Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,521 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's have a look at what's on the table for Blue Bay.
The forecast starts with a bit of a lull, but things get interesting by the middle of next week. The water’s sitting at about 65°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing unusual there.
The first real chance to get wet comes on Wednesday morning, the 9th. It’s not a classic, but you could get a few 4ft waves from the south with a cross-off wind. The energy is weak (237), so don't expect much push. Thursday the 10th picks up a bit, with 8ft south swell in the morning, but the wind is moderate, and the surf is marginal. The energy is moderate (1092), but the conditions are just not quite there.
The standout window is Friday morning, the 11th. You’ve got a clean 6ft south swell with a light cross-off breeze. The energy is moderate (693) and the period is 10 seconds, so it’ll have a bit of shape. This is the best clean surf on offer for the first week. Saturday morning the 12th is a close second with glassy 4ft south swell, but it’s a little smaller.
After that, the surf drops off fast. From Sunday the 13th right through to the end of the third week, the swell is tiny and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-on. There’s a long stretch of days with nothing worth paddling for. The energy readings are all under 300, and the comments are all poor.
There is a flicker of hope on Monday the 21st, with a 6ft SSE swell arriving in the morning, but the wind is moderate cross-off and the conditions are marginal. It’s over a week away, so keep an eye on it, but don’t bank on it.
So, for the whole 16-day window, Friday the 11th morning is your best bet. Get down there early for clean, fun waves.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Wed afternoon, calm by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 7 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | NE 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 165 | 644 | 2521 | 961 | 865 | 808 | 687 | 541 | 370 | 346 | 390 | 161 | 138 | 146 | 138 | 129 | 110 | 66 | 30 | 28 | 505 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | 8:44AM1.46m | 8:54PM1.50m | 9:21AM1.49m | 9:34PM1.38m | 9:57AM1.49m | 10:13PM1.25m | 10:34AM1.46m | 10:54PM1.12m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:24PM0.28m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | 2:47PM0.17m | 3:07AM0.11m | 3:31PM0.19m | 3:39AM0.19m | 4:15PM0.24m | 4:10AM0.28m | 5:01PM0.31m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 18 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 20 | 15 | 11 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | S 9 |
| kJ | 165 | 17 | 70 | 961 | 865 | 808 | 687 | 541 | 370 | 346 | 390 | 161 | 138 | 146 | 138 | 129 | 110 | 66 | 22 | 12 | 505 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | E 9 | S 25 | ESE 10 | S 22 | ESE 9 | E 15 | E 14 | S 18 | SSE 19 | S 17 | SSE 19 | S 16 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 5 | ENE 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 5 |
| kJ | 66 | 6 | 12 | 38 | 251 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 119 | 147 | 124 | 47 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 49 | 30 | 28 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 17 | — | S 23 | ESE 9 | SSE 22 | E 10 | E 9 | E 13 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | E 10 | ENE 13 | — | ENE 12 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 14 |
| kJ | 6 | 6 | — | 93 | 17 | 47 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 2 | 17 | — | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | S 7 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 2 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 5 | — | ENE 5 | NW 3 | — | SSE 4 | — |
| kJ | 1 | 644 | 2521 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 26 | 11 | 38 | 62 | — | 59 | 3 | — | 19 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 739 | 124 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 16 | 8 | 471 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 0 | 145 | 158 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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