Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 24 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 10s period, S swell with 402 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.4m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 27) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let me break down what we’ve got for Blue Bay. Honestly, it ain’t great for the first chunk. This place is an inconsistent reef, so it needs the right combination to work, and for a long time, it just doesn’t have it. There’s a big dry spell with nothing worth riding until late in the first week.
Starting out on Saturday the 22nd, we have a tiny 1ft swell out of the northeast with a super short 6-second period, and combined energy is a weak 13. It’s clean with offshore wind, but there’s just no wave to catch. Same story carries through the weekend and into next week—small, weak, or onshore junk.
Things get slightly more interesting on Wednesday the 26th. Swell picks up to around 4ft from the ENE with an 8-second period, and combined energy is up to 206 (moderate). Winds are cross-offshore, so it’s clean. But the wave quality is still just ordinary. You could get wet, but it won’t be memorable.
The real standout comes on Thursday the 3rd of September. By the afternoon, winds go offshore out of the west at 9 mph and the swell is a clean 4ft out of the south with an 11-second period. Combined energy hits 378, which is solid moderate power. Blue Bay’s best swell direction is from the SSE, so that south swell is right on the money. Water temp is around 64°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The offshore wind and decent swell should make for some smooth, peeling lines on the reef. But remember, this break is inconsistent, so you’ll have to wait for the good sets. It’ll be worth the wait if you do.
Before that, Friday the 28th and Saturday the 29th of August have glassy mornings with waves around 3-3ft from the ENE, but again, just ordinary quality. If you’re jonesing, you can get out, but it’s nothing special. After the 3rd, the energy drops fast and the wind turns bad again, so the window is real tight.
In the end, Blue Bay is quiet for over a week straight. This spot is unreliable, so a long flat spell ain’t unusual. If you can paddle out on the afternoon of the 3rd of September, you might just score the cleanest little waves of the whole run. Mark that one on the calendar.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | S 10 | S 14 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | NE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 7 | S 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 9 | 9 | 9 | 402 | 194 | 257 | 159 | 125 | 73 | 64 | 178 | 150 | 166 | 130 | 93 | 198 | 113 | 101 | 99 | 75 | 101 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:00PM1.29m | 4:54AM0.89m | 4:58PM1.35m | 5:47AM0.94m | 5:46PM1.42m | 6:29AM1.01m | 6:27PM1.49m | 7:06AM1.09m | 7:04PM1.54m | 7:41AM1.17m | 7:40PM1.57m | 8:15AM1.25m | 8:15PM1.57m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:09PM0.46m | 10:09AM0.54m | 11:58PM0.39m | 11:07AM0.50m | 00:37AM0.32m | 11:56AM0.43m | 1:11AM0.24m | 12:39PM0.37m | 1:43AM0.18m | 1:19PM0.32m | 2:14AM0.13m | 1:59PM0.28m | 2:44AM0.10m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — |
 | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 22 | 21 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | S 10 | SSE 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 9 | 9 | 9 | 402 | 171 | 257 | 159 | 125 | 73 | 47 | 96 | 150 | 166 | 130 | 93 | 142 | 113 | 97 | 99 | 75 | 101 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | SSW 6 | S 4 | NE 6 | S 14 | NE 8 | ENE 5 | — | NE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 8 | SSE 7 | S 11 |
| kJ | 2 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 194 | 18 | 19 | — | 20 | 64 | 42 | 14 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 94 | 103 | 101 | 72 | 55 | 22 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | S 8 | SSW 6 | S 18 | E 14 | E 14 | ENE 8 | E 13 | S 18 | ENE 9 | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 | — | — | S 16 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | — |
| kJ | 2 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 19 | 47 | 19 | 5 | — | — | 5 | 15 | 29 | 26 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | — | ESE 4 | — | NE 9 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 5 | — | NE 7 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | — | S 5 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | S 7 |
| kJ | 3 | — | 5 | — | 20 | 13 | 29 | 45 | 64 | — | 178 | 3 | 4 | — | 60 | 198 | — | — | — | — | 47 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 145 | 296 | 99 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 41 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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