
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,231 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab your board. This is Rusty, and I'm gonna give it to you straight about Blue Bay for the next couple of weeks.
First off, we’re in for a bit of a flat spell. The water temp is sittin' right around where it should be for this time of year, nothing weird going on there. Blue Bay's a reef setup that likes a solid S to SSE swell, but for the first few days, it’s not gonna be much to write home about. Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th are basically a write-off—small, weak, and messy. Not worth paddling out. We're talking combined swell energy between 20 and 85, which is weak.
Then things start to look up. Monday the 7th is the first true standout. We’ve got a clean 5.2ft swell out of the south, period at 8 seconds, and the wind goes dead glassy in the morning. With 357 combined energy, it’s got some moderate push. For an inconsistent spot like Blue Bay, this is a solid chance for some fun, clean reef waves. However, it's not huge, so it’s good for intermediates.
Tuesday the 8th sees the swell bump up to 7.9ft from the SSE, but the wind turns onshore and the conditions get choppy. That size is getting into expert territory, and the energy jumps to 968, but it’s not gonna be clean. Wednesday the 9th morning might be worth a look before the wind howls—4.9ft from the SSE with clean offshore breeze (5 km/h from the SW) and 402 energy—but that afternoon the strong breeze ruins it.
Thursday the 10th morning is another highlight but with a big caveat. We’re looking at an 8.2ft S swell with a 10-second period and clean offshore wind (SW 20 km/h), energy hitting 1204. That’s strong, powerful surf. For a reef break, that’s a proper groundswell, but at that size it's for experienced surfers only. Crowds are listed as "sometimes" here, so you might have the place to yourself if you’re early.
After that, the quality drops off. Friday the 11th is okay but nothing special, and from Saturday the 12th through to the 19th, it’s mostly small, weak, and onshore slop. Energy values are all over the place, but the wind is rarely your friend. There’s a low-energy window mid-week with some long-period (15-19 seconds) groundswell on the 13th, but with onshore wind, it’ll be a battle.
If you’re looking for the absolute best moment, pin it on Monday morning the 7th for clean, fun waves, or Thursday morning the 10th if you’ve got the skills and the nerve for some size. Everything in the second week is pretty average and inconsistent. Forecasts can always change, but right now, the windows are narrow.
Stay stoked.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Thu morning). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | NE 7 | S 15 | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
68 | 121 | 58 | 45 | 11 | 17 | 1519 | 347 | 347 | 915 | 960 | 1291 | 739 | 391 | 424 | 2231 | 1150 | 694 | 815 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross | cross | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | off |
High Tide | 2:14AM0.96m | 2:40PM1.44m | 3:44AM0.96m | 3:54PM1.49m | 4:59AM1.02m | 5:00PM1.56m | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:47AM0.46m | 9:46PM0.33m | 9:08AM0.47m | 10:57PM0.24m | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:28AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.28m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | |||||||
— | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 27 | 30 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 15 | 22 | 26 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 6 | SSW 6 | NE 6 | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | E 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | ENE 9 | S 19 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 |
57 | 121 | 58 | 25 | 55 | 6 | 1519 | 347 | 347 | 9 | 960 | 1291 | 739 | 391 | 8 | 63 | 1150 | 694 | 815 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | ENE 9 | ENE 4 | S 10 | NE 7 | E 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 7 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 10 | ENE 9 | S 17 | E 16 | S 17 | SSE 23 | SSE 22 |
68 | 17 | 12 | 45 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 104 | 169 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | N 10 | E 9 | NNW 3 | E 11 | S 15 | E 10 | NE 8 | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | E 17 | — | E 16 | E 15 | E 10 |
6 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 5 | 4 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 3 | NNW 3 | WSW 2 | W 3 | S 8 | — | — | — | SSE 8 | — | — | NNE 3 | N 3 | SSE 9 | S 10 | — | — | — |
— | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 115 | — | — | — | 915 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 424 | 2231 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 205 | 11 | 0 | 166 | 205 | 37 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 739 | 158 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










