El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for El Agujero.

Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it: the next two weeks are a tough watch for anyone looking to get a decent wave under their feet. The whole 16-day window is served up with persistent cross-onshore winds and a swell that's short-period, messy, and just never quite clean enough to get excited about. Every single session across the entire forecast is marked as poor surf conditions.

We start off on Tuesday the 11th with a small 4ft swell from the NNE, but those 16 mph cross-onshore winds from the NE are killing any hope of a clean surface. It’s a choppy, blown-out mess with weak energy (126). The water temp is sitting at 75°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

This pattern locks in solid. Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th are more of the same: 4ft to 5ft of that same NNE short-period swell (6 seconds) with 16 mph cross-on winds. Wave energy bumps up to a moderate 207 on Thursday morning, but it’s all for nothing with the wind ruining it. Friday the 14th pushes swell up to 6ft and energy jumps to 351, but the period is still a pathetic 7 seconds and the wind is still cross-on at 16 mph.

The weekend of the 15th and 16th brings the biggest energy readings we’ll see in the first week – 436 on Saturday morning – and the swell height sits around 6ft to 6ft. But again, it’s all cross-onshore and choppy. There is a brief moment Sunday afternoon the 16th where the wind swings to 'on' shore from the NNE, but it's still 16 mph and the surf quality doesn't change. It’s just not happening.

Into the second week, from Monday the 17th onward, the wind does occasionally shift to just 'on' shore, which is slightly better, but it's still blowing 9 to 12 mph with short-period swell. Swell heights hold between 5ft and 5ft, with energy getting quite high – 414 by Tuesday the 18th morning – but the period finally stretches to 10 seconds. That’s a bit more groundswell character, but the onshore wind and overall poor rating means the shape will be sloppy.

The best-looking window on paper is around Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd. Swell pushes up to 7ft with 8-9 second period, and the combined energy surges to a strong 624 on the 22nd afternoon. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore at 16 mph though. At 7ft, that’s getting too big for beginners, and with that wind, it’s really only going to be a messy, powerful wall for experts. Even then, it’s still rated as poor.

From Monday the 24th, we start to fade. Swell drops back to 4ft to 6ft, energy winds down to 274, and the wind stays cross-on from the NE at 16 mph all the way through to Wednesday the 26th. The last reading on the 26th afternoon is just 3ft at 8 seconds with a weak 176 energy.

There are no standouts. There is no best on offer. The only consistency here is the poor surf quality. If you’re a kiter, those strong cross-onshore winds and the consistent size might be worth a look, but for a surfer? This is a blank run. A 16-day stretch like this is not uncommon for the area – sometimes the conditions just refuse to line up. Forecasts can change, but as it stands, I’d leave the boards in the car.

Rusty.

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