Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the next couple of weeks for Toquay Reef. It’s a bit of a slow start, but there’s some serious juice on the horizon if you’re patient. This spot is a reef, so it handles the swell a bit better than a beach, but we need the wind to play nice. Water temp is sitting at 56°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so a good wetsuit is still your best mate.

The next few days are pretty quiet. We’ve got some small SW swell pushing in, around 2ft to 4ft, but the wind is mostly cross-onshore, which will keep things a bit bumpy. The energy is weak to moderate, with readings in the 500s and 600s. There’s a clean window on Tuesday morning with a light cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is tiny at 2ft. It’s not going to be worth getting too excited about. We’re really just waiting for things to fill in. This flat spell runs for the first several days of the period.

Things start to get interesting on Friday the 21st. The wind swings offshore from the northwest, the swell bumps up a little to 2ft, but the period stretches out to 18 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, and the combined energy jumps to a solid 668. It’s still small, but it’s clean and the lines are long. That’s a good sign of things to come.

Then, hold onto your board, because Saturday the 22nd is where it gets real. The swell kicks up to 12ft on Saturday morning out of the southwest with a 15-second period. The energy reading is a massive 7455 – that’s strong to very strong. This is a serious step up in size. Wind is cross-offshore, so it should be clean, but this is expert territory. This is well overhead and powerful, not a day for the faint of heart. It backs down a bit in the afternoon to 6ft, but it’s still a solid size.

Sunday the 23rd looks like the pick of the run for a lot of surfers. The swell settles a touch to a still-chunky 5ft, but it’s still from the southwest with a 15-second period. The wind is a clean moderate offshore from the northwest, and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. Energy remains strong at 1206. This is the day to be out there. It’s big, it’s clean, and the reef will be handling it well.

Monday the 24th is another big one. The swell is back up to a solid 13ft, with energy readings in the 7000s. It’s a monster swell, but the wind is cross-offshore. It’s going to be heavy, powerful, and only for the most experienced. This is the sort of day where you check your ego at the beach.

After that, the swell eases off on the 25th and 26th back down to the 3-6ft range, but the wind turns onshore from the south, making conditions messy and choppy. The quality drops right off, so those days are best spent doing something else.

Looking further out, there’s another promising pulse for Thursday the 27th. The swell comes back up to 5ft with a long 18-second period. The morning looks excellent with light offshore winds and an energy reading of 2694. It’s a similar setup to the previous Sunday – good size, clean, and with that long-period groundswell. It’s a bit further out, so less certain, but it has the makings of another standout.

The following days, the 28th through the 30th, look more moderate. The swell backs down to 4ft-4ft, but the winds look cleaner, with offshore tending from the north and northwest periods of high energy and good potential.

So, to wrap it up. The real standouts are Sunday the 23rd and Thursday the 27th. Both have solid SW swell, around 5ft, and clean offshore winds. That’s your best bet for quality surf at Toquay Reef. The bigger days on the 22nd and 24th are for the hardcore crew only. The start of the period is pretty average, so don’t rush out. Be patient, pick your days, and you’ll score.

Stay stoked.

Rusty

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