Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s be straight with you. Blue Bay is looking pretty damn flat and grubby for the next couple of weeks. There’s one solid pulse, but you’re gonna have to dig deep for patience before it shows up.

Water temp is 18°, which is normal for this time of year, so the rubber is going on as usual.

The first real action hits Wednesday, the 16th of September. Overnight, the swell jumps to a solid 3.5m from the south with a 10-second period. The energy is cracking, with a combined reading of 2453. The early morning has a SW cross-offshore wind around 30 km/h, keeping things clean. This is serious size, though—only for the experienced lot. It backs off just a fraction Thursday morning, the 17th, to 3.0m, still from the south with that 10-second period, but the energy climbs even higher to 3193. The wind is lighter, out of the SSW at 20 km/h, and it’s clean. That’s your standout session. The wave comment is “marginal” due to tides, but it’s the best on offer.

After that, it's a slow fade. Friday the 18th has a smaller 1.6m, but the NE cross-onshore messes it up. Saturday the 19th, you get a glassy 1.0m of weak surf and only 261 energy. Surfable, but nothing to write home about.

Then the real drought hits. From Sunday the 20th onward, it's all poor surf. We see a brief bump on Tuesday the 22nd with 2.4m from the south at 9 seconds, but the cross-shore wind and chop kill it. The energy is moderate, around 965, but the quality is just not there. From the 23rd to the end of the month, it’s a real grind. The winds turn NE and stay cross-onshore, sometimes fresh and lumpy at 35 km/h. The swell stays weak, mostly under 2 meters, with short periods of 6-8 seconds. The energy readings are pathetic, sitting in the 100-300 range, and every single report says “poor surf conditions.”

There is a small bump on the 24th with 2.1m, but a fresh 35 km/h cross-onshore makes it a complete write-off. Even a period jump to 12 seconds on the 24th morning can't save it from the wind.

So, here’s the deal: if you can get out on Thursday morning, the 17th, that’s your window. Otherwise, you might as well stay home. With those persistent cross-shore winds and lumpy waves, Blue Bay is going to be more interesting for someone towing a kite than paddling a board. It’s a frustrating stretch, but it happens. Forecasts can change, but right now, that’s the story.

Rusty.

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