Toquay Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.34° S 144.32° E

Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 14 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Toquay Reef sea temperature is
14.1°C
1.2° 

Toquay Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Toquay Reef surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 20 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, WSW swell with 3,664 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 17 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 15s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 4.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 17th Sep)6ft (1.9m) 15s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 17th Sep)6ft (1.9m) 15s
Most Powerful 4PM (Sun 20th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for the Toquay Reef (reef) stretch over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we've got a solid pulse of SW swell rollin' in. The energy is moderate to strong at 3456, but Tuesday's got a 25 km/h WSW cross-off wind. The waves are a chunky 8 ft with a long 13-second period. It's clean, but that's a lot of water for a reef break, so this one's for the experienced crew only. Water temp is about average for this time of year, no big surprises there.

Wednesday and Thursday are write-offs with onshore winds and chop – the swell holds but the wind's a shocker.

The First Standout – Friday 18th September

Alright, now we're talkin'. Friday morning and afternoon deliver the first true standout. We've got a 4 ft to 5 ft SW groundswell with a period stretching from 14 to a very long 16 seconds. The wind is a clean offshore from the NW at 12 mph. This is where that long period groundswell loves a reef – it'll groom the lines into proper shape. The wave energy is moderate at 1143 to 1747, and conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. If you've got the skills, this is your window.

Saturday eases back a touch with smaller 3 ft to 4 ft swell, but the offshore wind holds. It's clean, but not the size to get overly excited about. Sunday morning drops right off, then a bizarre pulse of 13 ft from the WSW arrives Sunday afternoon with a clean cross-off wind – but that's huge, with very strong energy at 4450. Only for the brave and expert, and the tide might mess with it.

The Big One – Saturday 26th September

Next week starts a bit messy, but the real standout arrives on the 26th of September. Saturday morning we've got 6 ft SSW groundswell with a 16-second period and a 3 mph offshore breeze – clean. But Saturday afternoon is the pick: 7 ft of SW swell with a massive 19-second period, a gentle offshore at 9 mph, and wave energy at 3343. This is as good as it gets for the reef. The crowd profile says it can get busy, so get in early. This is a long-range call, so keep an eye on it.

After that, Sunday the 27th turns ugly with rain and onshore winds, and the last few days of the month are nothing to write home about – a mix of cross-shore chop and small, weak swell.

So, in short: Friday 18th and Saturday 26th September are your two best bets. Mark the calendar.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon night, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue morning, calm by Thu afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Thu night, fresh winds from the NW by Sun morning).

Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
3
1
0
0
0
3
3
1
4
4
4
3
2
2
1
0
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SW
18
2.5
SW
13
2.4
SW
14
2.5
SSW
15
2.3
SSW
15
2.3
SSW
15
2
SSW
15
1.6
SSW
14
1.5
SSW
14
1.6
SSW
14
1.3
SSW
14
1.6
SW
16
1.4
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1
SW
13
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
15
4
WSW
12
1.5
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
54
2126
2233
2529
2324
2355
1763
1072
826
1057
663
1239
752
458
330
148
176
3664
614
Wind (km/h)
15
WSW
25
WSW
30
SW
25
SSW
25
S
25
SSW
15
SW
15
SW
15
S
15
NW
20
NW
20
NW
20
NW
20
WNW
20
NW
10
NNW
30
NNW
25
W
20
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
2:15AM1.97m
2:13PM1.85m
2:55AM1.99m
2:45PM1.84m
3:31AM1.96m
3:16PM1.80m
4:07AM1.90m
3:46PM1.74m
4:42AM1.81m
4:15PM1.67m
5:18AM1.70m
4:44PM1.58m
Low Tide
8:19AM0.45m
8:29PM0.14m
8:56AM0.49m
9:03PM0.13m
9:30AM0.55m
9:37PM0.16m
10:03AM0.63m
10:09PM0.23m
10:34AM0.72m
10:42PM0.31m
11:07AM0.82m
11:17PM0.41m
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:24
6:22
6:20
6:18
6:18
6:16
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:12
6:13
6:14
6:14
6:15
6:15
 mm
1
Temp °C
15
12
12
11
11
11
10
13
12
9
18
20
15
22
23
18
24
21
15
Feels °C
12
4
4
4
4
5
5
10
8
6
13
16
11
17
19
16
17
16
11
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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