Tip Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at Tip Beach are looking pretty grim for a proper paddle session. The first real surf worth talking about doesn’t turn up until Wednesday the 16th of September, and honestly, it starts with a serious overflow.

We kick off on Wednesday morning the 16th with a solid 10ft south swell, but that has a period of only 9 seconds. The wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-off from the SSW, which should keep things clean, but the problem is the sheer size. That wave energy is pumping – we’re reading 1414 (moderate energy). But for a beach break like Tip, 10ft is just too much. This is expert territory only, and even then, it’s a beast. The wind is clean, but the swell is overpowering the spot. Wednesday afternoon is more of the same, with 10ft from the south, and the energy steps up to 1537. It’s still too big for most.

Thursday the 17th drops down a bit. Morning has a 5ft south swell, but a moderate 16 mph cross-off from the WSW keeps it tidy. The score isn’t there though – the conditions are considered poor. Afternoon brings 7ft from the SSW, still messy and marginal. The energy is moderate at 578.

Friday the 18th is the first real morsel of hope. Morning sees the swell drop to a clean 3ft from the south with a 9-second period. The wind is a light 6 mph cross-off from the WSW. It’s glassy, clean, and the energy is moderate at 376. It’s a small wave day, but for a longboard or a big fish, it could be a fun little session. The water temp is about average for this time of year. But don’t get too excited – afternoon goes glassy with a tiny 3ft swell and onshore wind. Still, that Friday morning is the only bright spot in the first week.

After that, it’s a run of marginal, ordinary, or poor conditions right through until Sunday the 27th. There are days with bigger sets, like Saturday the 19th (4ft to 5ft), but the wind is a moderate 16 mph cross-off, and the quality just isn’t there. We get a glassy morning on the 25th but with a tiny 3ft, low-energy (96) swell. It’s surfable, but you’d be fighting for scraps.

The one standout, and I mean the only real standout in the whole 16-day window, comes on Sunday afternoon the 27th of September. Conditions flip. The swell builds to a clean 5ft from the NE with a 7-second period. The wind? It goes glassy – a 3 mph variable, dead calm. Couple that with good surf conditions and moderate energy (232). It’s a bit short period, but for Tip Beach, that glassy, clean 5ft NE pulse is your best bet. This is the one to circle. It’s about as good as it gets in this run.

Then on Monday the 28th, we get a spike: 8ft from the NE with an 8-second period and a monster energy reading of 1018 (moderate energy). But the wind is light and cross, creating a cross-chop. That’s expert-only territory again, and messy. After that, it fades back into tiny, poor conditions with onshore wind through to the end of the outlook period on the 1st of October.

Bottom line: the water is around average temp, and the consistency is average at best. If you’re desperate, Friday the 18th morning gives you clean but small waves. If you want the *real* session, hold out for Sunday the 27th afternoon for that glassy 5ft. Everything else is a matter of lowering expectations. Stay patient.

Rusty.

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