Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Issued: 5 am 04 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
11.4° C

1.2°C colder than average for this time of year

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 8s period, SSW swell with 2,054 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 1.3m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 4.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 04) at 12PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Tue 7th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 10s
Best Surf 9AM (Wed 8th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful 3PM (Thu 9th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got on the cards.

Right off the bat, it’s a slow start. The first few days aren’t offering anything worth paddling out for, with tiny, weak energy and poor conditions. We’ve got a real dry spell to kick things off. Saturday the 4th through to Monday the 6th morning are a write-off, with minimal swell and onshore or cross-off winds. Lake Ferry (sandbar) is pretty flat and uninviting. The water temp is sitting at 11°, which is about a degree colder than usual for this time of year – a little nippy but nothing too wild.

Come Monday the 6th afternoon, things start to *look* like they might fire up, but don’t get too excited. We see a jump in swell height to 6ft from the east, with a short period of 10 seconds, and the combined swell energy is moderate (1156). The wind is light cross-shore, but the report says it’s a marginal forecast with questionable tides, so it’s not a standout.

Tuesday the 7th is similar – 6ft from the south, but again cross-onshore winds and marginal conditions. We’re not talking about a good session here.

Now, Wednesday the 8th of July morning is where it gets interesting. Swell is pumping at 10ft from the SSE, with a short period of 8 seconds and a combined energy reading of 1238 – that’s strong wave energy. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the east, keeping things clean. But here’s the catch – that 10ft is getting chunky, especially for a sandbar. This is expert territory only. The waves will be powerful and closing out quickly given the short period. For the brave and the skilled, it could be a session, but for most of us, it’s a spectator sport.

After that, Thursday the 9th sees a massive 13 ft swell from the SSW, but cross-onshore winds and a short period again. Huge, messy, and dangerous – that’s a hard pass unless you’re on a jet ski. The week following is a write-off, with consistent onshore winds and dropping swell. There’s a window on Tuesday the 14th with clean conditions and offshore winds, but the swell is tiny (2ft) and the energy is weak (102). It’s surfable but ordinary.

Further out, Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th show some promise again with 3-4ft swell and long periods (up to 17 seconds), but it’s accompanied by light cross-onshore winds and marginal conditions. Not a standout, but not a complete washout either. There’s nothing in the whole 16 days that screams ‘go now’ – the only real spike in size comes with severe wind issues. For kites, though, some of those windy, choppy days around the 9th and 10th look more interesting than for paddling.

Overall, it’s a pretty bleak run for Lake Ferry. The consistent lack of quality windows makes this one of those periods you just wait out.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Sat morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSE on Mon morning, light winds from the ESE by Mon night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 41mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Tue night, fresh winds from the S by Thu night).

Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
2
2
2
!
2
1
2
!
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
12
0.2
E
11
0.2
E
11
0.2
E
10
0.1
SW
15
2.5
SSW
7
2.5
S
7
1.7
E
10
1.8
SSW
10
1.7
S
10
1.6
S
9
1.4
SSE
8
3
SSE
8
2
S
8
2.5
S
8
2.5
S
8
4
SSW
8
3
SSW
9
2.5
S
8
3
SSE
8
3
S
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
11
10
9
8
9
537
703
557
591
533
404
264
1170
482
731
958
2054
1291
860
889
1007
Wind (km/h)
20
N
25
N
25
NNE
20
NNW
15
NNW
25
S
30
SSE
10
ESE
15
ESE
5
ESE
10
SSE
5
NE
5
E
10
SE
15
SSE
20
SE
20
SSE
30
S
30
S
25
S
25
SSE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
8:16PM1.18m
8:37AM1.05m
8:59PM1.17m
9:22AM1.06m
9:43PM1.17m
10:07AM1.09m
10:28PM1.17m
10:55AM1.14m
11:17PM1.18m
11:45AM1.20m
00:08AM1.20m
12:37PM1.27m
1:02AM1.22m
Low Tide
2:01PM0.23m
2:41AM0.23m
2:45PM0.23m
3:23AM0.22m
3:30PM0.22m
4:04AM0.20m
4:17PM0.21m
4:47AM0.18m
5:06PM0.18m
5:32AM0.15m
5:58PM0.15m
6:20AM0.12m
6:53PM0.12m
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
mod rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
part cloud
light rain
heavy rain
part cloud
part cloud
mod rain
light rain
light rain
heavy rain
mod rain
light rain
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:46
7:45
7:45
7:45
7:45
7:43
7:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:00
5:01
5:01
5:02
5:04
5:04
5:05
 mm
1
7
2
1
3
4
11
7
3
2
14
9
1
1
Temp °C
12
13
12
13
13
10
12
13
12
13
12
11
12
13
12
12
12
11
11
10
10
Feels °C
7
8
6
9
10
7
10
11
9
11
10
9
11
11
9
8
8
6
6
4
5
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
12
0.2
E
11
0.2
E
11
0.2
E
10
0.1
SW
15
0.1
E
10
0.2
SSW
19
2.1
SSW
8
1.8
SSW
10
1.7
S
10
1.6
S
9
0.5
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
13
0.7
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
11
0.4
SSW
16
0.3
ESE
10
0.3
ESE
11
0.4
SSW
17
0.4
SSW
16
0.8
ESE
10
Energy kJ
11
10
9
8
9
2
37
481
591
533
404
111
68
112
65
94
21
22
95
82
125
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
13
0.1
SW
12
0.1
S
10
0.1
S
17
0.1
E
10
0.2
NNW
9
0.1
S
14
0.4
SSW
18
0.4
SSW
16
0.8
ESE
10
0.4
ESE
11
0.5
ESE
10
0.4
SSW
12
0.3
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
15
0.2
SSW
20
0.3
SSW
18
0.2
SSW
21
Energy kJ
7
6
2
6
2
7
4
110
107
116
37
56
61
32
92
37
64
43
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
16
0.1
NW
9
0.1
E
10
0.2
E
10
0.3
ESE
10
0.4
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
15
0.2
SSW
10
0.3
SSW
17
0.2
SSW
20
0.3
SSW
18
Energy kJ
5
3
2
8
21
95
87
11
59
38
64
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
NNW
5
1.4
NNW
5
1.2
NNW
5
1.2
NW
5
0.6
NW
4
2.5
SSW
7
2.5
S
7
1.7
E
10
0.5
SE
8
1.1
SSE
8
1.4
SSE
8
3
SSE
8
2
S
8
2.5
S
8
2.5
S
8
4
SSW
8
3
SSW
9
2.5
S
8
3
SSE
8
3
S
8
Energy kJ
102
106
59
73
15
537
703
557
32
145
264
1170
482
731
958
2054
1291
860
889
1007
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
1
1
2
3
2
2
3
2
3
3
1
1
2
3
4
4
1
Distance (km)
27
27
173
27
27
64
151
9
9
9
18
9
9
18
112
112
112
224
183
183
112
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
2
4
4
3
4
4
4
3
4
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
4
2
4
4
5
6
5
4
4
4
4
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
6
5
9
7
5
6
8
7
4
5
9
8
9
6
5
5
8
5
8
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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