Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 29 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
18.3° C
0.0° 

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with 1,763 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 2.2m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 9s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Thu 30th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 11s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 30th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 11s
Most Powerful 7AM (Thu 30th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, Rusty here, and I've gotta be straight with you – the outlook for Blue Bay over the next sixteen days is a real mixed bag, with a lot of waiting around for a few brief windows of quality. We've got a decent pulse of swell coming through, but the wind is gonna be the main character, and it's not always your friend.

The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is pretty much spot on average for this time of year, so not much to report there.

Let's start with the first real chance to get wet. Thursday morning, the 30th of July, is the standout. The swell is solid at 8ft from the south, but with a period of 10 seconds, it's a groundswell with some good energy. Now, that size is serious – it's in the expert-only zone, but the wind is a light cross-offshore from the WSW, which is gonna keep it clean. The combined energy is a solid 2025, which tells you there's plenty of power. This is the one to aim for if you've got the experience. The reef is fairly exposed, and it's a bit inconsistent, so don't expect a wave every minute, but when they come, they'll be worth it.

Friday morning, the 31st, is still a solid option. We've got 6ft swell from the south, same 10-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze from the SW. The energy is still high at 703, so there's plenty of push. It's a bit smaller than Thursday, but still a good wave for the intermediate crowd. The wind is a gentle breeze, so it'll be clean. Crowds are "sometimes" a thing here, so you might have a few others around.

Saturday morning, the 1st of August, sees the swell dropping to 6ft, still from the south, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the SW. The energy is moderate at 597. It's surfable, but it's not the standout.

Now, here's the rub. After that, things get messy. From Saturday afternoon, the wind swings around and goes onshore or cross-onshore for days on end. We've got a run of poor surf conditions from the 1st of August right through until the 13th of August. There are a few glimmers—like Wednesday morning the 5th of August, with a tiny 3ft swell and glassy conditions, but it's barely surfable. The energy is only 108, so it's weak. That's a fourteen-day gap with no real recommendations.

The only other blip is on Thursday morning, the 13th of August. The swell is 5ft from the south with an 11-second period, which is a nice groundswell. The energy is a solid 761. But the wind is a light cross-onshore from the NNE, which is going to mess up the face. It's a marginal call at best, so *maybe* worth a look if you're desperate, but don't get your hopes up.

So, bottom line: your one true standout is Thursday morning, the 30th of July at Blue Bay, with the 8ft south swell and clean offshore wind. Go big or go home. After that, settle in for a long wait.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
4
0
3
2
1
3
2
1
1
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
14
2.5
S
10
1.7
S
9
2.1
S
11
1.9
S
10
2
S
10
2
S
9
1.8
SSE
10
1.6
SSE
9
1.8
SSE
13
1.8
SSE
12
1.7
SE
12
1.6
SE
11
1.1
SE
10
0.9
SE
11
0.6
SE
10
0.3
SE
10
0.2
ESE
9
1.3
S
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4
1257
480
1011
696
745
709
556
415
1127
936
808
574
270
187
79
15
8
239
Wind (km/h)
20
WSW
10
SW
15
SSE
15
WSW
15
SW
20
S
15
WSW
10
SW
10
E
15
NNE
10
N
25
NE
10
N
20
NW
20
NW
20
W
10
W
10
ESE
15
W
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-on
off
High Tide
8:46AM1.11m
8:43PM1.60m
9:22AM1.16m
9:17PM1.58m
9:58AM1.20m
9:52PM1.53m
10:36AM1.25m
10:28PM1.45m
11:16AM1.29m
11:09PM1.35m
12:01PM1.32m
11:57PM1.24m
Low Tide
2:52AM0.17m
2:16PM0.34m
3:24AM0.14m
2:56PM0.34m
3:55AM0.13m
3:36PM0.35m
4:26AM0.13m
4:19PM0.37m
4:59AM0.16m
5:08PM0.40m
5:35AM0.19m
6:03PM0.43m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:47
6:46
6:46
6:45
6:43
6:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:13
5:14
5:14
5:15
5:15
5:15
 mm
Temp °C
11
13
14
14
15
14
15
14
15
15
15
17
15
21
21
14
15
15
12
Feels °C
5
8
10
11
10
9
11
13
13
11
11
12
11
15
16
8
12
11
7
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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