Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Issued: 5 pm 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
11.4° C

1.2°C colder than average for this time of year

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, SSW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 10s period, SSW swell with 5,296 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 6s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 5.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 04) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Sun 5th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 6s
Best Surf12PM (Mon 6th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 3PM (Thu 9th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, Rusty here.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a tough stretch at Lake Ferry. For the first few days, it’s flat, with tiny 0.7ft leftovers that just aren’t worth paddling out for. You’d be better off staying on dry land for Friday, July 3rd, through the weekend. The water is hovering around 52.5°F, which is a bit colder than what we’re used to for this time of year, so that’s a sting in the arm if you do go in.

That all changes Monday, July 6th. The swell jumps to 7.2ft from the SSW, but it’s a mess. That 8-second period is short and crumbly, and the wind is howling from the SSE at 22 mph with a cross-on push, creating moderate wave energy (954). It’s choppy and lumpy – honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Late Monday afternoon, the wind drops to a glassy 3 mph, and a big 11.5ft SSW groundswell rolls in. The combined energy is very strong (2922), but it’s simply too much water for this sandbar. This is expert territory only, and even then, it’s a challenge.

Now, Tuesday, July 7th, is your standout window. The swell settles to a solid 7.9ft from the south, with a 10-second period. The wind is a light 9 mph from the east, giving us a clean, cross-off breeze. The energy is still strong (1322), but the conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. The water temps are still on the chilly side, but the clean lines are the story here. This is the best on offer, no question.

The rest of the week into the weekend gets rowdy. Wednesday and Thursday, July 8th and 9th, see the swell pump up again to 11.5ft and 16.4ft with strong SSW winds. The energy is through the roof (2612 and 5318), but it’s a howling cross-onshore mess. On Friday, July 10th, the swell is still massive, around 13.1ft, but again, too big for the break to handle.

We get a bit of a letdown starting the second week. Sunday, July 12th, has a 4.6ft groundswell from the SSW with a long, drawn-out 16-second period. The wind is a cross-on 12 mph, so it’s messy, and the energy is moderate (1085). That long period will make it barreling but tricky at a sandbar.

For the rest of that week, it’s small and weak. Monday, July 13th, has 3.0ft and low energy (205). By Tuesday, July 14th, it’s down to 2.3ft from the SE. The wind is a light cross-off, so the surface is clean, but it’s tiny. This run of small, ordinary surf looks like it’ll stick around through Wednesday, July 15th.

Towards the end of the 16-day window, we see another pulse. On Thursday, July 16th, a 8.2ft SSW swell with a short 7-second period pops up. The wind is light and cross-on, so it’s lumpy and marginal. By Friday, July 17th, it’s back to 9.8ft, with a cross-shore wind that makes it only fair for the brave.

Overall, the only real, honest-to-goodness standout is Tuesday morning, July 7th. Get out there if you can handle it. The rest is a battle with either too much, too little, or a messy wind.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 7°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 11°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the SSE by Tue night).

Fri
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
!
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
SSW
14
0.2
SSW
14
0.2
E
12
0.2
E
11
0.2
E
11
0.2
E
10
0.1
SW
15
2
SSW
7
2.2
SSW
8
3.5
SSW
10
3.5
SSW
11
2.4
S
10
2.3
S
10
1.9
S
9
1.9
S
8
3.5
SSW
8
2.5
SSW
8
4
SSW
9
5
SSW
10
4.5
S
10
4
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
20
18
11
10
9
8
9
342
604
2598
2488
1184
1055
606
477
1313
976
2592
5296
3885
3166
Wind (km/h)
25
NNW
25
NNW
20
N
20
N
25
N
25
NNW
15
NNW
25
S
35
SSE
5
ESE
10
ESE
15
E
10
SE
30
SSE
25
SSE
25
SSE
25
SSE
25
S
30
SSE
25
SSE
20
SSE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-on
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
7:32PM1.20m
7:53AM1.05m
8:16PM1.18m
8:37AM1.05m
8:59PM1.17m
9:22AM1.06m
9:43PM1.17m
10:07AM1.09m
10:28PM1.17m
10:55AM1.14m
11:17PM1.18m
11:45AM1.20m
00:08AM1.20m
Low Tide
1:58AM0.23m
2:01PM0.23m
2:41AM0.23m
2:45PM0.23m
3:23AM0.22m
3:30PM0.22m
4:04AM0.20m
4:17PM0.21m
4:47AM0.18m
5:06PM0.18m
5:32AM0.15m
5:58PM0.15m
6:20AM0.12m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
mod rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:46
7:45
7:45
7:45
7:45
7:43
7:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:00
5:00
5:01
5:01
5:02
5:04
5:04
5:05
 mm
2
2
11
13
3
6
10
4
4
2
1
2
2
Temp °C
12
12
12
12
12
13
10
8
12
11
11
10
11
11
11
11
10
9
9
9
8
Feels °C
7
6
7
7
6
9
6
6
8
10
9
7
9
6
6
6
5
3
2
3
3
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
SSW
14
0.2
E
12
0.2
E
12
0.2
E
11
0.2
E
11
0.2
E
10
0.1
SW
15
0.1
SW
14
2.2
SSW
8
0.3
SSW
18
3.5
SSW
11
2.4
S
10
2.3
S
10
1.9
S
9
0.4
SSW
13
1.7
E
10
0.3
ESE
10
0.3
ESE
10
0.3
ESE
11
0.2
E
11
0.2
E
11
Energy kJ
20
11
11
10
9
8
9
8
604
64
2488
1184
1055
606
68
586
21
20
22
9
9
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
13
0.2
SSW
14
0.1
SW
13
0.1
SW
12
0.1
S
10
0.1
S
17
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
10
0.2
SSW
19
0.4
SSW
18
0.4
ESE
11
0.3
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
15
0.4
SSW
14
0.3
ESE
12
0.2
SSW
16
Energy kJ
13
18
7
6
2
6
2
2
37
124
41
51
89
81
27
26
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
8
0.1
S
16
0.1
NW
9
0.1
NW
9
0.1
SW
14
0.4
SSW
19
0.4
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
15
0.3
ESE
10
0.3
SSW
17
Energy kJ
1
5
3
3
7
136
87
91
21
55
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
NW
6
1.9
NW
6
1.3
NNW
5
1.4
NNW
5
1.2
NNW
5
1.2
NW
5
0.5
NW
4
2
SSW
7
1.3
E
10
3.5
SSW
10
1.9
S
8
3.5
SSW
8
2.5
SSW
8
4
SSW
9
5
SSW
10
4.5
S
10
4
S
10
Energy kJ
148
260
83
102
59
76
6
342
306
2598
477
1313
976
2592
5296
3885
3166
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
2
3
2
1
1
2
4
4
3
4
1
4
4
3
4
4
1
2
Distance (km)
30
34
27
27
130
34
27
106
160
9
9
9
34
151
172
130
236
236
240
164
112
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
2
3
2
2
2
4
4
4
4
4
3
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
3
4
2
4
5
7
6
9
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
8
5
4
5
5
9
6
7
6
9
7
5
6
9
9
9
6
5
6
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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