Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 07 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
18.5°C
0.2° 

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, S swell with 3,092 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Mon 7th Sep)5ft (1.6m) 8s
Best Surf 4AM (Sat 12th Sep)6ft (1.9m) 10s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 10th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s talk Blue Bay.

It’s a reef break, exposed to the SSE, and the swell direction it likes lines up with what’s coming. Water temp is about normal for the time of year.

Monday the 7th, morning is the call. Glassy, no wind, 1.4m S swell, moderate energy (304). Clean and fun. By afternoon, the wind goes east at 20 km/h onshore, and it’s done.

Tuesday the 8th is a mess – 2.5m S swell with strong cross-shore wind. Skip it. Wednesday the 9th morning is clean and light, 1.4m, but that afternoon the wind hits 40 km/h. Hard pass.

Thursday the 10th morning has a solid 2.5m S swell, clean, but that’s a big wave for a reef – not for the inexperienced. The afternoon goes lumpy with 3.0m and strong cross-wind. Kite-surfing territory, not paddle.

Here’s the main event: Friday the 11th morning. 2.4m S swell, 10-second period, clean, gentle cross-offshore wind, very good conditions. Strong energy (1139). That’s the one. Saturday the 12th morning is also very good – 1.9m S, 11-second period, clean. Long period means better shape but longer waits. Easy paddle out.

From Sunday the 13th through Wednesday the 16th, it’s mostly flat and poor. Small junk.

Then, a late window: Saturday the 19th afternoon, 2.1m S swell, 11 seconds, clean, light offshore wind (W 10 km/h). Very strong energy (1140). Sunday the 20th morning also looks great – 2.0m, clean, strong energy (817). That weekend is your second chance, but it’s a ways out so don’t bank on it.

Blue Bay can be inconsistent, so you gotta time it. The two standouts are Friday the 11th morning and Saturday the 19th afternoon. Clean, solid swell, right direction. Crowds will show when it’s good, so be early.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Thu morning, light winds from the ESE by Sat afternoon).

Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
0
0
2
2
1
0
0
3
1
3
3
1
2
2
2
2
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
S
8
1.6
SSE
9
3
S
8
2.5
S
9
2.2
SSE
9
1.8
SSE
9
1.1
S
8
3
S
8
4
S
10
3
S
10
3.5
S
9
3
S
11
2.5
S
10
2.3
S
10
2.1
SSE
10
1.9
S
10
1.7
S
11
1.4
SSE
10
1.1
SSE
10
1
S
9
0.8
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
257
380
970
1210
692
488
169
945
3092
1633
2010
2018
1330
964
768
785
669
394
240
180
122
Wind (km/h)
0
NNW
20
E
35
S
25
S
15
SSE
10
NW
15
SSW
45
S
35
S
25
SW
25
S
20
SW
15
SSW
15
SSE
15
SW
10
S
10
ESE
10
W
15
NNE
25
NE
10
WNW
Wind State
glassy
on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
on
off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
5:00PM1.56m
5:57AM1.12m
5:57PM1.63m
6:45AM1.22m
6:46PM1.66m
7:28AM1.31m
7:31PM1.65m
8:07AM1.40m
8:14PM1.59m
8:44AM1.46m
8:54PM1.50m
9:21AM1.49m
9:34PM1.38m
Low Tide
10:24AM0.43m
11:54PM0.15m
11:28AM0.35m
00:41AM0.08m
12:24PM0.28m
1:23AM0.04m
1:14PM0.21m
2:00AM0.03m
2:01PM0.17m
2:35AM0.06m
2:47PM0.17m
3:07AM0.11m
3:31PM0.19m
3:39AM0.19m
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:05
6:03
6:01
6:01
5:58
5:58
5:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:43
 mm
2
Temp °C
18
17
15
16
15
14
15
14
15
13
15
15
16
16
14
15
15
14
17
17
17
Feels °C
14
14
9
10
12
13
11
5
5
6
9
11
13
12
11
13
13
12
12
13
13
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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