El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for this stretch of coast. The buzz is a bit of a flatline for the next two weeks, so I’ll be honest with you: there’s no stand-out day to pack the car for. The setup is pretty much a write-off for a while.

The forecast starts with a gap. From Monday 13 July right through to the end of the 16-day window, the conditions are constantly rated as poor. The swell is around, but the wind is the killer. For the first week and a half, it’s mostly a cross-onshore breeze from the NE, making it choppy and lumpy. The swell does build, but it’s never clean. The water temperature is sitting at 73° which is about normal for this time of year.

The only spot on the cards is El Agujero, a consistent reef break that usually likes a NNW swell. The optimum direction is NNW, but most of the swell we see is from the NE and NNE, so it’s not hitting the break right. The combined energy of all swells directed here climbs into the moderate range – up to 552 near the end – but it’s wasted.

For the first week, the swell is small, 2 ft to 5 ft, with periods between 5 and 9 seconds. That’s weak, short-period stuff. The wind is a constant 9 to 16 mph from the NE, cross-onshore, keeping the surface a mess. The score is a zero for every session.

Around the 18th of July, the swell gets a bit more size, hitting 6 ft to 7 ft, and the combined energy jumps into the 300-400 range. But the wind is still onshore or cross-onshore, and the period is only 7 to 8 seconds. It’s messy, lumpy, and just not worth the paddle.

By the last week, from 20 July onwards, the wind finally swings to the north and goes light to moderate, becoming onshore. The swell is 5 ft to 6 ft, but the period is still short (6-7 seconds). The combined energy is moderate, but the wave comment stays at “poor surf conditions” or “marginal” at best. There’s one session early on Monday 27 July where the combined energy hits 541 (strong energy) and the comment is “marginal,” but it’s still cross-onshore and choppy. Not your day.

Look, if you’re a kite surfer, the choppy, windy conditions on the exposed beach might be interesting. But for paddle surfing, this is a blank run. With a consistent break like El Agujero, it’s a bit unusual to have such a long stretch of nothing, but this is the call. The forecasts can change, and it tends not to stay poor for long, but for now, leave the boards in the garage.

Rusty.

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