Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 25 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period, S swell with 387 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.3m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Tue 25th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, gang—Rusty here for the imperial version.
So, overall, Blue Bay is pretty quiet for most of this 16-day stretch. There’s a big gap of nothing happening early on, so don’t bother paddling out until at least Wednesday, 24 August. The first few days are just junk: poor conditions, wind onshore, tiny surf. You’d be wasting a wax job.
The one session that might get your heart going is Tuesday afternoon, 25 August. We’ve got a 5ft NE swell, but it’s short-period—only 7 seconds. It’s clean with a cross-off breeze though, and wave energy is moderate at 381. But this reef is inconsistent, so you’re not guaranteed a wave every set. Still, if you’re hungry, it’s the first decent look.
Then it’s back to slim pickings until Thursday morning, 27 August. That is the highlight. Glassy wind, 5ft south swell, 8-second period—moderate energy at 390. That’s clean, head-high, and the kind of morning you tell your mate about. The wind is dead calm, so the surface is like glass. Quality over quantity.
There’s a long-period dark horse on Monday morning, 31 August: 2ft south swell with an 18-second groundswell period. That’s pushing strong energy (494), and it’s clean. But at an inconsistent reef, that kind of period can either wrap in perfect or just close out flat and fast. Worth a look but don’t bet the farm.
Tuesday morning, 1 September is another decent option: 3ft south swell, 14-second period, cross-off wind, glassy surface. Strong energy at 487. Again, inconsistent break, but when it comes, it’ll have shape.
The best day overall? Thursday morning, 27 August. That’s your sweet spot. Clean, head-high, and the most reliable of the bunch.
Like I said, this spot goes through flat spells, so don’t stress the down days.
Catch you in the water,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 23°C on Tue morning, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Mon afternoon, light winds from the WNW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 340 | 207 | 267 | 159 | 123 | 89 | 195 | 206 | 154 | 130 | 95 | 198 | 320 | 230 | 233 | 214 | 117 | 111 | 121 | 96 | 92 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 4:58PM1.35m | 5:47AM0.94m | 5:46PM1.42m | 6:29AM1.01m | 6:27PM1.49m | 7:06AM1.09m | 7:04PM1.54m | 7:41AM1.17m | 7:40PM1.57m | 8:15AM1.25m | 8:15PM1.57m | 8:49AM1.32m | 8:50PM1.54m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:09AM0.54m | 11:58PM0.39m | 11:07AM0.50m | 00:37AM0.32m | 11:56AM0.43m | 1:11AM0.24m | 12:39PM0.37m | 1:43AM0.18m | 1:19PM0.32m | 2:14AM0.13m | 1:59PM0.28m | 2:44AM0.10m | 2:39PM0.26m | 3:14AM0.10m | |||||||
 |  |  | | |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | |  |  | | | | |
 | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — |
 | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 23 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 20 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | SSE 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 |
| kJ | 340 | 207 | 267 | 159 | 123 | 65 | 93 | 127 | 154 | 130 | 95 | 52 | 320 | 230 | 95 | 214 | 117 | 111 | 121 | 96 | 92 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | S 14 | E 14 | ENE 5 | — | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 16 | S 11 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 12 | ENE 8 | SSE 10 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 6 | 196 | 4 | 33 | — | 75 | 47 | 29 | 15 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 54 | 55 | 233 | 58 | 33 | 38 | 39 | 61 | 61 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | — | — | ENE 8 | E 13 | NE 9 | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | S 9 | — | S 16 | S 14 | S 15 | ENE 9 | S 14 | S 13 | S 8 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 10 |
| kJ | 7 | — | — | 12 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 6 | — | 5 | 16 | 17 | 84 | 60 | 54 | 34 | 34 | 35 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 5 | NE 9 | ENE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 5 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | — | WSW 3 | S 5 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | ENE 8 | NE 4 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 22 | 20 | 44 | 48 | 56 | 89 | 195 | 206 | — | 1 | 80 | 198 | — | — | — | — | 73 | 16 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 26 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 221 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 83 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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