Shelley Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s take a look at what’s shaping up for Shelley Beach over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, the first few days are a mixed bag, but we’ve got a couple of solid windows if you’re patient. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is pretty much bang on normal for this time of year, so no need to dig out the thickest rubber just yet.

The best bet in the whole outlook lands on Thursday morning, July 9th. Swell is a clean 6 ft from the SE, period at 10 seconds, and with a light WSW breeze keeping it cross-off, the waves should be proper clean. The combined energy is moderate (752), so there’s enough push to get some fun ones. This is the standout session of the whole run.

Friday morning, July 10th, is another decent shout with 5 ft SE swell and a 9 mph WSW cross-off wind keeping things tidy. It’s a touch smaller, but still worth a paddle.

Then we hit a long dry spell. From Saturday afternoon, July 11th, the swell drops away fast. By Sunday, July 12th, we’re down to 2 ft, and it just keeps fading through the middle of the week. The 13th, 14th, and 15th are all basically flat or tiny, with energy readings dropping to as low as 18, so that’s a solid five or six days of shoulder-shrugging. No point even looking at it.

Things try to pick up again on Wednesday afternoon, July 15th, with a jump to 8 ft from the S, but it’s short period (7 seconds) and cross-shore wind, so it’s messy and not great for paddling. That energy reading of 603 is moderate, but the quality is marginal.

From Thursday, July 16th, through to Monday, July 20th, it’s a write-off. Strong onshore winds from the SSE and SE, gusting up to 25 mph, with swell between 7 ft and 10 ft. That’s a lot of water moving, but with that wind on it, it’s blown out and dangerous. Honestly, with that setup, Shelley Beach is looking more like a kite surfing zone than a paddle-friendly spot.

The real hidden gem, and I mean a true standout, is Tuesday morning, July 21st. After all that mess, we get a glassy morning with 5 ft SE swell, 11-second period, and a light WSW wind that’s practically not there. The energy is moderate (504), and the conditions are set to be very good. That’s a morning to circle on the calendar.

After that, it fades again. Wednesday the 22nd has some small, clean options but nothing to get excited about, and by Thursday the 23rd it’s back to tiny and poor.

So, to wrap it up: the best windows are Thursday morning, July 9th, and Tuesday morning, July 21st. Everything else is either flat, blown out, or just average. Don’t waste your energy on the middle week.

Rusty.

Read more