Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break down the next couple of weeks. The only spot on the cards is Toquay Reef. It’s a reef break that likes a solid SW swell and needs that NW offshore wind to work its magic. It’s very consistent, so when it’s on, it’s on.

We kick things off with a Monday morning that’s got a bit of magic about it. There’s light rain, but the wind is a clean offshore from the NW at 9 mph. The swell is a nice 4 ft from the SW, and with a period of 19 seconds, that’s a long-period groundswell pumping serious energy into the reef. The combined energy is strong at 1035. This is going to produce clean, lined-up waves perfect for an intermediate surfer. Just a heads up, crowds are possible here, but that’s the price you pay for quality. The water is sitting at 56°, which is about normal for this time of year. This is the standout session of the whole forecast. Get on it.

Monday afternoon turns ugly. The wind swings onshore from the SW at 19 mph, and the swell is the same size but period drops. It’s a messy cross-shore chop. Forget about it.

Tuesday morning looks promising again. NW wind is back offshore at 12 mph, and the swell drops a touch to 3 ft, but that period is still a solid 15 seconds. Energy is moderate at 402. Clean, fun waves, but smaller. Tuesday afternoon holds up with a bit more size at 4 ft and the same wind, making for a good session.

Wednesday is where it gets serious. The swell starts to push up. Wednesday morning sees 8 ft from the SW with a 16-second period. The wind is cross-offshore from the W at 16 mph, so it’s clean but has a bit of push. The combined energy jumps to 4212, which is strong. This is getting into expert territory, as it’s over 8 ft. Wednesday afternoon really fires up, with the swell hitting 12 ft from the SW. The energy is huge at 7589. This is a big, powerful swell. For experienced surfers only. The wind stays clean, so the reef will be handling this size well.

Thursday holds the size at over 7 ft from the SW both morning and afternoon, with clean cross-off winds. Friday is similar, with a touch more size in the morning at 8 ft from the SSW, and excellent conditions noted. This whole mid-week block is a solid run for anyone with the skills.

Saturday sees the swell ease to 6 ft, but the wind turns tricky. A light cross-shore in the morning and a cross-onshore in the afternoon make it choppy and less appealing.

Sunday drops further to 5 ft, and the wind is cross-onshore or onshore. The quality fades fast.

From Monday the 17th through to the end of the forecast, the surf gets small and messy. There are a few glimpses of clean conditions with small 2 ft to 4 ft swells, like on Tuesday the 18th morning and Wednesday the 19th morning, but nothing to get excited about. The combined energy stays low, often under 300. There’s a run of poor surf for several days in the middle of the second week.

Late in the period, around Sunday the 23rd afternoon, we see a spike in size again with a 6 ft SW swell and a clean offshore NW wind at 16 mph. That one’s worth keeping an eye on as a promising but less certain option that far out.

So, bottom line: If you’re an experienced surfer, this week is your time. Monday morning is the absolute pick for clean, lined-up conditions. The big Wednesday and Thursday swells are for the brave. After this weekend, it goes quiet, but forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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