Shelley Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.51° E

Shelley Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 12 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Shelley Beach sea temperature is
18.9° C
0.5° 

Shelley Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Shelley Beach surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period, S swell with 1,175 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelley Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Shelley Beach in the next 16 days are 2.4m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sun 19th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 8s
Best Surf10PM (Sun 19th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 9s
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 15th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's cut through the noise and have a proper look at what's cookin' for Shelley Beach. It's gonna be a bit of a mixed bag, so don't go gettin' your hopes up too early.

Right off the bat, there's nothing doing. The first week is pretty grim. We're talkin' from Monday the 13th to Friday the 17th of July with pretty much no surf worth paddlin' out for. A little 0.7ft dribble here and there with onshore chop – that's just a waste of a good wetsuit. That combined swell energy is weak, barely crackin' 26, so the ocean's got no push. It's a flat spell, plain and simple.

Things get a little more interestin' in the second half of the month. Keep your eyes peeled for Monday the 20th of July. That's our real standout moment. The morning starts clean with a light cross-offshore breeze from the WNW at 10 mph. We're lookin' at a 4ft swell from the ENE. The combined energy jumps up to 334, so there's some proper grunt behind it. Shelley Beach is exposed to this SE direction generally, but an ENE swell wrapping in at 4ft with clean conditions? That's the window. The afternoon holds up too, with a 4ft ENE swell and a gentle 15 km/h cross-offshore. For a beachbreak, that's as good as it gets in this outlook. Still, it's a long-range call, so keep an eye on the charts, but that Monday is the session to aim for.

There's another little flicker of hope later on, Sunday the 26th of July. The afternoon shows a 3ft E swell with a 12-second period and a clean offshore from the WNW at 10 mph. The combined energy is only 205, so it's not powerful, but a clean 3ft wave is fun on the right board. It's worth a look if you're keen for a paddle without the crowd.

For the rest of the week leadin' into August, it's back to small, weak stuff – under 3ft with average winds. Nothing to write home about.

So there you have it. A whole lot of nothin', then one solid-looking Monday (the 20th) as the clear pick, and a possible fun session on Sunday the 26th. Hang in there.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sun
19
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SE
9
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
11
0.1
S
20
0.2
S
12
0.3
S
11
2.4
S
10
1.8
S
10
1.6
S
8
2
S
8
1.6
S
8
1.5
SSE
7
1.3
S
6
1
S
6
1
SSE
5
0.8
E
7
0.9
E
7
0.9
E
8
1
E
9
1.1
ENE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
20
10
10
9
8
12
20
1131
696
360
555
316
192
122
69
49
69
87
89
154
206
Wind (km/h)
25
WNW
20
WNW
15
NW
20
WNW
20
WNW
5
SW
20
SW
20
SSW
20
S
15
SW
25
SW
30
SSW
15
S
15
SSE
25
SSE
15
SSE
10
S
10
SE
15
E
10
E
10
NE
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
7:08AM1.11m
7:13PM1.82m
8:03AM1.14m
8:04PM1.86m
8:55AM1.18m
8:54PM1.85m
9:44AM1.21m
9:42PM1.79m
10:32AM1.23m
10:29PM1.67m
11:20AM1.25m
11:15PM1.51m
12:09PM1.27m
Low Tide
1:13AM0.06m
12:36PM0.26m
2:06AM-0.02m
1:30PM0.24m
2:56AM-0.06m
2:23PM0.23m
3:43AM-0.06m
3:15PM0.24m
4:28AM-0.02m
4:07PM0.28m
5:10AM0.04m
5:01PM0.35m
5:51AM0.13m
5:59PM0.42m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:04
5:05
5:05
5:06
 mm
1
9
3
1
4
1
Temp °C
11
18
19
13
19
20
14
15
15
15
15
16
16
16
16
16
17
17
16
17
17
Feels °C
5
13
14
8
16
17
10
9
10
12
9
11
12
12
12
13
15
15
14
15
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Shelley Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Shelley Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelley Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelley Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelley Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelley Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelley Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Central Coast which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 24 km (15 miles) away, Dee Why, Newcastle and Hornsby.

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