Surf Forecasts:
Toquay Reef surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 7,452 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 4.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey, Rusty here. Let's cut through the noise and talk about the next couple of weeks.
Water's sitting around 57°F right now, which is dead average for this time of year. Nothing to worry about there.
The first couple of days are a total bust for anything worth paddling out for. Things finally light up on Thursday the 3rd of September. Thursday morning, Toquay Reef is absolutely pumping, with 13ft of groundswell from the southwest. The wave energy is a massive 8086 – that's a serious amount of power. But with a 12 mph cross-offshore wind, it'll be clean. At that size, it's strictly for the big-wave chargers.
The real standout is Friday morning the 4th of September. The swell is still a solid 7ft from the southwest, but the secret is the wind. We've got a gentle offshore breeze at 9 mph, making for glassy, perfect conditions. The swell period is a long 16 seconds – pure, deep-ocean energy. This is the kind of day where the reef at Toquay just lights up. It's not a beginner wave at that size, but for the experienced surfer, this is your session. The best of the whole run.
The weekend goes to hell. Saturday the 5th brings howling 28 mph offshore winds. The ocean will be clean but nearly impossible to paddle into. Sunday and Monday are tiny and weak, with barely enough energy to stand up on.
Looking into the second week, the long-range picture looks promising but sketchy. The one to watch is Thursday the 10th of September. The models are showing a huge 10ft, 18-second SSW groundswell, with light winds again. The energy reading is a whopping 5854. That is an exceptional, expert-only day. Circle it on the calendar, but don't book the time off just yet.
Also of note, Monday the 14th of September brings a solid, clean swell with glassy conditions in the afternoon. A very good, very surfable day.
So, to wrap it up: a flat start, one epic Friday (4th), a monster day to watch on the 10th, and a bunch of average to poor days in between. Your best bet right now is the 4th of September.
- Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Thu night, strong winds from the WNW by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1135 | 1140 | 6374 | 2114 | 2794 | 2314 | 2133 | 1806 | 1105 | 1460 | 2614 | 902 | 651 | 358 | 234 | 295 | 306 | 1136 | 1061 | 906 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross | cross-on | glassy | off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:31AM1.96m | 3:17PM1.85m | 4:11AM1.96m | 3:49PM1.84m | 4:54AM1.92m | 4:24PM1.81m | 5:42AM1.84m | 5:04PM1.75m | 6:38AM1.73m | 5:53PM1.66m | 7:47AM1.64m | 6:58PM1.56m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:06PM0.15m | 9:29AM0.52m | 9:40PM0.08m | 10:05AM0.60m | 10:18PM0.05m | 10:44AM0.69m | 11:00PM0.07m | 11:26AM0.80m | 11:48PM0.15m | 12:18PM0.90m | 00:47AM0.26m | 1:27PM0.98m | 2:00AM0.37m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — |
 | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SSW 21 | SSW 8 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 1135 | 1140 | 1712 | 2114 | 2794 | 2314 | 2133 | 1806 | 1105 | 1460 | 1363 | 902 | 651 | 358 | 234 | 43 | 116 | 1136 | 1061 | 906 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | S 16 | — | S 16 | — | S 15 | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | WSW 18 | S 14 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | — |
| kJ | 85 | 124 | — | 43 | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 63 | 4 | 18 | 111 | 151 | 891 | 59 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | — | — | — | SW 20 | S 18 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | 306 | 6 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | NW 3 | SW 14 | W 3 | — | — | — | N 3 | WNW 4 | W 4 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | SSW 13 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 4 | 6374 | 5 | — | — | — | 8 | 23 | 27 | 2614 | — | — | — | — | 295 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 575 | 536 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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