Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 04 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
12.5°C
0.5° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 12s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 8 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, SSW swell with 916 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Wed 9th Sep)6ft (1.8m) 8s
Best Surf 6PM (Fri 11th Sep)4ft (1.2m) 12s
Most Powerful 9PM (Tue 8th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here, and I’m lookin’ straight at Lake Ferry. Blunt truth: this 16-day window is a tough one for a paddle. There’s a big ol’ gap of poor conditions kickin’ things off, so let's break it down.

From Saturday the 5th through to Tuesday the 8th, it’s pretty much a write-off. We’ve got a mix of cross-off and onshore winds, mostly moderate to fresh, with the swell jumping around but the quality’s just not there. The combined energy is weak to moderate, but the wind and weather are all wrong. It’s a rough start.

Wednesday the 9th morning is the first real flicker of hope, and it’s a beauty if you can get on it. Conditions turn clean, winds go glassy from the S, and there’s a 5ft SSW swell with a period of 8 seconds. The combined swell energy is 335. Water temp’s about average for this time of year, so no wild surprises there. Lake Ferry shines in those glassy moments, but it’s only a whisper of goodness.

Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th are back to ordinary – onshore slop or messy cross-shore with weak swell. The energy on Friday afternoon hits 630 from a 4ft SSW groundswell (12 seconds), but the wind’s cross, making it marginal at best.

Now, Saturday the 12th afternoon is the stand-out, but with a serious caveat. The swell jumps to 12ft from the SSW, period 13 seconds, and the combined energy is massive at 3890. The wind’s onshore SW, but the report says wind and tide favorable, though the swell is too big for this break. That’s a hard one – for experts only, and it might be more of a kite session than a paddle. Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th are trashed with strong to fresh onshore winds and big, messy swell.

Tuesday the 15th is another monster day – 21ft SSW swell with a combined energy of 11601, again too big for Lake Ferry. Avoid it unless you’re watchin’ from the shore.

Wednesday the 16th is your best genuine surf day in the entire outlook. Clear skies, light offshore NNE winds, and a clean 8ft SSW swell at 12 seconds. Combined energy is 1572. This is excellent for experienced surfers only – it’s pushing the limits. That offshore wind will make it clean as a whistle, but you’ll need the skills. Only a handful of heads out there, but crowds are sometimes an issue, so expect a few on the sandbar.

Thursday the 17th is too big again, 13ft with cross-onshore chop, and Friday the 18th morning brings a drop to 6ft S swell with clean cross-off NW winds – a good option with combined energy at 504. Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th fade back into poor conditions or simply too much size.

Overall, if you want a paddle, set your sights on Wednesday the 16th morning – that’s the real standout, but it’s for the bold. Wednesday the 9th morning is the other little gem if you want something smaller and glassy. The rest is either blown out or way too big.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 57mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the SSE by Sun night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 36mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 6°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Wed night).

Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
SSW
7
0.7
SSW
8
1
SSW
12
0.8
SSW
10
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
15
0.4
SSW
16
1.6
SSE
7
1.4
SE
6
0.7
SSW
11
1.7
SSW
7
2.4
SSW
8
2.5
SSW
8
1.6
S
8
1.2
S
8
0.7
SSE
7
0.4
SE
7
0.5
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
99
56
288
109
226
199
97
247
166
117
293
637
773
323
167
55
13
147
183
Wind (km/h)
30
NW
25
NW
35
NW
35
NW
35
NW
35
NW
20
SW
25
ESE
20
ESE
25
SSW
30
SW
25
SSW
10
SSW
5
S
5
WSW
25
NNW
25
NNW
5
WSW
25
SSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross
cross
on
on
on
on
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
on
High Tide
10:43PM1.21m
11:11AM1.35m
11:37PM1.23m
12:06PM1.38m
00:31AM1.24m
1:01PM1.40m
1:26AM1.25m
1:56PM1.40m
2:20AM1.25m
2:51PM1.40m
3:15AM1.26m
3:46PM1.38m
Low Tide
4:54AM0.09m
5:32PM0.09m
5:46AM0.07m
6:27PM0.07m
6:40AM0.04m
7:22PM0.06m
7:35AM0.03m
8:17PM0.06m
8:31AM0.02m
9:12PM0.05m
9:28AM0.02m
10:07PM0.06m
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
mod rain
heavy rain
light rain
light rain
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
heavy rain
heavy rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:37
6:35
6:35
6:33
6:31
6:30
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:58
5:59
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:02
 mm
1
28
18
10
16
3
1
16
14
Temp °C
12
14
13
13
15
14
14
9
9
9
8
8
7
12
12
11
13
10
7
Feels °C
5
7
6
6
8
7
8
4
5
4
1
2
3
10
10
6
8
8
1
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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