
Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, SSW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 9s period, SSW swell with 2,578 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 28 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 12s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 4.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 7s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here. Look, I'm gonna be straight with you – this stretch at Lake Ferry is a real mixed bag, and you've gotta be patient. The first few days are pretty ordinary, but there are a couple of serious windows for the crew who know what they're doing.
The early part of the week is a write-off for any decent waves. Tuesday morning the 28th kicks off with a tiny 3ft SE swell, but it's clean with a light offshore wind. The energy is weak (306), so you'll be scratching for scraps. It's surfable but not worth getting excited about.
Things turn ugly from Wednesday morning the 29th right through the end of July. The wind swings around and gets nasty – we're talking 12 to 22 mph cross-off and onshore winds, and the swell drops to nothing. Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st are just plain ugly with rain and strong wind. Better to stay home and wax your board.
Then Saturday the 1st of August rolls in and it gets properly big, but it's a mess. A 8ft to 13ft SSW swell hits, but the onshore wind is howling at 22 mph. The energy is massive (586 to 2384), but it's all blown out. Sunday the 2nd is the same story – 10ft S swell with 22 mph onshore wind. This is kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.
Now, here's where it gets interesting. Monday the 3rd of August is a real standout. The wind drops to glassy, a 4.6ft SSE groundswell with a 11-second period rolls in, and the energy is solid at 872. The water temp is about average for this time of year. This is your best window for the early part of the forecast – clean, head-high waves for experienced surfers. The morning will be magic.
Tuesday the 4th is a write-off again with onshore wind, but keep an eye on the 7th of August. That Friday morning is a beauty. A 7.2ft S swell with 12-second period, glassy conditions, and the energy is pumping at 1265. This is for experts only – it's big, powerful, and clean. The break is a sandbar, so it'll be hollow.
Then Sunday the 9th of August is another cracker. A 6.2ft S groundswell with a 14-second period, clean offshore wind from the NNE, and energy at 1365. The swell will be a bit long in period, so it might race a bit at the sandbar, but it'll be well-shaped and worth the paddle out.
After that, it fades away. The 10th and 11th are messy with cross-off wind and tiny swell, and the 12th of August is flat with a 0.7ft SSW swell.
So, the best of the lot is Monday the 3rd of August morning – glassy, clean, and solid. The Friday the 7th of August morning is also a standout for the big-wave hunters. Get out there and enjoy it.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 4°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu night, min 6°C on Sat night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SE 16 | SSW 7 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
142 | 223 | 206 | 98 | 95 | 86 | 116 | 115 | 102 | 66 | 28 | 43 | 38 | 499 | 2270 | 1382 | 1996 | 1782 | 1017 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | off | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:33AM1.09m | 3:58PM1.22m | 4:17AM1.08m | 4:43PM1.22m | 5:02AM1.08m | 5:28PM1.21m | 5:47AM1.07m | 6:13PM1.20m | 6:33AM1.07m | 6:59PM1.19m | 7:19AM1.08m | 7:44PM1.18m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:34PM0.26m | 9:39AM0.23m | 10:20PM0.26m | 10:24AM0.22m | 11:06PM0.25m | 11:10AM0.21m | 11:52PM0.24m | 11:57AM0.21m | 00:38AM0.23m | 12:44PM0.20m | 1:23AM0.22m | 1:31PM0.20m | 2:07AM0.21m | ||||||
— | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 8 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
Temp °C | 6 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Feels °C | 4 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SSW 12 | SE 13 | S 19 | S 10 |
142 | 223 | 206 | 98 | 95 | 86 | 116 | 115 | 102 | 66 | 28 | 43 | 22 | 85 | 83 | 624 | 109 | 7 | 1017 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 16 | SE 16 | NW 7 | E 10 | SE 14 | E 11 | S 19 | S 23 |
99 | 83 | 85 | 39 | 20 | 80 | 56 | 47 | 26 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 38 | 2 | 18 | 72 | 2 | 7 | 10 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 7 | — | — | SE 8 | SW 16 | SSW 9 | SSW 17 | S 18 | — | SE 12 | SSW 14 | E 11 | SW 14 | E 11 | E 13 | NE 16 | NE 16 | S 19 | E 15 |
18 | — | — | 23 | 10 | 8 | 97 | 6 | — | 6 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | SSW 7 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | S 11 | S 10 | — |
— | — | — | — | 11 | 74 | 145 | 185 | 150 | 133 | 277 | 231 | 278 | 499 | 2270 | 1382 | 1996 | 1782 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 31 | 82 | 34 | 34 | 91 | 130 | 91 | 140 | 140 | 27 | 112 | 183 | 130 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










