
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 13s period, S swell with 1,811 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.3m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 8s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Blue Bay’s got lined up for us over the next couple of weeks.
Alright, Blue Bay is a reef break that’s inconsistent, but when it does get a push, it can be a bit of a gem. Right now, the water’s sitting at 66°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year.
We’re starting off on Tuesday the 21st with a bit of a dud. The swell’s about 4ft from the ENE, but that cross-on wind from the NE at 12 mph has got it all choppy and messy. Not worth paddling out for.
The first real hope comes in on Wednesday the 22nd in the morning. The swell’s still 4ft from the ENE, but the wind swings around to a light WNW cross-off at 6 mph, cleaning things up nicely. The combined energy is moderate (277), and the sets will be rolling in with a 10-second period. It’s not huge, but it’ll be clean and fun.
Thursday the 23rd morning is another decent call. The swell drops a touch to 3ft from the ENE, but with a WSW offshore wind at 9 mph, the surface will be clean. The energy is lighter (126), and the period’s down to 9 seconds, so it’s a small, ordinary day, but still surfable.
Friday the 24th gets interesting. The morning is a bit of a write-off with a 6ft south swell but strong cross-off winds, but the afternoon is something else. The swell jumps to 8ft from the south with a 12-second period, and the combined energy is strong (1904). The wind is light and cross, so it’s a bit lumpy, but that’s a lot of power. This one’s for the experienced crew.
Saturday the 25th morning is the standout of the first week. We’ve got a 6ft south swell with a 11-second period and a clean offshore wind from the west at 9 mph. The energy is strong (768), and the conditions will be glassy. This is the one to circle. The afternoon drops off a little to 5ft, but it’s still clean.
Sunday the 26th morning holds up with 5ft south swell and a 11-second period, but the wind is cross-off, so it’s clean but not perfect. The energy is solid (591).
Monday the 27th morning is a tiny, glassy day with 3ft south swell, but it’s very small. The rest of the week goes flat with tiny swell and poor conditions through Wednesday the 29th.
Now, here’s the big one. Thursday the 30th morning, we’re looking at a monster 10ft south swell with a 11-second period. The combined energy is extreme (4174), and the wind is glassy. This is proper, powerful groundswell – only for experienced surfers, and it might be a bit too straight for the reef at that size. The afternoon gets messy with a 13ft swell and strong cross-on wind.
Friday the 31st is another cracker. The morning has a 11ft south swell with a 12-second period, a clean offshore wind, and extreme energy (3235). The afternoon goes glassy with 10ft swell. Both are excellent for the experts.
Saturday the 1st of August drops to 10ft, but the wind is cross and cross-on, making it a bit rough. Still a lot of energy (2209), but not as clean.
Sunday the 2nd of August sees the swell drop to 5ft from the south, with light winds and moderate energy (509). It’s okay, but nothing special.
Monday the 3rd of August morning is tiny and glassy with 3ft from the SSE, but the energy is moderate (350) for the size. After that, the wind picks up and the forecast gets messy with strong winds through to the 5th.
Overall, the best bets are Saturday the 25th morning for a fun, clean session, and the thumping south swell on Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st for the experts. The long-range stuff is promising but keep an eye on it.
Stay stoked, Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Tue night, fresh winds from the WSW by Thu night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 11 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
312 | 210 | 159 | 153 | 116 | 92 | 44 | 972 | 1151 | 1676 | 755 | 477 | 438 | 637 | 464 | 306 | 140 | 140 | 94 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 1:47AM1.03m | 2:45PM1.31m | 2:54AM0.93m | 3:41PM1.32m | 4:07AM0.89m | 4:36PM1.36m | 5:13AM0.89m | 5:26PM1.40m | 6:08AM0.93m | 6:12PM1.46m | 6:53AM0.97m | 6:53PM1.52m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:53AM0.39m | 9:27PM0.53m | 8:42AM0.45m | 10:38PM0.50m | 9:37AM0.49m | 11:38PM0.44m | 10:34AM0.49m | 00:26AM0.38m | 11:27AM0.47m | 1:07AM0.32m | 12:14PM0.43m | 1:44AM0.26m | |||||||
— | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 20 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 13 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 11 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 |
312 | 210 | 159 | 153 | 116 | 92 | 44 | 725 | 1151 | 1676 | 755 | 477 | 438 | 637 | 464 | 306 | 140 | 140 | 94 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 6 | SE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | S 10 | NE 8 | NNE 3 |
31 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 24 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 2 | 1 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 12 | NNW 3 | — | E 9 | S 10 | S 15 | SE 7 | S 19 | — | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | — | — | NE 8 | NE 8 | SE 14 | SE 16 |
4 | 12 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 66 | — | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | NNW 2 | — | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | — | SSW 6 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | SW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 |
19 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | — | 245 | 972 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 128 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 93 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










