
Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 5 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 12s period, SSW swell with 10,343 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 6.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 20ft (6.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Gather 'round, folks. Rusty here with a look at what the next couple of weeks have in store for us at Lake Ferry. It's a bit of a mixed bag, with a big, angry pulse of swell on the way that’ll be way too much for this spot, followed by a real nice window of clean, manageable waves. The water temp is sitting at 53°, which is about 1° cooler than the long-term average for this time of year, so it's a touch on the chilly side but nothing too far out of the ordinary.
We kick things off on Monday, August 3rd, with a small but tidy start. The morning brings a 4ft SSW swell with a nice 13-second period, and a light NW cross-offshore breeze. The wave energy is a solid moderate 533, and the conditions are clean. The afternoon holds onto that quality with a 4ft SSW swell, still 12 seconds, and a clean cross-off breeze. It's not big, but it's a fun way to ease into the week.
Then, Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th? Forget about it. A huge southerly swell piles in, hitting 18ft on Tuesday with a strong onshore wind. The combined energy shoots up to 9,541 – that’s very strong, dangerous stuff. The forecast says the swell is just too big for this break, and I’d be staying well clear. It's a similar story on Wednesday with 13ft and 10ft swells, still onshore. Not a paddle in sight.
Now, Thursday the 6th is where it gets interesting. The swell drops to a much more manageable 6ft from the S, with a 11-second period, and the wind goes glassy in the morning – a light WSW breeze, 5 km/h. The wave energy is a moderate 834. This is your window. Clean, glassy conditions with a solid head-high swell. The afternoon is still clean with a 5ft S swell and a cross-off breeze. This is the best of the first week, no doubt.
Friday the 7th has a bit more size, with 6ft and 6ft swells from the S, but the period is a very long 16 seconds in the morning, dropping to 14 seconds in the afternoon. A long period like that at a sandbar can make it a bit straight and tricky, and the wind is a fresh 30 km/h cross-off. The energy is strong (2,106), but the conditions are marginal. It’s for the more experienced crew who know the sandbar.
Saturday the 8th still has some clean 4ft and 4ft swells from the S, but the energy drops right off. It’s surfable, but nothing special.
The following week, from Sunday the 9th onward, the swell dies and the wind turns onshore. It’s a real flat spell. There’s a tiny pulse of 10ft SSW swell on Sunday the 16th, but it’s onshore and too big for the break again. We get a big, messy 12ft SSW swell on Monday the 17th, again too big, but the wind is cross-off. Still, not for the faint of heart.
The real standout for the second week is Tuesday the 18th. The swell settles back to a clean 6ft from the S in the morning, with a 9-second period and a light N cross-off breeze. The energy is a moderate 591. The afternoon holds at 5ft S with a gentle NW cross-off. After a week of flat or blown-out junk, this is a welcome return to good, clean, surfable waves at Lake Ferry. It’s a promising sign, but it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it.
Stay safe out there, and remember, sometimes the best session is the one you wait for.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the SSW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 4°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, fresh winds from the NW by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 16 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 6 | S 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
411 | 519 | 2144 | 9541 | 8256 | 7193 | 4359 | 2543 | 1151 | 727 | 443 | 247 | 1832 | 1321 | 775 | 433 | 282 | 202 | 154 | 107 | 83 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on | cross |
High Tide | 8:30PM1.18m | 8:54AM1.12m | 9:18PM1.18m | 9:43AM1.16m | 10:07PM1.18m | 10:34AM1.22m | 10:58PM1.19m | 11:26AM1.27m | 11:51PM1.21m | 12:20PM1.33m | 00:45AM1.23m | 1:16PM1.38m | 1:40AM1.25m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:19PM0.20m | 2:51AM0.19m | 3:08PM0.19m | 3:36AM0.18m | 3:59PM0.17m | 4:23AM0.15m | 4:51PM0.15m | 5:11AM0.13m | 5:45PM0.12m | 6:01AM0.10m | 6:40PM0.10m | 6:54AM0.06m | 7:36PM0.07m | ||||||||
7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | |
— | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
Feels °C | 10 | 12 | 5 | -1 | -3 | -3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | E 19 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 16 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 6 |
411 | 519 | 2144 | — | — | — | 7 | 2543 | 1151 | 727 | 443 | 235 | 1832 | 1321 | 775 | 433 | 282 | 202 | 154 | 85 | 41 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | SE 18 | SSE 16 | SE 15 | SE 9 | SSE 12 | SE 10 | S 10 | ESE 12 | SE 12 | S 16 | NW 9 | SSE 16 | S 14 | S 9 |
103 | 73 | 61 | — | — | — | — | 12 | 26 | 36 | 71 | 247 | 104 | 149 | 14 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 90 | 107 | 59 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 19 | NW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | SE 16 | SSW 11 | SE 15 | S 13 | SSW 10 | SE 12 | — | S 18 | E 14 | S 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | S 13 |
19 | 68 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 93 | 71 | 34 | 126 | 170 | 23 | — | 6 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 50 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | NW 3 | — | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | S 12 | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 4 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | S 6 |
10 | 3 | — | 9541 | 8256 | 7193 | 4359 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 51 | 241 | 138 | 119 | 94 | 42 | 58 | 101 | 83 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 9 | 42 | 273 | 258 | 224 | 112 | 130 | 34 | 9 | 27 | 9 | 34 | 84 | 91 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 34 | 64 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











