Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 26 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 1 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, SSW swell with 3,267 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 17s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 6s period and expected on Monday (Aug 31) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Thu 27th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here again, but I’ll switch to feet and miles for you.
We’re in for a mixed bag over the next 16 days, with a few notable windows of decent surf but plenty of flat, wind-affected, or just plain messy days to work around. The first real action isn’t until Thursday morning, the 27th of August, so we’ve got a bit of a wait. The first few days offer some solid, clean groundswell, but it’s strictly for the experienced crew. After that, there’s a long, frustrating gap before things get interesting again around the end of the month.
The standout period is the end of August and the very start of September. Lake Ferry is the only spot on the cards, and it’s a sandbar setup that needs a south swell and those light, offshore winds to really work. The best call is Monday the 31st of August. We’re looking at a solid 10ft SSW groundswell with a 12-second period, packing a massive 2364 combined energy. The wind is a light NNE breeze, which is a touch offshore for this spot. That’s some serious, powerful energy, and for a sandbar, that long period (12 seconds) is going to produce some well-shaped, powerful lines. The catch? It’s too big for beginners, and it’s an advanced-only affair. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there. Monday morning is the pick, but be aware it can get crowded at this spot, so you’ll want to be early.
Tuesday the 1st of September is a very close second. Another 10ft SSW swell, again with a 12-second period and a massive 2429 combined energy. The wind is light from the north, keeping it clean. This is a two-day pulse of serious, expert-level groundswell. After that, a strong nor’westerly kicks in and the swell drops off, making for a week of poor-to-marginal conditions with strong, clean winds that are just too strong for good surf.
A late mention goes to Monday the 7th of September. The swell is tiny, only 1ft, but the wind goes glassy in the afternoon with a light ESE breeze. The energy is weak (94 combined energy), so it’s small and ordinary, but it’s a rare moment of real calm. For the rest of the second week, it’s mostly small, choppy, or onshore, with some strong winds that make it more interesting for a kite session than a paddle.
Bottom line: get on it Monday the 31st of August or Tuesday the 1st of September if you’ve got the skills and the gear. The rest of the window is mostly a write-off, but that’s how it goes sometimes. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Fri afternoon, light winds from the N by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 7°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon afternoon, calm by Tue morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | S 16 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2024 | 2221 | 1058 | 513 | 350 | 157 | 155 | 110 | 53 | 178 | 321 | 297 | 3017 | 1903 | 1211 | 2364 | 2430 | 1319 | 1045 | 748 | 425 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:07PM1.20m | 4:26AM1.09m | 4:53PM1.20m | 5:12AM1.10m | 5:39PM1.20m | 6:00AM1.11m | 6:26PM1.19m | 6:49AM1.14m | 7:15PM1.19m | 7:39AM1.18m | 8:05PM1.19m | 8:31AM1.22m | 8:57PM1.20m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:47AM0.21m | 10:27PM0.23m | 10:35AM0.19m | 11:13PM0.22m | 11:23AM0.18m | 00:00AM0.20m | 12:14PM0.17m | 00:47AM0.19m | 1:05PM0.16m | 1:35AM0.17m | 1:58PM0.15m | 2:23AM0.16m | 2:51PM0.14m | ||||||||
6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
— | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | S 16 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 |
2024 | 2221 | 1058 | 513 | 350 | 157 | 155 | 110 | 53 | 178 | 321 | 297 | 3017 | 1903 | 1211 | 2364 | 2430 | 1319 | 1045 | 748 | 425 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | ESE 11 | E 16 | — | SE 15 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 12 | E 11 | E 11 | — | WNW 7 | — | — | — | — | SE 12 |
127 | 13 | 5 | — | 8 | 14 | 23 | 41 | 20 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 9 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | — | E 16 | SE 15 | SE 15 | ENE 8 | SE 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 10 |
16 | — | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 5 | NE 3 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 6 | W 6 | — | NW 3 | NW 6 | — | — | NW 3 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 |
— | 60 | 2 | 47 | 115 | 287 | 92 | 31 | 6 | 6 | 251 | 170 | — | 9 | 337 | — | — | 5 | 83 | 287 | 400 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 34 | 82 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 94 | 91 | 9 | 105 | 145 | 9 | 27 | 27 | 91 | 140 | 91 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











