
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 12s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 11 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 11s period, S swell with 1,304 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.3m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. For the Blue Bay area, we’ve got a bit of a slow start, then a couple of real gems to keep an eye on.
Right now, the first few days are a write-off. Thursday the 6th is flat and messy, and Friday the 7th offers only a tiny 2ft S swell with a 9-second period, but the water temp is feeling about average for this time of year. The wind is light offshore, but the surf quality is just too poor to get excited about. You’ll be waiting through the weekend too, with very little on offer.
Then, things start to wake up. The first real standout hits on Tuesday the 11th of August. Blue Bay sees a clean 2.0m (7ft) S swell arriving with a 10-second period. The combined energy is moderate (824), and the wind goes glassy offshore in the morning and glassy in the afternoon. It’s not for beginners at that size, but for intermediate surfers, this is the call. The reef setup will handle that long-period groundswell nicely, and the light wind means clean, lined-up waves. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.
The morning of Wednesday the 12th is still clean but the swell drops, and that’s the end of the first good run. A big gap follows with onshore wind and junky conditions, including some strong, short-period windswell that’s more suited to kites than paddle boards.
The next proper window looks like Saturday the 15th morning. A 2.3m (8ft) SSE swell with a 7-second period, but the wind is light cross-offshore and conditions are clean. It’s a bit short-period, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and less powerful, but for a beach-reef setup, it’s rideable for the experienced crew.
The biggest pulse of the outlook finally shows up on Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th, with swell sizes hitting 3.0m (10ft) from the ESE and a very long 11-second period. The combined energy is strong to very strong (over 2000). However, the wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy and messy. This is expert-only territory, and honestly, the wind is going to spoil it. I’d skip it.
The last real hope is Wednesday the 19th of August. A 2.0m (7ft) ESE swell with a 9-second period, and the morning is glassy. The combined energy is moderate (922). This is a good, clean option, though it’s a bit sizeable for beginners. And finally, Friday the 21st morning looks promising with a 1.5m (5ft) S swell, a 10-second period, and glassy conditions. That’s a solid, clean surf to wrap things up.
So, to sum it up: Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 19th mornings are your best bets. Get on them. The rest is waiting or fighting the wind.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sun night, calm by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
24 | 30 | 142 | 97 | 56 | 108 | 48 | 32 | 31 | 87 | 131 | 140 | 466 | 398 | 180 | 76 | 786 | 832 | 934 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | on | cross-off | off | on | off | glassy | on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | off | off | off | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:56AM1.12m | 1:51PM1.39m | 2:10AM1.03m | 2:58PM1.44m | 3:35AM0.98m | 4:06PM1.52m | 4:56AM1.00m | 5:11PM1.61m | 6:03AM1.06m | 6:09PM1.71m | 6:59AM1.13m | 7:01PM1.78m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:05AM0.31m | 8:28PM0.44m | 8:05AM0.36m | 9:50PM0.38m | 9:15AM0.39m | 11:05PM0.28m | 10:25AM0.38m | 00:08AM0.16m | 11:31AM0.33m | 1:02AM0.07m | 12:29PM0.27m | 1:49AM-0.00m | |||||||
— | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 14 |
Feels °C | 6 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 |
12 | 9 | 142 | 97 | 56 | 108 | 48 | 32 | 28 | 87 | 131 | 140 | 1 | 398 | 180 | 414 | 786 | 832 | 934 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | S 10 | E 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | ENE 8 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 8 | S 7 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | E 14 | S 13 | S 13 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
22 | 30 | 20 | 19 | 38 | 21 | 25 | 18 | 21 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 76 | 38 | 56 | 56 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | E 8 | ENE 7 | E 10 | SSE 12 | E 10 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 7 | S 6 | S 13 | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 |
24 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 8 | 33 | 21 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | — | — | NNE 3 | WSW 3 | — | — | SW 4 | — | NNE 3 | NE 4 | NE 3 | ENE 8 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | W 4 | WNW 3 | — | W 3 |
3 | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | 3 | — | 3 | 4 | 6 | 466 | 110 | 118 | 13 | 5 | — | 5 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 0 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 471 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 292 | 228 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











