Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Issued: 11 pm 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
11.0° C

1.5°C colder than average for this time of year

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 10s period, S swell with 4,166 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 5.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Sat 11th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 16s
Best Surf 9PM (Sat 11th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 16s
Most Powerful12PM (Thu 9th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what we've got coming up at Lake Ferry. It’s going to be a wild ride, so hold on.

Look, the next week and a half is pretty much a write-off. It’s a long, gnarly stretch. We start off Tuesday and Wednesday with a chunky 5.2ft to 7.9ft swell, but the wind is a mess – cross-shore or straight on – and the conditions are described as marginal to poor. That 7.9ft on Wednesday afternoon is a short-period 7-second thing, just a mess. Then Thursday gets proper scary with a 14.8ft wall of water and a "strong breeze" on it, combined energy hitting over 4000. That's not surfing, that's survival. You’d be mad to paddle out, it's more of a kite surfing day if anything. We stay in the poor zone right through until Saturday the 12th.

Saturday the 11th sees the swell drop right away, but conditions are still marginal with a light cross-onshore. Then, Sunday the 12th is our first real glimmer of hope. We get a clean-looking day with a small 2.6ft SSW groundswell, a nice 14-second period. The wind goes light offshore from the NNE in the morning and light cross-off in the afternoon. The combined energy is modest at 323, but it'll be clean. This is the best we'll see for a while, but it's tiny.

After that, it flatlines again. Monday the 13th through to Thursday the 17th is all tiny, weak stuff with poor conditions. There's a glassy moment on Wednesday the 15th, but the swell is only 1.3ft. Not worth the trip.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. The real standout is looking at Monday the 20th of July. We've got a solid 5.9ft SSE groundswell rolling in with a 12-second period. Combined energy is a meaty 1129. The wind is looking light offshore from the NNE, meaning clean, groomed faces. This is the one. The forecast calls for excellent conditions for experienced surfers. Lake Ferry is an advanced wave, a sandbar that’s fairly consistent. The optimum swell direction is from the south, and this SSE is close enough. It’s going to be a proper session for those who know what they’re doing. The crowds here can be a factor sometimes, but for a Monday in winter, you might have it more to yourself.

The back half of that day and Tuesday the 21st stays clean and fun with dropping swell in the 3.6ft to 2.6ft range, still with good period and glassy conditions. It'll be a nice run.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 99mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon night, min 10°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Mon night, strong winds from the S by Wed night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 10°C on Thu night, min 5°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSE on Thu night, calm by Sat night).

Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Mon
13
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
2
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
E
10
1.6
SSW
10
1.7
S
9
1.9
SSE
8
2.1
S
7
2.4
S
7
4.5
S
9
4.5
S
10
4.5
S
10
3.5
S
9
2.5
S
8
2.1
S
7
1.5
S
6
0.7
SSW
14
0.5
SSW
17
1
S
15
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
12
0.5
SSW
10
0.5
SSW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
725
452
473
427
413
539
2886
3628
4121
1929
897
440
173
213
157
459
269
247
152
58
95
Wind (km/h)
15
ESE
20
ESE
25
ESE
25
SSE
25
S
30
SSW
40
S
40
S
35
SSE
30
SSE
25
S
20
S
15
S
15
SSW
10
S
5
NNE
10
NNE
10
N
15
N
25
NNW
25
NNW
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
9:43PM1.17m
10:07AM1.09m
10:28PM1.17m
10:55AM1.14m
11:17PM1.18m
11:45AM1.20m
00:08AM1.20m
12:37PM1.27m
1:02AM1.22m
1:32PM1.34m
1:57AM1.25m
2:28PM1.41m
2:54AM1.27m
3:26PM1.46m
Low Tide
4:04AM0.20m
4:17PM0.21m
4:47AM0.18m
5:06PM0.18m
5:32AM0.15m
5:58PM0.15m
6:20AM0.12m
6:53PM0.12m
7:12AM0.08m
7:51PM0.09m
8:06AM0.05m
8:50PM0.05m
9:04AM0.01m
light rain
mod rain
mod rain
mod rain
mod rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
mod rain
rain showers
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:45
7:45
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:02
5:04
5:04
5:05
5:06
5:06
5:07
 mm
2
7
8
7
7
14
34
11
9
3
2
1
Temp °C
13
12
13
12
11
11
11
10
11
10
9
8
8
8
9
7
9
10
11
11
12
Feels °C
9
8
9
8
7
5
4
2
5
4
3
3
3
4
6
5
6
6
6
6
7
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
SSW
10
1.6
SSW
10
1.7
S
9
0.5
SSW
14
0.5
SSW
13
0.4
ESE
11
0.5
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
18
0.9
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
10
0.8
SSW
11
0.7
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
13
1
S
15
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
12
0.5
SSW
10
0.5
SSW
13
Energy kJ
671
452
473
111
95
43
137
64
167
182
133
213
135
459
269
247
152
58
95
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
15
0.4
ESE
10
0.1
S
20
0.6
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
14
0.6
SE
9
0.7
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
11
0.5
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
10
0.4
ESE
10
0.4
SE
9
0.3
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
8
Energy kJ
103
95
87
37
8
141
236
65
92
64
56
54
35
22
16
7
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
10
0.1
NW
8
0.1
S
14
0.3
ESE
10
0.3
SSW
18
0.5
SSW
17
0.1
E
10
Energy kJ
8
3
4
20
65
157
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
E
10
1.5
SE
7
1.5
SE
8
1.9
SSE
8
2.1
S
7
2.4
S
7
4.5
S
9
4.5
S
10
4.5
S
10
3.5
S
9
2.5
S
8
2.1
S
7
1.5
S
6
1.3
S
6
1.1
S
6
0.5
NNW
4
1.1
NW
5
1.3
NW
5
Energy kJ
725
218
289
427
413
539
2886
3628
4121
1929
897
440
173
114
83
7
49
80
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
1
4
1
3
4
2
1
1
1
2
2
Distance (km)
42
47
64
105
106
175
175
236
236
236
112
183
112
91
130
9
9
9
9
30
34
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
4
4
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
6
6
5
8
6
5
5
5
9
9
7
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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