Toquay Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.34° S 144.32° E

Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 05 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Toquay Reef sea temperature is
13.6°C
0.6° 

Toquay Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Toquay Reef surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 18s period, SW swell with 16,186 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.8m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 5.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sun 6th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Best Surf 7PM (Wed 9th Sep)16ft (5.0m) 18s
Most Powerful10PM (Wed 9th Sep)16ft (5.0m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’re looking at a solid period for Toquay Reef. The pattern shows a big pulse of SW groundswell arriving this weekend and building through the middle of next week, with clean conditions on offer at times. The water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing weird going on there.

Kicking off Saturday the 5th, it’s a bit of a wait. Toquay Reef picks up a 5ft SW groundswell with a very long 15-second period, but the wind is a fresh 22 mph from the WNW, making it cross-off and a bit lumpy. Not the best start, but it’s a sign of things to come.

Sunday the 6th morning is where it starts to get interesting. There’s a 5ft SSW swell, 10-second period, and the wind drops right off to a light 6 mph breeze from the WSW. It’s cross-off and clean – looking like good waves. That afternoon, the swell jumps to 8ft from the SW with a lovely 14-second period, but the wind goes cross and a little stronger, so it’s got some chop. Still, there’s plenty of energy in the water (combined energy 2955).

Monday the 7th morning holds 6ft of SW swell, 12-second period, with a light cross breeze. It’s okay, but not the standout. The real buzz is building.

Tuesday the 8th morning is a treat. The swell drops to 3ft, but it’s a long-period 18-second SW groundswell, and the wind is light and cross-off from the west. Clean as a whistle. Perfect for more experienced surfers on the reef; the long period means longer lulls, making paddle-outs easier, and the reef will shape it up nicely. Combined energy is 1070 – moderate, but quality over quantity here.

Wednesday the 9th afternoon sees the biggest swell of the forecast so far: 12ft from the SW, 18-second period, and the combined energy hits a massive 14515. That’s a lot of power. However, the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-shore, making it lumpy. This is expert-only territory; too big and chunky for most.

Then on Thursday the 10th, it’s still big – 10ft to 8ft SW/SSW swell, 16–18 second period, but the wind stays cross. Not the cleanest but plenty of juice.

Now, here’s a true standout: Saturday the 12th. The morning offers a 6ft SSW swell, 16-second period, with a light north wind – cross-off and clean. Then the afternoon is even better: 5ft SSW swell, 15-second period, and the wind turns offshore from the NNW at just 6 mph. Glassy conditions on the reef, combined energy 1106. This is the pick of the bunch: clean, solid groundswell, and the offshore wind will have the reef lines peeling. It’s a reef break, and crowds are sometimes an issue, but with conditions like this, it’ll be worth sharing the water.

The following week has more action. Wednesday the 16th morning brings another big pulse: 12ft SW swell, 14-second period, and this time the wind is offshore from the WNW at 12 mph. Combined energy 6440. That’s a powerful, clean swell for experts only. Thursday the 17th morning is glassy – 8ft SSW swell, 16-second period, with no wind. Absolutely pristine. The water will be like a mirror, and the reef will be firing.

After that, things taper off into smaller, cleaner swells through the 19th and 20th, but nothing that matches the quality of that Saturday or the big Wednesday.

Overall, the call is clear: Saturday the 12th is the one to circle. Strong groundswell, offshore wind, and a reef setup that loves that SSW direction. Thursday the 17th morning is the other standout – glassy and clean with a solid 8ft. Both are worth getting wet for.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Sun morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Wed afternoon, light winds from the W by Fri morning).

Sat
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
3
4
3
0
1
4
3
4
2
6
5
5
4
4
4
2
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
15
3.5
SW
11
1.4
SSW
10
2.5
SW
14
2.2
WSW
12
1.9
SW
12
1.1
SSW
13
0.7
SW
14
0.9
SW
18
1.4
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SSW
16
3.5
SW
18
3.5
SSW
18
3
SSW
18
2.5
SSW
16
2.1
SSW
16
1.7
SSW
15
1.8
SSW
14
2
SSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1105
2584
343
2267
1430
1010
367
198
522
1073
4915
3156
8811
6739
5555
3977
2151
1279
1370
1904
Wind (km/h)
35
WNW
35
WSW
10
WSW
10
SW
15
WSW
15
SW
25
SSW
10
SW
10
W
15
SSW
30
SSW
25
SW
30
SW
20
SW
15
SW
15
SSW
10
W
5
W
10
S
5
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
4:24PM1.81m
5:42AM1.84m
5:04PM1.75m
6:38AM1.73m
5:53PM1.66m
7:47AM1.64m
6:58PM1.56m
9:09AM1.59m
8:32PM1.49m
10:28AM1.62m
10:16PM1.52m
11:30AM1.68m
11:38PM1.64m
Low Tide
11:00PM0.07m
11:26AM0.80m
11:48PM0.15m
12:18PM0.90m
00:47AM0.26m
1:27PM0.98m
2:00AM0.37m
3:00PM0.97m
3:26AM0.45m
4:31PM0.86m
4:50AM0.47m
5:39PM0.68m
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:37
6:37
6:35
6:33
6:31
6:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:02
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
6:07
6:07
 mm
1
Temp °C
15
13
15
15
13
13
12
10
13
14
10
12
12
10
13
13
11
13
12
10
Feels °C
8
6
13
13
9
9
7
7
10
10
6
5
5
5
10
10
9
10
9
9
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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