Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the coming weeks.

The first few days are a bit of a slow burn, with some small, clean waves on offer. The real action, and the standout of the whole period, looks to be kicking off on Thursday the 23rd and running through the following weekend.

We’ll start with the best of the early stuff. Sunday the 19th morning at Toquay Reef sees some tiny 2ft SSW swell, but the wind is a light cross-off from the NNW, keeping things clean. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for the time of year. The energy is weak (170). It’s surfable, but barely. The afternoon glass-off is a nice touch, but those 2ft waves are still pretty ordinary.

Monday the 20th morning is a step up in potential. The swell is still small at 2ft, but it’s from the SW with a long 16-second period, and the wind is a clean light cross-off. The energy is still moderate (230), but the conditions are shaping up nicely. The afternoon stays clean with a light offshore breeze.

Tuesday the 21st is similar. Clean offshore winds, a 3ft SW swell, and a nice 14-second period. The energy is moderate (271). It’s not big, but it’s clean and workable. The afternoon holds similar promise.

Wednesday the 22nd looks a bit more wind-affected in the morning with a 25 km/h NW wind, but the offshore component keeps it clean. The swell drops to 2ft from the SW, so it’s a small one. The afternoon brings a bit more size (3ft) but the wind shifts to a cross-off.

Now, here’s the big one. Thursday the 23rd morning is the standout. That’s when a solid 13ft SW groundswell hits, with a deep 14-second period. The wave energy is massive (7532). The wind is a clean cross-off from the W, so it’s going to be a powerful, heavy day out there. This is for experts only. It’s going to be a wild, big-wave session. The afternoon drops to 6ft, still strong (1533), but with a fresh 30 km/h cross-off wind.

Friday the 24th stays solid with 7ft to 8ft SSW swell, still from the optimum direction, with a long 15-second period. The energy is very strong (2625). The wind is a clean cross-off all day, but it’s strong, so you’ll want your wetsuit and a good paddle.

Saturday the 25th delivers another powerful pulse of 12ft SW swell, with a 13-second period. The energy is massive (5531). The wind is a gentle 15 km/h cross-off from the WSW, which is a great combo. This is another day for the experienced crew, and the power is going to be ridiculous.

Sunday the 26th sees the swell drop back to a more manageable 5ft from the SSW, with a 12-second period. The energy is moderate (626) and the wind is a light cross-off and offshore. This is the best window for the average surfer to get a piece of the action.

After that, things drop off fast. Monday the 27th is back to tiny 2ft slop. Tuesday the 28th has a strong 40 km/h offshore wind making paddling a real chore, even with 5ft of swell. The rest of the week into the start of August looks messy, with strong onshore winds and lumpy conditions. The period from the 28th onwards is a write-off for any quality surfing.

So, to sum it up: Thursday the 23rd and Saturday the 25th are the clear standout days for the big-wave crew. For the rest of us, Sunday the 26th is the best bet for a solid, clean, and manageable session.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

Read more