Whangamata Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the local stretch. I’ll be straight with you – this one’s a tough outlook to write. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead, but honestly, it’s looking like a proper dry spell for surfable waves. The forecast is running quiet from the start, with no real rideable energy showing up for a long stretch.

Right out of the gate, we’re looking at a flat spell. Thursday the 4th kicks off with a tiny 3ft north swell, but with a short 6-second period and a messy cross-shore wind, it’s just not going to stack up. The combined energy is weak (61), and the conditions are poor. That sets the tone for the next several days. Through Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, the swell drops right off to 0.7ft. The wind does clean up – we get a nice offshore breeze on Saturday, and even some glassy conditions – but there’s barely a ripple. The energy values are in the single digits and teens. It’s a heartbreakingly clean ocean with nothing to ride.

Monday the 7th sees a little bump, with a 3ft north swell in the morning, but the wind is onshore and choppy. By the afternoon, the swell jumps to 6ft from the NNW, and the combined energy skyrockets to (596) – that’s a strong pulse of energy. But the wind is still cross-shore and the conditions are described as poor. It’s a frustrating combo of size and chop.

Tuesday the 8th is the one bright spot in the whole run. The swell drops to a cleaner 4ft from the north, with a period of 8 seconds. The real win here is the wind: light and cross-offshore, keeping the surface clean. The combined energy is moderate (182). We’re looking at *surfable waves but very ordinary conditions* – the best we’re going to get. For Whangamata Beach, that’s the standout. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is about average for this time of year, so no shock to the system there.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. From Wednesday the 9th right through to the end of the forecast on the 19th, it’s a long, painful gap. The swell is consistently tiny, mostly 0.7ft to 2ft, and while the wind is often offshore or even glassy, the wave energy is just too weak to break properly. The combined energy values are mostly two-digit numbers, well under 100. There’s plenty of clean, glassy ocean, especially on the 16th, 17th, and 19th, but no push to get you going. It’s a real shame – the conditions are perfect for a wave that just isn’t there.

So, to wrap it up: the only window worth a paddle is Tuesday the 8th. The swell is small but rideable, the wind is kind, and the water is as expected for the season. For the rest of the 16 days, it’s a quiet stretch. Keep the board waxed and the eyes on the forecast – it tends not to stay this poor for long.

Rusty.

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