El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s be straight up with you. It is goin’ to be a tough stretch for any kind of decent surf around here. El Agujero is a reef setup, consistent, and exposed to the north-northwest, which is its best direction for swell. But for the next two and a half weeks, the wind is a total nightmare for this spot. It’s blowin’ hard from the north-northeast, pretty much onshore or cross-onshore the whole time, which means the waves are goin’ to be chopped up and messy. There is no good surf on offer at all for the entire period. To put it bluntly, the first real bump of energy doesn’t even try to turn up until around the morning of Thursday, 16 July, when the swell bumps up to 6ft from the north-northeast and the combined wave energy jumps to 272 — still moderate energy — but that wind is still cross-on at 12 mph, so it’s just more chop. Then it gets bigger: by Saturday, 18 July, you’re lookin’ at 7ft to 8ft from the north-northeast with energy readings up around 620 to 688, which is strong energy, but the wind is still cross-on and the period is a short 8 seconds the whole way through. That short period means the waves are goin’ to be fat and sectiony, not the kind of power you want for a reef. That swell size — over 8ft — is really only for experienced surfers if it was any good, but with the onshore wind, it’s just a lumpy, bumpy mess. This setup, with that much cross-onshore wind and that swell size at a reef, would actually look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. You’d be better off waitin’ for a real clean day with a bit of north-northwest swell to light it up proper. This is a blank run, and it’s not unusual for this area when the trade winds lock in. Forecasts can always change, but right now, it’s a no-go for pretty much the full 16 days.

Rusty

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