Tippers Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a good hard look at what’s cookin’ at Tippers over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a rough start. We’re looking at a long, quiet spell. The first real chance to get wet doesn’t show up until Monday the 13th of July, and even then it’s pretty marginal. Before that, don’t bother; the onshore flow is just mowing down anything that tries to stand up.

The First Week: A Grind

Monday the 13th is the first whisper of life. You’ve got a weak 3 ft swell from the SSW with period of 13 seconds, but it’s coming straight onshore from the WSW at 6 mph. The combined energy is low, reading only 336. It’s a “marginal” call – honestly, it’s a skunk’s chance. The water temp here is about average for the time of year, nothing special.

Things stay pretty flat and choppy through the rest of the week. There’s a little bump in energy on Thursday the 16th with a 4 ft swell from the W, but that’s a short-period 8-second windswell with 314 energy and cross-on winds. That’s not a surfer’s swell; that’s a kiteboarder’s chop. By Friday the 17th, the swell drops to 2 ft from the SW with a super long 19-second period and light cross-on, but the energy is just 299. It’s a tease, really.

The Second Week: A Glimmer of Hope

Now, looking into the second week, we get a flicker of something better, but temper your expectations. On Saturday the 18th of July, the energy jumps up to 776 with a 2 ft SSE swell at 20 seconds. The wind is onshore from the WSW at 6 mph, keeping it messy. But that afternoon, the energy jumps to 1173! The swell bumps up to 4 ft from the SSE at 16 seconds. Still onshore wind, but that longer period and jump in energy is interesting. It’s a “marginal” rating, so it’s not clean, but there’s power in the water for a reef break like Tippers.

Sunday the 19th sees the swell peak at 4 ft from the S at 13 seconds, with energy at 1015. The wind remains onshore from the WSW at 10 mph. That’s a decent size, but the onshore wind will make it lumpy. This is the closest thing to a standout for this entire outlook. It’s not perfect, but a 4 ft swell at a very consistent reef break like Tippers will have waves. For a beginner, it’s right on the edge of being too big, but for an intermediate or better, it’s rideable. Crowds are possible here, so don’t expect to have it to yourself.

The One To Watch

If you’re patient, the best sniff of quality comes on Saturday the 25th of July. The morning shows a 5 ft swell from the S at 13 seconds, with combined energy hitting 1057. The wind is light and from the WSW at 6 mph. A 5 ft S swell with light wind at Tippers? That starts to look pretty good. It’s on the bigger side, so it’s for the experienced crew. The direction (S) is off the optimum for the spot (SW), but the size and the light wind make it the most promising day of the whole run. The afternoon eases off, but that morning window is the one to circle on the calendar. Just know that being 16 days out, the rules of uncertainty apply – it’s a promising look, but not a guarantee.

Overall, it’s a lean stretch. Don’t expect much for the first 10 days, then keep an eye on the 19th and especially the 25th.

Rusty.

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