Jacarandas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s happening at Jacarandas. This is a point break, so it’s always looking for that solid SW groundswell, and it’s exposed to it. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild to report there.

The next 16 days are a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a lot of marginal to poor surf conditions on the menu, with a couple of windows that might just be worth the paddle. The first few days are pretty weak. Saturday the 29th has some 4ft SW swell rolling in, with a very long 16-second period, so there’s deep ocean energy. The combined energy is moderate (942), but the wind is a light cross-onshore, so it’s not going to be clean. The scores are low, so it’s not a standout.

Sunday the 30th and Monday the 31st drop off further, with the swell fading to 4ft and the period dropping to 14 seconds, and then 13 seconds. The wind stays light cross-onshore, and the wave energy drops to moderate (615 down to 462). It’s not great, but it’s not blown out either. Tuesday the 1st of September, the swell drops under 3ft, and the energy is getting weak (around 380-402). This is a real lull. Wednesday the 2nd has a tiny 2ft swell but a long 16-second period, with offshore wind in the morning. That’s a tease of clean conditions, but the size just isn’t there.

Then we hit a patch of rough weather. From Saturday the 5th through to Tuesday the 8th, the wind picks up significantly, with cross-onshore winds from the WNW and NW up to 19 mph, and the wave energy is moderate but the conditions are choppy and lumpy. The swell is around 4ft to 2ft, but it’s just messy. The combined energy drops from 917 down to 308. This is a stretch of poor surf, and the wind is too strong for it to be any fun for paddle surfing. With that kind of cross-onshore wind and a beach/point setup, this honestly looks more interesting for the kite surfers.

Now, the real standout window comes in the second week. On Thursday the 10th of September, the morning is looking promising. We’ve got a 3ft SW swell with a long 17-second period, and the wind is a light cross-offshore breeze from the east. That’s going to be clean. The combined energy is moderate (611), and the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions”. This is the best bet in the whole outlook. The offshore wind at Jacarandas will make for smooth, peeling waves on that point, and the long period swell will have plenty of push. Keep an eye on this one, but it’s still a week and a half out, so treat it as promising but not locked in.

After that, things taper off again. Friday the 11th has offshore wind but the swell drops to 3ft, and the energy gets weak. The last weekend, the 12th and 13th, has a tiny 2-2ft swell, but on Saturday the 12th the afternoon has a very long 19-second period, which is a cool sign of deep ocean energy, but with the size so small, it’s just a marginal session.

So, overall, the first week is mostly a washout with a few glimmers, then a solid clean-up Saturday the 5th through Tuesday the 8th is a write-off for surf. The standout is the morning of Thursday the 10th – that’s the one to circle. Go get it if you can.

Rusty.

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