Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 5 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 12s period, SSW swell with 10,024 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 6.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 20ft (6.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what Lake Ferry’s got coming for the next couple of weeks. This sandbar needs a southerly swell to light up, and there’s a decent long-period groundswell on the way. Water temp is about 52°F, which is a touch under a degree Fahrenheit cooler than average – nothing crazy, just a bit brisk.
Sunday August 2nd is a cracker. The morning swell is from the south at 7ft with an 11-second period, and the combined energy is pumping at 1433 – that’s strong, powerful stuff. Winds are light cross-off from the NNW, keeping the surface clean. This is advanced-surfer territory only, and it’s one of the true standouts of the whole forecast. The swell drops to 5ft by the afternoon, but it’s still clean and rideable.
Monday 3rd sees the swell back off to 3ft in the morning, but the period stretches to 13 seconds from the SSW, so there’s still some shape. The energy is moderate at 495, and the wind stays light cross-off. A fun, easy day. The afternoon bumps up to 4ft with a 12-second period – clean but unremarkable.
Then things go sideways. Tuesday 4th and Wednesday 5th are no-go for paddling. The swell hits 20ft and 12ft, with strong southerly winds blasting straight onshore. The energy readings are massive – 10,958 and 9,017 on Tuesday, 3,536 on Wednesday – but the wind and size make this a kite-surfing zone, not a paddle spot. Thursday 6th is marginal at 6ft with cross-shore wind.
Friday 7th brings the second standout. Morning swell is 5ft from the south with an incredible 17-second period – very long-period groundswell. The combined energy is 1,368, and the wind is glassy. This is the session to chase. The long period will have the waves wrapping nicely, but expect long waits between sets. The afternoon goes to 6ft with a 15-second period, but the wind shifts onshore.
Saturday 8th is smaller: 5ft, 12-second swell, light cross-off winds. Clean but not special. Sunday 9th through Monday 10th are tiny – 2ft to 3ft – with clean conditions but weak energy. From Tuesday 11th to Saturday 15th, the swell drops to nearly nothing, with combined energy as low as 15 to 30. It’s a long flat spell.
Sunday 16th, a new pulse shows up. The morning has 6ft but with a short, messy 6-second period. The afternoon jumps to 15ft with a 10-second period and energy at 3,211. The wind is cross-off from the NNW, but the size is way too big for this break. Monday 17th stays big and windy.
The two best windows: Sunday morning August 2nd and Friday morning August 7th. Both have solid, clean swell with good wind. Get it while you can.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun morning, fresh winds from the SSW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 10°C on Fri morning, min 4°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1027 | 452 | 300 | 269 | 519 | 1994 | 9143 | 8808 | 7097 | 3901 | 2524 | 1280 | 727 | 394 | 284 | 533 | 892 | 563 | 446 | 335 | 290 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 7:44PM1.18m | 8:06AM1.09m | 8:30PM1.18m | 8:54AM1.12m | 9:18PM1.18m | 9:43AM1.16m | 10:07PM1.18m | 10:34AM1.22m | 10:58PM1.19m | 11:26AM1.27m | 11:51PM1.21m | 12:20PM1.33m | 00:45AM1.23m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:31PM0.20m | 2:07AM0.21m | 2:19PM0.20m | 2:51AM0.19m | 3:08PM0.19m | 3:36AM0.18m | 3:59PM0.17m | 4:23AM0.15m | 4:51PM0.15m | 5:11AM0.13m | 5:45PM0.12m | 6:01AM0.10m | 6:40PM0.10m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  |  | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — |
 | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 5 | -2 | -3 | -2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | E 19 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 |
| kJ | 1027 | 452 | 300 | 269 | 519 | 1994 | — | — | — | 7 | 2524 | 1280 | 727 | 394 | 284 | 240 | 892 | 563 | 446 | 335 | 290 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSW 9 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | SE 18 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | S 16 | SSW 10 | S 8 | SE 12 | S 16 | S 19 |
| kJ | 406 | 140 | 234 | 96 | 72 | 30 | — | — | — | — | 12 | 41 | 35 | 76 | 117 | 533 | 157 | 109 | 48 | 5 | 30 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSE 13 | S 22 | SSE 11 | SSW 19 | NW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 15 | SSE 15 | S 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | S 18 | NW 9 | SW 15 |
| kJ | — | 120 | 10 | 133 | 68 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 78 | 23 | 89 | 243 | 149 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 3 | — | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 4 |
| kJ | 5 | 7 | 19 | 9 | 3 | — | 9143 | 8808 | 7097 | 3901 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 224 | 271 | 112 | 91 | 106 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 31 | 9 | 224 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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