Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, NE swell with 1,722 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's cooking for our local stretch.
Right off the bat, the next few days are a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a pulse of swell on Sunday the 9th with a small 3ft wave from the ENE, but the wind is messy and the wave quality is poor. That carries through Monday and Tuesday, with some size but the conditions are just not cooperating. The only real highlight in the early part of the week is a brief moment on Thursday morning, the 14th. We’ve got a 5ft S swell rolling in, and more importantly, the wind goes glassy from the WSW. That’s a rare window of clean conditions, and the wave energy is moderate (336). It’s not the biggest, but for a morning session, it’ll be worth the paddle out. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing to worry about.
After that, the wind turns onshore again, and the surf gets messy and choppy through the next several days. It’s a real struggle to find a good window. The swell energy is moderate, but the wind is just not playing ball.
Now, we have to look ahead to the second week. Take note of the 22nd of August. The Saturday morning is calling for a 6ft E swell with a period of 10 seconds. That’s a solid groundswell, and the wind is forecast to be dead calm – glassy. The wave energy is strong (755), and the conditions look very good. This is a real standout.
But the absolute best of the whole 16-day run is Sunday morning, the 23rd of August. We’re looking at a 10ft S swell with a period of 9 seconds. That’s a big, powerful wave, only for experienced surfers. The wind is glassy, and the combined energy is a massive 2238. This is the kind of day that gets the heart pumping. It’s a long-range call, so it’s not set in stone, but if it comes together, it’s the one to circle.
Given the significant swell size and the onshore wind that plagues most of the period, the beach setup here is going to be more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle surfers on many days.
So, to sum it up: the early part is a grind. The 14th is your best bet for a quick, clean session. The real standout is the 23rd of August – big, glassy, and powerful. The 22nd morning is the solid backup.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sun morning, strong winds from the NNE by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 6 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 11 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 141 | 154 | 379 | 658 | 342 | 136 | 73 | 71 | 43 | 171 | 184 | 69 | 49 | 588 | 601 | 504 | 306 | 190 | 127 | 118 | 204 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:11PM1.61m | 6:03AM1.06m | 6:09PM1.71m | 6:59AM1.13m | 7:01PM1.78m | 7:49AM1.20m | 7:50PM1.80m | 8:34AM1.27m | 8:36PM1.76m | 9:17AM1.32m | 9:19PM1.68m | 9:58AM1.36m | 10:01PM1.54m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:25AM0.38m | 00:08AM0.16m | 11:31AM0.33m | 1:02AM0.07m | 12:29PM0.27m | 1:49AM-0.00m | 1:22PM0.22m | 2:33AM-0.03m | 2:12PM0.20m | 3:13AM-0.02m | 3:01PM0.20m | 3:50AM0.03m | 3:50PM0.23m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — |
 | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — |
mm | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 4 |
Temp °C | 18 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 12 | 20 | 19 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | SSW 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 141 | 154 | 6 | 658 | 342 | 136 | 73 | 71 | 221 | 171 | 184 | 108 | 49 | 29 | 601 | 504 | 306 | 190 | 127 | 118 | 204 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 6 | S 6 | E 14 | S 13 | S 13 | E 13 | SSW 7 | S 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | S 16 | S 19 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 36 | 43 | 54 | 71 | 69 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 13 | — | — | S 12 | S 12 | S 14 | N 4 | — | — | S 13 | S 20 | — | S 18 | SSW 15 | — | S 20 | S 19 | S 16 | S 15 |
| kJ | 7 | 6 | 3 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 15 | 1 | — | — | 3 | 8 | — | 6 | 44 | — | 8 | 28 | 21 | 18 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 6 | NW 5 | NW 5 | W 5 | WNW 4 | NW 3 | W 4 | NW 3 | — | W 4 | SSW 7 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | 11 | 379 | 67 | 68 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 2 | — | 13 | 166 | 588 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 8 | 349 | 144 | 128 | 161 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 238 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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