Wainui Bay Chalet Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Wainui Bay Chalet. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s get into it.

The early part of the week is pretty flat and uninspiring with tiny, weak swell. From Monday the 13th through to Wednesday the 15th of July, we’re looking at small, ordinary waves with very low energy – think 1ft to 3ft. Not worth paddling out for. Wednesday afternoon might offer a brief moment of glassy conditions, but the swell is barely there.

Things start to get interesting on the morning of Thursday, the 16th. We see a pulse of longer period swell (15 seconds) from the ESE, and the combined energy ramps up to 136. Still small at 2ft, but the clean offshore wind is a good sign. The real standout, the one you’ve been waiting for, is Friday the 17th of July. The morning session is going to be firing. We’ve got a solid 4ft of ESE groundswell with a long 16-second period, and strong wave energy hitting 876. The wind is light and offshore (NW), so it will be clean and lined up. That’s your pick of the week for an intermediate surfer.

The afternoon gets a bit messy with a cross-onshore breeze and the swell bumping up to 5ft, which is pushing the limits for beginners. Saturday morning the 18th holds some good clean surf at 4ft, but the arvo gets smashed by strong southerly winds.

Then, hold onto your board. Sunday the 19th of July is another absolute standout. The morning brings a very long period (21 seconds) SSE groundswell at 3ft, but with an incredible 1080 combined energy. With clean offshore winds (NW), this will be perfect, clean conditions for experienced surfers. That long period will be peeling beautifully at this point, but be aware it might be a bit too straight for the beach breaks.

After that, the forecast gets more uncertain. We see a few clean windows, like Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st mornings, with 2ft and 4ft respectively, and good conditions. However, the wind patterns get fickle. From around the 22nd to the 25th of July, things look messy with strong cross-onshore winds and poor surf quality. There’s a glimmer on the morning of Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th with clean conditions and small swell, but it's nothing to get overly excited about. The last few days of the month look pretty average again.

So, to sum it up: if you’re free, clear your morning for Friday the 17th and Sunday the 19th. Those are the true gems in this 16-day window. The rest is either too small, too windy, or both. Water temp is about average for this time of year, so you won’t need the 5/4 just yet.

Rusty

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