Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 1 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 17s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 11s period, S swell with 457 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 25 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 6s period with NE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.4m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Tue 25th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Tue 1st Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a quiet stretch overall, but there are a couple of windows where we might snag a wave or two.
The opener is a bit of a slow burn with nothing really happening until after the first few days. The first real chance we get is later in the week. The standout, and really the only one worth getting excited about, is Thursday morning, 27th August, at Blue Bay. We’ve got a clean 5ft swell pushing in from the south, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSW at just 6 mph. That’s going to be clean, the combined energy is moderate (425), and while the period is a short 8 seconds, the conditions should be tidy. That morning is the pick of the whole run for a surf. After that, the rest of the week is mostly a write-off with poor conditions and onshore winds or chop.
On Friday morning the 28th, we get a moment of calm with glassy conditions and a 3ft S swell, but it’s average at best and it blows out by the afternoon. There’s a long stretch from Saturday 29th August all the way through to Tuesday 1st September where the surf quality is just poor – cross-onshore, choppy, small.
The Monday morning, 31st August has a glassy start with a tiny 2ft south swell but the period is 18 seconds, which is a very long groundswell. That’s a tricky one for a reef break – it might be too straight and walled up. It’s a surfable wave but very ordinary.
A couple of mornings in early September, like the 1st and 2nd, offer clean offshore conditions with small 2ft to 2ft south swells, but they’re very small and not going to get the heart rate up. We then hit another extended gap of poor surf – from 3rd September onwards, it’s mostly windy and messy, with a few days of chop and onshore slop.
The end of the run on Monday 7th and Tuesday 8th September is tiny, with energy up to just 34 to 129, so it’s essentially flat or near-flat. Not a great finish.
Overall, if you’re after the best on offer, set the alarm for Thursday morning, 27th August at Blue Bay. Everything else is a gamble on very small or poor windows. Hang in there, the forecast can always change quicker than the tide.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 15°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | S 8 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
73 | 117 | 111 | 133 | 103 | 74 | 187 | 320 | 343 | 268 | 302 | 452 | 327 | 356 | 386 | 242 | 133 | 95 | 66 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:29AM1.01m | 6:27PM1.49m | 7:06AM1.09m | 7:04PM1.54m | 7:41AM1.17m | 7:40PM1.57m | 8:15AM1.25m | 8:15PM1.57m | 8:49AM1.32m | 8:50PM1.54m | 9:24AM1.38m | 9:27PM1.47m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:37AM0.32m | 11:56AM0.43m | 1:11AM0.24m | 12:39PM0.37m | 1:43AM0.18m | 1:19PM0.32m | 2:14AM0.13m | 1:59PM0.28m | 2:44AM0.10m | 2:39PM0.26m | 3:14AM0.10m | 3:21PM0.25m | 3:46AM0.12m | ||||||
— | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | |
mm | — | — | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 14 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | SSE 11 | ENE 8 | S 8 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 |
73 | 117 | 111 | 133 | 103 | 74 | 56 | 320 | 343 | 268 | 302 | 452 | 24 | 356 | 386 | 242 | 133 | 95 | 66 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 16 | S 15 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 8 | ENE 8 | S 11 | SE 9 | S 9 | SE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 9 |
20 | 47 | 29 | 15 | 43 | 4 | 2 | 52 | 41 | 57 | 72 | 35 | 20 | 338 | 199 | 128 | 110 | 83 | 50 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | NNW 3 | S 14 | S 15 | S 15 | S 15 | S 14 | ENE 8 | SSW 13 | — | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 4 |
6 | 21 | 19 | 47 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 58 | 37 | 59 | — | 29 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 33 | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | — | NNW 2 | NW 3 | WSW 3 | S 5 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 10 | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | NE 4 |
72 | — | 1 | 5 | 3 | 52 | 187 | — | — | — | — | — | 327 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 13 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 232 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 166 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 349 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











