Blue Bay surfForecast / NSW – Newcastle / Australia

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 9 am Sunday 17 May 2026 AEST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
20.9° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 17) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 5.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Friday (May 22) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 8s period and expected on Wednesday (May 20) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Sun 17th May)7ft (2.1m) 9s
Best Surf 7PM (Mon 18th May)8ft (2.4m) 8s
Most Powerful 1AM (Fri 22nd May)16ft (5.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Mon night. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the SW by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds.

Sunday
17
Monday
18
Tuesday
19
Wednesday
20
Thursday
21
Friday
22
Saturday
23
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
3
2
2
2
3
2
1
2
1
2
4
3
8
3
2
2
1
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
E
9
2.1
E
9
2.2
E
9
2
E
9
2
ENE
9
1.7
ENE
9
2.5
ENE
9
2.3
E
10
2
E
10
3
S
10
3.5
S
10
3.5
S
11
3.5
S
12
4
S
13
5
S
12
4
S
12
4
S
11
2.5
SSE
10
1.9
SSE
9
1.4
SSE
8
1
E
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
627
707
794
646
586
484
1015
1005
865
1975
2518
3518
4168
4967
8155
4459
3262
1194
534
277
188
Wind (km/h)
10
N
10
ENE
5
W
5
NW
5
SE
0
NW
5
W
20
WSW
30
SW
25
SSW
30
S
25
SSW
25
SW
25
S
20
WSW
25
SW
30
SSW
20
SW
15
SW
10
S
10
W
cross
cross-on
off
glassy
glassy
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
High Tide
8:30PM1.82m
9:16AM1.19m
9:19PM1.82m
10:13AM1.13m
10:11PM1.78m
11:13AM1.08m
11:06PM1.69m
12:17PM1.06m
00:05AM1.59m
1:24PM1.06m
1:08AM1.47m
2:31PM1.11m
2:12AM1.35m
Low Tide
1:59PM0.19m
3:17AM-0.03m
2:47PM0.24m
4:12AM-0.03m
3:37PM0.30m
5:09AM0.01m
4:32PM0.37m
6:09AM0.07m
5:33PM0.45m
7:09AM0.13m
6:43PM0.51m
8:07AM0.18m
8:00PM0.54m
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
cloud
cloud
mod rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:37
6:39
6:39
6:39
6:41
6:41
6:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:00
5:00
5:00
4:59
4:59
4:58
4:58
2
7
1
2
3
1
2
Temp °C
19
20
19
19
18
17
18
17
16
17
17
16
17
17
16
16
17
15
18
18
16
18
21
20
20
19
18
18
14
12
12
10
10
12
11
11
10
11
10
15
16
15
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
E
9
2.1
E
9
2.2
E
9
2
E
9
2
ENE
9
1.7
ENE
9
2.5
ENE
9
2.3
E
10
2
E
10
2.5
S
10
1.5
E
10
3.5
S
11
3.5
S
12
4
S
13
4.5
S
12
0.6
E
10
0.6
E
10
2.5
SSE
10
1.9
SSE
9
1.4
SSE
8
1
E
10
Energy kJ
627
707
794
646
586
484
1015
1005
865
1375
496
3518
4168
4967
6042
71
71
1194
534
277
188
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
16
1.7
E
10
1.3
E
10
1.2
E
10
1.1
E
10
0.9
E
10
0.6
E
10
0.6
E
10
0.7
ESE
8
1
SSE
8
Energy kJ
5
620
360
308
255
161
70
65
51
127
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
E
9
0.3
S
15
Energy kJ
44
42
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
3
2.4
SSW
8
3
S
10
3.5
S
10
5
S
12
4
S
12
4
S
11
Energy kJ
7
637
1975
2518
8155
4459
3262
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
3
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
2
4
6
9
7
1
3
2
2
2
Distance (km)
0
26
0
0
0
0
0
11
35
35
166
35
11
41
11
11
130
11
11
11
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle
Rating
(10 max)
4
2
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
1
9
7
4
3
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
8
9
9
9
9
4
4
4
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
6
7
4
5
4
5
4
4
4
5
8
9
9
9
5
4
4
5
5
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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