Big Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's comin' our way.

Well, it’s a bit of a slow burn, to be honest. For the first week or so, we’re looking at some pretty marginal conditions. The swell is hanging around, but it’s not really showing its teeth in a good way. The wave energy is moderate, fluctuating between about 362 and 882 (combined energy of all swells directed here). The trouble is the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, which is just creating a bit of chop and messing up the surface. You'll see very little in the way of a proper clean face.

Let's get into the details. For Tuesday the 7th and Wednesday the 8th, we’ve got a long-period groundswell from the SW, around 3 ft, with periods between 16 and 18 seconds. That's a long period, which carries energy, but the light onshore wind will leave it bumpy. Not the best day to paddle out.

Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th, the wind gets a bit stronger, especially Friday with a moderate breeze, and the swell drops a touch to 3 ft. The surface is going to feel rough, so I’d give it a miss.

We get a little window Saturday the 11th afternoon – the wind drops to light and it's a light cross-onshore, but the swell is still small at 3 ft and the period is dropping to 15 seconds. It's better than the morning, but still only marginal. This pattern of onshore or cross-onshore wind and weak swell just keeps on going through to about the 15th.

Then, hold on a sec. We've got a glimmer. There’s a bit of a pulse on the horizon. Looking toward the 18th and 19th of July, the swell starts to climb back up. On Sunday the 19th, we see a 3 ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period, and the wind looks favorable – light and onshore from the WSW in the afternoon, with a light breeze in the morning. The wave energy is building (846 in the afternoon). That's the best option in this whole outlook. The break is Big Rock (reef), a fairly consistent spot. The swell direction from the SW matches what the break likes. For advanced surfers only, but with the wind lining up, this is the standout. Get ready for that.

Before that, the 16-day window does have a gap of poor or marginal conditions from the start until around Friday the 18th morning, when things start to improve. The water temperature is about average for this time of year.

So, to sum it up: if you want a clean wave, don’t rush out this week. Let the winds settle. The best bet on the horizon is that Sunday the 19th at Big Rock – it’s a clean, long-period groundswell. It’s still a little while away, so keep an eye on the forecasts, but for now, that’s our best shot.

Rusty.

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