
Surf Forecasts:
Shelley Beach surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period, SE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, S swell with 797 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelley Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Shelley Beach in the next 16 days are 2.1m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days.
G'day, I'm Rusty, and I've got the scoop on Shelley Beach. It's a consistent, exposed spot that handles a southeasterly swell, but don't get too excited just yet—there's a bit of a wait before things get good.
The week kicks off properly on Friday the 10th. We've got a solid pulse of 6 ft southeast swell rolling in, with a period of 10 seconds. The kicker is the wind: Friday morning it's a light cross-off, and by the afternoon it goes glassy. That's a recipe for clean, lined-up waves. The combined energy is a solid 520, so there's plenty of push. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is about average for this time of year, so no need for a steamer if you're hardy. This is the standout of the whole forecast. Saturday the 11th stays clean with a dropping 4 ft swell, but the wind stays light and offshore, so the morning session will still be fun.
Then we hit a dry spell. From Sunday the 12th right through the middle of the week, the swell drops out completely. The height barely reaches 0.7 ft, and the energy numbers are in the teens and twenties. You'd be better off checking the tide pools. That gap lasts a solid five days with no real surf on offer.
Things start to stir again around Wednesday the 15th, but it's ugly. The swell jumps up to 6 ft, but the wind is a messy cross-onshore, making it choppy and poor. That's more of a kite-surfing scene than a paddle session. Thursday the 16th sees a bigger 6 ft swell but the wind is still cross-shore, so it's marginal and not worth the paddle out.
The next real opportunity comes later in the month. On Saturday the 18th, we get a cleaner 5 ft east swell with light winds, making for a solid morning. Sunday the 19th morning is similar, with 4 ft east swell and a light cross-off breeze. The energy is moderate again, around 311 to 440. Then Monday the 20th has a fun afternoon session with a 4 ft east swell and a clean offshore wind from the northwest, which is a winner. The quality holds into Tuesday the 21st with moderate offshore winds and a 3 ft easterly swell.
After that, the swell fades once more, but the final days of the month show a few small, glassy windows. Friday the 24th has a 3 ft south-southeast swell with glassy conditions in the afternoon, and Saturday the 25th has a tiny 3 ft ESE swell with clean conditions. They're not the rippers, but they're surfable if you're keen for a longboard.
So, the best bet is without a doubt Friday the 10th. Glassy conditions, a solid 5 ft to 6 ft swell, and clean lines. Don't miss it. The other promising run is from the 18th to the 21st, with cleaner east swells and light winds. But remember, Shelley Beach can get crowded, so expect some company on those days.
Stay stoked, and I'll see you in the water.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 7 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | SSE 9 | S 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
513 | 530 | 373 | 172 | 193 | 194 | 83 | 50 | 20 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 522 | 675 | 651 | 663 | 311 | 131 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:26PM1.53m | 4:57AM1.05m | 5:23PM1.64m | 6:06AM1.07m | 6:19PM1.74m | 7:08AM1.11m | 7:13PM1.82m | 8:03AM1.14m | 8:04PM1.86m | 8:55AM1.18m | 8:54PM1.85m | 9:44AM1.21m | 9:42PM1.79m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:11PM0.30m | 10:38AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.17m | 11:38AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.06m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:06AM-0.02m | 1:30PM0.24m | 2:56AM-0.06m | 2:23PM0.23m | 3:43AM-0.06m | 3:15PM0.24m | |||||||||
6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | |
— | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 19 | 12 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 7 | S 7 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 10 | S 10 | — | S 9 | S 10 | E 11 | S 7 |
513 | 530 | 373 | 172 | 112 | 194 | 83 | 50 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 314 | — | 473 | 459 | 2 | 131 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 19 | S 21 | ESE 15 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSW 5 | ESE 8 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 6 |
7 | 9 | 21 | 169 | 193 | 47 | 17 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 14 | S 16 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | SW 4 | S 12 | S 10 | ESE 8 | E 8 | S 20 | S 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 |
— | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 3 | — | — | — | — | N 3 | W 4 | W 3 | W 3 | NW 3 | WNW 2 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | WSW 2 | SSW 5 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | SSE 9 | — |
1 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 522 | 675 | 651 | 663 | 311 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 30 | 9 | 22 | 22 | 228 | 228 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Shelley Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Shelley Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelley Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelley Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelley Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelley Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelley Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Central Coast which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 24 km (15 miles) away, Dee Why, Newcastle and Hornsby.










