Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Toquay Reef. This is a classic reef break, exposed to the south-west swell, and it’s very consistent, so we’ve got a good run of waves headed our way over the next sixteen days. The water temperature is sitting at 58.1°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year.

Right off the bat, Friday morning the 3rd of July has a solid 7.5ft SW groundswell rolling in with a very long 16-second period. That’s proper energy, with a combined wave energy of 2645 – not weak by any means. The wind is a cross-off breeze at 19 mph, so the faces will be clean. It’s not the pick of the period though – conditions are described as marginal, and the crowd factor means you could bump into a few others. That kind of long-period swell on a reef like this will produce some serious lines. It might be a bit much for beginners at that size, but for an intermediate surfer, it’s worth a look.

Saturday the 4th of July sees the swell building even more, hitting 11.5ft in the morning from the SW with a 13-second period. The combined energy jumps right up to 4766 – that’s a powerful, chunky swell. This is getting into expert-only territory. The wind is a cross-off breeze again, so it’ll be clean, but the sheer size and the cross-shore chop in the afternoon will make it a handful. Not a day to be casual.

Now, Sunday the 5th of July? Forget it. The wind swings onshore from the SE at 12 mph, and the conditions are reported as “poor surf conditions”. Don’t bother. The swell is still 8.2ft with a very long 17-second period, but the wind will chop it up into a mess. Take the day off.

Monday the 6th of July is when things start to clean up again. The swell drops back to 4.3ft from the SSW with a 14-second period, and the combined energy is a much more manageable 793. A light 6 mph cross-off wind from the north will keep it clean and inviting. This is a nice, user-friendly size for intermediates. The morning looks like the go. Crowds are possible here, but with a decent forecast, expect some company.

Tuesday the 7th of July the swell drops further to 3.0ft, still SW, with that nice 16-second period. The morning brings a clean offshore wind from the WNW at 9 mph. It’s small, but it’ll be glassy and playful on the reef. A fun little session if you’ve got a log or a fish.

The middle of the week – Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th – is a bit of a lull. Swell hangs around 3.6ft to 5.2ft with a cross-on breeze. The energy is low (around 700-1700), and the conditions are only marginal. Not really worth a special trip.

Friday the 10th of July has a proper little window. Very light offshore wind from the NNW at just 3 mph in the morning, clean conditions, and a 3.6ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period. It’s small, but the quality will be there. A nice, relaxed surf.

The weekend of the 11th and 12th of July stays small, with swell around 2.3ft to 4.3ft. The wind is generally cross-off, so the waves will be clean, but you’ll be scratching for push. Combined energy is very low, under 250 most of the time.

Monday the 13th of July gets a bit more energy with 4.9ft to 5.2ft SSW swell, but the wind turns cross-on and cross-shore, making it choppy and messy. Score is a flat zero for the morning.

Now, here’s a standout for the patient surfer. Wednesday the 15th of July morning is a pass – onshore wind and poor conditions. But the real highlight pops up on Friday the 17th of July. The morning offers offshore wind from the NNW at just 3 mph, and the swell is 7.9ft from the SE with a short 8-second period. The combined energy is 1514 – moderate, not overwhelming. The conditions are described as “excellent for experienced surfers,” and it’s clean as a whistle. That afternoon, the wind goes glassy – dead calm – with 6.6ft SSE swell. That’s the moment. The reef will be working, and with a short-period SE swell, it should keep the shape a bit more punchy and steep on the take-off. This is the best on offer. Crowds are possible, but with a forecast like that, a few others will have the same idea.

Finally, Saturday the 18th of July brings a final clean run. 3.3ft SW groundswell with a very long 17-second period, and a moderate offshore breeze from the NNW in the morning. Combined energy hits 1009

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