Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 11s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 17s period, S swell with 667 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 25 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Tue 25th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, breakin' down Blue Bay.
For a stretch, it's been a dirge. Most of this first part of the run is just junk. Tuesday afternoon with that 3ft swell from the ENE and a cross-off wind felt flat and ordinary. We're lookin' at a solid four or five days of small, choppy waves before this place turns on.
The first real jewel shows up on Friday morning, the 28th. We've got a 5ft south swell, with a solid 11-second pulse. And get this – the wind's gonna be glassy. Dead flat. That's a recipe for perfection. The wave energy is pumping (703). If you can paddle out that morning, that's the day. Come Friday afternoon the onshore wind screws it, so it's a dawn patrol special.
Saturday morning, the 29th, is another good look. The swell settles a touch to 5ft, still from the SSE, with that long 11-second period. The energy is even higher (875), and we’ve got clean, cross-off winds. It’s gonna be a powerful, well-shaped session. The water’s sitting about 64°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.
There's a lull then, but Monday morning, the 31st of August, is another glassy dawn. A 4ft south swell, 10-second period, and strong energy (717). Another quality clean-skin session.
After that, it gets sketchy again through early September. The 5th and 6th offer some marginal, onshore-chopped waves. The second week sees a few pulses of swell but the wind starts howling. The morning of the 8th of September has some size, but that strong offshore wind makes it a battle.
So for the whole run, Blue Bay has a couple of absolute winners. The standout is Friday the 28th – that glassy, 5ft, 11-second groundswell is the one. Saturday the 29th and Monday the 31st are also real solid. Crowds can pop up here sometimes, so you gotta get out early for those windows.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 7 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 17 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
114 | 158 | 130 | 100 | 250 | 505 | 440 | 299 | 629 | 516 | 318 | 441 | 382 | 166 | 185 | 421 | 572 | 374 | 326 | 332 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | on | off | cross-off | cross | off | glassy | on | cross |
High Tide | 6:27PM1.49m | 7:06AM1.09m | 7:04PM1.54m | 7:41AM1.17m | 7:40PM1.57m | 8:15AM1.25m | 8:15PM1.57m | 8:49AM1.32m | 8:50PM1.54m | 9:24AM1.38m | 9:27PM1.47m | 10:01AM1.42m | 10:07PM1.38m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:11AM0.24m | 12:39PM0.37m | 1:43AM0.18m | 1:19PM0.32m | 2:14AM0.13m | 1:59PM0.28m | 2:44AM0.10m | 2:39PM0.26m | 3:14AM0.10m | 3:21PM0.25m | 3:46AM0.12m | 4:05PM0.26m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | |
mm | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 16 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 |
114 | 158 | 130 | 100 | 84 | 505 | 440 | 299 | 629 | 516 | 318 | 407 | 382 | 166 | 185 | 421 | 217 | 374 | 326 | 332 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 16 | S 14 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSE 11 | S 9 | SSE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 17 | S 16 | S 16 | ENE 9 |
30 | 15 | 43 | 15 | 10 | 54 | 40 | 41 | 37 | 24 | 26 | 441 | 157 | 125 | 30 | 30 | 572 | 326 | 80 | 16 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 16 | — | — | S 11 | S 15 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 9 | S 18 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 16 |
19 | 47 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 37 | 57 | 37 | 67 | 21 | 27 | 29 | 31 | 33 | 26 | 31 | 17 | 16 | 21 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | NW 3 | WSW 2 | S 6 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | SSW 3 | S 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 |
2 | 2 | 1 | 134 | 250 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











