Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 24 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 24 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SSW swell with 2,897 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 17s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 23) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what we've got cookin' for Lake Ferry.
Honestly, it’s a bit of a rough start. We’re looking at a solid week of pretty average conditions before we get a real taste of something special. Gotta be patient.
The first few days are a write-off. Strong breezes and cross-off winds are making a mess of the small, weak swell. The water temp is sitting at 51°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a thick wetsuit when it finally comes together.
The real standouts are a couple of windows, but the first one is a big one. On Monday the 24th, it’s going to be big. We’re expecting a solid 10ft SSW swell with a 13-second period. The morning wind is a light northerly, which will be clean. This is powerful, heavy stuff, well over 8ft, so this is for experienced surfers only. It might be too big for the break, so pick your moments. The afternoon drops to 8ft with a 14-second period, but the wind picks up a bit. This is the biggest wave day of the period.
Later, on Thursday the 27th, an excellent window opens up. Morning light winds from the NW with a 6ft SSW swell. The period is a long 15 seconds. This one’s for the crew who know what they’re doing. It'll be clean and powerful.
Then, after a patch of windy, messy days, we get a real gem. On Thursday, September 3rd, the stars align. A 6ft SSW groundswell rolls in with a 12-second period, and the wind shifts offshore from the NNE. This is the best call of the whole outlook. The waves will be clean, lined up, and are packing a punch. For a spot like Lake Ferry, this is the session to circle on the calendar.
So, in short: the first week is a grind. The two true standouts are the dangerously big swell on August 24th for experts only, and the clean, offshore dream session on September 3rd.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 7°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sat night, light winds from the NNE by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Tue morning, calm by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | WNW 6 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 202 | 188 | 100 | 31 | 16 | 119 | 2767 | 2409 | 901 | 422 | 337 | 443 | 371 | 356 | 1596 | 1330 | 692 | 519 | 608 | 497 | 327 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:27PM1.21m | 00:48AM1.10m | 1:11PM1.20m | 1:31AM1.09m | 1:55PM1.20m | 2:14AM1.09m | 2:39PM1.20m | 2:57AM1.08m | 3:23PM1.20m | 3:41AM1.08m | 4:07PM1.20m | 4:26AM1.09m | 4:53PM1.20m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:44PM0.24m | 6:53AM0.24m | 7:28PM0.25m | 7:35AM0.24m | 8:12PM0.26m | 8:18AM0.23m | 8:56PM0.26m | 9:02AM0.22m | 9:41PM0.25m | 9:47AM0.21m | 10:27PM0.23m | 10:35AM0.19m | 11:13PM0.22m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | | | | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | |
 | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 7 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 12 |
| kJ | 202 | 188 | 100 | 31 | 16 | 102 | 2767 | 2409 | 901 | 422 | 337 | 443 | 371 | 356 | 1596 | 1330 | 692 | 519 | 608 | 497 | 327 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 15 | E 13 | E 13 | S 15 | SW 15 | ESE 13 | ESE 14 | SE 14 | SSW 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | W 5 | SSW 17 | SE 13 | SE 13 | S 17 | SSW 16 | E 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 |
| kJ | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 37 | 8 | 92 | 8 | 8 | 32 | 101 | 7 | 7 | 270 | 432 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 16 | — | — | SW 16 | E 13 | E 13 | — | — | — | SE 14 | — | ESE 14 | SE 14 | WNW 6 | — | ESE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | — | — | ESE 14 |
| kJ | 5 | — | — | 10 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | 8 | — | 19 | 8 | 4 | — | 16 | 7 | 5 | — | — | 19 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 6 | WNW 6 | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 4 | — | SE 4 | E 4 | — | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 |
| kJ | 511 | 307 | 374 | 700 | 214 | 119 | — | 15 | 36 | 163 | 84 | 12 | — | 4 | 15 | — | 113 | 163 | 199 | 249 | 110 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 82 | 91 | 140 | 160 | 130 | 130 | 9 | 27 | 82 | 94 | 94 | 9 | 25 | 27 | 14 | 9 | 27 | 82 | 82 | 82 | 30 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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