Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 21 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
18.7° C
0.5° 

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 13s period, S swell with 1,811 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.3m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 8s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Wed 22nd Jul)4ft (1.2m) 10s
Best Surf10AM (Fri 24th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 10s
Most Powerful10PM (Fri 24th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what Blue Bay has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

The pattern starts off a bit flat and ordinary, but there’s a proper pulse of S swell coming through that will wake things up. The standout period is tightly focused around Friday the 24th through Sunday the 26th, with a solid, clean swell that’s well worth paddling out for. The water temp is running about average for the time of year, nothing weird, just normal summer conditions.

We kick off on Wednesday the 22nd with small, weak 4 ft ENE swell and a light cross-off breeze. It’s clean but the energy is low (239). Not going to get the heart pumping. Thursday the 23rd stays similar with 3 ft swell and a gentle offshore wind in the morning – surfable, but still very ordinary.

Then Friday the 24th morning is where it really starts to fire. Blue Bay gets a jump in size to 8 ft from the S, with a 10-second period, and the combined energy pumps up to 1727. That’s moderate-to-strong energy. The wind is clean cross-off. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers – it’s getting solid, but it’s still manageable for a confident intermediate. If you’re a beginner, that’s too big and you’ll want to sit this one out. The Friday afternoon session turns onshore and messy, so get on it early.

Saturday the 25th morning is another highlight. Swell is 6 ft from the S, 11-second period, with offshore wind from the W. It’s clean, lined up, and the energy is still pumping (769). This is a prime session. The crowd factor is a possibility here, because Blue Bay can get busy when it’s good, but it’s worth it.

Sunday the 26th morning holds on nicely with 6 ft S swell and a light cross-off breeze. Still clean, still fun. The energy is moderate (643). After that, things drop off quickly. Monday the 27th goes back to small and ordinary, and Tuesday the 28th is flat with barely a ripple.

There’s a long gap of quiet, small surf from Monday the 27th through to the end of the month. The water goes glassy on the morning of Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th, but with only 2 ft to 4 ft of weak S swell, it’s not really worth the paddle.

Looking further out, the first week of August brings a new pulse of S swell, but it’s a bit rough around the edges. Wednesday the 30th of July is a write-off: 10 ft S swell but with strong cross-on winds and risk of thunderstorms. That’s a messy, dangerous combo for anything but a boat. The wind is too strong for clean surfing, and the size is only for experts.

On Friday the 31st of July morning, we get a brief window of hope: 5 ft S swell, 10-second period, with offshore wind from the W. The energy is moderate (500), and it’s clean. That’s a decent session if you’re keen.

The first few days of August are a mix of small, clean, but weak surf. The best of that run is Monday the 3rd of August morning with 6 ft S swell and cross-off wind, but the period is short at 7 seconds, and the energy is moderate (370). It’s surfable but not the quality of the late July standout.

The real bright spot in the second week is Tuesday the 4th of August afternoon: 4 ft SSE swell, light cross-off wind, and clean conditions. The energy is moderate (320). It’s a fun, mellow session for the afternoon. Then Wednesday the 5th of August morning has 5 ft SE swell with a moderate offshore wind – clean, but the period is short at 8 seconds. It’s okay, but not a standout.

Overall, if you’ve got a window, make it Friday the 24th or Saturday the 25th. That’s the best of the lot. The rest is either small, windy, or just ordinary.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Tue night, fresh winds from the WSW by Thu night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
2
4
3
2
2
2
0
2
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
ENE
10
1.1
ENE
10
0.9
ENE
10
0.9
ENE
9
0.9
ENE
9
0.8
ENE
9
0.5
ENE
9
2.3
S
10
2.2
S
11
2.3
S
13
1.8
S
11
1.5
S
10
1.3
S
12
1.7
S
11
1.6
S
10
1.4
S
9
1
S
8
1
S
8
0.8
SSE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
312
210
159
153
116
92
44
972
1151
1676
755
477
438
637
464
306
140
140
94
Wind (km/h)
10
N
10
NW
10
SE
20
W
15
WSW
15
SW
25
WSW
15
SW
10
ESE
15
W
15
W
10
SW
15
SW
10
SW
10
SSE
10
WSW
10
SW
10
SE
5
NW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-on
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
1:47AM1.03m
2:45PM1.31m
2:54AM0.93m
3:41PM1.32m
4:07AM0.89m
4:36PM1.36m
5:13AM0.89m
5:26PM1.40m
6:08AM0.93m
6:12PM1.46m
6:53AM0.97m
6:53PM1.52m
Low Tide
7:53AM0.39m
9:27PM0.53m
8:42AM0.45m
10:38PM0.50m
9:37AM0.49m
11:38PM0.44m
10:34AM0.49m
00:26AM0.38m
11:27AM0.47m
1:07AM0.32m
12:14PM0.43m
1:44AM0.26m
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:52
6:52
6:50
6:50
6:50
6:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:07
5:07
5:08
5:09
5:09
5:10
 mm
Temp °C
15
20
19
16
19
20
11
13
13
11
18
20
12
15
15
15
15
16
15
Feels °C
13
17
16
12
15
15
3
9
10
7
14
16
7
12
13
15
13
14
13
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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