Wainui Bay Chalet Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s comin’ through for the next couple of weeks.

We’re looking straight at Wainui Bay Chalet (New Zealand) . It’s a spot that knows how to handle a decent south-southeast swell, exposed and ready. The water’s sitting at 57°F – right about normal for this time of year, so nothin’ to complain about on that front.

The first real standout is that Saturday afternoon. It’s a bit of a wait given we’re startin’ on the 11th, but it’s gonna be worth it. Swell’s gonna be 5ft from the ESE, period at 9 seconds, with a cross-off breeze. The energy’s just under 600 (598) – that’s a solid, moderate push. The conditions are set to be clean and the crowd factor is only sometimes, so you’ve got a real good chance of snaggin’ a few without a fight. This is a solid intermediate-level wave.

Sunday the 12th is still decent in the morning – 4ft from the SE, same period, still clean with the cross-off. It’s a touch smaller but good fun. The afternoon? Nah, that one gets a cross-on wind and it’ll be a bit of a mess. Skip it.

Monday the 13th drops right down to 3ft. It’s surfable, but it’s ordinary. Better off waitin’.

The real standout in this whole run is sittin’ out there on Friday the 17th. The morning’s already good – 4ft from the ESE with a 16-second period and clean offshore wind. That’s proper groundswell energy (791). It’s gonna shape up nice. But the afternoon? That’s the one. 5ft from the same direction, still that beautiful 16-second period, and there’s a clean cross-off breeze. The wave energy jumps right up to 1101 – you can feel that in your chest just lookin’ at the numbers. This is for the experienced surfer. That’s your best session right there.

Now, the 18th (Saturday) is a write-off. Strong cross-shore wind, messy chop. Don't bother.

Sunday the 19th gets interesting. Mornin’ swell hits 8ft from the south, but the guidance says it’s too big for this break. I’m with it. That’s a big ol’ wall of water for Wainui. But check the afternoon – it drops back to 5ft from the SSE with a 16-second period and light cross-off wind. The energy’s at 1424. That’s a strong, clean, expert-level session. Another beauty.

From there, the second week gets a bit lumpy. The 20th has a decent morning but the afternoon turns onshore and choppy. The 21st is messy. The 22nd and 23rd have size – 7ft and 10ft – but the forecasts say it’s too much for the break. That’s expert-only territory and even then, it’s a push. The 24th morning has 10ft from the ENE – same story, too big.

There is a bit of a gap after that. The 25th has a clean 5ft in the morning from the east with offshore wind – that’s a solid session – but the afternoon gets shredded by a 25 mph cross-wind.

The last real chance to get wet is Sunday the 26th. Morning comes in at 5ft from the ENE, 9-second period, clean with a light offshore. The energy’s at 700. It’s a good, consistent wave for the intermediate crew to end on.

So if you’re lookin’ for the one day to circle on the calendar – it’s Friday the 17th. Afternoon session. That’s the one we’ll be tellin’ stories about.

Rusty.

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