Tom Bowling Bay Surf Break

Tom Bowling Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 34.43° S 172.98° E

Issued: 11 pm 04 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tom Bowling Bay sea temperature is
17.4° C

1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Tom Bowling Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tom Bowling Bay surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 7s period, NW swell with 543 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tom Bowling Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Tom Bowling Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tom Bowling Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 9PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Thu 9th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 10s
Best Surf 6PM (Thu 9th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 10s
Most Powerful12AM (Mon 6th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tom Bowling Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 42mm), heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Sun morning, strong winds from the NW by Mon night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Tue night, light winds from the SSW by Thu afternoon).

Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Sat
11
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
E
12
1.1
E
11
1
E
11
2.5
NW
7
1.6
NW
5
2
NW
6
2.4
NW
7
1.9
NNW
8
1.2
N
8
0.4
E
10
0.6
E
10
0.6
E
11
0.7
E
11
0.7
E
10
0.6
E
10
0.6
E
11
0.6
E
10
0.5
E
10
0.5
E
10
0.6
E
10
0.6
E
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
403
297
238
543
118
251
535
492
186
33
74
83
110
98
73
82
78
53
51
70
67
Wind (km/h)
20
WNW
10
W
20
NW
35
WNW
30
WNW
45
WNW
50
NW
35
NW
30
S
50
SSW
35
SW
35
SW
25
SW
15
WSW
10
WSW
15
SW
15
SSW
30
SSW
20
SSW
15
SSW
15
SSW
Wind State
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:02PM1.98m
11:16AM1.78m
11:40PM1.96m
12:00PM1.76m
00:21AM1.94m
12:47PM1.75m
1:05AM1.92m
1:40PM1.76m
1:54AM1.89m
2:38PM1.78m
2:50AM1.88m
3:40PM1.82m
3:51AM1.88m
4:43PM1.90m
Low Tide
5:18AM0.41m
5:23PM0.35m
6:00AM0.39m
6:05PM0.40m
6:43AM0.38m
6:52PM0.45m
7:31AM0.36m
7:44PM0.49m
8:23AM0.34m
8:42PM0.52m
9:20AM0.31m
9:46PM0.52m
10:20AM0.26m
rain showers
clear
rain showers
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:30
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:31
5:32
 mm
11
3
10
2
2
10
2
2
5
1
1
1
Temp °C
15
16
16
14
14
13
14
15
14
14
15
15
13
13
14
13
15
15
14
15
15
Feels °C
12
13
12
6
6
4
5
12
9
5
8
8
6
9
11
9
10
9
9
12
11
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
E
12
1.1
E
11
1
E
11
0.8
E
11
0.7
E
11
0.6
E
10
0.5
E
11
1.9
NNW
8
1.2
N
8
0.4
E
10
0.6
E
10
0.6
E
11
0.7
E
11
0.7
E
10
0.6
E
10
0.6
E
11
0.6
E
10
0.5
E
10
0.5
E
10
0.6
E
10
0.6
E
10
Energy kJ
403
297
238
143
108
75
56
492
186
33
74
83
110
98
73
82
78
53
51
70
67
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
W
10
0.5
NW
8
0.1
W
18
0.3
NNW
11
0.1
NE
10
0.1
SW
16
0.5
E
10
0.5
E
10
0.4
NNW
8
0.3
NW
8
0.3
NW
7
0.2
WNW
7
0.2
WNW
7
0.2
WNW
6
0.2
WNW
15
0.2
WNW
7
0.1
NW
7
0.1
W
16
0.1
W
16
0.1
W
16
Energy kJ
2
32
6
24
4
10
51
50
20
10
9
5
4
4
22
5
2
5
5
5
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
N
6
0.5
WNW
16
0.2
WNW
16
0.2
WNW
12
0.2
WNW
13
0.2
WNW
12
0.2
WNW
12
0.1
NW
12
0.1
NW
16
0.2
WNW
7
0.2
WNW
19
0.1
W
18
0.1
W
7
0.1
N
12
0.1
N
12
Energy kJ
9
142
26
13
16
13
14
6
10
4
35
6
1
3
3
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
NNW
6
0.3
WSW
3
0.6
NW
7
2.5
NW
7
1.6
NW
5
2
NW
6
2.4
NW
7
1.1
S
4
2.1
S
6
0.9
SSW
4
1
SSW
4
1
SSW
4
0.4
SSW
4
0.3
WSW
2
0.7
S
3
0.5
S
3
0.7
S
4
0.9
SSE
4
0.6
SSE
4
0.6
S
4
Energy kJ
128
2
43
543
118
251
535
42
318
28
38
41
5
1
11
5
12
29
13
9
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
1
2
5
9
1
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
633
13
64
210
174
195
304
85
56
365
77
86
86
13
13
13
13
77
24
0
24
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
2
2
9
5
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
1
4
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
4
2
4
5
5
5
5
9
5
4
4
4
4
4
5
4
5
4
6
3
5
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
9
7
5
5
8
7
5
5
9
7
9
5
7
5
5
4
8
4
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Tom Bowling Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tom Bowling Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tom Bowling Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tom Bowling Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tom Bowling Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tom Bowling Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tom Bowling Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 41 km (25 miles) away.

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