Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up for the next couple of weeks.

Right now, we’ve got a solid run of swell on the way, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag with the wind. The first few days are looking fun and clean, but then we’ll have to work around some less-than-ideal conditions before a proper pulse of power arrives.

The standout spot for the whole period is Toquay Reef, an exposed reef break that loves a good SW swell. The water temp is sitting about average for the time of year, so nothing unusual there.

We kick off Thursday, August 6th, with small but clean waves. Morning sees a 2ft SW swell rolling in with a very long 16-second period, and a light NW offshore breeze at 9 mph. The combined energy is moderate (223), but the glassy conditions mean it’ll be a nice, easy paddle. It’s not big, but it’s a sweet start. The afternoon holds a little more size at 2ft, still with that long period and clean offshore wind.

Friday, August 7th, is where it starts to get good. The morning swell jumps to 4ft from the SW, still with a 16-second period, and a light WNW offshore at 6 mph. The energy is building (577). This is a proper little groundswell. Then Friday afternoon is a real treat – the wind goes glassy, with a 3ft SW swell and a 15-second period. The energy is strong (636), and the surface will be like a mirror. That’s a top session.

Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are a bit of a write-off. The wind swings northerly and gets stronger, creating messy cross-offshore conditions. The swell stays small, around 2ft to 3ft. The energy is weak (205-400), and the rain doesn’t help. These are days to sit out.

Now, hold onto your board. Monday, August 10th, is a wild card. The morning shows a massive 10ft SW swell with a very long 19-second period, and the energy is a staggering 5790. The wind is a cross-offshore, so it’s not perfect. This is a big, powerful, long-period groundswell. For a reef break like Toquay, it could be a freight train – definitely for experts only. The afternoon cleans up a bit with a moderate offshore wind and 4ft swell, but it’s still a hefty 2285 energy. If you’re experienced, the afternoon will be the pick.

The middle of the week from Tuesday the 11th to Thursday the 13th is a bit of a holding pattern. The swell sits between 4ft and 7ft, with solid energy (530-2221). The wind is a mix of cross-offshore, so the waves will be clean but not perfect. It’s consistent surf, but nothing that’s screaming “paddle now.”

The next real standout comes on Friday, August 14th. We’ve got a 8ft SW swell (creeping towards SSW) with an 18-second period. The energy is massive (3945). The wind is a gentle cross-offshore, keeping things clean. This is a big, powerful groundswell. Again, for the reef, this is expert territory. 8ft is pushing the limits for most.

Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are still solid, with swells around 5ft to 6ft from the SW and SSW. The energy is high (1041-1675). The wind stays clean for the mornings, but the afternoon of the 15th gets a light cross-onshore, so get your session in early.

The last week from Monday the 18th to Friday the 21st is a slow fade. The swell drops to around 2ft to 3ft, and the energy is low (240-647). The wind is a mix of cross-offshore and offshore, so it’ll be clean but small. Friday the 21st morning sees a small spike to 6ft, but with a shorter 12-second period, it won’t have the same punch.

The Bottom Line: The absolute best bet is Friday, August 7th afternoon. The glassy conditions with that 3ft SW groundswell will be pure magic. The second pick is the Monday, August 10th afternoon if you’re an expert and want serious power. The session on Friday, August 14th is also a big-wave standout for the very experienced.

Stay safe, read the tides, and I’ll see you out there.

Rusty

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