El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve dug into the charts for our local patch, and I gotta level with you – it’s been a grim stretch. The whole 16-day window is basically a dead zone for any decent waves. There’s swell coming through, but it’s all wind-chopped, short-period junk that’s not doing a thing for the lineup. The best I can offer is a tiny silver lining at the very end of the forecast, but you’ll need to be patient.

The first surf worth mentioning doesn’t pop up until August 20, which is a solid two weeks out. From August 7 right through August 19, it’s all a bust. The swell hangs around 5 ft to 6 ft, but it’s all from the NNE with a weak period of 6 to 7 seconds. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore from the N or NNE at 12–19 mph, turning everything into a choppy, messy soup. The combined energy is moderate, sitting around 200–400 (combined energy of all swells directed here), but it’s totally wasted. For a reef break like El Agujero, that’s just painful.

Now, El Agujero itself is a consistent spot, exposed to the swell, and it really likes an optimum swell from the NNW. The problem is, we’re stuck with NNE swell, which is way off its best angle. The water temp is 74°F with a 1°F anomaly, so it’s about average for this time of year – nothing unusual there.

The only real standout, and I’m being generous, is the morning of Thursday, August 20. The wind finally drops to a light 3 mph from the NNE, making it a light cross-onshore with just small wind ripples – that’s the closest to clean we’ll get. The swell is 5 ft from the NNE with a period of 7 seconds, and the combined energy is 200 (combined energy of all swells directed here). It’s only a 1 out of 10 day, called “marginal surf or questionable tide conditions,” but if you’re jonesing and you’ve got a longboard, you might scratch out a few weak ones. The rest of that day and the days after are back to poor conditions with onshore winds. The period does stretch to 8 or 9 seconds by August 22, but the wind stays on it, so don’t hold your breath.

Bottom line: there’s nothing worth paddling out for until August 20, and even then it’s a long shot. The combo of bad swell direction, short period, and constant wind has this region locked in a funk. It’s a blank run, and for this area, that’s pretty normal when the trade winds set in. Keep the wax on the shelf and wait for a change.

Rusty.

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