
Surf Forecasts:
Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 19s period, SSE swell with 2,668 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 15s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Wainui Bay Chalet this week:
The surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Wainui Bay Chalet in the next 16 days are 1.9m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, lookin’ at the surf ahead for our patch. We’ve got one standout break this window, and it’s all about Wainui Bay Chalet. This spot is a very consistent, exposed SSE swell magnet, and it’s an intermediate-level wave. The water’s sitting at 56°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent steamer.
The first real action kicks off Sunday morning, the 19th of July. We’ve got a solid 5ft swell from the SSE, with a long 18-second period—proper groundswell energy. The wind is light from the NW, sitting cross-off, and it’s clean. The combined energy is a strong 1798, so there’s plenty of grunt. This is the pick of the early window, offering excellent surf for experienced surfers. The long period means the waves will have shape and power, but at a beach break it can straighten out a bit; still, the conditions are clean, and crowds are sometimes a factor here, so you might have some company. The swell holds at 4ft through Sunday afternoon, but the wind swings to a moderate SSW cross-shore, bringing a chop, so the morning is the clear winner.
Monday the 20th is a write-off—cloudy, cross-on winds, and choppy conditions, even with a 5ft SSE swell. Tuesday the 21st stays marginal, with light cross-on winds and small wind ripples. Wednesday the 22nd offers a brief window with a clean 3ft SSE swell and a light offshore from the NNW, but it’s small. From Thursday the 23rd through Friday the 24th, the swell drops right off, with tiny 1.0ft to 2ft waves—barely surfable.
Then we get a bit of a pick-up. Saturday the 25th has clean offshore winds, but the swell is still tiny at 1ft to 2ft. Sunday the 26th sees a small 3ft to 4ft SSE swell with moderate offshore winds, but it’s still not firing. The real standout in the second week arrives on Monday the 27th. The morning has a clean 3ft SSE swell, but the afternoon is the one to watch: 4ft from the SSE with an 18-second period, light offshore winds from the WNW, and a combined energy of 1065. It’s excellent surf for experienced surfers, and the wind is offshore, so it’ll be clean and lined up. This is a promising, though less certain, long-range call.
Tuesday the 28th is messy with a strong NNW cross-off wind and rain showers, killing the surf. Wednesday the 29th is blown out by fresh winds. Thursday the 30th is a big one—the swell jumps to 7ft in the morning and 12ft in the afternoon from the S. That’s way too big for this break, really only for experts or maybe kite surfers, as the setup will be thumping. Friday the 31st morning drops back to a clean 7ft SSE swell with a light offshore from the NW, offering excellent conditions for experienced surfers—another solid option. The first of August sees small, clean surf again, but nothing special.
Overall, the best on offer is Sunday morning the 19th and Monday afternoon the 27th, with a shout-out to Friday morning the 31st. The middle of the window has a few days of flatness, so don’t get your hopes up for that stretch. This is Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 19 | SSE 19 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | E 8 | E 10 | E 10 | SE 16 | SSW 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1377 | 950 | 540 | 487 | 1548 | 2293 | 1310 | 867 | 427 | 257 | 167 | 129 | 129 | 85 | 47 | 19 | 21 | 47 | 51 | 68 | 342 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | off | cross-on | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:45AM2.01m | 10:13PM2.11m | 10:36AM2.00m | 11:02PM2.08m | 11:25AM1.98m | 11:47PM2.03m | 12:13PM1.94m | 00:29AM1.96m | 12:59PM1.88m | 1:10AM1.87m | 1:42PM1.82m | 1:52AM1.78m | 2:25PM1.76m | 2:39AM1.70m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:54PM0.50m | 4:31AM0.53m | 4:45PM0.54m | 5:19AM0.54m | 5:32PM0.59m | 6:06AM0.56m | 6:19PM0.64m | 6:49AM0.58m | 7:05PM0.70m | 7:32AM0.62m | 7:52PM0.75m | 8:14AM0.67m | 8:41PM0.79m | ||||||||
7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | |
— | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | |
mm | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 19 | SSE 19 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | E 7 | E 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | S 7 |
1377 | 950 | 540 | 487 | 1548 | 2293 | 1310 | 867 | 427 | 257 | 167 | 129 | 129 | 85 | 47 | 8 | 21 | 47 | 51 | 47 | 134 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SSE 6 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ENE 7 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 6 | SE 16 | ESE 15 |
421 | 317 | 230 | 58 | 158 | 113 | 95 | 69 | 64 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 23 | 23 | 9 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 68 | 148 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 6 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | — | — | — | — | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 5 | E 7 | ESE 11 | E 9 | ESE 11 | NE 7 | ESE 18 | S 5 | ESE 10 |
— | — | 40 | 164 | 177 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 30 | 5 | 34 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 4 | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 2 | NW 2 | NNE 3 | — | SSW 4 | — | — | SSW 7 |
— | 2 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 10 | — | — | 342 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 64 | 38 | 14 | 48 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Wainui Bay Chalet Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Wainui Bay Chalet provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Wainui Bay Chalet can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Wainui Bay Chalet) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










