Erie Surf Break

Lat Long: 42.14° N 80.15° W

Erie Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 am 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Erie sea temperature is
24.1° C
2.6° 

Erie surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Erie surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 5s period, WNW swell with 22 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.7m 5s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 8AM (Wed 15th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 5s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.


Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve been staring at the charts for your region. I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. We're looking at a solid 16-day run with not a single decent wave on the cards. The whole outlook is basically a flat spell with a few tiny ripples that are just not worth getting wet for.

The water is running warm, about 75°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s small comfort when there’s no surf.

Let’s break it down. Friday the 10th kicks off with a complete dud: a weak 0.7 ft swell from the west with a period of just 3 seconds, and barely any energy (1). It’s glassy in the morning, but it’s a total non-event.

Saturday the 11th offers a tiny pulse. You’ll see a 2 ft swell from the NE in the morning, with a period of 4 seconds and weak energy (7). The wind is cross-offshore, so it’ll look clean, but that’s about it. Not something you’d paddle out for.

Sunday the 12th goes back to nothing in the morning, and we get a miserable 1 ft, 3-second wave in the afternoon with lumpy cross-chop.

From there, it’s a wasteland. From Monday the 13th all the way through to the end on Saturday the 25th, the forecast shows zero surf. Nothing. Just lines of zeros in the swell height. There’s a few patches of glassy conditions on the 22nd, but with no swell, it’s just a flat, pretty lake.

Honestly, the best advice I can give you is to find a river, a lake, or pick up a kite. The wind picks up a fair bit, especially on the 11th (19 mph) and the 23rd (19 mph), so the setup might look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

It’s a grim run, but that’s Lake Erie for you. Blank spells like this are pretty normal for the area. Don't lose hope – forecasts can change, and it won’t stay this dead forever.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 26°C on Sat afternoon, min 20°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Mon afternoon, min 22°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Tue night, calm by Wed night).

Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
W
3
0.5
NE
4
0.6
NE
5
0.4
NE
4
0.4
NE
3
0.2
W
3
0.2
W
3
0.4
W
3
0.7
WNW
5
0.5
W
4
0.3
W
3
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1
0
0
7
17
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
22
9
2
0
0
0
Wind (km/h)
5
ENE
10
NNE
15
ENE
20
ENE
30
NE
15
E
20
ENE
25
NNE
10
SE
10
SW
10
WNW
15
SSW
25
WSW
30
WSW
25
W
15
W
20
W
5
NE
5
NW
10
WSW
20
NE
Wind State
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
cross
on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
Low Tide
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:56
5:56
5:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:57
8:57
8:55
8:55
8:54
8:54
8:53
 mm
3
1
Temp °C
24
25
25
24
26
25
23
26
24
25
27
26
26
27
27
25
27
27
25
27
27
Feels °C
28
28
27
23
24
24
20
24
22
26
28
29
26
26
27
26
28
29
25
27
30
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.

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