The Ledge surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Thursday 15 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
The Ledge surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's The Ledge sea temperature is
20.9° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Ledge this week:

The surf forecast for The Ledge over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jan 16) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Ledge in the next 12 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 22) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 2s period and expected on Saturday (Jan 17) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Fri 16th Jan)2.5ft (0.8m) 8s
Best Surf 1AM (Sat 17th Jan)3.5ft (1.1m) 9s
Most Powerful 4AM (Thu 22nd Jan)11ft (3.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Ledge over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 23°C on Thu morning, min 16°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 205mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 17°C on Sun afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Sat night, strong winds from the ESE by Mon afternoon).

Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wed
21
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0
2
2
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
2
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.4
NE
0.4
NE
0.7
NNE
0.9
NNE
0.8
NE
0.8
NE
1.1
NE
0.9
ENE
1.3
NE
1.3
NE
2.5
E
3
E
3
E
2.5
E
2.3
E
3
E
2.5
E
2.5
E
2.5
E
3
E
3.5
E
Period(s) (?)1185788989989999999101010
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)31232584698817911430725594112591336993803131210291052121220472363
Wind
(km/h)
10
NNW
15
NNW
15
NNW
10
WNW
10
WSW
20
NNW
15
SSW
10
SE
15
ENE
15
SSE
30
ESE
35
ESE
40
ESE
40
ESE
50
ESE
35
E
30
ESE
30
ESE
35
ESE
35
E
40
E
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
ononcross-
on
cross-
off
onoffcross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross
High Tide
/ height (m)
5:41AM
2.10
5:38PM
2.06
6:33AM
2.13
6:31PM
2.06
7:21AM
2.16
7:21PM
2.08
8:06AM
2.21
8:08PM
2.11
8:48AM
2.25
8:53PM
2.15
9:29AM
2.29
9:37PM
2.18
10:10AM
2.33
Low Tide
/ height (m)
11:14PM
0.95
11:45AM
1.09
12:07AM
0.94
12:36PM
1.06
12:58AM
0.90
1:24PM
1.01
1:45AM
0.85
2:09PM
0.94
2:28AM
0.78
2:54PM
0.87
3:09AM
0.73
3:37PM
0.80
3:48AM
0.69
4:19PM
0.75
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wed
21
Sunrise-6:24--6:24--6:26--6:26--6:28--6:28--6:30-
Sunset--8:39--8:39--8:39--8:39--8:38--8:38--8:37
light rain
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
rain showers
light rain
cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
Rain (mm)
2213-----313332978481---17
Temp. °C222323212323192121191818181818192021202019
Feels °C (?)232322212221181920191414131311151618161514
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the The Ledge Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Ledge provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at The Ledge can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Ledge surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Ledge) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Ledge may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near The Ledge, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Whangarei which is 73 km (45 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Houhora which is 92 km (57 miles) away

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