Tip Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks for Tip Beach.

Straight up, I’m not gonna lie to you – the first week is a tough slog. There’s a whole lot of nothing or just ordinary, average conditions. It’s not until we get into the second week that things start to look a bit more promising, but it’s a long wait.

The water temp is sitting at 59°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no need to worry about a crazy cold snap just yet.

We start off on Friday the 7th. The morning has a small 2 ft S swell with a short 8-second period. The wind is a cross-off, but the energy is weak (114). It’s surfable, but it’s just very ordinary. The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 5 ft from the SW, but the period drops to 7 seconds, and the wind is still cross-off. It’s marginal at best.

Saturday the 8th morning is a tease. The wind goes glassy, which is a major positive, but the swell is tiny, just 2 ft from the SE. Wave energy is a pathetic 55. It’s clean, but you’ll be scratching for anything. By the afternoon, the wind swings onshore and it’s a write-off.

Sunday the 9th is a mess. The swell builds to 6 ft from the NE by the afternoon, with moderate energy (397), but the wind is howling and cross, making it a total chop-fest. Poor conditions all day.

Monday the 10th is where we see a glimmer. The morning has a 5 ft NE swell with a 10-second period and decent energy (438), but the wind is cross-off. The afternoon is the standout of the first week. The wind goes offshore from the W at 16 mph, and the swell is a clean 4 ft from the NE, with a 10-second period. The energy is good (295), and the conditions are described as "good surf conditions." This is your best bet early on.

Tuesday the 11th morning sees a bigger 7 ft SW swell with a 10-second period. The energy is strong (833), but the wind is cross-off. It’s a bit on the big side for beginners, and the conditions are marginal. The afternoon drops off.

The rest of that week is a mix of onshore winds and small, weak swells. It’s not great.

Now, look at the second week. Sunday the 16th morning is a small, clean 2 ft S swell with a glassy wind, but it’s just weak (91).

Then we get a real interesting blip. On Saturday the 22nd, the morning is glassy again with a tiny 2 ft NE swell. But the afternoon is the big one. The swell jumps to 8 ft from the SW with a 9-second period. The energy is massive at 1230 – that’s strong wave energy. The wind is a light cross-on, which isn’t perfect, but marginal is a step up from poor. That’s a solid, powerful swell rolling in. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but it’s the only real standout in the whole 16 days.

Because the swell is over 8 ft, this is for experienced surfers only. Beginners should stay on the sand for this one.

So, overall, it’s a patient man’s game. Monday the 10th afternoon is your best bet for the first week, and that Saturday the 22nd afternoon is the one to circle on the calendar if you’re an expert.

Rusty.

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