
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 11s period, E swell with 1,148 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 11s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.2m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 12s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here, and I've got the skinny on Blue Bay. This is a classic reef break that's a bit fickle, but when it lines up, oh boy, it gets real good. It's inconsistent, so you gotta pick your moments, but we've got a few windows of magic coming up.
The water is sitting at 66°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Alright, let's kick it off. The next few days are pretty ordinary. Sunday and Monday morning have some chop and cross-onshore winds, so not the time. But then, Monday morning on the 20th of July, things get real interesting. The wind drops to glassy, the swell is 7ft from the ENE, with a period of 11 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate (1073). The forecast says "very good surf conditions," and I'm feeling it. This is a standout session for the intermediate crew.
Tuesday and Wednesday are a write-off with choppy conditions and weak, short-period swell. From Thursday the 23rd, the swell drops right off, but we get some clean, offshore winds. The wave heights are tiny, though, so it's more of a paddle than a surf.
Now, hold onto your board. Friday the 24th of July, a new S swell fills in. The morning has 6ft of S swell, a 9-second period, and light offshore winds, so it's clean (combined energy 553). The afternoon gets even better, with 5ft, a 10-second period, and glassy offshore winds. This is a solid option.
The real standout, though, is Saturday the 25th of July. The afternoon session is firing. We've got 5ft of S swell, a long 14-second period, and strong offshore winds. The combined energy is a very healthy 962. This is a groundswell, so it'll have plenty of push and shape, perfect for this reef. The early morning on the 25th is also a good call with a 4ft, 12-second period S swell and clean conditions (combined energy 590).
Sunday the 26th of July keeps the good times rolling with clean, offshore winds and 5ft to 6ft of S swell. The period is 11 seconds, and the energy is solid (645).
Now, a word of warning. The 28th of July, Tuesday, sees a massive pulse of swell. The morning has 8ft of S swell with a 13-second period and clean offshore winds (combined energy 2021). That's expert territory. The afternoon jumps to 12ft with a 17-second period, but the wind turns onshore, creating a mess. The 29th of July is also big, with 8ft to 8ft of S swell, but the wind is cross-off, so it's still a beast for the experienced.
The 30th and 31st of July offer a nice drop back to 5ft to 5ft, with clean conditions and glassy moments. That's a nice reset for the intermediate crew.
The first weekend of August, the 1st, has a 7ft S swell, but it's a bit windy and messy. However, the 3rd of August, Monday morning, is another massive standout. We're looking at 7ft of SSE swell, a long 13-second period, and glassy offshore winds. The combined energy is a whopping 2319. This is a powerful, clean groundswell, perfect for the experts. The afternoon stays big, but the wind turns onshore, so hit the morning session.
So, to sum it up, the absolute best on offer are the Monday morning, July 20th, for a glassy, clean session, and the Saturday afternoon, July 25th, for the long-period groundswell with offshore winds. For the big wave hunters, the mornings of July 28th and August 3rd are your ticket to a serious session.
This is Rusty, signing off. Stay stoked.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed morning, min 7°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 10 | E 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 14 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1107 | 818 | 934 | 883 | 672 | 492 | 356 | 307 | 325 | 193 | 133 | 119 | 90 | 68 | 503 | 526 | 369 | 194 | 423 | 956 | 610 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | on | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 12:09PM1.27m | 00:01AM1.34m | 12:59PM1.28m | 00:51AM1.17m | 1:51PM1.29m | 1:47AM1.03m | 2:45PM1.31m | 2:54AM0.93m | 3:41PM1.32m | 4:07AM0.89m | 4:36PM1.36m | 5:13AM0.89m | 5:26PM1.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:59PM0.42m | 6:30AM0.22m | 7:01PM0.48m | 7:10AM0.31m | 8:11PM0.52m | 7:53AM0.39m | 9:27PM0.53m | 8:42AM0.45m | 10:38PM0.50m | 9:37AM0.49m | 11:38PM0.44m | 10:34AM0.49m | 00:26AM0.38m | ||||||||
6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | |
— | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 18 | 14 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 10 | E 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 14 | S 11 |
1107 | 818 | 934 | 883 | 672 | 492 | 356 | 307 | 325 | 193 | 133 | 119 | 90 | 68 | 503 | 526 | 369 | 194 | 423 | 956 | 610 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | S 16 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 17 | SSW 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
95 | 125 | 162 | 181 | 178 | 84 | 56 | 53 | 31 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 27 | 14 | 93 | 77 | 6 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 15 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 12 | NNW 3 | — | E 9 | E 8 | SE 8 | — | S 22 | ENE 8 | S 18 | — | S 18 |
12 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | 9 | 13 | 167 | — | 6 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 4 | NE 5 | NNW 2 | — | W 3 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | — | — | NW 3 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | — | WSW 4 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 61 | 1 | — | 2 | 56 | 101 | — | — | 2 | 61 | 168 | — | 10 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 41 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 110 | 8 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










