H-Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty here, and I’ve got a look at the 16-day picture for H-Reef. Let’s get into it.

Right off the bat, I have to be honest with you – this stretch is a tough one. The first few days are pretty much a write-off. The swell is there, but the wind is just ruining everything. We’re looking at a block of persistent, moderate to fresh cross-shore winds that are going to leave the surface chopped up and ugly. There’s some wave energy, but the quality is just not there for a proper paddle session. Frankly, the setup with these onshore winds and the swell size looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of the first week.

There is one small window that stands out for a potential dawn patrol. On Wednesday, July 29th, in the morning, we get a brief glimpse of something better. The wind goes light and variable – almost glassy – from the north. That’s a major positive and it will result in clean surf. The swell is about 6ft from the northeast with a period of 9 seconds and a solid moderate combined swell energy (532). The water temp is 79°F, which is about average for this time of year. This is your best bet in this whole outlook, but it’s only a brief chance before the wind swings around. But even then, it’s only graded as marginal, so manage your expectations.

After that, it’s a long slog. From the 30th of July all the way through the 13th of August, the story stays the same. The wind is almost constantly cross-shore from the east or east-northeast, blowing at 12-19 mph. The swell hangs around in the 4ft to 8ft range, but it’s mostly short-period windswell (7-9 seconds) and the conditions are consistently marked as “poor” or “marginal.” There is a pulse of stronger energy on the 1st of August with the swell hitting 8ft and the combined energy climbing into the four-digit range (1066-1113), but with that fresh cross-shore wind, it’ll be a lumpy, bumpy mess for experts only. Not a day to paddle out unless you’re looking for a fight.

The later part of the second week sees the swell drop off, with heights struggling to stay above 3ft and the wave energy weakening. By the 13th of August, we’re down to 3ft and a combined energy of just 107, which is weak. A long blank run is more normal for this area under this pattern.

So, to be straight with you: there’s no real standout session in this entire 16-day window. The Wednesday morning on the 29th of July is the only one that even comes close to being worth wetting a line, and that's a short-lived, marginal call. The rest is a lesson in patience.

Stay tuned, forecasts can change.

Rusty

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