
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,124 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here, looking at the surf for Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, with a few moments of absolute magic if you can pick your window, but plenty of time to kick back and wait for the good ones.
The first few days are a write-off, with tiny, weak surf and onshore winds that are just plain ugly. There's a gap of no real surf until the 7th.
The real standout is the morning of the 11th. That Friday is looking like the pick of the bunch. We've got a solid 7 ft S swell rolling in, a period of 11 seconds, and the combined energy is pumping at 1051 – that's a proper moderate to strong push. The absolute beauty is the wind: glassy, with a light WNW breeze. That means clean, peeling faces all morning. This is a confident, near-term call, and it’s the one to circle on the calendar. With the longer period, the waves will have some shape and power, but it might be a bit much for beginners at over 5 ft.
Monday morning the 7th is also worth a mention, with a 5 ft S swell and glassy W wind, giving you clean conditions. The energy is moderate at 357, so it’s a solid session, just not as powerful as the 11th.
Later in the week, the Friday afternoon of the 18th shapes up as a promising long-range option. We’ve got a 5 ft SSE swell, a period of 10 seconds, and a clean offshore WNW breeze at 12 mph. The energy is moderate at 389. It’s a bit further out, so less certain, but the ingredients are there for a good end to the week.
The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.
Alright, keep your eyes on that Friday the 11th morning. That's the one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 25°C on Sat night, min 15°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the S by Mon night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Wed morning, calm by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | NE 7 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | S 7 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
44 | 15 | 135 | 1546 | 347 | 297 | 380 | 965 | 647 | 375 | 281 | 537 | 2065 | 1454 | 1409 | 1688 | 1011 | 745 | 586 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:44AM0.96m | 3:54PM1.49m | 4:59AM1.02m | 5:00PM1.56m | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:08AM0.47m | 10:57PM0.24m | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:28AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.28m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | |||||||
— | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 22 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | SSW 7 | NE 6 | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | E 11 | E 10 | SSE 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | ENE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 17 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 |
23 | 60 | 6 | 1546 | 347 | 297 | 9 | 7 | 647 | 375 | 281 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 448 | 1688 | 1011 | 745 | 586 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | NE 7 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 8 | — | E 10 | SE 9 | ENE 9 | E 17 | E 16 | SSE 23 | SE 9 | ESE 8 | S 21 | E 14 | ENE 13 |
44 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 1 | — | 8 | 145 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 104 | 22 | 7 | 36 | 14 | 18 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 11 | S 15 | NE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | — | — | ENE 10 | E 10 | SE 10 | — | NE 16 | E 16 | E 15 | S 24 | E 15 | E 9 | ENE 13 |
9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | — | 9 | 7 | 4 | — | 10 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 4 | 2 | 18 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 2 | W 3 | S 8 | — | — | — | S 7 | S 9 | — | — | NW 3 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | — |
1 | 3 | 135 | — | — | — | 380 | 965 | — | — | 2 | 537 | 2065 | 1454 | 1409 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 13 | 607 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 161 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 296 | 41 | 11 | 158 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










