Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 5s period, NNW swell with 39 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.9m 5s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Friday (Sep 11) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let me tell you straight: it’s a grim picture for Erie over this entire 16-day run. There just aren't any good surf options on the table. The whole stretch from now through the end of September is one long flat spell with nothing worth paddling out for. Swell energy barely registers, hitting only 3 at its best, and even that is weak. For a spot that’s consistent, this is a real bummer.
We’ve got a few tiny pulses of swell, like Thursday afternoon the 10th, with a 1ft WNW windswell, period a short 4 seconds, and a cross-onshore breeze. The water is way warmer than normal for this time of year at 74°, a big 5° anomaly, but that’s the only interesting thing. Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th are completely flat. Sunday the 13th shows a similarly tiny 1ft WNW swell, again short period, and the wind stays cross-onshore.
Monday the 14th brings a 1ft NE swell, still short period, with a cross-onshore breeze. Tuesday the 15th has the biggest wave of the whole period, a 2ft SW swell, still a short 3-second period, but at least the combined energy climbs to 12. Still, it’s called “poor surf conditions.” Wednesday the 16th sees a 2ft N swell, period still 4 seconds, energy up to 19. That’s the most energy we see, but it’s still weak (under 100), and it’s cross-shore winds.
From Thursday the 17th onward, it’s all zeroes. A total blank. Day after day of nothing. The only thing that changes is the wind. By Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd, we get strong offshore and clean conditions, but there’s no swell to work with at all. It’s a frustrating run—sometimes it stays flat here, but not much we can do but wait for forecasts to change. If the wind stays strong and clean but the lake stays flat, it’s more of a kite-surfing setup than anything for a paddle surfer.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 25°C on Sat afternoon, min 20°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Tue night. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSE on Mon night, calm by Wed morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | NNE 3 | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | N 3 | NE 4 | NE 3 | — | SW 3 | W 4 | NW 5 | N 4 | — | — |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 38 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  | |  | |  |  | | | | | | |  | | |  | |  | |
 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — |
 | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:29 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Temp °C | 24 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 25 | 30 | 27 | 22 | 21 | 20 |
Feels °C | 23 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 20 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 23 | 31 | 29 | 26 | 20 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNE 3 | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | N 3 | NE 4 | NE 3 | — | SW 3 | W 4 | NW 5 | N 4 | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | 12 | 38 | 19 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 552 | 599 | 574 | 567 | 680 | 1324 | 1742 | 566 | 503 | 570 | 554 | 571 | 559 | 791 | 1259 | 2904 | 292 | 878 | 771 | 695 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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