
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 12s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 12s period, S swell with 6,215 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 4.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.0m 12s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Blue Bay.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next week or so is a real mixed bag. We’ve got a slow start, with nothing worth paddling out for until about Tuesday morning the 11th. The first few days are just a write-off with tiny, messy waves and crummy winds. But once that pulse of southerly groundswell kicks in, things get interesting.
The real standout window, and I mean the one you circle on the calendar, is the morning of Friday, 14 August. Blue Bay is looking at a solid 12 ft swell from the south, with a long period of 12 seconds – that’s proper groundswell, lots of energy and shape. The wind is light offshore from the WSW at 9 mph, so it’ll be clean, lined up, and offering some proper waves. The combined energy is a hefty 3803 – that’s serious power. This is definitely one for experienced surfers only; it’s too big for beginners. The water temp is sitting at 64°F, which is about 1°F cooler than normal, so nothing too unusual for this time of year. Keep in mind, Blue Bay is an inconsistent reef break, so when it turns on, you want to be there.
The afternoon before, on Thursday the 13th, also has some size – an 12 ft southerly swell with an 11 second period – but the wind swings cross-onshore in the afternoon, so the morning of the 14th is the clear winner.
There’s another decent pulse on the morning of Tuesday, 11 August – a 6 ft south swell, 10 second period, with light offshore winds. That’s a solid, fun size for intermediate surfers, with clean conditions. The energy reading of 624 is moderate but punchy. Not quite the standout, but a good warm-up.
After that big Friday, the weekend of the 15th and 16th holds some size, but the wind gets messy and the conditions turn lumpy. By the following week, from Monday the 18th onwards, the swell drops right off and we’re back to small, poor surf, so don’t expect much.
So, bottom line: if you’ve got the skills, Friday morning, 14 August is the session. The rest of the run is a bit of a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Mon morning, calm by Tue morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 10 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
91 | 74 | 52 | 51 | 50 | 46 | 41 | 83 | 146 | 184 | 370 | 221 | 108 | 129 | 552 | 347 | 556 | 284 | 137 | 35 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 2:10AM1.03m | 2:58PM1.44m | 3:35AM0.98m | 4:06PM1.52m | 4:56AM1.00m | 5:11PM1.61m | 6:03AM1.06m | 6:09PM1.71m | 6:59AM1.13m | 7:01PM1.78m | 7:49AM1.20m | 7:50PM1.80m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:28PM0.44m | 8:05AM0.36m | 9:50PM0.38m | 9:15AM0.39m | 11:05PM0.28m | 10:25AM0.38m | 00:08AM0.16m | 11:31AM0.33m | 1:02AM0.07m | 12:29PM0.27m | 1:49AM-0.00m | 1:22PM0.22m | 2:33AM-0.03m | |||||||
— | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | |
5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSW 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 6 |
91 | 74 | 33 | 51 | 50 | 46 | 41 | 83 | 146 | 184 | 370 | 221 | 108 | 92 | 552 | 347 | 556 | 284 | 137 | 28 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | S 8 | E 7 | SSE 9 | E 9 | S 7 | S 6 | SSE 8 | E 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | ENE 10 | S 12 | NE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 8 |
21 | 25 | 52 | 34 | 25 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 129 | 33 | 145 | 48 | 55 | 55 | 35 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 12 | E 10 | SSE 12 | ENE 8 | S 8 | ENE 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 6 | SE 10 | — | E 14 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | — | — | — | ENE 10 |
15 | 18 | 27 | 21 | 34 | 18 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | 4 | 33 | 39 | 39 | — | — | — | 31 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | — | — | N 4 | WNW 5 | W 5 | W 4 | NW 3 | — | NW 4 | N 3 | NNE 4 | NW 5 |
— | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | 33 | 57 | 64 | 40 | 6 | — | 10 | 2 | 24 | 84 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 52 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 26 | 0 | 19 | 128 | 108 | 219 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99 | 279 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











