Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 20 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 20 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period, NW swell with 51 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The surf forecast for Erie over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 5s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.0m 5s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 15) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Thu 20th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Thu 20th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Thu 20th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get real about the next couple of weeks. Honestly, it’s looking pretty flat and bleak for any proper waves. Right now, the long-range picture out there is a whole lot of nothing, and there are no good surf options on the table for this entire 16-day window. I’d be lying if I said I saw any light at the end of the tunnel.
We’re starting with a total flat spell. For the first few days, through the weekend, there is essentially zero swell energy, with the combined energy at 0 for Saturday. That water’s pushing 77°, which is a couple of degrees warmer than usual for this time of year, so if you’re just wanting a swim, it’s not bad. But for surfing? There’s nothing to ride.
We do see a pulse of weak, short-period swell kicking in for Sunday afternoon, and then a little more on Monday. We’re talking ankle-biters at best. Monday morning brings a northwest wind and a small 3ft swell from the NNW with a period of 4 seconds, with combined energy at 23. That’s weak, and the short period means it’ll be pretty gutless. Not worth getting wet.
After that, we’re looking at a long stretch of nothing but poor surf conditions, with all scores at zero and no swell energy until at least the middle of the next week. From Tuesday the 19th through the following weekend, it's mostly flat and choppy, with light winds and no proper groundswell. There’s a tiny bump on Thursday the 21st, at 2ft from the NNW, but it’s still weak and period is only 4 seconds. Not surfable.
The second week of the outlook, into late August, is no better. We’re just seeing a bunch of flat, crossed-up conditions. Even a small bit of overhead swell is nowhere to be seen. It’s a total dead period. There’s no standout break, no hidden gem. When the energy is this low, it just doesn't tend to stay poor for long, though. Forecasts can change, and this lake can turn on when you least expect it. But as of right now, I’d say leave the boards at home and maybe take the kite out if the wind picks up—the setups look more interesting for that than paddle surfing on those days with wind. I’ll keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath for the next couple of weeks.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sun night. Warm (max 27°C on Sun afternoon, min 20°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the WNW by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 24°C on Tue afternoon, min 20°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Tue morning, fresh winds from the WSW by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 3 | NE 4 | — | W 5 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | W 4 | NW 5 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | N 4 | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 51 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross | off | cross-off | cross | on | on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | | |  | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — |
 | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:14 | — | — | 8:12 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 24 |
Feels °C | 26 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 30 | 29 | 21 | 24 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 3 | — | — | W 5 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | W 4 | NW 5 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | N 4 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 1 | — | — | 15 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 51 | 21 | 5 | 12 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1740 | 3250 | 1454 | 1386 | 1761 | 1324 | 552 | 552 | 552 | 553 | 566 | 552 | 503 | 1376 | 0 | 507 | 1643 | 680 | 571 | 624 | 680 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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