
Surf Forecasts:
Toquay Reef surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, SSW swell with 8,132 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 2.2m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks at Toquay Reef.
Straight up, this is a solid reef break (SW optimum) that’s very consistent, so we’ve got plenty to talk about. The water temp is sitting at about 57° right now, about average for early September, so that's pretty standard.
There’s a bit of a wait for the good stuff. The first few pulses are just too big for this break. Thursday the 3rd has a big 13ft to 15ft SW groundswell with strong energy (8327 to 9147) and cross-off winds, but it’s just too overwhelming. Friday the 4th though, that’s our first standout. Morning and afternoon have a clean 7ft SW groundswell, dropping to 7ft. Period is a juicy 16 seconds with gentle NW offshore wind. Wave energy is still strong (2357-2133). Excellent for experienced surfers, and that clean offshore flow is going to make it real tidy. The reef will handle that long period nicely.
Saturday the 5th gets messy. A 5ft to 7ft SW swell with very strong offshore winds (25 mph in the morning) makes it clean but brutal to paddle into. More for the hard-core crew, or watch from the cliff. Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th drop in size and quality, with the 7th afternoon getting junky (6ft, short 8s period, cross-onshore).
Now, here’s the real highlight: Tuesday the 8th morning. This is the absolute pick of the run. You’ve got 5ft of SSW groundswell with an 18-second period – that’s some serious juice (energy 2293). The wind is basically glassy out of the west. The water will be clean as. It’s sized for experienced surfers only, but the conditions near-perfect for this reef.
After that, it gets a bit onshore and choppy mid-week (9th to 10th) with another big pulse (10ft, 21s period on the 9th afternoon – too big and blown out). The 10th has 10ft SSW swell and only light cross-shore wind, still marginal for quality. The 11th and 12th drop right back below 5ft but with mixed winds.
The second week shows some promise but has less certainty. The 15th Tuesday morning has a punchy 5ft SW groundswell with 18s period and fresh offshore NW wind (energy 1445). Good for experts. Then Wednesday morning the 16th is another nice looking window: 4ft SW with 15s period and gentle offshore WNW wind. Clean.
We finish the run on Friday the 18th with a clean 6ft SSW groundswell (15s period) and gentle NNW offshore wind in the afternoon. That’s a solid end to the 16 days.
To wrap it: Friday the 4th and Tuesday morning the 8th are the standouts. Crowds are possible here sometimes, but with that size on Tuesday it’ll keep the crowds light.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Thu night, strong winds from the WNW by Sat morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 8 | SW 20 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 21 | SSW 19 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
6725 | 6990 | 2794 | 2314 | 2133 | 1806 | 1133 | 1900 | 4306 | 475 | 497 | 364 | 234 | 434 | 306 | 1339 | 1207 | 906 | 1588 | 6736 | 7758 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 3:17PM1.85m | 4:11AM1.96m | 3:49PM1.84m | 4:54AM1.92m | 4:24PM1.81m | 5:42AM1.84m | 5:04PM1.75m | 6:38AM1.73m | 5:53PM1.66m | 7:47AM1.64m | 6:58PM1.56m | 9:09AM1.59m | 8:32PM1.49m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:40PM0.08m | 10:05AM0.60m | 10:18PM0.05m | 10:44AM0.69m | 11:00PM0.07m | 11:26AM0.80m | 11:48PM0.15m | 12:18PM0.90m | 00:47AM0.26m | 1:27PM0.98m | 2:00AM0.37m | 3:00PM0.97m | 3:26AM0.45m | ||||||||
6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
— | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | S 16 | SW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 21 | S 7 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 21 | SSW 19 |
1602 | 2114 | 2794 | 2314 | 2133 | 1806 | 1133 | 45 | 1307 | 475 | 497 | 364 | 234 | 69 | 131 | 1339 | 1207 | 906 | 1588 | 6736 | 7758 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 16 | S 15 | S 16 | — | — | NNE 4 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | S 14 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 9 | SW 18 | S 17 | S 16 | SSW 24 | S 17 | S 22 |
— | 43 | 74 | 43 | — | — | 7 | — | — | 248 | 106 | 4 | 18 | 112 | 147 | 786 | 52 | 20 | 222 | 283 | 1116 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | SW 18 | W 24 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 13 | — | — | S 17 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | 12 | 11 | — | — | 306 | 168 | — | — | 49 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | — | NNE 4 | NW 4 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | — | WNW 2 | WSW 3 | SSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6725 | 6990 | — | — | — | 10 | 20 | 1900 | 4306 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 434 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 575 | 536 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 515 | 625 | 1380 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










