
Surf Forecasts:
Toquay Reef surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 18s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 18s period, SW swell with 8,227 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Toquay Reef over the next couple of weeks.
The first real surf doesn’t show up until this Sunday morning, the 6th of September. It’s a solid start to the run. We’ve got a clean 3ft SW swell rolling in with a 14-second period, so that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is light and cross-off, which is going to keep the reef looking tidy. Combined wave energy is a solid moderate 583, and the water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about average for this time of year. This is a great window for the intermediate crew – clean, long period lines peeling off the point.
Sunday afternoon sees the swell jump up to 8ft, still from the SW with that same 14-second pulse. The energy is massive – a strong 2955. This is for the experienced surfer only; 8ft is pushing into expert territory, especially on a reef. The wind holds cross-off, so it’ll be a wall of power, but you need to know what you’re doing.
Monday the 7th is a write-off. The swell drops but the wind switches to a strong SSW, blowing cross and cross-on, creating a lumpy chop. Not worth a paddle.
Tuesday the 8th is a sneaky good one for the morning. The swell drops back to 3ft, but the period stretches to a very long 18 seconds. That’s a deep ocean groundswell. It’s clean with light cross-off winds, and the energy is strong at 1070. A long period like this will wrap around the reef beautifully, but it can make a beach break close out. On a point like this, it’s a dream.
We get a bit of a messy spell mid-week, with some strong winds on Wednesday the 9th making things lumpy, even though the swell size is up. That’s more for the windsurfing or kite crew than a paddle surfer.
Thursday the 10th morning is a standout. You’ve got a clean 10ft SSW swell with a 17-second period. The wind is gentle cross-off, and the energy is a very strong 4773. It’s big, it’s clean, and it’s only for the experts. This is a serious reef session.
Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th are both offering clean morning windows with 6ft to 5ft SW/SWW groundswell, good periods, and light offshore winds. Saturday afternoon even goes glassy with a slight offshore breeze – that’s as good as it gets for a clean session.
Looking into the second week, things get more promising again. Sunday the 13th is small but clean, and then Monday the 14th is a bust with rain showers and strong wind.
The real highlight of the second week is Tuesday the 15th of September. Morning and afternoon both have a clean 7ft to 7ft SSW swell with a 16-second period and light winds. The energy is strong, around 2246 to 2513. This is another day for the experienced surfer, with clean, powerful lines.
Thursday the 17th morning is a special one to note – glassy conditions with a 3ft SW swell and a 17-second period. It’s small, but it will be as smooth as a lake.
The 19th of September (Saturday) sees a 6ft SW swell, but the wind is a strong 30-40 km/h offshore. That’s clean, but it’s going to be a battle to get out. The 21st of September (Monday) rounds it out with a proper 8ft SW swell, 18-second period, and gentle offshore winds. That’s another big, clean, expert-only session with strong energy (3681-4208).
Overall, the standout days are this Sunday morning (6th) for intermediate fun, and the mornings of the 8th, 10th, and 15th for the experienced crew looking for clean, powerful, long-period groundswell. The 17th morning is a hidden gem for a glassy, small-wave session. Crowds are “sometimes” here, so you might have some company on the peak, but it’s never a zoo.
Signing off, Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed morning, calm by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 12 | SSW 6 | SSW 8 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
289 | 2267 | 1430 | 149 | 306 | 120 | 522 | 1073 | 4915 | 2887 | 8055 | 6059 | 4552 | 3192 | 1739 | 1261 | 1568 | 2075 | 1536 | 1112 | 623 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:04PM1.75m | 6:38AM1.73m | 5:53PM1.66m | 7:47AM1.64m | 6:58PM1.56m | 9:09AM1.59m | 8:32PM1.49m | 10:28AM1.62m | 10:16PM1.52m | 11:30AM1.68m | 11:38PM1.64m | 12:19PM1.75m | 00:41AM1.78m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:26AM0.80m | 11:48PM0.15m | 12:18PM0.90m | 00:47AM0.26m | 1:27PM0.98m | 2:00AM0.37m | 3:00PM0.97m | 3:26AM0.45m | 4:31PM0.86m | 4:50AM0.47m | 5:39PM0.68m | 5:58AM0.45m | 6:31PM0.49m | ||||||||
6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | |
— | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 20 | 14 |
Feels °C | 14 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 6 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 21 | S 6 | SSW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 |
66 | 672 | 316 | 128 | 68 | 56 | 309 | 1073 | 1449 | 927 | 5540 | 6059 | 4552 | 3192 | 1739 | 1261 | 1568 | 2075 | 1536 | 1112 | 623 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 18 | S 14 | SW 22 | — | SW 9 | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 26 | S 16 | — | S 19 | S 18 | S 16 | S 14 | S 14 | — | S 15 | S 19 | S 17 | — |
228 | 12 | 4 | 18 | — | 79 | 522 | 481 | 27 | 20 | — | 260 | 221 | 178 | 66 | 103 | — | 72 | 109 | 154 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | S 14 | W 24 | S 14 | — | SW 12 | SW 13 | — | — | S 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
289 | 4 | 11 | 4 | — | 120 | 239 | — | — | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 14 | WSW 12 | SSW 6 | SSW 8 | — | — | — | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 2267 | 1430 | 149 | 306 | — | — | — | 4915 | 2887 | 8055 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 198 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 512 | 625 | 674 | 1 | 0 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










