Surf Forecasts:
Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, SE swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, SE swell with 1,419 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Wainui Bay Chalet this week:
The surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 1.9m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Wainui Bay Chalet in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the window ahead for Wainui Bay Chalet.
First up, right now it’s looking pretty grim. The swell is pumping hard from the SSE with a solid 12ft on Friday the 10th, but the wind is a strong cross-onshore and it’s just lumpy and messy. The combined energy is massive (3971), but it’s not doing us any favours with the wind. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Saturday the 11th is still a write-off through the morning, but the afternoon shows a bit of promise. The swell drops to 6ft from the ESE, and the wind swings to a gentle cross-offshore, giving us clean conditions. The energy is still moderate (559), but it’s rideable. Not a standout, but a step in the right direction.
Sunday the 12th morning is clean too, with a 4ft SE swell and gentle cross-off wind. The energy is backing off (415), but it’s a clean little surf if you’re keen for a small wave. Fairly consistent, so you’ll find a few.
The real standout on offer is Saturday the 18th. The morning has a clean 4ft ESE swell with a gentle offshore from the WNW, and the energy is strong (983). The water is clean, it’s a very consistent break, and with the wind offshore, it’s gonna be good. The swell direction is playing nice with the optimum SSE direction, so expect some nice lines. Afternoon holds up too, with a 3ft swell and moderate offshore wind. This is the pick of the window.
Thursday the 16th afternoon is also worth a mention. The swell is only 2ft, but it’s a very long period 15-second groundswell from the ESE, so it’ll have some push. The wind is gentle offshore, and the energy is moderate (303) so it’ll be clean and glassy. A good option for a longboard or a fun wave.
Now, the second week has a few clean windows. Wednesday the 22nd morning has a 5ft SSE swell with a light offshore, and the energy is up there (975). That’s promising. Thursday the 23rd morning is glassy with a 5ft SE swell, so it’ll be as clean as it gets. Friday the 24th morning also has a clean 5ft SE swell with a slight offshore from the NNW. The energy is moderate (476). These are all solid options, but the weekend of the 18th is still the best.
The crowds can be an issue here sometimes, so keep that in mind if you’re heading to the standout sessions.
The gap at the start is rough – nothing good until Saturday afternoon, and before that it’s blown out. But once it cleans up, there’s a nice run of surf.
Keep an eye on the 21st – the swell is predicted to be too big for this break, even though the wind is favorable. That’s expert territory or a look-see only.
For now, I’m calling it: Saturday the 18th is the one to circle. Clean, consistent, and the swell is lined up. Get on it.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Fri afternoon, calm by Sun night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 15 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2511 | 979 | 643 | 470 | 373 | 237 | 178 | 196 | 94 | 65 | 52 | 40 | 25 | 20 | 36 | 23 | 29 | 52 | 169 | 742 | 892 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:45AM1.89m | 2:19PM1.90m | 2:38AM1.86m | 3:12PM1.90m | 3:39AM1.84m | 4:14PM1.90m | 4:47AM1.84m | 5:25PM1.93m | 5:56AM1.87m | 6:35PM1.99m | 7:00AM1.91m | 7:34PM2.06m | 7:58AM1.95m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:35PM0.54m | 8:10AM0.42m | 8:29PM0.54m | 9:01AM0.42m | 9:28PM0.56m | 10:01AM0.43m | 10:33PM0.58m | 11:06AM0.44m | 11:47PM0.59m | 12:10PM0.44m | 00:58AM0.57m | 1:10PM0.44m | 1:58AM0.54m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 |
 | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | 5:06 |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 10 |
Feels °C | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 12 | ESE 15 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 |
| kJ | 1403 | 979 | 643 | 470 | 373 | 237 | 178 | 196 | 94 | 65 | 52 | 40 | 25 | 20 | 36 | 23 | 19 | 52 | 169 | 742 | 892 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 12 | SSE 19 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | NE 6 | ESE 7 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ESE 12 | ESE 15 | ESE 18 | S 5 | S 5 |
| kJ | 57 | 48 | 27 | 73 | 211 | 123 | 105 | 73 | 61 | 55 | 34 | 30 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 45 | 128 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSE 12 | SSE 16 | S 14 | S 10 | S 9 | S 7 | — | NE 12 | NE 11 | SSE 9 | NE 4 | E 10 | ENE 5 | S 9 | S 16 | ENE 5 | ESE 20 | S 17 | S 16 | S 16 |
| kJ | — | 30 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 33 | — | 6 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 6 | 20 | 19 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | S 8 | S 7 | — | S 6 | SSW 7 | — | — | — | NE 3 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 6 | — | WNW 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2511 | 476 | 159 | — | 84 | 48 | — | — | — | 2 | 7 | 8 | 31 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 115 | 64 | 49 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Wainui Bay Chalet Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Wainui Bay Chalet provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Wainui Bay Chalet can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Wainui Bay Chalet) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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