El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Gutted, folks. I’ve stared at the charts for the next sixteen days and, honestly, it’s a whole lot of nothing for El Agujero. There are no good surf options in this entire window. The swell direction is all wrong, coming in from the NNE when this reef needs a good NNW groundswell to really light up. We’re looking at a blank run, which can happen here, but it’s a long one this time.

The first ten days are a write-off. We’ve got onshore NNE winds blowing 25 km/h, turning the surface into a chop fest. The swell is there, but it’s short-period wind swell around 5ft, and it’s just messy. The energy is weak to moderate at best, with readings mostly in the 100s and 200s (like 264 on the 8th). It’s just not going to offer anything rideable. The water temp is 75°F, which is about average for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a thick suit while you’re sitting there in the shore break.

Sunday the 17th brings a slight dip in the wind to 9 mph, but it’s still cross-onshore and the swell drops. It’s still poor. The same story continues through the week. The period does nudge up to 8 seconds by the 19th, and the swell direction shifts a touch more northerly, but the wind stays rubbish and the wave comment just says “poor surf conditions” the whole way through.

Even the longer-range stuff doesn’t get me excited. Around the 22nd, the energy jumps up to the 300s (320 on the 22nd morning), and the period hits 9 seconds, but it’s still cross-onshore and the direction is still not what we need. By the 23rd, the wind picks up to a fresh 19 mph breeze, making things lumpy. This isn’t a surf forecast; it’s a kiteboarding forecast. The setup looks far more interesting for kites than for paddle surfing.

Keep the board in the car, but maybe leave the wetsuit at home. It’s not going to tend to stay poor for long, and forecasts can change, but right now, I wouldn’t waste the gas. This is just one of those stretches where the ocean says no.

Rusty

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