Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 13 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, S swell with 4,282 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 14 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 9s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk Lake Ferry. The water’s sitting at about 51°F, which is a touch colder than usual, so don’t forget the thick rubber.
We’re starting off quiet. From Thursday morning through Friday afternoon, the waves are tiny – 0.6 to 0.9 ft – with weak energy (35–46). It’s clean but hardly worth the hassle. Saturday morning shows a little hope with 0.9 ft swell from the SSW, a 17-second period, and glassy conditions. Energy is still low (74), and the report says “surfable but very ordinary,” so maybe for a longboard if you’re keen.
Then it goes nuts. From Saturday afternoon right through to Wednesday of next week, the swell jumps to 10 ft to 13 ft from the SSW and S, with short periods of 8 to 11 seconds. The combined energy is huge (2010 to 3329). But the wind is howling onshore or cross-onshore at 15 to 22 mph. That’s big, blown-out chaos. Kite surfers would love it, but for paddle surfing it’s a write-off. Wednesday has favorable wind and tide, but the swell is over 8 ft – too big for this sandbar, expert-only and ugly.
Thursday the 20th sees the swell drop to 6 ft–7 ft, with a longer 11–12 second period and light offshore winds. Energy is moderate (836–1103). It’s called “marginal,” but clean conditions could make it work for experienced surfers.
The best of the run? Friday the 21st morning and Sunday the 23rd morning. Friday has 4 ft S swell, 10-second period, clean with a light cross-offshore breeze, and moderate energy (367). It’s a good size for intermediates. Sunday morning is similar with 4 ft S swell and light offshore winds. Those two mornings are your cleanest, most manageable windows. Crowds are only sometimes a problem.
After that, the following week fades. Monday the 24th has some size but winds hit 22–25 mph, so it’s messy. The rest of the week shows small, weak swell (0.6 ft–2 ft) with light winds but very low energy. By Friday the 28th, it tries to build again with 8 ft–10 ft SSW swell but the wind is strong cross-offshore, and it’s likely too big and blown for this spot.
Bottom line: a slow start, a huge and messy middle, a couple of clean opportunities around the 21st and 23rd, then a fade. Target Friday the 21st morning and Sunday the 23rd morning.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 6°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, strong winds from the SSW by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Mon night. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Mon night, min 6°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Sun morning, light winds from the SSW by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 11 | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 16 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 57 | 89 | 223 | 2729 | 2788 | 2441 | 2639 | 1334 | 1794 | 2967 | 1980 | 1525 | 3322 | 1877 | 1257 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 5:01PM1.44m | 5:26AM1.28m | 5:57PM1.41m | 6:23AM1.27m | 6:53PM1.37m | 7:20AM1.26m | 7:49PM1.32m | 8:16AM1.25m | 8:43PM1.26m | 9:11AM1.24m | 9:36PM1.22m | 10:04AM1.23m | 10:28PM1.18m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:42AM-0.03m | 11:26PM0.02m | 11:41AM-0.02m | 00:22AM0.03m | 12:40PM0.00m | 1:17AM0.04m | 1:38PM0.03m | 2:11AM0.06m | 2:34PM0.07m | 3:02AM0.09m | 3:29PM0.11m | 3:52AM0.13m | 4:21PM0.16m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | |  |  | | |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — |
 | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 10 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 4 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | ENE 10 | SSW 20 | E 9 | E 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | S 11 | SE 13 | SSW 14 | ESE 11 |
| kJ | 16 | 15 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 4 | 57 | 89 | 219 | 37 | 75 | 45 | 78 | 676 | 283 | 136 | 48 | 1525 | 7 | 642 | 13 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSW 15 | — | ESE 8 | E 7 | ESE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | E 11 | E 10 | S 15 | — | E 13 | — |
| kJ | 7 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 21 | — | 6 | 4 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | 59 | 51 | 763 | — | 3 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 9 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 12 | 25 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 107 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 3 | NW 4 | — | — | SSW 4 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SSW 4 | SSW 6 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | — | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 10 |
| kJ | 5 | 3 | — | — | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 223 | 2729 | 2788 | 2441 | 2639 | 1334 | 1794 | 2967 | 1980 | — | 3322 | 1877 | 1257 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 19 | 14 | 19 | 27 | 19 | 14 | 10 | 64 | 227 | 236 | 227 | 164 | 164 | 91 | 91 | 223 | 246 | 91 | 91 | 224 | 91 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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