Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Toquay Reef. This is a solid, consistent reef break that needs a good SW swell to fire, and it's looking like we’ll get a few pulses of that. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild to report.

First up, this Friday morning the 4th. We’ve got a clean 7ft SW groundswell rolling in with a very long 16-second period. The wind is offshore from the NW at 12 mph, shaping up some nice lines. The combined energy is strong at (2357). This is excellent, but it’s a proper 7ft wave on a reef, so this one is for the experienced crew only. It holds through the afternoon with a gentle offshore breeze, staying clean and solid.

Saturday the 5th is a bit of a write-off. The swell drops to 5ft, but the wind is a strong 25 mph offshore in the morning. Even though it’s clean, it’s going to be a battle to paddle into. The afternoon goes cross-offshore and stays messy.

Now, Sunday the 6th. This is a standout. The morning brings a powerful 10ft SW groundswell (14-second period) with a light offshore breeze. The energy is pumping at (4032). This is a heavy, clean reef wave for experienced surfers only. The afternoon drops off in size and gets a bit cross-shore, so the morning is your window.

Monday the 7th is a letdown with small, weak 3ft waves, and the wind goes cross-on by the afternoon making it poor.

Tuesday the 8th is a gem. The swell is a tidy 5ft, but the period is a very long 18 seconds, bringing grunt. The real story is the wind: glassy conditions all day. It’s a clean, lined-up reef break. Combined energy is strong at (2247). This is another top pick for the intermediate crew and above.

The end of the first week and into the second week gets rough. Wednesday the 9th sees a big 10ft SSW swell, but it’s accompanied by a strong cross-onshore wind, making it choppy and dangerous. The energy is massive (12949), but the conditions are poor. Thursday the 10th stays big and messy with onshore winds.

Looking further out, Monday the 14th shows some small 3ft SW swell with offshore winds, just a marginal call.

The real highlight for the long-range is Tuesday the 15th. A fresh 10ft SW swell (11-second period) with a fresh offshore wind from the WNW at 22 mph. The energy is high at (2673). It’s a bit of a shorter period, but it’s a clean 10ft reef wave. That’s a big day for experts only.

Wednesday the 16th is also promising with a 5ft SW groundswell (18-second period) and gentle offshore wind. Clean and powerful.

Heads up for Thursday the 17th. The models are showing a massive 18ft SW swell. The energy numbers are through the roof (34136), but the wind is onshore. Even if it was clean, 18ft on a reef is a beast, and the file warns it’s simply too big for this break. A day for the cameras, not for paddling out.

So, to wrap it up: the absolute standouts are Sunday morning the 6th for the big, clean 10ft swell, and Tuesday the 8th for the glassy, long-period 5ft swell. The latter is probably the more accessible of the two for the average surfer, those dawny glass-off sessions are magic.

Keep an eye on the long-range, but for now, mark your diary for the 6th and the 8th.

Rusty.

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