Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
19.0° C
0.7° 

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with 2,969 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Thu 9th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 10s
Best Surf10AM (Thu 9th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 10s
Most Powerful10PM (Wed 15th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks.

Right now, it’s flat. There’s a real gap at the start with no surf worth paddling out for until Thursday the 9th of July. From there, things kick into gear, but it’s a mixed bag of quality, so keep your expectations in check.

Thursday the 9th of July morning is where we finally get a look. Blue Bay is a reef setup, inconsistent but when it comes together it can be a gem. The swell is coming in at 6 ft from the SE, with a solid 10-second period. That’s groundswell, packing moderate wave energy (841). The wind is a light cross-off from the SW – that’s a decent combo, keeping the surface clean. This is the standout morning of the early run. Water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual. The swell direction is SSE optimum, and we’re getting SE, so close enough to work well.

Friday the 10th of July morning is similar but a touch smaller – 5 ft from the SE, still with that 10-second period. Wind is cross-off again, wave energy is moderate (683), and the surf is clean. A good follow-up session, but the Thursday morning has the edge for size.

Saturday the 11th of July morning drops right off to 3 ft from the ESE, with a longer 12-second period. That long period means it’ll be a bit more drawn out and lined up on the reef, and with a light cross-off wind, it’ll be clean. Wave energy is still moderate (407). Worth a paddle if you’re keen but it’s not the pick.

Sunday the 12th of July through to Wednesday the 15th of July is a pretty poor run. Swell sizes are tiny a bunch of the time, or the wind gets strong and messy. By Wednesday afternoon the 15th of July, the swell jumps to 8 ft from the S, but a 7-second period and a strong cross-off wind from the SW make it look pretty average. That one’s best left for the kite crew, not paddle surfing.

Thursday the 16th of July morning sees a big pulse – 10 ft from the S, 9-second period, and strong cross-off wind. That’s expert territory for sure, the swell is well over 8 ft, and the combined wave energy is strong (1422). But the wind is howling, and the short period means it’ll be a bit lumpy and unrefined. Not a clean option for most.

We then get a long stretch of poor quality from Thursday the 16th through to Wednesday the 22nd of July. Big cross-shore winds, messy conditions, and inconsistent swell. Thursday the 16th afternoon through to the 17th have solid 7 ft to 8 ft swell, but the wind is tearing across from the S and SSE near gale force. That’s a write-off.

Sunday the 19th of July afternoon finally offers a glimmer. The swell is 4 ft from the S, 8-second period, but the wind is light from the SSW and cross-off, so it’s clean. Wave energy is moderate (283). This is a salvage session, not a standout.

Monday the 20th of July morning and afternoon both look decent. Swell is 3 ft to 4 ft from the S, with a long 12-second period – that’s proper groundswell. Offshore wind from the W at 12 mph, so clean faces. Wave energy is moderate (395 and 309). This is the best of the second week: clean, lined up, and manageable for intermediate surfers. The break is inconsistent, so you’ll be waiting for sets, but when they come, they’ll be worth it.

After that, things fade out again. From Tuesday the 21st of July onward, it’s tiny or onshore. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th of July are flat as a tack.

So, if you’ve got one shot, make it Thursday the 9th of July morning for the best balance of size, clean wind, and energy. The Monday the 20th of July is your second-week wildcard – long-period groundswell and offshore conditions, but less certain this far out.

Stay safe, read the reef, and don’t force it when the wind’s howling.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wed
15
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
1
2
3
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
SSE
10
1.9
SE
10
1.8
SE
10
1.7
SE
9
1.6
SE
10
1.7
SE
10
1.4
SE
10
0.9
ESE
12
1
ESE
11
1
ESE
10
0.7
ESE
10
0.6
ESE
10
0.3
ESE
9
0.7
S
8
1
S
10
0.6
S
8
0.3
S
10
0.6
S
11
0.3
S
19
0.6
S
6
2.3
S
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
820
625
614
502
486
592
373
206
226
186
86
63
17
55
214
45
19
82
62
26
495
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
15
SW
5
S
15
WSW
10
WSW
5
SSE
10
WNW
10
NW
15
N
20
NW
25
W
25
W
20
W
20
WNW
15
WNW
20
WNW
20
WNW
10
S
20
WNW
25
WSW
45
SW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
2:25AM1.12m
3:27PM1.43m
3:41AM1.07m
4:26PM1.53m
4:57AM1.05m
5:23PM1.64m
6:06AM1.07m
6:19PM1.74m
7:08AM1.11m
7:13PM1.82m
8:03AM1.14m
8:04PM1.86m
8:55AM1.18m
Low Tide
8:39AM0.27m
10:00PM0.41m
9:38AM0.30m
11:11PM0.30m
10:38AM0.30m
00:15AM0.17m
11:38AM0.29m
1:13AM0.06m
12:36PM0.26m
2:06AM-0.02m
1:30PM0.24m
2:56AM-0.06m
2:23PM0.23m
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:00
5:00
5:00
5:01
5:01
5:02
5:02
 mm
4
2
1
3
2
Temp °C
16
14
15
14
14
14
14
17
18
14
16
16
11
16
18
13
18
18
13
14
13
Feels °C
12
12
13
12
12
13
13
14
14
10
9
9
5
10
13
8
14
14
9
7
2
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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