Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. I’m gonna be straight with you: Blue Bay is the only break on the cards and it’s a reef, so that’s what we’re working with.

The water temperature here is sitting at 64°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year – nothing wild there.

We’ve got a real stinker of a start. The first good opportunity isn’t until Sunday morning, August 2nd. That morning, we’re looking at some 5ft swell out of the SSE, with a 12-second period. The combined energy is moderate, clocking in at 915. The wind is light and cross from the NNE at 3 mph, so it’s in the “slight air” category. It’s not perfect, but it’s surfable, and the tide may be a factor. The afternoon goes downhill fast with a 16 mph cross-on NE breeze that chops it up.

Monday morning, August 3rd, is actually the standout of the whole window. The swell drops to 4ft from the SE, 11-second period, but the wind is a cross-off NNW breeze at 6 mph. That’s clean. The combined energy is moderate (321). This is the best on offer – clean waves, decent size, and the direction matches the optimum SSE swell direction well enough. It’s not huge, but it’s lined up. It’s also inconsistent, so don’t expect a set every minute, but when they come, they’ll be good.

After that, we go into a long dry spell. The swell drops hard and the conditions get ordinary. From Tuesday, August 4th, right through to the end of the period on August 17th, there’s nothing that’s really worth paddling out for. There are a few mornings with glassy conditions (like Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th, with 4ft to 4ft swell from the S), but the wave energy is low and the quality is just average. The wind is light on those mornings, so if you’re desperate, you could get a few, but it’s not going to be memorable.

The second week is particularly quiet. The swell stays under 3ft for most of it, and the wind is often cross or onshore. There’s a brief offshore push on the weekend of August 15th and 16th, with 16-19 mph westerlies, but the swell is tiny (2ft to 2ft). The energy is weak to moderate at best. For a reef break, you need a bit more push.

So, the only real highlight is Monday morning, August 3rd. That’s your window. After that, it’s a waiting game. The reef is inconsistent at the best of times, and this stretch looks pretty barren.

- Rusty

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