
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period, ESE swell with 431 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks.
Alright, straight up, the first week and a half is a bit of a write-off. We've got a long gap from now until the 22nd of August with barely a ripple worth paddling for. The consistent pattern is small, weak swell, often with a cross or onshore wind messing it up. There's a few glimpses of clean conditions, but the wave heights are just too small to get excited about. You'll be waiting a long time between sets.
The real action, and the only standout in this whole forecast, kicks off right at the end. On the morning of the 27th of August, the ocean finally wakes up. We're looking at a solid 12ft swell from the south, with a period of 10 seconds. That's a lot of energy – the combined energy reading is a massive 2682, which is a very strong swell. The wind is light and offshore from the southwest, which will make for some incredibly clean, walled-up waves. This is proper, quality surf. The water temp is about average for the time of year at 64°F, so not a factor.
Now, a word of caution. That 12ft is *big*. This is strictly for experienced surfers only. If you're a beginner, give this one a miss. Also, Blue Bay is a reef break, so that long period groundswell will be drawing in nicely, but it's a setup that demands respect. The swell direction is S, which is close to the optimum SSE direction, so it should line up well. The crowds are listed as "sometimes", so you might get a few others with the same idea, but with that much swell, there'll be plenty of room.
Before that, there's a brief hiccup on the afternoon of the 27th when the wind swings onshore, but that morning session is the one to aim for. The days leading up to that are all small and weak. Don't bother.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 6 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
279 | 164 | 111 | 127 | 320 | 273 | 108 | 173 | 168 | 270 | 355 | 214 | 226 | 158 | 397 | 248 | 200 | 166 | 158 | 111 | 108 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 7:50PM1.80m | 8:34AM1.27m | 8:36PM1.76m | 9:17AM1.32m | 9:19PM1.68m | 9:58AM1.36m | 10:01PM1.54m | 10:39AM1.38m | 10:43PM1.39m | 11:21AM1.37m | 11:25PM1.23m | 12:04PM1.35m | 00:11AM1.08m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:22PM0.22m | 2:33AM-0.03m | 2:12PM0.20m | 3:13AM-0.02m | 3:01PM0.20m | 3:50AM0.03m | 3:50PM0.23m | 4:26AM0.10m | 4:39PM0.29m | 5:00AM0.19m | 5:30PM0.36m | 5:34AM0.29m | 6:26PM0.44m | ||||||||
6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | |
— | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 |
Temp °C | 17 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 13 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | ENE 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 9 | ENE 10 | S 7 | S 16 | S 15 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | ESE 7 | S 11 | ESE 6 |
279 | 164 | 111 | 52 | 320 | 273 | 108 | 173 | 168 | 270 | 18 | 214 | 82 | 69 | 37 | 68 | 60 | 35 | 158 | 55 | 108 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | S 12 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 19 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 16 | SSW 11 | ENE 8 | S 8 | ENE 8 | S 10 |
54 | 50 | 52 | 3 | 29 | 29 | 65 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 63 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 41 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 29 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 15 | S 16 | S 16 | S 19 | S 16 | ENE 10 | S 16 | S 16 | S 19 | S 13 | S 17 | S 13 | S 12 | S 16 | — | — | SE 10 | S 11 | ESE 12 | ENE 8 |
— | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 45 | 21 | 29 | 12 | 51 | 4 | 11 | 21 | — | — | 4 | 9 | 14 | 14 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | NW 3 | W 4 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 8 | — | SSE 6 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | — | ESE 7 | — |
3 | 2 | 9 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 355 | — | 226 | 158 | 397 | 248 | 200 | 166 | — | 111 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 445 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 238 | 166 | 238 | 309 | 228 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











