Venus Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you — the next 16 days at Venus Bay are a mixed bag with a couple of bright spots, but you’ll need to pick your moments. The long-range stuff is always a bit less certain, but here’s how it’s shaping up.

The first real chance to get wet won’t be until Monday the 20th. The swell is hanging around 3ft to 4ft from the SW, with a long period of 15 seconds — that’s proper groundswell energy, which is good for a reef like this, but it can make beach breaks close out. The combined energy is moderate (577-672), and while the conditions are “marginal,” the wind is light to moderate and mostly cross or cross-off, so it’s not all bad. Water temp is 60°, which is about average for this time of year, so no wetsuit surprises.

Tuesday the 21st drops off a bit — swell stays around 3ft-4ft, but the wind turns cross and cross-on, making it a bit choppy. The energy drops to 405-472. Not worth getting excited about. Wednesday the 22nd is a write-off: onshore winds up to 16 mph, swell down to 2ft-3ft, and the energy is weak (232-321). Thursday the 23rd sees a pulse of bigger swell — 5ft in the morning, 6ft by afternoon, with 15-16 second periods and strong energy (1185-2153). That’s a solid groundswell, but the wind is howling from the S at 16-19 mph, creating lumpy cross-chop. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than paddle surfing — too messy for most.

Now, here’s the standout. Friday morning, July 24th is the pick of the entire forecast. The swell is a clean 4ft from the SW, 15-second period, with moderate energy (1011). The wind is dead calm — glassy — and the water will be clean as a whistle. The reef will be handling that long-period swell well, and it’s a consistent spot, though crowds are sometimes an issue. This is the one to circle. The afternoon turns sloppy with a cross-on breeze, so make it a dawn mission.

Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are small and onshore, with swell dropping to 3ft-4ft and weak energy (321-575). Not worth the paddle. Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th are a write-off: strong winds, lumpy, and small.

Then we get to Thursday morning, July 30th. Another solid option. Swell is 5ft from the SW, 16-second period, with strong energy (1390). The wind is offshore from the E at 12 mph — clean and lined up. This is a great session for experienced surfers, but at 5ft it’s still manageable for confident beginners. The period is long, so the reef will be holding shape. Crowds are sometimes a factor. Friday morning, July 31st, is still decent with 3ft, 14-second swell, and gentle offshore wind from the E (512 energy). Clean and fun.

After that, the first week of August drops off hard. Swell sizes fall to 2ft-2ft with weak energy (118-355), and the wind is mostly cross-off. The period on the 4th of August jumps to 22 seconds — that’s an incredibly long groundswell, but at only 1ft, it’s barely a ripple. The combined energy is 355, which is weak. There’s a gap of several days with no real recommendations from the 1st of August onward.

Overall, the best windows are Friday morning July 24th and Thursday morning July 30th. The long-range promise for the 30th is solid but not locked in. Keep an eye on the wind — if it holds, it’s on.

Rusty.

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