Erie Surf Break

Lat Long: 42.14° N 80.15° W

Erie Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 am 01 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Erie sea temperature is
23.7° C
1.0° 

Erie surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Erie surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 4s period, NNE swell with 16 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.7m 4s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 5PM (Mon 3rd Aug)2.5ft (0.7m) 4s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, I’ve been staring at the charts for Erie, and to be honest, it’s a pretty grim picture for the next couple of weeks. This is a Lake Erie forecast, and it’s looking like a flat spell with almost no real surf to speak of. The water temp is sitting around 75°F, which is about a degree and a half warmer than usual for this time of year—nothing wild, just a touch of extra warmth for the lake.

The first bit of any wave action doesn’t show up until Monday, August 3rd, and even then it’s barely a blip. We’ve got a tiny 2ft swell from the NE with a 3-second period and a combined energy of just 5. That’s weak, windswell stuff, and with a cross wind of 16 mph, the surface is going to be choppy and messy. It’s really not worth paddling out for. The afternoon does see a little bump to 2ft from the NNE, but again, a 4-second period and a moderate breeze mean it’s all chop and no shape. After that, it’s back to flat or near-flat conditions right through to Sunday, August 16th. We’re talking days of zero energy and poor surf conditions.

Honestly, for the whole 16-day window, there isn’t a single standout or even a reasonable session in the lineup. The breaks are all marked as “poor surf conditions” with ratings of 0 out of 10. The combined energy drops to zero for the vast majority of the time. If you’ve got a kite, this might be more your scene—those cross-shore winds on the lake could be interesting for a session, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a solid no-go. The guidance does say Erie can be consistent, so while this stretch is a total blank, it’s likely just a run of bad luck. Forecasts can change, but for now, leave the boards at home.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 27°C on Sat afternoon, min 21°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Wed afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 21°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
NE
3
0.7
NNE
4
0.4
NE
4
0.3
NE
4
0.3
NE
3
0.2
W
3
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
16
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
Wind (km/h)
10
S
5
NE
15
NE
10
SSE
10
ENE
25
NE
25
NE
15
NE
10
E
15
ENE
20
NE
10
SE
10
SE
10
ENE
20
S
20
SW
15
WSW
15
SSW
25
SW
20
W
20
S
Wind State
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
Low Tide
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
mod rain
heavy rain
light rain
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:13
6:13
6:15
6:16
6:16
6:18
6:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:39
8:37
8:37
8:36
8:35
8:34
8:31
 mm
1
2
6
19
1
9
10
1
2
1
1
6
Temp °C
26
27
26
22
23
22
21
24
24
25
28
27
27
27
26
26
28
27
27
28
26
Feels °C
27
29
28
24
26
22
20
24
25
25
27
28
29
31
30
28
30
30
28
30
28
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.

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