
Surf Forecasts:
Toquay Reef surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 14s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 7,029 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got a good look at the charts for the next couple of weeks. It’s mostly about one spot, and it’s a classic setup.
The only real player on the menu is Toquay Reef. It’s a reef break, so it holds swell well, and it’s exposed to the south-west swell that’s coming down the line. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
We start with a bit of a waiting game. The first few days (Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th) are building. Tuesday morning is small and clean – 3 ft of SSW swell at 16 seconds, with a fresh offshore NNW wind. But the energy is moderate (560). It’s not really on. Tuesday afternoon gets a bit more push to 5 ft, and the wind is still offshore, but it’s still not the main event.
The real standout is Wednesday the 29th afternoon. The swell jumps to a solid 13 ft from the SW, with a period of 15 seconds, and the combined energy is massive (9833). That’s a serious amount of power. The wind is a clean cross-off from the WSW. This is a big, powerful groundswell. For a reef break like Toquay, this is where it gets really good. But fair warning – at this size, it’s expert territory. Beginners should sit this one out. The morning of the 29th is also decent at 10 ft, but the afternoon is the pick.
Thursday the 30th drops off a bit, back to 6 ft, still clean, but the energy drops. It’s still surfable, but nothing special.
Then we get a bit of a lull. Friday the 31st is small and gets onshore in the afternoon. Saturday the 1st of August shows some promise again with a 5 ft swell from the SW at 18 seconds and a gentle offshore NW wind. The energy is strong (2522). That’s a nice, long-period groundswell, but on a reef, it’ll line up beautifully. Crowds are possible here, so keep an eye out.
The run from Sunday the 2nd through to Tuesday the 5th is a mix of clean, shoulder-high waves and some cross-onshore days. Nothing huge, but consistent. The 5th of August morning has a nice 3 ft, 14-second SW swell with cross-off wind – clean and fun.
After that, the second week gets a bit quieter and more tentative. We see a few days of clean, small swell (2 ft to 4 ft) and a couple of days that look like a write-off with poor conditions and onshore winds around the 11th and 12th. The 12th of August afternoon does see a spike in swell to 5 ft at 19 seconds, but it’s choppy with a cross-onshore wind. The potential is there, but the conditions aren’t making it easy.
Overall, the window is open. If you’re an experienced surfer, Wednesday the 29th afternoon is the one to circle. It’s a heavy, powerful, clean SW groundswell on a reef, and it’s the best of the whole run. The Saturday the 1st is another good option for a strong, clean swell.
Stay safe out there.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Tue night, light winds from the W by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
284 | 795 | 1363 | 4888 | 6382 | 4668 | 936 | 640 | 410 | 336 | 247 | 255 | 305 | 1398 | 1677 | 1039 | 813 | 659 | 1034 | 1138 | 534 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:09AM1.55m | 9:38PM1.32m | 12:07PM1.63m | 11:00PM1.33m | 12:51PM1.71m | 00:08AM1.38m | 1:28PM1.78m | 1:02AM1.46m | 2:00PM1.83m | 1:49AM1.54m | 2:29PM1.87m | 2:31AM1.62m | 2:56PM1.88m | 3:11AM1.69m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:06PM1.10m | 4:41AM0.50m | 6:14PM1.02m | 5:41AM0.46m | 7:02PM0.92m | 6:32AM0.42m | 7:40PM0.80m | 7:16AM0.40m | 8:13PM0.68m | 7:56AM0.39m | 8:43PM0.56m | 8:34AM0.41m | 9:12PM0.45m | ||||||||
7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | |
— | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | |
mm | — | 3 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 12 |
231 | 795 | 1363 | — | 3451 | 1823 | 936 | 640 | 410 | 336 | 247 | 255 | 212 | 1398 | 1677 | 1039 | 813 | 606 | 1034 | 1138 | 534 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | S 16 | — | — | — | — | S 10 | — | S 23 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 18 | S 17 | S 17 | S 16 | WSW 18 | — | — | SW 13 |
284 | 42 | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | 11 | 18 | 98 | 92 | 305 | 1124 | 53 | 49 | 20 | 659 | — | — | 45 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | — | — | SW 18 |
45 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | — | — | 79 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | — | — |
19 | 25 | 21 | 4888 | 6382 | 4668 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 6 | 2 | 2 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 237 | 551 | 551 | 536 | 703 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 72 | 16 | 29 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










