
Surf Forecasts:
Toquay Reef surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 19s period, SSW swell with 5,811 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with the long-range look at what's coming down the line for us. This is a classic case of waiting through the rough to get to the reward, so don't write the whole period off just yet.
Right now, we're dealing with a heap of energy from a strong SSW groundswell, but the wind is a mess. Wednesday morning is a write-off with a stiff 30 km/h cross-onshore making a mess of a solid 8ft swell. The afternoon cleans up a touch but is still lumpy. That same sloppy cross-shore wind hangs around through Thursday, although the swell stays solid at 8ft on the morning before dropping a bit. You won't see me out there; it's just too choppy and the quality isn't there.
Now, if you’re an experienced surfer, Friday the 11th is your first real chance. The wind drops to a glassy 5 km/h, and we’ve got a clean 5ft SSW groundswell rolling in with heaps of energy (1087). This is a reef break, so that long 15-second period is going to set up nicely, not too straight. It’s an intermediate spot, but at this size it’s best left for the crew who know what they're doing. The crowds can pop up here sometimes, but the conditions should be worth sharing a few waves for.
We get an even better window on Saturday the 12th. Light cross-offshore breezes all day with clean 6ft surf in the morning dropping to a smaller, cleaner 5ft by the afternoon. It’s not huge, but the quality will be there.
The surf drops right off Sunday the 13th and through Monday, bottoming out with barely a ripple by Monday afternoon. We’re looking at a couple of flat days before things kick back off.
Here’s where it gets interesting again. Tuesday the 15th sees a solid jump back to 10ft, but it's cross-on and choppy again - not great. Then Wednesday the 16th is a standout morning. Clean, offshore 10 km/h winds from the WNW, with a powerful 6ft SW groundswell packing over 2800 combined energy. That long 17-second period means smooth, powerful sets peeling down the reef. Conditions are excellent for experienced surfers, and given the quality, you’ll want to be in the water early. The afternoon holds up but gets a little cross-shore bump.
Thursday the 17th is another beauty, with clean, light winds and 6ft SSW swell staying consistent. We then ease through the end of the week into smaller, clean waves before another pulse arrives.
The weekend of the 19th and 20th looks promising. Saturday the 19th has a solid 7ft pushing up to 8ft with clean conditions, and Sunday the 20th offers another clean 8ft SW swell in the afternoon. The week after that, look out for Wednesday the 23rd. That morning is the best call of the whole outlook: a clean 7ft SW swell, 18-second period, gentle cross-offshore breeze, and the combined energy reading a strong 3191. The quality should be phenomenal on the reef.
Overall, there are a few days to skip, but plenty of windows for good waves. Keep an eye on the wind, and pencil in the 16th and the 23rd as the top picks.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue night, calm by Thu night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 7 | SW 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
5577 | 2887 | 4987 | 5177 | 3506 | 2389 | 1447 | 1087 | 1608 | 1928 | 1271 | 1019 | 803 | 581 | 331 | 251 | 144 | 93 | 542 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:09AM1.59m | 8:32PM1.49m | 10:28AM1.62m | 10:16PM1.52m | 11:30AM1.68m | 11:38PM1.64m | 12:19PM1.75m | 00:41AM1.78m | 1:01PM1.80m | 1:32AM1.89m | 1:38PM1.84m | 2:15AM1.97m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:00AM0.37m | 3:00PM0.97m | 3:26AM0.45m | 4:31PM0.86m | 4:50AM0.47m | 5:39PM0.68m | 5:58AM0.45m | 6:31PM0.49m | 6:52AM0.44m | 7:14PM0.33m | 7:38AM0.43m | 7:53PM0.21m | |||||||
— | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 17 | 18 | 11 |
Feels °C | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 9 |
1449 | 1454 | 4987 | 5177 | 3506 | 2389 | 1447 | 1087 | 1608 | 1928 | 1271 | 1019 | 803 | 581 | 331 | 251 | 144 | 84 | 266 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 20 | S 19 | — | — | S 15 | — | — | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 16 | — | S 17 | S 16 | NNE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | SW 7 | SW 18 |
— | 279 | 339 | — | — | 109 | — | — | 193 | 168 | 89 | — | 52 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 49 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 19 | SW 19 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | 14 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | NW 3 | NNW 2 | WNW 2 | WSW 7 | SW 9 |
5577 | 2887 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 93 | 542 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 570 | 1541 | 1 | 72 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










