Surf Forecasts:
Toquay Reef surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,383 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here with the outlook for our stretch. We've got a bit of a mixed bag coming our way, but let's get into it. We'll kick things off this Friday the 28th of August, but honestly, the first few days are a bit average.
Toquay Reef is our only spot on the radar this week. That morning swell is tiny at 3ft from the SW, with a very long 18-second period. The combined wave energy is weak (681), and the cross-off wind keeps it rideable but nothing to write home about. It's "marginal" at best. The water temp is about where you'd expect for this time of year, nothing unusual there.
Saturday morning the 29th cleans right up with offshore wind and 4ft SW swell, but it's still on the small side. The energy's up a bit to 470, but we're still waiting for something to really hit. Sunday the 30th morning bumps up to 5ft from the SSW with a cross-off breeze – that's a touch better, energy climbing to 767, and the forecast says "very good" before it gets chopped up in the arvo.
Now, here's where it gets interesting. Monday the 31st of August is the standout. Morning has a clean 5ft SW swell, period solid at 15 seconds, and a light offshore breeze. The energy jumps to a strong 1062. The afternoon glass-off is a surfer's dream – 4ft, glassy conditions, and the energy is pumping at 1099. This is the window. The reef will be breaking clean and offering up some proper lines. If you can get out there, do it. That's the one to chase.
Then we hit a bit of a flat or messy spell through the first week of September. Tuesday the 1st gets a bit windy, with the NW breeze making things harder. There's still potential, but it's not as clean. Wednesday the 2nd and Thursday the 3rd keep a consistent 4ft to 5ft swell, but the wind is up around 18-19 mph, making it a bit of a fight.
The end of the first week and into the second week of September gets much bigger. Friday the 4th of September (that's over a week away now) sees a serious ramp-up. Morning has a solid 7ft SW swell, but by afternoon it's a full-bore 10ft from the SW. Energy numbers are huge – 2102 in the morning, exploding to 5984 in the arvo. That's expert territory. It's big, it's powerful, and the offshore wind will be howling at 19 mph. If you're not experienced, stay on the sand. This continues into the 5th and 6th with 8ft to 10ft swells and strong winds. It's more of a spectacle than a clean solo session for most. The wind is strong offshore on the 6th morning, but the energy is a massive 5633 – it'll be a battle for the strongest paddlers.
Things ease off a touch into the second week. Monday the 7th of September drops back to a more manageable 6ft, and the rest of the week sits around 3ft to 5ft, with mostly clean, cross-off winds. There's a nice window on Tuesday the 8th with good energy (883) and a clean look. Then, Friday the 11th of September (the 11th, that's another future date) pops up as the other true standout. Morning has a punchy 6ft SW swell, 14-second period, solid energy of 1485, and clear skies with light winds. Afternoon is 5ft, even more energy at 1699, and it's "excellent" for experienced surfers. That's another one to circle on the calendar.
So, to wrap it up: There's a bit of a slow start, but we've got two clear windows. Monday the 31st of August for clean, glassy perfection, and then the bigger, more powerful window on Friday the 11th of September. The middle part is big and windy, suited for the experienced crew or the kites. Stay safe, and I'll see you in the water.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Tue morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
234 | 442 | 907 | 710 | 466 | 476 | 465 | 649 | 745 | 895 | 905 | 711 | 1239 | 871 | 566 | 398 | 674 | 975 | 696 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 10:46PM1.32m | 12:19PM1.63m | 11:57PM1.42m | 12:53PM1.70m | 00:50AM1.55m | 1:23PM1.76m | 1:34AM1.69m | 1:52PM1.81m | 2:14AM1.81m | 2:20PM1.83m | 2:52AM1.90m | 2:48PM1.85m | 3:31AM1.96m | ||||||
Low Tide | 5:20AM0.57m | 6:30PM0.86m | 6:15AM0.52m | 7:03PM0.71m | 7:00AM0.47m | 7:34PM0.55m | 7:40AM0.45m | 8:04PM0.40m | 8:17AM0.45m | 8:34PM0.26m | 8:53AM0.47m | 9:06PM0.15m | |||||||
— | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 9 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
181 | 442 | 907 | 710 | 466 | 476 | 465 | 649 | 745 | 895 | 905 | 711 | 1239 | 871 | 566 | 398 | 674 | 975 | 696 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 13 | SE 10 | — | S 14 | E 9 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SSW 20 | — | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 15 | — | S 15 | SW 18 | SSW 15 | S 16 | S 14 |
234 | 235 | 4 | — | 4 | 2 | 18 | 60 | 39 | — | 138 | 388 | 79 | — | 19 | 150 | 45 | 20 | 36 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | SE 11 | — | — | — | S 23 | S 16 | S 14 | S 13 | — | S 16 | — | — | — | — | S 15 | — | — | — |
17 | 4 | — | — | — | 11 | 19 | 58 | 56 | — | 19 | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NW 4 | NNW 3 | WNW 3 | WSW 6 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 99 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











