Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 5s period, WNW swell with 24 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.7m 5s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you about this one. We’ve got a 16-day window ahead, and honestly, it’s a tough one for the Lake Erie region. The forecast is basically a long stretch of flat, small, or just plain messy conditions. There’s a real gap here from the start right through to the end, with barely a ripple worth paddling for. The first real chance at anything is a minor blip early on, but after that, it’s a whole lot of nothing.
Looking at the numbers, we have to talk about the first few days. On Saturday the 11th of July, the wind is pumping from the NE at 12 mph, which is just cross-shore and no good. The swell is a tiny 1 ft to 2 ft from the NE with a period of only 4 seconds – that’s just wind chop, no energy at all. The combined energy is a weak 4 to 16. It’s all labeled “poor surf conditions,” and I can’t argue with that. The water temp is a very unusual 77°, which is a massive 6° warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a weird one for July.
The next few days are even worse. Sunday the 12th through to the end of the window on Sunday the 26th of July is a desert. The swell is either non-existent or just a tiny, weak 0.7 ft to 2 ft with periods of 3 to 5 seconds. The combined energy is almost always 0 or a single-digit number. The wind is mostly cross-shore or cross-onshore, creating chop and ripples. There’s no clean surf to be had. Even a rare bit of glassy or offshore wind appears on the 25th, but there’s no swell to ride.
So, the bottom line is: there are zero standout options. For a lake like Erie, this kind of blank run is more normal than not. It’s a summer flat spell. Don’t get your hopes up. If you absolutely have to get wet, you’re looking at a kiteboard, not a surfboard, with that persistent cross-shore wind. The forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a no-go.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sat afternoon, min 20°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 23°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | — | — | WSW 3 | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 5 | W 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNE 3 | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | off |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — |
 | — | 8:57 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:54 | — | — | 8:54 | — | — | 8:53 | — | — | 8:52 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 27 |
Feels °C | 25 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 24 | 25 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 5 | — | — | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 3 | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 5 | W 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNE 3 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 4 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 16 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 718 | 831 | 880 | 831 | 886 | 554 | 695 | 665 | 589 | 568 | 624 | 665 | 569 | 556 | 554 | 652 | 2990 | 984 | 1376 | 1259 | 1039 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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