Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, Rusty here. Let’s get into the forecast for Toquay Reef. This spot is a very consistent reef open to the SW. Water temps are about average for now. The real standout is Monday, July 13th. That morning we’ve got a massive 13-foot swell from the SW, with a 14-second period and a huge wave energy of 9561. That’s a lot of power. The wind is a moderate cross-off at 16 mph, so it’s going to be big, raw, and only for the experts. The afternoon drops to 10-foot but stays strong. That’s the session to beat.

Saturday, July 4th kicks things off with a 11-foot SW swell in the morning, 13-second period, very strong energy (4839), but the wind is a moderate cross-off at 13 mph. It’s messy and tide-dependent. By afternoon, it drops to 8-foot, with cross wind and cross-chop.

Sunday, July 5th is a total loss. Onshore winds and a 8-foot SSW swell at 17 seconds, but the wind is straight onshore, making it poor.

Monday, July 6th looks better. The morning has a 4-foot SSW groundswell at 14 seconds with moderate energy (801). Wind is cross-off at 6 mph, making it clean and small. Afternoon drops to 4-foot with a light cross-on breeze.

Tuesday, July 7th morning is a gem. Glassy conditions with a 4-foot SW swell at a very long 17 seconds. Energy at 1145. This is going to be clean, lined up, and fun for experienced surfers. The afternoon turns cross-on.

From Wednesday, July 8th through Thursday, July 16th, expect a run of smaller SW groundswells, mostly 3 to 5 foot. The cleanest mornings will be Wednesday the 8th (4-foot, 18-second period) and Tuesday the 14th afternoon (7-foot, 15-second period, clean cross-off). The water temp anomaly is negligible, so nothing to note there.

Now, the big highlight: Monday, July 13th. That morning’s 13-foot SW swell with 9561 energy is just massive. Even with the cross-off wind at 16 mph, the reef will be handling serious power. That is the standout, but it’s for experts only.

After the 14th, the swell fades. Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th have 5 to 5-foot SSW swell with long periods of 14 to 17 seconds. Winds are light and variable, with some clean windows. Energy ranges from moderate 2357 to lighter 794.

There’s a lull from Friday, July 17th to Saturday, July 18th, with swell dropping below 3 foot. Then a small, clean window on Sunday morning, July 19th, with a 3-foot SW swell at 15 seconds and a light cross-off breeze. Good for a small-wave session.

Crowds are *sometimes* an issue, so the glassy Tuesday and the Monday big-wave day might draw a few more heads, but it’s not usually packed.

In the second week, the pattern is smaller and less certain. Thursday the 16th morning still has a 5-foot 17-second SSW groundswell with 2357 energy and light cross-shore winds, so that’s worth a look if you’re around, but it’s a long ways out.

Bottom line: circle Tuesday, July 7th for the clean glass, and Monday, July 13th for the massive expert juice. The rest is a mix of small to medium fun.

Rusty.

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