Jacarandas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about Jacarandas. We’ve got a long stretch of small, clean-ish swell coming, but you’ll need to wait for the best of it. The water is running a touch warmer than normal for August, sitting at 89°.

First up, Friday August 7th. It’s a clear afternoon with a light offshore wind from the W at 9 mph. The swell is a modest 3 ft from the SW, but with a very long period of 17 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The combined energy is moderate (568). The catch is that the surf is reported as poor, so it’s a look-see, not a red-letter day.

Saturday the 8th has a morning of risk of thunderstorms with a light cross-on breeze from the S at 6 mph. The swell holds at 3 ft from the SW, 16-second period, moderate energy (570). Still marginal. The afternoon shifts to a WSW offshore wind at 6 mph, with the swell dropping to 3 ft and energy at 470. Still just a marginal call.

Sunday the 9th is a clear morning with a WSW offshore at 6 mph, but the swell is 3 ft and the period drops to 14 seconds, with energy falling to 400. The surf is poor. The afternoon has a slight cross-on from the WNW at 3 mph, same swell, but the energy is down to 369. Still marginal.

Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th are a blur of similar small, clean-ish conditions. Swell hovers around 2 ft to 3 ft from the SW with periods from 13 to 18 seconds. The energy ranges from 364 to 638. The wind stays light and mostly offshore or light cross-onshore, but the surf is consistently marginal or poor. The long period on Tuesday morning (18 seconds) is a tease, but the energy is moderate (638).

Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th are more of the same. The swell is 2 ft to 3 ft, periods from 16 to 18 seconds, and energy from 390 to 539. The wind is a mix of light offshore and moderate cross-onshore from the WNW. The surf is marginal or poor.

Now, the first real standout. Friday August 14th. The morning is clear with a light offshore from the WSW at 6 mph. The swell is 3 ft from the SW with a long 18-second period and moderate energy of 618. The afternoon is even better: clear skies, a W offshore at 9 mph, the swell lifts to 3 ft, still 18 seconds, and the energy jumps to 757 – that’s moderate, but on the upper end. This is the best window in the whole outlook. The surf is still described as marginal, but with that clean offshore wind and long groundswell, it’s as good as it’s going to get.

Saturday August 15th is another promising day. The morning has some clouds with a slight cross-on from the SSW at 3 mph, but the swell is 4 ft from the SW at 16 seconds, with energy of 741. The afternoon is clear with a SW offshore at 9 mph, same swell, energy at 747. Both are marginal, but the bigger swell and clean wind make it a solid option.

From Sunday August 16th onward, it’s a slow fade. The swell drops to 2 ft to 3 ft, periods fall to 13 to 15 seconds, and energy plummets from 410 down to 173 by the 22nd. The wind is mostly light and cross-onshore, but the surf is consistently poor. The 22nd of August has a moderate breeze from the WNW at 12 mph, which will make it choppy and messy.

The very best of it is Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th of August. Those are the days to pencil in. The swell direction from the SW is spot on for Jacarandas, a point break that’s exposed to that swell. The consistency is good, but the crowds are often an issue, so keep that in mind. The long period groundswell (15-18 seconds) will wrap nicely around the point, giving it shape and power, but it might be a bit too straight for the inside section for the average beach break. For a point, it’s perfect.

Rusty.

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