Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period, S swell with 249 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.2m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what the next couple weeks are serving up for Blue Bay.
Right off the bat, there’s not much to get excited about. The start of the run is pretty ordinary, with a few small, wobbly waves that are barely worth paddling out for. We’ve got a serious gap in quality here, stretching several days, before anything even starts to look promising.
The best of the whole window, and the one to circle on your calendar, is Sunday the 14th of September. That morning at Blue Bay, we’ve got a pulse of new swell coming in from the NE at 5ft, but what makes it a genuine standout is the glassy surface and no wind. It’ll be dead calm, with a combined wave energy of 271 (moderate), so it’s not a monster, but it’ll be clean and inviting. The swell period is short, around 7 seconds, so don’t expect any long groundswell lines, but the conditions will be nice and smooth for the couple of hours it holds.
Before that, the rest of the period is pretty flat or messy. The week of Sunday the 30th of August through to mid-September is full of small surf, mostly under 3ft, with onshore or cross-shore winds messing up any potential. There’s a brief moment on Wednesday the 10th of September morning where a solid 8ft southerly swell shows up, with a massive energy reading of 1413 (very strong). That’s expert territory. That’s a chunky wave, but the cross-on wind and light ripples mean it won’t be pretty. A beach setup like Blue Bay will be a bit of a washing machine under those conditions. Too big for beginners and likely a bit of a chore for anyone else due to the wind.
The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual. Blue Bay itself is a reef break and it’s inconsistent, which means it doesn’t fire often, so when that clean Sunday morning arrives, the crowds are possible, especially with light winds.
So, to sum it up: the next week and a bit is a write-off, but if you can wait, Sunday the 14th of September is your morning. Small, glassy, and all yours.
Stay stoked.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 16 | S 15 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 136 | 157 | 207 | 174 | 109 | 140 | 229 | 185 | 141 | 104 | 78 | 48 | 45 | 51 | 46 | 30 | 82 | 92 | 116 | 83 | 78 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-on | off | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:27PM1.47m | 10:01AM1.42m | 10:07PM1.38m | 10:41AM1.45m | 10:52PM1.27m | 11:26AM1.45m | 11:44PM1.14m | 12:20PM1.44m | 00:50AM1.03m | 1:25PM1.43m | 2:14AM0.96m | 2:40PM1.44m | 3:44AM0.96m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:21PM0.25m | 3:46AM0.12m | 4:05PM0.26m | 4:20AM0.17m | 4:55PM0.29m | 4:58AM0.24m | 5:52PM0.33m | 5:42AM0.32m | 7:01PM0.37m | 6:37AM0.40m | 8:22PM0.37m | 7:47AM0.46m | 9:46PM0.33m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | |
 | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — |
 | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 24 | 27 | 20 | 27 | 27 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 25 | 26 | 20 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 20 | 22 | 17 | 23 | 24 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 20 | 21 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 7 | S 10 | S 6 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 136 | 157 | 207 | 138 | 97 | 140 | 229 | 185 | 141 | 104 | 78 | 48 | 45 | 26 | 46 | 25 | 82 | 92 | 116 | 83 | 78 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 10 | ENE 10 | S 10 | S 6 | NNE 4 | ENE 9 | E 9 | S 9 |
| kJ | 90 | 90 | 148 | 174 | 109 | 106 | 38 | 37 | 19 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 51 | 19 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 41 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | N 12 | NE 12 | ENE 10 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | SSE 12 | ENE 10 | SSE 13 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 8 | — | E 11 | E 11 |
| kJ | 24 | 24 | 24 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 30 | — | 10 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | ENE 2 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NNE 4 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | W 3 | SE 2 | SSW 6 | — | ENE 3 | NNE 4 | N 3 | NE 5 | NW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | — | 2 | 24 | 8 | 32 | 9 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 0 | 52 | 83 | 26 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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