Tip Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve got a look at the waves coming our way for Tip Beach. Let’s be real, it’s a bit of a mixed bag with some serious size on the horizon, but you’ll need to pick your moments.

The next couple of weeks start off pretty quiet. The first real chance to get wet comes on Tuesday the 21st with some fun, chest-high waves around 3ft from the ENE. The water’s sitting at 58°, which is pretty standard for this time of year. The real gem for that session is the glassy conditions – that light SSE breeze at 3 mph is gonna leave it looking like a mirror. The combined energy is moderate at 212, so there’s a bit of push, but it’s not gonna be a heavyweight. It’s a solid start.

Wednesday morning the 22nd stays clean with a light offshore WNW wind, but the swell drops a bit to 3ft. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about. The energy is down to 130. That afternoon, the wind swings around to a cross-shore S breeze, and the quality falls off a cliff.

Now, come Thursday the 23rd, the swell starts to pick up. Morning sees 5ft of SW swell with a short 8-second period, powering up to 286 energy. The wind is a cross-offshore WSW breeze at 12 mph, so it’s clean, but the short period means it’s gonna be a bit bumpy and hard to get a good line on. Afternoon jumps to 6ft, but it’s still a bit messy. Not a standout.

Friday the 24th is where things get serious. The swell pumps up to 8ft from the SW with a 9-second period, and the combined energy skyrockets to 1624. That’s strong wave energy. This is pushing into expert-only territory. The wind is a cross-offshore at 19 mph, keeping the face clean, but that’s a lot of water moving. Saturday the 25th stays big, with 7ft in the morning, but the wind is strong at 19 mph, making it a tough paddle. The energy is still heavy at 770.

We hit a bit of a lull from Sunday the 26th through Monday the 27th, with the swell dropping back under 4ft, and the conditions are pretty ordinary. Tuesday the 28th brings a slight bounce back to 5ft with 276 energy, but the wind is cross-shore, so it’s messy.

Now, here’s the big one. From Wednesday the 29th all the way through to Friday the 31st, the swell goes absolutely nuclear. We’re talking 10ft to 13ft of S and SW swell, with combined energy values hitting 3668 and 4620. That’s extremely strong wave energy. The periods are long (11-13 seconds), so there’s plenty of power. The problem is, the forecast says it’s too big for this break. This is a beach break setup, and with that much energy, it’s going to be a washing machine. For paddle surfing, it’s a no-go. But if you’ve got a kite, the wind is light and the water is clean – this setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Finally, we get a payoff on Saturday the 1st of August. The swell drops back to a more manageable 7ft from the S, with a solid 11-second period. The combined energy is still a strong 1078, but the wind is glassy – a WSW breeze at 3 mph. This is the true standout. Excellent conditions for experienced surfers, with clean, powerful lines. The morning is the pick. After that, it’s back to smaller, choppier conditions for the rest of the run.

The best on offer is clear: the glassy 7ft S swell on Saturday morning, August 1st. That’s your session. The Tuesday the 21st glassy session is a nice warm-up, but that first Saturday in August is where the magic is.

Rusty.

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