Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 25 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 9s period, S swell with 565 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.8m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Tue 25th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what Blue Bay is looking like for the next couple of weeks. This is a reef break that picks up south to south-southeast swell, and it’s an inconsistent sort of spot – you can’t rely on it, but when the conditions line up, the waves have shape. Water temp is around 63°F, nothing unusual for this time of year.
The first week and a half is mostly a bust. From Sunday the 23rd through the middle of the following week, the wind is cross, cross-on, or onshore most of the day. Swell stays small to waist-high, short period, and the combined energy is moderate at best (values between 100 and 400). There’s a quick bright spot Thursday morning the 27th: 1.7m (about 6ft) S swell at 9 seconds, glassy calm winds, energy at 566 – good quality, but it doesn’t last. Friday morning the 28th offers clean offshore wind and a 1.0m (3ft) S swell, but it’s small.
The real standout is Saturday morning the 29th. You’ve got a 1.8m (6ft) S swell, 9-second period, combined energy of 610 (moderate-strong), and a light cross-offshore breeze keeping the surface clean. That’s the pick of the whole forecast: good size for intermediates, clean, and with the inconsistent nature of this spot, you might get it to yourself.
Sunday the 30th has similar swell size but the wind turns onshore and messes it up. Monday the 31st morning sees a 1.8m (6ft) S swell with a very long 12-second period, energy at 921 (strong), but only a marginal call due to light cross wind. That long period will make the reef lines beautiful, but expect long lulls between sets.
After that, from Tuesday the 1st of September onward the swell drops fast. By Wednesday the 2nd of September the energy is way down, and by Thursday the 4th of September there’s only a 0.3m (1ft), 13-second groundswell with glassy conditions – not surfable.
So take it from me: if you’re gonna paddle out, make it Saturday the 29th of August. Other than that, it’s a long stretch of mostly nothing.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Mon afternoon, light winds from the W by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 7 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 9 | S 11 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
340 | 207 | 267 | 159 | 123 | 75 | 99 | 111 | 111 | 126 | 76 | 285 | 492 | 359 | 403 | 159 | 332 | 265 | 565 | 273 | 220 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | on | glassy | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | on | off |
High Tide | 4:58PM1.35m | 5:47AM0.94m | 5:46PM1.42m | 6:29AM1.01m | 6:27PM1.49m | 7:06AM1.09m | 7:04PM1.54m | 7:41AM1.17m | 7:40PM1.57m | 8:15AM1.25m | 8:15PM1.57m | 8:49AM1.32m | 8:50PM1.54m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:09AM0.54m | 11:58PM0.39m | 11:07AM0.50m | 00:37AM0.32m | 11:56AM0.43m | 1:11AM0.24m | 12:39PM0.37m | 1:43AM0.18m | 1:19PM0.32m | 2:14AM0.13m | 1:59PM0.28m | 2:44AM0.10m | 2:39PM0.26m | 3:14AM0.10m | |||||||
6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | |
— | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 22 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 15 |
Feels °C | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 20 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | SSE 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 7 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 9 | S 11 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 |
340 | 207 | 267 | 159 | 123 | 75 | 99 | 111 | 111 | 126 | 76 | 285 | 492 | 359 | 403 | 159 | 332 | 265 | 565 | 273 | 220 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | S 14 | E 14 | ENE 5 | — | NE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 16 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 |
7 | 196 | 4 | 33 | — | 20 | 47 | 29 | 15 | 42 | 21 | 52 | 56 | 58 | 65 | 59 | 43 | 36 | 39 | 86 | 106 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | — | — | ENE 8 | E 13 | S 18 | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | — | S 14 | — | S 15 | S 15 | — | SSE 12 | S 13 | SSW 11 | S 18 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
25 | — | — | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 46 | — | 15 | — | 18 | 18 | — | 50 | 54 | 41 | 6 | 45 | 46 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 5 | NE 9 | NE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 4 | ENE 6 | — | NNW 2 | — | — | S 5 | — | — | — | — | SW 2 | S 4 | — | — | — | — |
25 | 20 | 53 | 40 | 54 | 63 | — | 1 | — | — | 46 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 10 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 26 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 221 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











