Shelley Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. I’ve had a good look at the setup for Shelley Beach over the next couple weeks, and honestly, it’s a bit of a dry spell to start. The first couple of days—Sunday and Monday—there’s barely a ripple. Swell’s under 1 foot, winds are crossed up, and there’s no push. You’d be better off doing something else.

Tuesday morning is the first thing that’s even surfable, but it’s nothing special. About 2 feet of south swell with a light cross-off breeze, so it’s rideable but pretty average. The energy’s weak—159—and the water temp is sitting around 64°F, which is pretty standard for this time of year, maybe just a touch cooler but nothing to fuss about.

Then things get rowdy midweek. Wednesday and Thursday, the swell pumps up hard—8 to 11 feet—but the wind goes onshore and lumpy. That’s way too much juice for Shelley Beach. It’s a beach break, exposed to the south, and with that much swell and chop, it’s not a good look for a paddleboard. The energy numbers are big—1207 on Wednesday morning and 4137 on Thursday—but that’s just power, not quality. Might be a kite day if anything.

Now, here’s the one to circle: Friday morning, the 18th. Swell drops to a clean 5 feet from the SSE, period around 8 seconds, and the wind goes light cross-off from the NNE—basically glassy. Energy’s moderate at 370, and the surface is clean. That’s your best wave of the whole window, no contest. Shelley Beach (Big Island) will be lining up nicely, and that south swell is right on the mark.

Saturday morning the 19th is a decent backup too—about 3 feet from the SE with a 11-second period, glassy as anything. It’s smaller, but that long period gives it some grunt. Energy’s only 339, but the clean face makes it a fun, relaxed session. Not a standout, but a good one.

After that, it’s mostly rubbish. Sunday and the start of the next week drop right out, with tiny waves and poor winds. There’s a small bump on Monday the 21st—8 feet in the morning but messy—then the afternoon clears a bit to 6 feet with light onshore wind, still not great.

The second week is rough. Tuesday and Wednesday have weak, small surf with cross-onshore wind, and the energy’s low—mostly under 300. There’s a pulse on the 28th with 8 feet from the south, but it’s choppy and onshore, so again, poor quality.

Bottom line: you’ve got one real standout—Friday the 18th morning—and maybe a glassy Saturday if you want small waves. The rest is either too big, too messy, or flat. Shelley Beach is a consistent spot, but the conditions are against us for most of this run. That Friday’s the one. Be there.

Rusty out.

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