Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 19 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, S swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 12s period, S swell with 9,357 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 19 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 6.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 23) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Wed 19th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Wed 19th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 20ft (6.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here. Let's talk about what Lake Ferry is looking like for the next couple of weeks.
I've got to level with you right from the start: the beginning of this forecast is a total bust. From the 16th through the 19th, we've got nothing but blown-out, messy conditions. That southerly wind is just howling onshore, churning up the swell into a choppy, lumpy mess. Don't even bother.
Our first real chance for a wave comes on Thursday the 20th. The morning session is looking like a beauty. The wind goes glassy, and we've got a clean 1.8m (6ft) groundswell from the south with a solid 12-second period. The combined energy is moderate (912). This is a great time for a quiet, clean paddle. No crowds, small waves, and perfect conditions.
The absolute standout of the whole forecast is the morning of Friday the 21st. We're looking at a long-period groundswell from the south at 1.7m (6ft), but the period is a whopping 17 seconds. That's packing a ton of energy (1616) and will produce some beautifully shaped, powerful lines. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the north, keeping the surface clean. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The water temp is about what you'd expect for this time of year.
The second week gets a bit hairy. The 26th and 27th see a huge spike in swell, with waves over 3m (10ft) and even hitting 5m (16ft), but the forecast is clear – it's just too big for this break. The perfect offshore winds won't matter; it'll just be a close-out. The afternoon of the 27th is a little more manageable for experts with a 2.5m (8ft) south swell and clean offshore wind. The 29th also brings a massive 3m (10ft) swell with a 15-second period, but again, it's likely way too much.
The last day of the month, the 30th, offers a final chance. The morning has a clean 1.4m (5ft) south swell with a 12-second period, a light offshore wind, and very good conditions expected. A solid, clean option to finish the run.
So, bottom line: the first week is a write-off until the 20th. The absolute best bet is the morning of the 21st. The second week is all about massive swells that are mostly too big, but the 27th afternoon and the 30th morning are worth a look for a cleaner, smaller wave.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 10°C on Sat night, min 5°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Sat night, light winds from the SSW by Mon afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Wed morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Tue night, calm by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 993 | 3134 | 2613 | 1451 | 594 | 361 | 670 | 1966 | 4127 | 9357 | 5553 | 5989 | 2124 | 880 | 663 | 617 | 1610 | 1845 | 811 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | glassy | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:20AM1.26m | 7:49PM1.32m | 8:16AM1.25m | 8:43PM1.26m | 9:11AM1.24m | 9:36PM1.22m | 10:04AM1.23m | 10:28PM1.18m | 10:54AM1.22m | 11:17PM1.14m | 11:42AM1.21m | 00:03AM1.12m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:17AM0.04m | 1:38PM0.03m | 2:11AM0.06m | 2:34PM0.07m | 3:02AM0.09m | 3:29PM0.11m | 3:52AM0.13m | 4:21PM0.16m | 4:40AM0.16m | 5:11PM0.19m | 5:26AM0.20m | 5:59PM0.22m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — |
mm | 8 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 5 | -1 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | ENE 9 | SSW 20 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SE 8 | SE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | — | SE 13 | SE 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 1 | 50 | 38 | 273 | 376 | 118 | 54 | 94 | 48 | — | 28 | 7 | 2124 | 880 | 663 | 617 | 1610 | 1845 | 811 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | E 8 | SSW 19 | E 9 | SE 15 | SSW 14 | E 10 | SE 9 | — | — | — | — | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSW 16 | SE 12 | ESE 11 | SE 12 |
| kJ | 7 | 12 | 73 | 80 | 9 | 361 | 8 | 64 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 32 | 19 | 91 | 6 | 22 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | — | — | SE 15 | ESE 15 | SE 15 | SE 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 14 | SE 12 | — | — | SE 12 |
| kJ | 17 | — | — | 9 | 23 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 6 | — | — | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 13 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 15 | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 4 |
| kJ | 993 | 3134 | 2613 | 1451 | 594 | 181 | 670 | 1966 | 4127 | 9357 | 5553 | 5989 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 34 | 31 | 21 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 235 | 258 | 236 | 112 | 112 | 112 | 91 | 91 | 274 | 130 | 154 | 91 | 91 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Lake Ferry surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest