Erie Surf Break

Lat Long: 42.14° N 80.15° W

Issued: 7 pm 04 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Erie sea temperature is
23.5° C

2.7°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Erie surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Erie surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 5s period, NE swell with 23 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.7m 5s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 2PM (Mon 6th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 5s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. We’re looking at a pretty grim picture for Erie over the next 16 days. To be straight with you, there’s just nothing on the cards. Not a single session worth paddling out for.

The forecast starts off with a tiny bit of energy on Sunday, July 6th, but even then we’re talking about a mere 2ft swell from the NNE with a short, weak 5-second period. The combined energy is barely a whisper at just 15. It’s not going to do anything. The wind is a messy cross-off, so the wave quality is poor. It’s essentially a no-go.

After that, we drop right back to zero energy. From Monday, July 7th, all the way through to the end of the outlook on Monday, July 20th, the combined swell energy sits at a flat zero. There are no waves. The wind does turn glassy or light and clean on a few mornings, like the 13th and the 17th of July, which would be perfect for a paddle if there was anything to ride, but there isn’t a bump to be seen.

Erie is a consistent spot, so a blank run of this length is unusual. It tends not to stay this flat for long, and forecasts can always change for the better. But right now, we’re looking at one of those classic Great Lakes flat spells. There’s no surf. Period. Kites and foil boards might have the only fun if the wind picks up, but for a surfer? Stay home and wax your board for the next one.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 26mm), heaviest during Mon afternoon. Warm (max 25°C on Sat night, min 20°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, fresh winds from the NE by Mon afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 50mm), heaviest during Fri morning. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 21°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Sat
11
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NE
4
0.5
NE
5
0.6
NNE
5
0.7
NE
5
0.4
NNE
4
0.4
NNE
4
0.4
NE
4
0.2
W
3
0.2
W
3
0.6
W
5
0.5
W
4
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
0
0
4
11
15
23
8
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
15
9
0
0
0
Wind (km/h)
5
SE
5
N
15
ENE
15
E
20
ENE
30
NE
20
ENE
20
NE
25
NNE
15
NE
5
NNW
15
WNW
20
S
25
SW
25
WSW
15
SW
20
N
15
NNE
10
E
10
N
25
NE
Wind State
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross
High Tide
Low Tide
thunderstorm
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
heavy rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:59
8:59
8:59
8:59
8:58
8:58
8:57
8:57
 mm
1
4
2
4
5
7
3
2
5
9
33
1
1
Temp °C
25
23
23
23
20
22
23
22
23
23
23
24
24
23
25
25
23
23
22
22
22
Feels °C
29
26
25
24
19
21
22
23
22
23
26
24
26
21
25
27
24
23
23
22
18
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NNE
5
Energy kJ
9
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
Energy kJ
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
Energy kJ
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NE
4
0.5
NE
5
0.6
NNE
5
0.7
NE
5
0.4
NNE
4
0.4
NNE
4
0.4
NE
4
0.2
W
3
0.2
W
3
0.6
W
5
0.5
W
4
Energy kJ
4
11
15
23
8
6
3
1
1
15
9
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
569
608
1757
569
984
1757
568
594
1740
569
562
784
552
557
1643
556
556
557
553
553
702
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States
Rating
(10 max)
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
3
2
2
4
2
2
4
2
2
4
3
2
4
3
2
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
9
7
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
5
5
5
8
7
6
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.

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