Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Looks like Lake Ferry is gonna tease us for a while before anything worth paddling out for shows up. We’ve got a long stretch of ordinary to poor conditions, but there’s a flicker of hope right at the end.

We kick off Sunday the 30th with a tiny, weak 2 ft SSW swell at 11 seconds – the combined energy is a pretty pathetic 144, and while the morning is clean with a cross-off breeze, it’s just not enough to get excited about. The afternoon gets worse.

Monday the 31st jumps up to an 8 ft swell, and the energy climbs to 1845 (moderate), but that NW wind at 35 km/h is a cross-off mess. It’s big, but the conditions are cooked. Not for me.

Tuesday the 1st of September is actually the biggest pulse we see, with 12 ft SSW swells and energy readings over 3500 (strong). Wind goes light and onshore in the morning, then nearly glassy in the afternoon. But mate, that’s too much water for this spot – it’s an advanced-only affair and the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The break is just too exposed for that size.

Wednesday the 2nd stays big at 8 ft to 10 ft, but it’s still messy with strong cross-off winds. A few days after that the swell drops, but the wind stays howling.

From Thursday the 3rd right through to Sunday the 14th of September, it’s a long, frustrating run. Swells come and go between 0.3 ft and 5 ft, but the energy is mostly weak (below 300) and the wind is almost always a stiff NW cross-off. A few mornings look clean, but the waves are too small and gutless. The afternoon of Thursday the 4th and many other slots are given a thumbs down.

Now, the standout: Monday the 14th of September. That’s the one. We get a glassy, clean morning with a NE wind at just 5 km/h – absolute perfection for wind. The swell holds at 4 ft from the SSW with a lovely long 15-second period (groundswell), and the combined energy is a solid 573 (moderate). That long period will give it real punch, and at this size, it won’t just close out. The water temp is about average for this time of year. Expect some crowd pull, as this break gets busy sometimes. This is the window – set your alarm for that Monday morning.

Other than that, it’s a lot of waiting. Sunday the 13th has a clean morning with 4 ft SSW at 8 seconds, but the period is short and the energy is weaker. Not a bad session if you’re desperate, but nothing compared to the 14th.

So bottom line: the first week and a half is mostly a write-off, but that Monday the 14th morning is your diamond in the rough. Keep an eye on it – forecasts can shift, and it’s the only true standout in this whole 16-day outlook.

Rusty.

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