Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 6s period, NW swell with 178 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.6m 6s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about Erie. I’ll be straight with you – this is a rough one. The whole 16-day stretch is basically a flat spell. There’s a tiny bump of swell on the 21st and 22nd of July, but it’s messy and not worth getting worked up over. The water’s running warm, about 76°, which is a couple of degrees above normal for this time of year – feels more like a summer bath than a lake.
Let’s start with the only real action, which is Tuesday morning the 21st. We’ve got a small 3 ft swell from the west, with a short period of 6 seconds. That’s windswell, not groundswell, so it’s not going to have much push. The combined energy is a weak 42 – barely a ripple. The wind is a strong 22 mph from the SSW, blowing cross-offshore. That’ll keep the surface clean, but that wind is going to be a battle to paddle into. By Tuesday afternoon, the swell picks up to 3 ft, still from the west, but the wind swings to the WSW and goes cross-shore, creating a lumpy, choppy mess. The energy improves a bit to 86, but it’s still weak.
Wednesday morning the 22nd is the best of a bad bunch. The swell hits 5 ft from the NW, still with a short period of 6 seconds, and the combined energy is 133 – moderate, but not powerful. The wind is WNW at 19 mph, blowing cross-onshore, so it’s going to be lumpy and rough. For a lake break, this is just not going to be fun. It’s too big for beginners, but the conditions are so poor it’s only for the hardcore. After Wednesday afternoon, the swell just drops off a cliff. From Thursday the 23rd all the way through to the 4th of August, it’s a flat, dead lake. The wind is all over the place – some glassy mornings, some cross-offshore breezes – but with no swell, it’s a total write-off.
There’s no standout here. The best you could hope for is a few small, grovelly waves on Wednesday morning if you’re desperate, but honestly, it’s not worth the drive. There’s a 12-day gap from the 23rd all the way through to the end of the forecast with zero recommendations. This is pretty normal for a lake in summer – it can go flat for weeks. The conditions look more interesting for kite surfing than paddling on those windy days, but for surf, we’re waiting.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Tue morning. Warm (max 25°C on Mon afternoon, min 17°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SSW by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sat afternoon, min 18°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 6 | W 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | N 4 | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 0 | 42 | 86 | 132 | 133 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | off | glassy | cross | off | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | |  | | | |  | | | |
 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — |
 | 8:51 | — | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:49 | — | — | 8:47 | — | — | 8:46 | — | — | 8:45 | — |
mm | — | — | 6 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 25 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 25 |
Feels °C | 25 | 25 | 19 | 24 | 24 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 28 | 29 | 23 | 27 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 6 | W 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | N 4 | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 42 | 86 | 132 | 133 | 60 | 13 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2542 | 1225 | 1735 | 1735 | 680 | 549 | 552 | 568 | 556 | 552 | 548 | 652 | 702 | 552 | 723 | 862 | 565 | 593 | 624 | 552 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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