El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for El Agujero over the next couple of weeks.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – the entire 16-day window is a bit of a write-off for decent surf. There isn’t a single day where the conditions come together for a proper paddle. We’re looking at a long gap of nothing but poor surf quality from now all the way through to the end of the forecast. The consistent cross-onshore winds from the NNE are the main culprit, just chopping up whatever swell is on offer.

The first few days, from Wednesday the 8th through to the weekend, it’s all small, weak, and messy. Swell heights hovering around 2ft to 4ft, mostly from the NNE, with periods around 4 to 5 seconds – that’s just windswell junk. The combined energy is weak, sitting in the 30 to 70 range, so don’t get your hopes up. The water temp is sitting at 72°, which is about normal for this time of year, so at least a wetsuit isn’t mandatory.

Now, there is a bit of a pulse that shows up around the second week. Starting Sunday the 12th, we see a bit more energy with a swell from the NNW, period stretching to 10 seconds, and the combined energy bumping up to 147. That’s got a bit more grunt behind it, but those NNE winds are still cross-onshore, keeping it choppy. The swell size stays around 2ft to 5ft for a few days.

Then, from Thursday the 16th right through to the following Wednesday the 22nd, the swell actually gets a bit of size. We’re looking at 7ft to 7ft coming from the NNE, with periods around 7 to 8 seconds. The combined energy hits strong levels, topping out at 650 on the 18th. Sounds promising, right? But here’s the kicker – the wind is still howling onshore from the NNE at 15 to 19 mph. That’s fresh and lumpy, turning what could be a fun, punchy wave into a washing machine. At 7ft, that’s really only for the experts anyway, and with the wind like that, it’s just not going to be enjoyable on a paddleboard. Honestly, with that much wind and swell, El Agujero is looking more interesting for the kite crew than for us surfers.

The final days, the 22nd and 23rd, the swell drops back down to 3ft to 5ft, and the wind stays cross-onshore. It’s just more of the same.

So, the bottom line? There’s no standout. No day to circle on the calendar. We’ve got a solid 16-day blank run ahead of us. It’s a shame, but it happens. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye out, but for now, I’d say save the wax and go do something else.

Rusty.

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