Lake Ferry Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.40° S 175.15° E

Lake Ferry Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 pm 22 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lake Ferry sea temperature is
11.0° C
1.3° 

Lake Ferry surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lake Ferry surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SSW swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 8s period, SSW swell with 1,694 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 12s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:

The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 3.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Thu 23rd Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 12s
Best Surf 6PM (Sat 25th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful 3PM (Sat 25th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, I'm Rusty, and I've got the lowdown on the surf at Lake Ferry. Let's be honest, it's a tough stretch for this spot. We're looking at a classic lake setup, so the swell has to be just right, and for most of the next 16 days, it's just not playing ball.

We're kicking off on Wednesday, 22 July. There's a small window of opportunity mid-week with a glassy, 3ft, 12-second period swell from the south. The water is sitting at 52°, which feels a bit colder than normal for this time of year. It's surfable, but the combined energy is weak (310), so it's not going to blow your mind. The best bet is to hit the water Wednesday afternoon when it's dead calm.

Then we hit a major dry spell. From Thursday, 23 July, right through to Monday, 27 July, it's pretty much a write-off. The swell is tiny, the wind is a mess, or the combination is just wrong. There's a wild moment on Saturday, 25 July, where a 12ft, 8-second SSW swell rolls in with a massive energy reading (1724), but it comes with a 15 mph onshore wind, making it a total mess. If you're looking for a kite session, that might be your jam, but for paddle surfing, it's a no-go.

Things start to look a little more promising on Tuesday, 28 July. We get a clean 3ft, 14-second SE swell coming through. The wind is offshore in the morning and glassy in the afternoon. The energy is moderate (357), and the conditions are clean. This is a solid option for a quiet session, and you might have it to yourself, though crowds are possible.

Wednesday, 29 July, keeps the trend going with a similar 2ft, 13-second ESE swell in the morning, but the afternoon gets blown out by a strong cross-offshore wind. The window is small.

Now, we get to the big stuff. From Thursday, 30 July, right through to the first week of August, the swell prediction goes absolutely bonkers. We're talking 13ft, 21ft, and even bigger swells, with energy readings blasting into the thousands and tens of thousands. But here's the catch – for a sandbar break like Lake Ferry, this is just too much. The wind is often onshore, and even when it's clean, the size is only for experts. The 21ft, 13-second SSW swell on Tuesday, 4 August, with glassy conditions and 12866 energy, is a beast. It's a true standout for the experts, but it's a dangerous, heavy wave.

The best all-rounder for the experienced crew comes on Wednesday, 5 August. The afternoon has a glassy 8ft, 10-second S swell with a solid energy reading of 1555. The wind is calm, and the report says it's excellent for experienced surfers. That's your window.

We finish up on Thursday, 6 August, with a cleaner 4ft to 4ft SSW swell, offering some decent, if not spectacular, waves.

So, to sum it up: the first week is mostly flat or blown out, the second week is massive and dangerous. The standout is the glassy, big swell on the 5th of August for the experts only. For everyone else, the small window on the 28th of July is your best bet for a clean, manageable wave.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 6°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed afternoon, fresh winds from the NW by Thu night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 10°C on Tue morning, min 3°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
S
12
0.7
SSW
12
0.5
SSW
12
0.4
SSW
10
0.3
SSW
9
0.2
S
9
0.2
SSW
8
0.2
SSW
14
0.2
SSW
14
3.5
SSW
8
2.5
SSW
8
1.8
S
8
1.4
S
8
1.1
S
8
0.8
SSW
8
0.5
SSW
13
0.7
ESE
14
0.9
SE
14
0.9
SE
14
0.7
SE
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
294
155
81
39
15
7
7
19
20
1694
765
362
223
138
69
96
178
288
268
178
Wind (km/h)
0
SSE
10
NNE
15
NNE
30
NNW
35
NW
30
NNW
25
NNW
20
NNW
15
S
25
SSW
15
SSW
10
SSE
15
SSE
5
NNW
5
N
5
S
10
NNE
10
NNE
5
NNW
10
NNE
Wind State
glassy
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
glassy
off
off
glassy
off
High Tide
11:48PM1.17m
12:16PM1.21m
00:35AM1.14m
1:02PM1.20m
1:21AM1.11m
1:47PM1.20m
2:05AM1.10m
2:30PM1.21m
2:49AM1.09m
3:14PM1.21m
3:33AM1.09m
3:58PM1.22m
Low Tide
5:40PM0.17m
6:00AM0.16m
6:30PM0.21m
6:45AM0.20m
7:18PM0.24m
7:28AM0.22m
8:04PM0.25m
8:11AM0.24m
8:49PM0.26m
8:55AM0.24m
9:34PM0.26m
9:39AM0.23m
10:20PM0.26m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
mod rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
mod rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:33
7:33
7:31
7:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:14
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:20
 mm
8
3
2
1
6
Temp °C
12
7
13
13
12
13
13
12
9
7
7
8
8
4
9
9
4
10
11
5
Feels °C
11
4
9
7
6
7
9
8
5
1
3
3
3
2
7
6
1
8
9
2
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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