Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 28 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period, N swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period, N swell with 53 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 28 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The surf forecast for Erie over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 5s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.0m 5s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window for Erie is looking pretty bleak. The finder is basically telling me there’s nothing worth paddling out for, and the guidance backs that up. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with no real surf to speak of. The first record shows Saturday morning the 25th with zero energy, and that theme runs all the way through. We’ve got a solid stretch of days with nothing but flatness and poor conditions.
The only glimmer of a pulse comes around Monday the 27th afternoon, when we see a tiny 1.0ft swell from the west with a period of just 4 seconds. The combined energy is a measly 2 (2), and it’s still labeled as poor surf. That’s not a wave; that’s a ripple. Tuesday the 28th looks slightly better – a 3ft west-northwest swell with a 5-second period, energy up to 41 (41). The wind stays light and cross-offshore, keeping things clean. But honestly, that’s still small, weak, and short-period. It’s the best of a bad bunch, but it’s not good.
The break itself, Erie, is consistent according to the guidance, and it’s exposed to the west, which is the optimum direction. So the setup is there, but there’s just no swell to work with. Water temp is sitting at 74°, which is about normal for this time of year.
Beyond that, it’s a flat run. From Wednesday the 29th all the way through to Sunday the 9th of August, there’s nothing. Zero combined energy on most days, and any tiny bump is gone by the 31st. The wind picks up strong at times, like Wednesday the 5th with a 19 mph cross-offshore, but there’s no swell to ride. It’s just a windy lake with no waves.
So, the honest truth? Leave the boards in the shed. There’s nothing here worth chasing. A blank run like this is pretty normal for the area when the lake goes quiet. Forecasts can change, but right now, there’s no light at the end of the tunnel.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Mon afternoon, min 19°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 22°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | W 3 | — | W 3 | W 4 | WSW 4 | WNW 5 | NW 4 | N 5 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 39 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — |
 | — | 8:46 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:44 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:42 | — | — | 8:40 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 |
Feels °C | 24 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | W 3 | — | W 3 | W 4 | WSW 4 | WNW 5 | NW 4 | N 5 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 39 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 718 | 566 | 562 | 566 | 697 | 552 | 552 | 1762 | 552 | 769 | 885 | 604 | 866 | 608 | 718 | 722 | 874 | 552 | 553 | 589 | 556 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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