El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at El Agujero.

Honestly, mate, if you’re looking for a good session, you’re gonna have to wait. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a write-off. The surf is there, but the conditions are just not playing ball. The north-northeast wind is a constant headache, ruining what could be otherwise reasonable swell.

First up, Monday the 27th of July. We’ve got a 5ft swell from the north-northeast, but it’s short-period stuff at 8 seconds, and the wind is a moderate onshore breeze. The water temp is a pretty normal 74°F for this time of year. The whole week is a repeat of this: the swell sticks around 4ft to 5ft, but the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore, making it choppy and messy. The combined swell energy is mostly weak to moderate (136 to 263), and it’s just not worth paddling out.

We get a little breather on Saturday the 1st of August. The wind drops right off, going light and onshore from the north-northwest, with swell still around 4ft to 5ft. It’s the cleanest it will be all week, but the swell is weak and short period. The combined energy is still weak (240). It’s a tease, but I’d still struggle to call it a goer.

Then the middle of the week gets a bit of a pulse. On Wednesday the 5th of August, the swell jumps to 6ft, and by Thursday the 6th it’s 7ft, all from the north-northeast with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy jumps to a solid 380-538, which is moderate wave energy. But again, the wind is a dirty cross-onshore, making it lumpy. That 7ft is getting into the “too big for beginners” territory, and with the wind on it, it’s gonna be a messy, blown-out wall.

The last few days, from the 9th of August onward, the wind actually picks up into a fresh breeze, hitting 18-22 mph. The swell stays around 5ft to 7ft, but the combined energy climbs to 485-915. The swell on Tuesday the 11th of August is 8ft from the north-northeast with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy hits 969, which is strong. But the wind is still onshore and the conditions are lumpy. At this size and with the wind, this is for experts only, and even then, it’s gonna be a battle. The wind is so strong here, a setup like this looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The bottom line is, there’s no standout session here. The wind is against us for the entire 16 days. The closest thing to a clean window was that Saturday, but the swell was too small. For the rest, it’s a case of what could have been. Sometimes, you just have to sit this one out. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a big fat zero.

Rusty.

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