Erie Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, friends, let’s get down to it. I’ve been staring at the charts for the next sixteen days, and I’m not gonna lie, it’s a tough pill to swallow. There’s just nothing out there that’s going to get the heart racing. The forecast is devoid of any solid surf, a long stretch of nothing-to-write-home-about. There are moments of clean water, but the swell just never shows up. It's a brutal run.

The first faint glimmer of hope comes on Sunday the 16th. A little pulse of west swell shows up, but it’s getting chopped up by a cross-onshore wind, so it’s a messy, lumpy mess. The energy is weak, a real quiet 15. You’d be surfing ankle-biters, and honestly, it’s just not worth the effort of getting wet.

Monday the 17th brings a tiny bit more energy from the NNW, pushing the wave height to about 3ft at Erie (Erie). The period is a short 4 seconds, which is never a good sign. It’s going to be weak, crumbly, and pretty gutless. The morning wind is offshore from the NW, which is a positive, but that little bit of swell is too weak and messy to do anything with. The energy is only 23, confirming it’s a no-go.

Then it’s a dead zone. From Tuesday the 18th through the 19th, the swell just vanishes. There is zero surfable energy. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-shore, and the water looks like a lake with wind ripples. Time to find other things to do.

There’s a whisper of potential on Thursday the 20th. The morning sees a 3ft swell from the NNW with a period of 5 seconds. It’s the biggest we’ve seen, but it’s still pretty junky. The energy is moderate at 30, but the short period means it will be soft and fat, not much push. The morning wind is cross-shore, but it does swing to a cross-offshore in the afternoon, which might clean things up a little. Still, 3ft at 5 seconds is marginal at best. It’s a day only for the local die-hards.

And then, nothing. From Friday the 21st all the way to the end of the month, the charts are completely flat. We see some glassy days, like Friday the 21st and Thursday the 27th, but with no swell, all you have is a mirror. You might as well take up kayaking.

Erie (Erie) is a consistent break, so I hold out hope it won't be this bad for long. Forecasts change, and we could get a surprise. But as it stands now, this whole period is a write-off. There’s no one day that stands out, no swell worth chasing. The best thing to do is to kick back, do some maintenance on your board, and wait for the next proper groundswell to arrive. It’s a waiting game.

Talk soon, Rusty.

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