
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 11s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, SE swell with 1,377 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 11s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.9m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 1.3m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
Alright, this is Rusty checkin’ in from Blue Bay.
Look, I won’t sugarcoat it – the first week or so is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a pulse of solid size mid-week, but the winds and conditions are gonna make you work for it. The water temp is sitting at about 66°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The real standout window, if you’re patient, is looking like the very end of the run, around the 23rd of July.
Wednesday morning (8th July) kicks things off with a bit of a thumping 8ft SE swell, period around 11 seconds. That’s a solid amount of energy (1853) for the reef at Blue Bay, but it’s coming with a stiff SSW cross-off breeze. It’ll be clean on the face, but a bit bumpy. It’s surfable for an intermediate, but it ain’t gonna be perfect. The afternoon stays similar, just a touch smaller.
Thursday morning (9th) sees the swell drop to a more manageable 6ft from the SE, and the wind lightens up to a light breeze from the SW. The combined energy drops but it’s still got some punch (846). This is probably the cleanest, most user-friendly window for the first few days. By afternoon, the wind swings SSE and goes cross, messing up the lineup.
Friday (10th) through Sunday (12th) is a slow fade. Swell drops each day from 5ft on Friday down to a tiny 2ft by Sunday afternoon. Winds on Saturday look alright – light offshores – but there’s just not enough push. Sunday’s got proper offshore wind (15-18 mph), but the swell is gutless (energy down to 62). You’d be paddling for nothing.
We hit a real lull from Monday 13th through Wednesday 15th. Swell is below 3ft, and the energy readings are pathetic (sub-100). You're looking at a couple of days where you can leave the board in the car.
Then there’s a weird spike of wind and messy swell around Thursday 16th and Friday 17th. The swell jumps back up (6ft on Thursday afternoon), but it’s getting smashed by near-gale force winds (31 mph). The energy (392) says there’s something there, but for a paddle surfer, that’s a washing machine. That setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than trying to paddle out.
Things start to look interesting again on Saturday 18th. The morning is still a bit windy, but come afternoon we see a clean 5ft E swell with a light S breeze. That’s a decent afternoon sesh for a Friday.
Sunday 19th morning is a gem. You’ve got clean 5ft S swell with a whisper-light offshore breeze from the WNW. It’s not huge, but it’ll be glassy and fun. The wind shifts onshore in the arvo and ruins it.
The real highlight, though, is shaping up for Monday 20th morning. A solid 7ft ESE swell with an 11-second period rolls in. Combined energy is pumping at 1240. The wind is a cross-off from the NW, keeping it clean. This is good, solid groundswell. It’s a bit over the 5ft mark, so it’s not for beginners, but for intermediates and above, that’s a proper session.
But the best bet of the whole outlook – if you’re an experienced surfer – is Wednesday 23rd July. That forecast is showing a 8ft S swell with a 13-second period, swinging up to 12ft in the afternoon. The energy reading hits a massive 4301. That’s proper, strong, very long-period groundswell. The wind is moderate cross-shore from the south, so it’ll have a bit of shape to it. This is expert territory, mate. Over 8ft on a reef is not a place for the faint-hearted. But for those with the skills, that’s the day to circle on the calendar. It’s a long way out, so forecasts can wobble, but right now, that’s the one.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | S 11 | S 7 | S 7 | S 11 | S 10 | S 19 | S 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1630 | 1313 | 1051 | 667 | 614 | 492 | 424 | 507 | 365 | 172 | 173 | 176 | 88 | 54 | 38 | 62 | 39 | 9 | 19 | 29 | 26 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:29PM1.33m | 2:25AM1.12m | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | 4:57AM1.05m | 5:23PM1.64m | 6:06AM1.07m | 6:19PM1.74m | 7:08AM1.11m | 7:13PM1.82m | 8:03AM1.14m | 8:04PM1.86m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:44PM0.49m | 8:39AM0.27m | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:11PM0.30m | 10:38AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.17m | 11:38AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.06m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:06AM-0.02m | 1:30PM0.24m | 2:56AM-0.06m | ||||||||
6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | |
— | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | |
mm | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 13 |
Feels °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 7 | S 7 | S 7 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 5 |
1630 | 1313 | 726 | 667 | 614 | 492 | 424 | 507 | 365 | 172 | 115 | 176 | 88 | 54 | 48 | 62 | 39 | 51 | 18 | 17 | 7 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 14 | SE 13 | S 21 | ESE 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SSW 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 18 |
223 | 335 | 421 | 173 | 38 | 64 | 108 | 8 | 40 | 167 | 173 | 37 | 16 | 3 | 38 | 22 | 45 | 9 | 19 | 16 | 26 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 16 | S 15 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | S 17 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | NNW 4 | S 16 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | E 8 | E 10 | S 19 | S 10 |
— | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 7 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NW 3 | WSW 4 | SW 6 | W 4 | NW 3 | NNW 2 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | NNW 3 | WNW 3 |
— | — | 1051 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 9 | 34 | 61 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 94 | 8 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










