Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 10s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 1,478 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again, givin’ you the rundown on Blue Bay, but in feet and miles per hour.
Water temp is sittin’ right around 66°F – nothin’ unusual for this time of the season.
So, the first week and a bit is mostly a bust. There’s swell out there, but the wind just keeps messin’ it up – cross-shore, onshore, all sorts of chop. That Wednesday afternoon on the 15th of July, we see the biggest energy spike with a 10-foot swell and a solid 30 mph cross-off wind. That’s for the experienced crew only. With Blue Bay sometimes gettin’ a crowd, the conditions will keep ‘em away.
Your real sweet spot comes the morning of Thursday, 23rd July. We’re lookin’ at a clean 6-foot swell from the east with an 11-second period, and the wind is glassy. That east direction lines up perfect with this reef. That’s the one to aim for.
Friday the 24th is still okay early: 6-foot, 12-second period, but light rain and a gentle cross-shore might take the shine off. Still a good option.
After that, it’s back to onshore slop from the 25th through the 28th. Strong winds, messy surf.
Right at the tail end, the 29th of July cleans up again, but the swell drops to under 3 feet. It’s clean, but tiny.
So, save your energy for the morning of the 23rd. That’s your best shot.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue afternoon, fresh winds from the S by Thu morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri afternoon, min 16°C on Fri afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tue 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 15 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | ESE 6 | S 9 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 8 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 19 | 4 | 761 | 1419 | 491 | 620 | 680 | 216 | 89 | 53 | 108 | 97 | 132 | 314 | 627 | 680 | 598 | 596 | 492 | 407 | 399 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 8:04PM1.86m | 8:55AM1.18m | 8:54PM1.85m | 9:44AM1.21m | 9:42PM1.79m | 10:32AM1.23m | 10:29PM1.67m | 11:20AM1.25m | 11:15PM1.51m | 12:09PM1.27m | 00:01AM1.34m | 12:59PM1.28m | 00:51AM1.17m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:56AM-0.06m | 2:23PM0.23m | 3:43AM-0.06m | 3:15PM0.24m | 4:28AM-0.02m | 4:07PM0.28m | 5:10AM0.04m | 5:01PM0.35m | 5:51AM0.13m | 5:59PM0.42m | 6:30AM0.22m | 7:01PM0.48m | 7:10AM0.31m | ||||||||
 |  | | |  |  |  | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | |  | | |
 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 |
 | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | 5:07 |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
Feels °C | 17 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | SSW 10 | — | — | S 15 | S 18 | S 18 | S 8 | S 7 | S 6 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 9 | 10 | — | — | 5 | 6 | 24 | 216 | 89 | 28 | 108 | 76 | 68 | 45 | 627 | 680 | 598 | 596 | 492 | 407 | 399 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 15 | — | — | — | S 15 | S 18 | S 18 | S 17 | S 8 | S 23 | S 21 | S 19 | S 19 | SSE 18 | S 17 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 |
| kJ | — | 4 | — | — | — | 4 | 25 | 26 | 22 | 21 | 10 | 34 | 29 | 64 | 104 | 138 | 88 | 150 | 138 | 89 | 56 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | S 14 | S 15 | E 10 | S 11 | S 18 | — | S 18 | — | S 9 | S 9 | S 7 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 |
| kJ | 19 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 16 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 6 | — | 6 | — | 24 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | SSW 5 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 5 | 61 | 761 | 1419 | 491 | 620 | 680 | 37 | 42 | 53 | 79 | 97 | 132 | 314 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 398 | 100 | 37 | 41 | 30 | 83 | 83 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 35 | 158 | 35 | 35 | 57 | 11 | 26 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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