El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s have a look at what’s on offer. Honestly, the outlook is a bit of a tough one this time. We’ve got El Agujero as the only break in the running, and for the full 16-day window, it’s just not coming together. The setup is consistent, which usually means it’s a reliable spot, but the wind is locking in from the northeast and north-northeast, blowing straight across or onshore, and that’s killing the quality. The swell is there, but it’s not translating into anything rideable.

From Wednesday the 15th right through the end of the month, it’s all “poor surf conditions” on the cards. The first few days, from the 15th to the 17th, the swell is small – we’re talking 1ft to 5ft, with a short period of 5 to 7 seconds, and the energy is weak to moderate (46 to 184). The cross-onshore wind is making it choppy and messy. Not worth paddling out.

Then from the 18th of July, the swell builds a bit. By Saturday the 18th, we’re seeing 5ft to 6ft (moderate energy, 224-259), and it stays in that range through the 22nd, even hitting 6ft to 7ft (strong energy, 344-431). The swell direction is mostly north-northeast, which is a fair match for the break’s optimum from the north-northwest, but it’s not spot on. The wind is still cross-on or onshore, and the period is only 7 to 8 seconds – short-period wind swell, not the kind that gives you those long, lined-up waves.

The biggest pulses come around the 23rd and 24th of July, with swell heights of 7ft to 8ft and strong wave energy (702-743). For an intermediate reef break, that’s getting into the zone where it’s only for the experienced crew, especially with the wind making it messy. The wind finally switches to onshore, which is still not clean, but at least it’s not cross-on. Still, the forecast says “poor surf conditions” every single time.

From the 25th onwards, it hangs around 5ft to 7ft, but the wind stays up, and the energy drops back to moderate towards the end. The 28th and 29th see a fresh breeze of 19 mph, cross-onshore, lumpy. No good.

The bottom line: there’s no standout. No day where the winds line up glassy or offshore, no long-period groundswell to give it that extra push. The swell is there, but the conditions are just not cooperating. If you’re desperate, you could look at the 23rd morning when the swell is biggest (8ft, N, 8 secs) and the wind is onshore, not cross, but it’s still a poor call. It’s a long stretch of blank days. For an area that’s usually consistent, this is a rough run. Sometimes the forecasts shift, but right now, I’d say leave the board in the car.

Rusty.

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