Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m lookin’ at the next couple of weeks for Blue Bay. It’s a reef break, pretty exposed to the swell, and it likes it from the SSE. The water’s sitting at 65°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year – no funny business there.

We’re starting off pretty flat and ugly. The first recommendation doesn’t even come until Monday the 20th, and even then it’s just a little 5ft pulse from the east with a 10-second period. The energy is moderate at 660. But what makes it interesting is that morning you’ll get glassy conditions – dead calm wind. That’s a rare treat for a spot that’s usually a bit tricky. It’ll be clean, but only for the early session before the wind swings around. It’s inconsistent here, so a session like that is worth paying attention to, even if the swell isn’t huge.

The run from the 20th to the 24th is pretty ordinary. Small waves, mostly cross-shore winds, nothing to write home about. The energy is weak to moderate, mostly in the 100-400 range. You’ll get a few clean windows under offshore winds on the 23rd and 24th, but the swell is only 2ft to 3ft. Not exactly pumping.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. On the 25th of July, Saturday morning, the swell switches to a long-period groundswell from the south – 19 seconds. That’s a very long period. The swell height is only 2ft, but the energy jumps to 368. Because it’s a reef, those long lines will hold up and shape nicely. The wind is light and cross-off, so it’ll be clean. It’s a proper little glassy reef wave, but it’s inconsistent, so don’t expect a wave every minute. The 26th morning is a similar story, with 3ft of S swell at 15 seconds and light cross-off wind. Energy is 482. This is the best run of the whole outlook for a surfer who likes quality over quantity.

Then we get a big gap of nothing much until the 29th of July, Wednesday morning. That’s when the ocean wakes up. The swell jumps to 10ft from the south, with a 10-second period. The combined energy is a massive 3015 – that’s very strong. The wind is cross-off and light, so the waves will be clean. But listen, 10ft is expert territory. This is a full-on reef slab, and it’s going to be heavy. If you’re not experienced, stay on the beach. The afternoon drops a bit in energy to 1567 but is still 10ft, though the wind picks up. The 30th morning is still solid at 6ft with offshore wind, but that energy is back down to 543. The 31st has 7ft swell but fresher wind, making it messy.

So, the standout here is the window from the 25th to the 26th of July. You’ve got a quality, long-period groundswell, clean conditions, and a reef that will make the most of it. It’s not huge, but it’s good. The 29th is for the big dogs only, and it’s a week away, so keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath on the forecast.

As for crowds – Blue Bay gets them sometimes, so expect a few locals out for those clean days.

Rusty.

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