Trespassers Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s cut through the numbers and talk about what’s actually gonna be worth wetting a wetsuit for at Trespassers over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a rough start. The first few days are a write-off. Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th are seeing a solid 8ft to 8ft SW groundswell, but a nasty 19 mph onshore west wind is turning it into a washing machine. The wave energy is massive (2050 to 3215), but it’s just not rideable. Tuesday the 14th is no better – still big, still cross-onshore, still choppy. You’d be better off watching the chaos from the cliff.

The first real window of opportunity hits Wednesday morning, the 15th of July. The swell drops to a clean 5ft from the SSW, and the wind goes glassy with an ENE breeze at 3 mph. This is the standout moment of the whole outlook. The energy drops to a moderate 1014, but with glassy conditions, that 15-second period groundswell will have some real push. It’s a bit long for a straight beach setup, but this is a reef break, so the longer period should actually help it reel off nicely. The water is sitting at 59°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no shock there. Expect very good surf. Thursday morning (16th) is also a solid shout with a 4ft SSW swell and light cross-offshore NE winds, keeping things clean. By Friday (17th), we’re still looking at fun, clean 4ft to 4ft waves with light cross-off breezes.

Then it gets quiet. From Saturday the 18th through the middle of the following week, the swell drops off a cliff. We’re talking 2ft to 3ft for days, and the wind goes funky – cross-shore or onshore. That’s a solid 4-to-5-day gap where you’re better off doing something else.

Things look like they might spark up again around Wednesday the 22nd of July. The swell jumps back to 6ft from the SSW (11-second period), with clean cross-offshore NNE winds. The energy is moderate (868), and it’s a marginal call, but it’s the best bet after the quiet spell. After that, it’s a mixed bag. Thursday the 23rd is tiny, but then Friday the 24th of July sees a big pulse of 8ft to 8ft WSW swell with very strong energy (2687 to 4004). The problem is the wind is cross-onshore to onshore, making it choppy and messy. That's a lot of power but no quality unless you're an expert looking for a beating. Saturday the 25th is similar, with big, onshore-affected waves. The very end of the period, the 26th and 27th, fizzles out again with poor conditions.

So, the honest truth? The best surf on offer is Wednesday the 15th. That 5ft glassy SSW groundswell at Trespassers is your golden ticket. The water is average temp, the crowds are possible, but when it’s that clean, it’s worth it. Friday the 17th morning is a solid backup. The rest of the window is either too big and windy, too small, or too messy. If you’re a kite surfer, the big, windy days on the 24th and 25th might look more interesting than a paddle.

Stay patient, check the forecast, and don't force it on the bad days.

Rusty.

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