Surf Forecasts:
Tom Bowling Bay surf forecast from 12 Oct 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 17 Oct, 7PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 6s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 15 Oct, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 6s period, NNW swell with 207 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 17 Oct, 7PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 6s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tom Bowling Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tom Bowling Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 17) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tom Bowling Bay in the next 16 days are 1.8m 6s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 15) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Oct 17) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Sat 17th Oct) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sat 17th Oct) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 15th Oct) | 6ft (1.8m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tom Bowling Bay over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Mon night, fresh winds from the NNW by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Fri morning, calm by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 13 | Wednesday 14 | Thursday 15 | Friday 16 | Saturday 17 | Sunday 18 | Monday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NW 12 | NW 12 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | ESE 6 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 47 | 48 | 55 | 44 | 44 | 69 | 196 | 46 | 57 | 44 | 36 | 23 | 25 | 32 | 66 | 48 | 43 | 42 | 46 | 46 | 25 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:17AM2.10m | 10:27PM2.01m | 10:56AM2.06m | 11:06PM1.94m | 11:36AM1.99m | 11:46PM1.85m | 12:18PM1.90m | 00:28AM1.76m | 1:04PM1.81m | 1:15AM1.67m | 1:55PM1.73m | 2:08AM1.59m | 2:53PM1.68m | 3:10AM1.54m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:02AM0.11m | 4:25PM0.28m | 4:40AM0.16m | 5:05PM0.34m | 5:19AM0.23m | 5:46PM0.42m | 5:59AM0.32m | 6:28PM0.51m | 6:42AM0.41m | 7:15PM0.60m | 7:30AM0.50m | 8:09PM0.67m | 8:24AM0.57m | 9:09PM0.70m | |||||||
 | |  | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — |
 | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:44 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | NNW 6 | NNE 6 | N 6 | WNW 6 | NW 7 | NE 10 | NE 10 | ESE 8 | E 6 | E 5 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 47 | 48 | 55 | 44 | 44 | 25 | 196 | 28 | 22 | 17 | 15 | 23 | 25 | 32 | 36 | 15 | 43 | 42 | 46 | 46 | 25 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | W 7 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | WNW 6 | NW 6 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 |
| kJ | 7 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 16 | 25 | 46 | 46 | 45 | 25 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 48 | 48 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 12 | W 16 | W 16 | W 17 | N 11 | W 15 | N 10 | NNW 6 | W 16 | NW 12 | NW 12 | WNW 12 | NW 12 | NE 13 | N 16 | N 16 | N 16 | N 15 | N 14 | N 14 | N 14 |
| kJ | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 35 | 36 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | S 2 | W 4 | W 4 | WSW 4 | SSW 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | ESE 6 | — | — | SSE 4 | SSE 3 | SSW 3 | S 4 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 69 | 1 | 29 | 57 | 44 | 19 | 15 | 29 | 3 | 66 | — | — | 19 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 13 | 195 | 13 | 93 | 222 | 323 | 13 | 13 | 520 | 162 | 85 | 85 | 85 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 24 | 83 | 83 | 83 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tom Bowling Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tom Bowling Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tom Bowling Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tom Bowling Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tom Bowling Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tom Bowling Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tom Bowling Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 41 km (25 miles) away.
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