Wainui Bay Chalet Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, checkin’ in with the local surf outlook for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a real mixed bag on the way, with a window of solid, clean surf early on, but the second week takes a serious turn for the wild. If you’re keen, you gotta pick your window carefully.

The standout window is the first few days, especially the morning of Monday the 27th. That’s where the magic starts. Wainui Bay Chalet is the spot to be. The swell is going to be a clean 4ft from the ESE, with a nice 13-second period on it – that’s proper groundswell energy. The water’s a bit colder than usual for the time of year, about 55°, but that’s a small price to pay for the quality on offer. The wind is blowing a light cross-offshore from the WSW, keepin’ the surface glassy. The combined energy is pumping at 1129, so there’s serious push in the water. This is the best surf on offer, hands down. It’s very consistent, and while it might get a few locals out, the quality will be worth sharing the lineup for.

That Monday afternoon gets a bit gnarly. The swell jumps to 8ft from the south, but with a short 9-second period and a strong cross-shore wind, it’ll be lumpy and messy. That’s more of a challenge than a treat.

Tuesday morning, the 28th, is another big one but with a caveat. The swell is 7ft from the SE, with a long 13-second period, and the wind is a light cross-offshore. The combined energy is massive at 2057. But at 7ft, it’s startin’ to get big for this break, so it’s really for the experienced crew.

Wednesday morning, the 29th, offers a nice reset. The swell drops to 6ft from the ESE, period still a solid 13 seconds, and the wind goes light cross-offshore from the west. The water is clean, combined energy is 873 – a solid, surfable day.

Thursday the 30th is a gem. Clean 4ft swell from the ESE in the morning, with a 12-second period, and the wind is straight offshore from the NNW. Combined energy is 509, and it’s clean. The afternoon drops a bit to 4ft, but it’s still offshore and clean. Good times.

The surf tapers off through Friday and into the weekend. Friday the 31st is small, around 3ft, and the wind is okay, but the energy is low. Saturday the 1st of August sees a weird spike in the morning – 7ft from the SSW, but with a short 8-second period, so it’s a bit of a junky windswell. The wind is light though, so it’s clean. The afternoon is a write-off with 12ft and a howling cross-shore.

Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd are a total loss. The wind is screaming from the south, the swell is big and messy, and the rain is coming in. This is a full-on stormy period. The combined energy hits 2484 on Monday morning, but it’s accompanied by a strong cross-onshore wind. This setup is looking more interesting for kite-surfing than paddle-surfing.

We get a bit of a breather on Tuesday the 4th. A clean 5ft from the SE in the morning, light cross-offshore wind, combined energy 947. A solid session for the experienced.

The rest of the first week and into the second week is pretty mellow. Wednesday the 5th through Friday the 7th are small, clean, and weak. Glassy conditions on the 7th, but the swell is tiny and the period is short. It’s more of a beginner’s day or a longboard session.

The real kicker for the second week is Sunday the 9th of August. This is a long-range standout, promising but less certain. The forecast shows a massive 8ft swell from the SSE, with a very long 17-second period. The combined energy is an enormous 3269. The wind is light offshore in the morning. That’s a recipe for some serious, groundswell perfection. But the caveat is the size. At 8ft, with that long period, this is strictly for experts. It’s going to be a powerful, grinding swell that will be best for the point and reef setups, not so much the beach. It’s a monster in the making.

After that, the rest of the forecast, from the 10th to the 11th, looks like a write-off. The wind is howling from the north, and the swell is small and messy. A blank run to end the window.

So, to sum it up: The best surf on offer is Monday morning, the 27th of July, with a clean, solid 4ft groundswell and light offshore winds at Wainui Bay Chalet. The other standout is the long-range pulse on Sunday the 9th of August, but that’s a big one for the experts only.

Rusty.

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