Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, W swell with 49 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.9m 6s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days are a real bust for surf around Erie (Lake Erie). We're looking at a long, dry spell with barely a ripple worth mentioning.
The lake is unusually warm right now at 74°, sitting about 4° above the norm for this time of year, which is pretty notable. But that's where the good news ends.
We start on Friday, September 4th, but it's a non-starter. Tiny 0.7 ft swell from the WNW with a short, weak 3-second period. The combined energy is a measly 1 – that's as weak as it gets. Onshore winds don't help, leaving us with poor surf conditions. This flat spell really sets in from the 7th of September onward. From Monday the 7th all the way through Saturday the 19th of September, there is absolutely no surf to speak of. The combined energy sits at zero for days on end. We get a few moments of clean conditions with light offshore winds, like on Sunday the 13th, but with no swell to work with, it's just a flat, glassy lake.
There's a tiny bump on the 5th and 6th of September, with a 2 ft to 2 ft swell from the NE, but the period is still a pathetic 4 seconds, and the energy is weak (7 to 20). The wind is cross-shore or cross-offshore, but the waves are just wind slop, and the forecast calls it what it is: poor surf conditions.
Honestly, this is a classic Lake Erie flat spell. We get these runs where the lake goes completely to sleep. The wind and swell directions never line up, and there's no groundswell on the horizon. For a surfer, there's nothing to chase. The only thing that might be worth mentioning is that with the consistent cross-shore winds on the 5th and 6th, a kite surfer might find something to play with, but for a paddle surfer, it's a no-go.
Keep the board in the car and the wax in the cupboard. This one's a write-off.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Warm (max 24°C on Fri afternoon, min 16°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 16°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the SW by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NE 3 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 3 | W 4 | W 5 | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | | |
 | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — |
 | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:38 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 19 | 18 | 19 |
Feels °C | 25 | 26 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 23 | 27 | 28 | 24 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NE 5 | — | — | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NE 3 | NE 4 | — | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 3 | W 4 | W 5 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 3 | 16 | — | 5 | 19 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 8 | 34 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 680 | 652 | 791 | 887 | 783 | 770 | 556 | 699 | 554 | 566 | 699 | 569 | 608 | 981 | 682 | 686 | 682 | 1362 | 604 | 1877 | 599 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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