Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’re looking at a bit of a slow start, but there’s a promising pulse of solid south swell rolling in. The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real chance to get wet will be Thursday afternoon, the 30th of July. It’s a bit of a mixed bag though. We’ve got a 7 ft south swell with a 10-second period, and the combined energy is quite high (1209). The trouble is, the wind is a cross-shore from the south, so there’s a bit of chop on it. It’s surfable, but don’t expect perfection.

Now, Friday morning, the 31st, is where things start to look a bit better. The swell is still a solid 7 ft from the south, with a 10-second period, and the energy is cranking even higher (1401). The wind swings to a cross-offshore from the southwest, which will clean things up nicely. That’s your first real standout of the forecast. The waves will be clean, with some punch, but remember, at 7 ft, it’s getting a bit chunky for beginners.

Saturday morning, the 1st of August, the swell drops a touch to 5 ft from the south, with a 9-second period, and the energy is moderate (439). The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SSW, so conditions will be clean again. It’s a solid, fun morning, but not the standout.

The real highlight for the first week is actually Sunday morning, the 2nd of August. The swell is 5 ft from the SSE, but look at that period – 12 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, and the energy is pumping (981). The wind is a light cross-shore from the north, keeping it clean. This is a beautiful, long-period swell, and it’s going to offer up some well-shaped, powerful lines. This is your pick of the first week. The caveat with a long-period swell like this at a reef break like Blue Bay is that it can be a bit more focused and powerful, but that’s exactly what makes it a standout for the intermediate crew.

Monday afternoon, the 3rd of August, is worth a mention too. The swell drops to 3 ft from the SE, but it’s a 11-second period, and the wind is a light offshore from the WNW. The energy is low (199), but it’ll be glassy clean, making for a nice, mellow session.

After that, we hit a bit of a flat spell. From Tuesday the 4th through to Friday the 14th of August, the surf is mostly small, inconsistent, or just plain ordinary. There are a few tiny pulses here and there, like Wednesday morning the 5th with a 5 ft swell and clean offshore winds, but the energy is only moderate (417) and it’s not going to be a big day. It’s a long gap of mostly poor conditions, so don’t get your hopes up for that stretch.

Then, just when you think it’s all over, the forecast throws a curveball. Friday afternoon, the 14th of August, a big spike of swell hits. We’re looking at 10 ft from the south with a 9-second period, and the energy is massive (1642). That’s a lot of power. But the wind is a cross-shore from the south, and it’s described as marginal. For an expert crew, this could be a massive, heavy session, but it’s a long way out and the conditions are a bit iffy. It’s a promising but less certain standout for the second week.

So, to wrap it up: Friday morning the 31st of July is your first reliable clean swell, and Sunday morning the 2nd of August is the absolute pick of the first week with that beautiful groundswell. Keep an eye on that Friday the 14th of August for a potential big one, but don’t book the time off just yet.

Rusty.

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