Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 6s period, NW swell with 176 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.6m 6s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – this forecast for Lake Erie is a tough one. We're looking at a solid 16-day window, but the truth is, the first bit of any real surfable energy doesn't show up until Tuesday the 21st of July, and even then, it's a struggle.
The water is much warmer than normal right now, sitting at 76°, which is 4° above average for this time of year. That's notable, but it doesn't help the waves. We start with a gap of no real surf from today, Monday the 20th, through to early Tuesday morning. The best we can hope for in the whole run is a brief window on Wednesday the 22nd of July.
Tuesday the 21st of July kicks things off with a tiny 2ft swell from the WSW, but it's a short-period 5 seconds, and the wind is a strong 25 mph cross-offshore. The combined energy is weak (29). It's a messy start.
Wednesday the 22nd of July is the only day that even gets a pulse. We'll see a 5ft swell from the NW on Wednesday morning, with a period of 6 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (159). The wind is a stiff 16 mph onshore though, so it's going to be choppy and blown out. Honestly, the afternoon drops a little to 5ft, same wind, same poor conditions. This is a marginal setup at best.
After that, from Thursday the 23rd of July right through to the end of the forecast on Tuesday the 4th of August, we're looking at a long, flat stretch. The energy drops to zero. There will be some glassy mornings, like Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th, and even a few clean offshore days on the 31st of July and 2nd of August, but with no swell to speak of, it's just a flat lake.
The standout – if you can call it that – is the Wednesday the 22nd of July session. The swell is the biggest we'll see, but it's messy and short-period. With the onshore wind and beach break setup, this is honestly more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. The only other flicker is a tiny 1.0ft swell on the morning of Thursday the 23rd, but that's not worth paddling out for.
Look, it's a blank run. That's not unusual for the area in summer. The forecasts can change, but for now, it's a waiting game. Keep an eye on the lake, but don't get your hopes up.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue night. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 17°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, strong winds from the SSW by Tue morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sat afternoon, min 18°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 5 | W 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NNW 5 | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 81 | 86 | 159 | 114 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — |
 | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:49 | — | — | 8:47 | — | — | 8:46 | — | — | 8:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 22 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 26 | 24 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 |
Feels °C | 21 | 24 | 24 | 19 | 24 | 23 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 5 | W 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NNW 5 | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 29 | 81 | 86 | 159 | 114 | 23 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 652 | 831 | 791 | 1487 | 1735 | 702 | 548 | 549 | 358 | 553 | 552 | 553 | 552 | 702 | 552 | 553 | 878 | 552 | 552 | 1223 | 568 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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