Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 12 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
10.8° C
1.3° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, S swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, S swell with 8,373 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 7s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 6PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12PM (Wed 12th Aug)2ft (0.6m) 7s
Best Surf 9AM (Tue 18th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 6AM (Wed 19th Aug)15ft (4.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the table for Lake Ferry. It's a bit of a wait, but there are some real gems hiding in this forecast if you're patient and know what you're looking for.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 51°, which is a touch colder than we'd expect for this time of year, so suit up properly.

The 16-day outlook kicks off with a long stretch of nothing worth paddling out for. We're looking at a solid week of very ordinary conditions from Wednesday the 12th right through until the 19th. The swell is tiny, the wind is messy, or it's just too big and sloppy. The only flicker of hope is on Saturday the 15th morning, when a long-period 17-second SSW groundswell rolls in at 1ft. The combined wave energy is moderate (125), and it's dead glassy. It's surfable, but barely. After that, Sunday the 16th through Wednesday the 19th sees really big, chunky swell (10ft to 13ft) with onshore wind, which is too much for this spot and just plain ugly.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. The first real standout is Thursday the 20th of August. Morning brings a solid 7ft south swell with a 12-second period, delivering a strong 1355 combined energy. The wind is dead calm, glassy as a mirror. The report says it's excellent for experienced surfers, and I agree. That's a powerful, clean swell for a sandbar break. The afternoon stays glassy and drops to 7ft, which is still a fantastic wave. This is your best bet for the whole outlook, no question.

The next one to circle is Sunday the 23rd of August. We've got a nice 4ft SSW groundswell (12-second period, 663 combined energy) with a gentle offshore breeze from the NE. That's clean, lined-up surf, a proper session. It's a solid, fun day.

A quick note on the Saturday the 22nd – the swell is there but the wind is cross-shore, making it choppy. Not worth it.

So, the plan is clear: wait out the first week of dross, then hit Thursday the 20th for the best, most powerful, glassy swell, and if you miss that, Sunday the 23rd is your second chance for clean, fun waves.

Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat morning, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the S by Sat night).

Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
!
!
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SE
7
0.4
SSE
10
0.4
SSE
9
0.4
SE
8
0.2
SSE
9
0.2
SSW
16
0.2
SSW
15
0.2
SSW
15
0.2
SSW
15
0.4
SSW
17
0.5
SSW
16
3
SSW
7
3
S
8
3
S
8
2.1
S
8
0.9
SSW
15
1.4
S
14
0.9
SSW
13
3
S
9
3
S
11
4
S
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
49
33
29
17
7
24
23
21
21
119
142
1096
1451
1220
551
314
813
238
1386
1763
6744
Wind (km/h)
15
NE
10
NE
10
NNE
10
NNE
10
NW
10
NNE
5
ENE
5
SSE
5
NNE
5
SW
15
SSW
30
S
25
S
25
S
15
S
10
WSW
10
W
5
NW
10
WSW
10
SSW
10
WSW
Wind State
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
glassy
on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross-on
High Tide
4:05PM1.45m
4:29AM1.28m
5:01PM1.44m
5:26AM1.28m
5:57PM1.41m
6:23AM1.27m
6:53PM1.37m
7:20AM1.26m
7:49PM1.32m
8:16AM1.25m
8:43PM1.26m
9:11AM1.24m
9:36PM1.22m
Low Tide
9:44AM-0.02m
10:28PM0.03m
10:42AM-0.03m
11:26PM0.02m
11:41AM-0.02m
00:22AM0.03m
12:40PM0.00m
1:17AM0.04m
1:38PM0.03m
2:11AM0.06m
2:34PM0.07m
3:02AM0.09m
3:29PM0.11m
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
mod rain
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:13
7:13
7:11
7:09
7:09
7:07
7:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:38
5:39
 mm
3
8
1
Temp °C
12
14
9
15
16
12
14
14
12
12
11
9
8
8
7
10
10
8
12
11
11
Feels °C
9
12
6
13
14
11
13
13
12
11
8
3
1
1
2
5
7
5
7
8
8
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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