Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NE swell with 1,341 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 8s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Blue Bay.
The outlook is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a solid week of small, poor conditions ahead, but there’s a couple of windows where it will actually turn on. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.
Starting off, the first decent surf we see is on Thursday, 13 August in the morning. The swell is pushing 5ft from the south, with a moderate energy reading (355). The wind is light and cross-offshore from the southwest, which will keep the surface clean. It’s a solid, surfable size for intermediates, but nothing to write home about just yet.
The real standout, and the best we’re going to get in this window, is Friday morning, 14 August. The swell is still a clean 5ft from the south, but the energy has dropped a bit to 411. The wind is light from the WSW, making it cross-off and glassy. This is the moment to paddle out. It’s not huge, but it will be clean, lined up, and fun. Just keep in mind, Blue Bay is an inconsistent reef break, so don’t expect a wave every minute.
After that, Saturday morning, 15 August has a similar 5ft south swell (357 energy) and light cross-off winds, but it’s a touch smaller and a bit more wind-affected with light rain. Still a goer, but Friday is the pick.
The rest of the forecast is a write-off. From the 16th right through to the 23rd, we’re looking at tiny, weak, or onshore conditions. The wind swings onshore, the swell drops off, and the energy readings are mostly under 100. There’s a long gap of poor surf here, and the 23rd morning shows a tiny 3ft glassy moment, but it’s too small to get excited about.
Bottom line: if you want to get wet, aim for Friday morning, 14 August. That’s your window.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the NNE by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | ENE 10 | S 8 | S 11 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 58 | 40 | 61 | 149 | 154 | 479 | 601 | 334 | 133 | 71 | 62 | 169 | 121 | 96 | 52 | 326 | 881 | 306 | 392 | 392 | 219 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:06PM1.52m | 4:56AM1.00m | 5:11PM1.61m | 6:03AM1.06m | 6:09PM1.71m | 6:59AM1.13m | 7:01PM1.78m | 7:49AM1.20m | 7:50PM1.80m | 8:34AM1.27m | 8:36PM1.76m | 9:17AM1.32m | 9:19PM1.68m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:05PM0.28m | 10:25AM0.38m | 00:08AM0.16m | 11:31AM0.33m | 1:02AM0.07m | 12:29PM0.27m | 1:49AM-0.00m | 1:22PM0.22m | 2:33AM-0.03m | 2:12PM0.20m | 3:13AM-0.02m | 3:01PM0.20m | 3:50AM0.03m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — |
 | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 13 | 20 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | ENE 10 | S 8 | S 11 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 |
| kJ | 58 | 40 | 61 | 149 | 154 | 1 | 601 | 334 | 133 | 71 | 62 | 169 | 121 | 96 | 52 | 326 | 881 | 306 | 392 | 280 | 219 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 7 | NE 4 | S 6 | E 14 | S 13 | S 13 | E 13 | S 7 | SSW 6 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 46 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 43 | 47 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 29 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | E 8 | SSE 9 | S 6 | SSE 8 | S 13 | — | — | S 12 | S 12 | S 14 | S 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 19 | S 19 |
| kJ | 18 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 63 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 2 | — | NE 3 | NNE 4 | N 3 | ENE 7 | NW 4 | NW 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 3 | WNW 4 | NW 3 | NW 3 | SW 6 | SSW 8 | — | SSW 9 | — | S 9 | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | 5 | 11 | 3 | 479 | 44 | 94 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 133 | 511 | — | 474 | — | 392 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 296 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 403 | 107 | 128 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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