Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya. Let's have a good look at what Toquay Reef has cookin' for us over the next couple of weeks. This is a reef break that loves a solid SW groundswell and the good news is, there's plenty of that on the way. The water is sitting at 57°F which is pretty much spot on for this time of year – no surprise there.

Right now, through this weekend, the surf is a bit of a mixed bag. Saturday morning the 25th we've got a big 12ft SW groundswell rolling in with a 12-second period. That’s a lot of ocean moving, with the energy reading way up at 5068 (strong). Problem is, the wind is a cross-off from the WSW at 12 mph, and the call is that it's marginal. It's big, but not necessarily clean. Saturday afternoon the swell drops back to 6ft but the energy is still decent. Sunday is small, with the swell down around 4ft to 4ft. The wind does turn light offshore from the WNW on Sunday afternoon, which would make for some clean little waves.

Monday the 27th is a drop-off – swell under 3ft and a building north wind, so that's a write-off. Tuesday the 28th is even worse with a fresh breeze and poor surf. So there's a real dry spell there from Sunday afternoon until Wednesday morning.

Now, things get interesting on Wednesday the 29th of July. A massive 15ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period shows up. The combined energy is absolutely thumping at 10841 (very strong). But here's the thing – that is just too much water for this reef. The forecast says it's too big for the break, and on top of that, the wind is cross-shore. This is one for the experts only, and even then it's iffy. Wednesday afternoon sees a drop to 7ft, still not ideal.

The surf starts to settle into a better rhythm from Thursday the 30th. The swell is a much more manageable 4ft to 4ft from the SSW with a 13-second period, and that wind is a light cross-off. It's clean and there's a good forecast for it.

But the real standout is Friday the 31st of July. The morning sees a clean 4ft SSW swell with a 12-second period and a gentle offshore wind. Then, Friday afternoon gets glassy. The wind drops to 3 mph from the WNW, and the swell firms up to 5ft from the SSW with a 14-second period. The energy is solid at 1050 (moderate). That is going to be an absolutely beautiful, clean session on the reef. The crowds are sometimes a factor here, so get on it early.

If that wasn't enough, the weekend of the 1st and 2nd of August is the true highlight. Saturday the 1st of August pumps all day. Morning sees a 7ft SSW swell with a massive 18-second period, and the wind is gentle offshore from the NW. The energy reading is a huge 3351 (strong). By the afternoon, it’s still at 8ft with the same long period and clean offshore wind (4580 energy). This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. Sunday the 2nd of August is more of the same – a 8ft to 8ft SSW swell with 16 to 17-second periods. The wind stays offshore or cross-off, keeping it clean. Sunday afternoon looks particularly good with a gentle offshore breeze.

After that big pulse, the surf tails off. There’s a gap of a few days with smaller, weaker swell from the 3rd to the 6th. The 3rd and 4th are marginal with some clean conditions but not much power. By the 5th and 6th it’s dropping to below 3ft.

Then, another big one shows up on Saturday the 8th of August. An 12ft SW groundswell with a 13-second period returns. The energy is a massive 5514 (very strong) and the wind is light. This is an exceptional setup for experts, but that same afternoon it jumps to 15ft with a cross-shore wind, and it's too big again. The 9th of August is then blown out with strong, lumpy winds.

So, what's the call? If you want the absolute best, you're looking at Friday the 31st of July afternoon for that glassy, clean 5ft wave. For a bigger, punchier session, the whole weekend of the 1st and 2nd of August is a winner with clean offshores on a long-period SSW groundswell – just remember, 8ft is getting into expert-only territory. The long period (15-18 seconds) means these swells will really stand up and wrap nicely around the point at Toquay Reef. It's a consistent break, so it doesn't stay flat for long.

Rusty.

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