Shelley Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's talk about the next couple of weeks.

Look, we gotta wade through some crap to get to the good stuff. It starts off pretty ugly.

The Early Grind

Sunday and Monday, the 5th and 6th of July, are a write-off. There's a big 8 to 10-foot southerly swell, but the wind is howling onshore, making it a lumpy, blown-out mess. The wave energy is high (2350 to 2820), but don't bother paddling out. Tuesday the 7th is the same story – 8 to 11-foot southerly swell with cross-onshore wind, and the energy jumps to 4888. It's a beast, but for kites, not surfers.

Wednesday the 8th is still no good. The swell drops to about 8 feet from the SE, but it's cross-shore and choppy. Leave it.

The Bright Spot

Our first real window comes on Thursday the 9th of July. The morning session at Shelley Beach is looking solid. We've got a clean 6 to 7-foot swell from the SE, and a light cross-offshore westerly wind is on it. The combined wave energy is moderate (837), but that wind makes it glassy and lined up. It'll be clean and a decent size for intermediates. The water temp is about normal for this time of year. The swell has a 10-second period, so it's got some real push. Crowds can happen here, so get in early.

The Late Week Drop-Off

From Thursday afternoon through to Sunday the 12th, it all fades out. Swell drops to 4 to 5 feet. Saturday morning the 11th has a little 4-foot SE swell with a light offshore, but it's pretty ordinary.

Second Week Outlook

The next week is quiet. Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th are tiny, with 2 to 3-foot waves. The energy is weak (56 to 220). Tuesday morning is clean with a light offshore, but it's small.

Then we hit a flat spell. Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th are basically flat, with 1 to 4-foot waves and no power at all. A few days of nothing.

The Promising End

The absolute standout for the whole period, if you've got the patience, is Friday the 17th of July. The afternoon session at Shelley Beach is looking like a dream. We've got a solid 5 to 6-foot groundswell from the south, a 13-second period, and it's *glassy* – dead calm. The combined energy climbs to 928. That's a proper, clean, powerful wave. It's a good size for most, and with that long period, it'll be sucking up and offering long lines. Saturday the 18th morning still looks fun with a 4-foot south swell and a moderate offshore wind.

So, a rough start but a stellar finish. Thursday the 9th morning is your first real chance, but Friday the 17th afternoon is the one to circle on the calendar. Hold out for it.

Rusty.

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