Big Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and listen up, this is Rusty.

First up, it’s pretty quiet for a few days. The swell is there, but it’s just not got the quality to get excited about for a while. The water is a real standout though - it’s sitting at a very unusual 73°F which is 6°F warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a full-on tropical bath, so if you’re going in, you won’t need a wetsuit.

Now, let’s talk about the one spot that’s got our attention. The real highlight of this whole 16-day window is the window around the 27th of July into the 28th at Big Rock. This is an advanced reef break that needs an east wind to be clean, and we’re looking at cross-shore and cross-onshore breezes, but the swell is the story. On Monday morning the 27th, we’ve got a moderate 4ft SW groundswell with a period of 18 seconds. That long period gives it real shape and energy, and the combined energy is sitting at a solid 1003 (moderate energy). It’s not huge, but it’s enough to get your blood pumping. Tuesday morning the 28th bumps up a touch to 4ft from the SW, with a period of 17 seconds and energy at 1055. This is the best of the run. It’s a bit small for the experts who want it overhead, but for the strong intermediate crew, it’s going to be fun. The wind is a bit cross-onshore, so it won’t be glassy, but it’s manageable. The crowds are a thing here though - it’s often busy, so get there early.

The rest of the first week is just marginal. The swell hangs around through the 31st of July, pushing up to 6ft on the Friday morning from the SSW, but with a shorter period of 13 seconds, it’s not as clean. The wind flicks offshore on the 31st, which is a positive, but the wave quality is still just ‘marginal’. It’s not a write-off, just not the best of the window.

After that, from the 2nd of August onwards, it’s a real drought. The swell drops right off to 3ft and then stays below 2ft for a solid week. The models are calling it “poor surf conditions” and the scores are a big fat zero. That’s a full week of flatness, so don’t bother checking the cam until around the 9th of August, but even then, it’s still tiny at 2ft. It’s a long stretch of nothing.

So, for the standout, it’s Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th of July at Big Rock. The swell is directional, the period is long, and it’s the only real window of energy. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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