Surf Forecasts:
Erie surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 11 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 5s period, W swell with 37 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Erie this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Erie in the next 16 days are 0.8m 5s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Erie over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – this is a grim one. We're looking at a 16-day stretch where the surf is basically a no-show. The models are showing a whole lot of nothing for the foreseeable future, with the first possible wave not even registering until the 8th, and even that’s a marginal, poor-quality blip. We've got a long gap of flat, poor conditions from today right through the first week of August. It’s the kind of stretch that makes you want to take up golf.
Looking at the only break on offer, Erie, it's a consistent spot, which is something, but it’s not going to save us here. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, about 2° warmer, which is notable but not crazy. The whole period is a write-off for real surf.
The first little tease shows up on the morning of Saturday the 8th. We've got a tiny 1ft of swell from the W, with a period of just 4 seconds. That’s basically wind chop, not surf. The energy is weak, coming in at just 5, and it’s accompanied by a moderate cross-shore breeze. Sunday the 9th is a little cleaner with a cross-offshore wind, but the swell is the same anemic 1ft, and the energy is still pitifully low at 6. It’s ankle-biters at best, and with that short period, it's going to be messy.
Through the middle of the week, from the 10th onward, it just goes flat again. The swell drops out completely, and we’re left with days of onshore and cross-shore winds, and a whole lot of nothing. The 11th through the 19th are a total blank, a desert of flatness. There’s plenty of wind, but it’s all wrong for surfing; it would be more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, to be honest.
There is one faint glimmer at the very end of the window. The morning of Thursday the 20th shows a light offshore breeze from the SE, which would clean things up, but again, there’s no swell to go with it. The energy is zero. It’s a cruel tease.
Here’s the bottom line: there are no good surf options in this 16-day window. None. But Erie is a consistent break, so it tends not to stay this poor for long. Forecasts can change, and we could see something pop up on the long-range models. But for now, keep the board in the car and the wax in the drawer. This is a blank run, plain and simple.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Warm (max 28°C on Fri afternoon, min 22°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 49mm), heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 28°C on Sun afternoon, min 21°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | W 4 | W 3 | W 4 | W 4 | WSW 3 | W 4 | WSW 4 | W 5 | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — |
 | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:31 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:28 | — | — | 8:27 | — |
mm | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 18 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 24 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 23 |
Feels °C | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 26 | 30 | 29 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | W 4 | W 3 | W 4 | W 4 | WSW 3 | W 4 | WSW 4 | W 5 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 686 | 1735 | 573 | 554 | 1269 | 549 | 552 | 554 | 552 | 552 | 556 | 556 | 552 | 552 | 589 | 554 | 554 | 54 | 569 | 567 | 652 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Erie Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Erie provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Erie can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Erie surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Erie) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Erie may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Lake Erie - United States? If you are looking for accommodation near Erie, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Lake Erie - United States, consider staying in Erie which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Lake Erie - United States where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Conneaut which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ashtabula, Jamestown and Youngsville.
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