
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 12s period, S swell with 1,266 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 28 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.1m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at Blue Bay.
We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but things start to wake up Thursday morning, the 30th of July. The first few days are a write-off, with tiny, weak swell and poor conditions. You’ll be waiting a few days for anything worth paddling out for.
The real action kicks off on Thursday the 30th of July. The morning session is the standout. We’re looking at a solid 6ft swell from the South, with a 10-second period. The energy is moderate (541), and the wind is a light cross-offshore breeze, keeping things clean. This is your best bet for the week. The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Friday morning the 31st is also a good call, with a similar 5ft South swell, same period, and clean conditions. The energy is still moderate (540). The afternoon gets a bit cross-shore and choppy, so get in early.
Saturday morning the 1st of August drops a touch to 5ft, but still clean. It’s a solid backup.
Now, a real standout is Sunday morning the 2nd of August. We’ve got a 5ft swell from the SSE, but the period jumps to 13 seconds – that’s a proper long-period groundswell. The energy is strong (653), and the wind is light and cross-offshore. This is the best swell of the whole forecast. The only thing to watch for is that with a long period like this, it can break a bit straight on a beach break. But for a reef like Blue Bay, it’s going to be lined up and offering some good shape. The consistency is a bit of a gamble though, as it’s noted as inconsistent here.
Monday morning the 3rd of August has a smaller 2ft swell from the SE, also with a long 13-second period, and clean wind. Worth a look for a smaller board.
After that, things get messy. We get a run of short-period, wind-affected junk from the 4th through to the 6th. The 7th of August has a 5ft swell from the SE, but it’s only 6 seconds – that’s pure wind chop, choppy and weak. The 8th of August sees a bigger 7ft SE swell, but it’s cross-on and choppy, and at that size, it’s getting into expert-only territory for a reef.
The 9th of August is similar, and the 10th brings rain and strong offshore wind, but the swell is small and weak. The last few days of the forecast are a mix of rain and small, ordinary waves.
So, if you’re picking a session, it’s Thursday morning the 30th for the clean, mid-size South swell, or Sunday morning the 2nd of August for the big, long-period groundswell – that’s the one to get excited about, but remember it’s a bit unreliable.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 15 | S 17 | S 16 | S 13 | S 10 | S 9 | S 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
185 | 108 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 535 | 298 | 1074 | 533 | 612 | 605 | 347 | 248 | 397 | 638 | 500 | 280 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:53PM1.52m | 7:33AM1.02m | 7:32PM1.57m | 8:10AM1.07m | 8:08PM1.60m | 8:46AM1.11m | 8:43PM1.60m | 9:22AM1.16m | 9:17PM1.58m | 9:58AM1.20m | 9:52PM1.53m | 10:36AM1.25m | 10:28PM1.45m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:44AM0.26m | 12:57PM0.39m | 2:19AM0.21m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:52AM0.17m | 2:16PM0.34m | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.34m | 3:55AM0.13m | 3:36PM0.35m | 4:26AM0.13m | 4:19PM0.37m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | |
5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 20 | 21 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 16 | ENE 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 12 | S 10 | ENE 7 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 |
185 | 108 | 41 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 535 | 298 | 1074 | 533 | 5 | 605 | 347 | 248 | 397 | 638 | 500 | 280 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | SE 16 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | S 17 | NE 6 | S 13 | ENE 6 | S 12 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 13 | ENE 7 | SSE 14 | S 12 | SSE 14 | NE 6 | ENE 8 | SSE 14 |
2 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 278 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 108 | 69 | 321 | 2 | 7 | 140 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | E 8 | — | SE 15 | S 15 | SE 6 | SE 6 | S 13 | E 12 | NE 6 | — | E 13 | — | E 13 | ENE 7 | SSE 14 | NE 6 | NE 9 | E 17 | NE 4 |
8 | 1 | — | 8 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | 3 | — | 3 | 5 | 80 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 3 | — | NNW 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | SW 3 | SSW 5 | — | — | — | — | S 10 | — | — | — | ENE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | — |
— | 5 | — | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 49 | — | — | — | — | 612 | — | — | — | 4 | 10 | 4 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 63 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 95 | 536 | 229 | 37 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










