Surf Break

Lat Long: 34.43° S 172.98° E

Tom Bowling Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 18 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tom Bowling Bay sea temperature is
16.6°C
0.5° 

Tom Bowling Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tom Bowling Bay surf forecast from 17 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 19 Oct, 7AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 10s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 22 Oct, 4AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 12s period, NE swell with 69 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 19 Oct, 7AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 10s period with NE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tom Bowling Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Tom Bowling Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Oct 19) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tom Bowling Bay in the next 16 days are 0.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 22) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Oct 18) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Mon 19th Oct)1.5ft (0.4m) 10s
Best Surf 7AM (Mon 19th Oct)1.5ft (0.4m) 10s
Most Powerful 4AM (Thu 22nd Oct)1.5ft (0.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tom Bowling Bay over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Sun afternoon, calm by Mon morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NE
10
0.4
NE
10
0.4
NE
10
0.4
NE
9
0.3
NE
11
0.4
NE
11
0.4
NE
10
0.4
NE
10
0.4
NE
10
0.4
NE
10
0.4
NE
10
0.5
NE
12
0.5
NE
11
0.5
NE
11
0.4
NE
11
0.4
NE
10
0.4
NE
10
0.4
NE
10
0.3
NE
9
0.3
NE
9
0.2
ENE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
25
23
24
23
19
29
26
23
24
28
26
68
61
57
29
26
25
24
13
13
7
Wind (km/h)
15
S
25
SSW
15
S
15
S
15
SSW
20
SSW
10
SE
10
SW
20
S
10
SSE
20
SSW
20
SSW
15
S
5
WSW
5
ESE
15
NE
15
ENE
10
NW
5
N
10
WNW
10
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
glassy
cross
cross-off
on
glassy
on
cross
High Tide
1:55PM1.73m
2:08AM1.59m
2:53PM1.68m
3:10AM1.54m
3:53PM1.67m
4:16AM1.55m
4:51PM1.71m
5:17AM1.60m
5:43PM1.77m
6:11AM1.70m
6:30PM1.86m
7:00AM1.82m
7:13PM1.95m
Low Tide
8:09PM0.67m
8:24AM0.57m
9:09PM0.70m
9:24AM0.60m
10:12PM0.68m
10:25AM0.60m
11:11PM0.61m
11:23AM0.56m
00:03AM0.50m
12:16PM0.49m
00:49AM0.37m
1:04PM0.41m
1:32AM0.25m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
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—
6:41
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—
6:41
—
—
6:39
—
—
6:37
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—
6:37
—
—
6:35
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
7:43
—
—
7:44
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—
7:45
—
—
7:45
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—
7:46
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—
7:47
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—
7:47
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 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
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Temp °C
15
15
13
15
15
13
15
16
13
15
15
13
15
16
14
16
16
16
17
17
15
Feels °C
12
10
8
14
12
9
15
14
10
13
11
9
14
16
13
14
14
15
16
16
14
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Tom Bowling Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tom Bowling Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tom Bowling Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tom Bowling Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tom Bowling Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tom Bowling Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tom Bowling Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 41 km (25 miles) away.

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