Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, S swell with 4,112 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s cookin’ at Lake Ferry.
The next 16 days are a real mixed bag, with plenty of time where you’ll be better off stayin’ home. There’s a big gap with no good surf on offer after the first few days, and the real action doesn’t kick off until the very end of the period. Water temp is sittin’ at 53°F, which is bang on average for this time of year.
Straight up, the best of the bunch lands on Friday the 11th of September. Afternoon at Lake Ferry is your standout. You’ve got a 8ft swell rollin’ in from the SSW, but check the period – only 7 seconds. That’s short-period wind swell, so it’ll be a bit choppy and won’t have the grunt of a groundswell. Even so, with a gentle breeze from the NW keepin’ things cross-off, the conditions will be clean. Combined swell energy is moderate at 683 – solid enough for a fun session if you’re lookin’ for a bit of punch.
Before that, though, there’s a whole lot of nothin’. After Saturday the 30th of August, the surf goes real ordinary or way too big. Monday the 31st of August morning sees a 10ft SSW swell with a clean light offshore breeze (NNE at 6 mph), but that’s just too much water for this setup – that’s expert-only territory if you’ve got the nerve and the equipment. Combined energy hits 1954, so there’s serious power in the water.
Tuesday the 1st of September is a write-off with 12ft onshore slop, and Wednesday the 2nd of September has a 10ft swell again, but with 16-second period on the afternoon – that’s a proper long-period groundswell (combined energy 4118). It’ll be clean with a cross-off breeze, but it’s way too big for most. Thursday the 3rd of September drops to 5ft, but the wind is howlin’ at 22 mph from the NW, makin’ it messy.
You get a big gap from Friday the 4th of September right through to about Friday the 11th of September morning, with only small, wind-affected or blown-out waves on offer. The morning of the 5th of September has a 4ft S swell (combined energy 369) but fresh cross-off winds will keep the surface lumpy.
Then, after that Friday the 11th of September afternoon highlight, Saturday the 12th of September morning is another doozy – 12ft SSW swell (combined energy 2614) but again, just too big. The afternoon drops to 8ft with a light NW breeze (6 mph) and clean conditions – that’s excellent for experienced surfers if you’re keen. Sunday the 13th of September morning is a nice way to finish it off: 6ft S swell with a light NNW breeze giving you clean faces.
So, the standout is the afternoon of Friday the 11th of September. It’s not perfect, but it’s your best shot at a decent wave in a period full of either flat spells or oversized closeouts. The long-range stuff on the 12th and 13th has potential if you’re a strong surfer, but keep an eye on it – forecasts can change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 6°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, strong winds from the NW by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 4°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, fresh winds from the NW by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | S 12 | SSW 12 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 10 | SSW 8 | S 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 196 | 143 | 75 | 105 | 167 | 475 | 1939 | 1735 | 1051 | 2535 | 2816 | 2555 | 2354 | 4112 | 2278 | 775 | 425 | 194 | 73 | 1139 | 742 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | on | off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 5:39PM1.20m | 6:00AM1.11m | 6:26PM1.19m | 6:49AM1.14m | 7:15PM1.19m | 7:39AM1.18m | 8:05PM1.19m | 8:31AM1.22m | 8:57PM1.20m | 9:23AM1.26m | 9:50PM1.20m | 10:17AM1.31m | 10:43PM1.21m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:23AM0.18m | 00:00AM0.20m | 12:14PM0.17m | 00:47AM0.19m | 1:05PM0.16m | 1:35AM0.17m | 1:58PM0.15m | 2:23AM0.16m | 2:51PM0.14m | 3:12AM0.14m | 3:45PM0.12m | 4:02AM0.12m | 4:38PM0.10m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  |  | | | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — |
 | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 7 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 9 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | WNW 6 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | — | — | S 12 | SSW 12 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 10 | NNW 8 | S 9 |
| kJ | 196 | 143 | 75 | 105 | 167 | 136 | 1939 | 1735 | 1051 | — | — | 2555 | 2354 | 4112 | 2278 | 775 | 425 | 194 | 73 | 40 | 742 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSW 16 | E 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | SE 12 | SE 12 | — | — | NE 10 | SSW 14 | SE 12 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 20 | 24 | 20 | 32 | 8 | 475 | 10 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | — | — | 4 | 19 | 5 | 42 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 12 | — | SE 17 |
| kJ | 7 | 41 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 11 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 6 | SSW 7 | — | NW 5 | NW 6 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | SSW 8 | NNW 8 |
| kJ | 124 | 51 | 36 | 21 | 154 | 81 | — | 129 | 461 | 2535 | 2816 | — | 29 | 34 | 178 | 269 | 144 | 189 | 437 | 1139 | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 31 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 91 | 9 | 94 | 94 | 91 | 233 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 91 | 91 | 91 | 91 | 91 | 160 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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