Bakio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I'm looking at what we've got for Bakio over the next couple of weeks. To be straight with you, it’s a tough stretch. There’s a long, dry gap right at the start. We don’t get anything worth paddling out for until Tuesday the 11th, and even then, it’s more about getting wet than getting waves.

Imperial

For the first few days, the surf is tiny. We’re looking at knee-high junk, mostly around 2ft from the NW or NNW, with short period around 8 seconds. The wind is a mess – mostly onshore or cross-onshore – so it’s choppy and ugly. The wave energy is weak. It’s a definite “leave the board in the car” situation. The water temperature is sitting at a notable 74°, feeling a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s the only highlight.

The pattern stays pretty flat. Wednesday the 12th through to the following Monday the 17th is just more of the same: small, weak, and messy. We get a tiny bump on Saturday the 15th afternoon and Sunday the 16th afternoon with some 3ft swell from the NNW, but it’s short-period, onshore slop. You could probably bodysurf it, but it’s not for a surfboard.

Now, there’s a glimmer. On Tuesday the 18th, the early morning sets up glassy, with a 3ft swell from the NNW. The energy is weak and the period is a weak 6 seconds, so it’s “surfable but very ordinary.” It’s the best we’ve seen, but that’s not saying much. After that, the wind goes back onshore and we’re right back to poor conditions.

But hold on. Here’s the real standout, and you’ve got to wait for it. On Tuesday the 25th of August, the morning session at Bakio is shaping up to be something special. We’ve got a clean 5ft NW groundswell with a period of 10 seconds. Combined wave energy is going to be pumping. That’s a ton of power. Wind is glassy in the morning. This is the one to circle on your calendar. It’s still over a week away, so treat it like a promise that could break, but if it holds, the points at Bakio are going to have proper, solid, clean lines. The 5ft size is a little big for beginners, but it’s the good stuff for anyone with a bit of experience.

The afternoon of the 25th gets a little bigger at 6ft and the energy jumps, but the wind shifts onshore, making it messier. The morning is the clear winner. After that, things taper off again into tiny surf.

So, in short: it’s a barren wasteland for a week and a half, but that Tuesday the 25th morning is the only real window that looks worth the wait. Don't hold your breath for the rest.

Rusty.

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