Tivives Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, let’s talk about it.

The next couple of weeks look pretty grim for scoring anything decent. There's a heap of small, junky surf, and the wind and afternoon storms are going to mess with things more often than not. The first real highlight doesn't show up until Tuesday, September 22nd, and even that has its problems. But let's break it down.

Water temp is 86° at Tivives, which is a bit warmer than you'd expect for this time of year.

So the first week is mostly a bust. We're talking ankle to knee-high mush, roughly 1 to 2 feet. The mornings are your only real hope with some glassy conditions, but even then it's weak. That long-period SW swell that shows on the 11th? Yeah, it's small and the wind is all over it. The mornings on the 16th and 20th have some clean windows, but you'll be on a log, hunting for anything that stands up. It's just a flat spell, plain and simple.

Now, the one to keep an eye on.

Tuesday morning, September 22nd, a real pulse of SW swell fills in, pushing waves up to 7 feet. The energy is strong, reading 891, so there's some real push behind it. But, and this is big, the period is a short, grumpy 8 seconds. That's windswell, not clean groundswell. It's going to be lumpy, sectiony, and closing out all over the place. The morning wind is a light cross-shore from the SSE, putting a bit of chop on it. This is not one for the beginners—that size is too much. And with that short period, it could be a full-on mess.

To be honest, the best bet for a fun, clean session might be that little window on Thursday morning, the 17th. It's only tiny, about 2 feet, but it's dead glassy. It won't be anything epic, but clean one-foot waves beat messy six-foot waves every single time.

After the 22nd, it drops right back down. The final week of the forecast is a drag—small, weak, and the wind isn't playing nice. There's a small, clean swell on the 20th, but nothing special. The long-range stuff that shows at the end of the month might have a hint of quality to it, but that's too far out to trust, and the winds still look unsettled. Keep the faith, though; this kind of flat stretch doesn't normally last forever.

And if that bigger day gets all chopped up with those strong SSE winds, I'd rather be out there on a kite than a surfboard.

Stay stoked.

Rusty

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