Erie Surf Break

Lat Long: 42.14° N 80.15° W

Erie Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 am 17 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Erie sea temperature is
24.4° C
2.3° 

Erie surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Erie surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 6s period, NW swell with 196 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.6m 6s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 8AM (Wed 22nd Jul)5ft (1.6m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this is a grim outlook for the Erie region right now. We’re looking at a long stretch of flat, poor surf conditions that’s going to test your patience. The water, by the way, is sitting at 76°F currently, which is a whopping 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s really unusual, feels like bathwater for a Lake Erie summer.

The first few days are a total write-off. Friday the 17th is flat with a light cross-onshore breeze. Saturday the 18th brings a tiny bit of swell, around 2ft to 3ft from the west, but it’s a short-period, weak windswell (combined energy only 25 to 64) and the wind is a fresh, lumpy cross-shore mess. No good. Sunday the 19th is even worse – a tiny 2ft swell with a 4-second period, blown out by a moderate cross-onshore wind. After that, we hit a dead zone. From Monday the 20th right through to the end of the month, there’s simply no surf on offer. We’re talking a solid 10-day gap with zero wave energy (0 combined energy) and mostly glassy or light wind conditions that would be perfect if there was a wave to ride, but there isn’t.

There is one tiny blip worth mentioning. On Wednesday the 22nd, the early morning shows a 5ft swell from the northwest with a 6-second period. That’s short period, and the combined energy is 156 – moderate. But the wind is a fresh 22 mph onshore breeze, so it’ll be lumpy and messy. This is only for experts, and honestly, the quality is still rated poor. For a beginner, anything over 5ft is too big, but the wind makes it a struggle for anyone.

The long-range into the first week of August shows nothing but flat, clean conditions. The wind is often light or offshore, but with zero swell, it’s just a lake. Given the lack of consistent surf here, this kind of blank run is unfortunately normal for the area. The setup is more interesting for a kiteboarder than a paddler when the wind is up, but right now, there’s nothing to ride.

Best bet? Forget the board for the next two weeks. The forecasts can change, but this is a long, dry spell.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sat night. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 17°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Sat morning, calm by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Tue morning, min 17°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the WNW by Wed afternoon).

Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
W
5
1
W
6
0.9
NNW
5
0.6
N
4
0.2
N
3
0.7
W
6
0.9
W
6
1.4
NW
6
1.5
NW
6
1.1
NW
5
0.8
NNW
5
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
0
0
0
25
64
39
13
1
0
0
0
0
30
52
132
156
69
24
0
0
0
Wind (km/h)
10
W
10
W
20
S
30
SW
30
W
25
NNE
20
NNE
10
NE
5
SSE
5
WNW
5
NNW
25
S
25
SW
30
WSW
25
NW
35
WNW
35
WNW
15
NNW
25
WSW
25
W
25
SW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
off
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
High Tide
Low Tide
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
thunderstorm
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
light rain
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:58
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:01
6:03
6:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:52
8:52
8:52
8:51
8:50
8:50
8:49
 mm
1
9
3
6
5
3
2
2
2
2
Temp °C
24
26
26
25
29
22
20
22
22
22
24
23
26
26
24
18
19
18
21
23
23
Feels °C
25
26
26
24
28
21
18
21
22
22
24
23
25
26
26
13
13
12
17
19
22
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.

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