Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Issued: 5 am 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
10.8° C

1.7°C colder than average for this time of year

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SSE swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 10s period, S swell with 4,346 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 5.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 9s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Tue 7th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Best Surf 6PM (Tue 7th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful 9AM (Thu 9th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, folks, Rusty here with the lowdown on Lake Ferry.

The start of this forecast is a total washout. For days we’re looking at poor surf with onshore winds and choppy, lumpy conditions. The water’s at 51°, which is a bit cooler than usual. There’s a window of real hope at the very end, but the middle section goes flat. It’s a tale of two weeks.

The big moment is Sunday, July 19th. We’re talking a massive 18ft to 20ft swell out of the south with glassy conditions and light easterly breezes. The combined energy pouring in is enormous – hitting 9971 in the morning. But this is no joke. Anything over 8ft is expert territory, and this is way over. The period is long (11-12 seconds), meaning powerful groundswell, but on a sandbar setup like Lake Ferry, it’ll be heavy and might close out. The wind is glass though, so if you’re a pro with a death wish, it could be all-time.

After that monster, things get more sensible. Monday, July 20th is the pick for experienced surfers who want power without the danger. You’ve got a 5ft swell from the south-east and south, a period of 10-11 seconds for good shape, and the combined wave energy is strong at 1288. Best part? Glassy conditions again with almost no wind. Clean, punchy, and very surfable for the skilled crew.

Before that, there’s a long quiet stretch. After the early mess, we get Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th with the swell dropping to under 3ft. It’s glassy and clean, with light offshore winds on Sunday, but the energy is weak (210-356). You could grab a few fun ones on a longboard, but it’s nothing special. Then the swell dies completely by mid-week, with energy dropping to 29-49. That’s a few days of near nothing.

Bottom line: the first week is mostly blown out. The second week brings a huge, dangerous swell followed by a solid, clean day for the experienced. Don’t plan around the early days.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 69mm), heaviest during Wed morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Tue night, strong winds from the S by Wed night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 42mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 11°C on Thu morning, min 7°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Thu morning, calm by Sat night).

Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
3
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SSW
7
2.5
SSW
7
1.7
SSW
10
1.6
SSW
10
2.4
SSE
9
1.8
SSE
8
1.6
S
7
2.3
S
8
4
S
9
5
S
10
4
S
9
3
S
8
3
S
8
2.5
SSW
7
2.4
SSW
7
1.6
S
6
0.7
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
665
764
573
426
921
448
269
585
2384
4346
2371
1267
882
758
563
202
213
366
301
313
236
Wind (km/h)
30
S
25
S
10
ESE
20
ESE
20
SE
10
SE
20
S
30
SSE
40
S
40
S
35
SSE
30
SSE
20
S
20
S
20
SSW
20
S
15
S
5
SSE
0
S
5
SSE
10
NNE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
off
High Tide
9:22AM1.06m
9:43PM1.17m
10:07AM1.09m
10:28PM1.17m
10:55AM1.14m
11:17PM1.18m
11:45AM1.20m
00:08AM1.20m
12:37PM1.27m
1:02AM1.22m
1:32PM1.34m
1:57AM1.25m
2:28PM1.41m
2:54AM1.27m
Low Tide
3:30PM0.22m
4:04AM0.20m
4:17PM0.21m
4:47AM0.18m
5:06PM0.18m
5:32AM0.15m
5:58PM0.15m
6:20AM0.12m
6:53PM0.12m
7:12AM0.08m
7:51PM0.09m
8:06AM0.05m
8:50PM0.05m
light rain
light rain
light rain
mod rain
mod rain
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
rain showers
light rain
cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:45
7:45
7:45
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:02
5:04
5:04
5:05
5:06
5:06
 mm
3
3
5
7
10
2
14
12
13
25
9
3
3
1
1
Temp °C
11
12
12
13
12
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
8
7
8
9
8
8
10
10
7
Feels °C
5
10
10
10
9
9
7
6
4
3
3
3
2
2
3
4
4
5
8
8
4
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
SSW
19
0.4
SSW
18
1.7
SSW
10
1.6
SSW
10
0.4
SSW
15
0.5
SSW
14
0.5
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
10
0.3
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
15
0.6
ESE
10
0.6
ESE
10
0.7
ESE
10
0.8
ESE
11
0.7
SE
10
0.7
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
13
Energy kJ
37
109
573
426
87
111
55
58
53
84
86
83
88
146
98
213
366
301
313
236
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
10
0.4
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
16
0.1
NW
9
0.5
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
13
0.3
SSW
17
0.3
SSW
18
1
SSW
13
0.9
SSW
11
0.4
SSW
10
0.7
ESE
9
0.4
SE
8
0.6
S
6
0.4
SE
8
0.5
SE
10
Energy kJ
2
2
102
95
3
95
62
55
62
342
190
32
78
25
24
18
45
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
NW
8
0.4
SW
11
0.2
ESE
10
0.1
NW
9
0.1
S
20
0.4
SSW
18
0.4
SSW
14
0.3
SSW
18
0.4
ESE
10
0.4
ESE
9
0.3
ESE
10
Energy kJ
3
29
10
3
7
127
78
64
32
31
21
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SSW
7
2.5
SSW
7
1.8
E
9
1.1
SE
8
2.4
SSE
9
1.8
SSE
8
1.6
S
7
2.3
S
8
4
S
9
5
S
10
4
S
9
3
S
8
3
S
8
2.5
SSW
7
2.4
SSW
7
1.6
S
6
1.2
S
6
1
S
6
Energy kJ
665
764
563
125
921
448
269
585
2384
4346
2371
1267
882
758
563
202
106
59
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
3
1
1
3
4
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
Distance (km)
153
251
9
42
64
18
167
106
236
235
236
223
183
183
112
112
112
9
9
9
9
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
6
4
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
4
6
5
5
4
4
4
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
4
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
5
6
5
8
5
5
8
6
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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