Erie Surf Break

Lat Long: 42.14° N 80.15° W

Issued: 7 pm 05 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Erie sea temperature is
23.7° C

2.9°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Erie surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Erie surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 5s period, NNE swell with 33 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.8m 5s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 5PM (Mon 6th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 5s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's shaking for the next couple of weeks.

Well, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough one. Looking at the whole 16-day window, there's just not a lot of love in the water for the Lake Erie zone. The finder is coming up empty, and the guidance isn't giving us much to work with. We've got a serious dry spell on our hands.

For the first week, from Monday the 6th of July right through to Sunday the 12th, we're seeing tiny, weak swell. The energy is just pathetic, with the combined energy barely cracking 33 (moderate). The swell direction is all over the place, from NE to WSW, but the heights are laughable – we're talking 1.0 ft to 3 ft at best, with a short, gutless period of 3 to 5 seconds. Plus, the wind is mostly a mess, cross or cross-on, which just chops it up. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there. But honestly, there's not a single recommendable window here. The setups look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on those days.

Then, from Monday the 13th of July right through to the end of the forecast on Tuesday the 21st of July, the swell completely flatlines. Zero energy. The combined energy is 0 for the entire stretch. The wind does turn glassy and offshore at times, which is a tease, but without any swell, it's just a flat lake. There's a stretch of about 9 days there with absolutely nothing to surf.

I know it's a bummer, but it tends not to stay poor for long around here, and forecasts can change. Keep your eyes peeled, but for now, there's no reason to wax the board. This kind of blank run is more normal for the area, so don't lose hope.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Warm (max 24°C on Sun night, min 21°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NE on Mon night, calm by Wed morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Thu afternoon, min 21°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sun
12
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
NE
5
0.5
NE
5
0.8
NNE
5
0.6
NNE
5
0.6
NNE
4
0.5
NE
4
0.2
NNE
4
0.3
WSW
3
0.3
W
4
0.4
W
4
0.6
WNW
4
0.5
NW
4
0.5
N
4
0.5
NNW
4
0.4
NNW
3
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
0
11
33
15
12
9
0
0
0
0
2
3
5
15
7
7
8
3
0
0
0
Wind (km/h)
15
ENE
20
ENE
30
NE
20
ENE
20
ENE
20
NE
10
NE
5
NW
5
W
15
S
20
SW
20
W
20
SSW
25
WSW
15
NNW
10
ENE
10
ESE
20
NE
10
SE
5
WSW
10
W
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
Low Tide
cloud
light rain
thunderstorm
rain showers
cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:50
5:50
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:54
5:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:59
8:59
8:59
8:58
8:58
8:57
8:57
8:55
 mm
4
4
4
1
1
2
2
3
Temp °C
24
22
23
23
23
24
24
23
24
25
25
27
26
24
25
24
25
26
25
25
27
Feels °C
26
22
22
21
23
24
25
25
26
27
25
27
28
24
27
26
27
26
26
28
30
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
NE
5
0.2
NNE
4
0.2
W
4
Energy kJ
11
1
1
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
Energy kJ
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
Energy kJ
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
NE
5
0.8
NNE
5
0.6
NNE
5
0.6
NNE
4
0.5
NE
4
0.3
WSW
3
0.3
W
4
0.4
W
4
0.6
WNW
4
0.5
NW
4
0.5
N
4
0.5
NNW
4
0.4
NNW
3
Energy kJ
11
33
15
12
9
2
3
5
15
7
7
8
3
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
1324
568
1881
567
566
566
569
556
784
567
554
769
553
554
574
554
571
697
697
838
1234
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States
Rating
(10 max)
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
3
2
4
2
2
4
2
2
4
4
2
4
3
3
3
3
2
3
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
7
8
7
5
5
9
6
9
9
5
6
5
4
5
5
4
5
4
4
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.

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