Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Toquay Reef over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a pretty solid run of surf on the way, but you’ll have to be patient through the first couple of days because it’s a bit raw. The big story early on is size, but the wind isn’t doing us any favours. The real quality window kicks off at the very end of the month and runs well into the first week of August, with cleaner conditions and that long-period groundswell doing the work.

Thursday 23rd July kicks things off with a chunky 12 ft to 13 ft SW swell, period hanging around 14 seconds. That’s a lot of water moving, with combined energy sitting at 6859 to 7834 (moderate to strong). The wind is cross-off from the W and WSW at 12 to 16 mph, so the surface will be clean, but that’s a hefty size for a reef—definitely one for the experienced crew. Water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

Friday 24th July has more of the same, maybe a touch cleaner. Morning drops to 8 ft from the SSW with a 15-second period, then afternoon bumps back up to 13 ft SW. Combined energy hits 8240 (strong) in the arvo. Still cross-off wind, still big. The waves will have serious grunt, but you’ll want to know the reef well.

Saturday 25th July eases a bit—7 ft in the morning, then 10 ft in the afternoon, both from the SW. Period drops to 13 seconds, so a bit less energy. Wind swings lighter, especially in the afternoon with a gentle breeze. Clean waves, but still on the bigger side for most.

Sunday 26th July sees a definite drop in size, down to 4 ft to 4 ft, with combined energy falling right off to 346 and 284 (weak). Afternoon goes offshore with light WNW wind at 6 mph, and the wave comment suggests good conditions. But it’s small—only one for a longboard or a foiler.

There’s a flat spell from Monday 27th July through to Thursday 30th July. Waves are below 5 ft, with energy barely cracking 400 in that period. Winds are mostly cross-off or light, but there isn’t enough swell to get excited about. Monday 27th has a fresh offshore breeze in the morning, but it’s only 3 ft—more of a paddle than a session.

Friday 31st July is where things start to turn. Morning is small at 3 ft, but the afternoon goes glassy with WNW wind at 0 mph, combined energy 304 (weak). It’s small, but the conditions are perfect.

Now, the standout window—Saturday 1st August through Monday 3rd August. This is the one. Swell sits at 4 ft to 5 ft from the SW, with a gorgeous 15-second period. That’s proper groundswell. Combined energy is around 712 to 885 (moderate). Winds are offshore or glassy, most of the time gentle or light. This is clean, lined-up reef surf at a size that’s fun for intermediates and better. The swell direction (SW) is right in the optimum for the break. There could be crowds here sometimes, but with quality like this, it’s worth it. The water is about average temp.

Tuesday 4th and Wednesday 5th August are still surfable but a bit more mixed. Size holds around 3 ft to 4 ft, with periods dropping to 13 seconds. Winds stay mostly cross-off or moderate offshore. Clean enough, but the energy drops. Wednesday afternoon looks decent with 4 ft and a 14-second period.

Thursday 6th August is another highlight. Morning brings 5 ft from the SW with a 16-second period, combined energy 1487 (moderate to strong). The wave comment says excellent for experienced surfers. Afternoon goes glassy with a 5 ft 15-second swell. That’s world-class conditions for those who know the reef.

Friday 7th August wraps it up with 5 ft SW swell, a 17-second period, combined energy 1203 (moderate). Clean conditions in the morning. That’s a very long period, so the waves will be powerful, lined-up, and with long lulls between sets. Perfect for a reef like Toquay.

Best on offer: Saturday 1st to Monday 3rd August, and Thursday 6th August. That’s where everything lines up—good size, long period, and clean winds. The window from late July into early August is promising, but those dates are the ones to circle.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

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