Wainui Bay Chalet Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Wainui Bay Chalet has in store for us.

We’ve got a proper mixed bag over this 16-day window, with a clear standout early on and another promising pulse lurking right at the end. The water is sitting at 55°, which is about a degree colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit.

The pick of the forecast is hands down Wednesday the 2nd of September, first thing. We’re looking at a clean 6ft swell from the SSE with a solid 14-second period – that’s proper groundswell with real shape and push. The combined wave energy is pumping at 1448 (moderate-strong), and with a moderate offshore breeze from the NW, those waves will be peeling smooth. This is the one to circle. The morning session will be the go, as the afternoon swings onshore.

That morning is followed by Thursday the 3rd with a smaller but very clean drop. The swell eases to 4ft from the SSE, still with a nice 13-second pulse, and the offshore wind holds from the NW. Combined energy is 506 (moderate). Then, on Thursday afternoon, it goes glassy with a 3ft SSE swell – perfect for logging, light crowd depending.

We hit a flat and ordinary stretch from Friday the 4th through to Monday the 7th. Swell drops away to barely a ripple, with mixed winds and poor conditions. Not worth paddling out for.

Things start to wake up again on Tuesday the 8th with a building swell – 8ft from the SSE, 12-second period, clean on the morning. But here’s the thing: the file flags that as too big for this break. Combined energy hits 1548 (strong). Same story for Wednesday the 9th (7ft, 14-second SSE, 1835 energy). This is big, powerful groundswell, so unless you’re an experienced charger, I’d give it a miss. Thursday the 10th settles to a much more manageable 5ft from the SE with offshore winds in the morning – good call then.

The middle of the second week is a bit average again until we get a real beauty on the far side. Wednesday the 16th of September morning: glassy conditions, 6ft from the SSE with a very long 16-second period. That’s an incredible 1970 combined energy. This is a serious, powerful groundswell with dead-calm conditions. It’s going to be big and clean at the point, but watch out – that long period might make it sectiony on a beach break. For experienced surfers, this could be the best session of the whole run, though being two weeks out, it’s still a promising possibility rather than a lock.

If you’re a kite surfer, the big, windier days around the 7th and 8th with strong cross-shore winds and messy chop could be more your scene than paddle surfing.

Overall, Wednesday the 2nd morning is your surest bet for quality, and that last morning on the 16th is the one to watch.

Rusty.

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