Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 4s period, NNW swell with 21 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.8m 4s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 4s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get straight to it.
Truth is, looking at this 16-day window, it's a tough one for us. There's just nothing happening. The charts are showing a long, flat spell, and the few tiny ripples we get don't amount to anything worth paddling out for. The water temperature is sitting at 77.1°F here in Erie, which is running about 4.1°F warmer than what we'd normally expect for this time of year – that's a real standout, makes the lake feel more like a bath than our usual autumn cool-down.
For the first few days, there's a flicker of life on the afternoon of Sunday, the 16th of August. A tiny 1.3ft swell from the west with a short 4-second period and 12 mph cross-onshore winds. The combined energy is a weak 5, and conditions are choppy. Not your friend. A slightly better bump shows up on the morning of Monday, the 17th of August – a 2.3ft wave from the NNW with a 4-second period. The wind is onshore from the NW at 9 mph, but it's clean. Still, at that size and period, it's barely a ripple. The rest of that week and into the next is a write-off.
After the 19th of August, the swell completely shuts down. The combined energy drops to zero for days on end. We see some glassy conditions on the morning of Saturday, the 22nd of August, and some clean, offshore winds at the end of the month, but there is no wave to ride. You can't surf a glassy lake. It's a long flat spell from the 21st of August all the way through to the end of the 16-day window on the 31st of August. No standouts, no recommendations. For an exposed lake like Erie, this happens. When the wind goes quiet, the lake goes flat. It's just the reality of it. Keep an eye on the forecast; it won't stay blank forever.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 27°C on Sun afternoon, min 21°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Thu afternoon, min 19°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | W 4 | WNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | — | W 3 | W 3 | W 4 | WNW 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 3 | N 4 | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-off | off | cross | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — |
 | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:14 | — | — | 8:12 | — | — | 8:10 | — |
mm | — | 1 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 27 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 24 |
Feels °C | 28 | 29 | 27 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | — | — | N 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 4 | WNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | — | — | W 3 | W 3 | W 4 | WNW 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 3 | — | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 5 | 17 | 16 | 5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1386 | 3194 | 2633 | 292 | 554 | 552 | 553 | 697 | 552 | 554 | 769 | 552 | 831 | 1259 | 680 | 680 | 624 | 624 | 831 | 608 | 769 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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