Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way. We’ve got a solid run of swell on the horizon, but you’ll have to be patient for the cleanest, most lined-up waves. The wind is going to be the main player this week, with a lot of cross-off and onshore action, but the second week holds some real promise for those who can wait.

The whole period kicks off with a big pulse of energy. On Friday the 24th of July, the swell is already pumping at 7.9ft from the SSW with a very long 15-second period. The combined energy is massive at 2479, so there’s plenty of push. The wind is a cross-off at 15.5 mph, which keeps things clean enough, but the report says it’s marginal. Into Saturday the 25th, the swell builds even bigger. Saturday morning we see 11.5ft from the SW, period at 13 seconds, and energy is a whopping 4797. That’s serious power. The afternoon drops to 9.8ft, still from the SW, with 12-second periods. Both sessions have cross-off winds, so the waves will be clean, but at 11.5ft this is expert territory only. Beginners, stay on the sand. Sunday the 26th sees a drop in size, down to 4.3ft in the morning from the SSW, and 3.6ft in the afternoon from the SW. The wind shifts to offshore on Sunday afternoon, only 6.2 mph from the WNW, which is a major positive. That afternoon session will be glassy and clean. The energy is low (274 in the afternoon), so it’s a good day for a longer board and a relaxed session.

Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th are small and weak, with swell dropping under 3.3ft. The energy is down in the 200-500 range. Not worth paddling out for. Wednesday the 29th brings a new, bigger SSW swell, hitting 8.2ft in the morning with a 16-second period, but the wind is a cross-on from the SSW at 12.4 mph. That’s going to be choppy and messy. The energy is high at 3363, but the quality is poor. Not a good day for Toquay Reef.

The standout period starts on Thursday the 30th of July. The swell has dropped to a very manageable 4.6ft from the SSW, with a 13-second period. The wind is a light cross-off from the W at only 6.2 mph, and the report says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the one to aim for this first week. Clean, punchy waves on the reef. Friday the 31st keeps the same vibe, with offshore winds in the morning at 12.4 mph from the WNW and 3.6ft swell. Again, very good conditions.

Now, hold on to your boards for the first weekend of August. Saturday the 1st of August is the absolute pick of the entire forecast. Morning session has 4.3ft from the SSW with a very long 16-second period, offshore wind from the WNW at 9.3 mph, and the report calls it “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” The energy is 1307 – strong, but not overwhelming. The reef will be handling that long-period groundswell beautifully. Expect clean, well-shaped lines. Sunday the 2nd of August is nearly as good. Morning offshore wind again, 5.2ft from the SW, and a 16-second period. Energy is 1505, so a bit more power, but still excellent. The afternoon on Sunday goes even glassier with a 6.2 mph cross-off and a 17-second period. This is a premium weekend.

The week of the 3rd of August continues with very good conditions. Monday the 3rd has light winds and 4.6ft to 3.9ft SW swell, very clean. The energy is moderate. It’s a solid session. The surf then fades from Tuesday the 4th onwards, with small, weak swell and poor conditions. A gap opens up.

But hold on. Look at Thursday the 6th of August. This is another true standout. The morning shows a 3.0ft swell from the SW, but the period is an insane 23 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell. The energy is 1451, which is high for such a small height. The wind is offshore from the NNW at 12.4 mph. The report says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is a rare, special day. The reef will turn that tiny, ultra-long period energy into lined-up, glassy waves. Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th of August still have size (5.6ft to 6.2ft) and long periods, but the winds are stronger and cross-off, so it’s not as clean as the Thursday.

To wrap it up: the best on offer is absolutely Saturday the 1st of August and Thursday the 6th of August. The 1st gives you the best combination of size, period, and offshore wind. The 6th is a weird, wonderful outlier with that 23-second period that will turn the reef into a longboarder’s paradise if you can read the sets. Crowds are possible at Toquay

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