
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 14s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 14s period, S swell with 1,811 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.2m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 9s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. We’ve only got one spot on the radar for this period, so let’s get into it.
We’re looking at a solid run of surf starting this Friday, the 24th of July, at Blue Bay. The window kicks off with a bit of a mixed bag – the morning of the 24th has a clean 6ft south swell pushing through, but the wind is a cross-offshore from the SW, which isn't ideal. The afternoon stays onshore, so Friday is a bit of a write-off for quality. Hold out for Saturday morning, the 25th. That’s where it gets good. You’ve got a clean 6ft south swell (11-second period) with a light offshore WNW wind. The energy is pumping with a solid 868 (moderate-to-strong energy) behind it. This is the standout. Sunday morning, the 26th, is very similar – clean 6ft south swell, offshore wind, 791 energy. Also a top pick.
Monday morning the 27th is a treat for the early birds – glassy conditions with a smaller 3.6ft south swell. Perfect for a longboard or a fish. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the 5/4 just yet. Crowds are a possibility at Blue Bay, so get in early.
The surf tapers off hard from Tuesday, the 28th, through the end of the month. We’re looking at a few days of tiny, weak swell with poor wind. There's a small spike on the 30th with some 3ft to 3.3ft south swell, but the wind is cross-onshore and choppy. Not worth the paddle.
August starts quiet. The 1st and 2nd offer small, weak waves, though Sunday morning the 2nd is glassy with a 3.6ft short-period ENE swell. Surfable, but ordinary. Monday the 3rd morning has a clean 4.6ft east-northeast swell, but it’s short-period. The 4th of August gets a bit of size with a 7.5ft south-southeast swell, but it’s onshore and rainy – a messy, blown-out 719 energy. That’s expert-only territory and not much fun.
The real sleeper is Thursday morning, the 6th of August. The forecast shows a glassy 4.3ft south swell with 9-second period and 491 energy. It’s a week and a half out, so less certain, but the conditions look promising for a clean session.
Then the big one rolls in on Saturday, the 8th of August. We’re seeing a massive 13ft east-northeast swell with a 12-second period. The energy is a staggering 4212 (very strong). The wind is light cross-shore, so it might be clean, but that size is for experts only. This is a groundswell, and it’s going to be a heavy, powerful beast at the reef. For the average punter, this setup might be more interesting for the kite crew than paddle surfing.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 15 | S 16 | S 16 | S 19 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
44 | 600 | 610 | 1811 | 826 | 416 | 459 | 785 | 533 | 338 | 196 | 220 | 164 | 99 | 71 | 41 | 84 | 47 | 339 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | cross-on | off | off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 4:07AM0.89m | 4:36PM1.36m | 5:13AM0.89m | 5:26PM1.40m | 6:08AM0.93m | 6:12PM1.46m | 6:53AM0.97m | 6:53PM1.52m | 7:33AM1.02m | 7:32PM1.57m | 8:10AM1.07m | 8:08PM1.60m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:38PM0.50m | 9:37AM0.49m | 11:38PM0.44m | 10:34AM0.49m | 00:26AM0.38m | 11:27AM0.47m | 1:07AM0.32m | 12:14PM0.43m | 1:44AM0.26m | 12:57PM0.39m | 2:19AM0.21m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:52AM0.17m | ||||||
— | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 8 |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 20 | 21 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 5 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 6 | S 10 |
44 | 600 | 610 | 1811 | 826 | 416 | 459 | 785 | 533 | 338 | 196 | 220 | 164 | 99 | 71 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 96 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | SE 16 | SE 14 | S 14 | S 15 | S 16 | S 16 | S 19 |
2 | 28 | 27 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 41 | 84 | 47 | 339 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | SE 7 | S 20 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | — | — | — | S 13 | SE 14 | NE 8 | NE 8 | SE 15 | SE 14 | E 8 | NE 8 | S 5 |
4 | 2 | 30 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 11 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | — | — | — | NE 9 | — | — | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | N 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | — | — |
195 | — | — | — | 19 | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










