Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 09 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
10.9° C
1.6° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, S swell with 1,350 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 18s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s is also forecast. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Sat 11th Jul)1.5ft (0.4m) 18s
Best Surf 9PM (Sat 11th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 15s
Most Powerful 9PM (Thu 9th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at the next couple of weeks at Lake Ferry. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag ahead, so let’s break it down.

Right off the bat, the first few days are a write-off. Thursday and Friday (July 9th and 10th) are a mess with strong onshore winds and lumpy, poor surf – you’re better off staying home. The combined energy is high, at 2266 Thursday morning, but the quality is just not there. The water is sitting at 52°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year.

We finally get a glimmer of hope on Saturday morning, July 11th. It’s small, only 1ft, but the wind goes glassy and the period is a very long 18 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, but it’s coming from the SSW, which is not the optimum direction for this spot. The energy is low at 317, so it’s more of a longboard or paddle-out session than anything punchy. Sunday morning, July 12th, is the first real standout. The wind goes offshore from the NNE with a light breeze, and we’ve got clean 3ft waves from the south with a 13-second period. The energy is light at 347, but it’ll be clean and fun on the sandbar. The afternoon glass off that same day is also a good call.

The middle of the week, Monday through Wednesday (July 13th-15th), drops right off. Swell sizes are tiny, under 2ft, and the wind is all over the place. It’s not worth the trip.

Then, we get a nice little run from Friday, July 17th, through Sunday, July 19th. Friday morning is glassy with 3ft from the SE and a 16-second period – that’s a clean, long-period groundswell, though it’s on the smaller side. The energy is moderate at 449. The real highlight of the whole forecast is Sunday afternoon, July 19th. We’ve got a clean 4ft swell from the SSW with a very long 19-second period, and the energy is strong at 1055. The wind is a gentle cross-off from the NNW, keeping it clean. This is the best session on offer – it’s got proper energy and good shape. Keep in mind though, the period is so long (19s) that it might wall up a bit on the sandbar, but it’s still the pick of the bunch.

Looking further out, the end of the period is a mess. By Thursday, July 23rd, the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. We’re looking at 13ft with a combined energy of 2860, and then 16ft on Friday, July 24th with 5166 energy. That’s massive, and the system says it’s too big for here. For the experienced crew, it might be a spectacle, but for most of us, it’s a miss.

So, to sum it up: Sunday the 12th is a solid, clean day, but the standout is Sunday afternoon, July 19th. That’s the one to circle.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Thu morning, min 6°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Thu morning, calm by Sat night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 5°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
4
S
9
3
S
8
3
S
8
1.8
S
7
1.6
SSW
7
1.3
SSW
6
0.4
SSW
18
1.2
SSW
16
1.1
S
15
1
S
13
1
S
11
0.8
SSW
10
0.5
S
10
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
SSW
12
0.3
SSW
12
0.1
SW
12
0.1
S
18
0.1
S
21
0.2
SSW
15
0.2
SSW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2096
1351
1022
295
206
121
112
817
522
329
260
141
47
137
87
27
6
6
10
22
30
Wind (km/h)
35
S
30
SSE
25
S
15
SSE
10
SSE
10
S
5
S
10
S
5
NE
10
NNE
5
NNE
10
NNE
15
NNE
20
N
15
N
20
N
20
NNW
10
N
15
N
20
NNW
5
SW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
glassy
off
glassy
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
on
High Tide
11:45AM1.20m
00:08AM1.20m
12:37PM1.27m
1:02AM1.22m
1:32PM1.34m
1:57AM1.25m
2:28PM1.41m
2:54AM1.27m
3:26PM1.46m
3:51AM1.29m
4:24PM1.49m
4:49AM1.30m
5:22PM1.50m
Low Tide
5:58PM0.15m
6:20AM0.12m
6:53PM0.12m
7:12AM0.08m
7:51PM0.09m
8:06AM0.05m
8:50PM0.05m
9:04AM0.01m
9:49PM0.03m
10:02AM-0.02m
10:49PM0.00m
11:02AM-0.04m
11:48PM-0.01m
light rain
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:41
7:41
7:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:04
5:05
5:06
5:06
5:07
5:07
5:08
 mm
1
1
2
Temp °C
9
9
8
9
9
8
9
9
7
10
11
5
12
12
11
14
14
11
15
14
12
Feels °C
1
1
1
4
6
4
6
6
5
7
8
2
8
8
6
9
10
8
12
10
10
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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