Surf Forecasts:
Shelley Beach surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period, S swell with 1,137 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelley Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Shelley Beach in the next 16 days are 2.4m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Looking at Shelley Beach for the next couple of weeks. It’s not a straight-line forecast, so pay attention.
We start on Thursday the 10th with a 2.5m south swell, solid energy at 2083, but the cross wind makes it feel messy. Not the one. Friday the 11th is similar, with a 1.7m SSE swell and cross winds. Still waiting.
The first real chance is Saturday morning the 12th. The swell drops to 1.2m from the south, but the wind goes glassy – dead calm from the SSE. That’ll be clean as a whistle. Water temp is 18°, about normal.
Then it goes flat. From Sunday the 13th through to Thursday the 17th, the swell is tiny (0.4m to 1.0m) and the energy is weak, down in the 50 to 200 range. Not much happening.
Friday the 18th is another glassy morning but only 0.6m south swell. Barely a ripple.
Here’s the big one. Saturday the 19th of September. A 3.5m south swell with a long period of 11 seconds. The energy is a massive 2623. But for Shelley Beach, that’s too big – only for experts, and the report says it’s too big for the break. The wind is light cross-offshore, so it’ll look clean, but dangerous. Sunday morning the 20th is the real sweet spot – a 2.1m SSE swell (11 seconds) with offshore WNW winds at 15 km/h. That’s clean, solid, and rideable. Sunday afternoon goes glassy with a 1.9m swell.
After that, it fades again. Monday the 21st to Wednesday the 23rd is small and messy.
A late one: Friday morning the 25th of September. A 2.1m SSW short-period swell (6 seconds) with light cross-offshore winds. Energy is 337. It’s surfable, but not classic. Stay away from Friday afternoon – a 4m south swell with 3962 energy is way too much for Shelley.
Best bets: Saturday morning the 12th for clean, smaller waves, and Sunday the 20th for your best clean, bigger swell. The rest is quiet.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 25°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 5 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1124 | 843 | 1137 | 551 | 391 | 295 | 256 | 238 | 157 | 115 | 143 | 70 | 116 | 82 | 49 | 31 | 39 | 530 | 404 | 311 | 286 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | 8:44AM1.46m | 8:54PM1.50m | 9:21AM1.49m | 9:34PM1.38m | 9:57AM1.49m | 10:13PM1.25m | 10:34AM1.46m | 10:54PM1.12m | 11:13AM1.40m | 11:39PM1.01m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | 2:47PM0.17m | 3:07AM0.11m | 3:31PM0.19m | 3:39AM0.19m | 4:15PM0.24m | 4:10AM0.28m | 5:01PM0.31m | 4:42AM0.37m | 5:51PM0.39m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |  |  |  | | | |
 | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — |
 | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 8 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | SSE 22 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 11 | NE 6 | S 11 | S 11 | NE 6 | NE 6 | S 9 | E 14 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 11 |
| kJ | 830 | 169 | 752 | 551 | 391 | 295 | 256 | 238 | 157 | 115 | 143 | 46 | 116 | 82 | 33 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 404 | 311 | 286 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 9 | SSE 22 | E 15 | E 14 | SSE 19 | SSE 19 | SSE 18 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | E 13 | S 10 | ENE 5 | E 12 | S 10 | SSE 10 | NE 6 | S 18 | SSE 16 | E 14 | E 13 |
| kJ | 25 | 22 | 47 | 17 | 4 | 34 | 123 | 114 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 70 | 11 | 12 | 49 | 31 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 4 | 14 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 23 | E 9 | E 10 | S 21 | E 10 | E 13 | E 14 | E 14 | SSE 20 | SSE 17 | ENE 13 | SSE 12 | E 13 | — | E 12 | E 13 | E 13 | NE 5 | E 14 | — | NE 7 |
| kJ | 104 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 128 | 54 | 17 | 51 | 13 | — | 12 | 12 | 13 | 1 | 4 | — | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | NE 4 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | — | — | ENE 4 | — | SSW 3 | SSE 5 | SSE 9 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1124 | 843 | 1137 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 11 | 5 | 25 | — | — | 28 | — | 1 | 39 | 530 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 232 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 145 | 228 | 11 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Shelley Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Shelley Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelley Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelley Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelley Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelley Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelley Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Central Coast which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 24 km (15 miles) away, Dee Why, Newcastle and Hornsby.
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