El Brusco Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, this is a tough stretch ahead. We’re looking at a 16-day window that kicks off on the 6th of July, and the truth is there’s nothing worthwhile on offer until the 11th of July. That’s a solid 5-day gap with no surf to get excited about. The only break we’ve got to talk about is El Brusco, and it’s an advanced-level wave, fairly consistent as a rule, but the forecast is just not delivering.

The first sniff of any real energy shows up on the morning of Saturday the 11th. We get a small NW swell, around 2 feet, with a period of 11 seconds and a moderate combined energy of 115 (moderate wave energy). Winds are cross-shore from the ENE at 6 mph, which is workable, but the conditions are still labelled as poor. The swell is tiny and the quality just isn’t there.

Sunday the 12th of July morning could be the closest thing to a bright spot in the whole run. The swell holds at 2 feet from the NW, but the wind goes glassy – dead calm from the west at just 3 mph. That’s the kind of clean surface you dream about, but unfortunately the waves are still too small and weak to make it worth paddling out. The combined energy is only 62 (weak). It’s a tease, nothing more.

From there, we go into another long dead patch. The swell stays below 2 feet for days, with all sorts of cross-shore and cross-onshore breezes messing things up. We’re looking at more poor conditions right through to the 18th. The water temp is about average for the time of year, no drama there, but the waves are a no-show.

Finally, around the 19th of July, we get a slight bump. On the morning of Sunday the 19th, we see 3 feet from the NW, period 8 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 118 (moderate). The wind is light offshore from the NNW at 3 mph – that offshore flow is always a big positive, it’ll clean the faces right up. But even then, it’s still rated as poor surf. Too small, too weak.

The biggest spike in energy arrives on Tuesday the 21st of July in the afternoon, with a 5-foot NW swell, period 11 seconds, and a combined energy of 541 (strong to very strong wave energy). That’s the biggest number in the whole forecast. But the wind is cross-onshore from the WNW at 12 mph, making it choppy and messy. For an advanced break like El Brusco, a 5-foot NW groundswell with that period has some grunt, but the wind just kills it. It would be a messy, bumpy session at best.

Honestly, mate, there’s not a single standout day in this whole outlook. The swell is either too small or too wind-affected, and every session is labelled poor. It’s a blank run for the area, and we’re just going to have to wait for the next forecast update to see if things turn around. If you’re a kiter, a few of those days with bigger wind and small swell might look interesting, but for paddle surfing, this is a no-go.

Stay patient, keep an eye on the charts. I’ll be back when there’s something real to report.

- Rusty

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