Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,749 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 10s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks.
The pattern starts slow, but the second half of the forecast is where the real swell shows up. You’ll be waiting a while, but it’s worth it.
The first few days are pretty weak. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th have surfable waves, but the conditions are ordinary and the swell is small. Not worth getting excited about. Saturday morning the 25th is the first real glimpse of quality. A 6ft south swell with an 11-second period, light offshore wind from the WNW, and combined energy at 817 (moderate). It’s inconsistent here, so you’ll be waiting between sets, but when they come, they’ll be clean and well-shaped.
Sunday morning the 26th is similar – 6ft south swell, 12-second period, light cross-off breeze, clean conditions (892 energy). This is classic Blue Bay. After that, Monday and Tuesday drop right off into tiny, weak waves and poor winds. A bit of a lull.
Then there’s a big jump. Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th bring a massive 15ft south swell with a 12-second period, but the energy is pumping at 8957 (very strong) and the wind is a fresh 35 km/h cross-off. This is way too big for anyone except experts, and even then, it’s marginal. Friday the 31st stays big and messy.
The standout is Saturday morning the 1st of August. A clean 8ft swell from the SSE with an 11-second period, light offshore wind from the WSW, and 1388 combined energy. The swell direction is a perfect match for the reef. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers – powerful, clean, and lined up. Crowds are possible, but the quality will be worth it.
Sunday morning the 2nd of August has a smaller, glassy 5ft swell (578 energy) – a nice backup session. After that, the surf dies down again into small, weak, and onshore conditions for the first half of the following week.
Looking further ahead, Wednesday morning the 5th of August brings a 10ft SE swell with an 8-second period. The wind is a clean 15 km/h offshore. This is a big, short-period swell, so it’ll be powerful and a bit lumpy, but with offshore wind, the waves will hold up. At 10ft, this is for experts only. The combined energy is strong at 1007.
Best bet: Saturday morning the 1st of August. That’s the one to aim for. The water temp is about average for the time of year. Blue Bay is inconsistent, but when it’s on, it’s special.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Thu night, calm by Fri afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 153 | 116 | 90 | 44 | 546 | 585 | 1837 | 797 | 416 | 348 | 885 | 564 | 314 | 235 | 154 | 84 | 29 | 9 | 6 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | off | on | off | glassy | on | off |
High Tide | 2:54AM0.93m | 3:41PM1.32m | 4:07AM0.89m | 4:36PM1.36m | 5:13AM0.89m | 5:26PM1.40m | 6:08AM0.93m | 6:12PM1.46m | 6:53AM0.97m | 6:53PM1.52m | 7:33AM1.02m | 7:32PM1.57m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:42AM0.45m | 10:38PM0.50m | 9:37AM0.49m | 11:38PM0.44m | 10:34AM0.49m | 00:26AM0.38m | 11:27AM0.47m | 1:07AM0.32m | 12:14PM0.43m | 1:44AM0.26m | 12:57PM0.39m | 2:19AM0.21m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | |  | |  | | |
 | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 18 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 12 | 15 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 9 |
| kJ | 153 | 116 | 90 | 44 | 546 | 585 | 1837 | 797 | 416 | 348 | 885 | 564 | 314 | 235 | 154 | 84 | 29 | 9 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SSW 4 | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSE 17 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | SE 16 | NE 5 | SE 7 | SE 7 |
| kJ | 20 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 92 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 10 | SSW 4 | SE 8 | SE 7 | S 19 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 8 | E 8 | — | — | SE 17 | SE 14 | NE 8 | SE 7 | ENE 5 | NE 6 |
| kJ | — | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | — | 12 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 3 | WNW 3 | — | SSW 6 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 |
| kJ | 2 | 1 | — | 197 | 799 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 0 | 9 | 366 | 335 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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