Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

First up, we’ve got a stretch of small, ordinary surf at Blue Bay (reef). The early days are pretty weak. Saturday the 29th morning is offering up a little 4ft SSE swell but the wind is cross/cross-on and the wave energy is moderate (340) – it’s a bit messy and the afternoon looks even worse. Not worth getting wet for.

Sunday the 30th morning is the first real glimmer. The swell has dropped to 3ft from the S but the wind goes *glass* – dead calm. The wave energy is still moderate (267) and the period is a short 9 seconds, so it’ll be a bit fat and weak, but it’ll be clean as a whistle. That’s your best window in the first few days.

The next few days are a grind. Monday the 31st through to Saturday the 5th of September see small surf, mostly around 2ft to 3ft, with periods all over the shop. The wind is often cross or onshore, and the energy stays low to moderate (53 to 373). Tuesday the 1st of September morning has a tiny window with a 3ft S swell and 11-second period, but the wind is cross. It’s just not doing much.

Sunday the 6th of September morning sees a bump back to 4ft from the S with a 9-second period and a moderate energy (311), but the wind is cross. It’s a marginal session.

The real story is the second week. A solid pulse of south swell arrives Monday the 7th of September afternoon, but the wind is howling offshore at 25 mph. The swell jumps to 7ft from the S, with a 9-second period and strong energy (699). That offshore wind is clean, but it's strong offshore – hard to paddle into, and the short period means it’ll be a bit walled-up. This is a proper expert-only session.

Tuesday the 8th of September is similar: 6ft to 7ft from the S, periods 10-11 seconds, and strong offshore wind (22-25 mph). The energy is strong (725 to 1126). The afternoon Tuesday has a fresh offshore breeze and a 7ft S swell with 11 seconds – that’s a proper, powerful wave. But again, that wind is a battle.

The standout is Wednesday the 9th of September morning. The swell peaks at 8ft from the S, with a 12-second period and very strong wave energy (1912). The wind is a moderate offshore from the SW, creating clean conditions. This is a big, powerful groundswell – perfect for a reef like Blue Bay. The sets will be long and clean, but at 8ft, this is for experienced surfers only. The water is a bit cooler than average for this time of year, sitting at 64°, which is about normal for late August.

Thursday the 10th of September morning is another gem. A 7ft SSE swell with a 12-second period, and the wind is *glass* again. The energy is very strong (1140). That’s the best combo of the whole forecast: a solid, clean groundswell with zero wind. It’ll be a bit bigger than the previous standout, but just as clean.

Friday the 11th of September morning is also a beauty: 4ft SSE swell, 12-second period, glassy conditions, and strong energy (705). It’s a smaller, cleaner version of Thursday.

After that, the swell drops away quickly. The weekend of the 12th and 13th of September is back to tiny, weak surf (1ft to 3ft) with cross or cross-on winds and low energy (111 to 264). Not worth it.

The one true standout in the whole 16 days is Thursday the 10th of September morning at Blue Bay: 7ft SSE groundswell, glassy conditions, and very strong energy. That’s the session to circle on the calendar. Wednesday the 9th morning is a close second for the sheer power, but the wind is a bit stronger.

Rusty.

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