Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead for Blue Bay, but it’s not all going to be firing. We’re looking at a slow start, a definite standout in the middle, and then a patchy back half. Buckle up.

The water’s sitting at 64°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The first few days are going to be a bit of a tease, though. Tuesday morning (the 11th) has some swell, but it’s weak and junky. The real story starts to build on Tuesday afternoon. That’s when we see a proper pulse of south swell, 6ft at 12 seconds. That’s the one to circle. The wind is light and offshore, and the energy is strong, reading 924 in the combined swell energy. This is the cleanest, most powerful window we get. Blue Bay is a reef, and with that long-period south groundswell, it’s going to line up nicely. This is the standout of the whole period.

Wednesday the 12th still has decent surf, 4ft from the south, but the energy drops back to moderate. It’s still clean with offshore winds, so it’ll be worth a paddle. The rest of the week is a mixed bag. Thursday has some size but short, weak periods and messy wind. Friday morning the 14th sees a bit of a rebound, a clean 4ft south swell, but the afternoon gets chopped up by a cross-onshore breeze. The weekend is pretty poor, with short-period windswell and rain showers. Not worth getting excited about.

The start of the next week is a write-off. Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th are onshore and junky. It’s a real gap in quality. We’re looking at a few days of nothing good. Then, Wednesday morning the 19th throws us a little bone. It’s a bit smaller, around 5ft, but the wind is light and cross-offshore, and the energy is moderate. It’ll be clean, but not as powerful as the Tuesday before. After that, it fades out. The last few days of the period drop off significantly, with small, weak, and often onshore surf. The final proper pulse we see is on Tuesday the 25th, with a 6ft south swell mixing with a cross-offshore breeze, but the energy is weaker and it’s a long way out, so treat it as promising but not certain.

So, the call is simple: Tuesday afternoon, the 11th, is the day. That’s the one to make time for. The surf will be solid, the wind will be your friend, and the reef will be working. The Wednesday morning after that is a decent backup, but it’s not the same. The rest of the window has moments, but nothing that’ll have you calling in sick. This break can be inconsistent, and this forecast shows that. But when it’s on, it’s on.

Rusty out.

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