Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 24 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 24 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period, SSW swell with 2,304 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 2.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 23) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Lake Ferry.
To be honest, the next week and a half is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a pulse of solid energy arriving, but it’s bookended by some strong winds that’ll mess things up. The water’s sitting at 10°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a good hood and gloves.
It kicks off this Friday afternoon, the 21st of August. The wind is a light N at 6 mph, keeping it clean, and we’ve got a 5 ft S swell with a period of 13 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 776, and it’s looking very good. Saturday and Sunday are a write-off though—strong NW winds up to 25 mph will absolutely trash the surface, and the swell drops right off. Not worth paddling out.
The real standout is Monday morning, the 24th of August. This is the one to circle. The swell jumps to 8 ft out of the SSW with a 12-second period, and the combined energy is a whopping 2110—that’s some serious power. Wind is a light NNW at 6 mph, so it’ll be clean. This is excellent surf, but it’s only for experienced surfers; that size at a sandbar with that much energy will pack a punch. The afternoon stays good at 7 ft, but the wind picks up a little.
Tuesday the 25th is still a solid option, with 4 ft to 4 ft SSW swell, but the period on the afternoon session stretches to 14 seconds, giving it more shape. The energy is moderate but the wind is light, so it’ll be fun and clean. Wednesday the 26th drops off a bit and the wind freshens, so it’s more marginal.
The next standout window is a bit further out, but keep an eye on Wednesday the 2nd of September. The afternoon session looks promising—light NW wind at just 3 mph, and a 5 ft SSW swell with 10-second period. The energy is moderate, but the conditions should be clean and fun.
Then Thursday the 3rd of September morning is a warning sign. The swell is going to be 10 ft with 12-second period and 2344 combined energy. That’s way too big for this spot, and with strong NW winds, it’s for experts only if you’re brave enough. The rest of that week is a mix of wind and drop-off, nothing special.
So, if you’re picking a session, Monday the 24th of August is the clear winner. Get out there early.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 7°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the NW on Sat night, light winds from the NNE by Sun night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Tue morning, calm by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 7 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 397 | 247 | 188 | 100 | 31 | 16 | 105 | 2179 | 1857 | 793 | 356 | 529 | 366 | 472 | 1568 | 1461 | 1092 | 876 | 569 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | glassy | off | cross | glassy | off |
High Tide | 00:03AM1.12m | 12:27PM1.21m | 00:48AM1.10m | 1:11PM1.20m | 1:31AM1.09m | 1:55PM1.20m | 2:14AM1.09m | 2:39PM1.20m | 2:57AM1.08m | 3:23PM1.20m | 3:41AM1.08m | 4:07PM1.20m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:10AM0.22m | 6:44PM0.24m | 6:53AM0.24m | 7:28PM0.25m | 7:35AM0.24m | 8:12PM0.26m | 8:18AM0.23m | 8:56PM0.26m | 9:02AM0.22m | 9:41PM0.25m | 9:47AM0.21m | 10:27PM0.23m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | |  |  | | |
 | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 7 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 397 | 247 | 188 | 100 | 31 | 16 | 105 | 2179 | 1857 | 793 | 356 | 529 | 366 | 472 | 1568 | 1461 | 1092 | 876 | 569 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | E 13 | E 15 | E 13 | S 16 | E 13 | SW 15 | ESE 13 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SSW 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | WNW 6 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 18 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 8 | 8 | 133 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 427 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | E 16 | E 12 | — | E 13 | S 15 | E 14 | — | — | — | SE 14 | — | — | SE 14 | — | — | — | ESE 12 | ENE 5 |
| kJ | 5 | 5 | 3 | — | 3 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | 15 | 9 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 6 | WNW 6 | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 6 | WNW 5 | NW 6 | SSE 4 | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 |
| kJ | 133 | 420 | 266 | 307 | 799 | 207 | 134 | — | 10 | 45 | 310 | 106 | 182 | 13 | — | — | — | — | 21 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 27 | 82 | 91 | 140 | 150 | 94 | 34 | 9 | 27 | 82 | 84 | 82 | 91 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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