El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking straight at El Agujero here, a consistent reef break that gets exposed to the swell. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.

Honestly, the outlook is a tough one to swallow. We are looking at a full 16-day window, and the first sign of anything rideable doesn’t show up until July 4th, but even then it’s a struggle. The swell starts at 4 ft from the north with a 10-second period, and the combined wave energy is at 337 (moderate), but the wind is cross-on from the NNW at 6 mph. The wave comment says it’s “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” and the score reflects that – it’s just not happening. That afternoon goes straight into onshore wind and a “poor” call, and the same story keeps going day after day. From July 5th right through to July 13th, the wind stays either directly onshore or cross-onshore, usually blowing 12-19 mph from the N or NNE, and the commentary is almost all “poor surf conditions” with a score of zero. The swell hangs around the 3 ft to 5 ft mark, but with that wind, it’s all chop and bump.

There are no true standouts here, nothing that says “go.” The only slight change is on July 14th (Tuesday) morning, where we see a pulse of swell to 5 ft from the north with a period of 9 seconds and the combined energy shoots up to 410 – that’s moderate energy, getting into the strong territory – but the wind is still onshore from the NNE at 16 mph. The wave comment still says “poor surf conditions.” It’s a tough call, but with that wind direction, the offshore wind for El Agujero is S, and we aren’t seeing that at all over the whole 16-day stretch. We are locked into a northerly flow.

What we’ve got is a nearly two-week stretch after July 14th with consistent cross-onshore wind and moderate swell that just won’t get clean. The swell gets a bit bigger towards July 18th and 19th, hitting 6 ft to 6 ft from the NNE with a shorter period of 7 seconds, energy is still moderate (263-293), but the quality is still poor. For a reef break like this, that onshore or cross-onshore wind ruins the face. It’s basically a blown-out mess.

If you are a paddle surfer, there isn’t a single session I’d recommend without hesitation. The wind is just wrong for this spot the entire 16 days.

Rusty

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