Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Blue Bay.

Honestly, the start of this outlook is a bit of a tough one. The first week or so is a write-off for any decent surf. We’ve got a long gap of really poor conditions. From Saturday the 11th right through to Wednesday morning the 15th, it’s all either tiny swell or messy wind. You’re looking at stuff around 0.7ft to 3ft, mostly with poor surf conditions. Not worth paddling out for.

Things start to show a little pulse on Wednesday afternoon the 15th. The swell jumps to 8ft from the S, with a combined energy of 1109 (moderate wave energy), but the winds are cross-off and the forecast is still only marginal. That’s 8ft coming in, so it’s getting into the zone for experienced surfers only.

The real standout, the one you want to circle on your calendar, is Monday the 20th. Tuesday the 21st is an absolute cracker, but let’s start with Monday afternoon. We’ve got a clean 7ft swell from the E, with a period of 11 seconds. The combined energy is 1100 (moderate wave energy), the wind is a light WNW breeze keeping it cross-off and clean. That’s a solid, clean day.

But Tuesday the 21st? That’s the best on offer. Both morning and afternoon are firing. You’ve got a 8ft swell from the E in the morning, period of 11 seconds, and a combined energy reading of 1501 (strong wave energy). The wind is a gentle 9 mph offshore, keeping it clean. By Tuesday afternoon, the period stretches to 13 seconds, the energy jumps to 1718 (strong), and it’s still clean with light offshore winds. The forecast says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers," and that’s bang on. This is a proper groundswell window. 8ft from the east, clean, and powerful. The only caveat is that with that period and size, it might be a little straight for the beach breaks, but Blue Bay is a reef, so it should handle it well. Crowds are "sometimes," so expect a few heads out, but it shouldn’t be a zoo.

You’ll also want to look at Friday morning the 24th. Swell from the SE at 5ft, but with a very long period of 13 seconds. That’s a lot of energy (1373 – strong), and the wind is light offshore. That’s another excellent morning for experienced surfers, though the swell direction isn't quite the optimum SSE for the break. Still, it’s going to be clean and lined-up.

A quick mention for Thursday morning the 23rd – 7ft from the ESE, clean, with light WNW winds and moderate energy. A very good session, but Tuesday is the peak.

The water temp is sitting around 66°, which is about normal for this time of year, no crazy anomaly.

To sum it up: don’t bother before Wednesday the 15th. After that, the second half of the forecast period is where it’s at. Tuesday the 21st is the absolute standout – a proper swell with clean offshore winds. If you’re an experienced surfer, that’s your day.

Rusty.

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