Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 11 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
17.7° C
0.6° 

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 12 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period, S swell with 450 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 10s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.7m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 10s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Wed 12th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 10s
Best Surf 7AM (Wed 12th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 10s
Most Powerful 4PM (Thu 13th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's look at the next couple of weeks for Blue Bay. It’s a mixed bag, so let’s get into it.

We start with a bit of a slow period. The first session worth paddling out for isn't until Wednesday, August 12th. The morning looks promising with some gentle offshore wind and clean, 4ft surf from the south. There’s a moderate amount of energy in the water (381) and it’ll be a good one to get the arms going. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing crazy there.

The next real standout is Friday morning, August 14th. It’s glassy, dead calm, with a clean 4ft south swell. This is the kind of session you dream about – smooth, rippable, and all to yourself. That light WSW breeze will have it looking like a mirror. This is definitely one of the best windows in the near term.

After that, it gets pretty messy. From Friday afternoon right through to Tuesday, August 19th, the wind is going to be all over the place, mostly cross-shore or onshore, which will chop things up. The swell will be there, between 5ft and 6ft, but the quality will be poor. There’s a lot of energy moving through mid-week, but it’s just not going to be clean. Honestly, for a beach and reef setup like this, it might look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on a few of those days.

The outlook improves again on Thursday morning, August 20th. We get another glassy session with a clean 5ft east swell. Then again on Friday morning, August 21st, with a light offshore N wind and clean 5ft east swell. Both of these are solid options.

Now, for the long-range promise. Keep your eye on Saturday, August 22nd. The morning shows a clean 6ft east-northeast swell with a much longer period of 11 seconds and a light cross-offshore breeze. There’s strong energy in the water (649) and this has the potential to be a proper stand-out session, with more power and better shape.

The real gem, though, looks like it’s shaping up for Wednesday morning, August 26th. We’re looking at a solid 10ft south swell with a glassy, calm wind. This is a big, clean groundswell with very strong energy (1080). This is one for the experts, as it'll be a powerful, heavy day. This is over 5ft, so it’s not for the beginners. It’s a week and a half away, so keep your fingers crossed, but this could be the one we’re all talking about.

So, to sum it up: the best of the near-term is Friday morning the 14th, and for the long-range, keep an eye on Wednesday the 26th for something truly special.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
S
11
1.3
S
10
1
S
9
0.9
S
8
0.5
ENE
10
1.7
S
9
1.4
S
8
1.1
S
9
1.2
S
9
1.2
S
8
1.4
SSE
9
1.8
S
8
1.4
S
7
1.5
SSE
6
1.5
SSE
7
2.1
SE
7
1.7
ESE
7
1.7
ESE
7
1.9
ESE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
606
327
164
111
52
450
265
211
210
172
297
401
198
183
210
445
294
301
366
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
15
W
10
WNW
15
W
20
SW
15
SE
15
WSW
5
SW
15
SE
10
S
20
SSE
25
S
10
SW
25
SSE
20
SSE
25
ESE
15
ESE
20
ESE
20
E
Wind State
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
High Tide
7:49AM1.20m
7:50PM1.80m
8:34AM1.27m
8:36PM1.76m
9:17AM1.32m
9:19PM1.68m
9:58AM1.36m
10:01PM1.54m
10:39AM1.38m
10:43PM1.39m
11:21AM1.37m
11:25PM1.23m
Low Tide
1:49AM-0.00m
1:22PM0.22m
2:33AM-0.03m
2:12PM0.20m
3:13AM-0.02m
3:01PM0.20m
3:50AM0.03m
3:50PM0.23m
4:26AM0.10m
4:39PM0.29m
5:00AM0.19m
5:30PM0.36m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:35
6:35
6:33
6:33
6:31
6:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:24
 mm
4
4
1
5
1
3
1
5
Temp °C
14
16
19
13
16
15
13
14
15
15
15
15
15
15
16
16
16
16
15
Feels °C
9
12
16
8
12
11
9
11
12
13
11
10
9
9
12
11
12
12
11
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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