Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 4s period, NNW swell with 25 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.8m 4s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 15) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 4s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Erie's got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks.
Well, I gotta be straight with you. This 16-day outlook for Erie (Lake Erie) is a tough one. We're looking at a long, stubborn stretch of nothing but poor surf conditions. The wave energy is flatlining – zero or next to it, with combined energy values barely hitting double digits. The highest we see is a measly 21 on the 17th, but even that's attached to a chop fest. For the vast majority of these days, the report just says "poor surf conditions." We've got a gap that stretches from now, right through until the end of the period on August 27th.
Let's walk through the few faint pulses. Wednesday morning, August 14th, there's a tiny 1.6 ft swell from the NNE with a short period of 4 seconds, but it's got a light cross-onshore wind, so it's not going to be pretty. That afternoon cleans up with a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell drops to 1.3 ft. On Monday, August 19th, the morning shows a 2.6 ft swell from the NNW, still with a short period, but a moderate cross-onshore wind will have it chopped up. The afternoon cleans up with a light cross-offshore, but again, tiny 1.3 ft leftovers.
Honestly, there isn't a single standout in this whole run. The swell is too small, the period is too short, and the conditions are never aligned for good waves. With the consistent lack of quality and the fetch being a lake, this kind of flat spell isn't out of the ordinary for the area. If you're desperate for any kind of wave action on a board, with the wind mostly cross or onshore, this setup might actually look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Hang in there, but don't hold your breath for this window.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 21°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 28°C on Sun morning, min 19°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Sat morning, strong winds from the WSW by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 3 | — | — | — | N 3 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | — | — | ENE 3 | — | — | W 4 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||
 | | |  |  | |  | | | | |  |  |  |  |  | | | | |
 | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — |
 | 8:27 | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:17 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 25 | 27 | 24 | 23 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 28 | 26 | 24 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
Feels °C | 27 | 25 | 28 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 28 | 24 | 24 | 18 | 22 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 3 | — | — | — | N 3 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | — | — | ENE 3 | — | — | W 4 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 24 | 21 | 5 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 690 | 1757 | 1336 | 1267 | 627 | 2911 | 1307 | 1399 | 831 | 878 | 933 | 3194 | 984 | 1386 | 1386 | 552 | 556 | 554 | 588 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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