Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, S swell with 279 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 17s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sat 15th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, it's Rusty here. The outlook for Blue Bay is a bit of a mixed bag. We've got some clean, fun waves on offer, but there are also long gaps of flat, grovelly conditions that'll test your patience. The first week starts slow, but there's a tasty run right at the end of the period that's the real highlight.
The water temp is sitting at 63°F, which is a notable couple of degrees colder than normal for this time of year, so you might want to dig out the thicker wettie.
Our first real chance for a paddle is Saturday morning, August 15th at Blue Bay. We've got a clean 4ft swell from the S with a 9-second period. The wind is a light cross-offshore (SW at 6 mph), so it'll be glassy. The combined swell energy is moderate (281), and it should offer some fun, clean lines. It's a reef break that's inconsistent, so be prepared to wait for the sets, and you might have some company as crowds are sometimes an issue.
Then, things go quiet. There's a long stretch from Saturday afternoon all the way through to Wednesday morning, August 19th where the quality drops right off with choppy, cross-onshore wind and very small waves. If you're not fussy, Wednesday morning is glassy with 4ft SE windswell, but the combined energy is moderate (227) and the waves are ordinary.
After that, there's another dry spell of flat or blown-out slop until Sunday morning, August 23rd. That morning cleans up with a glassy 4ft S swell (8-second period) and moderate combined energy (265). It's surfable, but still pretty ordinary.
The true standout hits at the end. Tuesday morning, August 25th, Blue Bay lights up with a solid 7ft SSE swell. The winds are cross-offshore, keeping it clean, and the combined energy jumps to strong (448). This is getting too big for beginners, but for intermediate and above, it's gonna be a blast.
And then the crown jewel: Friday afternoon, August 28th through to Saturday afternoon, August 29th. The swell holds at 7ft to 8ft from the ENE/NE with a 7-second period. The wind goes offshore from the WNW at 12-13 mph, making it clean. The combined energy is very strong (611 on Friday, 709 on Saturday). This is proper, powerful surf for experienced surfers only. It's the best on offer across the whole window, with the Saturday afternoon session looking the most promising with a "very good" call.
So, keep your eyes on the end of this outlook. The early stuff is for the keen, but the last few days of August are where it's at.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 6 | SE 7 | S 11 | S 10 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 10 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
257 | 166 | 159 | 158 | 189 | 116 | 96 | 117 | 107 | 88 | 142 | 90 | 226 | 124 | 102 | 62 | 114 | 102 | 68 | 70 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:01PM1.54m | 10:39AM1.38m | 10:43PM1.39m | 11:21AM1.37m | 11:25PM1.23m | 12:04PM1.35m | 00:11AM1.08m | 12:53PM1.32m | 1:06AM0.96m | 1:49PM1.28m | 2:17AM0.88m | 2:54PM1.27m | 3:41AM0.86m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:26AM0.10m | 4:39PM0.29m | 5:00AM0.19m | 5:30PM0.36m | 5:34AM0.29m | 6:26PM0.44m | 6:11AM0.39m | 7:30PM0.50m | 6:54AM0.47m | 8:46PM0.53m | 7:49AM0.53m | 10:05PM0.51m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 14 |
Feels °C | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 19 | S 17 | S 17 | SE 7 | S 11 | S 10 | ESE 7 | S 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 10 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
62 | 93 | 147 | 158 | 189 | 116 | 96 | 35 | 107 | 88 | 115 | 85 | 226 | 124 | 102 | 44 | 114 | 102 | 68 | 70 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 12 | S 8 | SSE 7 | ENE 10 | S 9 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 8 | S 14 | E 11 | — | S 12 | S 12 | SE 7 | SE 10 |
18 | 19 | 26 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 80 | 44 | 85 | 81 | 113 | 90 | 12 | 4 | 3 | — | 3 | 11 | 2 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | — | ENE 10 | S 12 | S 17 | ENE 10 | SSW 13 | SE 10 | E 9 | ESE 13 | S 10 | S 8 | S 15 | — | — | S 13 | S 13 | — | S 11 | SE 7 |
4 | — | 20 | 44 | 53 | 10 | 53 | 16 | 6 | 69 | 31 | 22 | 4 | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | 9 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 6 | — | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | — | ESE 7 | — | — | ESE 7 | WSW 3 | — | NNW 2 | — | ENE 7 | NW 4 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 4 |
257 | 166 | 159 | — | 68 | 99 | — | 117 | — | — | 142 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 62 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 0 | 158 | 130 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 128 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











