Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
10.8° C
1.5° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 20s period, SSW swell with 1,699 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 16s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 1.5m 20s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Thu 16th Jul)1ft (0.3m) 16s
Best Surf12PM (Fri 17th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 17s
Most Powerful12AM (Sun 19th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 20s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let's break down what the lake is serving up for the next couple of weeks.

First off, Lake Ferry is where we’re looking. It’s a sandbar setup, so it can be fickle. But the water’s sitting at about 51°F, which is a bit colder than we’d expect for this time of year, so you’ll want a good thick wetsuit. Right now, the start of the week is a write-off. We’ve got a few days of poor conditions with clean but weak swell and cross-off winds. The surf is tiny, mostly under 1ft, and the energy is pathetic (19 to 57). Don't even bother paddling out until Friday the 17th.

The first real glimmer comes on Friday, July 17th. The morning sees a clean 3ft SSW swell with offshore winds from the NNE. The energy’s starting to build (420), but the real standout is Friday afternoon. The swell jumps to a solid 5ft from the SSW with a very long period of 16 seconds. The wind goes glassy, and the combined energy is pumping (1366). This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. That groundswell will wrap in nicely, though with that long period, it might fatten up a bit on a sandbar, but the glassy conditions will make it peaky. Crowds are "sometimes" here, so you might get a few out, but it’s worth the wait.

Saturday, July 18th keeps the quality going. The morning is glassy again with a 4ft SSW swell (477 energy). It’s a bit smaller, but still clean and fun for everyone. The afternoon sees a tiny 2ft S swell with a massive 23-second period (595 energy), but that’s a long wait between sets. Sunday, July 19th morning is the other big highlight. We’ve got 4ft SSW swell at 17 seconds, clean offshore winds from the NNE, and energy cracking at 1287. That’s another session for the experienced crew. The wind swings onshore in the afternoon, so hit it early.

After that, the surf stays solid but the conditions get trickier. Monday, July 20th has a powerful 6ft SSW swell (1316 energy) in the morning with clean cross-off winds, but the afternoon gets a cross-shore chop that’ll mess up the face. Tuesday the 21st is similar with 5-6ft swell, but it’s all cross-shore wind. It’s surfable for the keen, but not the top pick.

From Wednesday the 22nd through the end of the chart, it fades fast. We drop back to tiny 0.9ft to 1ft swells with weak energy (mostly under 100). The winds are okay at times—glassy or offshore—but the swell just isn't there. The last week is a long flat spell. Don’t hold your breath.

So, the standout windows are Friday afternoon the 17th and Sunday morning the 19th — both offer the biggest, cleanest, most powerful swell of the forecast. Get on it.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Mon morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 7°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
3
2
3
4
4
2
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
S
10
0.7
SSW
13
0.5
SSW
12
0.3
SSW
9
0.2
SSW
9
0.1
S
18
0.2
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
15
0.3
SSW
15
0.3
SSW
15
0.2
ESE
16
0.4
SE
16
0.8
SSW
14
1.6
SSW
16
1.4
SSW
12
1.2
SSW
10
0.5
S
23
1.5
SSW
20
1.3
SSW
17
1.3
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
52
173
82
17
8
6
26
46
44
45
27
67
226
1193
540
324
274
1699
969
803
651
Wind (km/h)
15
N
25
NNW
25
NNW
30
NNW
30
NW
30
NW
25
NW
30
NW
25
NW
25
NW
5
WNW
5
NE
5
NNE
5
NW
5
NNE
5
ENE
5
SSE
10
N
5
NNE
5
S
5
ENE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
glassy
off
glassy
off
glassy
glassy
off
off
on
glassy
High Tide
3:26PM1.46m
3:51AM1.29m
4:24PM1.49m
4:49AM1.30m
5:22PM1.50m
5:47AM1.30m
6:20PM1.48m
6:46AM1.30m
7:17PM1.45m
7:44AM1.28m
8:14PM1.40m
8:42AM1.27m
9:10PM1.34m
Low Tide
9:04AM0.01m
9:49PM0.03m
10:02AM-0.02m
10:49PM0.00m
11:02AM-0.04m
11:48PM-0.01m
12:01PM-0.05m
00:47AM-0.01m
1:01PM-0.04m
1:44AM-0.01m
2:00PM-0.02m
2:39AM0.01m
2:57PM0.02m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:41
7:41
7:41
7:41
7:39
7:39
7:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:07
5:07
5:08
5:08
5:09
5:10
5:12
 mm
Temp °C
11
12
13
13
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
10
13
14
9
12
12
10
12
12
8
Feels °C
6
7
7
7
8
9
9
9
10
10
13
9
12
13
8
11
11
8
11
10
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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