Surf Forecasts:
Shelley Beach surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period, SE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period, SSE swell with 437 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelley Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Shelley Beach in the next 16 days are 1.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let’s have a look at what Shelley Beach is serving up. It’s a consistent spot, exposed to the south-east, so it’s going to catch most of the pulses rolling through. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild there.
The weekend starts off a bit average, honestly. Saturday morning you’ve got a weak 4ft SSE swell, period around 10 seconds, and the wind is cross-on from the south at 6 mph. The combined energy is only 334 – not much punch. The afternoon cleans up a touch, swell bumps to 5ft, but the wind goes onshore from the south-east. Still a bit messy.
Now, Sunday morning the 30th of August is where you want to be. The swell drops to 3ft from the south, period holding at 9 seconds, but the wind goes glassy – dead calm from the north-north-east at 3 mph. That’s a major positive; the surface will be like a mirror. Combined energy is 214, which is modest but workable. This is the best of the first week, hands down. The afternoon stays clean but wind shifts to a light onshore, so the morning is the call.
Monday morning the 31st is tiny – 2ft south swell with a long 16-second period. That’s a groundswell, but for a beach break it’s going to be too straight and weak to really stand up. Combined energy is 254, but don’t get your hopes up. The afternoon gets choppy with 12 mph winds.
Tuesday the 1st of September looks alright – 3ft south swell, 11-second period, and a clean cross-offshore wind from the north at 6 mph. Combined energy is 218. Clean waves, but nothing special.
From Wednesday the 2nd through to the 7th of September, the swell drops right off. You’re looking at tiny waves – 2ft to 3ft – with weak energy readings between 48 and 128. Winds are mostly clean or offshore, but there just isn’t enough swell to surf properly. That’s a solid six-day gap of poor to ordinary conditions.
Then things get a bit wild. On Tuesday the 8th of September, a big pulse hits. Morning shows 10ft from the south, 8-second period, and glassy wind. Combined energy is 1128 – strong. The afternoon jumps to 13ft south swell, 11-second period, 3311 energy, with a clean cross-offshore wind. But here’s the thing – that size is only for experts. Over 8ft is big wave territory. If you’re not charging, stay out of the water.
Wednesday the 9th of September still has solid 8ft to 10ft SSE swell, but the wind is messy, especially in the afternoon with a strong cross-onshore. Thursday the 10th is blown out with 22 mph winds.
Finally, Friday the 11th of September morning is the standout of the whole run. Clean 5ft SSE swell, 10-second period, light cross-offshore wind from the west at 6 mph. Combined energy is 512 – solid moderate energy. That’s a proper session. The afternoon gets a cross-onshore wind, so it’s a morning mission only.
Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th drop back down to ordinary, small surf.
So the two real highlights: glassy Sunday morning the 30th of August for a clean small-wave session, and Friday morning the 11th of September for a proper, punchy, clean swell.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 16 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | ENE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
293 | 269 | 437 | 161 | 95 | 99 | 198 | 129 | 122 | 108 | 181 | 191 | 143 | 96 | 68 | 50 | 48 | 30 | 19 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:49AM1.32m | 8:50PM1.54m | 9:24AM1.38m | 9:27PM1.47m | 10:01AM1.42m | 10:07PM1.38m | 10:41AM1.45m | 10:52PM1.27m | 11:26AM1.45m | 11:44PM1.14m | 12:20PM1.44m | 00:50AM1.03m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:44AM0.10m | 2:39PM0.26m | 3:14AM0.10m | 3:21PM0.25m | 3:46AM0.12m | 4:05PM0.26m | 4:20AM0.17m | 4:55PM0.29m | 4:58AM0.24m | 5:52PM0.33m | 5:42AM0.32m | 7:01PM0.37m | |||||||
— | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 23 | 25 | 20 | 26 | 26 | 22 | 28 | 28 | 21 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 20 | 16 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 23 | 24 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 5 |
293 | 269 | 437 | 161 | 95 | 99 | 198 | 108 | 122 | 108 | 181 | 191 | 143 | 96 | 68 | 50 | 48 | 30 | 14 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SSE 18 | S 16 | SSE 15 | ENE 9 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | NE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSE 9 |
13 | 40 | 56 | 80 | 94 | 88 | 103 | 129 | 76 | 15 | 37 | 37 | 13 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 18 | 18 | 17 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 15 | N 12 | N 12 | ENE 10 | NE 5 | NNE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | NNE 4 | ENE 10 |
2 | 25 | 24 | 27 | 25 | 24 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 46 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 19 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | ENE 4 | NNE 3 | NE 4 | NW 2 | NW 3 | N 3 | NW 2 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | W 3 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Shelley Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Shelley Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelley Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelley Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelley Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelley Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelley Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Central Coast which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 24 km (15 miles) away, Dee Why, Newcastle and Hornsby.











