Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 11s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period, S swell with 488 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.3m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk surf. The next couple of days are pretty much flat, so the first real swell we can grab is on the morning of Friday, September 4th. That morning is a beauty – dead calm, glassy conditions, with a 3ft south swell. The period is 11 seconds, so it’s got some groundswell push. The combined energy (281) is moderate, so it’s not a monster, but the clean, glassy water makes it the top pick of the whole forecast. The spot is Blue Bay, a reef break that’s fairly exposed to the south. It’s inconsistent, so you’ll be waiting a bit, and sometimes there’s a crowd, but for that window, it’s worth it. The water temp is 65°F, which is about normal for the time of year.
After that Friday morning, it turns ugly. The afternoon of the 4th goes onshore and messy, and the weekend is a washout with cross-off winds and small waves. Sunday the 6th has a 2ft south swell, but it’s cross-onshore and choppy – not worth your time.
Monday morning, the 7th, offers a little better: a clean 4ft south swell with a light cross-off breeze and moderate energy (399). It’s surfable, but not as good as that Friday glass.
The middle of the week is a mess. The 8th shows a 6ft south swell, but the period is short (9 seconds) and the wind is cross-shore, so it’s lumpy. Too much water, not enough shape.
On the 10th of September, look out for a very long period (18 seconds) south swell, but only 3ft. The combined energy is high (835), but the wind is fresh cross-shore, so it’s choppy. A reef break like Blue Bay can handle that long period, but the wind is a problem.
The second week has a few blips. The 16th of September (Wednesday) morning looks clean with a 5ft east swell, light cross-off wind, and moderate energy (386) – that’s a decent option for the longer range.
So the clear standout is the glassy morning of Friday, September 4th at Blue Bay. The 16th morning is another one to watch, but it’s a week and a half away, so stay loose. It’s a quiet stretch, so don’t expect much.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun night, fresh winds from the S by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 11 | S 9 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 6 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 104 | 108 | 71 | 73 | 52 | 33 | 237 | 130 | 66 | 94 | 62 | 45 | 130 | 488 | 201 | 387 | 223 | 98 | 483 | 309 | 88 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | on | off |
High Tide | 11:26AM1.45m | 11:44PM1.14m | 12:20PM1.44m | 00:50AM1.03m | 1:25PM1.43m | 2:14AM0.96m | 2:40PM1.44m | 3:44AM0.96m | 3:54PM1.49m | 4:59AM1.02m | 5:00PM1.56m | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:52PM0.33m | 5:42AM0.32m | 7:01PM0.37m | 6:37AM0.40m | 8:22PM0.37m | 7:47AM0.46m | 9:46PM0.33m | 9:08AM0.47m | 10:57PM0.24m | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:28AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — |
 | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 27 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 30 | 29 | 22 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 23 | 23 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 25 | 24 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 11 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 6 | S 12 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 |
| kJ | 104 | 108 | 71 | 73 | 52 | 33 | 237 | 130 | 44 | 94 | 62 | 45 | 35 | 488 | 201 | 387 | 223 | 69 | 483 | 309 | 88 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | NE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | NE 7 | S 6 | ENE 10 | NE 4 | ENE 9 | ENE 5 | NE 6 | S 12 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 4 | ENE 10 | SSE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 33 | 33 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 13 | 25 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 17 | 130 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NE 5 | ENE 10 | NE 6 | S 3 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 18 | S 12 | NE 7 | E 9 | E 11 | NE 6 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | E 9 | NE 6 | NE 7 | SE 10 |
| kJ | 8 | 4 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 19 | 6 | 66 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 3 | NNW 4 | — | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | ENE 3 | NW 3 | NNE 4 | NW 4 | SW 3 | — | — | ENE 4 | — | ENE 3 | SSE 6 | — | — | NE 4 |
| kJ | 4 | 7 | 2 | 13 | — | 37 | 46 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 3 | — | — | 8 | — | 2 | 98 | — | — | 17 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 296 | 0 | 0 | 349 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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