Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, W swell with 50 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.9m 6s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 15) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. We’re looking at a pretty bleak stretch for the next couple of weeks. Honestly, it’s one of those quiet spells where the lake just shuts down.
The outlook starts with a tiny bit of potential on the morning of Sunday the 9th. Erie (Lake Erie) might see a tiny 0.2m swell from the west, with a 4-second period and a combined energy of just (1). The wind is a light cross-offshore from the ENE at 5 km/h, keeping things clean. The water’s sitting at 25°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only positive. It’s really not enough to get excited about.
Monday the 10th brings a bit more size—0.9m from the west, 6-second period, moderate energy (50)—but it’s ruined by a strong 30 km/h cross-shore wind from the SW. That’s a write-off. We see a small glimmer on Tuesday afternoon the 11th when the swell is only 0.3m, but the wind goes glassy from the ESE at 5 km/h. The combined energy is just (3), so you’d be fighting for knee-high dribbles.
After that, from Wednesday the 12th all the way through to the end of the period on Monday the 24th of August, there’s nothing. Zilch. The guidance keeps showing poor surf conditions with no recorded swell. We see a few glassy or clean afternoons, like on Wednesday the 19th or Saturday the 22nd, but without any wave energy (0) coming in, it’s just a flat lake.
There is no standout day here. The best of a bad bunch is probably Tuesday afternoon, 11th of August, if you’re desperate for a glassy surface, but you won’t be surfing much. For a spot like Erie (Lake Erie), it’s pretty normal to have long blank runs like this. Just gotta wait for the next weather system to stir things up. Forecasts can change, but right now it’s a hard no.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sun night. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 21°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Mon afternoon, calm by Tue afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 25°C on Wed afternoon, min 18°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Thu afternoon, calm by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | — | — | W 6 | W 5 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | — | WNW 2 | — | — | W 4 | WNW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 3 | NNE 4 | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | off |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — |
 | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:28 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — |
mm | — | — | 4 | 3 | — | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Feels °C | 25 | 27 | 26 | 22 | 24 | 28 | 25 | 27 | 25 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | — | — | — | — | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 6 | W 5 | — | W 4 | W 4 | — | WNW 2 | — | — | W 4 | WNW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 3 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 50 | 18 | — | 2 | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 554 | 552 | 680 | 1319 | 1267 | 554 | 638 | 562 | 680 | 1378 | 1399 | 680 | 831 | 831 | 292 | 874 | 724 | 874 | 874 | 1877 | 875 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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