Big Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the outlook for Big Rock is a bit of a tough one. We’ve got a long stretch of small, messed-up waves. The water is weirdly warm, coming in at 75°F which is about 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, almost like summer has overstayed its welcome.

The first few days are a write-off. From Friday the 7th right through to Thursday the 13th, the surf is just poor. Swell is tiny, mostly around 2ft to 3ft from the SW, but the problem is the wind. It’s coming from the WNW or WSW, hitting the break as onshore or cross-on, making it choppy and messy. There’s decent energy in the water, with combined swell energy readings around 286 to 377 (moderate), but the wind just ruins it. Nothing to get excited about.

We finally see a glimmer of hope on Friday the 14th. The morning gets a “marginal” nod, with a 2ft SW swell, a long period of 18 seconds, and combined energy jumping to 520 (strong). The wind is still cross-on from the WNW, so it’s not perfect, but the long period groundswell has some push. The afternoon is a no-go though. Saturday the 15th also looks marginal in the morning. Swell picks up to 3ft from the SW, period 16 seconds, and energy is strong at 547. But again, cross-on breeze from the WNW keeps things second-rate. The afternoon gets a bit bigger, 4ft, but the wind is still cross-on, so it’s lumpy.

After that, it’s back to the same old story. From Sunday the 16th all the way through to Saturday the 22nd, we’re stuck with poor surf. Swell hangs around 2ft to 3ft, mostly from the SW, with periods between 13 and 16 seconds. The wind is either onshore or cross-on, with a gentle breeze, so the surface is never clean. The energy readings drop off, staying in the 210 to 444 range (moderate to strong-ish), but it’s all for nothing with the wind.

The only real standout in this whole period is the morning of Saturday the 15th. It’s not perfect, but it’s the best we’ve got. The 3ft SW swell with a 16-second period will have a bit of shape for more experienced surfers, but the wind is still cross-on, so it’s not going to be glassy. If you’re an advanced surfer and you’re desperate, that’s your window. For everyone else, keep your board in the car.

Honestly, for a spot that’s a reef break and exposed to the W, we need a better window of clean, offshore wind. This setup is more interesting for the kite surfers with the consistent cross-on breeze.

Rusty.

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