El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a pretty grim picture for the whole 16-day window. The only spot in the mix is El Agujero, a consistent reef break that’s exposed to the swell. The problem is, the wind is working against us almost every single day. The wave energy is there, but the quality is shot.

The water temperature is sitting at 74°F with a 2°F anomaly, so it’s a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, which is nice.

Tuesday, July 28th kicks it off with a clean sky but a cross-on NNE breeze at 12 to 16 mph. The swell is a messy 4ft to 4ft from the NNE with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 190. It’s all a bit choppy and poor – not worth paddling out.

Wednesday, July 29th through Friday, August 1st is more of the same. The swell bumps up a bit, hitting 6ft on Thursday morning with combined energy up to 244, but that cross-on wind is relentless. The period is short, between 6 and 7 seconds, so it’s just lumpy, onshore slop. The “poor surf conditions” tag is a dead giveaway.

Saturday, August 1st and Sunday, August 2nd see a shift to a straight onshore wind, but it’s still a light to gentle breeze. The swell drops back to 4ft to 5ft, with combined energy dropping to 170. The waves are small and the wind is on it – still not good.

The pattern continues through the first week of August. Monday, August 3rd to Thursday, August 6th sees the swell slowly building again, with the NNE swell hitting 7ft by Thursday morning and combined energy jumping to 566. That’s a moderate to strong energy. But the wind is still blowing cross-on at 12 to 16 mph. The period stays stuck at 8 seconds. It’s a bigger, more powerful mess, but it’s still a mess.

The last couple of days of the second week, from Saturday, August 8th to Wednesday, August 12th, the swell stays solid, between 5ft and 7ft, with combined energy hitting a peak of 618 on Saturday afternoon. That’s a lot of energy, but it’s all blown out by a fresh 19 mph cross-on breeze. The period crawls up to 9 seconds, but it’s too little, too late. The wave comment still says “poor surf conditions.”

There is no standout. The wind is the enemy here. Every single day has a cross-on or onshore component, and the swell is short-period. The reef at El Agujero is exposed, but it’s getting hammered by the wind. If you’re a kite surfer, this setup might be more interesting than for paddling.

For the whole 16 days, there is nothing to recommend. This is a blank run. It’s a tough stretch for the area.

Rusty.

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