Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what Blue Bay has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

The pattern starts off a bit flat and ordinary, but there’s a proper pulse of S swell coming through that will wake things up. The standout period is tightly focused around Friday the 24th through Sunday the 26th, with a solid, clean swell that’s well worth paddling out for. The water temp is running about average for the time of year, nothing weird, just normal summer conditions.

We kick off on Wednesday the 22nd with small, weak 4 ft ENE swell and a light cross-off breeze. It’s clean but the energy is low (239). Not going to get the heart pumping. Thursday the 23rd stays similar with 3 ft swell and a gentle offshore wind in the morning – surfable, but still very ordinary.

Then Friday the 24th morning is where it really starts to fire. Blue Bay gets a jump in size to 8 ft from the S, with a 10-second period, and the combined energy pumps up to 1727. That’s moderate-to-strong energy. The wind is clean cross-off. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers – it’s getting solid, but it’s still manageable for a confident intermediate. If you’re a beginner, that’s too big and you’ll want to sit this one out. The Friday afternoon session turns onshore and messy, so get on it early.

Saturday the 25th morning is another highlight. Swell is 6 ft from the S, 11-second period, with offshore wind from the W. It’s clean, lined up, and the energy is still pumping (769). This is a prime session. The crowd factor is a possibility here, because Blue Bay can get busy when it’s good, but it’s worth it.

Sunday the 26th morning holds on nicely with 6 ft S swell and a light cross-off breeze. Still clean, still fun. The energy is moderate (643). After that, things drop off quickly. Monday the 27th goes back to small and ordinary, and Tuesday the 28th is flat with barely a ripple.

There’s a long gap of quiet, small surf from Monday the 27th through to the end of the month. The water goes glassy on the morning of Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th, but with only 2 ft to 4 ft of weak S swell, it’s not really worth the paddle.

Looking further out, the first week of August brings a new pulse of S swell, but it’s a bit rough around the edges. Wednesday the 30th of July is a write-off: 10 ft S swell but with strong cross-on winds and risk of thunderstorms. That’s a messy, dangerous combo for anything but a boat. The wind is too strong for clean surfing, and the size is only for experts.

On Friday the 31st of July morning, we get a brief window of hope: 5 ft S swell, 10-second period, with offshore wind from the W. The energy is moderate (500), and it’s clean. That’s a decent session if you’re keen.

The first few days of August are a mix of small, clean, but weak surf. The best of that run is Monday the 3rd of August morning with 6 ft S swell and cross-off wind, but the period is short at 7 seconds, and the energy is moderate (370). It’s surfable but not the quality of the late July standout.

The real bright spot in the second week is Tuesday the 4th of August afternoon: 4 ft SSE swell, light cross-off wind, and clean conditions. The energy is moderate (320). It’s a fun, mellow session for the afternoon. Then Wednesday the 5th of August morning has 5 ft SE swell with a moderate offshore wind – clean, but the period is short at 8 seconds. It’s okay, but not a standout.

Overall, if you’ve got a window, make it Friday the 24th or Saturday the 25th. That’s the best of the lot. The rest is either small, windy, or just ordinary.

Rusty.

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