
Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 19s period, SSW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 19s period, SSW swell with 5,743 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a solid run of surf coming up at Lake Ferry, but it’s a tale of two halves. The first week is all go, with some proper groundswell and clean conditions, especially for the crew who can handle some size. Then it drops right off, and we’re looking at a long quiet spell.
Let’s kick things off. The water is sitting at 11°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – so you’ll want the thickest wetsuit you’ve got.
Friday the 17th afternoon is a beauty to start. Glassy conditions with a light northerly breeze, and a 5ft SSW swell rolling in at a long 15 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (942), and it’s set to be very good. The long period means it’s a proper groundswell, so at a sandbar break like Lake Ferry, the sets will be clean and well-spaced, but watch for them to straighten out a bit.
Saturday the 18th morning keeps the good times going. Clean offshore northerly wind, 4ft SSW swell, period at 14 seconds, and the energy jumps up to strong (1283). This is excellent for experienced surfers. Saturday afternoon sees the swell bump to 7ft, but the wind swings cross-shore, and the energy goes through the roof (4197). The report flags it as marginal, so tide might be a factor.
Sunday the 19th morning is another standout. Glassy, 6ft SSW swell at 16 seconds, and energy is strong (1942). This is prime for the experienced crowd. The afternoon gets a bit messy with a light cross-onshore wind.
Now, Monday the 20th morning is the one to circle. Glassy again, with a 8ft SSW swell, a very long 19-second period, and the energy is strong (3729). This is excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon gets gnarly – 10ft SSW swell with the same long period, and the energy is very strong (5757). The report says it’s too big for this break, so that’s for experts only, and even then, it’ll be a handful. The long period at a sandbar might make it dumpy.
Tuesday the 21st morning is clean with offshore winds, 8ft SSW swell, and strong energy (1996). Another excellent session for the experienced. The afternoon cleans up too with cross-offshore winds.
Then things start to fade. Wednesday the 22nd drops to 4ft with a shorter period, and the wind goes onshore. The energy drops to moderate (677). From Thursday the 23rd morning onwards, the swell drops below 3ft, and the conditions become ordinary or poor. There’s a long gap from Thursday the 23rd all the way through to the end of the forecast window, with only small, weak, or blown-out surf. The only flicker of life is Monday the 27th morning, with a 3ft SSW swell and a 13-second period, clean offshore wind, and moderate energy (406). It’s good, but small.
The best on offer is without a doubt Monday the 20th morning. That 8ft SSW groundswell, glassy, with very long 19-second period – that’s the pick of the bunch for those who can handle it. The long period will give deep, powerful lines, but at a sandbar, it might wall up, so pick your take-off spot. The second standout is Friday the 17th afternoon for a more mellow start to the run.
So, a ripper first week then a massive dry spell. The forecast can change, but for now, get out there early next week.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed morning, min 5°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 22 | SSW 19 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
773 | 475 | 697 | 4063 | 3151 | 1875 | 1498 | 1576 | 3565 | 5743 | 3444 | 1984 | 1327 | 705 | 472 | 364 | 121 | 115 | 82 | 47 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | off | off | cross | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:17PM1.45m | 7:44AM1.28m | 8:14PM1.40m | 8:42AM1.27m | 9:10PM1.34m | 9:39AM1.25m | 10:05PM1.28m | 10:34AM1.23m | 10:57PM1.22m | 11:27AM1.22m | 11:48PM1.17m | 12:16PM1.21m | 00:35AM1.14m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:44AM-0.01m | 2:00PM-0.02m | 2:39AM0.01m | 2:57PM0.02m | 3:32AM0.04m | 3:54PM0.07m | 4:24AM0.07m | 4:48PM0.12m | 5:13AM0.12m | 5:40PM0.17m | 6:00AM0.16m | 6:30PM0.21m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | |
5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 12 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 22 | SSW 19 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | SSW 8 | SSE 11 |
773 | 475 | 697 | 4063 | 3151 | 1875 | 1498 | 1576 | 3565 | 5743 | 3444 | 1984 | 1327 | 705 | 472 | 364 | 121 | 115 | 55 | 47 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | S 10 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSW 8 |
169 | 201 | 142 | 134 | 123 | 67 | 65 | 38 | 37 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 194 | 147 | 70 | 65 | 82 | 21 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | — | SSW 24 | — | S 24 | — | — | SSW 19 | ESE 12 | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SSE 13 | SSW 14 | ESE 11 | SSW 12 |
5 | — | 444 | — | 99 | — | — | 125 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 11 | 18 | 18 | 12 | 14 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 3 | — | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 5 | — | — | NNW 2 | NW 4 | NW 5 |
9 | 4 | 2 | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 21 | 4 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 60 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 47 | 9 | 47 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 130 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 27 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










