Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 9s period, SSW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 9s period, SSW swell with 2,531 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 4.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's cooking at Lake Ferry.
Alright, listen up. We’ve got a 16-day window here, and to be honest, it’s a mixed bag with some long quiet spells. The first real action worth paddling out for isn't until this Sunday the 12th, so we’ve got a bit of a gap from now until then.
Lake Ferry is our only spot in the mix. The water temp is sitting at 52°, which is about 2° colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll feel that nip – a decent 3/2 wetsuit is the call, maybe some booties.
The standout surf for the whole window, no question, is the run from the afternoon of Sunday, July 19th through the morning of Tuesday, July 21st. We’ve got some serious energy rolling in. The afternoon on the 19th serves up a solid S swell at 7ft with a 14-second period (moderate energy at 1927), paired with a light offshore NNW wind. That’s clean, powerful, and for experienced surfers only – these are the best waves on offer. Then Monday morning the 20th is glassy with ENE winds and a still-strong 6ft S swell at 12 seconds, giving us excellent, clean conditions for those who can handle it. The energy is still strong (1025).
Tuesday morning the 21st shapes up beautifully too. A 3ft SSW groundswell, a very long 16-second period (719 energy), and glassy conditions with light SSE wind. That long period will make for some tidy, well-shaped waves with longer waits between sets – perfect for the sandbar here.
Earlier in the week, we get a little tease on Sunday the 12th. A clean 3ft SSW swell (343 energy) with a perfect light offshore NNE breeze in the morning. It’s not big, but it’ll be clean and fun for a paddle.
After that Tuesday the 21st, things drop off dramatically. We get a few small, clean 3ft waves on the 22nd, but from the 23rd onward it’s a long, flat, and windy stretch right through to the end of the 26th. Nothing to get excited about.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 4°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, fresh winds from the NNW by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Tue night, calm by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sat 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | S 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | S 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | S 5 | SSW 8 | SSW 12 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | SSW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 486 | 376 | 334 | 259 | 141 | 52 | 129 | 82 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 44 | 45 | 27 | 77 | 106 | 171 | 201 | 1568 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | on |
High Tide | 1:57AM1.25m | 2:28PM1.41m | 2:54AM1.27m | 3:26PM1.46m | 3:51AM1.29m | 4:24PM1.49m | 4:49AM1.30m | 5:22PM1.50m | 5:47AM1.30m | 6:20PM1.48m | 6:46AM1.30m | 7:17PM1.45m | 7:44AM1.28m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:51PM0.09m | 8:06AM0.05m | 8:50PM0.05m | 9:04AM0.01m | 9:49PM0.03m | 10:02AM-0.02m | 10:49PM0.00m | 11:02AM-0.04m | 11:48PM-0.01m | 12:01PM-0.05m | 00:47AM-0.01m | 1:01PM-0.04m | 1:44AM-0.01m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 |
 | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | 5:10 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 9 |
Feels °C | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | S 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | S 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | S 5 | SSW 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | ESE 15 | SE 15 |
| kJ | 486 | 376 | 334 | 259 | 141 | 47 | 129 | 82 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 26 | 24 | 44 | 44 | 27 | 77 | 106 | 85 | 201 | 223 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | S 6 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | SSW 12 | SE 9 | E 8 | E 10 | S 12 | S 18 | E 12 | E 12 | NW 4 | ESE 15 | SSW 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | SSW 10 | SSW 23 |
| kJ | 19 | 32 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 22 | 45 | 99 | 171 | 62 | 178 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 10 | — | — | SSW 15 | ESE 10 | ENE 5 | E 10 | — | E 10 | E 10 | S 21 | S 20 | E 13 | N 7 | ESE 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | — | SSW 14 | — |
| kJ | — | 18 | — | — | 21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 21 | 20 | — | 18 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 5 | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 5 | SSW 4 | S 5 | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 5 | NW 4 | SSW 8 |
| kJ | 36 | — | — | — | 1 | 31 | 73 | 44 | 102 | 157 | 148 | 129 | 71 | 20 | 45 | — | — | 5 | 68 | 4 | 1568 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 64 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 82 | 82 | 82 | 82 | 34 | 64 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 223 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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