Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, and I've gotta be straight with you – the outlook for Blue Bay over the next sixteen days is a real mixed bag, with a lot of waiting around for a few brief windows of quality. We've got a decent pulse of swell coming through, but the wind is gonna be the main character, and it's not always your friend.

The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is pretty much spot on average for this time of year, so not much to report there.

Let's start with the first real chance to get wet. Thursday morning, the 30th of July, is the standout. The swell is solid at 8ft from the south, but with a period of 10 seconds, it's a groundswell with some good energy. Now, that size is serious – it's in the expert-only zone, but the wind is a light cross-offshore from the WSW, which is gonna keep it clean. The combined energy is a solid 2025, which tells you there's plenty of power. This is the one to aim for if you've got the experience. The reef is fairly exposed, and it's a bit inconsistent, so don't expect a wave every minute, but when they come, they'll be worth it.

Friday morning, the 31st, is still a solid option. We've got 6ft swell from the south, same 10-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze from the SW. The energy is still high at 703, so there's plenty of push. It's a bit smaller than Thursday, but still a good wave for the intermediate crowd. The wind is a gentle breeze, so it'll be clean. Crowds are "sometimes" a thing here, so you might have a few others around.

Saturday morning, the 1st of August, sees the swell dropping to 6ft, still from the south, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the SW. The energy is moderate at 597. It's surfable, but it's not the standout.

Now, here's the rub. After that, things get messy. From Saturday afternoon, the wind swings around and goes onshore or cross-onshore for days on end. We've got a run of poor surf conditions from the 1st of August right through until the 13th of August. There are a few glimmers—like Wednesday morning the 5th of August, with a tiny 3ft swell and glassy conditions, but it's barely surfable. The energy is only 108, so it's weak. That's a fourteen-day gap with no real recommendations.

The only other blip is on Thursday morning, the 13th of August. The swell is 5ft from the south with an 11-second period, which is a nice groundswell. The energy is a solid 761. But the wind is a light cross-onshore from the NNE, which is going to mess up the face. It's a marginal call at best, so *maybe* worth a look if you're desperate, but don't get your hopes up.

So, bottom line: your one true standout is Thursday morning, the 30th of July at Blue Bay, with the 8ft south swell and clean offshore wind. Go big or go home. After that, settle in for a long wait.

Rusty.

Read more