
Surf Forecasts:
Shelley Beach surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 1,909 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelley Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Shelley Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer at Shelley Beach over the next couple of weeks.
Truth be told, the next few days are pretty grim. Saturday morning the 5th of September has a small 2 ft south swell coming in at 10 seconds, with a north cross-off breeze that’ll keep things kinda clean, but the combined swell energy is a weak 99 and the whole vibe is just very ordinary. Water temp is 66°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year so no wetsuit drama. Saturday afternoon drops to 2 ft with a nice offshore from the west-northwest, still weak energy at 74. It’s surfable, but nothing to get excited about. Sunday the 6th is a write-off: a messy 2 ft with a cross-shore southwesterly in the morning, and then a bumpy 4 ft onshore in the afternoon, energy jumping to 251 but the conditions are poor.
Monday the 7th of September is where we get our first real standout. Morning at Shelley Beach (Australia) is looking glassy with a light westerly that’s dead calm, and a 5 ft south swell rolling in at 9 seconds. Combined energy hits 387, which is moderate, but it’s the glassy surface that’ll have you grinning. That’s the pick of the first week – clean, fun waves for intermediates. Afternoon turns messy with a cross-onshore easterly, so get it early. Tuesday the 8th jumps up to 8 ft from the south-southeast in the morning, but with a 15 mph cross-onshore wind it’s just a chop fest – energy is a solid 1008 but it’s not for paddling. That kind of size and wind is more kite-surfing territory. Wednesday the 9th is cross-on again with 5 ft and light wind, marginal. Thursday the 10th sees a 10 ft south swell, energy at 2585 – strong, but the cross-onshore wind ruins it. Friday the 11th stays messy.
Now, look ahead to Saturday the 12th of September. That’s another standout – morning glass again, light southerly breeze, and a clean 5 ft south swell at 11 seconds. Combined energy is 639, moderate, but it’s the glassy conditions that make it a ripper for a weekend session. The period is nicely long, so the waves will have some shape and power. Afternoon gets a cross-onshore breeze, so plan a dawny.
Sunday the 13th is a nice clean morning with 3 ft south swell at a very long 12 seconds, cross-off northerly breeze. That’s a real gem for a point-style wave, though it might be a bit straight for a beach break – but still clean and fun. Energy is 296. Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th drop right off – small 2 ft and 1 ft, not worth the paddle.
Then, from Wednesday the 16th of September right through to the end of the period, the swell cranks up but it’s too big for this break. Wednesday morning is a massive 12 ft south swell at 12 seconds, energy at a whopping 6132, but the report says it’s too big for Shelley Beach – expert territory only, and the afternoon turns into a stormy cross-onshore mess. Thursday the 17th stays at 12 ft, strong energy, but the wind is cross or cross-on. Friday the 18th has a 10 ft south-southeast swell with a 14-second period – very long, very powerful – and a clean cross-off breeze in the morning, but again, that size is for experts only. The weekend of the 19th and 20th stays big and windy – 10 ft on Sunday the 20th with light cross-on wind, energy near 2000, but it’s too much for a fun paddle.
So, the honest call: the two true standouts are Monday morning the 7th of September with that 5 ft glassy clean south swell, and Saturday morning the 12th of September with 5 ft glassy conditions and a nice 11-second period. For the rest, the first week is mostly poor, and the second week is just too big and messy. Shelley Beach can be a fun wave when the wind plays nice, but this run has a few bright windows and a lot of noise. Crowds are “sometimes” here, so on those clean mornings you might have company, but it’s worth it.
Stay salty,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 31°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the S by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, strong winds from the S by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 7 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
90 | 58 | 42 | 45 | 163 | 1909 | 377 | 318 | 418 | 994 | 542 | 477 | 287 | 589 | 1742 | 1476 | 1081 | 1048 | 785 | 679 | 606 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:40PM1.44m | 3:44AM0.96m | 3:54PM1.49m | 4:59AM1.02m | 5:00PM1.56m | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:46PM0.33m | 9:08AM0.47m | 10:57PM0.24m | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:28AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.28m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | ||||||||
6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | |
— | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 31 | 23 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 25 | 27 | 21 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 6 | S 7 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SE 12 | E 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | E 9 | E 16 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 |
90 | 58 | 13 | 45 | 74 | 1319 | 377 | 318 | 49 | 7 | 542 | 477 | 287 | 6 | 5 | 1048 | 1081 | 1048 | 785 | 679 | 606 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | NE 4 | S 9 | NE 7 | NE 6 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | SE 9 | E 10 | SE 10 | E 17 | NE 16 | SSE 23 | SSE 23 | SSE 23 | SE 8 | E 14 | E 13 |
7 | 9 | 42 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 78 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 51 | 104 | 106 | 3 | 4 | 14 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | E 9 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | — | NE 8 | NE 8 | — | — | E 10 | N 9 | E 9 | E 17 | — | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SE 22 | E 9 | E 9 |
2 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | 8 | 2 | 7 | 6 | — | 10 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 2 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | WNW 3 | WSW 2 | W 3 | S 8 | S 10 | — | — | S 8 | SSE 9 | — | — | NNW 2 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 163 | 1909 | — | — | 418 | 994 | — | — | 1 | 589 | 1742 | 1476 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 309 | 161 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 41 | 41 | 158 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Shelley Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Shelley Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelley Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelley Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelley Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelley Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelley Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Central Coast which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 24 km (15 miles) away, Dee Why, Newcastle and Hornsby.










