Shelley Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.51° E

Issued: 3 pm 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Shelley Beach sea temperature is
19.0° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Shelley Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Shelley Beach surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, SE swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SE swell with 2,586 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelley Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Shelley Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Wed 8th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 11s
Best Surf 4AM (Wed 8th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 11s
Most Powerful 4PM (Tue 7th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Righto, let's have a look at what's cookin' at Shelley Beach. There's a bit of a slow start to the run here, so don't expect much action for the first few days. The South-Easterly swell is around but the wind is just messy, making for poor conditions. We've got a couple of days of rain and a decent amount of energy in the water—over 1400 (combined energy)—on Monday the 6th, but with that strong SSE wind, it's choppy and not worth paddlin' out for.

Things start to settle by Thursday the 9th. The swell drops a touch to 7 ft from the SE, with a 10-second period, and the wind swings lighter and cross-shore. It’s still a bit marginal, but the energy is down to 837 (combined energy), and you'll find some cleaner lines. The real pick of the early window is Friday the 10th morning. We've got a 6 ft SE swell with a cross-offshore wind from the SW, and it's clean. The energy's moderate at 592 (combined energy), but it'll be the best-run wave you'll get before the weekend.

Now, Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th see the swell drop right off to around 3 ft, but the wind goes offshore or cross-off. The Saturday morning is a standout: clear sky, light offshore breeze from the NNW, and 4 ft of SE swell. It'll be small but clean, and the combined energy is low at 390. It's a proper longboard or funboard morning. Sunday morning has a bit more puff in the wind at 16 mph from the NW, but still offshore and clean on the 3 ft ESE swell. It's surfable but nothing to write home about. Shelley Beach is a consistent spot when there's swell, so these small days are just part of the cycle.

After a flat spell Monday and Tuesday (13th and 14th), we get a fun little pulse on Tuesday the 14th morning. The swell jumps to 4 ft from the south, period of 10 seconds, and it's glassy with a light W wind. The energy is 312 (combined energy), making for some clean, punchy peaks. It's not huge, but it's the best on offer for a few days.

The most exciting window is all the way out on Saturday the 18th. After a massive, blown-out southerly groundswell that peaks Friday the 17th at 16 ft and a very long 13-second period, the wind finally dies. Saturday the 18th morning is the highlight of the whole outlook. The swell has dropped to a manageable 6 ft from the SSE, period 9 seconds, and it's glassy—dead calm. The energy is solid at 887 (combined energy). This is the one to circle on the calendar. It'll be clean, powerful, and long-period enough to hold its shape. Just watch for the crowd, as Shelley Beach can get busy on a good day.

Sunday the 19th offers a small, clean follow-up with a 4 ft SSE swell and a cross-offshore NNW breeze, but the energy is lower at 254. After that, the run fades again into the following week.

As for the water, it's sitting at a comfortable 66°F, which is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

The Standout: Saturday the 18th morning. Glassy conditions with a clean 6 ft SSE groundswell. That's the gold.

Stay frothy,
Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Tue morning, calm by Thu morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Mon
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3.5
SE
11
3
SE
11
2.5
SE
10
2.4
SE
10
2
SSE
11
1.4
SSE
10
1.8
SE
9
1.6
SE
9
1.6
SE
9
1.6
SE
10
1.4
SE
10
1.2
SE
9
1.1
SE
9
1
ESE
10
0.8
ESE
11
0.7
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
9
0.4
ESE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1478
1675
1803
2586
2058
1418
1204
909
402
531
440
405
459
373
230
168
206
135
94
50
30
Wind (km/h)
25
SSE
25
SSW
25
SSW
30
S
25
S
15
S
25
SSW
20
SW
5
WSW
5
SW
10
W
10
WSW
5
SE
10
NW
10
NW
25
WNW
15
NW
20
WNW
25
W
25
WNW
25
NW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
00:21AM1.30m
1:34PM1.25m
1:18AM1.20m
2:29PM1.33m
2:25AM1.12m
3:27PM1.43m
3:41AM1.07m
4:26PM1.53m
4:57AM1.05m
5:23PM1.64m
6:06AM1.07m
6:19PM1.74m
7:08AM1.11m
Low Tide
6:23PM0.52m
6:59AM0.22m
7:29PM0.53m
7:46AM0.24m
8:44PM0.49m
8:39AM0.27m
10:00PM0.41m
9:38AM0.30m
11:11PM0.30m
10:38AM0.30m
00:15AM0.17m
11:38AM0.29m
1:13AM0.06m
12:36PM0.26m
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
rain showers
light rain
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:58
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:59
4:59
5:00
5:00
5:00
5:00
5:01
5:01
 mm
2
4
1
2
3
4
2
8
3
2
4
2
Temp °C
16
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
13
15
15
14
15
14
18
15
13
18
17
12
16
Feels °C
11
11
10
10
11
12
11
11
12
15
15
12
14
12
15
10
9
12
11
7
10
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
14
1
SE
14
0.1
S
16
3
SE
11
2.5
SE
10
2.4
SE
10
1.7
ESE
10
1.5
ESE
9
1.8
SE
9
1.6
SE
9
1.6
SE
9
1.6
SE
10
1.4
SE
10
1.2
SE
9
1.1
SE
9
1
ESE
10
0.8
ESE
11
0.7
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
9
0.4
SSW
7
Energy kJ
15
357
5
2058
1418
1204
587
378
531
440
405
459
373
230
168
206
135
94
50
15
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
14
0.7
ESE
14
1
ESE
13
1.5
SSE
11
1.4
SSE
10
0.4
ESE
10
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
19
0.1
S
19
0.1
S
19
0.5
ESE
13
0.7
ESE
12
0.7
SSE
8
0.4
SSE
8
0.4
SE
8
0.3
SSW
5
0.4
ESE
9
Energy kJ
15
173
307
485
402
39
5
7
7
7
98
125
62
27
16
6
30
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
18
0.1
S
17
0.1
S
20
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
16
0.2
SSE
8
0.1
SE
7
Energy kJ
4
6
6
8
4
4
4
4
5
6
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3.5
SE
11
2
SSE
11
0.3
WNW
2
0.4
NW
3
0.4
WNW
3
0.5
WSW
3
0.5
W
3
0.6
NW
3
Energy kJ
1478
1675
1803
2586
909
1
2
3
5
5
6
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
Distance (km)
238
166
11
11
41
131
11
11
0
0
11
0
11
0
0
0
8
0
0
0
9
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
8
7
4
7
7
6
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
3
2
2
2
4
1
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
7
8
7
5
5
9
6
9
9
5
6
5
4
5
5
4
5
4
4
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Shelley Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Shelley Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelley Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelley Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelley Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelley Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelley Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Central Coast which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 24 km (15 miles) away, Dee Why, Newcastle and Hornsby.

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