Surf Forecasts:
Shelley Beach surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 24 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 11s period, S swell with 282 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelley Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Shelley Beach in the next 16 days are 1.1m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Shelley Beach over the next couple of weeks.
Alright, I’m not gonna sugar-coat it—this run is lookin’ pretty flat and average for the most part. There’s a bit of hope late in the window, but you’re gonna be waitin’ a while for anything worth paddlin’ out for. We’re talkin’ a solid gap of over a week where the surf is just not on.
The water temp is sittin’ around 64°F, which is pretty standard for this time of year, no surprises there.
Let’s start with the first real chance you get. Monday morning, 24 August, Shelley Beach picks up a little 3ft south swell. The period is 10 seconds, so it’s got a bit of push, but not a ton. Winds are light and clean from the north, which is cross-off, so the surface will be tidy. Combined energy is moderate at 171. It’s surfable, but ordinary. A little one for a quick session if you’re desperate.
Then things go flat and messy again until Tuesday afternoon, 25 August. That’s where we get a jump to a 5ft swell from the northeast, period short at 7 seconds. Still, the wind is cross-off from the north-northeast, keepin’ it clean, and the combined energy jumps up to 322. That’s moderate, but punchy for Shelley. The model gives this one a decent nod—expect some fun little ramps, but it won’t be world-class.
After that, a bit more junk until Friday morning, 28 August. This is a standout. It’s glassy—yes, glassy! Wind is from the southwest at just 3 mph. The swell is 3ft from the south, 9-second period, and combined energy at 207. It’s small, but with those clean, glassy conditions, this is your best bet for a smooth, cruisy session. The south swell direction isn’t bang-on for Shelley’s optimum (which is southeast), but the clean conditions make up for it.
Now for the long-range promise. Saturday morning, 5 September—over a week away—we get a very clean look. Swell is only 2ft, but the period is a massive 21 seconds. That’s a proper, long-period groundswell from the south. Combined energy is high at 500, which is strong. Winds are light and from the north-northeast, off the land. This is expected to produce very good surf conditions. That long period will wrap in nicely, but it’ll be a bit fat and straight on a beach break—still, for the experts, there’ll be some nice, lined-up walls if you pick your take-off spot. Keep an eye on it, but don’t lock in your plans just yet—it’s a long way out.
Overall, the best two windows are Friday morning 28 August for the glassy, clean small waves, and Saturday morning 5 September for that long-period groundswell potential. The rest of the time, you’re better off doin’ something else.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | ESE 4 | S 10 | SSE 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
6 | 5 | 255 | 149 | 210 | 121 | 87 | 77 | 68 | 178 | 120 | 119 | 95 | 206 | 245 | 134 | 129 | 127 | 108 | 73 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | glassy | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:54AM0.89m | 4:58PM1.35m | 5:47AM0.94m | 5:46PM1.42m | 6:29AM1.01m | 6:27PM1.49m | 7:06AM1.09m | 7:04PM1.54m | 7:41AM1.17m | 7:40PM1.57m | 8:15AM1.25m | 8:15PM1.57m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:09PM0.46m | 10:09AM0.54m | 11:58PM0.39m | 11:07AM0.50m | 00:37AM0.32m | 11:56AM0.43m | 1:11AM0.24m | 12:39PM0.37m | 1:43AM0.18m | 1:19PM0.32m | 2:14AM0.13m | 1:59PM0.28m | 2:44AM0.10m | |||||||
— | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | |
5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 23 | 21 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 14 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | ENE 6 | S 10 | SSE 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 5 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 |
6 | 4 | 255 | 149 | 210 | 121 | 87 | 44 | 68 | 99 | 120 | 119 | 95 | 52 | 245 | 134 | 129 | 127 | 108 | 73 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 6 | ENE 6 | S 14 | ENE 8 | ENE 5 | S 18 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 15 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
6 | 3 | 7 | 138 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 75 | 86 | 103 | 80 | 61 | 54 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 6 | NE 8 | S 18 | E 14 | E 14 | ENE 8 | E 13 | ENE 9 | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | — | S 14 | — | S 15 | S 14 | — | S 12 | S 11 |
3 | 2 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 19 | — | 4 | — | 5 | 15 | — | 26 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 4 | E 5 | ENE 9 | ENE 4 | NE 5 | ENE 4 | NE 5 | — | NE 7 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | S 4 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 5 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 26 | 34 | 77 | — | 178 | 2 | 1 | 38 | 206 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 365 | 102 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 221 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 166 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Shelley Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Shelley Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelley Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelley Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelley Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelley Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelley Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Central Coast which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 24 km (15 miles) away, Dee Why, Newcastle and Hornsby.











