Jacarandas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow burn, so don’t expect to get the board wet straight away. There’s a real gap in the action here, with nothing worthwhile on the cards for the first several days. The first suggestion of a session doesn’t pop up until Tuesday the 25th of August, and even then, it’s a short window.

The only spot on the radar is Jacarandas, a point break that’s exposed to the SW swell. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Right, the waiting game. From Monday the 17th through to Monday the 24th, it’s a write-off. The swell is tiny, the wind is messy, and the guidance ratings are all zeroes and ones. It’s a stretch of poor to marginal surf conditions, with a lot of cross-on and onshore wind. The energy is weak, mostly in the 300-400 range, and the wave quality is just not there. That’s a solid eight days of nothing.

Then, look at this. On Tuesday morning, the 25th of August, a little window opens up. The wind goes glassy, dead calm from the east at 3 mph. That’s a beautiful thing. The swell is still small at 2 ft, but it’s a 16-second period SW groundswell (moderate energy, 314). That long period means the waves will have shape and some push, making up for the lack of height. For a point break like Jacarandas, that long period is a friend. It’s going to be clean, glassy, and the sets will be worth waiting for. This is the one standout in the whole outlook. The only catch? The crowd potential is "often", so expect a few locals out enjoying the same rare treat.

The rest of that week and into the start of September is a grind. The swells try to pick up a bit, hitting 4 ft by the weekend of the 29th-30th of August, with energy climbing into the 700-900 range. But the wind is a problem. It’s mostly cross-on from the west or northwest, and the surf quality is still rated as poor or marginal. The period stays long, which is good for the wave shape, but the wind is just going to chop it up. For a point break, anything over 8 ft would be expert territory, but these 4 ft to 4 ft swells are manageable for intermediate surfers, provided the wind was clean. It’s not.

The very last entry, on Tuesday the 1st of September, shows a marginal call with light cross-on winds and a 3 ft SW swell at 13 seconds. It’s a possibility, but nothing to get excited about after that glassy morning on the 25th.

So, to sum it up: there’s a solid week and a half of flat to poor conditions, then a brief glimmer of perfection on the morning of Tuesday the 25th of August. If you can get out for that, you’ll be laughing. The rest is a waiting game for a better wind direction.

Rusty.

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