Tip Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water temp at Tip Beach is sitting at 59°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The forecast kicks off on Friday, July 31st, with a solid push of south swell. We’re talking 5ft of S swell at 9 seconds, with a decent 413 (moderate) in the energy tank. The wind is a clean cross-off from the SW, so it’s looking clean. Expect good surf conditions to start the run.

Saturday morning, August 1st, drops off a bit. Swell backs down to 4ft from the SSE, period’s a short 8 seconds, and the wind goes cross-shore. It’s a marginal call – the energy is still moderate at 297, but the quality is just okay. Saturday afternoon gets worse – the wind picks up to 12 mph from the NE, making for a choppy mess, despite the swell jumping to 4ft with a long 12-second period. That’s a pass for me.

Sunday, August 2nd, is a return to form. The morning brings a clean 4ft SE swell, 12-second period, with light 3 mph cross-off wind from the NNW. The energy is solid at 473. This is a standout session – clean, good wave shape, and the long period will make for some proper lines. Sunday afternoon is still surfable, with 3ft SE swell and a light onshore breeze, but it’s not as good.

Monday, August 3rd, is small. Morning has 2ft SE swell with a clean offshore wind from the NW, but it’s weak energy (104). You’ll get a wave, but it’s ordinary. Afternoon is even smaller.

Tuesday, August 4th, sees a jump in size but a drop in quality. The morning is 5ft of SW swell, short period of 8 seconds, and a strong 16 mph cross-off wind. The energy is moderate (369), but the wind is strong, making it messy. The afternoon gets bigger at 7ft, still short period, and the wind hits 19 mph. That’s a rough one, and at 7ft, it’s getting too big for beginners.

Wednesday, August 5th, is similar. 7ft S swell, 9 seconds, 16 mph cross-off wind. Energy is strong at 659, but the wind is making it a challenge. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a clean paddle session.

Thursday, August 6th, drops back to 5ft S swell, still short period, and the wind stays cross-off. It’s marginal.

Now, a true standout: Friday, August 7th. The morning is glassy. Flat calm, 3 mph offshore from the W, and 4ft of SSE swell at 8 seconds. The energy is moderate (241), but the glassy conditions will make it look like a mirror. This is the best on offer in the first week – clean, fun, and uncrowded.

The rest of the first week is a mix of small, weak, or windy. Saturday, August 8th, has a glassy morning with 3ft SSE swell, but the energy is only 122. It’s surfable, but nothing special.

The second week starts with a dry spell. From Sunday, August 9th, through to Monday, August 10th, the swell is small and weak, mostly under 3ft, with poor wind. There’s a gap of a few days with no real recommendations.

The next big moment comes on Tuesday, August 11th. The morning is a solid 7ft of SW swell at 9 seconds, with a strong offshore wind from the W at 12 mph. The energy is very strong at 874. This is the biggest, most powerful swell of the whole run. The waves will be clean and well-shaped, but at 7ft, this is for experienced surfers only. The afternoon is still good, with 6ft SW swell, but the wind picks up and makes it more cross-off.

After that, the forecast drops off hard. From Wednesday, August 12th, onward, it’s mostly small, weak, or messy. A few days of poor wind and tiny swell, with a couple of exceptions that aren’t worth paddling out for.

The bottom line: Your best bets are Sunday, August 2nd morning for clean, long-period lines, and Friday, August 7th morning for glassy perfection. The big swell on Tuesday, August 11th is for the brave and experienced. Otherwise, the rest is a gamble.

Rusty.

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