Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 5s period, NE swell with 23 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.7m 5s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Sun 12th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for our local stretch of water.
Straight up, I gotta be honest with you – this is a rough one. Looking at the entire 16-day window, there’s basically nothing to get excited about. We’re staring down the barrel of a long, flat spell starting right now and running all the way through to the end of the forecast. The data shows a whole lot of zeros for wave energy, with the only real blip being a tiny bit of swell early on, but it’s nothing to write home about. For the first week, we’ve got a few days where there’s technically some swell, but it’s accompanied by poor conditions, making it a real struggle. After that, from around the 18th of July onward, it’s a total dead zone with no surf at all. So, if you’re looking for a paddle, you’re going to be waiting a long time.
The only real period with any size at all is the first few days. On Sunday the 12th, we see a tiny 2ft NE swell creep in during the afternoon. The energy is weak (23), and it’s a short-period 5-second wind swell. The wind is cross-shore and choppy, so it’s not going to be pretty. Monday the 13th is a complete write-off with zero energy. Tuesday the 14th and Wednesday the 15th show a small W swell, but it’s barely 2ft at best, with a weak period and strong cross-onshore winds making it a choppy mess. None of it is worth paddling out for.
As for the water, it’s worth noting that the water is sitting at a balmy 77°F on Sunday morning, which is a whopping 5°F warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a serious anomaly, but it’s the only highlight in a grim forecast.
Given the complete lack of any decent swell with clean conditions, there’s nothing to recommend. The setup is more suited to a flat day on the lake than any kind of surfing. Keep the boards in the garage, folks. This one’s a washout.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 21°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 17°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the WNW by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 4 | — | — | — | WSW 3 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 4 | NW 3 | N 3 | WNW 2 | — | NW 4 | NW 3 | W 3 | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | off | cross | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — |
 | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:54 | — | — | 8:54 | — | — | 8:53 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:52 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 24 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
Feels °C | 21 | 23 | 24 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 20 | 23 | 20 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | — | — | — | — | W 3 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | NE 5 | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 4 | NW 3 | — | WNW 2 | — | NW 4 | NW 3 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 4 | 23 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 3 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 652 | 1376 | 875 | 984 | 2996 | 582 | 567 | 929 | 686 | 680 | 557 | 552 | 554 | 699 | 885 | 878 | 878 | 1267 | 886 | 1043 | 981 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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