Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 9s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,716 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 9s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk Blue Bay in feet and miles per hour.
The start of the period is pretty rough. Don’t bother rushing out.
Tuesday (8th) is a mess. An 8-foot south swell with a short 9-second period and a 15 mph south cross-wind has it all chopped up. Afternoon is only slightly better but still poor.
Wednesday morning (9th) is the first chance for a paddle. Swell drops to 4 feet from the south, and a light 6 mph SSW cross-offshore breeze cleans it right up. It’s small and ordinary, but surfable. The afternoon gets hammered by 25 mph southerly winds, so make it an early one.
Thursday morning (10th) is the real standout in the first week. We’ve got a solid 8-foot south swell with a 9-second period, and the combined energy is pumping at 1410 (moderate to strong). A 12 mph SW cross-offshore breeze keeps the surface clean. The wave comment says marginal due to tides, but this is your best bet – just know that at 8 feet, it’s for experienced surfers only.
Friday (11th) holds a 7-foot south swell in the morning with clean conditions, but it’s still marginal. Afternoon drops to 6 feet with a cross-shore breeze. Not a standout.
Then the swell fades. From Saturday through the middle of the next week, it drops into the 3 to 5-foot range with onshore winds and poor conditions. There’s a gap of several days with nothing good to report.
Tuesday morning (15th) has a tiny 2-foot south swell with clean cross-off winds, but the energy is weak at 99. Not worth it.
Wednesday afternoon (16th) brings a pulse of 6-foot south swell with a long 13-second period and a light 6 mph cross-on breeze. The energy jumps to 1273 (moderate), but that cross-on wind and long period will make it tricky at this beach break.
Friday morning (18th) offers a tiny 2-foot south swell with a 9 mph offshore west wind – clean but barely ankle-knee high.
The wildcard is Saturday morning (19th). A 1-foot south swell with an incredibly long 17-second period, clean with a 6 mph offshore WSW breeze. The energy is only 197, so it’s small, but that groundswell period and clean conditions could make for some fun little waves on a good bank.
The rest of the period is small, weak east-northeast windswell with mostly onshore winds.
Water temp is about 66°F, which is normal for this time of year.
For the best, Thursday morning (10th) is the one for the bigger, cleaner south swell if you’ve got the skills. For a quieter, more subtle session, Saturday morning (19th) with that glassy, long-period groundswell could be a fun surprise.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 11 | S 20 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1124 | 588 | 477 | 165 | 723 | 2716 | 1279 | 1538 | 1384 | 861 | 696 | 435 | 386 | 358 | 194 | 122 | 188 | 100 | 175 | 166 | 112 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | 8:44AM1.46m | 8:54PM1.50m | 9:21AM1.49m | 9:34PM1.38m | 9:57AM1.49m | 10:13PM1.25m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:28AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.28m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | 2:47PM0.17m | 3:07AM0.11m | 3:31PM0.19m | 3:39AM0.19m | 4:15PM0.24m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 23 | 20 | 23 |
Feels °C | 10 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | S 9 | S 22 | SSE 22 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | NE 6 | S 12 | S 12 | NE 6 |
| kJ | 8 | 588 | 477 | 165 | 17 | 47 | 1279 | 254 | 48 | 861 | 696 | 435 | 386 | 358 | 161 | 122 | 188 | 64 | 175 | 166 | 31 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 7 | E 9 | S 25 | ESE 10 | SE 9 | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | E 13 | SSE 19 | S 18 | S 20 | NE 4 | ENE 13 | S 10 | NE 6 | ENE 12 | S 11 |
| kJ | — | 8 | 7 | 66 | 6 | 12 | 38 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 118 | 162 | 194 | 10 | 17 | 100 | 20 | 15 | 112 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 9 | E 15 | E 9 | E 17 | S 21 | S 23 | E 9 | E 10 | S 21 | ENE 14 | S 18 | ENE 14 | E 14 | ENE 13 | S 17 | ENE 13 | S 13 | ENE 13 | — | E 12 |
| kJ | — | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 93 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 25 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 94 | 17 | 55 | 17 | — | 12 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | — | — | NW 3 | S 7 | S 10 | — | S 11 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | E 3 | NE 5 | NNE 4 | ENE 4 | — | NW 3 | NE 4 | WSW 2 |
| kJ | 1124 | — | — | 2 | 723 | 2716 | — | 1538 | 1384 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 30 | 13 | 54 | — | 3 | 24 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 166 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 739 | 124 | 11 | 238 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 170 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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