
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, S swell with 1,736 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's talk about Blue Bay. It's the only spot on the radar, so we're working with what we've got. The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is bang on normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The week starts off pretty flat and average. Monday and Tuesday are a write-off with tiny, weak swell. Wednesday's swell is tiny and has a very long period (17 seconds) but only 0.7ft – that's a real tease, more of a lake ripple than anything surfable, and the combined energy is a measly 30. Definitely not worth getting wet for.
Alright, come Thursday the 30th of July, things change. We get a solid 8ft south-swell arriving, pushing the combined energy up to 2484 and that's moderate to strong. The morning wind is offshore from the southwest, which is going to groom it nicely. This is the standout of the whole forecast: excellent conditions for experienced surfers. It's a reef break, so that long period groundswell (10 seconds) will set up nicely. Be aware, it's inconsistent and only sometimes has a crew out, so you might get a few waves to yourself.
Friday the 31st is still good – 8ft in the morning with favourable cross-offshore winds. The energy is still strong at 1239. The afternoon gets a bit dicey with cross-shore wind, but the morning session is well worth it.
After that, Saturday the 1st of August drops off a bit, then Sunday the 2nd has a glassy 4ft morning with a light north wind. It's a nice clean option but nothing special.
Later in the week, there is a bit of a lull. The standout window is really that Thursday and Friday at the end of July. Look, the second week has a few marginal calls, but nothing that jumps out as a must-surf. There's a clean 6ft on Sunday the 9th of August with a light offshore, but it lacks the punch of that earlier swell.
So, to sum it up: aim for Thursday 30th July morning for the best, most powerful surf. Friday morning is your next best bet. The rest is small, inconsistent, or just ordinary.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 15 | S 17 | S 16 | NE 6 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
235 | 185 | 108 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 1468 | 1066 | 1575 | 1235 | 1351 | 697 | 573 | 454 | 305 | 275 | 205 | 336 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | off | glassy | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 6:53PM1.52m | 7:33AM1.02m | 7:32PM1.57m | 8:10AM1.07m | 8:08PM1.60m | 8:46AM1.11m | 8:43PM1.60m | 9:22AM1.16m | 9:17PM1.58m | 9:58AM1.20m | 9:52PM1.53m | 10:36AM1.25m | 10:28PM1.45m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:14PM0.43m | 1:44AM0.26m | 12:57PM0.39m | 2:19AM0.21m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:52AM0.17m | 2:16PM0.34m | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.34m | 3:55AM0.13m | 3:36PM0.35m | 4:26AM0.13m | 4:19PM0.37m | ||||||||
6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | |
— | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 13 | 14 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 16 | NE 6 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 |
235 | 185 | 108 | 41 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 1009 | 769 | 1575 | 1235 | 1035 | 697 | 573 | 454 | 305 | 275 | 205 | 336 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NE 8 | SE 16 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 6 | NE 5 | S 14 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 8 | SE 13 | SSE 13 | SSE 13 | SE 13 | ENE 8 |
2 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 46 | 66 | 114 | 87 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | SE 14 | E 8 | NNE 3 | SE 15 | S 15 | S 17 | SE 6 | E 13 | E 12 | E 13 | — | — | — | E 13 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | E 17 | E 17 | E 16 |
6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | 5 | 17 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 5 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 3 | — | N 3 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | WSW 4 | SSW 6 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | S 10 | — | — | — | NE 3 | NNE 9 | NE 3 | NE 5 |
— | — | 5 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 121 | 1468 | 1066 | — | — | 1351 | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5 | 26 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 63 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 95 | 229 | 219 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










