Surf Forecasts:
Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 12s period, SSE swell with 1,946 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 12s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Wainui Bay Chalet this week:
The surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Wainui Bay Chalet in the next 16 days are 2.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again, same spot, different numbers. Let’s break it down.
Water temp is 55°, which is a bit colder than average for this time of year. You’ll need a good suit.
Friday morning, 24 July, we’ve got tiny 1ft SSE swell with a 10-second period and weak energy, but a light NNW cross-off wind keeps it clean. That afternoon, a moderate offshore from the NNW at 12 mph, with a tiny 2ft ENE swell. Still ordinary, but the wind is a plus.
Saturday morning, 25 July, a little more life: a 3ft E swell with a 12-second period, moderate energy, and a light offshore from the NW at 6 mph – clean. That’s the early pick. Saturday afternoon gets messy with a cross-shore from the SW at 12 mph and rain.
Sunday morning, 26 July, brings a bigger bump – 6ft S swell, but the period is short at 7 seconds, so it’s all chop. Wind is a cross-off from the WSW at 12 mph, but the energy is climbing. Marginal. That afternoon, a fresh cross-onshore from the SSW at 18 mph makes the 7ft S swell a mess.
Monday, 27 July, through Tuesday, 28 July, we’ve got a solid pulse of swell, but it’s too big for this break. The swell hits 7ft to 8ft from the SSE, with a very long period of 12 to 13 seconds and very strong energy. Wind is fresh cross-shore or cross-off. Only for experts. Tuesday morning is the best of that bunch with a 7ft ESE swell, 13-second period, and a gentle cross-off.
Wednesday morning, 29 July, is the standout. We’ve got a 5ft ESE swell with a 13-second period, moderate energy, and a light offshore from the NW at 6 mph. Clean, lined up, and consistent. Crowds are sometimes an issue, so get there early.
Thursday, 30 July, holds a nice 4ft to 4ft ESE swell with a gentle offshore from the NW. Clean and fun. Friday, 31 July, drops to 3ft, still with offshore wind, but ordinary.
Then a long gap. From Saturday, 1 August, through to Saturday, 8 August, the wind is howling onshore or cross-on, and the swell is either too small or too messy. The 8th has some 7ft S swell, but the wind is cross-shore and it’s marginal. That setup with the strong onshore wind and big chop is more for the kite surfers.
Best on offer: Wednesday morning, 29 July, at Wainui Bay Chalet. The 5ft ESE groundswell with long period and light offshore wind will be clean and consistent. Second pick: Saturday morning, 25 July, for the clean 3ft E swell.
Stay salty,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sat morning, fresh winds from the SW by Sun night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 7°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Mon afternoon, light winds from the NNE by Wed morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 11 | E 12 | E 12 | SSW 6 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | S 8 | S 9 | SE 12 | SE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 21 | 114 | 174 | 169 | 182 | 247 | 384 | 682 | 1059 | 1381 | 1584 | 1230 | 1245 | 1026 | 769 | 638 | 477 | 361 | 290 | 214 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | off | cross | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:52AM1.78m | 2:25PM1.76m | 2:39AM1.70m | 3:12PM1.71m | 3:34AM1.65m | 4:09PM1.68m | 4:36AM1.63m | 5:20PM1.69m | 5:36AM1.66m | 6:18PM1.74m | 6:27AM1.71m | 7:03PM1.80m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:52PM0.75m | 8:14AM0.67m | 8:41PM0.79m | 9:00AM0.72m | 9:33PM0.82m | 9:52AM0.75m | 10:32PM0.84m | 10:51AM0.76m | 11:34PM0.83m | 11:47AM0.74m | 00:30AM0.80m | 12:36PM0.70m | 1:18AM0.75m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |  | |  | | |  | |
 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — |
 | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 11 | E 12 | E 12 | S 6 | SSE 6 | ESE 13 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 12 | SE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 |
| kJ | 21 | 114 | 174 | 169 | 80 | 108 | 384 | 318 | 422 | 1381 | 1584 | 1230 | 1245 | 1026 | 769 | 638 | 477 | 361 | 290 | 214 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | NNE 5 | SE 17 | E 11 | ESE 14 | S 15 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | S 14 | SSW 13 | S 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 15 | S 14 | S 16 | S 16 |
| kJ | 9 | 8 | 2 | 77 | 116 | 233 | 18 | 390 | 522 | 4 | 32 | 12 | 24 | 37 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 15 | 20 | 19 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 18 | NE 8 | ESE 16 | E 12 | — | — | — | — | SW 11 | — | — | — | — | S 16 | SW 11 | SSE 11 | SSW 13 | S 16 |
| kJ | 12 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 166 | 98 | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNE 6 | NW 2 | S 8 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | SSE 7 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 9 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 |
| kJ | — | 27 | 2 | 1 | 182 | 247 | 192 | 682 | 1059 | 1032 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 64 | 38 | 64 | 64 | 64 | 64 | 49 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Wainui Bay Chalet Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Wainui Bay Chalet provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Wainui Bay Chalet can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Wainui Bay Chalet) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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