Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 18s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 9s period, S swell with 2,431 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 18s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 4.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Lake Ferry has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow burner, so don’t go getting your hopes up too early.
Right now, we’re looking at a big lump of messy swell. Thursday the 9th is a write-off with a stormy 13ft S swell and a strong cross-onshore wind. That’s a lot of raw energy, but it’s ugly water with a combined energy of 2581, way too much for a fun surf and blown out. That hangs around into Friday with a dropping but still poor 6ft to 6ft S swell. Just not worth it.
Saturday the 11th is where things start to get interesting. The morning swell drops right off to 1ft, but the afternoon is the standout window. We get a clean 4ft SSW groundswell with a very long 17-second period. The wind goes glassy, and the energy is a moderate 768. That’s the pick of the forecast, hands down. For a spot that’s exposed to the S, this is a rare treat. It will be clean, lined-up, and with that period, you’ll want to be on a point or reef setup. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.
Sunday the 12th holds a similar 3ft SSW swell with a 13-second period under a clean offshore NE wind. Still good, but not quite as punchy as Saturday. The combined energy drops to 290, so it’s a smaller, cleaner session.
From Monday the 13th onward, the swell fades away into the background. We see tiny waves in the 0.7ft to 2ft range through to the 24th. There are a few moments with clean conditions, but the energy is weak, often below 100. A couple of afternoons like Thursday the 16th show a brief uptick in energy to 102, but the swell direction goes weird and the wind shift makes it messy. Not much to get excited about, honestly. There’s a long gap of mostly flat or poor conditions from the 13th through to the 24th.
The water temp here is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.
For a spot like Lake Ferry (Lake-Ferry), being a fairly consistent sandbar that needs the right S swell, Saturday afternoon the 11th is your best shot. It’s the only standout. Keep an eye on that one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 10°C on Wed night, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSE on Wed night, calm by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon morning, min 5°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wed 15 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 10 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 18 | SSW 16 | S 20 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1852 | 2431 | 1524 | 1033 | 295 | 272 | 121 | 81 | 728 | 456 | 273 | 229 | 144 | 80 | 55 | 55 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 9 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on |
High Tide | 11:17PM1.18m | 11:45AM1.20m | 00:08AM1.20m | 12:37PM1.27m | 1:02AM1.22m | 1:32PM1.34m | 1:57AM1.25m | 2:28PM1.41m | 2:54AM1.27m | 3:26PM1.46m | 3:51AM1.29m | 4:24PM1.49m | 4:49AM1.30m | 5:22PM1.50m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:32AM0.15m | 5:58PM0.15m | 6:20AM0.12m | 6:53PM0.12m | 7:12AM0.08m | 7:51PM0.09m | 8:06AM0.05m | 8:50PM0.05m | 9:04AM0.01m | 9:49PM0.03m | 10:02AM-0.02m | 10:49PM0.00m | 11:02AM-0.04m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — |
 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 |
mm | 7 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SSW 13 | ESE 10 | SSW 10 | S 6 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 9 | S 18 | SSW 16 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 53 | 150 | 173 | 155 | 227 | 57 | 83 | 50 | 728 | 456 | 273 | 229 | 144 | 80 | 55 | 55 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 9 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | ESE 11 | SSW 15 | ESE 10 | SSW 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | E 8 | E 10 | S 12 | S 8 | S 21 | S 20 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 90 | 123 | 33 | 72 | 40 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | — | SW 15 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | — | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 11 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 128 | 45 | 81 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 4 | NW 5 |
| kJ | 1852 | 2431 | 1524 | 1033 | 295 | 272 | 121 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 12 | 19 | 23 | 14 | 62 | 122 | 53 | 35 | 41 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 236 | 140 | 240 | 183 | 112 | 64 | 91 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 31 | 34 | 27 | 42 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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