Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 29 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
10.7° C
1.5° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 13s period, SSW swell with 8,486 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 5.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Sat 1st Aug)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Best Surf 9PM (Sat 1st Aug)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Most Powerful 9AM (Tue 4th Aug)16ft (5.0m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Lake Ferry. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, and honestly, it’s a slow start. We’re looking at a lake setup here, so don’t expect ocean power, but when it lines up, it can be a fun little sandbar.

For the first few days, from Thursday the 30th of July right through the weekend, it’s pretty grim. We’ve got fresh breezes in the 19 mph to 22 mph range, creating cross-off and cross-shore chop that’s just ruining the surface. The waves are small, around 1.0 ft to 2 ft, with weak combined energy (only 168 down to 43), so there’s nothing to get excited about. You’re better off staying home.

Then we hit Saturday the 1st of August, and it gets wild. The swell jumps suddenly to 16 ft from the SSW, with a massive combined energy of 5995. But the wind is straight onshore and strong, so it’s going to be a total mess. This is a sandbar, so with that much swell and onshore wind, it’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session. Forget it.

Sunday the 2nd of August is where things start to turn. The morning is still a bit dicey with onshore wind and a 6 ft S swell (1341 energy), but the afternoon cleans right up. We get a glassy, slight air from the WNW, dropping to 3 mph, and the swell drops to 5 ft from the SSE. That’s the first real window. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no shock to the system. The break is fairly consistent, but crowds are possible at this spot, so keep an eye out.

The standout window, and I mean the real standout, is Wednesday the 5th of August. The morning is still a bit lumpy with a 10 ft S swell, but the afternoon goes glassy. We get 8 ft of S swell at a 12-second period, delivering 2758 of combined energy. That’s a proper groundswell, and the glassy conditions will make it clean as a whistle. This is for experienced surfers only, as the size is over 8 ft, but for those who can handle it, this is the best session on offer. The long period (12 seconds) means longer lulls between sets, making the paddle out easier, and the S direction is right on the optimum for this spot.

Thursday the 6th of August is another good one. The morning is clean with a 4 ft SSE swell, light NE wind, and 842 energy. The afternoon goes glassy with the same swell size. It’s a solid, fun day, but not as big as Wednesday.

Friday the 7th of August brings another 8 ft S swell in the morning with clean, cross-off wind. That’s solid for experienced surfers again. The afternoon spikes to 10 ft, but with a short, weak 8-second period, it’s likely to be a bit crumbly and messy, so stick to the morning.

Saturday the 8th of August starts off glassy with 8 ft from the SSE, but the afternoon gets ruined by a moderate cross-onshore breeze and rain, so it’s a one-session morning.

After that, from Sunday the 9th through to the 14th, it’s a long stretch of poor conditions. The wind turns onshore or cross-onshore, the swell drops to around 5 ft down to 1 ft, and the energy fades into the double digits. There’s a quick moment on Thursday the 13th of August with a clean, 2 ft E swell, but it’s too small to really get going.

So to wrap it up: the best of the bunch is Wednesday the 5th of August afternoon. Glassy, 8 ft S groundswell, and all the energy you need. If you’re an experienced surfer, that’s your day. The second pick is Sunday the 2nd of August afternoon, for a smaller, cleaner session. All other days are either too big and messy or too small to matter.

Stay salty,
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 6°C on Sat morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
3
3
2
2
2
4
!
!
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
15
0.5
SSW
14
0.5
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
13
0.3
SSW
12
0.3
SSW
11
3
SW
7
5
SSW
10
4.5
SSW
12
3
S
11
1.9
S
11
1.6
SSE
11
1.1
SSE
10
1.2
SSW
10
0.9
SSW
10
2.5
SSW
16
5
SSW
13
4.5
SSW
13
3
S
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
174
115
102
67
28
25
720
5061
5900
2276
862
561
237
318
163
3485
8486
6008
2815
Wind (km/h)
25
NNW
30
NNW
30
NNW
30
NNW
35
NW
35
WNW
35
SW
30
SSW
25
SSW
10
SW
10
SSW
5
WNW
15
N
10
N
10
NNW
10
SSW
10
S
20
SSW
20
S
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
on
on
on
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-off
on
on
on
on
High Tide
5:02AM1.08m
5:28PM1.21m
5:47AM1.07m
6:13PM1.20m
6:33AM1.07m
6:59PM1.19m
7:19AM1.08m
7:44PM1.18m
8:06AM1.09m
8:30PM1.18m
8:54AM1.12m
9:18PM1.18m
Low Tide
11:06PM0.25m
11:10AM0.21m
11:52PM0.24m
11:57AM0.21m
00:38AM0.23m
12:44PM0.20m
1:23AM0.22m
1:31PM0.20m
2:07AM0.21m
2:19PM0.20m
2:51AM0.19m
3:08PM0.19m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:30
7:28
7:26
7:26
7:24
7:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:25
 mm
4
3
1
1
Temp °C
10
11
13
12
12
11
10
6
7
7
10
10
7
12
14
9
9
9
7
Feels °C
5
5
7
6
5
4
3
-1
0
2
7
8
3
9
11
7
5
4
1
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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