Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 27 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
18.3° C
0.1° 

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 12s period, S swell with 1,113 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 28 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Tue 28th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Best Surf10AM (Fri 31st Jul)7ft (2.1m) 11s
Most Powerful10PM (Thu 30th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya from the home spot. Let's talk about the next couple of weeks at Blue Bay.

First thing to note, we've got a bit of a slow start. The beginning of the period is pretty flat, with nothing really worth paddling out for until at least Thursday the 30th. That's a few days of small, weak, or just poor conditions to sit through, but hang tight, because there's some real promise on the horizon.

Thursday morning, the 30th of July, is where things start to get interesting. The swell picks up to a solid 4ft out of the south, with a moderate combined energy of 675. The wind is a light breeze from the southwest, giving us a clean, cross-offshore texture. The water temp is sitting at a very normal 65° for this time of year, nothing unusual there. That morning session is looking like the first real taste of good surf.

Now, the standout of the whole run hits on Friday morning, the 31st of July. This is the one. We're looking at 7ft of south swell, with a period of 11 seconds, and the combined energy dials right up to 1681. That's a lot of power, so this is firmly in the "experienced surfers only" zone. The wind is light and glassy from the southwest, making for excellent conditions. The break is Blue Bay, a reef setup that's fairly exposed to this swell direction. It's rated for intermediate and up, and it's inconsistent, so you'll have to be patient for the sets, but the quality when they come will be worth it. The water is a normal 65° out there, and with the light air, it's going to be clean. Keep in mind, crowds are possible here on the better days, so get there early.

Saturday morning, the 1st of August, eases back a touch with 5ft from the SSE and a combined energy of 349. Still a clean, cross-off morning, and a good option if you want a slightly more manageable size than Friday.

After that, things drop off again for a few days into the first week of August, with smaller swells and less favorable wind, before we get another big pulse. The next major highlight is a long-range call for Saturday, the 8th of August. That morning, the swell is set to pump at 10ft from the SSE, with a period of 11 seconds and a massive combined energy of 2308. That's a proper, powerful groundswell. The wind is light from the southwest, keeping it glassy. This is another big-wave day, only for the experts. Blue Bay is a reef, so it should handle that long period energy well, but it's a serious step up in size.

The morning of Sunday the 9th of August is still solid at 7ft from the SE, but the wind turns a bit cross-shore, and the energy drops to 986. It's still a good option, but not quite the standout that Saturday morning is.

For the rest of the second week, the swell hangs around but the wind gets messy, and the period drops off. It's a bit of a fade-out. If you're looking for the best of the best, mark your calendar for Friday the 31st of July and Saturday the 8th of August. Those are the days to be on it.

Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri night, min 10°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
4
1
2
2
1
2
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
S
9
1.1
S
9
0.9
S
8
0.6
S
8
0.4
S
9
0.2
S
15
0.2
S
17
0.1
S
16
0.3
NE
6
1.9
S
10
1.7
S
9
2.1
S
11
2.1
S
11
1.9
S
10
1.8
S
10
1.4
SSE
9
1.4
SSE
9
1.3
SSE
10
1.2
SSE
10
1.2
SSE
10
1
SSE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
235
185
108
41
24
17
23
5
6
668
501
1085
974
696
593
340
300
278
281
277
206
Wind (km/h)
5
SSW
10
ENE
15
NNW
10
NW
10
NNW
15
NW
20
W
20
SW
20
WSW
10
SW
15
SSE
15
W
10
SW
15
S
10
SW
10
SW
10
E
10
WNW
10
N
20
NE
10
NW
Wind State
glassy
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
6:53PM1.52m
7:33AM1.02m
7:32PM1.57m
8:10AM1.07m
8:08PM1.60m
8:46AM1.11m
8:43PM1.60m
9:22AM1.16m
9:17PM1.58m
9:58AM1.20m
9:52PM1.53m
10:36AM1.25m
10:28PM1.45m
Low Tide
12:14PM0.43m
1:44AM0.26m
12:57PM0.39m
2:19AM0.21m
1:38PM0.36m
2:52AM0.17m
2:16PM0.34m
3:24AM0.14m
2:56PM0.34m
3:55AM0.13m
3:36PM0.35m
4:26AM0.13m
4:19PM0.37m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:48
6:48
6:48
6:47
6:46
6:46
6:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:10
5:12
5:12
5:13
5:14
5:14
5:15
 mm
Temp °C
14
16
16
20
20
15
16
18
10
13
13
13
14
14
15
14
15
15
17
18
17
Feels °C
12
13
13
17
17
11
10
12
4
9
9
10
11
11
13
12
13
13
14
14
13
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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