Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 4s period, NE swell with 8 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.5m 4s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 4s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this is a tough one for the Lake Erie region. The whole 16-day window is looking pretty grim. I’ve been through the numbers, and there’s just no good surf on offer. It’s one of those stretches where the lake just doesn’t want to play ball.
We’re looking at a solid blank run from now, Thursday, September 3rd, all the way through to Friday, September 18th. That’s over two weeks with nothing worth paddling out for. The wave energy is basically non-existent – we’re looking at combined swell energy readings of just 3 to 7 (weak), and those are the “best” days. Most days the energy is a flat zero. Don’t get your hopes up.
The only break we’ve got to look at is Erie (Lake Erie). The water temp is sitting at 74°F which is a wild 4°F warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a standout anomaly, but it doesn’t help the waves.
Let’s run through the few days that at least have a pulse. On Thursday, September 3rd, we’ve got a tiny 1 foot from the west with a period of only 4 seconds. That’s short-period, weak windswell, and the wind is cross-on at 9 mph. It’s choppy and messy. No good.
Friday, September 4th is even smaller – 0.7 feet from the west, 3-second period. The wind is onshore or cross-on. Not worth a look.
Saturday, September 5th sees a shift. A little 1 feet from the northeast with a 3-second period. The wind goes cross-offshore on Saturday afternoon with a clean look. But the swell is still tiny and weak. The combined energy is only 5. It’s better than the rest of the week, but it’s not surfable.
Sunday, September 6th has a slight bump: 2 feet from the northeast, period still only 4 seconds. The wind is cross-off in the morning at 16 mph, which is a bit strong, but keeps it clean. The afternoon sees a small cross-chop. Energy hits 7, which is the highest of the whole 16-day forecast. Still, with that short period, it’s going to be weak and mushy.
From Monday, September 7th onward, it’s a total write-off. Days of flat conditions, strong onshore or cross-off winds, and zero energy. The winds get nasty by mid-September – 25 mph from the west on Wednesday, September 16th, with strong cross-onshore and messy conditions. That’s kite-surfing weather, not paddle-surfing.
Honestly, this is a classic Lake Erie drought. It happens. The forecast can change, and it tends not to stay this poor for long, but for now, leave the boards in the shed. There’s nothing here for us.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 18°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Thu night, calm by Fri night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 22°C on Mon afternoon, min 17°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | — | W 3 | NNW 2 | NNE 2 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | — | — |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | off | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on |
High Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |  | |  | |  | |
 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — |
 | 7:51 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:40 | — |
mm | 3 | 5 | 1 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Temp °C | 26 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 27 | 26 |
Feels °C | 29 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 27 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | — | — | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | — | W 3 | NNW 2 | NNE 2 | NE 3 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 552 | 554 | 680 | 769 | 652 | 831 | 2996 | 760 | 769 | 652 | 554 | 566 | 589 | 573 | 608 | 608 | 588 | 785 | 568 | 1324 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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