Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 11 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
18.9° C
0.6° 

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 9s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, S swell with 1,412 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 10s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sun 12th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 10s
Best Surf10PM (Sat 18th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 9s
Most Powerful 7PM (Wed 15th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Blue Bay.

Honestly, the start of this outlook is a bit of a tough one. The first week or so is a write-off for any decent surf. We’ve got a long gap of really poor conditions. From Saturday the 11th right through to Wednesday morning the 15th, it’s all either tiny swell or messy wind. You’re looking at stuff around 0.7ft to 3ft, mostly with poor surf conditions. Not worth paddling out for.

Things start to show a little pulse on Wednesday afternoon the 15th. The swell jumps to 8ft from the S, with a combined energy of 1109 (moderate wave energy), but the winds are cross-off and the forecast is still only marginal. That’s 8ft coming in, so it’s getting into the zone for experienced surfers only.

The real standout, the one you want to circle on your calendar, is Monday the 20th. Tuesday the 21st is an absolute cracker, but let’s start with Monday afternoon. We’ve got a clean 7ft swell from the E, with a period of 11 seconds. The combined energy is 1100 (moderate wave energy), the wind is a light WNW breeze keeping it cross-off and clean. That’s a solid, clean day.

But Tuesday the 21st? That’s the best on offer. Both morning and afternoon are firing. You’ve got a 8ft swell from the E in the morning, period of 11 seconds, and a combined energy reading of 1501 (strong wave energy). The wind is a gentle 9 mph offshore, keeping it clean. By Tuesday afternoon, the period stretches to 13 seconds, the energy jumps to 1718 (strong), and it’s still clean with light offshore winds. The forecast says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers," and that’s bang on. This is a proper groundswell window. 8ft from the east, clean, and powerful. The only caveat is that with that period and size, it might be a little straight for the beach breaks, but Blue Bay is a reef, so it should handle it well. Crowds are "sometimes," so expect a few heads out, but it shouldn’t be a zoo.

You’ll also want to look at Friday morning the 24th. Swell from the SE at 5ft, but with a very long period of 13 seconds. That’s a lot of energy (1373 – strong), and the wind is light offshore. That’s another excellent morning for experienced surfers, though the swell direction isn't quite the optimum SSE for the break. Still, it’s going to be clean and lined-up.

A quick mention for Thursday morning the 23rd – 7ft from the ESE, clean, with light WNW winds and moderate energy. A very good session, but Tuesday is the peak.

The water temp is sitting around 66°, which is about normal for this time of year, no crazy anomaly.

To sum it up: don’t bother before Wednesday the 15th. After that, the second half of the forecast period is where it’s at. Tuesday the 21st is the absolute standout – a proper swell with clean offshore winds. If you’re an experienced surfer, that’s your day.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Sat
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
ESE
11
1.1
SE
10
0.8
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
10
0.4
SE
9
0.2
S
11
0.2
ESE
8
0.1
E
10
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
10
0.1
E
10
1.2
S
10
2.3
S
10
2.4
S
9
1.9
SSE
8
1.4
S
8
1
S
7
1
E
8
1.3
E
9
1.4
E
9
1.4
E
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
234
225
109
51
21
9
7
2
9
8
2
284
1109
1005
509
246
102
127
288
327
325
Wind (km/h)
15
NNE
15
NNW
30
WNW
25
W
30
WNW
20
WNW
15
WNW
15
NW
20
WNW
20
SW
25
SW
20
SW
20
SSW
20
SW
25
SW
25
SSW
20
SSW
20
SSW
25
S
15
WSW
15
SW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
5:23PM1.64m
6:06AM1.07m
6:19PM1.74m
7:08AM1.11m
7:13PM1.82m
8:03AM1.14m
8:04PM1.86m
8:55AM1.18m
8:54PM1.85m
9:44AM1.21m
9:42PM1.79m
10:32AM1.23m
10:29PM1.67m
11:20AM1.25m
Low Tide
00:15AM0.17m
11:38AM0.29m
1:13AM0.06m
12:36PM0.26m
2:06AM-0.02m
1:30PM0.24m
2:56AM-0.06m
2:23PM0.23m
3:43AM-0.06m
3:15PM0.24m
4:28AM-0.02m
4:07PM0.28m
5:10AM0.04m
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:54
6:54
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:00
5:01
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:04
5:05
5:05
 mm
4
Temp °C
17
14
15
15
11
18
19
13
19
19
14
15
15
15
15
16
16
16
16
16
15
Feels °C
14
10
8
8
5
13
15
8
14
14
9
9
10
10
10
11
12
11
11
13
12
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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