Bakio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Bakio over the next couple of weeks. Straight up, the first week is a bit of a rough patch, so patience is going to be the name of the game. It’s not until the end of the first week and into the second that things start to look like they might actually be worth a paddle.

The early part of the forecast is a write-off, really. From the 14th through to the 18th, we’re looking at a lot of poor surf conditions. The winds are mostly cross or cross-onshore, and the swell is a mixed bag of short-period, weak energy. The 17th of September sees the energy pick up to a moderate 606, with a 5ft NW swell, but it's still cross-on and marginal. It's not great, and the conditions are not doing anyone any favours.

Then, on Friday the 18th, we get a glimmer. The afternoon session sees a long-period, 4ft NW groundswell with a period of 16 seconds. The energy jumps to a strong 1050, which is promising, but the light cross-onshore keeps it from being a standout. Still, that long period means it’s going to have some shape and power, but it might be a bit too straight for the beach breaks. This is a better option for the more experienced crew.

Now, the weekend of the 19th and 20th is where it gets interesting. Saturday the 19th has a solid 7ft NW swell with a 13-second period and strong energy of 1623. The wind is light and cross-on, so it’s not perfect, but the size is there. Sunday morning the 20th is the real standout for the early part of the window. The wind drops to glassy, and you’ve got a clean 4ft NW swell with a moderate 425 energy. This is the one to aim for. Glassy conditions and a decent groundswell from the NW, right in the optimum direction for Bakio. It’ll be clean, with the swell wrapping in nicely.

The week starting the 21st keeps the momentum. Monday morning the 21st is a cracker: a clean 5ft NW swell with a 12-second period, cross-off wind, and a strong 674 energy. This is another top pick. Tuesday morning the 22nd is also glassy with a 4ft NW swell, and then things drop off a bit towards the end of the week. The 25th of September has a clean, offshore 4ft NW swell, which is a decent option for a Friday morning session, but the real power has faded by then.

So, the best on offer are the glassy Sunday the 20th and the clean Monday the 21st. Those are the two you want to mark in the calendar. The water temp is 72°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won't need a thick suit. The combined energy is moderate to strong on the good days, so the waves will have some push. Bakio is a consistent spot and can get crowded, so expect company on those good days.

After the 22nd, the swell drops away, and we’re into a long gap of small, weak surf. From the 23rd of September right through to the 29th, it’s mostly poor with tiny waves and low energy. There’s a small window on the 25th with a clean 4ft NW swell, but it’s a one-off. The energy is mostly weak, often in the double digits, and the wind is a mix of glass and cross, but there’s just no swell to work with. It looks like the area goes quiet for a solid week, so don't hold your breath.

Rusty.

Read more