Bakio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey crew, Rusty here. So, the outlook for the next sixteen days is a tough one. I’ll tell it how it is: there’s hardly anything worth getting wet for around here. The only spot in the game is Bakio, and even it’s having a rough go of it.

Right now, the water is running way warmer than usual for the season, sitting at about 76°, which is over 5° above normal – that’s very unusual for Bakio. But that’s about the only unusual thing going for us.

We start on Sunday, July 26th. There’s a 5ft NW swell, but the period is a short 6 seconds. The wind is cross-onshore from the WNW at 16 mph, and it’s just choppy and messy. The combined energy is moderate at 174, but the quality is poor.

Monday the 27th morning shows some potential. The swell picks up to 5ft from the NW with a solid 10-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 540 – moderate to strong. The wind goes offshore from the north at 3 mph, which is clean, but the forecast flags it as marginal, likely due to tide issues. By the afternoon, the wind swings NE at 9 mph, turning it cross-onshore and choppy again.

From Tuesday the 28th through the end of July, it’s all downhill. Swell drops to between 2ft and 4ft, periods are short, and we get onshore or cross-shore winds. Combined energy is low to moderate, and every session is rated poor. There’s a glassy moment on Friday the 31st morning with zero wind, but the swell is just 2ft at 8 seconds and an energy of 42 – don’t bother.

The first week of August is flat and frustrating. On August 6th (Thursday), a small pulse arrives – 4ft to 4ft NW swell at a decent 10 seconds, with combined energy in the 221-257 range. But it’s still rated marginal or poor. Wind is light cross-shore or onshore. Not a standout.

If I had to pick the best of a bad bunch, I’d point to Monday morning, July 27th at Bakio. That 5ft NW swell with the 10-second period and light offshore north wind at 3 mph would give the cleanest conditions we’ll see, but tide might ruin it. It’s over 5ft, so it’s for experienced surfers only. Expect a crowd out there – it’s often busy.

The rest of the sixteen days are a bust. Long gaps with nothing worth recommending. The swell direction is mostly NW, which is close to the spot’s ideal NNW, but the wind just won’t play nice. This kind of quiet stretch isn’t unusual for the area when the patterns are against us.

Keep the board in the car, but don’t hold your breath. Forecasts can flip.

Rusty.

Read more