Blue Bay surfForecast / NSW – Newcastle / Australia

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 3 am Wednesday 13 May 2026 AEST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
21.1° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (May 15) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (May 16) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (May 20) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Fri 15th May)4ft (1.2m) 7s
Best Surf 7AM (Sun 17th May)7ft (2.2m) 9s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sat 16th May)8ft (2.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed afternoon, min 16°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 16°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
13
Thursday
14
Friday
15
Saturday
16
Sunday
17
Monday
18
Tuesday
19
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SE
7
1.6
SE
7
1.7
ESE
7
1.4
ESE
7
1.2
ESE
7
1.2
ESE
7
1.3
ESE
7
1.2
ESE
7
1.2
ESE
7
1
E
9
1.7
E
9
2
E
9
2.3
ENE
8
1.9
E
9
2.2
ENE
8
1.7
E
9
1.8
E
9
1.9
ENE
9
1.6
E
9
1.7
ENE
9
1.6
ENE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
228
237
241
163
131
135
145
124
131
154
442
621
672
554
694
452
509
518
402
442
422
Wind (km/h)
20
SE
25
ESE
20
ESE
20
SE
10
SE
0
SSE
10
SW
10
SSE
10
W
5
SSW
10
SE
5
NNW
10
NNE
25
NE
25
NNE
20
N
10
NNE
15
NNE
25
N
20
N
10
NW
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
cross-on
off
glassy
cross-on
glassy
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
5:33PM1.44m
5:38AM1.29m
6:16PM1.57m
6:33AM1.29m
6:59PM1.69m
7:27AM1.27m
7:43PM1.78m
8:21AM1.24m
8:30PM1.82m
9:16AM1.19m
9:19PM1.82m
10:13AM1.13m
10:11PM1.78m
Low Tide
11:03AM0.17m
11:45PM0.33m
11:46AM0.14m
00:39AM0.20m
12:29PM0.14m
1:31AM0.08m
1:14PM0.15m
2:23AM0.00m
1:59PM0.19m
3:17AM-0.03m
2:47PM0.24m
4:12AM-0.03m
3:37PM0.30m
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:35
6:35
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:39
6:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:04
5:02
5:01
5:01
5:00
5:00
5:00
4
4
3
1
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
2
1
Temp °C
18
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
21
20
19
18
19
18
18
18
15
15
16
16
18
18
18
18
20
19
19
19
18
19
18
17
18
19
15
17
17
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
S
10
0.7
S
10
0.7
S
10
1.4
ESE
7
1.2
ESE
7
1.2
ESE
7
1.3
ESE
7
1.2
ESE
7
1.2
ESE
7
1
E
9
1.7
E
9
2
E
9
1.9
E
8
1.9
E
9
0.1
S
7
1.7
E
9
1.6
E
9
1.7
ENE
9
1.6
ENE
9
Energy kJ
127
96
94
163
131
135
145
124
131
154
442
621
524
554
1
452
402
442
422
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
E
11
0.4
E
11
0.3
E
11
0.8
S
9
0.7
S
9
0.6
S
9
0.5
S
9
0.5
S
9
0.3
E
9
0.5
SE
7
0.3
S
8
0.2
S
8
0.1
S
16
Energy kJ
59
38
21
101
79
61
41
40
15
24
13
5
5
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
S
21
0.3
S
18
0.3
S
15
0.3
E
11
0.2
E
11
0.2
E
10
0.1
S
16
0.3
E
9
0.1
S
14
0.4
SSE
8
0.1
S
13
0.1
S
12
Energy kJ
35
54
42
20
9
8
5
15
4
24
3
3
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SE
7
1.6
SE
7
1.7
ESE
7
2.3
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
1.8
E
9
1.9
ENE
9
Energy kJ
228
237
241
672
694
509
518
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
3
2
2
3
2
2
2
Distance (km)
238
238
216
216
11
0
0
11
0
0
11
0
0
81
26
26
0
0
26
26
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
1
1
2
2
4
2
3
2
2
3
2
2
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
3
2
4
4
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
3
5
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
9
8
9
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
6
4
4
5
4
4
6
5
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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