Surf Forecasts:
Toquay Reef surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 22 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, SSW swell with 3,352 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 17 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 2.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 22) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 20) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Tue 22nd Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Rusty here. Let’s talk about Toquay Reef in feet and knots.
Water temp is sitting at 57°F, a little warmer than usual, so don’t expect a cold shock. But the start is rough. Wednesday the 16th is a write-off – strong cross-onshore wind, 8ft of messy, choppy SSW groundswell. Not worth your sunscreen.
Thursday the 17th morning looks a lot better. Swell drops to 5ft from the SSW, 14 second period, clean conditions with a cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is moderate (1072). For experienced surfers, that’s a good session.
Now, Friday the 18th is the standout. Morning and afternoon both deliver clean, moderate offshore wind from the WNW. Swell sits at 5ft to 5ft from the SSW, period stretching from 14 to 16 seconds. Energy is strong – 1332 in the morning, 1950 in the afternoon. This is the best run of the whole outlook. The offshore breeze at this reef will give you clean, lined-up walls.
Saturday the 19th stays clean, especially the afternoon with gentle offshore wind and 4ft SW swell. Good, but the energy is dropping (552). Still a nice paddle.
Sunday the 20th is clean but smaller, 4ft to 4ft. The quality drops Monday the 21st as the swell jumps back to 8ft with onshore cross-shore wind – choppy and poor. Tuesday the 22nd hits 8ft groundswell but onshore wind again. At that size and poor quality, it’s more for kite gear than a surfboard.
Things clean up again from the 23rd with cross-offshore and offshore winds, swell around 4ft to 3ft. The real magic moment is Friday afternoon the 25th: just 1ft of swell (tiny!) but a remarkable 24 second period and glassy conditions. If you’ve got a longboard, that’s incredible. Energy is light at 303.
Into the second week, from the 26th to the 28th, we see smaller but clean SW groundswell, 4ft to 4ft with long 17 to 19 second periods. That’s perfect for this reef – long period groundswell wraps in nicely here. Crowds can build up at times.
The tail end on Thursday, October 1st, shows 5ft of SW groundswell but with strong cross-offshore to cross winds, making it lumpy and unappealing.
Friday the 18th is your day – clean, strong, solid 5ft of SW groundswell with offshore wind. Also, Thursday morning the 17th is a clean 5ft. For beginners: once the swell is over 5ft, it’s expert territory at this reef.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the NW by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | Tuesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2508 | 2355 | 1739 | 1072 | 838 | 1057 | 799 | 1289 | 915 | 711 | 552 | 740 | 515 | 476 | 411 | 1797 | 2299 | 2329 | 2936 | 3272 | 2102 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:45PM1.84m | 3:31AM1.96m | 3:16PM1.80m | 4:07AM1.90m | 3:46PM1.74m | 4:42AM1.81m | 4:15PM1.67m | 5:18AM1.70m | 4:44PM1.58m | 6:00AM1.59m | 5:15PM1.49m | 6:51AM1.50m | 5:54PM1.39m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:03PM0.13m | 9:30AM0.55m | 9:37PM0.16m | 10:03AM0.63m | 10:09PM0.23m | 10:34AM0.72m | 10:42PM0.31m | 11:07AM0.82m | 11:17PM0.41m | 11:44AM0.92m | 11:57PM0.52m | 12:33PM1.01m | 00:49AM0.62m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — |
 | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 17 | 25 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 5 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 2508 | 2355 | 1739 | 1072 | 838 | 1057 | 799 | 1289 | 915 | 711 | 552 | 740 | 515 | 476 | 411 | 1797 | 2299 | 2329 | 2936 | 3272 | 2102 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 15 | S 16 | — | — | SW 20 | SSW 18 | SW 16 | S 15 | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 15 | — | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 17 | ESE 5 |
| kJ | — | 68 | 42 | — | — | 141 | 486 | 661 | 38 | — | — | 81 | 82 | 19 | — | 174 | 172 | 239 | 371 | 505 | 44 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | — | — | N 3 | NW 4 | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 | — | — | 4 | 12 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 198 | 198 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 16 | 72 | 198 | 0 | 73 | 73 | 14 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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