
Surf Forecasts:
Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 7s period, SSW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, S swell with 10,494 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 12s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Wainui Bay Chalet this week:
The surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Wainui Bay Chalet in the next 16 days are 5.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a solid run of swell coming through for Wainui Bay Chalet, but the early part of the week is the real gem. The water’s sitting at 55.9°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want that extra layer.
The first call is Wednesday afternoon, July 29th. We’re looking at a clean 5.2ft swell from the ESE, with a 12-second period – that’s proper groundswell with plenty of push. The wind is a light cross-off from the NNE at 9 mph, and the combined energy is moderate at 756. This is the standout of the whole outlook. It’s going to be clean, with good shape, and the water’s a bit cold but the surf is very good. Crowds are possible, so get in early.
Moving into Thursday morning, July 30th, the swell drops slightly to 4.3ft from the ESE, 12 seconds, and the wind shifts to a light offshore from the NNW at 6 mph. The combined energy drops to 509, but it’ll still be clean and fun. Thursday afternoon sees the swell down to 3.6ft from the ESE, 11 seconds, with a moderate offshore wind from the NW at 12 mph. The energy is 362, and the conditions are still good, but it’s dropping.
Friday, July 31st, is smaller again. Morning brings 2.6ft from the ESE, 11 seconds, with a 12 mph NW offshore wind and energy of 187. The afternoon is similar, 2.3ft, 151 energy. It’s surfable, but ordinary.
Then we hit a rough patch. Saturday, August 1st, starts with a weak 1.3ft SE swell and a 16-second period, but the wind is a cross-shore 19 mph from the SW and the energy is low at 120. The afternoon gets a big jump in size – 8.2ft from the SSW, but it’s short period at 8 seconds and the wind is a fresh cross-shore 22 mph from the SSW. The energy jumps to 1615, but it’s too big for this break. Same story on Sunday, August 2nd: morning has 9.8ft from the S, 12 seconds, energy 3791, and the wind is a cross-shore 16 mph. It’s huge and messy. The afternoon drops to 6.2ft from the SSE, 11 seconds, but the wind is still cross-shore from the SW at 16 mph, energy 854, and it’s poor.
Monday, August 3rd, the morning is clean with a 3.6ft SE swell, 10 seconds, and a light cross-off from the WNW at 9 mph, energy 325. It’s marginal. The afternoon is a write-off, with a 8.2ft S swell, short period, and a cross-onshore wind.
Tuesday, August 4th, is for experts only. Morning has a massive 16.4ft swell from the S, 14 seconds – that’s a very long period groundswell – and the energy is a whopping 14947. The wind is light from the WNW, so it’s clean, but it’s simply too big. The afternoon is 14.8ft from the S, 14 seconds, energy 13696, with a cross-onshore wind. Unless you’re a pro, steer clear.
Wednesday, August 5th, is still big. Morning has 7.2ft from the SSE, 13 seconds, energy 1652, with a cross-shore wind from the SW. The afternoon is 6.6ft from the SSE, 13 seconds, energy 1216, with a light cross-onshore wind. The size is still too much for a comfortable session.
Now, the second week starts to look promising again. Thursday, August 6th, is a real highlight. The morning has 5.2ft from the SE, 12 seconds, with a light cross-off from the N at 6 mph, energy 813 – very good surf conditions. The afternoon is even better: 5.6ft from the SE, 14 seconds (very long period), energy 1185, and a light cross-off wind. This is excellent for experienced surfers. The long period means it’ll be powerful and clean, and the light wind is a major plus. The crowd might be there, but it’s worth it.
Friday, August 7th, the morning has 5.6ft from the SE, 14 seconds, energy 1211, but the wind is a light cross-shore from
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 7°C on Sat morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 6°C on Sat afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Sat night, calm by Tue morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | E 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 16 | SSW 8 | S 11 | S 12 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | S 9 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | SSE 14 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
749 | 614 | 422 | 314 | 251 | 164 | 126 | 95 | 62 | 1009 | 2496 | 2495 | 829 | 368 | 260 | 929 | 8316 | 9778 | 8727 | 2887 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 6:18PM1.74m | 6:27AM1.71m | 7:03PM1.80m | 7:13AM1.77m | 7:44PM1.87m | 7:57AM1.82m | 8:24PM1.93m | 8:38AM1.87m | 9:03PM1.97m | 9:19AM1.89m | 9:43PM1.98m | 10:00AM1.91m | 10:23PM1.98m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:30AM0.80m | 12:36PM0.70m | 1:18AM0.75m | 1:20PM0.65m | 2:00AM0.69m | 2:02PM0.60m | 2:41AM0.63m | 2:43PM0.56m | 3:20AM0.58m | 3:24PM0.54m | 4:00AM0.54m | 4:05PM0.52m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | |
5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 13 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 9 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 2 | -1 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | E 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SSE 9 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 14 | SSE 15 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 |
749 | 614 | 422 | 314 | 251 | 164 | 126 | 95 | 43 | 518 | 1649 | 1272 | 829 | 368 | 260 | 432 | 2643 | 5169 | 4969 | 2887 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 14 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | S 13 | SE 15 | ESE 14 | SE 16 | SE 16 | E 16 | ENE 16 | E 15 | SE 6 | S 22 | SSE 20 | NE 12 | — | — | NE 12 |
2 | 16 | 87 | 42 | 37 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 62 | 62 | 5 | 24 | 4 | 45 | 37 | 38 | 6 | — | — | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 18 | — | S 18 | — | SE 16 | S 14 | ESE 15 | SSE 7 | ESE 12 | ENE 16 | — | ENE 15 | — | E 13 | E 13 | — | — | — | — |
5 | 25 | — | 6 | — | 10 | 16 | 22 | 5 | 26 | 25 | — | 21 | — | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 3 | N 3 | NNE 5 | NNE 6 | NNE 4 | NW 2 | — | SW 5 | SSW 8 | S 11 | S 12 | — | — | SW 4 | S 9 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | — |
— | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 2 | 1 | — | 10 | 1009 | 2496 | 2495 | — | — | 24 | 929 | 8316 | 9778 | 8727 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 49 | 64 | 64 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 1 | 53 | 49 | 7 | 50 | 14 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Wainui Bay Chalet Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Wainui Bay Chalet provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Wainui Bay Chalet can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Wainui Bay Chalet) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










