Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at the surf coming up for the Toquay Reef (Torquay-Reef-Point) stretch. The water's sitting at 56°F which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The opening days are going to be a bit of a wrestle. Wednesday afternoon has some size at 12ft on a long 18s SW groundswell, and there's a serious amount of energy behind it (13683). But the southwest wind is blowing 31 mph straight across it, making it messy. Thursday's still got some push, 8ft dropping to 7ft, but the wind just doesn’t play ball, staying cross and choppy. This isn't the clean, lined-up reef we want; it's more of a battle.

Friday isn't much better with the onshore wind, but the tide and the inconsistent swell will make it a grovel. The first real window of opportunity comes early Saturday morning. The swell has backed off a touch to 6ft from the SSW, but the wind turns light and cross-offshore. The water will be clean and the reef will have some shape. It's not huge, but it's surfable and a whole lot better than what we've had.

Sunday is smaller again, around the 3ft mark, but still clean. Monday drops right off, and the poor conditions start. We're looking at tiny 2ft leftovers for Monday with a bit more wind. That's a flat spell for sure. Tuesday sees a pulse of new SW energy (6ft) but the wind is back on it, making it ordinary.

Now, keep your eyes on the prize here. The standout is next Wednesday morning, September 16. The wind goes glassy, absolutely dead. The swell is a clean 6ft at 16 seconds from the SSW, pushing 2101 wave energy. This is the one where the reef will be doing its thing, and it'll be worth getting out of bed for.

Thursday the 17th is also promising—a decent 5ft with a moderate offshore breeze, keeping it clean. Friday the 18th morning has more size at 8ft but the wind picks up from the southwest again, making it a lumpy choice.

After that, the surf fades in and out of the 3-5ft range for the rest of the run. There’s a bit of a glassy morning on the 20th with small, clean 4ft waves and a light offshore, but the size just isn’t there. The long-range forecast for around the 24th has some swell moving through again, but it’s a week and a half out, so just chalk that up as promising, not certain. The second week is all about smaller, cleaner windows rather than any real size.

Overall, Saturday morning is your first salvageable session, but Wednesday the 16th is the clear standout. Next Thursday the 17th morning is your other good bet. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or both.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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