Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the next couple of weeks at Blue Bay. It’s a reef break, intermediate level, and it only really turns on when everything lines up. Looking at the whole 16-day run, it’s a bit of a mixed bag—nothing epic, but there are a few windows where it could be worth a paddle. The best of it is early on, then it goes flat and messy, and we’ve got one big pulse right at the end that’s promising but a long way off.

The first real call is Thursday morning, the 10th. We’ve got a solid 8ft south swell rolling in with a 9-second period. The combined energy is strong at 1110. The wind is cross-off from the southwest, which keeps the surface clean. It’s not perfect—there’s a bit of a marginal feel to it—but it’s the best size we see for a few days. Thursday afternoon gets messy with a cross-shore wind, so if you’re keen, get in early.

Friday the 11th morning is the standout for the early period. Swell drops a touch to 6ft from the south, period at 10 seconds, and the wind swings to a gentle cross-off. The energy is moderate at 693, and the water will be clean. This is your pick for the first week—good shape, decent size, and not too crowded. Friday afternoon turns onshore and goes ordinary, so don’t sleep in.

Saturday morning the 12th is worth a mention too. It’s smaller, 4ft, but the period jumps to 12 seconds, which gives it some push. The wind is glassy—absolutely nothing—so it’ll be clean as a whistle. It’s a long-period swell, which can be a bit straight on a beach, but on this reef it should be okay. The energy is moderate at 611. After that, it dies off quickly.

From Saturday afternoon through to Thursday the 18th, it’s pretty poor. The swell drops below 3ft, winds are onshore or cross-onshore, and the energy is weak. There’s a lot of lumpy, choppy junk in there. Not worth your time unless you’re desperate for a splash. The water temp at this point is about average for the time of year, nothing crazy.

Then we get a break in the pattern. Saturday the 19th morning sees a big pulse—12ft from the south with a 10-second period. That’s a strong, powerful swell, energy hits 2309. But the wind is cross-onshore and it’s going to be a raw, lumpy beast. This is pushing past the comfort zone for most, and with that onshore wind, it’s not going to be pretty. Later that day it drops but stays messy. This one’s for the experts only, and even then, it looks more like a towing session than a clean surf.

The next good window is Sunday the 20th afternoon. Swell is back to 4ft, period 11 seconds, and the wind turns offshore from the west-northwest. It’ll be clean and lined up. Moderate energy at 560. That’s a decent little session if you can wait it out.

After that, the second week gets messy again. There’s a lot of junky, short-period swell and onshore winds. One more notable pulse shows up on Wednesday the 23rd afternoon—10ft—but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore, and it’s just going to be a windblown mess. Then again on Thursday the 24th morning, 7ft, but it’s short-period and onshore. Not worth the effort.

The last call is Friday the 25th morning. Swell is 4ft from the south, period 10 seconds, with a gentle offshore wind. It’s clean, it’s surfable, and the energy is moderate. It’s a nice way to end the run, but a long way out.

So, in short: Friday the 11th morning is the best of the near-term, and Sunday the 20th afternoon is a decent call if you can wait. The big stuff later is too messy and too big for most.

Rusty.

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