
Surf Forecasts:
Chabela (Playas de villamil) surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 16s period, WSW swell with 827 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Chabela (Playas de villamil) this week:
The surf forecast for Chabela (Playas de villamil) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Chabela (Playas de villamil) in the next 16 days are 1.3m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (-05) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Chabela (Playas de villamil) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for Chabela.
Right off the bat, this is a rough patch. Most of the next 16 days are a write-off, but there’s one morning that makes it worth hanging in there. You just gotta be ready.
The water temp is sitting at 80°, which is way warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a big anomaly.
The only real standout is Saturday morning, September 5th. That morning, Chabela (Playas de villamil) shapes up real nice. The wind goes light cross-offshore from the NNW at 6 mph, leaving the surf glassy and clean. You’ve got a 4 ft swell from the WSW with a 15-second period – that’s long-period groundswell, so the waves have proper shape and energy, with longer lulls between sets. The combined energy is moderate at 563. Crowds are sometimes around here, but for that kind of clean morning, it’s worth it.
Before that, Friday the 4th is a bust. The morning is marginal with a light cross-onshore, and the afternoon gets choppy and poor. After that Saturday morning, it’s all downhill. From Sunday the 6th right through to the end, it’s poor surf with onshore winds and tiny swell. Swell drops to 1 ft to 2 ft, with combined energy mostly between 162 and 369 – very weak. A couple mornings like Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th look marginal, but the wind is still cross-onshore and the quality just isn’t there. There’s a gap of about 14 days with no real recommendations after that Saturday morning.
The afternoons are all blown out. If you’re a beginner, the 4 ft on Saturday is fine, but the rest is too small and messy. Kitesurfers might like the choppy afternoons with moderate breeze.
Bottom line: Saturday morning, September 5th is the only shot. Don’t sleep on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sat morning, min 24°C on Fri afternoon). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Wed morning, min 24°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
733 | 892 | 688 | 522 | 515 | 419 | 307 | 290 | 219 | 175 | 204 | 173 | 212 | 196 | 163 | 276 | 273 | 505 | 481 | 827 | 334 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 9:54PM1.73m | 10:04AM1.77m | 11:14PM1.70m | 11:24AM1.72m | 00:37AM1.76m | 12:46PM1.75m | 1:47AM1.89m | 1:56PM1.84m | 2:43AM2.04m | 2:54PM1.96m | 3:31AM2.17m | 3:44PM2.06m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 3:31PM0.41m | 3:56AM0.70m | 4:41PM0.46m | 5:19AM0.76m | 6:01PM0.46m | 6:47AM0.72m | 7:17PM0.39m | 8:01AM0.60m | 8:20PM0.30m | 8:59AM0.46m | 9:13PM0.21m | 9:48AM0.33m | 9:59PM0.15m | ||||||||
6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | |
— | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:21 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 |
Feels °C | 27 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 25 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 6 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 |
733 | 892 | 688 | 522 | 515 | 419 | 307 | 290 | 219 | 175 | 149 | 99 | 212 | 196 | 163 | 36 | 233 | 505 | 481 | 519 | 334 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 5 | SW 10 | W 11 | SW 6 | W 11 | W 10 | SW 5 | WSW 20 | SW 4 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 18 | W 11 | SW 6 | WNW 11 | SW 5 |
18 | 15 | 2 | 39 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 38 | 9 | 123 | 204 | 173 | 69 | 69 | 104 | 233 | 273 | 9 | 38 | 23 | 18 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 11 | — | W 22 | SW 21 | WNW 10 | SW 19 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 | WSW 20 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | WNW 11 | W 11 | W 11 | — | W 11 |
— | — | — | 2 | — | 9 | 18 | 10 | 95 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 76 | 148 | 276 | 25 | 9 | 9 | — | 9 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 5 | SW 6 | — | WSW 5 | SW 4 | — | WSW 5 | WSW 4 | SW 4 | SW 4 | SW 4 | SW 4 | SW 4 | SW 5 | — | SW 5 | SW 6 | — | WSW 16 | — |
— | 17 | 84 | — | 24 | 14 | — | 24 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 37 | — | 28 | 60 | — | 827 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 73 | 1099 | 119 | 0 | 1103 | 524 | 73 | 1043 | 73 | 73 | 573 | 73 | 70 | 1124 | 70 | 73 | 1052 | 73 | 73 | 664 | 174 |
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Information about the Chabela (Playas de villamil) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Chabela (Playas de villamil) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Chabela (Playas de villamil) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Chabela (Playas de villamil) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Chabela (Playas de villamil)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Chabela (Playas de villamil) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










