Shelley Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s have a look at what’s on offer over the next couple of weeks. It’s gonna be a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s a couple of sessions that’ll get the blood pumping.

First up, Monday the 20th morning at Shelley Beach is looking prime. The water’s sitting at 66°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year. We’ve got a solid 6 ft swell rolling in from the east, with a nice 11-second period – that’s proper groundswell, bringing some real push. The combined energy is a solid 819 (moderate), and with the wind glassy as all hell, it’s gonna be clean as a whistle. This is the standout of the early run, no doubt.

Tuesday the 21st morning sees the swell dropping to 4 ft from the east-northeast, but with a light offshore breeze, it’ll still be clean and fun. The energy drops to 410 (moderate), so it’s not as punchy, but a good option for a few waves.

Wednesday the 22nd morning is more of the same, with a 3 ft east-northeast swell and a light offshore wind. The energy is down to 226 (weak to moderate), but it’s clean and surfable.

There’s a bit of a lull on Thursday the 23rd and into the weekend, with smaller, weaker swells and cross-shore winds. Not worth writing home about.

Now, hang on to your boardies for Friday the 24th morning. The swell jumps back up to 7 ft, this time from the south, with a 9-second period. Combined energy is 743 (moderate), and we’ve got clean, cross-offshore winds. This is the second real standout – a solid wall of south swell, clean and with some power.

Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th mornings see the swell drop a little, but still offering 4 ft to 5 ft south swells. The winds are cross-offshore, keeping it fairly clean. The energy is moderate (463 and 457). The long period of 12 seconds on Saturday morning means the sets will be a bit more spaced out, but the waves will have better shape.

Monday the 27th morning is a return to 4 ft south swell with a light offshore wind. A solid, clean option.

The second week gets a bit shaky. By the end of July and into early August, the swells get small and the winds turn onshore. There’s a big spike on Monday the 3rd of August, with a 13 ft south swell and a combined energy of 6616 (strong!). But mate, that’s way too big for Shelley Beach – it’s basically a washing machine for experts only, and the forecast says it’s too big. Tuesday the 4th of August though, that’s the one to keep an eye on in the long range. The swell drops to 6 ft from the south, with a gentle offshore wind from the north-northwest. The energy is 558 (moderate), and the conditions look primo. It’s a promising call, but a week and a half out, so treat it with a bit of caution.

In short, the absolute best bets are Monday the 20th morning and Friday the 24th morning. Don’t sleep on Tuesday the 4th of August if the long-range forecast holds.

Rusty.

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