Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SSE swell with 2,904 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's shaping up for Blue Bay. This is a reef break, so it needs the right angle to really light up, and it's inconsistent, so you gotta be patient.
The water temp is sitting right where it should be for this time of year. The forecast starts on Tuesday, July 7th, with a solid 12ft swell from the SSE. The energy is massive, like 2520 on the dial. But the wind is a headache. Morning is a cross-off at 15 mph, but it swings to a full cross at 19 mph in the afternoon. It's going to be choppy. A wave that size with that wind is a beast.
Wednesday the 8th drops a bit to 8ft from the SE. The wind is still cross from the south, blowing 9 mph in the morning then 15 mph later. Not clean. Thursday the 9th is smaller at 5ft from the ESE with a lighter cross-off, so it'll be cleaner. The energy is down to 899. The best bet in this first week might be Friday morning, July 10th. You have a 5ft SE swell with a clean offshore wind from the WSW at 6 mph. That’s the sweet spot for the reef. The wave will be clean and peeling.
Saturday the 11th is similar but smaller, with 4ft from the SE and a steady cross-off, making for clean but small waves. Then from Sunday the 12th all the way through to Monday the 20th, the surf goes nearly flat. There’s a tiny moment on Tuesday the 14th with a 4ft S swell and glassy conditions, but the energy is low and it’s inconsistent. That’s a long dry spell.
Now, look at Monday the 20th. The morning shows an 8ft S swell with a strong offshore wind at 19 mph from the WSW. The energy is solid (1649). That will be a clean, powerful wave. But the true monster is Tuesday, July 21st. A massive 18ft S groundswell with a long 12-second period. The energy reading is a jaw-dropping 14687. The morning wind is a cross-off at 12 mph from the SW, keeping the reef clean. This is expert-only, life-changing size. Wednesday the 22nd settles to 12ft with lighter winds, which could be the best mix of size and cleanliness for the experienced crew.
So, to sum it up: for a clean, fun session, Friday morning, July 10th is your best bet on that 5ft swell with offshore wind. But for the big wave hunters, Tuesday, July 21st is the absolute standout. That swell is off the charts.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon night, min 11°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Tue morning, light winds from the SSE by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Mon 13 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | ESE 11 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | S 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1868 | 2349 | 2904 | 2330 | 1630 | 1227 | 711 | 499 | 632 | 492 | 390 | 580 | 459 | 230 | 172 | 130 | 135 | 90 | 49 | 18 | 10 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 00:21AM1.30m | 1:34PM1.25m | 1:18AM1.20m | 2:29PM1.33m | 2:25AM1.12m | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | 4:57AM1.05m | 5:23PM1.64m | 6:06AM1.07m | 6:19PM1.74m | 7:08AM1.11m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:59AM0.22m | 7:29PM0.53m | 7:46AM0.24m | 8:44PM0.49m | 8:39AM0.27m | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:11PM0.30m | 10:38AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.17m | 11:38AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.06m | 12:36PM0.26m | ||||||||
 |  | | | |  | |  | | |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — |
 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 |
mm | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | 7 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 15 | — | S 16 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | ESE 11 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | S 7 | SSW 6 |
| kJ | — | 171 | — | 20 | 1630 | 1227 | 711 | 499 | 632 | 492 | 390 | 580 | 459 | 230 | 172 | 130 | 135 | 90 | 49 | 23 | 13 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | SSE 10 | ESE 10 | S 16 | SE 13 | S 20 | S 19 | ESE 14 | ESE 12 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSW 9 | SE 8 | ESE 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 223 | 321 | 366 | 394 | 39 | 5 | 158 | 8 | 7 | 67 | 129 | 72 | 26 | 13 | 26 | 18 | 7 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 20 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | — | — | — | S 15 | S 16 | ESE 13 | S 16 | S 16 | SSW 5 | SE 7 | S 11 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | — | — | — | 4 | 5 | 65 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | W 4 | WNW 4 | WSW 3 |
| kJ | 1868 | 2349 | 2904 | 2330 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 11 | 41 | 130 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 180 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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