Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 14s period, SSE swell with 1,322 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 2.1m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.9m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s run through it in feet.
Water’s 65°, about average for this time of year. No surprises.
Thursday the 30th morning is a ripper for the experienced crew. Swell is 8ft from the south, 10-second period, and the energy is pumping at 2110 – that’s a lot of moving water. Clean cross-off wind from the southwest means the reef will be shaping up nicely. Expect steep, powerful waves.
Friday the 31st morning is similar but a little smaller at 7ft from the south, still 10 seconds, energy 1416. Clean, cross-off breeze. Great for intermediates and above.
Saturday the 1st of August morning is more accessible: 5ft south swell, 9 seconds, with light cross-off wind. Energy is 445 – moderate, but clean and fun on the reef.
There’s a small lull through Sunday and Monday. Tuesday the 4th is basically flat.
Wednesday the 5th morning sees a return to 5ft from the south, 9 seconds, clean with light offshore wind. Good for a session but not standout.
The standout of the second week is Monday the 10th of August. Morning delivers 6ft swell from the southeast, 11-second period, combined energy 734, with light cross-off wind from the northwest. The reef will be glassy, and that longer period means well-formed, powerful lines.
Tuesday the 11th through Thursday the 13th stays solid with 7ft to 8ft swells from the south-southeast, clean mornings, and strong energy. These are for experienced surfers only.
Friday the 14th of August morning hits again with 8ft from the south, 8-second period, energy 1804, and clean offshore wind. Another heavy session for the experts.
Best mornings: Thursday 30th, Friday 31st, and Monday 10th of August. Blue Bay is inconsistent, so grab these clean windows. Crowds are only sometimes a problem.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 14 | SSE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | S 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1257 | 490 | 900 | 786 | 660 | 632 | 440 | 406 | 1322 | 776 | 948 | 549 | 278 | 194 | 89 | 25 | 40 | 402 | 373 | 502 | 492 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-on | off | off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:43PM1.60m | 9:22AM1.16m | 9:17PM1.58m | 9:58AM1.20m | 9:52PM1.53m | 10:36AM1.25m | 10:28PM1.45m | 11:16AM1.29m | 11:09PM1.35m | 12:01PM1.32m | 11:57PM1.24m | 12:52PM1.35m | 00:56AM1.12m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:16PM0.34m | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.34m | 3:55AM0.13m | 3:36PM0.35m | 4:26AM0.13m | 4:19PM0.37m | 4:59AM0.16m | 5:08PM0.40m | 5:35AM0.19m | 6:03PM0.43m | 6:16AM0.25m | 7:10PM0.45m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — |
 | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 14 | SSE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSW 6 | S 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 |
| kJ | 849 | 490 | 900 | 623 | 660 | 632 | 440 | 406 | 1322 | 776 | 948 | 549 | 278 | 194 | 89 | 29 | 40 | 402 | 373 | 502 | 492 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NE 6 | — | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | SSE 14 | E 18 | SE 14 | S 21 | S 21 | S 20 | NE 5 | E 15 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | ESE 8 | ENE 13 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 133 | 6 | 276 | 36 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 16 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 12 | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | NE 7 | — | E 17 | E 17 | NE 8 | E 16 | S 19 | NE 9 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 13 | E 8 | E 18 | E 12 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | 6 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | — | — | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 8 | NE 4 | NNE 5 | WNW 3 | WSW 4 | W 3 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1257 | — | — | 786 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 90 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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