Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, ESE swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 9s period, S swell with 2,532 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 9s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 1.1m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 4.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 05) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk Lake Ferry. It’s a sandbar break that needs a south swell, and the next couple of weeks are a proper rollercoaster.
First thing, the start is grim. Sunday the 5th and Monday the 6th are tiny and weak or big and messy with the wind howling onshore. Tuesday the 7th morning pushes 3.0m from the ESE with light cross-shore wind, but the energy is massive (2044) and it’s just too much water for this spot – a total mess. From Wednesday the 8th through Saturday the 11th, it’s non-stop southerly swell, most over 7ft, with onshore wind. The energy numbers are huge (into the thousands), but it’s poor conditions – lumpy, choppy, and wild. This is kite-surfing weather, not paddle surfing.
We then hit a quiet spell from Sunday the 12th through Wednesday the 15th July. The swell drops to 2ft or less, with weak energy (under 500). The water temp is about normal for the season – nothing special.
Here’s the highlight. Thursday the 16th July morning shows some hope: 3ft from the SE with a 12-second period, a light offshore breeze from the NNE, and moderate energy (419). It goes glassy in the afternoon. Not huge, but clean and rideable. Then Friday the 17th July morning is the one to circle. You get 4ft from the SE, but with a 15-second period – that’s long-period groundswell. The energy kicks up to 1112, so there’s proper grunt. With a light offshore wind and clean conditions, this is excellent for experienced surfers. That long period can make a sandbar a bit straight, but the offshore wind should give you some good walls.
After that, Saturday the 18th July morning is glassy but way too big again at 12ft – expert-only – and then Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th fade back into smaller, wind-affected junk.
So, the takeaway: the first week is a write-off. The clear standout is Friday the 17th July morning. That’s your window.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Sat night, light winds from the E by Mon night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 38mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Wed afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Wed morning, fresh winds from the SSW by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Sat 11 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 10 | SW 15 | SSW 4 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 9 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 9 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 844 | 208 | 959 | 1188 | 532 | 627 | 611 | 937 | 827 | 2019 | 2074 | 1884 | 1929 | 930 | 808 | 377 | 209 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 8:37AM1.05m | 8:59PM1.17m | 9:22AM1.06m | 9:43PM1.17m | 10:07AM1.09m | 10:28PM1.17m | 10:55AM1.14m | 11:17PM1.18m | 11:45AM1.20m | 00:08AM1.20m | 12:37PM1.27m | 1:02AM1.22m | 1:32PM1.34m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:41AM0.23m | 2:45PM0.23m | 3:23AM0.22m | 3:30PM0.22m | 4:04AM0.20m | 4:17PM0.21m | 4:47AM0.18m | 5:06PM0.18m | 5:32AM0.15m | 5:58PM0.15m | 6:20AM0.12m | 6:53PM0.12m | 7:12AM0.08m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | |  |  | |  | | | |
 | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — |
 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 |
mm | 1 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | — | 1 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
Feels °C | 5 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | SW 14 | SSW 19 | SSW 7 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 18 | ESE 10 | SSW 15 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 |
| kJ | 9 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 208 | 959 | 739 | 430 | 111 | 95 | 43 | 37 | 92 | 108 | 109 | 1071 | 176 | 97 | 171 | 125 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 17 | SW 15 | NW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | ESE 10 | S 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | ESE 10 | — | SSW 19 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 109 | 105 | 95 | 87 | — | 35 | 7 | 55 | 89 | 118 | 131 | 298 | 63 | — | 37 | 80 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | E 10 | E 10 | — | SE 7 | ESE 11 | — | — | — | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 18 |
| kJ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | 69 | 22 | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 104 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 5 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | SSW 4 | SSW 8 | SE 6 | — | ESE 9 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 6 |
| kJ | 99 | 36 | 24 | 25 | 844 | 175 | — | 1188 | 532 | 627 | 611 | 937 | 827 | 2019 | 2074 | 1884 | 1929 | 930 | 808 | 377 | 209 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 34 | 30 | 27 | 112 | 160 | 64 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 112 | 112 | 106 | 34 | 84 | 112 | 224 | 183 | 183 | 183 | 130 | 236 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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