Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s have a look at what’s coming up at Toquay Reef. This is a reef setup, so it handles swell well but you’ve gotta be careful – it’s rated intermediate for a reason.

The water’s running at 57°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing too wild.

The start of the period is pretty quiet. There’s a bit of swell coming through on Friday morning – 3 ft from the SW with a 15-second period, and a light cross-off breeze. The combined energy is moderate (421). It’s rideable, but nothing to call home about. The afternoon gets smaller and more mixed.

Saturday is a write-off. Strong winds from the NNE and N at 15 to 22 mph, messy, small waves – not worth paddling out.

Sunday sees a jump in size – 5 ft to 5 ft from the SW with a 12-second period, but the wind is cranking from the NW and W at 18 to 25 mph. The energy is moderate (593 to 805), but with that much wind, it’s going to be a battle. The Sunday morning has offshore wind, so it’ll be clean, but hard to paddle into.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Monday 13 July is the real standout. 8 ft to 8 ft from the SW with a very long 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell. The energy is strong (2481 to 2796), and the wind is offshore from the NW and WNW at 18 mph. This is clean, powerful, and firing. This is expert territory, though – over 8 ft on a reef with that much push is not for the faint-hearted.

Tuesday 14 July holds similar size – 8 ft in the morning, easing to 7 ft in the afternoon, still from the SW with that 16-second period. The energy is strong (3260 to 2383), and the wind is light cross-off to offshore. Excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The afternoon is glassy with a light SW wind – that’s the pick of the day.

Wednesday 15 July is still solid – 5 ft to 5 ft from the SW, 15-second period, offshore or cross-off winds. Energy is moderate to strong (1155 to 940). Clean, fun, and a bit more manageable.

Thursday 16 July looks beautiful – 4 ft from the SSW, 14-second period, and the afternoon is glassy with a SW wind at 3 mph. That’s a magic session right there.

Friday 17 July stays good – 5 ft in the morning from the SW with a 16-second period, light offshore, and the afternoon goes glassy again at 4 ft. That’s a solid couple of days.

After that, the size drops off through Saturday 18 July and beyond. The wind turns cross-off, and the energy fades to weak (around 209 to 136). From Sunday 19 July right through to Thursday 23 July, it’s mostly small, windy, and poor – a real lull. The wind is strong from the NNE and N, and the swell drops to under 3 ft.

There’s a glimmer toward the end – Friday 24 July sees a return of 4 ft from the SW with a 15-second period, moderate offshore wind, and moderate energy (533). Clean, but small. That holds through Saturday 25 July with 3 ft from the SW, still with offshore winds.

Top pick: Monday 13 July through Tuesday 14 July – big, clean, powerful groundswell. That’s the one for experienced surfers. Thursday 16 July afternoon is the glassy gem for the lighter crew.

Stay safe out there.

- Rusty

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