Chabela (Playas de villamil) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break it down. We’ve got a bit of a flat spell on the cards for the next week and a half, with only a flicker of hope towards the end of the month.

The only spot on the radar is Chabela, a point break in Playas de Villamil that’s fairly consistent and a good one for beginners. The water is sitting at a warm 82°, which is far warmer than normal for this time of year – you’ll be in boardies for sure.

For the first few days, from Monday the 20th right through to Thursday the 24th, it’s pretty grim. Swell is tiny, under 3ft, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore from the SW and W, chopping everything up. The wave energy is weak to moderate at best, ranging from 163 to 551. Honestly, it’s not worth paddling out for. The reports are all “poor surf conditions” – just leave the board in the shed.

Friday the 24th morning shows a slight glimmer with a 2ft swell from the WSW at 21 seconds, and the combined energy nudging up to 551, but it’s still rated marginal at best. The wind is light cross-onshore. That’s still a pass from me.

Saturday the 25th morning is the first real standout in the whole 16-day window. We’ve got a 3ft swell from the WSW, period at 19 seconds, and the energy is decent at 504. More importantly, the wind is light and variable from the SW, swinging onshore. That early session could be glassy and clean. The break is exposed to the SW swell, which matches the optimum direction. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, so it won’t be too heavy.

Sunday the 26th morning stays similar – 3ft swell at 17 seconds, energy at 475, and light WNW wind. It’s still clean, but the wind does shift cross-onshore later. The standout remains Saturday morning.

Then we hit a bit of a lag. Monday the 27th morning shows a 4ft swell at 18 seconds with energy climbing to 818, but the wind is cross-onshore and builds through the day. Tuesday the 28th morning has a 4ft swell at 16 seconds, energy at 970, but again, wind is onshore. Nobody wants to fight that.

The rest of the period into early August sees the swell dropping back under 3ft, with persistent cross-onshore wind and energy dropping to the 150-450 range. Nothing to write home about.

So, the real pick of the fortnight is the Saturday morning, 25th July, at Chabela. Light winds, clean 3ft groundswell, and a good spot for a relaxed paddle. Don’t expect much else.

Rusty.

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