El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’ve got El Agujero on the radar, and to be honest, it’s a tricky one. This reef break is consistent and exposed to the swell, but the wind gods are not playing ball for most of the run. The water’s sitting at 74°, which is about a degree and a half warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing too wild, just a nice little bonus.

The whole 16-day window is a bit of a grind. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor surf conditions, with the wind blowing cross-on from the northeast or north-northeast, keeping things choppy and messy. The swell is there, mostly between 4ft and 6ft from the north-northeast, but the short period of 6 to 7 seconds means it’s windswell, not groundswell, so it’s lacking that real punch. The combined wave energy hangs in the moderate range, bouncing between 116 and 277 (moderate), but it’s all ruined by the wind.

Thursday the 30th through to Monday the 10th of August is a real write-off for quality surfing. The cross-on wind is relentless, and the “poor surf conditions” tag is spot on. Even the Saturday morning the 1st of August, when the wind swings more onshore from the NNW, it’s still not clean enough to get excited about. The swell is there, but it’s a mess.

Now, late in the forecast, things get interesting but not for the faint-hearted. From Tuesday the 11th of August through to Friday the 14th, we see a big jump in combined energy – 397, 611, 681, even 688 (strong to very strong). The swell builds to 7ft to 8ft from the north-northeast, with the period stretching to 8 to 9 seconds. That’s a better wave, with more energy behind it. But here’s the catch: it’s still cross-on or onshore wind, and at that size, El Agujero is only for experts. The swell is over 7ft, so beginners and intermediates should stay well clear. The combined energy readings are telling you there’s a lot of power in the water, but the wind is still a problem, making it lumpy and challenging.

If I had to pick a standout, it’s the Thursday the 13th of August morning. You’ve got a 7ft NNE swell with a 8-second period, the wind is offshore (on) from the north-northeast, and the combined energy is 681 (strong). That’s the cleanest window we get, but it’s still a long-range call, so don’t bank on it. The crowds are likely at this spot, so expect company if it cleans up.

Honestly, for the first 12 days, leave the board at home. The setup is more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, with the cross-shore wind and moderate swell. The 11th through the 14th is the only real chance for a wave, but it’s big, windy, and for experts only. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but for now, it’s a tough outlook.

Rusty.

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