
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 10s period, S swell with 947 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 22s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.2m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into what Blue Bay has cookin' for us over the next couple of weeks. It's gonna be a bit of a mixed bag, with a proper stand-out session waiting for those with a bit of patience.
Right off the bat, the water temp at Blue Bay is sittin' at around 65°, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year – no surprises there.
We've got a bit of a wait for any real quality. The first few days are a write-off with messy winds and lumpy conditions. Friday the 11th shows a glimmer early in the morning with a clean 6ft S swell and a gentle cross-offshore breeze, but you're wrestling with some strong combined swell energy for a wave that's still a bit unruly.
The first real standout is going to be Saturday the 12th. The morning is looking absolutely magic. We've got a solid 4ft S groundswell (period of 12 seconds), and the wind is going glassy – dead calm. That's the recipe for some real clean lines at the reef. The conditions will make it feel way better than you'd think. This is the session to circle. Keep in mind though, this is an inconsistent reef break, so be ready to wait for the sets.
After that, the surf drops right off into a flat spell. From Sunday the 13th right through to Friday the 18th, the wave heights get small and the winds turn ugly onshore. It's pretty much a dead zone for about a week.
Hold on to your boards, because the next big window fires up on Saturday the 19th. The morning is the highlight of the entire forecast. We're looking at a clean 8ft S swell coming in with a gentle offshore breeze. This is serious grunt, folks – the energy is pumping. This is expert territory at that size. Definitely not for the groms or the weak of heart. The afternoon stays clean with a 8ft S swell and light winds, but again, this is big, powerful reef surf.
Sunday the 20th gets messy again with strong cross-onshore winds, but then we get one more good shot on Monday the 21st. The morning session looks promising with a clean 6ft SE groundswell (period of 11 seconds) and glassy conditions. The energy is solid, and the waves should have some real shape in the clean morning air.
After that Monday morning, it's a slow decline into smaller, wind-affected surf right through to the end of the window. There's nothing else worth paddling out for. So, the call is simple: Saturday morning the 12th for the cleanest, most user-friendly swell, and Saturday the 19th morning if you've got the skills and the courage for some heavy, powerful waves.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 4 | SSE 7 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
938 | 947 | 711 | 489 | 377 | 464 | 371 | 202 | 154 | 184 | 138 | 125 | 112 | 50 | 30 | 29 | 385 | 836 | 521 | 493 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | glassy | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | 8:44AM1.46m | 8:54PM1.50m | 9:21AM1.49m | 9:34PM1.38m | 9:57AM1.49m | 10:13PM1.25m | 10:34AM1.46m | 10:54PM1.12m | 11:13AM1.40m | 11:39PM1.01m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | 2:47PM0.17m | 3:07AM0.11m | 3:31PM0.19m | 3:39AM0.19m | 4:15PM0.24m | 4:10AM0.28m | 5:01PM0.31m | 4:42AM0.37m | 5:51PM0.39m | ||||||||
— | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | |
5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 10 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 22 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | NE 6 | S 11 | S 11 | NE 5 | NE 6 | NE 5 | E 14 | E 14 | S 9 | S 11 |
249 | 947 | 711 | 489 | 377 | 464 | 371 | 202 | 154 | 184 | 58 | 125 | 112 | 35 | 16 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 521 | 493 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SSE 22 | E 10 | E 14 | S 19 | S 19 | S 18 | SSE 20 | ENE 4 | S 16 | S 10 | NE 5 | ENE 12 | S 10 | S 10 | E 13 | S 17 | NE 12 | S 15 | E 13 |
23 | 46 | 2 | 14 | 27 | 186 | 158 | 129 | 7 | 43 | 138 | 14 | 15 | 50 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 13 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 10 | E 15 | E 9 | E 13 | ENE 14 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 | S 17 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | — | ENE 12 | ENE 13 | E 9 | S 17 | E 15 | E 12 | NE 7 |
6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 53 | 17 | 17 | 17 | — | 15 | 16 | 2 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | NNE 6 | — | ENE 4 | WNW 2 | WSW 3 | SSE 4 | SSE 7 | S 9 | — | — |
938 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 5 | 45 | 84 | — | 27 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 385 | 836 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 0 | 8 | 232 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 146 | 238 | 205 | 124 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










