Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, SSW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 1 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 12s period, SSW swell with 6,222 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 4.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 7s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the long-range picture for our stretch of coast. It’s a bit of a slow burner this time, so don’t go booking the week off just yet.
The next week and a half is pretty messy. We’ve got a couple of pulses of swell, but the wind is just all over the place, and the quality is going to be a real issue. We’re looking at a lot of cross-off and fresh breezes, which will leave things lumpy. There’s a window around the 1st of September where the swell jumps up, but it’s too big for this break, so we’ll have to give that a miss. The standouts, and I mean the only real options, are at the tail end of the period, on the 12th of September.
Here’s how it plays out. Over the next few days, we’ve got some weak, short-period swell hanging around. The energy is just not there, with readings between 91 and 510, so don’t expect much. The 2nd of September has a 2.5m SSW swell with a 15-second period, but the fresh NW cross-off wind is going to chop it up. It’s clean, but it won't be pretty.
The 3rd and 4th are a write-off, with the swell dropping right out and energy down in the low hundreds. Then the 5th through the 9th is a real mixed bag of mostly poor conditions and onshore winds. The 7th of September has some size, but it's coming with a cross-onshore and rain, so that’s a no-go. There is a glimmer on the 10th of September with a 1.5m SSW swell and some good conditions noted, but the energy is still moderate at 478 and 512, and the wind is a bit onshore, so it’s not a classic. You’d be surfing it, but you wouldn't be bragging about it.
Now, for the good stuff. Saturday the 12th of September is where it's at. The morning sees a 2.1m SSW swell with a short 7-second period, but it’s glassy and that's a huge plus. It’s surfable, for sure. But the afternoon is the pick of the entire 16 days. The swell bumps up to 2.3m from the SSW with a 10-second period, and the energy is solid at 1103. The wind is dead calm, completely glassy. This is the one to circle on the calendar. This is definitely for the more experienced crew – at 2.3m it's not a beginner wave – but for the rest of us, it should be excellent. Just be aware it’s a sandbar, so it can be a bit challenging to find the right peak.
After that, the 13th brings back the fresh winds and the 14th fades out again. So there you have it. It’s a long wait, but that window on the 12th looks like it could be worth it. Until next time, keep an eye on the horizon.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 6°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Thu night, light winds from the NNW by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
380 | 1857 | 1659 | 3942 | 4508 | 4598 | 2419 | 1661 | 2444 | 1109 | 432 | 265 | 117 | 32 | 43 | 118 | 71 | 127 | 173 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:49AM1.14m | 7:15PM1.19m | 7:39AM1.18m | 8:05PM1.19m | 8:31AM1.22m | 8:57PM1.20m | 9:23AM1.26m | 9:50PM1.20m | 10:17AM1.31m | 10:43PM1.21m | 11:11AM1.35m | 11:37PM1.23m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:47AM0.19m | 1:05PM0.16m | 1:35AM0.17m | 1:58PM0.15m | 2:23AM0.16m | 2:51PM0.14m | 3:12AM0.14m | 3:45PM0.12m | 4:02AM0.12m | 4:38PM0.10m | 4:54AM0.09m | 5:32PM0.09m | |||||||
— | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | |
mm | — | — | 2 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | — | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 |
105 | 1857 | 1659 | — | 3376 | 4598 | 2419 | 1661 | 2444 | 1109 | 432 | 265 | 117 | 32 | 29 | 118 | 71 | 127 | 173 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SE 11 | SE 11 | — | — | — | S 18 | S 17 | SE 12 | SE 12 | E 10 | E 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 8 | S 9 |
380 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | 625 | 1357 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 19 | 43 | 42 | 21 | 47 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 11 | SSW 16 | — | NE 8 | — | SE 10 | SE 10 |
37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 26 | — | 2 | — | 4 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | — | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 4 | NW 6 | NW 6 |
— | 299 | 184 | 3942 | 4508 | — | 21 | 17 | 215 | 374 | 205 | 199 | 305 | 795 | 195 | 133 | 20 | 157 | 249 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 94 | 105 | 105 | 25 | 9 | 91 | 9 | 31 | 91 | 91 | 140 | 140 | 82 | 130 | 9 | 82 | 82 | 34 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











