Shelley Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.51° E

Shelley Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 30 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Shelley Beach sea temperature is
17.6°C
0.6° 

Shelley Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Shelley Beach surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 12s period, S swell with 347 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelley Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Shelley Beach in the next 16 days are 1.1m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sun 30th Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 9s
Best Surf10PM (Sun 30th Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 9s
Most Powerful10AM (Sun 6th Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, Rusty here, and we've got a bit of a mixed bag comin' up over the next couple of weeks. It's not gonna be a classic run, that's for sure. There's a decent window of clean, small waves to kick things off, but then we hit a long, drawn-out lull with a heap of junky conditions. There is a serious pulse of energy showing way down the track, but it comes with a big caveat.

We'll start at Shelley Beach. Sunday the 30th is your best bet early on. We've got a clean, glassy morning with a tiny 3ft south swell, period around 9 seconds, and the water's sitting at 64°, which is about average for this time of year. The combined energy's got a nice moderate kick to it (216). It's tiny but clean, and the crowd factor means you might have to share, but for a Sunday session, it's a good option.

Monday the 31st gets a bit tricky. The morning has a tiny 2ft south groundswell with a very long 16-second period. That's a long wait between sets, and the cross-shore breeze will put a bit of a crinkle on the face. It's marginal.

Tuesday the 1st of September is worth a mention. Morning brings a cleaner look with a cross-offshore breeze and a 3ft south swell at 11 seconds. The energy's moderate (209). Tuesday afternoon gets a nice offshore wind too, but the swell's already dropping.

From Wednesday the 2nd, it's a downward slide. We're lookin' at a solid stretch of small, weak surf – mostly under 3ft – with onshore or cross-shore winds. The energy dips into the double digits (82 to 116) for days on end. Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th are particularly poor. Saturday the 5th has a howling 19 mph cross-offshore wind, but it's on a tiny 2ft swell, so it's just not worth it. This run of flat, messy conditions lasts a good week.

We finally see a pulse of real energy arrive on Thursday the 10th of September. Shelley Beach gets a solid 7ft south swell at 13 seconds on Thursday morning. The combined energy is massive (1649). But here's the catch: by Thursday afternoon, the swell is predicted to be too big for this break at 10ft, with an enormous energy reading of 5552. The wind is also directly onshore. This is expert territory only, and even then, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Friday the 11th is still oversized at 8ft, and the wind stays messy.

After that, it drops back down to 4ft by Saturday the 12th, but the onshore wind ruins it. The very end of the outlook on Monday the 14th shows a 5ft south swell, but with a short 7-second period and a 19 mph cross-shore wind, it's another write-off.

So, to sum it up: the standout is Sunday morning, 30th August at Shelley Beach for a tiny, clean, glassy session. For the bigger stuff, Thursday the 10th of September has the size and power, but it's a beast for experts only and the wind is rubbish. Don't hold your breath for the rest of it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed morning, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
2
1
0
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
S
9
0.9
S
9
1
S
9
0.9
S
9
0.8
S
8
0.8
S
9
0.9
S
11
0.8
S
11
0.7
S
10
0.6
S
10
0.6
S
10
0.5
S
10
0.5
S
10
0.5
S
10
0.5
S
10
0.9
S
10
0.3
SSE
18
0.5
S
10
0.6
S
10
0.6
S
10
0.5
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
97
126
171
124
92
106
184
146
102
75
78
50
49
50
50
165
64
52
65
69
50
Wind (km/h)
5
NNE
10
ESE
5
WSW
5
ENE
20
NE
10
N
10
N
15
NNW
15
NNW
15
NW
5
W
15
NW
15
W
15
ESE
5
W
10
NE
25
NE
15
NNW
25
N
30
W
25
WSW
Wind State
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
cross
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
9:27PM1.47m
10:01AM1.42m
10:07PM1.38m
10:41AM1.45m
10:52PM1.27m
11:26AM1.45m
11:44PM1.14m
12:20PM1.44m
00:50AM1.03m
1:25PM1.43m
2:14AM0.96m
2:40PM1.44m
3:44AM0.96m
Low Tide
3:21PM0.25m
3:46AM0.12m
4:05PM0.26m
4:20AM0.17m
4:55PM0.29m
4:58AM0.24m
5:52PM0.33m
5:42AM0.32m
7:01PM0.37m
6:37AM0.40m
8:22PM0.37m
7:47AM0.46m
9:46PM0.33m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:15
6:13
6:13
6:11
6:09
6:09
6:07
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:34
5:35
5:35
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:37
 mm
2
Temp °C
16
16
15
16
16
16
24
27
20
27
27
22
22
21
17
18
18
18
26
16
16
Feels °C
14
15
15
13
13
14
19
22
17
24
25
18
18
18
16
14
13
15
21
10
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Shelley Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Shelley Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelley Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelley Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelley Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelley Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelley Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Central Coast which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 24 km (15 miles) away, Dee Why, Newcastle and Hornsby.

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