Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 12s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 9s period, S swell with 627 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 13s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.9m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya with a look at the next couple weeks at Blue Bay.
Honestly, for a place that's a fairly exposed reef, we're looking at a bit of a slow grind here. The water’s sittin’ at about 64°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year.
We’ve got a big gap at the start with no real surf on offer. The first proper glimmer of hope pops up on Monday, August 11th. That afternoon, we see a clean 4ft groundswell from the south with a solid 13-second period. The wind is offshore from the WNW, which is exactly what you want to put a nice face on those waves. The combined energy is right up there (610). It’s a standout for the whole run, but remember, long-period S swells can be a bit straight at some reef setups, so keep your eyes peeled for the corners that are working.
Tuesday morning, August 12th is a bit of a letdown, just small and weak. But that afternoon, there’s a tiny 2ft south swell with glassy light winds. It’s not gonna be a world-beater, but if you’ve got a longboard, the conditions will be super clean.
Things get a bit of a punch on Thursday, August 14th. We’ve got a 8ft south swell rolling in for the morning with some moderate energy behind it (1313). The wind is a clean cross-off from the SW. That’s a bit of size for the intermediate crew, and it could get a little lumpy as the day goes on, but the morning session is where it's at. The afternoon builds to 8ft but the wind switches onshore, turning it into a bit of a washing machine.
The rest of the second week looks pretty average. We get a few windows of glassy conditions, like Tuesday morning, August 19th, when the sea goes flat calm, but the swell is tiny at 2ft. It’s just ordinary.
The tail end of the run, around Saturday, August 23rd, looks a bit more promising. Saturday morning has a clean 6ft east-northeast swell with light offshore winds, carrying a good amount of energy (696). It’s a marginal forecast, but if the wind plays ball, it'll be the best looking runner of that final week. Sunday the 24th also shows strong 7ft surf with offshores, but the period is a bit short at 9 seconds, so it won’t have that same grunt.
All in all, if you’re free on the 11th afternoon, that’s your top pick. Be ready for a crowd, as this spot gets busy when it’s good.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon afternoon, calm by Tue afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 13 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | ENE 10 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 20 | SSE 7 | S 6 | SSE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 342 | 561 | 295 | 113 | 73 | 121 | 251 | 64 | 78 | 51 | 386 | 627 | 258 | 235 | 306 | 131 | 60 | 40 | 47 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:03AM1.06m | 6:09PM1.71m | 6:59AM1.13m | 7:01PM1.78m | 7:49AM1.20m | 7:50PM1.80m | 8:34AM1.27m | 8:36PM1.76m | 9:17AM1.32m | 9:19PM1.68m | 9:58AM1.36m | 10:01PM1.54m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:08AM0.16m | 11:31AM0.33m | 1:02AM0.07m | 12:29PM0.27m | 1:49AM-0.00m | 1:22PM0.22m | 2:33AM-0.03m | 2:12PM0.20m | 3:13AM-0.02m | 3:01PM0.20m | 3:50AM0.03m | 3:50PM0.23m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | | |
 | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 13 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSW 7 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | ENE 10 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 7 | SSE 7 | S 6 | S 10 |
| kJ | 3 | 561 | 295 | 113 | 73 | 52 | 251 | 64 | 78 | 51 | 386 | 627 | 258 | 235 | 306 | 131 | 60 | 40 | 19 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 14 | S 13 | S 13 | E 13 | SSW 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | S 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | S 20 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 13 |
| kJ | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 71 | 45 | 52 | 50 | 19 | 52 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 18 | 127 | 18 | 18 | 31 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | — | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 13 | — | S 11 | — | S 13 | — | — | S 17 | S 21 | S 20 | ENE 10 | S 11 | — | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 121 | — | 9 | — | 3 | — | — | 6 | 9 | 70 | 18 | 21 | — | 19 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NW 4 | NNW 5 | W 4 | W 4 | — | W 4 | NW 3 | WNW 2 | SW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 5 | SSE 6 |
| kJ | 342 | 35 | 67 | 50 | 16 | — | 9 | 3 | 1 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 47 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 590 | 128 | 128 | 161 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 260 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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