Toquay Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.34° S 144.32° E

Toquay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 31 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Toquay Reef sea temperature is
13.6°C
0.7° 

Toquay Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Toquay Reef surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 9,514 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Toquay Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Toquay Reef in the next 16 days are 5.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 31st Aug)5ft (1.6m) 17s
Best Surf 1PM (Thu 3rd Sep)15ft (4.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 1PM (Sat 5th Sep)16ft (5.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Toquay Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Toquay Reef over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a solid run of groundswell on the way, all from the SW, which is exactly what this reef wants to see. The water is sitting at 57°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so nothing weird there. The first real action kicks off Monday afternoon, August 31st, with a clean 5ft SW groundswell at 15 seconds. The combined energy is a meaty 1161 (moderate wave energy), and with a light SE breeze keeping things smooth, it’s a decent start. Not a standout, but a good sign of things to come.

Tuesday afternoon, September 1st, is where things get a little more interesting. The swell is a bit smaller at 3ft, but the wind swings around to the NW and goes offshore, cleaning up the surface perfectly. The energy is still solid at 448 (moderate wave energy). This makes for a clean, workable afternoon session.

The real highlight is shaping up for Wednesday afternoon, September 2nd. Toquay Reef will be handling a 5ft SW swell at 15 seconds, with the combined energy pumping at 1222 (moderate wave energy). The wind is WNW, cross-offshore, and light at 9 mph. This is the kind of setup that turns this reef on – clean lines, good shape, and plenty of power for an intermediate surfer. This is the best session on offer in the first week.

Now, hold on to your boards, because Thursday, September 3rd, gets wild. The swell jumps to 12ft in the morning and 15ft in the afternoon, with the combined energy hitting a massive 10818 (very strong wave energy) by the afternoon. The wind is cross-off, so the surface will be clean, but this is way too much for this break. It’s a big-wave day for experts only, if anyone is brave enough.

After that, the swell settles back down to the 6ft to 8ft range from Friday, September 4th, through to Sunday, September 6th. The wind is mostly cross-off, but it’s stronger, often in the 12-25 mph range, which will make things a bit lumpy. The energy is still high, but the quality drops off.

There’s a flat spell from Monday, September 7th, into Tuesday morning, September 8th, with poor conditions and small, weak swell. Then we get a second pulse of long-period groundswell. Tuesday afternoon, September 8th, sees a 7ft SW swell at 18 seconds, with 3256 (strong wave energy) and a cross-offshore breeze. This is where the long period really matters – the waves will have serious push and will wrap around the reef beautifully.

The absolute standout of the entire 16-day window is Thursday morning, September 10th. We’re looking at a 7ft SW groundswell with a period of 19 seconds – that’s proper, long-period groundswell. The combined energy is 2802 (strong wave energy). But the kicker? The wind is from the north at just 3 mph, and it's glassy. That’s perfect, clean, smooth conditions. For an experienced surfer, this is the session to circle on the calendar. Just be aware that with a period this long, the sets might be more powerful and have longer lulls between them.

Friday morning, September 11th, is also excellent – another glassy session with a 5ft, 17-second groundswell. The energy is 1580 (moderate wave energy). It’s a bit smaller than Thursday, but still a fantastic option.

The surf tails off after that. From Saturday, September 12th, through to the end of the forecast on September 15th, the swell drops below 5ft, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, making for choppy, less exciting conditions. The morning of Tuesday, September 15th, does offer a brief glimmer of hope with a glassy 5ft swell, but it’s a small window.

So, to sum it up: Wednesday afternoon, September 2nd, is your best bet for the first week, and Thursday morning, September 10th, is the absolute standout for the whole outlook – that’s the one to get excited about.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Mon afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the WNW by Wed night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Fri night, light winds from the NNW by Sat night).

Mon
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
1
2
3
3
4
4
4
!
5
3
2
2
1
3
5
3
3
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SW
15
1.6
SW
16
1.2
SW
16
1
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
1.4
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
3.5
SW
13
4.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
1.9
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
16
2
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
881
1255
702
429
346
1052
1135
1155
3753
8274
3116
1976
1761
1219
2061
3307
3345
1953
1048
492
Wind (km/h)
5
SE
10
NNW
25
NNW
20
NW
20
WNW
15
W
15
WNW
25
NW
30
W
25
W
15
WNW
20
NNW
25
NNW
40
NW
40
W
30
W
15
WNW
15
N
20
NNE
10
E
Wind State
on
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
High Tide
2:14AM1.81m
2:20PM1.83m
2:52AM1.90m
2:48PM1.85m
3:31AM1.96m
3:17PM1.85m
4:11AM1.96m
3:49PM1.84m
4:54AM1.92m
4:24PM1.81m
5:42AM1.84m
5:04PM1.75m
Low Tide
8:04PM0.40m
8:17AM0.45m
8:34PM0.26m
8:53AM0.47m
9:06PM0.15m
9:29AM0.52m
9:40PM0.08m
10:05AM0.60m
10:18PM0.05m
10:44AM0.69m
11:00PM0.07m
11:26AM0.80m
11:48PM0.15m
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
heavy rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:46
6:43
6:43
6:41
6:39
6:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:59
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:01
6:02
6:04
 mm
2
1
1
4
21
Temp °C
14
12
19
19
14
15
15
13
14
14
9
16
16
15
13
13
10
16
18
13
Feels °C
13
10
13
14
11
10
11
7
7
8
5
10
10
8
5
6
6
11
14
10
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Toquay Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Toquay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Toquay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Toquay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Toquay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Toquay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Toquay Reef is 21 km (13 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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