Blue Bay surfForecast / NSW – Newcastle / Australia

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 3 pm Thursday 14 May 2026 AEST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
21.1° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (May 15) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (May 20) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Thursday (May 21) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Fri 15th May)4ft (1.2m) 7s
Best Surf 7AM (Wed 20th May)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 4AM (Wed 20th May)10ft (3.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu afternoon, min 15°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Warm (max 21°C on Mon afternoon, min 17°C on Wed morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Tue morning, calm by Wed morning).

Thu
14
Friday
15
Saturday
16
Sunday
17
Monday
18
Tuesday
19
Wednesday
20
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
4
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
ESE
7
1.2
ESE
7
1.2
ESE
7
1.3
ESE
7
1.3
ESE
7
1.6
ESE
8
1.5
E
8
1.8
E
9
1.9
E
9
1.8
E
9
1.8
E
9
1.6
E
9
1.8
ENE
9
2.2
ENE
8
2.3
ENE
8
2.5
ENE
8
3
ENE
9
3
ENE
10
3
ENE
10
2.4
ENE
10
2.2
ENE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
137
135
139
154
155
287
309
482
562
493
521
413
540
627
748
931
1361
1688
1556
1202
992
Wind (km/h)
15
ESE
5
ESE
10
SW
10
SE
5
WSW
5
SSW
5
ESE
5
WNW
0
NNW
10
NE
10
N
15
NNE
30
NE
30
NNE
35
NNE
30
NNE
20
NNE
10
NNW
5
NE
15
WNW
20
NW
on
glassy
cross-off
cross-on
off
cross-off
on
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
glassy
off
cross-off
High Tide
6:16PM1.57m
6:33AM1.29m
6:59PM1.69m
7:27AM1.27m
7:43PM1.78m
8:21AM1.24m
8:30PM1.82m
9:16AM1.19m
9:19PM1.82m
10:13AM1.13m
10:11PM1.78m
11:13AM1.08m
11:06PM1.69m
12:17PM1.06m
Low Tide
00:39AM0.20m
12:29PM0.14m
1:31AM0.08m
1:14PM0.15m
2:23AM0.00m
1:59PM0.19m
3:17AM-0.03m
2:47PM0.24m
4:12AM-0.03m
3:37PM0.30m
5:09AM0.01m
4:32PM0.37m
6:09AM0.07m
rain showers
rain showers
clear
rain showers
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
thunderstorm
light rain
cloud
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:39
6:39
6:39
6:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:02
5:01
5:01
5:00
5:00
5:00
4:59
4:59
2
1
1
1
5
3
3
3
1
Temp °C
19
19
19
19
19
18
19
19
18
20
19
20
21
20
19
19
19
18
18
17
21
17
18
18
19
20
19
20
19
20
20
18
18
18
16
15
15
16
18
19
16
18
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
ESE
7
1.2
ESE
7
1.2
ESE
7
1.3
ESE
7
1.3
ESE
7
1.6
ESE
8
1.5
E
8
1.8
E
9
1.9
E
9
1.8
E
9
1.8
E
9
1.6
E
9
1.6
E
9
2.5
ENE
10
3
ENE
10
2.4
ENE
10
2.2
ENE
10
Energy kJ
137
135
139
154
155
287
309
482
562
493
521
413
413
1187
1556
1202
992
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
S
9
0.6
S
9
0.5
S
9
0.5
S
9
0.4
ENE
9
0.3
S
8
0.1
S
13
0.2
S
8
0.1
S
8
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
17
Energy kJ
79
61
41
37
26
13
3
5
1
4
6
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
11
0.2
E
10
0.1
S
16
0.2
E
9
0.1
S
15
0.1
SE
13
0.1
S
13
Energy kJ
9
8
5
7
4
7
3
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
ENE
9
2.2
ENE
8
2.3
ENE
8
2.5
ENE
8
3
ENE
9
3
ENE
10
0.5
WNW
3
0.6
NW
3
Energy kJ
540
627
748
931
1361
1688
5
6
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
3
3
3
4
4
3
3
Distance (km)
11
0
0
11
0
0
11
0
0
8
0
26
216
232
349
243
26
0
0
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
1
1
2
2
3
3
2
3
2
3
4
4
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
2
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
4
5
5
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
5
5
5
5
4
7
5
5
5
4
7
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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