
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, S swell with 2,881 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 9s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. This is a mixed bag for Blue Bay over the next few weeks, so let’s break it down.
We’ve got a bit of a wait for the first decent session. The coming days are mostly a write-off with messy winds and poor conditions, but there’s one clear standout that’s worth circling on the calendar.
Monday, September 7th is your best bet early on. The morning glass-off is magic. Glassy conditions, barely a breath of wind out of the west, and clean 5 ft S swell with a short 8-second period. Combined energy is moderate at 304. The water’s sitting at 65°, pretty much bang on average for this time of year. That Monday morning is the only real bright spot in the first week.
After that, things get a bit rough. The wind swings around and picks up, and the swell gets a bit messy. Tuesday morning the 8th looks bumpy and the swell jumps to 8 ft S with a lot of energy (1190), but that cross-shore wind will chop it up. Wednesday the 9th? Forget it. A 28 mph S wind on the 10 ft S swell? That’s a washing machine, not a surf break. More of a kite-surfing setup than a paddling one.
Thursday, September 10th morning has potential for the bold. It’s a clean 10 ft S swell, period at 10 seconds, and the wind is light cross-off from the SW. That’s a lot of water moving around – combined energy is a hefty 1563 – but it’s big. Over 8 ft, so this is strictly for experienced surfers only. The afternoon wind picks up again, spoiling the party.
The real standout of the whole window is Friday, September 11th morning. This is the one. Clean conditions, cross-off wind from the SSW, and a solid 8 ft SSE swell with a 10-second period. Combined energy is strong at 1273. The direction is right on the optimum for the reef, and it’s not too big for an intermediate who knows what they’re doing. The water is clean, the wind is kind, and the waves should have some real punch. This is the session to aim for.
The second week drops off significantly. From Saturday the 12th onward, the swell fades, the wind turns onshore, and the size drops right back. There are a few mornings with clean, glassy conditions – like Sunday, September 20th – but the swell is tiny (3 ft). You’ll be bobbing around on a longboard, not really surfing.
There’s a long gap of flat, small, or windy days from the 12th through to the 22nd. The only other faint pulse of energy comes on Tuesday, September 22nd morning, with a 8 ft S swell and a short 7-second period, but the wind is light cross-on, which won’t help the shape. It’s a maybe, but don’t get your hopes up.
The long-range stuff on the 22nd afternoon looks big again – 10 ft S swell with 1361 energy – but it’s onshore, so unless you like a battle, give it a miss.
So, to wrap it up: Monday morning the 7th is a clean, fun, smaller session. But the real date to save is Friday, September 11th morning. That’s the pick of the fortnight. After that, you’re looking at a long stretch of mediocrity. Hang in there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Thu morning, light winds from the SSW by Sat morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
257 | 380 | 926 | 1183 | 588 | 488 | 165 | 937 | 2881 | 1416 | 1700 | 1537 | 1260 | 826 | 605 | 533 | 551 | 295 | 185 | 122 | 98 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | on | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:00PM1.56m | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | 8:44AM1.46m | 8:54PM1.50m | 9:21AM1.49m | 9:34PM1.38m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:28AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.28m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | 2:47PM0.17m | 3:07AM0.11m | 3:31PM0.19m | 3:39AM0.19m | |||||||
6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | |
— | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SSE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | SE 10 | SSE 23 | SSE 21 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | E 13 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 10 | NE 5 |
257 | 380 | 9 | 7 | 588 | 488 | 165 | 17 | 69 | 48 | 170 | 90 | 1260 | 826 | 14 | 533 | 551 | 295 | 185 | 122 | 43 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | E 10 | — | — | E 10 | E 10 | SE 7 | E 17 | S 26 | S 23 | SE 9 | S 18 | E 15 | E 14 | E 9 | S 18 | SSE 18 | ENE 13 | S 18 | S 17 | S 10 |
39 | 8 | — | — | 8 | 7 | 75 | 6 | 13 | 93 | 22 | 25 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 60 | 103 | 16 | 59 | 23 | 98 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | N 8 | — | — | NE 9 | E 15 | E 9 | E 17 | NE 16 | E 9 | E 8 | E 10 | S 21 | E 9 | — | ENE 14 | ENE 14 | S 22 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 |
8 | 1 | — | — | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 2 | — | 19 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 17 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 8 | S 9 | — | — | NW 3 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | SSE 9 | — | — | NNE 3 | — | ENE 4 | NE 5 |
— | — | 926 | 1183 | — | — | 1 | 937 | 2881 | 1416 | 1700 | 1537 | — | — | 605 | — | — | 3 | — | 16 | 60 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 26 | 158 | 157 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 166 | 11 | 294 | 11 | 0 | 158 | 0 | 4 | 229 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










