Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period, NW swell with 156 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.5m 6s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Erie.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days are a tough read for surfers. We’ve got a long, dry spell coming. From the morning of the 21st right through to the afternoon of the 26th, there’s barely a ripple to get excited about, and then after a tiny blip on the 26th, we’re looking at another massive gap with no real surf until the 5th of August. That’s a lot of flat water to stare at.
The only real chance to get wet comes from the morning of the 21st through the afternoon of the 22nd. The best of a bad bunch is Tuesday morning, July 21st. The water’s a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 76°F.
We’ve got a west swell rolling in at 3ft, but the period is a weak 6 seconds. The combined energy is low (53), so it’s not going to have much push. The wind is a cross-offshore from the SSW, but it’s blowing a near gale at 34 mph. That’s a lot of wind for a little wave. It’s going to be a messy, blown-out session. The afternoon sees the wind drop to 22 mph, still cross-off, with a 3ft swell, but the energy is still weak (79). It’s not great, but it’s all we’ve got.
Wednesday, July 22nd offers a slight bump in size. The morning brings a 4ft swell from the NW, but the wind is onshore and strong at 16 mph. The energy is moderate (115), but the onshore wind will chop it up. The afternoon clears up, but the wind stays cross-onshore, and the swell drops to 4ft.
After that, it’s a ghost town. We get a tiny 1.0ft pulse on the afternoon of Sunday the 26th, but it’s not worth paddling out for. The next time we see any swell at all is the 5th of August, which is a full two weeks away. Forecasts can change, and it tends not to stay this poor for long, but right now, this is a solid “no-go” for paddle surfing.
If you’re desperate, the only spot to even consider is Erie itself. Just don’t expect much.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Warm (max 25°C on Tue afternoon, min 17°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SSW on Tue morning, calm by Thu morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Sat afternoon, min 19°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | W 6 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | W 4 | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 53 | 79 | 83 | 115 | 58 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  |  | | | | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — |
 | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:49 | — | — | 8:47 | — | — | 8:46 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:45 | — |
mm | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | — | — | 16 |
Temp °C | 23 | 25 | 25 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 31 | 27 |
Feels °C | 20 | 22 | 24 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 32 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | W 6 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | W 4 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 53 | 79 | 83 | 115 | 58 | 14 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1376 | 1735 | 568 | 550 | 552 | 556 | 553 | 702 | 552 | 569 | 771 | 593 | 793 | 779 | 556 | 641 | 862 | 503 | 769 | 702 | 769 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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