H-Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, and I’ve had a good long look at what’s coming up for our patch. Gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch. We’re looking at a solid run of onshore or cross-shore wind that just won’t let up, messing up what could be decent swell. There are no real standouts here, just a lot of chop and frustration, so keep the expectations low.

Let’s start with the first option on offer, a spot called H-Reef. It’s an advanced reef break, exposed, and picks up swell from the NNE best. Through the first few days, from Wednesday the 5th into the weekend, we’ve got small swell, around 3 ft to 5 ft from the ENE, but the wind is a constant cross or cross-on mess. Wednesday afternoon has a 4 ft ENE swell with a 9-second period, but with a 9 mph cross-on breeze from the NE, it’s just choppy. The water temp is sitting at 80°, which is bang on average for this time of year – no surprises there.

As we move into the second week, particularly around Sunday the 9th, the swell builds. Sunday morning sees a 7 ft swell from the east, but the wind is still a cross-shore 16 mph from the E. The wave energy climbs significantly (559), but the “poor surf conditions” tag says it all. This trend continues right through the middle of the month. By the 15th and 16th, the swell is pushing 8 ft to 8 ft from the ENE with a period of 9 seconds, and the energy is getting up there (897) – that’s strong. But again, the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-shore, making for lumpy, blown-out conditions. For a reef break, that’s not going to be pretty. This kind of setup with strong cross-wind and a beach/reef mix might honestly be more interesting for kite surfing than trying to paddle out.

There’s one tiny glimmer. On Monday the 17th, the forecast flips to “marginal,” scoring a 1 out of 10 instead of a 0. The swell is still 7 ft to 7 ft from the ENE, and the wind is still cross-shore, but perhaps a touch lighter. It’s not good, but it’s the least-bad moment in the whole 16-day window. After that, it’s straight back to poor conditions through the 20th.

So, bottom line: this is a long, bleak run. There’s no standout session here. If you’re desperate, keep an eye on Monday the 17th, but don’t hold your breath. It’s a rare blank spell for this break, and honestly, it tends not to stay this poor for long – forecasts can change. But for now, leave the board in the car and maybe go for a drive.

Rusty.

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