El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, switching to the old standard.

Let’s be real – the outlook for El Agujero over the next 16 days is a rough one. We’ve got a long stretch of poor surf conditions, with no good options to point you toward. The whole forecast is filled with onshore and cross-onshore winds that just won’t quit, and the swell is coming from the NNE, which isn’t the best direction for this break – it needs a NNW swell to really work.

Starting Monday the 27th, we’ve got a 5ft swell from the NNE with a short period of 8 seconds, but the wind is already on it from the NNE at 12 mph, keeping things messy. The water temp is 74°, which is about normal for this time of year. The combined swell energy is weak at 263, and the wave comment says it all: “poor surf conditions.”

From Tuesday the 28th through the end of the first week, it’s the same story. Swell heights are around 4ft to 6ft, period stays short between 6 and 7 seconds, and the wind is either cross-on or on from the NNE at 12-16 mph. The combined energy picks up a bit by Friday the 31st, hitting 328, but it’s still just moderate, and the wind is chopping it up. Nothing clean.

Moving into the first week of August, the pattern doesn’t change. On Saturday the 1st, the wind drops to a light breeze at 6 mph from the north, which is onshore, and the swell is 5ft with a 7-second period, but the energy is moderate at 270 – still a no-go. Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd are more of the same cross-on slop, with swell around 4ft to 5ft.

Things get bigger in the second week. From Wednesday the 5th, swell heights climb to 7ft, then 8ft by Thursday the 6th, and the combined energy jumps into the strong range – 496 on the 5th, 816 on the 6th. But the wind is still cross-on from the NE or NNE at 12-16 mph, and the period is only 8 seconds. That’s a lot of bumpy, short-period chop. It’s too big for beginners, and with the wind, it’s not even good for experts. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The last few days, from the 8th to the 11th, keep the same vibe: 7ft to 8ft swell, 8-9 second period, and cross-on or onshore winds picking up to 19-22 mph by the 10th. The energy is strong (over 600), but the wind is just ruining any chance of a clean wave. All records say “poor surf conditions.”

So, nothing to recommend here. It’s a blank run. For this area, that’s not unusual – the wind can lock in like this. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it, but for now, I’d be looking for a different activity or a different spot.

Rusty.

Read more