Shelley Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.51° E

Shelley Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 08 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Shelley Beach sea temperature is
18.4°C
0.1° 

Shelley Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Shelley Beach surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, SSE swell with 2,316 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelley Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Shelley Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Wed 9th Sep)5ft (1.6m) 9s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 10th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 10th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelley Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

Overall, it’s a pretty dry spell for Shelley Beach. The first week is particularly rough, with a lot of days where the wind is just trash and the surf is messy. There’s a much better window of cleaner conditions that opens up in the second week, but it comes with a big drop in swell size. If you’re patient, there are a few sessions worth paddling for.

The pattern starts off rough. Tuesday afternoon, the 8th, has a bit of a bump at 6ft from the SSE, but the wind is onshore and the energy is only moderate (494). The session is a bust. Wednesday the 9th is a write-off too, with a messy morning and a howling 25 mph wind in the afternoon making a mess of an 8ft swell. Thursday morning the 10th offers the biggest swell of the entire period at 8ft from the S, and the energy is very strong (2321). With a period of 9 seconds, it’s got some grunt, but the wind is cross-shore, so it’s clean-ish but will be a bit lumpy. This is a big one for experienced surfers only, as it’s well over 8ft. The rest of the first week stays small, onshore, and not worth your time.

Things start to look up around the 14th. Monday morning, the 14th, is a standout. The swell is tiny at 3ft from the S, but the wind is glassy. The 12-second period means it’s a clean little groundswell running up the beach. The energy is low (203), but for a quiet, clean morning on a small board, it’s a treat. The water temp is a normal 65° for this time of year.

The best surf of the whole outlook is a string of days starting Friday the 18th. Friday morning has clean, offshore NNW wind on a 3ft S swell with a 12-second period (235 energy). It’s glassy and clean. Saturday morning the 19th is a special one. The swell is only 2ft, but the period is a massive 17 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell. It’s clean with offshore NW wind. This is a real sweet spot for a longboard or a fish where the long wait between sets will be worth it for those smooth, drawn-out lines. The energy is low (220), but the quality is high. Sunday morning the 20th follows with a similar 3ft S swell at 12 seconds and clean offshore wind (251 energy). Monday the 21st morning is the last of the good run, with a slight bump in size to 4ft from the S, still clean with a light cross-offshore wind (344 energy). After that, the wind turns back onshore and the swell fades away to nothing by the end of the period.

So, the standout picks are the glassy morning on the 14th for a clean, easy session, and the back-to-back mornings of the 18th, 19th, and 20th for the cleanest, longest-period waves you’ll see in this whole forecast. The 19th with that 17-second period is the real gem – any bigger and it would be a world-class point break wave, but for Shelley Beach, it’s a special morning.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Tue night, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 13°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SSE
9
1
S
8
2.5
SSE
7
3.5
SSE
10
2.5
S
9
2.3
S
9
2.4
S
10
1.7
SSE
10
1.6
SSE
9
1.4
SSE
9
1.2
SSE
9
1.2
SSE
11
0.8
S
10
0.7
S
9
0.5
S
11
0.7
S
13
0.7
S
12
0.7
S
11
0.6
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
380
133
628
2316
1129
904
1183
540
451
300
265
319
124
85
65
158
132
114
73
Wind (km/h)
10
NW
15
SSW
40
S
35
S
15
SSW
20
S
15
SW
15
SW
15
S
10
SW
5
SE
20
ENE
10
NNW
15
NE
30
NE
5
NW
10
NE
20
ENE
10
W
Wind State
off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
glassy
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
6:45AM1.22m
6:46PM1.66m
7:28AM1.31m
7:31PM1.65m
8:07AM1.40m
8:14PM1.59m
8:44AM1.46m
8:54PM1.50m
9:21AM1.49m
9:34PM1.38m
9:57AM1.49m
10:13PM1.25m
Low Tide
00:41AM0.08m
12:24PM0.28m
1:23AM0.04m
1:14PM0.21m
2:00AM0.03m
2:01PM0.17m
2:35AM0.06m
2:47PM0.17m
3:07AM0.11m
3:31PM0.19m
3:39AM0.19m
4:15PM0.24m
clear
clear
cloud
light rain
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:01
6:01
5:58
5:58
5:56
5:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:40
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:43
5:44
 mm
1
Temp °C
15
16
15
15
14
15
15
14
15
15
17
17
16
17
17
15
21
19
19
Feels °C
13
13
7
6
9
11
12
11
13
15
15
14
12
13
12
11
16
15
17
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Shelley Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Shelley Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelley Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelley Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelley Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelley Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelley Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Central Coast which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 24 km (15 miles) away, Dee Why, Newcastle and Hornsby.

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