Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 10 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
17.6° C
0.7° 

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, SE swell with 804 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 11s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Tue 11th Aug)2.5ft (0.7m) 9s
Best Surf 7PM (Tue 11th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 10s
Most Powerful 4AM (Mon 17th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead for Blue Bay, but it’s not all going to be firing. We’re looking at a slow start, a definite standout in the middle, and then a patchy back half. Buckle up.

The water’s sitting at 64°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The first few days are going to be a bit of a tease, though. Tuesday morning (the 11th) has some swell, but it’s weak and junky. The real story starts to build on Tuesday afternoon. That’s when we see a proper pulse of south swell, 6ft at 12 seconds. That’s the one to circle. The wind is light and offshore, and the energy is strong, reading 924 in the combined swell energy. This is the cleanest, most powerful window we get. Blue Bay is a reef, and with that long-period south groundswell, it’s going to line up nicely. This is the standout of the whole period.

Wednesday the 12th still has decent surf, 4ft from the south, but the energy drops back to moderate. It’s still clean with offshore winds, so it’ll be worth a paddle. The rest of the week is a mixed bag. Thursday has some size but short, weak periods and messy wind. Friday morning the 14th sees a bit of a rebound, a clean 4ft south swell, but the afternoon gets chopped up by a cross-onshore breeze. The weekend is pretty poor, with short-period windswell and rain showers. Not worth getting excited about.

The start of the next week is a write-off. Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th are onshore and junky. It’s a real gap in quality. We’re looking at a few days of nothing good. Then, Wednesday morning the 19th throws us a little bone. It’s a bit smaller, around 5ft, but the wind is light and cross-offshore, and the energy is moderate. It’ll be clean, but not as powerful as the Tuesday before. After that, it fades out. The last few days of the period drop off significantly, with small, weak, and often onshore surf. The final proper pulse we see is on Tuesday the 25th, with a 6ft south swell mixing with a cross-offshore breeze, but the energy is weaker and it’s a long way out, so treat it as promising but not certain.

So, the call is simple: Tuesday afternoon, the 11th, is the day. That’s the one to make time for. The surf will be solid, the wind will be your friend, and the reef will be working. The Wednesday morning after that is a decent backup, but it’s not the same. The rest of the window has moments, but nothing that’ll have you calling in sick. This break can be inconsistent, and this forecast shows that. But when it’s on, it’s on.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Mon night, light winds from the NNW by Wed afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Fri morning, fresh winds from the S by Sat afternoon).

Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
ENE
10
0.7
ENE
9
1.5
S
11
1.6
S
12
1.2
S
10
1
S
9
1
S
8
1.1
S
7
1.7
S
9
1.4
S
8
1
S
7
1.1
S
8
1.2
S
8
1.4
SSE
7
1.9
S
7
1.4
S
7
1
S
7
1.5
S
6
2.3
SSE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
115
75
584
674
273
164
140
124
440
260
103
157
181
203
387
194
89
188
713
Wind (km/h)
35
W
20
W
15
W
20
WNW
20
W
10
NNW
15
W
15
SSW
15
SE
15
WSW
10
WSW
15
SE
15
SW
25
S
30
S
15
WSW
20
SSE
25
SE
20
ESE
Wind State
off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
6:59AM1.13m
7:01PM1.78m
7:49AM1.20m
7:50PM1.80m
8:34AM1.27m
8:36PM1.76m
9:17AM1.32m
9:19PM1.68m
9:58AM1.36m
10:01PM1.54m
10:39AM1.38m
10:43PM1.39m
Low Tide
1:02AM0.07m
12:29PM0.27m
1:49AM-0.00m
1:22PM0.22m
2:33AM-0.03m
2:12PM0.20m
3:13AM-0.02m
3:01PM0.20m
3:50AM0.03m
3:50PM0.23m
4:26AM0.10m
4:39PM0.29m
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:37
6:35
6:35
6:33
6:33
6:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:21
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
 mm
1
4
3
2
Temp °C
16
19
20
13
18
17
13
15
15
14
15
15
15
16
15
15
16
15
15
Feels °C
10
16
15
7
14
15
8
11
11
11
11
12
12
11
9
9
11
10
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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