
Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, SSW swell with 1,966 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s break it down day by day.
The start of the period is pretty flat and uninspiring. We’re looking at a few days of small, weak surf that’s not really worth your time. The first real pulse of energy shows up on Friday, the 14th of August, but it’s a bit of a tease. The morning brings a clean 4ft swell from the east (moderate energy at 237), but it dies off hard by the afternoon. That’s your first real window, and it’s not a bad one for a quick session if you can get out there.
After that, the ocean gets a bit rowdy and messy. The weekend and the start of the following week see a big jump in size, but it’s accompanied by strong onshore winds and rain. We’re talking 5ft up to a massive 16ft of wind-blown chaos. The energy readings are huge (over 5000 at one point), but the quality is just not there. The swell direction is all over the place and the period is short, so it’s going to be a washing machine out there. For the average surfer, this is a stay-on-the-beach kind of stretch. With that much wind and chop, it honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The real standout, and I mean the one to circle on the calendar, is Wednesday the 19th of August. After the storm passes, the wind swings offshore and the ocean cleans right up. The morning has a solid 7ft from the south, and the afternoon is even better with a 5ft south-southwest groundswell with a long 13-second period. The energy is strong (950), and the conditions are described as "very good". This is going to be proper, powerful surf. Lake Ferry (South Wairarapa) is a sandbar, so that long period will make it a bit straight, but with that light cross-offshore wind, it's going to be the pick of the fortnight by a long shot.
The rest of the week settles down. Thursday and Friday are back to smaller, cleaner surf in the 3ft range. The glassy mornings on the 20th and 21st will be perfect for a longboard or a funboard. Nice and user-friendly.
The final weekend and into the next week, things get small and pretty ordinary again. The swell drops right off, and we're just looking at knee-to-waist high leftovers. The 24th of August has a promising long-period swell (17 seconds) but it's tiny at 2ft. It'll be a specialized session for the log riders, but nothing for the rest of us.
So, to sum it up: get out on the morning of the 14th if you're keen for a wave, but the real winner is the 19th. That’s your day. The second week is looking pretty quiet, so make the most of that Wednesday.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the SSW by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | E 8 | ESE 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
92 | 81 | 303 | 382 | 228 | 102 | 37 | 34 | 29 | 19 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 42 | 41 | 51 | 127 | 224 | 203 | 215 | 937 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:12PM1.42m | 2:36AM1.27m | 3:08PM1.45m | 3:32AM1.28m | 4:05PM1.45m | 4:29AM1.28m | 5:01PM1.44m | 5:26AM1.28m | 5:57PM1.41m | 6:23AM1.27m | 6:53PM1.37m | 7:20AM1.26m | 7:49PM1.32m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:33PM0.05m | 8:46AM0.00m | 9:31PM0.04m | 9:44AM-0.02m | 10:28PM0.03m | 10:42AM-0.03m | 11:26PM0.02m | 11:41AM-0.02m | 00:22AM0.03m | 12:40PM0.00m | 1:17AM0.04m | 1:38PM0.03m | 2:11AM0.06m | ||||||||
7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | |
— | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
Feels °C | 11 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8 | -1 | -2 | -2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | SE 12 | SE 12 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | ESE 10 |
92 | 81 | 71 | 65 | 228 | 102 | 32 | 16 | 29 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 21 | 51 | 127 | 224 | 203 | 215 | 11 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | SSE 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 13 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 7 | SE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSW 15 | SE 9 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 16 |
15 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 14 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 10 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | NW 8 | — | S 20 | SW 11 | S 16 | S 15 | E 12 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SE 9 | SE 13 | S 19 | SE 11 | S 11 | SE 13 | SSW 21 | SE 13 | — |
23 | 21 | 3 | — | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 6 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 5 | S 7 | S 8 | — | NE 3 | NNE 2 | ENE 6 | NNW 3 | NW 4 | — | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | E 8 | ESE 8 | SE 4 | SSE 4 | S 5 | S 5 | S 5 | SSW 7 |
— | 10 | 303 | 382 | — | 2 | 1 | 89 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 2 | 42 | 41 | 15 | 34 | 80 | 46 | 42 | 937 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 84 | 27 | 31 | 64 | 34 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 164 | 106 | 252 | 140 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











