Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, S swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 12s period, SSW swell with 9,401 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 5.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 18ft (5.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. We’ve had a real dry spell of onshore junk, so don’t bother dragging your board out through the end of July. First real chance comes Sunday, August 2nd.
That morning, Lake Ferry has some size – 8 ft from the S with an 11-second period, combining for good energy (1726). The wind is light out of the WNW, but it’s cross-shore. Not glassy, but there's push. This is advanced water – 8 ft is heavy for most. The water is 53°, about average for the season. It won’t be pretty, but for the big-wave crew, it’s worth a look. That afternoon drops to 6 ft with the same light cross breeze.
Monday the 3rd cleans up. Morning has light offshore airs out of the NNW, with 7 ft S swell (9-second period) and moderate energy (779). Cleaner shape, still size. The standout quality is the morning offshore flow. Afternoon is a trap – 12 ft S swell, 12-second period, energy jumps to 4068 (strong). That’s strictly for experts, and the cross wind doesn’t help.
Tuesday the 4th is blown out. Onshore SSW winds at 12-15 mph, and the swell is 18 ft in the morning, 15 ft in the afternoon. That’s a monster, but onshore and messy – better for kites if anything.
Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th bring the best conditions. Thursday morning has clean offshore NE wind at 6 mph, with 6 ft SSE swell (11-second period, 737 energy). Nice, clean, manageable. The real standout is Friday morning the 7th: glassy calm, zero wind, with 5 ft SSE groundswell and a very long 13-second period. Energy is 864 (moderate). That is your call: clean, lined-up, and fun for anyone competent. The long period might make it a bit straight at the sandbar, but the glassy surface is golden.
After the 7th, it’s onshore wind and tiny slop through the second week. Not worth the drive.
Best on offer: Friday morning, August 7th – 5 ft, 13 seconds, glassy. That’s the one.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 6°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Wed morning, fresh winds from the NW by Fri morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Sat morning, calm by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 6 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 9 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | S 13 | S 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 95 | 86 | 174 | 115 | 70 | 67 | 28 | 25 | 569 | 3900 | 5034 | 4011 | 1510 | 792 | 524 | 702 | 4068 | 7186 | 9075 | 6627 | 3418 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on | on | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross | glassy | on | on | on |
High Tide | 4:43PM1.22m | 5:02AM1.08m | 5:28PM1.21m | 5:47AM1.07m | 6:13PM1.20m | 6:33AM1.07m | 6:59PM1.19m | 7:19AM1.08m | 7:44PM1.18m | 8:06AM1.09m | 8:30PM1.18m | 8:54AM1.12m | 9:18PM1.18m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:24AM0.22m | 11:06PM0.25m | 11:10AM0.21m | 11:52PM0.24m | 11:57AM0.21m | 00:38AM0.23m | 12:44PM0.20m | 1:23AM0.22m | 1:31PM0.20m | 2:07AM0.21m | 2:19PM0.20m | 2:51AM0.19m | 3:08PM0.19m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | |  |  | | | |  | | | | |  | | |
 | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — |
 | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
Feels °C | 7 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | -1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | NW 8 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | SSW 19 | — | — | — | — | S 13 |
| kJ | 95 | 86 | 174 | 115 | 70 | 67 | 28 | 25 | 9 | 87 | 79 | 221 | 1510 | 792 | 524 | 73 | — | — | — | — | 3418 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 16 | SE 16 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | SE 13 | SSW 10 | S 22 | E 14 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 20 | 80 | 56 | 47 | 26 | 24 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 108 | 57 | 10 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SSW 9 | — | S 18 | — | SE 12 | SSW 14 | E 11 | SE 11 | — | — | — | SE 13 | S 19 | SSW 22 | NE 14 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 10 | 8 | — | 6 | — | 6 | 21 | 9 | 5 | — | — | — | 108 | 7 | 47 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NNW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | SW 6 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | S 12 | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | S 9 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | S 13 | — |
| kJ | 11 | 89 | 163 | 185 | 90 | 255 | 177 | 236 | 569 | 3900 | 5034 | 4011 | — | 16 | 10 | 702 | 4068 | 7186 | 9075 | 6627 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 27 | 31 | 91 | 34 | 34 | 140 | 140 | 140 | 140 | 140 | 112 | 27 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 9 | 64 | 236 | 106 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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