Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 11s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 12s period, S swell with 607 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty here, and let me tell you what's cooking for Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks.
First up, the water temp's sitting at a pretty normal 65°, so no nasty surprises there. We're starting off slow, real slow. The first couple of days have some tiny, weak swell but the conditions are too ordinary to get excited about. There’s a real quiet spell until we get to Friday the 4th of September.
That Friday morning is where it finally turns on. It’s not huge, but we’ve got a clean 3ft south swell sneaking in with glassy conditions. The energy is moderate (277) and those glassy winds mean you’ll be sliding into some silky waves. That’s your pick of the early period, no question.
After that, it gets messy again. Lots of onshore junk and choppy water through the weekend and into the next week. The swell does bump up, but the winds are all wrong. It’s a frustrating stretch.
Now, looking ahead to Wednesday the 16th of September - this is the standout at the end of the window. We’ve got a clean 5ft south swell with light offshore winds. The energy is strong at 447, making for some proper, punchy waves. It looks like the best conditions by a long shot. But keep in mind, it’s a week and a half away, so don’t lock it in just yet.
For you beginners, apart from that Friday morning glass-off, most of the cleaner swell is around 3ft to 5ft which is manageable, but anything above that through the middle of the month gets into expert territory real quick.
Overall, Blue Bay is playing hard to get. There’s a lot of nothing, but if you time it right for that Friday morning or that Wednesday afternoon session, it’ll be worth the wait.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 11 | S 9 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 7 | S 12 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 7 | SSE 8 | S 8 | SE 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 108 | 71 | 73 | 52 | 33 | 237 | 201 | 65 | 94 | 60 | 44 | 74 | 607 | 270 | 331 | 196 | 317 | 402 | 301 | 67 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:44PM1.14m | 12:20PM1.44m | 00:50AM1.03m | 1:25PM1.43m | 2:14AM0.96m | 2:40PM1.44m | 3:44AM0.96m | 3:54PM1.49m | 4:59AM1.02m | 5:00PM1.56m | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:52PM0.33m | 5:42AM0.32m | 7:01PM0.37m | 6:37AM0.40m | 8:22PM0.37m | 7:47AM0.46m | 9:46PM0.33m | 9:08AM0.47m | 10:57PM0.24m | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:28AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — |
 | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 21 | 26 | 25 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 30 | 29 | 21 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 23 | 18 | 21 | 23 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 11 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | NE 6 | S 7 | S 12 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | SE 8 |
| kJ | 108 | 71 | 73 | 52 | 33 | 237 | 201 | 42 | 94 | 60 | 18 | 74 | 607 | 270 | 331 | 196 | 9 | 402 | 301 | 67 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | NE 7 | S 5 | ENE 10 | NE 4 | ENE 9 | ENE 5 | S 10 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 7 | E 10 | ENE 10 | E 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | S 7 |
| kJ | 33 | 33 | 31 | 38 | 12 | 21 | 18 | 8 | 17 | 10 | 44 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 54 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | NE 6 | NE 6 | W 3 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | NE 7 | S 12 | — | E 9 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 8 | E 10 | NE 8 | N 9 | NE 9 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 9 | 65 | — | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | NW 3 | NNW 4 | — | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | ESE 4 | N 4 | NNE 4 | NW 4 | SW 3 | — | — | NNE 2 | — | ENE 3 | SSE 7 | — | — | NNE 3 |
| kJ | 5 | 1 | 10 | — | 32 | 31 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 317 | — | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 83 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 128 | 11 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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