Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period, W swell with 112 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.2m 6s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks on Lake Erie are looking pretty flat. We’re staring down a long, dry spell with barely a ripple worth paddling for.
The first hint of anything is a weak, short-period bump on Sunday the 8th of September. Sunday morning brings a 1 ft NE windswell with a period of just 4 seconds – combined energy is a meagre 4 – and a 12 mph cross-shore wind is gonna chop it up. Not worth getting wet for. Sunday afternoon is a touch bigger at 2 ft, but the wind picks up to 16 mph and it’s still a messy cross-shore. The water temp at that point is 74°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a solid 4° above average, so at least the lake feels nice if you’re just floating.
Monday the 9th is flat all day. Tuesday the 10th, flat again. Wednesday the 11th offers a tiny 2 ft from the WSW with a 4-second period, but the wind is light cross-shore. The combined energy is only 8. It’s not surf.
Thursday the 12th is a write-off with a 3 ft cross-onshore slop and 16 mph wind. The energy creeps up to 71 on the Wednesday afternoon, but it’s still poor surf conditions.
Now, there is one morning that almost teases us. Friday the 13th morning: 2 ft from the NNW, period still short at 4 seconds, combined energy just 9. But – and this is the one bright spot – the wind goes glassy. That 3 mph glass means the surface will be clean. If you are absolutely desperate for a knee-high bump on a lake, that’s your moment. But don’t kid yourself, it’s not a session to write home about.
After that, it’s a dead run. From Saturday the 14th all the way through to Monday the 23rd of September, every entry is flat with zero swell energy. There are some mornings with clean, offshore or cross-offshore winds, but with no waves to push, it’s just a pretty lake. The wind cranks up to 19 mph from the SSW on Monday the 16th, so if you’ve got a kite, that’s a better bet than a surfboard.
Bottom line: no standouts here. The entire 16-day window is a bust for waves. We don’t see anything over 3 ft, and even that was messy. The one glassy Friday might offer a tiny clean ripple, but it’s thin. For a lake, this kind of flat spell isn’t unusual, but it still stings. Forecasts can change, but right now, leave the boards in the car.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Tue afternoon, min 17°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 19°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 3 | — | — | — | — | WSW 4 | W 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | W 4 | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 71 | 95 | 51 | 49 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | |  | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — |
 | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:36 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 25 | 28 | 25 |
Feels °C | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 28 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | — | NE 3 | — | — | — | — | WSW 4 | W 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 4 | 20 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 71 | 95 | 51 | 49 | 28 | 9 | 5 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 556 | 757 | 554 | 554 | 554 | 599 | 981 | 981 | 886 | 981 | 981 | 981 | 552 | 552 | 552 | 556 | 554 | 680 | 686 | 3155 | 568 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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