
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with 1,763 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 2.2m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 9s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s have a look at what’s cooking over the next couple of weeks for Blue Bay.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid pulse of south swell pushing in. Thursday morning, 30 July, is the standout early on – we’re looking at a clean 8ft swell from the S, with a period of 10 seconds and a light cross-offshore breeze. The wave energy is pumping hard (2108). This is proper grunty surf, definitely for the experienced crew only; beginners should stay well clear. The water temp is about average for this time of year.
Thursday afternoon, the wind shifts cross and the quality drops off fast, so make the most of that morning session.
Friday, 31 July, has a cleaner morning again with a 6ft S swell and cross-off wind, but the energy drops a notch (703). It’s a touch inconsistent here at Blue Bay, so don’t expect non-stop action, but when a set comes through it’ll be shaped up nicely.
Saturday and Sunday mornings offer some hope – Saturday morning, 1 August, has a 6ft SSE swell with light cross-off wind and clean conditions. Sunday morning, 2 August, brings a longer period, 12 seconds from the SSE, and a 6ft swell. That longer period means better-shaped waves and more energy between sets, but at a reef break like this one, that’s a good thing.
From Monday, 3 August, into Tuesday, 4 August, the surf drops right away. Monday has a tiny 4ft swell, and Tuesday is flat as a tack – 1.0ft. That’s a two-day lull right there. Nothing to ride.
Wednesday, 5 August, kicks things back off with a clean 6ft S swell and light cross-off wind. Energy is moderate (531). Not a standout, but a decent morning session for the intermediate crowd.
Thursday, 6 August, morning has a clean 7ft S swell (932 energy). Swell is getting solid again, but still within intermediate range if you’re confident.
After that, the run from 7 August through to 9 August gets messy – wind strengthens, periods drop, and quality goes south. There’s a stretch of poor conditions through that weekend.
Now, the next real highlight lands on Monday, 11 August. The morning brings a clean 5ft NE swell with a very short period of 6 seconds – that’s windswell, not the best shape, but light breeze and clean conditions make it fun for a waveski or just a grovel. The real gem is Tuesday morning, 11 August: a clean 4ft ESE swell with an 11-second period and a light offshore wind from the WSW. The energy is moderate (435), but the wave shape and wind will make this a really fun, clean session for intermediate surfers. Crowds are possible here at Blue Bay.
Looking further out, Thursday morning, 14 August, brings the biggest swell of the window – a clean 10ft S swell with an offshore wind from the W. That’s a serious amount of power (1524) and definitely only for expert surfers. It’s a promising run, but we’re two weeks out, so keep an eye on it.
Bottom line: the best windows are Thursday 30 July morning, Tuesday 11 August morning, and that big one on Friday 14 August morning for the experts.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | S 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
4 | 1257 | 480 | 1011 | 696 | 745 | 709 | 556 | 415 | 1127 | 936 | 808 | 574 | 270 | 187 | 79 | 15 | 8 | 239 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 8:46AM1.11m | 8:43PM1.60m | 9:22AM1.16m | 9:17PM1.58m | 9:58AM1.20m | 9:52PM1.53m | 10:36AM1.25m | 10:28PM1.45m | 11:16AM1.29m | 11:09PM1.35m | 12:01PM1.32m | 11:57PM1.24m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:52AM0.17m | 2:16PM0.34m | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.34m | 3:55AM0.13m | 3:36PM0.35m | 4:26AM0.13m | 4:19PM0.37m | 4:59AM0.16m | 5:08PM0.40m | 5:35AM0.19m | 6:03PM0.43m | |||||||
— | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 21 | 21 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
Feels °C | 5 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | ENE 7 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | S 8 |
4 | 847 | 480 | 1011 | 696 | 5 | 709 | 556 | 415 | 1127 | 936 | 808 | 574 | 270 | 187 | 79 | 18 | 40 | 239 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | NE 6 | NE 6 | — | ENE 6 | E 13 | NE 7 | NE 7 | SSE 14 | E 18 | E 17 | S 21 | S 21 | E 16 | S 19 | N 3 | ESE 7 | E 7 | ESE 8 |
4 | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 108 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 35 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | — | E 13 | — | E 13 | E 12 | NE 7 | E 18 | E 17 | NE 8 | NE 8 | S 16 | E 15 | E 15 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | E 13 |
3 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | S 10 | — | — | — | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NNW 3 | NNE 5 | WNW 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | — | SSW 8 |
121 | 1257 | — | — | — | 745 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | — | 353 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










