Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s on the cards for Blue Bay. We’ve got a bit of a slow start to work through, but there is some real glassy magic showing up later on.

The first few days are a write-off, honestly. Tuesday morning kicks off with a messy 4ft ENE swell and a cross-shore wind, and the wave energy is weak (185). It stays poor through Wednesday morning despite a slight improvement in the swell quality, but the conditions are still ordinary. The real low point hits Wednesday afternoon with a strong 19 mph southerly crosswind smashing the 3ft waves and dropping the energy to 128. Thursday isn’t much better, with a bumpy 6ft south swell and onshore wind. The water temp is sitting at 64°F, which is about average for this time of year—nothing wild there.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Friday morning, 28 August, is a little beauty. Blue Bay (a fairly exposed reef break that’s inconsistent, so when it fires, you want to be on it) will see a clean 5ft south swell at 11 seconds, and the wind goes glassy with zero breeze. The combined energy jumps to a solid moderate 619. The optimum swell direction is SSE, and this south pulse is close enough to do the job. For an intermediate-level wave, this is the standout session of the whole period. Expect a few others out, as crowds are possible here.

Saturday morning, 29 August, keeps the 5ft SSE swell running, but with a light crosswind and a slightly longer 11-second period, it’s more of a marginal call. The energy is up at 835 (moderate-strong), but the tide could be iffy. Sunday morning, 30 August, offers a clean 5ft south swell with a light cross-offshore breeze—definitely surfable and one to watch.

But the real gem? Monday morning, 31 August. That’s your second standout. We get a tiny-looking 3ft south groundswell, but with a crazy long 18-second period, and the wind is flat calm—totally glassy. The energy is a massive 747 (moderate-strong) for such a small wave. That long period means the swell will have heaps of punch, and with the optimum SSE direction in play, this reef should link up beautifully. It’s a beginner-friendly size, but the long period and inconsistency mean you need to pick your sets. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

After that, the first few days of September see smaller, cleaner 3ft to 2ft south swells, mainly with offshore or cross-offshore breezes. Nothing epic, but fun for a longboard on Monday morning, 1 September, when it’s clean with a 3ft south swell at 12 seconds and light cross-offshore wind. The energy drops off through the week, with a small 1ft south pulse on Thursday morning, 3 September, and a minor 4ft south wind swell on Friday, 4 September, but the winds turn fresh and bumpy.

Saturday, 5 September, offers a tiny 3ft south wind swell with glassy conditions in the morning—ordinary but clean for a cruisy session. The final week drops into poor territory again, with onshore winds and weak to moderate energy pulses, though Monday morning, 9 September, shows a 4ft south wind swell with a light offshore breeze, but the period is short at 6 seconds and the energy is only 188. Not worth getting excited about.

To sum it up: Friday the 28th and Monday the 31st are your two windows of real quality. Friday for size and glass, Monday for that long-period gift. Everything else is either bumpy, weak, or blown out. The inconsistent nature of Blue Bay means you gotta be ready when it lines up—and it does line up twice this run.

Stay stoked.
— Rusty

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