El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, switching to feet and miles.

We’re looking at El Agujero for the next couple of weeks, and I’ll be straight with you—it’s a rough stretch. The main pattern is steady onshore wind from the NNE, and that’s the problem. The swell is trying to show up, but the wind is ruining it. From Monday 27 July through the first week, every entry is marked as poor surf conditions. The wind is either onshore or cross-onshore, moderate breeze, and the combined swell energy is low to moderate (between 114 and 305). The swell is short-period (6 to 8 seconds), so it’s weak and choppy. Nothing worth paddling out for.

We get a slight break on Saturday 1 August and Sunday 2 August, when the wind drops to a light breeze and the swell shifts a bit more northerly. The combined energy is still low (between 106 and 260), and the period is short (7 seconds), but it’s the best you’re going to get. Water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing special.

From Monday 3 August, the wind picks up again and it’s back to the same messy story. The swell starts building toward the end of the second week, but it’s paired with stronger cross-onshore winds. By Sunday 9 August, the swell is around 7 to 8 feet from the NNE, short period 8 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 645 to 809. That’s a lot of water moving, but it’s lumpy and wind-affected. This is getting too big for beginners, and for intermediates, the quality is poor. It’s a beach-and-reef setup, but with those winds, it’s more of a kite-surfing spot than a paddle zone.

The very end of the forecast, Monday 10 August into Tuesday 11 August, the swell is still up around 7 to 8 feet, and the wind finally goes onshore from the NNE instead of cross-onshore. The combined energy is still strong (510 to 817), but the period is short (7 to 8 seconds) and the conditions are still poor. Not a standout.

Truth is, there’s no true standout in this 16-day window. The best window is the light-wind days on 1 and 2 August, but even that’s a marginal call. If you’re keen, you could get some weak, short-period waves on a small board, but don’t expect any quality. For the rest of the time, the wind is just too strong and from the wrong direction. The forecast confidence is high for the near term, and it’s not looking good.

Rusty.

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