Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 17 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 5s period, NNW swell with 24 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.8m 5s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let me tell you how it’s looking for the next couple weeks. I’ve got to be straight with you – this is a tough outlook for Erie. We’re looking at a long, quiet stretch with barely a ripple. There’s a few tiny windows of small, sloppy swell, but nothing that gets the heart racing. The first real chance is Monday morning, August 17, and even that’s a struggle.
Monday morning the 17th, we’ve got a weak NNW swell pushing in at about 2ft, but the period is a short 4 seconds – that’s just wind chop, no power behind it. The wind is cross-on from the NNW at 9 mph, making it choppy. Combined wave energy is weak at 16, and the water temp is 77°F – that’s 5°F warmer than normal for mid-August, which is notable. But don’t get excited, the surf quality is poor. By Monday afternoon it drops to 1ft and barely registers.
The rest of the week is flat to near-flat. Tuesday the 18th sees a tiny 1ft W swell with only a 3-second period, and cross-on wind. Wednesday the 19th has a bit more energy but it’s still poor, with 2ft NW swell, a 4-second period, and moderate cross-shore wind from the SW at 12 mph (energy at 20). Not worth paddling out.
Thursday the 20th offers our best chance in this whole bleak run. Thursday afternoon turns glassy with a light WNW breeze at 3 mph, and we get a tiny 1ft NNE swell with a 3-second period. It’s glassy, clean, but the swell is so weak (energy: 2) that you’ll be bobbing around waiting for a bump. Still, if you’re desperate, that’s the cleanest it’ll be.
After that, from Friday the 21st all the way through Tuesday the 1st of September, it’s a dead run. There’s no swell on the charts and no surf to speak of. The wind varies – some glassy mornings, some clean conditions – but without any swell, it’s a lake of glass. Good for a paddle, not for a wave.
So, if there’s one standout, it’s Thursday afternoon, August 20. If you can get out, the glassy conditions will make even those 1ft bumps as rideable as they can be. But honestly, this is a kite surfer’s setup more than a paddle surfer’s. Keep an eye on the forecasts, though. In a lake environment like this, it tends not to stay dead forever.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Wed night. Warm (max 25°C on Mon afternoon, min 20°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 25°C on Sat afternoon, min 18°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | — | W 3 | WSW 4 | NW 4 | NW 3 | N 3 | NNE 3 | NNE 3 | N 4 | — | — | — | — | W 3 | — | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 16 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | on | on | cross |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | |  |  | | | | | | |  | |  | | | | |
 | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — |
 | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:14 | — | — | 8:12 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:08 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 20 | 24 | 22 |
Feels °C | 24 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 25 | 23 | 17 | 20 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | — | — | N 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | NW 4 | — | — | W 3 | WSW 4 | NW 4 | NW 3 | — | NNE 3 | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 16 | 4 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 20 | 3 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 552 | 552 | 556 | 552 | 697 | 552 | 553 | 699 | 769 | 840 | 1643 | 682 | 652 | 559 | 652 | 608 | 574 | 554 | 599 | 554 | 566 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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