Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 20 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 5s period, WNW swell with 36 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.9m 5s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you about Erie. This is going to be a tough one. Over the next 16 days, the forecast is practically a desert for anything even close to rideable. There are no standout days, no hidden gems, no sneaky windows. We’re looking at a solid run of poor surf conditions right through until the start of September.
The first glimmer of something that *isn’t* flat comes on Sunday the 23rd of August. We get a weak pulse of swell from the NW, pushing waves up to around 3 ft, but the period is a short, choppy 5 seconds. The combined energy is a paltry 32, and the wind is howling onshore from the WNW at 12 mph. That’s raw, lumpy, and not worth paddling out for. The next day, Monday the 24th, is not much better with a similar-sized swell (2 ft) but a cross-onshore breeze and even lower energy (17). It’s still a write-off.
After that, it’s practically flat for the rest of the forecast. From Tuesday the 25th of August all the way through Thursday the 3rd of September, the swell disappears completely. The wind tries to cooperate at times – there are some glassy mornings and clean offshore periods, particularly on the 27th, 28th, and 29th of August, with glassy conditions and clean cross-offshore breezes. But without any swell to work with, it’s just a terrible session. The setup is a lake, so those clean windows are more for a paddleboard or a flat-water cruise than a surf.
The water temperature at Erie is 77°, which is nearly 5° warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a weirdly warm anomaly, but it only makes the flat spell feel more frustrating.
Given the persistent lack of surf, the consistent poor quality, and the small, weak swells that do pop up, this setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on the days with any wind. The truth is, a blank run like this is normal for the area. Forecasts can change, but for now, don’t hold your breath.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Thu afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Wed afternoon, min 20°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 25°C on Sat afternoon, min 18°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | N 3 | — | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | NW 4 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 3 | W 3 | — | — |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 36 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | off |
High Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — |
 | 8:15 | — | — | 8:14 | — | — | 8:12 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:06 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
Feels °C | 25 | 26 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | — | — | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | NW 4 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | — | W 3 | — | — |
| kJ | 6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 18 | 32 | 36 | 18 | 17 | 6 | — | 1 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 769 | 554 | 571 | 769 | 567 | 1289 | 866 | 582 | 874 | 557 | 680 | 573 | 573 | 292 | 366 | 554 | 574 | 571 | 769 | 569 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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