Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 8s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 27 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 2,291 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 2.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab your wettie, 'cause it’s been a bit slow on the lakeshore, but there’s some light on the horizon.
We’re looking at a solid 16-day picture for Lake Ferry (sandbar), and I gotta be straight with you – the first week is mostly a write-off unless you’re a die-hard. Sunday the 23rd and Tuesday the 25th are basically a no-go with tiny swell and strong winds blowing everything apart. The energy is super weak (39) on Sunday morning, and even Monday’s jump to a decent 8ft swell gets trashed by a 28 mph cross-off wind and a very short period (10 seconds). That’s more kite-surfing weather than paddle-surfing, honestly. The water temp is sitting at 51°, about 3° colder than average for this time of year – you’ll feel that sting through the wetsuit.
Now, Wednesday the 27th morning shows some promise, but it’s still a bit rough. We get a 6ft SSW swell with a 17-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy (1837) – but the wind is a moderate cross-off. It’s clean, but not perfect. The real standout for the first week actually lands on Monday the 31st. That morning, we’ve got a solid 7ft SSW swell with a 10-second period, glassy wind from the north, and the combined energy is pumping at 806. The conditions are clean and the wind is dead calm – you couldn’t ask for better glass. That afternoon is still good too, with 5ft and glassy conditions. That Monday is the absolute highlight of this whole run.
After that, the second week looks a bit more settled but still has some good moments. Tuesday the 1st of September morning has 5ft SSW swell (14 seconds, 807 energy) with a moderate cross-off wind – clean but a bit breezy. Wednesday the 2nd morning is a hidden gem: 4ft SSW swell, 14 seconds, and a gentle cross-off wind. The energy is moderate (525), and the conditions are clean. That’s a nice, mellow session if you can get out.
There’s a gap from the 3rd to the 5th with poor conditions, but then Saturday the 5th afternoon brings a nice surprise: 4ft SSW swell, 12-second period, and glassy wind. The energy is 425, and it’s clean. That’s a solid late-weekend option. The 6th and 7th are small and clean but nothing special – just a calm end to the run.
Bottom line: Monday the 31st is your best bet by far – glassy, solid size, and decent energy. The Wednesday the 2nd morning is a close second for a clean, smaller session. Everything else is either too windy or too small to get excited about.
Stay safe out there.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sun morning, light winds from the NNW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Wed morning, strong winds from the NW by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 7 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 31 | 16 | 102 | 2165 | 1376 | 624 | 281 | 529 | 456 | 491 | 322 | 604 | 1821 | 2239 | 1168 | 599 | 389 | 341 | 235 | 73 | 142 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:11PM1.20m | 1:31AM1.09m | 1:55PM1.20m | 2:14AM1.09m | 2:39PM1.20m | 2:57AM1.08m | 3:23PM1.20m | 3:41AM1.08m | 4:07PM1.20m | 4:26AM1.09m | 4:53PM1.20m | 5:12AM1.10m | 5:39PM1.20m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:28PM0.25m | 7:35AM0.24m | 8:12PM0.26m | 8:18AM0.23m | 8:56PM0.26m | 9:02AM0.22m | 9:41PM0.25m | 9:47AM0.21m | 10:27PM0.23m | 10:35AM0.19m | 11:13PM0.22m | 11:23AM0.18m | 00:00AM0.20m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | |  | | | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — |
mm | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
Feels °C | 6 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 7 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 |
| kJ | 31 | 16 | 102 | 2165 | 1376 | 624 | 281 | 529 | 456 | 491 | 322 | 604 | 1821 | 2239 | 1168 | 599 | 389 | 341 | 235 | 73 | 142 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | E 13 | SW 15 | ESE 13 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SSW 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | E 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SW 4 | SSW 11 | SE 13 |
| kJ | 5 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 8 | 8 | 183 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 46 | 25 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | S 15 | NW 9 | — | SE 14 | — | SE 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 16 | — | ESE 15 | ENE 6 | NW 8 | S 4 | S 19 |
| kJ | 3 | 4 | 3 | — | 8 | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | 21 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 6 | WNW 5 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 4 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NNW 6 | NW 6 | NW 4 | — | ESE 4 | NNW 3 |
| kJ | 838 | 249 | 80 | 17 | 24 | 31 | 131 | 60 | 25 | 12 | 31 | 80 | 32 | 76 | 74 | 80 | 424 | 17 | — | 10 | 10 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 140 | 130 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 82 | 82 | 94 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 91 | 9 | 27 | 27 | 140 | 82 | 82 | 34 | 9 | 91 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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