Chinamans Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mate, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up.

The next 16 days are gonna be a real mixed bag for this spot. A lot of wind and solid, but messy swell to start, so we gotta be patient. The clean windows are there, but they're short and spaced out.

First up, we’ve got a promising run from Thursday morning, July 9th into Friday, July 10th. Chinamans is an advanced reef setup that needs a SW swell. Thursday morning sees a solid 5 ft groundswell from the SW with a super long 15 second period, and the wind is a light cross-off. The energy’s moderate at 1083, and it’s looking clean as a whistle for experienced surfers. Thursday afternoon picks up to 6 ft with that same long-period SW (17 seconds) and the wind goes fully offshore from the NNW. Energy jumps to 2134 – that’s a solid window of proper, powerful reef waves. Friday morning holds with 6 ft swell and offshore NNW wind, energy at 1349, still clean. This Thursday into Friday morning stretch is the best on offer in the near term.

But then it gets ugly. Friday afternoon (July 10th) starts to drop off, and from Saturday, July 11th through to at least Monday, July 13th, we’re looking at a full-on jumble. Swell pushes 10 ft, but it’s coming with strong to fresh winds from the W and WSW, making it a cross or cross-off mess. The energy goes way up into the thousands (1230 to 6557), but the forecast calls it poor. That 10 ft wave height is too big for anyone but experts, and with that wind, it’s a washing machine.

There's a couple of marginal mornings on July 14th (Tuesday) and July 15th (Wednesday) with big 10 ft to 8 ft swell and lighter winds, but the direction is cross or cross-on. Not terrible, but not firing.

Then, finally, a real gem for the second week. We’ve got a gap of a few quiet days, but on Friday, July 17th, the afternoon shapes up beautifully. Swell is a clean 6 ft from the SW with a 15 second period, and the wind drops to dead glassy – zero mph. Energy sits at 1204, and the forecast says excellent for experienced surfers. That's the standout of the whole run. The tide and the offshore calm will make Chinamans peel perfectly.

Saturday, July 18th morning is also good, with the NNW offshore wind back on a 5 ft SW swell, but it’s not quite the magic of that glassy Friday.

We then get another rough patch from July 19th into the 20s, with more strong winds and lumpy conditions, but the end of the run on July 22nd and especially July 23rd and 24th looks like a massive long-period groundswell event. July 23rd morning shows a huge 12 ft swell from the SW with a 17 second period and energy off the charts at 12975, but the wind is cross-shore, so it’ll be lumpy. July 24th, Friday morning, brings a 8 ft groundswell back with glassy conditions – that could be another absolute cracker for the crew who wait it out.

Remember, this is a reef break, and that long-period groundswell (over 15 seconds) will have heaps of energy and long lulls between sets, making the paddle out easier, but it’s strictly for experts when it gets over 8 ft.

All in all, you want to be on it Thursday morning and Friday morning of the 9th and 10th, and then circle Friday the 17th afternoon and maybe that final Friday the 24th morning on your calendar.

Rusty.

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