El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me tell you how it’s looking, folks. Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch ahead for El Agujero. We’ve got a solid 16-day window on the table, but there’s nothing worth paddling out for in the near future. The first day with any real surf energy is Sunday the 9th of August, but even then, the conditions are pretty ordinary. The swell is coming in from the NNE at around 5ft, but the period is short at 7 seconds, so it’s not holding any shape. The wind is howling from the NNE at 15 mph, cross-onshore, making it choppy and messy. The combined wave energy is moderate at 188, but with that wind, it’s just not enjoyable. The water is sitting at 75°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only bright spot.

Honestly, the whole first week is a write-off. Every session from Sunday the 9th right through to Saturday the 16th is plagued by cross-onshore winds and short-period swell, with heights bouncing between 4ft and 6ft. The wind never really lets up, and the wave comment is consistently “poor surf conditions.” The combined energy gets up into the 300s on the 15th, but with that wind, it’s just a messy, blown-out mess. It’s the kind of setup that’s more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle guys.

There’s a glimmer of hope as we head into the second week. From Monday the 17th onwards, the wind starts to swing more offshore, which is a massive positive. On the 19th, we see the swell coming from the NNW with a period stretching to 10 seconds, and the wind is a gentle 9 mph from the N, blowing straight offshore. The swell is still modest at 5ft, but the combined energy is a solid 369, and with clean, offshore winds, El Agujero could actually show its face. The direction is a good match for the optimum NNW swell direction too. That Wednesday the 19th is the standout of the whole period, but it’s over a week away, so don’t set your watch by it just yet – long-range forecasts are promising but not locked in.

After that, the swell tapers off into the final days, dropping below 3ft by Monday the 24th with weak energy around 70, so the window closes pretty quickly. For an exposed reef break like El Agujero, it’s a case of waiting it out. It won’t stay poor forever, and the forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it.

Stay patient, mates. Rusty out.

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