Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about Blue Bay. It’s a slow start, but the second week has some proper groundswell lined up if you can wait. The first few days are tiny, so don’t rush out.

Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th are flat. We’re talking 0.3ft to 1ft at best, with next to no energy. The wind is offshore or clean, but there’s nothing to ride. Tuesday the 14th is the same story – clean but tiny. Save your energy.

Wednesday the 15th of July brings a solid 8ft to 10ft swell from the south, but it’s short-period (8-9 seconds) and cross-offshore. The combined energy is strong (948 to 1560), but the wave quality is marginal. This is big, chunky, and only for experienced surfers. Beginners, stay on the beach. The water temp is about average for the time of year.

Thursday the 16th drops to 6ft to 8ft, but the period is a short 7 seconds, making for weak, crumbly waves. Light cross-offshore wind in the afternoon keeps it clean, but the energy is modest (359-604). Not the standout.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th are mixed. Friday has 7ft with cross-shore wind, creating chop. Saturday the 18th morning looks better: 8ft from the ESE, gentle offshore wind, and clean. The energy is 904. This is the first real sign of quality.

Now, the standout. Sunday the 19th of July is glassy. Yes, glassy. A 8ft east swell with an 11-second period and zero wind. The combined energy is 1258, and the conditions are described as “glassy.” This is the best on offer – clean, powerful, and lined up. Blue Bay is a reef, so that long-period groundswell will peel nicely. This spot is inconsistent, so to see it firing like this is a rare treat.

Monday the 20th keeps it going with 6ft from the east, gentle offshore wind, and clean conditions. Energy is 773-795. Very solid.

But the real heavy hitter is Tuesday the 21st of July. The swell jumps to 8ft from the ESE, with a long 12-second period, and moderate offshore wind. The combined energy hits 1652 – that’s strong, and the forecast says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” Over 8ft, so it’s too big for beginners. The long period means proper groundswell with long gaps between sets – great for paddling out, but it might close out at the beach. On a reef like Blue Bay, it’ll be a proper session.

Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd still have decent 5ft to 6ft swell, with Thursday morning (23rd) going glassy again. Another clean window.

The last few days from the 24th to the 27th fade out to small, weak surf – 2ft to 4ft, with low energy. The wind stays clean, but the swell is gone.

Bottom line: the first week is a bust. The second week, from the 18th through to the 23rd, is where it’s at. The absolute best days are Sunday the 19th (glassy, 8ft east) and Tuesday the 21st (8ft ESE, 12-second groundswell, offshore). If you’re after clean, powerful waves, those are the ones.

Rusty.

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