El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for El Agujero over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you—this is a tough run. We’re looking at a stretch where nothing really lines up well. That persistent cross-onshore wind just won’t let up, and it’s killing the quality. The swell is coming in from the NNE, but that’s not the sweet spot for this reef break. It’s an exposed spot that really wants something from the NNW to open up properly.

Right from the get-go on Wednesday, August 12th, we’ve got a 4 ft swell from the NNE with a short, weak period of only 6 seconds and combined energy of 144. That’s flukey and weak. The wind is a moderate cross-onshore at 16 mph, making it choppy. Just poor conditions. This same story, with slight variations in size, runs all through the rest of the week and into the next. The swell bumps up a bit—by Friday the 14th it’s 6 ft and the period stretches to 7 seconds, with energy climbing to 359. But every time you think it might get better, that cross-on wind stabs the quality dead. Wave comment says “poor surf conditions” the whole way.

The wind shifts to more “on” direction by Monday the 17th of August, but with a gentle breeze of 9 mph. The swell is 5 ft from the N, period at 8 seconds and energy at 344. It’s not completely junked out, but it’s not clean. Wave state is marked unknown. It’s like the ocean is just not committing. That continues into Tuesday the 18th with a little more energy at 460, but still a 5 ft N swell. This is the sort of stuff you might paddle out on if you were desperate, but you wouldn’t be excited.

Then from the 19th through the 21st, we drop back to 4 ft – 5 ft swell, with cross-onshore winds back in the 12 – 16 mph range. The wave state is either “choppy” or “unknown.” It’s a grim loop. The highlight—if you can call it that—hits on Saturday the 22nd of August when the swell pushes 6 ft from the NNE, period goes to 9 seconds, and the energy crosses into 488 – that’s moderate wave energy. The wind is onshore, but a gentle breeze. It’s the cleanest it’s going to get, but that’s not saying much. Wave state is still unknown. This could be surfable for an intermediate who’s not fussed about perfection.

The combined energy peaks on the 27th of August, Thursday, with a 8 ft swell from the NNE, period at 8 seconds, and energy at 609. That’s solid wave energy. But that's a 16 mph cross-onshore wrecking ball. At over 7 ft, we’re talking expert territory in these conditions anyway, and with that wind, only someone with a death wish and a big board would be out there. For anyone else, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Bottom line: There are no good surf options in this 16-day window. Not a single standout. The overall pattern here is that the area is locked into a cross-onshore flow, and the swell direction is working against the break’s optimum. If you’re paddling out, you’re doing it for therapy, not for glory. Forecasts can change, and El Agujero can light up on the right swell, but this run is a blank one.

Stay patient, mate.

Rusty.

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