Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
18.9° C
0.5° 

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with 1,275 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Wed 15th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 9s
Best Surf10PM (Wed 15th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 9s
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 15th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Blue Bay has in store for us.

Right now, the water temp is sitting at a comfortable 66°, which is bang on average for this time of year. Gotta say though, the next week and a half is looking pretty flat and glum. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing happening from now until the 15th of July. The waves are tiny and weak, barely a ripple, with hardly any energy in the water. You’d be better off polishing your board than paddling out.

Things finally start to stir on Wednesday the 15th. A solid pulse of southerly swell pushes in, with wave heights around 7ft to 8ft and moderate energy levels (1462 to 2245). That’s got some push to it and the period hovers around 10-11 seconds, so there’s decent shape potential. The wind isn’t perfect, being cross-off and cross, but it's clean enough to make it surfable. This is a bigger swell though, well over 5ft, so it’s more for the experienced crew. Thursday the 16th keeps the size up at 7ft to 7ft, but the period drops to a short 8 seconds, making it a bit crumbly and less powerful (543 to 1175 energy).

After that, the quality tails off sharply. Friday the 17th and the rest of the week is a mix of onshore winds, rain, and messy conditions with dropping swell sizes. You’re looking at small, choppy surf with barely any energy. The weekend of the 19th and 20th is blown out by onshore easterly winds, making it a complete write-off. The whole stretch from the 16th to the 25th of July offers very little worth getting excited about.

The real standout, and the best bet across the whole outlook, arrives on Sunday the 26th of July. We get a nice jump in swell out of the south, reaching 6ft in the morning and building to a solid 8ft by the afternoon. The combined energy jumps way up (334 to 798), and the wind swings offshore from the west, which is going to clean it right up. Expect very good, clean surf conditions. That afternoon session is looking like the highlight, with strong offshore winds and a decent-sized swell. This one is expert territory at 8ft, so it’s all for the big dogs. Monday the 27th opens with a similar 7ft and clean offshore wind, another top session, before the swell backs off again. That window on the 26th and 27th is your clear winner.

To sum it up: the whole first half of July is a bust. Keep your eyes locked on Sunday the 26th of July and Monday the 27th – that’s where the magic is.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
S
11
0.2
ESE
8
0.2
S
11
0.1
S
20
0.2
S
13
0.1
E
10
2.2
S
10
2.4
S
11
1.5
S
8
2.2
S
8
2
S
8
1.7
S
8
1.4
SSE
7
0.9
S
6
0.9
S
11
0.8
S
10
1.3
E
7
1.4
E
8
1.5
E
9
1.4
ENE
9
1.3
ENE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
10
7
9
8
13
2
875
1271
317
670
533
329
180
65
178
121
168
229
380
326
270
Wind (km/h)
20
WNW
15
NW
20
WNW
20
WNW
10
SW
20
SW
15
SW
15
S
15
SW
20
SW
25
S
20
SSW
15
S
20
SSE
10
SSE
10
SE
15
SE
15
SE
15
ESE
10
ESE
10
ESE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
High Tide
7:13PM1.82m
8:03AM1.14m
8:04PM1.86m
8:55AM1.18m
8:54PM1.85m
9:44AM1.21m
9:42PM1.79m
10:32AM1.23m
10:29PM1.67m
11:20AM1.25m
11:15PM1.51m
12:09PM1.27m
00:01AM1.34m
Low Tide
12:36PM0.26m
2:06AM-0.02m
1:30PM0.24m
2:56AM-0.06m
2:23PM0.23m
3:43AM-0.06m
3:15PM0.24m
4:28AM-0.02m
4:07PM0.28m
5:10AM0.04m
5:01PM0.35m
5:51AM0.13m
5:59PM0.42m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:04
5:05
5:05
5:06
 mm
3
2
2
2
Temp °C
18
20
13
19
20
15
15
15
15
14
16
16
15
17
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
Feels °C
13
16
8
15
16
11
12
12
12
9
11
12
12
13
13
14
12
12
13
14
13
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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