Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Looks like we’re in for a quiet stretch at Lake Ferry for a good while, with a few glimmers later on. The forecast starts with very small, marginal waves and ordinary conditions, so don’t expect much action for the first few days. The combined swell energy is weak to moderate, with values ranging from 12 to 1234 (the highest being a quick spike of big, messy swell).

Thursday the 23rd kicks off with tiny 2ft SSW swell at 12 seconds, and a gentle offshore from the NNE keeps it clean. The energy is low (96), and it’s really just a knee-high dribble. By the afternoon, the wind swings NNW and picks up to 30 km/h, making things cross-off and messy with even smaller waves.

Friday the 24th is basically flat and poor, with wind and rain making a mess of things. Saturday the 25th sees a jump in swell height – Saturday afternoon pumps up to 10ft from the SSW at 8 seconds, but that’s onshore wind at 30 km/h and poor surf quality. The combined energy hits 1234, but with that short period and strong onshore, it’s a blown-out mess, not paddle-friendly. That’s more kite-surfing territory than surfable.

Sunday the 26th still has solid 7–8ft S swell, but with cross-onshore winds and choppy conditions, it’s not a day to get excited about. The energy is still strong (778–733) but the quality is lacking.

We get a break in the wind on Tuesday the 28th, and that’s the first real standout. Tuesday morning: 3ft SSE swell at 11 seconds, light offshore from the N at 10 km/h, clean surf, and a combined energy of 450. It’s not big, but the conditions will be glassy and lined up nicely. That’s your best bet in the first week. Tuesday afternoon stays clean with a cross-off breeze.

Wednesday the 29th has tiny 2ft ESE swell with a long 13-second period. Clean offshore winds, but it’s barely breaking – just a fun little ankle-slapper for a longboard.

Now, into the second week, the outlook gets a bit more interesting but less certain. Saturday the 1st of August morning: 3ft SSW swell at 12 seconds, light cross-off wind from the NNW, clean and surfable. Energy is moderate at 231. Sunday the 2nd gets wild – a massive 13ft S swell with only 9 seconds, wind-affected and too big for this sandbar system. The afternoon shows 10ft and cross-off wind, but the forecast waves are just too powerful and dangerous.

The real gem might be Wednesday the 5th of August. Morning: 6ft S swell at 10 seconds, light offshore from the NNE, very clean surf with an energy of 881. That’s a solid head-high swell, organized, and with light wind. The afternoon holds up well with 6ft and clean conditions again. That’s the best-looking day in the whole run – but it’s still a long way off, so keep an eye on the forecast.

Overall, Lake Ferry is a moody spot. You’ll get a few clean windows, but the big swell days bring nasty wind or just too much water moving around. If you’re keen, pencil in Tuesday the 28th or Wednesday the 5th. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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