
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 12s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,299 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at the outlook for Blue Bay.
We've got a bit of a mixed bag here at Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks. The water temp is sitting at 65.5°, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year, so no surprises there.
We're starting off quiet this weekend. Saturday and Sunday are pretty lackluster with tiny, weak waves and poor conditions. Not worth paddling out for.
The first real glimmer of hope comes on Monday the 7th. Monday morning is looking *magic*. We've got clean 5.2 ft surf rolling in from the S, but the real story is the wind: dead calm, glassy conditions. The swell energy is moderate at 473, and with the period at 8 seconds, it'll be a bit weak but super clean. This is the one to aim for if you want a smooth session with nobody around.
The swell starts to ramp up into the new week. Tuesday the 8th gets big – 9.8 ft from the S (strong energy at 1557), but it’s cross-shore and a bit messy on the morning, then cross-onshore in the arvo. That’s big, powerful surf (energy over 1500), but the winds are going to chop it up. Only for the experienced crew, and honestly, the conditions won’t do it justice.
Wednesday the 9th morning is another standout. It backs off to 5.2 ft, but the wind goes light and cross-offshore. For a reef, that’s going to produce some clean, lined-up waves. The energy is still moderate at 432. This is a real quality window before the wind goes howling from the S in the afternoon.
The pattern repeats: Thursday the 10th morning offers another clean shot at 9.8 ft from the S with a light cross-off breeze, but the wind gets messy again by afternoon. The energy is strong (1828).
After that, the forecast gets a bit ordinary until we see another clean spell. Sunday the 13th morning is glassy again, but the swell drops right back to 3.3 ft. A long period of 12 seconds means it’ll be clean but small and a bit inconsistent.
Looking further out, the best bet in the second week is Wednesday the 16th. A solid 8.2 ft from the S with moderate energy (1559) but a cross-shore wind will keep it a bit ragged. Thursday the 17th morning cleans up with a 6.6 ft S swell and a cross-off wind.
Best on offer: No doubt about it, Monday morning the 7th is the pick for clean, surfable conditions with no wind. For a bigger, more powerful session, Wednesday morning the 9th offers a great mix of size and cross-offshore wind, but watch that afternoon wind. The later part of the forecast is all about watching the wind – the swell is there, but the conditions are a gamble.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 31°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the S by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Tue night, strong winds from the S by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | NE 6 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | SSE 10 | S 7 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 10 | S 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
121 | 58 | 45 | 21 | 135 | 1752 | 368 | 563 | 524 | 1555 | 1689 | 832 | 424 | 326 | 1312 | 1818 | 1608 | 1557 | 1011 | 789 | 633 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | off | cross | on | off |
High Tide | 2:40PM1.44m | 3:44AM0.96m | 3:54PM1.49m | 4:59AM1.02m | 5:00PM1.56m | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:46PM0.33m | 9:08AM0.47m | 10:57PM0.24m | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:28AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.28m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | ||||||||
6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | |
— | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 31 | 23 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 24 | 27 | 20 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 6 | SSW 6 | NE 6 | S 10 | S 8 | SSE 10 | E 11 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | SSE 9 | ENE 9 | S 17 | E 16 | S 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 |
121 | 58 | 22 | 40 | 6 | 1460 | 368 | 563 | 9 | 1555 | 1689 | 832 | 424 | 8 | 49 | 5 | 1278 | 1557 | 1011 | 789 | 633 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | NE 4 | S 10 | NE 6 | E 10 | ENE 10 | SSE 11 | ENE 10 | NE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | S 16 | E 9 | E 16 | SSE 22 | SSE 23 | S 22 | E 14 | ENE 13 |
17 | 7 | 45 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 97 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 158 | 104 | 37 | 14 | 18 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | E 9 | E 11 | S 10 | S 15 | — | E 10 | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | S 18 | E 17 | E 16 | — | SSE 18 | E 15 | E 15 | S 21 | S 19 |
1 | 15 | 9 | 16 | 17 | — | 8 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 5 | — | 60 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 28 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 3 | N 3 | NW 3 | W 3 | S 8 | S 10 | — | — | S 7 | — | — | — | NNW 3 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 10 | S 11 | — | — | — | — |
2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 135 | 1752 | — | — | 524 | — | — | — | 3 | 326 | 1312 | 1818 | 1608 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 166 | 180 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 563 | 41 | 11 | 37 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










