Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about Blue Bay. This reef break is pretty inconsistent, so when it does get going, you’ve got to pay attention. Fairly exposed to the south-southeast, and it likes a good SSE swell. The water’s sitting around 66°F – pretty average for this time of year, nothing unusual.

Looking at the next couple of weeks, we’ve got a slow start with marginal, choppy surf through the 7th and 8th. The 9th morning cleans up a bit with a light cross-off breeze and 7 ft SE swell – decent but nothing to write home about. The 10th and 11th are small and mediocre. Then there’s a real quiet patch from the 12th through the 14th with tiny, weak waves (combined energy dropping to as low as 14 – that’s barely a ripple). Don’t bother.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The 15th Wednesday morning: 5 ft S swell with a 12-second period, light offshore from the WSW at 3 mph, clean face – very good conditions for an intermediate. Energy’s moderate at 690.

But the real standout is Thursday the 16th morning. Swell jumps to 5 ft from the south, but the period hits 16 seconds – that’s very long-period groundswell, packing serious punch. Combined energy is 2151 – strong. Offshore WSW wind at 6 mph, clean. The guide calls it “excellent for experienced surfers” – and at 5 ft with that long period, it’ll be powerful and a bit wonky at a beach break, but Blue Bay is a reef, so it should hold nicely. Just keep in mind the longer period means longer lulls, but the sets will be well-shaped. Crowds are sometimes an issue here – so get in early.

The rest of the second week fades: Friday the 17th morning still good (6 ft S, 11s, offshore) but then the weekend gets messy with onshores and smaller swell. By the 20th the wind picks up and it’s mostly poor.

So overall: mark your calendar for Thursday morning July 16 – that’s the one to chase. Wednesday morning the 15th is a solid backup too. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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