
Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, SSW swell with 1,966 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s on offer at Lake Ferry.
Right now, we’ve got a bit of a dry spell to start. The first surfable waves show up on Monday morning, August 10th, but they’re nothing to write home about. We’re looking at a weak 2ft south swell with a short 10-second period. The combined energy is weak at 115. The water is sitting at 51°, which is a notable 3° colder than usual for this time of year, so that wetsuit better be thick. The morning has glassy conditions with a light west wind, so it’s clean but very ordinary. That afternoon, the wind swings onshore and it goes to junk.
Tuesday the 11th sees a bump in size, with a 6ft south swell on the morning, but it’s a short 8-second period and the wind is cross-onshore. Combined energy jumps to moderate at 465, but the quality is marginal. The afternoon drops to 4ft but the wind stays cross-onshore. Not a good look.
Wednesday the 12th through Friday the 14th are tiny. We’re talking 0.7ft to 2ft swells with very weak energy (38 to 73). The winds are light and mostly offshore or clean, but there’s simply no power to surf. A few long-period 15-16 second groundswells pop up on the 13th and 14th, but at only 0.7ft, they’re just not pushing. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are a write-off with onshore gales and rain.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Monday the 17th of August throws a big 12ft swell at us with a short 9-second period and strong onshore winds. Combined energy is a powerful 1826, but with that wind, it’s a mess. That trend continues into Tuesday the 18th with 6ft to 8ft swells and cross-onshore winds. It’s all marginal.
The true standout arrives on Thursday the 20th of August. We get a clean 6ft south swell with a solid 12-second period in the morning, combined energy of 1029. The wind is light offshore from the north. Then in the afternoon, it goes glassy with a 7ft south swell. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. Friday the 21st is even better: a 8ft south swell with a very long 16-second period and glassy conditions in the morning. The combined energy is huge at 2909. This is groundswell at its finest, and for a sandbar break like Lake Ferry that’s exposed to the south, this will line up nicely. Just be aware, at over 8ft, this is expert territory. The crowds are listed as ‘sometimes’, so you might have company.
Saturday the 22nd still has a nice 5ft south swell with a 12-second period and glassy morning conditions, but it’s a step down. After that, it fades back into smaller, weaker surf through to Monday the 24th. Tuesday the 25th brings another big 10ft+ pulse, but the wind is onshore and the swell period is short, so it’s too big and messy for this break.
So, to sum it up: you’ve got a quiet first week, but hang tight. The real action is Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st of August. That’s your window for clean, powerful groundswell.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the SSW by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | E 8 | ESE 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
92 | 81 | 303 | 382 | 228 | 102 | 37 | 34 | 29 | 19 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 42 | 41 | 51 | 127 | 224 | 203 | 215 | 937 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:12PM1.42m | 2:36AM1.27m | 3:08PM1.45m | 3:32AM1.28m | 4:05PM1.45m | 4:29AM1.28m | 5:01PM1.44m | 5:26AM1.28m | 5:57PM1.41m | 6:23AM1.27m | 6:53PM1.37m | 7:20AM1.26m | 7:49PM1.32m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:33PM0.05m | 8:46AM0.00m | 9:31PM0.04m | 9:44AM-0.02m | 10:28PM0.03m | 10:42AM-0.03m | 11:26PM0.02m | 11:41AM-0.02m | 00:22AM0.03m | 12:40PM0.00m | 1:17AM0.04m | 1:38PM0.03m | 2:11AM0.06m | ||||||||
7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | |
— | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
Feels °C | 11 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8 | -1 | -2 | -2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | SE 12 | SE 12 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | ESE 10 |
92 | 81 | 71 | 65 | 228 | 102 | 32 | 16 | 29 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 21 | 51 | 127 | 224 | 203 | 215 | 11 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | SSE 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 13 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 7 | SE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSW 15 | SE 9 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 16 |
15 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 14 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 10 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | NW 8 | — | S 20 | SW 11 | S 16 | S 15 | E 12 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SE 9 | SE 13 | S 19 | SE 11 | S 11 | SE 13 | SSW 21 | SE 13 | — |
23 | 21 | 3 | — | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 6 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 5 | S 7 | S 8 | — | NE 3 | NNE 2 | ENE 6 | NNW 3 | NW 4 | — | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | E 8 | ESE 8 | SE 4 | SSE 4 | S 5 | S 5 | S 5 | SSW 7 |
— | 10 | 303 | 382 | — | 2 | 1 | 89 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 2 | 42 | 41 | 15 | 34 | 80 | 46 | 42 | 937 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 42 | 64 | 84 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 130 | 164 | 258 | 236 | 224 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











