
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 12s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with 3,612 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Blue Bay. It’s a bit of a slow burn to start, but there’s some real firepower waiting for us if we’re patient.
The first few days are a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a tiny wave on Saturday the 25th of July, only 5ft, but it’s coming from the S with a cross-on wind and feels weak with a combined energy of just 509. Not worth suiting up for. Sunday the 26th is where it starts to get interesting. The morning session is the pick of the early run: the swell bumps up to 6ft from the S, with a solid 11-second period, and the wind is swinging offshore from the W. That’s going to be clean and have some proper push to it (combined energy of 862). The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Monday the 27th drops off quick with a glassy 4ft from the S, but it’s short-period and weak (243 energy). By Tuesday the 28th, it’s all but flat with tiny 2ft waves. We’ve got a long gap of next to nothing through Wednesday the 29th, with only 0.3ft and a weird 18-second period that’s just noise.
Then, hold onto your board. Thursday the 30th of July is a standout. We’re looking at a solid 12ft swell from the S, with an 11-second period. The combined energy is a massive 5030, so there’s some serious power in the water. The wind is a cross-off from the SSW, keeping it clean. But fair warning—this is big. At 12ft, this is expert territory only. It’s going to be a heavy, powerful wave. Friday the 31st is still solid at 10ft from the S, and the energy is still high at 1697, but it’s a little more manageable. The wind stays cross-off. This whole stretch from Thursday through Friday is the real deal, but it’s not for the faint of heart.
We get a bit of a breather into the first week of August. Saturday the 1st is down to 7ft from the SSE, still clean but dropping. Sunday the 2nd of August is another highlight: a 7ft swell from the SE with a long 12-second period, pushing a combined energy of 1258. The morning has a light cross-off from the NNW, making it clean. This is a quality window for a solid, C-grade swell. The wave will have good shape thanks to the long period, but that long period means it might be a bit more walled up at a beach break—Blue Bay is a reef, so it should handle it well.
Into the second week, things get more inconsistent. Monday the 3rd gives us a clean 4ft from the SE, but the energy is low (351). The rest of the week is a mix of small, weaker swells and onshore winds, with nothing really standing out until Friday the 7th of August. That morning is a cracker: a 6ft from the E, but with glassy conditions (SW wind at 5 km/h) and a combined energy of 725. That’s a sneaky good session for the more experienced crew. The weekend following that gets messy again with onshore winds spoiling the shape.
The absolute standout window is Thursday the 30th of July through to Sunday the 2nd of August. The big S swell on the 30th and 31st is the heavy-hitter, but Sunday the 2nd is the best balance of size and clean conditions. I’d be circling that Sunday morning. Crowds are a possibility as it’s a reef break that can get busy, but with that size, it’ll thin out the pack.
So, to sum it up: the first couple of days are flat and unremarkable, but we’ve got a solid week of proper surf from the 30th of July through the 3rd of August. The long-range stuff at the end of the second week is more of a gamble, but that Friday the 7th morning with glassy conditions is worth a look if you’re keen.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Tue afternoon, fresh winds from the WSW by Wed afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 15 | S 8 | S 18 | S 15 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
496 | 576 | 856 | 714 | 379 | 235 | 151 | 82 | 28 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 2884 | 2853 | 3227 | 1697 | 1249 | 790 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | off | on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:26PM1.40m | 6:08AM0.93m | 6:12PM1.46m | 6:53AM0.97m | 6:53PM1.52m | 7:33AM1.02m | 7:32PM1.57m | 8:10AM1.07m | 8:08PM1.60m | 8:46AM1.11m | 8:43PM1.60m | 9:22AM1.16m | 9:17PM1.58m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:26AM0.38m | 11:27AM0.47m | 1:07AM0.32m | 12:14PM0.43m | 1:44AM0.26m | 12:57PM0.39m | 2:19AM0.21m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:52AM0.17m | 2:16PM0.34m | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.34m | 3:55AM0.13m | |||||||
— | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | |
5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 15 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | ENE 6 | NE 7 | S 11 | S 11 | — | S 10 | E 13 | SSE 9 |
496 | 576 | 856 | 714 | 379 | 235 | 151 | 82 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 1760 | 2177 | — | 1697 | 3 | 790 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | S 10 | SE 8 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 6 | S 18 | S 15 | NE 6 | — | — | — | — | E 8 |
7 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 24 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 5 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | — | — | — | S 17 | NE 8 | SE 16 | N 3 | SE 15 | S 15 | SE 13 | — | E 13 | — | — | — | — | — | E 13 |
6 | 1 | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 7 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | — | — | WSW 3 | NW 3 | WSW 4 | SSW 6 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | — | S 10 | — |
— | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 17 | 203 | 2884 | 2853 | 3227 | — | 1249 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 0 | 9 | 93 | 95 | 219 | 335 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










