Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 9s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 10s period, SSW swell with 4,233 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 7s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 4.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, listen up. Rusty here, lookin' at the Lake Ferry stretch for the next couple weeks. This is a tricky one, a real slow burn with a couple of juicy windows if you're patient.
First off, we're looking at a big gap of surf that's either too small or blown out. From Sunday the 26th right through to the end of the month, it's a write-off. Tiny dribbles, messy wind, just not worth paddling out for. We're talking about a solid four or five days with nothing on offer. The water's sitting at 52°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you'll want the thick rubber regardless.
Tuesday morning the 28th at Lake Ferry is your first real sniff of life. We get a little 3ft ESE swell rolling in with a long 13-second period. The wind goes glassy and then off, and the combined energy is weak at around 284, but that clean surface will make it rideable. It's tiny, but for a quiet session on the sandbar, it's honest.
The standout window, the one you've been waiting for, slams in on Thursday morning the 5th of August. This is the pick of the whole run. Lake Ferry gets a solid 6ft southerly groundswell with an 11-second period, and the wind locks in offshore from the NNE. The combined energy is strong at 1172 (1172). That's proper. The break is fairly consistent, but you'll have to deal with crowds *sometimes* – it's a well-known spot. Swell direction is a good match, and the offshore wind will have it looking like glass. This is an advanced-level wave at this size, but for the crew that knows the bank, this is the morning to be out there.
The afternoon glass-off on the 5th is also tidy, with 6ft and no wind, keeping the energy moderate. After that, things fade again quickly.
We do see another pulse on Saturday the 9th of August with 7ft to 7ft from the south, offshore and clean, but the period drops to a short 7 seconds. It'll be lumpy and fat compared to the 5th, but still a fun option for a weekend paddle.
And watch out for the 1st and 2nd of August – that's a massive 15ft to 8ft SSW swell with strong energy (over 4000 on the 1st), but it's way too big for here and the wind is cross-on. That's kite-surfing territory, not for a paddle surfer. Not for me.
So, bottom line: grind through the flat spell, make sure you're free on the morning of the 5th of August, and you'll get the best wave of the forecast.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 11°C on Tue afternoon, min 4°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 6°C on Wed morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Wed night, light winds from the W by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | SSW 11 | SSW 7 | SSW 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SE 15 | SW 7 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 221 | 152 | 81 | 90 | 78 | 156 | 202 | 206 | 98 | 95 | 86 | 151 | 120 | 75 | 69 | 21 | 37 | 643 | 3961 | 3333 | 2309 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | on | on | on | glassy | off | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:30PM1.21m | 2:49AM1.09m | 3:14PM1.21m | 3:33AM1.09m | 3:58PM1.22m | 4:17AM1.08m | 4:43PM1.22m | 5:02AM1.08m | 5:28PM1.21m | 5:47AM1.07m | 6:13PM1.20m | 6:33AM1.07m | 6:59PM1.19m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:49PM0.26m | 8:55AM0.24m | 9:34PM0.26m | 9:39AM0.23m | 10:20PM0.26m | 10:24AM0.22m | 11:06PM0.25m | 11:10AM0.21m | 11:52PM0.24m | 11:57AM0.21m | 00:38AM0.23m | 12:44PM0.20m | 1:23AM0.22m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | |  | |  |  |  |  |  | |
 | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — |
 | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 14 | 13 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
Feels °C | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | SSW 11 | SSW 7 | SSW 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SE 15 | SE 15 | SE 16 | SE 14 |
| kJ | 221 | 152 | 81 | 90 | 78 | 156 | 202 | 206 | 98 | 95 | 86 | 151 | 120 | 75 | 69 | 14 | 17 | 34 | 78 | 87 | 53 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 15 | SE 14 | SSW 12 | ESE 12 | SSE 7 | ESE 13 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 15 | NNW 8 | E 11 | E 10 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 55 | 52 | 60 | 52 | 41 | 109 | 82 | 88 | 39 | 20 | 41 | 57 | 28 | 26 | 12 | 11 | 37 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 22 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SE 13 | SSW 13 | ESE 14 | SSE 7 | — | — | SE 8 | S 16 | SSW 9 | — | — | NE 6 | SE 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 | E 11 | — | NE 17 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 54 | 78 | 45 | 35 | 62 | 18 | — | — | 24 | 5 | 8 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 2 | — | 12 | 22 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | NW 6 | SW 7 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 10 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 91 | 94 | 128 | 131 | 56 | 96 | 149 | 643 | 3961 | 3333 | 2309 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 64 | 31 | 34 | 91 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 31 | 82 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 130 | 31 | 64 | 64 | 112 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Lake Ferry surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest