Wainui Bay Chalet Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got a good look at the charts for the next couple of weeks. Let’s get into it.

We’re focusing on Wainui Bay Chalet. The water temperature here is sitting at 56°F, which is about 1°F cooler than the long-term average for this time of year. Nothing too wild, just a bit of a nip in the air and water.

The first action kicks off on Thursday the 30th of July. Thursday afternoon sees a 4ft swell from the ESE with a 11-second period and a north-northwest offshore breeze at 12 mph. The combined wave energy is moderate (362). It’s clean, it’s offshore, and it’s rideable. This is a solid little session to get wet.

Friday the 31st, morning is the pick. You’ve got a 3ft ESE swell, 11-second period, and a light 9 mph offshore from the northwest. The energy drops to 227, but the conditions are glassy and clean. Friday afternoon still has offshore wind but the swell drops to 2ft – it’s surfable, but ordinary.

The weekend gets interesting. Saturday the 1st of August, the swell jumps up dramatically. The morning sees a 7ft SSW swell with a short 8-second period and a strong cross-offshore wind. The wave energy is high (1099). But here’s the thing – that’s too much size for this break. It’s a 7ft with short period, messy. Saturday afternoon is even bigger – 8ft from the SSE with a 11-second period and a fresh cross-shore wind. The energy is very high (1595). This is not a paddle-friendly scenario; it looks more like a kite-surfing set-up with the wind and size.

Sunday morning the 2nd of August is the standout of the whole outlook. The swell is 7ft from the SSE, with a 12-second period, and a light west-southwest cross-offshore breeze at 9 mph. The wave energy is strong (1189). The wind is clean, the swell has good length, and it’s described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the one to circle. If you’re an intermediate or better, get on it. The afternoon drops to 6ft with a light cross-shore – still surfable, but not as good.

Monday the 3rd, morning brings a 4ft SSE swell with a 10-second period and a clean 12 mph offshore. It’s good, but not a standout. The rest of the week is a mix. Tuesday the 4th has a 4ft SSE swell with a very long 16-second period, but it’s cross-shore wind. That long period (16 seconds) means it’s a groundswell, and it’ll be better on a point or reef, but the cross-shore chops it up. Wednesday the 5th is a write-off with poor conditions.

The next real highlight pops up on Thursday the 6th of August. The morning has a 3ft SSE swell with a 12-second period and a light offshore from the north-northwest. The energy is moderate (300), and it’s clean. A nice, easy session. Thursday afternoon is also clean with a 3ft SE swell.

Then there’s a big gap in quality. Friday the 7th sees a 8ft SSW swell with a short 7-second period onshore – that’s a mess. Saturday the 8th morning is better – 5ft from the SE, 10-second period, light cross-offshore, and clean. That’s a decent session. But the rest of that week and into the next is mostly marginal or poor, with winds shifting and swell dropping.

Sunday the 9th of August morning is a nice one. 3ft SSE, 13-second period, and a glassy offshore wind. Clean waves. The energy is moderate (442). It’s a good morning for a longboard or a funboard.

The second week gets tricky. There’s a run of poor conditions from the 10th to the 11th, with onshore winds and short-period chop. Then Wednesday the 12th of August afternoon shows some promise – 5ft from the east, 12-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (607). That’s a very good session for that period. Thursday the 13th morning is also clean with a 4ft east swell, but the afternoon drops off.

The last couple of days, the 14th, are blown out with strong winds and small swell.

So, the best on offer is Sunday morning the 2nd of August with that 7ft SSE swell and clean conditions – that’s for the experienced crew. The second best is Thursday the 6th of August morning for a cleaner, smaller session, and Wednesday the 12th of August afternoon for a promising late window.

Keep an eye on the long-range stuff – the 12th is a week and a half out, so it’s promising but not locked in.

Rusty.

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