Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period, NW swell with 148 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 1.5m 6s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers. Let’s get real about what’s happening at Erie.
Honestly, for the next 16 days, things are looking pretty grim. We’ve got a long stretch of flat or almost-flat conditions with nothing but onshore or cross-shore wind messing things up. There’s no good swell coming through that’s going to line up with the optimum west swell direction, and the few tiny pulses we see are just weak, short-period windswell that won't offer anything rideable. You’re looking at a lot of days with no surf at all.
Let’s break it down. Starting on Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th, we’ve got nothing. The wave energy is essentially zero. Tuesday the 21st shows a little bump – a 2ft to 2ft west-southwest and west swell – but with a short period of just 4 to 6 seconds and fresh cross-shore winds up to 19 mph, it’s going to be lumpy, messy, and not worth paddling out.
The closest we get to anything is Wednesday morning, July 22. A northwest swell pushes in at 5ft with a 6-second period. That gives us moderate combined wave energy of 200. The wind is out of the north-northwest, which is onshore here, and the wave comment just says "poor surf conditions." That 5ft will be a washing machine – choppy, blown-out, and only for the most desperate. It drops off fast to 5ft by the afternoon. After that, from Thursday the 23rd all the way through to Monday, August 3, we are looking at a massive blank run. Day after day of zeros in the energy column, frustrating glassy mornings with no swell, and cross-shore winds that do nothing but create wind ripples.
To be brutally honest, there’s no standout in this 16-day window. The lake is just not cooperating. For a lake that’s usually pretty fickle, this kind of dead run is more normal for the area when the wind and swell don’t align. If you’re desperate for a paddle, the Wednesday morning session on the 22nd at Erie is the only one with any size, but expect it to be a bumpy, onshore mess. The water is sitting at 76°F, which is *much warmer than normal* for this time of year – over 4°F warmer than average – so at least you won’t freeze while you’re sitting there waiting for nothing.
Keep your eyes on the forecast, but for now, I’d say save the wax for another week.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 17°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the SSW by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Warm (max 25°C on Fri afternoon, min 17°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | W 6 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NNW 5 | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 53 | 74 | 133 | 101 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | on | on | cross-on | on | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross | on | glassy | cross | cross | glassy |
High Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | ||||||||||||||||||||
 |  | |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — |
 | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:49 | — | — | 8:47 | — | — | 8:46 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 19 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 23 |
Feels °C | 21 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | W 6 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NNW 5 | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 53 | 74 | 133 | 101 | 31 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 554 | 556 | 655 | 1887 | 769 | 1368 | 1735 | 559 | 552 | 295 | 507 | 562 | 885 | 552 | 548 | 697 | 561 | 552 | 682 | 552 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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