Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SSW swell with 653 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 1.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Lake Ferry’s got cookin’ over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with ya – it’s a bit of a mixed bag, with some long flat spells in between.
First up, the water temp here is sitting pretty average for this time of year, nothing freaky going on there. The overall pattern for the next 16 days is pretty grim to start, with a big gap of nothing worthwhile. We’ve got a stretch from Friday the 10th all the way through till the morning of Thursday the 17th that's mostly rubbish or just too small to paddle for. There are a couple of small windows on Sunday the 12th that look clean, with waist-high swell around 3 ft from the SSW. The wind goes offshore on Sunday morning and then glassy in the afternoon – that’s about as good as it gets for a paddle, but the energy is moderate (352) so don’t expect much push. Still, for a little Sunday session, it’d be worth a look if you’re desperate.
Now, the real standout, the one that’s got my blood pumping a little, is Friday the 17th of July. Early morning, we’ve got glassy conditions and a solid 3 ft groundswell from the SE with a very long period of 16 seconds. The combined energy is strong at 546. That’s proper groundswell energy, and with the wind dead glass, it’s gonna be clean as a whistle. Now, a long-period SE swell at a sandbar like Lake Ferry – it can get a little straight, but when it’s on, it’s on. This is definitely the pick of the whole outlook, but it’s over a week away so treat that with a pinch of salt. The crowds can show up here sometimes, so get in early.
After that morning glory on the 17th, the wind turns nasty with a strong onshore and the quality drops off a cliff. The second week from the 18th onwards is a write-off – strong onshores, rain, and messy conditions right through to the 25th. There is a tiny glimmer on the morning of Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th with glassy conditions, but the swell is tiny (2 ft) with weak energy. You’d be on a longboard just bobbing around.
So, bottom line: if you can wait for the morning of Friday the 17th, that’s your window. Everything else is either blown out, flat, or just plain ordinary.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 10°C on Fri afternoon, min 4°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 6°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Tue night, calm by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | S 18 | S 21 | SSW 19 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | ESE 17 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 331 | 165 | 110 | 112 | 486 | 456 | 339 | 198 | 136 | 55 | 133 | 83 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 44 | 46 | 45 | 108 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | off | glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on |
High Tide | 12:37PM1.27m | 1:02AM1.22m | 1:32PM1.34m | 1:57AM1.25m | 2:28PM1.41m | 2:54AM1.27m | 3:26PM1.46m | 3:51AM1.29m | 4:24PM1.49m | 4:49AM1.30m | 5:22PM1.50m | 5:47AM1.30m | 6:20PM1.48m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:53PM0.12m | 7:12AM0.08m | 7:51PM0.09m | 8:06AM0.05m | 8:50PM0.05m | 9:04AM0.01m | 9:49PM0.03m | 10:02AM-0.02m | 10:49PM0.00m | 11:02AM-0.04m | 11:48PM-0.01m | 12:01PM-0.05m | 00:47AM-0.01m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | |
 | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — |
 | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | S 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | S 8 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | ESE 17 |
| kJ | 224 | 106 | 110 | 72 | 486 | 456 | 339 | 198 | 136 | 47 | 133 | 83 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 44 | 45 | 45 | 108 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 14 | S 5 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SE 9 | E 8 | E 10 | SW 12 | S 18 | E 12 | SSW 19 | E 13 | SE 12 | ESE 15 | SSE 5 |
| kJ | 92 | 56 | 38 | 81 | 28 | 18 | 18 | 7 | 42 | 55 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 11 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | ESE 10 | — | — | — | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | — | E 10 | — | E 10 | E 13 | S 21 | E 12 | S 10 | E 16 | SW 7 | SW 6 |
| kJ | — | 123 | 45 | 112 | 19 | — | — | — | 7 | 9 | — | 2 | — | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | S 5 | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | SSW 4 | S 5 | S 5 | — |
| kJ | 331 | 165 | 90 | 43 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 42 | 64 | 42 | 84 | 70 | 143 | 68 | 47 | 10 | 46 | 27 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 112 | 64 | 91 | 105 | 64 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 30 | 34 | 27 | 82 | 82 | 34 | 31 | 9 | 31 | 64 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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