Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 20 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 5s period, WNW swell with 78 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.2m 5s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 19) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sun 20th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’.
Well, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it—this is a tough one. For the entire 16-day outlook, there’s just nothing doing. The first record kicks off on Monday, September 14, but don’t get your hopes up. We’ve got a run of nearly two weeks here with zilch in the way of rideable surf. There are a few days with tiny scraps of wave energy, but honestly, nothing that’s worth paddling out for. The whole stretch is basically a flat spell.
Let’s break it down. On Monday the 14th, there’s a tiny bump of 2 ft from the north with a 4-second period—weak, short-period junk with a combined energy of just 19. That’s not enough to push a leaf. The wind is cross-onshore at 12 mph in the morning, making it choppy. Afternoon goes glassy but the swell drops to 1 ft and energy plummets to 2. It’s dead.
Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th? Nothing on the charts. Clean winds but zero swell. Thursday the 17th afternoon sees a tiny 2 ft from the north with a 4-second period, energy at 6, but it’s glassy. Still, that’s not surf, that’s a ripple.
Friday the 18th morning has 3 ft from the north-northeast at 5 seconds, energy up to 24. That’s the biggest bump in the whole period, but 24 combined energy is still weak. Cross-shore wind at 12 mph keeps it messy. Not worth the drive.
From Saturday the 19th all the way through to Tuesday the 29th of September, it’s a total blank. Zero swell, zero wave energy. The wind does go offshore a few times—like on the 22nd with a fresh 19 mph offshore breeze—but there’s no swell to groom. It’s just clean and flat.
Water temp at Erie is sitting at 74°, which is 6° warmer than normal for this time of year—that’s a big anomaly. Unusually warm for September, but it doesn’t help when there’s no surf.
Bottom line: if you’re looking for waves, you’re out of luck. The lake is flat as a pancake. This kind of dry spell happens here. Forecasts can change, but right now, there’s nothing on the horizon worth chasing.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 25°C on Tue afternoon, min 14°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 25°C on Sat afternoon, min 19°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | N 3 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | NE 3 | N 4 | NNE 4 | NNE 5 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | NE 4 | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 | |  | | |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | | |  |  | | | | |
 | 6:58 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — |
 | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 17 | 2 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 14 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 22 | 20 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 24 | 27 | 24 | 20 | 18 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 3 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | NE 4 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | N 4 | NNE 4 | NNE 5 | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 571 | 680 | 567 | 1267 | 1376 | 1376 | 1735 | 1427 | 559 | 552 | 862 | 589 | 569 | 652 | 788 | 838 | 1378 | 54 | 552 | 568 | 562 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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