El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about El Agujero. This reef break is usually consistent and gets a fair bit of swell, but over the next few weeks it’s mostly a write-off. We’ve got a long stretch of poor conditions starting from the 18th of July through to the 26th – every session shows cross‑onshore wind and choppy sea state. The swell sticks around 5ft to 8ft but with short periods (7‑8 seconds) and the wind is blowing from the NNE or NE, never really lining up clean. Crowds are often here, but honestly nobody’s going to be having fun in that slop. Combined wave energy climbs from 165 up to 841 through that period, but it’s messy energy, not the kind you want to paddle into.

Then we get a brief window on the morning of Monday 27 July. The wind switches to onshore but light – still from the NNE at 12 mph – and the swell jumps to 10ft with a 9‑second period. That’s a big push (combined energy 1257). The forecast notes wind and tide are favorable, but the swell might be too big for this break. For the experts out there, that could be a rare session, but honestly it’s borderline. If you’re not a seasoned charger, stay away – 10ft on a reef is serious. And the swell direction is NNE, while the optimum here is NNW, so it’s not a perfect match. Still, it’s the only day that isn’t rated as poor.

After that, from the 28th through to the 2nd of August, it’s back to cross‑onshore winds and choppy surf, with swell dropping down again. So if you’re after anything decent, your best bet is that Monday morning, but only if you’re comfortable with overhead reef waves. Otherwise, this 16‑day window is mostly a wipeout.

Water temperature on the 18th is 73°F, about average for this time of year – nothing special.

Stay safe, and don’t force it.

– Rusty

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