Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming our way for Toquay Reef.

Overall, we're looking at a solid run of surf kicking off this Wednesday, with a real standout event shaping up a week and a half out. The water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is pretty much spot on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The action starts Wednesday morning, 15 July. It's a bit cloudy with a cross-off breeze from the WNW at 9 mph. The swell is a clean 6ft out of the SW, with a very long period of 15 seconds. This is proper groundswell, and the energy is strong. By the afternoon, the wind lightens, the swell drops a touch to 5ft, and it's still looking excellent for experienced surfers.

Thursday, 16 July, is where it gets really good. Morning brings clear skies, a lighter WSW breeze at 6 mph, and the swell bumps up to 6ft from the SSW. Then Thursday afternoon? Glorious. The wind goes glassy, dropping to a dead calm 3 mph from the south. The swell is still a solid 6ft from the SW with a 15-second period. This is the kind of afternoon you call in sick for.

Friday, 17 July, keeps the quality high. Morning offshore from the NW at 6 mph with a 5ft SW swell, 16-second period. Friday afternoon gets even better – glassy conditions with a light WNW breeze, 5ft swell, and that same long period. Magic.

The waves start to ease off over the weekend. Saturday, 18 July, is smaller but clean, with a 3ft swell in the morning going glassy to 3ft in the afternoon. Sunday, 19 July, drops right off to 2ft, and from there we hit a quiet patch. Monday and Tuesday of the following week are small and weak. Not worth paddling out for.

Now, here's the standout. We have a gap of a few small days, and then things get interesting again. Thursday, 23 July, the swell starts to rebuild to 4ft. But the real event is Friday, 24 July. The afternoon session is an absolute monster. We're looking at a 13ft SW swell with a 15-second period and incredible energy. The wind is a light 6 mph cross-off from the WSW. This is exceptional, deep-water groundswell, but understand – at 13ft, this is for experts only. This is a seriously big, powerful swell hitting the reef.

Saturday, 25 July, remains big at 8ft, but the wind picks up and conditions get a bit messy. The swell stays in the 7ft range for Sunday and Monday, 26 and 27 July, with cross-shore winds, so it's not as clean as that Friday peak. The energy drops right back down after that, with a smaller, cleaner window on Tuesday, 28 July, and Wednesday, 29 July, offering some fun 3ft to 4ft waves with glassy conditions.

So, to sum it up: the best surf on offer is the Thursday afternoon glass-off on 16 July, and the absolute standout event is the Friday afternoon (24 July) monster 13ft swell. That's the one for the big-wave crew. For the rest of us, Thursday and Friday of this week are the pick.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

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