
Surf Forecasts:
Shelley Beach surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with 3,329 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelley Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Shelley Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Shelley Beach has got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, but there are a few windows where it'll be worth getting wet.
The overall pattern starts off pretty quiet and ordinary. The first few days are a write-off, with small, weak, onshore junk. We're looking at a gap of a couple of days with nothing worth paddling out for. The first real glimmer of hope doesn't arrive until the morning of the 25th.
Saturday morning, 25th July is the first true standout. We've got a clean, 5ft swell rolling in from the South, with a good 11-second period behind it. That's some proper groundswell that'll have a bit of push. The wind is a light, cross-offshore breeze from the WNW, which is going to groom it nicely. The combined wave energy is a solid 601 (moderate), so there's some decent power in the water. This is the session to aim for if you can.
The swell backs off a touch for Sunday morning, the 26th, but it's still a clean 5ft from the South with that same long 11-second period. The wind is a gentle cross-offshore from the WSW, making it another good option, but the energy drops to 474. It's a solid session, but Saturday morning is the pick of the first week.
The middle of the week slides back into mediocrity. The swell drops right off, and the wind goes messy. There's a long gap from late Sunday afternoon all the way through to the end of the month. The wind is either onshore, cross-on, or just too strong, making a mess of the small, weak waves.
Now, looking further out, the morning of Saturday, 1st August is a promising long-range call. The swell picks up again to 4ft, still from the South. The real story here is the wind: a solid 12 mph offshore breeze from the NW. That's going to be clean and lined up. The energy is a moderate 334. This is a good one to keep an eye on. The following morning, Sunday, 2nd August, also looks good. You've got a bigger 6ft swell from the SE, but the period drops to a short 8 seconds. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the WSW, and the energy is up at 416. It'll be a bit more crumbly and less powerful than the long-period stuff, but it's still a fun, clean option.
All in all, don't bother with the board for the first part of the week. The standout is undeniably Saturday morning, the 25th of July. The second best is the morning of Saturday, 1st August, but it's a long way off, so keep your fingers crossed that the forecast holds. Water temp is sitting around 65°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Thu night, calm by Fri afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSW 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
124 | 86 | 64 | 100 | 415 | 431 | 1462 | 610 | 302 | 295 | 666 | 432 | 262 | 199 | 123 | 46 | 19 | 9 | 8 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | on | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:54AM0.93m | 3:41PM1.32m | 4:07AM0.89m | 4:36PM1.36m | 5:13AM0.89m | 5:26PM1.40m | 6:08AM0.93m | 6:12PM1.46m | 6:53AM0.97m | 6:53PM1.52m | 7:33AM1.02m | 7:32PM1.57m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:42AM0.45m | 10:38PM0.50m | 9:37AM0.49m | 11:38PM0.44m | 10:34AM0.49m | 00:26AM0.38m | 11:27AM0.47m | 1:07AM0.32m | 12:14PM0.43m | 1:44AM0.26m | 12:57PM0.39m | 2:19AM0.21m | |||||||
— | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 18 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 12 | 15 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 8 |
124 | 86 | 64 | 44 | 415 | 431 | 1462 | 610 | 302 | 295 | 666 | 432 | 262 | 199 | 123 | 46 | 19 | 9 | 6 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSE 16 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | SE 14 | NE 4 | NE 5 | SE 7 | SE 7 |
9 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 23 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 91 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 7 | SSE 20 | — | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 8 | — | — | — | SE 17 | E 7 | S 10 | SE 7 | ENE 5 | SE 14 |
— | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 38 | — | 6 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | 12 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 3 | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 2 | W 3 | — | SSW 6 | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | NW 3 |
1 | 1 | — | 100 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 0 | 9 | 366 | 335 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Shelley Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Shelley Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelley Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelley Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelley Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelley Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelley Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Central Coast which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 24 km (15 miles) away, Dee Why, Newcastle and Hornsby.










