
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SE swell with 2,717 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.9m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 1.3m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let’s talk about Blue Bay. This reef break is pretty inconsistent, so when it does get going, you’ve got to pay attention. Fairly exposed to the south-southeast, and it likes a good SSE swell. The water’s sitting around 66°F – pretty average for this time of year, nothing unusual.
Looking at the next couple of weeks, we’ve got a slow start with marginal, choppy surf through the 7th and 8th. The 9th morning cleans up a bit with a light cross-off breeze and 7 ft SE swell – decent but nothing to write home about. The 10th and 11th are small and mediocre. Then there’s a real quiet patch from the 12th through the 14th with tiny, weak waves (combined energy dropping to as low as 14 – that’s barely a ripple). Don’t bother.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The 15th Wednesday morning: 5 ft S swell with a 12-second period, light offshore from the WSW at 3 mph, clean face – very good conditions for an intermediate. Energy’s moderate at 690.
But the real standout is Thursday the 16th morning. Swell jumps to 5 ft from the south, but the period hits 16 seconds – that’s very long-period groundswell, packing serious punch. Combined energy is 2151 – strong. Offshore WSW wind at 6 mph, clean. The guide calls it “excellent for experienced surfers” – and at 5 ft with that long period, it’ll be powerful and a bit wonky at a beach break, but Blue Bay is a reef, so it should hold nicely. Just keep in mind the longer period means longer lulls, but the sets will be well-shaped. Crowds are sometimes an issue here – so get in early.
The rest of the second week fades: Friday the 17th morning still good (6 ft S, 11s, offshore) but then the weekend gets messy with onshores and smaller swell. By the 20th the wind picks up and it’s mostly poor.
So overall: mark your calendar for Thursday morning July 16 – that’s the one to chase. Wednesday morning the 15th is a solid backup too. The rest is a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tue 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | S 6 | S 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
3046 | 2330 | 1630 | 1227 | 999 | 753 | 602 | 481 | 373 | 450 | 350 | 202 | 153 | 180 | 94 | 55 | 32 | 14 | 30 | 133 | 75 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:18AM1.20m | 2:29PM1.33m | 2:25AM1.12m | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | 4:57AM1.05m | 5:23PM1.64m | 6:06AM1.07m | 6:19PM1.74m | 7:08AM1.11m | 7:13PM1.82m | 8:03AM1.14m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:29PM0.53m | 7:46AM0.24m | 8:44PM0.49m | 8:39AM0.27m | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:11PM0.30m | 10:38AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.17m | 11:38AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.06m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:06AM-0.02m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | |
4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | 5:02 | |
mm | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 17 | 18 | 11 | 14 |
Feels °C | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 16 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | S 6 | S 10 | S 7 |
— | 20 | 1630 | 1227 | 712 | 753 | 602 | 481 | 373 | 450 | 350 | 202 | 120 | 180 | 94 | 55 | 30 | 65 | 30 | 133 | 51 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 16 | SE 12 | S 21 | ESE 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 9 | SSW 10 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | S 10 |
— | — | 223 | 335 | 421 | 186 | 38 | 5 | 98 | 9 | 63 | 169 | 153 | 46 | 25 | 16 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 75 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 16 | S 15 | S 18 | S 17 | — | S 15 | — | S 17 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | NNW 4 | S 12 | SSE 8 | ESE 8 | S 11 | E 10 | E 7 |
— | — | — | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | — | 5 | — | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SE 11 | — | — | SSE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 2 | NNW 2 | NW 3 | W 4 | SW 5 | W 3 | WNW 3 | — | WSW 3 | — |
3046 | 2330 | — | — | 999 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 41 | 6 | 1 | — | 3 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 166 | 158 | 30 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











