Tom Bowling Bay surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 11 pm Wednesday 27 May 2026 NZST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Tom Bowling Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Tom Bowling Bay sea temperature is
19.3° C
(Which is 1.7°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Tom Bowling Bay surf forecast from 27 May 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 1 Jun, 9PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, NE swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 2 Jun, 6AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 11s period, NE swell with 4,772 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 28 May, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period with NE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tom Bowling Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Tom Bowling Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (May 28) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tom Bowling Bay in the next 16 days are 4.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 02) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Saturday (May 30) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Thu 28th May)3.5ft (1.1m) 9s
Best Surf 9PM (Mon 1st Jun)11ft (3.5m) 10s
Most Powerful 6AM (Tue 2nd Jun)15ft (4.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tom Bowling Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 15°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the NE by Sat afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 38mm), heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 17°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNE on Sun night, moderate winds from the NNE by Tue morning).

Thursday
28
Friday
29
Saturday
30
Sunday
31
Monday
1
Tuesday
2
Wed
3
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
!
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
NE
9
1.1
NE
9
1
NE
9
0.9
NE
9
0.8
NE
9
0.7
NE
9
0.9
NE
8
0.1
N
10
1.7
NE
6
2
NE
7
2.3
NE
7
3
NNE
8
3.5
NNE
8
3.5
NNE
9
4
NNE
10
3.5
NE
10
3.5
NE
11
3
NE
11
2.5
NE
11
2.2
NE
10
2
NE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
238
172
148
129
93
79
105
2
203
357
485
1310
1479
1656
3037
2629
3110
2255
1538
981
784
Wind (km/h)
10
E
5
S
5
S
5
SSE
5
E
15
E
15
NE
30
NE
30
NE
35
NNE
35
NE
40
NNE
45
NNE
40
NNE
35
NNE
30
NNE
25
E
30
NNE
50
NNW
30
WNW
25
W
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
High Tide
5:20AM1.83m
6:00PM1.84m
6:06AM1.83m
6:45PM1.88m
6:49AM1.83m
7:27PM1.92m
7:31AM1.84m
8:07PM1.95m
8:12AM1.84m
8:47PM1.97m
8:52AM1.84m
9:27PM1.97m
9:33AM1.82m
Low Tide
11:15PM0.53m
11:42AM0.34m
00:05AM0.52m
12:25PM0.31m
00:51AM0.50m
1:06PM0.29m
1:34AM0.48m
1:46PM0.28m
2:15AM0.47m
2:26PM0.27m
2:56AM0.46m
3:06PM0.27m
3:37AM0.46m
3:46PM0.29m
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
mod rain
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
heavy rain
light rain
rain showers
thunderstorm
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:22
7:22
7:24
7:24
7:24
7:26
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:27
5:25
5:25
5:25
5:24
5:24
5:24
1
2
6
3
4
19
1
2
13
Temp °C
16
15
16
15
16
17
17
18
18
18
19
19
19
19
19
19
18
18
18
18
18
14
14
15
14
15
15
14
14
14
13
14
14
13
14
15
16
16
14
10
14
14
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
NE
9
1.1
NE
9
1
NE
9
0.9
NE
9
0.8
NE
9
0.7
NE
9
0.3
E
10
0.1
E
9
0.1
N
13
0.1
N
17
0.1
N
16
0.2
N
16
0.2
WNW
9
0.3
WNW
11
3.5
NE
11
3
NE
11
2.5
NE
11
2.2
NE
10
2
NE
10
Energy kJ
238
172
148
129
93
79
17
2
3
6
5
20
8
23
3110
2255
1538
981
784
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
E
11
0.6
E
11
0.5
E
11
0.5
E
11
0.4
E
10
0.3
E
10
0.2
N
10
0.1
N
13
0.1
N
18
0.1
N
12
0.2
N
15
0.2
N
15
0.4
NNW
13
0.3
N
13
0.2
N
13
0.2
N
12
0.2
N
12
Energy kJ
57
92
62
59
32
17
8
3
6
3
18
17
58
31
13
11
11
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ESE
8
0.1
N
11
0.1
N
11
0.1
N
11
0.1
N
11
0.2
N
10
0.1
N
15
0.1
N
10
0.1
N
13
0.1
N
18
0.1
NW
7
0.1
N
15
Energy kJ
6
2
2
2
2
8
4
2
3
6
2
4
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
E
3
0.9
NE
8
1.3
NE
5
1.7
NE
6
2
NE
7
2.3
NE
7
3
NNE
8
3.5
NNE
8
3.5
NNE
9
4
NNE
10
3.5
NE
10
0.4
WNW
9
0.3
WNW
8
0.1
NW
8
0.6
SW
3
0.4
SW
3
Energy kJ
1
105
96
203
357
485
1310
1479
1656
3037
2629
26
13
2
6
3
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
4
4
3
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
4
3
Distance (km)
0
0
0
0
0
0
12
27
191
191
459
576
576
576
642
25
27
25
523
538
13
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
2
2
2
3
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
7
6
5
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
4
4
3
4
4
3
4
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
6
8
7
6
5
5
5
5
7
6
5
5
5
4
7
7
4
4
4
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tom Bowling Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tom Bowling Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tom Bowling Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tom Bowling Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tom Bowling Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tom Bowling Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tom Bowling Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 41 km (25 miles) away.

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