Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break it down. We’ve only got Blue Bay (Mauritius) on the menu, and it’s a finicky reef that doesn’t fire often. The first real chance to surf doesn’t roll in until this Sunday morning, the 9th of August, with waves that are just okay. You’ll be waiting a bit if you’re keen.

Sunday morning, the 9th, you’re looking at small 3ft waves from the ENE with a 9-second period. The combined energy is weak at 166, so it’s not got much on it. A light cross-off breeze from the NNW at 6 mph will keep the surface clean. The water temp is about 64°F, which is a little over 1°F cooler than average for this time of year – nothing crazy, just a bit brisk. It’s surfable, but it’s average at best. Not a standout.

Monday the 10th is a washout. The swell jumps to 7ft from the ENE in the morning, with energy up to 646 (moderate), but the wind is howling from the NW at 22 mph, wrecking the conditions. The afternoon drops to 4ft but the wind is still strong at 25 mph. Leave it.

Tuesday the 11th sees the swell fade right back to 2ft from the ENE. The wind goes offshore from the W, super light at 3 mph in the afternoon, making it glassy. But the energy is really low at 73 – barely a ripple. The waves are just too small to get excited about.

Wednesday the 12th brings a change, with a 3ft swell from the S at 11 seconds. Moderate energy at 233. The morning wind is a cross-off from the WNW at 9 mph, keeping it clean. It’s surfable, but still very average.

Now, Thursday the 13th is where things get interesting. The morning shows a 7ft swell from the S with an 8-second period. The energy jumps to 887 (strong), so there’s some power there. But the wind is a cross-off from the SW at 12 mph, which keeps it clean. This is a solid size – it’s going to be a bit much for beginners, but for intermediates, it’s good. The afternoon is a letdown, with the wind turning cross-on from the SSE, so the quality goes down.

The standout for the whole forecast is Friday morning, the 14th of August. We’ve got a 6ft swell from the S, 8-second period, with strong energy at 625. The wind is a light cross-off from the WSW at 6 mph, giving us clean conditions. This is the best session on offer. The swell size is solid, the wind is right, and the reef should handle it well. Just remember this spot is inconsistent, so when it’s good, it’s good. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

After that, we hit a gap. Saturday the 15th is a mess with strong cross-shore winds and rain. Sunday the 16th through Monday the 17th is all onshore wind from the ESE/E, making for poor surf. The energy on the 17th morning is 351 (moderate) with 6ft ESE swell, but it’s blown out.

The next real window appears on Tuesday the 18th of August in the morning. 5ft swell from the SE, 10-second period, with strong energy at 568. The wind is a light cross-off from the SSW at 9 mph, giving us clean conditions. Again, a good option but not quite as solid as the Friday.

Wednesday the 19th morning is also worth a look. 5ft from the ESE at 10 seconds, energy at 497, with a light cross-off from the SSW. Clean and rideable.

There’s a longish gap of a few days after that, with poor conditions and onshore winds. Then Saturday the 22nd morning shows promise again: 5ft from the ENE, 8-second period, with light cross-off wind from the SSW. Clean.

Sunday the 23rd morning is the final real standout. The wind goes glassy – dead calm – from the SSW at 3 mph. The swell is 5ft from the ENE at 9 seconds, with moderate energy at 290. That glassy wind is a massive bonus, making for perfect, clean conditions on the reef. This is a very close second to the Friday the 14th.

So, to wrap it up: the best of the bunch is Friday morning, the 14th of August, with Tuesday the 18th morning and Sunday the 23rd morning as solid backups. The long-range standouts on the 22nd and 23rd are promising but a bit less certain. Don’t expect much outside these windows.

Rusty.

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