El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, it’s Rusty, and I’ve been looking at the outlook for El Agujero. Honestly, it’s a bit of a bummer – the whole 16-day window is pretty much a bust. Every single session is flagged as “poor surf conditions” with a score of zero. No standouts, no hidden gems, no sneaky windows. The wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, blowing from the NE or NNE at 9 to 19 mph, keeping the ocean bumpy and messy. The swell is short-period, mostly 6 to 8 seconds, so it’s pretty weak – combined energy runs from 100 to 607 (moderate to strong), but with that wind and short period, it never cleans up. The water temperature is about 74°F, with a 1°F anomaly, so pretty average for this time of year.

Let’s run through the days. Friday July 31st starts with a NE swell of 5 ft, period 7 seconds, cross-on wind at 12 mph, and combined energy of 222 – it’s choppy and no good. That sets the tone. Saturday and Sunday, August 1st and 2nd, the swell drops to 3 ft to 4 ft, still onshore wind, period 6 to 7 seconds – totally flat and blown out. Monday August 3rd through Wednesday August 5th, the swell lifts a bit but stays in the 4 ft to 5 ft range, cross-on wind, same short period, still poor. Thursday August 6th has a slight bump to 5 ft–6 ft, period 6 seconds, onshore wind, combined energy 176–246 – still a mess.

The second week is bigger but just as bad. From Friday August 7th to Friday August 14th, the swell pumps up to 6 ft to 8 ft, period 7 to 8 seconds, with onshore or cross-on wind at 12 to 19 mph. Combined energy climbs to 373–607 – that’s a lot of water moving, but it’s all short-period, wind-affected junk. For a reef break like El Agujero, a clean 8 ft wave with good period would be a treat, but here it’s just a messy, choppy pile. The swell is from the NNE, which is not the optimum direction (NNW is best for this spot), so the shape is off. Wind is onshore, so it’s not a pretty sight. The final two days, Saturday August 15th, see the swell drop to 5 ft–6 ft, period 8 seconds, still cross-on – same story.

The reality is, there’s not a single session worth paddling out for. No breaks, no clean peaks, no offshore windows. The wind is wrong almost every day, the swell is short and sloppy, and the direction is off. The good news? It’s a consistent spot, so when the wind and swell line up, it’ll come good. But right now, it’s a blank run. Better luck next time, mate.

Rusty

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