El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break down what we’re looking at for El Agujero for the next couple of weeks. Gotta be honest with you, it’s a grim outlook for the most part. The wave energy swings around from moderate to strong at times, but the wind just won’t give us a clean break.

We kick off Friday morning, July 3rd, with a north-northwest swell running 5ft. The period is a short 9 seconds, so it’s not carrying much punch, and that cross-on breeze is already messing with the surface. The combined energy is 442 (moderate), but the report is "poor surf conditions." That sets the tone. Water temp is a warm 72°, which is dead average for the time of year.

Through Saturday and Sunday, the swell drops a bit to around 5ft, with a slightly longer period of 10 seconds on Saturday. But again, it’s onshore or cross-onshore with a light to moderate breeze. Energy falls to the high 200s to mid 300s – not our friend. Monday and Tuesday really fall off a cliff – swell down to 4ft with a pathetic 5-second period. The energy drops into the double digits (71 and 65). That’s weak, gutless stuff.

There’s a big dead zone here. From around Monday, July 6th, right through to Wednesday, July 15th, it’s not even worth dragging the board out. The swell stays tiny or turns into weak windswell, and the wind is consistently onshore or cross-on from the north or north-northeast at 12 to 15 mph. The wave energy is either weak or just barely into the low 100s. Every single report says "poor surf conditions." That’s about a week and a half of flat, blown-out junk.

Then things finally try to wake up toward the end. On Friday, July 17th, we see a north-northeast swell building to 5ft in the morning and 6ft in the afternoon. The period improves to 7 seconds – still short, but better. The afternoon has onshore wind, but the energy jumps to 306 (moderate). Saturday, July 18th, is the one to circle. The swell hits 7ft in the morning, pushing to 7ft in the afternoon, with an 8-second period. The combined energy is a solid 454 in the morning and 586 in the afternoon – that’s strong. The wind is onshore, but it’s a moderate breeze. It’s not pristine, but it’s the only window with real power. That’s a standout for the experts – that 7ft to 7ft north-northeast swell is too big for beginners and for the experienced only.

Honestly, the whole forecast is a rough watch. El Agujero is a consistent reef break that’s exposed to the north-northwest, which is the direction the little bumps are coming from, but the wind is always wrecking it. With the poor quality and steady onshore flow, a lot of this looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. I wouldn’t bother until maybe that last Saturday.

Rusty.

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