Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 20 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 24 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 13s period, SSW swell with 1,467 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 2.1m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 27) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Thu 20th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Fri 21st Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, it's Rusty here, and I've got a good look at what's coming up for us at Lake Ferry. We're in for a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks, so let's get into it.
The water temperature at Lake Ferry is sitting at 52°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you'll want a good thick wetsuit.
We start off with a solid run of surf. Thursday morning, the 20th of August, is looking glassy with a 6 ft south swell, period around 12 seconds, and the combined energy of all swells is moderate at 825. It's a very good session to kick things off. That glassy, light wind from the SSW is a big plus. Thursday afternoon stays similar, just a touch smaller.
Friday the 21st is a standout. The morning offers clean 5 ft south swell, but with a very long period of 15 seconds and the combined energy jumping to a strong 1239. That's a groundswell and it's going to produce some serious push. The wind is offshore from the NE, making for clean conditions. For experienced surfers, this is excellent. The afternoon stays clean with a cross-off wind, though the swell period drops a bit.
The weekend takes a turn for the worse. From Saturday the 22nd through Sunday the 23rd, strong winds from the NW and NNW kill the quality. The swell drops right off, and the energy is weak. You can forget about it for those days.
Monday the 24th is the real highlight of the first week. The morning is clean with a 6 ft swell from the SSW, a long 14-second period, and the combined energy is strong at 1267. The wind is offshore from the NNE, so it's going to be a beautiful session. This is excellent for experienced surfers, and it's the best on offer for the first week. The afternoon is still good, but the wind picks up a bit, making it more marginal.
The rest of the week from Tuesday the 25th through to Thursday the 27th is a write-off. Strong cross-off winds and dropping swell energy mean poor conditions.
Friday the 28th brings a brief window of hope. The morning is glassy with no wind, and a small 3 ft south swell. It's surfable, but ordinary. The wind picks up again in the afternoon.
The next weekend has some promise. Saturday the 29th afternoon is glassy with a 3 ft south swell, and the combined energy is moderate at 236. It's a good option for a session. Then Sunday the 30th is a gem. The morning is clean with a 5 ft SSW swell, an offshore NNE wind, and the energy is strong at 733. The afternoon is glassy. This is very good surf.
Now, looking ahead to the following week, we have a real standout on Monday the 31st of August. The morning is clean, with a 8 ft south swell, a very long period of 16 seconds, and the combined energy is extremely strong at 3549. The wind is offshore from the NNE. This is excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon is equally good, glassy with the same size swell. This is a serious session, but that big, long period swell will be best at the point.
Tuesday the 1st of September continues with 8 ft south swell, but the wind is more cross-off in the afternoon, so the morning is the pick. The energy remains strong.
Wednesday the 2nd of September has a 10 ft south swell in the morning, but it's predicted to be too big for this break. The combined energy is a massive 3037, but it's a warning: this is expert-only territory, if it's even rideable. The afternoon is still big at 8 ft.
The rest of that week, from Thursday the 3rd through to Friday the 4th of September, sees the swell easing back, with cross-off winds and marginal conditions. The energy drops to moderate.
So, overall, the best of the best is the Monday the 24th of August morning, and the Monday the 31st of August morning. Both offer clean, offshore conditions, strong swell energy, and excellent surf. The Monday the 31st has bigger, more powerful waves, so it's a real standout.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, strong winds from the NW by Sat morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 7°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sun morning, light winds from the NNE by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 9 | S 12 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
814 | 404 | 773 | 1232 | 764 | 397 | 202 | 188 | 74 | 30 | 15 | 153 | 1259 | 1275 | 656 | 488 | 242 | 280 | 156 | 143 | 133 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:54AM1.22m | 11:17PM1.14m | 11:42AM1.21m | 00:03AM1.12m | 12:27PM1.21m | 00:48AM1.10m | 1:11PM1.20m | 1:31AM1.09m | 1:55PM1.20m | 2:14AM1.09m | 2:39PM1.20m | 2:57AM1.08m | 3:23PM1.20m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:11PM0.19m | 5:26AM0.20m | 5:59PM0.22m | 6:10AM0.22m | 6:44PM0.24m | 6:53AM0.24m | 7:28PM0.25m | 7:35AM0.24m | 8:12PM0.26m | 8:18AM0.23m | 8:56PM0.26m | 9:02AM0.22m | 9:41PM0.25m | ||||||||
7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | |
— | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 9 | S 12 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
814 | 404 | 773 | 1232 | 764 | 397 | 202 | 188 | 74 | 30 | 15 | 153 | 1259 | 1275 | 656 | 488 | 242 | 280 | 156 | 143 | 133 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SSW 17 | S 16 | SE 12 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 12 | E 14 | E 13 | S 16 | E 14 | SW 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SSW 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 |
5 | 101 | 267 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 5 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 123 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | SE 13 | SE 12 | E 8 | — | E 4 | E 14 | E 12 | — | E 13 | S 14 | E 14 | — | — | — | ESE 14 | SE 14 | — | — | — | ESE 13 |
6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 3 | — | 3 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | 40 | 8 | — | — | — | 17 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | — | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 6 |
— | — | — | — | 2 | 106 | 427 | 266 | 424 | 190 | 117 | 20 | — | 17 | 21 | 138 | 231 | 292 | 126 | 80 | 192 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 91 | 91 | 140 | 130 | 34 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 91 | 91 | 82 | 27 | 31 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











