Tip Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here.

Alright, let’s be real. We’re looking at a solid 16-day stretch that starts off pretty grim but has a couple of proper sessions later on if you’re patient. The first week is mostly messy or small, but the second week has a serious spike that will get the heart pumping.

The opening weekend is a write-off. Friday the 3rd has a tiny 0.6m NE windswell with a weak 44 energy reading and a stiff 35 km/h W cross-off. Not worth paddling out. Saturday and Sunday, the 4th and 5th, bring better size – 2.1m to 2.4m – but it’s all SW to S swell with a short period around 9-10 seconds and cross-shore winds. The energy picks up into the hundreds and even 1378 on Sunday morning, which is moderate to strong, but the wind keeps it lumpy. It’s just messy.

Now, Monday the 6th is the first glimmer of hope. Morning at Tip Beach has a clean 1.9m SSE swell with a 10-second period and glassy conditions – WNW wind at just 5 km/h. The water temp is sitting at 15°, which is only 0.3° above average, so pretty much normal for this time of year. That morning window on Monday is your first decent call, with 694 energy backing it up. The afternoon gets a bit onshore, so hit it early.

The next few days, from Tuesday the 7th through Friday the 10th, are a mix of okay to good. Thursday the 9th morning looks clean again with a 1.9m SSE groundswell and light SW cross-off wind. Friday the 10th morning is a standout for the first week: the swell drops a touch to 1.6m, but the period stretches to a very long 12 seconds and the wind goes totally glassy out of the north at 5 km/h. That’s a proper morning session for the point or reef crew – that long period will wrap in nicely but might be a bit straight for a beach break. Energy is 895, so moderate-strong.

The second week starts to fade. Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th get smaller and weaker, dropping to 1.1m and then 0.6m with weak energy. A couple of glassy windows but nothing with any punch.

Then we hit the real show. Monday the 13th afternoon you get a sudden jump to 2.5m SW swell at 10 seconds, with a cross-off wind, but it’s still rough. The real standout is Tuesday the 14th. The morning session has a solid 3.0m SSW swell cranking with a period of 9 seconds and offshore WNW wind at 15 km/h. The energy is massive at 1528 – very strong. This is a powerful, clean swell direction. But listen, at 3.0m this is for experienced surfers only. Beginners stay on the beach. That size with an offshore will produce some heavy, clean walls, but it’s no joke. This is the best session of the whole outlook.

After that, the wheels fall off. Wednesday the 15th through to the end of the run on Saturday the 18th is all poor. Strong winds, rain, and the swell drops to knee-high dribble. The energy readings drop to under 500, and by the final days they’re in the weak zone under 100. There’s nothing to recommend in that last stretch.

So, for the standout: Get on Tuesday the 14th morning. That’s the one. If you can’t make that, Friday the 10th morning is the clean, long-period option. Crowds at Tip Beach can be an issue, so expect company on these good windows.

Rusty.

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