Chinamans Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a solid start to the week at Chinamans, a reef break that’s exposed to the SW. The water temp is sitting at 60° with a normal anomaly for this time of year, so nothing wild there. The first few days are looking clean with a moderate offshore breeze out of the NNW, giving us some nice lined-up sets.

Monday morning kicks off with 4ft of SW swell at a very long 15 seconds, carrying moderate wave energy (788). That’s classic groundswell – long, powerful, and fat. It’ll be a bit of a wait between sets, but the paddle out will be easier, and the reef will handle that long period nicely. The afternoon bumps up to 5ft, still clean and offshore, and the energy climbs to 1045. This is the best on offer, no question. Experienced surfers only on this one – it’s quality, but it’s not for the groms.

Tuesday holds the same theme: 5ft in the morning with a 13-second period, still gentle offshore and clean. The afternoon eases back to 5ft, with a slight shift to a cross-offshore breeze, but still very clean. The energy stays moderate (700-821). This is your window if you missed Monday.

Wednesday the 22nd is where it all goes sideways. The wind swings onshore and freshens to 19 mph, and the rain sets in. The swell is still there, but it’s lumpy and messy. Not worth paddling out.

Thursday the 23rd sees a big jump in swell size – 10ft with a 14-second period – but the wind is howling cross-onshore at 22 mph. The energy is massive (3094), but it’s a total mess. This is kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing. Same story into Friday the 24th: 7-8ft swell, but the wind is still cross to cross-off, and the energy is huge (2294-3100). The conditions are marginal at best, and the tide is likely throwing a spanner in the works.

The weekend gets a little better. Saturday the 25th is still cross-shore and a bit lumpy, with 6-6ft swell. It’s still marginal. Sunday the 26th is the real comeback: the wind drops to a light breeze, turning cross-offshore, and the swell settles to 5-5ft with a 12-second period. The energy is low (575-624), but it’s clean. That’s a good Sunday session for the experienced crew.

The following week starts off clean again on Monday the 27th, with a fresh offshore breeze and 4ft swell. The energy is moderate (607-711). It’s marginal, but the wind is right. After that, on Tuesday the 28th, the onshore winds return and the swell becomes poor again, with lumpy, choppy conditions. The rest of the week into early August is a write-off: onshore winds, cross-shore chop, and messy conditions. The swell drops off to under 5ft, and the energy is weak. The last week of the forecast period is a long blank stretch of poor to marginal surf.

So, the standout is clearly Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st at Chinamans. That’s your window. After that, it’s a waiting game until Sunday the 26th for a decent, clean session. Beyond that, the long-range looks pretty grim, but forecasts can change. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty out.

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