
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, E swell with 1,450 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. This is your local surf outlook for Blue Bay, straight from the beach.
To start with, the next couple of days are a bit of a write-off. Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th, the wind is messy and onshore, with weak, short-period swell. The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there. The first few days, you’re looking at bumpy, choppy conditions with no real quality. Sunday the 19th brings a jump in size – around 8ft in the morning – but it’s still cross-onshore and choppy, which makes it a messy, marginal affair. Not worth paddling out for.
Now, Monday the 20th is where it gets interesting. The morning session is the standout. The wind goes glassy – dead calm – and you’ve got a solid 6ft groundswell from the ENE with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is sitting at 782 (moderate), which is enough to push some real fun waves through. The water is still about average temp. This is the best on offer in the whole outlook. Glassy, clean, and solid. Get on it early.
Tuesday the 21st morning is still a good option. The swell drops slightly to 5ft, but you’ve got a clean cross-offshore wind from the NNW. It’s a bit smaller than Monday, but still very surfable and clean. The afternoon gets blown out again.
From Wednesday the 22nd through to Thursday the 23rd, the swell fades and the wind turns messy again. Thursday afternoon does see a bit of offshore wind, but the swell is tiny at 3ft, so it’s just ordinary.
Then, Friday the 24th morning is another one to circle. The swell jumps back up to 8ft from the S, with a 9-second period, and the wind is cross-offshore from the SW. The energy is strong at 910 (moderate). It’s clean, solid, and punchy. This is a good one for intermediates who want a bit of juice. Saturday the 25th morning is still clean, but the swell drops to 3ft.
After that, we hit a dry spell from Sunday the 26th through to Wednesday the 30th. The swell gets small and inconsistent, with most days offering weak, choppy, or tiny waves. There’s a glassy window on the 27th morning, but it’s only 1ft, so not worth a special trip. The energy is a weak 81 (weak). This is a long stretch of flat to ordinary conditions.
Finally, the outlook ends with a flicker. Friday the 31st morning shows a clean, offshore wind from the W with a 3ft, 13-second groundswell from the S. The energy is 393 (moderate). It’s small, but it’s clean and long-period. Then Saturday the 1st of August morning picks up a bit, with 4ft from the S, a 14-second period, and strong offshore wind from the W. The energy is 567 (moderate). It’s a clean, solid option for the first week of August, but it’s a long way off, so keep an eye on it.
The best surf overall is Monday the 20th morning – glassy, consistent, and solid. The second best is Friday the 24th morning for a bigger, clean swell.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri night, min 14°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | E 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 8 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
72 | 84 | 110 | 170 | 266 | 1128 | 1338 | 918 | 769 | 634 | 562 | 490 | 442 | 373 | 312 | 193 | 188 | 168 | 119 | 94 | 912 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 10:32AM1.23m | 10:29PM1.67m | 11:20AM1.25m | 11:15PM1.51m | 12:09PM1.27m | 00:01AM1.34m | 12:59PM1.28m | 00:51AM1.17m | 1:51PM1.29m | 1:47AM1.03m | 2:45PM1.31m | 2:54AM0.93m | 3:41PM1.32m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:07PM0.28m | 5:10AM0.04m | 5:01PM0.35m | 5:51AM0.13m | 5:59PM0.42m | 6:30AM0.22m | 7:01PM0.48m | 7:10AM0.31m | 8:11PM0.52m | 7:53AM0.39m | 9:27PM0.53m | 8:42AM0.45m | 10:38PM0.50m | ||||||||
6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | |
— | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | |
mm | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 22 | 21 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 19 | 18 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | E 6 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
72 | 84 | 55 | 49 | 46 | 1128 | 1338 | 918 | 769 | 634 | 562 | 490 | 442 | 373 | 312 | 193 | 188 | 168 | 119 | 94 | 71 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | S 6 | S 21 | S 21 | S 20 | S 9 | S 17 | S 16 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | — | — |
31 | 27 | 9 | 35 | 31 | 25 | 95 | 125 | 162 | 138 | 136 | 84 | 57 | 35 | 31 | 30 | 17 | 20 | 8 | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 8 | — | — | S 15 | SSE 19 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | — | — | — | — | — |
21 | 21 | — | — | 4 | 69 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | — | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | WNW 3 | SSE 10 | S 8 |
64 | — | 110 | 170 | 266 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 32 | 912 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 11 | 11 | 124 | 158 | 57 | 84 | 46 | 11 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










