
Surf Forecasts:
Shelley Beach surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 13s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period, S swell with 497 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelley Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Shelley Beach in the next 16 days are 1.7m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s going on at Shelley Beach. It’s a real mixed bag, but there’s a solid window of quality surf to get excited about, especially if you can wait it out. The early part of the outlook is pretty grim, but a real standout appears later in the run.
The first few days look rough. From Monday, the 10th of August, through to the weekend, we’re dealing with messy, poor conditions. Monday morning has a 6ft ENE swell at 9 seconds, but it’s blown out by a 22 mph offshore wind. That’s clean, but at that speed it’s just too hard to get into anything. The energy is moderate (477). The afternoon gets even stronger at 28 mph – basically a kite session. By Tuesday the 11th, the swell drops to 2ft, and it’s not worth paddling out.
Tuesday afternoon, the 11th of August is where things finally turn. The wind drops to glassy, dead calm, and we get a 3ft S swell with a 13-second period. That’s some proper groundswell energy with moderate energy (282). It’s super clean, but it’s small. If you’ve got a log, you’ll be smiling.
Wednesday through the weekend stays small and messy. Onshore winds, rain showers, and weak, short-period swell. The 2ft to 4ft range is not doing anything for us. Energy is low to moderate, but the wind is all wrong. Shelley Beach is exposed to the SE, and we’re getting cross and onshore junk from the SE and SSE. It’s a write-off until the following week.
Now, the real standout is Friday, the 21st of August. Friday morning is your best bet. We’ve got a 6ft ENE swell at 8 seconds, with 0 mph wind – glassy conditions. The combined energy is strong (680). That’s a punchy, clean wave with no wind to mess it up. The period is a little short, but with that glassy surface, it’ll be fun and punchy. The afternoon gets a bit cross-onshore, so make the morning session.
Saturday, the 22nd of August is also worth a mention. Saturday morning is glassy again with a 5ft E swell at 9 seconds. Energy is moderate (297). It’s clean, and the swell is a touch longer, so the shape should be better than Friday. Not quite as big, but still a solid option.
Sunday, the 23rd of August has the biggest swell of the run – 7ft from the E at 10 seconds. The morning has a clean offshore breeze (9 mph) and the energy is very strong (1232). This is a proper, powerful groundswell. However, at 7ft, it’s getting into the "experts only" territory. The afternoon turns lumpy with a 19 mph cross-shore, so the morning is the only window.
The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no need to dig out the 5/4 just yet.
To wrap it up: the first week is a dud, but the second week – specifically Friday and Saturday mornings – are the clear winners. If you can only pick one, Friday the 21st of August morning is the standout: glassy, 6ft, and solid energy. It’s the best on offer.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon afternoon, calm by Tue afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | S 13 | S 9 | ENE 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 20 | SSE 6 | S 6 | S 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
273 | 474 | 272 | 117 | 66 | 209 | 160 | 52 | 56 | 44 | 351 | 497 | 182 | 194 | 257 | 140 | 56 | 28 | 66 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:03AM1.06m | 6:09PM1.71m | 6:59AM1.13m | 7:01PM1.78m | 7:49AM1.20m | 7:50PM1.80m | 8:34AM1.27m | 8:36PM1.76m | 9:17AM1.32m | 9:19PM1.68m | 9:58AM1.36m | 10:01PM1.54m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:08AM0.16m | 11:31AM0.33m | 1:02AM0.07m | 12:29PM0.27m | 1:49AM-0.00m | 1:22PM0.22m | 2:33AM-0.03m | 2:12PM0.20m | 3:13AM-0.02m | 3:01PM0.20m | 3:50AM0.03m | 3:50PM0.23m | |||||||
— | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 13 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | S 13 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 7 | SSE 6 | S 6 | S 8 |
6 | 474 | 272 | 117 | 66 | 209 | 160 | 44 | 56 | 43 | 351 | 497 | 182 | 194 | 257 | 86 | 56 | 28 | 66 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 14 | S 13 | S 13 | E 13 | SSW 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | E 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 20 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 46 | 52 | 50 | 44 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 17 | 17 | 140 | 17 | 18 | 9 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | — | S 13 | S 12 | — | S 7 | — | S 11 | — | — | S 16 | — | S 17 | S 15 | SSE 20 | ENE 10 | S 16 | S 14 | S 13 |
3 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 26 | — | 21 | — | — | 5 | — | 6 | 5 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 15 | 14 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | W 4 | W 4 | — | WNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 2 | WSW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 6 | ESE 5 |
273 | 24 | 32 | 36 | 10 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 15 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 556 | 128 | 128 | 161 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Shelley Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Shelley Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelley Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelley Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelley Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelley Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelley Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Central Coast which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 24 km (15 miles) away, Dee Why, Newcastle and Hornsby.











