Shelley Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.51° E

Shelley Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 23 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Shelley Beach sea temperature is
17.5°C
0.6° 

Shelley Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Shelley Beach surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period, SSE swell with 506 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelley Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 1.1m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Shelley Beach in the next 16 days are 1.7m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Mon 24th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 10s
Best Surf10AM (Sat 29th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 9s
Most Powerful10AM (Sat 29th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s break down what’s coming for Shelley Beach over the next couple weeks.

The opening stretch is pretty flat and messy. Sunday the 23rd has some weak, short-period S swell around 4ft, but a gentle cross-onshore is puffing through, and the water’s about 64°F – nothing special. Not worth rushing out.

Monday the 24th morning offers a cleaner look: a light cross-offshore breeze with a knee-high 3ft S swell. The combined energy is moderate (208). That afternoon the wind jumps to 19 mph from the NE, turning it lumpy and poor. Tuesday and Wednesday look ordinary with onshore or cross-shore winds messing up tiny waves. There’s a gap of several quiet days.

The first real highlight hits Thursday the 27th morning. A clean 5ft S swell with glassy conditions – that’s the ticket. The wind is almost nothing from the SE, and the combined swell energy is a solid moderate 486. Shelley Beach is open to the S, and with a 9-second period, those waves will have some push. This is your best session of the first week.

Friday the 28th morning is another clean window with a light offshore from the WSW, but the swell drops to 3ft with moderate energy (275). It’s ridable but not a standout.

Now for the true standout: Saturday the 29th morning. This is the one to circle. A clean 6ft S swell with a light offshore breeze from the NW. The combined energy leaps to 532 (strong). For an intermediate break, 6ft is a fun size – not too big, not too small. The offshore wind will keep the face clean, and the S angle fits the break perfectly. If you surf only one session, make it this one.

Sunday the 30th gets messy again with onshore winds and bigger but lumpy swell (7ft S on the afternoon). That’s more of a kite day unless you’re keen on choppy drops.

Into the second week, Monday the 31st morning offers another clean shot with a 4ft S swell, a cross-offshore from the NNE, and strong energy (767). That’s a solid session. Tuesday the 1st of September keeps the offshore wind going (WNW) with 4ft S swell and clean conditions, but it’s easing.

From Wednesday the 2nd onward, the swell drops below 3ft and the energy fades to weak or moderate. A couple mornings are glassy (like Friday the 4th morning with 3ft of 5-second swell – that’s short and weak), but nothing to get excited about. The last slightly interesting day is Saturday the 5th, with a clean 3ft SSE swell – more of a longboard cruiser session.

In a nutshell: Thursday the 27th morning and Saturday the 29th morning are your windows. Saturday the 29th is the clear winner. Go get it while it’s clean.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Mon afternoon, light winds from the W by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
2
0
1
3
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
S
10
1.1
SSE
8
1
S
10
0.8
S
10
0.7
S
10
1.3
NE
6
1
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
8
0.8
ENE
8
1.6
SSE
8
1.6
S
9
1.4
S
9
1.2
S
11
0.9
S
9
1.2
SSE
11
1.1
SSE
10
1.7
SSE
9
1.3
S
8
1
S
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
306
149
210
121
89
101
88
86
96
95
76
295
431
311
319
125
350
255
506
228
162
Wind (km/h)
15
ENE
15
ENE
15
NNE
10
NNE
30
NE
20
NNE
10
N
15
NNW
15
N
20
SW
20
S
15
S
5
SSE
15
E
5
WNW
10
WSW
20
SSE
5
SSW
10
NW
5
ENE
10
W
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
cross-on
cross
off
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
4:58PM1.35m
5:47AM0.94m
5:46PM1.42m
6:29AM1.01m
6:27PM1.49m
7:06AM1.09m
7:04PM1.54m
7:41AM1.17m
7:40PM1.57m
8:15AM1.25m
8:15PM1.57m
8:49AM1.32m
8:50PM1.54m
Low Tide
10:09AM0.54m
11:58PM0.39m
11:07AM0.50m
00:37AM0.32m
11:56AM0.43m
1:11AM0.24m
12:39PM0.37m
1:43AM0.18m
1:19PM0.32m
2:14AM0.13m
1:59PM0.28m
2:44AM0.10m
2:39PM0.26m
3:14AM0.10m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:24
6:22
6:20
6:20
6:18
6:18
6:16
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:32
 mm
3
6
4
1
3
Temp °C
16
17
17
18
18
17
22
18
16
17
16
15
15
15
15
18
16
15
19
20
15
Feels °C
13
14
14
14
14
14
20
16
15
14
13
13
14
12
14
14
12
12
16
18
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Shelley Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Shelley Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelley Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelley Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelley Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelley Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelley Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Central Coast which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 24 km (15 miles) away, Dee Why, Newcastle and Hornsby.

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