
Surf Forecasts:
Toquay Reef surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 18 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 17s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SW swell with 2,715 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Fri 18th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, pull up a stool, grab a coffee. Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's shaping up for the local stretch.
We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but patience is going to pay off in a big way. The first real action worth paddling out for kicks off this Saturday morning, the 12th of September. Toquay Reef is the only game in town, and it’s looking like a reef break that needs a bit of respect.
The water temp is sitting at 56°F, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year—no major shock to the system.
Saturday morning brings a solid 6ft SSW groundswell with a very long 15-second period. That’s proper energy, with a combined swell energy reading of 1427. The wind is light and cross-off from the north at 6 mph, so it’ll be clean. This is excellent for experienced surfers, but that size and power at a reef means it’s not for the learner crew. Saturday afternoon eases a touch to 5ft, still clean, still good.
Sunday morning sees the swell dropping to 4ft, but the wind picks up to 12 mph from the north, keeping it cross-off and clean. The energy drops to 509, so it’s still fun but less punchy. Sunday afternoon gets a bit windier at 16 mph, and the quality takes a hit.
Monday and Tuesday are pretty ordinary—small, messy, or just too much wind. Tuesday morning actually sees a jump to 8ft, but it's blown out by a 16 mph WSW cross-off, making it marginal at best. Tuesday afternoon turns into a rain-soaked cross-shore mess.
The first true standout shows up on Friday the 18th of September. Friday morning starts with 4ft from the SW and a moderate offshore NW wind at 12 mph. Very clean. But the real gem is Friday afternoon: 4ft from the SSW, a 16-second period, and glassy offshore conditions from the WNW at 12 mph. The energy is a solid 1252, and the break is clean and lined up. For experienced surfers, this is the session to circle on the calendar.
The following week is a mixed bag. Monday the 21st offers a small window with 4ft SW groundswell and nearly glassy conditions, but the real fireworks are reserved for the end of the month.
Now, hold onto your board. Wednesday the 23rd brings back a 6ft SSW groundswell with a very long 16-second period and light cross-off winds. Excellent for the experienced.
But the absolute standout of this whole 16-day window is Sunday the 27th of September. This is the one to wait for. We’re talking a massive 12ft to 13ft SW groundswell, with a period around 13-14 seconds. The combined energy readings are monstrous: 6782 and 6402. The wind is offshore from the WNW at 12-16 mph, keeping the reef clean. This is exceptional, expert-level surf. If you’re not comfortable in heavy, powerful reef waves, stay on the sand and watch. The sets will be long and the energy relentless.
Between now and then, expect a few days of flat or poor-quality swell, but as I said, it doesn’t stay poor for long around here.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 11°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1288 | 955 | 684 | 509 | 471 | 309 | 147 | 87 | 54 | 2281 | 2125 | 2285 | 2272 | 2066 | 1739 | 996 | 653 | 712 | 456 | 717 | 631 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 12:19PM1.75m | 00:41AM1.78m | 1:01PM1.80m | 1:32AM1.89m | 1:38PM1.84m | 2:15AM1.97m | 2:13PM1.85m | 2:55AM1.99m | 2:45PM1.84m | 3:31AM1.96m | 3:16PM1.80m | 4:07AM1.90m | 3:46PM1.74m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:31PM0.49m | 6:52AM0.44m | 7:14PM0.33m | 7:38AM0.43m | 7:53PM0.21m | 8:19AM0.45m | 8:29PM0.14m | 8:56AM0.49m | 9:03PM0.13m | 9:30AM0.55m | 9:37PM0.16m | 10:03AM0.63m | 10:09PM0.23m | ||||||||
6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | |
— | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:14 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 20 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 14 |
Feels °C | 17 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | S 15 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 15 |
1288 | 955 | 684 | 509 | 471 | 309 | 147 | 87 | 54 | 1672 | 38 | — | 2272 | 2066 | 1739 | 996 | 653 | 712 | 456 | 717 | 631 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 17 | — | — | — | S 15 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | — | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | — | — | SW 21 | SW 18 | SW 16 | S 15 |
139 | 50 | — | — | — | 4 | 15 | 14 | 49 | — | — | — | 43 | 69 | 42 | — | — | 18 | 327 | 448 | 17 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | — | S 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 | SSW 16 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 47 | 87 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NE 3 | N 3 | NNE 2 | — | SW 4 | SW 8 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 |
— | — | — | 2 | 5 | 1 | — | 4 | 46 | 2281 | 2125 | 2285 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 515 | 625 | 296 | 359 | 72 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










