Jacarandas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, so looking at the next 16 days for the region, the only break with any real surf on offer is Jacarandas. It’s a consistent point break, exposed to the SW swell, and given that’s the direction the swell is coming from all period, that’s a solid match. Don’t expect much to get you out of bed for the first few days, though.

Friday the 4th kicks things off, but it ain't pretty. We’ve got a solid 4ft SW groundswell rolling in with a long 16-second period, carrying moderate wave energy (1354). But the wind is a cross-on mess, 9 mph from the W, making for choppy conditions. The afternoon stiffens to 12 mph and it’s even worse. It’s marginal at best, really only for the diehards.

Saturday the 5th is a bit of a tease. The swell hangs in at 4ft from the SW, with that same 16-second pulse, and the morning goes a little lighter with variable wind, almost onshore. It’s not clean, not terrible, just sort of average. The afternoon gets cross-on again from the NW.

Sunday the 6th sees the swell ease a touch to 4ft, period 14-15 seconds. Energy drops to moderate (870). Still cross-on winds. Still just ordinary. Feels like a waiting game.

Now, Monday the 7th is where things get interesting. The swell drops a little more to 3ft from the SW, but here’s the catch – the wind turns light cross-offshore from the SE, at only 6 mph. The model flags it as “expect very good surf conditions” and I can see why. Clean conditions on a point break with a consistent SW swell? That’s a standout. The morning and afternoon both look clean. If you can get out, this is the pick of the first week. Crowds are likely here, so get in early.

After Monday, the wave energy starts to dribble away. Tuesday the 8th down to 3ft, Wednesday the 9th even smaller, and by the weekend of the 12th-13th we’re looking at knee-high dribble, period dropping, and energy reading a weak 202-273. The winds stay cross-on or onshore, and the quality is poor. A few days there with nearly nothing rideable.

There is a flicker of hope around the 17th and 18th. On Thursday the 17th morning, we get a tiny 2ft swell, but the period jumps to a whopping 22 seconds – very long-period groundswell. That long period means the wave energy is back up to moderate (572), and for a point break like Jacarandas, that can produce some surprisingly lined-up waves even at small height, as long as the wind plays ball. The morning shows light onshore wind, so it’s a gamble. The next day, Friday the 18th, swell nudges up to 2ft, period still a solid 20 seconds, but the wind stays cross-on. It’s a long-range prospect – promising but less certain.

There’s a real gap of poor surf from around the 9th through to the 16th, with only that Monday the 7th offering a true clean session. Stick with the point, watch for that glass-off Monday morning if you can.

Rusty.

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