Bakio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you. The next few days are looking pretty grim. We've got some small, weak swell rolling in, but the wind is just messing it up. It’s mostly cross-onshore and choppy, so you're not gonna find much worth paddling out for. From Tuesday through Thursday, it's a whole lot of nothing – waves are ankle to knee high, the energy is weak (293), and the surface is a mess. You’re better off getting things done on land.

Now, let’s talk about the first real glimmer of hope. It arrives on the morning of Saturday, the 5th. We finally see a bit of a pulse, with swell around 3ft from the NW and a period bumping up to 10 seconds. The combined energy is up to a moderate 145, and the wind goes glassy. It’s not going to be epic, but it’s clean, and that’s a big step up from the slop we’ve been dealing with.

But the standout, the one you've been waiting for, is the morning of Sunday, the 6th. That's where it's at. The swell pushes to 4ft, the period jumps to a proper 12 seconds, and the energy is a solid 458. Winds are light and glassy, so it's going to be clean. Bakio is an exposed beach break, so this longer-period NW swell might be a bit lined up and closed-out in spots, but with that clean surface, it’s going to be the best the spot has looked in days. Get on it early before that afternoon cross-shore wind (12 mph) chops it all up.

The start of the following week is a bit of a letdown again. Monday the 7th is small and junky. But keep an eye on the morning of Tuesday the 8th. The swell builds back to 4ft, the period is a solid 11 seconds, and the winds are light again. It should be a much cleaner version of the weekend.

Then, things get a little more interesting. The morning of Wednesday the 9th sees the swell jump to 5ft, with a period of 11 seconds and energy of 568. It's got some punch to it. The onshore wind is light, so it could be a bit textured but far from blown out. This is when it might start to get a bit much for beginners, but for the rest of you, it's worth a look.

After that, the middle of the month gets a bit inconsistent. The mornings of Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th both have glassy conditions with surfable waves in the 4ft to 5ft range, but the period drops back down to 8 seconds. So, while it’s clean, the waves will be a bit weaker and less defined.

The week after that, from the 9th onward, becomes a bit of a waiting game again. The forecast gets less reliable that far out, but the morning of Tuesday the 15th is looking like another potential clean and glassy morning with 4ft on offer.

So, to sum it up: Don't bother with the next few days. Your windows are the glassy mornings, and the best two to really pencil in are the 6th and the 9th. The water is also running a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, a good 3°F above average, which is a welcome treat.

Rusty.

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