Tivives Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is a classic case of a little going a long way. The next 16 days are gonna be a waiting game for the most part, but there are a few windows where Tivives is gonna turn it on, especially if you can get out early. The water’s running a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, about 86°F, so it’s gonna feel nice and tropical.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off. We’re looking at small, weak swell, cross-onshore winds messing things up, and the energy is just low. The combined energy is under 200 (190 on Sunday morning), which is pretty weak. You might find a cleanish wave on Sunday morning with light offshore airs, but it’s marginal. The swell is only 2ft, and while it’s clean, it’s not gonna have much push. Monday and Tuesday mornings are similar – clean but tiny, with 1ft and 2ft waves. It’s surfable, but you’ll be doing more paddling than riding.

The first real standout comes on Wednesday the 12th. The morning looks glassy, with no wind at all. The swell bumps up to 2ft from the SSW with a long 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy jumps to 436, which is moderate, and for a spot like this, that’s a big step up. It’s still small, but the quality is gonna be there. This is the first day I’d actually get excited about.

Thursday the 13th morning is still clean and glassy, with 2ft, but the period drops a bit. Then, Friday the 14th morning is another good one. The swell is 2ft from the SW with an 18-second period, and the energy is 387. Glassy conditions again. This long-period swell is going to wrap in nicely here.

But the real pick of the whole run is Saturday the 15th. The morning has 3ft of SSW swell with a 16-second period, and the energy hits 588. It’s glassy in the morning, and even the afternoon, with a light southerly breeze, is still looking glassy. Afternoon on the 15th is also a good option, with 3ft from the SW and energy at 504. This is the best combo of size and cleanliness we’re going to see. It’s still an intermediate wave, not big, but it’ll be the most fun.

Sunday the 16th is also worth a paddle. The morning has a bit of a cross-offshore wind, which keeps it clean, and the swell is 2ft from the SW. The afternoon turns to a proper offshore from the NE, which is going to hold the waves up nicely. Energy is still in the 300s.

From there, the swell slowly fades. The next week is all about early mornings. Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th are both glassy in the morning with 2ft of swell, but the energy is dropping. Wednesday the 19th through to the end of the window is pretty ordinary. The mornings stay clean, but the size is down to 2-3ft, and the period shortens up. The afternoons are mostly a mess with cross-onshore winds and the risk of thunderstorms. The energy dips below 200 for most of the second week, so it’s really just small, clean conditions for a quick log or a longboard.

So, the standout is definitely Saturday the 15th. If you can only get out once, that’s your morning. The combination of the biggest swell of the run, 3ft, with a solid 16-second period, perfectly glassy conditions, and the highest energy (588) makes it the clear winner. The Friday the 14th morning and Sunday the 16th are also good, but the 15th is the one.

Tivives can be inconsistent, so it’s not always firing, but when the conditions line up like they do on the 15th, it’s worth the wait. Just remember, it’s a fairly exposed spot, so you want the wind to be right. The longer period swells are going to work best here, and we’ve got that in spades mid-period.

No buoys to check, just go by what you see. It’s gonna be a quiet stretch, but the middle of the run has a good window.

Rusty.

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