Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 20 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period, WNW swell with 100 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.2m 6s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 19) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Sun 20th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you about the Lake Erie scene for the next couple of weeks. I've looked at the charts for our region, and honestly, it's a tough stretch. We start off with a big fat zero on the energy scale, so don't even bother paddling out just yet. The water is sitting at a balmy 74°, which is a solid 6° warmer than normal for this time of year – that's a very unusual anomaly, making for some pleasant sessions when the waves finally show up, but it won't save the flat spells.
The first real pulse of energy shows up early on Friday, September 18th. We're looking at a small, weak system pushing in a 3 ft swell from the NNE with a short, gutless 4-second period. The combined energy is barely registering (22), so it's more of a ripple than a ride. The wind will be cross-shore from the NE at 12 mph, throwing a chop on it. If you're desperate, you might find a knee-high lump at the usual sandbars.
The best and really only standout window in this whole outlook is on Sunday, September 20th. We finally get a bit of push overnight. By the morning, a 4 ft swell from the WNW is hitting the lake, with a slightly better 6-second period. The combined energy actually breaks into triple digits at 100 (moderate wave energy). It’s still small and short period, but with the NE cross-wind at 16 mph, it won't be clean. This is the pick of a very lean bunch for the next 10 days or so.
After that, the energy fades. We get a few scraps of swell dying down on Monday, September 21st (2-3 ft range), and then it goes completely dead for a long stretch. From Tuesday the 22nd all the way through to Tuesday the 30th of September, the energy meter is flatlined at 0. Plenty of days with clean, glassy conditions and offshore winds, but without any swell to push them, it's a lake. There's simply no wave to ride.
So, there you have it. One small window of marginal surf around the 20th, and then a long, flat spell. It’s not ideal, but for Lake Erie, these blank runs are pretty normal. Forecasts can change, so don't lose all hope.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 25°C on Tue afternoon, min 18°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sun night. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Sat afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 3 | — | — | — | WNW 3 | N 3 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | — | WNW 6 | N 5 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | — | — |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 47 | 53 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  | | | | |  |  | | |  | |  | |  |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — |
 | 7:30 | — | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — |
mm | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2 | — | — | 8 | 3 | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 25 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 22 |
Feels °C | 21 | 21 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | — | — | W 4 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 3 | — | — | — | WNW 3 | N 3 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 4 | — | — | — | WNW 6 | N 5 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | 22 | 11 | 7 | — | — | — | 100 | 47 | 53 | 68 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3194 | 929 | 875 | 1735 | 875 | 771 | 769 | 740 | 652 | 680 | 791 | 769 | 503 | 370 | 116 | 552 | 571 | 562 | 556 | 553 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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