Shelley Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Shelley Beach over the next couple of weeks.

To be honest, mate, the start of this period is pretty flat and ordinary. The first few days are really just background dribble. Thursday afternoon the 6th has a bit of a pulse at 3ft from the S with a short 8-second period, but the cross-onshore wind from the ENE makes it a messy, poor look. Not worth paddling out for.

Friday the 7th morning, we get a window of glassy conditions with a light WNW offshore, but the swell is tiny – only 2ft from the SSE with a 10-second period. The combined energy is weak (111). It’s surfable but very ordinary. Saturday the 8th morning is also glassy, calm wind, but again just 2ft from the S. These are really just grovel sessions.

The first real standout comes late on Tuesday the 11th afternoon. The swell jumps to 4ft from the S, period 9 seconds, and the wind goes glassy from the SE. The combined energy is a solid moderate (375). The conditions are expected to be good, with clean, glassy waves. That’s your best bet for the first week, hands down. Wednesday the 12th morning also looks clean with a cross-offshore NNW breeze and 4ft from the S (265 energy), but the Tuesday afternoon glass-off is the pick.

Now, hold on to your board, because we get a massive pulse of swell starting Thursday the 13th afternoon. The swell hits 10ft from the S with an 11-second period, and the combined energy absolutely explodes to 2336. That’s strong. But the problem is, the wind is a moderate cross-shore from the SW, and for a beach break like Shelley, that much juice is going to be a washing machine. The data flat out says it’s too big for this break. The same goes for Friday the 14th (12ft, 3082 energy), Saturday the 15th morning (10ft, 3139 energy), and the rest of that weekend. That kind of size and power is strictly for experts, and even then, the wind is not ideal – it’s cross or cross-onshore on the Saturday afternoon. Honestly, that setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

After that big swell fades, the following week from Monday the 17th onwards goes back to poor surf conditions with strong onshore winds and lumpy, messy waves. The swell drops to 5ft and then smaller, but the wind is just ruining it. The combined energy drops back to moderate or weak levels. Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st mornings show a tiny pulse of 2ft from the SE with a clean cross-offshore wind, but it’s really just ankle-biters.

So, the one true standout is Tuesday the 11th afternoon. Glassy, clean, and a decent waist-chest high S swell. That’s the window to get out. The bigger stuff later in the week is just too much for Shelley Beach.

Rusty.

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