Big Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up at Big Rock.

First off, the water is running at 71°F — that’s much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you’ll be comfortable in a spring suit or even a shorty, no worries there.

Honestly, the next week and a half is looking pretty flat and sad. There’s a real dry spell from now until the 23rd of July. The swell is tiny, mostly under 3 ft, and the wind is often cross or cross-on, which leaves the surface choppy. The combined energy is weak to moderate (values between 249 and 722), but it’s not producing any rideable waves. You’ll see a few marginal mornings with light winds, like Monday morning the 13th (3 ft SSW swell, 13 seconds, light breeze) or Wednesday morning the 15th, but the tide or overall conditions are just off. It’s a frustrating stretch.

The real standout, the one that’s worth circling on your calendar, is Thursday the 23rd of July. That morning, we see a jump in size to 5 ft from the SSW, with a period of 14 seconds. The combined energy hits 1124, which is strong. The wind is light from the WSW, so it’s light cross-on — just a few ripples on the surface. That’s the best mix of size, energy, and clean conditions we’ve got. The water will still be that warm anomaly. This is a reef break, and with a 14-second period, the waves will have some punch and shape, but it’s still a fairly consistent spot. At 5 ft, it’s manageable for strong intermediates, but it’s not a beginner wave. The optimum swell direction here is W, and we’re getting SSW, so it’s not perfectly aligned, but the energy is enough to make it work. Crowds are often around, so expect company.

The Friday the 24th morning is also promising, with 6 ft SSW swell at 14 seconds and an offshore wind from the WNW. That’s clean, but the period is a touch shorter, and the energy (1213) is just as solid. It’s a close second, but the Thursday morning has the edge on lighter wind.

After that, it fades back into small, marginal junk through the end of the month. The 26th and 27th see some longer-period swell (19 seconds) but only 2 ft to 3 ft, so it’s all gape and no wave.

So, if you’re keen, keep your eyes on the 23rd. That’s the one.

Rusty.

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