Shelley Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.51° E

Shelley Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 25 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Shelley Beach sea temperature is
18.4° C
0.2° 

Shelley Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Shelley Beach surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with 2,198 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 11s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelley Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Shelley Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sun 26th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 11s
Best Surf10PM (Thu 30th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 11s
Most Powerful10PM (Thu 30th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m lookin’ at what Shelley Beach has got cookin’ for the next couple weeks.

First up, we’ve got a bit of a wait. The real action doesn’t start until Sunday the 26th of July, so if you’re itching to paddle out today, you’re outta luck. The next few days have little to nothing.

Now, let’s get into it. Sunday the 26th morning is where it kicks off proper. Swell is a solid 6 ft from the south with a nice 11 second period – that’s a proper groundswell pushing in. Combined energy is chunky at (753), and with a light westerly breeze keeping it cross-off, the surface is gonna be real clean. This is your standout session early on. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild to report there.

Sunday afternoon drops off a bit, the wind swings easterly and the quality fades. Monday the 27th morning is a treat though – glassy conditions with a SW wind at just 3 mph, and a smaller 4 ft south swell. It’s clean as a whistle and a fun size for most.

Tuesday the 28th gets small, under 3 ft, and honestly, it’s not worth the wetsuit effort. Wednesday the 29th is a write-off with strong winds and practically no swell.

Then things get interesting again heading into Thursday the 30th. The swell builds back to 7 ft from the south, but the wind is a cross-shore mess, making it look average. Friday the 31st morning though – hang on. The swell jacks up to 10 ft from the south, combined energy is massive at (2733). This is big, proper expert-only territory. The wind is cross-shore but the model’s saying it’s too big for the break anyway. That’s a heavy one, not for the faint-hearted.

The next real clean window opens on Sunday the 2nd of August. A 6 ft south-southeast swell with 11 seconds of period, and a light westerly cross-off wind makes for an excellent morning session.

After that, it tapers off quick. We get small, average conditions through the middle of the week. There’s a little spike again on Thursday the 6th of August with a 7 ft south swell, but the wind is messy and onshore, so it’ll be choppy.

Finally, the last real highlight is on Monday the 10th of August. A 7 ft south swell, period is a short 8 seconds, but the wind is a light north-northeasterly cross-off, keeping it clean. Combined energy is (605), and it’s got a ‘very good’ call on the forecast. If you can wait that long, that Monday morning looks like a winner, but it’s still a couple weeks out so keep an eye on it.

That’s the story. A couple of clean, solid days early, a monster swell for experts only, and a promising session way down the line.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
1
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
!
!
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
S
11
1.8
S
11
1.6
S
10
1.3
S
10
1.1
S
9
1
S
9
0.8
SSE
8
0.5
S
8
0.4
S
9
0.3
S
8
0.2
S
8
0.1
S
17
0.9
SSW
6
2
S
10
2.3
S
11
3
S
11
3
S
10
2.2
S
9
2
S
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
491
750
562
313
199
151
87
28
24
12
5
6
58
786
1265
1855
1618
848
661
Wind (km/h)
20
WSW
10
W
10
E
5
WSW
5
SW
15
ENE
15
NNW
10
WNW
15
NNW
15
NW
30
WSW
30
WSW
25
WSW
20
SW
20
S
15
WSW
20
SW
30
SSW
20
SW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
6:08AM0.93m
6:12PM1.46m
6:53AM0.97m
6:53PM1.52m
7:33AM1.02m
7:32PM1.57m
8:10AM1.07m
8:08PM1.60m
8:46AM1.11m
8:43PM1.60m
9:22AM1.16m
9:17PM1.58m
Low Tide
00:26AM0.38m
11:27AM0.47m
1:07AM0.32m
12:14PM0.43m
1:44AM0.26m
12:57PM0.39m
2:19AM0.21m
1:38PM0.36m
2:52AM0.17m
2:16PM0.34m
3:24AM0.14m
2:56PM0.34m
3:55AM0.13m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:50
6:48
6:48
6:48
6:47
6:46
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:09
5:10
5:12
5:12
5:13
5:14
 mm
Temp °C
14
16
16
15
15
16
16
19
20
14
16
15
10
13
13
11
14
15
14
Feels °C
9
13
13
14
14
14
13
15
15
10
8
7
3
7
8
6
8
9
8
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Shelley Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Shelley Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelley Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelley Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelley Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelley Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelley Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Central Coast which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 24 km (15 miles) away, Dee Why, Newcastle and Hornsby.

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