Jacarandas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break down this 16-day stretch for Jacarandas.

The first week is a total write-off. We've got tiny, weak surf and the wind is just ruining whatever small bumps show up. For the first several days, it's all poor surf conditions with onshore and cross-onshore breezes. You’d be better off staying home.

The swell energy is weak, sitting in the low 100s (135-188) for the first couple of days. The period is short too, around 12-14 seconds. It's a frustrating start with no real surfable waves. There will be a long wait.

Around Thursday the 7th, the energy starts to climb into the 400s and 500s, which is strong, but the swell height is still small, only around 0.5m to 0.9m. The wind is still a problem, especially in the afternoons when a moderate breeze picks up and makes it choppy.

The standout window, if you’re patient, looks like the morning of Saturday the 15th of August. We’ll have a 1.1m SW swell with a 16-second period, and the wind should be light and straight onshore. The energy will be strong too (603). It’s not going to be epic, but it’s the best the run has to offer. It's the only time the forecast even hints at something better.

The days leading up to it, the 13th and 14th, see the swell pushing to 1.0m to 1.1m, with energy in the 700-800 range. But again, the afternoon wind will chop it up. The mornings have lighter winds, but they're still calling it marginal.

After the 15th, it drops back to 0.9m to 1.0m, with energy staying moderate (406) to strong (622) but the period shortening. A few mornings look clean, but nothing more than average.

So, a pretty disappointing outlook overall. The water is running about 3°F warmer than usual, which is notable, but that’s about the only highlight. If you’re desperate, that Saturday the 15th morning is your play, but don’t expect much. Keep your expectations low and your patience high.

Rusty out.

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