Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s break down what’s coming for Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a slow start, but things get real intense later. The first proper window opens on Saturday the 4th. Blue Bay is a reef, and it’s inconsistent, so you gotta work for it. Saturday morning brings a clean 5ft swell out of the S, period of 11 seconds, with a light WNW cross-off breeze. Combined energy is moderate at 529. Water temp is about 67°, which is normal for this time of year. It’s a decent little session for an intermediate.

Sunday the 5th, we see a big jump. Swell hits 10ft from the S, period still at 11 seconds. That’s serious groundswell and the energy is pumping at 2334. But the wind is howling out of the SSW at 19 mph. It’s cross-off, so the face will be clean, but 10ft is expert territory. Only the experienced crew should be out there. Afternoon gets lumpy with a cross-shore breeze.

Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th keep that big S swell rolling, 8ft to 10ft, but the wind stays fresh and cross-shore. It’s choppy and not much fun. The energy stays well over 1000.

Mid-week, we get a bit of a break. Thursday the 9th through Saturday the 11th has smaller, cleaner options – around 5ft to 7ft, with lighter winds. Energy drops to moderate. Surfable, but nothing special.

Then we hit a flat spell. From Sunday the 12th all the way to Friday the 17th, it’s mostly tiny – under 3ft, often barely breaking. Winds are light, but there’s just no swell. A few days have offshore breezes, but with no waves, it’s a write-off.

Now, here’s the big one. Circle Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th. On Saturday afternoon, the swell jumps to 10ft out of the S, period 9 seconds, with a light offshore wind from the W. Energy is strong at 1433. That’s excellent for experienced surfers. But the real standout is Sunday the 19th morning. We’re talking a huge 16ft S swell, period of 11 seconds, with a gentle offshore breeze from the WNW. The combined energy is massive at 5928 – that’s very strong. It’s clean, powerful, and absolutely expert-only. Blue Bay is a reef, and with that size and direction, it’s going to be a serious, critical wave. This is a long-range call, so it’s promising but not certain, but if it hits, it’s the session of the fortnight.

Bottom line: skip the first few days unless you like small clean waves. Stay off the big windy days. The middle of the week is flat. Your one true standout is Sunday the 19th morning – that’s the one to chase. Just make sure you’ve got the skills.

Rusty.

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