Wainui Bay Chalet Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

Right then, the outlook for Wainui Bay Chalet. We're looking at a pretty solid run of waves kicking off, but with a big, ugly storm system messing up the middle of it. The water is sitting at 56.5°, which is just about normal for this time of year, so no shock to the system there.

Things start off on Monday the 3rd, but it's marginal. A 3.3ft SSE swell, but with a short 10-second period, and the wind is light but onshore. It's not a write-off, but it's not the one to get excited about.

Then Tuesday the 4th is a write-off. The wind cranks up from the SSW, reaching 18.6 mph, and the swell jumps to 11.5ft. It's a messy, lumpy cross-shore situation. The energy is strong (4388), but it's not for paddling. This is more of a kite-surfing show.

Wednesday the 5th is the same story but worse. A massive 16.4ft south swell (energy of 9447) with a strong cross-onshore wind. Absolutely not for a paddle board. Kite-surfing territory.

The first real window opens up on Thursday morning the 6th. The wind swings around to the WSW, a nice cross-offshore breeze, cleaning up a 9.8ft south swell. The energy is still hefty (3222), and the report says the swell is actually too big for this break. So, for a confident intermediate, this could be a big, challenging day, but it's a standout for the brave.

Friday morning the 7th, we get a bit of a reprieve. The wind goes light offshore from the NW, cleaning up a 4.6ft SE swell. It's a much more manageable size, and the energy (680) is moderate. This is a solid, clean option for most surfers.

Friday afternoon the 7th is interesting. The swell drops to 3.3ft from the SSE, but the period stretches out to a very long 16 seconds. That's a proper groundswell. With a light cross-shore wind, it'll be peeling, but that long period can make it a bit tricky at a beach break. It's a point-break style wave.

Saturday the 8th is the pick of the bunch. Morning has a nice 4.6ft SE swell, 13-second period, and a clean offshore from the WNW. The energy is moderate (755). The afternoon stays clean with a 3.9ft SE swell and offshore wind. This is the best on offer for the first week. Clean, consistent, and a good size.

Sunday the 9th is a drop-off. The swell fades to 3.0ft, and the wind goes onshore in the afternoon. A bit of a letdown after Saturday.

From Monday the 10th through to Saturday the 15th, it's a long, dry spell. The wind is all over the place, mostly onshore or cross-shore, and the swell is tiny. Don't bother checking the forecast for that week.

Then we get a glimmer at the end of the run. On Sunday the 16th, the afternoon shows a 4.6ft NE swell with a moderate offshore wind from the NW. The energy is moderate (289). It's a long way out, but it's a promising little window to close the 16-day period.

The Standout: Without a doubt, Saturday the 8th. The morning session with that 4.6ft SE swell, 13-second period, and glassy offshore wind is the cleanest, most consistent offering of the whole period. It's a cracker.

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