
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 11s period, S swell with 1,482 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.8m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.4m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m lookin’ at the next couple of weeks for Blue Bay.
Straight up, there’s a bit of a slow start. The beginning of this outlook is pretty flat, with barely a ripple. The first real chance to get wet is Thursday morning, the 30th of July. But even then, it’s not a classic. The swell bumps up to 6ft from the South, with a period around 10 seconds, giving a moderate energy (648). The wind is light offshore, so it’ll be clean, but the quality is just okay. Not a day to call in sick for.
Now, hold on to your board, because the real standout is Friday morning, the 31st of July. This is the one. The swell is a solid 7ft from the South, with an 11-second period, driving a powerful energy (1942). The wind is a gentle cross-offshore from the SW, keeping the surface clean. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. It’s a bit of a beast, so if you’re not confident, sit this one out. The water is sitting at a normal 65°, about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.
Saturday morning, the 1st of August, is a close second. The swell drops a touch to 5ft from the SSE, but the wind goes glassy. Glassy! That’s a major positive. The energy is still moderate (522), and the conditions will be clean and smooth. A great session for intermediates who want a bit of size without the full-on power of Friday.
The rest of the first week fades out quick. From Sunday afternoon onwards, the winds get messy, turning cross-onshore, and the swell drops off. Monday and Tuesday, the 3rd and 4th of August, are small and ordinary, with the energy dropping into the low double digits – you’re just paddling around.
The second week (from the 5th of August onwards) is a write-off. The swell tries to pick up a few times, hitting 6ft to 7ft, but the wind is consistently onshore or cross-onshore, strong and choppy. It’s just poor surf conditions day after day. There’s a period around the 7th and 8th with some decent energy, but it’s blown out. Honestly, that sort of setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. The waves are there, but the quality is wrecked.
So, to sum it up: the first week has a couple of gems, especially Friday the 31st and Saturday the 1st. The rest of the outlook is a long, flat, or blown-out stretch. If you can, get out there on that Friday morning. That’s the best on offer.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 15 | S 17 | S 16 | S 14 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
24 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 641 | 373 | 1001 | 1109 | 818 | 618 | 463 | 407 | 290 | 382 | 251 | 216 | 133 | 69 | 46 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:32PM1.57m | 8:10AM1.07m | 8:08PM1.60m | 8:46AM1.11m | 8:43PM1.60m | 9:22AM1.16m | 9:17PM1.58m | 9:58AM1.20m | 9:52PM1.53m | 10:36AM1.25m | 10:28PM1.45m | 11:16AM1.29m | 11:09PM1.35m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:19AM0.21m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:52AM0.17m | 2:16PM0.34m | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.34m | 3:55AM0.13m | 3:36PM0.35m | 4:26AM0.13m | 4:19PM0.37m | 4:59AM0.16m | 5:08PM0.40m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 15 |
Feels °C | 17 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 16 | ENE 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 |
24 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 641 | 373 | 1001 | 826 | 818 | 618 | 463 | 407 | 290 | 382 | 251 | 216 | 133 | 69 | 46 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | SE 7 | S 17 | S 7 | S 14 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | SE 14 | SSE 13 | SSE 11 | NE 6 | SSE 13 | NE 5 | ENE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 6 |
12 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 54 | 102 | 145 | 1 | 111 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 15 | S 15 | SE 6 | SE 6 | S 13 | E 12 | E 12 | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 6 | NE 9 | S 22 | S 22 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 5 |
8 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 37 | 5 | 5 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | WSW 4 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | S 11 | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | ENE 3 | NE 5 | NW 3 | NW 3 | SW 4 |
3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 60 | — | — | — | 1109 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 62 | 2 | 2 | 14 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 19 | 95 | 536 | 229 | 38 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










