Bakio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve got the lowdown on what’s shaping up for our local stretch. Let’s get into it.

We’re looking at a solid run of surf kicking off this Saturday morning, the 29th of August, with some clean, fun-sized waves at Bakio. The water is sitting at 74°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – feels like a summer treat. The swell energy is moderate (397), rolling in from the NW at 5ft, with a 9-second period, and the wind is light and offshore out of the south. That’s a recipe for clean, lined-up waves that are perfect for a beginner-friendly session. The consistency is good, but expect crowds here often – it’s a popular spot.

The standout, though, is the whole stretch from Sunday morning through Monday morning. Sunday the 30th, you’ve got identical conditions – 4ft NW swell, glassy wind from the NW, and clean glassy conditions. The energy is still moderate (327), and that’s a very good setup for a fun morning session. Monday morning, the 31st, is similar with 5ft NW swell and glassy WNW wind, with energy building to 449. This is the best of the near-term options – clean, consistent, and the swell nudging up a touch.

Things start to fade by Tuesday and Wednesday, with the swell dropping, period shortening, and wind coming onshore or cross-shore. By Wednesday afternoon, the energy is weak (55) and the waves are small and choppy. Thursday through to the following Saturday, there’s a real dry spell – small surf, poor quality, and mostly cross-onshore winds. Nothing to get excited about.

Then we get a little glimmer of hope on the 9th of September, Wednesday morning. The swell picks up to 4ft from the NW, period 10 seconds, and the wind is glassy from the WNW. Energy is moderate (243), and the forecast says “good surf conditions.” That’s a promising one, but it’s a long way out – keep an eye on it.

The last week of the outlook is a real mixed bag with very small swell and mostly poor conditions. The 13th of September has a clean cross-offshore wind, but the swell is just 2ft and energy is weak (47). Not worth paddling out for.

So, the best bet is this weekend and Monday morning. The standout is definitely Monday the 31st morning – the biggest clean swell of the run, glassy, and consistent. After that, there’s a gap of a few days of poor surf before Wednesday the 9th morning shows some promise, but it’s a long-range call.

Given the small, weak conditions later in the run, if the wind stays up, the setup might be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing at the beach breaks.

Rusty.

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