Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 11s period, SSE swell with 955 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 7s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
Alright crew, Rusty here. Let's break down what's cooking at Blue Bay.
We start off a bit slow, but there's a proper pulse of swell coming in the second week. The water temp is sitting around 66°, pretty standard for this time of year, nothing weird.
The first decent window opens up on Wednesday, July 8th. Swell is a solid 8 feet from the SE with an 11-second period, packing strong energy (1785). The light rain and cross-off breeze keep it clean, but the report says conditions are questionable. Thursday morning, July 9th, shapes up better – the swell drops to about 6 feet from the SE, 10-second period, with a light cross-off breeze. Energy is moderate (883), and it's calling for very good surf. That's your best start.
Friday, July 10th, the swell is a more friendly 5 feet from the SE, still on a 10-second period. The morning has a cross-off breeze, but the afternoon goes glassy. That's a huge plus. Moderate energy (539) and flat calm water – you get a window of perfection.
After that, it fades out quick. Saturday and Sunday (July 11-12) see smaller waves and stronger offshore winds, but the energy drops off a cliff. From Sunday afternoon, July 12th, all the way through Wednesday morning, July 15th, it's flat and poor. That's a solid three-day gap where you're better off waxing your board at home.
Now, the main event. Thursday, July 16th, the ocean wakes up. Morning brings a solid 8 foot S swell with a 12-second period, serious energy (2077), and a light cross-off breeze. Clean. Thursday afternoon, it jumps to a powerful 10 feet from the S, 13-second period, with a massive energy reading of 3188. The report says excellent for experienced surfers, and with a light breeze, it’s clean. This is the one to chase. That long period groundswell will love the reef setup.
Friday, July 17th, it peaks – 12 feet from the S, 13-second period, and energy is a massive 3627. Again, excellent for experienced surfers, clean in the morning with a light cross-off. This is big, heavy stuff, over 8 feet, so it's experts only. The afternoon gets a bit of a cross-shore chop, so the morning is your golden window.
Saturday, July 18th, it's still solid at 7 feet from the S, 11-second period, with offshore wind in the morning. That’s a great, clean session with good energy (917). After that, it fades back down to small and ordinary for the end of the run.
Best advice? You've got a window from Thursday morning to Saturday morning. The absolute standouts are Thursday afternoon and all day Friday, July 16-17, when that big S swell rolls in. That Friday morning session is the pick of the whole forecast. It's a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but it looks promising.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | E 10 | S 11 | S 7 | S 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1562 | 1313 | 726 | 667 | 614 | 492 | 476 | 527 | 365 | 197 | 164 | 146 | 88 | 38 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 96 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:29PM1.33m | 2:25AM1.12m | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | 4:57AM1.05m | 5:23PM1.64m | 6:06AM1.07m | 6:19PM1.74m | 7:08AM1.11m | 7:13PM1.82m | 8:03AM1.14m | 8:04PM1.86m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:44PM0.49m | 8:39AM0.27m | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:11PM0.30m | 10:38AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.17m | 11:38AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.06m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:06AM-0.02m | 1:30PM0.24m | 2:56AM-0.06m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — |
 | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — |
mm | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 18 | 18 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 6 | SSW 8 | S 7 | SSW 5 | S 11 | SSW 11 | S 12 |
| kJ | 1562 | 1313 | 726 | 667 | 614 | 492 | 476 | 527 | 365 | 197 | 115 | 146 | 88 | 38 | 23 | 68 | 24 | 5 | 21 | 40 | 96 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 14 | SE 13 | S 21 | ESE 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 7 | S 7 | E 10 |
| kJ | 223 | 335 | 421 | 210 | 38 | 89 | 109 | 8 | 39 | 161 | 164 | 39 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 8 | 28 | 24 | 10 | 9 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 16 | S 20 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | — | S 15 | S 17 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | SSW 6 | S 12 | E 10 | SE 8 | E 10 | — | E 10 | — |
| kJ | — | 5 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | — | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 2 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 4 | NW 3 | W 4 | NW 3 | — | WNW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 14 | 20 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 2 | — | 7 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 30 | 22 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 229 | 8 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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