Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 14 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 5s period, NNE swell with 29 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.8m 5s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s look at the Lake Erie picture.
Honestly, it’s a tough stretch ahead. The finder doesn’t give us a single surf recommendation for the entire 16-day window, and the data backs that up. For the first week, there are tiny pulses of swell, but they’re all labelled as poor surf conditions. We’ve got a minimal 1ft to 2ft of bump, with short periods mostly under 5 seconds – that’s just wind chop, not real wave energy. The strongest combined energy we see is a weak 22 (on Monday the 14th), and that comes with a cross-onshore wind. For the rest of the outlook, from roughly the 17th onwards, the swell essentially disappears completely, with zero combined energy showing up for days on end. That’s a long, flat run.
For Lake Erie, this kind of blank spell is more normal than unusual. You’re waiting on a solid west or northwest wind to blow down the lake to set things up, and that’s just not in the cards.
If I had to pick the only session that might get you wet, it’s early Sunday morning, the 13th. We get a weak 2ft swell from the west (the optimum direction for Erie), with a 4-second period and a combined energy of just 8. The winds are cross from the WSW at 9 mph, so it won’t be clean, but it’s the most size we see. Water temp is a remarkable 75°, which is 5° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s very unusual for mid-September. It’ll feel more like a late August swim.
Other than that, the wind is often too strong or onshore, and when it does swing offshore or cross-off (like late in the third week), there’s simply no swell to use it. A few days around the 23rd to 26th show clean offshore winds from the ESE and SE, but zero wave energy. That setup would be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
There’s nothing to get excited about. Keep the board in the car and check back, because forecasts can change and it tends not to stay this poor forever.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sat afternoon, min 17°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Sun night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Warm (max 26°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed afternoon, fresh winds from the SSW by Thu morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 3 | — | — | — | — | W 4 | WNW 3 | N 4 | NNE 5 | NE 4 | — | — | SW 3 | WNW 4 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 3 | NNE 4 | — | — |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |  | | | |  |  | | | |
 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — |
 | 7:37 | — | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:27 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 20 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 28 | 23 |
Feels °C | 20 | 18 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 18 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 22 | 20 | 23 | 27 | 25 | 23 | 28 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 3 | — | — | — | — | W 4 | WNW 3 | N 4 | NNE 5 | NE 4 | — | — | SW 3 | WNW 4 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 3 | NNE 4 | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 3 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 9 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1269 | 831 | 1090 | 1742 | 589 | 552 | 552 | 552 | 571 | 569 | 1259 | 783 | 981 | 565 | 565 | 929 | 769 | 571 | 1427 | 589 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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