Shelley Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, gather round. Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for us.

The next week and a half is a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. We’ve got some small windows of clean, surfable waves, but nothing that’s going to have you paddling for your life. The water temp is sitting at 64°F which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

We kick things off on Friday, the 7th of August. The afternoon brings a small 2ft swell from the SSW, but it’s riddled with a raw onshore wind from the SSE at 9 mph. The combined energy is weak (195), and the report says it’s poor. A total write-off, that one.

Saturday the 8th looks a bit better. The morning is glassy, dead calm, with a tiny 2ft SSE swell. The energy is very weak (100), but it’s clean. The report says it’s surfable but very ordinary. You could get a few little grovelers in, but don’t expect much. The afternoon turns choppy with a cross-shore wind.

Sunday the 9th offers a slight improvement. A 3ft swell from the ENE with a light cross-offshore wind from the N at 6 mph. The energy is still moderate (186). The report says it’s surfable but ordinary. The morning is cleaner than the afternoon. It’s a passable option.

Monday the 10th is where we get a bit of a spike. The morning sees a 5ft ENE swell with a strong offshore wind from the NNW at 22 mph. This is a fresh offshore and clean, with moderate energy (410). The report says it’s marginal due to tide, but for a stronger surfer, this early session could be the pick of the first week. The swell direction is ENE, which isn’t the optimum SE for Shelley Beach, but the offshore wind will make it workable. The afternoon drops to 4ft but stays clean.

Then the models go quiet again. Tuesday the 11th through to Thursday the 14th is a run of mostly poor surf, with small, weak swells and cross-shore or onshore winds. The only real highlight is Friday the 14th morning. The morning of the 14th brings a 5ft swell from the S with a light cross-offshore wind from the WSW at 6 mph. The energy is moderate (326) and the report says expect good surf conditions. This is the clear standout of the first two weeks. A clean, long period swell (9 seconds) will offer some decent shape.

Everything after that into the second week goes downhill, with onshore winds and choppy conditions. Then, right at the end of the forecast window, we get a big one. On Saturday the 22nd of August, the models are hinting at a massive 10ft to 12ft swell from the S. The wind is clean and offshore in the morning, but the swell is simply too big for this break. The combined energy is strong (1150) in the morning and very strong (2307) in the afternoon. This is a warning for experienced surfers only, and even then, it might be out of control. The report says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This is a long-range forecast, so take it with a pinch of salt, but it’s something to keep an eye on.

So, the best on offer is the small window of the morning of the 14th. If you’re after a bigger, more challenging wave, the 22nd is the one to watch, but it’s a long way off and could be a monster.

Rusty.

Read more