Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with the long-range look at what's coming down the line for us. This is a classic case of waiting through the rough to get to the reward, so don't write the whole period off just yet.

Right now, we're dealing with a heap of energy from a strong SSW groundswell, but the wind is a mess. Wednesday morning is a write-off with a stiff 30 km/h cross-onshore making a mess of a solid 8ft swell. The afternoon cleans up a touch but is still lumpy. That same sloppy cross-shore wind hangs around through Thursday, although the swell stays solid at 8ft on the morning before dropping a bit. You won't see me out there; it's just too choppy and the quality isn't there.

Now, if you’re an experienced surfer, Friday the 11th is your first real chance. The wind drops to a glassy 5 km/h, and we’ve got a clean 5ft SSW groundswell rolling in with heaps of energy (1087). This is a reef break, so that long 15-second period is going to set up nicely, not too straight. It’s an intermediate spot, but at this size it’s best left for the crew who know what they're doing. The crowds can pop up here sometimes, but the conditions should be worth sharing a few waves for.

We get an even better window on Saturday the 12th. Light cross-offshore breezes all day with clean 6ft surf in the morning dropping to a smaller, cleaner 5ft by the afternoon. It’s not huge, but the quality will be there.

The surf drops right off Sunday the 13th and through Monday, bottoming out with barely a ripple by Monday afternoon. We’re looking at a couple of flat days before things kick back off.

Here’s where it gets interesting again. Tuesday the 15th sees a solid jump back to 10ft, but it's cross-on and choppy again - not great. Then Wednesday the 16th is a standout morning. Clean, offshore 10 km/h winds from the WNW, with a powerful 6ft SW groundswell packing over 2800 combined energy. That long 17-second period means smooth, powerful sets peeling down the reef. Conditions are excellent for experienced surfers, and given the quality, you’ll want to be in the water early. The afternoon holds up but gets a little cross-shore bump.

Thursday the 17th is another beauty, with clean, light winds and 6ft SSW swell staying consistent. We then ease through the end of the week into smaller, clean waves before another pulse arrives.

The weekend of the 19th and 20th looks promising. Saturday the 19th has a solid 7ft pushing up to 8ft with clean conditions, and Sunday the 20th offers another clean 8ft SW swell in the afternoon. The week after that, look out for Wednesday the 23rd. That morning is the best call of the whole outlook: a clean 7ft SW swell, 18-second period, gentle cross-offshore breeze, and the combined energy reading a strong 3191. The quality should be phenomenal on the reef.

Overall, there are a few days to skip, but plenty of windows for good waves. Keep an eye on the wind, and pencil in the 16th and the 23rd as the top picks.

Rusty.

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