Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 19 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 7s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 20 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 11s period, SSW swell with 7,753 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 12s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 5.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 19th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sun 20th Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey, Rusty here with the lowdown on Lake Ferry for the next couple of weeks. Let’s cut through the noise.
First up, Sunday the 13th has some 6ft SSW swell at 13 seconds, but that cross-on wind from the SSE at 6 mph makes it rough. The energy’s hefty at 1192, but it’s just not worth it.
Monday the 14th is your best bet. Early morning, glassy wind from the NNE at 3 mph, and that 6ft SSW swell at 12 seconds cleans up beautifully. Water temp’s around 54°, normal for the season. This is the one—clean lines, glassy surface, and that sandbar at Lake Ferry will be firing. Crowds are possible, so get there early. Afternoon stays glassy with 6ft from the S, still nice.
Tuesday the 15th drops to 4ft and then 2ft, clean but weak. Then Wednesday the 16th through Thursday the 17th gets hammered by NNW wind at 22 mph, and the swell tanks to under 2ft—total loss.
Friday the 18th morning shows a brief clean-up with 4ft S swell at 6 seconds, but that’s short-period and weak. Afternoon brings 7ft SSW but with cross-on wind and 6 seconds—marginal.
Saturday the 19th afternoon looks better: 4ft SSW at 14 seconds with light offshore NNW wind at 6 mph. Energy’s at 502. But Sunday the 20th? Huge—16ft SSW at 12 seconds, energy at 7110, but it’s way too big for the break. Light cross-on wind from the S, but only experts should even think about it. Afternoon still has 10ft—same deal.
From Monday the 21st, the wind picks up again, NNW at 16–22 mph, and the swell sits at 4ft and below. Tuesday the 22nd has 8ft S swell with cross-shore wind—big and marginal. The rest of the week into late September stays small, windy, and choppy, with only a few 2ft to 4ft swells but constant strong winds.
So, the standout is Monday morning the 14th—glassy, 6ft SSW swell at Lake Ferry. Second week’s a dud except maybe Saturday the 19th afternoon. That 20th is for pros or kite surfers only.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the NW by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Wed afternoon, calm by Fri morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 10 | S 8 | S 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | S 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1192 | 1390 | 1064 | 800 | 441 | 225 | 78 | 34 | 86 | 34 | 50 | 79 | 68 | 41 | 92 | 395 | 262 | 384 | 465 | 3510 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | off | glassy | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 6:28PM1.27m | 6:54AM1.25m | 7:22PM1.23m | 7:48AM1.25m | 8:14PM1.20m | 8:40AM1.24m | 9:06PM1.17m | 9:30AM1.24m | 9:55PM1.14m | 10:19AM1.23m | 10:43PM1.12m | 11:05AM1.21m | 11:28PM1.10m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:49AM0.10m | 1:15PM0.10m | 1:40AM0.12m | 2:10PM0.13m | 2:30AM0.15m | 3:02PM0.15m | 3:18AM0.18m | 3:52PM0.18m | 4:05AM0.20m | 4:39PM0.21m | 4:50AM0.23m | 5:24PM0.23m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |  | | |  | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — |
 | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 13 | S 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 6 | S 6 | SE 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SE 12 |
| kJ | 1192 | 1390 | 1064 | 800 | 441 | 225 | 64 | 33 | 86 | 12 | 50 | 79 | 68 | 25 | 92 | 52 | 242 | 384 | 465 | 21 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 12 | NE 12 | — | — | SSE 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 10 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | SSW 13 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 6 | SSW 14 | SE 13 | NW 10 | SE 11 | S 6 | SE 11 | — |
| kJ | 6 | 6 | — | — | 235 | 42 | 78 | 17 | 7 | 34 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 44 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 32 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 12 | — | — | E 11 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 7 | ESE 10 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 | ENE 7 | NW 9 | SE 12 | SSE 5 | — |
| kJ | — | 3 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 39 | 34 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 5 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 4 | ESE 3 | SE 5 | SSW 6 | S 7 | NW 3 | NW 5 | SSW 9 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 1 | 8 | 21 | 73 | 300 | 330 | 197 | 48 | 5 | 1 | 87 | 395 | 262 | 9 | 74 | 3510 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 64 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 82 | 82 | 82 | 9 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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