Bakio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – the next week and a half is a bit of a grind. The swell is small and the wind is messy. We’ve got to wait until Sunday the 13th of September for the real deal.

For the first few days, starting Thursday the 3rd, we’re looking at tiny surf. Thursday morning has a weak 2ft swell from the NW with a short period of 8 seconds and a cross-onshore wind, so it’s choppy and pretty poor. The combined energy is weak (53). Friday the 4th is a near washout – the swell is still tiny (2ft) and the wind is onshore or cross. Saturday the 5th shows a little pulse, with the swell picking up to 3ft, but the period jumps to 11 seconds which is a bit better. The wind is cross-shore and the wave energy is moderate (281), but it’s still a marginal call. Sunday and Monday are similar – small, cross-shore winds, nothing to get excited about.

We then hit a real dry spell from Monday the 7th through to Saturday the 12th. The swell drops, the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the energy is low. There’s a brief moment on Wednesday morning the 9th – the wind goes glassy, and the swell is 4ft, but the period is a short 8 seconds, and the energy is only moderate (176). It’s surfable, but it’s very ordinary. Honestly, this stretch is a write-off for a proper paddle.

Now, the standout. The real action is locked in for Sunday morning, the 13th of September. This is the one to circle. The swell jumps to 6ft from the NNW with a long period of 14 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is a strong 1020, so there’s plenty of power. The wind is glassy, zero, dead calm. The forecast says excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers. At 6ft, this is a solid size, so it’s best for those with some experience, not for learners. The long period (14 seconds) will mean long lines and good shape, but it’s an exposed beach break, so expect it to be a bit thumping and straight. This is your best window of the whole outlook.

The week after that has some cleaner windows. Monday the 14th morning has a 4ft swell from the NW with a period of 11 seconds and glassy conditions. The energy is moderate (297) – it’s a good, clean option, but not as powerful as the Sunday. Tuesday the 15th is smaller, and Wednesday the 16th morning has a small 3ft swell with a light cross-offshore wind, making for clean conditions. Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th are back to small, choppy, and poor.

So to sum it up: you’ve got a long wait through a flat, windy week. The big day is Sunday the 13th of September – that’s your best bet for a proper session. After that, Monday the 14th and Wednesday the 16th have some clean, smaller windows. The rest is just a waiting game.

Rusty.

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