Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 4s period, NE swell with 8 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.5m 4s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 4s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – this is a tough one.
Right now, looking at the whole 16-day window, there’s simply nothing to get excited about. The first week is a total bust. We’re staring down a long stretch of flat, clean conditions with zero swell energy (0) for days on end. You’ll see glassy mornings and clean afternoons, but it’s a lake out there, not a surf break. The wind is all over the place, but it doesn’t matter because there’s no swell to ride. This pattern runs right through the first week and into the second.
Things stay quiet right through until the 13th of August. There’s a tiny blip on the 3rd of August with a weak 2 ft swell from the NE, but it’s got a short period of 4 seconds and the combined energy is a pathetic 8 – that’s barely a ripple. The wind is cross-shore, making it even less appealing. It’s not worth paddling out for.
The real standout, and honestly, the only hope in this entire forecast, is the afternoon of Thursday, the 13th of August over at Erie. We get a lull in the swell, but the wind finally goes offshore from the ESE at 12 mph. The guidance says Erie is a consistent spot that’s exposed to swell from the W, and it’s already a place that sees crowds sometimes. While the swell is absent, the wind is howling offshore, which means the surface will be clean. If any tiny pulse of wind swell shows up, this is the only window with a chance of a clean, rideable wave. It’s a long shot, but it’s the only shot we’ve got. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.
Beyond that, the 14th and 15th offer clean, glassy mornings but still no swell. It’s a long, dry spell. The setup at Erie is a beach, so with the strong winds and flat water, honestly, this is looking more like a kiteboarding window than a surfing one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Warm (max 28°C on Sat afternoon, min 20°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 21°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NNE 3 | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||
 | | |  |  | |  |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | |  | | |
 | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — |
 | 8:42 | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:35 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 13 | 7 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 3 |
Temp °C | 24 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 25 |
Feels °C | 24 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 24 | 28 | 26 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 29 | 30 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NNE 3 | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 552 | 552 | 697 | 554 | 554 | 1259 | 791 | 724 | 1368 | 503 | 791 | 548 | 680 | 552 | 702 | 559 | 1267 | 1376 | 1319 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Erie surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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