Whangamata Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cooking for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it's a tough start. We're looking at a pretty long, quiet spell for Whangamata Beach. From now until about the 14th of July, it's a real struggle. The swell is tiny, mostly under 3ft, and the wind is all over the shop, mostly cross-off or cross-shore. It's not doing anyone any favours. The water temp is sitting right on average for the time of year at 60°, so nothing wild there.

Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th are write-offs – poor surf and messy winds. The weekend of the 11th and 12th offers a tiny glimmer of hope with some clean, small waves, but it's really just ankle-biters. If you're a beginner, you might get a fun little session on Saturday morning with 3ft easterly swell and a light breeze, but don't expect much.

Then we hit Monday the 14th. The swell picks up a bit, but it's a short-period, wind-affected mess. Tuesday morning the 14th brings a jump in energy with a 6ft northerly swell, but the period is a weak 6 seconds and there's rain showers. The combined energy is moderate at 394. The afternoon looks better with a 4ft NNE swell and clean offshore wind from the SW, which is a nice change, but it's still just ordinary.

From the 15th through the 18th, it's mostly flat and clean, but with no real power. The glassy conditions on the 18th afternoon are a treat, but the 4ft ENE swell is weak and short-period.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. The 19th of July is a standout. Sunday morning is looking *glassy* with a 6ft ENE swell and a 6-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 257. It's a solid, clean size for a beach break, but that short period means it'll be a bit soft and lumpy. It's a good bet for a fun session, but it might be a bit too big for real beginners.

But the real beast is Monday the 20th. Holy moly. We're looking at a massive 15ft to 16ft NE groundswell rolling in, with a period of 10-11 seconds. The combined energy is off the charts at 3970 and 5622. This is a serious, big-wave event. The problem is the wind is howling cross-onshore, making it a choppy nightmare. The data says it's too big for the break, and honestly, with that wind, it's going to be a complete mess. This is strictly for experts, and even then, it's a danger zone. For the rest of us, it's a day to watch from the beach. The conditions are more suited to kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The swell hangs around into Tuesday the 21st, but it's still big (8ft to 10ft) and cross-shore or cross-onshore. Still a mess. It slowly drops through the rest of the week, but the wind stays a problem.

So, for the best of the best? That Sunday the 19th is your window. Glassy, clean, and a solid 6ft. It's not the biggest, but it's the best quality on offer. The Monday the 20th is a monster, but it's a wild, dangerous beast. If you're an expert and you've got the boat, maybe, but don't say I didn't warn you.

Rusty.

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