
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 9s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with 3,286 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 21) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 17th Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming up for Blue Bay.
First thing you need to know – there’s almost nothing doing for the first couple of days. Monday and Tuesday the 14th and 15th are a write-off. Tiny, choppy, and messy with onshore winds. Just leave the board in the car. It’s not looking good at all.
The first real glimmer of hope pops up on Wednesday the 16th. We get a solid 12ft swell rolling in from the south, with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is strong (2208). The morning has a clean look with a cross-offshore wind, but the size is pushing it – only for experienced surfers at 12ft. The afternoon goes lumpy and choppy again, so the window is tight.
Thursday the 17th keeps the energy up with a 10ft south swell (2232) and clean conditions in the morning. Again, this is expert territory. The swell is still solid, but the wind is workable. The afternoon gets a bit bumpy again, so early is the play.
The standout of the whole run, in my books, is Saturday the 19th in the morning. We get a small 2ft south groundswell, but check it – the period is a very long 16 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (279), and the wind is glassy. Zero wind. That means clean, glassy conditions. For a reef break like Blue Bay that likes a longer period, this could be a real gem. Just note it’s an inconsistent spot, so you might wait for sets, but when they come, they’ll be clean. Also, crowds are possible here sometimes, so don’t be surprised if a few others have the same idea.
After that, it gets a bit average again. The swell drops off, and winds turn onshore or cross-shore for most of the second week. There’s a pulse of bigger swell around the 21st and 22nd with 8ft to 10ft south swell, but the winds are mostly cross-onshore and choppy, so not a great look. Monday the 28th and Tuesday the 29th show another big south swell – 8ft to 10ft with moderate energy in the thousands – but again, the wind isn’t cooperating, and the conditions are described as marginal. Only for the hardcore.
To be honest, Saturday morning the 19th is the only one I’d really circle. The rest is either too big and messy, or too small and blown out. Keep an eye on the long-range stuff for the 28th and 29th – it’s promising but way out there, so don’t bank on it yet.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Mon night, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 11 | NE 6 | NE 7 | ENE 6 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 16 | S 16 | S 8 | S 9 | S 12 | NE 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
132 | 82 | 136 | 46 | 37 | 707 | 2168 | 2402 | 3152 | 2222 | 1403 | 552 | 304 | 329 | 241 | 172 | 124 | 51 | 23 | 12 | 11 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-on | cross-on | off | glassy | on | off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:13PM1.25m | 10:34AM1.46m | 10:54PM1.12m | 11:13AM1.40m | 11:39PM1.01m | 11:59AM1.34m | 00:34AM0.92m | 12:55PM1.27m | 1:48AM0.86m | 2:04PM1.24m | 3:16AM0.87m | 3:16PM1.25m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 4:15PM0.24m | 4:10AM0.28m | 5:01PM0.31m | 4:42AM0.37m | 5:51PM0.39m | 5:18AM0.46m | 6:50PM0.46m | 6:02AM0.54m | 8:03PM0.50m | 7:03AM0.59m | 9:21PM0.50m | 8:23AM0.62m | 10:27PM0.45m | ||||||||
5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | |
— | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 24 | 22 | 19 | 28 | 31 | 25 |
Feels °C | 19 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 24 | 27 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 11 | NE 6 | NE 7 | ENE 6 | NE 7 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 | E 13 | E 13 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | NE 6 |
132 | 82 | 75 | 46 | 37 | 7 | 20 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 1102 | 552 | 304 | 329 | 241 | 99 | 103 | 51 | 23 | 12 | 11 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | ENE 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | E 14 | ENE 14 | — | — | NE 13 | S 19 | E 13 | S 18 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 16 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 6 | N 3 |
33 | 15 | 50 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 20 | — | — | 7 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 55 | 199 | 172 | 124 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 13 | — | ENE 12 | E 13 | E 13 | S 16 | — | — | — | — | E 13 | S 19 | E 12 | E 12 | ENE 4 | ESE 7 | SE 9 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | — |
17 | — | 15 | 3 | 14 | 5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 3 | 11 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NE 5 | NE 6 | — | S 4 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | E 7 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | SW 11 |
52 | 56 | 136 | — | 6 | 707 | 2168 | 2402 | 3152 | 2222 | 1403 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 57 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 81 | 0 | 11 | 764 | 158 | 791 | 776 | 41 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 0 | 42 | 353 | 8 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










