
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with 3,196 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 12s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 04) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sat 4th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Blue Bay has cookin' for us over the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, so we gotta be smart about when we paddle out.
The water here is sittin' around 67°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, a nice little anomaly of 2°F. Feels good.
Alright, the first real sniff of surf action comes in on Saturday the 4th. Saturday morning is our best early call. We've got a 5ft S swell rolling in with an 11-second period, and the wind is a light WNW cross-off at 3 mph. That's going to keep it clean. The combined energy is at 601 (moderate), and for an inconsistent spot like Blue Bay, this is a solid little window. Don't expect it to be pumping all day, but that morning session is the one to hit.
Saturday afternoon drops off to a 4ft with an onshore breeze, so don't bother.
Sunday the 5th sees a big jump in size – 12ft on Sunday morning with a S swell and 22 mph SSW cross-off wind. That’s a lot of water moving, and at 2,616 combined energy, it’s strong. But that’s big and gnarly for an intermediate reef, and the wind is howling. Same story Sunday afternoon: 8ft but cross-shore wind making it lumpy. This is expert territory if you're keen, but for most of us, it's a bit of a write-off.
Monday the 6th through to Thursday the 9th is kind of a grim stretch. Solid swell sizes between 8ft and 10ft, but the wind is always a cross or cross-off and on the stronger side (12-19 mph). The wave comments keep saying "marginal," and with that much chop, it's just not going to be clean. The energy levels are high (over 1,000 all week) but the quality isn't there.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Friday the 10th is our standout. We get a glassy morning with a light WSW breeze at 3 mph, and a 8ft SSE swell with an 11-second period. The wind state is "glassy," which is the best news you can get. Combined energy is 1,299 (moderate-strong). For an inconsistent reef, this is a gift. The SSE direction lines up nicely with the optimum S-SE direction for Blue Bay, so the waves should have some good shape. This is the session to circle on the calendar. Friday afternoon stays clean with a light offshore WNW wind at 3 mph, holding the 8ft swell. Beautiful.
Saturday the 11th morning is still okay – 5ft with a light offshore W breeze – but it’s smaller and the energy has dropped to 470. Then things go quiet. From Saturday afternoon through to Tuesday the 15th morning, we’re looking at tiny, weak swell (0.7ft to 3ft) with basically no energy (7 to 159). It’s a flat spell. There’s a gap of a few days with nothing worth paddling for.
Then late on Tuesday the 14th afternoon, the ocean wakes up with a 15ft S swell hitting at 11 seconds, and the combined energy rockets up to 4,082. But the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-off, and at that size with a strong wind, it's going to be a beast. Only for the boldest.
Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th stay big (8ft to 10ft) but with fresh cross-off winds keeping it clean-ish, just powerful. Still, not beginner-friendly with those heights over 8ft.
We get another chance on Sunday the 19th. That morning shows an 12ft S swell with a gentle SW cross-off wind at 9 mph and a combined energy of 3,995 (very strong). The wave comment calls it "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." That's a big call, and with 10-second period, it’ll be powerful. This one is worth keeping an eye on, but it's all the way out on the 19th, so treat it as a promising, long-range possibility. Blue Bay might be inconsistent, but when it lines up, it can really deliver.
Stay safe out there, and remember – Friday the 10th morning is the one worth making a plan for.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Sat morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Tue night, light winds from the SSW by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
573 | 220 | 173 | 2605 | 1611 | 1981 | 1324 | 1288 | 799 | 1422 | 1816 | 1733 | 1608 | 1234 | 1276 | 1207 | 1270 | 1306 | 1292 | 1107 | 678 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | off |
High Tide | 11:11AM1.10m | 10:55PM1.46m | 11:55AM1.14m | 11:35PM1.38m | 12:42PM1.19m | 00:21AM1.30m | 1:34PM1.25m | 1:18AM1.20m | 2:29PM1.33m | 2:25AM1.12m | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:36PM0.46m | 5:41AM0.19m | 5:25PM0.50m | 6:18AM0.20m | 6:23PM0.52m | 6:59AM0.22m | 7:29PM0.53m | 7:46AM0.24m | 8:44PM0.49m | 8:39AM0.27m | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:11PM0.30m | ||||||||
6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | |
— | 4:58 | — | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | |
mm | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | E 8 | S 13 | E 13 | E 14 | E 14 | S 11 | SE 14 | S 17 | SE 11 | ESE 14 | SSE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | — | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
573 | 220 | 98 | 11 | 1016 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 372 | 186 | 5 | 1473 | 210 | 1234 | 70 | 39 | — | 1306 | 1292 | 1107 | 678 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | S 12 | E 11 | — | E 13 | — | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | — | — | — | — | ESE 12 | S 23 | S 16 | S 17 | SE 14 | S 19 | S 21 | SE 13 |
14 | 74 | 23 | — | 13 | — | 15 | 14 | 14 | — | — | — | — | 115 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 264 | 7 | 8 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 | — | S 22 | S 22 | — | — | — | — |
14 | 10 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | 10 | 9 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | — | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 173 | 2605 | 1611 | 1981 | 1324 | 1288 | 799 | 1422 | 1816 | 1733 | 1608 | — | 1276 | 1207 | 1270 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 11 | 0 | 158 | 260 | 238 | 166 | 166 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 11 | 130 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










