Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got a good look at the charts for the next couple of weeks. It’s mostly about one spot, and it’s a classic setup.

The only real player on the menu is Toquay Reef. It’s a reef break, so it holds swell well, and it’s exposed to the south-west swell that’s coming down the line. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We start with a bit of a waiting game. The first few days (Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th) are building. Tuesday morning is small and clean – 3 ft of SSW swell at 16 seconds, with a fresh offshore NNW wind. But the energy is moderate (560). It’s not really on. Tuesday afternoon gets a bit more push to 5 ft, and the wind is still offshore, but it’s still not the main event.

The real standout is Wednesday the 29th afternoon. The swell jumps to a solid 13 ft from the SW, with a period of 15 seconds, and the combined energy is massive (9833). That’s a serious amount of power. The wind is a clean cross-off from the WSW. This is a big, powerful groundswell. For a reef break like Toquay, this is where it gets really good. But fair warning – at this size, it’s expert territory. Beginners should sit this one out. The morning of the 29th is also decent at 10 ft, but the afternoon is the pick.

Thursday the 30th drops off a bit, back to 6 ft, still clean, but the energy drops. It’s still surfable, but nothing special.

Then we get a bit of a lull. Friday the 31st is small and gets onshore in the afternoon. Saturday the 1st of August shows some promise again with a 5 ft swell from the SW at 18 seconds and a gentle offshore NW wind. The energy is strong (2522). That’s a nice, long-period groundswell, but on a reef, it’ll line up beautifully. Crowds are possible here, so keep an eye out.

The run from Sunday the 2nd through to Tuesday the 5th is a mix of clean, shoulder-high waves and some cross-onshore days. Nothing huge, but consistent. The 5th of August morning has a nice 3 ft, 14-second SW swell with cross-off wind – clean and fun.

After that, the second week gets a bit quieter and more tentative. We see a few days of clean, small swell (2 ft to 4 ft) and a couple of days that look like a write-off with poor conditions and onshore winds around the 11th and 12th. The 12th of August afternoon does see a spike in swell to 5 ft at 19 seconds, but it’s choppy with a cross-onshore wind. The potential is there, but the conditions aren’t making it easy.

Overall, the window is open. If you’re an experienced surfer, Wednesday the 29th afternoon is the one to circle. It’s a heavy, powerful, clean SW groundswell on a reef, and it’s the best of the whole run. The Saturday the 1st is another good option for a strong, clean swell.

Stay safe out there.

- Rusty

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