
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period, ENE swell with 862 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.9m 11s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 8s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, listen up. Blue Bay is a reef break, and it’s inconsistent, so you gotta be patient. Water temp is about 69°F, right where it should be for this time of year. Nothing weird going on.
The first real chance is Monday the 20th. The morning has a solid 6ft groundswell out of the ENE, with a nice 11-second period, and the wind is glassy. The combined energy is strong at 1052. That’s a proper session, clean and lined up, even if it’s inconsistent. The afternoon turns cross-on and choppy, so get in early.
Tuesday the 21st drops to 5ft, wind goes cross-shore, and it’s just average.
Wednesday the 22nd morning is small, 4ft, but offshore wind from the west keeps it clean. Surfable, but nothing special.
Thursday the 23rd is tiny, 3ft, clean but weak, energy only 103.
Now, Friday the 24th morning is the first real standout. A fresh 7ft south swell, 10-second period, offshore wind from the west-southwest. Combined energy jumps to 770. That’s a clean, punchy Friday morning session, and it’s the best of the first week.
Saturday the 25th keeps it going with 5ft south swell, but the period stretches to 12 seconds, giving it more power. Offshore wind in the morning, energy 532. Good weekend surf.
Sunday the 26th morning, 6ft south swell, 11-second period, light offshore wind. Energy 701. Another top session, clean and punchy. The afternoon gets cross-on, so morning is the call.
Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th are smaller, around 4ft, but still clean with offshore winds. Good for a cruise.
Now, Thursday the 30th gets big. 8ft in the morning, 10ft in the afternoon, both from the south with a very long 14-second period. Combined energy is massive – 3697 in the morning, 3282 in the afternoon. That’s expert-only territory. The reef will be heavy and powerful. Wind is cross-off, so it’s clean, but it’s big. If you’re not experienced, stay out.
Friday the 31st is still solid, 7ft in the morning, 7ft in the afternoon, but the wind goes cross-on in the afternoon and gets messy. Morning is your window.
The real standout is Saturday the 1st of August. Morning session, 7ft south swell, 13-second period, clean cross-off wind. Combined energy is a thumping 1448. That’s the one. The reef will be firing, long period, clean, and powerful. Best session of the whole 16 days. Afternoon gets cross-shore and messy, so get up early.
Sunday the 2nd drops to 5ft, and the rest of the run into the 4th of August is smaller, around 5ft, with cross-off or cross winds, and the energy dips. Still surfable, but nothing special.
So, the best on offer: Friday the 24th morning for a clean 7ft session, and the absolute standout is Saturday the 1st of August morning – 7ft, long period, clean, powerful, and that reef will be doing its thing. It’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on it, but it’s the one to aim for.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Thu afternoon, calm by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
862 | 763 | 501 | 416 | 294 | 312 | 210 | 193 | 124 | 92 | 90 | 43 | 740 | 407 | 383 | 520 | 396 | 738 | 698 | 649 | 464 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | off | on | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-on | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:59PM1.28m | 00:51AM1.17m | 1:51PM1.29m | 1:47AM1.03m | 2:45PM1.31m | 2:54AM0.93m | 3:41PM1.32m | 4:07AM0.89m | 4:36PM1.36m | 5:13AM0.89m | 5:26PM1.40m | 6:08AM0.93m | 6:12PM1.46m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:01PM0.48m | 7:10AM0.31m | 8:11PM0.52m | 7:53AM0.39m | 9:27PM0.53m | 8:42AM0.45m | 10:38PM0.50m | 9:37AM0.49m | 11:38PM0.44m | 10:34AM0.49m | 00:26AM0.38m | 11:27AM0.47m | 1:07AM0.32m | ||||||||
6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | |
— | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 18 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 |
862 | 763 | 501 | 416 | 294 | 312 | 210 | 193 | 124 | 92 | 90 | 43 | 740 | 407 | 383 | 520 | 396 | 738 | 698 | 649 | 464 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 14 | ENE 8 | S 17 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 7 |
181 | 136 | 84 | 56 | 53 | 31 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 28 | 27 | 338 | 6 | 217 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 15 | SE 15 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 12 | — | — | SE 9 | SE 8 | S 17 | SE 7 | S 21 | ENE 8 | E 9 | ENE 8 | E 9 | E 8 | — | E 9 |
9 | 9 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 4 | 12 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 23 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NNE 4 | NW 3 | — | WSW 3 | SW 4 | SSW 4 | SSW 6 | — | — | WSW 3 | — | — | SSW 4 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 2 | 21 | 2 | — | 3 | 5 | 6 | 167 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 13 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 117 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










