Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 6s period, WNW swell with 132 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.4m 6s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, and let me tell you, it's a tough stretch ahead for the Lake Erie shores. We're looking at a solid 16-day window, but honest to goodness, the first couple of weeks are pretty grim. There's a big gap at the start with nothing worth paddling out for.
The first real glimmer of hope doesn't show up until Thursday, September 10th. Up until then, we've got days of tiny, short-period windswell with nasty cross-shore winds – a real recipe for frustration, not a good wave.
Alright, so Thursday the 10th. Erie (Lake Erie) wakes up with a pulse. We're talking a northwesterly groundswell, pushing about 5ft on the morning and 4ft in the afternoon. The period is a pretty average 6 seconds, so it's not got that long-period grunt, but the combined energy finally climbs into the moderate range (132 on the morning, 115 on the afternoon). That's the only time in the whole outlook we see any real power. The catch? The wind is howling onshore from the WNW/NW at 15 mph. That's going to chop it up something fierce. It's a session for the hardcore only, maybe more of a kitesurfing breeze than a clean paddle, but it's the only wave in town. Water temp is a balmy 75°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won't freeze waiting for a set.
After that, it's a dust bowl again. From Friday the 11th all the way through to Sunday the 20th of September, it's flat. Zero swell. Zilch. Nada. We get a few glassy mornings on Tuesday the 8th and Saturday the 19th, but without any swell, that's just a nice day to be on the lake, not to surf. There's simply no other options in the forecast.
So, if you're desperate, Thursday the 10th is your one and only shot, and it's a messy one. Otherwise, put the board away and wait for the next system. This is one of those blank runs that's pretty normal for the Lake when the pattern settles in.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat afternoon, min 16°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 28°C on Wed afternoon, min 16°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, strong winds from the WSW by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 3 | — | — | — | — | SW 3 | W 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | NW 6 | N 5 | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 89 | 132 | 115 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross | cross | off |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 | |  | | |  | | | |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — |
 | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 17 |
Feels °C | 20 | 22 | 21 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 23 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 4 | — | — | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 4 | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | — | NE 3 | — | — | — | — | SW 3 | W 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | NW 6 | N 5 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 5 | 7 | — | 4 | 19 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 22 | 89 | 132 | 115 | 53 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 887 | 2542 | 760 | 556 | 652 | 554 | 554 | 554 | 554 | 599 | 1899 | 686 | 771 | 981 | 1362 | 556 | 556 | 292 | 652 | 680 | 554 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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