Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board. This is Rusty, and I'm gonna give it to you straight about Blue Bay for the next couple of weeks.

First off, we’re in for a bit of a flat spell. The water temp is sittin' right around where it should be for this time of year, nothing weird going on there. Blue Bay's a reef setup that likes a solid S to SSE swell, but for the first few days, it’s not gonna be much to write home about. Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th are basically a write-off—small, weak, and messy. Not worth paddling out. We're talking combined swell energy between 20 and 85, which is weak.

Then things start to look up. Monday the 7th is the first true standout. We’ve got a clean 5.2ft swell out of the south, period at 8 seconds, and the wind goes dead glassy in the morning. With 357 combined energy, it’s got some moderate push. For an inconsistent spot like Blue Bay, this is a solid chance for some fun, clean reef waves. However, it's not huge, so it’s good for intermediates.

Tuesday the 8th sees the swell bump up to 7.9ft from the SSE, but the wind turns onshore and the conditions get choppy. That size is getting into expert territory, and the energy jumps to 968, but it’s not gonna be clean. Wednesday the 9th morning might be worth a look before the wind howls—4.9ft from the SSE with clean offshore breeze (5 km/h from the SW) and 402 energy—but that afternoon the strong breeze ruins it.

Thursday the 10th morning is another highlight but with a big caveat. We’re looking at an 8.2ft S swell with a 10-second period and clean offshore wind (SW 20 km/h), energy hitting 1204. That’s strong, powerful surf. For a reef break, that’s a proper groundswell, but at that size it's for experienced surfers only. Crowds are listed as "sometimes" here, so you might have the place to yourself if you’re early.

After that, the quality drops off. Friday the 11th is okay but nothing special, and from Saturday the 12th through to the 19th, it’s mostly small, weak, and onshore slop. Energy values are all over the place, but the wind is rarely your friend. There’s a low-energy window mid-week with some long-period (15-19 seconds) groundswell on the 13th, but with onshore wind, it’ll be a battle.

If you’re looking for the absolute best moment, pin it on Monday morning the 7th for clean, fun waves, or Thursday morning the 10th if you’ve got the skills and the nerve for some size. Everything in the second week is pretty average and inconsistent. Forecasts can always change, but right now, the windows are narrow.

Stay stoked.

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