Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here with a look at what's on the cards for Blue Bay.

Gonna be a bit of a slow start, but there’s a window of proper, powerful groundswell coming through mid-week that’ll have your attention. The water temp is sitting right about where you’d expect for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

First decent chance to get wet is Saturday morning, July 4th. Blue Bay’s a reef setup, and it’s inconsistent, so you’ve gotta pick your moments. That morning we’ve got a clean little S swell, running 5ft with a period of 11 seconds and a combined energy of 529 (moderate). Wind’s a light WNW cross-off at just 3 mph, keeping those faces glassy. It’s a solid window for the intermediate crew, but just know it gets crowded here sometimes.

Things go a bit sideways after that. Sunday the 5th sees the swell jump to a meaty 10ft, energy climbing to 2408 (strong), but we’re getting hammered by 22 mph SSW winds. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session, with all that cross-chop. The conditions stay rough and unappealing right through the start of the following week.

Now, the standout window shapes up around the 11th of July, that Saturday. We get some breathing room with the swell easing to a cleaner 5ft from the SSE, period at 9 seconds (combined energy 421, moderate). The wind swings to a light offshore from the W at 6 mph. That’s your morning window – clean, manageable, and the best conditions we’ve seen in a while. Just know the swell’s a bit short-period, so the waves will be a touch softer and more crumbly.

The good spell doesn’t last. By the 12th, the swell’s dropped right off. There’s a pulse of small, long-period ESE groundswell (3ft, period 12 seconds, combined energy 325) but it’s small and weak. And by the 13th, it's flat as a tack with only 1.0ft of junk.

We do get a little revival around the 14th and 15th, with S swells in the 7ft to 10ft range, but the onshore and cross-onshore winds put a chop on the surface. Not worth paddling out for. The very end of the outlook, around the 18th and 19th, shows tiny E swell with low period. It’s barely moving, just ordinary.

So to wrap it up: your play is Saturday morning July 4th for a fun, glassy session, and the following Saturday morning July 11th for the cleanest, most comfortable conditions. The big stuff mid-week is blown out.

Rusty.

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