El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this 16-day window is a tough one for El Agujero. The swell is there, but it’s a real battle with the wind, and the quality just isn’t lining up. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor conditions, so don’t get your hopes up for a classic session.

Right from the start, Saturday the 11th kicks off with tiny, weak swell – only 2ft – and a very short period of 5 seconds. The wind is onshore, the wave energy is a paltry 18, and the report says it’s poor surf. That’s a hard pass. This flat spell runs through the weekend and into the start of the work week. You’ll be waiting a while.

The first real change comes around Thursday the 16th. The swell starts to build, pushing 5ft to 6ft by the afternoon, with a longer period around 7 seconds. The wave energy jumps to a moderate 289, which is promising. But the wind is a fresh cross-onshore, making it lumpy. The report is still calling it poor surf. El Agujero is a reef break, so it’s exposed, but it’s just not clean.

The following week, from the 17th through the 23rd, the swell really fires up, climbing to 8ft with a period of 8 to 9 seconds. The combined energy hits the thousand mark (1174 on the 20th), so there’s serious power in the water. However, the wind stays stubbornly cross-onshore or onshore, with moderate to fresh breezes (15-19 mph). The water temp is a comfortable 72°F, which is about average for the time of year, so at least you won’t freeze while you’re getting chopped up. The problem is that with this much swell (over 8ft) and constant wind, this is really only for experts, and even then, the quality is poor. It’s a real shame.

After that, things settle down towards the end of the month, but the wind remains a problem. The last few days of the window see the swell dropping back to 4ft, but the wind is still fresh and cross-onshore, so the surf remains poor.

Honestly, there’s not a single standout session in this whole 16-day run. The only time the swell is meaningful is when the wind is ruining it. If you’re a kite surfer, this setup might look interesting with the strong cross-onshore winds and solid swell, but for a paddle surfer, this is a blank run. It’s a normal pattern for the area in these conditions, but it’s a tough one to swallow.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the forecasts. Things can change.

Rusty.

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