Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 14 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 5s period, NNE swell with 29 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.8m 5s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Lake Erie has got cooking for us. I gotta be straight with you – the outlook for the next 16 days is about as flat as a pancake. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with no real surf to speak of. The only break on the radar is Erie, and it's exposed to a west swell, but we just aren't getting the juice.
We’ve got a gap right from the start. Conditions are poor straight away. There’s a tiny blip on Sunday, September 13th with some knee-high waves, but the energy is pathetic – only registering 8 for the combined swell energy. The period is short, and the wind is messy, cross-onshore. It’s not worth paddling out for.
Honestly, the whole run is a write-off. We see a bit of a spike in energy on Monday, September 14th morning when a small NNE swell pushes through at 2 ft, but it’s blown out with a strong cross-onshore wind from the north at 12 mph. That’s a no-go. The combined energy hits 22, but it’s weak and choppy.
After that, it’s just a long, slow fade into nothing. From the 18th of September all the way through to the 27th, the combined energy is a big fat zero. We’ve got glassy mornings and clean conditions here and there – like the afternoon of the 16th and the morning of the 25th – but with no swell to push through, it’s just a lake. A few of those days see strong offshore winds over 19 mph, which would be interesting for kite surfing if you’ve got a rig, but for a surfboard? Forget it.
If you’re a surfer on Lake Erie, this is one of those blank runs that happens. It’s normal for the area when the wind just doesn’t line up and the fetch is missing. Forecasts can always change, but right now, from now through the end of the month, save the gas. The best wave might be the one you get when you turn the tap on at home.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 25°C on Sat afternoon, min 16°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Sun night, light winds from the NE by Mon afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 14°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | W 4 | WNW 3 | N 4 | NNE 5 | NE 4 | — | — | SW 3 | WNW 4 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 3 | NNE 4 | N 4 | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |  | |  | |
 | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — |
 | 7:37 | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:27 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
Temp °C | 20 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 23 |
Feels °C | 18 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 26 | 25 | 19 | 12 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 30 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | W 4 | WNW 3 | N 4 | NNE 5 | NE 4 | — | — | SW 3 | WNW 4 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 3 | NNE 4 | N 4 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 8 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 3 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 831 | 1385 | 866 | 608 | 552 | 554 | 503 | 571 | 652 | 791 | 571 | 981 | 566 | 566 | 566 | 552 | 552 | 886 | 589 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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