Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 13 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 13 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period, SSW swell with 2,135 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 13 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 2.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sun 13th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sun 13th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sun 13th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, giving you the outlook for Lake Ferry in feet and miles. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but once the surf wakes up, there’s some real clean ones.
Nothing happening right now. First wave worth a look is Saturday afternoon the 12th of September, but that’s a massive 12ft SSW swell with huge energy (4243). That’s way too big for this sandbar, even for the experienced crew, and the wind’s cross-onshore. Hard pass.
Sunday morning the 13th of September is the real deal. Swell drops to a still-chunky 7ft from the SSW, 13-second period, and the wind is glassy. That’s perfect conditions for the advanced surfer. The combined energy is strong at 1460. This is the standout of the first week. Monday the 14th also delivers — a 6ft SSW swell with glassy conditions in the morning, and by the afternoon a 5ft S swell with no wind at all, absolutely glassy. Two days of mint clean surf.
Water temp is about 55°, normal for this time of year, nothing unusual.
Tuesday the 15th fades, with swell down to 4ft. The rest of the week into the weekend gets ugly — Wednesday and Thursday the 16th and 17th are blown out with strong winds and tiny, poor surf. Friday the 18th has a little clean 2ft SE swell, but it’s small.
Sunday the 20th of September morning is another standout. A 4ft SSW swell, 12-second period, clean cross-offshore wind, and moderate energy at 501. Very good conditions for a proper session.
Circle Tuesday the 22nd of September afternoon. It’s only 3ft SSW, but the period jumps to 16 seconds, it’s glassy, the combined energy is a solid 521, and conditions are very good. That’s a long-period groundswell, so it might run a bit straight on the sandbar, but with glassy water, the right bank will be a gem.
The last week has a few more potential windows, but they’re touchy. Thursday the 24th of September has a powerful 8ft SSW swell with 15-second period and strong energy (2493), but it’s cross-onshore and marginal. Saturday the 26th of September morning brings a big 8ft S swell, 14-second period, and very strong energy (2656), but with clean cross-offshore wind — that’s expert territory, big and powerful. Crowds can show up sometimes, so expect some company if it’s firing.
Best bets: Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th of September for glassy, solid swell, and the morning of Sunday the 20th for clean, smaller waves. The 22nd afternoon is a glassy long-period wildcard.
Keep your eye on the horizon.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 9°C on Thu afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Wed morning, calm by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 6 | ESE 13 | SE 12 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2941 | 1445 | 1075 | 1413 | 1064 | 786 | 449 | 234 | 102 | 67 | 65 | 34 | 18 | 41 | 67 | 220 | 116 | 126 | 84 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:00AM1.25m | 6:28PM1.27m | 6:54AM1.25m | 7:22PM1.23m | 7:48AM1.25m | 8:14PM1.20m | 8:40AM1.24m | 9:06PM1.17m | 9:30AM1.24m | 9:55PM1.14m | 10:19AM1.23m | 10:43PM1.12m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:56PM0.08m | 12:20PM0.07m | 00:49AM0.10m | 1:15PM0.10m | 1:40AM0.12m | 2:10PM0.13m | 2:30AM0.15m | 3:02PM0.15m | 3:18AM0.18m | 3:52PM0.18m | 4:05AM0.20m | 4:39PM0.21m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | |  |  | |  | |
 | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — |
 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
Feels °C | 5 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 4 | SSW 6 | SE 15 | ESE 13 | S 5 | SE 12 |
| kJ | 2941 | 1445 | 1075 | 1413 | 1064 | 786 | 449 | 234 | 102 | 50 | 65 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 37 | 57 | 116 | 20 | 71 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 12 | E 11 | NE 12 | NE 12 | — | — | ENE 3 | SSW 15 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SE 12 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 15 | 10 | 6 | 6 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 39 | 67 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 67 | 21 | 48 | 126 | 84 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 11 | — | E 12 | — | — | SE 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | ENE 5 | SE 10 | SSW 8 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 |
| kJ | — | 5 | — | 3 | — | — | 6 | 43 | 39 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 26 | 28 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 3 | SSW 6 | S 6 | — | NW 4 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 10 | 15 | 61 | 224 | 351 | 123 | 5 | 5 | 220 | 83 | — | 19 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 9 | 64 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 82 | 31 | 34 | 27 | 25 | 84 | 18 | 18 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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