El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get straight into it. It’s Rusty here.

Well, I gotta be honest with you – the next 16 days are looking pretty grim for El Agujero. The pattern is there, sure, but the wind is just ruining it. The whole period is plagued by a persistent NNE breeze, blowing mostly cross-onshore or onshore, keeping things choppy and messy. There’s a real dry spell right at the start with no surf worth paddling out for.

We kick off on Sunday, July 26th. Swell is pushing 7 ft from the NNE, but the wind is a cross-on 16 mph, and the water’s a mess. The combined energy is moderate (635), but it’s just not clean. That sets the tone for the rest of the week and into the next.

Monday, July 27th through to Wednesday, July 29th see the swell dropping from 6 ft down to 4 ft, with periods as short as 6 seconds. The wind stays onshore or cross-onshore. The water temp is about 73°F (normal for this time of year), but you won’t care about that when you’re battling a 12-16 mph onshore breeze. No standouts here.

Thursday, July 30th and Friday, July 31st keep the same story – small, weak, short-period NNE swell around 4 ft to 5 ft, with combined energy dropping into the 100-200 range. The wind is still a problem. No joy.

The first weekend of August (the 1st and 2nd) is more of the same. Swell tiny, period short, wind still from the north. It’s a write-off. The first week of August just drags on with poor conditions.

Now, there is a bit of a pulse showing up around Saturday, August 8th. Swell picks up to 6 ft in the morning and 7 ft in the afternoon from the NNE, with combined energy jumping to 410 and then 551. That’s moderate wave energy. But the wind is still cross-onshore at 12-16 mph. The reef at El Agujero might start to show some shape, but it’s gonna be a battle with the wind. The period is only 8 seconds, so it’s a bit short for a proper groundswell. Not a true standout.

The real buildup comes on Sunday, August 9th. The swell hits 8 ft from the NNE, with a period stretching to 9 seconds. The combined energy is strong at 821-834. That’s a lot of water moving. But here’s the thing – the wind is still onshore or cross-onshore at 16 mph. For a reef break like El Agujero, that’s a recipe for blown-out, choppy conditions. At 8 ft, this is getting into expert territory, and with that wind, it’s more of a challenge than a classic session. The swell direction (NNE) is not the optimum for this spot (which prefers NNW), so it’s not wrapping in perfectly.

Monday, August 10th keeps the swell up around 7 ft-8 ft, with similar energy (652-704), but still with onshore wind. The wind finally drops to 12 mph, but it’s still onshore, so the wave faces will be bumpy.

So, the only time the surf gets interesting is the 9th and 10th of August, but it’s let down by the wind and the swell direction. There’s no true standout session here. The crowd profile at El Agujero is “often” busy, so you’d expect company, but with these conditions, it might not be as packed. Honestly, this reef is better on a clean NNW swell with lighter winds.

Forget the first week, it’s a total loss. The second week has some size, but the quality is poor. If you’re a kitesurfer, this NE wind pattern might be your jam, but for paddle surfing, it’s a long wait for a clean day.

Rusty.

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