Copacabana Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Alright, let’s get into it. The outlook for Copacabana over the next 16 days is bleak – we’re talking a long run of tiny, blown-out surf with almost nothing to get excited about. Most sessions score a zero, and the conditions are just ordinary or poor. The first real recommendation doesn’t show up until the final week, and even then it’s a short window.

Overall, the pattern is weak. Swell heights are mostly 0.7 ft to 2 ft – barely a bump. The wind is often onshore or cross-onshore, and even when it’s offshore it’s not coming from the right angle to work the break. Water temperature at the start is 21 °C, about 2 ° above normal – a touch warmer than average, but that doesn’t help the waves.

The first week is a total loss. Friday the 10th afternoon has a 2 ft swell from the NW at 9 seconds, but onshore NW wind at 15 km/h and combined energy of 87 (weak) – just messy. Saturday the 11th morning shows 2 ft from the NW, period 11 seconds, with a cross-offshore ENE breeze at 10 km/h – energy at 95 (weak). It’s described as “surfable but very ordinary” – honestly, it’s barely rideable. The afternoon gets worse with 25 km/h winds. The rest of that week and into the next: tiny heights, poor conditions, zero scores. Heights like 2 ft, 1 ft, 0.7 ft – nothing.

Around Monday the 21st, there’s a slight bump. Tuesday the 21st morning shows 3 ft from the NNW at 6 seconds, with a cross-offshore ENE wind at 30 km/h. Energy is 80 (weak). That’s a fresh breeze, but the swell is short period junk – 6 seconds – and the direction (NNW) isn’t the optimum NW. That afternoon it reaches 3 ft from the N, same wind, period still 6 seconds. No power.

The only window worth paddling out for is Friday the 24th morning. Swell is 3 ft from the NW at 11 seconds, with glassy conditions – NNW wind at just 5 km/h. The energy is 194 (moderate). This is the stand out. It’s small but clean, and the direction matches the optimum. Expect crowds as it’s a popular spot. The window is only the morning – after that, the wind swings onshore and it’s gone. Friday morning the 24th is your best bet. Saturday the 25th has bigger swell – 3 ft from the NW at 9 seconds – but the wind is cross-onshore at 20 km/h, so it’s choppy and not worth it.

Bottom line: two weeks of mostly flat, onshore slop. The one bright spot is Friday the 24th morning – clean, small, and lined up. That’s it.

Rusty.

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