El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for El Agujero. I’ll be straight with you – this forecast is a tough one. We’ve got a solid run of surf on the cards, but the wind just won’t play ball for most of it. The first proper wave energy shows up on Tuesday the 14th, but it’s a real slow burner with choppy, cross-onshore conditions spoiling the party right through the first week and beyond.

The initial days are pretty grim. Tuesday the 14th through to Friday the 18th, we’re looking at small, weak swells, mostly around 2 ft to 5 ft. The energy is low, reading between 51 and 205 (combined energy of all swells directed here). The wind is a stubborn cross-onshore from the NE, making for choppy, bumpy surf. Not worth paddling out for unless you’re desperate for a splash.

We start to see a bit more push from Saturday the 18th onwards, with swell heights climbing to 6 ft. The wave energy climbs into the moderate zone (296 combined energy) but that NE cross-onshore sticks around, and by the afternoon it's a fresh breeze, making it lumpy. That same story repeats into the second week. From Sunday the 19th up to Wednesday the 22nd, the wind switches to straight onshore from the NNE. We get consistent 5 ft to 5 ft surf, but it’s blown out and ragged. The energy is still moderate, hovering around 156 to 204.

Now, there is a real uptick in size around Thursday the 23rd and into the final days of the forecast. Swell jumps to 8 ft, and the energy readings rocket up to 592 and 657 – that’s solid, moderate-to-strong juice. This is wave height that’s pushing into intermediate territory, and at over 8 ft on the 26th and 28th, it’s strictly for the experienced crew. Even then, the wind is still either cross-onshore or onshore. The period is a modest 8 to 9 seconds, so it’s not proper groundswell; it’s wind-affected, close-interval stuff. On a reef break like this, that combo of size and onshore wind is going to be a messy, challenging affair.

Honestly, across this entire 16-day window, I can’t in good conscience pick a standout session. There’s no moment with clean, glassy conditions or a light offshore breeze. Every single day has sub-par wind. If you’re a kiter, the setup from the 23rd to the 29th looks far more interesting than it does for a paddle surfer. For us, it’s a waiting game. Hang in there.

Rusty.

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