Surf Forecasts:
Lake Ferry surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 13s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 10s period, S swell with 4,642 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 13s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lake Ferry this week:
The surf forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lake Ferry in the next 16 days are 5.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 9s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lake Ferry over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Lake Ferry has in store for us.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next week or so is a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a lot of strong, onshore winds messing up what could be decent-sized swell. The water temp is about average for this time of year, but you wouldn't want to be out there without a good suit with the wind chill.
We start off Monday the 6th with a solid 8ft swell from the SSW, but a 19 mph SSE wind has it cross-onshore and lumpy. The combined energy is moderate at 723, but the quality is gone. That theme continues right through the week. The swell actually kicks up big time on Thursday the 9th – we’re looking at a 16ft swell from the south with a combined energy of 4642, which is strong. But at 25 mph, that same onshore wind makes it a total mess. This setup, with that much wind and a beach/sandbar break, looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The period is a short 7 seconds, so no real shape to it either.
We do get a big drop in wind and swell heading into the weekend of the 12th, but the surf gets tiny. Sunday morning the 12th sees a glassy 3ft from the SSW, but that long 15-second period will make it break pretty straight across the sandbar. It’s marginal at best.
The first real glimpse of something worthwhile doesn’t show up until Sunday the 19th. The swell bumps up to 4ft from the south, with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy is a moderate 276. The real standout is the wind – it’s glassy, calm. That’s the best the forecast gets for Lake Ferry in this run, with clean conditions and a little bit of push. It’s still a long way off, so keep an eye on it, but that Sunday morning is your best bet. After that, it fades back to tiny, clean but tiny, for the following Monday and Tuesday.
So to be honest, if you’re looking for a proper session, the next week and a half is mostly a gap. Hold out for that Sunday the 19th morning – it’s the only time where the wind and swell might line up for something rideable.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 67mm), heaviest during Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon night, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun night, fresh winds from the SSE by Wed afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 49mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 11°C on Wed night, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Wed night, light winds from the S by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sun 12 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 4 | SSW 7 | S 7 | E 10 | SSW 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | ESE 10 | SSW 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 13 | 684 | 698 | 730 | 471 | 951 | 678 | 403 | 408 | 1756 | 4642 | 3668 | 1805 | 1275 | 1008 | 805 | 493 | 329 | 291 | 284 | 198 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 9:22AM1.06m | 9:43PM1.17m | 10:07AM1.09m | 10:28PM1.17m | 10:55AM1.14m | 11:17PM1.18m | 11:45AM1.20m | 00:08AM1.20m | 12:37PM1.27m | 1:02AM1.22m | 1:32PM1.34m | 1:57AM1.25m | 2:28PM1.41m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:23AM0.22m | 3:30PM0.22m | 4:04AM0.20m | 4:17PM0.21m | 4:47AM0.18m | 5:06PM0.18m | 5:32AM0.15m | 5:58PM0.15m | 6:20AM0.12m | 6:53PM0.12m | 7:12AM0.08m | 7:51PM0.09m | 8:06AM0.05m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | | |  | | | | |  | | | | |  |  |  | |
 | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — |
 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 |
mm | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 4 | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
Feels °C | 8 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | E 10 | — | — | SSW 18 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 2 | 37 | 109 | 678 | 471 | 87 | 111 | 95 | 87 | 1386 | — | — | 106 | 1275 | 145 | 81 | 79 | 113 | 291 | 284 | 198 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | E 10 | E 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | NW 9 | SSW 14 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | SW 17 | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 |
| kJ | 8 | 2 | 2 | 103 | 95 | 3 | 170 | 34 | 39 | 72 | — | — | — | — | 131 | 116 | 37 | 61 | 78 | 50 | 24 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | NW 8 | SW 11 | E 10 | NW 9 | — | — | S 21 | S 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 |
| kJ | 2 | 3 | 31 | 8 | 3 | — | — | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 66 | 37 | 34 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 4 | SSW 7 | S 7 | E 10 | SE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 6 | S 5 | S 5 |
| kJ | 13 | 684 | 698 | 730 | 141 | 951 | 678 | 403 | 408 | 1756 | 4642 | 3668 | 1805 | 1136 | 1008 | 805 | 493 | 329 | 86 | 37 | 37 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 31 | 153 | 158 | 9 | 47 | 64 | 106 | 167 | 106 | 217 | 236 | 236 | 223 | 112 | 183 | 183 | 112 | 130 | 91 | 18 | 130 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lake Ferry Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lake Ferry provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lake Ferry can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lake Ferry surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lake Ferry) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lake Ferry may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lake Ferry is 28 km (17 miles) from Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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