Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 13s period, S swell with 1,391 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 9s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Same 16-day window for Blue Bay, but we’re talking feet and Fahrenheit now.
The start is slow. Tuesday the 21st morning has a 5ft ENE swell with a light cross breeze, and only 438 combined energy – it’s just not enough. Wednesday and Thursday are small but clean, with 3ft to 4ft swells and offshore winds, but the energy is low (126 to 268). Surfable, but nothing to get excited about.
Friday the 24th morning is the first real standout. A 8ft S swell hits with a combined energy of 1654, and the wind is clean cross-offshore. This is for experienced surfers only – it’s pushing big. The water temp is about 66°, which is normal for this time of year.
Saturday the 25th morning is a gem: 6ft S swell with an 11-second period, offshore wind, and 699 combined energy. Sunday the 26th morning stays clean with a 5ft S swell. Both are excellent.
Wednesday the 29th morning is the big one: 10ft S swell, combined energy of 2897, and clean cross-offshore wind. Experts only. Thursday the 30th morning is glassy with an 8ft S swell, but the period is short at 8 seconds – still, that glassy surface is a treat.
The first week of August fades fast. Saturday the 1st morning is glassy with a 5ft SE swell and 535 combined energy – a nice little session. After that, it’s small and choppy through to the 5th.
Best on offer: Friday the 24th morning for the experienced crew, and Wednesday the 29th morning for the experts. Saturday the 25th morning is a cracker for everyone else.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 363 | 294 | 201 | 248 | 172 | 149 | 116 | 92 | 44 | 1055 | 586 | 1373 | 686 | 486 | 267 | 451 | 468 | 314 | 189 | 119 | 64 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | on | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | on | off |
High Tide | 1:51PM1.29m | 1:47AM1.03m | 2:45PM1.31m | 2:54AM0.93m | 3:41PM1.32m | 4:07AM0.89m | 4:36PM1.36m | 5:13AM0.89m | 5:26PM1.40m | 6:08AM0.93m | 6:12PM1.46m | 6:53AM0.97m | 6:53PM1.52m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:11PM0.52m | 7:53AM0.39m | 9:27PM0.53m | 8:42AM0.45m | 10:38PM0.50m | 9:37AM0.49m | 11:38PM0.44m | 10:34AM0.49m | 00:26AM0.38m | 11:27AM0.47m | 1:07AM0.32m | 12:14PM0.43m | 1:44AM0.26m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — |
 | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 |
| kJ | 363 | 294 | 201 | 248 | 172 | 149 | 116 | 92 | 44 | 569 | 586 | 1373 | 686 | 486 | 267 | 451 | 468 | 314 | 189 | 119 | 64 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 6 | S 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | SE 16 |
| kJ | 56 | 53 | 31 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | — | — | E 9 | S 10 | SE 8 | SE 7 | S 19 | — | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | N 9 | E 9 | E 13 | SE 17 | SE 14 | NE 7 |
| kJ | 19 | 17 | 4 | 3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 28 | — | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ENE 3 | NE 5 | NNW 3 | — | WSW 3 | SW 3 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | SW 3 | — | — | N 2 | NW 2 | — | WSW 3 |
| kJ | — | 3 | 30 | 4 | — | 2 | 5 | 27 | 172 | 1055 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 128 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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