Shelley Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.51° E

Shelley Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 18 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Shelley Beach sea temperature is
17.5° C
0.7° 

Shelley Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Shelley Beach surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 19 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 10s period, ESE swell with 210 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 19 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelley Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Shelley Beach in the next 16 days are 1.1m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Wed 19th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Best Surf 1AM (Wed 19th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Most Powerful 4PM (Wed 19th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, my salty friends, Rusty here breaking it all down. This 16-day stretch starts with a real snooze-fest, but there’s a slab of proper swell that comes roaring in right at the end of the month.

We’re looking at a whole lot of nothing to start. From now, Tuesday the 18th, all the way through the end of August, Shelley Beach is mostly dribble. We’re talking waves from 0.2ft to 2ft at best, mostly out of the ESE or ENE, with weak energy – readings from 11 to 224 – so there’s no real power. You’ll get a few glassy mornings, like Wednesday the 19th (2ft, ESE, glass) and Saturday the 22nd (1ft, glass), but it’s really just for logging or a paddle. It’s a long flat spell from the 19th through the 30th, with nothing worth rushing for.

Then the whole picture shifts. On Monday the 31st of August, a proper south swell shows up. The morning brings 6ft of S swell with a 10-second period and a strong offshore NW wind at 18 mph. The energy climbs to 724 – that’s moderate, but building. The real standout is Monday afternoon: 8ft of S swell (10-second period), clean with a cross-offshore W wind at 9 mph. The energy reading is a solid 2216 – that’s a strong, powerful pulse. The report calls it excellent for experienced surfers, because 8ft is no joke for beginners, and those clean winds will groom it into proper lines.

Tuesday the 1st of September, it actually gets bigger, hitting 10ft from the S (10-second period), but with a light cross-shore breeze. The energy is very high at 1758, but the word is it might be too big for this spot, so that’s strictly for the experts. The water is sitting around 64°F, which is a bit cooler than the usual this time of year, but nothing extreme.

Bottom line: the first two weeks are a total washout. All your focus should be on Monday the 31st of August afternoon at Shelley Beach. That 8ft of clean, solid S swell is the one. It might get a bit of a crowd (it’s known for that), but for waves that good, it’s worth a bit of company.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 20°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
ESE
7
1.1
ESE
7
0.9
ESE
8
0.9
ESE
7
1.1
ESE
10
0.7
SE
9
0.9
E
6
0.7
ESE
6
0.9
ENE
6
0.7
ENE
6
0.4
ENE
6
0.4
NE
6
0.3
ENE
6
0.3
S
9
0.2
S
7
0.2
SSE
18
0.3
SSE
15
0.5
S
10
0.5
S
10
0.5
S
10
0.5
S
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
105
105
113
80
210
81
64
40
62
36
15
9
7
13
3
32
45
51
44
48
42
Wind (km/h)
15
E
15
E
5
NNE
0
ENE
20
ENE
15
N
10
NNE
25
NE
10
NW
10
NNW
15
WNW
15
NW
5
SW
10
ESE
5
WSW
5
ENE
20
NE
10
N
10
N
20
NE
10
NNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
off
off
off
glassy
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
12:04PM1.35m
00:11AM1.08m
12:53PM1.32m
1:06AM0.96m
1:49PM1.28m
2:17AM0.88m
2:54PM1.27m
3:41AM0.86m
4:00PM1.29m
4:54AM0.89m
4:58PM1.35m
5:47AM0.94m
5:46PM1.42m
Low Tide
6:26PM0.44m
6:11AM0.39m
7:30PM0.50m
6:54AM0.47m
8:46PM0.53m
7:49AM0.53m
10:05PM0.51m
8:59AM0.56m
11:09PM0.46m
10:09AM0.54m
11:58PM0.39m
11:07AM0.50m
00:37AM0.32m
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:28
6:28
6:26
6:26
6:24
6:24
6:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:25
5:27
5:27
5:28
5:29
5:29
5:30
 mm
2
5
Temp °C
16
16
16
16
16
16
20
20
19
19
16
15
17
17
16
16
16
16
24
22
17
Feels °C
12
13
14
13
13
13
16
17
16
16
13
11
14
15
16
14
13
14
22
18
14
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Shelley Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Shelley Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelley Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelley Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelley Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelley Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelley Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Central Coast which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 24 km (15 miles) away, Dee Why, Newcastle and Hornsby.

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