
Surf Forecasts:
Toquay Reef surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 6,990 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 2.3m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 4.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Looks like it’s gonna be a slow start, but there’s a real gem waiting for us later. This spot, Toquay Reef, is a reef break, very consistent, exposed to the SW swell, and it handles a big south-west groundswell well—but only when it’s not too much.
Right now, we’re at the start of September. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about average for this time of year—pretty normal, nothing wild.
We’ve got a massive pulse of swell coming in on Thursday the 3rd—15 ft from the SW with a period of 14 seconds. The combined energy is enormous (8520–9147), but mate, that is just too big for this reef. We’re gonna skip it. You’d be a madman to paddle out.
Then Friday the 4th settles down with 8 ft SW swells, period 16 seconds, and a light offshore wind from the NW. This is a standout for experienced surfers—clean, powerful, and the energy is still high (2526). This is the one to circle. It’s not for beginners though—over 5 ft, and that long period makes it better on the point and reef sections. Saturday the 5th is a write-off—strong winds gusting to 25 mph and lumpy conditions.
From Sunday the 6th through Monday the 7th, the swell drops to 4–5 ft with cross-offshore winds. Nothing special, but a few clean waves in the morning. Tuesday the 8th morning looks decent—5 ft glassy at 5 ft, period 18 seconds—that’s very long period, so it’ll be clean and powerful, but again, better on the reef than the beach break. Then Wednesday the 9th gets messy with onshore winds.
But now—Thursday the 10th of September—this is the real prize. Glassy conditions, 8 ft SSW groundswell, period 18 seconds, and the combined energy is 3973. Offshore wind from the NNW—dead calm in the morning. That is a dream window for big wave riders. It will be big, clean, and powerful. It’s for experts only—over 8 ft—but if you’ve got the skill, this is the best day on offer.
After that, the second week fades. Friday the 11th through Sunday the 13th has 4–5 ft SW swells, clean mornings, but nothing to get excited about. By Monday the 14th, a new SW pulse arrives—6 ft with period 16 seconds—cross-off winds, clear skies. That’s decent. Tuesday the 15th morning looks real good again: 6 ft SW, period 18 seconds, light NW breeze, and energy up at 2582. Another clean, powerful session for those who can handle it.
Wednesday the 16th brings 5 ft SW swells with offshore winds—nice little session, nothing special. But then Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th turn ugly—onshore gales at 25 mph, big lumpy 10 ft swell, and poor conditions. You’re better off staying home.
So, the best on offer: Friday the 4th for a fun, powerful clean swell for experienced surfers, and Thursday the 10th for the big guns—glassy, huge, and dangerous if you’re not ready. If you can only surf once, aim for the 10th.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Thu night, strong winds from the WNW by Sat morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SSW 8 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
6808 | 6990 | 3017 | 2481 | 2328 | 1806 | 1133 | 1520 | 3975 | 834 | 595 | 341 | 451 | 488 | 324 | 1278 | 1305 | 1101 | 1588 | 2049 | 4177 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 3:17PM1.85m | 4:11AM1.96m | 3:49PM1.84m | 4:54AM1.92m | 4:24PM1.81m | 5:42AM1.84m | 5:04PM1.75m | 6:38AM1.73m | 5:53PM1.66m | 7:47AM1.64m | 6:58PM1.56m | 9:09AM1.59m | 8:32PM1.49m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:40PM0.08m | 10:05AM0.60m | 10:18PM0.05m | 10:44AM0.69m | 11:00PM0.07m | 11:26AM0.80m | 11:48PM0.15m | 12:18PM0.90m | 00:47AM0.26m | 1:27PM0.98m | 2:00AM0.37m | 3:00PM0.97m | 3:26AM0.45m | ||||||||
6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
— | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | 12 | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 |
1712 | 2114 | 3017 | 2481 | 2328 | 1806 | 1133 | 1520 | 1289 | 834 | 595 | 341 | 18 | 68 | 324 | 1278 | 1305 | 1101 | 1588 | 2049 | 4177 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | WSW 18 | S 14 | — | — | S 6 | SW 18 | — | S 28 | SW 24 | SSW 20 | S 18 |
— | 43 | 76 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | 31 | 4 | — | — | 80 | 786 | — | 15 | 273 | 1360 | 157 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | W 24 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 13 | — | — | S 16 | S 17 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 11 | — | — | 306 | 205 | — | — | 127 | 147 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | — | NNE 4 | NW 4 | W 4 | SW 13 | — | — | WNW 2 | SW 13 | SSW 8 | — | — | SW 12 | — | — | — | — |
6808 | 6990 | — | — | — | 11 | 12 | 41 | 3975 | — | — | 1 | 451 | 488 | — | — | 656 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 390 | 536 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 198 | 1 | 0 | 73 | 72 | 72 | 72 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










