Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, SSW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 1 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 14s period, SSW swell with 15,269 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 26 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 6.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Wed 26th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Tue 1st Sep) | 21ft (6.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on the menu for Lake Ferry (Lake Ferry). It’s a sandbar setup, exposed to the south, and it’s a fairly consistent spot, so when the conditions line up, it can really deliver. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing shocking when you get in.
The first real window of opportunity hits us on Wednesday, August 26th. The morning session is looking clean with a 4 ft SSW swell and a super long 15-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is a light cross-off from the NNW at 9 mph, which is a major positive for keeping the faces clean. The combined energy is moderate at 513. It’s not huge, but it’s a solid start.
Now, Thursday, August 27th is the standout. This is the one to circle on the calendar. Both the morning and afternoon are looking excellent for experienced surfers. We’ve got a 6 ft to 7 ft swell from the SSW and S directions, with a very long period of 17 and 16 seconds respectively. That’s a lot of energy in the water – the combined energy is a very strong 2203 in the morning and 2049 in the afternoon. Winds are light to gentle cross-off, keeping the surf clean. This is a serious session if you’ve got the skills.
After that, things get messy. Friday the 28th starts with a fresh breeze and drops off fast, with rain showers and poor conditions in the afternoon. The weekend is a write-off for quality surf, with mostly light to moderate winds but very weak, ordinary waves. The swell energy drops to just 163 on Saturday and 62 on Sunday – that’s weak energy. There’s a big gap here with no real recommendations.
Monday, August 31st, the swell kicks back in, but it gets too big. The morning shows an 12 ft SSW swell with a massive 3501 energy reading, but it’s too big for the break. The afternoon eases to a still-chunky 8 ft, but it’s marginal. Tuesday, September 1st is even more extreme: a 16 ft SSW swell with 9230 energy – that’s for experts only, and even then, it’s probably too big for paddle surfing here. The wind is light and offshore in the morning, but the size is the story.
The rest of the first week of September is mostly poor or marginal. The wind is often fresh. The energy is moderate at best, with the occasional session like Wednesday, September 2nd morning showing a 5 ft S swell with 613 energy, but it’s still marginal. There’s a glimmer on Saturday, September 5th morning with a clean 3 ft S swell, 13-second period, and a light offshore wind from the NNE – that’s a nice, small, clean window for a longboard or a funboard. The energy is moderate at 437. After that, it’s back to ordinary conditions through to the end of the outlook.
So, to wrap it up: the absolute best bet is Thursday, August 27th. That’s your standout. If you miss that, the small window on Saturday, September 5th morning is worth a look for a clean, gentle session. The rest of the 16 days is mostly a waiting game.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Thu morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Fri afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 6°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Fri night, strong winds from the SSW by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | S 16 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 4 | SSW 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
485 | 505 | 336 | 1086 | 2024 | 2036 | 1026 | 505 | 285 | 118 | 121 | 112 | 52 | 26 | 55 | 3080 | 3496 | 1422 | 9999 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 2:57AM1.08m | 3:23PM1.20m | 3:41AM1.08m | 4:07PM1.20m | 4:26AM1.09m | 4:53PM1.20m | 5:12AM1.10m | 5:39PM1.20m | 6:00AM1.11m | 6:26PM1.19m | 6:49AM1.14m | 7:15PM1.19m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:02AM0.22m | 9:41PM0.25m | 9:47AM0.21m | 10:27PM0.23m | 10:35AM0.19m | 11:13PM0.22m | 11:23AM0.18m | 00:00AM0.20m | 12:14PM0.17m | 00:47AM0.19m | 1:05PM0.16m | 1:35AM0.17m | |||||||
— | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 6 | -1 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | S 16 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 9 | NW 5 | — | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | — |
485 | 505 | 336 | 1086 | 2024 | 2036 | 1026 | 505 | 285 | 118 | 121 | 112 | 52 | 26 | 21 | — | 3496 | 1422 | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | W 6 | S 7 | ESE 11 | E 16 | — | SE 15 | S 14 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSE 10 | SSW 16 | — | SE 11 | SE 11 | — |
8 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 163 | 13 | 5 | — | 8 | 35 | 24 | 24 | 45 | 19 | 24 | — | 5 | 5 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SE 13 | ESE 13 | — | — | SE 16 | SE 15 | SSW 12 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SE 12 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 7 | 16 | — | — | 10 | 8 | 14 | 18 | 40 | 6 | 17 | 7 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 5 | — | — | — | NNE 3 | NNW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | SSW 4 | SSW 9 | — | NW 5 | SSW 11 |
31 | 31 | 152 | — | — | — | 3 | 48 | 229 | 119 | 11 | 92 | 239 | 354 | 55 | 3080 | — | 119 | 9999 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 9 | 91 | 130 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 130 | 82 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 34 | 183 | 140 | 91 | 9 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











