The Ledge surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Thursday 15 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
The Ledge surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's The Ledge sea temperature is
21.0° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Ledge this week:

The surf forecast for The Ledge over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jan 16) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Ledge in the next 12 days are 5.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jan 21) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 2s period and expected on Saturday (Jan 17) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Fri 16th Jan)3ft (0.9m) 10s
Best Surf 4AM (Sat 17th Jan)3.5ft (1.1m) 9s
Most Powerful 4PM (Wed 21st Jan)18ft (5.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Ledge over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Warm (max 25°C on Fri afternoon, min 16°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Thu night, fresh winds from the ESE by Sun morning).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 67mm), heaviest during Wed morning. Warm (max 21°C on Tue night, min 18°C on Sun afternoon). Mainly fresh winds.

Thu
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
6
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.7
NNE
0.9
NNE
0.8
NE
0.8
NE
1
NE
0.9
ENE
1.3
NE
1.4
NE
2.3
E
3
E
3
E
3
E
3
E
3.5
E
3
E
3.5
E
4
ENE
4
E
5.5
ENE
4.5
ENE
4.5
E
Period(s) (?)5888989989999999910111111
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)24886775159114294287709143113361372130817701552182727113070640642455266
Wind
(km/h)
25
NNW
15
NW
10
WNW
20
NW
10
SSW
10
SE
20
E
15
S
30
E
35
ESE
35
ESE
35
E
35
E
35
E
35
E
30
E
30
ENE
35
NE
25
NNE
45
NNE
30
W
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
oncross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
crossoffcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscrosscrosscrosscrosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross
High Tide
/ height (m)
5:38PM
2.06
6:33AM
2.13
6:31PM
2.06
7:21AM
2.16
7:21PM
2.08
8:06AM
2.21
8:08PM
2.11
8:48AM
2.25
8:53PM
2.15
9:29AM
2.29
9:37PM
2.18
10:10AM
2.33
10:22PM
2.22
10:51AM
2.35
Low Tide
/ height (m)
12:07AM
0.94
12:36PM
1.06
12:58AM
0.90
1:24PM
1.01
1:45AM
0.85
2:09PM
0.94
2:28AM
0.78
2:54PM
0.87
3:09AM
0.73
3:37PM
0.80
3:48AM
0.69
4:19PM
0.75
4:27AM
0.67
Thu
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Sunrise--6:24--6:26--6:26--6:28--6:28--6:30--6:31
Sunset8:39--8:39--8:39--8:39--8:38--8:38--8:37--
part cloud
thunderstorm
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
heavy rain
mod rain
heavy rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
part cloud
Rain (mm)
-3-----3129154---415203591-
Temp. °C242124252022222019181819202020202121212223
Feels °C (?)222122221920211916131314161516171919201822
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the The Ledge Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Ledge provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at The Ledge can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Ledge surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Ledge) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Ledge may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near The Ledge, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Whangarei which is 73 km (45 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Houhora which is 92 km (57 miles) away

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