Shelley Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Shelley Beach over the next couple weeks.

Alright, first up, there’s a bit of a slow start. Friday 3rd July is a write-off, just tiny wind-blown slop with only 1 ft of swell from the NE—hardly worth paddling out for.

But then Saturday 4th July morning brings a glimmer. It’s still small, only 3 ft of south swell, but that 12-second period means it’s a proper groundswell with a bit of push. With a light offshore WNW breeze at 3 mph, it’ll be clean. The combined swell energy is moderate at 288. Not a standout, but a nice little window to get wet. The afternoon turns onshore and choppy, so don’t sleep in.

Sunday 5th gets ugly fast. A big 10 ft south swell rolls in, but it’s accompanied by a strong cross-onshore wind at 22 mph and lumpy conditions. Combined energy is strong at 1760, but it’s a no-go for paddle surfing—looks more interesting for kite surfing than surfing.

Monday 6th and Tuesday 7th stay big and messy. Tuesday morning actually has a score that says the wind and tide might be favourable, but the swell is 10 ft with 2936 combined energy—too big and powerful for most. The afternoon is even worse with cross-onshore wind.

Wednesday 8th is marginal, with 7 ft of SE swell and a bit of cross-chop. Not terrible but not worth getting excited about.

Now, Thursday 9th July morning is the first real standout of the forecast. It’s clean with 6 ft of SE swell at 10 seconds, and a light offshore W breeze at 3 mph—glassy conditions. Combined energy at 742 is moderate. This will be some of the best surf of the period, and with the offshore wind, it’ll be smooth and lined up.

Friday 10th morning is also okay, with 4 ft of SE swell and a light offshore, but it drops off in the afternoon.

From Saturday 11th through to Monday 13th, it’s small and weak—under 2 ft—with low energy. Not much happening.

But then Tuesday 14th July morning fires up again. A solid 8 ft south swell hits with a 10-second period, light offshore NW wind at 6 mph, and combined energy at 1085 is strong. For experienced surfers, this is excellent—big, powerful, and clean. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Wednesday 15th drops off into small, ordinary waves again.

Thursday 16th is big but messy, with 8 ft and strong cross-onshore winds, poor quality.

Friday 17th July brings a massive 12 ft south swell with a long 11-second period—combined energy at 5282, that’s very strong. But it’s too big for most. The wind is light cross-shore, but you’d need to be an expert to handle this. The same goes for Saturday 18th July morning—8 ft of ESE groundswell at 12 seconds, glassy conditions with a light W breeze, but again it’s big and powerful, only for the experienced crew. Combined energy is strong at 2233.

So overall, the table is set: Saturday 4th morning for a gentle start, then Thursday 9th July morning is the pick of the bunch for clean, fun waves. And if you’re a heavy hitter, Tuesday 14th July morning and the big stuff on the 17th and 18th will get the heart pumping.

Rusty.

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