Toquay Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.34° S 144.32° E

Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Toquay Reef sea temperature is
14.2° C
0.7° 

Toquay Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Toquay Reef surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 12,407 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Thu 9th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 16s
Best Surf10PM (Mon 13th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 15s
Most Powerful 1AM (Tue 14th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.


Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Toquay Reef.

Well, the outlook for Toquay Reef is a bit of a mixed bag. The first few days don't look like much is happening, but there’s a real pulse of solid swell coming in. The water temperature is sitting at 58°F, which is pretty much what you'd expect for the time of year.

The first real starting point is Wednesday afternoon, July 8th. We’ve got a 5ft SW swell rolling in with a long 18-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy, and with an ESE light breeze, it’s clean. The combined wave energy is pumping hard at 1447 (moderate-to-strong). The catch? The conditions are marginal, and there’s likely a tricky tide. It’s not the pick of the window, but it’s the first surfable pulse.

Thursday morning, July 9th, drops to 3ft from the SW with a 16-second period. The wind is a light N at 5 km/h, which is a cross-offshore breeze—nice and clean. Energy is moderate at 497. Clean waves, but that’s a small swell.

Friday morning, July 10th, is a similar story: 3ft SW at 15 seconds, clean with a light NNW offshore. The energy is moderate at 421.

The real standout comes in during the second week. Tuesday, July 14th, is the highlight of the entire outlook. The morning session is firing with a 8ft SW swell, a long 16-second period, and a clean, moderate NW offshore breeze at 12 mph. The combined energy is a massive 3638 (strong). This is proper, powerful groundswell. It’s written up as excellent for experienced surfers. This is well over 8ft, so it’s strictly for the experts—big, powerful sets. The consistency here is *very consistent*, so you’ll be busy. Crowds are listed as *sometimes*, so you might have company, but it won’t be a zoo. For a reef setup with that offshore wind and that long period, the shape will be world-class.

Sunday morning, July 19th, is a nice little bonus. We see a 4ft SW swell with a very long 19-second period. The wind is light NNE at 3 mph, giving a cross-offshore flow, and energy is moderate at 805. It’s clean and should offer some nice, lined-up sets on the reef—though that very long period might make it run a bit straight, so pick your peak carefully.

Wednesday, July 22nd, has a solid afternoon session: 4ft SW swell at 14 seconds, clean with a moderate NW offshore breeze. Energy is 676. This is a fun, clean option if you missed the big one.

For the rest of the period, there’s a lot of wind-affected or small days.

So, to cut it short: Tuesday, July 14th morning is the standout. Big, clean, powerful waves for those who know what they’re doing. It’s the one to circle on the calendar.

Stay safe, and I’ll see you out there.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the N by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Sat afternoon). Mainly fresh winds.

Wed
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
1
3
2
2
2
0
0
0
2
2
3
4
2
!
5
4
4
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
SW
18
1.3
SW
16
1
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
1.1
SW
16
1
SW
15
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
1.1
SW
12
1.7
SW
13
1.6
SW
12
1.9
SW
13
2.1
SW
16
2.2
SW
15
5
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.3
SW
16
2
SSW
15
1.5
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1351
823
471
355
661
421
313
206
134
128
324
903
741
1261
2158
2293
12407
3559
2562
1857
953
Wind (km/h)
10
ESE
5
NNE
5
N
10
ENE
5
NNW
10
NNW
5
N
15
N
30
N
35
NW
35
W
25
NW
30
WNW
25
NW
30
NW
30
W
20
WNW
20
NW
25
NW
20
NW
40
SSE
Wind State
on
glassy
cross-off
cross
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-on
High Tide
4:47PM1.79m
5:34AM1.65m
5:18PM1.75m
6:28AM1.69m
5:54PM1.70m
7:30AM1.71m
6:39PM1.65m
8:40AM1.74m
7:35PM1.61m
9:55AM1.78m
8:45PM1.58m
11:07AM1.84m
10:05PM1.58m
12:09PM1.92m
Low Tide
11:15PM0.38m
11:21AM0.70m
11:54PM0.30m
12:10PM0.81m
00:39AM0.22m
1:09PM0.92m
1:34AM0.17m
2:18PM1.01m
2:38AM0.14m
3:38PM1.04m
3:48AM0.11m
4:58PM0.99m
4:59AM0.08m
clear
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clear
part cloud
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rain showers
part cloud
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part cloud
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light rain
light rain
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:39
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:19
5:20
 mm
5
2
4
4
2
Temp °C
9
10
11
12
11
13
15
11
15
11
10
12
13
12
14
13
11
12
11
11
11
Feels °C
7
9
9
9
9
10
13
8
8
4
2
5
6
6
7
7
6
8
6
4
3
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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