El Brusco Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty. Let’s be straight with you, mate – the outlook for El Brusco over the next 16 days is a pretty grim one. There’s a big gap of poor surf conditions right from the start, so don’t bother paddling out for the first week or so. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, and the wave energy is weak. It’s a real shame because this spot has potential, but we’re looking at a long stretch of flat, messy, or choppy water.

The first real glimmer of something rideable shows up on Monday morning, 27 July. We’ve got a bit of a pulse from the NNW with 4ft swell at a 10-second period, and the combined energy is moderate at 367. The wind is light and onshore from the north, which is not ideal, but it’s the first time the numbers look borderline. It’s still a marginal call, so don’t get your hopes up too high. The afternoon turns dirty with cross-onshore ENE wind at 12 mph, so the morning is your only real chance.

Tuesday, 28 July, is a step down. Swell drops to 4ft from the NNW, period still 10 seconds, but the morning wind is light cross-shore from the ENE. The energy is still moderate (261), but the surf is poor and bumpy. It’s just not worth the effort.

The next standout – and really the only highlight of the whole forecast – comes on Sunday, 2 August. That morning, a new swell from the NW pushes in at 5ft with a long 11-second period and solid energy reading of 475. The wind is light cross-onshore from the WNW at just 6 mph, which will keep the surface fairly clean. This is the best on offer, but it’s still a marginal call, so treat it as a promising but uncertain option. The afternoon sees a 5ft swell but the wind picks up to 9 mph from the NW, making it choppier. Still, the morning is the pick.

Monday, 3 August, follows with a similar 5ft swell from the NNW, 11 seconds, and light cross-onshore wind. The energy is strong at 527, but the rain and clouds might put a dampener on the vibe. Again, marginal.

After that, we’re back into a long, flat run. Thursday, 7 August, sees a tiny 0.7ft from the WNW with a strong 28 mph cross-shore wind – that’s not surf, that’s a washing machine. Kite surfers might find something to do in that, but for paddle surfing, it’s a total write-off.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a waste of time. The only real chance for a wave is the morning of Sunday, 2 August, and maybe the Monday after that. If you’re desperate, you could try Monday morning, 27 July, but it’s a long shot. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, no anomaly to speak of. For a spot that’s fairly consistent, this is a tough run, but it tends not to stay this poor for long – forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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