Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 25 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 11s period, S swell with 493 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 25 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period with NE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.4m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Tue 25th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Tue 25th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s break down what Blue Bay’s throwing at us.
Water temp’s about 64°F, which is around 1°F cooler than average for this time of year – nothing drastic, just a bit brisk.
We’re starting off flat, no real surf to speak of. First proper window hits Tuesday the 25th in the morning. There’s a 5ft swell from the NE with a short 7-second interval, but the wind is light and cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean. Combined energy is 363 – moderate. The afternoon steals the show though: 6ft from the NE with offshore winds out of the WNW at light strength, clean conditions, and moderate energy. That’s your highlight. For an inconsistent reef break like Blue Bay, that’s a real treat for the intermediate surfer.
Wednesday the 26th drops: 3ft from the ENE, 8-second period, cross-off breeze from the SW, clean but weak-to-moderate energy (151). It’s there, but nothing special.
Thursday the 27th morning bounces back: 5ft from the S, 8-second period, light cross-off SSW wind, and 435 energy – solid moderate. Afternoon goes onshore and choppy, so morning is the move.
Friday the 28th has 4ft from the S with a longer 10-second period, but tricky cross-on morning winds. Energy is 373 – moderate. Marginal tide conditions.
From Saturday the 29th onward, it’s a steady fade. Swell drops under 3ft after the 31st, and energy readings fall to double digits – 72, 48, 45 – weak stuff. By early September, you’re looking at knee-high dribble. A couple glassy mornings on September 1st and 2nd with tiny 2-2ft swell, but it’s more of a paddleboard or log session.
Best bet is Tuesday the 25th afternoon: 6ft NE with light offshore wind, clean, and the most energy you’ll see in the whole outlook. Blue Bay is inconsistent, so grab it while it’s there.
— Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 23°C on Tue morning, min 15°C on Wed afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Mon afternoon, light winds from the SSW by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | NE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 13 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
159 | 123 | 73 | 189 | 318 | 203 | 126 | 95 | 202 | 364 | 213 | 199 | 318 | 189 | 137 | 214 | 223 | 175 | 130 | 92 | 76 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:46PM1.42m | 6:29AM1.01m | 6:27PM1.49m | 7:06AM1.09m | 7:04PM1.54m | 7:41AM1.17m | 7:40PM1.57m | 8:15AM1.25m | 8:15PM1.57m | 8:49AM1.32m | 8:50PM1.54m | 9:24AM1.38m | 9:27PM1.47m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:07AM0.50m | 00:37AM0.32m | 11:56AM0.43m | 1:11AM0.24m | 12:39PM0.37m | 1:43AM0.18m | 1:19PM0.32m | 2:14AM0.13m | 1:59PM0.28m | 2:44AM0.10m | 2:39PM0.26m | 3:14AM0.10m | 3:21PM0.25m | 3:46AM0.12m | |||||||
6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | |
— | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 4 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 18 | 17 | 23 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 20 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | NE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 |
159 | 123 | 73 | 106 | 199 | 203 | 126 | 95 | 69 | 364 | 213 | 124 | 318 | 189 | 137 | 214 | 223 | 175 | 130 | 92 | 76 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 5 | S 18 | NE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 16 | S 11 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 13 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 |
33 | 24 | 21 | 47 | 29 | 15 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 54 | 52 | 199 | 38 | 37 | 121 | 39 | 44 | 41 | 44 | 45 | 54 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | — | S 18 | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | S 9 | S 14 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | ENE 9 | S 15 | SSE 11 | ENE 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 16 | N 7 | S 14 | S 18 |
12 | — | 6 | 21 | 19 | 46 | 6 | 15 | 5 | 17 | 37 | 58 | 17 | 40 | 35 | 58 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NW 3 | WSW 3 | S 5 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
46 | 59 | 68 | 189 | 318 | 5 | 1 | 86 | 202 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 221 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 82 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











