
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SSE swell with 2,904 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Hey, it's Rusty. Let’s break down Blue Bay for the next couple of weeks.
Water temp is about 19°, right on the money for this time of year – nothing weird there. But the first few days are a slog. Monday the 6th has a solid 10-foot swell from the SSE, but that 16 mph SSE wind is blowing cross-on, making it a choppy, blown-out mess. The energy is pumping at 1762, but you won't want to be out there. Monday afternoon is just as rough with cross-shore chop.
Tuesday the 7th keeps the 10-foot swell, but the wind goes cross-off, cleaning it up. Still, this is big, powerful stuff (energy 2476) with a long 11-second period. That’s expert-only territory – thick, heavy sets. If you’re skilled, Tuesday morning is a window, but it’s not for the average surfer.
Wednesday the 8th drops to about 8 feet from the SE, with clean cross-off winds and energy still strong at 1859. Better for strong intermediates, but still a handful. Thursday the 9th morning is the first real highlight – 6 feet from the SSE, light 6 mph SW winds cross-off and clean. Energy is moderate at 1011, and the call is “very good surf conditions.” That’s a sweet, surfable window for most.
Friday the 10th afternoon also gets a “very good” – 6 feet from the SSE, gentle 9 mph cross-off breeze, clean. Solid option. Saturday the 11th morning drops to 4 feet, but with 6 mph NNW winds, it’s clean and light. Small but fun.
Then a lull hits from Saturday afternoon through Monday the 13th, with waves dropping to less than a foot. A few days of nothing.
Tuesday the 14th morning brings a pulse – 5 feet from the south, light 6 mph offshore W winds, clean. Decent little window, but it’s short. We get another patch of small, weak surf until Thursday the 16th afternoon, when a big 10-foot southerly swell arrives with strong winds – messy.
The real monster is Friday the 17th. Massive 16-foot swell from the south, 14-second period, and energy is off the charts at 16727. This is huge, powerful groundswell. The wind is cross-shore though, so it’ll be lumpy and cross-chop on top of those beastly waves. Only for experts, and even then, it’s a challenge. Kite surfers, this one’s for you.
Saturday the 18th morning is the other true gem. Swell drops to a friendly 7 feet from the SSE, and we get glassy conditions – W wind at just 3 mph, dead calm. Energy is moderate at 986, but the quality is top shelf. That’s the best of the whole outlook: clean, manageable, and glassy. Get out there.
After that, it fades back to small stuff, with a little juice on Tuesday the 21st morning – 5 feet from the SSE, offshore winds, but a short 7-second period, so a bit weak and bumpy.
Bottom line: Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th are good, but the clear winners are Saturday the 18th morning for the glassy, clean, friendly waves, and if you’re a charger, Friday the 17th for that monster (but expect chaos).
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Wed morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 9 | ESE 12 | E 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1730 | 1594 | 1739 | 2159 | 2904 | 2453 | 1630 | 1338 | 904 | 506 | 683 | 614 | 609 | 740 | 461 | 221 | 301 | 204 | 176 | 111 | 46 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 12:42PM1.19m | 00:21AM1.30m | 1:34PM1.25m | 1:18AM1.20m | 2:29PM1.33m | 2:25AM1.12m | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | 4:57AM1.05m | 5:23PM1.64m | 6:06AM1.07m | 6:19PM1.74m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:23PM0.52m | 6:59AM0.22m | 7:29PM0.53m | 7:46AM0.24m | 8:44PM0.49m | 8:39AM0.27m | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:11PM0.30m | 10:38AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.17m | 11:38AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.06m | ||||||||
6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | |
— | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | |
mm | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 14 |
Feels °C | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 14 | E 14 | — | SE 14 | — | SE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 9 | ESE 12 | E 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 |
16 | 14 | — | 317 | — | 2453 | 1630 | 241 | 297 | 506 | 683 | 614 | 609 | 740 | 461 | 221 | 301 | 204 | 176 | 111 | 46 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 14 | E 14 | — | — | — | S 16 | ESE 13 | S 16 | S 20 | ESE 11 | SE 10 | SE 13 | S 19 | S 19 | S 19 | ESE 13 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 7 |
16 | 15 | — | — | — | 20 | 229 | 5 | 8 | 499 | 25 | 46 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 151 | 141 | 67 | 26 | 15 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | — | S 19 | E 16 | ESE 9 | S 15 | ESE 12 | S 15 | S 16 | NE 5 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | — | 7 | 5 | 46 | 4 | 85 | 4 | 5 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | — | — | SE 11 | SSE 10 | — | — | — | SW 3 | SW 5 | SW 4 | — | — | N 4 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | W 4 |
1730 | 1594 | 1739 | 2159 | 2904 | — | — | 1338 | 904 | — | — | — | 5 | 35 | 15 | — | — | 12 | 7 | 10 | 33 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 238 | 166 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 130 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










