El Brusco Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got.

Honestly, the next 16 days are a bit of a struggle. There’s no real standout session that’s going to have you ringing in sick. The window kicks off Wednesday the 9th, but conditions are pretty ordinary. The best bet in the whole run is a very specific window.

El Brusco is our only spot on the radar. It’s an advanced wave, fairly consistent when it gets swell, and it’s exposed to the NW. But it’s a picky one; expect it to be working best when the angle is true NW. The water is sitting at 72°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – about 3° above average.

The first real chance to get a wave is Thursday morning, the 10th. We have a NW groundswell running 4ft with a 10-second period, and the wind is glassy – dead calm, offshore from the ENE at 3 mph. That’s clean. The combined energy is moderate at 292. It’s not huge, but the conditions will be all-time for a small wave. The afternoon turns choppy though, so get it early.

After that, the surf drops right off. Friday the 11th is tiny, with 2ft and almost no energy (71). Then we go into a real dry spell through the weekend and into the start of next week.

The next pulse arrives on Sunday the 13th. We see a jump to 5ft from the NW with a very long period of 13 seconds (energy reading 679 – strong). The wind is just a light cross-shore from the ENE at 6 mph. This is a proper groundswell. The problem is it’s listed as marginal, likely due to the tide or the break handling that long period. For an advanced spot like El Brusco, a long-period NW swell like that can be epic, but at a beach setup it might close out a bit. The afternoon pushes to 5ft with a 12-second period (702 energy) and still just cross-shore winds. The 13th – Sunday is likely the only other option that’s even worth a look.

Monday the 14th drops back down, and from the 15th onward it’s a slow, sad fade. We get a tiny little 3ft glass-off on Thursday the 17th, but the period is a short 7 seconds, so it’ll be weak. After that, energy readings drop into the double digits and we’re looking at knee-high dribble all the way through to the 24th.

Let’s be honest: if you’re keen, Thursday morning the 10th is your best window for clean, small waves. The Sunday the 13th has the size and power, but you have to be ready for a cross-shore wind and a long-period swell that might make it tricky.

For the rest of the run... it’s a whole lot of nothing. There’s a solid week-plus of flatness from the 15th onward. If the forecasts shift, it could get better, but right now it looks like a good time to wax the longboard and just float around.

- Rusty

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