Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, NE swell with 672 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 2s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s break down Blue Bay.
First off, this is a reef break and it’s inconsistent. It doesn’t fire often, and for the first few days, it’s a total write-off. We’re sitting through a long stretch of flatness and junk until the 7th of August.
Friday morning the 7th shows a 0.8m south swell at 9 seconds, with combined energy of 173 (moderate). The morning is clean with a light offshore breeze, but the waves are just ordinary. Not worth the drive.
The energy picks up on Monday the 10th. Morning has a 1.6m swell from the ENE at 9 seconds, with a combined energy of 392 (moderate). The wind is a fresh 30 km/h offshore from the WNW, so it’s clean, but it’s a bit windy. It’s marginal.
Here’s the one to circle: Tuesday the 11th of August. The morning has a 1.6m south swell at 10 seconds, with combined energy of 525 (strong). The wind is a gentle 15 km/h offshore from the west, so it’s clean. The afternoon is just as good with a 1.5m south swell, 10 seconds, and 496 combined energy. The wind drops to nearly nothing. This is the best combination of size, wind, and direction (SSE, which is the sweet spot for this break). This is the day.
Thursday the 13th of August is for the big dogs. Morning has a 2.1m south swell at 9 seconds, with a combined energy of 757 (strong). That’s a lot of power. The wind is light from the SSW, so it’s clean. This is heavy, fast, and for experts only. If you’re not solid, stay out of the water.
The 15th has a similar 2.0m swell, but it’s side-shore and rainy. Messy.
The run ends with a glassy, calm morning on Thursday the 20th of August. A 1.0m SE swell at 10 seconds, with combined energy of 278 (moderate). No wind. Perfect for a longboard session.
The water temp is about 64°, which is right on average for this time of year.
Bottom line: Tuesday the 11th is the pick for the best overall session. Thursday the 13th is the big one for the experts.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, strong winds from the NW by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 9 | E 8 | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 31 | 26 | 22 | 30 | 112 | 97 | 110 | 113 | 66 | 32 | 35 | 63 | 180 | 131 | 351 | 389 | 172 | 55 | 484 | 432 | 230 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | on | off | off | on | cross-off | off | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 12:52PM1.35m | 00:56AM1.12m | 1:51PM1.39m | 2:10AM1.03m | 2:58PM1.44m | 3:35AM0.98m | 4:06PM1.52m | 4:56AM1.00m | 5:11PM1.61m | 6:03AM1.06m | 6:09PM1.71m | 6:59AM1.13m | 7:01PM1.78m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:10PM0.45m | 7:05AM0.31m | 8:28PM0.44m | 8:05AM0.36m | 9:50PM0.38m | 9:15AM0.39m | 11:05PM0.28m | 10:25AM0.38m | 00:08AM0.16m | 11:31AM0.33m | 1:02AM0.07m | 12:29PM0.27m | 1:49AM-0.00m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — |
 | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 19 | 13 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 5 | E 9 | E 8 | SSW 5 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSW 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 |
| kJ | 17 | 26 | 22 | 8 | 112 | 97 | 110 | 113 | 66 | 32 | 35 | 63 | 180 | 131 | 3 | 389 | 172 | 131 | 484 | 432 | 230 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SSW 5 | S 10 | S 10 | E 11 | SE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | E 14 | S 13 | N 5 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 31 | 8 | 18 | 30 | 20 | 25 | 28 | 8 | 41 | 18 | 31 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 55 | 35 | 58 | 56 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 12 | E 8 | SSE 12 | E 10 | SE 12 | E 8 | S 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | ENE 10 | S 6 | E 14 | S 13 | — | S 13 | E 13 | S 18 | S 17 | NE 7 |
| kJ | 8 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 35 | 5 | 20 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 3 | — | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 4 | — | — | NNE 2 | WNW 2 | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | NNW 3 | NE 3 | ENE 8 | WNW 5 | W 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | NW 3 | WNW 4 |
| kJ | — | — | 20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 14 | 4 | 5 | 351 | 56 | 70 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 26 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 233 | 219 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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