
Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 17s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 10s period, S swell with 4,407 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 18s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 5.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, it’s Rusty. Let’s be straight with you – this outlook for Lake Ferry is a bit of a mixed bag, with a lot of rough weather to work through before we get a couple of real windows to enjoy. The lake is a sandbar setup, and it’s exposed to the south swell, so when the wind gets nasty, it gets *really* nasty.
The water is sitting at 52° right now, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want the thickest wetsuit you’ve got.
We start off Tuesday the 7th with a bit of swell, 5ft from the SSW, but with a cross-breeze and a messy energy reading of 747, it’s marginal at best. The wind stays on it through Wednesday and Thursday, with the swell building to a massive 15ft on Thursday morning. That’s all blown out, chunky, and useless for a paddle. The energy is through the roof (4532 on Thursday morning), but it’s a total mess.
Friday the 10th is still onshore and messy, with a dropping swell around 7ft. Still no good.
Finally, Saturday the 11th brings a ray of hope. The morning is still a bit cross-on with 4ft SSW swell, but the afternoon turns glassy. The swell drops to 3ft, but the period jumps to a very long 17 seconds, with a combined energy of 604. That’s a clean, glassy groundswell window. This is the standout of the whole run. It’s a proper river/reef setup, so that long period will wrap in nicely. The glassy conditions will make it perfect.
Sunday the 12th follows up with clean conditions. The wind goes light offshore from the NNE, with a 3ft SSW swell at 14 seconds. Again, clean and surfable, but the energy is a bit lower at 432.
Monday the 13th has a gentle offshore but the swell drops to 2ft, and the energy is weak at 86. It’s surfable, but you’ll be working for it.
Then we hit a dead zone. From Tuesday the 14th right through to Saturday the 19th, the swell is tiny, the wind is all over the place, or the swell is too big and blown out. On the 18th, we see a 21ft SSW swell with a massive energy of 11847, but it’s cross-onshore and choppy – that’s a kite-surfing setup, not a paddle one.
The next real chance comes on Monday the 20th. The wind is offshore from the NE, clean, and the swell is 7ft from the S at 9 seconds. The energy is solid at 1118. This is for experienced surfers only – that swell is over 5ft, so it’s not for beginners. It’s a great session for the crew who know what they’re doing.
Tuesday the 21st has a smaller, cleaner 3ft from the S, but the energy is dropping to 223. It’s a fun, mellow option.
So, the best on offer is the glassy Saturday afternoon the 11th, with the long period groundswell, and then the clean, expert-level Monday the 20th. The rest is a whole lot of wind and waiting.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 91mm), heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSE on Tue night, strong winds from the S by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 11°C on Sun afternoon, min 4°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | S 9 | SSE 7 | S 7 | S 7 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
452 | 372 | 573 | 480 | 904 | 4141 | 3362 | 2803 | 1849 | 537 | 262 | 205 | 108 | 510 | 558 | 395 | 277 | 167 | 77 | 33 | 52 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:07AM1.09m | 10:28PM1.17m | 10:55AM1.14m | 11:17PM1.18m | 11:45AM1.20m | 00:08AM1.20m | 12:37PM1.27m | 1:02AM1.22m | 1:32PM1.34m | 1:57AM1.25m | 2:28PM1.41m | 2:54AM1.27m | 3:26PM1.46m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:17PM0.21m | 4:47AM0.18m | 5:06PM0.18m | 5:32AM0.15m | 5:58PM0.15m | 6:20AM0.12m | 6:53PM0.12m | 7:12AM0.08m | 7:51PM0.09m | 8:06AM0.05m | 8:50PM0.05m | 9:04AM0.01m | 9:49PM0.03m | ||||||||
7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | |
— | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | |
mm | 5 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 22 | 2 | 11 | 6 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | S 9 | SSW 14 | ESE 10 | S 20 | — | E 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 12 |
452 | 372 | 111 | 34 | 7 | — | 1170 | 247 | 170 | 163 | 130 | 55 | 55 | 510 | 558 | 395 | 277 | 167 | 77 | 33 | 52 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | ESE 10 | S 6 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | SSW 13 | SE 7 |
95 | 87 | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | 169 | 107 | 118 | 37 | 60 | 39 | 37 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 18 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | S 22 | SSW 14 | ESE 9 | — | — | — | — | E 10 | ESE 8 | E 10 |
— | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 88 | 9 | 80 | 34 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 7 | S 7 | S 7 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 |
200 | 275 | 573 | 480 | 904 | 4141 | 3362 | 2803 | 1849 | 537 | 262 | 205 | 108 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 18 | 42 | 37 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 64 | 47 | 158 | 105 | 138 | 235 | 140 | 230 | 223 | 130 | 130 | 91 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 30 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










