Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 6s period, NW swell with 196 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.6m 6s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's break down what's happening on Lake Erie in Imperial. Gotta level with you—this whole 16-day stretch is lookin' pretty grim. There's a massive gap of flat, poor conditions from now right through to the end, with barely a ripple worth paddlin' for.
The water temp at Erie is runnin' way above normal, about 76°F, which is about 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year. That's a big anomaly. But warm water won't save a flat lake.
For the first few days, the combined swell energy is either zero or in the weak zone—numbers like 0, 25, 64, with a brief spike to 156 on the morning of July 22nd. That morning brings a moderate 156 energy with a 5ft swell from the NW at a short 6-second period, but it's onshore and messy. Not exactly prime.
There is no standout session across this whole period. Everything is flagged as poor surf conditions. The only thing remotely close to a pulse is that Wednesday 22nd July morning, and even then, the wind's on it. Might be more interesting for kite surfers than paddle surfers. Crowds are "sometimes" an issue here, but you won't have to fight for waves when there's barely any.
From late July into the start of August, it's all zeros. No swell, flat water, often cross-onshore breezes. This is a typical flat spell for the area—don't let it get you down, things can always change.
If you're holding out hope, maybe glance at the 22nd July morning. But honestly? Not much to get excited about.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 32mm), heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 18°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the W by Sat afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 17°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Mon night, strong winds from the NW by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 5 | WNW 6 | N 6 | NNE 4 | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | W 6 | W 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NW 4 | WNW 3 | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 37 | 69 | 91 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 52 | 132 | 156 | 69 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  |  | | |  | |  |  |  | | | | |  | | |  | |
 | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — |
 | 8:52 | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:49 | — |
mm | — | 4 | 2 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 26 | 29 | 23 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 27 | 25 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
Feels °C | 26 | 26 | 28 | 24 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 26 | 26 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 5 | — | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 5 | WNW 6 | N 6 | NNE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | W 6 | W 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NW 4 | WNW 3 | — |
| kJ | — | 37 | 69 | 91 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | 52 | 132 | 156 | 69 | 24 | 5 | 1 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1259 | 1267 | 573 | 567 | 553 | 556 | 571 | 588 | 697 | 724 | 1386 | 2996 | 1324 | 550 | 567 | 503 | 553 | 559 | 552 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Erie surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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