Tip Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at the next couple of weeks for this stretch of coast. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s break it down day by day.

Right out of the gate, we're looking at a pretty slow start. The next few days are super weak, with only knee-high slop and not much push. The energy’s pretty dismal, with readings like 60 and 95 (weak energy) – you’re basically bobbing around out there. The wind is mostly cross-off but the swell just isn't there. A light morning breeze on Monday keeps it clean, but it's a real “check the cam and go back to bed” kind of situation. Water temp is sitting around 58.6°F, which is pretty much spot-on average for this time of year, so that’s not a worry.

Tuesday and Wednesday stay quiet, with a bit more swell mixing in from the SW, but the period is short and the energy is still weak (95 to 98). It’s clean but gutless. Thursday sees a little bump, pushing up to 4.9ft, with moderate energy starting to show (414), but the period is still short (8 seconds), so it’s likely to be a bit crumbly and weak. We're still in "ordinary" territory here.

The next few days after that are honestly poor. We’ve got a run of cross-shore winds, onshore junk, and some messy, short-period swell. Friday afternoon and the weekend look rough. The energy dips down again (71-84), and there’s even a bit of rain and a fresh breeze on Monday morning, which is not ideal. The swell does jump on Sunday afternoon to 6.6ft, but the period is a short 7 seconds and it's cross-shore, so it'll be a churny mess, more for the kitesurfers than anyone on a paddleboard.

Now, look, I’m not going to sugarcoat it: the first week and a half of this forecast window is a whole lot of nothing. We're looking at a solid stretch of maybe 8 or 9 days with no real reason to get excited. The consistency is there, but the quality is lacking.

But hold on. If you can wait, there’s a little light at the end of the tunnel. The following Monday, the 11th, has a morning window that looks like our first real standout. The swell drops back to a clean 4.3ft from the SSW, with a light offshore WNW breeze. The energy is climbing to a moderate 297, and it’s clean. This is the dawn patrol you’ve been waiting for. It’s the one day in that first week where the stars align, and Tip Beach might actually have a few fun ones.

After another couple of ordinary days, things really start to pump. The 13th and 14th see a serious pulse of swell. We're talking 7.5ft building to 9.8ft with strong to very strong energy, hitting over 2000 on the 14th. That is a lot of water moving around. The wind is favorable, cross-off and clean, but this is where I have to wave the caution flag. This swell is predicted to be too big for this break. At this size, it's only for the experts, and even then, it might be a washing machine. The period is around 9-11 seconds, so there's some good energy in it, but it might close out and be too heavy for the average surfer. This is the real standout for power, but it's not for the faint of heart.

So, to sum it up: the first ten days are a write-off for any decent waves. Be patient. The morning of the 11th is your first real chance at a clean, fun session. And then the 13th and 14th bring a big, powerful, and clean swell, but it’s likely going to be too much for the break and only for the most experienced. It's promising but I’d keep my expectations in check until we get closer.

Stay stoked.

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