Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period, NNW swell with 155 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.5m 6s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the Lake Erie stretch.
Straight up, I gotta be honest with you – this is one of those outlooks where the lake is just takin’ a nap. There’s no surf on the cards for the entire 16-day window. From Wednesday the 29th of July all the way through to Thursday the 13th of August, it’s a total blank. Every single session is marked as poor surf conditions, and the scores are dead zero. So, don’t wax up just yet.
We do get a little pulse of energy on the very first morning, Wednesday the 29th of July. The swell is coming from the NNW at about 4ft, but the period is a short, weak 6 seconds, and the wind is a cross-on from the North at 12 mph. Combined energy is only 80 – that’s really weak, barely a ripple. The water is sitting at 74°, which is about one degree warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s a touch warmer than average, but that won’t help the waves. The break is Erie, and it’s exposed, but with that short-period, wind-affected slop, it’s just not worth paddling out for. The conditions are choppy and messy.
By Thursday afternoon the 30th, the swell drops to a tiny 1ft, energy is a measly 2, and the wind is light and cross-on. It’s flat, mate. From Friday the 31st onward, we see zeros across the board for swell height and energy. There are a few glassy mornings on the 4th and 5th of August, and again on the 11th of August, but with no swell to ride, it’s just a flat, pretty lake. Towards the end, on the 13th of August, the wind picks up to a fresh 19 mph cross-on from the NNE, but with no waves, it’s just lumpy water.
Look, Erie is consistent, but when it’s flat, it’s flat. A blank run like this is a bit of a bummer, but it happens. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it, but for now, the boards stay in the shed.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Wed afternoon, min 20°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sat morning, min 19°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 6 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NE 3 | — | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 80 | 90 | 77 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | on | off | cross | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 | |  | | | | |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — |
 | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:42 | — | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:36 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 18 | 25 | 21 | 20 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 6 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NE 3 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 80 | 90 | 77 | 20 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 553 | 552 | 556 | 556 | 553 | 557 | 556 | 697 | 697 | 697 | 1603 | 984 | 554 | 682 | 552 | 552 | 552 | 553 | 553 | 548 | 554 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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