
Surf Forecasts:
Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 22s period, SSE swell with 2,104 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 14s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Wainui Bay Chalet this week:
The surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Wainui Bay Chalet in the next 16 days are 1.5m 22s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 22s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, Thursday the 16th is just a tease. We’ve got a little 2ft to 2.3ft groundswell sneaking in from the ESE with a long 15 to 18 second period, and the combined energy is a moderate 182 to 366. It’s surfable, but Thursday’s just not the day to get excited about.
The real action kicks off Friday morning the 17th. That’s the standout of the first week. We’re looking at a beautiful 4.6ft SSE groundswell pumping in with a 16 second period. The combined energy is thumping at 1065, which is strong, and the wind is a light offshore from the NW at 6 mph. It’ll be clean as a whistle. This one is for the intermediate crew; at 4.6ft it’s a proper size, but not out of control. The optimum direction is SSE, and that’s exactly what’s showing up, so Wainui Bay Chalet will be lined up and working beautifully. Just be aware crowds are possible here.
Saturday morning the 18th keeps the stoke alive with more clean 4.3ft ESE swell coming from a 14-second period, and the energy is still strong at 1048. The wind stays light offshore from the NW. It’s still a fine morning for it, though that 14-second period is a little shorter than Friday’s. Saturday afternoon the wind swings cross-shore and the quality drops, so get your session in early.
Sunday the 19th morning also looks promising with a 4.6ft swell, a 17-second period, and the energy is the highest of the run at 1567. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the W, keeping things clean. This is another morning to circle on the calendar, but that long period at a beach setup means the sets will be well-spaced, so be patient.
Monday the 20th morning still has some decent 3.9ft swell and clean conditions thanks to a light cross-offshore breeze, but the energy is easing. Tuesday the 21st has a bit of rain around but still offers a clean 4.3ft morning session.
After that, it’s a slow fade. From Wednesday the 23rd right through to the end of the month, the swell drops away to little 1ft to 2ft dribblers. The energy readings are all under 200, and we pick up some strong, choppy onshore winds after the 28th. There’s a long gap of poor conditions in the second week. A quick glance at the very end, Friday the 31st of July, shows a 3.9ft ESE groundswell coming back in with clean offshore winds, but that’s a long way off, so don’t bank on it just yet.
Bottom line: Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th mornings are your best bets. Clean, solid groundswell, light offshore winds. Get out there.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wed 22 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | ESE 15 | ESE 18 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | SSE 21 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 15 | SSE 18 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 17 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
86 | 172 | 273 | 779 | 1029 | 1154 | 936 | 722 | 595 | 1886 | 1241 | 950 | 534 | 604 | 612 | 1039 | 854 | 722 | 958 | 565 | 331 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-on | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | on |
High Tide | 7:00AM1.91m | 7:34PM2.06m | 7:58AM1.95m | 8:28PM2.11m | 8:53AM1.99m | 9:21PM2.12m | 9:45AM2.01m | 10:13PM2.11m | 10:36AM2.00m | 11:02PM2.08m | 11:25AM1.98m | 11:47PM2.03m | 12:13PM1.94m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 00:58AM0.57m | 1:10PM0.44m | 1:58AM0.54m | 2:07PM0.45m | 2:51AM0.53m | 3:01PM0.47m | 3:41AM0.52m | 3:54PM0.50m | 4:31AM0.53m | 4:45PM0.54m | 5:19AM0.54m | 5:32PM0.59m | 6:06AM0.56m | ||||||||
— | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | |
— | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 14 |
Feels °C | 11 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | ESE 15 | ESE 18 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | SSE 21 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 15 | SSE 18 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 17 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 |
86 | 172 | 273 | 779 | 1029 | 1154 | 936 | 722 | 595 | 1886 | 1241 | 950 | 534 | 604 | 612 | 1039 | 854 | 722 | 958 | 565 | 331 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 19 | S 15 | E 13 | S 16 | S 5 | S 8 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | SSE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SSE 6 | SE 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 10 |
7 | 4 | 87 | 20 | 13 | 35 | 387 | 297 | 156 | 440 | 326 | 261 | 230 | 164 | 158 | 115 | 95 | 22 | 32 | 7 | 21 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 18 | S 18 | SW 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 19 | S 15 | S 19 | SSE 24 | S 10 | — | — | — | S 19 | — | ENE 4 | — | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | E 4 |
5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 69 | 159 | 29 | 192 | 123 | — | — | — | 260 | — | 3 | — | 68 | 45 | 22 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 5 | ESE 5 | — | — |
— | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 57 | 32 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 31 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Wainui Bay Chalet Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Wainui Bay Chalet provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Wainui Bay Chalet can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Wainui Bay Chalet surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Wainui Bay Chalet) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Wainui Bay Chalet may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











