Chinamans Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Chinamans.

Alright, straight up, the next week is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got some size on the way, but the wind is going to be a pain in the arse for most of it. The water temp is sitting at about 60°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Saturday the 25th is a write-off. We’ve got a 6ft SW swell pushing in, but a strong cross-shore wind (12-16 mph) is going to chop it up. Not worth paddling out.

Sunday the 26th is where it starts to look a bit better. Swell drops to 4ft from the SW, but we get a nice light cross-offshore wind (6-9 mph) from the W and NW. Clean conditions, easy paddling – not a standout, but a good, fun morning session.

Monday the 27th is weird. Early morning has a tiny 2ft SW swell with a howling 28 mph offshore wind (strong offshore and clean but hard to paddle into). Then in the arvo, the wind goes cross-off but the swell jumps to 10ft from the WSW. That’s a lot of raw power (1829 combined energy) but the strong breeze will make it messy. Not for me.

Tuesday the 28th through Thursday the 30th are all pretty average. Swell hangs around 5ft to 8ft from the SW (periods 13-15 seconds), but it’s mostly cross or cross-onshore wind, creating lumpy, choppy conditions. Combined energy is moderate to strong (702-3209), but the quality is just not there.

Friday the 31st is a genuine bright spot. We get a clean 4ft to 5ft SW swell with light offshore and cross-offshore winds (6 mph) from the N and NNW. The morning is clean, the afternoon gets a bit bigger with a long 14-second period (1640 combined energy). This is a great session for experienced surfers - clean lines, easy paddling.

Now, the real standout is Saturday the 1st of August. Look, this is a call I’m making with some confidence. We’ve got a massive 10ft SW swell rolling in with a very long 20-second period – that’s a proper groundswell. The wind is offshore from the NNW (12-16 mph), keeping it clean. The combined energy is a whopping 6710 in the morning, building to 6264 in the arvo. This is exceptional for expert surfers, but at 10ft, it’s definitely not for beginners. At a reef break like this, it’ll be lined up and powerful. Might get a bit crowded (“sometimes” crowds), but for the quality on offer, it’s worth it.

After that, Sunday the 2nd of August is still decent – 7ft to 8ft SW swell with a 16-second period and fresh offshore winds (16-22 mph). Good, clean, powerful surf for experienced crew.

The rest of the second week fades. Monday the 3rd goes to crap with cross-onshore winds. Tuesday the 4th has tiny (2ft-3ft) clean waves, more like a longboard day. Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th are blown out by very strong winds (25-31 mph), even if it’s offshore. The 7th of August shows another pulse of big swell (8ft-10ft, 19-second period) with fresh offshore wind, but the weekend after that (8th and 9th) gets hammered by cross-onshore winds again, making for lumpy, poor conditions.

So, in summary: if you can wait, Friday the 31st of July is your best clean, manageable day. But for the big boys, block out Saturday the 1st of August – that’s the one to circle on the calendar.

Rusty.

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