Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s break down the surf ahead.

Water temp is sitting around 55°F, and that’s pretty standard for this time of year. No weird anomalies.

First thing’s first – the start of the period is a bit of a bust. Sunday the 13th is messy, wind not helping, surf looks poor. The first window that’s worth paddling out for is Monday morning the 14th. You’ve got a chest-to-head-high (about 6ft) SSW groundswell, period at 12 seconds, and the wind is glassy out of the north. That’s as clean as it gets. The combined energy sits at 1064 (moderate to strong), so there’s proper grunt behind it. This is your standout for the first week: clean lines at Lake Ferry. Crowds are a “sometimes” thing, so be ready to share.

Tuesday the 15th is smaller and cleaner but fading. Wednesday the 16th through Friday the 18th is tiny and mostly not worth the drive – a solid gap of four days with no real options.

Now, mark your calendar for Saturday the 19th. The surf forecast shows a 10ft S swell in the morning, but it’s short period at just 7 seconds. The combined energy is 895 (moderate), but the guidance says it’s likely too big for this sandbar break. Glassy wind won’t save it from closing out. The afternoon is better with 8ft and an 8-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 1393. Still, that short period on a beach setup means it’s gonna be a washing machine. Only for experts, and honestly, it’s looking more like a kite session than a surf.

Your next real chance is Sunday morning the 20th. Swell drops to about 4ft but the period stretches to 14 seconds – proper groundswell. Glassy wind from the east-southeast. Combined energy is 697 (moderate). This will be clean, with more shape. That’s your second standout, but we’re a week out, so don’t hold your breath.

After that, it’s downhill. Monday the 21st is waist-high and clean in the morning before the wind shifts. Tuesday the 22nd is blown out with strong south winds. Wednesday the 23rd has a big 6ft SSW swell with a 17-second period and a combined energy of 1822 (strong), but the wind is cross-on or cross – so plenty of power but not clean. Thursday the 24th morning looks good on paper: 4ft, 16-second period, glassy east wind, combined energy 765. But we’re talking almost two weeks out, so keep expectations low. The rest of the run fades into small, onshore slop.

So, if you’ve got one day to make it happen, go Monday the 14th. Clean, solid groundswell. Second choice is Sunday the 20th. After that, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty

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