Toquay Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.34° S 144.32° E

Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 09 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Toquay Reef sea temperature is
13.6°C
0.6° 

Toquay Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Toquay Reef surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 18s period, SW swell with 7,440 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Thu 10th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 17s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 10th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 17s
Most Powerful 4PM (Wed 9th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a solid 16-day window of surf on offer here, but it’s a real mixed bag of conditions. The standout is definitely Toquay Reef, and it’s going to dish up some serious moments if you play the tides right. The water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is bang on average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real action kicks off on Wednesday morning, but honestly, it’s a tough one. We’ve got a 8ft SSW swell with a very long 16-second period, but that 30 km/h cross-onshore wind is going to turn it into a lumpy, messy affair. The combined wave energy is huge (4835), but it’s just not clean. Not worth paddling out for. Wednesday afternoon brings a bigger 12ft SW swell with an even longer 18-second period and energy going through the roof (13075), but the cross-shore wind is still a problem. It’s marginal at best.

Thursday is more of the same – decent swell sizes hanging around, but the wind is a constant issue. It’s a good time to sit on the beach and watch.

Now, Friday morning, 11 September, is where things get interesting. The swell drops to a clean 6ft from the SSW, with a 15-second period, and the wind goes glassy. Dead calm. That’s a rare treat for a reef break. The combined energy is still a respectable 1297, and for experienced surfers, this is the window. The sets will be long and clean, but that long period means the waves will be powerful and might break a bit straight at certain spots. Still, this is a major positive.

Saturday morning, 12 September, is another good call. Clear skies, 6ft SSW swell, 15-second period, and a light 10 km/h cross-offshore breeze from the NNE. That’s clean, organized surf. The energy is 1340, and it’s a prime session for the intermediate crew.

The pulse starts to fade through Sunday and Monday, with the swell dropping under 4ft. Then we get a bit of a lull, but don’t tune out.

Tuesday, 15 September, sees a new SSW swell pulse back up to 7ft, but the wind swings onshore again, making it choppy. Not our best friend.

Now, the real standout of the entire forecast is shaping up for Saturday, 19 September. The morning session is a gem. We’re looking at 6ft of SSW swell, a 13-second period, and glassy conditions. Zero wind. The combined energy is 1115, and the reef will be clean and lined up. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

Then, on Tuesday, 22 September, we get a beauty. The morning has 5ft of SW swell, a very long 17-second period, and a clean cross-offshore breeze. The energy is 1553. By the afternoon, the wind goes fully offshore from the NW, with 5ft of SW swell and a 16-second period. That’s a dream scenario for a point or reef. The sets will be long and powerful.

The final big event is on Wednesday, 23 September. The afternoon session is a monster. A 10ft SW swell with an 18-second period and a combined energy reading of 10279 – that’s a massive amount of power. The wind is light cross-onshore, so it’s not perfect, but for experts, this is a serious, heavy day. This is not for the faint of heart. The wave energy is extreme.

So, to sum it up: if you want the best glass, aim for Friday morning, 11 September, or Saturday morning, 19 September. If you want the biggest, most powerful swell of the period, you’re looking at the afternoon of Wednesday, 23 September, but it’s strictly for the experienced crew. Crowds are always a possibility at Toquay Reef, so get in early.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed morning, calm by Fri night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
6
3
4
1
4
4
2
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
1
0
4
1
1
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SSW
16
3.5
SW
18
3
SSW
17
2.5
SSW
16
2.2
SSW
16
1.8
SSW
15
1.7
SSW
15
2
SSW
16
2
SSW
16
1.7
SSW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.3
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
1
SW
15
0.8
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
0.5
SW
13
1.9
SW
10
2
SSW
14
1.9
SSW
14
1.6
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3102
7440
5177
3272
2389
1447
1297
1856
1928
1255
1019
783
597
453
255
147
85
660
1509
1272
988
Wind (km/h)
30
SSW
25
SSW
15
SSW
15
SSW
20
S
10
WSW
5
S
10
SSE
0
WNW
10
NNE
5
ENE
10
NNW
20
N
20
NNW
15
NNW
20
WNW
25
WSW
15
WSW
20
SSW
20
S
0
SSE
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
on
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
8:32PM1.49m
10:28AM1.62m
10:16PM1.52m
11:30AM1.68m
11:38PM1.64m
12:19PM1.75m
00:41AM1.78m
1:01PM1.80m
1:32AM1.89m
1:38PM1.84m
2:15AM1.97m
2:13PM1.85m
2:55AM1.99m
Low Tide
3:00PM0.97m
3:26AM0.45m
4:31PM0.86m
4:50AM0.47m
5:39PM0.68m
5:58AM0.45m
6:31PM0.49m
6:52AM0.44m
7:14PM0.33m
7:38AM0.43m
7:53PM0.21m
8:19AM0.45m
8:29PM0.14m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:33
6:31
6:31
6:28
6:26
6:26
6:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:07
6:07
6:07
6:08
6:09
6:10
6:12
 mm
Temp °C
12
11
10
12
12
11
14
13
11
16
19
16
22
23
20
20
19
12
12
12
10
Feels °C
5
5
5
8
7
9
11
10
9
14
17
15
17
19
17
16
14
8
6
7
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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