Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 13 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 19 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, S swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, S swell with 3,521 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 14 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Wed 19th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Wed 19th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let’s see what’s on the table. Gotta be honest, this forecast for Lake Ferry (sandbar) is a tough one to get excited about. We’re looking at a real flat spell to kick things off, with hardly anything worth paddling out for until well into the second week.
Thursday 13th through to Saturday 15th August is basically a no-go. Tiny little 0.7ft to 1ft swells rolling in from the SSW, with weak energy (46 to 66). The winds are all over the shop, from light offshores to glassy conditions on Friday morning, but the swell is just too small to make anything of it. The water is sitting at 51°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, but enough to make you think twice.
Sunday 16th sees a massive jump in size from the same SSW direction, hitting 13ft, but the wind is howling from the south at 22 mph, making it a cross-onshore mess. The energy is strong (2823), but that’s more of a kite-surfing situation than a paddle session. That holds through Monday and Tuesday – big, messy, onshore slop.
The first real standout doesn’t come until Thursday 20th August. The wind goes glassy from the WSW, and we’ve got a 6ft groundswell from the south with a period of 12 seconds. The combined swell energy sits at 1067 (moderate). That period is long enough for decent shape, but this is a sandbar break, so long-period swells can sometimes straighten out. Still, for experienced surfers, this is the best of the bunch – clean, solid, and waiting.
Friday 21st morning is another good look. Offshore NNE wind at 6 mph, 5ft S swell with a very long 16-second period. Energy is again strong (1146). Could be some proper lines in the water, but keep in mind that long period at a sandbar can be a bit tricky. Worth a look if you’re keen and know the spot.
After that, it falls apart again. Saturday 22nd and Sunday 23rd get hammered by strong NW winds up to 25 mph – clean-looking but blown-out and the swell drops right off. The rest of the month stays small, with occasional knee-high dribble from the SSW and not enough power to hold your interest.
Forget about the second week unless you’re desperate. There’s nothing there that’ll get the heart racing. The best bet is Thursday 20th and Friday 21st mornings. That’s your window. Don’t blink.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 7°C on Sun afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, strong winds from the SSW by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 11°C on Tue night, min 6°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 24 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 57 | 97 | 1862 | 2771 | 1871 | 958 | 594 | 889 | 689 | 1374 | 871 | 742 | 1759 | 1343 | 2023 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 5:26AM1.28m | 5:57PM1.41m | 6:23AM1.27m | 6:53PM1.37m | 7:20AM1.26m | 7:49PM1.32m | 8:16AM1.25m | 8:43PM1.26m | 9:11AM1.24m | 9:36PM1.22m | 10:04AM1.23m | 10:28PM1.18m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:26PM0.02m | 11:41AM-0.02m | 00:22AM0.03m | 12:40PM0.00m | 1:17AM0.04m | 1:38PM0.03m | 2:11AM0.06m | 2:34PM0.07m | 3:02AM0.09m | 3:29PM0.11m | 3:52AM0.13m | 4:21PM0.16m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 4 | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 9 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 4 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SE 13 | E 9 | SSW 19 | SSW 16 | SE 15 | S 20 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 13 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 |
| kJ | 7 | 23 | 21 | 1 | 57 | 97 | 7 | 85 | 74 | 344 | 9 | 7 | 85 | 71 | 41 | 102 | 516 | 1138 | 2023 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 8 | ESE 12 | SSW 19 | SE 15 | SE 10 | E 9 | — | — | — | SE 9 | E 10 | SE 13 | E 10 |
| kJ | 5 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 124 | 9 | 47 | 43 | — | — | — | 12 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SSW 15 | — | SE 13 | ESE 13 | — | — | SE 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | — | — | — | ESE 11 | SE 14 | — | — |
| kJ | 24 | 5 | 5 | 21 | — | 7 | 17 | — | — | 9 | 23 | 21 | — | — | — | 11 | 31 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | — | SSW 4 | — | — | SSW 3 | SSW 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | 5 | — | — | 3 | 1862 | 2771 | 1871 | 958 | 594 | 889 | 689 | 1374 | 871 | 742 | 1759 | 1343 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 19 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 224 | 258 | 112 | 224 | 112 | 91 | 91 | 91 | 224 | 223 | 91 | 91 | 234 | 112 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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