Blue Bay surfForecast / NSW – Newcastle / Australia

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 9 am Monday 04 May 2026 AEST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
23.1° C
(Which is 1.5°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (May 05) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (May 11) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 11s period and expected on Friday (May 08) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Tue 5th May)7ft (2.1m) 10s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 8th May)10ft (3.0m) 11s
Most Powerful 4AM (Mon 11th May)8ft (2.5m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 21°C on Tue morning, min 14°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Thu morning, calm by Sat night).

Monday
4
Tuesday
5
Wednesday
6
Thursday
7
Friday
8
Saturday
9
Sunday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
1
3
3
1
2
3
0
2
2
0
1
3
2
4
4
1
3
3
2
4
Swell
Height Map
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
E
10
2
E
10
2.1
E
10
1.9
ENE
11
1.7
E
11
1.6
E
11
1.6
E
10
1.5
E
10
1.4
E
10
1.3
E
10
1.1
E
10
0.8
E
10
3.5
S
12
3.5
S
12
2.5
S
11
2.5
S
10
2.2
S
10
2.2
S
11
1.8
S
10
1.8
S
10
2.4
S
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
799
816
951
894
707
606
562
467
400
332
235
120
3213
3588
1768
1334
976
1109
676
689
3287
Wind (km/h)
5
NNW
10
NNE
10
NW
15
WSW
10
ESE
10
SW
5
SSW
10
E
15
NW
25
W
30
WSW
25
WSW
20
WSW
25
SW
15
W
10
SW
15
SSE
10
W
10
SW
15
SSE
15
SSW
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
on
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
9:42PM1.51m
10:26AM1.01m
10:21PM1.46m
11:11AM0.96m
11:04PM1.41m
12:03PM0.93m
11:51PM1.35m
1:04PM0.93m
00:44AM1.31m
2:11PM0.96m
1:42AM1.28m
3:12PM1.04m
2:43AM1.27m
Low Tide
3:11PM0.41m
4:33AM0.26m
3:46PM0.46m
5:17AM0.31m
4:25PM0.51m
6:06AM0.35m
5:11PM0.56m
6:59AM0.37m
6:08PM0.61m
7:53AM0.36m
7:18PM0.63m
8:46AM0.32m
8:35PM0.62m
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:28
6:30
6:30
6:31
6:31
6:33
6:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:10
5:10
5:09
5:08
5:07
5:07
5:06
1
4
Temp °C
19
20
18
21
21
19
18
20
18
17
15
11
17
18
13
19
18
17
18
19
19
19
19
17
18
18
17
17
18
15
11
6
3
10
12
8
16
15
16
16
17
17
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
E
10
2
E
10
2.1
E
10
1.9
ENE
11
1.7
E
11
1.6
E
11
1.6
E
10
1.5
E
10
1.4
E
10
1.3
E
10
1.1
E
10
0.8
E
10
3.5
S
12
3.5
S
12
2.5
S
11
2.5
S
10
2.2
S
10
2.2
S
11
1.8
S
10
1.8
S
10
2.4
S
17
Energy kJ
799
816
951
894
707
606
562
467
400
332
235
120
3213
3588
1768
1334
976
1109
676
689
3287
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
10
0.1
S
17
0.1
S
16
0.5
S
5
0.2
S
18
0.6
S
10
0.8
S
8
0.5
S
7
0.3
S
6
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
15
0.6
E
10
0.5
E
10
0.5
E
10
0.5
E
11
0.5
E
11
0.5
E
10
1
S
17
1
S
15
0.5
E
11
Energy kJ
2
2
6
5
12
24
74
84
23
7
9
17
68
53
55
57
58
53
579
458
57
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
18
0.1
S
16
0.1
N
10
0.3
S
16
0.3
S
14
0.2
S
13
0.2
S
12
0.1
S
17
0.1
N
10
0.1
S
19
0.2
S
18
0.5
E
10
0.5
E
10
0.5
E
10
Energy kJ
7
5
2
46
35
13
11
6
2
7
26
51
54
56
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NW
3
0.4
SSW
4
0.3
S
5
0.8
NNE
4
0.5
W
3
1.2
WSW
4
2.2
SSW
8
Energy kJ
2
5
4
19
5
52
678
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
3
2
3
2
2
2
2
1
4
5
4
4
3
3
3
4
4
Distance (km)
0
0
0
0
11
0
0
216
0
0
219
0
11
112
0
0
11
0
0
11
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
5
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
3
4
5
5
2
4
4
7
9
4
4
4
5
5
4
5
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
5
5
4
5
9
9
5
6
5
9
7
9
6
5
4
5
9
4
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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