
Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, S swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, S swell with 8,373 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 7s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the table for Lake Ferry. It's a bit of a wait, but there are some real gems hiding in this forecast if you're patient and know what you're looking for.
First up, the water temp is sitting at 51°, which is a touch colder than we'd expect for this time of year, so suit up properly.
The 16-day outlook kicks off with a long stretch of nothing worth paddling out for. We're looking at a solid week of very ordinary conditions from Wednesday the 12th right through until the 19th. The swell is tiny, the wind is messy, or it's just too big and sloppy. The only flicker of hope is on Saturday the 15th morning, when a long-period 17-second SSW groundswell rolls in at 1ft. The combined wave energy is moderate (125), and it's dead glassy. It's surfable, but barely. After that, Sunday the 16th through Wednesday the 19th sees really big, chunky swell (10ft to 13ft) with onshore wind, which is too much for this spot and just plain ugly.
Now, here's where it gets interesting. The first real standout is Thursday the 20th of August. Morning brings a solid 7ft south swell with a 12-second period, delivering a strong 1355 combined energy. The wind is dead calm, glassy as a mirror. The report says it's excellent for experienced surfers, and I agree. That's a powerful, clean swell for a sandbar break. The afternoon stays glassy and drops to 7ft, which is still a fantastic wave. This is your best bet for the whole outlook, no question.
The next one to circle is Sunday the 23rd of August. We've got a nice 4ft SSW groundswell (12-second period, 663 combined energy) with a gentle offshore breeze from the NE. That's clean, lined-up surf, a proper session. It's a solid, fun day.
A quick note on the Saturday the 22nd – the swell is there but the wind is cross-shore, making it choppy. Not worth it.
So, the plan is clear: wait out the first week of dross, then hit Thursday the 20th for the best, most powerful, glassy swell, and if you miss that, Sunday the 23rd is your second chance for clean, fun waves.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat morning, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the S by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SE 8 | SSE 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 15 | S 14 | SSW 13 | S 9 | S 11 | S 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
49 | 33 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 119 | 142 | 1096 | 1451 | 1220 | 551 | 314 | 813 | 238 | 1386 | 1763 | 6744 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | glassy | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:05PM1.45m | 4:29AM1.28m | 5:01PM1.44m | 5:26AM1.28m | 5:57PM1.41m | 6:23AM1.27m | 6:53PM1.37m | 7:20AM1.26m | 7:49PM1.32m | 8:16AM1.25m | 8:43PM1.26m | 9:11AM1.24m | 9:36PM1.22m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:44AM-0.02m | 10:28PM0.03m | 10:42AM-0.03m | 11:26PM0.02m | 11:41AM-0.02m | 00:22AM0.03m | 12:40PM0.00m | 1:17AM0.04m | 1:38PM0.03m | 2:11AM0.06m | 2:34PM0.07m | 3:02AM0.09m | 3:29PM0.11m | ||||||||
7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | |
— | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 8 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | SE 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SW 4 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SE 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | S 8 | S 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 11 | S 14 |
49 | 24 | 29 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 119 | 142 | 7 | 131 | 120 | 125 | 234 | 813 | 238 | 66 | 1763 | 6744 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SSE 10 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 13 | E 8 | E 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 12 | SE 11 |
21 | 33 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 60 | 314 | 15 | 48 | 27 | 35 | 20 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | S 15 | S 19 | SW 18 | S 8 | SSW 16 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSW 15 | SSW 4 | SE 13 | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 15 | — | — | SSW 17 | — |
9 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 7 | — | 7 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 8 | — | — | 29 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 3 | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | — | SSW 4 | — | — | SSW 4 | SSW 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | — | — | SSW 8 | S 9 | — | — |
3 | — | — | 5 | 5 | 1 | — | 5 | — | — | 28 | 1096 | 1451 | 1220 | 551 | — | — | 232 | 1386 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 10 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 9 | 106 | 183 | 112 | 224 | 64 | 27 | 27 | 23 | 27 | 130 | 27 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Latest Updates
Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











