Shelley Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.51° E

Shelley Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 28 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Shelley Beach sea temperature is
18.4° C
0.1° 

Shelley Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Shelley Beach surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 11s period, S swell with 716 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 11s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelley Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Shelley Beach in the next 16 days are 1.8m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Thu 30th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 11s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 30th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 11s
Most Powerful 4AM (Fri 31st Jul)6ft (1.8m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's on offer for the next couple of weeks at Shelley Beach. It's a mixed bag, so let's get into it.

We're starting off quiet. Tuesday and Wednesday this week are flat as a tack, with tiny, weak swells that are barely registering. You'll see a combined energy of just 50 (weak) on Tuesday morning, dropping to almost nothing. It's not worth wetting a wetsuit.

Things finally start to pick up a little on Thursday the 30th of July. The swell kicks in at 6ft from the south, but the wind is a cross-shore, so it's going to be a bit messy. The combined energy hits 574 (moderate), but with a period of 10 seconds, it's workable, not world-class. Friday the 31st is similar, with 6ft to 6ft south swell and a cross-shore wind, though the energy is up a bit to 635. It's surfable, but you'll be working for it. Saturday the 1st of August drops off a bit, and then Sunday the 2nd is where it gets interesting. We've got a nice 6ft SSE groundswell with a 13-second period and clean, offshore winds from the NW. The combined energy is a solid 997 (moderate to strong). This is the best bet of the first week. The waves will have some punch, and those longer gaps between sets will make paddling out a breeze. Keep in mind the crowd factor here – Shelley Beach is listed as "sometimes" crowded, so you might have some company on a Sunday.

Monday the 3rd is a write-off with strong, lumpy winds. Tuesday the 4th of August has a big 10ft swell, but that's too much size for this spot. The forecast says it's predicted to be too big for this break, and the combined energy is a massive 1297 (strong). That's a warning sign, not a green light. Wednesday the 5th is the same story – 10ft and messy. The rest of that week is just big, unruly swell and onshore winds, so we're looking at a blank run for a few days.

Now, for the second week, there's a standout that's promising but a little less certain this far out. On the morning of Monday the 11th of August, we've got a 7ft ENE groundswell with a very long 11-second period. The key here is the glassy, offshore NW wind. The combined energy is a whopping 1519 (very strong), and the forecast is for excellent conditions for experienced surfers. This is a big, powerful groundswell that could be a bit much for the average punter, but for the experts, it's going to be a cracker. The swell direction (ENE) is matching what this spot likes. The morning of Tuesday the 12th of August also looks good with a smaller 4ft east swell, clean conditions, and a long 12-second period, offering a more manageable option.

So, to wrap it up: The standout is the morning of Sunday the 2nd of August for a solid, clean, fun-sized south swell. Then, keep an eye on the morning of Monday the 11th of August for a powerful, expert-level groundswell if the forecast holds. Water temperature is sitting at 65°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
2
0
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
S
8
0.4
S
7
0.3
S
9
0.1
S
18
0.1
S
16
0.8
SSW
6
1.6
S
9
1.4
S
9
1.7
S
11
1.7
S
10
1.8
S
10
1.6
S
10
1.4
SSE
9
1.4
SSE
10
0.9
SSE
13
1.3
SSE
12
1.4
SE
11
1.2
SSE
12
0.9
SSE
11
0.9
SE
11
0.6
SSE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
28
16
13
6
5
36
417
320
651
627
618
480
348
334
273
475
431
378
219
169
73
Wind (km/h)
10
NW
15
NNW
15
NW
20
WNW
20
W
15
WSW
10
WSW
15
SSE
15
W
10
SW
15
S
15
SW
10
SW
10
E
10
N
10
NNW
15
NE
10
WSW
15
SW
20
S
10
SW
Wind State
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
High Tide
7:32PM1.57m
8:10AM1.07m
8:08PM1.60m
8:46AM1.11m
8:43PM1.60m
9:22AM1.16m
9:17PM1.58m
9:58AM1.20m
9:52PM1.53m
10:36AM1.25m
10:28PM1.45m
11:16AM1.29m
11:09PM1.35m
Low Tide
12:57PM0.39m
2:19AM0.21m
1:38PM0.36m
2:52AM0.17m
2:16PM0.34m
3:24AM0.14m
2:56PM0.34m
3:55AM0.13m
3:36PM0.35m
4:26AM0.13m
4:19PM0.37m
4:59AM0.16m
5:08PM0.40m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:48
6:48
6:47
6:46
6:46
6:45
6:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:12
5:12
5:13
5:14
5:14
5:15
5:15
 mm
7
Temp °C
20
21
15
16
17
11
13
13
13
14
14
14
15
16
15
19
20
18
16
16
15
Feels °C
16
17
10
9
11
5
9
9
10
9
10
11
14
14
12
17
16
14
12
12
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Shelley Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Shelley Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelley Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelley Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelley Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelley Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelley Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Central Coast which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 24 km (15 miles) away, Dee Why, Newcastle and Hornsby.

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