
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, SE swell with 2,129 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks. We’re focusing on one spot, Blue Bay, and honestly, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. We’re starting slow, but there’s a proper pulse of energy due mid-month if you’re patient.
Right now, there’s nothing doing for a surf. The first bit of rideable swell we see arrives on Wednesday, July 8th. It’s a bit of a raw one though. We’ve got a 8ft swell rolling in from the southeast with a period of 11 seconds, and that’s pumping a hefty 1853 energy units into the reef. That’s a lot of power. Problem is, the wind is a cross-shore from the south at 9 mph, and there’s some rain around. The report calls it “marginal” and “questionable tide,” so it’s going to be a bit of a wrestle. That’s really only for the experienced crew; 8ft is pushing it for the average punter.
The size eases back a touch on Thursday morning, July 9th, with a 7ft SE swell and a 10-second period. The wind swings to a light cross-offshore from the SSW at 6 mph, and the water is clean. The energy is still solid at 887, and it’s looking like the best wave of this early window. Get out there before the wind shifts onshore in the afternoon, which trashes it right out.
Friday, July 10th, the swell drops to 5ft from the SE. The morning has a clean look with a cross-off breeze from the SW, but the energy is down to 518. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about. Saturday morning, July 11th, is similar with a 4ft SE swell but a nice offshore from the NW. It’s pretty weak though (376 energy), so you’ll be scratching for the good ones.
Then we hit a dry spell. From Sunday, July 12th, right through to Wednesday, July 15th, the swell drops into the ankle-to-knee high range with energy figures in the double digits. The wind is clean, often offshore, but there’s just no juice. It’s a flat spell, plain and simple.
Now, here’s the standout, but it comes with a warning. On Thursday, July 16th, a big pulse of southerly swell hits. We’re looking at 8ft from the south with a 10-second period. The energy is roaring back at 1998. But, the wind is a strong onshore from the SSE at 22 mph, with rain showers. The report is blunt: “poor surf conditions.” The water is going to be a lumpy, choppy mess. With that much wind and a beach/reef setup, honestly, this looks more interesting for the kite surfers than the paddle crew. If you’re an expert on a big board and know the reef, you might find a diamond, but don’t expect any polish.
The rest of the month just fades away. The wind stays messy or onshore, and the swell energy drops back to weak numbers (under 200). The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The bottom line: Your best bet for a clean, decent wave is Thursday morning, July 9th at Blue Bay. The 7ft SE swell with light cross-off winds and 887 energy units is the one true highlight. Everything else is either too big and messy, or too small to bother with. The big swell on the 16th is a promise of power, but the wind will likely ruin the party.
Stay patient, keep an eye on the sky, and I’ll catch you in the water.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue night, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tue 14 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | S 9 | S 7 | S 6 | S 10 | S 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2330 | 1630 | 1227 | 1051 | 708 | 602 | 446 | 405 | 496 | 357 | 197 | 183 | 161 | 88 | 55 | 17 | 186 | 47 | 26 | 71 | 59 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross |
High Tide | 1:18AM1.20m | 2:29PM1.33m | 2:25AM1.12m | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | 4:57AM1.05m | 5:23PM1.64m | 6:06AM1.07m | 6:19PM1.74m | 7:08AM1.11m | 7:13PM1.82m | 8:03AM1.14m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:46AM0.24m | 8:44PM0.49m | 8:39AM0.27m | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:11PM0.30m | 10:38AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.17m | 11:38AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.06m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:06AM-0.02m | 1:30PM0.24m | ||||||||
— | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | |
— | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | |
mm | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 7 | S 9 | S 7 | S 6 | S 10 | S 9 |
2330 | 1630 | 1227 | 846 | 708 | 602 | 446 | 405 | 496 | 357 | 197 | 132 | 161 | 88 | 55 | 63 | 186 | 47 | 26 | 71 | 59 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 13 | SE 13 | S 21 | ESE 15 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | S 11 | S 11 | E 7 | S 16 |
— | 223 | 335 | 347 | 173 | 38 | 61 | 108 | 8 | 71 | 175 | 183 | 44 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 5 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 16 | S 15 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | — | S 17 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | S 12 | SE 8 | E 11 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | E 10 | E 10 |
— | — | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | — | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SE 11 | — | — | — | WSW 2 | — | — | WNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | W 4 | SW 5 | W 3 | — | — | — | WNW 2 | — |
— | — | — | 1051 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 58 | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 130 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 0 | 13 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











