
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,521 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s ahead for our little patch. Right now, we’re in a bit of a quiet spell, but there’s a couple of windows that could be worth wetting a line for.
The first real chance to get wet comes on Wednesday the 9th of September. Blue Bay is showing a small 4ft S swell with a period of 8 seconds, and the wind is a clean cross-offshore from the SSW. The combined energy is weak at 224, so it’s not packing much punch, but it’s rideable and glassy enough for a longboard or a funboard. The water temp is about what you’d expect for this time of year, so nothing wild there.
Thursday the 10th sees the swell jump to 8ft from the S, but the wind turns cross-shore and the period drops to 7 seconds. The energy ramps up significantly to 746, but it’s messy. This is more of a bad day than a good one—strong cross-shore with chop, and that size is getting too much for beginners. It’s a pass.
Now, Friday the 11th is where we get a little hope. The morning shows a 6ft S swell, period at 10 seconds, and a light cross-offshore wind from the SW. The energy is 703, which is a solid moderate push. This is the best-looking window in the first week—clean, decent shape, and a good size for an intermediate. The swell direction is SSE, which matches what Blue Bay likes best. Crowds are just “sometimes” here, so you might get a good session with only a few heads out.
The weekend and start of the next week turn ugly. From Saturday the 12th through to the 19th, we’ve got a long stretch of poor conditions. The swell drops under 3ft, winds are mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the energy is low. There’s a long gap of about 8 days with nothing really worth paddling out for.
Then, on the 20th of September, Sunday morning, a little pulse of 3ft S swell with 12 seconds shows up. Wind is light cross-offshore from the NNW, energy is 296. It’s small, but clean. The best, however, is on the 21st of September, Monday morning. A 10ft S swell hits, with a period of 11 seconds and a huge energy of 2444. That’s a strong, powerful swell, but it’s only for experts at that size, and the wind is cross-shore. The beach break nature of Blue Bay might make those long-period lines a bit straight, so it’s more of a reef or point wave kind of day. Still, it’s a standout for the entire forecast period if you’ve got the skills and the right board.
Tuesday the 22nd of September offers a late shout: 6ft from the ENE with a 6-second period, but the wind is offshore from the WSW, giving clean conditions. The energy is 274, so it’s not huge, but it’s rideable and clean.
From the 23rd onward, it’s back to onshore garbage and small waves. The 16-day window is a mix of one or two good mornings and a lot of waiting. Keep an eye on the long-range stuff for the 21st—it’s promising but not a lock.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Tue night, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 13°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
477 | 165 | 716 | 2521 | 1075 | 1013 | 1076 | 697 | 602 | 432 | 326 | 390 | 194 | 127 | 146 | 206 | 172 | 112 | 75 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | 8:44AM1.46m | 8:54PM1.50m | 9:21AM1.49m | 9:34PM1.38m | 9:57AM1.49m | 10:13PM1.25m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.28m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | 2:47PM0.17m | 3:07AM0.11m | 3:31PM0.19m | 3:39AM0.19m | 4:15PM0.24m | |||||||
— | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 21 | 19 | 19 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 22 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | NE 5 | S 12 | S 11 | ENE 6 |
477 | 165 | 17 | 48 | 38 | 247 | 1076 | 697 | 602 | 432 | 326 | 390 | 194 | 127 | 146 | 65 | 172 | 112 | 63 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SE 7 | E 9 | S 25 | S 23 | ESE 9 | SSE 22 | E 10 | E 14 | S 18 | SSE 19 | S 18 | S 19 | S 16 | ENE 13 | S 13 | NE 5 | ENE 12 | S 10 |
7 | 53 | 7 | 12 | 93 | 17 | 48 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 118 | 160 | 190 | 47 | 17 | 206 | 14 | 15 | 75 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 15 | E 9 | E 17 | NE 16 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 15 | E 9 | E 13 | ENE 14 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | — | E 12 |
4 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | — | 12 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 3 | S 7 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 2 | NE 4 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 6 | — | ENE 5 | — |
— | 1 | 716 | 2521 | 1075 | 1013 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 16 | 4 | 32 | 88 | — | 56 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 739 | 130 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 221 | 0 | 8 | 99 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










