Surf Forecasts:
Toquay Reef surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SW swell with 2,711 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break it down. Toquay Reef is a very consistent reef break that really likes a SW swell. The water temp is about normal for this time of year. The standout is Friday the 17th of July – we’ve got a 5ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, which is proper long-period energy, perfect for a reef. The wind is light offshore in the morning, turning glassy by the afternoon. That’s clean, powerful surf for experienced surfers. The combined energy is pumping (1368). This is the one to circle.
Saturday the 18th drops to 3ft to 3ft, with glassy afternoon conditions, but it’s a lot smaller. Good for a fun session on a bigger board. Sunday and Monday are tiny, around 2ft to 2ft – surfable but not great. Tuesday sees a small bump to 2ft to 3ft, with clean offshore winds, so it’s rideable but mellow.
Then things get messy. Wednesday the 22nd is small and clean but weak. Thursday the 23rd is a write-off – rain showers and a strong cross-shore wind with a 7ft, short-period (8 seconds) swell. That’s ugly. Friday the 24th looks a little better with a 7ft SW groundswell and moderate offshore wind, but it’s still marginal. Saturday the 25th starts messy and gets worse – a 8ft SW swell with a cross-onshore wind in the afternoon makes for poor, choppy conditions. Sunday the 26th is messy too.
Now, look at Monday the 27th of July. We’ve got a big 12ft SW groundswell with a 14-15 second period, and the combined energy is huge (5536 to 7390). The wind is cross-shore, so it’s not perfectly clean. That’s a serious, expert-only session. The afternoon looks even better in terms of quality.
The 30th of July morning has an 8ft SSW groundswell with glassy conditions – that’s a clean, powerful window for experts. The 31st also has clean 6ft to 6ft SSW groundswell with offshore winds.
So, the real standouts are Friday the 17th of July for clean, powerful surf, and Monday the 27th of July for the big, expert-level grind. The 30th of July morning is also a good one. There will be small, clean days in between, but the quality is on those dates. Crowds are possible at Toquay Reef, so get in early.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1059 | 1271 | 1115 | 606 | 382 | 250 | 136 | 70 | 68 | 109 | 161 | 107 | 132 | 198 | 253 | 127 | 118 | 90 | 210 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | off | glassy | off | off | glassy | off | off | glassy | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:38AM1.70m | 1:51PM2.03m | 1:42AM1.76m | 2:34PM2.05m | 2:41AM1.81m | 3:14PM2.04m | 3:35AM1.82m | 3:51PM1.99m | 4:25AM1.80m | 4:26PM1.92m | 5:13AM1.75m | 4:59PM1.82m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:06AM0.08m | 7:59PM0.56m | 8:01AM0.13m | 8:47PM0.42m | 8:50AM0.22m | 9:31PM0.30m | 9:36AM0.34m | 10:13PM0.24m | 10:20AM0.48m | 10:53PM0.23m | 11:01AM0.63m | 11:32PM0.26m | |||||||
 |  | |  | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 12 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 1059 | 1271 | 1115 | 606 | 382 | 250 | 136 | 70 | 68 | 64 | 161 | 107 | 132 | 198 | 253 | 127 | 118 | 90 | 210 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | S 15 | — | — | SSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | E 11 | SSW 10 | E 10 | WSW 13 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
| kJ | 17 | 97 | 87 | 4 | — | — | 79 | 64 | 39 | 109 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 63 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | SSW 19 | WSW 12 | E 12 | WSW 12 | E 11 | E 10 | — | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | 37 | 14 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NNW 2 | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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