Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period, S swell with 461 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 13 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.7m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here.
Well, it’s a bit of a mixed bag out there. The next couple of weeks start off slow, with nothing worth getting excited about, and there’s a proper dry spell in the middle. The good news is, there are a couple of windows where it all lines up, and one morning in particular is the standout. We’ve got a bit of a wait for it, but it’ll be worth it.
The water’s sitting pretty close to normal for this time of year, so no surprises there. As for the waves, the first week is a real grind. Nothing on offer from the 12th through the 18th. We’ve got some lumpy, short-period wind swell at Blue Bay, but the wind is mostly cross-on or just messy. Thursday the 13th has some energy jump to 5.2ft, but it’s chopped up and not worth a paddle. There’s a clean-ish look Friday the 14th morning — 3.9ft of S swell at 10 seconds, glassy conditions, and a combined energy of 318. It’s okay, but the swell direction isn’t ideal for the reef, and the period is a bit short. It’s a surf, but it’s not going to be one for the memory bank.
The weekend and into the start of the next week are pretty much a write-off. The swell gets a bit bigger, reaching 5.9ft on the 16th, but the wind is blowing onshore and it’s just a mess. We’re talking a full week, from the 15th through to the 22nd, where it’s just poor surf conditions. A couple of mornings have a clean look, but the swell is weak or the period is too short. It’s a proper lull.
Now, for the real standout. Mark your calendar for Monday the 24th of August. It’s over a week away, so treat it as promising rather than bankable, but the models are liking it. Blue Bay will be the spot. We’re looking at a solid 6.6ft of S swell with a 10-second period, and the wind is a light cross-off from the SW with a combined energy of 848. That’s a strong pulse. It’s a bigger day, so it’s for the competent crew only, not a beginners' session. The S direction is spot on for this reef. This is the one to get excited about. If it holds, it’ll be proper.
After that, Tuesday the 25th has a gentler, cleaner option with a 3.9ft S swell, but it’s a step down. The following days into the end of the month drop right off in size, so that Monday is your best shot.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 8 | ENE 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 164 | 111 | 52 | 390 | 415 | 260 | 161 | 138 | 225 | 383 | 239 | 273 | 244 | 198 | 244 | 210 | 225 | 168 | 121 | 163 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 7:50PM1.80m | 8:34AM1.27m | 8:36PM1.76m | 9:17AM1.32m | 9:19PM1.68m | 9:58AM1.36m | 10:01PM1.54m | 10:39AM1.38m | 10:43PM1.39m | 11:21AM1.37m | 11:25PM1.23m | 12:04PM1.35m | 00:11AM1.08m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:33AM-0.03m | 2:12PM0.20m | 3:13AM-0.02m | 3:01PM0.20m | 3:50AM0.03m | 3:50PM0.23m | 4:26AM0.10m | 4:39PM0.29m | 5:00AM0.19m | 5:30PM0.36m | 5:34AM0.29m | 6:26PM0.44m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — |
 | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | — | 1 | 4 | — | — | 5 |
Temp °C | 19 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 16 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | S 7 | SSE 7 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 |
| kJ | 164 | 111 | 41 | 390 | 279 | 260 | 161 | 138 | 17 | 18 | 239 | 220 | 26 | 152 | 94 | 87 | 37 | 58 | 121 | 163 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 19 | S 19 | S 17 | S 16 | ENE 10 | S 17 | S 16 | S 11 | S 12 | E 15 | S 11 | S 10 |
| kJ | 50 | 52 | 52 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 61 | 89 | 80 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 62 | 25 | 4 | 57 | 31 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 16 | S 16 | S 19 | S 16 | S 19 | S 15 | S 16 | SE 8 | S 13 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 15 | ENE 10 | — | — | — | E 15 | ENE 9 | SE 11 |
| kJ | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 42 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 39 | 11 | — | — | — | 4 | 15 | 31 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | WSW 4 | SSW 6 | — | S 8 | — | — | — | S 9 | S 8 | — | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 6 | — |
| kJ | 1 | 11 | 66 | — | 415 | — | — | — | 225 | 383 | — | 273 | 244 | 198 | 244 | 210 | 225 | 168 | 68 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 166 | 166 | 228 | 166 | 471 | 275 | 166 | 166 | 26 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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