Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 13 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
12.6°C
0.6° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 19 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 7s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 13 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 12s period, SSW swell with 1,538 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 13 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 12s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 2.4m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Sun 13th Sep)8ft (2.4m) 12s
Best Surf 9AM (Sat 19th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 7s
Most Powerful 9PM (Sun 13th Sep)8ft (2.4m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, let’s break down the surf ahead.

Water temp is sitting around 55°F, and that’s pretty standard for this time of year. No weird anomalies.

First thing’s first – the start of the period is a bit of a bust. Sunday the 13th is messy, wind not helping, surf looks poor. The first window that’s worth paddling out for is Monday morning the 14th. You’ve got a chest-to-head-high (about 6ft) SSW groundswell, period at 12 seconds, and the wind is glassy out of the north. That’s as clean as it gets. The combined energy sits at 1064 (moderate to strong), so there’s proper grunt behind it. This is your standout for the first week: clean lines at Lake Ferry. Crowds are a “sometimes” thing, so be ready to share.

Tuesday the 15th is smaller and cleaner but fading. Wednesday the 16th through Friday the 18th is tiny and mostly not worth the drive – a solid gap of four days with no real options.

Now, mark your calendar for Saturday the 19th. The surf forecast shows a 10ft S swell in the morning, but it’s short period at just 7 seconds. The combined energy is 895 (moderate), but the guidance says it’s likely too big for this sandbar break. Glassy wind won’t save it from closing out. The afternoon is better with 8ft and an 8-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 1393. Still, that short period on a beach setup means it’s gonna be a washing machine. Only for experts, and honestly, it’s looking more like a kite session than a surf.

Your next real chance is Sunday morning the 20th. Swell drops to about 4ft but the period stretches to 14 seconds – proper groundswell. Glassy wind from the east-southeast. Combined energy is 697 (moderate). This will be clean, with more shape. That’s your second standout, but we’re a week out, so don’t hold your breath.

After that, it’s downhill. Monday the 21st is waist-high and clean in the morning before the wind shifts. Tuesday the 22nd is blown out with strong south winds. Wednesday the 23rd has a big 6ft SSW swell with a 17-second period and a combined energy of 1822 (strong), but the wind is cross-on or cross – so plenty of power but not clean. Thursday the 24th morning looks good on paper: 4ft, 16-second period, glassy east wind, combined energy 765. But we’re talking almost two weeks out, so keep expectations low. The rest of the run fades into small, onshore slop.

So, if you’ve got one day to make it happen, go Monday the 14th. Clean, solid groundswell. Second choice is Sunday the 20th. After that, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Wed morning, calm by Fri morning).

Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
4
4
3
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
!
4
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SSW
13
1.8
SSW
13
2.3
SSW
12
1.9
SSW
12
1.7
S
12
1.4
S
11
1.1
S
10
0.6
SSW
10
0.6
S
8
0.4
SW
13
0.3
SSW
13
0.2
SSW
13
0.4
SW
15
0.4
SSW
13
0.3
SSW
11
0.5
SE
13
0.5
SE
12
0.4
SSW
15
3
S
7
2.5
SSW
8
0.9
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1445
1075
1390
1064
800
441
225
78
47
43
34
18
54
68
25
84
74
84
895
916
371
Wind (km/h)
5
W
10
SSE
5
NE
5
N
5
W
10
N
10
N
10
NNW
20
N
30
NW
35
NW
25
NW
15
NNW
10
NW
5
ESE
5
ENE
10
NNW
10
NW
5
W
15
NW
15
NNW
Wind State
cross
cross-on
glassy
glassy
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
6:28PM1.27m
6:54AM1.25m
7:22PM1.23m
7:48AM1.25m
8:14PM1.20m
8:40AM1.24m
9:06PM1.17m
9:30AM1.24m
9:55PM1.14m
10:19AM1.23m
10:43PM1.12m
11:05AM1.21m
11:28PM1.10m
Low Tide
12:20PM0.07m
00:49AM0.10m
1:15PM0.10m
1:40AM0.12m
2:10PM0.13m
2:30AM0.15m
3:02PM0.15m
3:18AM0.18m
3:52PM0.18m
4:05AM0.20m
4:39PM0.21m
4:50AM0.23m
5:24PM0.23m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:24
6:22
6:20
6:20
6:18
6:16
6:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:06
6:07
6:07
6:08
6:09
6:10
6:12
 mm
1
5
1
Temp °C
13
12
8
14
14
10
16
17
12
15
14
12
14
15
10
16
13
11
14
14
12
Feels °C
10
9
6
12
12
8
13
15
7
8
7
6
10
12
8
15
12
9
13
11
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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