Bakio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Bakio over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the first week is a real heartbreaker. From now until the 20th, it’s pretty much flat or just too messy to bother with. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak waves with poor winds. The water is a balmy 75°F, which is about 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s notably warm, but it’s not gonna make the surf any better.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on the morning of Thursday, August 20th. A new long-period groundswell starts to push in from the NW, running 12 seconds, which brings some real energy (combined energy of 862). The swell height is about 6ft, and while that’s a solid size, the wind is a cross-onshore breeze from the NW at 15 km/h (9 mph), keeping things a bit chopped up. The morning session is rated as marginal, but it’s the first real pulse we’ve seen. The afternoon is a bit cleaner wind-wise, but still cross-onshore, so don’t expect perfection.

Friday, August 21st keeps the momentum going. The swell from the NW drops slightly to 5ft, with a 10-second period, but the energy is still decent (combined energy of 424). The wind shifts a bit, coming from the WNW at 10 km/h (6 mph), making it a light cross-shore. It’s still a marginal call, but the conditions are improving.

Now, if you’re looking for the standout, it’s the morning of Saturday, August 22nd. The swell drops to 3ft, but the wind goes completely glassy – dead calm, offshore from the W at 5 km/h (3 mph). The wave energy is light (105), but that glassy surface will make for some clean, fun little waves. It’s the best combination of conditions we get in the whole run. The wave period is a short 8 seconds, so it’s a bit windswell-like, but it’ll be clean.

Looking further out, the Tuesday, August 25th afternoon brings a spike in size, with an 8ft NW swell and a 9-second period. The combined energy is a massive 989, so there’s a lot of power. But the wind is onshore from the NNW at 10 km/h (6 mph), which will make it a bit lumpy. At 8ft, this is expert territory – too big for beginners. The wind and size make it a marginal call.

The very end of the period, into Friday, August 28th, sees a 4ft NW swell with moderate energy (419), but the wind is a strong cross-onshore from the NW at 25 km/h (16 mph), making it choppy and unappealing for a paddle.

So, overall, we’ve got a long flat spell, then a few days of building, but often messy, surf. The real gem is the glassy Saturday morning the 22nd for a clean, small-wave session. The bigger pulses on the 20th and 25th have potential, but the wind is a factor. If you’re a beginner, the 22nd is your best bet; if you’re an expert, the 25th afternoon might offer some power, but it’s a sloppy one.

Rusty.

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