
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 11s period, SE swell with 1,051 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.2m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 9s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Blue Bay.
We’ve got a decent little window of surf coming in, but it’s far from a classic run. The first couple of days look the most promising if you’re keen, with a solid pulse of SE swell mixing in with okay winds. The water’s sitting at 66°, pretty much normal for this time of year, so no shock to the system there.
Wednesday the 8th of July sees a 8ft SE swell rolling in, with a period of 11 seconds, so there’s some proper energy behind it (1567). The wind’s a cross-off from the SSW at 12 mph, so it’ll be clean enough but that moderate breeze will have a bit of texture on the face. It’s a reef break, pretty inconsistent here usually, so you’ll have to wait for the sets – but when they come, the shape should be alright for intermediates.
Thursday the 9th of July morning trims down a touch to 6ft from the SE, period 10 seconds, wind from the WSW at 6 mph making for a light cross-off that’ll keep things clean. Not a standout, but a solid enough option if you time the tides right.
Friday the 10th of July morning stays in the 5ft range, still SE, period around 10 seconds, cross-off breeze again – clean but nothing to write home about. It’s consistent enough through this stretch for a paddle.
Saturday the 11th of July morning drops more, down to 4ft, and the energy’s fading (427). Wind goes light cross-off from the NW, so still rideable, but you’ll be scratching for the better ones.
From Sunday the 12th of July onwards, it really dries up. The swell drops into the 2ft to 1.0ft range through the middle of the week, and the combined energy falls to just 105 then below 100. There’s a three or four day gap here where you’re looking at tiny, weak waves – honestly not worth paddling out for unless you’re desperate for a float.
Wednesday the 15th of July afternoon starts to sees a sudden pulse – 8ft from the S, but only 7 seconds period – short period, lumpy, cross-on wind, messy. Not the kind of wave you’d drive for.
Then from Thursday the 16th of July right through to around Monday the 20th of July, it gets pretty ugly. Swell bumps up to 8ft to 12ft, but it’s all short period SSE windswell, with fresh to strong cross-onshore winds from the SSE and SE at 19 to 25 mph. The energy numbers spike to over 1400, but it’ll be lumpy, choppy, and honestly more for the kite crew than anyone with a paddle. For experts only, if at all.
After that, Tuesday the 21st of July morning throws a little lifeline: 5ft SE swell, period 11 seconds, and glassy conditions with a WSW wind at just 3 mph. That’s clean, that’s the sort of window that might actually be nice if it holds. The water should still be fine, and the reef might just line up a few. Worth keeping an eye on, but it’s a way off.
For the best bet across the whole run, I’d point you to Wednesday the 8th of July afternoon at Blue Bay. You’ve got that 8ft SE swell with a good 11 second period – that’s groundswell energy, so the reef will shape it nicely – cross-off wind, and the crowd factor is only “sometimes” busy. It’s an inconsistent spot, so there’ll be lulls, but that’s when you grab the set of the day. Not a classic, but the best of a mixed bag.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 9 | S 7 | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 20 | S 18 | E 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1227 | 1051 | 667 | 614 | 502 | 496 | 580 | 373 | 220 | 167 | 183 | 88 | 56 | 22 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 30 | 25 | 2 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | on | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:25AM1.12m | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | 4:57AM1.05m | 5:23PM1.64m | 6:06AM1.07m | 6:19PM1.74m | 7:08AM1.11m | 7:13PM1.82m | 8:03AM1.14m | 8:04PM1.86m | 8:55AM1.18m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:44PM0.49m | 8:39AM0.27m | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:11PM0.30m | 10:38AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.17m | 11:38AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.06m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:06AM-0.02m | 1:30PM0.24m | 2:56AM-0.06m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | |
5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | 5:02 | |
mm | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
Feels °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 6 | S 7 | S 6 | S 5 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 |
1227 | 769 | 667 | 614 | 502 | 496 | 580 | 373 | 220 | 132 | 183 | 88 | 56 | 29 | 34 | 20 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 104 | 157 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 14 | SE 13 | S 21 | ESE 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 9 | SSW 11 | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 18 | E 9 |
335 | 421 | 173 | 38 | 114 | 156 | 8 | 40 | 203 | 167 | 38 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 16 | 25 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 15 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 19 | S 15 | S 17 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | NNW 4 | S 12 | S 12 | ESE 8 | S 11 | S 8 | — | S 20 | E 10 | E 9 |
5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 6 | — | 30 | 2 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 11 | — | — | — | WSW 3 | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NW 4 | W 4 | SW 6 | W 3 | WNW 3 | — | W 3 | W 3 | — | SSW 4 | — |
— | 1051 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 12 | 18 | 35 | 6 | 2 | — | 6 | 6 | — | 12 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 161 | 161 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











