Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 4s period, W swell with 8 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.5m 4s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 4s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – the forecast for Erie is a real heartbreaker. We're looking at a 16-day window that's pretty much a total wipeout. The spot is consistent and exposed, and the best swell direction is from the west, but the numbers just aren't playing ball. We're in for a long, dry spell with no real surf to speak of, so save your energy.
The water's sitting at 75° – that's a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, which is nice for a swim, but it won't put a curl in a wave.
The first hint of anything doesn't arrive until Tuesday, September 1st, and it's pathetic. We're talking a tiny 1.0ft swell from the west-southwest with a period of just 3 seconds. The combined energy of all swells directed here is a measly 2 (weak energy). That's barely a bump. And the wind is a cross-shore mess, so it's not clean. It's a "poor surf conditions" label all the way.
Wednesday, September 2nd, brings a slight nudge – a 1ft swell from the west with a 4-second period, and the combined energy is still only 5 (weak energy). The wind is still cross or cross-onshore, so it's lumpy. Then Thursday, September 3rd, we get the best of a bad bunch: a 2ft west swell with a 4-second period, and the combined energy reaches 8 (weak energy). The wind goes glassy calm in the afternoon, so it'll be smooth, but with only 1ft of weak energy, it's just tiny, weak surf. That's the highlight, folks. And it's a sorry one.
After that, it's back to nothing. From Friday, September 4th, all the way through to Sunday, September 13th, the data shows zero swell energy. It's a complete blank run. The wind is often cross-onshore, so it's not even clean. This is a tough stretch for a consistent spot like Erie, but sometimes the lake just goes quiet. It's a proper flat spell.
So, to wrap it up: there is no standout session. The best we can say is that if you're desperate, Thursday afternoon, September 3rd, might offer a few tiny, clean waves. But honestly, with the combined energy so low, it's more of a paddling exercise. For a place that's exposed and consistent, this is a real bummer. The forecast can always change, but right now, it's a solid "no-go" for the next two weeks.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Warm (max 25°C on Sat afternoon, min 18°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Wed night. Warm (max 32°C on Wed afternoon, min 23°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Wed night, calm by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | W 4 | WSW 3 | W 4 | W 4 | W 3 | W 4 | WNW 4 | NW 3 | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — |
 | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:55 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:51 | — | — | 7:50 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 3 | — | — | 3 | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 23 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 29 | 32 | 30 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 30 | 28 |
Feels °C | 22 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 30 | 31 | 33 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 24 | 30 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | W 4 | WSW 3 | W 4 | W 4 | W 3 | W 4 | WNW 4 | NW 3 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 571 | 831 | 680 | 771 | 1899 | 567 | 676 | 1742 | 1345 | 1744 | 1744 | 566 | 566 | 2996 | 557 | 552 | 552 | 552 | 569 | 783 | 887 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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