
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 12 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period, S swell with 450 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.7m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 10s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Wed 12th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Wed 12th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's look at the next couple of weeks for Blue Bay. It’s a mixed bag, so let’s get into it.
We start with a bit of a slow period. The first session worth paddling out for isn't until Wednesday, August 12th. The morning looks promising with some gentle offshore wind and clean, 4ft surf from the south. There’s a moderate amount of energy in the water (381) and it’ll be a good one to get the arms going. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing crazy there.
The next real standout is Friday morning, August 14th. It’s glassy, dead calm, with a clean 4ft south swell. This is the kind of session you dream about – smooth, rippable, and all to yourself. That light WSW breeze will have it looking like a mirror. This is definitely one of the best windows in the near term.
After that, it gets pretty messy. From Friday afternoon right through to Tuesday, August 19th, the wind is going to be all over the place, mostly cross-shore or onshore, which will chop things up. The swell will be there, between 5ft and 6ft, but the quality will be poor. There’s a lot of energy moving through mid-week, but it’s just not going to be clean. Honestly, for a beach and reef setup like this, it might look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on a few of those days.
The outlook improves again on Thursday morning, August 20th. We get another glassy session with a clean 5ft east swell. Then again on Friday morning, August 21st, with a light offshore N wind and clean 5ft east swell. Both of these are solid options.
Now, for the long-range promise. Keep your eye on Saturday, August 22nd. The morning shows a clean 6ft east-northeast swell with a much longer period of 11 seconds and a light cross-offshore breeze. There’s strong energy in the water (649) and this has the potential to be a proper stand-out session, with more power and better shape.
The real gem, though, looks like it’s shaping up for Wednesday morning, August 26th. We’re looking at a solid 10ft south swell with a glassy, calm wind. This is a big, clean groundswell with very strong energy (1080). This is one for the experts, as it'll be a powerful, heavy day. This is over 5ft, so it’s not for the beginners. It’s a week and a half away, so keep your fingers crossed, but this could be the one we’re all talking about.
So, to sum it up: the best of the near-term is Friday morning the 14th, and for the long-range, keep an eye on Wednesday the 26th for something truly special.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | ENE 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 6 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
606 | 327 | 164 | 111 | 52 | 450 | 265 | 211 | 210 | 172 | 297 | 401 | 198 | 183 | 210 | 445 | 294 | 301 | 366 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 7:49AM1.20m | 7:50PM1.80m | 8:34AM1.27m | 8:36PM1.76m | 9:17AM1.32m | 9:19PM1.68m | 9:58AM1.36m | 10:01PM1.54m | 10:39AM1.38m | 10:43PM1.39m | 11:21AM1.37m | 11:25PM1.23m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:49AM-0.00m | 1:22PM0.22m | 2:33AM-0.03m | 2:12PM0.20m | 3:13AM-0.02m | 3:01PM0.20m | 3:50AM0.03m | 3:50PM0.23m | 4:26AM0.10m | 4:39PM0.29m | 5:00AM0.19m | 5:30PM0.36m | |||||||
— | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | 5 |
Temp °C | 14 | 16 | 19 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 9 | 12 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | ENE 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | S 7 | S 16 | ENE 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 |
606 | 327 | 164 | 111 | 52 | 343 | 265 | 211 | 210 | 172 | 29 | 18 | 198 | 81 | 20 | 41 | 102 | 78 | 36 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 12 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 19 | S 19 | S 17 | ENE 10 | S 15 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | E 9 | S 12 |
47 | 54 | 51 | 52 | 3 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 53 | 19 | 40 | 11 | 28 | 40 | 24 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 15 | S 16 | S 12 | S 19 | S 16 | S 19 | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | ENE 10 | — | S 12 | S 9 | S 16 | S 15 | — |
— | — | 4 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 47 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 18 | — | 27 | 6 | 5 | 4 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | NW 3 | NW 2 | W 4 | SSW 7 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | SSE 9 | S 8 | — | SSE 6 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 |
8 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 132 | 450 | — | — | — | — | 297 | 401 | — | 183 | 210 | 445 | 294 | 301 | 366 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 180 | 11 | 0 | 162 | 166 | 180 | 216 | 359 | 171 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











