Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Blue Bay.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next week or so is a real mixed bag. We’ve got a slow start, with nothing worth paddling out for until about Tuesday morning the 11th. The first few days are just a write-off with tiny, messy waves and crummy winds. But once that pulse of southerly groundswell kicks in, things get interesting.

The real standout window, and I mean the one you circle on the calendar, is the morning of Friday, 14 August. Blue Bay is looking at a solid 12 ft swell from the south, with a long period of 12 seconds – that’s proper groundswell, lots of energy and shape. The wind is light offshore from the WSW at 9 mph, so it’ll be clean, lined up, and offering some proper waves. The combined energy is a hefty 3803 – that’s serious power. This is definitely one for experienced surfers only; it’s too big for beginners. The water temp is sitting at 64°F, which is about 1°F cooler than normal, so nothing too unusual for this time of year. Keep in mind, Blue Bay is an inconsistent reef break, so when it turns on, you want to be there.

The afternoon before, on Thursday the 13th, also has some size – an 12 ft southerly swell with an 11 second period – but the wind swings cross-onshore in the afternoon, so the morning of the 14th is the clear winner.

There’s another decent pulse on the morning of Tuesday, 11 August – a 6 ft south swell, 10 second period, with light offshore winds. That’s a solid, fun size for intermediate surfers, with clean conditions. The energy reading of 624 is moderate but punchy. Not quite the standout, but a good warm-up.

After that big Friday, the weekend of the 15th and 16th holds some size, but the wind gets messy and the conditions turn lumpy. By the following week, from Monday the 18th onwards, the swell drops right off and we’re back to small, poor surf, so don’t expect much.

So, bottom line: if you’ve got the skills, Friday morning, 14 August is the session. The rest of the run is a bit of a waiting game.

Rusty.

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