Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 pm 17 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
11.1° C
1.0° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 17 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 19 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, S swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 18 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 11s period, SSW swell with 8,545 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 19 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 6.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 6s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Wed 19th Aug)13ft (4.0m) 12s
Best Surf 9AM (Wed 19th Aug)13ft (4.0m) 12s
Most Powerful 9PM (Tue 18th Aug)20ft (6.0m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for us at Lake Ferry.

Straight up, we’ve got a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. The start of the period is a write-off for any decent paddle surfing. Monday the 17th through Tuesday the 18th serve up big, raw, onshore-chopped-up slop. The combined energy reading is huge, up to 4906 (moderate to strong), but with the wind howling straight onshore at 19 mph, it’s just a mess. Not our day.

Wednesday the 19th actually has some proper size – we’re talking 13 ft swell from the S and 12 ft from the S – and the wind is light onshore, but the forecast notes it’s just too big for this sandbar setup. Unless you’re a true expert and like getting pounded, I’d give it a miss.

Now, Thursday the 20th is where we get our first real stand-out. It’s glassy – dead glassy – with a light 3 mph SW wind. The swell drops to a much more manageable 6 ft from the S, with a moderate 825 combined energy. The period is 12 seconds, which gives it some decent push and shape. This is your best bet for clean, fun waves in the near term. The water temp is 52°, which is a bit colder than normal for the time of year, so a thick wetsuit is a must. Crowds can pop up here sometimes, so get there early.

From there, things get dicey again. Friday the 21st through Monday the 24th is a stretch of clean but weak, marginal surf as the swell drops away and strong cross-offshore winds mess with the shape. The combined energy drops to as low as 39 (weak energy) on the 23rd. That’s a gap of several days where you’re really not missing much.

Looking ahead to the second week, there’s a promising but less certain window on Friday the 28th of August. The morning shows 6 ft from the SSW, with a 14-second period and a light 9 mph offshore wind from the N. Combined energy is a solid 1393 (moderate). The notes say it’s excellent for experienced surfers. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. Saturday the 29th also has some good fun-sized options, with 6 ft SSW and clean conditions, but the 28th is the pick.

The end of the month and into September looks on-and-off with average to poor conditions and building onshore wind again, so don’t get your hopes up for that last stretch.

So, bottom line: Thursday the 20th is your best early call for clean, glassy chest-to-head-high surf. And if you can wait, Friday the 28th of August morning looks like the pick of the longer range for a bigger, cleaner, offshore swell.

Stay salty.
- Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 11°C on Thu morning, min 6°C on Mon afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the NW by Sun morning).

Mon
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
!
!
4
3
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SSW
14
1.7
S
7
3
SSW
8
5
SSW
10
5.5
SSW
11
4
S
12
3.5
S
14
2.5
S
13
1.7
S
12
1.6
S
9
1.5
S
12
1.4
SSW
14
1.2
SSW
13
1
S
12
0.9
SSW
11
0.8
S
11
0.6
S
10
0.4
SSW
10
0.2
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
356
286
1374
4902
8139
4486
5017
2340
814
422
661
799
499
270
194
143
74
32
20
305
Wind (km/h)
15
S
15
SSW
30
SSW
35
SSW
30
S
15
S
15
SSW
10
SW
5
SW
5
SSW
15
N
30
NNW
35
NNW
35
NNW
30
NW
30
NW
40
NW
50
NW
35
NW
35
NW
Wind State
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
8:43PM1.26m
9:11AM1.24m
9:36PM1.22m
10:04AM1.23m
10:28PM1.18m
10:54AM1.22m
11:17PM1.14m
11:42AM1.21m
00:03AM1.12m
12:27PM1.21m
00:48AM1.10m
1:11PM1.20m
1:31AM1.09m
Low Tide
3:02AM0.09m
3:29PM0.11m
3:52AM0.13m
4:21PM0.16m
4:40AM0.16m
5:11PM0.19m
5:26AM0.20m
5:59PM0.22m
6:10AM0.22m
6:44PM0.24m
6:53AM0.24m
7:28PM0.25m
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:05
7:05
7:03
7:01
7:00
6:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:44
5:45
 mm
2
2
1
Temp °C
9
9
10
9
8
8
9
9
11
12
10
13
13
12
15
15
13
14
14
12
Feels °C
4
3
3
2
-1
4
5
6
10
11
7
6
6
6
10
9
6
5
7
5
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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