El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu for El Agujero over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you – the next little while is going to be a tough one. The forecast is looking pretty bleak for a long stretch, so if you’re itching for a paddle, you’re gonna need some patience.

We’re kicking off with a proper flat spell. From Monday the 6th of July, right through until at least Sunday the 12th, it’s pretty much a write-off. The swell is tiny – we’re talking knee-high dribble at best, if you’re lucky. On top of that, the wind is mostly a cross-onshore breeze, chopping everything up and making it look like a washing machine. The wave energy is weak, barely registering over 100 (184 on Monday morning for example), and the period is short and shitty. Don’t even bother.

This grim run carries on through the second week, but it does start to build. From around Wednesday the 15th of July, the swell starts to nudge up – 4ft to 5ft through Thursday – but that damned cross-onshore wind (NNE at 12-16 mph) is still ruining any chance of a clean face. It’s just messy toppy junk. The energy climbs into the 100s and 200s, but it’s all for nothing with that wind.

Now, here’s where things get a bit interesting. The end of the period is the only real talking point. Saturday, the 18th of July, sees a bigger bump come in, with swell size hitting 6ft to 6ft and wave energy getting into a proper moderate range (340-387). But again, it’s cross-on and messy. The real potential pops up on Monday the 20th of July, where the morning slot shows a solid 10ft swell from the NNE with a period of 10 seconds. The wind is light, a gentle breeze blowing onshore, which could make for some clean faces if it holds. That wave energy is a massive 1561, which means there’s plenty of push. However, that size – over 8ft – is serious and well into expert territory. This reef break can handle it, but it won’t be for the faint of heart. The rest of that day and into Tuesday the 21st of July stays big (8ft - 8ft) but the cross-on wind returns, making it less appealing.

So what’s the call? Honestly, there’s only one real standout window in this whole 16-day outlook. If you’re an experienced surfer and can wait, keep your eyes on Monday morning, the 20th of July. That’s your chance. Strong groundswell, a bit of a longer period, and lighter wind. Every other day is either flat, chopped, or too small to be worth the drive. Sorry to be a downer, but that’s the read.

Stay patient, and keep those sticks waxed.
Rusty

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