
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 4 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with 2,993 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 04) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sat 4th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Sat 4th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here with a look at what's on the cards for Blue Bay.
Gonna be a bit of a slow start, but there’s a window of proper, powerful groundswell coming through mid-week that’ll have your attention. The water temp is sitting right about where you’d expect for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.
First decent chance to get wet is Saturday morning, July 4th. Blue Bay’s a reef setup, and it’s inconsistent, so you’ve gotta pick your moments. That morning we’ve got a clean little S swell, running 5ft with a period of 11 seconds and a combined energy of 529 (moderate). Wind’s a light WNW cross-off at just 3 mph, keeping those faces glassy. It’s a solid window for the intermediate crew, but just know it gets crowded here sometimes.
Things go a bit sideways after that. Sunday the 5th sees the swell jump to a meaty 10ft, energy climbing to 2408 (strong), but we’re getting hammered by 22 mph SSW winds. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session, with all that cross-chop. The conditions stay rough and unappealing right through the start of the following week.
Now, the standout window shapes up around the 11th of July, that Saturday. We get some breathing room with the swell easing to a cleaner 5ft from the SSE, period at 9 seconds (combined energy 421, moderate). The wind swings to a light offshore from the W at 6 mph. That’s your morning window – clean, manageable, and the best conditions we’ve seen in a while. Just know the swell’s a bit short-period, so the waves will be a touch softer and more crumbly.
The good spell doesn’t last. By the 12th, the swell’s dropped right off. There’s a pulse of small, long-period ESE groundswell (3ft, period 12 seconds, combined energy 325) but it’s small and weak. And by the 13th, it's flat as a tack with only 1.0ft of junk.
We do get a little revival around the 14th and 15th, with S swells in the 7ft to 10ft range, but the onshore and cross-onshore winds put a chop on the surface. Not worth paddling out for. The very end of the outlook, around the 18th and 19th, shows tiny E swell with low period. It’s barely moving, just ordinary.
So to wrap it up: your play is Saturday morning July 4th for a fun, glassy session, and the following Saturday morning July 11th for the cleanest, most comfortable conditions. The big stuff mid-week is blown out.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon night, min 11°C on Wed morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Fri 10 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 8 | S 11 | S 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
22 | 501 | 262 | 142 | 2395 | 2725 | 2006 | 1297 | 1149 | 693 | 1367 | 1580 | 1567 | 1346 | 1110 | 1312 | 1073 | 1714 | 1628 | 1109 | 1066 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:18PM1.52m | 11:11AM1.10m | 10:55PM1.46m | 11:55AM1.14m | 11:35PM1.38m | 12:42PM1.19m | 00:21AM1.30m | 1:34PM1.25m | 1:18AM1.20m | 2:29PM1.33m | 2:25AM1.12m | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:06AM0.19m | 4:36PM0.46m | 5:41AM0.19m | 5:25PM0.50m | 6:18AM0.20m | 6:23PM0.52m | 6:59AM0.22m | 7:29PM0.53m | 7:46AM0.24m | 8:44PM0.49m | 8:39AM0.27m | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.30m | ||||||||
— | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | |
— | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Temp °C | 12 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 7 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | S 11 | S 10 | S 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 13 | E 14 | E 14 | S 10 | S 18 | S 17 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | ESE 11 | SSE 15 | ESE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | — |
82 | 501 | 262 | 142 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 358 | 6 | 5 | 1567 | 1346 | 1110 | 75 | 78 | 8 | 1628 | 1109 | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | S 12 | NE 6 | NE 7 | — | E 11 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | — | S 10 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | — | ESE 10 | S 22 | — | S 11 | — |
22 | 14 | 10 | 66 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 14 | 12 | 3 | — | 108 | 70 | 86 | — | 20 | 9 | — | 59 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 13 | E 12 | E 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 13 | — | — | — | — | — | S 23 | — | — | S 20 | — |
11 | 14 | 12 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | — | 7 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | — | — | — | S 11 | S 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | — | — | — | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | — | — | SSE 10 |
3 | — | — | — | 2395 | 2725 | 2006 | 1297 | 1149 | 693 | 1367 | 1580 | — | — | — | 1312 | 1073 | 1714 | — | — | 1066 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 124 | 260 | 294 | 166 | 166 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











