Bakio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s happening at Bakio over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a pretty grim stretch for surf. The whole 16-day window is a real struggle with almost nothing worth paddling out for. The water is sitting at 76°, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a 6° anomaly, so it’s like swimming in a bath, but unfortunately the waves are nowhere near as inviting.

The first real sniff of anything surfable doesn’t come around until Monday the 27th of July, and even then it’s a total tease. Monday morning, the wind goes light and onshore, with a 5ft NW swell and a very long period of 11 seconds. The combined energy is strong at 458, so there’s power, but the conditions are just marginal. It’s a bit of a gamble. The rest of that week is a washout – messy cross-shore and cross-onshore winds, lumpy, choppy, and small, with most days coming in at a score of zero.

We get a little flicker of hope on the morning of Monday the 3rd of August. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, and the swell is a tiny 2ft from the NW with a period of 9 seconds. The energy is weak at 89. It’s surfable, but very ordinary – you’d be scratching for crumbly little waves. Then on Wednesday the 5th of August, the swell picks up to 4ft from the NW with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy hits moderate at 203. The wind is a gentle cross-shore, but conditions are still marginal. It’s the closest thing to a standout in this whole outlook, but it’s not a day to get excited about – just a possible session for the dedicated.

The very last day, Saturday the 8th of August, has another glassy morning with a tiny 2ft NW swell, but again, it’s just barely surfable. For a spot like Bakio, which is consistent and exposed to the NW, this is a rough run. The wind is never truly offshore, and the swell is mostly small and short-period, so it’s messy and weak. Honestly, if you’re a kiter, this setup might be more interesting than for paddle surfing, especially on the windier afternoons.

There’s no big standout here. The best you’ll get is a marginal, glassy morning on the 3rd of August or a slightly bigger but still average day on the 5th of August. Crowds are often at Bakio, so even on the poor days, you might see a few locals out. Nothing to rush for.

Rusty.

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