El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s cut straight to it. I’ve been staring at this stretch from El Agujero, and I gotta say, it’s a tough one. The whole run here is a write-off, plain and simple. We’re talking a solid 16 days of nothing you’d want to paddle into.

The water’s sitting at 74°, which is a bit warmer than usual for July, but that’s about the only good news.

Friday the 17th starts us off with a 5ft NE windswell, but that 16 mph NE wind is smashing it sideways. It’s choppy, messy, and the combined energy is a weak 159. That pattern just locks in. Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th are the same story – cross-on winds, lumpy water, and poor conditions. The swell tries to push up, hitting 6ft on Sunday with moderate energy climbing to 287, but that wind just ruins it.

Through the week, nothing changes. Monday the 20th has 7ft swell but 19 mph NNE winds onshore. By Tuesday the 21st, the wind shifts onshore, but it doesn't help—still a no-go. We get a bit more size toward the end of the week, with Thursday the 23rd showing 7ft and moderate energy building to 512, but those cross-onshore winds have got the surface chopped up.

Into the second week, the swell gets properly big. Sunday the 26th of July sees a 10ft NE groundswell, with a very strong 1,374 combined energy. That’s expert territory only, but the wind is still cross-onshore at 16-19 mph. It’s powerful, but messy and lumpy. Monday the 27th keeps that 10ft size, still cross-on and lumpy.

After that, the swell slowly backs off. By Tuesday the 28th we’re down to 7ft, and the wind finally eases to 9 mph. That’s the closest we get to a "maybe," but it’s still cross-onshore and fairly choppy—not worth the drive.

The last few days into August 1st have 7ft onshore swell, but the wind is still on it. Honestly, there’s not a single standout in this whole forecast. This is one of those stretches where the area just shuts down. Forecasts can change, but right now, it's a solid blank run.

Rusty.

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