Surf Forecasts:
Toquay Reef surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 17s period, SW swell with 2,162 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 1.9m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sun 16th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey, Rusty here with the lowdown on what’s cooking. We’ve got a pretty slow first part of the run, so don’t rush out. You gotta be patient, but the second week has some real juice that could make the wait worth it.
We’re starting at Toquay Reef. Water temp is right where it should be for this time of year, nothing to write home about. The first chance to really get a wave isn’t until Friday, August 21st. Before that, it's all small stuff – waves under 3ft, and a lot of onshore or cross-off breezes keeping things average. The swell energy is weak to moderate, reading between 439 and 89 for the middle of the week.
Friday the 21st finally shows some life. Expect a clean 3ft to 4ft SSW groundswell with a 12 to 14-second period and a light offshore breeze. The energy is up (977), and it’s looking very good. Saturday the 22nd brings more size, hitting 5ft to 6ft, but the wind gets tricky, turning cross-off and then cross-on, so it’ll be a bit messy. The swell energy is solid though, reaching 1436 by Saturday afternoon.
Now, for the real highlight. Sunday August 23rd is your day. Toquay Reef will have a pumping 6ft SW groundswell, a long 16 to 17-second period, and a solid offshore wind. The combined energy is strong at 1940 to 2032. This is excellent, powerful surf. At this size, it’s strictly for the experienced crew. The place can get a crowd sometimes, so get in early.
That big energy fades fast into the next week. Monday and Tuesday are rough with strong winds and lumpy conditions, and the size drops. Nothing to get excited about until later in the week.
Then we get another killer window on Saturday August 29th. The morning has a clean 3ft SSW swell with a light offshore, and then the afternoon goes perfectly glassy. We’re looking at a beautiful 5ft SW groundswell with an 18-second period, combined energy of 2027, and flat calm conditions. Absolute perfection on a reef, but again, that long period and size means it’s not for beginners.
Sunday the 30th and Monday the 31st offer clean, smaller waves around 2ft to 3ft with offshores. Good for a fun little session, but not a standout.
So, the plan is simple: wait out the early junk. The two big dates are Sunday August 23rd for a powerful, expert-only swell, and Saturday August 29th for glassy, world-class conditions. Don’t get too excited about the long-range stuff just yet, but it looks promising.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the NNE by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Wed afternoon, light winds from the NW by Thu night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 545 | 384 | 508 | 661 | 485 | 238 | 310 | 196 | 109 | 84 | 55 | 107 | 161 | 248 | 291 | 453 | 765 | 1041 | 1436 | 1314 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 2:32AM1.88m | 2:45PM1.97m | 3:19AM1.91m | 3:19PM1.94m | 4:01AM1.89m | 3:51PM1.88m | 4:41AM1.83m | 4:21PM1.80m | 5:20AM1.75m | 4:50PM1.71m | 6:00AM1.66m | 5:19PM1.62m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:24PM0.29m | 8:36AM0.34m | 9:03PM0.19m | 9:18AM0.42m | 9:40PM0.15m | 9:56AM0.52m | 10:16PM0.17m | 10:31AM0.63m | 10:50PM0.22m | 11:06AM0.74m | 11:24PM0.30m | 11:40AM0.86m | 00:01AM0.39m | |||||||
 |  | | |  |  |  |  |  | | | |  | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — |
 | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
Feels °C | 9 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 545 | 384 | 508 | 661 | 485 | 238 | 310 | 196 | 109 | 84 | 54 | 107 | 161 | 248 | 291 | 453 | 765 | 1041 | 1436 | 1314 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 5 | SE 5 | S 17 | ESE 6 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 4 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | SW 19 | WSW 13 | WSW 8 | — | SW 15 | SW 18 | — | S 16 | — | — |
| kJ | — | 5 | 11 | 5 | 55 | 23 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 55 | 68 | 6 | — | 141 | 197 | — | 19 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SW 14 | SE 5 | S 16 | — | — | ENE 4 | E 7 | E 8 | S 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 149 | 7 | 5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 131 | 327 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 4 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | — | E 5 | NE 3 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NNE 4 | NW 2 | NW 2 | NW 3 | — | — | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | — | — |
| kJ | — | 21 | 17 | 8 | — | 29 | 6 | 3 | 38 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 4 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 29 | 0 | 14 | 29 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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