Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 14 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
12.3°C
0.2° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 22 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 21 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period, SSW swell with 2,114 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 10s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 2.3m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 12PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Tue 15th Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 10s
Best Surf12AM (Tue 22nd Sep)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful 3AM (Mon 21st Sep)7.5ft (2.3m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right away, this stretch is all about Lake Ferry. It’s a sandbar set-up that needs a solid south swell to get pumping, and looking at the next couple of weeks, we’ve got a real mix of waiting, a big pulse, and then some messy drop-offs.

The first few days are pretty flat, with small, weak swell and nothing worth paddling out for. Come Thursday the 19th, there’s a short-period south swell that jumps up to 6ft, but the wind is on it and the period is way too short, so it’s going to be a mess. We’ve got a moderate energy level in the water (508), but honestly, it’s a skunk.

The real standout is Monday the 21st. There’s a solid 6ft south swell with a long 15-second period rolling in, and the wind is clean and cross-offshore. The combined energy is strong at 1409. This is the best looking day of the whole run—proper groundswell with some push, and Lake Ferry (Lake Ferry) should have some proper walls. It’s an advanced spot, so you need to know what you're doing, but for those guys, this is the one to circle. Keep in mind, a 15-second period can make it a bit walled at a sandbar, but the power will be there.

After that, the swell drops back out, but things get interesting again later in the week. Tuesday the 24th brings another solid S swell with a 12-second period, and the morning is looking clean with light cross-offshore winds. It’s a bit bigger, 8ft, and the energy is strong (2774), but it bumps up against the “too big for beginners” mark, and it’s pushing more towards expert territory.

Then we hit a wild card. The 23rd sees a massive swell jump, but it’s got a strong onshore wind and the period is all over the place. It’s a no-go for surfing—honestly, with that kind of size and wind, Lake Ferry is going to be a washing machine. That looks more like a kite-surfing day if anything.

The last few days of the month are tricky. There’s still a decent SSW swell running, with moderate to strong energy, but the winds are up and the conditions are marginal. Some of it is clean, like Friday morning the 27th with 8ft, but the period is short and it’s lumpy. It’s not the clean, lined-up swell we saw earlier, so you’re going to be fighting it.

Overall, the one true standout is Monday the 21st. Get on it early, and you’ll be rewarded. The 24th is a close second, but it’s more for the experienced crew. The rest is either too small, too messy, or too wild to get excited about.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Mon night, strong winds from the NNW by Wed morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 6°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
2
0
0
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
S
10
1.1
S
10
0.7
SSE
9
0.5
S
8
0.3
SSW
13
0.3
SE
11
0.2
SSW
13
0.3
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
13
1
SSW
6
0.4
SE
13
0.4
SSW
15
0.5
SSW
15
1.8
SSW
7
1
SSW
14
1.4
SSW
11
1.1
SSW
10
1.4
S
6
2.5
SSW
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
432
225
84
33
34
20
18
41
69
80
48
91
123
285
357
455
255
162
1348
Wind (km/h)
10
N
10
N
10
NNW
20
N
40
NNW
35
NW
25
NNW
20
N
15
NNW
5
ESE
5
SSE
5
W
10
N
5
S
20
NNW
10
NNW
25
S
15
S
5
WNW
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
off
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
7:48AM1.25m
8:14PM1.20m
8:40AM1.24m
9:06PM1.17m
9:30AM1.24m
9:55PM1.14m
10:19AM1.23m
10:43PM1.12m
11:05AM1.21m
11:28PM1.10m
11:50AM1.20m
00:12AM1.09m
Low Tide
1:40AM0.12m
2:10PM0.13m
2:30AM0.15m
3:02PM0.15m
3:18AM0.18m
3:52PM0.18m
4:05AM0.20m
4:39PM0.21m
4:50AM0.23m
5:24PM0.23m
5:33AM0.24m
6:08PM0.24m
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:20
6:20
6:18
6:16
6:13
6:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:07
6:08
6:09
6:10
6:12
6:13
 mm
1
1
1
1
Temp °C
9
16
16
12
14
14
13
13
12
8
12
12
9
14
14
13
9
9
9
Feels °C
7
13
13
6
6
7
7
9
9
5
9
9
7
12
10
9
4
6
7
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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