Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 6s period, NW swell with 142 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.4m 6s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this is a tough one. Looking at the entire 16-day window, there’s barely a ripple worth paddling for. The only real window of opportunity is a small window of surf on Wednesday, July 22nd, and even that’s a bit of a mixed bag.
We start off with a real dud. Saturday, July 18th, through Tuesday, July 21st, is a write-off. The water is a very unusual 76°F (much warmer than normal for this time of year), but that’s about the only thing going for it. We’ve got strong cross-onshore winds and messy, choppy conditions. Not a wave worth chasing.
Then, on Wednesday, July 22nd, things finally get interesting. Overnight and into the morning, Erie picks up a pulse of swell from the NW. The swell is 5ft at 6 seconds, which is a short-period, wind-driven affair, but the combined energy is moderate (142). The kicker is the wind: it’s going to be offshore from the NW at 15 mph. That’s clean, that’s groomed, and that’s about as good as it gets in this run. This is the standout. It’s not huge, but with offshore wind, it’ll be lined up and fun. It’s a consistent spot, so there will be waves to be had.
By Wednesday afternoon, that offshore wind swings to a cross-onshore, and the swell backs down to 4ft. It’s still rideable, but the quality drops off.
After that, it’s a long, dry spell. From Thursday, July 23rd, all the way through Sunday, August 2nd, there’s nothing. The forecast shows flat conditions, with no swell on offer. If you’re a surfer in the area, it’s a good time to check your gear, because the lake is going to be glassy or clean for long stretches, but there’s just no energy to push a wave. This kind of blank run is normal for the region, so don’t get too down. Forecasts can change.
So, bottom line: your one and only shot is Wednesday, July 22nd, early morning. Get out there, get some, and then wait for the next one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Sat afternoon, min 18°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 18°C on Wed morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Tue afternoon, light winds from the NNW by Wed night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | N 6 | NNE 4 | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | W 5 | W 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 4 | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 94 | 80 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 52 | 122 | 142 | 92 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off |
High Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  | |  | |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — |
 | 8:52 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:49 | — | — | 8:47 | — |
mm | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 9 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 28 | 25 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 25 | 18 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 24 |
Feels °C | 26 | 23 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 25 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 5 | — | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | N 6 | NNE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | W 5 | W 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 4 | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 94 | 80 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | 52 | 122 | 142 | 92 | 32 | 7 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3194 | 505 | 553 | 553 | 556 | 638 | 702 | 665 | 962 | 1735 | 624 | 549 | 285 | 503 | 553 | 697 | 549 | 553 | 566 | 548 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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