Toquay Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.34° S 144.32° E

Issued: 3 pm 07 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Toquay Reef sea temperature is
14.3° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Toquay Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Toquay Reef surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 9,082 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Wed 8th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 15s
Best Surf 1AM (Mon 13th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 13s
Most Powerful 4AM (Mon 13th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for the next couple of weeks. We’re focusing on just one spot, and it’s got some serious potential if you pick your moments.

The next sixteen days are a bit of a mixed bag. There’s a quiet patch to start, but there are some real standouts waiting for you, especially towards the end of the first week and into the second week. We’ll take it day by day.

We kick off on Tuesday the 7th of July. The swell is a modest 4 ft from the southwest, with a very long 16-second period. The water temperature is sitting at 58°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year. It’s clean and glassy under a light ESE breeze. The energy is moderate (608), but it’s nothing to get overly excited about – a session for the patient surfer.

Wednesday the 8th sees a bit more size. The morning shows 4 ft from the southwest, with that same long 18-second groundswell. The wind is a light NE, but it’s pushing cross-shore, creating a bit of texture. The energy is building (1294). By the afternoon, it’s up to 5 ft but the wind turns cross-onshore, making it a bit bumpy. Not the best windows here.

Thursday the 9th is a sneaky good one. Thursday morning is your first real standout. Swell drops back to a clean 3 ft from the southwest, but the wind goes completely glassy – dead calm. That’s a major plus for clean, lined-up waves at a reef break like this. The energy is moderate (477), but with those conditions, it’s a beautiful window for a longboard or a mid-length.

Friday the 10th offers another chance, with a clean 3 ft to 3 ft swell and light offshore winds in the morning. Good, but smaller.

Now, Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th are messy. Strong, fresh winds make the conditions poor. The swell is small and choppy. You’d be better off doing something else.

Monday the 13th is a big one. We get a solid 8 ft southwest groundswell rolling in. The period is a very long 16 seconds, and the energy is strong (3832). The wind is moderate offshore from the WNW, cleaning it up nicely. This is expert territory – the size and power mean it’s not for the faint of heart. For the experienced crew, this is the best of the first week.

Tuesday the 14th holds the size, with another 8 ft swell from the SSW, energy at 4157. Wind is a gentle cross-offshore, keeping it clean. Again, this is expert-level juice.

Wednesday the 15th is another huge day. The afternoon sees an 8 ft swell with a 16-second period and a massive energy reading of 5423. That is serious, powerful surf. The wind is a whisper-light cross-offshore. This is the absolute peak for the experienced surfer.

The rest of the week and into the next sees the size back down. The 17th and 18th offer clean, smaller conditions (5 ft to 3 ft) with light offshore winds – good for a cruise.

There’s a gap from the 19th to the 22nd. The wind picks up strong, making conditions poor or marginal for paddle surfing. The swell is small and mixed up. With the strong wind and the beach-and-reef setup, this window is more interesting for the kite surfers than us on the paddles.

The top pick for the week is Thursday 9th July morning for clean, glassy conditions on a manageable 3 ft swell at Toquay Reef. For the experts, the absolute standout is Wednesday 15th July afternoon, with a massive 8 ft, 16-second groundswell and glassy wind – pure power.

Stay stoked.
Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the NW by Sun morning).

Tue
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
3
3
3
2
1
3
2
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
!
5
3
3
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
16
1
SW
16
1.2
SW
18
1.5
SW
18
1.2
SW
16
1
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
1.1
SW
16
1
SW
15
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
0.8
SW
12
1.1
SW
14
1.3
SW
12
4.5
SW
13
2.5
SSW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.3
SW
14
2.5
SSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
587
462
989
1351
748
471
355
661
421
313
203
209
125
207
507
528
7073
3832
3137
2155
3786
Wind (km/h)
10
ESE
5
ENE
5
NE
10
ESE
5
NE
5
N
10
NE
5
NNW
10
NNW
10
N
15
N
30
N
30
W
25
WNW
35
NW
30
WNW
25
W
20
WNW
30
WNW
20
W
15
W
Wind State
on
cross
cross
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:19PM1.83m
4:47AM1.61m
4:47PM1.79m
5:34AM1.65m
5:18PM1.75m
6:28AM1.69m
5:54PM1.70m
7:30AM1.71m
6:39PM1.65m
8:40AM1.74m
7:35PM1.61m
9:55AM1.78m
8:45PM1.58m
11:07AM1.84m
Low Tide
10:43PM0.46m
10:38AM0.59m
11:15PM0.38m
11:21AM0.70m
11:54PM0.30m
12:10PM0.81m
00:39AM0.22m
1:09PM0.92m
1:34AM0.17m
2:18PM1.01m
2:38AM0.14m
3:38PM1.04m
3:48AM0.11m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:39
7:39
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:19
 mm
5
2
1
Temp °C
10
11
11
11
10
10
11
10
13
15
11
13
9
9
12
12
10
12
13
12
13
Feels °C
9
10
9
9
8
8
9
8
10
13
5
6
2
3
4
6
5
5
7
7
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
16
1
SW
16
1.2
SW
18
1.5
SW
18
1.2
SW
16
1
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
1.1
SW
16
1
SW
15
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
0.8
SW
12
1.1
SW
14
1.3
SW
12
2.4
SW
15
2.5
SSW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.3
SW
14
2.5
SSW
16
Energy kJ
587
462
989
1351
748
471
355
661
421
313
203
209
125
207
507
528
2360
3832
3137
2155
3786
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
S
16
0.2
SSW
23
0.9
SW
14
0.4
S
18
0.2
ESE
4
0.4
SW
20
0.3
S
17
0.1
E
8
0.1
E
8
0.1
E
8
0.5
N
4
0.6
SW
6
0.8
SSW
12
0.1
SW
22
0.5
SW
19
1.1
SW
17
0.8
S
17
Energy kJ
21
51
305
96
1
134
52
1
1
1
8
27
158
18
184
695
371
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
E
8
0.1
SE
12
0.1
SE
11
0.1
E
8
Energy kJ
1
5
4
1
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
ESE
4
0.3
NNW
2
0.6
NNE
4
0.6
WNW
3
0.4
NW
3
0.6
W
3
0.7
NW
4
4.5
SW
13
0.5
NW
3
0.4
WNW
3
Energy kJ
8
1
10
9
3
6
12
7073
5
4
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
3
5
3
2
2
3
2
2
2
1
3
1
1
1
8
5
2
4
5
Distance (km)
26
1
3
29
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
325
39
1
515
551
1
0
519
1
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
4
4
3
4
4
3
3
3
2
8
5
4
5
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
7
6
6
4
5
5
4
4
3
4
3
5
5
4
9
6
5
5
5
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
9
8
7
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
6
8
6
5
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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