Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, SSW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 8s period, SSW swell with 1,736 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 13s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let's talk about what's on the menu at Lake Ferry.
Alright, so we're looking at a pretty mixed bag here. The first real surfable window kicks off on Tuesday, July 21st, with a pulse of solid SSW swell. The morning is looking clean with a light offshore breeze, offering up some 7ft waves from the SSW. That's some serious energy, with a combined energy reading of 1474, so there's plenty of push. The water is sitting at 53°, which is just a bit under the average for the time of year, nothing too wild. The afternoon sees the swell drop a touch to 5ft, but it's still clean. Wednesday the 22nd is a real beauty for the smaller crew; the wind goes glassy, and we've got 4ft from the S in the morning, dropping to 3ft in the afternoon. That's a classic, clean, fun-sized day.
The weekend takes a turn for the worse. From Thursday the 23rd through to the end of the month, the swell gets small, the wind gets messy, and we get a lot of ordinary, poor, or even heavy rain and wind events. There's a big spike of energy on Saturday the 25th with 12ft SSW swell, but with a strong onshore wind, it's going to be a washing machine, not a wave. Not worth paddling out for. There's a brief return to small, clean conditions on Monday the 28th with 3ft, but it's a tease.
Now, looking further out, the most promising day is on Monday, August 3rd. We're seeing a massive 13ft swell from the S, with a combined energy of 3504. That's a lot of water moving. The wind is cross-offshore, which would be great, but the problem is that a 13ft swell is just too big for this break. The forecast flat-out says it's too big. Tuesday the 4th morning is a much better bet, with a 7ft SSW swell and a clean offshore wind. That's the real standout in the second week, offering some powerful, well-shaped rides for the experienced crew. The period on this one is short at 7 seconds, so it will be a bit lumpy but still doable. The rest of the second week fades into small, windy, or onshore rubbish.
So, if you're looking for the best of it, the standout is Tuesday morning, July 21st, for the first big pulse, and Tuesday morning, August 4th, for the second week's best offering. The clean, glassy fun on Wednesday the 22nd is a solid second choice.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 5°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, fresh winds from the NW by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 5°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 14 | SSW 15 | SW 7 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | S 8 | E 12 | SSW 12 | S 11 | S 11 | ESE 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1462 | 943 | 519 | 341 | 263 | 155 | 81 | 57 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 754 | 1587 | 470 | 193 | 178 | 278 | 313 | 291 | 236 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | glassy | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:34AM1.23m | 10:57PM1.22m | 11:27AM1.22m | 11:48PM1.17m | 12:16PM1.21m | 00:35AM1.14m | 1:02PM1.20m | 1:21AM1.11m | 1:47PM1.20m | 2:05AM1.10m | 2:30PM1.21m | 2:49AM1.09m | 3:14PM1.21m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:48PM0.12m | 5:13AM0.12m | 5:40PM0.17m | 6:00AM0.16m | 6:30PM0.21m | 6:45AM0.20m | 7:18PM0.24m | 7:28AM0.22m | 8:04PM0.25m | 8:11AM0.24m | 8:49PM0.26m | 8:55AM0.24m | 9:34PM0.26m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | | |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | 3 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
Feels °C | 6 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | S 8 | SSW 15 | SE 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SSW 11 |
| kJ | 1462 | 943 | 519 | 341 | 263 | 155 | 81 | 57 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 26 | 470 | 85 | 104 | 278 | 313 | 291 | 214 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SE 13 | NW 7 | ESE 18 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SSE 6 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 14 |
| kJ | 12 | 12 | 31 | 22 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 64 | 54 | 51 | 32 | 111 | 137 | 236 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SE 11 | E 11 | E 12 | E 11 | SW 12 | S 12 | S 14 | S 8 | NNW 8 | SE 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | E 12 | ESE 13 | SE 13 | SE 7 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 50 | 121 | 178 | 68 | 7 | 37 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | E 11 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | SW 7 | SSW 9 | — | S 8 | S 7 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 5 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | 21 | 113 | 258 | 143 | 154 | 94 | 754 | 1587 | — | 193 | 134 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 82 | 153 | 153 | 174 | 34 | 64 | 130 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 112 | 47 | 64 | 84 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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