Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, NW swell with 103 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.3m 6s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 3s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Gonna be straight with you – this 16-day window for Erie is a tough one. We’ve got a big, long flat spell on the horizon, so let’s get into it.
The overall pattern is a quick flash of small, junky swell on Wednesday the 22nd, and then a whole lot of nothing. Seriously, that’s the story. We’ve got a gap in any real surf from Thursday the 23rd all the way through to the end of the forecast on Thursday the 6th of August. That’s a solid two weeks of flatness.
The only game in town is Wednesday, July 22nd. The morning brings a 4ft swell from the NW, but it’s short period stuff at 6 seconds, and the northwest wind is howling at 16 mph onshore. The energy is a weak 103, and the water is sitting at 76°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The reports say “poor surf conditions,” and I’m not gonna argue. It’s messy, choppy, and not worth paddling out for. The afternoon drops to a tiny 2ft with even less period, and a cross-onshore breeze. It’s a write-off.
After that, from Thursday morning onward, it’s a parade of zeros. No swell, no energy, just flat calm or wind chop. Look, Erie is a lake, and it’s known for these long flat spells. It’s just the way it goes. The forecasts can change, but right now, there’s nothing to get excited about. If you’ve got a kite, the wind picks up a bit on the 5th and 6th of August with a strong breeze, but for a paddle surfer? Hang up the wetsuit for a couple of weeks.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Fri afternoon, min 17°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Mon afternoon, min 20°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | N 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 103 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — |
 | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:49 | — | — | 8:47 | — | — | 8:46 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:44 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 24 |
Feels °C | 15 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 21 | 26 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 26 | 22 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | N 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 103 | 20 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 8 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 550 | 559 | 556 | 553 | 566 | 548 | 571 | 697 | 593 | 878 | 874 | 552 | 875 | 866 | 554 | 761 | 561 | 769 | 554 | 550 | 556 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Erie surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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