Surf Forecasts:
Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period, SE swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, SSE swell with 3,098 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Wainui Bay Chalet this week:
The surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 2.3m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Wainui Bay Chalet in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here, looking at what’s on offer for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a pretty rough start. The first few days are a write-off for us. Thursday the 9th through to Saturday the 11th are all blown out with strong, cross-onshore winds and messy, lumpy conditions. The swell is pumping, but it’s a total mess, so just leave the board in the car.
Things finally start to turn around on Sunday the 12th. The wind drops right out, going light and cross-offshore, and the water cleans up nicely. The swell drops to a very manageable 4 ft from the ESE, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is weak (454), so it’s not going to be firing, but it’s clean. The water is sitting at 57°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
We get a bit of a lull through Monday and Tuesday, with small, weak surf. Nothing to get excited about, but it’s clean enough for a paddle if you’re desperate.
Now, the real standout is lining up for Saturday the 18th. We’ve got a solid 6 ft swell from the SE, with a 13-second period pushing through. That’s some proper groundswell energy, and the combined energy is moderate (1011). The wind is a light 6 mph from the West, which is cross-offshore, making for clean, groomed waves. This is the pick of the bunch for experienced surfers. The swell is a bit too big for learners, but for anyone with a bit of time in the water, Saturday morning looks excellent.
Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th also look very good, with clean conditions and a solid 5 ft to 5 ft swell from the ESE and ENE. The period drops a bit on Monday, but the wind stays light and offshore, so there will be plenty of fun waves to be had.
A word of warning for the following week. From the 24th of July, the forecast is showing a massive pulse of swell, reaching 15 ft with a 11-second period. That’s a huge amount of energy (6442) and the wind is forecast to be glassy. But for a break this exposed, that’s going to be a washing machine for all but the most experienced big-wave chargers. It’s a real big-wave situation, so keep your wits about you if you’re even thinking about it.
So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. Get your gear ready for the 18th, 19th, and 20th – that’s your window for clean, fun waves. The end of the month is a specialist game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 41mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Thu night, light winds from the SW by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | NE 5 | NE 6 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1159 | 1782 | 2570 | 1509 | 2675 | 876 | 1129 | 882 | 433 | 282 | 221 | 184 | 127 | 82 | 78 | 62 | 77 | 60 | 33 | 68 | 68 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | on | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 12:42PM1.87m | 00:59AM1.91m | 1:30PM1.89m | 1:45AM1.89m | 2:19PM1.90m | 2:38AM1.86m | 3:12PM1.90m | 3:39AM1.84m | 4:14PM1.90m | 4:47AM1.84m | 5:25PM1.93m | 5:56AM1.87m | 6:35PM1.99m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:45PM0.54m | 7:24AM0.45m | 7:35PM0.54m | 8:10AM0.42m | 8:29PM0.54m | 9:01AM0.42m | 9:28PM0.56m | 10:01AM0.43m | 10:33PM0.58m | 11:06AM0.44m | 11:47PM0.59m | 12:10PM0.44m | 00:58AM0.57m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  |  |  | |  | |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — |
 | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — |
mm | 6 | 6 | 23 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | E 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 10 | E 10 |
| kJ | 356 | 562 | 294 | 525 | 1522 | 876 | 753 | 535 | 433 | 282 | 221 | 184 | 127 | 82 | 78 | 62 | 41 | 35 | 17 | 68 | 68 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 9 | — | — | — | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 19 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 13 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 |
| kJ | 31 | — | — | — | 57 | 47 | 24 | 73 | 153 | 123 | 96 | 75 | 63 | 59 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 33 | 17 | 29 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | SSE 12 | S 21 | S 14 | S 16 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | — | — | NE 12 | SSE 14 | SE 9 | SSE 12 | S 12 | ESE 8 | S 16 | ESE 16 |
| kJ | 56 | — | — | — | — | 15 | 34 | 16 | 195 | 49 | 35 | — | — | 5 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 25 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | S 8 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SSW 7 | — | — | — | — | NE 2 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 6 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1159 | 1782 | 2570 | 1509 | 2675 | 513 | 1129 | 882 | 91 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | 28 | 77 | 60 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 113 | 115 | 121 | 118 | 115 | 64 | 47 | 48 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Wainui Bay Chalet Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Wainui Bay Chalet provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Wainui Bay Chalet can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Wainui Bay Chalet) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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