Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 11s period, SE swell with 258 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.1m 11s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey crew, Rusty here. Let's talk about Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks. We've got a slow burn at the start, but a couple of days are looking real tasty.
The water is 64°, which is about normal for this time of year.
We're in for a long quiet spell. From now until Thursday the 6th of August, there's nothing worth talking about. Tiny, weak swells and messy conditions will keep your board in the car.
Thursday morning the 6th is the first time you might get wet. There's a 3ft swell from the south with a short 8-second period and weak energy (123). The wind is glassy though, so it's surfable, but it's pretty ordinary.
The next few days are a mix of small waves and tricky winds. Friday the 7th morning has a clean 3ft south swell with light offshore wind (149), but it's still not great. Saturday the 8th morning is glassy again with a weak 2ft south swell (98). It's all a bit meh until the real deal shows up.
Now, here's the one. Mark your calendar for the morning of Friday the 14th of August. We've got a solid 6ft south swell with a long 12-second period. The combined energy is a massive 1087, so there's some serious grunt behind it. With a light offshore wind from the southwest, it's going to be clean and lined up. This is a proper groundswell, so expect good shape, but at 6ft it's for the better surfers.
Saturday the 15th morning is another standout. You're looking at 7ft from the south with glassy conditions and energy at 909. It's big, clean, and powerful. If you're experienced, this is your time.
There's another good window from Sunday the 16th morning through Monday the 17th morning. Sunday has a 5ft south-southeast swell with glassy conditions (303), and Monday morning has a 5ft south-southeast swell with light offshore wind (482). Both are solid, clean options for competent surfers.
After that, it fades back into small stuff. Tuesday the 18th morning has a tiny 3ft south-southeast swell with glassy conditions (190), but it's the last of it.
So, the first week is a bust. The absolute best are the mornings of Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th of August. That's where the size, power, and clean conditions all line up for a proper session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 7 | E 11 | E 10 | E 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | NE 7 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 273 | 254 | 87 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 27 | 76 | 84 | 89 | 132 | 104 | 76 | 99 | 47 | 50 | 167 | 96 | 91 | 135 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-on | off | off | on | off | glassy | on | off | cross-off | cross | off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 11:16AM1.29m | 11:09PM1.35m | 12:01PM1.32m | 11:57PM1.24m | 12:52PM1.35m | 00:56AM1.12m | 1:51PM1.39m | 2:10AM1.03m | 2:58PM1.44m | 3:35AM0.98m | 4:06PM1.52m | 4:56AM1.00m | 5:11PM1.61m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:08PM0.40m | 5:35AM0.19m | 6:03PM0.43m | 6:16AM0.25m | 7:10PM0.45m | 7:05AM0.31m | 8:28PM0.44m | 8:05AM0.36m | 9:50PM0.38m | 9:15AM0.39m | 11:05PM0.28m | 10:25AM0.38m | 00:08AM0.16m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |  | | |
 | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — |
 | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 21 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 15 |
Feels °C | 17 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SW 5 | SSW 6 | E 7 | SSW 5 | S 6 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 273 | 254 | 87 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 76 | 84 | 89 | 132 | 104 | 76 | 99 | 47 | 50 | 31 | 96 | 91 | 135 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 21 | E 15 | NNE 4 | SE 10 | ESE 7 | E 11 | E 10 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 7 | SSE 10 | ENE 10 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | S 8 | ENE 10 | E 14 |
| kJ | 35 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 17 | 31 | 9 | 38 | 31 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 10 | 20 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | S 16 | E 15 | ESE 7 | SSE 10 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 12 | E 12 | E 16 | SE 13 | SSE 10 | ENE 6 | E 3 | ENE 7 | SSE 9 | E 15 | E 14 | S 8 | S 8 |
| kJ | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | NNE 3 | NW 4 | W 3 | — | SW 4 | WNW 3 | — | W 3 | — | — | NNE 3 | SW 3 | — | ENE 3 | — | NE 7 | NE 6 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 4 |
| kJ | 5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | 18 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | 4 | — | 49 | 167 | 1 | 4 | 17 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 128 | 42 | 0 | 95 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 349 | 26 | 8 | 26 | 112 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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