Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, pull up a stool, grab a coffee. Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's shaping up for the local stretch.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but patience is going to pay off in a big way. The first real action worth paddling out for kicks off this Saturday morning, the 12th of September. Toquay Reef is the only game in town, and it’s looking like a reef break that needs a bit of respect.

The water temp is sitting at 56°F, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year—no major shock to the system.

Saturday morning brings a solid 6ft SSW groundswell with a very long 15-second period. That’s proper energy, with a combined swell energy reading of 1427. The wind is light and cross-off from the north at 6 mph, so it’ll be clean. This is excellent for experienced surfers, but that size and power at a reef means it’s not for the learner crew. Saturday afternoon eases a touch to 5ft, still clean, still good.

Sunday morning sees the swell dropping to 4ft, but the wind picks up to 12 mph from the north, keeping it cross-off and clean. The energy drops to 509, so it’s still fun but less punchy. Sunday afternoon gets a bit windier at 16 mph, and the quality takes a hit.

Monday and Tuesday are pretty ordinary—small, messy, or just too much wind. Tuesday morning actually sees a jump to 8ft, but it's blown out by a 16 mph WSW cross-off, making it marginal at best. Tuesday afternoon turns into a rain-soaked cross-shore mess.

The first true standout shows up on Friday the 18th of September. Friday morning starts with 4ft from the SW and a moderate offshore NW wind at 12 mph. Very clean. But the real gem is Friday afternoon: 4ft from the SSW, a 16-second period, and glassy offshore conditions from the WNW at 12 mph. The energy is a solid 1252, and the break is clean and lined up. For experienced surfers, this is the session to circle on the calendar.

The following week is a mixed bag. Monday the 21st offers a small window with 4ft SW groundswell and nearly glassy conditions, but the real fireworks are reserved for the end of the month.

Now, hold onto your board. Wednesday the 23rd brings back a 6ft SSW groundswell with a very long 16-second period and light cross-off winds. Excellent for the experienced.

But the absolute standout of this whole 16-day window is Sunday the 27th of September. This is the one to wait for. We’re talking a massive 12ft to 13ft SW groundswell, with a period around 13-14 seconds. The combined energy readings are monstrous: 6782 and 6402. The wind is offshore from the WNW at 12-16 mph, keeping the reef clean. This is exceptional, expert-level surf. If you’re not comfortable in heavy, powerful reef waves, stay on the sand and watch. The sets will be long and the energy relentless.

Between now and then, expect a few days of flat or poor-quality swell, but as I said, it doesn’t stay poor for long around here.

Rusty.

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