Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 6s period, NNW swell with 212 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.7m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get straight into it. Gotta be honest with you, this stretch ahead is looking pretty bleak for the Lake Erie region. We're looking at a long, long dry spell with no real surf to speak of for the entire 16-day window.
The only time we see any wave action at all is a brief pulse starting Tuesday the 28th and fading out by Thursday the 30th. Even then, it's not exactly something to write home about. The combined swell energy is weak, hitting a max of just 98 on Tuesday afternoon.
Erie (the break itself) is the only spot on the menu. It's a consistent spot, exposed to that west swell, but the whole setup is just battling poor conditions. Tuesday morning the 28th sees a small 0.9m swell (that's about 3 feet) from the NNW, but it's chopped up by a moderate cross-onshore breeze. By Tuesday afternoon, we get a little bump to 1.4m (around 4.6 feet) from the NW, and the wind turns onshore, making it a messy, poor-quality option. It's a beach setup, and with the wind and weak energy, it honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than a proper paddle session.
Wednesday the 29th is much the same story – 1.2m (4 feet) swell from the north on Wednesday morning, but the wind is onshore at 25 km/h (about 15.5 mph), so it's a write-off. Thursday the 30th morning drops to 0.6m (2 feet), and by the afternoon it's gone completely flat, although you do get a glassy surface for a little while.
After that, from Friday the 31st of July right through to the end of the forecast on the 11th of August, it's a total flat spell. Zero energy. Not a ripple. No standouts, no recommendations. For a lake like Erie, a blank run like this is more normal for the time of year, so don't be too surprised. Forecasts can change, but right now, put the board away for a couple of weeks.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Tue morning. Warm (max 27°C on Mon afternoon, min 20°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 27°C on Sat afternoon, min 21°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 3 | W 3 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | N 6 | N 5 | NNW 5 | N 5 | N 4 | NNW 3 | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 98 | 190 | 77 | 56 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | |  |  |  | |  | | | | | |  |  |  |  | |
 | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — |
 | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:44 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:42 | — | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:37 | — |
mm | — | 2 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Temp °C | 25 | 27 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 25 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 22 |
Feels °C | 27 | 28 | 28 | 21 | 25 | 22 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 21 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 3 | — | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | N 6 | N 5 | NNW 5 | N 5 | N 4 | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 1 | — | 39 | 98 | 190 | 77 | 56 | 55 | 12 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 672 | 771 | 757 | 1259 | 1757 | 503 | 552 | 552 | 548 | 562 | 569 | 562 | 566 | 569 | 552 | 553 | 702 | 692 | 922 | 1386 | 568 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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