Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 11 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
18.9° C
0.6° 

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 9s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, S swell with 1,967 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sun 12th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 10s
Best Surf 1AM (Fri 17th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 9s
Most Powerful 7PM (Wed 15th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


Alright, let’s talk about Blue Bay. It’s a slow start, but the second week has some proper groundswell lined up if you can wait. The first few days are tiny, so don’t rush out.

Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th are flat. We’re talking 0.3ft to 1ft at best, with next to no energy. The wind is offshore or clean, but there’s nothing to ride. Tuesday the 14th is the same story – clean but tiny. Save your energy.

Wednesday the 15th of July brings a solid 8ft to 10ft swell from the south, but it’s short-period (8-9 seconds) and cross-offshore. The combined energy is strong (948 to 1560), but the wave quality is marginal. This is big, chunky, and only for experienced surfers. Beginners, stay on the beach. The water temp is about average for the time of year.

Thursday the 16th drops to 6ft to 8ft, but the period is a short 7 seconds, making for weak, crumbly waves. Light cross-offshore wind in the afternoon keeps it clean, but the energy is modest (359-604). Not the standout.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th are mixed. Friday has 7ft with cross-shore wind, creating chop. Saturday the 18th morning looks better: 8ft from the ESE, gentle offshore wind, and clean. The energy is 904. This is the first real sign of quality.

Now, the standout. Sunday the 19th of July is glassy. Yes, glassy. A 8ft east swell with an 11-second period and zero wind. The combined energy is 1258, and the conditions are described as “glassy.” This is the best on offer – clean, powerful, and lined up. Blue Bay is a reef, so that long-period groundswell will peel nicely. This spot is inconsistent, so to see it firing like this is a rare treat.

Monday the 20th keeps it going with 6ft from the east, gentle offshore wind, and clean conditions. Energy is 773-795. Very solid.

But the real heavy hitter is Tuesday the 21st of July. The swell jumps to 8ft from the ESE, with a long 12-second period, and moderate offshore wind. The combined energy hits 1652 – that’s strong, and the forecast says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” Over 8ft, so it’s too big for beginners. The long period means proper groundswell with long gaps between sets – great for paddling out, but it might close out at the beach. On a reef like Blue Bay, it’ll be a proper session.

Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd still have decent 5ft to 6ft swell, with Thursday morning (23rd) going glassy again. Another clean window.

The last few days from the 24th to the 27th fade out to small, weak surf – 2ft to 4ft, with low energy. The wind stays clean, but the swell is gone.

Bottom line: the first week is a bust. The second week, from the 18th through to the 23rd, is where it’s at. The absolute best days are Sunday the 19th (glassy, 8ft east) and Tuesday the 21st (8ft ESE, 12-second groundswell, offshore). If you’re after clean, powerful waves, those are the ones.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Sun night, light winds from the NW by Mon afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Wed morning, light winds from the SW by Thu afternoon).

Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Sat
18
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
2
3
1
0
2
3
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SE
10
0.8
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
10
0.4
ESE
9
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
12
0.2
S
7
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
10
0.1
E
10
2.5
S
8
3
S
9
3
S
8
2.3
SSE
7
1.9
SSE
7
2.1
ESE
9
2.1
ESE
9
2.1
ESE
9
2.1
ESE
9
2.3
ESE
9
2.1
E
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
225
109
51
31
9
11
3
9
8
2
943
1560
1198
588
345
660
660
660
732
865
878
Wind (km/h)
15
NNW
30
WNW
25
W
35
WNW
20
WNW
10
NW
20
NW
20
WNW
10
SSW
25
SW
25
SSW
30
SSW
25
S
15
SSE
10
SW
10
SW
25
S
25
S
20
SW
15
SSW
10
SE
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
High Tide
6:06AM1.07m
6:19PM1.74m
7:08AM1.11m
7:13PM1.82m
8:03AM1.14m
8:04PM1.86m
8:55AM1.18m
8:54PM1.85m
9:44AM1.21m
9:42PM1.79m
10:32AM1.23m
10:29PM1.67m
11:20AM1.25m
Low Tide
00:15AM0.17m
11:38AM0.29m
1:13AM0.06m
12:36PM0.26m
2:06AM-0.02m
1:30PM0.24m
2:56AM-0.06m
2:23PM0.23m
3:43AM-0.06m
3:15PM0.24m
4:28AM-0.02m
4:07PM0.28m
5:10AM0.04m
5:01PM0.35m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
light rain
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:54
6:54
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:04
5:05
5:05
 mm
2
1
5
2
1
8
3
1
1
Temp °C
14
16
16
11
18
19
13
19
19
14
15
15
15
16
14
15
16
16
15
17
17
Feels °C
10
9
9
5
13
15
8
14
15
10
9
9
9
13
13
14
10
11
11
15
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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