El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s happening for El Agujero over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I’m looking at the whole 16-day window, and it’s a tough one for us. The surf just isn’t cooperating. The forecast shows a run of poor surf conditions from now all the way through the end of the month. There’s no standout day, no hidden gem. The waves are small, the wind is onshore or cross-onshore pretty much every day, and the water is bumpy and choppy. It’s a real flat spell for this spot.

The swell starts off tiny – around 1ft to 2ft on Wednesday, July 15th, with a weak, short-period windswell from the north. The wind is a moderate cross-onshore breeze from the NE, so the surface is choppy. Combined wave energy is weak (47). Water temperature is 73°, which is about 2° warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s a little on the warm side for a paddle when you’re out there.

We get a bit of a bump in size by the end of the first week. On Saturday, July 18th, the swell pushes up to 6ft from the NNE, but it’s still cross-onshore and choppy. The period is only 7 seconds – short, weak windswell. The energy climbs a bit to moderate (283), but the quality is still poor. The wind is just never doing us any favours.

The second week sees the swell holding around 6ft to 7ft, with the wind shifting to directly onshore from the NNE. By the 22nd of July, we’re looking at 6ft with moderate energy (401), and by the 23rd, it’s 7ft with moderate energy (537). But it’s all onshore, messy, and the period stays short at 8 seconds. The swell direction is from the NNE, but the optimum for El Agujero is a NNW groundswell, so the angle is off. With the combination of onshore wind and short-period, blown-out swell, this setup is actually more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

There’s no break in the pattern. From the middle of July through to the end of the month, every single day is marked as "poor surf conditions." The wind stays moderate to fresh, and the waves stay messy. It’s a long, blank run. The crowds at El Agujero can be often, but with conditions this poor, I doubt many will be out.

So, for the next 16 days, there’s nothing to recommend. It’s a tough stretch. Sometimes it’s like this here – a prolonged poor spell. Forecasts can change, but for now, I’d stow the board.

Rusty.

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