Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 5s period, WNW swell with 36 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.8m 5s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 2s period and expected on Friday (Aug 14) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Sun 16th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's cookin' for our local Lake Erie scene right now. Straight up, I gotta be honest with ya – the next fortnight is lookin' pretty bleak. We're staring down a serious drought of swell energy, so don't get your hopes up for anything worth paddling out for.
The pattern ahead is stubbornly flat for the vast majority of the 16-day window. We've got a massive gap of no surf at all, stretching from now all the way through to the end of the period on the 29th of August. You'll see a tiny blink of energy around the 16th, but it's so weak it's hardly worth mentioning.
Let's break down the only real glimmer, and it's a faint one.
Sunday, 16th August
This is it, the only period with any measurable wave energy. Early Sunday morning at Erie, we'll see a tiny 2ft swell muscling in from the west. The period is a short, weak 4 seconds and the combined energy is next to nothing (13). It's a poor surf condition. By the afternoon, the wind swings onshore from the west at 12 mph, bumping the swell up to a measly 3ft from the WNW, but it gets choppy and messy with a period of just 5 seconds and energy still pathetic (36). The cross-onshore wind and short period will makes for a real junky, blown-out mess. Honestly, with that onshore breeze and weak, short-period chop, this looks more like a day for the kiteboarders to get a session in than for a paddle surfer to bother.
Besides that, from Monday the 17th all the way through to the 29th of August, it's completely flat. The combined energy sits at 0 for every session. We get some glassy mornings and clean offshore breezes here and there, but without any swell, it's just a lake surface. A few times the wind picks up from the south-west, but that's just creating cross-chop on a flat lake. Nothing to ride.
The water temp at this break is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual to report there.
So, the bottom line: There are zero good surf options in this entire 16-day outlook. This area is prone to these flat spells in summer when there's no storm activity on the lake. It's a blank run, plain and simple.
Keep your board waxed, watch the forecasts, and hopefully we'll see a better pattern develop.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 26°C on Fri afternoon, min 21°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 20°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NE 4 | W 4 | WNW 5 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | — | — | — | WSW 3 | W 4 | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 36 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||
 | |  |  | | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — |
 | 8:23 | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 |
Temp °C | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 27 | 23 |
Feels °C | 27 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 21 | 28 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | — | W 4 | WNW 5 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 3 | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | W 4 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 13 | 36 | 14 | 9 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1376 | 1378 | 3194 | 2633 | 1740 | 3194 | 933 | 54 | 1324 | 552 | 553 | 552 | 571 | 556 | 862 | 552 | 589 | 771 | 791 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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