El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are a write-off if you’re looking for a proper surf. The only break on the radar, El Agujero (reef), is copping a constant cross-onshore breeze that’s just smashing up any chance of a clean wave. The water's sitting at 74°, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year, but that’s no comfort when the surf is this messy.

From Friday the 17th right through the weekend, it’s a frustrating story. Friday morning kicks off with a weak 4ft NE swell at a short 7 seconds, and the wind is a solid 16 mph from the NNE. The combined energy is a low 130, and the whole thing is choppy and unrideable. Saturday and Sunday aren’t much better – the swell bumps up a bit, hitting 5ft then 6ft, but the wind stays cross-on, and the energy is still moderate at best (183 to 289). The period never gets longer than 7 seconds, so it’s all windswell and no shape.

By Monday the 20th, the swell pushes past 7ft, but the energy climbs into the 400s, and the wind is still a fresh 19 mph cross-onshore. It’s lumpy, messy, and just not worth paddling out for. That pattern holds right through the week – 7ft to 7ft, short period, and a constant NNE breeze. There are a couple of sessions where the wind ticks “on” rather than “cross-on” on the 22nd and 23rd, but the description still says “unknown” for the wave state, so don’t get your hopes up.

The following week into late July and early August, the swell actually gets bigger – we’re talking 8ft to 8ft, and by the 28th, the combined energy starts hitting four-digit numbers (1003 to 1323). The period stretches to 9 seconds, which is a small improvement, but the wind is still cross-onshore and lumpy. By the 30th, it’s 10ft with a 22 mph cross-onshore breeze – that’s big, ugly, and blown out. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The one bright spot? On the 1st of August, the swell is 8ft from the NNE with a 10-second period, and the wind finally ticks “on” at 16 mph. The energy is a strong 1446. But it’s still a long way out, and the forecast confidence is lower. If that wind holds and the direction stays favourable, it could be a decent day for experienced surfers, but don’t hold your breath.

Bottom line: there’s nothing good on offer for the next two weeks. The wind is the enemy here, and it’s not backing off. Keep your wetsuit dry, and check back in a few days.

Rusty.

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