
Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period, NNW swell with 338 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.9m 7s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s have a look at the forecast for the next couple of weeks. The honest truth is, it’s a pretty lean stretch of days for any decent waves. The first bit of surf we can talk about shows up on the 28th, but it’s not pretty.
Monday the 27th is a write-off. There’s nothing doing, the risk of thunderstorms and a cross-shore wind from the southwest at 12 mph, you’d be better off doing something else.
Tuesday the 28th we see a little pulse come in. The morning swell is 5 ft from the northwest with a short period of 6 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate at best (146). The wind is cross-onshore from the north-northwest at 9 mph, so it’s gonna be choppy and messy. It’s about the same in the afternoon, a bit bigger at 6 ft (energy 288), but still just a blown-out, choppy mess. For a beach break like Erie, this is more of a kite-surfing setup than a clean paddle session.
Wednesday the 29th offers the best of a bad lot, but it’s still not great. The swell holds around 6 ft from the north-northwest, period still short at 6 seconds, with moderate energy (237 in the morning). The wind goes offshore from the north-northwest at 16 mph in the morning, dropping to 12 mph in the afternoon. That’s the cleanest wind we’ll get, but the short period and the wind strength will still make it a bit of a battle. The water temp is about 74°, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year — nothing crazy, but nice.
After that, it drops off a cliff. From Thursday the 30th of July all the way through to Tuesday the 11th of August, the energy is basically zero. We’re talking flat, glassy mornings, light rain, and a few onshore breezes, but no surf to speak of. There’s a long gap of nearly two weeks with nothing worth paddling for.
So, to be blunt, the standout is probably Wednesday morning the 29th at Erie. The offshore wind will clean up that 6 ft north-northwest swell, but it’s short-period and the wind is strong, so it’s going to be a handful. It’s not a day for beginners — that 6 ft is getting up there, and the short period means it’ll be a bit dumpy. The crowd is listed as “sometimes,” so you might have a few others out.
For the rest of the window, it’s a blank run. But as we know, it never stays flat for long around here, and forecasts can change. Keep an eye on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 26mm), heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 27°C on Mon afternoon, min 20°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 20°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 3 | SW 3 | NW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
0 | 2 | 3 | 146 | 288 | 319 | 237 | 211 | 77 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
— | 8:45 | — | — | 8:44 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:42 | — | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:37 | — | |
mm | 3 | 1 | 17 | 1 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 27 | 26 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Feels °C | 26 | 28 | 28 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 19 | 24 | 22 | 19 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 3 | SW 3 | NW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 2 | 3 | 146 | 288 | 319 | 237 | 211 | 77 | 19 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 608 | 1881 | 54 | 116 | 1757 | 503 | 554 | 548 | 552 | 552 | 552 | 562 | 569 | 565 | 556 | 562 | 722 | 713 | 722 | 1368 | 553 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.










