
Surf Forecasts:
Toquay Reef surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with 4,001 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 2.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at this next run. Gotta be honest with you, the forecast is a bit of a patchy mix. We’ve got some hefty pulse coming, but windows of clean conditions aren’t always aligning. Let’s get into it.
This whole run is focused on one spot – Toquay Reef. It’s a proper reef setup, so it’s for the crew who know what they’re doing. The water temp is sitting at 15° to 15°C right now, which is about 0.8° warmer than usual for this time of year, so pretty much average for the season.
We’ve got a big, long-period SW groundswell on the cards starting Saturday, July 4th. The morning brings a solid 3.5m (that’s about 12 ft) swell from the SW at 13 seconds with a cross-off wind, but the comment says it’s marginal. The afternoon gets more size at 2.4m (8 ft), but the wind swings cross and the energy is massive (3275). The early calls on Saturday are heavy but the tide and conditions might make it tricky. That’s definitely one for the experts only at that size.
Sunday, July 5th, is a write-off. We’ve got 2.5m (8 ft) and 2.4m (8 ft) from the SSW but it’s onshore wind all day, making it a washout.
Now, Monday morning, July 6th, things start cleaning up. The swell drops to a more manageable 1.3m (4 ft) from the SSW, and we get a nice cross-off breeze from the north. The energy is still moderate (793). It’s not huge, but it’s clean. That’s a promising window.
The genuine standout for this forecast has to be Tuesday morning, July 7th. We’ve got 1.1m (4 ft) of SW groundswell, but the period is a very long 17 seconds – that’s real groundswell energy. And the wind? Dead flat 0 km/h, glassy. This is about as clean as it gets. The combined energy is 1247 (moderate), which shows there’s enough push for that long-period swell to wrap in nicely over the reef. It’s a perfect morning.
Wednesday morning, July 8th, is another beauty. 1.2m (4 ft) from the SW at an amazing 18 seconds and glassy conditions. The energy’s at 1219 (moderate). That’s another top-tier morning, especially for a reef.
After that, things taper off into small, clean waves through the end of the week and into the next. By Monday, July 13th, we see a pulse back up to 2.1m (7 ft) from the SW with a fresh offshore breeze, but the rating suggests it’s marginal. The afternoon gets to 3.0m (10 ft) with the same offshore wind, which is huge push (3320). That’s powerful, heavy reef surf for the experienced only.
The second week is a mix of moderate SW swell and cross-shore winds, with a few more glassy moments around Friday and Saturday, July 17th and 18th, but the size is small (around 0.7m to 1.0m, that’s 2 ft to 3 ft). It’s clean, but not the highlight.
So to wrap it up: Tuesday morning, July 7th, and Wednesday morning, July 8th, are your best bets. Small, but long-period SW groundswell, glassy conditions, perfect reef setup. Otherwise, be picky about the winds.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
3662 | 1972 | 3024 | 4001 | 3051 | 1527 | 732 | 501 | 286 | 679 | 587 | 465 | 968 | 1336 | 823 | 530 | 418 | 661 | 365 | 285 | 198 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:56PM1.89m | 2:42AM1.50m | 3:25PM1.89m | 3:23AM1.53m | 3:53PM1.87m | 4:04AM1.57m | 4:19PM1.83m | 4:47AM1.61m | 4:47PM1.79m | 5:34AM1.65m | 5:18PM1.75m | 6:28AM1.69m | 5:54PM1.70m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:12PM0.68m | 8:47AM0.39m | 9:43PM0.61m | 9:23AM0.44m | 10:13PM0.54m | 9:59AM0.51m | 10:43PM0.46m | 10:38AM0.59m | 11:15PM0.38m | 11:21AM0.70m | 11:54PM0.30m | 12:10PM0.81m | 00:39AM0.22m | ||||||||
7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | |
— | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
1272 | 1303 | 3024 | 4001 | 3051 | 1527 | 732 | 501 | 286 | 679 | 587 | 465 | 968 | 1336 | 823 | 530 | 418 | 661 | 365 | 285 | 198 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 | ESE 6 | SE 5 | ESE 4 | SW 17 | S 16 | SE 16 | SW 14 | SSE 18 | SSE 16 | SE 11 | SW 19 | SE 4 | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | ESE 11 |
— | — | 605 | 422 | 125 | 73 | 27 | 13 | 2 | 568 | 21 | 10 | 251 | 61 | 84 | 5 | 93 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | — | SSW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 11 | — | E 9 | SE 12 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | — | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | 2 | 5 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | — | — | ESE 4 | ESE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 6 | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | E 4 | — | — | NNE 2 |
3662 | 1972 | — | — | 28 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 9 | 9 | 11 | — | — | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 515 | 423 | 72 | 183 | 18 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










