El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break it down in feet and knots.

This is a tough stretch for El Agujero. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for any kind of decent surf. We’ve got a real gap here, starting from Saturday the 4th of July all the way through, and honestly, nothing is really getting the green light. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a write-off, which is a shame because this spot usually has its moments.

We kick off Saturday morning with a bit of a pulse – a 4ft swell from the N with a 10-second period, but the wind is cross-on from the NW at 6 knots, and the wave comment is just “marginal.” The combined energy is weak at 337, and the water is sitting at 22°, about average for the time of year. Afternoon goes even worse – poor conditions with the wind turning onshore. From Sunday the 5th right through to the weekend of the 19th of July, every single session is marked as “poor surf conditions.” The wind is relentless, mostly onshore or cross-onshore from the N or NNE, gusting from 8 knots up to a solid 16 knots by the 10th. That’s a lot of chop and no chance for a clean face.

The swell does try to build a bit. By Monday the 13th of July, we’re seeing a 5ft swell from the NNE with a 6-second period, and the combined energy creeps up to 237 (weak to moderate), but the wind is still cross-onshore at 13-16 knots. Even when the swell gets to 6ft on the 14th (energy up to 333), it’s still messy. The period stays short – between 5 and 8 seconds – so there’s no real power or shape to work with.

Things actually get a little bigger toward the end. On Saturday the 18th of July, we’re looking at 7ft swells from the NNE with an 8-second period, and the combined energy hits 430 (moderate). But again, the wind is moderate onshore or cross-onshore, and the forecast still says poor conditions. At that size with that wind, this beach setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, honestly.

There is no standout session in this entire outlook. The only break on the list, El Agujero, is a consistent reef break that usually handles swell well from the NNW, but the wind and short-period chop just kill it day after day. For the entire 16 days, there is nothing I’d recommend paddling out for.

Rusty.

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