Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for this stretch of coast. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, with the first proper action showing up on Sunday the 26th. Things kick off with a solid pulse, then it gets quiet for a few days before another pulse arrives later. Sit tight, I’ll walk you through it blow by blow.

The first real swell shows up on Sunday morning, the 26th of July. This is your standout window for the near term. Blue Bay is getting a clean 7ft southerly swell, with a period of 11 seconds pumping in. That’s a nice groundswell with some real energy behind it – combined energy is at 938 (moderate). The wind is light offshore from the WSW, so expect those lines to be clean, well-shaped, and offering up some proper fun. It’s a reef break and inconsistent here, but when it’s on like this morning, it’s gold. The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is dead average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Crowds are a possibility here on the better days. This Sunday morning is the highlight of the first week without a doubt.

By Sunday afternoon, the wind swings around and the quality drops right off. Into Monday and Tuesday the swell fades fast, dropping to waist-to-chest high junk or smaller. The week through Wednesday is a total write-off with tiny surf and not worth paddling for.

Things start to look more interesting again Thursday the 30th of July, but it’s tricky. A big 8ft south swell arrives with moderate energy (2054), but it’s going to be a handful. That size is only for experienced surfers, and the period is 10 seconds – okay but not super clean, especially with cross-offshore winds in the morning. The afternoon gets chopped out. This is more of a “maybe” session for the confident crew.

Friday the 31st is similar: another 8ft south swell but with even more energy (2662 in the morning). The wind stays cross-offshore so it might have some shape, but the size keeps it in expert territory. Saturday the 1st of August drops off a bit to 6ft SSE, still manageable for intermediates if they’re keen, but conditions are only average.

The next real standout window is very early on Sunday the 2nd of August. Morning brings a 5ft SSE swell, combined energy 462, and – here’s the magic part – glassy conditions with a light northerly breeze. That is your ticket to clean, user-friendly waves at Blue Bay. It’s a great size for a solid intermediate session. After that, the rest of the first week and into the second week fades into small, ordinary surf again, with only a few marginal windows.

Look ahead to Thursday the 6th of August: another fresh 7ft south swell with 8-second period pops up. The wind is offshore in the morning, so it’ll be clean but those short-period waves might be a bit walled. Still, it’s surfable.

Now, if you can wait, the *real* standout of the entire 16-day run is Monday the 10th of August. Blue Bay gets a very large 13ft SE swell pounding in – combined energy is a massive 3772 – with a glassy morning. That is a *big* day. Only for experts, and it will be a proper handful with a 10-second period. The wind is glassy, making the surface clean, but 13ft is serious juice. This one is weeks out, so keep an eye on it – can’t lock it in yet, but the potential is huge.

Other than that, there are long gaps of nothing worth recommending – the middle of the second week is particularly quiet. For an inconsistent reef like Blue Bay, a blank run like this is pretty normal for the area. Forecasts can always change, but right now, you’re looking at Sunday the 26th morning and maybe that glassy Sunday the 2nd of August morning as your top calls this side of that giant swell on the 10th.

Rusty.

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