
Surf Forecasts:
Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 5 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 12s period, S swell with 7,577 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 11s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Wainui Bay Chalet this week:
The surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 24s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Wainui Bay Chalet in the next 16 days are 5.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s break it down.
We’re talking Wainui Bay Chalet for the next two weeks. Water temp is about 57°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year – nothing wild.
First few days are a bit all over the place, but there’s clean surf to be had. Monday the 3rd of August starts with a moderate offshore breeze and a 4-foot SSE swell. The energy is moderate (317), and it’s clean. By Monday afternoon, it drops to 3 feet but the wind goes glassy – perfect for a log or a small-wave board. The swell period is 10 seconds, so not much push, but it’ll be fun.
Tuesday the 4th is a total write-off. Strong cross-shore winds and a big jump in size – by Tuesday afternoon we’re looking at 10 feet of messy, cross-chop with a massive 1547 energy reading. That’s a lot of power, but the wind is all wrong. Not for paddle surfing. Wednesday the 5th is even bigger – 15 feet in the morning and 13 feet in the afternoon with strong cross-shore winds. This is kite-surfing territory, not for the average surfer.
Thursday the 6th is still solid, but the swell is too big for the break. 8 feet in the morning with clean cross-offshore wind – it’ll look good, but it’s pushing the limits of what this spot can handle. Afternoon drops to 7 feet with cross-shore wind, still lumpy. Experts only, and only if you know the place.
Friday the 7th morning is a nice reset. Clean offshore breeze, 4-foot SE swell, period 10 seconds, moderate energy (480). That’s a solid, surfable day. The standout, though, is Sunday the 9th of August. Sunday morning brings a 2-foot SE groundswell with a long 17-second period, and the wind is clean. By Sunday afternoon, the wind goes glassy, and the swell picks up to 5 feet with a 15-second period. The energy is high (1117), and the conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. This is the best on offer – clean, long lines, and a proper groundswell. The long period means it’ll be more powerful and better shaped, but it could be a bit too straight for a beach break – this spot handles it well.
Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th are decent but not as good, with clean morning windows and 3 to 4 feet of swell. After that, from Wednesday the 12th onward, the surf drops off hard. We’re looking at small, weak waves – 0.7 to 2 feet – with very low energy (16-151). The wind is often cross or onshore, and the conditions are ordinary. From around the 12th to the 17th, it’s a long run of poor to flat surf. The only bright spot is the 16th of August, Sunday morning, where there’s a 2-foot SE swell with clean cross-offshore wind, but it’s weak.
Honestly, if you’re looking to surf, aim for the Sunday the 9th window. That’s the standout. The rest of the first week has some okay windows, but the second week is a dead zone.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun afternoon, strong winds from the SSW by Tue night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 6°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed afternoon, calm by Fri morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 15 | SSE 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 11 | S 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 18 | SE 16 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
626 | 439 | 305 | 185 | 260 | 491 | 1544 | 7113 | 6042 | 4443 | 3299 | 1510 | 896 | 450 | 328 | 486 | 1005 | 700 | 428 | 308 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-on | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 9:03PM1.97m | 9:19AM1.89m | 9:43PM1.98m | 10:00AM1.91m | 10:23PM1.98m | 10:42AM1.92m | 11:05PM1.95m | 11:28AM1.91m | 11:47PM1.92m | 12:16PM1.90m | 00:32AM1.88m | 1:05PM1.89m | 1:22AM1.83m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:20AM0.58m | 3:24PM0.54m | 4:00AM0.54m | 4:05PM0.52m | 4:41AM0.50m | 4:47PM0.51m | 5:24AM0.47m | 5:31PM0.52m | 6:09AM0.46m | 6:20PM0.54m | 6:56AM0.45m | 7:14PM0.57m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | |
5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 11 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 8 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 7 | -2 | -4 | -4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 15 | E 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 16 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 11 |
626 | 439 | 305 | 185 | 260 | 491 | 3 | 3409 | 3146 | 2242 | 1355 | 743 | 513 | 450 | 328 | 265 | 1005 | 700 | 428 | 308 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 15 | E 14 | S 22 | SSE 13 | SSE 18 | E 12 | — | — | — | — | SE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 6 | SE 14 | SE 12 | SSE 18 | SE 10 | E 14 | NE 13 | SSE 15 |
55 | 4 | 9 | 68 | 64 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 41 | 24 | 24 | 46 | 77 | 486 | 188 | 4 | 7 | 21 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | ENE 14 | E 13 | S 20 | E 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 15 | ESE 15 | E 16 | SSE 20 | SE 12 | SE 12 | — | — | NE 13 |
28 | 20 | 3 | 32 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58 | 21 | 5 | 75 | 77 | 137 | — | — | 7 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 3 | — | — | SSE 7 | SSE 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 11 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 2 | — | — | 345 | 1544 | 7113 | 6042 | 4443 | 3299 | 1510 | 896 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97 | 352 | 121 | 296 | 118 | 49 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Wainui Bay Chalet Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Wainui Bay Chalet provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Wainui Bay Chalet can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Wainui Bay Chalet) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











