
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, S swell with 2,978 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Tue 8th Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's cookin' at Blue Bay.
The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag. We’re looking at a few days of chunky, messy surf mixed with some real windows of clean potential, but there’s one clear standout that’s got my attention.
The water’s sitting at 66°, right on the money for the time of year – feels normal for now.
Monday the 7th is a no-go – too much onshore wind and the energy’s all wrong. Tuesday the 8th sees a jump in swell size, but that cross-shore wind is going to chop it up something ugly. By Wednesday morning the 9th, wind swings cross-offshore and we get a clean 4 ft wave, but it’s barely pushing any energy (223).
The real story starts to build Thursday the 10th. Swell hits 10 ft out of the south with moderate wave energy (1717) and clean conditions Thursday morning – that’s got a bit of weight, but the size is getting up there, pushing into more experienced territory.
Friday the 11th morning is our first real standout. We’ve got a solid 8 ft SSE swell, clean with light offshore wind, and the energy reading is pumping at 1273. That’s the kind of morning you set the alarm for. Low crowd factor too – just a “sometimes” crowd situation, so you might get a few waves to yourself.
Saturday the 12th morning is a close second. You’ve got that beautiful glassy condition – no wind, clean as a whistle – coming out of the north at 3 mph. The swell drops back to a more manageable 5 ft SSE, but the period’s a nice 10 seconds and the energy is solid (572). Not the biggest, but it’ll be a picture.
After Saturday, things get messy again. Lots of onshore wind and small, weak waves through the middle of the week. There’s a long gap from the 13th through the 17th where there’s just nothing worth paddling out for.
Then, look ahead to Saturday the 19th morning. This is the other big standout, and it’s the one I’m most excited about. We’ve got offshore wind from the WSW at 6 mph, clean as glass, with a 7 ft swell out of the SSE at an 11-second period – proper groundswell. The energy reads 1148. The wind direction is right on the money for Blue Bay’s optimum SSE direction. That’s a session for the reef, not the beach, given that long period. Mark it on the calendar, but remember it’s a week and a half out – promising but not locked in yet.
By Sunday the 20th and into Monday, it’s back to small clean leftovers, nothing to get too worked up over.
So, to wrap it up: Friday the 11th morning and Saturday the 19th morning are your best bets. Friday for the size and punch, Saturday the 19th for that perfect offshore wind and clean lines. The rest is either blown out, too small, or just ordinary.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the NE by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
995 | 1183 | 588 | 477 | 165 | 875 | 2978 | 1976 | 2126 | 1818 | 1207 | 901 | 466 | 562 | 478 | 235 | 192 | 177 | 167 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | 8:44AM1.46m | 8:54PM1.50m | 9:21AM1.49m | 9:34PM1.38m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:28AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.28m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | 2:47PM0.17m | 3:07AM0.11m | 3:31PM0.19m | 3:39AM0.19m | ||||||
— | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 20 | 18 | 19 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 22 | SSE 22 | E 15 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 |
9 | 8 | 588 | 477 | 165 | 17 | 47 | 38 | 247 | 48 | 4 | 901 | 466 | 562 | 478 | 235 | 192 | 177 | 167 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 10 | E 10 | SE 7 | E 17 | S 25 | S 23 | SE 10 | E 15 | E 10 | E 14 | S 12 | SSE 18 | S 17 | S 21 | S 18 | S 16 | NE 5 |
— | — | 8 | 7 | 75 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 145 | 66 | 151 | 221 | 160 | 45 | 30 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 9 | E 15 | E 9 | E 17 | NE 16 | E 16 | E 15 | E 18 | S 21 | ENE 14 | E 13 | ENE 14 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 | NE 4 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 |
— | — | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 17 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 9 | — | — | NW 3 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | ENE 3 | NE 4 | N 4 | NE 4 | SW 3 |
995 | 1183 | — | — | 2 | 875 | 2978 | 1976 | 2126 | 1818 | 1207 | — | — | — | 5 | 22 | 9 | 35 | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 238 | 157 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 610 | 124 | 162 | 180 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










