Surf Forecasts:
Toquay Reef surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 15s period, SSW swell with 1,571 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 1.9m 15s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Toquay Reef.
We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s a nice window of clean surf coming through. The water is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, nothing weird going on there.
The real standout this week is Friday, the 17th. We’ve got a solid 5ft to 5ft groundswell from the SW with a very long period of 16 seconds. That’s proper energy pushing in (combined energy 1368 to 1202), and with light offshore winds from the NNW on Friday morning going glassy from the NW by afternoon, it’s going to be clean as a whistle. This is a reef setup, so that long period will wrap in nicely, giving you some good shape. It’s a bit punchy for beginners though – over 5ft – so this is more for the experienced crew. Crowds are possible here at times, so get out there early.
Saturday the 18th is still a good call, but it’s dropping. Morning has 3ft from the SW with a 14-second period, clean offshore NW wind, and the afternoon goes glassy with 3ft. It’s smaller, but still fun and clean.
The surf drops right off from Sunday the 19th into the middle of the following week. We’re looking at tiny waves, 2ft to 3ft, through to Wednesday the 23rd. It’s surfable if you’re desperate, but really ordinary.
Things start to perk up again on Thursday the 23rd afternoon and into Friday the 24th. The swell bumps back up to 5ft-6ft from the SW with a 15-second period. The wind is cross-offshore, so it’s clean, but the notes say the tide could be a bit tricky. That Friday afternoon (24th) looks like the next best session with 6ft of SSW swell and a 15-second period, combined energy at 1095, and gentle cross-offshore breeze. Clean and punchy for the experienced.
We get a few more days of smaller, clean surf (3ft to 5ft) right through to the end of the month, but then the forecast gets interesting near the start of August. Thursday the 30th of July we’re looking at a big pulse: 12ft from the SW with a 12-second period, but the wind is cross-offshore and pretty strong. That’s expert-only territory, and the energy is massive (4159). The tide could be a factor.
Then Friday the 31st of July shows a proper monster: 13ft from the SW with a 16-second period. The combined energy is a staggering 10859. But the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s going to be a bit lumpy. That’s big, powerful, and only for the absolute top-shelf crew. For most of us, that’s a watch-from-the-cliff day.
So, to wrap it up: Friday the 17th and the afternoon of Friday the 24th are your best bets for quality, clean waves. The big stuff at the end of the month is for experts only.
Stay safe, and I’ll see you in the water.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 11 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1550 | 1492 | 1059 | 1271 | 1115 | 606 | 382 | 250 | 136 | 82 | 68 | 109 | 161 | 107 | 74 | 95 | 305 | 250 | 148 | 146 | 190 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | glassy | off | glassy | off | off | glassy | off | off | glassy | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:04PM1.99m | 00:38AM1.70m | 1:51PM2.03m | 1:42AM1.76m | 2:34PM2.05m | 2:41AM1.81m | 3:14PM2.04m | 3:35AM1.82m | 3:51PM1.99m | 4:25AM1.80m | 4:26PM1.92m | 5:13AM1.75m | 4:59PM1.82m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:07PM0.73m | 7:06AM0.08m | 7:59PM0.56m | 8:01AM0.13m | 8:47PM0.42m | 8:50AM0.22m | 9:31PM0.30m | 9:36AM0.34m | 10:13PM0.24m | 10:20AM0.48m | 10:53PM0.23m | 11:01AM0.63m | 11:32PM0.26m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 1550 | 1492 | 1059 | 1271 | 1115 | 606 | 382 | 250 | 136 | 71 | 68 | 63 | 161 | 107 | 74 | 95 | 305 | 250 | 148 | 146 | 190 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | S 15 | — | — | SSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SSW 10 | SW 10 | SSW 10 | WSW 13 | SSW 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
| kJ | 142 | 46 | 17 | 97 | 87 | 4 | — | — | 49 | 82 | 39 | 109 | 38 | 24 | 9 | 33 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SW 12 | E 11 | WSW 12 | E 10 | SSW 10 | E 10 | — | S 13 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | 37 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 2 | — | 3 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NW 2 | — | — | — | NW 3 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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