Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Blue Bay has in store for us.

Right now, the water temp is sitting at a comfortable 66°, which is bang on average for this time of year. Gotta say though, the next week and a half is looking pretty flat and glum. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing happening from now until the 15th of July. The waves are tiny and weak, barely a ripple, with hardly any energy in the water. You’d be better off polishing your board than paddling out.

Things finally start to stir on Wednesday the 15th. A solid pulse of southerly swell pushes in, with wave heights around 7ft to 8ft and moderate energy levels (1462 to 2245). That’s got some push to it and the period hovers around 10-11 seconds, so there’s decent shape potential. The wind isn’t perfect, being cross-off and cross, but it's clean enough to make it surfable. This is a bigger swell though, well over 5ft, so it’s more for the experienced crew. Thursday the 16th keeps the size up at 7ft to 7ft, but the period drops to a short 8 seconds, making it a bit crumbly and less powerful (543 to 1175 energy).

After that, the quality tails off sharply. Friday the 17th and the rest of the week is a mix of onshore winds, rain, and messy conditions with dropping swell sizes. You’re looking at small, choppy surf with barely any energy. The weekend of the 19th and 20th is blown out by onshore easterly winds, making it a complete write-off. The whole stretch from the 16th to the 25th of July offers very little worth getting excited about.

The real standout, and the best bet across the whole outlook, arrives on Sunday the 26th of July. We get a nice jump in swell out of the south, reaching 6ft in the morning and building to a solid 8ft by the afternoon. The combined energy jumps way up (334 to 798), and the wind swings offshore from the west, which is going to clean it right up. Expect very good, clean surf conditions. That afternoon session is looking like the highlight, with strong offshore winds and a decent-sized swell. This one is expert territory at 8ft, so it’s all for the big dogs. Monday the 27th opens with a similar 7ft and clean offshore wind, another top session, before the swell backs off again. That window on the 26th and 27th is your clear winner.

To sum it up: the whole first half of July is a bust. Keep your eyes locked on Sunday the 26th of July and Monday the 27th – that’s where the magic is.

Rusty.

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