Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 12s period, S swell with 566 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.4m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at Blue Bay. It’s a reef break, pretty exposed to the south swell, but the vibe over the next two weeks is a lot of waiting for the good stuff to show.
Let’s get real. The first week is a grind. Sunday the 30th has a tiny 3-foot south swell with an okay 9-second period, but it’s the early morning with glassy conditions that’s the only thing even worth a look. The water’s sitting at 64°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there. The rest of the week is filled with onshore wind, or just tiny waves. There’s a stretch from Monday the 31st all the way through to Saturday the 5th of September where the surf is just too small or too messy. A few mornings have clean offshore winds, but the swell is barely 2 feet, so it’s really just a paddle-around session. You’ll be scratching for anything.
Now, hold on to your board. The real action is on Thursday the 10th of September. That morning, Blue Bay wakes up with a solid 8-foot south swell, with a 13-second period – that’s a proper groundswell. The wind is light and offshore, and the combined energy is a massive 1978, which is strong. This is a standout for experienced surfers only. It’s going to be clean and powerful. The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 10 feet, but the wind swings onshore, making it messy. The morning session on Thursday the 10th is the one to aim for.
Friday the 11th of September is also a gun. Another 10-foot south swell in the morning, with a 12-second period, and clean cross-offshore winds. The energy is 2562, so it’s pumping. Again, this is expert territory. The afternoon sees a drop to 8 feet, still clean, but it’s also a solid day. These two days are the only real standouts in the whole 16-day window.
The second week fades out. Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th have waist-high slop with onshore wind, and into Monday the 14th, the period drops to a pathetic 7 seconds with a messy onshore wind. It’s not worth it.
So, the takeaway: Blue Bay is mostly a write-off for the first week. The absolute best is Thursday the 10th of September morning, with Friday the 11th morning a close second. If you’re not an expert, those days are too big. If you are, it’s going to be a real treat.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed morning, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 16 | S 15 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 18 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 136 | 157 | 210 | 174 | 155 | 140 | 233 | 185 | 141 | 104 | 79 | 73 | 47 | 51 | 48 | 216 | 98 | 76 | 90 | 73 | 80 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:27PM1.47m | 10:01AM1.42m | 10:07PM1.38m | 10:41AM1.45m | 10:52PM1.27m | 11:26AM1.45m | 11:44PM1.14m | 12:20PM1.44m | 00:50AM1.03m | 1:25PM1.43m | 2:14AM0.96m | 2:40PM1.44m | 3:44AM0.96m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:21PM0.25m | 3:46AM0.12m | 4:05PM0.26m | 4:20AM0.17m | 4:55PM0.29m | 4:58AM0.24m | 5:52PM0.33m | 5:42AM0.32m | 7:01PM0.37m | 6:37AM0.40m | 8:22PM0.37m | 7:47AM0.46m | 9:46PM0.33m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | |
 | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — |
 | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 24 | 27 | 20 | 27 | 27 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 26 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 22 | 17 | 24 | 25 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 21 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 6 | S 10 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 |
| kJ | 136 | 157 | 210 | 148 | 109 | 140 | 233 | 185 | 141 | 104 | 79 | 73 | 47 | 51 | 30 | 216 | 71 | 76 | 90 | 73 | 80 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 10 | ENE 10 | S 18 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 5 | NE 5 |
| kJ | 90 | 90 | 148 | 174 | 155 | 106 | 38 | 37 | 19 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 19 | 48 | 19 | 98 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | N 12 | NE 12 | ENE 10 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 5 | SSE 13 | NE 6 | ENE 10 | S 19 | SSE 12 | S 7 | E 9 | E 9 | E 11 |
| kJ | 24 | 24 | 24 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 9 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | W 2 | S 6 | SSW 6 | — | ENE 3 | N 4 | NW 3 | WNW 4 | WSW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 40 | — | 9 | 17 | 3 | 21 | 7 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 128 | 0 | 8 | 248 | 13 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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