Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 13 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
10.7° C
1.3° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 13 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 19 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, S swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, S swell with 3,521 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 14 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Fri 14th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 7s
Best Surf12PM (Wed 19th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 6PM (Wed 19th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Righto, let’s see what’s on the table. Gotta be honest, this forecast for Lake Ferry (sandbar) is a tough one to get excited about. We’re looking at a real flat spell to kick things off, with hardly anything worth paddling out for until well into the second week.

Thursday 13th through to Saturday 15th August is basically a no-go. Tiny little 0.7ft to 1ft swells rolling in from the SSW, with weak energy (46 to 66). The winds are all over the shop, from light offshores to glassy conditions on Friday morning, but the swell is just too small to make anything of it. The water is sitting at 51°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, but enough to make you think twice.

Sunday 16th sees a massive jump in size from the same SSW direction, hitting 13ft, but the wind is howling from the south at 22 mph, making it a cross-onshore mess. The energy is strong (2823), but that’s more of a kite-surfing situation than a paddle session. That holds through Monday and Tuesday – big, messy, onshore slop.

The first real standout doesn’t come until Thursday 20th August. The wind goes glassy from the WSW, and we’ve got a 6ft groundswell from the south with a period of 12 seconds. The combined swell energy sits at 1067 (moderate). That period is long enough for decent shape, but this is a sandbar break, so long-period swells can sometimes straighten out. Still, for experienced surfers, this is the best of the bunch – clean, solid, and waiting.

Friday 21st morning is another good look. Offshore NNE wind at 6 mph, 5ft S swell with a very long 16-second period. Energy is again strong (1146). Could be some proper lines in the water, but keep in mind that long period at a sandbar can be a bit tricky. Worth a look if you’re keen and know the spot.

After that, it falls apart again. Saturday 22nd and Sunday 23rd get hammered by strong NW winds up to 25 mph – clean-looking but blown-out and the swell drops right off. The rest of the month stays small, with occasional knee-high dribble from the SSW and not enough power to hold your interest.

Forget about the second week unless you’re desperate. There’s nothing there that’ll get the heart racing. The best bet is Thursday 20th and Friday 21st mornings. That’s your window. Don’t blink.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 7°C on Sun afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, strong winds from the SSW by Sat night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 11°C on Tue night, min 6°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds.

Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
SSW
16
0.2
SSW
15
0.2
SSW
15
0.2
SSW
15
0.3
SSW
17
0.4
SSW
16
4
SSW
8
4
S
9
3.5
S
9
2.5
S
8
2.5
SSW
7
3
SSW
8
2.5
SSW
8
3
SSW
8
2.5
SSW
8
2.2
S
9
3.5
S
9
3
S
9
2.4
S
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
24
23
21
21
57
97
1862
2771
1871
958
594
889
689
1374
871
742
1759
1343
2023
Wind (km/h)
10
NNE
0
NNE
5
SSE
10
ENE
10
NE
10
SSW
40
SSW
35
S
30
S
25
S
15
SSW
20
SSW
25
SSW
30
SSW
20
SSW
20
SW
25
SSW
15
S
15
S
Wind State
off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
High Tide
5:26AM1.28m
5:57PM1.41m
6:23AM1.27m
6:53PM1.37m
7:20AM1.26m
7:49PM1.32m
8:16AM1.25m
8:43PM1.26m
9:11AM1.24m
9:36PM1.22m
10:04AM1.23m
10:28PM1.18m
Low Tide
11:26PM0.02m
11:41AM-0.02m
00:22AM0.03m
12:40PM0.00m
1:17AM0.04m
1:38PM0.03m
2:11AM0.06m
2:34PM0.07m
3:02AM0.09m
3:29PM0.11m
3:52AM0.13m
4:21PM0.16m
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:11
7:09
7:09
7:07
7:05
7:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:38
5:39
5:40
 mm
3
4
2
3
4
1
Temp °C
11
14
14
13
15
13
8
9
8
7
9
9
9
9
9
11
10
11
10
Feels °C
9
13
13
12
15
11
0
1
0
0
4
3
3
2
4
6
5
7
6
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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