Ahu Ahu Road Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, giving you the lowdown for the only spot worth talking about in this neck of the woods over the next couple of weeks. Let's get into it.

Right out of the gate, we’ve got a bit of a messy start at Ahu Ahu Road. Tuesday the 15th is seeing some chest-high swell around 6ft from the WSW, but it's got that cross-breeze spoiling things. That combined energy is pumping at 1379 (moderate wave energy), but the conditions are just marginal with that 6 mph wind ruining any chance of a clean face. The afternoon gets worse with the wind picking up, so honestly, Tuesday is a write-off.

Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th are a complete no-go. The wind is all over the place and the surf quality is poor. We get a bit of a spike on Thursday afternoon with a 8ft swell from the WSW and a combined energy of 2457, but it’s messy with a fresh cross-shore. Not worth the paddle.

Now, Friday the 18th is where it starts to get interesting. We’ve got a solid 10ft SSW groundswell rolling in, with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is a strong 4904, and the morning sees a clean, cross-off breeze. This is proper wave energy. That size is pushing into expert territory, but for those who can handle it, that long-period groundswell will be lining up nicely on this beach-and-reef setup. The afternoon jumps to a massive 13ft, but the cross-shore wind makes it lumpy. The morning is your window.

The weekend (19th and 20th) is a wild ride. Saturday sees an 12ft swell but with a short, weak 10-second period and strong onshore winds. It's a chop fest. Sunday kicks up to a beastly 15ft from the WSW, with a combined energy of 4162, but the wind is howling at 25 mph. The afternoon cleans up a little with a cross-off breeze, making that 15ft monster look a bit more organized, but you’d still need a death wish and a big board to even think about it. This kind of setup is honestly looking more like a kite surfer’s paradise than a paddle surfer’s.

The first half of the following week (21st and 22nd) is a write-off. Strong winds, choppy seas, poor conditions. Just don't bother.

Then comes Wednesday, the 23rd of September. This is the absolute standout. Mark it in your calendar. We’re looking at a massive 18ft WSW swell with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy? A whopping 13823 – that’s very strong wave energy. And the wind? Pure offshore from the SE at 12 mph. The report calls it exceptional for expert surfers, and I believe it. This is a once-in-a-forecast-window event. The morning will be epic, but it is strictly for experts only at that size. The afternoon drops to 15ft but still clean.

Thursday the 24th backs off a bit to 10ft, but the wind turns cross-shore and then onshore, so the magic is gone.

The final days of the forecast start to mellow out. Friday the 25th and Saturday the 26th are actually a real treat. Friday morning brings a 10ft swell from the WSW with a clean, gentle offshore breeze from the SE. It's excellent for experienced surfers. Saturday morning is the real sleeper: the same 6ft swell from the WSW, but the wind is glassy – dead calm, 0 mph. That's a magical window for a longboard or a fish, with the combined energy sitting at a pleasant 1495. Perfect for a dawn session.

After that, from the 27th through the 30th, the wind comes back onshore and on it, spoiling what would otherwise be solid swell. The periods get long again, but the wind just wrecks it.

Overall call: If you're an expert, you live for Wednesday the 23rd morning. That 18ft offshore session is the one. For the rest of us, the glassy Saturday the 26th morning is the hidden gem. Don't waste your time on the windy, lumpy days in between.

Rusty.

Read more