Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Toquay Reef over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, Tuesday morning and afternoon are a bit of a write-off, with the combined swell energy sitting at 481 and 666 (moderate) and the wind making things messy. The water is 57°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing wild.

We’ve got a solid run of surfable days, but the real standout is going to be Friday the 7th. That afternoon, the wind goes glassy – dead calm, zero wind. The swell is 3 ft from the SW, with a long 15-second period, and the combined energy is 614 (moderate). It’s a reef break, so that long period will wrap in nicely. The water temp is still normal, and with the crowds only “sometimes” here, you might get a few waves to yourself. That’s a top pick.

Saturday the 8th is also clean, with a 4 ft SW swell and 16-second period, and the combined energy is 574 (moderate) in the morning. But the wind is a cross-off, so not quite as perfect as the glassy Friday.

Sunday the 9th is a write-off – strong breeze at 25 mph, with combined energy dropping to 260 (weak). Avoid it.

Now, Monday the 10th through to Wednesday the 12th sees a bigger pulse. Monday afternoon has a 6 ft SW swell with 17-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 3487 (strong). The wind is cross-off, so it’s clean but the swell is getting up. Tuesday the 11th afternoon has a 6 ft SW swell with 14-second period, combined energy 1463 (strong), and the wind is offshore but strong at 25 mph – that’s hard to paddle into, and at 6 ft it’s pushing into intermediate territory. Wednesday the 12th has a 7 ft SW swell, 16-second period, combined energy 2242 (strong), with offshore wind but again at 19 mph, so it’s clean but serious.

Now, for the experts: Thursday the 13th morning is a beast – 16 ft SW swell, 16-second period, combined energy a massive 16578 (very strong). The wind is gentle offshore, but that swell is way too big for this break, so it’s a no-go for anyone. Thursday afternoon, though, comes down to 8 ft from the SSW, still 16-second period, combined energy 3880 (strong), and gentle offshore wind. That’s excellent for experienced surfers who know the reef.

Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th are also for the crew with a bit of experience. Friday afternoon is glassy, 7 ft SW swell, 16-second period, combined energy 2520 (strong). Saturday morning is 8 ft SSW, 16-second period, combined energy 3281 (strong), with gentle offshore wind. All clean, all powerful.

After that, the swell backs off. Sunday the 16th is glassy again in the afternoon, 3 ft SW, 14-second period, combined energy 596 (moderate). Monday the 17th is clean with 4 ft SW, 15-second period, combined energy 641 (moderate). Then Tuesday the 18th drops right off – 2 ft to 2 ft, combined energy 200 to 280 (weak), with moderate breeze, so that’s a gap.

Wednesday the 19th picks up a little, 4 ft SW, 15-second period, combined energy 735 (moderate), but the wind is a fresh breeze at 19 mph in the afternoon, so it’s not the best.

Overall, the best of the bunch is that glassy Friday the 7th afternoon – 3 ft, clean, and a reef break set up for a long-period swell. For the bigger stuff, the experienced surfers will want Thursday the 13th afternoon through to Saturday the 15th.

Rusty.

Read more