Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, S swell with 3,092 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk Blue Bay.
It’s a reef break, exposed to the SSE, and the swell direction it likes lines up with what’s coming. Water temp is about normal for the time of year.
Monday the 7th, morning is the call. Glassy, no wind, 1.4m S swell, moderate energy (304). Clean and fun. By afternoon, the wind goes east at 20 km/h onshore, and it’s done.
Tuesday the 8th is a mess – 2.5m S swell with strong cross-shore wind. Skip it. Wednesday the 9th morning is clean and light, 1.4m, but that afternoon the wind hits 40 km/h. Hard pass.
Thursday the 10th morning has a solid 2.5m S swell, clean, but that’s a big wave for a reef – not for the inexperienced. The afternoon goes lumpy with 3.0m and strong cross-wind. Kite-surfing territory, not paddle.
Here’s the main event: Friday the 11th morning. 2.4m S swell, 10-second period, clean, gentle cross-offshore wind, very good conditions. Strong energy (1139). That’s the one. Saturday the 12th morning is also very good – 1.9m S, 11-second period, clean. Long period means better shape but longer waits. Easy paddle out.
From Sunday the 13th through Wednesday the 16th, it’s mostly flat and poor. Small junk.
Then, a late window: Saturday the 19th afternoon, 2.1m S swell, 11 seconds, clean, light offshore wind (W 10 km/h). Very strong energy (1140). Sunday the 20th morning also looks great – 2.0m, clean, strong energy (817). That weekend is your second chance, but it’s a ways out so don’t bank on it.
Blue Bay can be inconsistent, so you gotta time it. The two standouts are Friday the 11th morning and Saturday the 19th afternoon. Clean, solid swell, right direction. Crowds will show when it’s good, so be early.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Thu morning, light winds from the ESE by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 257 | 380 | 970 | 1210 | 692 | 488 | 169 | 945 | 3092 | 1633 | 2010 | 2018 | 1330 | 964 | 768 | 785 | 669 | 394 | 240 | 180 | 122 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | on | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:00PM1.56m | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | 8:44AM1.46m | 8:54PM1.50m | 9:21AM1.49m | 9:34PM1.38m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:28AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.28m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | 2:47PM0.17m | 3:07AM0.11m | 3:31PM0.19m | 3:39AM0.19m | |||||||
 |  |  | | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — |
 | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — |
mm | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SSE 9 | E 11 | E 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | S 10 | SSE 22 | SSE 22 | E 15 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | NE 5 |
| kJ | 257 | 380 | 9 | 8 | 692 | 488 | 169 | 17 | 69 | 1633 | 164 | 47 | 4 | 964 | 768 | 785 | 669 | 394 | 240 | 180 | 36 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | E 10 | — | — | E 10 | E 10 | SE 7 | E 17 | SSW 16 | ESE 10 | SE 9 | E 15 | S 21 | E 14 | E 13 | E 14 | S 18 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | S 10 |
| kJ | 39 | 8 | — | — | 8 | 7 | 79 | 6 | 90 | 38 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 98 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 122 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | N 8 | — | — | — | NE 9 | ENE 9 | S 21 | NE 16 | S 23 | E 15 | E 18 | E 10 | — | ENE 13 | ENE 14 | ENE 14 | — | ENE 13 | — | ENE 13 |
| kJ | 8 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 92 | 4 | 6 | 2 | — | 18 | 19 | 18 | — | 17 | — | 17 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 8 | S 9 | — | — | NW 3 | S 8 | S 10 | — | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | N 2 | — | ENE 4 | NE 5 |
| kJ | — | — | 970 | 1210 | — | — | 2 | 945 | 3092 | — | 2010 | 2018 | 1330 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 15 | 60 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 26 | 158 | 157 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 130 | 11 | 238 | 11 | 11 | 124 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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