Tippers Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, looking at a mixed bag of a forecast for Tippers. We’ve got some swell on the way, but it’s a tale of two halves: the next week is mostly marginal, with a promising run of building, cleaner swell in the back half that has my attention.

Right off the bat, the water is sitting at a very unusual 73°, which is a massive 6° warmer than normal for this time of year – feels like you’re in a tropical bath.

The first week is a bit of a grind. From Saturday the 18th of July through to about Friday the 24th, the surf is small and the conditions are messy. The wind is blowing straight onshore from the WSW, making it tough to get a clean wave. The swell is a mix of SW and SSW, but the quality is poor. You’ll see waves around 3 ft to 4 ft, but with that onshore wind, it’s a real struggle. Energy levels are moderate, ranging from (476) to (898), but the “poor surf conditions” tag says it all. There’s a tiny glimmer on Sunday morning the 19th and Monday morning the 20th with a light breeze, but the tide is likely messing with it. Honestly, it’s not worth paddling out for.

Now, the back half of the forecast is where it gets interesting. From Saturday the 25th of July, we start to see some real groundswell building. The period jumps up to 21 seconds, which is a very long period swell, perfect for a reef break like Tippers. The swell direction is SSW, which is spot-on for the optimum SW direction. The wind flips to a light, clean offshore from the WSW.

The standout window is Monday the 27th of July through Wednesday the 29th. The swell is holding steady at 4 ft to 4 ft from the SSW, with a period of 17 to 19 seconds and very strong wave energy (1278 to 1367). The wind is light and offshore, which means clean, glassy waves. For a reef break, this is going to be pumping. The sets will be long and clean, and the better shape will make it a joy to surf. The crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so expect a few others out there, but it’s well worth it.

This is easily the best on offer. The swell size is perfect for intermediate and advanced surfers, not too big, but with plenty of punch. The long period (19 seconds) is a genuine groundswell, and it’s coming from the right direction. The water will still be warm, and the light offshore wind will keep the faces clean. If you’re going to pick a session, this is it.

After that, the swell drops back down, and by the end of the first week of August, we’re back to small, weak, and poor conditions. The energy drops to (312) and the period falls to 8 seconds, which is weak and short. Not worth it.

So, overall, hang tight for the first week, but the end of July is looking like a real treat. Keep an eye on that window from Monday the 27th.

Rusty.

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