Toquay Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.34° S 144.32° E

Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 01 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Toquay Reef sea temperature is
13.6°C
0.7° 

Toquay Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Toquay Reef surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with 9,985 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 1 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 5.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Tue 1st Sep)3.5ft (1.0m) 15s
Best Surf 1PM (Thu 3rd Sep)15ft (4.5m) 14s
Most Powerful10PM (Sat 5th Sep)16ft (5.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, grab your board and listen up. I’m Rusty, and I’ve been staring at the charts for this area. We’ve got one main spot that’s going to be the focus for the next couple of weeks: Toquay Reef. It’s a reef break, so it’s going to hold the swell better than a beach break, but it’s not for grommets. It’s an intermediate-level wave, and it fires best when the swell is coming from the southwest.

Right now, the water’s sitting at 57°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year. Not too cold, not too warm. Let’s get into it.

The first real action kicks off on Tuesday, the 1st of September. Early morning, it’s a bit small with a 4ft southwest swell, but the wind is cross-off from the NNW. The energy is moderate. It’s a bit marginal, but the afternoon cleans up nicely with a 3ft swell and a solid offshore wind. That’s a good sign for a little session.

Wednesday, the 2nd, the swell builds. We’re looking at 5ft in the morning and 5ft in the afternoon, both from the southwest, with moderate wave energy. The wind is cross-off and light, so the conditions will be clean. Good, solid, fun waves.

Thursday, the 3rd, is where things get interesting. The morning is a bit messy with rain and a 6ft swell, but the afternoon is a beast. The swell jumps to 15ft from the southwest. The energy is massive. That’s a big, powerful, heavy swell. For Toquay Reef, that’s too big. Unless you’re an absolute charger with a big gun, stay out of the water. This is for experts only.

Friday, the 4th, is the standout. The morning has a 8ft southwest swell with perfect offshore winds from the NNW. The energy is strong. This is the best session of the whole forecast. Experienced surfers, this is your window. The afternoon drops to 7ft but stays clean. Friday morning is the pick.

Saturday, the 5th, is a write-off. The swell is still decent at 7ft to 8ft, but the wind is howling at 25 mph from the west. That’s going to tear the surface up. It’s a skip day.

Sunday, the 6th, is a redemption. The morning has a 6ft southwest swell and a light offshore breeze from the NW. That’s clean, fun, and punchy. The energy is solid. The afternoon goes glassy, but the wind switches sides. It’s still a good day.

After that, the surf drops off. Monday the 7th is small, with a 3ft swell. The energy is weak. There’s a gap in the quality until the next run.

We get a pulse on Tuesday the 8th. A 8ft southwest swell with a very long period of 18 seconds. The energy is strong, but the wind is cross-shore and fresh. The waves will be powerful but lumpy. Not the best.

The next real standout is Wednesday the 9th. The morning has an 8ft south-southwest swell with a long period of 17 seconds. The wind is light and cross-off. The energy is massive. This is another one for the experienced crew. The afternoon is a bit smaller but still good.

Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th are solid. Friday the 11th is a beauty. The morning has a 7ft southwest swell with a 17-second period, light offshore wind from the NNW, and strong energy. The afternoon is also offshore and clean. That’s a top-tier day.

The weekend of the 12th and 13th is a letdown. The swell drops and the wind turns onshore. Saturday is okay, but Sunday the 13th is a poor day with messy cross-onshore winds. Monday the 14th is the same story.

The final highlight is Tuesday the 15th. The afternoon turns glassy. A 5ft southwest swell with a 17-second period, and the wind is flat calm. The energy is solid. That’s a gorgeous, clean, lined-up afternoon. The best of the second week.

The last day, Wednesday the 16th, is a write-off. Strong onshore winds and rain. That’s it for the run.

So, to sum it up: Friday the 4th morning is the absolute best of the whole lot. If you can only surf one day, make it that one. The second best is Friday the 11th morning, and then Tuesday the 15th afternoon. Saturday the 5th is a skip. Thursday the 3rd afternoon is for the madmen only.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri night, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Sat morning, light winds from the NE by Sun afternoon).

Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
1
3
3
4
2
!
4
4
3
3
1
1
3
4
3
2
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SW
16
1
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
1.4
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.8
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
2.3
SW
15
2.3
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
2.5
SW
15
2.2
SW
15
1.8
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
0.9
SW
13
0.7
SW
13
0.7
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
702
429
293
1065
1135
1140
1382
6690
2233
2450
2028
1219
1812
2579
2140
1361
1016
451
241
172
184
Wind (km/h)
25
NNW
25
NNW
20
WNW
15
WNW
20
WNW
25
NW
30
W
25
W
15
NW
20
NNW
20
NNW
30
NNW
40
WNW
40
W
20
W
10
NW
5
NE
5
NNW
5
N
10
NE
10
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
2:20PM1.83m
2:52AM1.90m
2:48PM1.85m
3:31AM1.96m
3:17PM1.85m
4:11AM1.96m
3:49PM1.84m
4:54AM1.92m
4:24PM1.81m
5:42AM1.84m
5:04PM1.75m
6:38AM1.73m
5:53PM1.66m
Low Tide
8:34PM0.26m
8:53AM0.47m
9:06PM0.15m
9:29AM0.52m
9:40PM0.08m
10:05AM0.60m
10:18PM0.05m
10:44AM0.69m
11:00PM0.07m
11:26AM0.80m
11:48PM0.15m
12:18PM0.90m
00:47AM0.26m
clear
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
light rain
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:46
6:43
6:43
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:05
 mm
1
1
1
2
2
Temp °C
19
19
14
15
15
13
13
14
10
14
15
16
14
14
12
15
16
12
15
15
12
Feels °C
13
14
10
10
10
7
6
8
6
9
11
10
5
6
7
12
14
10
13
13
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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