Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Lake Ferry is our only spot on the table for this whole stretch. It’s a sandbar setup, and it’s fairly consistent overall, but this 16-day window is a real mixed bag.

Right off the bat, we’ve got something worth paddling out for this Thursday afternoon, August 6th. The swell is a clean 1.5m from the south with a moderate wave energy (595). What makes this a standout is that glassy wind – just 5 km/h from the WSW – so the surface will be like a mirror. Expect very good surf. The water is sitting at 11°, which is about a degree colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a good wetsuit. It’s an advanced break, so know your limits.

Friday morning, August 7th, brings a bigger pulse. Swell jumps to 1.7m from the south, but the real story is the period – 15 seconds, that’s a proper groundswell. Combined energy is strong at 1570. With a light offshore wind from the north at 15 km/h, it’ll be clean and lined up for experienced surfers. Those long-period waves will hold their shape well at this sandbar, but they can be a bit more spaced out.

Friday afternoon gets a little bumpy. The swell picks up to 2.0m from the south, still a decent 13-second period, but the wind swings to a NNW cross-off at 25 km/h. It’s still rideable, but the quality drops off, so it’s more of a “if you’re itching” session.

Saturday, August 8th, the swell starts to fade. Morning sees 1.5m south swell, 11-second period, but the cross-off wind makes it feel average. By the afternoon it drops to 1.3m, still south, with a cross-off breeze. Surfable, but nothing to get excited about.

From Sunday the 9th through to Wednesday the 12th, we hit a flat patch. Swell sizes drop below 1m, combined energy dips under 200, and scores are weak. Winds are mostly cross-off or light offshore, but there’s just no push. It’s a dry spell of about 4 days where you’re better off doing something else.

We then get a glimmer on Thursday morning, August 13th, with a 0.3m swell from the SSE and a 10-second period, but honestly, that’s barely a ripple. The combined energy is a paltry 34. It stays tiny through to Saturday, August 15th, with swells under 0.2m and nothing worth suiting up for.

Then things get wild. On Sunday morning, August 16th, the forecast throws up a massive 5.5m south swell with a 10-second period, and combined energy skyrockets to 5479. That is way too big for this break – it’s for experts only, and honestly, the finder notes it’s predicted to be too big for this spot entirely. The wind is a cross-off from the NW at 30 km/h, but the sheer size will make it dangerous and unruly. Not for paddle surfing on a sandbar; this is more of a big-wave tow-in or maybe one for the kites if you’re crazy.

Monday the 17th through Wednesday the 19th stays huge, with swells between 3.5m and 4.0m from the south, and combined energy in the thousands. But the wind is cross-on or onshore, turning it into a messy, lumpy, and choppy mess. It remains too big for this break, so steer clear.

We finally get a return to sanity on Thursday afternoon, August 20th. The swell drops to 2.2m from the SSW, with a short 7-second period, and the wind goes glassy again – just 5 km/h from the SW. Combined energy is a moderate 720. That’s surfable for experienced guys, and those glassy conditions will make for a very clean afternoon session.

Friday, August 21st, the swell fades fast to 0.8m from the SE with a 9-second period, and light offshore winds in the morning. It’s the end of the run, just small and clean.

So, the pick of the whole 16 days is Thursday afternoon, August 6th, for that perfect glassy 1.5m south swell. And for those who can handle serious size, Sunday morning, August 16th, is a massive, dangerous, and clean swell – but it’s for experts only, and a sandbar at 5.5m is not a friendly place.

Rusty.

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