
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 13s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period, S swell with 2,037 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 13s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.3m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s get straight into it. We’ve got one spot on the radar for this 16-day stretch: Blue Bay. It’s a reef setup, so it handles swell well, but it’s inconsistent, so we’ve got to be patient.
The water’s sitting at about 65°F, which is pretty much bang on average for the time of year, no drama there.
The first half of the period is a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a small pulse of south swell coming through Friday 24 July, but the wind is messy and the conditions are marginal. Saturday 25 July morning is where it starts to get interesting – a clean 6ft south swell, with a period of 11 seconds, and light offshore wind from the WNW. The combined energy is moderate (834), and the offshore wind should keep it nice and clean. That’s likely the best bet for the first week. Sunday 26 July morning is also clean with a 6ft south swell (707), still a solid option.
After that, the surf drops off badly. From Monday 27 July through to the end of July, we’re looking at tiny, weak waves – mostly under 3ft, and the wind is all over the shop. There’s a gap of about four days where it’s pretty much unrideable or just ordinary.
Then, hold onto your board – Sunday 2 August morning brings a massive pulse. We’re looking at a 15ft south swell, period of 12 seconds, and glassy conditions. The combined energy is a massive 5159, which is strong. But look, this is big – over 8ft – so it’s only for experienced surfers who know the reef. Beginners, stay on the beach. This is the standout of the whole outlook, but it’s over a week away, so keep an eye on the forecasts.
The swell stays solid through Monday 3 August at 10ft, but the wind turns cross-offshore, which can still be okay. The rest of that week stays in the 6-7ft range, but the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, so it’s not as clean. By Friday 7 August morning, we’ve got another good one: 8ft from the ESE with a 13-second period, light cross-off wind, and excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The energy is strong (1791). That’s the second standout.
After that, it drops back down to 4ft and smaller for the 8th, and the wind is glassy in the morning, so it’s a nice little finisher for the confident intermediate surfer, but not as exciting.
So, the real winner is early Sunday 2 August morning – that glassy 15ft south swell at Blue Bay is going to be special, but it’s for the big-wave crew. The other solid option is Friday 7 August morning with the 8ft ESE swell. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or just average.
Keep your eyes on the sky, and be ready for that big one.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 15 | S 16 | S 18 | S 8 | SSE 7 | S 7 | S 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
593 | 623 | 2037 | 811 | 477 | 396 | 701 | 522 | 338 | 260 | 262 | 133 | 76 | 51 | 40 | 20 | 6 | 356 | 139 | 69 | 141 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-on | off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 4:36PM1.36m | 5:13AM0.89m | 5:26PM1.40m | 6:08AM0.93m | 6:12PM1.46m | 6:53AM0.97m | 6:53PM1.52m | 7:33AM1.02m | 7:32PM1.57m | 8:10AM1.07m | 8:08PM1.60m | 8:46AM1.11m | 8:43PM1.60m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:38PM0.44m | 10:34AM0.49m | 00:26AM0.38m | 11:27AM0.47m | 1:07AM0.32m | 12:14PM0.43m | 1:44AM0.26m | 12:57PM0.39m | 2:19AM0.21m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:52AM0.17m | 2:16PM0.34m | 3:24AM0.14m | ||||||||
6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | |
— | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 18 | S 8 | SSE 7 | S 7 | S 8 |
593 | 623 | 2037 | 811 | 477 | 396 | 701 | 522 | 338 | 260 | 262 | 133 | 76 | 51 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 356 | 139 | 69 | 82 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | SE 14 | SE 16 | SE 14 | SE 15 | S 15 | S 16 | S 14 | S 16 | S 16 | ESE 5 | S 12 |
28 | 27 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 20 | 4 | 21 | 76 | 14 | 141 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | E 7 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | — | — | — | E 13 | NE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SE 14 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | S 11 | S 10 | ESE 5 |
2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 44 | 13 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | NNE 3 | N 3 | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | S 3 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 95 | 205 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










