chunky, and useless for a paddle. The energy is through the roof (4532 on Thursday morning), but it’s a total mess.

Friday the 10th is still onshore and messy, with a dropping swell around 7ft. Still no good.

Finally, Saturday the 11th brings a ray of hope. The morning is still a bit cross-on with 4ft SSW swell, but the afternoon turns glassy. The swell drops to 3ft, but the period jumps to a very long 17 seconds, with a combined energy of 604. That’s a clean, glassy groundswell window. This is the standout of the whole run. It’s a proper river/reef setup, so that long period will wrap in nicely. The glassy conditions will make it perfect.

Sunday the 12th follows up with clean conditions. The wind goes light offshore from the NNE, with a 3ft SSW swell at 14 seconds. Again, clean and surfable, but the energy is a bit lower at 432.

Monday the 13th has a gentle offshore but the swell drops to 2ft, and the energy is weak at 86. It’s surfable, but you’ll be working for it.

Then we hit a dead zone. From Tuesday the 14th right through to Saturday the 19th, the swell is tiny, the wind is all over the place, or the swell is too big and blown out. On the 18th, we see a 21ft SSW swell with a massive energy of 11847, but it’s cross-onshore and choppy – that’s a kite-surfing setup, not a paddle one.

The next real chance comes on Monday the 20th. The wind is offshore from the NE, clean, and the swell is 7ft from the S at 9 seconds. The energy is solid at 1118. This is for experienced surfers only – that swell is over 5ft, so it’s not for beginners. It’s a great session for the crew who know what they’re doing.

Tuesday the 21st has a smaller, cleaner 3ft from the S, but the energy is dropping to 223. It’s a fun, mellow option.

So, the best on offer is the glassy Saturday afternoon the 11th, with the long period groundswell, and then the clean, expert-level Monday the 20th. The rest is a whole lot of wind and waiting.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 91mm), heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSE on Tue night, strong winds from the S by Wed night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 11°C on Sun afternoon, min 4°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SSW
10
1.5
S
9
2.3
SSE
7
2.3
S
7
3
S
7
5
S
10
4.5
S
9
4
S
9
3.5
S
8
2.2
S
7
1.7
S
7
1.6
SSW
6
1.2
SSW
6
0.9
SSW
17
1.1
SSW
15
1
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
11
0.6
S
10
0.4
SSW
10
0.4
SSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
452
372
573
480
904
4141
3362
2803
1849
537
262
205
108
510
558
395
277
167
77
33
52
Wind (km/h)
20
ESE
20
ESE
20
SE
30
S
30
S
40
SSE
40
S
40
S
30
S
20
S
15
S
15
S
10
SE
5
SSE
5
NNE
10
NNE
5
NNE
10
NNE
15
NNE
20
N
20
N
Wind State
cross
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
10:07AM1.09m
10:28PM1.17m
10:55AM1.14m
11:17PM1.18m
11:45AM1.20m
00:08AM1.20m
12:37PM1.27m
1:02AM1.22m
1:32PM1.34m
1:57AM1.25m
2:28PM1.41m
2:54AM1.27m
3:26PM1.46m
Low Tide
4:17PM0.21m
4:47AM0.18m
5:06PM0.18m
5:32AM0.15m
5:58PM0.15m
6:20AM0.12m
6:53PM0.12m
7:12AM0.08m
7:51PM0.09m
8:06AM0.05m
8:50PM0.05m
9:04AM0.01m
9:49PM0.03m
light rain
mod rain
mod rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
light rain
heavy rain
mod rain
cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:45
7:45
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:02
5:04
5:04
5:05
5:06
5:06
5:07
 mm
5
6
9
12
18
22
2
11
6
3
Temp °C
12
12
12
11
11
10
9
9
8
7
7
8
9
10
7
10
11
6
12
12
13
Feels °C
9
8
8
6
5
2
1
1
1
2
2
3
7
8
4
7
8
2
7
8
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SSW
10
1.5
S
9
0.5
SSW
14
0.4
ESE
10
0.1
S
20
2.2
E
11
1
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
10
0.9
ESE
10
0.8
ESE
11
0.5
ESE
10
0.5
SSW
10
0.9
SSW
17
1.1
SSW
15
1
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
11
0.6
S
10
0.4
SSW
10
0.4
SSW
12
Energy kJ
452
372
111
34
7
1170
247
170
163
130
55
55
510
558
395
277
167
77
33
52
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
15
0.1
SW
19
0.8
SSW
12
0.6
SSW
12
0.5
SSW
14
0.4
ESE
10
0.9
S
6
0.4
ESE
10
0.4
ESE
10
0.4
SE
9
0.3
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
8
0.2
SSW
13
0.1
SE
7
Energy kJ
95
87
14
169
107
118
37
60
39
37
23
16
7
18
2
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
NW
9
0.4
SSW
15
0.1
S
22
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
ESE
9
0.1
E
10
0.2
ESE
8
0.1
E
10
Energy kJ
3
88
9
80
34
2
6
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SE
8
1.5
SE
8
2.3
SSE
7
2.3
S
7
3
S
7
5
S
10
4.5
S
9
4
S
9
3.5
S
8
2.2
S
7
1.7
S
7
1.6
SSW
6
1.2
SSW
6
0.4
NNW
3
0.8
NNW
4
1
NNW
4
1
NNW
4
Energy kJ
200
275
573
480
904
4141
3362
2803
1849
537
262
205
108
3
18
42
37
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
4
4
4
3
1
3
4
4
4
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
64
47
158
105
138
235
140
230
223
130
130
91
18
9
9
9
9
9
9
27
30
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
2
4
4
3
3
2
2
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
4
6
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
2
2
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
7
9
8
9
7
7
6
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
9
7
5
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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