Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Issued: 9 pm 05 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
19.1° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SSE swell with 2,992 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 2.0m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 1.0m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 9th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 10s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 9th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 10s
Most Powerful 4PM (Tue 7th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, Rusty here, and I'm lookin' at what we got for the next couple weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, but there's a few windows that'll get the stoke goin'.

Right now, things are a bit messy. The good news is we've got a solid pulse of swell rolling in, but the wind's been a bastard. We kick off on Monday, July 6th, with a thumping 9.8ft SSE swell rollin' into Blue Bay. Problem is, that's a cross-shore wind with a nasty chop, and the wave energy's intense at 1796. It's surfable for the experienced crew, but the conditions are rough. That holds through Tuesday, July 7th as the swell pushes 11.5ft and the energy jumps to 2650 (moderate to strong energy), but the wind's still howlin'. It's gonna be a heavy, lumpy mess for the most part.

Now, Wednesday, July 8th is where it starts to look a bit more appealing. The swell drops a touch to 8.2ft from the SSE, but a 9 mph cross-offshore breeze cleans it right up. You're looking at clean lines and 1972 (moderate to strong energy). For a bigger-wave intermediate, this is your call. That clean trend holds through Thursday, July 9th, with a 6.2ft SE swell (835) and light winds. It's a drop in size, but the quality is right.

The real gem, the standout, lands on Friday, July 10th. The swell holds at a friendly 5.2ft from the SE, period around 10 seconds (solid groundswell). The energy is 528 (moderate). But the winner here is that afternoon: glassy conditions, not a breath of wind. That is gonna be perfect, clean, and smooth. If you can get out there for the afternoon session, that's the best on offer for the week.

That quality keeps rolling into Saturday, July 11th with a clean 3.9ft swell (440) from the SE. Not huge, but clean and fun. After that, it drops right off. Sunday, July 12th through Wednesday, July 15th you're lookin' at a flat spell. Tiny, weak waves with barely any energy. It's a proper lull.

Then, Wednesday, July 15th sees a new pulse of swell, 8.2ft from the S, but it gets chopped up again. By Thursday, July 16th, it's back up to 11.5ft (2500 energy) from the S, but the winds are strong again. Not ideal.

Hold on though, because Saturday, July 18th looks like another potential cracker. A 6.6ft swell from the SSE, with a light offshore wind. That'll be clean and powerful (1008 energy). A morning session that day will be worth the wait for the more advanced guys.

The second week drops off again, with some small, clean options but nothing to get wild about until we see a big, short-period swell (9.8ft, 8 seconds, 1185 energy) blowin' in on Tuesday, July 21st, but with fresh offshore winds. That'll be raw, punchy, and heavy, definitely expert territory. It's a long-range call, so keep an eye on it.

So, for this region, the standout is Friday afternoon, July 10th. Get on it. The crowds are *sometimes* a problem at Blue Bay, but on a glassy afternoon like that, it'll be worth the company.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sun
12
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
3
2
1
2
3
3
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
S
11
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3.5
SSE
11
3.5
SSE
11
3
SE
11
2.5
SE
11
2.4
SE
11
2.2
SSE
10
1.9
SE
9
2
SE
9
1.8
SE
9
1.6
SE
9
1.6
SE
10
1.6
SE
10
0.9
ESE
12
1
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
11
0.7
ESE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2541
1765
1658
1868
2349
2992
2330
1630
1340
1010
639
668
538
456
517
450
225
226
135
66
94
Wind (km/h)
30
SSE
25
SSE
25
SSE
25
SSW
25
SSW
30
S
20
SSE
15
S
20
SSW
20
SSW
10
SSW
10
SE
10
WSW
10
WSW
5
S
10
WNW
10
NW
10
N
15
NW
25
NW
25
WNW
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
11:35PM1.38m
12:42PM1.19m
00:21AM1.30m
1:34PM1.25m
1:18AM1.20m
2:29PM1.33m
2:25AM1.12m
3:27PM1.43m
3:41AM1.07m
4:26PM1.53m
4:57AM1.05m
5:23PM1.64m
6:06AM1.07m
6:19PM1.74m
Low Tide
6:18AM0.20m
6:23PM0.52m
6:59AM0.22m
7:29PM0.53m
7:46AM0.24m
8:44PM0.49m
8:39AM0.27m
10:00PM0.41m
9:38AM0.30m
11:11PM0.30m
10:38AM0.30m
00:15AM0.17m
11:38AM0.29m
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:58
6:58
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:59
4:59
5:00
5:00
5:00
5:00
5:01
 mm
3
2
2
4
1
2
3
2
2
8
2
2
4
1
1
Temp °C
15
15
16
15
16
16
16
15
15
14
15
16
14
14
15
13
17
18
14
15
15
Feels °C
9
9
11
10
11
10
11
11
11
11
13
13
13
12
14
11
15
15
10
10
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
13
0.2
E
14
0.2
E
14
0.9
SE
14
0.2
S
16
1
ESE
13
2.4
SE
11
2.2
SSE
10
1.9
SE
9
2
SE
9
1.8
SE
9
1.6
SE
9
1.6
SE
10
1.6
SE
10
1.2
SE
9
1.1
SE
8
0.9
ESE
10
0.6
SSE
8
0.7
ESE
10
Energy kJ
14
16
14
301
20
342
1340
1010
639
668
538
456
517
450
225
156
135
47
94
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
14
0.2
E
14
0.9
ESE
13
0.5
ESE
11
1
ESE
10
0.4
ESE
10
0.1
S
16
0.4
SE
13
0.1
S
19
0.3
ESE
14
0.9
ESE
12
1
ESE
11
0.7
SSE
9
0.6
ESE
9
0.4
SSE
8
Energy kJ
15
15
249
69
190
39
5
63
7
41
210
226
67
61
26
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
18
0.1
S
17
0.1
S
20
0.1
S
19
0.1
S
14
0.1
S
21
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
15
0.5
ESE
12
0.5
ESE
11
0.1
S
16
Energy kJ
4
6
6
8
7
4
9
5
4
81
66
5
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
S
11
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3.5
SSE
11
3.5
SSE
11
3
SE
11
2.5
SE
11
0.4
SW
3
0.2
W
3
0.4
NW
3
0.5
NNW
3
0.9
NNW
4
Energy kJ
2541
1765
1658
1868
2349
2992
2330
1630
2
1
3
5
25
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
5
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
Distance (km)
296
238
166
11
11
41
130
11
11
11
0
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
7
4
4
8
7
5
6
7
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
2
2
4
2
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
6
5
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
6
7
8
8
6
9
6
4
9
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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