Erie Surf Break

Lat Long: 42.14° N 80.15° W

Erie Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 04 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Erie sea temperature is
23.5°C
2.2° 

Erie surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Erie surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, WNW swell with 100 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.3m 6s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 8PM (Thu 10th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s happening with the surf over the next 16 days. I’ll be straight with you—this ain’t looking like a classic stretch. We’re staring down a long, dry run with only a tiny window of small, sickly waves early on, and then nothing but flatness for the rest of the outlook. The first few days have some activity, but it’s weak, and the quality is poor. After that, the lake goes quiet for a long stretch.

We’re looking at Erie (Erie) for the whole picture. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing crazy to report there.

The action, if you can call it that, starts on Saturday the 5th. Morning brings a tiny 1 ft swell from the NE with a period of just 3 seconds. That’s a short-period windswell, weak as it gets with combined energy of only (3). The wind is a moderate cross-shore breeze at 12 mph, creating a cross-chop. It’s not surfable in any meaningful way. The afternoon nudges up to 2 ft, still from the NE, period 4 seconds, and energy reaches (16), but it’s still a crummy, choppy mess.

Sunday the 6th sees a similar story. The morning has 1 ft from the NE with a period of 4 seconds and energy (5). The wind is a cross-offshore breeze, so the surface is clean, but the swell is tiny and weak. The afternoon brings 2 ft from the NE, period 4 seconds, energy (19), but the wind swings cross-shore, messing up the surface again.

Monday the 7th is the best of a bad bunch. The morning has the cleanest conditions with a gentle cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is a pathetic 0.3 ft from the NE with a period of 4 seconds and energy (1). It’s barely a ripple. The afternoon goes flat with zero energy.

From Tuesday the 8th right through to Sunday the 20th, the guidance shows zero energy and no swell. There are some clean, glassy moments, like the afternoon of the 15th and the morning of the 16th, but there’s nothing to ride. The lake is dead flat. The wind picks up again towards the end, with some strong onshore breeze, but it’s just blowing over a flat lake.

So, what’s the standout? Honestly, there isn’t one. The only tiny glimpse of something surfable is the early morning of Sunday the 6th, with the clean conditions and a 1 ft wave. It’s not good, but it’s the only option. For anyone who isn’t a beginner, this is a total bust. The swell never gets above 4 ft, and even that’s poor quality with onshore wind. This is a classic case of a long flat spell for the area. Keep your board in the car and your eyes on the horizon—forecasts can change.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Fri night, min 16°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 18°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue afternoon, fresh winds from the WSW by Wed night).

Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NE
3
0.6
NE
4
0.5
NE
5
0.4
NE
4
0.7
NE
4
0.3
NE
4
0.1
NE
4
0.3
SW
3
0.5
W
4
0.8
W
5
0.9
W
6
1.2
WNW
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
0
3
16
0
5
19
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
8
34
49
90
0
Wind (km/h)
5
NE
20
NE
20
NE
10
ENE
20
ENE
25
NE
15
ESE
15
ENE
20
NE
15
SE
10
SSE
5
E
25
SSW
30
SW
35
WSW
15
NW
30
NW
25
NW
15
NNE
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
High Tide
Low Tide
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:48
6:50
6:50
6:52
6:52
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:50
7:47
7:45
7:44
7:43
7:40
7:38
 mm
Temp °C
23
22
22
22
21
23
21
20
23
22
22
25
25
27
29
27
19
18
18
Feels °C
26
20
21
21
19
20
19
18
21
21
22
27
25
25
27
24
14
13
14
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.

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