El Brusco Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright everyone, Rusty here. Let's break down what's coming for El Brusco over the next couple of weeks. The water is sitting right about 72°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might get away with a little less rubber.

Honestly, the first week is pretty grim. From Wednesday the 2nd right through to Monday the 7th, it's all tiny waves and bumpy winds. The swell energy is in the weak range (most readings between 42 and 68), and we've got cross-shore breezes messing things up. Even the glassy spells on the morning of the 4th and the morning of the 8th are on swells under 1 yard – just no power behind them.

Things get a little more interesting starting Saturday the 5th, but it's still far from perfect. Saturday morning has a 1-yard NW swell at 12 seconds with a combined energy of 370, but the wind is cross-shore. That afternoon jumps to a 2-yard swell with a 13-second period and energy of 707, but it's choppy with cross-onshore wind. Not worth paddling out for.

The absolute best-looking window in the whole 16 days is the morning of Monday the 14th of September. We’ve got a clean 1-yard NW swell at 10 seconds, with glassy conditions – barely a breath of wind from the east-northeast. The combined energy is 327, which is moderate, and the forecast says expect good surf. This is the one. The NW direction is exactly what this spot needs, and the calm wind will make it picture-perfect. It's an advanced break, so leave the foam boards at home, and expect crowds to be likely – get out there early.

Before that, the morning of Sunday the 13th is also solid. A 2-yard NW swell at 13 seconds, with a strong combined energy of 1041, and light east winds. That's a proper sized groundswell – 2 yards is getting into expert-only territory. The 13-second period will give you long waits between sets but clean, powerful lines.

Looking a bit further ahead, the morning of Tuesday the 15th has a 2-yard NW swell at 11 seconds and high energy (881) with light cross-shore east winds – surfable, but not as clean as Monday. The afternoon sees a 1-yard NNW swell at a very long 16 seconds and energy of 1195. That's a massive groundswell, but the wind is light cross-onshore. A 16-second period can make waves break a bit straight at a beach break, but at a rocky point like El Brusco, it could link up beautifully.

Wednesday the 16th morning has another 2-yard NW swell at 12 seconds with 798 energy and light west winds, but the call is still only marginal.

So, bottom line: the first week is a dud. Your best bet is the morning of Monday the 14th of September – glassy, good size, NW swell. Sunday the 13th is a strong backup. After that, there are some bigger swells on the horizon, but we'll need to see how the wind plays out.

Rusty.

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