Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 02 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
17.9° C
0.4° 

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 6 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period, S swell with 415 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 8s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Mon 3rd Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 11s
Best Surf 7AM (Mon 3rd Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 11s
Most Powerful 7PM (Thu 6th Aug)5ft (1.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s chew the fat on Blue Bay for the next couple of weeks.

Look, I’ll level with you: the first week and a half is pretty bleak. We get a little bump on Monday the 3rd of August with some chest-high, 4ft SE groundswell at 11 seconds, but the wind is messy cross-shore and the whole thing feels ordinary. The combined energy is moderate (375), but the conditions are just off. That afternoon, it fades.

From Tuesday the 4th through to Saturday the 16th, it’s mostly a bust. We’re looking at knee-to-waist high slop, periods under 10 seconds, and onshore or cross-shore winds killing any chance of a clean face. The combined energy sits well under 200 most days, really weak. A couple of glassy mornings on Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th give you clean 4ft to 4ft S swell, but the energy is low and the period is short, so the waves are soft and fat. Nothing to write home about. There’s a real dry spell here of about 12 days where I wouldn’t bother suiting up unless you just want to sit on your board.

The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing to report.

Now for the good stuff. Hold out until Monday the 17th of August. That’s when she finally lights up. A solid 7ft S swell rolls in during the morning, with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 885 (moderate-strong). Winds are light offshore from the WSW, keeping it clean. This is the one to chase, and it’s for intermediates and up – 7ft is gonna be too much for beginners. The afternoon pushes the swell to 8ft from the S, with a longer 12-second period and energy soaring to 1680 (strong). It’s a little cross-shore, so maybe a bit more tricky, but the power is undeniable. Tuesday the 18th keeps the 7ft S swell going with clean offshore winds again. This is your best bet, no doubt.

Since Blue Bay is a reef break, that long-period groundswell will wrap in nicely, but it can also make it a bit too lined up for the beach if you’re not in the zone. Still, these two days are your only real window.

So, the long and short of it: you’ll be waiting a while, but the 17th and 18th of August are the ones to mark on the calendar. Promising, but it’s a week and a half out, so keep your fingers crossed.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SE
12
1.2
SE
11
1
SE
11
0.7
SE
10
0.4
SE
10
0.3
ESE
7
0.2
E
11
0.4
E
10
0.7
S
7
0.4
E
8
1.1
S
9
1.4
S
10
1.4
S
9
1.2
S
9
1.1
S
9
1
S
9
0.7
S
8
0.6
S
8
0.7
S
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
558
338
220
106
25
9
9
31
51
22
180
354
332
234
189
153
64
45
66
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
10
N
15
NNW
10
W
15
W
10
ESE
15
WNW
15
W
10
ESE
15
W
5
NW
15
ENE
5
NW
0
WSW
10
ESE
10
W
0
SW
20
ENE
20
N
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
off
cross-on
off
off
on
off
glassy
on
cross-off
glassy
on
off
glassy
cross-on
cross
High Tide
10:28PM1.45m
11:16AM1.29m
11:09PM1.35m
12:01PM1.32m
11:57PM1.24m
12:52PM1.35m
00:56AM1.12m
1:51PM1.39m
2:10AM1.03m
2:58PM1.44m
3:35AM0.98m
4:06PM1.52m
Low Tide
4:59AM0.16m
5:08PM0.40m
5:35AM0.19m
6:03PM0.43m
6:16AM0.25m
7:10PM0.45m
7:05AM0.31m
8:28PM0.44m
8:05AM0.36m
9:50PM0.38m
9:15AM0.39m
11:05PM0.28m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:43
6:41
6:41
6:41
6:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:17
5:17
5:19
 mm
Temp °C
16
21
22
16
17
17
12
16
17
12
12
14
13
13
15
15
14
16
15
Feels °C
13
16
18
13
13
14
7
13
14
7
8
10
10
11
12
13
12
12
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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