Surf Forecasts:
Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, SE swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, SSE swell with 2,595 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Wainui Bay Chalet this week:
The surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Wainui Bay Chalet in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening at Wainui Bay Chalet. The first week is mostly a mess, but there are a couple of clean windows that’ll get you out of the water stoked. The real treats are a bit further out.
From Wednesday the 8th to Friday the 10th, it’s rough. Wednesday morning has a 5ft ESE swell with a 10-second period, but a cross-shore wind and only moderate wave energy (530) keep it lumpy and marginal. Thursday afternoon gets nasty: 10ft from the S with 25 mph cross-onshore winds and energy at 3296 – that’s kite-surf territory. Friday’s still ugly with 12ft SSE swell and strong winds.
Saturday the 11th morning has a 7ft SE swell and 1074 energy, but it’s too big for this break – experts only. The rest of the day’s no good.
Sunday the 12th morning is the first standout. A light offshore breeze from the WSW at 6 mph, clean 5ft SE swell with a 10-second period, and moderate wave energy at 523. Water’s around 57°, which is average for this time of year. This is a solid intermediate session – clean, not too big, and crowds are possible but not a guarantee.
Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th drop way off: 2ft to 3ft ESE swells with tiny energy (down to 79), and mostly clean but barely rideable. Tuesday afternoon is dead flat and glassy.
Wednesday the 15th stays small with a 2ft ESE swell and 11-second period, but only 109 energy – not enough push.
Thursday the 16th morning is another standout. 6ft ESE swell with a 14-second period – that’s a very long-period groundswell – and 1336 energy. Light SW wind at 6 mph, just a few ripples. For a beach break, that long period can make it a bit straight, but with good banks it’ll be fun. This is a proper session.
Friday the 17th through Monday the 20th stay average to poor. Swells 5ft to 6ft from the SE, but onshore winds and chop ruin the quality.
Tuesday the 21st afternoon jumps to 12ft from the E with 11-second period and 2672 energy – too big for this break. Wednesday the 22nd morning hits 15ft from the E and 6622 energy – huge and expert-only.
Finally, Thursday the 23rd morning is a gem. Glossy calm from the N, 6ft ESE swell with 11-second period and 793 energy. Clean, lined-up, and not too big – perfect for intermediates.
Best windows: Sunday the 12th morning, Thursday the 16th morning, and Thursday the 23rd morning. There are long gaps of poor days in between, but keep your fingers crossed – forecasts change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 38mm), heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed morning, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Wed night, strong winds from the S by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 473 | 490 | 416 | 440 | 1820 | 2500 | 2287 | 2595 | 1259 | 833 | 738 | 442 | 400 | 301 | 176 | 148 | 130 | 80 | 62 | 74 | 80 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | on | off | off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | off |
High Tide | 11:56AM1.85m | 00:18AM1.93m | 12:42PM1.87m | 00:59AM1.91m | 1:30PM1.89m | 1:45AM1.89m | 2:19PM1.90m | 2:38AM1.86m | 3:12PM1.90m | 3:39AM1.84m | 4:14PM1.90m | 4:47AM1.84m | 5:25PM1.93m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:00PM0.55m | 6:40AM0.49m | 6:45PM0.54m | 7:24AM0.45m | 7:35PM0.54m | 8:10AM0.42m | 8:29PM0.54m | 9:01AM0.42m | 9:28PM0.56m | 10:01AM0.43m | 10:33PM0.58m | 11:06AM0.44m | 11:47PM0.59m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | | |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — |
 | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | SSE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 |
| kJ | 473 | 490 | 416 | 339 | 1102 | 350 | 2287 | 1462 | 1259 | 833 | 738 | 442 | 400 | 301 | 176 | 148 | 130 | 80 | 62 | 74 | 80 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 14 | SSE 14 | S 9 | SSE 10 | ESE 10 | — | — | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 19 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | S 14 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 13 | ENE 5 | S 12 | S 9 |
| kJ | 41 | 36 | 79 | 346 | 349 | — | — | 57 | 47 | 24 | 74 | 211 | 123 | 96 | 52 | 46 | 24 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSW 8 | SSE 13 | S 17 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | S 21 | S 14 | SSW 10 | — | S 7 | — | — | S 15 | S 10 | SSE 12 | S 9 | S 12 |
| kJ | 16 | 23 | 32 | 23 | 25 | — | — | — | — | 34 | 16 | 21 | — | 40 | — | — | 4 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 3 | SW 4 | SSW 8 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 18 | SSE 10 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NNE 4 | NE 5 | — | — |
| kJ | 5 | 14 | 81 | 440 | 1820 | 2500 | 33 | 2595 | 449 | 183 | 172 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 7 | 15 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 14 | 14 | 38 | 38 | 115 | 118 | 118 | 115 | 64 | 14 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Wainui Bay Chalet Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Wainui Bay Chalet provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Wainui Bay Chalet can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Wainui Bay Chalet) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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