Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 4s period, W swell with 8 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.5m 4s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 4s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – this is a tough one for the Lake Erie region. I'm looking at the next 16 days, and honestly, we're in a flat spell. There’s a big gap with no real surf to speak of.
The forecast starts with Friday afternoon, 28 August. At Erie, we’ve got a tiny 0.7 ft swell from the NNE, but it's got no energy behind it (combined energy of just 1). The water is sitting at 74°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. It’s glassy, but there’s simply nothing to ride. That sets the tone.
From Saturday, 29 August, all the way through to Sunday, 12 September, it’s a write-off. The models show nothing but zeros for wave height and energy. We get a few moments of clean, glassy conditions and some light offshore breezes, like on the mornings of Wednesday, 3 September, and Saturday, 5 September, but without a wave, it doesn't matter. A little bump shows up on Wednesday morning, 2 September, with a 2 ft swell from the W, but the wind is a messy cross-shore at 12 mph, and the energy is still weak (8). It’s not worth a paddle.
So, here’s the hard truth: there are zero standouts in this 16-day window. The consistency just isn't there. For a lake setup, this kind of blank run is more normal than we'd like. It tends not to stay poor for long, but for now, the lake is flat. If you absolutely have to get wet, the best you can hope for is a glassy morning on the 11th of September, but you’ll be bobbing around on a mill pond. Maybe the kites will have a day on the 6th of September with that 15 mph cross-off, but for paddle surfing, this is a no-go.
Keep the board waxed, and check back with me. Forecasts can change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 25°C on Sat afternoon, min 18°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Wed night. Warm (max 30°C on Wed night, min 22°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SW by Wed night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | WSW 4 | WSW 3 | W 4 | W 4 | — | W 3 | — | — |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — |
 | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:55 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:51 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 22 | 21 | 21 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | WSW 4 | WSW 3 | W 4 | W 4 | — | W 3 | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | — | 2 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 567 | 565 | 571 | 699 | 680 | 771 | 2807 | 566 | 652 | 1378 | 573 | 570 | 2901 | 779 | 722 | 922 | 686 | 568 | 553 | 599 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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