
Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 7s period, SSW swell with 531 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 2.3m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Lake Ferry. This is a sandbar set-up, exposed to the south, and it’s a fairly consistent spot. The water temp’s sittin’ about average for the time of year, so nothin’ wild there.
We’ve got a bit of a slow start. Friday, the 24th and Saturday, the 25th are a write-off – tiny, weak swell with a messy onshore wind, just poor surf conditions all round. The combined energy aint even gettin’ off the ground, with readings like 17 and 13. Saturday afternoon gets a 10ft SSW swell, but it’s a 22 mph onshore wind and a 4-second period, so it’s just a washing machine. There’s a gap of a couple of days with nothin’ worth paddlin’ out for.
Then Sunday, the 26th, we finally get a little somethin’. The morning is where it’s at: glassy conditions with a clean 4ft S swell, period at 8 seconds. The combined energy is 297, which is moderate. The wind is dead calm, so it’ll be smooth. The afternoon gets a bit of a cross-on breeze, so it’s less good. Monday morning the 27th is clean with a tiny offshore, but the swell’s only 3ft, and the afternoon is glassy but tiny. Nothin’ to get excited about.
Tuesday the 28th is a quiet standout. Morning has a clean offshore breeze and a 2ft ESE groundswell with a 13-second period, combined energy 228. That long period at a sandbar will mean longer lulls, but the waves that come through will have some shape. It’s a small day, but clean.
The next few days from Wednesday the 29th through Thursday the 30th are back to poor surf with strong cross-off winds, keepin’ the surface a mess.
Now, Friday the 31st – here’s the real standout. The morning session is the pick of the whole run. We’ve got a clean 6ft SSW swell, period 11 seconds, and a light offshore breeze. The combined energy jumps to 726, a solid moderate energy. That’s a proper, clean, surfable wave for a solid intermediate. The afternoon gets a bit onshore and bigger, but the morning is money.
Saturday the 1st of August has a massive 10ft swell, but it’s too big for this sandbar – the data says it’s predicted to be too big for this break. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s a risk. The energy is through the roof at 1662 and 3126. The wind is alright, but the size is the issue.
Sunday the 2nd of August morning is a good clean-up: 5ft S swell, 10-second period, with a gentle offshore. Combined energy 452. That’s a nice, fun, clean day. The afternoon gets a bit bumpy.
Monday the 3rd of August gets windier, and the swell is messy with a strong cross-off. Tuesday the 4th is also poor. Wednesday the 5th of August is another day of too-big swell, 12ft, not for the faint-hearted.
Then Thursday the 6th of August morning is a real gem for experienced surfers. A clean 6ft SSW groundswell with a 12-second period, combined energy 1060. The wind is a light offshore, so it’ll be clean. That’s a powerful, well-shaped wave for those who know what they’re doin’. The afternoon goes south with a cross-on.
The final days, Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th, are a mixed bag with onshore winds and big, messy swell. Not worth the paddle.
So, overall, the best bets are Friday the 31st morning for the clean 6ft, and Thursday the 6th of August morning for the bigger, cleaner 6ft for the experienced crew. Tuesday the 28th morning is a fun little clean session for the small-wave lovers.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 5°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Fri morning, calm by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 3°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the NW by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 4 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | S 7 | S 7 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 11 | SSW 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
7 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 231 | 356 | 171 | 117 | 85 | 117 | 143 | 145 | 145 | 154 | 154 | 98 | 126 | 329 | 105 | 76 | 81 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on | glassy | cross-on | on | glassy | glassy | off | off | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 1:02PM1.20m | 1:21AM1.11m | 1:47PM1.20m | 2:05AM1.10m | 2:30PM1.21m | 2:49AM1.09m | 3:14PM1.21m | 3:33AM1.09m | 3:58PM1.22m | 4:17AM1.08m | 4:43PM1.22m | 5:02AM1.08m | 5:28PM1.21m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:18PM0.24m | 7:28AM0.22m | 8:04PM0.25m | 8:11AM0.24m | 8:49PM0.26m | 8:55AM0.24m | 9:34PM0.26m | 9:39AM0.23m | 10:20PM0.26m | 10:24AM0.22m | 11:06PM0.25m | 11:10AM0.21m | 11:52PM0.24m | ||||||||
7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | |
— | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | |
mm | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 14 | NW 8 | ESE 18 | SE 16 | S 7 | S 7 | SSE 7 | SSW 11 | S 11 | SSW 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
7 | 7 | 19 | 10 | 30 | 65 | 171 | 117 | 37 | 117 | 143 | 145 | 145 | 154 | 154 | 98 | 126 | 329 | 105 | 76 | 81 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | SE 13 | SSW 14 | NW 8 | SSW 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SSW 12 | SSE 6 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 |
7 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 3 | 49 | 55 | 52 | 85 | 16 | 92 | 136 | 93 | 66 | 33 | 41 | 93 | 58 | 51 | 29 | 28 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 14 | S 9 | SW 18 | SE 13 | NW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 7 | ESE 13 | SSW 13 | — | — | NW 4 | — | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | SW 4 |
3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 42 | 9 | 54 | 78 | 18 | 34 | 33 | — | — | 4 | — | 9 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | SSW 4 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | SSE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 4 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | — |
224 | 143 | 99 | 20 | 231 | 356 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 146 | 223 | 330 | 277 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 154 | 154 | 34 | 34 | 143 | 64 | 9 | 64 | 31 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 91 | 82 | 82 | 82 | 27 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










