Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 24 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 14s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 24 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period, SSW swell with 2,103 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 2.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 23) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day. Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks. It’s going to be a mixed bag, a bit of a waiting game at first, then a couple of proper windows where you’ll want to clear your schedule.
The opening stretch is pretty quiet. Sunday’s a write-off with tiny, weak surf and some rain around. Monday sees a sudden jump in size – we’re talking 8ft on the face – but the winds are cross-off and the energy is a bit messy. It's surfable, but it's not pretty. That size drops right back Tuesday and Wednesday, leaving the waves small and a little weak. There’s a lot of waiting around in this first week, so don't get too excited.
The first real standout comes through on Saturday the 29th. The swell is a solid 6ft out of the south, with a period of 11 seconds. The morning is the pick, with a gentle cross-off breeze keeping the face clean. The wave energy is moderate (866) and it’s one of the few days where it’s actually a pleasure to be out there, not just a workout. This one’s for the crew who don’t mind a bit of size.
Looking ahead, the real firecracker is Tuesday the 1st of September. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The forecast is for a 10ft SSW groundswell with a long 15-second period, and the morning looks absolutely glassy. The combined energy is huge (3855). But here’s the catch – this break is a sandbar, and that size is just too much for it. It’s going to be a washing machine. This is a board-short-and-braveheart session, and honestly, only for experts. The afternoon drops to 8ft with a fresh offshore, still way too big and raw for this spot. It’s a spectacle, not a surf.
After the storm, it goes flat and windy for a couple of days. The next real opportunity doesn’t show up until Thursday the 3rd of September. The swell has backed off to a clean 4ft out of the SSW, but the period is a long 16 seconds and the morning wind is a dead calm 3 mph from the NE. The water is at the same temperature it’s been all week, which is about average for this time of year. This is a proper, clean, long-period swell – perfect for the sandbar to handle. It’s the calm after the storm and one of the most user-friendly swells of the whole forecast.
The following Saturday the 6th of September brings another solid pulse – 7ft at 12 seconds from the SSW with clean, light morning winds. It’s another good one, though that size is pushing it a bit for a sandbar. Then the window shuts again on Sunday the 7th, with a massive 12ft swell on the cards. Again, far too big for this spot.
So, summing it up: the best on offer are the clean Saturday the 29th morning, and the glassy Thursday the 3rd of September morning. The big days in between are for watching, not paddling.
Signing off,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the NW on Sat night, light winds from the NNW by Sun night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Tue night, strong winds from the NW by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 7 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
100 | 31 | 16 | 88 | 2071 | 1624 | 730 | 363 | 622 | 443 | 366 | 356 | 894 | 960 | 632 | 1256 | 531 | 484 | 347 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:48AM1.10m | 1:11PM1.20m | 1:31AM1.09m | 1:55PM1.20m | 2:14AM1.09m | 2:39PM1.20m | 2:57AM1.08m | 3:23PM1.20m | 3:41AM1.08m | 4:07PM1.20m | 4:26AM1.09m | 4:53PM1.20m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:53AM0.24m | 7:28PM0.25m | 7:35AM0.24m | 8:12PM0.26m | 8:18AM0.23m | 8:56PM0.26m | 9:02AM0.22m | 9:41PM0.25m | 9:47AM0.21m | 10:27PM0.23m | 10:35AM0.19m | 11:13PM0.22m | |||||||
— | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | |
mm | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 7 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 12 |
100 | 31 | 16 | 88 | 2071 | 1624 | 730 | 363 | 622 | 443 | 366 | 356 | 894 | 960 | 356 | 1256 | 531 | 484 | 347 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | E 13 | S 15 | SW 15 | ESE 13 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SSW 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 17 | SE 12 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 |
4 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 8 | 8 | 133 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 632 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 8 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 16 | E 13 | E 14 | — | — | — | SE 14 | — | — | — | ESE 11 | — | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | E 16 | NE 5 | ENE 6 | NE 6 |
— | 10 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | 12 | — | 16 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | WNW 5 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 6 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NNW 5 |
494 | 720 | 207 | 103 | 16 | 31 | 18 | 133 | 23 | 26 | 7 | 36 | 129 | 163 | 221 | 129 | 464 | 239 | 83 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 140 | 140 | 130 | 34 | 27 | 27 | 82 | 31 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 140 | 91 | 82 | 82 | 130 | 91 | 82 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











