Erie Surf Break

Lat Long: 42.14° N 80.15° W

Issued: 7 am 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Erie sea temperature is
23.5° C

2.9°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Erie surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Erie surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Friday 3 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 4s period, W swell with 6 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.5m 4s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 05) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 2PM (Fri 3rd Jul)1.5ft (0.5m) 4s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, Rusty here. Let me tell you what we’re looking at, straight up.

Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – this is a tough period for surf. For the next 16 days, from now all the way through July 18th, we've got a massive dry spell. There’s really nothing worth paddling out for. The only break on the map is Erie, and it just isn’t cooperating.

Looking at the first few days, July 3rd through the 5th, we’ve got tiny, weak swell – we’re talking maybe 1.0ft to 1ft at best, and the period is a pathetic 3 to 4 seconds. That’s just wind chop, not surf. The combined wave energy is almost nothing, barely 2 to 4 units. The wind is mostly cross or cross-on, keeping things choppy and messy. It’s just poor surf conditions across the board.

The water temperature at Erie is sitting at 74°F, which is a solid 5°F warmer than what’s normal for this time of year. That’s way warmer than usual, like swimming in a bath, but it doesn’t help the waves one bit.

From July 6th onward, it gets even quieter. Most of the time there’s no swell height recorded at all, and the energy drops to zero. We see a few glassy mornings – like the morning of July 5th and the afternoon of July 6th – but with no waves to speak of, glassy conditions just mean a flat lake. A couple of afternoons around July 16th show clean conditions with light offshore winds, but again, there’s no swell to ride.

This kind of blank run is sadly normal for the area when there’s no swell pushing in. It’s a real bummer. If you’re hoping for anything, you’re gonna have to wait and hope the forecasts change. For now, there’s just no surf on offer.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Fri afternoon, min 22°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Warm (max 26°C on Wed night, min 21°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WSW
3
0.4
W
4
0.2
W
4
0.3
W
3
0.2
W
3
0.3
NE
3
0.4
NE
4
0.4
NE
3
0.4
NE
4
0.3
NNE
3
0.3
NNE
3
0.2
NNE
3
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2
4
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Wind (km/h)
20
WSW
20
WSW
10
SW
15
W
15
W
10
SSW
5
SW
10
NE
10
ESE
15
S
5
N
15
ENE
15
NE
10
ENE
5
SE
10
WSW
5
WNW
10
S
20
SW
20
WSW
20
WNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross
off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
High Tide
Low Tide
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
rain showers
cloud
thunderstorm
mod rain
light rain
thunderstorm
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:52
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:00
8:59
8:59
8:59
8:59
8:58
8:58
 mm
3
1
3
2
3
9
4
5
5
3
Temp °C
26
28
27
25
27
26
26
26
25
23
25
25
22
23
24
24
25
26
27
27
25
Feels °C
28
30
29
28
29
30
30
29
30
24
28
29
22
23
26
25
27
29
28
27
26
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NE
4
0.2
NNE
3
Energy kJ
4
1
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
Energy kJ
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
Energy kJ
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WSW
3
0.4
W
4
0.2
W
4
0.3
W
3
0.2
W
3
0.3
NE
3
0.4
NE
3
0.4
NE
4
0.3
NNE
3
0.3
NNE
3
Energy kJ
2
4
1
2
1
1
3
4
2
2
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
Distance (km)
599
727
599
831
562
831
1378
1259
1744
1130
770
559
569
624
624
556
672
554
702
702
552
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States
Rating
(10 max)
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
3
3
2
2
3
3
2
4
2
3
4
2
2
4
2
2
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
4
5
9
7
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
9
9
5
6
6
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.

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