Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 12s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 12s period, S swell with 646 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for the next couple of weeks at Blue Bay.
Alright, so overall, we've got a bit of a mixed bag ahead. The next week or so is looking pretty average to be honest, with a lot of onshore or cross-onshore winds mucking things up. The swell sticks around but the conditions are generally poor. The real standout, the one that's got me a little excited, is a window on Friday the 28th of August and then again into the first week of September, but more on that later. There are gaps where the surf is pretty much a write-off, so we'll pick our moments.
First up, we've got a run of pretty ordinary days. Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th are a write-off with onshore and cross-onshore winds making a mess of things. Tuesday the 25th isn't much better, with a short period 5ft NE windswell and cross-shore winds, not worth paddling out for. Wednesday the 26th morning sees a bit of a clean-up with light cross-offshore winds and a 3ft ENE swell, but it's just ordinary. The afternoon brings rain and wind again.
Thursday the 27th morning has some clean potential with light onshore winds and a 5ft S swell at a 10-second period, but the wave comment suggests it's questionable. The afternoon stays poor.
Now, Friday the 28th of August morning – this is your moment. We've got a 5ft S groundswell with a 12-second period, and the wind is glassy, dead calm, from the SW. That's a recipe for some clean, fun waves at Blue Bay. The energy is moderate at 663. It's a reef break and it's inconsistent, so you'll have to be patient, but when a set rolls through, it should be nice. This is the best of the first week, hands down. The afternoon sees the wind swing onshore again, so get it early.
After that, we're back to average conditions through the weekend of the 29th and 30th. Sunday the 30th morning has a glassy 4ft S swell but the energy is weak (196) and it's pretty ordinary.
Now, looking into the second week, things get a bit more promising again. Monday the 31st of August has a big, long-period S groundswell – 4ft at 17 seconds. The energy is very strong at 1001, but it's cross-on and a bit messy in the morning. The afternoon is choppy. Still, that's a lot of energy for a small wave, so expect long waits and powerful lines.
Tuesday the 1st of September morning looks clean with a cross-offshore WNW breeze and a 4ft S swell at 13 seconds. The afternoon shapes up nicely though – clean offshore wind from the west at 12 mph with that same 3ft S groundswell. That should be a fun, clean session.
Wednesday the 2nd of September morning has light offshore winds but the swell drops to 2ft, just ordinary. The rest of the week looks small and clean with offshore breezes at times, but nothing to get too excited about until Friday the 4th of September morning. That morning we've got a clean 5ft S swell with offshore winds and moderate energy (586). It's another good window, but the afternoon gets choppy again.
So, to wrap it up, your best bets are the Friday the 28th of August morning for that glassy, clean 5ft S swell, and then Tuesday the 1st of September afternoon and Friday the 4th of September morning for clean offshore conditions with a solid S groundswell. Keep in mind Blue Bay is inconsistent, so you'll need a bit of patience, but when it's on, it'll be worth it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | S 10 | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | NE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
9 | 340 | 196 | 267 | 159 | 123 | 75 | 163 | 200 | 154 | 126 | 93 | 328 | 354 | 363 | 317 | 604 | 379 | 190 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | on | on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 4:54AM0.89m | 4:58PM1.35m | 5:47AM0.94m | 5:46PM1.42m | 6:29AM1.01m | 6:27PM1.49m | 7:06AM1.09m | 7:04PM1.54m | 7:41AM1.17m | 7:40PM1.57m | 8:15AM1.25m | 8:15PM1.57m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:09PM0.46m | 10:09AM0.54m | 11:58PM0.39m | 11:07AM0.50m | 00:37AM0.32m | 11:56AM0.43m | 1:11AM0.24m | 12:39PM0.37m | 1:43AM0.18m | 1:19PM0.32m | 2:14AM0.13m | 1:59PM0.28m | 2:44AM0.10m | ||||||
— | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 22 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 16 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | S 10 | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 |
9 | 340 | 167 | 267 | 159 | 123 | 75 | 91 | 124 | 154 | 126 | 93 | 328 | 354 | 363 | 317 | 604 | 379 | 190 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | NE 6 | S 14 | E 14 | NE 5 | — | NE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 16 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 15 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
3 | 6 | 196 | 4 | 24 | — | 20 | 46 | 28 | 15 | 43 | 9 | 67 | 55 | 18 | 113 | 59 | 58 | 58 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | ENE 9 | — | — | ENE 8 | E 13 | S 18 | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | S 9 | S 14 | S 15 | S 16 | S 16 | S 14 | — | — | S 19 |
6 | 7 | — | — | 11 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 47 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 134 | — | — | 7 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | SE 5 | E 4 | NE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 4 | ENE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | S 4 | — | — | ENE 9 | NE 3 | — | — | ENE 4 |
6 | 22 | 13 | 49 | 31 | 37 | 63 | 163 | 200 | 5 | 2 | 22 | — | — | 84 | 6 | — | — | 9 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 99 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 221 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











