Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 18 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
11.2° C
1.1° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 19s period, SSW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 19s period, SSW swell with 5,743 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 23s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 23s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12PM (Sat 18th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 23s
Best Surf 3PM (Mon 20th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 19s
Most Powerful 3PM (Mon 20th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Lake Ferry.

First off, the water is sitting at 52°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – so don’t be shy with the rubber.

We’ve got a slow start, but things kick off Saturday morning, July 18th. The standout of the whole window is Saturday morning at Lake Ferry. You’ve got a clean 4ft SSW swell with a 14-second period, and the wind is a light cross-off from the north. The combined swell energy is strong (1246), and it’s going to be clean. This is the best wave of the run – solid, lined up, and for experienced crew only. The moderate crowd factor means you might have some company, but it’s worth it.

Saturday afternoon bumps up to 7ft from the same SSW direction, but the wind shifts to a light cross from the WNW, and the forecast is marginal – tide or conditions might mess with it. The energy is huge (4197), so it’s powerful, but the quality drops.

Sunday morning, July 19th, is onshore from the SW with 6ft and a 16-second period – still a solid swell, but the wind is on it, so it’s messy. Afternoon gets worse as the wind picks up and turns cross-on. Skip it.

Monday morning, July 20th, brings back clean conditions with a 5ft SSW swell, 19-second period, and a light cross-off from the east. The energy is very strong (2580), and this is another excellent session for the experienced. The afternoon, though, hits 10ft with the same long period, and the wind is light cross – but the wave comment says it’s too big for this break. That’s expert territory only, and even then, it’s pushing it.

Tuesday, July 21st, is back to quality: morning has 7ft SSW swell, 14-second period, and clean offshore wind from the NNE. Energy is strong (1645). Afternoon drops to 6ft but stays clean with a cross-off from the NNW. Both sessions are good, but the morning is the pick.

Wednesday morning, July 22nd, is a glassy 4ft from the S, 12-second period – small but clean, and the energy is moderate (353). Expect decent surf for the size, but it’s not a standout.

After that, we hit a long gap. From Wednesday afternoon, July 22nd, right through to Saturday, July 25th, conditions are poor or marginal. There’s a small window Saturday morning, July 25th, with 5ft but a short, weak 6-second period and onshore wind – not worth paddling out for.

Sunday, July 26th, is a write-off with strong onshore winds and tiny swell.

Then, Monday, July 27th, is a surprise. The morning is glassy with a 10ft SSW swell, 9-second period – the energy is high (1497), but the wave comment says it’s too big for the break. Afternoon is glassy too, with 10ft and an 11-second period, energy 1896, but again, too big for this spot. Only for the most experienced, and with caution.

From Tuesday, July 28th, through to the end of the window, the surf is marginal or poor. Winds are moderate to fresh, swells are inconsistent, and the energy is moderate at best. Nothing to get excited about.

So, the takeaway: Saturday morning, July 18th, is your best bet – clean, solid, and powerful. Monday morning, July 20th, is the other standout. The rest is either too big, too onshore, too small, or just plain poor. Get out there early and make the most of it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat morning, min 5°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu night, min 6°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the NNW by Thu night).

Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
5
3
2
3
4
!
5
4
4
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SSW
14
2.1
SSW
22
2.1
SSW
19
1.9
SSW
16
1.8
SSW
16
2.1
SSW
15
1.4
SSW
19
3
SSW
19
2.5
SSW
16
2.1
SSW
14
1.8
SSW
13
1.4
S
12
1.1
S
12
1
S
11
0.6
SSW
12
0.5
SSW
12
0.4
SSW
9
0.3
SSE
11
0.3
SSE
11
0.3
SSE
10
0.3
S
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
660
4063
3245
1818
1498
1801
1421
5743
3149
1633
1179
584
330
260
119
81
34
25
22
18
13
Wind (km/h)
5
N
10
WNW
10
N
5
SW
15
S
5
ESE
5
E
10
ESE
5
NE
10
NNE
10
NNW
10
NNE
5
W
10
SSW
5
NNE
10
N
20
NNW
30
NW
30
NNW
25
NNW
20
SSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
off
on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
off
off
cross-off
off
glassy
on
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
High Tide
8:14PM1.40m
8:42AM1.27m
9:10PM1.34m
9:39AM1.25m
10:05PM1.28m
10:34AM1.23m
10:57PM1.22m
11:27AM1.22m
11:48PM1.17m
12:16PM1.21m
00:35AM1.14m
1:02PM1.20m
1:21AM1.11m
Low Tide
2:00PM-0.02m
2:39AM0.01m
2:57PM0.02m
3:32AM0.04m
3:54PM0.07m
4:24AM0.07m
4:48PM0.12m
5:13AM0.12m
5:40PM0.17m
6:00AM0.16m
6:30PM0.21m
6:45AM0.20m
7:18PM0.24m
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
heavy rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:39
7:39
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:10
5:12
5:13
5:13
5:14
5:15
5:15
 mm
1
13
Temp °C
12
12
8
12
12
8
10
11
7
10
11
8
11
11
8
11
11
12
12
12
10
Feels °C
10
10
6
9
9
6
7
8
5
7
8
5
8
9
7
7
7
7
6
7
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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