Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 9s period, SSE swell with 336 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the cards for Blue Bay. It's a reef setup that doesn't break all that often, so when it lines up, it's a special deal. The water temp is sitting at about 64°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.
The next week or so looks like a bit of a mixed bag. We've got a moderate pulse of south-southeast swell rolling in this Friday afternoon, around 5ft with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is a solid 566 (moderate wave energy), but the wind is a cross-onshore breeze, so the surface is going to be choppy and messy. Not a great time to paddle out.
Saturday morning is still on the smaller side, 4ft, but the wind is light and cross-shore, creating a bit of ripple. It’s still pretty ordinary. By Sunday morning though, we get a real treat. The wind drops to glassy, dead calm, and the swell settles to a clean 3ft from the south. This is the first true standout for the period, with a combined energy of 269 (weak wave energy). The conditions will be clean and inviting for an intermediate surfer. Monday morning keeps the good vibes with another glassy session, a bit more size at 4ft, and combined energy of 399 (moderate wave energy). That’s your other real winner for the first week.
After that, we hit a dry spell. From Tuesday afternoon through the following Saturday, the surf gets very ordinary. Most days are either onshore, too small, or just plain poor. The combined energy drops down to as low as 39 (weak wave energy), and the swell becomes tiny. It's a quiet week for Blue Bay.
Looking ahead to the second week, things get promising again. On Monday, the 8th of September, a bigger pulse of south swell arrives. Tuesday morning the 8th sees a 6ft swell from the south, with a 10-second period and a combined energy of 650 (moderate wave energy). The wind is cross-offshore and clean, but the size is pushing past 5ft, so it's more for experienced surfers.
Then, the real standout of the whole outlook appears on Wednesday, the 9th of September, and Thursday, the 10th of September. Wednesday morning is a glassy, clean 5ft from the south, with combined energy at 635 (moderate wave energy) – excellent conditions. But Thursday morning is the absolute gem: a clean 5ft south swell, combined energy of 784 (moderate wave energy), and dead glassy conditions. The period is a long 12 seconds, which means proper groundswell energy. It’s going to peel nicely down the reef. That Thursday is the session to circle on the calendar, though remember, it’s a long-range call so keep your fingers crossed for the forecast to hold.
So, to sum it up: for this week, hit Sunday morning or Monday morning for clean, fun waves. For the real power and perfection, aim for Thursday the 10th of September. Keep an eye on the long-range, and I’ll catch you in the water.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 16 | S 15 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
293 | 269 | 336 | 154 | 122 | 127 | 230 | 178 | 153 | 173 | 224 | 237 | 185 | 98 | 69 | 71 | 49 | 47 | 29 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 8:49AM1.32m | 8:50PM1.54m | 9:24AM1.38m | 9:27PM1.47m | 10:01AM1.42m | 10:07PM1.38m | 10:41AM1.45m | 10:52PM1.27m | 11:26AM1.45m | 11:44PM1.14m | 12:20PM1.44m | 00:50AM1.03m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:44AM0.10m | 2:39PM0.26m | 3:14AM0.10m | 3:21PM0.25m | 3:46AM0.12m | 4:05PM0.26m | 4:20AM0.17m | 4:55PM0.29m | 4:58AM0.24m | 5:52PM0.33m | 5:42AM0.32m | 7:01PM0.37m | |||||||
— | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 23 | 25 | 20 | 26 | 26 | 22 | 28 | 28 | 21 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 20 | 16 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 23 | 24 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 6 |
293 | 269 | 336 | 154 | 122 | 127 | 230 | 135 | 104 | 173 | 224 | 237 | 185 | 98 | 69 | 71 | 49 | 47 | 34 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | S 11 | S 9 | S 8 | SE 10 | SE 9 | S 18 | S 16 | S 15 | ENE 9 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | NE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSE 9 |
26 | 57 | 108 | 102 | 94 | 90 | 150 | 178 | 153 | 15 | 38 | 37 | 13 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 18 | 28 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 16 | N 12 | — | ENE 10 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 |
38 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 16 | 21 | 3 | — | 33 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 29 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | NE 3 | NNE 3 | NE 4 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | W 3 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 205 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











