Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Toquay Reef is the only spot firing in this window, so this whole outlook is focused there.

For the first few days, the ocean is a bit of a mess. Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th start with a solid SW groundswell, 8ft to 8ft, with a 2ft to 2ft period. That's a long period groundswell, bringing a lot of energy (combined energy values of 2481 and 2826). But the wind is a fresh breeze from the NW and WNW, blowing cross-offshore. It’s clean, but the long period stuff on a reef will be powerful and a bit tricky to line up. Tuesday afternoon is the standout so far: the swell jumps to 13ft from the SW, with a 15-second period and massive energy (10298). That’s expert territory, way too big for beginners. The wind is a moderate cross-offshore, so it’s clean, but you’ll need to be on your game.

Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th drop back to a more manageable 5ft to 6ft from the SW. Energy is moderate (around 1088 to 1237). The wind is lighter, with a gentle breeze, still cross-offshore. It’s clean, and the consistency is there. For the average surfer, this is a good window. Thursday afternoon sees a light cross-onshore, so it’ll get a little bumpy with small wind ripples.

Friday the 17th is where it gets really nice. The swell holds at 5ft to 5ft from the SW, with a long 16-second period. Energy is solid (1454). The real treat is the wind: Friday morning is a light cross-offshore, and Friday afternoon goes glassy with a slight air, almost no wind. That’s going to be a clean, smooth reef setup. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th see the swell drop off fast. By Saturday you’re looking at 3ft, and by Sunday it’s a tiny 2ft. The energy drops to 281 and then 133. It’s clean, but it’s small. Ordinary surf for the weekend.

The following week starts with a real lull. Monday the 20th through Wednesday the 23rd are tiny, with 2ft to 3ft swell and poor surf conditions. The wind is moderate, and the crowd won’t be an issue because there’s almost nothing to ride. Thursday the 23rd is also poor.

Friday the 24th of July looks like a promising return. A new SW groundswell arrives, 3ft to 5ft, with a very long 18 to 19-second period. That’s a classic groundswell, perfect for a reef. The energy is strong (981 to 1483). The wind is a moderate offshore from the NW, so it’ll be clean and rippable. That’s one to watch for, but it’s still a week out, so keep an eye on the forecast.

After that, the weekend of the 26th and 27th has consistent 4ft to 5ft swell, but the wind picks up with a fresh breeze, making it a bit messier. The energy is moderate. The last days of the month, Monday the 28th, see a 8ft swell from the SW, but with a short 11-second period and a fresh breeze. That’s more of a choppy, windy mess, and not the best call.

Overall, the best windows are Tuesday afternoon the 14th for the big-wave crew, and Friday the 17th for clean, glassy conditions. The long-range standouts are Friday the 24th, with that long period SW groundswell and offshore wind. For the rest, it’s a lot of waiting.

Rusty.

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