Shelley Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cooking at Shelley Beach over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, it's a bit of a slow starter. The first few days are pretty much a write-off – tiny, weak swell and messy winds mean you’re better off leaving the board in the car. The first real glimmer of hope doesn't show up until Wednesday the 15th of July, with a solid 8ft southerly swell pumping in, but the wind is a messy cross-shore and the whole thing looks a bit ragged. The energy is way up there though, with moderate to strong wave energy (2045). That said, it's a big, chunky one for the experienced crew only.

Honestly, after that, the whole week is a bit of a battle. Thursday the 16th has some size but the wind is howling, and it's mostly cross-onshore chop. The swell drops off through the weekend, with poor conditions and onshore breezes making a mess of things. The wave energy is low to moderate (99 to 230). It’s a tough stretch.

The real standout, the one you want to circle on the calendar, lands on Tuesday the 21st of July. The morning is looking absolutely dreamy. We’ve got a clean 5ft swell from the east-northeast with a decent 10-second period, but the real magic is the wind: light and offshore from the WNW, turning it glassy. The water is sitting at 66°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The combined energy is moderate (437). This is the pick of the first week – a perfect window for a session.

The second week brings a long-period easterly groundswell. The best of the bunch looks like Friday the 24th of July. Another morning with glassy conditions and a solid 6ft swell from the east with a 12-second period, giving it some real push (moderate to strong energy at 807). The long period means it might wall up a bit on a beach break, but with that clean, offshore wind, it’ll be a beautiful thing. The Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th also look great, with a steady 5-5ft E swell and glassy or cross-offshore winds, offering plenty of clean, fun waves. The energy remains moderate to strong (865 to 626). Finally, the forecast wraps up with a few more clean days on Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th, but the swell starts to fade a little.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a slow burn until the 21st, which is your best early bet. The second week from the 24th onwards is where the real consistency and quality come in, with a run of clean, glassy mornings and a solid easterly groundswell.

Rusty.

Read more