Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming up for the local stretch.

Overall, it’s a slow start with a few days of small, average waves before a solid pulse of swell kicks in around the weekend of the 22nd. That looks like the real standout window, with some excellent waves for the more experienced among us. The week after that holds some promise too, but it’s a bit more mixed.

First up, Toquay Reef is the only spot on the cards. It’s a very consistent reef break, exposed to the SW swell. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing to complain about there.

We’ll start with a quiet couple of days. Tuesday the 18th has a tiny 3ft SW groundswell on a long 16-second period, but a stiff 25 km/h cross-offshore wind keeps it from being anything special. The energy is pretty weak (333). Wednesday the 19th is even more of a write-off, with small swell and fresh winds – not worth paddling out for.

Things start to get interesting on Thursday the 20th. The morning brings a light 1ft SW groundswell with an 18-second period, but the wind swings NW at 15 km/h and goes offshore. That’s clean, but the swell is tiny (135 energy). The afternoon picks up a little to 2ft, still offshore. It’s surfable, but you’ll be working for it.

Friday the 21st is more of the same – small, clean waves in the 2ft to 2ft range, with moderate energy (302 to 383). The wind is cross-off, so it’s tidy, but not setting the world on fire.

Now, here’s where it gets good. Saturday the 22nd is the standout. The morning sees a jump to 6ft SW swell on a 16-second period, with a massive energy jump to 1428. The wind is light WNW at 15 km/h, cross-off, and the afternoon cleans up even more with a light 10 km/h W breeze. That afternoon session is rated as excellent for experienced surfers – 5ft of clean, lined-up groundswell. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

Sunday the 23rd keeps the quality coming. The morning has 5ft SW swell, a 14-second period, and gentle WNW offshore wind at 15 km/h. The energy is still strong (1140). The afternoon is even better, with 5ft on a 16-second period and a massive 1520 energy reading. It’s clean, it’s powerful, and it’s for the crew who know what they’re doing.

Monday the 24th is still very good, but the swell is easing. The morning has 4ft SW swell with a moderate NW offshore wind, and the afternoon drops to 3ft. Both sessions are clean, with energy still in the 400-500 range.

After that, things get messy. Tuesday the 25th brings a cross-onshore wind shift, and the swell jumps to 7ft in the afternoon, but it’s bumpy and choppy. Wednesday the 26th is small again, and Thursday the 27th is blown out with strong winds. Friday the 28th is a write-off with onshore winds and lumpy conditions.

Looking further ahead, Saturday the 29th is a big one, but it’s not for everyone. The morning sees a massive 12ft SW swell, with energy at 5697, but the wind is onshore from the SE. That’s a lot of power, but it’s bumpy and tricky – probably more of a kite-surfing show than a paddle session. Sunday the 30th morning could be a redemption, with 6ft SSW swell, light NNE cross-off wind, and clean conditions. That’s an excellent session for experienced surfers.

The start of September looks promising. Monday the 31st of August has 3ft to 3ft SW groundswell with a very long 17-18 second period, and light offshore or near-calm winds. The energy is solid (700+). Tuesday the 1st of September continues that trend with 5ft SW swell, glassy conditions in the morning – that’s real quality, clean and lined up. The week continues with clean, surfable waves through to Wednesday the 2nd, with a nice 4ft SW groundswell on an 18-second period and light winds.

So, the standout is the weekend of the 22nd and 23rd of August – that’s your best bet for the cleanest, most powerful waves. The days around the 1st of September also look very good, but it’s a bit further out, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty out.

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