Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 12s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 12s period, SSW swell with 8,087 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 13s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 5.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 18ft (5.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Lake Ferry. It’s a sandbar set-up, and looking at the next 16 days, it’s a real mixed bag. We’ve got a rough start, then a few windows of clean, fun waves, followed by some serious, messy, and way-too-big conditions.
The water temperature is sitting around 53°F, which is normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first real chance to get wet doesn’t come until the morning of Monday, July 28th. We’ve got a small but clean 3ft southeast swell, with a nice 12-second period, and a light offshore wind from the NNE. That’s a good, clean combo for a sandbar, and the energy is moderate (302). The crowd situation is *sometimes*, so you might have a few others out there, but it’s worth it.
The best of the whole run, though, is the afternoon of Tuesday, July 29th. That’s where it’s at. The swell drops a touch to 3ft from the ESE, but the period stretches out to a nice 13 seconds. The real story is the wind: it’s totally glassy. Zero wind. That’s the kind of clean, mirror-like surface you dream about. The energy is still moderate (291), and it’ll be a true standout for a quiet, soulful session.
After that, the wind gets messy and the swell drops right off, giving us a long gap of poor surf until the end of the first week of August. Then, on Saturday, August 8th, the swell jumps up to a massive 13ft from the south with a 9-second period. The wind is glassy in the morning, but the forecast actually says it’s too big for this break. That’s a big, unruly, and dangerous wave, so unless you’re a top-tier expert with a death wish, give it a wide berth. The next day, Sunday, August 9th is also a big, messy 10ft south swell with onshore winds.
The window then closes again with poor, onshore conditions. So, to sum it up: the real winner here is that Tuesday afternoon glass-off on the 29th. The Monday morning before it is a solid backup. The rest is either flat, blown out, or way too big for a good time.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 11°C on Tue afternoon, min 4°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 7°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 7 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SE 16 | SW 5 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 152 | 80 | 90 | 265 | 156 | 220 | 206 | 151 | 95 | 85 | 174 | 116 | 102 | 66 | 28 | 38 | 75 | 7405 | 6448 | 3470 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | on | on | glassy | off | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 2:49AM1.09m | 3:14PM1.21m | 3:33AM1.09m | 3:58PM1.22m | 4:17AM1.08m | 4:43PM1.22m | 5:02AM1.08m | 5:28PM1.21m | 5:47AM1.07m | 6:13PM1.20m | 6:33AM1.07m | 6:59PM1.19m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:49PM0.26m | 8:55AM0.24m | 9:34PM0.26m | 9:39AM0.23m | 10:20PM0.26m | 10:24AM0.22m | 11:06PM0.25m | 11:10AM0.21m | 11:52PM0.24m | 11:57AM0.21m | 00:38AM0.23m | 12:44PM0.20m | 1:23AM0.22m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | |  |  | | |  | | | |
 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — |
 | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Temp °C | 9 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
Feels °C | 5 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 7 | SSW 11 | SSW 8 | SSW 12 | SE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | NW 5 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 |
| kJ | 152 | 80 | 90 | 83 | 156 | 220 | 206 | 151 | 95 | 85 | 174 | 116 | 102 | 66 | 28 | 12 | 32 | 90 | 57 | 72 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | SSW 12 | ESE 12 | SSE 7 | ESE 13 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SSW 14 | SE 14 | E 11 | E 10 | E 12 |
| kJ | 52 | 60 | 52 | 35 | 101 | 82 | 85 | 39 | 20 | 40 | 56 | 47 | 26 | 23 | 11 | 18 | 33 | 38 | 19 | 11 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | ESE 13 | SSW 13 | ESE 12 | SSE 7 | — | — | — | SW 16 | SSW 18 | — | S 18 | NE 5 | SE 12 | SSW 14 | SE 16 | SE 18 | — | — | NE 16 |
| kJ | 78 | 69 | 35 | 89 | 25 | — | — | — | 10 | 31 | — | 25 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 38 | 49 | — | — | 10 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | — | S 7 | SSW 11 | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | SW 5 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | S 10 |
| kJ | 59 | — | 65 | 265 | — | — | — | — | 15 | 91 | 150 | 150 | 129 | 50 | 95 | 115 | 75 | 7405 | 6448 | 3470 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 47 | 9 | 34 | 91 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 31 | 82 | 82 | 34 | 34 | 82 | 34 | 112 | 112 | 112 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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