
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 11s period, S swell with 1,363 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.4m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks.
First up, we’ve got a bit of a flat spell to start. The first few days are pretty much a write-off. Wednesday the 29th and Thursday morning the 30th are offering nothing you’d paddle out for. The swell is tiny, and the energy is about as weak as it gets (30).
It’s not until Thursday morning the 30th that things start to wake up. Blue Bay grabs a 7ft S swell at 10 seconds, which is decent, and the combined energy jumps to 836 (moderate). The wind is light cross-off, so it’s clean. This is a solid intermediate option, but nothing to lose your mind over. The water temperature is 65° and that’s bang on average for the time of year, so no surprises there.
Friday morning the 31st is a real standout. Blue Bay sees the same 7ft S swell, but the energy leaps to 1755 (strong), and with a light cross-off breeze, it’s clean. The period is 10 seconds, so it’s a groundswell with decent shape. That’s excellent surfing for experienced folks. The afternoon gets a bit chopped, so hit it early.
Saturday morning the 1st of August is glassy with a 5ft SSE swell. The energy is moderate (462) and the wind is dead calm. That’s a beautiful window for a fun, clean session, good for intermediates.
Sunday the 2nd sees a 5ft SSE swell with a longer 11-second period, but the wind is cross-shore and the energy is 607. It’s okay, but not the pick of the week.
Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th drop off significantly. Swell fades to under 3ft, and the energy plummets to 228 and then 37. Not much going on.
Wednesday the 5th of August brings a 5ft S swell back with 386 energy, clean in the morning. Thursday the 6th is similar, 6ft S swell, 487 energy, clean morning. These are decent, but not standouts.
Now, look ahead to the second week. Early on, Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th are average with cross-onshore winds and some rain showers. Not great.
The real highlight of the whole outlook is Tuesday the 12th of August. Blue Bay gets an 8ft S swell with an 11-second period, and the energy is a massive 1561 (strong). The wind is glassy – dead calm. That’s an epic morning for strong intermediate to expert surfers. The long period means the waves will have plenty of power and hold up well.
Then on Thursday the 13th of August, we get an 12ft S swell with 2502 energy (strong) and a clean offshore wind. That’s big, powerful, and only for experienced surfers. The afternoon is also clean with a 10ft SSE swell. That’s a couple of days of serious, quality swell.
So, the best on offer: without a doubt, Tuesday the 12th of August morning for the glassy, strong 8ft swell. Thursday the 13th is also a standout for the big, clean 12ft swell, but it’s for experts only. The Friday the 31st morning is the best of the first week.
Crowds at Blue Bay can be an issue sometimes, so keep that in mind.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | S 16 | S 14 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
23 | 5 | 4 | 830 | 480 | 1068 | 953 | 873 | 630 | 454 | 416 | 576 | 594 | 352 | 277 | 185 | 108 | 64 | 30 | 29 | 332 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | off | glassy | on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:08PM1.60m | 8:46AM1.11m | 8:43PM1.60m | 9:22AM1.16m | 9:17PM1.58m | 9:58AM1.20m | 9:52PM1.53m | 10:36AM1.25m | 10:28PM1.45m | 11:16AM1.29m | 11:09PM1.35m | 12:01PM1.32m | 11:57PM1.24m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:52AM0.17m | 2:16PM0.34m | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.34m | 3:55AM0.13m | 3:36PM0.35m | 4:26AM0.13m | 4:19PM0.37m | 4:59AM0.16m | 5:08PM0.40m | 5:35AM0.19m | 6:03PM0.43m | ||||||||
6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
— | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 16 | ENE 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | ENE 7 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | S 11 |
5 | 5 | 4 | 830 | 480 | 1068 | 795 | 5 | 630 | 454 | 416 | 576 | 594 | 352 | 277 | 185 | 108 | 64 | 30 | 29 | 332 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | S 7 | S 14 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | — | ENE 7 | E 13 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SE 14 | NE 6 | NE 8 | SSE 13 | NE 4 | ENE 5 | E 15 | NE 4 | ESE 7 | ENE 10 | SE 10 |
23 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 2 | 3 | 114 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | — | S 13 | E 13 | E 12 | — | E 13 | — | E 13 | E 12 | ENE 7 | E 12 | E 17 | S 22 | S 21 | S 21 | SE 15 | ESE 8 | ENE 5 | ESE 7 | ENE 9 |
2 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 34 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | SW 3 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | ENE 3 | NNE 4 | NNW 2 | NE 5 | W 2 | SW 3 | S 6 | — |
7 | 5 | 82 | — | — | — | 953 | 873 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 536 | 219 | 26 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










