
Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 5 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 12s period, SSW swell with 9,962 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 6.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 08) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 20ft (6.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a squiz at what’s coming up.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag. The water is sitting at 53°F, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing crazy there. The first few days actually have some okay fun-size waves on offer, but then things get pretty wild mid-week before calming right down. The standout for the whole period, without a doubt, is that Friday morning session on the 7th of August—clean, offshore, and a proper long-period groundswell that’ll make the sandbar at Lake Ferry (Lake-Ferry) really sing. The swell energy is substantial at 1119, so there’s plenty of push. Expect 4 feet of S swell with a 17-second period, which is a very long interval. This kind of swell can break a bit straight at a beach setup, but at a sandbar, it could be absolutely cranking. Wind is a gentle offshore from the north at 9 mph, so it’ll be clean—pure glass. This one’s for the experienced crew only; the period and power will demand respect.
Leading up to that, we’ve got a nice little run-in. Sunday afternoon, the 2nd of August, sees 5 feet of S swell at 10 seconds, with a light NW cross-off breeze. It’s not huge, but it’s clean and the energy is moderate at 660. Monday the 3rd has a similar vibe, with a smaller 3 feet of SSW swell in the morning but a longer 13-second period, and the afternoon picks up to 4 feet at 12 seconds. Both sessions have that light cross-off wind, so it’s all very surfable.
Then, hold onto your boardies—Tuesday the 4th of August we get slammed. A massive 20 feet of SSW swell rolls in with a 22 mph onshore wind. The energy reading is 9981, which is immense. This is not for paddle surfing; the wind is blowing straight on, the swell is way too big, and it’s just a mess. Wednesday the 5th is still huge, with 12 feet and 10 feet of S swell, but the wind eases a bit. Even so, it’s still too big for this break and the conditions are poor. Thursday the 6th drops back to a more manageable 6 feet, but the wind is cross-on and the energy is moderate at 828, making it a bit of a washout.
After that Friday 7th standout, we get a few more decent ones. Saturday the 8th has clean 5 feet and 4 feet with NW cross-off winds, but the energy is dropping and the scores are marginal. The real hidden gem after the 7th is Sunday the 9th of August. The morning is glassy, dead calm, with 5 feet of S swell at a 15-second period. The energy is 1214, so it’s got grunt, and with zero wind, it’s a dream. This is another one for experienced surfers, clean and powerful.
From there, it’s a slow decline. The 10th and 11th have small, clean waves, but nothing to write home about. By the 12th, we’re down to 2 feet or less. The second week is pretty much a flat spell, with a few tiny, unremarkable bumps. The wind does go glassy on the morning of the 13th, but with only 1 feet of a 16-second SSW swell, you’d be better off taking the dog for a walk. The 14th through 17th are all poor, with small, choppy, or onshore wind. There’s a multi-day gap in decent surf from the 10th onwards.
So, in summary: the best bets are the Friday morning the 7th—that’s the one to circle—and the Sunday morning the 9th as a close second. Everything else is either too big, too small, or blown out.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun afternoon, strong winds from the SSW by Tue night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 4°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 17 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
400 | 300 | 269 | 519 | 1966 | 9962 | 8807 | 7183 | 3901 | 2482 | 1151 | 714 | 504 | 327 | 783 | 1024 | 746 | 526 | 396 | 296 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:44PM1.18m | 8:06AM1.09m | 8:30PM1.18m | 8:54AM1.12m | 9:18PM1.18m | 9:43AM1.16m | 10:07PM1.18m | 10:34AM1.22m | 10:58PM1.19m | 11:26AM1.27m | 11:51PM1.21m | 12:20PM1.33m | 00:45AM1.23m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:07AM0.21m | 2:19PM0.20m | 2:51AM0.19m | 3:08PM0.19m | 3:36AM0.18m | 3:59PM0.17m | 4:23AM0.15m | 4:51PM0.15m | 5:11AM0.13m | 5:45PM0.12m | 6:01AM0.10m | 6:40PM0.10m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | |
5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 5 | -4 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | ESE 14 | — | — | E 19 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 17 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 |
400 | 300 | 269 | 519 | 1966 | 19 | — | — | 7 | 2482 | 1151 | 714 | 504 | 327 | 783 | 1024 | 746 | 526 | 396 | 296 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSW 9 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | SE 18 | SSE 16 | SE 15 | SSE 14 | SSE 12 | SSW 10 | S 10 | ESE 12 | — | NW 4 | S 19 |
140 | 234 | 98 | 72 | 31 | — | — | — | — | 12 | 26 | 36 | 20 | 215 | 160 | 219 | 14 | — | 2 | 29 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | S 22 | SSE 11 | SSW 19 | NW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 15 | S 13 | SSE 11 | SE 12 | E 18 | E 14 | NW 8 | NW 8 |
120 | 10 | 133 | 68 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 93 | 78 | 8 | 89 | 176 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 3 | S 6 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 4 | NW 5 | NW 4 | — | ENE 3 |
7 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 151 | 9962 | 8807 | 7183 | 3901 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 24 | 71 | 12 | — | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 224 | 263 | 224 | 112 | 153 | 34 | 25 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 9 | 27 | 27 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











