Jacks Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, I’m Rusty. Let’s look at the 16-day outlook for Jacks Point.

Honestly, the next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag. There’s some potential, but you’ll need to be patient and pick your moments. Most of the near-term days are pretty ordinary or downright poor for any kind of worthwhile surf. There’s a big gap of smaller, weaker swell and average conditions for several days before things start to look a bit more promising heading into the first few days of August.

Overall Pattern: For the first week, we’re dealing with small, short-period swell for the most part, often with tricky side-shore winds. The real action looks like it starts on Monday morning, 28 July, with a bit more size and better energy.

The Best on Offer:

The standout session looks to be Tuesday morning, 5 August. This is the one to circle. Jacks Point will see a clean 3 ft swell from the SE at a very long 15 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, and with a light WSW offshore wind (15 km/h) cleaning it up, the wave shape should be solid. The combined swell energy is moderate (348), so there’s some push behind it. This one is for the advanced crew though, as a long-period SE swell at a reef break (Region_URL) means the waves will jack up nicely, but it won’t be a beginners’ wave.

Right behind that, Thursday morning, 6 August also looks decent. Another clean, 2 ft SE groundswell (16 seconds) with very light SW winds (5 km/h) keeping it glassy. The energy is moderate (249), but those conditions should make for some clean, long lines. Again, it’s a reef break, so treat it with respect.

The Rest:

From now until the end of July, it’s mostly small. Sunday morning, 26 July manages a glassy 2 ft with a very long period (15 seconds) from the ESE, but it’s inconsistent and the energy is weak (179). Monday morning, 28 July and Wednesday morning, 29 July push up to 3 ft with that SE groundswell around 13 seconds, and the winds are cross-offshore (NW 10 km/h). The energy is moderate (356 and 376). These are "expect good surf" calls, so they’re your best earlier bets, but the 5 August session just has the better wind.

Later in the second week: After a poor, windy day on Monday 3 August (S winds, 40 km/h), the windows get tighter. Wednesday morning, 5 August is the highlight, as I mentioned. Thursday morning, 6 August is a solid runner-up. After that, the swell fades quickly into tiny, choppy waves through the 8th and 9th. Nothing worth planning a trip for.

Water temperature: When the first hopeful day hits on 28 July, the water sits at 49°, which is about normal for the time of year here.

It’s not an epic run, lads. A few short windows of clean, lined-up reef breaks, but you have to be patient until that first week of August rolls in for the real quality.

Stay safe.

Rusty.

Read more