Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s heading our way for Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, we’ve got a solid pulse of energy coming in on Thursday the 30th of July. The morning session is the standout for the whole outlook. A south swell of 8ft is pushing in with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy is a massive 2146 – that’s proper strong stuff. The water temperature is sitting at 65°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year. With a light cross-offshore wind from the southwest, the conditions are going to be clean. This is a reef break, and it’s inconsistent, so you’ll need to be patient and you’ll need to be on your game – this is for experienced surfers only. The swell over 8ft means it’s expert territory.

Thursday afternoon, the swell drops back to 6ft, but the wind swings around to the SSE and goes cross-shore, messing up the surface. It’s a write-off.

Friday the 31st of July morning looks decent again. The swell is 6ft from the south, period 10 seconds, and the energy is 630. The wind is still a clean cross-off from the southwest, so it’s rideable. It’s not the barnstormer of Thursday morning, but it’s a solid session. Saturday morning, 1st of August, is a similar story with 5ft south swell, light cross-off wind, and clean conditions. Nothing special, but it’s surfable.

After Saturday, we hit a dry patch. Sunday the 2nd has a 5ft SSE swell, but the period jumps to 12 seconds – that’s a long period groundswell. The energy is high at 941, but it’s a beach break here, and long period groundswells can get a bit shifty and straight. Wind is cross-shore from the north, so it’s okay, but it’s marginal. Monday and Tuesday the 3rd and 4th of August are tiny, with the swell bottoming out to 1.0ft and 0.7ft. There’s nothing to get excited about.

From the 5th of August through to the 13th, we’re in the doldrums. There are 3ft to 4ft swells most mornings, all with cleanish cross-offshore winds, but the energy is low – averaging around 200 to 250. It’s “surfable but very ordinary” stuff. You could get a fun little wave on a longboard, but don’t expect much push. The morning of the 9th of August has a tiny 2ft swell from the ESE with a 12-second period, and the wind goes glassy from the north. It’s clean, but it’s knee-high. The crowd factor is “sometimes” here, so you might have a few mates out.

The real kicker comes on Friday the 14th of August. It’s a long way out, so it’s promising but not locked in. The morning shows a 6ft south swell, period a short 8 seconds, but the energy is a strong 675. The wind is offshore from the west, making it clean. That’s a good pulse of short-period energy, and it’s going to be punchy. That’s the second best window in the whole forecast, right there. The afternoon gets a bit iffy with a cross-on wind, so hit the early slot.

Overall, the best on offer is the morning of Thursday the 30th of July – that’s the big one. The second pick is the morning of Friday the 14th of August. There’s a long gap of small, ordinary surf from the 4th to the 13th of August, so don’t hold your breath during that stretch.

Rusty.

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