Whangamata Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks around Whangamata Beach.

Alright, I'm gonna be straight with you – for the vast majority of this outlook, it's gonna be a long, flat wait. We're looking at a solid stretch of days with pretty much nothing to get excited about. From now until the end of the first week, the surf is a write-off. There's a gap of about 13 days from the start of the forecast period until we see anything worthwhile. The first real glimmer of hope doesn't show up until the 29th of July, and even then, it's only a gentle nudge.

From Thursday the 16th of July right through to Tuesday the 28th of July, the swell is tiny, mostly under 1 ft, with weak combined energy (4 to 59). The wind is often offshore or cross-offshore, which would normally be a dream, but there's just no wave to work with. It's a frustrating period of clean, flat water. The water temp is sitting around 59°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.

The first slight sign of life comes on Wednesday the 29th of July, with a little bump in the morning. We're looking at 3 ft of swell from the north, but it's a short period (6 seconds) and a weak energy reading of just 82. It's "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions" – a bit of a tease, really. The morning is glassy, which is a positive, but there's not enough power in it to be a proper session.

Now, pay attention, because here's the standout. The real action, and the one to keep your eye on, is Thursday the 30th of July. The morning session is looking much better, with a 8 ft swell from the north-northeast. The combined energy jumps right up to 963, which is a strong push of energy. The period is 8 seconds, so it's a short-period swell, but with that much size, it's going to be powerful. The wind is glassy, and that's a massive plus. The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions". This is a serious swell, pushing over 8 ft, so this is for experienced surfers only. The Thursday afternoon, the wind turns messy cross-onshore as the energy drops a bit to 7 ft, so it's the morning that's the pick.

After that, Friday the 31st of July sees onshore winds and dropping swell, so the window is tight.

So, to be honest, there's one clear standout here: Thursday morning, the 30th of July, at Whangamata Beach. That's the one to circle on the calendar. For the rest of the time, it's a waiting game.

Rusty.

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