Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s cut through the noise and look at the swell window ahead for Toquay Reef.

The forecast starts off pretty average. This Sunday the 9th, we’ve got some small, weak swell under a fresh cross-offshore breeze, but it’s messy and just not worth your time. The energy is weak at 241. It’s a write-off.

Then there’s a real gap before things get interesting. The action kicks off proper on Monday the 10th. The morning is the standout, with a solid 4ft SW swell and a proper 19-second period – that’s a long-period groundswell with some real push behind it. The energy jumps to 1053, and with a light offshore wind, the reef should be clean and lined up. This is one of the best windows in the whole forecast. The afternoon goes cross-shore and chop, so get in early.

Tuesday the 11th has some leftover energy, about 3ft to 4ft on the sets, with offshore winds in the morning keeping it clean. It’s okay, but not a patch on Monday.

Now, here’s the big one. Wednesday the 12th sees a serious pulse of energy hit. The combined energy reads a very strong 6167. The swell jumps to 10ft in the morning. With a period of 16 seconds, this is a powerful, heavy groundswell. This is expert territory only—way too big for beginners (over 8ft). It’s going to be a beast. The afternoon drops to 6ft but still has plenty of energy.

Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th remain solid, with 7ft to 7ft of SW and SSW swell and long 15-16 second periods. Mornings look the cleanest with light or offshore winds. This is proper solid surf, still on the bigger side but good for experienced surfers.

After that, it starts to wind down. The weekend of the 15th and 16th sees the swell drop back to 4ft to 5ft, but the winds turn onshore and easterly, chopping things up. Not great.

Then we hit a flat spell. The 17th and 18th have some small, weak waves, the 19th is tiny. The 20th, 21st, and 22nd are mostly poor with weak energy in the 100s. The third week is a big step down in quality and size.

Further out, around the 24th, there’s a hint of a new pulse with an 18-second period, but it’s far out and the winds are onshore. I wouldn’t plan my life around it.

So, to sum it up: if you’re an expert, get on it Wednesday morning the 12th – that’s the standout, a powerful, heavy grind. For everyone else, Monday morning the 10th is your best bet: clean, solid, and glassy. The rest is mostly a waiting game.

Rusty out.

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