Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 25 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 11s period, S swell with 350 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.2m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Tue 25th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks.
Straight up, this is a pretty flat run for a reef break that’s best on a south-southeast swell. The forecast is a long stretch of small, messy surf with barely a window of clean waves. The swell energy is mostly weak through the whole period, dipping below 100 at times, and the wind is working against us almost every day. There’s a gap of several days with no real recommendations until we get toward the end. Let’s walk through it.
The first spot of interest is not until Monday the 25th of August morning, when there’s a pulse of 5ft NE swell with a short period of 7 seconds, but the wind is a cross-shore breeze from the north-northeast at 9 mph. The break is inconsistent, and the combined energy is moderate at 336, but the conditions are only marginal. Not one to get excited about.
Wednesday the 27th of August morning sees a similar story: 5ft S swell, 8-second period, but it’s cross-shore winds from the south at 9 mph, and the energy is moderate at 352. Still just marginal.
The one standout in the whole outlook is Friday the 4th of September afternoon. This is the best on offer. The swell is 5ft from the south at 9 seconds, with a moderate offshore wind from the west-northwest at 12 mph, making for clean conditions. The combined energy is moderate at 362, and the forecast rates it as good surf. Blue Bay is a reef break that’s fairly exposed to the south-southeast, and this south swell with clean offshore wind is about as good as it gets here. The water temperature is about 64°F, which is pretty normal for the time of year, so no surprises there.
The rest of the run is small, choppy, or cross-on, with nothing else worth paddling for. If you’re a kite surfer, the beach setup with these light winds and small waves might be more your thing, but for a paddle surfer, it’s mostly a write-off until that Friday afternoon.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NE 6 | S 10 | SSE 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
9 | 9 | 333 | 216 | 267 | 156 | 121 | 75 | 176 | 120 | 193 | 126 | 93 | 226 | 277 | 160 | 111 | 157 | 130 | 96 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 4:54AM0.89m | 4:58PM1.35m | 5:47AM0.94m | 5:46PM1.42m | 6:29AM1.01m | 6:27PM1.49m | 7:06AM1.09m | 7:04PM1.54m | 7:41AM1.17m | 7:40PM1.57m | 8:15AM1.25m | 8:15PM1.57m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:09PM0.46m | 10:09AM0.54m | 11:58PM0.39m | 11:07AM0.50m | 00:37AM0.32m | 11:56AM0.43m | 1:11AM0.24m | 12:39PM0.37m | 1:43AM0.18m | 1:19PM0.32m | 2:14AM0.13m | 1:59PM0.28m | 2:44AM0.10m | |||||||
— | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | |
5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 23 | 21 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 14 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NE 6 | S 10 | SSE 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 7 | S 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 |
9 | 9 | 333 | 216 | 267 | 156 | 121 | 75 | 93 | 43 | 193 | 126 | 93 | 67 | 277 | 160 | 111 | 157 | 130 | 96 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | NE 6 | S 14 | E 14 | ENE 5 | — | NE 9 | S 10 | S 16 | S 9 | S 16 | S 15 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | SSE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
7 | 4 | 9 | 196 | 4 | 21 | — | 20 | 46 | 19 | 15 | 42 | 4 | 9 | 75 | 111 | 58 | 78 | 76 | 78 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 9 | S 18 | — | — | ENE 8 | E 13 | S 18 | S 16 | — | S 16 | — | — | — | — | S 16 | S 9 | — | S 12 | — |
6 | 6 | 25 | — | — | 12 | 3 | 6 | 21 | — | 46 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 39 | — | 27 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 2 | SE 4 | ESE 4 | NE 9 | ENE 4 | — | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | NW 3 | NW 3 | S 4 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 32 | — | 37 | 49 | 176 | 120 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 226 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 365 | 102 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 221 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 166 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











