Tippers Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's be straight about the next couple of weeks.

Overall, it's a pretty bleak stretch for Tippers (reef). We've got small, weak swell for most of the period and the wind isn't cooperating. There are no true standouts across the entire 16-day window. The first recommendation worth paddling out for doesn't really show up until Saturday morning, July 5th, but even that's shaky. For the rest of the time, conditions cycle through marginal at best and poor at worst.

Saturday morning, July 5th – We start off with a small pulse of swell, around 3 ft from the SSW. The period is pushing 18 seconds, which is getting into proper groundswell territory, and it's combining to give moderate wave energy (515). The wind is coming out of the W at 9 mph, which is onshore, so it won't be glassy, but it's light enough to surf. The water temp is sitting at 69°, which is a touch warmer than we'd expect for this time of year. The swell is small and a longer period can be a bit straight at times here, but for a small wave, it might offer some shape. The consistency is very consistent, so there will be waves. But keep expectations low – it’s still a beginner-friendly spot and the conditions aren't firing.

Saturday afternoon, July 5th – The wind shifts a bit to WNW and stays onshore at 9 mph. Swell drops to 2 ft. The wave energy eases a little (449). The surf looks messy with gentle cross-onshore chop. Not worth rushing for.

Sunday morning, July 6th – Similar story. Swell at 3 ft from the SSW, period at 16 seconds. Wave energy is moderate (608). The wind stays cross-onshore from the W at 9 mph. It’s rideable but nothing to brag about.

Tuesday morning, July 8th – A slight bump in swell height to 3 ft from the SSW, with a longer period of 18 seconds. Combined energy is moderate (854). Wind is onshore from the WSW at 6 mph – light, but onshore. Still only marginal. The water temp remains warm for this time of year.

Wednesday morning, July 9th – Swell picks up just a touch more to 4 ft, still SSW and 16 seconds. Wave energy gets up to moderate (958). Wind switches to SW at 6 mph and is onshore. This is the best the first week gets, but it's still a marginal surf. The longer period might help the reef form up a bit. It's not a standout.

The rest of the first week and into the second week is dominated by small, choppy conditions and a persistent cross-onshore breeze. The swell stays between 3 ft and 3 ft with periods dropping. By Friday morning, July 11th, the wind is picking up to a moderate breeze from the SSW at 16 mph, making things downright choppy.

After that, there's a gap of a few days with mostly poor surf. The swell gets really small – down to 1 ft to 2 ft by July 16th – with periods varying. The combined energy drops below 300. It's flat to tiny. Don't bother.

Saturday morning, July 19th – The last gasp of the forecast shows a slight increase in swell energy (609) from a small 3 ft SSW swell at 17 seconds, but the wind is a moderate cross-onshore from the SSW at 12 mph. Choppy again. This stretch is more interesting for the kite surfers than the paddle crew.

So, bottom line: nothing world-class on the horizon. The best you get is some small, clean-ish windows on the mornings of July 8th and 9th. Keep an eye on the wind shifts, because if that onshore drops out, those longer period swells might give you something borderline fun. But as it stands, it's a quiet couple of weeks.

Rusty

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