Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period, SSE swell with 777 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.7m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here, breaking down Blue Bay for the next couple weeks. It’s a bit of a rollercoaster ahead, but a couple of days will be absolutely firing.
The main pattern starts with a decent push from the SSE, though it’s a narrow window. The absolute standout is Friday, August 28th. That morning you’re looking at a clean 6 ft of SSE swell, with an 11-second period and solid moderate energy hitting 812. The wind? Dead calm – glassy as it gets. That’s a dream for an intermediate surfer. The direction is ideal for this reef break. Crowds are possible, so get down there early.
Friday afternoon gets a bit choppy as the wind turns onshore. The rest of the weekend has smaller, cleaner windows like Sunday morning the 30th – 3 ft from the S with glass again, but lower energy (279). Fun for a longboard.
Now, for the big one. Mark Monday, September 7th. Monday morning throws a serious 8 ft of south swell, 11-second period, and a massive combined energy of 1556 – that’s strong wave energy. This is expert territory only; over 8 ft gets heavy. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the SW, keeping the face nice. It gets messy in the afternoon, so make your move early.
There’s a flat stretch from the 2nd through the 5th of September where the swell completely dries up, energy dropping to almost nothing (20). Not worth suiting up.
Water temp is normal for this time of year. Blue Bay is an inconsistent reef, so when it fires like Friday the 28th and Monday the 7th, you make the call. The 28th is the textbook session – clean, punchy, and fun. The 7th is the beast for the experts.
Stay charged,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 16 | S 15 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 299 | 724 | 511 | 293 | 365 | 460 | 196 | 164 | 219 | 392 | 249 | 210 | 223 | 242 | 192 | 144 | 100 | 69 | 49 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:15AM1.25m | 8:15PM1.57m | 8:49AM1.32m | 8:50PM1.54m | 9:24AM1.38m | 9:27PM1.47m | 10:01AM1.42m | 10:07PM1.38m | 10:41AM1.45m | 10:52PM1.27m | 11:26AM1.45m | 11:44PM1.14m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:14AM0.13m | 1:59PM0.28m | 2:44AM0.10m | 2:39PM0.26m | 3:14AM0.10m | 3:21PM0.25m | 3:46AM0.12m | 4:05PM0.26m | 4:20AM0.17m | 4:55PM0.29m | 4:58AM0.24m | 5:52PM0.33m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 23 | 25 | 20 | 26 | 27 | 21 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 |
| kJ | 299 | 724 | 511 | 293 | 365 | 460 | 196 | 164 | 219 | 392 | 191 | 198 | 223 | 242 | 192 | 144 | 100 | 69 | 49 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | SE 9 | ENE 9 | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | S 16 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 5 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 41 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 41 | 41 | 124 | 90 | 25 | 92 | 249 | 210 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 17 | 51 | 33 | 32 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | S 14 | ENE 8 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 16 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | N 12 | NE 12 | ENE 10 | NE 5 | ENE 5 | NE 5 |
| kJ | 70 | 62 | 26 | 38 | 28 | 24 | 27 | 25 | 21 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 3 | — | — | — | — | — | SE 9 | — | — | — | NE 3 | NNE 3 | NE 4 | NW 2 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 67 | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 166 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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