Shelley Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.51° E

Shelley Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 21 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Shelley Beach sea temperature is
17.5° C
0.6° 

Shelley Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Shelley Beach surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 25 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 25 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period, NE swell with 408 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelley Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Shelley Beach in the next 16 days are 2.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 24) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Mon 24th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 10s
Best Surf10PM (Tue 25th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 7s
Most Powerful10PM (Tue 25th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day surfers, Rusty here. We’ve got a bit of a lean run ahead at Shelley Beach. The next week-and-a-half is mostly small, messy, or just plain ordinary, so you’ll need to be patient. The good news is there’s a couple of genuine highlights popping up right at the end of the window, but they’re a long way off.

We start off this Friday the 21st with only 2ft of weak, short-period ENE swell and a 20 km/h NW wind. It’s poor, not worth a paddle. Saturday the 22nd drops even smaller—1ft—with only light winds, but no real energy. Sunday the 23rd sees a bump to 4ft from the south with a 10-second period, but the wind is cross-shore and conditions are only marginal. The combined energy is moderate though, sitting at 353. Still, it’s not clean enough.

Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th stay small and average, with a little more swell early Tuesday—4ft from the NE—but wind stays cross-off, keeping things clean but weak. Honestly, nothing to get excited about. Wednesday the 26th is a write-off, and Thursday the 27th offers a tiny glimmer: a glassy morning with 3ft of ENE swell and 8-second period. The wind is glass, dead calm, so it’s clean, but the wave quality is only ‘surfable’ at best. Still, if you’re desperate, that might be your only window.

Friday the 28th through to Sunday the 30th is a mix of small, choppy, and onshore—pretty much a flat spell. The combined energy drops as low as 75 on the 30th. Then things finally get interesting.

Monday the 31st of August is the first real standout. The morning glass-off is clean with a cross-off NNE breeze at only 5 km/h. Swell comes from the south at 2ft, but the period is a very long 17 seconds—proper groundswell. The combined energy jumps to 470, which is moderate-to-strong. That long period means the waves will have real push and shape for a small swell, but at a beach break it might wrap a little straight. Still, that’s a solid morning and one of the best on offer.

Tuesday the 1st of September follows up with another clean morning. WSW breeze at 5 km/h, glassy conditions. Swell is 3ft from the south with an 11-second period and combined energy of 209. Not huge, but clean and consistent enough for a fun session. The afternoons both days get ruined by onshore wind, so mornings are key.

After that, Wednesday the 2nd and Thursday the 3rd are back to small and ordinary, with a glassy Thursday morning but only 2ft of E swell. Friday the 4th has a long-period SSE swell (18 seconds) but only 1ft—just not enough to work with. Saturday the 5th ends the run with 3ft from the south, clean but weak.

Water temp is about 64°F, which is 1°F cooler than normal—nothing unusual for the time of year.

So to wrap it up: the real standout is Monday the 31st of August morning—clean, good energy, long-period south swell. Tuesday the 1st of September morning is also solid. The rest of the window is either too small or too messy to bother with. If you’re keen, keep an eye on that Monday.

Stay salty,
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 23°C on Tue morning, min 15°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Mon afternoon, calm by Thu morning).

Fri
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
ENE
6
0.4
NE
6
0.3
NE
6
0.3
S
8
0.6
SE
4
1.3
S
10
0.7
S
14
1
S
10
0.8
S
10
0.7
S
10
1.3
NE
6
1.1
NE
6
1.1
ENE
7
1.3
ENE
7
1
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
9
0.9
ENE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
26
9
6
12
9
319
187
206
125
92
111
89
110
193
126
93
87
96
131
111
Wind (km/h)
25
NW
15
NW
15
W
10
ESE
5
ESE
10
ENE
15
NE
20
NNE
15
NNE
30
NE
10
N
20
NNE
20
NNE
15
NNW
15
SW
25
SE
15
SSE
5
SSE
15
E
10
NNW
Wind State
off
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
on
on
glassy
cross-on
off
High Tide
3:41AM0.86m
4:00PM1.29m
4:54AM0.89m
4:58PM1.35m
5:47AM0.94m
5:46PM1.42m
6:29AM1.01m
6:27PM1.49m
7:06AM1.09m
7:04PM1.54m
7:41AM1.17m
7:40PM1.57m
Low Tide
10:05PM0.51m
8:59AM0.56m
11:09PM0.46m
10:09AM0.54m
11:58PM0.39m
11:07AM0.50m
00:37AM0.32m
11:56AM0.43m
1:11AM0.24m
12:39PM0.37m
1:43AM0.18m
1:19PM0.32m
2:14AM0.13m
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:24
6:24
6:22
6:20
6:20
6:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:28
5:29
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:30
5:31
 mm
1
2
1
Temp °C
19
17
19
19
16
16
17
16
18
17
16
23
22
18
18
16
15
16
15
15
Feels °C
15
14
15
16
16
14
15
13
14
12
13
19
18
18
14
13
12
15
13
13
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Shelley Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Shelley Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelley Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelley Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelley Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelley Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelley Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Central Coast which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 24 km (15 miles) away, Dee Why, Newcastle and Hornsby.

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