
Surf Forecasts:
Toquay Reef surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,805 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming down the line for Toquay Reef.
This is one of those classic setups where it’s gonna take a bit of patience to get the good stuff. The week starts off with almost nothing happening, and we've got to wait until Friday the 18th before we see the real deal. But when it clicks, it’s going to be proper.
So, Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th are pretty much write-offs. We've got some small, weak swell (around 163 and 126 units of energy) but the wind is messy and cross-off or cross, leaving the surface poor. Not worth the rubber.
Wednesday the 16th sees a spike in size, with a 10ft swell coming on a long 15-second period, but it’s all cross-onshore from a Southerly, making it choppy and ugly. That continues into Thursday, where the swell drops to 6ft, but it’s still cross/on with only gentle winds, so you're fighting a bit of chop without any real power.
Now here’s where it gets interesting. Friday the 18th is the standout, and it's the one to circle. Around midday and into the afternoon, we’ve got a clean 5ft SSW swell with a very long 16-second period. The wind is a moderate offshore breeze from the NW, keeping those lines clean and well-shaped. For experienced surfers, this is the picture-perfect session. This long period swell will groove nicely on a reef setup like Toquay, giving you proper waves with good gaps between sets to paddle out. The crowds are “sometimes” a factor here, so you might have a few heads out, but on a Friday you should be fine.
Saturday the 19th is still fun but the swell drops back to 4ft, though the offshore wind holds from the NW. It’ll be clean and rideable, just smaller. Good for a longboard or a fish if you’ve got one.
The following week gets a bit messy. Sunday the 20th has fresh offshore wind and a knee-high wave (3ft), but the period drops to 7 seconds which is just weak, short-period wind swell. Not worth the effort. Monday the 21st has a bigger 6ft swell, but onshore wind from the S and SE ruins the surface—flat and bumpy, a real dog.
But then, another window opens. Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd look very promising. Tuesday has a solid 7ft SSW swell with that long 16-second period and a light cross-off wind (N/NW). This is another expert-level session with excellent conditions, clean and powerful. Wednesday the 23rd keeps the momentum with a 6ft SW swell and a moderate offshore wind from the NW, still excellent for experienced surfs.
The last few days of the month—24th through the 28th—turn sour again. Strong onshore winds and smaller, mushed up swell. Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th are poor with fresh cross-on shore winds. Saturday the 26th is the same story, just weak. Sunday the 27th sees a bit more size (6ft at 17 seconds) but with onshore flow, it looks like a messy closeout. And Monday the 28th is small and weak.
Our last call, Tuesday the 29th, offers a glimmer with a 6ft SSW swell and cross-off wind from the WNW. Clean but tapered off by then.
Best bets? Friday the 18th for the classic combo, and Tuesday the 22nd for power. If you can score either, you're on.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun night, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sun night, fresh winds from the SW by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
255 | 147 | 111 | 49 | 1129 | 2323 | 2494 | 3615 | 2355 | 1924 | 1175 | 814 | 692 | 653 | 1170 | 773 | 471 | 290 | 126 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:32AM1.89m | 1:38PM1.84m | 2:15AM1.97m | 2:13PM1.85m | 2:55AM1.99m | 2:45PM1.84m | 3:31AM1.96m | 3:16PM1.80m | 4:07AM1.90m | 3:46PM1.74m | 4:42AM1.81m | 4:15PM1.67m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:38AM0.43m | 7:53PM0.21m | 8:19AM0.45m | 8:29PM0.14m | 8:56AM0.49m | 9:03PM0.13m | 9:30AM0.55m | 9:37PM0.16m | 10:03AM0.63m | 10:09PM0.23m | 10:34AM0.72m | 10:42PM0.31m | |||||||
— | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 20 | 15 | 22 | 23 | 19 |
Feels °C | 17 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
255 | 147 | 111 | 24 | 191 | — | — | 2324 | 2355 | 1924 | 1175 | 814 | 692 | 653 | 1170 | 773 | 471 | 290 | 126 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | SW 20 | SW 6 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | S 15 | S 15 | — | — | SW 22 | SSW 18 | SW 16 | S 14 | — | WSW 20 | SSW 18 |
1 | 15 | 1 | 49 | — | — | — | — | 73 | 42 | — | — | 18 | 491 | 669 | 36 | — | 38 | 31 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | SW 5 | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | S 16 | — | — | — | SW 20 | NE 5 |
4 | 1 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 71 | 48 | — | — | — | 16 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 7 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 15 | — | — | — | SW 4 | — | — | — | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 4 | NW 4 |
— | — | — | 26 | 1129 | 2323 | 2494 | 3615 | — | — | — | 28 | — | — | — | 3 | 4 | 22 | 10 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 530 | 706 | 296 | 373 | 198 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










