
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 11s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 11s period, S swell with 1,278 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 9s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.4m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 9s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty.
For the next 16 days, we’re looking at a pretty bleak stretch here at Blue Bay. There’s a real drought of quality surf on the cards, with only a couple of windows that might get you wet. The rest of the time, it’s a mix of small, weak swell and blown-out conditions.
The first real chance to paddle out comes on Friday morning, August 7th. We’ve got a tiny 2ft swell from the SSE, but the wind is light offshore from the west. The combined energy is weak at 127, so it’s not going to get your heart racing, but it’ll be clean. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no shock to the system there.
After that, it’s a long, grim gap. We’re talking days of nothing worthwhile. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly onshore, and the scores are all duds. You’ll see a bit of a spike in energy on Sunday the 9th with a 3ft swell from the ENE and moderate energy (210), but it’s a cross-shore mess and the quality is poor.
The real standout, and the only one I’d circle on the calendar, is Friday morning, August 14th. This is the best of the bunch. We’ve got a solid 7ft groundswell from the south, with a period of 11 seconds, giving it some real grunt. The combined energy is a strong 1021. The wind is light offshore from the west, so it’s going to be clean. That’s a proper session for experienced surfers – 7ft is too big for beginners, and the long period means it’ll have some punch, so it’s best suited for the reef setup here. It’s a promising one, but it's over a week away, so keep an eye on it.
Saturday morning, August 15th, is a decent follow-up with 5ft swell from the south and a moderate energy of 439, still clean with a cross-offshore breeze. Good for intermediate surfers.
After that, it fades off again. Sunday morning, August 16th, has a glassy 4ft from the south, which is nice for a clean, small wave session if you’re desperate.
But honestly, for the rest of August, the forecast is grim. The swell direction never matches up well with the wind, and the quality is poor. It’s a long dry spell, and that’s just how it goes sometimes.
This is Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the NW by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue afternoon, fresh winds from the WSW by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 12 | S 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 9 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
52 | 51 | 50 | 58 | 40 | 61 | 177 | 180 | 381 | 286 | 141 | 53 | 48 | 47 | 130 | 100 | 75 | 55 | 18 | 700 | 884 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | on | off | glassy | on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 2:58PM1.44m | 3:35AM0.98m | 4:06PM1.52m | 4:56AM1.00m | 5:11PM1.61m | 6:03AM1.06m | 6:09PM1.71m | 6:59AM1.13m | 7:01PM1.78m | 7:49AM1.20m | 7:50PM1.80m | 8:34AM1.27m | 8:36PM1.76m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:50PM0.38m | 9:15AM0.39m | 11:05PM0.28m | 10:25AM0.38m | 00:08AM0.16m | 11:31AM0.33m | 1:02AM0.07m | 12:29PM0.27m | 1:49AM-0.00m | 1:22PM0.22m | 2:33AM-0.03m | 2:12PM0.20m | 3:13AM-0.02m | ||||||||
6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | |
— | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 10 |
Feels °C | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSW 9 | S 12 | S 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 9 | S 10 |
48 | 51 | 50 | 58 | 40 | 61 | 177 | 180 | 381 | 286 | 141 | 53 | 48 | 113 | 130 | 100 | 75 | 55 | 18 | 700 | 884 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | S 8 | E 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 7 | S 6 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 13 | E 13 | E 13 | SSW 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 9 | SSW 8 | S 16 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
52 | 33 | 25 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 47 | 52 | 55 | 64 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 11 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 12 | ENE 8 | S 8 | ENE 7 | E 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 6 | E 14 | — | S 13 | — | S 12 | S 12 | — | — | — | — | S 16 | — | S 18 |
27 | 21 | 34 | 18 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | 7 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 2 | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | NE 5 | — | — | NW 5 | NW 5 | W 5 | WNW 4 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | SW 8 | SSW 9 | — |
1 | — | — | — | — | 28 | 19 | — | — | 60 | 90 | 51 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 44 | 118 | 369 | 1038 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 26 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 161 | 219 | 13 | 37 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











