Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SSW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SSW swell with 1,071 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s see what Lake Ferry’s got cookin’ over the next couple of weeks.
First up, the lake’s been a bit sleepy, but don’t write it off. We’ve got a window of clean, offshore wind coming that’s gonna turn things on. Water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothin’ wild there.
Right now, from Saturday morning the 25th through Monday afternoon the 27th, it’s pretty grim. Onshore winds and messy little ripples – not worth paddling out. But hold tight. Tuesday the 28th is where it starts to get interesting. Early morning we’ve got a nice 3ft swell from the ESE with period pushing 12 seconds, and the wind’s glassin’ off from the NNE – that’s offshore, and it’s gonna be clean as a whistle. Combined wave energy is moderate at 287. Then Tuesday afternoon gets even better: the same 3ft swell, period stretches to 14 seconds, and the wind goes glassy from the NNW. That’s gonna be smooth, peel-y lines off the sandbar.
Wednesday the 29th still has clean conditions in the morning with that 2ft ESE groundswell (period 13 seconds), but the energy drops off. From Wednesday afternoon right through to Friday the 31st, the wind gets strong and cross-off, smashin’ the tiny swell. Energy drops below 100 – weak sauce. Gap of almost three days of poor surf.
Then we hit Saturday the 1st of August. This is the standout. Saturday morning brings a 5ft SSW groundswell, period 11 seconds, and the wind is dead calm – glassy. Combined energy is 587 – moderate energy but nice power. This is the best on offer. It’s got good shape, clean face, and it’s consistent. Crowds are *sometimes* a thing here, so you might have a few mates out, but that’s fine.
Sunday the 2nd still has 4ft to 4ft from the S, but cross-off wind starts to mess with it a bit. Monday the 3rd to Tuesday the 4th gets blown out with onshore wind and rain – ugly. Wednesday the 5th is marginal with light cross-onshore.
Now, Thursday the 6th into Friday the 7th – this gets big. We’re talkin’ 7ft to 10ft S swells, with periods up to 14 seconds. The combined energy is huge (1369 to 3844). This is expert territory only – way too big for beginners. Friday afternoon the 7th, however, with a 8ft S groundswell and glassy light wind, that’s excellent for experienced surfers. Saturday the 8th has a massive 13ft to 10ft – that’s just for the brave. By Sunday the 9th, it backs off to a clean 5ft SSW with offshore NNE wind – another solid option for a session.
Bottom line: The standout is Saturday morning the 1st of August – glassy, 5ft SSW groundswell, clean as. Tuesday the 28th is a ripper too for smaller gear. Everything else has gaps or is too big or blown out. Keep an eye on that long-range Sunday the 9th, it’s promising but less certain.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri night, min 5°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu morning, min 4°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the NNW by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | ESE 13 | SSW 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SSW 13 | ESE 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 19 | 19 | 789 | 823 | 279 | 173 | 73 | 114 | 93 | 196 | 196 | 229 | 154 | 98 | 87 | 69 | 48 | 35 | 42 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | glassy | off | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:21AM1.11m | 1:47PM1.20m | 2:05AM1.10m | 2:30PM1.21m | 2:49AM1.09m | 3:14PM1.21m | 3:33AM1.09m | 3:58PM1.22m | 4:17AM1.08m | 4:43PM1.22m | 5:02AM1.08m | 5:28PM1.21m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:28AM0.22m | 8:04PM0.25m | 8:11AM0.24m | 8:49PM0.26m | 8:55AM0.24m | 9:34PM0.26m | 9:39AM0.23m | 10:20PM0.26m | 10:24AM0.22m | 11:06PM0.25m | 11:10AM0.21m | 11:52PM0.24m | |||||||
 |  | | |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | WNW 6 | ESE 18 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 | S 7 | ESE 12 | SSW 7 | SSW 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 19 | 3 | 30 | 65 | 55 | 52 | 73 | 52 | 70 | 189 | 196 | 229 | 154 | 98 | 87 | 58 | 48 | 27 | 42 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | SSW 14 | ENE 12 | SSW 16 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | ESE 11 |
| kJ | 7 | 19 | 48 | 49 | 54 | 78 | 60 | 35 | 93 | 196 | 91 | 85 | 38 | 18 | 21 | 69 | 41 | 35 | 12 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SW 18 | NNW 8 | SW 16 | SSW 14 | SW 12 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 13 | — | — | — | — | S 15 | SSW 9 | — | NE 5 | — | SE 12 |
| kJ | 1 | 12 | 7 | 63 | 81 | 36 | 45 | 7 | 18 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 8 | — | 1 | — | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | SSW 3 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | S 7 | S 7 | — | S 7 | SSE 7 | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 |
| kJ | 50 | 2 | 789 | 823 | 279 | 173 | — | 114 | 32 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 29 | 115 | 185 | 217 | 248 | 155 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 31 | 34 | 143 | 64 | 42 | 130 | 34 | 64 | 64 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 91 | 82 | 82 | 140 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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