
Surf Forecasts:
Wharariki Beach surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 19 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, W swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 20 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, W swell with 4,829 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 19 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Wharariki Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Wharariki Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 19) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Wharariki Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sat 19th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sat 19th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sun 20th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Wharariki Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming our way over the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, with some real gems hiding in the second week, so you'll want to pay attention.
First things first, the water temp is sitting about average for this time of year at 57°, so nothing wild there. The overall pattern kicks off with a bit of a dud, then a solid pulse of groundswell that's mainly for the experienced crew, and finally a sweet window of clean, manageable waves.
Right now, it’s pretty quiet. The first few days don't have much to offer, with a small, short-period 3ft swell on the 15th that’s got a marginal feel to it. That’s followed by a few days of strong winds and lumpy conditions. Nothing to get excited about.
Things change on the 17th of September. We’ve got a 8ft WNW swell building, but it’s short period (9 seconds) and the wind is strong. The wave energy is ramping up though (1078 combined energy). This isn't a beginner's session. By Thursday afternoon the swell jumps to 8ft, and by Friday morning the 18th, it’s a solid 8ft at 16 seconds from the west. That’s proper groundswell, with a massive 3067 energy reading. But here’s the thing—the wind is a strong cross-offshore, and at 8ft, it’s pushing into expert-only territory. This is when Wharariki Beach really comes alive for the big-wave crew. That long-period swell (over 15 seconds) will be lining up, but it’s going to be powerful and the sets will be wide apart. If you’re not experienced, stay on the sand and watch. The following days hold similar size, but the wind stays strong and the ocean is a mess.
Now, let's skip ahead to the standout window. If you can wait, the 23rd of September, Wednesday morning, is looking like the pick of the bunch. We’ve got a 8ft W swell with a very long 17-second period and, crucially, a light SSE offshore breeze coming through clean. The combined energy is still high (3104), but the conditions are described as "excellent for experienced surfers." This is big, clean, lined-up groundswell at Wharariki. It’s still big at over 8ft, so it’s for the chargers only. The crowds are listed as "never", so you might have it to yourself, but with that kind of size, you'll want to be confident.
Then, the next day, Thursday the 24th of September, is the best balance of the whole run. The swell drops just a touch to a very clean 6ft from the west, still with a superb 16-second period. The magic is the wind: glassy, from the southeast. Total flat calm. The combined energy is still a solid 1611, meaning plenty of push, but at 6ft it’s a much more manageable size for a strong intermediate. This is a true standout session.
The window closes with a smaller, glassy 3ft wave on the 25th and a few more clean days after that, but nothing that competes with that Thursday morning gold.
So, to sum it up: the first week is a washout or for experts only. The real highlight is Thursday the 24th of September at Wharariki Beach—that’s the one to circle on the calendar for clean, powerful, and accessible surf.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed night, min 9°C on Thu night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the W on Sat morning, calm by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 15 | N 12 | N 12 | W 13 | W 13 | W 11 | WNW 9 | W 13 | W 17 | W 16 | W 15 | W 16 | W 15 | W 15 | W 8 | W 11 | W 14 | W 15 | W 15 | W 14 | W 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
343 | 3 | 3 | 125 | 117 | 379 | 815 | 2570 | 3155 | 2987 | 3764 | 3698 | 2908 | 3766 | 1247 | 1670 | 3056 | 2836 | 1894 | 2541 | 902 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:22PM3.17m | 00:38AM3.07m | 12:59PM3.00m | 1:15AM2.86m | 1:38PM2.80m | 1:57AM2.64m | 2:24PM2.60m | 2:48AM2.43m | 3:23PM2.43m | 3:56AM2.29m | 4:42PM2.34m | 5:21AM2.26m | 6:03PM2.39m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:32PM0.31m | 6:50AM0.36m | 7:11PM0.51m | 7:28AM0.58m | 7:53PM0.73m | 8:12AM0.80m | 8:42PM0.94m | 9:06AM0.99m | 9:47PM1.10m | 10:18AM1.11m | 11:08PM1.15m | 11:39AM1.10m | 00:25AM1.05m | ||||||||
6:31 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | |
— | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:23 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
Feels °C | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 15 | N 12 | N 12 | W 13 | W 13 | W 11 | N 10 | NNW 8 | N 8 | W 16 | N 7 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 | — | WNW 16 | W 14 | W 14 | W 15 | W 15 | — | W 13 |
343 | 3 | 3 | 125 | 117 | 379 | 2 | 101 | 55 | 2987 | 4 | 94 | 22 | — | 48 | 775 | 3056 | 2836 | 1894 | — | 225 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | N 12 | — | W 18 | W 18 | — | W 14 | NNW 8 | N 10 | NNW 7 | N 7 | — | NW 11 | — | — | WNW 15 | — | E 4 | — | — | — |
38 | 3 | — | 6 | 6 | — | 261 | 43 | 2 | 18 | 4 | — | 18 | — | — | 43 | — | 8 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 12 | — | — | N 11 | N 11 | — | — | WNW 15 | N 10 | NW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | 23 | 2 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 6 | W 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | NNW 6 | WNW 9 | W 13 | W 17 | — | W 15 | W 16 | W 15 | W 15 | W 8 | W 11 | E 4 | — | — | W 14 | W 13 |
— | 285 | 117 | 29 | 44 | 134 | 815 | 2570 | 3155 | — | 3764 | 3698 | 2908 | 3766 | 1247 | 1670 | 4 | — | — | 2541 | 902 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 163 | 111 | 111 | 97 | 111 | 93 | 196 | 95 | 97 | 152 | 152 | 152 | 196 | 97 | 204 | 188 | 0 | 95 | 152 | 95 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - West Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Wharariki Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Wharariki Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Wharariki Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Wharariki Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Wharariki Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Wharariki Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - West Coast? If you are looking for accommodation near Wharariki Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - West Coast, consider staying in Nelson which is 100 km (62 miles) away.










