
Surf Forecasts:
Toquay Reef surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period, SW swell with 1,885 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 2.1m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's look at what's coming up for Toquay Reef.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid pulse of long-period SW groundswell pushing in. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The standout is Tuesday the 14th afternoon. We’re looking at a solid 12 ft SW swell packing a very long 15-second period. The combined energy is massive (8162), meaning there’s a heap of power in the water. It’s a cross-off wind from the WSW, keeping things clean, but at 12 ft, this is a big one. This is expert territory only—not one for the groms or weekend warriors. The reef should handle that size well, but you’ll want your wits about you. Crowds are possible, but a lot of folks will be sitting this one out on the beach.
The following morning, Wednesday the 15th, drops back to a more manageable 6 ft, still with that long 15-second period. The wind is a gentle WNW breeze, cross-off, so it’s clean. The energy is still moderate (1237). This is a good window for experienced intermediates to get a piece of it.
Thursday the 16th morning holds similar size at 6 ft, with a light WSW breeze keeping it tidy. The swell direction is SW, which is the optimum for this spot. Thursday afternoon, the wind swings onshore from the S, so it’ll get a bit messy.
Friday the 17th looks like another good one. Morning brings a clean 5 ft SW swell with a 16-second period and a light offshore from the NW—perfect. The afternoon stays clean with a glassy cross-off.
After Friday, the size drops away significantly. From Saturday the 18th through to the 22nd, we’re looking at waist-high or smaller leftovers. The energy drops into the double and low triple digits (250 down to 97), so it’s pretty weak. Some of those days have glassy or offshore winds, which is nice, but there just isn’t enough wave to get excited about.
The next notable pulse arrives around Thursday the 23rd, with a 6 ft SW swell and a 15-second period. The energy jumps back up (1438), but the wind is a cross-onshore from the S, so the quality will be compromised. That trend of onshore wind and middling conditions continues through the 25th.
Then, on Sunday the 26th, we get a reprieve. The swell drops to a clean 5 ft from the SSW, with a 14-second period. The wind is glassy in the morning, turning to a glassy light E in the afternoon. This is a very good window for a solid session, with moderate energy (908) and perfect conditions. This is a real highlight in the second week.
After that, it’s back to small stuff to finish out the period, with a brief uptick in wind on the 28th and 29th, but the waves are too small to make anything of it.
So, if you’re an expert, your window is Tuesday the 14th afternoon—that’s the big one. For everyone else, aim for Friday the 17th or Sunday the 26th for the best combination of size and clean conditions.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed night, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tue 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
5366 | 1885 | 1237 | 1016 | 1174 | 1415 | 1472 | 1059 | 1255 | 1302 | 704 | 387 | 250 | 83 | 109 | 97 | 109 | 161 | 137 | 132 | 187 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:05PM1.58m | 12:09PM1.92m | 11:25PM1.62m | 1:04PM1.99m | 00:38AM1.70m | 1:51PM2.03m | 1:42AM1.76m | 2:34PM2.05m | 2:41AM1.81m | 3:14PM2.04m | 3:35AM1.82m | 3:51PM1.99m | 4:25AM1.80m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:58PM0.99m | 4:59AM0.08m | 6:08PM0.88m | 6:06AM0.06m | 7:07PM0.73m | 7:06AM0.08m | 7:59PM0.56m | 8:01AM0.13m | 8:47PM0.42m | 8:50AM0.22m | 9:31PM0.30m | 9:36AM0.34m | 10:13PM0.24m | 10:20AM0.48m | |||||||
— | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | |
5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | 5:23 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
2796 | 1885 | 1237 | 1016 | 1174 | 1415 | 1472 | 1059 | 1255 | 1302 | 704 | 387 | 250 | 83 | 109 | 97 | 46 | 161 | 137 | 132 | 187 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | S 15 | — | — | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SSW 10 | S 10 | — | NE 4 |
— | — | — | — | — | 137 | 47 | 17 | 94 | 94 | 18 | — | — | 78 | 41 | 26 | 109 | 20 | 8 | — | 1 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | WSW 12 | S 16 | — | E 11 | E 10 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 15 | 37 | 15 | 5 | — | 2 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 2 | NNE 2 | NNW 3 | N 2 | N 2 | — | — |
5366 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 530 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











