
Surf Forecasts:
Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, SSW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 14s period, SE swell with 1,347 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 11s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Wainui Bay Chalet this week:
The surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Wainui Bay Chalet in the next 16 days are 1.9m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 1ft (0.3m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here.
Let’s talk about Wainui Bay Chalet (Wainui-Bay-Chalet). The water temp is 56°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – you’ll feel that chill on the skin.
We’ve got a run of cleaner, smaller waves starting Thursday morning, July 23. The swell is a tiny 2ft from the SSE with a 12-second period, so it’s a long-period groundswell that’ll wrap in nicely. The light offshore breezes from the NNW will keep the surface glassy. The combined wave energy is moderate (110), so there’s a little bit of push. It’s surfable, but honestly, it’s very ordinary – not much to write home about.
Friday the 24th is even smaller, with the swell dropping to 1.0ft in the morning and 1ft in the afternoon. The wind stays offshore from the NW, so it’s clean, but the energy is weak (36 and 42). Not worth paddling out for.
The first real standout hits on Saturday morning, July 25. The swell bumps up to 3ft from the east with a 12-second period, and the wind is offshore from the NW at 12 mph. The combined energy jumps to a solid moderate (209), and the conditions are clean. This is the best bet in the early window – a fun little session with good shape and no crowds to worry about, though be aware crowds can show up sometimes.
Sunday morning, July 26, brings a massive jump in size – 8ft from the SSW with a 9-second period. The wind is cross-offshore from the WSW, but the swell is too big for this break. The energy is strong (1415), but unless you’re an expert, stay out. It’s a kite surfer’s dream more than a paddle surfer’s.
Monday the 27th cools back down to 4ft from the ESE with a 13-second period – nice long period but the wind is cross-offshore and a bit lumpy. The energy is moderate (577), but the conditions are marginal. I’d give it a miss.
Tuesday the 28th sees 6ft from the SE, again a 13-second period, but the wind is cross-offshore and the energy is strong (1811). It’s still on the big side for this spot, and the quality is questionable.
Now, Wednesday morning, July 29, is another standout. The swell is 5ft from the ESE with a 13-second period, and the wind is light offshore from the WNW at 6 mph. The energy is moderate (893), and the conditions are very clean. This is a solid session for intermediates – the long period will give you nice, lined-up waves, but keep in mind the long period means it might break a bit straight at this beach break. Still, it’s the best of the week.
Thursday morning, July 30, is also good: 5ft from the ESE, 13-second period, light offshore wind from the NW, clean conditions, and moderate energy (646). Another fun one.
The rest of the week into early August gets messy. Friday the 31st has small 2ft to 3ft waves with glassy conditions in the afternoon, but the energy is weak (252 and 245). Not bad for a beginner session.
Then we hit a big gap. From Saturday, August 1, through to Sunday, August 2, the swell jumps to a dangerous 15ft from the south with a 11-second period on Sunday morning. The energy is massive (7120) – way too much for this break. Monday, August 3, is still 10ft from the south. These are expert-only or kite-surfing conditions with strong cross-onshore winds.
The rest of the second week has constant strong winds and big, messy swell. The energy stays high (over 1000), but the conditions are poor with strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy chop. There’s nothing worth paddling out for from August 4 through to August 7.
So, to wrap it up: the best windows are Saturday morning July 25, and Wednesday morning July 29. Thursday morning July 30 is also a solid option. The rest is either too small, too big, or too windy. Stay safe out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 6°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Thu morning, strong winds from the SW by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 11°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Mon morning, light winds from the W by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | E 8 | E 11 | E 12 | E 11 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | S 9 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | SE 14 | SE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
86 | 56 | 23 | 19 | 21 | 82 | 169 | 123 | 667 | 908 | 702 | 298 | 390 | 653 | 1347 | 1127 | 1045 | 987 | 824 | 659 | 485 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 12:59PM1.88m | 1:10AM1.87m | 1:42PM1.82m | 1:52AM1.78m | 2:25PM1.76m | 2:39AM1.70m | 3:12PM1.71m | 3:34AM1.65m | 4:09PM1.68m | 4:36AM1.63m | 5:20PM1.69m | 5:36AM1.66m | 6:18PM1.74m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:05PM0.70m | 7:32AM0.62m | 7:52PM0.75m | 8:14AM0.67m | 8:41PM0.79m | 9:00AM0.72m | 9:33PM0.82m | 9:52AM0.75m | 10:32PM0.84m | 10:51AM0.76m | 11:34PM0.83m | 11:47AM0.74m | 00:30AM0.80m | ||||||||
7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | |
— | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
Feels °C | 8 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | -1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | E 8 | E 11 | E 12 | E 11 | S 7 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | SE 14 | SE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 |
86 | 56 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 82 | 169 | 123 | 279 | 268 | 301 | 222 | 390 | 653 | 1347 | 1127 | 1045 | 987 | 824 | 659 | 485 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 18 | SE 17 | E 11 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | SE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 7 | S 14 | SSE 17 |
23 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 77 | 85 | 183 | 322 | 298 | 151 | 238 | 786 | 656 | 358 | 134 | 49 | 16 | 95 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | ENE 6 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 13 | S 18 | ESE 16 | E 10 | S 15 | ESE 13 | SSW 14 | — | S 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | S 14 | NE 4 |
1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 27 | 6 | 169 | 56 | 17 | 69 | 36 | — | 23 | 28 | 27 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 6 | — | — | — | NE 4 | — | WSW 3 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | — |
— | 18 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 667 | 908 | 702 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 64 | 14 | 137 | 2 | 38 | 64 | 49 | 38 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Wainui Bay Chalet Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Wainui Bay Chalet provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Wainui Bay Chalet can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Wainui Bay Chalet) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










