Wainui Bay Chalet Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what we’ve got for Wainui Bay Chalet over the next couple of weeks.

The water’s running a bit colder than usual for this time of year – about 56.7°F, which is a touch below the norm. Not a shocker for July, but you’ll feel it.

The early window on Saturday morning, July 4th, kicks things off with clean 4.3ft surf easing out of the east on a 12-second period, and a light offshore breeze from the northwest. The combined energy is moderate at 453, and the waves will be clean – a solid opener for the weekend. The crowds can be around sometimes, but it’s worth getting out early.

Sunday, July 5th, is a step down. Morning has 3.6ft surf but the wind shifts cross-off from the north, and that combined with light rain takes the shine off. The afternoon goes cross-shore and drops to 3.3ft. Not a day to get excited about.

Monday, July 6th, serves up a meatier swell – 6.9ft from the east-northeast in the morning, but the period is short at 8 seconds. The combined energy hits 830, which is moderate, but the problem is the size. At 6.9ft, this is getting into expert territory at this break, especially with that short, punchy period. The wind is cross-off from the north-northeast, so it’ll be clean, but it’s pushing the limits. The afternoon is similar at 6.2ft.

Now, Tuesday July 7th? That’s the standout of the first week. The morning is glassy – I mean dead calm, with 4.3ft easterly swell and combined energy of 406. The afternoon is even better: still glassy, 4.6ft from the east, energy at 442. Clean, lined-up, and perfect for an intermediate session. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

Wednesday July 8th keeps the run going. Morning surf is 5.2ft from the east, 10 seconds, with a light cross-off from the west. Combined energy jumps to 633, and the conditions are very clean. Best morning of the week after Tuesday.

Thursday July 9th sees the wind turn cross-shore from the south-southwest, and the swell drops back to 4.6ft in the morning. It’s rideable but not special.

Then it gets ugly. Friday July 10th through Sunday July 12th is a write-off: big southerly swell (6.6ft to 14.8ft), strong onshore winds, and messy conditions. The combined energy spikes to 6744 on the Saturday – that’s serious power, but it’s all blown out. By Sunday July 12th, you’re still looking at 11.5ft and cross-onshore winds. This stretch is more about watching the ocean roar than surfing it.

Monday July 13th has a clean 8.2ft swell in the morning from the south, with a light cross-off, but at that size, it’s expert-only and the combined energy of 1512 is strong. The afternoon drops to 7.2ft but the wind goes cross-shore.

A nice reset comes on Tuesday July 14th. Glassy conditions return, with 3.9ft from the southeast on an 8-second period and combined energy down to 332. It’s not big, but it’ll be clean and fun for a morning session.

Wednesday July 15th is another clean day: offshore from the north-northwest, 3.0ft from the east-southeast, energy at 237. Small but tidy.

Thursday July 16th brings the second standout window in the long-range. Morning sees 3.0ft from the south-southeast, but with a 15-second period – that’s a long-period groundswell. Combined energy is moderate at 511, and the wind is light and cross-off from the north. This setup will wrap nicely at the reef and the points, but at the beach it might run a bit straight. Keep it on your radar, but it’s a long way out.

After that, from Friday July 17th through the weekend, the swell fades to tiny – 1.3ft and below – with fresh breezes. The surf is effectively done by then.

The best bets are Tuesday July 7th for a glassy, clean day, and keep an eye on Thursday July 16th for that long-period swell if you can read a point break.

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