Bakio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Bakio over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – this is gonna be a tough one for the paddle crew. The whole 16-day window is lookin’ pretty bleak, with no real standouts to get excited about. We’ve got a long dry spell ahead.

The first proper chance to even think about a surf is a fleeting moment on the morning of Saturday the 11th of July. Before that, from now right through Friday the 10th, it’s all poor surf conditions. We’re talkin’ tiny weak swell, mostly onshore or cross-onshore wind, and a whole lotta chop. You won’t need your board.

Saturday morning gives us a tiny 2 ft swell from the NW, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined wave energy is weak at 60, but the wind goes glassy and offshore from the East. For a brief moment, it’ll be clean, but the waves are just "surfable but very ordinary." For a beginner-friendly spot, it’s rideable, but definitely not worth blocking out your day for.

After that, we’re back into the doldrums. It’s a week of tiny swell, onshore winds, and poor conditions. There’s a glimmer on Monday morning the 13th of July – glassy conditions again with 3 ft swell from the NW, though the period is a short 6 seconds and energy is still weak at 96. "Surfable but very ordinary" is the best we get.

We then roll into another long, flat, and choppy stretch. The only real bump in energy comes on Tuesday the 21st of July, when the swell pushes up to 4 ft from the NW with a period of 9 seconds, and combined energy hits 228 – moderate. But the wind is a cross-onshore Westerly, and the report still calls it "poor surf conditions." That’s a wind-bumped, messy wave, even if there’s a bit more push.

For the whole outlook, the water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

Look, this is a classic Bakio winter pattern in July – just flat and clean or small and textured. There’s nothing here that would get a local out of bed. If you’re desperate, the Saturday 11th morning is your best bet for a clean, tiny foam-ball session, but honestly? This setup looks way more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, especially on that 21st July afternoon when the wind picks up and the swell has a bit of energy.

Hang in there, folks. It won’t stay like this forever.

Rusty.

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