Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 16 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
17.4° C
0.8° 

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 17 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 10s period, ESE swell with 210 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 17 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.1m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 10s period and expected on Monday (Aug 24) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Mon 17th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 11s
Best Surf 4AM (Mon 17th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 11s
Most Powerful 4PM (Wed 19th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let's get into it. This is Rusty checkin' in from Blue Bay.

Let me level with you – for the next week or so, Blue Bay is lookin' pretty grim. The swell is weak and jumbled, and the wind is mostly messin' things up. We've got a long stretch of poor surf conditions from now through to the end of August, with only a few brief windows for a paddle. But hold on – there's light at the end of the tunnel.

Starting off Monday the 17th, it's rain showers with onshore wind at 6 mph, and the swell sits at 4 ft from the ESE with a short 7-second period, giving us a weak 248 combined energy. It's rough. Tuesday the 18th is more of the same – onshore breeze, messy waves. Not worth wettin' a wetsuit.

Now, Wednesday morning the 19th is a little teaser. We get a glassy, calm morning with the wind swingin' SSW at just 3 mph. The swell drops to 2 ft from the ESE, period bumpin' up to 10 seconds, energy at 188 – it's surfable but very ordinary. Still, you might snag a clean little wave if you're desperate.

Thursday the 20th through the weekend is a write-off – tiny 1 ft to 3 ft slop, choppy or cross-onshore winds, and barely any energy (down to 19 on Saturday morning). Sunday the 23rd shows brief glassy conditions with a tiny 1 ft wave, but the period is 8 seconds – you'd be fightin' for scraps.

The standout window finally arrives around Tuesday the 25th. Tuesday morning we see a proper pulse of swell – 5 ft from the south, 9-second period, and a strong 421 combined energy. The wind is off from the west at 6 mph, so it's clean. This is the best on offer – real waves with shape, and it should be good for intermediates. Watch the afternoon though – the wind swings onshore and the swell drops a little, and the energy jumps to 680, but the cross-on breeze messes with the quality.

Wednesday the 26th through Thursday the 27th still has clean swell from the south around 3 ft to 4 ft with an 11-second period and moderate to fresh offshore winds from the west (up to 22 mph). The energy is strong, between 300 and 594. But the forecast says marginal surf conditions – likely due to tide issues or that strong wind makin' it a bit tricky. It's clean, but it might be more of a challenge than a cruise.

After that, we fade back into small, weak surf through to the start of September. No real standouts in that last week – just tiny waves with the odd clean moment.

If you're a beginner, watch out for that 5 ft swell on the 25th – it's a bit much for learnin'. The crowds at Blue Bay are "sometimes" a factor, so you might have company if you're there on the good days.

Water temp is about average for this time of year – nothin' wild to report.

This is Rusty, signin' off. Keep your eyes on the horizon.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 13°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
S
11
1.2
ESE
7
1.1
ESE
7
1.3
ESE
7
0.6
S
11
1.1
ESE
7
0.7
ESE
11
0.7
ESE
10
1.1
ESE
10
1
E
9
0.9
ESE
7
0.7
ESE
7
0.9
ENE
6
0.8
ENE
6
0.6
ENE
6
0.5
ENE
6
0.4
ENE
6
0.4
ENE
6
0.4
NE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
189
132
113
141
85
115
116
90
210
162
75
41
68
53
30
22
15
16
10
Wind (km/h)
0
W
10
E
15
SE
15
E
15
E
15
E
5
NNE
5
S
15
ENE
10
NW
10
NNE
20
NE
10
W
0
S
5
WNW
10
NNW
10
SW
20
SSE
5
WSW
Wind State
glassy
on
cross-on
on
on
on
glassy
glassy
on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
High Tide
10:43PM1.39m
11:21AM1.37m
11:25PM1.23m
12:04PM1.35m
00:11AM1.08m
12:53PM1.32m
1:06AM0.96m
1:49PM1.28m
2:17AM0.88m
2:54PM1.27m
3:41AM0.86m
4:00PM1.29m
Low Tide
5:00AM0.19m
5:30PM0.36m
5:34AM0.29m
6:26PM0.44m
6:11AM0.39m
7:30PM0.50m
6:54AM0.47m
8:46PM0.53m
7:49AM0.53m
10:05PM0.51m
8:59AM0.56m
11:09PM0.46m
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:31
6:28
6:28
6:26
6:26
6:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:24
5:25
5:27
5:27
5:28
5:29
 mm
1
1
1
2
2
Temp °C
15
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
19
19
19
16
15
14
17
16
16
Feels °C
14
14
13
14
13
13
15
14
13
14
15
17
17
15
14
13
13
12
16
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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