
Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 9s period, S swell with 3,387 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 4.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here, checking in from the New Zealand region. We’ve got a long, bleak run ahead for most of the 16-day window. The only real standout is a big, powerful swell that rolls in right at the tail end, but it’s going to be a tough wait. The first week is basically a write-off, with strong southerly winds and messy, onshore conditions that just won’t let up. The crowds are always a possibility at Lake Ferry, but honestly, nobody’s going to be out there.
Lake Ferry is a sandbar setup, fairly consistent but exposed to the south. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild. From Wednesday the 8th through to the end of the second week, it’s a grim story. Surf quality is poor, with strong southerly winds gunking it up. Swell energy is moderate to strong (558 to 3904), but it’s all short-period, wind-driven chop. Thursday the 9th sees a 13ft swell from the south with a 9-second period, but it’s ugly, windy, and lumpy. Definitely not for beginners, and honestly, not even that appealing for experienced surfers in these conditions. There’s a tiny window on Saturday the 11th with a 4ft, very long-period (17 seconds) swell from the SSW, but the wind is cross-shore and the energy is moderate (761). On Sunday the 12th we get a bit of relief: a clean 3ft swell from the SSW with a 13-second period and light offshore winds from the NNE. It’s surfable, but the energy is weak (335). The next week is even worse, with tiny waves, some glassy conditions on Sunday the 19th but with a 1ft, 22-second period swell – that’s a very long period for a beach break, so it’ll likely break too straight.
Now, the standout. Don’t get too excited yet, but check the 21st of July. A massive 12ft, very long-period (16 seconds) swell from the south slams in, with glassy conditions on the Tuesday morning. The combined energy is enormous (6017). The problem? It’s predicted to be too big for this break. It’s a genuine expert-only proposition, and even then, you’d need to be very careful. The following day, Wednesday the 22nd, is the real gem. Lake Ferry cleans up with a 7ft swell from the south (12-second period) and offshore winds from the NNE. The energy is strong (1197), and the conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. This is the best on offer, but it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on the forecast.
The second week is a real grind. A few small, clean waves on the 22nd and 23rd, but nothing to write home about. The setup is a sandbar, so with all that south swell and wind, it’s looking more like a kite-surfing session for most of the period. Stay patient, and don’t bank on the big day until it’s closer.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 46mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue night, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Wed night, light winds from the S by Fri afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon morning, min 4°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tue 14 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 6 | S 6 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | S 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 8 | S 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
441 | 378 | 741 | 3115 | 2802 | 1895 | 1178 | 286 | 151 | 112 | 113 | 728 | 462 | 317 | 256 | 123 | 78 | 48 | 56 | 7 | 3 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:28PM1.17m | 10:55AM1.14m | 11:17PM1.18m | 11:45AM1.20m | 00:08AM1.20m | 12:37PM1.27m | 1:02AM1.22m | 1:32PM1.34m | 1:57AM1.25m | 2:28PM1.41m | 2:54AM1.27m | 3:26PM1.46m | 3:51AM1.29m | 4:24PM1.49m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:47AM0.18m | 5:06PM0.18m | 5:32AM0.15m | 5:58PM0.15m | 6:20AM0.12m | 6:53PM0.12m | 7:12AM0.08m | 7:51PM0.09m | 8:06AM0.05m | 8:50PM0.05m | 9:04AM0.01m | 9:49PM0.03m | 10:02AM-0.02m | ||||||||
— | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | |
— | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | |
mm | 5 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
Feels °C | 8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | E 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | S 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 8 | E 10 |
111 | 35 | 34 | 1324 | 1102 | 138 | 180 | 217 | 106 | 112 | 75 | 728 | 462 | 317 | 256 | 123 | 78 | 48 | 56 | 7 | 2 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 13 | S 20 | — | — | — | — | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | SSW 14 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SSW 13 | SE 10 | SW 13 | S 8 |
— | 145 | 7 | — | — | — | — | 116 | 88 | 53 | 80 | 33 | 34 | 18 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 1 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | E 10 | SE 8 | ENE 5 | E 10 | S 13 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 86 | 45 | 113 | — | — | — | — | 22 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 6 | S 6 | S 6 | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 4 |
441 | 378 | 741 | 3115 | 2802 | 1895 | 1178 | 286 | 151 | 91 | 55 | — | — | — | 1 | 20 | 44 | 70 | 41 | 51 | 29 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 172 | 167 | 224 | 236 | 140 | 236 | 223 | 112 | 112 | 130 | 105 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 130 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











