Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 21 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, WNW swell with 111 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.3m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be real with you – if you're looking to paddle out at Erie on Lake Erie, this 16-day window is a tough one. We've got a long stretch of nothing worth chasing, so let's break it down.
Right off the bat, we're looking at a whole lot of flatness. The first few days, from Thursday the 16th right through the weekend, are a write-off. We're talking tiny, weak windswell at best, with onshore breezes messing up what little is there. It's just not happening.
The first sniff of anything with a pulse comes around Tuesday the 22nd. We've got a northwesterly swell showing up, pushing 4ft at 6 seconds. That's not a lot of period, but the combined energy is sitting at 111 (moderate), which is something. The wind is a bit of a mixed bag, with a cross-offshore on Tuesday morning trying to keep things clean. But honestly, with that period, it's going to be a fat, lumpy mess at a beach break. If you're a kite surfer, this might be your window because the paddle surfing is going to be a struggle.
After that pulse, the tank runs dry again. From Wednesday the 23rd all the way through to the end of the month on the 31st, it's a dead zone. Mostly zeros across the board. We get a few glassy mornings, like Sunday the 26th and Monday the 28th, but with no swell to speak of, it's just a flat, pretty lake. That's a long gap – over a week of nothing.
So, the honest truth? There are no standouts here. No best on offer. The brief bump on the 22nd is the only blip on the radar, and it's not enough to get excited about for a surf. For this area, a blank run like this is pretty normal. The forecasts can change, but right now, I'd leave the board at home.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sat night. Warm (max 28°C on Sat afternoon, min 21°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, strong winds from the WSW by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Warm (max 26°C on Mon afternoon, min 17°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Sun night, strong winds from the NNW by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | WNW 3 | NNW 3 | — | — | — | W 4 | W 5 | NW 5 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | — | — | WSW 3 | WNW 6 | NW 6 | NNW 5 | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 48 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 111 | 69 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 | |  | | | |  |  |  |  | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | |
 | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — |
 | — | 8:53 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:50 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 5 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 28 | 28 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 23 |
Feels °C | 24 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 23 | 27 | 24 | 19 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 26 | 25 | 21 | 24 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | W 4 | W 5 | NW 5 | N 4 | N 4 | — | — | — | WSW 3 | WNW 6 | NW 6 | NNW 5 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 30 | 48 | 19 | 4 | — | — | — | 4 | 111 | 69 | 66 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1895 | 1643 | 680 | 3005 | 1259 | 1688 | 1269 | 358 | 1306 | 553 | 566 | 552 | 593 | 702 | 702 | 1129 | 1368 | 292 | 566 | 556 | 556 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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