Wharariki Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

To be honest, the start of this run is looking pretty average. There’s some swell rolling in, but it’s messy and the winds are all over the shop. The water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is about normal for this time of year.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off, to be honest. The wind is cross and lumpy, making for poor surf conditions. You’ll see a bit of swell on Tuesday, around 3ft, but the energy is weak (326) and it’s not worth suiting up for. Wednesday follows a similar pattern – a clean morning with 3ft but not enough push, and then the wind gets fresh and choppy in the arvo. Thursday’s still not your day either. Friday sees the swell start to fill in, but it jumps to 8ft with a fresh cross-off wind. There’s a lot of energy behind it (4689) but it’s big and the wind is strong, so it’s going to be a handful.

The weekend is when it starts to get serious. Saturday the swell is still solid at 8ft, strong energy (3684), and clean conditions. But by the afternoon, it’s jumping to 10ft and the wind is hitting 28 mph. The forecast even says it’s too big for the break. This is expert-only territory. Sunday and Monday keep that sizey, powerful west swell, but the strong winds are going to make it a battle. Tuesday the swell backs off a touch, but it’s still cross and messy.

After that lumpy patch, we get a proper pulse mid-week. On Thursday the 17th, the swell model is showing a serious 12ft of west swell with moderate energy (4463). The wind is offshore in the morning, but the sheer size of it will be pushing the limits for everyone. By the afternoon, it's still 10ft but with a gentle cross-shore, which might make it a touch more manageable but still huge.

The following week starts to clean up a bit. The size eases, but the winds are still fresh and cross-off. The standout is shaping up for Wednesday the 23rd. That morning, a light offshore wind from the south meets a solid 6ft of west swell, with a long 17-second period. That’s clean, powerful, and lined up. The energy is strong (2017) and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the one to keep an eye on.

So, overall, there are only a couple of true windows. The big, stormy stuff is for experts only, and honestly, it looks more like a kite-surfing day during some of that strong-wind and big-swell combo. The one to really save your energy for is that Wednesday the 23rd morning session at Wharariki Beach – clean, offshore, with some real groundswell in the water. It’s a bit down the track, so don’t hold your breath, but it's the most promising call in the whole run.

Stay stoked.

Rusty.

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