Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 2,086 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for Blue Bay.
Alright, the next 16 days are a bit of a mixed bag for Blue Bay. There's a real run of poor conditions early on, but things start to look up for a few sessions, especially around the middle of the period. The water temp is sitting around 65°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no need to worry about any unusual chill.
The first real standout isn't until Monday, 20th July. The morning session is looking like the pick of the whole run. We've got a clean 6ft swell rolling in from the ENE, with a period of 11 seconds. That's a proper groundswell, and the thing that makes it special is the glassy conditions – a light WSW breeze at just 3 mph. You'll be looking at clean, lined-up waves. The combined swell energy is a solid 863 (moderate), so there's plenty of push. It's a reef break, so that long period should wrap in nicely. Just keep in mind it's an inconsistent spot, so you might have to wait a bit for the sets.
After that, things get a little messy again until Friday, 24th July. The morning is the next big call. A strong S swell is pushing in at 8ft, with a 10-second period. The combined energy is a thumping 2333 (strong), so this is for the experienced crew only. It's too big for beginners. The wind is a clean cross-off from the WSW at 9 mph, which will keep the surface smooth. This is excellent for those who can handle the size.
The 25th of July, Saturday morning, offers a nice little window with 4ft of S swell, glassy conditions from a 3 mph WSW breeze, and the reef will be working with that 10-second period. It's a solid option for a smaller board.
Towards the end of the run, on Sunday, 2nd August, the morning looks good again. We've got a clean 6ft ENE swell with a 10-second period and a light cross-off breeze from the WSW. The combined energy is 699 (moderate), and the conditions are clean. A promising session to finish the outlook.
So, the standout windows are the mornings of Monday 20th July and Friday 24th July. The 20th is the one for the best all-round conditions, and the 24th is for the big-wave hunters. The rest of the time is a bit of a write-off with messy cross-on winds and poor surf. It's a reef break, so crowds are possible at Blue Bay, especially on those good mornings.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, fresh winds from the S by Thu morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 141 | 181 | 795 | 1107 | 818 | 831 | 672 | 588 | 500 | 356 | 301 | 325 | 193 | 146 | 88 | 57 | 1010 | 817 | 1802 | 1409 | 656 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:20AM1.25m | 11:15PM1.51m | 12:09PM1.27m | 00:01AM1.34m | 12:59PM1.28m | 00:51AM1.17m | 1:51PM1.29m | 1:47AM1.03m | 2:45PM1.31m | 2:54AM0.93m | 3:41PM1.32m | 4:07AM0.89m | 4:36PM1.36m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:01PM0.35m | 5:51AM0.13m | 5:59PM0.42m | 6:30AM0.22m | 7:01PM0.48m | 7:10AM0.31m | 8:11PM0.52m | 7:53AM0.39m | 9:27PM0.53m | 8:42AM0.45m | 10:38PM0.50m | 9:37AM0.49m | 11:38PM0.44m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | |
 | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 9 |
| kJ | 49 | 46 | 795 | 1107 | 818 | 831 | 672 | 588 | 500 | 356 | 301 | 325 | 193 | 146 | 88 | 57 | 41 | 24 | 15 | 15 | 656 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 21 | S 20 | S 9 | S 17 | S 16 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | — | S 17 | ENE 9 | — | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 35 | 32 | 25 | 95 | 125 | 162 | 181 | 178 | 84 | 56 | 53 | 31 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 8 | — | 23 | 15 | — | 7 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 18 | SSE 19 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 15 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 6 | 69 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NNE 3 | NE 3 | NE 5 | WNW 2 | — | WSW 3 | SSW 6 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | — |
| kJ | 141 | 181 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 1 | — | 10 | 77 | 1010 | 817 | 1802 | 1409 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 113 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 445 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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