Jacks Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I've had a good look at what's coming up for Jacks Point over the next couple of weeks. Let's get into it.

First off, the water temp is sitting at 51°, which is a touch warmer than we'd usually expect for this time of year. Not a major shift, but you'll notice it's not the usual bite.

Right, the pattern. The truth is, the first week and a bit are pretty grim. We're looking at a long stretch of poor conditions until we get a proper window. The first real highlight doesn't show up until the morning of Saturday the 12th. That’s your standout session for this whole run.

Saturday the 12th (morning) is where it's at. Jacks Point will have clean 4ft swell from the SSE, and that’s packing a solid punch with moderate wave energy (682). The wind is light from the NW, giving us cross-offshore conditions, which means the waves will be holding up nicely. The period is a very long 16 seconds, so this is proper groundswell. For a reef break like Jacks Point, that long period is going to produce some great, powerful lines. Expect some decent sets, and with it being "fairly consistent", you won't be waiting forever. Keep in mind the crowds can show up sometimes, but for this quality, it's worth it. This is a solid "expert" level wave though, so if you're not comfortable in that range, give it a watch from the shore.

Following that, Sunday the 13th (morning) still has some decent leftovers. Clean 2ft swell from the SE, but the energy drops to 212. Still rideable and clean with that NNW cross-off breeze, just smaller than the day before.

Then it gets quiet again. There's a little glassy window on Monday the 14th (morning) with tiny 2ft waves and no wind, but it's weak (87 energy) and very ordinary. It's mostly a lake out there for the rest of that week and into the next.

The next bit of interest pops up much later. Friday the 18th (afternoon) sees a return of some SSE groundswell, 2ft with 251 energy, clean with a NNW cross-off. It's a step up from the flat spell, but nothing special.

Then, looking further out to Sunday the 20th (morning), we get a pulse of 4ft from the SSE. The energy is moderate (163) and it’s clean with a light offshore from the WNW. The period is a short 8 seconds though, so it'll be a bit softer and more crumbly. It's surfable but very ordinary.

Honestly, if you can only paddle out once, make it Saturday the 12th morning. Everything else is either too small, too chopped, or just flat. The long gap of flatness from the 15th through the 17th is a real bummer.

For a beach-and-reef setup like Jacks Point, the strong onshore wind days in that first week are more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle guys. That's just how it goes sometimes.

Rusty.

Read more