Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 1 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 12s period, S swell with 547 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 1 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 4s. Another secondary swell of 1.1m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.4m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s going down at Blue Bay.
First off, the water’s running about 64°, which is pretty average for this time of year – nothing wild there.
To be honest, the next week or so is a bit of a grind. From Tuesday through the following Monday, we’ve got a string of small, weak, and mostly ordinary surf. The combined swell energy is often under 300 (moderate at best, weak at worst). Swell heights are barely scraping 3ft most days, with periods around 10-11 seconds. The wind’s often cross or cross-off, but the conditions are just “poor” – no real power or push to get stoked about. Thursday the 3rd and Saturday the 5th are especially flat, with swell dropping below 2ft and energy in the double digits. That’s a real lull.
There’s a small window on Friday the 4th in the morning – glassy conditions, a light northeasterly, and a clean 4ft south swell. But at 11 seconds, it’s a bit soft, and the energy is still only moderate (291). It’s surfable, but not a standout. The afternoon wind swings around and kills it.
Then things get interesting. Sunday the 6th sees a bump to 5ft, but the wind is cross-on and messy. The real story starts Monday the 7th – still poor, but the swell is building in the background.
Now, here’s the part that gets the heart pumping. The standout window is Friday the 11th. The morning session is the absolute pick of the whole forecast. We’re looking at a solid 16ft swell from the south with a long period of 13 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The combined energy is massive at 16220 (very strong). The wind is a light cross-off from the south-southwest. That’s a recipe for clean, powerful waves. But – and this is a big but – 16ft surf is for highly experienced surfers only. Beginners: stay on the beach. For the experts, if it lines up, this is a serious session. Keep in mind, such a long-period south swell will be breaking a bit straight on the beach, so look for deeper channels or any reef or point structure.
The day before, Thursday the 10th of September, is also notable – 12ft south swell with moderate to strong energy (3302 to 5293) and consistent cross-off winds. It’s big and powerful, but again, only for the competent crew. The water will be moving with that energy.
After that peak, Saturday the 12th settles back to a more manageable 6ft with light cross-off winds – much more intermediate-friendly, but the energy drops back to moderate (597).
The following week (from the 13th onward) looks like it’s fading out. Smaller swells, onshore or cross-on winds, and low energy. Not worth blocking out time for.
So, here’s the story: the first week is slim pickings – mostly flat or poor. The absolute best of the whole window is the morning of Friday the 11th, at Blue Bay, for experts only – a 16ft south swell with light offshore wind and huge energy. Thursday the 10th is a solid backup for the same crowd. After that, the surf fades into the ordinary again.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, fresh winds from the WNW by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 11 | S 9 | S 16 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 12 | S 9 | S 13 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
250 | 189 | 138 | 104 | 110 | 71 | 73 | 53 | 33 | 272 | 96 | 44 | 71 | 68 | 27 | 547 | 295 | 117 | 242 | 153 | 154 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:41AM1.45m | 10:52PM1.27m | 11:26AM1.45m | 11:44PM1.14m | 12:20PM1.44m | 00:50AM1.03m | 1:25PM1.43m | 2:14AM0.96m | 2:40PM1.44m | 3:44AM0.96m | 3:54PM1.49m | 4:59AM1.02m | 5:00PM1.56m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:55PM0.29m | 4:58AM0.24m | 5:52PM0.33m | 5:42AM0.32m | 7:01PM0.37m | 6:37AM0.40m | 8:22PM0.37m | 7:47AM0.46m | 9:46PM0.33m | 9:08AM0.47m | 10:57PM0.24m | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | ||||||||
6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
— | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 26 | 20 | 26 | 26 | 21 | 27 | 24 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 22 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 18 |
Feels °C | 18 | 21 | 17 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 22 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 24 | 22 | 20 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 11 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 12 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 7 |
250 | 189 | 138 | 104 | 110 | 71 | 73 | 53 | 33 | 272 | 96 | 28 | 71 | 68 | 27 | 547 | 295 | 115 | 242 | 153 | 154 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | NE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | NW 4 | ENE 10 | SSW 6 | SSE 10 | NE 4 | NE 4 | ENE 5 | NE 6 | SSW 4 | E 10 | S 13 | ENE 5 | E 10 | S 10 |
38 | 37 | 23 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 4 | 18 | 10 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 117 | 34 | 8 | 120 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 12 | NE 12 | ENE 10 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 6 | ENE 10 | NE 7 | ENE 10 | S 18 | S 16 | E 9 | E 9 | E 11 | NE 10 | ENE 6 | E 10 | E 10 | — | — |
3 | 6 | 33 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 7 | 19 | 6 | 44 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 3 | 8 | 8 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 3 | NNE 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NW 3 | NNW 4 | WSW 3 | SSW 5 | — | ENE 3 | W 3 | NNW 3 | WNW 4 | W 2 | — | — | ENE 4 | NE 5 | NE 6 | — |
2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 37 | — | 15 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | — | — | 35 | 65 | 123 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 216 | 0 | 3 | 81 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











