Bakio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s take a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks here.

First up, the water is sitting at 75°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year by about 5°. That’s a notable difference, a real treat for the skin.

For a while, things are going to be pretty flat and uninspiring around Bakio. The first few days are a write-off: tiny, weak swells and the wind just isn’t playing ball. You’re looking at a gap of about three days with nothing worth paddling out for.

Then, late on the 26th and into the 27th of August, we start to see a little pulse – waves around 3ft with a NW direction. The combined energy is still weak (119), but the wind on Thursday morning is light and offshore, so the lineup should be clean. Still, it’s only surfable, not special.

The first real standout comes on the morning of Friday the 28th of August. The swell fills in to a clean 5ft from the NW, period at 8 seconds, with a light offshore wind. The combined swell energy gets a kick to 291 – finally some proper punch. It’s a good call for a session, but the afternoon gets chopped up by a cross-onshore wind.

The absolute best window in this whole outlook is Saturday the 29th of August. The morning is clear, with glassy conditions – zero wind – and a solid 5ft NW swell with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy hits 384. This is clean, fun, and you’ll be surfing it alone on the dawn patrol. The water temp is still that anomaly high. This is the pick of the first week. Be aware that the afternoon returns to a cross-onshore and gets choppy.

Sunday the 30th has a glassy morning again, but the swell has dropped back to 3ft. It’s rideable, but not the fire of Saturday.

Looking into the second week, the pattern turns more raw. From the 31st of August, the swell jumps back up with a 6ft swell on Monday afternoon, but the wind is onshore – messy. The combined energy on that one reads 614, a strong pulse, but it’s wasted for good surfing.

The real mouth-watering prospect is way out there, on Monday the 7th of September. This is a long-range promise, so don’t book your flights yet, but the data looks wild. A 7ft groundswell from the NW with a very long period of 20 seconds, combined energy of 3690, and glassy conditions. That is a serious, very long-period groundswell. At a beach break like Bakio, that can break a bit straight, but with the wind being glass, it’s going to be an epic show for experienced surfers. The afternoon that same day says the swell could be 10ft (17s), but for a spot like this, that is too big and powerful for all but the best. That morning is the standout of the entire 16 days.

The week after that is full of lumpy, cross-onshore conditions with leftover swell. It’s not a total loss, but the quality drops right off.

So, here’s the truth: Surf wise, you’ve got a slow start. The standout is Saturday the 29th of August morning for the clean fun conditions. The other big one to keep an eye on is the morning of Monday the 7th of September for something truly big and powerful.

Rusty.

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