Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 08 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
13.2°C
1.2° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 13 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with 4,400 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 10) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3PM (Tue 8th Sep)2.5ft (0.7m) 9s
Best Surf 3PM (Sat 12th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 13s
Most Powerful12AM (Sun 13th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, grab your wettie and listen up. Rusty here, and I've been staring at the charts for Lake Ferry, and it's a bit of a mixed bag, a real tale of two weeks.

The First Week: Patience, Then Power

Right now, things are flat and pretty average. We're looking at a couple of days of small, weak surf, with the energy reading in the low hundreds or less. Not worth getting too excited about. The water's sitting around 56°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that's one small blessing.

Then, just when you think it's a write-off, things switch on. Friday morning looks like the first real call. We've got a SSW swell pushing in at 6ft with a short, punchy 7-second period, and the energy jumps to a solid 561. The wind is dead glassy too. This will be a fun, if not a bit disorganized, beach break. It's not huge, but it'll be clean and contestable for the experienced crew.

But hold on. Saturday afternoon is where things get serious. The swell is predicted to jack up to a solid 10ft with a proper 13-second period and a massive energy reading of 3001. This is a lot of water for Lake Ferry, and the data says it's likely going to be too big and unruly for this break. This is one for the experts only, and even then, you'd be charging hard.

Sunday and Monday mornings look like the real standouts of this first week. We've got excellent conditions for experienced surfers. Sunday morning has a clean 8ft SSW swell with a 15-second period, a huge energy of 2264, and absolutely no wind – glassy perfection. Monday morning follows up with a 7ft S swell, 12-second period, and an energy of 2213, also in glassy conditions. This is the window. The swell direction is from the SSW/S which is right in line with the optimum for this spot. Get out there, but know that 2m+ at a sandbar is no joke.

After that, the middle of the week (Tue-Wed) looks to get messy with strong winds and a drop in size, so the quality will fall away.

The Second Week: Big, But Battered

The second week is less promising. There's a massive pulse of energy mid-week that's just too much. Thursday afternoon is looking at a huge 16ft SSW swell with an energy of 7478, but a strong cross-off wind and the sheer size will make it unmanageable for most and a full-on mission for anyone else. Too big, too dangerous. The rest of the week is a mix of poor surf quality brought on by onshore winds and lumpy conditions. There's a small window on Friday morning with 8ft SSW swell and 11-second period and glassy wind, which could be clean, but the direction and period feel a bit less ideal than the previous week's standouts.

The Call:

The best surf on offer is Sunday, September 13th morning and Monday, September 14th morning. The bigger, cleaner pulses of SSW groundswell with light winds are the clear winners. The 10ft Saturday afternoon and the 16ft Thursday afternoon are expert-only, and likely closing out. It's a promising first half, then a wild and messy second half. Keep your wits about you.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 7°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, strong winds from the NW by Wed night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
2
!
!
4
3
3
4
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SSW
10
0.7
S
9
0.6
S
9
0.5
S
8
0.5
S
8
0.3
S
8
0.2
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
14
2.5
SSW
7
1.8
SSW
7
0.6
SSW
17
0.6
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
14
3
SSW
13
3
SSW
16
2.3
SSW
15
2
SSW
14
1.7
SSW
13
2.1
S
12
2.2
SSW
10
1.9
SSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
125
81
55
34
34
12
18
75
724
310
235
201
351
3001
4400
2264
1570
1026
1269
951
1012
Wind (km/h)
5
NNE
5
S
5
E
10
NNE
20
NNW
35
NNW
30
NW
20
SSW
20
S
5
W
20
NNW
5
NNE
10
SE
5
N
20
NW
0
W
10
SE
10
ESE
5
SSE
5
W
20
N
Wind State
glassy
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
glassy
cross-off
off
cross
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross
glassy
glassy
cross-off
High Tide
1:56PM1.40m
2:20AM1.25m
2:51PM1.40m
3:15AM1.26m
3:46PM1.38m
4:10AM1.26m
4:40PM1.35m
5:05AM1.26m
5:34PM1.31m
6:00AM1.25m
6:28PM1.27m
6:54AM1.25m
7:22PM1.23m
Low Tide
8:17PM0.06m
8:31AM0.02m
9:12PM0.05m
9:28AM0.02m
10:07PM0.06m
10:25AM0.02m
11:02PM0.06m
11:22AM0.04m
11:56PM0.08m
12:20PM0.07m
00:49AM0.10m
1:15PM0.10m
1:40AM0.12m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
heavy rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:33
6:31
6:30
6:28
6:26
6:24
6:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
 mm
1
23
5
2
Temp °C
11
10
8
13
14
11
12
9
8
11
11
8
11
11
11
13
13
9
12
13
11
Feels °C
9
8
5
9
9
5
6
5
3
6
5
5
9
9
6
10
11
6
10
11
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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