Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 12s period, SSE swell with 882 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.8m 12s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s take a look at what’s on offer for Blue Bay.
Honestly, if you’re itching for a paddle, you’re going to be waiting a bit. The first few days are pretty average, nothing really worth getting excited about. The real standout is way down the track, and it’s a big one, but we’ll get to that.
The first real chance for a decent session looks like Friday morning, the 28th of August. There’s a clean 6ft SSE swell rolling in with a solid 11-second period, and the wind is dead flat – glassy. That’s about as good as it gets for conditions. The water’s sitting at 64°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, nothing wild. The swell energy is moderate, coming in at 812. It’s not huge, but it’ll be fun and clean. Crowds are a possibility here, so keep an eye out.
After that, things dip again. Saturday morning the 29th is clean with a smaller 4ft SSE swell, but it’s nothing to write home about. Sunday and Monday mornings both have glassy conditions, but the swell drops to around 3ft to 4ft. It’s surfable, but ordinary.
Then we hit a long dry spell. From Tuesday, the 1st of September, right through to the 9th, it’s mostly tiny, weak, and not worth the effort. The swell energy drops into the double digits – weak stuff. There’s a few days with offshore winds, but the waves are just too small to bother with.
Now, here’s the big one. Mark your calendar for Thursday the 10th of September. This is the standout. We’ve got a very strong 13ft S swell (5880 combined energy) with a 14-second period – that’s proper groundswell, long and powerful. That kind of period is best suited for a reef or point, and Blue Bay is a reef, so it’s in its element. This is a big swell though, well over 8ft, so this is for experienced surfers only. The wind is a cross-off, so it’ll be clean. The morning session looks like the pick, but be aware there’s a “marginal surf forecast” tag on it, likely tide-related, so you’ll need to time it right. Friday the 11th is still big at 10ft, but the wind goes onshore, so it’ll be a mess.
So, the best on offer is hands down Thursday morning, the 10th of September. It’s a long way off, but it’s got the size, the power, and the right wind. Just be ready for a serious session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri night, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 16 | S 16 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
656 | 493 | 299 | 724 | 450 | 293 | 325 | 267 | 164 | 160 | 210 | 282 | 209 | 254 | 176 | 221 | 214 | 112 | 50 | 48 | 32 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:40PM1.57m | 8:15AM1.25m | 8:15PM1.57m | 8:49AM1.32m | 8:50PM1.54m | 9:24AM1.38m | 9:27PM1.47m | 10:01AM1.42m | 10:07PM1.38m | 10:41AM1.45m | 10:52PM1.27m | 11:26AM1.45m | 11:44PM1.14m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:19PM0.32m | 2:14AM0.13m | 1:59PM0.28m | 2:44AM0.10m | 2:39PM0.26m | 3:14AM0.10m | 3:21PM0.25m | 3:46AM0.12m | 4:05PM0.26m | 4:20AM0.17m | 4:55PM0.29m | 4:58AM0.24m | 5:52PM0.33m | ||||||||
6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | |
— | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 20 | 27 | 27 | 21 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | NE 5 | S 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 |
656 | 493 | 299 | 724 | 450 | 293 | 325 | 224 | 153 | 160 | 210 | 282 | 209 | 161 | 158 | 221 | 214 | 29 | 49 | 48 | 32 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | ENE 10 | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | ENE 11 | E 11 | S 11 | E 10 | S 10 | NE 5 |
41 | 35 | 41 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 87 | 267 | 164 | 120 | 35 | 31 | 198 | 254 | 176 | 22 | 58 | 112 | 50 | 30 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 14 | SSE 13 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 16 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | S 18 | E 10 | NE 5 | NE 5 | S 9 |
17 | 37 | 70 | 62 | 67 | 38 | 28 | 29 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 82 | 17 | 16 | 26 | 14 | 25 | 51 | 7 | 4 | 14 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NNE 3 | NE 4 | NW 3 | NW 3 | N 3 | NW 3 |
— | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 166 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











