Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period, SSE swell with 960 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 25 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.4m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Tue 25th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, and we’re talking Blue Bay for the next two weeks.
First bit is a total dud. Tuesday and Wednesday have nothing worth paddling out for—weak, short-period junk with poor conditions. Leave your board in the van.
Things perk up Thursday the 27th with some 6ft south swell, but the wind is side-shore and it’s only marginal. Moderate energy (578).
Friday morning, August 28th is your first real winner. Swell drops to a clean 5ft from the south, 11-second period—good groundswell. Wind is dead calm, total glass. Energy sits at 620. Blue Bay’s reef will handle that south swell, but remember it’s an *inconsistent* spot, so don’t expect a wave every minute. It can get sometimes crowded, so beat the pack. Water temp is 64°, right on average for this time of year.
Saturday the 29th jumps to a chunky 8ft south swell, but it’s cross-shore and choppy—too big and messy for most.
Sunday the 30th is a nice little morning session: 4ft, light side-off winds, clean enough for a fun surf.
Then we hit a dry spell until Wednesday September 2nd—small and weak.
Lock in Thursday, September 3rd. That afternoon delivers a massive, long-period south swell: 6ft at 20 seconds. The combined energy is a crushing 2715—very strong. Offshore wind from the WNW at 12 mph. That’s the kind of power that makes a reef stand up and throw. This is for experienced surfers only. The morning is also solid at 4ft with 21-second period, but side-shore.
Friday the 4th keeps 6ft south swell but the wind goes onshore later—hit the early session.
Saturday the 5th brings another 8ft south pulse at 12 seconds, with light side-shore winds. Big, powerful, expert-only territory. Energy is strong (1471).
After that, it fades. The last glassy morning is Monday September 7th, but it’s tiny—only 2ft.
Bottom line: Friday August 28th morning is your clean, glassy, fun standout. But the real beast is Thursday September 3rd afternoon—big, clean, and pumping. Go get it.
-Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Wed afternoon, calm by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 7 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SE 9 | S 19 | S 18 | S 16 | S 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 127 | 150 | 142 | 126 | 95 | 279 | 509 | 390 | 258 | 545 | 516 | 485 | 944 | 683 | 362 | 189 | 171 | 251 | 627 | 333 | 411 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | off | glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:27PM1.49m | 7:06AM1.09m | 7:04PM1.54m | 7:41AM1.17m | 7:40PM1.57m | 8:15AM1.25m | 8:15PM1.57m | 8:49AM1.32m | 8:50PM1.54m | 9:24AM1.38m | 9:27PM1.47m | 10:01AM1.42m | 10:07PM1.38m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:56AM0.43m | 1:11AM0.24m | 12:39PM0.37m | 1:43AM0.18m | 1:19PM0.32m | 2:14AM0.13m | 1:59PM0.28m | 2:44AM0.10m | 2:39PM0.26m | 3:14AM0.10m | 3:21PM0.25m | 3:46AM0.12m | 4:05PM0.26m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — |
 | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — |
mm | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 18 | S 16 | S 14 |
| kJ | 127 | 150 | 142 | 126 | 95 | 55 | 509 | 390 | 258 | 545 | 516 | 24 | 30 | 683 | 362 | 189 | 171 | 133 | 627 | 333 | 411 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 16 | S 14 | S 15 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 11 | S 18 | ENE 9 | SE 10 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 47 | 29 | 15 | 19 | 15 | 5 | 52 | 34 | 41 | 38 | 24 | 38 | 6 | 30 | 196 | 172 | 162 | 109 | 76 | 50 | 17 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | S 9 | — | S 11 | S 15 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | — | — | — | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | S 19 | SE 7 | ENE 9 | E 12 |
| kJ | 21 | 19 | 21 | 6 | — | 2 | 17 | 37 | 57 | 37 | 33 | — | — | — | 26 | 16 | 18 | 251 | 52 | 16 | 11 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 2 | WSW 3 | S 5 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | S 3 | SSE 9 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 7 | NE 4 |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | 3 | 74 | 279 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 485 | 944 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46 | 11 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 166 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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