Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's cookin' at Blue Bay.

The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag. We’re looking at a few days of chunky, messy surf mixed with some real windows of clean potential, but there’s one clear standout that’s got my attention.

The water’s sitting at 66°, right on the money for the time of year – feels normal for now.

Monday the 7th is a no-go – too much onshore wind and the energy’s all wrong. Tuesday the 8th sees a jump in swell size, but that cross-shore wind is going to chop it up something ugly. By Wednesday morning the 9th, wind swings cross-offshore and we get a clean 4 ft wave, but it’s barely pushing any energy (223).

The real story starts to build Thursday the 10th. Swell hits 10 ft out of the south with moderate wave energy (1717) and clean conditions Thursday morning – that’s got a bit of weight, but the size is getting up there, pushing into more experienced territory.

Friday the 11th morning is our first real standout. We’ve got a solid 8 ft SSE swell, clean with light offshore wind, and the energy reading is pumping at 1273. That’s the kind of morning you set the alarm for. Low crowd factor too – just a “sometimes” crowd situation, so you might get a few waves to yourself.

Saturday the 12th morning is a close second. You’ve got that beautiful glassy condition – no wind, clean as a whistle – coming out of the north at 3 mph. The swell drops back to a more manageable 5 ft SSE, but the period’s a nice 10 seconds and the energy is solid (572). Not the biggest, but it’ll be a picture.

After Saturday, things get messy again. Lots of onshore wind and small, weak waves through the middle of the week. There’s a long gap from the 13th through the 17th where there’s just nothing worth paddling out for.

Then, look ahead to Saturday the 19th morning. This is the other big standout, and it’s the one I’m most excited about. We’ve got offshore wind from the WSW at 6 mph, clean as glass, with a 7 ft swell out of the SSE at an 11-second period – proper groundswell. The energy reads 1148. The wind direction is right on the money for Blue Bay’s optimum SSE direction. That’s a session for the reef, not the beach, given that long period. Mark it on the calendar, but remember it’s a week and a half out – promising but not locked in yet.

By Sunday the 20th and into Monday, it’s back to small clean leftovers, nothing to get too worked up over.

So, to wrap it up: Friday the 11th morning and Saturday the 19th morning are your best bets. Friday for the size and punch, Saturday the 19th for that perfect offshore wind and clean lines. The rest is either blown out, too small, or just ordinary.

Rusty.

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