El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and get comfortable. Rusty here, and I’m going to walk you through the surf outlook for our local patch. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s get straight into it.

First up, the overall pattern: we’ve got a persistent northeasterly wind regime setting in, and it’s going to keep a lid on the quality for the foreseeable future. The swell is coming in from the north-northeast, but it’s short period—mostly 7 to 8 seconds—so it lacks the grunt we’d want for a proper session. The water is sitting at a warm 73°F, which is just about normal for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

Now, let’s get into the details. The first recommendation doesn’t come until Sunday, July 20, and even then, it’s a real tough slog. El Agujero is our only player here, and it’s a consistent reef break. But the wind is cross-on at 15-18 mph from the northeast, and the swell is 6 feet from the north-northeast with a period of just 7 seconds. The combined energy is 262, which is moderate, but the surf conditions are poor. It’s choppy, lumpy, and frankly not worth paddling out for.

Looking a bit further ahead, the situation doesn’t improve much. The wind sticks to the same script—northeasterly, cross-on or onshore—through the rest of July and into early August. The swell height does creep up to around 7-8 feet by July 24-26, but the period stays short, and the combined energy climbs into the high end of moderate to strong (408-858). But with that onshore flow, it’s going to be messy. By the end of July, the wind eases slightly but it’s still onshore, and the swell drops back. The waves might be too big for beginners by the 25th, hitting 7 feet, and by the 26th, it’s 8-8 feet, which is pushing into expert-only territory if you could get a clean one, but the wind ruins it.

The only potential glimmer comes right at the end of the forecast window. On August 1, the wind goes north, and the swell direction turns a bit more westerly, with a period of 10 seconds on the morning session. That’s still short, but it’s a slight improvement. The combined energy is moderate at 252. But don’t hold your breath—the wind is onshore, so it’s still poor surf conditions.

So, the honest truth is that there isn’t a standout session in this entire 16-day window. The wind is the enemy, and the swell is just too short and onshore to do anything with. If you’re desperate for a paddle, you might find something at El Agujero on a rare lull in the wind, but it’s a gamble. For now, I’d say give it a miss. It’s a blank run, and that’s just how it goes sometimes. Forecast can always change, but as it stands, I wouldn’t hold out hope.

Stay salty, and I’ll see you when the swell turns good. This is Rusty signing off.

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