Copacabana Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Copacabana over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a waiting game, so don’t be in a rush.

The first solid window of any real interest doesn’t open up until Monday the 27th of July. Before that, we’ve got a few days of straight-up poor conditions with gusty cross-onshore winds and messy, lumpy swell. Not worth paddling out for. The combined energy is weak, sitting between 41 and 261 (units), so leave the board in the car.

Monday the 27th is where things start to get interesting. The morning sees a 4.6 ft NW swell rolling in with a solid 10-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 492 (units) – that’s moderate wave energy. The wind is a light cross-onshore, but by the afternoon it shifts cross-offshore from the ENE at 15 mph, cleaning things up nicely. That afternoon session is looking clean with a 4.9 ft swell from the NNW. It’s not massive, but it’s a step in the right direction.

The standout morning is hands down Tuesday the 28th of July. We’ve got clean conditions with a light cross-offshore breeze from the ENE at 6 mph, and the swell is a consistent 4.3 ft from the NNW, 10-second period. The combined energy is 372 (units) – moderate, but the quality is there. This is the best bet of the whole outlook. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no nasty surprises.

Wednesday the 29th sees a glassy morning with a tiny 2.6 ft NW swell, but it’s small and ordinary. Combined energy drops to 98 (units). Not worth getting excited about.

After that, we hit a long dry spell. From Thursday the 30th of July all the way through to Saturday the 8th of August, it’s mostly poor, small, or onshore junk. There’s a flicker of potential on Monday the 3rd of August with a 5.2 ft NW swell and glassy conditions in the morning – combined energy of 563 (units) – but the moment passes quickly with onshore winds returning. It’s a long stretch of flat or messy surf.

The final week is a total write-off, with tiny swells and strong winds. By Friday the 7th of August, swell drops to 0.7 ft and we’ve got a near gale cross-onshore. That’s kite-surfing weather, not for us.

So, if you’re keen, pencil in Tuesday the 28th of July. Clean conditions, chest-high NW swell, and a decent period. That’s your best shot. The rest of the window is a lot of waiting and watching.

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