
Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SSE swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 10s period, S swell with 4,346 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 5.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 9s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, folks, Rusty here with the lowdown on Lake Ferry.
The start of this forecast is a total washout. For days we’re looking at poor surf with onshore winds and choppy, lumpy conditions. The water’s at 51°, which is a bit cooler than usual. There’s a window of real hope at the very end, but the middle section goes flat. It’s a tale of two weeks.
The big moment is Sunday, July 19th. We’re talking a massive 18ft to 20ft swell out of the south with glassy conditions and light easterly breezes. The combined energy pouring in is enormous – hitting 9971 in the morning. But this is no joke. Anything over 8ft is expert territory, and this is way over. The period is long (11-12 seconds), meaning powerful groundswell, but on a sandbar setup like Lake Ferry, it’ll be heavy and might close out. The wind is glass though, so if you’re a pro with a death wish, it could be all-time.
After that monster, things get more sensible. Monday, July 20th is the pick for experienced surfers who want power without the danger. You’ve got a 5ft swell from the south-east and south, a period of 10-11 seconds for good shape, and the combined wave energy is strong at 1288. Best part? Glassy conditions again with almost no wind. Clean, punchy, and very surfable for the skilled crew.
Before that, there’s a long quiet stretch. After the early mess, we get Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th with the swell dropping to under 3ft. It’s glassy and clean, with light offshore winds on Sunday, but the energy is weak (210-356). You could grab a few fun ones on a longboard, but it’s nothing special. Then the swell dies completely by mid-week, with energy dropping to 29-49. That’s a few days of near nothing.
Bottom line: the first week is mostly blown out. The second week brings a huge, dangerous swell followed by a solid, clean day for the experienced. Don’t plan around the early days.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 69mm), heaviest during Wed morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Tue night, strong winds from the S by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 42mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 11°C on Thu morning, min 7°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Thu morning, calm by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | S 6 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
665 | 764 | 573 | 426 | 921 | 448 | 269 | 585 | 2384 | 4346 | 2371 | 1267 | 882 | 758 | 563 | 202 | 213 | 366 | 301 | 313 | 236 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | glassy | off |
High Tide | 9:22AM1.06m | 9:43PM1.17m | 10:07AM1.09m | 10:28PM1.17m | 10:55AM1.14m | 11:17PM1.18m | 11:45AM1.20m | 00:08AM1.20m | 12:37PM1.27m | 1:02AM1.22m | 1:32PM1.34m | 1:57AM1.25m | 2:28PM1.41m | 2:54AM1.27m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:30PM0.22m | 4:04AM0.20m | 4:17PM0.21m | 4:47AM0.18m | 5:06PM0.18m | 5:32AM0.15m | 5:58PM0.15m | 6:20AM0.12m | 6:53PM0.12m | 7:12AM0.08m | 7:51PM0.09m | 8:06AM0.05m | 8:50PM0.05m | ||||||||
7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | |
— | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | |
mm | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 25 | 9 | 3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
Feels °C | 5 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 16 | — | SSW 15 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | SE 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
37 | 109 | 573 | 426 | 87 | 111 | 55 | 58 | 53 | — | 84 | 86 | 83 | 88 | 146 | 98 | 213 | 366 | 301 | 313 | 236 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | NW 9 | — | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 17 | — | — | SSW 18 | SSW 13 | — | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | S 6 | SE 8 | SE 10 |
2 | 2 | 102 | 95 | 3 | — | 95 | 62 | 55 | — | — | 62 | 342 | — | 190 | 32 | 78 | 25 | 24 | 18 | 45 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | SW 11 | ESE 10 | NW 9 | — | — | — | S 20 | — | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | SSW 14 | SSW 18 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | — |
3 | 29 | 10 | 3 | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | 127 | — | — | — | 78 | 64 | 32 | 31 | 21 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | E 9 | SE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | S 6 | S 6 | S 6 | — | — | — |
665 | 764 | 563 | 125 | 921 | 448 | 269 | 585 | 2384 | 4346 | 2371 | 1267 | 882 | 758 | 563 | 202 | 106 | 59 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 153 | 251 | 9 | 42 | 64 | 18 | 167 | 106 | 236 | 235 | 236 | 223 | 183 | 183 | 112 | 112 | 112 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










