El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are lookin’ pretty bleak for a proper paddle. We’ve got swell, sure, but it’s comin’ in from the wrong angle and the wind is gonna be workin’ against us the whole time. It’s a classic case of “lots of energy, nowhere to put it.”

We’re talkin’ about El Agujero here, a reef setup that’s exposed. The water's sittin’ at a normal 73°F, right about where it should be for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Right from Sunday the 2nd, it’s messy. The swell is small, around 4ft to 4ft, but the period is a weak 6 seconds and the wind is cross-onshore from the NNE. It’s gonna be choppy and poor – not worth your time. The energy is weak, around 116 to 128, and the forecast scores are a flat zero.

The whole first week is a write-off, honestly. Monday and Tuesday, the swell pushes up a touch to 5ft but that onshore wind is still there, keepin’ it lumpy and messy. Energy creeps into the moderate zone, around 200, but it’s not helpin’ the shape any.

By the time we hit Thursday the 6th, the swell is up around 6ft to 6ft, with the energy reading mid-300s. But again, the NNE wind is tearin’ it up. We’re seein’ onshore and cross-onshore conditions all day. It’s just a washing machine out there.

The weekend of the 9th and 10th backs off a bit to 5ft to 5ft, still onshore, still messy. No real change in the story. It’s not until the middle of the second week that things get a bit bigger, but that doesn’t mean better.

August 13th comes around and we start seein’ the swell really ramp up. By the 14th and 15th, we’re lookin’ at 7ft to 7ft of swell from the NNE, and the energy is gettin’ strong – we’re talkin’ readings in the 500 to 582 range. But here’s the kicker: the wind is also cranking up to 19 mph, and it’s cross-onshore the whole time. This is not good surf. This is big, lumpy, blown-out closeouts. At 7ft, this is expert-only territory, and even then, with that wind, it’s gonna be a battle. Honestly, this setup looks way more fun for a kite surfer than for anyone tryin’ to paddle.

The very last few days of the window, the 16th and 17th, the swell is still around 7ft, but the wind eases a hair back to 12-16 mph. Still cross-onshore though. Still messy.

So, plain and simple: there is no good surf on offer in this entire 16-day stretch. The ratio of swell to wind is just all wrong. It’s rare to see a total blank run like this for a spot that’s usually consistent, but it happens. All we can do is hope the forecast shifts. If the wind swings offshore, or even just drops off, El Agujero would light up with that size. But as it stands, leave the board in the car and save your energy.

Rusty, out.

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