Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 09 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
19.0° C
0.7° 

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 12s period, SSE swell with 10,775 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 6.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 7s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Fri 10th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 9s
Best Surf 7AM (Fri 10th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 9s
Most Powerful 4AM (Fri 17th Jul)20ft (6.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's cookin' at Blue Bay.

The next week and a half is a real story of two halves. For the first week, it's mostly a waiting game with small, weak surf. But hang in there, because the second half of the period has some serious muscle moving in, though it's definitely not for the faint of heart. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The action starts on Friday the 10th with a bit of a tease. We've got a 6ft SE swell rolling in with a 10-second period, and the wind is light offshore in the morning, going glassy by the afternoon. The combined energy is moderate (634). It's clean, but it's a bit small and a touch inconsistent here. Saturday the 11th drops a little to 4ft, still clean, but the energy is winding down (434). By Sunday the 12th, it's fading fast into small, ordinary stuff that's not worth changing your plans for.

We get a long, flat spell from Monday the 13th right through Friday the 17th morning. The surf is tiny, weak, and the energy readings are in the double digits or low triple digits. There's a spike of 12ft on the afternoon of the 15th, but it's accompanied by a strong 22 mph cross-offshore wind and a short period, making it look more like a kite-surfing session than a paddle-in day. The combined energy jumps to 2179, but the conditions are marginal.

The stand-out window, and the true highlight of this outlook, is the 48-hour period from Friday the 17th afternoon through Saturday the 18th morning. This is the big one. A solid 18ft SSE groundswell is pumping in with a 12 to 13-second period, creating a very long period groundswell. The combined energy is massive, hitting 9198 and 8822. The wind is a light 6-9 mph cross-offshore, keeping it clean. This is exceptional surf, but it's expert-only territory. The size alone is intimidating, and that long period at a reef break like Blue Bay can mean powerful, sucky waves. If you're not on your game, sit this one out.

Sunday the 19th still has a solid 10ft SSE swell, but the wind is still favourable. After that, it's a steady drop back down through the following week, with the swell fading and the consistency dropping off. By the 25th of July, there's another big 12ft S swell on the charts with a very long 13-second period, but that's a long way out and needs to be watched.

So, bottom line: if you're an expert, the morning of Saturday the 18th is the clear standout. For everyone else, the clean but smaller conditions on Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th are your best bet. The rest of the run is mostly a waiting game.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the SSW by Wed afternoon).

Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thu
16
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
SE
9
1.8
SE
10
1.7
SE
10
1.5
SE
10
0.9
ESE
12
1
ESE
11
1.1
SE
10
0.8
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
10
0.3
ESE
9
0.6
S
7
0.2
ESE
8
0.2
S
10
0.3
S
7
0.2
S
9
0.1
S
18
0.2
S
16
3.5
S
9
3.5
S
9
4
SSE
9
4.5
SSE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
502
627
592
408
220
234
225
109
51
17
35
7
8
8
6
6
20
2174
1631
2366
4097
Wind (km/h)
10
WSW
10
WSW
5
SSE
10
WNW
10
NW
15
NNW
20
NW
25
W
25
W
15
WNW
15
WNW
15
NNW
15
NW
20
WNW
20
SW
25
SW
30
SSW
35
SSW
25
S
20
SW
20
SSW
Wind State
off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
3:41AM1.07m
4:26PM1.53m
4:57AM1.05m
5:23PM1.64m
6:06AM1.07m
6:19PM1.74m
7:08AM1.11m
7:13PM1.82m
8:03AM1.14m
8:04PM1.86m
8:55AM1.18m
8:54PM1.85m
9:44AM1.21m
Low Tide
9:38AM0.30m
11:11PM0.30m
10:38AM0.30m
00:15AM0.17m
11:38AM0.29m
1:13AM0.06m
12:36PM0.26m
2:06AM-0.02m
1:30PM0.24m
2:56AM-0.06m
2:23PM0.23m
3:43AM-0.06m
3:15PM0.24m
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:00
5:00
5:01
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:04
 mm
4
2
1
1
2
Temp °C
14
14
14
13
17
17
14
15
15
11
16
18
13
17
17
13
12
14
14
14
15
Feels °C
13
13
13
11
14
13
10
8
8
6
12
14
8
12
12
7
5
7
7
9
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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