Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 21 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, SSW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 20 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 12s period, SSW swell with 10,157 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 17 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 6.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Thu 17th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Mon 21st Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sun 20th Sep) | 20ft (6.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, crew, Rusty here with the lowdown on Lake Ferry for the next sixteen days. Gotta level with you, it's a story of long flat spells and a few big moments. Water temp is nothing you wouldn't expect for this time of year.
Right off the bat, we're looking at a whole lot of nothing. From now until the morning of Friday the 18th, it's tiny slop and bad wind – a solid few days where you're better off on the couch.
Then out of nowhere, Friday the 18th brings a jump in size. We've got a short-period windswell hitting 6 ft from the south-southwest, but the wind is howling straight onshore, turning it into a total mess. Might be a kite session, not a paddle session.
Saturday the 19th morning cleans up nicely, though. There's a clean 3 ft groundswell from the south-southwest with a long 14-second period. The wind goes light and cross-offshore, so it'll be clean and fun.
Now, brace yourselves for Sunday the 20th. The ocean is gonna be huge and angry. We're looking at a massive 13 ft to 16 ft swell from the south-southwest with a period around 9-10 seconds and combined wave energy strong enough to rearrange your spine. This is for pro's only, and with howling onshore wind, it's just a washing machine.
The real standout is Monday the 21st. The swell backs down to a still-powerful 10 ft in the morning, but by the afternoon it's a much more manageable 7 ft from the south-southwest with a 10-second period. The wind turns light and cross-offshore, making for excellent, clean conditions. This is your best window of the whole forecast, a proper day for experienced surfers who want some power. Watch out for company, as the crowd can show sometimes.
After that, it's back to a slow fade. Tuesday the 22nd has a tiny 3 ft to 4 ft swell, and though the afternoon goes glassy, it's just marginal. The rest of the second week is quiet, but keep an eye on Thursday the 1st of October. There's a promising 3 ft, 16-second groundswell with light winds and moderate energy. It's a long way out, but it could be a sneaky clean runner if it holds.
Take it easy out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Wed morning, light winds from the W by Fri afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 6°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Fri night, fresh winds from the WNW by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SSW 13 | SE 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | S 6 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 33 | 34 | 20 | 18 | 41 | 45 | 473 | 277 | 97 | 121 | 361 | 277 | 161 | 2312 | 5159 | 8831 | 2521 | 988 | 486 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:40AM1.24m | 9:06PM1.17m | 9:30AM1.24m | 9:55PM1.14m | 10:19AM1.23m | 10:43PM1.12m | 11:05AM1.21m | 11:28PM1.10m | 11:50AM1.20m | 00:12AM1.09m | 12:34PM1.19m | 00:54AM1.08m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:30AM0.15m | 3:02PM0.15m | 3:18AM0.18m | 3:52PM0.18m | 4:05AM0.20m | 4:39PM0.21m | 4:50AM0.23m | 5:24PM0.23m | 5:33AM0.24m | 6:08PM0.24m | 6:15AM0.24m | 6:51PM0.25m | |||||||
 |  | | |  | |  |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — |
 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SSW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 14 | SE 12 | S 6 | S 6 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | — | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 33 | 25 | 17 | 18 | 41 | 45 | 41 | 40 | 97 | 32 | 361 | 277 | 161 | 12 | 68 | — | 2521 | 988 | 486 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SSW 13 | SE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SSW 16 | SE 12 | SSW 15 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 12 | — | — | — | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SE 10 |
| kJ | 17 | 34 | 20 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 48 | 50 | 121 | 51 | 33 | 34 | — | — | — | 45 | 60 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | SSW 15 | SE 11 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | SE 13 |
| kJ | 18 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 91 | 45 | 36 | 5 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | — | SSW 6 | — | NW 4 | WNW 6 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | SSW 12 | — | NW 4 | NNW 4 |
| kJ | 73 | 334 | 363 | 214 | 76 | 40 | 473 | 277 | — | 37 | — | 51 | 309 | 2312 | 5159 | 8831 | — | 15 | 28 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 27 | 82 | 82 | 82 | 27 | 27 | 82 | 64 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 94 | 381 | 415 | 130 | 23 | 14 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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