El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for El Agujero over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – it’s a tough read.

First up, nothing to get excited about at El Agujero. The water temp is sitting at 72° – pretty normal for this time of year, no real surprises there.

The entire 16-day forecast is one long stretch of "poor surf conditions." From Thursday the 2nd all the way through to Friday the 17th of July, every single session is marked as poor. That’s a solid two-week gap with no decent surf on offer. The swell is almost always from the north or north-northeast, which is the optimum direction for this exposed reef, but the wind is relentless. From the second day onwards, it’s mostly onshore or cross-onshore, with a moderate to fresh breeze hitting 12-19 mph, making things messy and choppy.

The energy in the water is weak to moderate at best – nothing that’s going to get the heart racing. Swell heights hover around 3 ft to 7 ft, and periods are short (5-10 seconds), so you’re looking at weak, wind-affected lines. On the morning of the 3rd of July, there’s a brief touch of light cross-onshore wind, but it’s still paired with poor surf. By the second week, from around the 11th of July onward, the wind really locks in from the north-northeast and northeast at 12-16 mph, with the swell dropping further – under 4 ft – and periods falling to just 5-6 seconds. That’s more like a wind swell than anything with real push.

Honestly, if you’re itching for action, this setup might be more suited to kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the poor quality and persistent wind. There are no true standouts here – nothing comes close to a good session. For an area where the reef is consistent, this kind of blank run isn’t too unusual when the wind doesn’t play ball. Keep an eye on the forecasts; things can shift.

Rusty.

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