Trespassers Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, settle in, I’m looking at the outlook for Trespassers only. This is a proper reef break, advanced territory, and it’s fairly exposed to the swell. Water temp is sitting around 59°, which is about 0.9° cooler than the norm for this time of year – nothing to write home about, just your standard winter chill.

For the first week, it’s a bit of a write-off, if I’m honest. We’ve got a big pulse of swell coming in, but it’s all pinned with onshore winds. Sunday the 12th through Tuesday the 14th, we’re looking at 7 ft to 8 ft of SW groundswell, with a long period around 13 to 16 seconds, but the wind is howling on it from the west and southwest. That’s a big, messy, blown-out combo. The wave energy is huge (2235 to 4406), but it’s just a washing machine. Don’t bother.

Then Wednesday the 15th, a switch flips. The swell drops to a clean 5 ft from the SW, period holding at 14-15 seconds, and the wind goes glassy – dead calm from the ENE and NW. That’s the first real window. Conditions are going to be *very* good, with that long period groundswell wrapping into the reef. The energy is moderate (905), but the quality will be there. This is your best early bet. Thursday the 16th stays clean with a light offshore flow, but the swell drops to 4-4 ft. Still fun, but not the standout.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th see the swell fade out to under 3 ft, and the wind comes back. It’s a flat, choppy mess. The 19th has a spike in period (19 seconds) but it’s cross-shore wind and poor conditions – not worth the paddle.

Now, here’s the real standout. Look at Monday the 20th. We get a massive pulse of 8 ft SW swell, with a 15-second period, and the wave energy goes ballistic at 5025. The catch? It’s onshore wind from the WNW. That’s a big, powerful, and messy session. The file says “marginal” because of that wind, so don’t get your hopes up for peak conditions, but if you’re an expert looking for raw power, it’s there.

But the *true* gold is on the following Saturday, the 25th. The swell comes back to 6 ft to 6 ft from the SW, period 16 seconds, and the wind is a light offshore-angled breeze from the NE and NNE. The energy is strong (1443 to 1890), and the report calls it “excellent” for experienced surfers. That is your best session in the whole 16-day window. The break is a reef, so that long period will set up perfectly. Just be warned, crowds are “sometimes” a thing here, so you might have some company.

After that, the 26th and 27th have dropping swell and cross-shore winds, so it tapers off.

So, to wrap it up: the first week is a write-off until Wednesday the 15th for a clean, mid-sized session. The absolute standout is Saturday the 25th at Trespassers – 6 ft of SW groundswell, light offshore wind, clean conditions, and a reef break that loves that long period. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. Everything else is either blown out or too small.

Stay patient, keep your eye on that Saturday the 25th.

Rusty.

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