Noosa - Alexandria Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you—this stretch from Noosa’s Alexandria Bay is lookin’ pretty slim pickin’s for the next 16 days. The whole run is a tough one, with almost every session marked as poor surf conditions. There’s a big gap of no good surf right from the start, and it’s not until the 9th of September that we see a flicker of something, and even that’s a marginal call. So let’s walk through it.

The pattern starts off flat and ugly. Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th are tiny, with swell around 1 ft to 1 ft, and the wind is cross or cross-on, making it choppy. Not worth paddling out. Sunday the 6th has a bit more size—3 ft to 4 ft—but it’s from the north-northeast with a short period, and the wind stays cross or cross-off, so it’s still messy. Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th see a southeast swell push in, around 3 ft to 4 ft, but the wind is cross-on and moderate, so you’re dealing with a chop. The water temp is about 69°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year.

Now, the only real standout in this whole outlook is the morning of the 9th of September, Wednesday. The swell picks up to 4 ft from the southeast, with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy hits 372 (moderate wave energy). The wind is light and cross-on from the southeast at 6 mph, so it’s not ideal but it’s the cleanest we’ll see. The wave comment calls it “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” but it’s the best on offer. The break at Alexandria Bay is exposed to the south, and the swell direction is right on that optimum, so it might hold a few fun ones. Still, don’t expect a classic session—the wind is light cross-onshore with small ripples, so it’s not glassy.

After that, it gets rough again. Wednesday afternoon the 9th has a 3 ft swell with a 12-second period, but the wind is cross-on, and the energy drops to 291. Then Thursday the 10th through the 19th is a mix of small to moderate swell, but the wind is mostly cross-on, sometimes fresh or strong, and the conditions are lumpy, choppy, or just plain poor. The 11th of September even has a 7 ft swell from the southeast, but with a 22 mph cross-on wind, it’s blown out. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle one. The 14th to the 15th sees some 5 ft to 6 ft swell, but again, the wind is cross-on, and it’s not clean.

The second week is a write-off—tiny swell from the 16th onward, with the 18th and 19th dropping to 0.3 ft, and the wind is fresh and cross-on. No surf to speak of.

So, if you’re desperate, the Wednesday morning of September 9th is your best bet, but it’s a long way off and far from perfect. The rest of the 16 days, you’re better off waiting for a change in the forecast. It’s a tough stretch, but it won’t stay this way forever.

Rusty

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