
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 12s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 13s period, S swell with 1,811 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.3m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking at Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag. The first few days offer some waves, but they’re nothing to write home about. The real standout is shaping up for the final part of the run, with a couple of absolute bombs lined up that are going to be something special. Let’s break it down.
We start on Wednesday the 22nd with a small, clean 4 ft swell from the ENE, offering a weak combined energy of just 277. The morning has a light cross-offshore breeze, so it’s surfable, but nothing big. The session fades in the afternoon with a smaller onshore bump. Thursday the 23rd sees the swell drop to 3 ft, and while the morning has a clean offshore wind, the energy is low at 124. It’s a groveler’s session at best.
The energy picks up on Friday the 24th when a new S swell pushes in at 6 ft, but the wind is messy. The combined energy jumps to 618, but it’s not a clean setup. The real action starts Saturday the 25th. The morning brings a clean 6 ft swell from the S with a period of 11 seconds and a nice offshore wind. The combined energy is a solid 753, and the conditions are described as “very good.” This is a solid option for intermediate surfers. The water temp is 66°F with a 0.9° anomaly, so it’s about average for this time of year.
Sunday the 26th looks very similar to Saturday, with a clean 6 ft S swell, 11-second period, and offshore wind. The energy is even higher at 847. These two mornings are the best of the first week. After that, the window gets smaller. Monday the 27th has a glassy 4 ft S swell, but the energy is weak at 233, and it’s only a 9-second period. It’s surfable, but ordinary.
Then we hit a big gap. From Tuesday the 28th all the way through to Wednesday the 29th afternoon, the swell flattens out or is blown out. The energy drops to double digits, and there’s nothing worth paddling out for.
Here’s where it gets interesting. Thursday the 30th of July is the big one. The morning session delivers a powerful 12 ft swell from the SSE, with a combined energy of 1960. The wind is light and cross-offshore, making for clean conditions. The 9-second period means it’s a bit of a wall of water, but this is excellent for experienced surfers. It’s big, powerful, and clean. This is the standout of the entire forecast. The afternoon remains a solid 10 ft, but the wind turns a bit onshore.
Friday the 31st has a long-period 6 ft S swell (12 seconds) but it’s ruined by a strong onshore wind. The energy is still high at 1281, but it’s choppy and messy. This one is a pass for the paddle crew, but if you’ve got a kite, this setup might be more interesting.
The first week of August sees smaller, cleaner waves. Saturday the 1st of August has a glassy 4 ft SSE swell in the morning, with a moderate energy of 546. It’s a clean, fun-size wave. Sunday the 2nd is a glassy 3 ft SSE swell, but the energy is down to 228. It’s a slow, small day.
The final highlight is way out there on Thursday the 6th of August. The morning brings a massive 16 ft S swell with a 12-second period, and the combined energy is an enormous 12919. The wind is light and cross-offshore, so the conditions are clean. This is a very dangerous, expert-only swell. The afternoon is equally massive at 16 ft, but with a slightly lighter wind, giving an even higher rating. This is a true beast of a day, but it’s a long way off, so keep an eye on the forecast.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed morning, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Thu afternoon, calm by Fri afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 16 | S 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
248 | 193 | 124 | 116 | 92 | 44 | 587 | 666 | 1647 | 741 | 477 | 517 | 841 | 557 | 349 | 225 | 154 | 92 | 29 | 21 | 24 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | on | cross-off | off | on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 2:45PM1.31m | 2:54AM0.93m | 3:41PM1.32m | 4:07AM0.89m | 4:36PM1.36m | 5:13AM0.89m | 5:26PM1.40m | 6:08AM0.93m | 6:12PM1.46m | 6:53AM0.97m | 6:53PM1.52m | 7:33AM1.02m | 7:32PM1.57m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:27PM0.53m | 8:42AM0.45m | 10:38PM0.50m | 9:37AM0.49m | 11:38PM0.44m | 10:34AM0.49m | 00:26AM0.38m | 11:27AM0.47m | 1:07AM0.32m | 12:14PM0.43m | 1:44AM0.26m | 12:57PM0.39m | 2:19AM0.21m | ||||||||
6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | |
— | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 17 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | S 10 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 7 | SE 7 |
248 | 193 | 124 | 116 | 92 | 44 | 28 | 666 | 1647 | 741 | 477 | 517 | 841 | 557 | 349 | 225 | 154 | 92 | 29 | 17 | 7 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | SSW 4 | SSW 6 | SE 8 | E 7 | S 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | SE 14 | SE 16 | SE 7 | SE 7 | S 7 |
17 | 19 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 374 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | NNW 3 | — | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | SE 7 | ENE 8 | — | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | — | — | E 14 | S 17 | E 13 | E 8 | NNE 4 | S 16 | S 18 |
12 | 1 | — | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | — | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | — | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 24 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | — | WSW 3 | W 3 | — | SSW 6 | S 10 | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 8 | NNE 4 | WNW 2 | NNW 2 | WSW 3 |
3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 235 | 587 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 9 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 0 | 13 | 93 | 95 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










