Tivives Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the waves we’ve got coming our way. It’s a slow build kind of a week, so don’t expect to be charging out of the gates. The good news is, the ocean’s got a trick up its sleeve for the second weekend.

Right now, we’re in a lull. There’s literally no surf recommendation until Monday morning, July 6th. That’s a few days of flatness to sit through. When it does start, it’s going to be small.

Our spot for the whole run is Tivives. The water is a warm 86°, a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can leave that thick wetsuit at home. The first real window is Monday, July 6th. There’s a tiny 1 ft swell rolling in from the SSW with a very long period of 21 seconds. Combined wave energy is 377 – that’s moderate but lacking any punch. The morning is clean with a light cross-off shore from the NW. It’s inconsistent around here, so you’ll need patience. Afternoon turns to junk with a risk of t-storms and cross-on wind.

The next few mornings are the pick of the early run. Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday (July 7th-9th) all show similar conditions: clean, glassy or cross-off mornings, with the swell holding around 2 ft to 3 ft from the SSW. The period drops from 18 seconds down to 15, so it’s still a long-period groundswell that will have some shape. The energy sits in the 500-600 range (moderate). These are board-short waves—small, clean, and best for a longboard or a fish. The strong point is the wind; that NW or calm air in the mornings makes it look silky.

The pattern holds through the middle of the month. Mornings are your only window. By Saturday, July 11th, we get a little bump to 3 ft with glassy conditions and 16-second period. Nice, but still small. The afternoons are consistently ruined by onshore winds and t-storms. That’s just the rhythm here.

Now, here’s the standout. If you’re looking for the real deal, keep your eyes on Sunday, July 19th, and Monday, July 20th. This is where it gets serious. We’ve got a proper SSW swell building. Sunday the 19th sees the height jump to 5 ft, with period hitting 20 seconds. The combined energy rockets to 1826 – that’s strong wave energy. Monday the 20th is even bigger at 6 ft from the S, 17-second period, and energy at 1896. This is a significant groundswell. The mornings are glassy or calm, so you’re looking at powerful, clean lines. This swell is over 5 ft, so it’s getting too big for beginners. The long period and point setup at Tivives should produce proper, grinding walls. This is the best on offer, hands down. The following Tuesday, July 21st, still holds overhead 5 ft waves with 15-second period, so the run is solid. Just remember, by the afternoon the wind turns and the chance of storms returns, so surf early.

It’s a tale of two forecasts: small and clean for the first week, then a pulse of real groundswell for the second. Lock in those mornings.

Rusty, signing off.

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