Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s get straight into it. We’ve got one spot on the radar for this 16-day stretch: Blue Bay. It’s a reef setup, so it handles swell well, but it’s inconsistent, so we’ve got to be patient.

The water’s sitting at about 65°F, which is pretty much bang on average for the time of year, no drama there.

The first half of the period is a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a small pulse of south swell coming through Friday 24 July, but the wind is messy and the conditions are marginal. Saturday 25 July morning is where it starts to get interesting – a clean 6ft south swell, with a period of 11 seconds, and light offshore wind from the WNW. The combined energy is moderate (834), and the offshore wind should keep it nice and clean. That’s likely the best bet for the first week. Sunday 26 July morning is also clean with a 6ft south swell (707), still a solid option.

After that, the surf drops off badly. From Monday 27 July through to the end of July, we’re looking at tiny, weak waves – mostly under 3ft, and the wind is all over the shop. There’s a gap of about four days where it’s pretty much unrideable or just ordinary.

Then, hold onto your board – Sunday 2 August morning brings a massive pulse. We’re looking at a 15ft south swell, period of 12 seconds, and glassy conditions. The combined energy is a massive 5159, which is strong. But look, this is big – over 8ft – so it’s only for experienced surfers who know the reef. Beginners, stay on the beach. This is the standout of the whole outlook, but it’s over a week away, so keep an eye on the forecasts.

The swell stays solid through Monday 3 August at 10ft, but the wind turns cross-offshore, which can still be okay. The rest of that week stays in the 6-7ft range, but the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, so it’s not as clean. By Friday 7 August morning, we’ve got another good one: 8ft from the ESE with a 13-second period, light cross-off wind, and excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The energy is strong (1791). That’s the second standout.

After that, it drops back down to 4ft and smaller for the 8th, and the wind is glassy in the morning, so it’s a nice little finisher for the confident intermediate surfer, but not as exciting.

So, the real winner is early Sunday 2 August morning – that glassy 15ft south swell at Blue Bay is going to be special, but it’s for the big-wave crew. The other solid option is Friday 7 August morning with the 8ft ESE swell. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or just average.

Keep your eyes on the sky, and be ready for that big one.

- Rusty

Read more