Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your spring suit, let’s look at what’s on offer for Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks. I’m keeping it to this one break.

The action starts on Friday, the 31st of July, with a solid pulse of south swell pushing 7ft to 7ft, running on a 10-second interval. That’s a lot of juice, with energy readings of 1481 and 1530 – that’s proper powerful. But the wind is messy; cross-off in the morning, then cross by the afternoon, and the reports are calling it marginal. For an inconsistent reef, this size is for experts only. Expect lumpy, challenging conditions.

Saturday the 1st of August cleans up with lighter wind, but the swell drops to 5ft. Light cross-off breeze from the SW in the morning makes for a clean session, but it’s only average. The afternoon goes onshore and weak, so the early bird gets the worm here.

Sunday the 2nd gets interesting. The swell holds around 5ft from the SSE, but the period jumps to 12 and then 13 seconds. That’s real groundswell energy, and the combined energy hits 858 in the morning. For a reef, longer period means better shape. The wind is a light cross from the north, so it’ll be a little bumpy. The afternoon gets trashed by a 25 km/h cross-onshore, so the morning session on Sunday is the move before the weekend ends.

Your absolute best bet, the one to really plan for, is Wednesday the 5th of August. That afternoon we’ve got 6ft of S swell with an 11-second period, and the energy is 720. The wind is light, from the SSW at 10 km/h, and cross-off. The report says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s the golden ticket. The swell direction is a near-perfect match for the optimum SSE, so Blue Bay should be reeling off some beautiful lines. Morning of the 5th is also decent with 4ft and offshore wind, but the afternoon is the standout. For an inconsistent spot, this is a real rarity.

After that, it goes quiet. There’s a good morning on the 6th with clean 5ft S swell, but then we hit a big dry patch. From the 8th of August onwards, the swell drops below 5ft, the energy readings fall off a cliff (from 494 down to a pathetic 97 by the 15th), and the wind is often onshore or choppy. The second week is a total loss for any decent surf – mostly knee-to-waist-high slop, lots of 0 scores, and poor conditions.

Summary: don’t waste your time looking at the second week. Focus everything on that Wednesday, the 5th of August. Afternoon session is the clear winner. Crowds can turn up when it’s good here, and since it’s an inconsistent break, you can bet a few other keen locals will be out there.

Rusty

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