Ahu Ahu Road Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m not gonna lie to you – this stretch at Ahu Ahu Road is a real mixed bag over the next 16 days. We’ve got some serious swell events rolling through, but the wind and conditions are often working against us. The water temp is sitting at 59°F right now, which is about normal for this time of year, so don’t expect any surprises there.

The first real chance to get wet that’s worth paddling out for is Monday afternoon, the 20th of July. That’s your standout session. We’ve got a clean 6 ft swell rolling in from the WSW with a 14-second period – that’s proper groundswell, good energy that’ll wrap into the beach and reef setup here. The wind is offshore from the SE at just 3 mph, making it clean as a whistle. The combined energy is moderate (1048), but with that offshore wind, it’ll be a joy for experienced surfers. Just keep in mind, with that longer period, the sets might be a bit spaced out, but it’ll make paddling out easier.

Tuesday morning, the 21st of July, is another beauty. The swell drops to 5 ft, still from the WSW at 13 seconds. The wind is glassy from the ESE at 3 mph – dead calm. The energy is a bit weaker (652), but for a beginner-friendly spot with clean, glassy conditions, you can’t complain. It’s a lovely morning session.

After that, things get messy. Wednesday the 22nd morning sees a short-period 7 ft swell with a stiff cross-shore wind, and the energy is moderate (601) but the wind’s gonna chop it up. Wednesday afternoon is cleaner with a 5 ft swell, but the period drops to 7 seconds – that’s short-period windswell, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and less powerful.

Thursday the 23rd starts okay but turns poor by the afternoon. Friday the 24th is a write-off with strong winds and rain. Then we get a massive pulse of swell from the 25th onwards. By Saturday the 25th afternoon, we’re looking at a 20 ft swell from the WSW – that’s huge, very strong energy (7979), but with a strong cross-onshore wind, it’s a mess. This is strictly for experts only, and even then, the wind is going to make it a battle. The 26th is even bigger, with an 18 ft swell and 15-second period, but the wind is still cross-onshore and lumpy. The conditions are poor, and honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The big swells keep coming into the start of August. On Sunday the 2nd of August, we’ve got a 28 ft monster from the west with a 14-second period – the energy is off the charts (25485). But the wind is cross-onshore and the break is already too big for this spot. Only the most experienced, chargers, and even then, be prepared for a washing machine.

So, the standout is Monday afternoon, the 20th of July. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. Everything else is either blown out, too big, or just not worth the drive. The rest of the surf is a lot of “no thanks” with a few small windows of clean, smaller waves. If you’re a beginner, stick to the Tuesday morning glass-off. If you’re a seasoned local, take that Monday afternoon window and make the most of it.

Rusty.

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