Toquay Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.34° S 144.32° E

Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Toquay Reef sea temperature is
13.9° C
0.3° 

Toquay Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Toquay Reef surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 12,875 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Fri 10th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 15s
Best Surf 1AM (Tue 14th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 1AM (Tue 14th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.


Alright, let’s have a look at what’s coming up at Toquay Reef. This is a reef setup, so it handles swell well but you’ve gotta be careful – it’s rated intermediate for a reason.

The water’s running at 57°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing too wild.

The start of the period is pretty quiet. There’s a bit of swell coming through on Friday morning – 3 ft from the SW with a 15-second period, and a light cross-off breeze. The combined energy is moderate (421). It’s rideable, but nothing to call home about. The afternoon gets smaller and more mixed.

Saturday is a write-off. Strong winds from the NNE and N at 15 to 22 mph, messy, small waves – not worth paddling out.

Sunday sees a jump in size – 5 ft to 5 ft from the SW with a 12-second period, but the wind is cranking from the NW and W at 18 to 25 mph. The energy is moderate (593 to 805), but with that much wind, it’s going to be a battle. The Sunday morning has offshore wind, so it’ll be clean, but hard to paddle into.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Monday 13 July is the real standout. 8 ft to 8 ft from the SW with a very long 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell. The energy is strong (2481 to 2796), and the wind is offshore from the NW and WNW at 18 mph. This is clean, powerful, and firing. This is expert territory, though – over 8 ft on a reef with that much push is not for the faint-hearted.

Tuesday 14 July holds similar size – 8 ft in the morning, easing to 7 ft in the afternoon, still from the SW with that 16-second period. The energy is strong (3260 to 2383), and the wind is light cross-off to offshore. Excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The afternoon is glassy with a light SW wind – that’s the pick of the day.

Wednesday 15 July is still solid – 5 ft to 5 ft from the SW, 15-second period, offshore or cross-off winds. Energy is moderate to strong (1155 to 940). Clean, fun, and a bit more manageable.

Thursday 16 July looks beautiful – 4 ft from the SSW, 14-second period, and the afternoon is glassy with a SW wind at 3 mph. That’s a magic session right there.

Friday 17 July stays good – 5 ft in the morning from the SW with a 16-second period, light offshore, and the afternoon goes glassy again at 4 ft. That’s a solid couple of days.

After that, the size drops off through Saturday 18 July and beyond. The wind turns cross-off, and the energy fades to weak (around 209 to 136). From Sunday 19 July right through to Thursday 23 July, it’s mostly small, windy, and poor – a real lull. The wind is strong from the NNE and N, and the swell drops to under 3 ft.

There’s a glimmer toward the end – Friday 24 July sees a return of 4 ft from the SW with a 15-second period, moderate offshore wind, and moderate energy (533). Clean, but small. That holds through Saturday 25 July with 3 ft from the SW, still with offshore winds.

Top pick: Monday 13 July through Tuesday 14 July – big, clean, powerful groundswell. That’s the one for experienced surfers. Thursday 16 July afternoon is the glassy gem for the lighter crew.

Stay safe out there.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the NW by Sat night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Mon morning, light winds from the W by Tue afternoon).

Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
3
3
!
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
SW
15
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
1.4
SW
12
1.6
SW
12
1.8
SW
14
2.3
SW
16
2.4
SW
16
5
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.2
SW
16
1.9
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.3
SSW
14
1.3
SSW
14
1.4
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
421
313
206
134
125
128
593
786
1233
2481
2796
12875
3260
2383
1547
1155
940
763
682
691
893
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
5
NE
10
N
25
NNE
35
N
40
NW
40
NW
30
W
30
WNW
30
NW
30
WNW
20
WNW
15
WNW
15
W
15
WNW
15
WNW
15
W
10
WNW
10
WNW
5
SW
10
NW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
off
High Tide
5:54PM1.70m
7:30AM1.71m
6:39PM1.65m
8:40AM1.74m
7:35PM1.61m
9:55AM1.78m
8:45PM1.58m
11:07AM1.84m
10:05PM1.58m
12:09PM1.92m
11:25PM1.62m
1:04PM1.99m
00:38AM1.70m
Low Tide
12:10PM0.81m
00:39AM0.22m
1:09PM0.92m
1:34AM0.17m
2:18PM1.01m
2:38AM0.14m
3:38PM1.04m
3:48AM0.11m
4:58PM0.99m
4:59AM0.08m
6:08PM0.88m
6:06AM0.06m
7:07PM0.73m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
mod rain
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:19
5:20
5:21
 mm
6
6
2
1
1
1
Temp °C
12
13
10
14
13
10
11
12
12
14
14
12
12
12
11
13
14
14
14
14
13
Feels °C
9
11
7
7
6
3
3
5
5
7
8
7
8
9
8
10
11
12
12
13
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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