Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 23 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
10.8°C
1.1° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 24 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 27 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 18s period, SSW swell with 2,864 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 2.2m 18s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Friday (Aug 28) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Mon 24th Aug)2.5ft (0.7m) 14s
Best Surf 9AM (Mon 24th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 13s
Most Powerful 9AM (Thu 27th Aug)7ft (2.2m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for the Lake Ferry sandbar. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag ahead, but there are definitely some windows of opportunity if you know what you’re looking for. The first real action kicks off on Monday morning, the 24th of August.

Monday morning, the 24th, we’re looking at a solid start. The swell is a chunky 8ft from the SSW, with a period of 13 seconds. That’s a decent groundswell with some real grunt behind it – the combined energy is sitting at 2041 (moderate to strong). The wind is a gentle 9 mph from the N, blowing straight offshore, so the surf will be clean and lined up. This is proper stuff for experienced surfers only; it’s got plenty of power. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary. The afternoon cleans up with a 7ft SSW swell, but the wind swings NNW at 12 mph and goes cross-offshore, which takes the edge off the perfection.

Tuesday morning, the 25th, the swell drops back to 4ft from the SSW, but the wind is a stiff 19 mph from the NW and cross-off, making it hard to get a good clean face. Not your best bet.

Wednesday morning, the 26th is tiny at 4ft and the wind is still cross-off. Nothing to write home about.

The real standout in the first week is Thursday morning, the 27th of August. This is the one. We’ve got a 7ft swell from the SSW with a very long period of 18 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell with stacks of energy – the combined energy is a massive 2880 (strong). The wind is a light 6 mph from the NNW, just a gentle cross-off, keeping it clean. This is excellent for experienced surfers. The long period means it’ll hold up well on the sandbar, but you’ll need to be on your game for the bigger sets. The crowds can be around *sometimes*, so you might not have it all to yourself.

Friday morning, the 28th, has a cleaner 4ft S swell with a 9 mph N offshore wind, making for a pleasant morning session. The afternoon gets a bit of light rain, but the wind stays offshore.

Saturday afternoon, the 30th, is a wildcard: the swell is only 3ft from the SSE, but the wind goes completely glassy at 3 mph from the N. That’s a rare treat for the lake, and anyone on a longboard or a funboard will have a glassy, fun little wave.

Looking further ahead, the second week has some big energy but is tricky.

Monday morning, the 31st of August, we get a 6ft SSW swell, but the wind is a light cross-onshore from the S, making it a bit bumpy. Not ideal.

Tuesday morning, the 1st of September, is a solid 5ft SSW swell with a 9 mph N offshore wind – clean and a good option for experienced paddlers.

Wednesday, the 2nd of September, sees a jump in size to 8ft from the SSW, but the wind is onshore from the S and SE, making it a choppy mess. That’s more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing day.

The big one to look out for is Friday morning, the 4th of September. The swell is forecast to be a massive 15ft from the SSW with a 17-second period and a combined energy of 10951 (very strong). The wind is a light 6 mph offshore from the NNE. That is a huge, powerful swell. For this break, it’s likely too big and dangerous for even experienced surfers. The wind and tide would be favorable, but the size makes it a no-go for safety. The afternoon is just as big.

Saturday, the 5th of September, drops back to 8ft from the S with a moderate cross-off wind. It’s cleaner but still a handful.

After that, the swell fades away into the second week, with small, messy conditions from the 6th through the 8th. There’s a gap of poor or small surf from the afternoon of the 5th all the way through to the end of the forecast on the 8th.

So, to wrap it up: Thursday morning, the 27th of August is the clear winner in the first week – big, clean, and powerful. Keep an eye on Friday morning, the 4th of September, but only from the safety of the shore. It’s a monster.

Stay safe out there.
Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sun night, fresh winds from the NW by Tue morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
4
3
1
0
2
2
1
0
3
4
3
3
3
2
2
1
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SSW
7
2.5
SSW
13
2.2
SSW
12
1.5
SSW
12
1.3
SSW
11
1.2
SSW
14
1.1
SSW
15
1.1
SSW
14
1
SSW
14
1.4
SSW
17
2.2
SSW
18
2.1
SSW
17
1.6
S
13
1.3
S
12
1.1
S
12
0.9
S
11
1
S
11
0.9
SSE
11
1.8
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
86
2008
1477
603
387
557
485
478
352
1061
2864
2324
933
522
350
203
233
198
602
Wind (km/h)
20
WNW
15
N
20
NNW
25
NW
30
NW
20
NW
15
N
15
NNW
25
NW
25
NW
10
NNW
20
NNW
10
N
15
N
20
N
10
NNE
10
SW
5
N
15
WNW
Wind State
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-on
glassy
cross
High Tide
1:31AM1.09m
1:55PM1.20m
2:14AM1.09m
2:39PM1.20m
2:57AM1.08m
3:23PM1.20m
3:41AM1.08m
4:07PM1.20m
4:26AM1.09m
4:53PM1.20m
5:12AM1.10m
5:39PM1.20m
Low Tide
7:35AM0.24m
8:12PM0.26m
8:18AM0.23m
8:56PM0.26m
9:02AM0.22m
9:41PM0.25m
9:47AM0.21m
10:27PM0.23m
10:35AM0.19m
11:13PM0.22m
11:23AM0.18m
00:00AM0.20m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:56
6:56
6:54
6:52
6:50
6:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:45
5:46
5:47
5:49
5:50
5:51
 mm
2
9
3
Temp °C
10
13
13
12
15
15
11
16
15
14
15
15
13
14
12
11
12
14
11
Feels °C
3
8
8
7
10
11
7
12
10
10
13
12
11
9
8
8
12
13
8
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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