
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, ENE swell with 379 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.7m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at your local surf for the next couple of weeks. Let’s get straight into it.
The break we’re looking at is Blue Bay, a reef setup that’s inconsistent and needs a specific swell direction from SSE to really get going. The immediate forecast is pretty grim, to be honest. We’ve got a long stretch of weak, small surf ahead. The opening days of August are flat out poor, with tiny waves around 1 ft and low energy (35 to 45 on the combined energy scale). The wind is okay – even glassy on Thursday the 6th morning – but the swell is just too small to do anything with. There’s a brief pulse of energy on Friday the 7th morning with 3 ft at 9 seconds, and the wind is offshore, but the quality is still described as very ordinary. The energy is moderate (206), but it’s not enough to get excited about.
Things finally get interesting on Friday, August 14th. That morning is the standout of the entire forecast. We’re looking at a solid 6 ft swell from the south with a 12-second period. That’s a proper groundswell. The combined energy is a very strong 1052, meaning there’s serious power in the water. The wind is a light offshore, keeping it clean. This is a day for experienced surfers only – anything over 5 ft is pushing it for beginners, and 6 ft is a solid step up. The long period (12 seconds) means better shaped waves, which is a big plus for a reef break like this. The downside is the crowds here are listed as ‘sometimes,’ so expect a few others out there with the same idea. This is the pick of the fortnight.
The week after that drops off hard. Saturday the 15th morning has a weird, very long-period (25 seconds) swell from the SSE, but it’s tiny at 1 ft with a massive 433 energy – that’s a lot of push for a knee-high wave, and it’s likely to feel weird and fat, especially on a reef. The rest of the days are a mixed bag of onshore winds, small waves, and poor conditions. The 16th and 17th offer some glassy mornings with 3 ft to 4 ft surf, but the energy is moderate and the cross-shore or onshore winds will mess it up by the afternoon. The last week is a washout of small, weak, and messy surf.
So, to sum it up: the first week is a total write-off. The big standout is the morning of Friday, August 14th. If you can make that, you’ll get the best clean, powerful swell of the whole 16 days. The water temperature is sitting at 64°F, which is very close to average for this time of year, so it’s not a wetsuit drama.
Stay patient, and circle that Friday on your calendar.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 7 | E 11 | E 10 | E 9 | S 12 | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
25 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 26 | 24 | 46 | 116 | 126 | 129 | 92 | 51 | 45 | 44 | 32 | 61 | 172 | 363 | 304 | 158 | 121 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-on | off | off | on | off | glassy | cross-on | off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:01PM1.32m | 11:57PM1.24m | 12:52PM1.35m | 00:56AM1.12m | 1:51PM1.39m | 2:10AM1.03m | 2:58PM1.44m | 3:35AM0.98m | 4:06PM1.52m | 4:56AM1.00m | 5:11PM1.61m | 6:03AM1.06m | 6:09PM1.71m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:03PM0.43m | 6:16AM0.25m | 7:10PM0.45m | 7:05AM0.31m | 8:28PM0.44m | 8:05AM0.36m | 9:50PM0.38m | 9:15AM0.39m | 11:05PM0.28m | 10:25AM0.38m | 00:08AM0.16m | 11:31AM0.33m | 1:02AM0.07m | ||||||||
6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 13 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 5 | S 6 | E 7 | E 10 | E 9 | E 8 | S 6 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
9 | 16 | 3 | 31 | 26 | 22 | 16 | 116 | 126 | 129 | 92 | 51 | 45 | 29 | 32 | 61 | 12 | 5 | 304 | 158 | 121 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SSE 10 | E 11 | S 10 | SSW 5 | S 12 | S 10 | E 11 | E 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | E 14 | E 14 | S 7 | SSW 4 | SSW 5 |
25 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 46 | 21 | 18 | 40 | 56 | 51 | 30 | 44 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ENE 5 | S 9 | SE 12 | S 9 | NE 8 | E 8 | SSE 12 | SSE 13 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 6 | S 7 | S 6 | S 13 | S 13 | S 13 | — | S 12 |
10 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 37 | 33 | 9 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 7 | SW 4 | SSW 5 | — | SW 4 | — | — | NNE 3 | WSW 3 | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NE 3 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | W 3 | W 3 | W 3 |
— | 12 | 16 | 17 | — | 20 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 172 | 363 | 8 | 1 | 5 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 55 | 42 | 8 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 112 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











