El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, Rusty here. Let’s talk about El Agujero.

Honestly, the whole 16-day forecast is a rough one for this spot. The wind stays locked in from the NNE or NE as a cross-onshore through the first week and most of the second, and that kills any chance of clean faces. The swell direction is stuck on the NNE, which is cross to the optimum NNW for the reef, and the period is short – mostly 6 to 9 seconds – meaning weak, messy surf.

There’s no good surf until Monday morning, August 24th, and even that is barely hanging on with a marginal score. The waves will be around 4 ft from the NNE at a short 7-second period, with combined wave energy of 208. The wind is a light cross-on from the NNE at 10 km/h, so it’ll be a bit bumpy but not thrashed. Still, it’s not going to light your fire.

Before that, there’s a big gap from the 10th right through the 23rd of August. Every day in that stretch comes up as poor conditions – moderate breezes, constant chop, and no surfable quality. The biggest push of energy hits Saturday, August 15th, with 6 ft swell from the NNE at 7 seconds and energy up at 414, but with 25 km/h cross-onshore wind it’s more suited to a kite than a surfboard.

Into the second week, winds start shifting a little more onshore from the N and eventually NNW, but the swell stays under 3 ft and drops off in energy. The period does stretch to 9 seconds on a few days, but the direction still isn’t aligned with the break’s optimum.

So, the only window to even think about paddling out is Monday the 24th morning – small, light, questionable. This is a consistent reef normally, but runs like this just happen now and then. Forecasts can always change, but as it stands, don’t hold your breath.

Water temp at the start is 75°F, near normal for the season.

Rusty out.

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