Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, it's Rusty. Let’s break down Blue Bay for the next couple of weeks.

Water temp is about 19°, right on the money for this time of year – nothing weird there. But the first few days are a slog. Monday the 6th has a solid 10-foot swell from the SSE, but that 16 mph SSE wind is blowing cross-on, making it a choppy, blown-out mess. The energy is pumping at 1762, but you won't want to be out there. Monday afternoon is just as rough with cross-shore chop.

Tuesday the 7th keeps the 10-foot swell, but the wind goes cross-off, cleaning it up. Still, this is big, powerful stuff (energy 2476) with a long 11-second period. That’s expert-only territory – thick, heavy sets. If you’re skilled, Tuesday morning is a window, but it’s not for the average surfer.

Wednesday the 8th drops to about 8 feet from the SE, with clean cross-off winds and energy still strong at 1859. Better for strong intermediates, but still a handful. Thursday the 9th morning is the first real highlight – 6 feet from the SSE, light 6 mph SW winds cross-off and clean. Energy is moderate at 1011, and the call is “very good surf conditions.” That’s a sweet, surfable window for most.

Friday the 10th afternoon also gets a “very good” – 6 feet from the SSE, gentle 9 mph cross-off breeze, clean. Solid option. Saturday the 11th morning drops to 4 feet, but with 6 mph NNW winds, it’s clean and light. Small but fun.

Then a lull hits from Saturday afternoon through Monday the 13th, with waves dropping to less than a foot. A few days of nothing.

Tuesday the 14th morning brings a pulse – 5 feet from the south, light 6 mph offshore W winds, clean. Decent little window, but it’s short. We get another patch of small, weak surf until Thursday the 16th afternoon, when a big 10-foot southerly swell arrives with strong winds – messy.

The real monster is Friday the 17th. Massive 16-foot swell from the south, 14-second period, and energy is off the charts at 16727. This is huge, powerful groundswell. The wind is cross-shore though, so it’ll be lumpy and cross-chop on top of those beastly waves. Only for experts, and even then, it’s a challenge. Kite surfers, this one’s for you.

Saturday the 18th morning is the other true gem. Swell drops to a friendly 7 feet from the SSE, and we get glassy conditions – W wind at just 3 mph, dead calm. Energy is moderate at 986, but the quality is top shelf. That’s the best of the whole outlook: clean, manageable, and glassy. Get out there.

After that, it fades back to small stuff, with a little juice on Tuesday the 21st morning – 5 feet from the SSE, offshore winds, but a short 7-second period, so a bit weak and bumpy.

Bottom line: Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th are good, but the clear winners are Saturday the 18th morning for the glassy, clean, friendly waves, and if you’re a charger, Friday the 17th for that monster (but expect chaos).

Rusty.

Read more