Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 21 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, WNW swell with 52 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.9m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what's coming up for us on Lake Erie. I gotta be straight with you – it’s a dry spell and a long one. The good news is, with a lake this size, it never stays flat forever.
So, here’s the deal for the next two weeks and a bit: we’ve got almost nothing on the table. For the first few days, starting Wednesday the 15th of July, we’re looking at tiny, weak waves – we’re talking 0.3m to 0.7m tops. That’s about 1 to 2 feet. The combined energy is pathetic, peaking at just 20 on Sunday the 19th. That's barely a ripple. The wind is all over the place, mostly cross-on and choppy, which isn't doing us any favours. Then, from Friday the 17th of July afternoon, things just flatline. We’ve got a solid stretch from that point all the way through to the end of the month where the wave comment is just "poor surf conditions" and the energy is zero. That’s a massive gap. There’s a few moments Monday the 20th and later on with clean-looking cross-off winds, but with no swell to work with, it’s just a glassy lake.
Given this is a lake and not the ocean, a blank run like this is more normal. The wind just isn’t lining up with any significant fetch. Looking at the guidance, the spot is Erie, which is exposed to a W swell. But the wind is stubbornly coming from the wrong directions or it's just too weak to generate anything worthwhile. The water is much warmer than normal, sitting at 76°, but that’s little comfort when you can’t get a ride.
Honestly, the only thing that’s worth keeping an eye on is if the forecasts change. For now, there are zero standouts, zero options, and zero waves. It’s a gear-check, lake-watch kind of period. We'll see what the next system brings.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Wed afternoon, min 22°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 18°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Sat night, calm by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | W 4 | — | NNW 3 | — | NNW 3 | — | — | — | WSW 4 | W 5 | WNW 5 | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | — | — | W 3 | W 5 | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 | |  | |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | |
 | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | — | 8:54 | — | — | 8:53 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:50 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 28 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 29 | 29 | 20 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Feels °C | 26 | 30 | 30 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 30 | 26 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 25 | 18 | 16 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | W 4 | — | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 4 | W 5 | WNW 5 | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | — | — | W 3 | W 5 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 9 | 5 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 15 | 31 | 19 | 4 | — | — | 1 | 10 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 692 | 638 | 680 | 1643 | 1762 | 603 | 1267 | 1259 | 1378 | 1267 | 2542 | 769 | 569 | 553 | 552 | 552 | 702 | 680 | 567 | 567 | 562 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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