Blue Bay surfForecast / NSW – Newcastle / Australia

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 3 am Thursday 21 May 2026 AEST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
20.8° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 24) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 24) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (May 26) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Sun 24th May)8ft (2.5m) 12s
Best Surf 1PM (Sun 24th May)8ft (2.5m) 12s
Most Powerful 4PM (Sun 24th May)8ft (2.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Warm (max 20°C on Sat afternoon, min 16°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Thu morning, light winds from the E by Sat night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
21
Friday
22
Saturday
23
Sunday
24
Monday
25
Tuesday
26
Wednesday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
0
1
2
1
2
2
3
3
4
4
2
3
3
2
3
3
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
S
9
3
S
9
2.3
SSE
8
2.3
SSE
8
2.5
SE
10
2.5
SE
10
2.5
ESE
10
2.5
ESE
11
2.5
E
12
2.5
E
12
2.5
E
12
2.5
E
11
2.4
E
11
2.2
E
11
2.1
E
11
1.9
E
11
1.9
E
11
1.9
E
11
1.7
E
11
1.6
E
11
1.4
E
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1575
1311
654
655
1481
1412
1450
1658
1794
1839
2084
1616
1465
1191
1084
866
882
922
708
606
451
Wind (km/h)
35
SSW
35
SSW
20
S
30
S
30
SSE
20
S
20
SSE
15
E
15
E
10
E
10
E
5
W
5
WSW
5
SE
10
WSW
10
SW
5
SE
5
WNW
5
WNW
10
E
15
SSW
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
on
on
on
on
off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
on
cross-off
High Tide
12:17PM1.06m
00:05AM1.59m
1:24PM1.06m
1:08AM1.47m
2:31PM1.11m
2:12AM1.35m
3:31PM1.18m
3:15AM1.25m
4:23PM1.27m
4:15AM1.18m
5:08PM1.36m
5:10AM1.12m
5:47PM1.43m
Low Tide
5:33PM0.45m
7:09AM0.13m
6:43PM0.51m
8:07AM0.18m
8:00PM0.54m
9:01AM0.22m
9:17PM0.53m
9:49AM0.25m
10:27PM0.49m
10:32AM0.28m
11:27PM0.43m
11:10AM0.31m
00:17AM0.37m
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
6:41
6:43
6:43
6:43
6:45
6:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:59
4:58
4:58
4:57
4:57
4:55
4:55
2
1
1
1
4
1
1
7
Temp °C
16
17
16
17
18
18
19
20
20
20
20
18
19
18
17
18
18
16
19
18
17
10
11
12
12
13
13
18
19
18
20
19
19
19
18
17
17
18
16
18
16
15
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
E
10
1.1
E
10
0.9
E
10
1
E
10
0.3
S
13
2.5
SE
10
2.5
ESE
10
2.5
ESE
11
2.5
E
12
2.5
E
12
2.5
E
12
2.5
E
11
2.4
E
11
2.2
E
11
2.1
E
11
1.9
E
11
1.9
E
11
1.9
E
11
1.7
E
11
1.6
E
11
1.4
E
11
Energy kJ
250
239
154
196
31
1412
1450
1658
1794
1839
2084
1616
1465
1191
1084
866
882
922
708
606
451
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
16
0.2
S
15
0.3
SSW
11
0.1
S
21
0.2
S
17
0.2
S
14
0.2
S
13
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
10
0.3
S
16
0.5
S
14
0.7
SSW
5
0.4
S
11
0.4
S
11
0.3
S
11
0.3
S
15
0.6
SSE
7
Energy kJ
5
17
23
9
24
16
14
10
8
45
99
19
41
38
21
39
40
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
14
0.1
S
17
0.2
S
10
0.5
S
12
0.3
SSW
5
0.1
S
20
0.3
S
17
0.3
S
10
0.2
S
13
Energy kJ
4
6
8
73
4
7
49
18
14
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
S
9
3
S
9
2.3
SSE
8
2.3
SSE
8
2.5
SE
10
0.9
SSW
4
0.8
SW
5
0.4
NE
3
0.5
W
3
Energy kJ
1575
1311
654
655
1481
31
25
3
5
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
1
3
2
3
3
3
2
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
4
4
4
3
3
Distance (km)
11
124
130
41
124
130
146
130
57
26
83
0
0
0
11
0
11
11
0
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
7
5
5
4
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
5
5
5
7
6
5
5
9
6
5
5
4
4
5
5
4
5
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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