Big Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin' for the next couple of weeks.

The 16-day window starts off flat and pretty grim, with no real surf to speak of right through the first week. We’re looking at a long, quiet stretch until the middle of the month. Things slowly start to perk up after that, but it’s a grind.

For the first few days, we’ve got tiny swell and messy cross-shore winds. The water is a notable 72°, which is a solid 5° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s much warmer than normal, so you’ll feel it if you’re out there.

The real action, if you can call it that, starts to show around Saturday, 19 July at Big Rock. We’ve got a 5ft swell from the SSW, with a period of 13 seconds. That’s a moderate energy pulse (1263), but the wind is a light cross-onshore breeze. It’s not clean, but it’s the first sign of life. The water is still that warm anomaly.

The standout, and the only real window worth chasing, is Friday, 24 July into the following weekend. On the morning of the 24th, we see a very long period SW groundswell at 24 seconds, pushing 2ft. That’s a classic groundswell, and at a reef like Big Rock, it’ll line up nicely. The wind is light and cross-onshore, so it’ll be a bit bumpy, but the energy is solid (1363). The afternoon sees a bigger 5ft pulse from the SSW at 13 seconds, with light cross-shore wind. It’s the best combo on offer.

After that, the 25th and 26th have some clean, offshore mornings with the W wind, but the swell drops back to 3ft to 3ft, with long periods of 19-21 seconds. It’ll be small and tapering, but the conditions will be glassy and clean.

The second week is a bit of a mixed bag. From the 27th onward, we see a persistent 4ft to 4ft SW swell, but the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, which makes it choppy and messy. The energy is moderate (around 900-1000), but the quality just isn’t there for a proper session. The 29th and 30th get a bit of cross-shore wind, but it’s a moderate breeze, so you’ll be battling a chop.

Overall, it’s a tough outlook. The first week is a write-off, the second week has a few small windows. The best bet is the morning of the 24th at Big Rock for that long period groundswell, but don’t expect perfection. Keep your eyes on the sky, and don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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