Tip Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty. Alright, let’s be straight with you – the next 16 days at Tip Beach are a mixed bag, and honestly, there’s not a whole lot of magic in the water for a while. The early part of the window is pretty average, but there are a couple of sneaky windows where it might be worth a paddle.

We’re looking at a pattern that starts slow on Sunday the 13th. The morning has a tiny 3ft S swell coming in at 10 seconds, and while the wind is glassy from the ESE at just 3 mph, the wave energy is weak at 175. It’s surfable, but it’s ordinary. By the afternoon, the wind gets messy and the score drops, so Sunday is a write-off.

Monday the 14th morning is your first real chance. The swell is a small 4ft from the NE with a short period of 7 seconds, but the wind is a light cross-off from the N at 6 mph, cleaning it right up. The wave energy is moderate (263). It’s not firing, but it’s clean and the conditions are pleasant. This is the only morning in the first week I’d genuinely consider paddling out. The afternoon turns to junk.

Tuesday the 15th has a bit more size – 5ft from the SSW in the morning – but with the swell period still short at 7 seconds, it’s a bit weak and lumpy. Moderate cross-off winds keep it clean, but it’s marginal.

Mid-week gets bigger but rougher. Wednesday the 16th morning sees a 8ft S swell with periods of 8 seconds, but that fresh cross-shore wind at 19 mph is going to make it a bumpy mess. The wave energy jumps to 813 (moderate), but wind and tide aren’t your friends. By the afternoon, it’s 8ft from the S with 9-second periods, still messy. Only for the experienced crew if they’re keen on a challenge.

Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th drop back to the 3ft to 6ft range, mostly from the S, and while the winds are cross-off, the quality is marginal at best. It’s inconsistent and not worth writing home about.

The gap gets real from Saturday the 19th right through to Monday the 21st. Swell drops to almost nothing – 1.0ft to 2ft – with weak energy readings in the teens and low 90s. Don’t bother.

Tuesday the 22nd shows a pulse of 5ft to 6ft S swell returning, with a very long 11-second period on the afternoon session. The wave energy hits 1015 (strong), and that long period groundswell could shape up okay if it finds the right bank at Tip Beach. Winds are light cross-onshore or onshore, so it’ll be a bit lumpy, but the power is there. That afternoon is the standout for the second week – it’s promising but not a guarantee this far out.

From Wednesday the 23rd onwards, it’s a mix of modest swell and onshore winds. Thursday the 24th morning has a tiny 2ft, glassy, clean but flat. Friday the 25th is a write-off. Saturday the 26th brings clean conditions with a 4ft to 5ft NE windswell, but it’s just okay. Sunday the 27th and Monday the 28th see a big pulse – 10ft from the SW – but with cross-onshore winds and way too much size for this break. That’s for experts only, and even then, it’s likely a messy close-out.

The water temperature is about average for this time of year.

Overall, your best bet is Monday the 14th morning for a clean little session, and if you’re feeling patient, the Tuesday the 22nd afternoon has the most potential for some real power, though it’s a week and a half out. Otherwise, Tip Beach is mostly a watch-and-wait affair.

Rusty.

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