
Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 20s period, SSW swell with 5,234 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 12s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 2.5m 20s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Sun 12th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 20s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the surf situation for Lake Ferry. We're in for a bit of a mixed bag, so let's get into it.
Right off the bat, we've got a small window of surfable waves on Sunday, July 12th. The morning is looking clean with a 3ft SSW swell, period around 12 seconds, and the wind is glassy off the land. The water's sitting at 52°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate (343). It's not going to be huge, but it's clean and rideable. The afternoon holds similar with a glassy surface.
Then we hit a long dry spell. From Monday, July 13th, right through to Thursday, July 16th, the wave heights drop right off – we're talking 1ft or less. The wind comes up strong, mostly cross-off, but there's just not enough swell to get excited about. The combined energy dips into the double digits. It's a real nothing period.
We get a little flicker of life on Friday, July 17th, with the afternoon showing a 2ft ESE swell, but the period is a long 16 seconds. That's a groundswell, which can be a bit tricky at a sandbar setup like Lake Ferry, but it might offer some decent shape. The combined energy is moderate (281). The morning is still marginal.
The big news is the weekend. Saturday, July 18th, we get a solid pulse of swell. The morning sees a 7ft SSW swell with a 21-second period, and the combined energy is very strong (4879). This is a serious, long-period groundswell. However, the wind is howling from the south at 19 mph, making it a cross-onshore and lumpy mess. The afternoon gets bigger at 8ft, but the wind is still cross-onshore and choppy. This is not for the faint of heart, and honestly, with that wind and size, it's looking more like a kite-surfing session than a paddle one. This is for experts only, if anyone.
Sunday, July 19th, is the real standout. The morning is a bit rough with the cross-off wind, but the afternoon is where it's at. We get a 6ft S swell, period of 13 seconds, and the wind is a clean cross-off from the northwest. The combined energy is still strong (1346). This is the best on offer – clean, solid, and good for experienced surfers.
The following week, from Monday, July 20th, through to the end of the forecast, we see a drop in size. It's mostly in the 2ft to 5ft range with average periods. The wind is generally cross-off or light, so conditions should be clean. Thursday, July 23rd, and Friday, July 24th mornings look decent with clean conditions and moderate energy (270 and 513 respectively). The later days in July have some small, short-period swell, so it will be a bit wonky, but at least the wind is light.
So, to sum it up: the first few days are a tease, then a long flat spell, then a big, windy weekend that's only for the brave, followed by a clean-up on Sunday afternoon that's your best bet. After that, it's smaller but clean.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 5°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the NW by Tue afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Wed morning, calm by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | S 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | S 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 19 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | ESE 16 | SSW 14 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | SSW 21 | SSW 19 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
334 | 259 | 141 | 61 | 173 | 82 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 37 | 44 | 45 | 44 | 51 | 113 | 166 | 215 | 4243 | 4378 | 3618 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 2:28PM1.41m | 2:54AM1.27m | 3:26PM1.46m | 3:51AM1.29m | 4:24PM1.49m | 4:49AM1.30m | 5:22PM1.50m | 5:47AM1.30m | 6:20PM1.48m | 6:46AM1.30m | 7:17PM1.45m | 7:44AM1.28m | 8:14PM1.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:50PM0.05m | 9:04AM0.01m | 9:49PM0.03m | 10:02AM-0.02m | 10:49PM0.00m | 11:02AM-0.04m | 11:48PM-0.01m | 12:01PM-0.05m | 00:47AM-0.01m | 1:01PM-0.04m | 1:44AM-0.01m | 2:00PM-0.02m | 2:39AM0.01m | ||||||||
7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | |
— | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Feels °C | 6 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | S 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | S 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 4 | S 5 | SSE 5 | ESE 16 | SSW 14 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | SSW 21 | SSW 19 | SSW 15 |
334 | 259 | 141 | 47 | 173 | 82 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 26 | 23 | 7 | 20 | 8 | 51 | 113 | 166 | 215 | 4243 | 4378 | 3618 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | SSW 12 | SE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | S 12 | E 13 | E 12 | SSW 19 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | ESE 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | SE 14 |
9 | 7 | 10 | 61 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 44 | 45 | 44 | 41 | 94 | 115 | 170 | 142 | 136 | 91 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 15 | ESE 10 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | — | E 10 | S 18 | S 8 | E 12 | NW 5 | E 13 | ESE 16 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 21 | 9 | 2 | 6 | — | 2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 5 | S 4 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NW 4 | — | S 7 | SSW 8 | — |
— | — | 3 | 41 | 80 | 76 | 124 | 209 | 145 | 92 | 89 | 17 | — | — | — | 24 | 16 | — | 494 | 871 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 30 | 82 | 82 | 82 | 34 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 112 | 64 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










