Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's look at what's coming up for Toquay Reef.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid pulse of long-period SW groundswell pushing in. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The standout is Tuesday the 14th afternoon. We’re looking at a solid 12 ft SW swell packing a very long 15-second period. The combined energy is massive (8162), meaning there’s a heap of power in the water. It’s a cross-off wind from the WSW, keeping things clean, but at 12 ft, this is a big one. This is expert territory only—not one for the groms or weekend warriors. The reef should handle that size well, but you’ll want your wits about you. Crowds are possible, but a lot of folks will be sitting this one out on the beach.

The following morning, Wednesday the 15th, drops back to a more manageable 6 ft, still with that long 15-second period. The wind is a gentle WNW breeze, cross-off, so it’s clean. The energy is still moderate (1237). This is a good window for experienced intermediates to get a piece of it.

Thursday the 16th morning holds similar size at 6 ft, with a light WSW breeze keeping it tidy. The swell direction is SW, which is the optimum for this spot. Thursday afternoon, the wind swings onshore from the S, so it’ll get a bit messy.

Friday the 17th looks like another good one. Morning brings a clean 5 ft SW swell with a 16-second period and a light offshore from the NW—perfect. The afternoon stays clean with a glassy cross-off.

After Friday, the size drops away significantly. From Saturday the 18th through to the 22nd, we’re looking at waist-high or smaller leftovers. The energy drops into the double and low triple digits (250 down to 97), so it’s pretty weak. Some of those days have glassy or offshore winds, which is nice, but there just isn’t enough wave to get excited about.

The next notable pulse arrives around Thursday the 23rd, with a 6 ft SW swell and a 15-second period. The energy jumps back up (1438), but the wind is a cross-onshore from the S, so the quality will be compromised. That trend of onshore wind and middling conditions continues through the 25th.

Then, on Sunday the 26th, we get a reprieve. The swell drops to a clean 5 ft from the SSW, with a 14-second period. The wind is glassy in the morning, turning to a glassy light E in the afternoon. This is a very good window for a solid session, with moderate energy (908) and perfect conditions. This is a real highlight in the second week.

After that, it’s back to small stuff to finish out the period, with a brief uptick in wind on the 28th and 29th, but the waves are too small to make anything of it.

So, if you’re an expert, your window is Tuesday the 14th afternoon—that’s the big one. For everyone else, aim for Friday the 17th or Sunday the 26th for the best combination of size and clean conditions.

Rusty, signing off.

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