El Brusco Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat for El Brusco, with the only real glimmers of hope coming a bit further out. The water is running at 75°, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a thick wetsuit.

The immediate outlook is a long, quiet stretch. From Sunday the 16th right through to the morning of Wednesday the 20th, there’s nothing worth paddling out for. The swell is tiny, the energy is weak (values are all under 70), and the winds are mostly onshore or cross-onshore, which is just ruining what little shape there is.

The first real glimmer comes on the morning of Thursday the 20th. We’ve got a glassy start with a small 3ft NW swell arriving, period around 10 seconds. The combined energy climbs to 158 – still weak, but it’s a start. Conditions are described as “surfable but very ordinary,” so you’ll be able to get wet, but don’t expect anything special. The afternoon picks up a little to 4ft from the NNW with a 12-second period and moderate energy (429), but the wind turns cross-onshore, making it messy.

Friday the 21st is the biggest push of the whole outlook. The morning shows 5ft from the NNW at 11 seconds, with moderate energy (523). The wind is light cross-onshore, so it’s not perfect, but it’s the best swell size we see. The afternoon is similar at 5ft. This is the standout for the next week, but don’t expect clean, groomed waves.

Saturday the 22nd dawns glassy with a clean 3ft NNW swell (172 energy), which might be the most user-friendly session of the early period. The afternoon gets choppy again.

After that, the forecast takes a nosedive. From Sunday the 23rd all the way through to Friday the 28th, it’s a real mixed bag of messy, onshore, and choppy conditions. The swell is anywhere from 1ft to 4ft, but the wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, and the energy stays low to moderate. There’s even a bit of a bump on Monday the 24th afternoon with 7ft from the NNW (484 energy), but it’s accompanied by a risk of thunderstorms and a gentl cross-onshore wind, making it a choppy mess. That’s kite-surfing territory, not clean paddle surfing.

Finally, we see a bit more promise on the horizon. Saturday the 29th morning has a 3ft NW swell (174 energy) with a cross-offshore wind, which could offer some clean lines. The afternoon picks up to 5ft from the NW with a 10-second period and strong energy (497), but the wind goes cross-onshore again.

Sunday the 30th is the best-looking day of the entire outlook. Morning is glassy with 4ft from the NNW (211 energy), and the afternoon is glassy calm with a 4ft NW swell (178 energy). That’s the session to circle. It’s still a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it, but those glassy conditions and a clean 4-4ft swell are the pick of the bunch.

Monday the 31st finishes the outlook with a messy 5ft clean-up set in the morning, but the wind is cross with a moderate breeze in the afternoon ruining the 6ft pulse.

In short, there’s no barnstorming swell here. The best bet is the glassy sessions on Sunday the 30th. If you’re desperate, Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st offer the biggest waves, but they’re not clean. Don’t hold your breath for the long haul.

Rusty.

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