Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, SSW swell with 3,912 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 7s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, Rusty here again. Let's talk about Lake Ferry in feet and knots.
It's a frustrating outlook for this place, honestly. You're gonna be scrolling through a lot of windy, small days to find the good ones. Water temp's 12°, which is normal for this time of year.
We start off Friday, August 28th with a clean 4ft south swell on a 12-second period, but the wind is howlin' at 19 knots from the NNW, messin' up the surface. It's a pass.
The weekend of August 29th and 30th is just too small, with onshore flow. Not worth gettin' the wetsuit wet.
Monday, August 31st is a doozy. We're lookin' at a massive 12ft SSW swell – a 13-second groundswell and that energy meter is peggin' hard. The wind is a light offshore from the north in the morning. But come on, that's way too big for this break. Unless you're a pro and you've got a death wish, give it a wide berth.
The first week of September is a total right-off, with wind blowin' onshore more often than not.
The one day you want to circle on your calendar is Saturday, September 12th. The morning is showin' a clean 5ft SSW swell on a 12-second period, and the wind is forecast to be glassy – dead flat. Zero knots. The afternoon session looks just as sweet with a 3ft south swell and more glass. This is the only time in the full 16 days the forecast is callin' for "very good" conditions. Expect a crowd if they know what's good for 'em.
After that, the swell dries up and the wind picks up again. There's a couple of big, unsurfable swells forecast for the 8th and 10th too, so be careful. One golden day awaits, but you've gotta be patient.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 6°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Fri night, light winds from the NNW by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 5°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon afternoon, calm by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 6 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SSW 11 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 513 | 350 | 157 | 196 | 141 | 74 | 69 | 123 | 394 | 3912 | 3400 | 2132 | 2283 | 3402 | 2124 | 1029 | 607 | 418 | 251 | 194 | 130 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | on | off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:53PM1.20m | 5:12AM1.10m | 5:39PM1.20m | 6:00AM1.11m | 6:26PM1.19m | 6:49AM1.14m | 7:15PM1.19m | 7:39AM1.18m | 8:05PM1.19m | 8:31AM1.22m | 8:57PM1.20m | 9:23AM1.26m | 9:50PM1.20m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:35AM0.19m | 11:13PM0.22m | 11:23AM0.18m | 00:00AM0.20m | 12:14PM0.17m | 00:47AM0.19m | 1:05PM0.16m | 1:35AM0.17m | 1:58PM0.15m | 2:23AM0.16m | 2:51PM0.14m | 3:12AM0.14m | 3:45PM0.12m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — |
 | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 12 | NW 5 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SSW 11 | S 10 |
| kJ | 513 | 350 | 157 | 196 | 141 | 74 | 69 | 123 | 23 | 3912 | 3400 | 2132 | 1497 | 3402 | 2124 | 1029 | 607 | 418 | 251 | 194 | 130 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 15 | SSW 12 | S 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | SE 12 | — | — | — | WNW 5 | — | — | SW 18 | SW 18 | SE 12 | SSE 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | — | 8 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 20 | 33 | 7 | 6 | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | 12 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 82 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 15 | ENE 8 | SE 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | NE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 13 | — | NE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 5 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | 4 | 14 | 10 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 5 | SSW 6 | — | — | NW 6 | SSW 13 | — | — | NW 4 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 6 |
| kJ | 115 | 190 | 295 | 74 | 76 | 4 | 5 | 127 | 394 | — | — | 426 | 2283 | — | — | 28 | 307 | 278 | 96 | 92 | 199 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 34 | 130 | 91 | 9 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 84 | 91 | 9 | 94 | 94 | 375 | 42 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 91 | 82 | 82 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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