Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's pull up a chair and look at what Blue Bay's got cookin' for us over the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, but there are a couple of windows that'll get the stoke going.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 67°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprise there.

We're looking at a slow start with a real run of nothing special on the cards. The 4th of July (Saturday afternoon) has a tiny 4ft south swell at 10 seconds, but with a cross-on wind, it's a write-off. The next day, Sunday the 5th, the swell jumps up to a powerful 12ft from the south with an 11-second period, generating strong wave energy (2664). But that's coupled with a 19 mph cross-off wind. While the morning session is described as clean, anything over 8ft is strictly for the experts, and the wind is going to make it a battle. This pattern of big, bumpy surf continues for the next several days.

The real standout, the one you want to circle on the calendar, is Friday morning, July 10th. We've got a 6ft south-southeast swell, with a clean offshore breeze from the southwest. The combined energy is moderate (755), and the conditions are described as "very good." This is the pocket where everything lines up for a surfer.

Another good window opens up on Saturday morning, July 11th. It's a touch smaller at 5ft from the southeast, but a light offshore (NW) wind keeps it clean. It's not a monster, but it'll be a fun, manageable size. Then on Saturday afternoon, the wind goes glassy (NNW at 3 mph), making for silky smooth 4ft waves – perfect for a longboard or a cruiser.

After that, we hit a dead zone. From Sunday the 12th all the way through to Tuesday the 15th of July, the swells drop to knee-high and the energy is weak. There's basically nothing worth paddling out for.

But hold onto your board, because things get interesting again. Wednesday morning, July 15th sees a big pulse of swell from the south, hitting 13ft with an 11-second period. That's a heavy energy reading (3801). The wind is offshore from the southwest, making for clean faces. This is a big, powerful groundswell. At that size, it's only for experts, and with a long period like 11 seconds, it might be a bit too straight for a beach break, but it could be cooking on a reef or point. It's still a full week out, so keep an eye on it.

Then, Sunday, July 19th looks promising. A 5ft southeast swell with a very long 13-second period arrives. The morning has a light offshore (WNW at 6 mph), and the afternoon goes glassy. The energy is moderate (951). This is the kind of clean, lined-up swell that makes everything worthwhile. Again, it's a long-range forecast, so treat it as a promising possibility rather than a sure thing.

As for crowds at Blue Bay, being a reef break that's inconsistent and "sometimes" crowded, you can expect company if the surf is good, but it's not always packed.

So, to wrap it up: the best bet in the first week is Friday morning, July 10th. For the second week, keep an eye on Sunday, July 19th for what could be a glassy gem.

Rusty.

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