Wainui Bay Chalet Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks. We’ve got one spot doing the heavy lifting, so let’s dial in.

The overall pattern is a bit of a slow dance at first, with a few small, clean windows, but the real standout is a solid pulse of strong groundswell that rolls in on the 26th of July. That’s the one to circle. Before that, we’re looking at some knee-to-waist high leftovers with clean conditions, but nothing to write home about.

Wainui Bay Chalet is the only break in the game, and it’s an exposed, very consistent setup, so it’s picking up everything. The water is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 55°, so you’ll want the extra rubber.

Wednesday, July 22nd – The morning is the pick of the early days. Clean 3ft south-southeast swell with a 13-second period, light offshore wind from the northwest, and the combined energy is moderate (299). It’s small but clean, and the direction is bang on for this spot. The afternoon turns cross-onshore, so grab the morning session.

Thursday, July 23rd – Dropping off. 2ft in the morning with a light offshore, but it’s weak. By afternoon, it’s smaller and a bit bumpy. Not worth rushing for.

Friday, July 24th through Saturday, July 25th – The swell drops to barely a ripple, with energy falling into the weak range (36–242). Saturday arvo has a fresh cross-offshore wind but the swell is only 1ft. Let the board rest.

Now here’s the real deal. Sunday, July 26th – The morning session is the standout. A solid 6ft south-southeast swell, 12-second period, and the combined energy is strong (1178). Light cross-offshore wind from the west-southwest keeps it clean. This is excellent for experienced surfers. The swell is over 5ft, so it’s pushing into that intermediate-to-expert zone. The afternoon gets bigger, hitting 8ft from the south, but the wind turns cross-shore and strong, and the energy jumps to 2226 – it’s too big for this break and messy. The morning is the window.

Monday, July 27th – The swell drops to 4ft from the east-southeast with a long 13-second period, but the wind is cross-offshore and moderate. The energy is still strong (895). It’s a bit of a mixed bag, but there’ll be some clean enough waves for a patient surfer. The afternoon gets cross-shore and lumpy.

Tuesday, July 28th – Morning is the call again. 5ft east-southeast swell, 14-second period, light cross-offshore wind, and strong energy (950). Clean and lined up. The afternoon goes cross-onshore and choppy, so you know the drill.

Wednesday, July 29th – Another solid morning. 5ft east-southeast swell, 13-second period, with a light offshore from the north-northwest. The energy is strong (1066). This is right on the edge of that intermediate-to-expert size, but the offshore wind makes it very attractive. The afternoon stays clean with a light offshore as well. This is a close second to the 26th.

Thursday, July 30th – The wind turns onshore and strong. No good. The swell is still around 4ft, but it’s lumpy and messy. Sit this one out.

Friday, July 31st – Morning is clean again. 3ft south-southeast swell, 13-second period, with a light offshore. Energy is still strong (717). A nice, clean, manageable size for a wider range of surfers.

From Saturday, August 1st onwards – It gets heavy and hostile. The first of August brings a massive 10ft to 12ft south-southwest swell with strong onshore winds. The energy is extreme (3185–4187). This is just too big and blown out for paddle surfing. The 2nd of August sees an 18ft south swell with insane energy (15411) – that’s kite-surfing territory, not for a log. The 3rd has an 8ft swell that’s still too big for the break with a short period, and the wind is cross-shore. It’s all a bit of a mess after that, with a few smaller clean windows on the 4th and 5th of August, but nothing to rival that first week’s standout.

Bottom line: The true standout is the morning of Sunday, July 26th. Big, clean, and powerful. For a close second, hit the morning of Wednesday, July 29th. The 26th will be the one people remember. The second week is a write-off for quality, with extreme sizes and bad wind.

Stay safe, get that Sunday morning session, and don’t get caught out by the big stuff later.

Rusty.

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