
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, ESE swell with 4,144 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
Alright, this is Rusty here, and we're taking a close look at Blue Bay.
Right off the bat, the water's sitting at 66°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild going on there temp-wise. Now, the outlook for the next couple of weeks is a real mixed bag. We've got a long stretch of nothing much happening for the first week or so. From now until the 15th of July, the waves are tiny and the conditions are pretty ordinary, so you might as well leave the board in the car.
Things start to get interesting on Wednesday the 15th. We've got a big pulse of south swell coming in, pushing up to 8 ft, but the period is short at 7 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 544, and with 19 mph cross-offshore wind, it's surfable but messy. Then on Wednesday afternoon, it really jumps to a 13 ft south swell with 10-second period. The energy rockets up to a very strong 3012, but with 22 mph cross-offshore winds, it's a beast. This size is only for experts, and the conditions are described as marginal, so it's pretty raw and powerful.
The swell hangs around through the 16th, 17th, and 18th of July with chest-to-head-high sets, but the wind goes onshore from the SSE, chopping up the surface. It's not pretty. The energy stays strong, peaking at 3545 on the morning of the 19th of July with a 13 ft swell, but it's still cross-onshore and messy. Again, this is big-wave territory for experienced surfers only.
After all that grunt, we finally get a window of clean conditions. Monday the 20th of July morning looks to be the standout. A solid 8 ft easterly swell with a 10-second period gives moderate-strong combined energy of 1289, and a light 6 mph cross-offshore wind from the SW is going to make for some clean, lined-up waves. This is the one to circle on the calendar.
After that, the swell starts to fade, but the conditions remain good. Tuesday the 21st morning has a 6 ft easterly swell with a light offshore wind – clean, fun waves. By the 22nd it's dropping, and then from the 23rd onwards we're back to small and ordinary surf until the end of the outlook period.
So, while Blue Bay is an inconsistent reef that needs the right alignment, the pick of the fortnight is Monday the 20th of July morning. That 8 ft east swell with clean offshore wind will be the best quality you'll see. Tuesday the 21st morning is a close second for a fun, smaller session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Tue morning, fresh winds from the SSW by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Wed afternoon). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sun 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 10 | S 20 | S 10 | S 11 | S 7 | S 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
51 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 539 | 3012 | 1108 | 667 | 443 | 657 | 629 | 560 | 721 | 1122 | 2353 | 3892 | 3440 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:19PM1.74m | 7:08AM1.11m | 7:13PM1.82m | 8:03AM1.14m | 8:04PM1.86m | 8:55AM1.18m | 8:54PM1.85m | 9:44AM1.21m | 9:42PM1.79m | 10:32AM1.23m | 10:29PM1.67m | 11:20AM1.25m | 11:15PM1.51m | 12:09PM1.27m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:13AM0.06m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:06AM-0.02m | 1:30PM0.24m | 2:56AM-0.06m | 2:23PM0.23m | 3:43AM-0.06m | 3:15PM0.24m | 4:28AM-0.02m | 4:07PM0.28m | 5:10AM0.04m | 5:01PM0.35m | 5:51AM0.13m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | |
5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | 5:06 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 11 | 18 | 19 | 13 | 19 | 20 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 9 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 11 | S 7 | SSW 7 | S 11 | S 16 | — | S 16 | S 14 | ESE 9 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 18 | S 17 |
51 | 22 | 16 | 9 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 5 | — | 5 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 10 | 9 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 93 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SE 9 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SE 8 | S 11 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | S 13 | S 16 | S 18 | S 18 | S 21 | S 19 | S 19 | S 18 | SE 18 |
6 | 21 | 22 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 28 | 56 | 12 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 10 | S 20 | S 16 | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | S 14 | — | — | — | — |
3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 15 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 4 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | WSW 3 | S 7 | S 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 |
14 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 539 | 3012 | 1108 | 667 | 443 | 657 | 629 | 560 | 721 | 1122 | 2353 | 3892 | 3440 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 30 | 161 | 22 | 19 | 229 | 229 | 398 | 53 | 180 | 205 | 205 | 205 | 166 | 130 | 130 | 166 | 130 | 57 | 57 | 35 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











