Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 1 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 13s period, SSW swell with 5,580 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 13s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 4.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 7s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin'.
We're talking about Lake Ferry, a sandbar set-up that needs a solid south swell to get going. And to be honest, the next week or so looks pretty grim. For the next several days, it's a whole lot of nothing to write home about. The water temp is sitting at 53°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year.
From Thursday the 27th of August right through until the end of the month, it's a write-off. We've got swell, but it's mixed with messy cross-offshore winds and nowhere near enough size or quality. Thursday the 27th has a 7ft S swell, period at 16 seconds, which is a nice long groundswell, but the combined energy is significant (2247). The problem is the wind and tide are just not playing ball, and the call is "marginal." Don't bother. Friday and Saturday are even smaller and windier, with that NNW wind howling up to 19 mph. Sunday's the same story – just a sad 3ft to 3ft of weak, short-period slop. We're looking at a solid gap of about four days with no real surf to recommend.
Now, Monday the 31st of August looks like a beast of a day, but not for the faint of heart. We're talking a massive 12ft SSW groundswell, with a period of 12 seconds. The energy is enormous (3551). The morning has light NNW winds, which is clean, but the sheer size makes this an expert-only zone. For the average punter, this is too big, and the forecast actually says it's predicted to be too big for this break. The afternoon gets even windier, so no good there either.
Tuesday the 1st of September has some wild swings. The morning brings a 7ft SSW swell but with onshore winds, so it's sloppy. The afternoon shows another spike – an 12ft S swell with a 14-second period and very high energy (3844) – but again, that same problem: it's just too big and the wind is light but variable. Another one for the experts only.
Wednesday the 2nd is a bit more manageable with a 6ft S swell, but the NNW wind is up to 16 mph, making it a windy, choppy affair. Not worth getting excited about. Honestly, from here it trails off into nothing.
There is a glimmer of hope way out in the second week, on Friday the 11th of September. The morning shows a clean 7ft SSW swell with a 13-second period and very strong energy (1703), under light NNW winds. The report says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." That's the standout. The afternoon spikes up to 10ft, which is back into expert-only territory. So, keep your eyes peeled for that Friday morning session – it's promising, but it's a long way out, so don't bank on it just yet.
All in all, it's a lean run for Lake Ferry. The early week is a total washout, the middle has some dangerous heavy stuff, and the only real hope is a Friday session over a week and a half away. The consistent breaks aren't really showing; it looks like a normal, quiet spell for this area.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Fri night, light winds from the N by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 5°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, strong winds from the NW by Mon afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | WNW 6 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | S 14 | SSW 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
2221 | 1058 | 513 | 350 | 157 | 196 | 144 | 74 | 164 | 210 | 193 | 3546 | 2846 | 1999 | 1240 | 3844 | 2391 | 894 | 533 | 418 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:26AM1.09m | 4:53PM1.20m | 5:12AM1.10m | 5:39PM1.20m | 6:00AM1.11m | 6:26PM1.19m | 6:49AM1.14m | 7:15PM1.19m | 7:39AM1.18m | 8:05PM1.19m | 8:31AM1.22m | 8:57PM1.20m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:27PM0.23m | 10:35AM0.19m | 11:13PM0.22m | 11:23AM0.18m | 00:00AM0.20m | 12:14PM0.17m | 00:47AM0.19m | 1:05PM0.16m | 1:35AM0.17m | 1:58PM0.15m | 2:23AM0.16m | 2:51PM0.14m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 7 | SE 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | S 14 | SSW 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 |
2221 | 1058 | 513 | 350 | 157 | 196 | 144 | 74 | 164 | 210 | 38 | 5 | 2846 | 1999 | 1240 | 3844 | 2391 | 894 | 533 | 418 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | E 16 | — | SE 15 | SSW 12 | S 16 | SSW 14 | SW 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | SSW 14 | — | ENE 10 | — | WNW 5 | — | — | SW 18 | S 15 | SE 13 |
13 | 5 | — | 8 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 173 | — | 9 | — | 27 | — | — | 12 | 41 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | E 16 | SE 11 | SE 15 | ENE 8 | SE 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 10 | — |
13 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 6 | 5 | 159 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | NNE 3 | NNW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NNW 4 | NW 3 | NW 4 | WNW 6 | SSW 12 | — | NW 6 | NW 6 | — | — | NW 4 | NW 6 | NW 6 |
36 | 4 | 90 | 184 | 307 | 124 | 55 | 8 | 4 | 36 | 193 | 3546 | — | 412 | 69 | — | — | 38 | 319 | 206 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 9 | 30 | 34 | 91 | 27 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 84 | 43 | 9 | 94 | 273 | 259 | 42 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 140 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











