Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for our local stretch.

Alright, so we're looking at a pretty quiet start around here. The first few days are a bit of a write-off, with tiny, weak swells and poor conditions. You’ll be waiting a while before anything really gets going.

First up, Tuesday the 4th of August, the swell is tiny, only about 1ft from the SE with a short period, and the combined energy is weak (35). It's clean in the morning with a light offshore, but honestly, it's just not enough to get excited about. That continues through Wednesday and Thursday with similar small, weak swell (38, 73). The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing crazy.

We finally get a bit of life late on Thursday the 6th, as the combined energy picks up to 115, but it's still a junky 3ft from the south with a short period, and the wind goes onshore. Not great.

Friday the 7th morning shows a little more promise, with 2ft from the south, period still short at 9 seconds, but the 140 combined energy at least means there's some push. It's clean with a light offshore, so it's surfable, but it's very ordinary. The afternoon gets choppy.

Saturday the 8th morning is the first real highlight of the week. We get 4ft of south swell, period still short at 9 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (206), and the wind is glassy. It'll be a small, clean wave, but it's a reef break, so watch the rocks. Expect crowds sometimes.

Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th see a shift to an ENE swell, but it's small and gets blown out by strong winds. The morning of the 10th has a clean, fresh offshore, but it's only 3ft. Not worth the session.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. Tuesday the 11th of August morning is a standout. We get a solid 5ft from the south, but the key is the period jumping to 11 seconds. That's a proper groundswell. The combined energy is strong (496), and it's glassy. This is your best bet for the first week. Clean, glassy, and some real energy in the water. It's a reef break, and with a longer period, it'll be lining up nicely. Crowds are possible.

After that, the middle of the week drops off again. Wednesday the 12th is small and clean, but nothing special.

Friday the 14th of August morning, the swell jumps to a massive 10ft from the south, with a combined energy of 1874. That's a lot of water moving. But the period is short (10 seconds) and the wind is cross-shore. This is getting into the big, messy, expert-only zone, and it's a reef, so it'll be heavy. Kite surfers might be frothing more than paddle surfers.

The true big event is on Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th of August. This is the big one. On Saturday morning we get 15ft from the south, period 11 seconds, and it's clean with a light offshore. The combined energy is a massive 4579. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers only. It's huge, powerful, and will be a serious mission. The followed morning, Sunday the 16th, is even better: 15ft from the SSE, period 11 seconds, and the wind is glassy. The energy is 4666. That's the stand-out, proper swell. If you're a seasoned charger, you don't want to miss that window. For everyone else, stay well away.

Monday the 17th of August the swell drops back to 10ft, still big and with a cross-shore wind, then it fades through the rest of the week.

So, the best on offer? The Tuesday 11th morning for a clean, fun glassy session. But the absolute standout is the Sunday 16th morning, if you have the skills for an overhead, heavy reef break.

Rusty.

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