Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, S swell with 279 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sat 15th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, patch of blue sky here and there, but the ocean’s been talking, and for the first stretch, it’s all bad news. Rusty here, giving you the lowdown on Blue Bay. From the 14th through to the 22nd, we're looking at a massive 9-day gap with basically nothing. It's small, weak, and messy. The swell energy is pathetic – down in the double digits or low hundreds (260, 240, 72) – and the wind is just constantly cross-shore or blowing onshore, chopping it all up. There are a couple of moments on the 19th and 21st where the wind goes clean or offshore, but there’s only 0.8m of swell to show for it. You'd need a longboard and a lot of patience. It's a dead zone, plain and simple.
But, the 23rd is when the ocean wakes up. A new south swell pushes in that afternoon, hitting 1.9m at 11 seconds. The energy jumps to a strong 862. It's got power, but the wind is cross-on, so it'll be lumpy. That’s not a day for the faint of heart – over 1.5m is pushing it for beginners.
Then comes the one to get excited about. The morning of the 25th of August. The models are screaming about a proper south swell – a solid 3.5m at 10 seconds. The energy reading is insane, a massive 4436. And it’s glass – absolutely no wind. For a reef break like Blue Bay, that’s the recipe for perfection. But this is big, over 2.5m, so it’s experts only. This is the day. The afternoon will still have size, but the onshore wind will ruin it.
After that, it fades fast. The 26th is still big at 2.5m but with a cross-shore wind. The 27th backs off to 1-1.5m, and that afternoon, the offshore wind makes it clean and fun. The 28th and 29th are nothing but small, choppy leftovers. So there you have it: a long dry spell, one proper, heavy day for the experts on the 25th, and then a quick goodbye. Water temp is 17°, which is a bit chillier than average, so don't forget the booties.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri night, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 13°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 7 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 6 | SE 6 | S 11 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
91 | 235 | 270 | 187 | 175 | 88 | 229 | 136 | 113 | 96 | 96 | 81 | 103 | 114 | 175 | 144 | 88 | 64 | 111 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:58AM1.36m | 10:01PM1.54m | 10:39AM1.38m | 10:43PM1.39m | 11:21AM1.37m | 11:25PM1.23m | 12:04PM1.35m | 00:11AM1.08m | 12:53PM1.32m | 1:06AM0.96m | 1:49PM1.28m | 2:17AM0.88m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:50AM0.03m | 3:50PM0.23m | 4:26AM0.10m | 4:39PM0.29m | 5:00AM0.19m | 5:30PM0.36m | 5:34AM0.29m | 6:26PM0.44m | 6:11AM0.39m | 7:30PM0.50m | 6:54AM0.47m | 8:46PM0.53m | |||||||
— | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:27 | — | |
mm | 2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 7 | S 9 | S 19 | S 17 | S 17 | S 7 | S 11 | S 10 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ENE 7 |
91 | 235 | 62 | 93 | 147 | 74 | 229 | 116 | 113 | 96 | 96 | 81 | 103 | 114 | 175 | 144 | 88 | 64 | 111 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 12 | S 8 | S 17 | SSW 14 | S 9 | S 8 | S 11 | S 11 | ESE 12 | ESE 10 | S 15 | — | — | E 11 | S 13 |
44 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 26 | 33 | 53 | 63 | 102 | 47 | 87 | 56 | 79 | 94 | 4 | — | — | 2 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | S 19 | S 14 | — | ENE 10 | S 12 | SE 7 | — | SSW 13 | S 12 | SE 10 | ESE 14 | S 10 | S 9 | S 15 | S 15 | — | — | S 8 |
18 | 29 | 4 | — | 20 | 69 | 7 | — | 53 | 25 | 23 | 71 | 48 | 28 | 4 | 4 | — | — | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | NE 6 |
— | — | 270 | 187 | 175 | 88 | 89 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 77 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 166 | 130 | 26 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











