Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 10s period, S swell with 3,515 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 1.6m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 4.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 03) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break down Lake Ferry – the long-range look.
Right now, through Friday, July 3rd and the weekend, the swell is tiny. We are looking at waves around 0.5 to 0.7 ft, with combined energy barely hitting 34, just weak. Winds are crossed-off or offshore, but there is nothing to ride.
Monday, July 6th, we finally get a pulse. The morning is messy – 10 ft of short-period SSW swell with strong cross-onshore winds and 1096 of energy, but it will be a lumpy mess. By the afternoon, the wind drops to just 3 mph from the east, going cross-off. That 6 ft clean swell with 660 energy is your first window. Expect good surf.
Tuesday, July 7th is the big standout. We get 10 ft of south swell with a 10-second period and massive 1886 energy. The wind Tuesday morning is glassy – dead calm. Water temp is a bit cooler than normal for July, about 1°F off. That 10 ft is too big for this spot unless you are an expert. The afternoon picks up a south wind and gets choppy. So, early only for the brave. Crowds are possible at this sandbar break (Lake Ferry) since it’s fairly consistent.
Wednesday, July 8th, is awful. 13 ft of S swell with gale-force onshore winds – a washing machine. Conditions like this are better for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Thursday and Friday, July 9th-10th, the swell drops but the wind stays onshore and messy. Poor.
Saturday, July 11th, the swell is down to 5-6 ft, but with a weak 6-second period and onshore wind. Marginal at best.
Sunday, July 12th, rough again with onshore wind.
Now, here’s the next real promise. Monday, July 13th, we get 10 ft of SSW swell, a decent 10-second period, cross-off NW winds at 10 mph, and 1895 energy. Report says wind and tide are favorable, but again, that 10 ft is pushing the limits for this spot. Monday afternoon goes glassy with 8 ft of S swell and 1337 energy. Excellent for experienced surfers. That’s your second big window.
Tuesday, July 14th, eases to 3 ft from the SE with glassy winds – a fun, clean day. After that, from Wednesday, July 15th onward, the swell fades and the wind picks back up from the NW and SW, making it onshore and chopped up. Not worth the drive.
So, to sum it up: the best windows are Tuesday, July 7th for the big early glass and Monday, July 13th for the next clean pulse. Don’t bother with much else.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat night, min 8°C on Sat morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 73mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the SSE by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | SW 15 | SSW 5 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 18 | 20 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 69 | 1035 | 387 | 2726 | 1853 | 1917 | 2470 | 2491 | 1837 | 1351 | 866 | 657 | 554 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 7:32PM1.20m | 7:53AM1.05m | 8:16PM1.18m | 8:37AM1.05m | 8:59PM1.17m | 9:22AM1.06m | 9:43PM1.17m | 10:07AM1.09m | 10:28PM1.17m | 10:55AM1.14m | 11:17PM1.18m | 11:45AM1.20m | 00:08AM1.20m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:17PM0.23m | 1:58AM0.23m | 2:01PM0.23m | 2:41AM0.23m | 2:45PM0.23m | 3:23AM0.22m | 3:30PM0.22m | 4:04AM0.20m | 4:17PM0.21m | 4:47AM0.18m | 5:06PM0.18m | 5:32AM0.15m | 5:58PM0.15m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | |  |  |  | | | |  | | |  | |  | | | |
 | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — |
 | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 20 | 5 | 3 | — | 4 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 1 | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SSW 14 | E 12 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | SW 15 | NW 6 | SSW 19 | SSW 7 | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 10 | — | SSW 11 | ESE 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 |
| kJ | 5 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 37 | 387 | 2726 | 1853 | 1917 | — | 219 | 998 | 51 | 93 | 120 | 235 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | E 13 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | S 12 | S 17 | E 10 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 18 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 |
| kJ | 18 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 67 | 21 | 8 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 95 | 37 | 66 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | S 8 | — | — | — | S 16 | — | NW 9 | E 10 | SSW 13 | — | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 3 | 2 | 17 | — | 64 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | NNW 4 | SSW 5 | SSW 8 | SE 6 | — | — | — | SSW 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 |
| kJ | 217 | 165 | 216 | 64 | 80 | 73 | 73 | 35 | 69 | 1035 | 206 | — | — | — | 2470 | 2491 | 1837 | 1351 | 866 | 657 | 554 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 31 | 34 | 112 | 27 | 27 | 140 | 27 | 27 | 84 | 253 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 240 | 112 | 183 | 183 | 112 | 183 | 112 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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