Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at this next run. Gotta be honest with you, the forecast is a bit of a patchy mix. We’ve got some hefty pulse coming, but windows of clean conditions aren’t always aligning. Let’s get into it.

This whole run is focused on one spot – Toquay Reef. It’s a proper reef setup, so it’s for the crew who know what they’re doing. The water temp is sitting at 15° to 15°C right now, which is about 0.8° warmer than usual for this time of year, so pretty much average for the season.

We’ve got a big, long-period SW groundswell on the cards starting Saturday, July 4th. The morning brings a solid 3.5m (that’s about 12 ft) swell from the SW at 13 seconds with a cross-off wind, but the comment says it’s marginal. The afternoon gets more size at 2.4m (8 ft), but the wind swings cross and the energy is massive (3275). The early calls on Saturday are heavy but the tide and conditions might make it tricky. That’s definitely one for the experts only at that size.

Sunday, July 5th, is a write-off. We’ve got 2.5m (8 ft) and 2.4m (8 ft) from the SSW but it’s onshore wind all day, making it a washout.

Now, Monday morning, July 6th, things start cleaning up. The swell drops to a more manageable 1.3m (4 ft) from the SSW, and we get a nice cross-off breeze from the north. The energy is still moderate (793). It’s not huge, but it’s clean. That’s a promising window.

The genuine standout for this forecast has to be Tuesday morning, July 7th. We’ve got 1.1m (4 ft) of SW groundswell, but the period is a very long 17 seconds – that’s real groundswell energy. And the wind? Dead flat 0 km/h, glassy. This is about as clean as it gets. The combined energy is 1247 (moderate), which shows there’s enough push for that long-period swell to wrap in nicely over the reef. It’s a perfect morning.

Wednesday morning, July 8th, is another beauty. 1.2m (4 ft) from the SW at an amazing 18 seconds and glassy conditions. The energy’s at 1219 (moderate). That’s another top-tier morning, especially for a reef.

After that, things taper off into small, clean waves through the end of the week and into the next. By Monday, July 13th, we see a pulse back up to 2.1m (7 ft) from the SW with a fresh offshore breeze, but the rating suggests it’s marginal. The afternoon gets to 3.0m (10 ft) with the same offshore wind, which is huge push (3320). That’s powerful, heavy reef surf for the experienced only.

The second week is a mix of moderate SW swell and cross-shore winds, with a few more glassy moments around Friday and Saturday, July 17th and 18th, but the size is small (around 0.7m to 1.0m, that’s 2 ft to 3 ft). It’s clean, but not the highlight.

So to wrap it up: Tuesday morning, July 7th, and Wednesday morning, July 8th, are your best bets. Small, but long-period SW groundswell, glassy conditions, perfect reef setup. Otherwise, be picky about the winds.

Rusty.

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