Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, S swell with 1,526 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on the cards for Blue Bay.
First thing’s first – the first week is a complete bust. We’re talking about a solid 7-day stretch of poor surf. Strong winds, cross-on chop, and weak, short-period swell are keeping things ugly. Don’t even think about it until Wednesday the 22nd.
The real standout is Thursday the 23rd. That’s the day. We’ve got a clean swell running 6ft to 6ft out of the east, with a nice long 11-second period. The combined energy is solid (735 to 826), and the wind is light offshore or nearly glassy. That’s premium Blue Bay (a reef break, fairly exposed to SSE swell). Water temp is around 66°, which is about normal for this time of year.
This spot is inconsistent, so when it works, it’s special. The morning of the 23rd with a gentle offshore breeze and that 6ft east swell will be clean and lined up. The afternoon bumps up to 6ft with glassy conditions. That’s your best window in the whole 16-day forecast.
After that, we’ve got a few clean mornings on the 24th, 25th, and 26th, but the swell is dropping. Friday the 24th still has a decent 5ft east swell with a 11-second period and offshore wind, but it’s not as powerful. The weekend mornings look clean but small, around 3ft to 4ft. Good for a log or a fun little board, but nothing to get too excited about.
The end of the month, around the 29th and 30th, is tiny. 2ft to 3ft swell with hardly any energy (96 to 170). Not worth your time.
So, bottom line: the first week is a no-go. Mark your calendar for Thursday the 23rd – that’s the one. After that, a few clean but smaller mornings, but nothing compares. Get on it when it’s good.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu night, min 12°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 15°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 9 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | E 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | E 9 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 466 | 1526 | 524 | 593 | 441 | 160 | 91 | 73 | 107 | 247 | 273 | 563 | 1197 | 926 | 716 | 573 | 573 | 533 | 468 | 450 | 407 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | glassy | cross | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 8:54PM1.85m | 9:44AM1.21m | 9:42PM1.79m | 10:32AM1.23m | 10:29PM1.67m | 11:20AM1.25m | 11:15PM1.51m | 12:09PM1.27m | 00:01AM1.34m | 12:59PM1.28m | 00:51AM1.17m | 1:51PM1.29m | 1:47AM1.03m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:23PM0.23m | 3:43AM-0.06m | 3:15PM0.24m | 4:28AM-0.02m | 4:07PM0.28m | 5:10AM0.04m | 5:01PM0.35m | 5:51AM0.13m | 5:59PM0.42m | 6:30AM0.22m | 7:01PM0.48m | 7:10AM0.31m | 8:11PM0.52m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  | | | | | | |  | | |  | |  | | | |  | |
 | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — |
 | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — |
mm | — | — | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 17 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 15 | S 15 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | E 6 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | — | — | 5 | 4 | 441 | 160 | 91 | 73 | 79 | 76 | 47 | 41 | 1197 | 926 | 716 | 573 | 573 | 533 | 468 | 450 | 407 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 18 | S 18 | E 8 | S 16 | S 6 | S 20 | S 21 | S 19 | S 19 | SSE 18 | S 16 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 7 | 25 | 10 | 21 | 39 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 62 | 102 | 84 | 119 | 141 | 136 | 85 | 56 | 31 | 31 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | S 14 | S 18 | S 16 | S 9 | — | S 19 | S 19 | SE 18 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 15 | S 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 15 | 26 | 46 | 23 | — | 7 | 29 | 13 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 9 | S 7 | S 8 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | — | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | E 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 |
| kJ | 466 | 1526 | 524 | 593 | 51 | 45 | 56 | — | 107 | 247 | 273 | 563 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 124 | 41 | 41 | 180 | 238 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 158 | 113 | 41 | 57 | 11 | 4 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Blue Bay surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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