Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, NNE swell with 55 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.9m 6s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
Honestly, mate, it’s a tough stretch. We’re looking at a 16-day window starting now, and the truth is, there’s nothing worthwhile for a surfer. The first record kicks off on Monday July 6th with a tiny 3ft NNE windswell, but it’s a cross-shore wind and the energy is weak (55), so the conditions are just poor. That pretty much sets the tone for the whole run.
From there, it’s a long, dry spell. The surf basically disappears after the morning of July 7th, and for day after day, the swell height drops to zero or near-zero, and the combined energy flatlines. We’ve got glassy conditions on the morning of July 8th, but there’s no swell – nothing to ride. That pattern sticks around through the rest of July, with only a few tiny bumps of 0.7ft to 2ft, always with poor conditions or no energy.
The only break on offer is Erie. It’s a consistent spot, and it’s exposed to swell from the west, which is the optimum direction. But the water temp is a very unusual 75°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a solid 6°F above average. Still, none of that matters when there’s just no surf.
There’s a brief moment on Saturday July 11th morning where we get a light offshore wind (SE at 9 mph) and a tiny 1ft pulse from the NNE, with a period of 4 seconds. The energy is next to nothing (6), and it’s basically a lake ripple. Not worth a paddle.
The rest of the forecast is a total blank. From July 12th onwards, the wave height is a dash – zero – and the energy is zero. It’s just wind and chop. For a spot like Erie, this kind of flat run isn’t unusual, but it doesn’t make it any easier.
So, bottom line: there are no standout days, no waves to chase. Hang the boards up, maybe check the forecast again in a week. Things can change, but right now, it’s a no-go.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Thu morning, min 21°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Fri night. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 22°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mon 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 6 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NE 4 | NNE 4 | — | — | — | WSW 2 | W 3 | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 4 | N 3 | NNE 4 | N 4 | NNE 4 | WNW 2 | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 55 | 33 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | glassy | on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  |  |  | |  |  | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 |
 | 8:59 | — | — | 8:59 | — | — | 8:58 | — | — | 8:58 | — | — | 8:57 | — | — | 8:57 | — | — | 8:55 | — | 8:55 |
mm | 8 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 |
Feels °C | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 6 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | WSW 2 | W 3 | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 4 | N 3 | NNE 4 | N 4 | — | WNW 2 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 55 | 33 | 14 | 9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2911 | 567 | 570 | 593 | 566 | 562 | 697 | 562 | 769 | 686 | 567 | 599 | 552 | 552 | 571 | 1376 | 718 | 922 | 862 | 566 | 556 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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