El Agujero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for our stretch of coast.

Alright, straight up, I’m looking at the next 16 days and it’s a bit of a tough sell. The main spot we’ve got to talk about is El Agujero, a consistent reef break that’s exposed to the swell. The trouble is, the wind is going to be a persistent problem. For the entire run, we’re looking at cross-onshore or onshore breezes, mostly from the north-northeast, blowing at 9 to 22 mph. That’s going to chop up the surface and make it hard work. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first solid swell we see arrives on Friday, the 31st of July. The swell is 5 ft from the northeast with a short, weak period of 7 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate at 222. The wind is a cross-onshore breeze at 12 mph, so it’s going to be choppy and messy. Not a good look. The quality is poor, and honestly, I wouldn’t bother paddling out.

Saturday the 1st of August is more of the same – onshore wind, 4 ft swell from the north-northeast, and the energy drops to 166. Still poor. This pattern just keeps going. Sunday the 2nd, Monday the 3rd, Tuesday the 4th, Wednesday the 5th – it’s all onshore or cross-onshore wind, short-period swell, and poor surf conditions. The swell height bounces between 3 ft and 5 ft, but the wind is the real killer. The combined energy stays moderate, hitting 200 on the Monday afternoon, but it’s just not clean.

We get a bit of a lull around Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th of August. The swell drops right down to 2 ft, with a period of 9 seconds on the Friday. The wind is still onshore but lighter at 9-12 mph. The energy is weak, down to 68. You’d be lucky to get a ride.

Now, things start to look a bit more interesting from Saturday the 8th of August. The swell picks back up to 5 ft from the north-northeast with a period of 6 seconds, and the energy is back to moderate at 148. But the wind is still onshore, so the surface is going to be lumpy. It’s a step in the right direction, but still not great.

The real standout, and the only one I’d genuinely get excited about, is around Tuesday the 11th of August. The swell jumps to 6 ft from the north-northeast, and the period stretches to a solid 10 seconds. That’s a groundswell, folks. The combined energy is strong at 522. This is proper swell. However, the catch is the wind – a cross-onshore breeze at 16 mph. It’s going to be a bumpy, choppy session. This spot is a reef, so it might handle the chop better than a beach, but it won’t be glassy. For a surfer who’s comfortable in a bit of lumpy water, this is the best wave on offer, but it’s a far cry from perfection.

After that, the swell sticks around at 5 ft to 6 ft through to Saturday the 15th of August, but the wind doesn’t let up. It’s mostly cross-onshore, and the period drops back to 6 or 7 seconds for most of it. The energy stays moderate to strong, hitting 383 on the Thursday afternoon, but the wind is just too strong and from the wrong direction to make it a clean, enjoyable surf. The conditions are described as "poor" right through to the end of the forecast run.

So, to sum it up: if you’re desperate for a wave, the 11th of August is your best bet for size and power, but be prepared for a bumpy ride. For the rest of the period, the wind is the main character, and it’s not a friendly one. The break is consistent, so it’ll break, but it won’t be pretty. Keep your eyes on the forecast, because this could change.

Rusty.

Read more