
Surf Forecasts:
Toquay Reef surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,383 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 19) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for the next couple of weeks. We’ve only got one spot on the menu, but it’s got some serious potential if you time it right. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so don’t expect any surprises when you jump in.
Saturday 12th September is where it’s at. We’re looking at a solid 6ft SSW groundswell with a long 15-second period, and the energy is pumping at (1427). That’s moderate wave energy, but with a long period like that, the waves will have plenty of punch. The wind is a light northerly, blowing cross-off, keeping the faces clean. This is the standout session. It’s a bit much for beginners – over 5ft – but for the experienced crew, Toquay Reef is looking prime. Crowds might be around, but a reef break with this kind of swell and light offshore wind is worth fighting for. The swell drops a bit for the afternoon, down to 5ft with a SW direction, but still clean and solid.
Sunday 13th sees the energy drop off. Morning is 4ft and clean but the wind picks up, making it feel weaker. Monday 14th is small and not worth paddling out for.
Tuesday 15th gets interesting again, but maybe not for the right reasons. There’s a big 8ft SW swell hitting, with strong energy (3415), but the wind is a fresh 19 mph WSW blowing cross-off. It’s big, clean, but that size is only for experts – over 8ft is gnarly territory. By the afternoon, the wind swings SW and turns onshore, making it a choppy mess that’s only really appealing for kite surfers.
Wednesday 16th and Thursday 17th are write-offs with onshore winds and messy conditions. The swell is there, but the quality is cooked.
Friday 18th is a redemption day. Blowing a moderate 12 mph offshore from the NW, with 4ft of SW groundswell and a 16-second period. The energy is solid for the size (1215). This will be clean and lined up. Not the biggest, but the quality will be there.
Saturday 19th through Sunday 20th fade out with small, unappealing waves.
Now here’s the real deal for the long range. Monday 21st September is the biggest call of the forecast. A monster 7ft SSW groundswell with an 18-second period is forecast, and the energy is cranking at (4312). Combine that with a light 6 mph northerly wind blowing cross-off, and you’ve got a recipe for perfection on the reef. This is a serious, powerful groundswell – the kind that will barrel at a reef like Toquay. At over 7ft, it’s experts only, but for them, this is a potential day of the year. This is a promise, but it’s a week and a half out, so keep an eye on it.
Tuesday 22nd holds onto that energy with a 7ft SW swell, still clean with gentle offshore winds. Another cracker for the experienced crew.
The rest of the window into late September fades back to smaller, less consistent surf with mixed wind.
All in all, the standouts are Saturday 12th for a solid, clean weekend session, and Monday 21st September for a bold, powerful long-range call. Don’t sleep on Friday 18th either for a clean, fun session.
Stay wet,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1288 | 955 | 684 | 509 | 471 | 309 | 147 | 85 | 49 | 2126 | 2085 | 2606 | 1714 | 2212 | 1825 | 1099 | 653 | 561 | 413 | 695 | 783 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 12:19PM1.75m | 00:41AM1.78m | 1:01PM1.80m | 1:32AM1.89m | 1:38PM1.84m | 2:15AM1.97m | 2:13PM1.85m | 2:55AM1.99m | 2:45PM1.84m | 3:31AM1.96m | 3:16PM1.80m | 4:07AM1.90m | 3:46PM1.74m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:31PM0.49m | 6:52AM0.44m | 7:14PM0.33m | 7:38AM0.43m | 7:53PM0.21m | 8:19AM0.45m | 8:29PM0.14m | 8:56AM0.49m | 9:03PM0.13m | 9:30AM0.55m | 9:37PM0.16m | 10:03AM0.63m | 10:09PM0.23m | ||||||||
6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | |
— | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:14 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 21 | 17 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 14 |
Feels °C | 17 | 19 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 8 | SW 15 | — | S 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
1288 | 955 | 684 | 509 | 471 | 309 | 147 | 85 | 20 | 1325 | — | 17 | 1714 | 2212 | 1825 | 1099 | 653 | 561 | 413 | 695 | 783 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 17 | — | — | — | S 15 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 12 | — | — | — | S 15 | — | S 15 | — | SE 5 | SW 22 | SSW 19 | SW 17 | S 15 |
139 | 50 | — | — | — | 4 | 15 | 14 | 24 | — | — | — | 40 | — | 42 | — | 4 | 18 | 231 | 493 | 42 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | — | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 20 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NE 3 | N 3 | NE 3 | NNW 3 | SW 4 | W 3 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | S 6 | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NW 2 |
— | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2126 | 2085 | 2606 | 135 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 515 | 733 | 296 | 296 | 198 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










