Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up at Blue Bay. This reef break is a tricky one – it’s inconsistent, so you gotta pick your moments. The water temp is sitting at about 64°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year – nothing to write home about.

We’ve got a long dry spell to start. The first real chance of a surf doesn’t come until Tuesday afternoon on August 11th. The morning is a waste with a tiny 2ft swell from the ENE and weak energy (76) – not worth paddling out. But by Tuesday afternoon, things get interesting. A solid 5ft south swell rolls in with moderate energy (687). The wind is a gentle offshore from the west, so the waves will be clean and well-shaped. This is the standout of the whole forecast – a proper window of good surf. It’s an intermediate wave, so if you’re a beginner, that size might be a bit much, but for the rest of you, it’s game on.

Wednesday the 12th is decent but a step down. The morning has a 4ft south swell (333 energy) with a light offshore from the WNW – still clean and good fun. The afternoon gets a bit messy with a risk of thunderstorms and cross-offshore wind, though the 3ft south swell is still surfable.

Then we hit a rough patch. From Thursday the 13th through to Monday the 17th, it’s mostly poor surf conditions. The swell hangs around at 3ft to 6ft, but the wind swings cross-shore or cross-onshore, making everything choppy and lumpy. Friday morning the 14th is a tease – a tiny 4ft south swell with a glassy offshore, but the period is short at 7 seconds, so the waves are weak and crumbly. Not worth getting too excited about.

There’s a bit of a break on Wednesday the 19th of August. The morning offers a 3ft ESE groundswell with a very long period of 12 seconds and a light cross-offshore breeze. That long period brings proper energy (396) and well-shaped waves, though the swell is small. It’s clean and worth a look for the more experienced crew who know how to work a reef. The afternoon turns onshore and messy again.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. From Thursday the 20th right through to the end on the 26th, the swell is small – mostly under 4ft – and the wind is almost always cross-onshore or onshore. A couple of mornings (Sunday the 23rd and Wednesday the 26th) have glassy conditions, but the swell is tiny (2ft to 3ft) and weak, so you’re just bobbing around. The late-arriving south swell on Monday the 24th morning has a bit of size at 4ft and good energy (392), but the cross-onshore wind ruins it.

So, the bottom line: Tuesday afternoon the 11th of August is your best shot – that south swell with offshore wind is the only true standout. Wednesday the 19th morning is a distant second for those who love a long-period groundswell, even if it’s small. The rest is a long, frustrating wait. Blue Bay can be fickle like this – inconsistent and rarely offering a clean run. Don’t hold your breath for the second week; it’s mostly a scratch session.

Rusty.

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