Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 19 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, S swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, S swell with 7,940 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 19 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 4.0m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on offer for Lake Ferry.
First off, the water temp is sitting at about 52°, which is a bit colder than what's normal for this time of year, so you'll want a decent wetsuit if you're heading out.
Right now, the outlook starts with a bang, but it's a tricky one. For Tuesday afternoon, August 18, we've got a proper 16 ft swell rolling in from the SSW with a period of 10 seconds, but the wind is on it strong at 22 mph from the SSW. The energy is huge, a massive 4557, but honestly, the conditions are poor. It's not a pretty picture for paddling.
Wednesday morning, August 19 is a bit of a beast. The swell is still a solid 15 ft from the S, with a really long period of 15 seconds and even more energy (13957). This is way too big for beginners, and even for most. The wind is a cross-on 9 mph, so it'll be choppy and challenging. Same for Wednesday afternoon; the swell drops to 10 ft, period 14 seconds, energy still high at 3768, but the wind is on it. These conditions really are only for experts, and even then, it's a lot.
Thursday morning, August 20 sees the swell dropping to 6 ft from the S, period 12 seconds. The energy is moderate at 825. Conditions are marginal, but then Thursday afternoon rolls around with a glassy 5 ft S swell. For that afternoon, with glassy conditions and a combo of swells giving a moderate energy of 512, it's about the best you'll see for a clean session that's not oversized.
Friday morning, August 21 looks promising too. A 5 ft S swell, period 13 seconds, and a nice offshore wind from the N at 6 mph. That's clean, with moderate energy at 836. Nice, clean faces. Friday afternoon is smaller, 4 ft, and the wind picks up to 16 mph, making it a bit marginal.
The weekend takes a turn for the small and choppy. Saturday is under 3 ft with strong winds, and Sunday is even smaller, with barely any energy (40 and 33) and lumpy conditions. Not worth a look.
Monday, August 24 morning brings a resurgence to 6 ft from the SSW, period 13 seconds, and solid energy at 927, but the wind is cross-off and strong at 16 mph. It's still clean but choppy from the wind. The rest of the week stays small with poor conditions, wind blowing cross-off or onshore, and energy dropping off.
There's a big gap of nothing really usable from the 22nd through to the 29th.
Saturday, August 29 morning is surfable, but very ordinary. 1 ft from the SSW, with a gentle breeze cross-off. The energy is very weak at 72. It's small.
The best true standout is the Thursday afternoon, August 20 for a glassy, clean session at 5 ft. You'll have to put up with some crowd at this spot, as it's known for being sometimes busy. But for the area, that's the pick of the early window. Then, the real prize is at the very end of the forecast: Wednesday afternoon, September 2. A 7 ft SSW swell with a long 13-second period and clean, light cross-off winds. The energy is strong at 1595. This is excellent for experienced surfers. That's the one to circle on the calendar, but it's a long way off, so don't lock it in just yet.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 7°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Tue night, calm by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Mainly strong winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 9 | S 12 | S 13 | SSW 13 | S 12 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 10 | S 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 10 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
4480 | 7393 | 7940 | 3761 | 1682 | 814 | 404 | 773 | 799 | 572 | 324 | 198 | 146 | 73 | 19 | 15 | 132 | 923 | 218 | 505 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:36PM1.22m | 10:04AM1.23m | 10:28PM1.18m | 10:54AM1.22m | 11:17PM1.14m | 11:42AM1.21m | 00:03AM1.12m | 12:27PM1.21m | 00:48AM1.10m | 1:11PM1.20m | 1:31AM1.09m | 1:55PM1.20m | 2:14AM1.09m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:52AM0.13m | 4:21PM0.16m | 4:40AM0.16m | 5:11PM0.19m | 5:26AM0.20m | 5:59PM0.22m | 6:10AM0.22m | 6:44PM0.24m | 6:53AM0.24m | 7:28PM0.25m | 7:35AM0.24m | 8:12PM0.26m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | |
5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | |
mm | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 1 | -1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | — | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 9 | S 12 | S 13 | SSW 13 | S 12 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | SSW 6 | SSW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 10 | SSW 15 |
77 | — | 7940 | 3761 | 1682 | 814 | 404 | 773 | 799 | 572 | 324 | 198 | 146 | 73 | 16 | 15 | 132 | 923 | 218 | 505 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SSW 17 | S 16 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | E 12 | E 10 | E 13 | SSW 10 | S 9 | SSW 16 | E 14 | SSW 15 | SE 15 |
— | — | — | 7 | 6 | 5 | 101 | 264 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 26 | 4 | 88 | 8 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | ESE 10 | S 18 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | — | SE 12 | — | — | SE 10 | S 16 | E 13 | E 13 | — | SE 14 | — |
— | — | — | — | 98 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | — | 5 | — | — | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | — | 7 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | S 14 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NW 4 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | NW 4 | NW 3 | NW 4 | NW 4 |
4480 | 7393 | 6017 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 46 | 195 | 511 | 374 | 275 | 195 | 42 | 28 | 6 | 34 | 12 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 224 | 224 | 112 | 91 | 47 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 82 | 91 | 91 | 150 | 130 | 31 | 140 | 82 | 34 | 82 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











