Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with 1,924 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let's talk about what's in the water at Blue Bay for the next couple of weeks.
It starts off real quiet. Monday and Tuesday we got barely a ripple, so don't bother getting wet. The wave energy is weak. But don't be fooled, because the end of the week has some serious potential.
Thursday the 30th is the first real standout. We're looking at a solid 8ft swell from the south. That's going to pack a punch with the wave energy pushing over 1900. The morning has clean, offshore wind, making for some prime conditions. That's a day for the experienced surfer only.
Friday the 31st stays good with a 6ft south swell and clean morning conditions (692 energy).
Keep an eye on Saturday the 8th of August. There's another big pulse of groundswell coming in from the SSE at about 8ft with a 12-second period. That's the kind of long-period energy that makes a reef break like Blue Bay really shine. The morning is showing glassy conditions. That's a session to mark in the calendar, but it's a long ways out, so keep checking.
Also, the morning of the 5th of August looks special with an 8ft S swell and over 2100 energy and clean wind. That's for the big dogs only, though.
In between, there are surfable days, but the wind often gets messy in the afternoons, ruining the surface. Blue Bay is an inconsistent reef, so you gotta be patient. But when the stars align with a solid SSE swell and good wind, especially on the 30th of July and the 8th of August, it's as good as it gets around here.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri night, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 15 | S 17 | S 16 | NE 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 371 | 235 | 185 | 86 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 10 | 1158 | 625 | 1049 | 687 | 557 | 460 | 311 | 281 | 230 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 6:53AM0.97m | 6:53PM1.52m | 7:33AM1.02m | 7:32PM1.57m | 8:10AM1.07m | 8:08PM1.60m | 8:46AM1.11m | 8:43PM1.60m | 9:22AM1.16m | 9:17PM1.58m | 9:58AM1.20m | 9:52PM1.53m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:07AM0.32m | 12:14PM0.43m | 1:44AM0.26m | 12:57PM0.39m | 2:19AM0.21m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:52AM0.17m | 2:16PM0.34m | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.34m | 3:55AM0.13m | 3:36PM0.35m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  |  |  | |
 | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 20 | 20 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | ENE 7 | NE 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 371 | 235 | 185 | 86 | 41 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 780 | 625 | 1049 | 687 | 557 | 460 | 311 | 281 | 230 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | SE 16 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 6 | S 16 | S 15 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | — | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 8 | S 14 | SSE 12 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 59 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 17 | SE 14 | E 8 | NE 4 | SE 15 | S 15 | S 17 | SE 6 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | S 16 | ENE 7 | S 13 |
| kJ | — | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NE 4 | NW 2 | NNW 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | WSW 3 | SSW 6 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 1158 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 63 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 95 | 219 | 150 | 26 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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