Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break it down. The forecast starts Friday, August 28, and runs 16 days to Saturday, September 12. There’s a quiet spell in the middle, but the first couple days and a big pulse early in the second week are where you want to be.

First spot is Blue Bay (a reef break, open to SSE swells). Friday morning, August 28, hits with a 6 ft swell out of the SSE, period 11 seconds – solid groundswell, good for a reef, not too fat. Wind is dead calm, glassy as glass. Combined energy reads 812 – moderate, but enough to get a good session. Water temp is 64°, right around average for the season. This is the clear winner: clean, fun, manageable size. Friday morning is the call.

Friday afternoon the wind swings SE and ruins it with cross-on chop. Saturday morning, August 29, is still okay: 4 ft, same direction, light cross-off breeze keeps it rideable. Not as good, but surfable.

Sunday morning, August 30, drops to 3 ft from the south, period 9 seconds, with a glassy north-northwest wind. Small but clean – longboard weather.

Monday morning, August 31, another glassy start with 4 ft south swell, period 8 seconds. Clean, but no power.

Then things go quiet. From Tuesday, September 1, through Thursday, September 3, swell drops below 3 ft and energy numbers fall to weak levels – down to 91 by Thursday. A few clean windows, but tiny waves. Friday and Saturday, September 4 and 5, are nearly flat. That’s the dry spell.

Sunday, September 6, sees a 3 ft south swell with a stiff 15 mph west offshore wind. Clean but modest – not a standout.

Now the big one: Monday, September 7 morning. Swell jumps to 12 ft from the south, period 10 seconds. Combined energy hits 2581 – that’s powerful surf. But wind is light cross-on from the NE, so it won’t be clean. A 12 ft wave on a reef with cross-on breeze is only for experts, and it’s inconsistent. Huge, but ugly. Afternoon stays big (10 ft) and gets choppy.

Tuesday, September 8, still holds 8 ft in the morning, period 12 seconds, energy at 2406. Again, light cross-on wind. Experts only.

From Wednesday, September 9 onward, swell fades and everything goes small and weak. No more standouts. Saturday morning, September 12, has a 3 ft south swell with offshore wind and clean conditions, but it’s ordinary.

Best bet: Friday morning, August 28 at Blue Bay – glassy and fun. For the big-wave crew, Monday morning, September 7 is the heavy one, but only if you’re confident in big, bumpy reef surf.
Rusty.

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