Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty checkin' in with a look at what Toquay Reef has cookin' for us over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a classic reef break set-up on our hands, and it’s looking like a bit of a slow burner at first, but the second week is where the real magic is hiding. This spot is a consistent performer, exposed to the south-west swell, and it loves a bit of north-west wind to keep things clean. The water temp is sitting at 56°F, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

The first few days are a bit of a tease. Sunday the 2nd is a write-off, just a messy 5 ft cross-off wind and marginal conditions. Monday the 3rd shows a little more promise with a clean 4 ft swell and offshore winds in the morning, but it’s nothing to get too excited about. Tuesday the 4th brings a bigger 8 ft pulse from the SW, but it’s got a rain shower and a cross-shore wind that’s gonna chop it up. That’s more of a big-wave day, and only for the experienced crew.

Things settle down mid-week, but the swell drops right off. Wednesday the 5th through to Saturday the 9th is a real lean spell, with waves mostly under 3 ft. The energy is weak, with readings in the low hundreds (195-358), and you’ll be scratching for a ride. There’s a glassy moment on Thursday afternoon the 6th with a 2 ft 16-second period swell, but it’s tiny. It’s a classic waiting game.

Now, the real standout starts to build on Friday the 7th. The morning shows a clean 3 ft, but the afternoon is where it’s at. A 4 ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period and glassy conditions? That’s a recipe for perfection. The energy jumps to 1472, and the call is excellent for experienced surfers. This is the first real highlight.

We then hit another small lull on the weekend of the 8th and 9th, with a bit of a bumpy northerly wind messing things up. But then, hold on tight. Monday the 10th brings a big lump of 8 ft SW swell with a 17-second period, but the wind is cross-shore and onshore, so it's a messy one. The energy is massive at 5236, but it’s not going to be a pleasant paddle.

The real gold is the following week. Tuesday the 11th is a recovery day, with a clean 4 ft and offshore winds. But Wednesday the 12th is a proper cracker. A 6 ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period and gentle offshore winds, energy at 1622. That’s excellent, clean, and powerful. Thursday the 13th is the big one, though. A 10 ft SSW groundswell with a 15-second period and a clean offshore wind. That’s a 10 ft wave on a reef, with energy readings of 3899. That is for experts only. If you’re not dialled in, stay on the beach. Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th keep the run going with solid 5-5 ft SW groundswells and clean offshore winds, keeping the energy levels high (1161-1389).

The final few days, the 16th and 17th, drop back down to a more manageable 3 ft or so, but with clean winds, it’s still a fun way to finish the run.

If you’re picking the best of the best, it’s a tough call between Friday the 7th afternoon (glassy, 4 ft, 17-second period) and Wednesday the 12th (6 ft, clean offshore). But for pure power and perfection, the window from Thursday the 13th through Saturday the 15th is the one to circle on the calendar. Just remember, it’s a reef, so watch the tide and don’t be a hero if you’re not ready for the size.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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