Tivives Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Tivives. Look, mate, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it: this is a quiet spell. The first solid recommendation doesn’t kick in until the 21st, so we’ve got a good week of small, forgettable waves before anything worth paddling out for. Still, there’s a couple of windows that’ll get the heart rate up, so let’s take it day by day.

So, the overall pattern for Tivives: most of this fortnight is ruled by small SW and SSW swells, rarely pushing past 3 ft. The water’s sitting at a warm 87°F, which is about a touch warmer than normal for this time of year—nothing freaky, just a little extra tropical juice. On the 15th, we’re looking at a 3 ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period—nice and long—but the cross-shore breeze from the SSE and risk of storms make it a messy affair. The combined swell energy is moderate at 501, but the wind’s gonna chop it up. Not worth it.

The 16th morning brings some hope: glassy conditions, a light NNW breeze, and a clean 2 ft SW swell at 15 seconds. Combined energy is moderate at 301. It’s small, but if you’re desperate for a slide, that’s your best early look. By arvo, the wind swings back cross-shore and the storms roll in again.

The 17th is similar—small 2 ft SSW swell, but the morning has a cross-off breeze that keeps things clean, and the afternoon turns glassy from the east. It’s rideable, but you’ll be fighting for scraps. The combined energy sits around 325 and 298—mediocre stuff.

Truth is, from the 15th to the 20th, most mornings offer either glassy or clean conditions on tiny, knee-to-waist-high swell. The afternoons are a write-off: cross-on breezes, storms, and poor surf.

Now, the standout. Friday the 21st is the pick of the whole outlook. Both the morning and afternoon sessions deliver a 3 ft S swell with an 11-second period—decent energy for the size—and the combined swell energy is a solid 318 in the morning and 278 in the arvo. The morning is glassy with a light west wind; the afternoon has a cross-off breeze from the east. This is clean, fun-sized surf. Tivives is a fairly exposed break, and with the swell coming from the south—right in its optimum zone—this is the day to block out your calendar. It’s inconsistent here usually, so don’t expect non-stop action, but the sets that come through will be worth the wait. Crowds are possible at Tivives, so get in early.

After that, it tapers off. The 22nd has a 3 ft S swell, but the afternoon gets onshore and ugly. The 23rd is even smaller, 3 ft S, and the same story: clean mornings, blown-out afternoons. By the 24th and 25th, we’re scraping 1 ft SSW and SW swell with very long periods of 16–18 seconds—those long-period groundswells often break too straight for this spot, and the combined energy drops to the 150–200 range. Definitely not worth driving for.

The very end of the run—Friday the 28th through Saturday the 29th—offers another little pulse. Friday afternoon sees a 2 ft SSW groundswell with an 18-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 457. Glassy conditions. Saturday morning and afternoon both hold 2 ft SSW at 16 seconds, energy around 314–323, and glassy winds. It’s small but clean, and if you’re patient, you’ll snag a few proper–looking waves. These are the second-best windows in the outlook.

Overall, mate, it’s a lean stretch. The 21st is your best bet—don’t sleep on it. The 28th–29th is worth a look if you’re keen for a quiet, glassy session. The rest? Maybe bring a spear or a camera.

Rusty.

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