Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you—this 16-day window for Blue Bay is a bit of a mixed bag, with a lot of quiet spells and only a few real highlights. The first surf worth paddling out for doesn’t actually show up until Saturday morning, August 1st, so the week leading up to it is a write-off.

We start with a bit of a pulse on Friday afternoon, July 31st, with a 6 ft south swell, but that 12 mph cross wind and a cross-chop make it a messy one. The wave energy is moderate (668), but it’s not worth your time.

The first real glimmer comes Saturday morning, August 1st. A 5 ft swell from the SSE, with a period of 9 seconds, and a light breeze swinging cross-offshore from the SW. The water’s hovering around 65°F, which is about average for this time of year. The sets should be clean and manageable. The energy’s still moderate (456), but the conditions are right. Then Saturday afternoon gets even better—same 5 ft SSE swell, but the wind goes glassy, absolutely flat calm from the SE. That’s a prime window for a few hours of clean, glassy peaks. Blue Bay is a reef break, so it’s inconsistent, and crowds are possible, but with the right tide, you’ll find some fun ones.

Sunday morning, August 2nd, is a standout. The swell bumps up to 5 ft from the SSE, but the period stretches to 12 seconds—that’s a proper groundswell with real push. The combined energy is strong (875). The wind is a light northerly, creating a slight cross-shore, but the waves will have shape and power. This is a long-period swell, so at a reef break like Blue Bay, it should line up nicely, though it might be a bit too straight for the beachies. For intermediates, it’s a solid day. The afternoon, however, turns into a write-off with a 16 mph cross-on NE wind and choppy conditions—don’t bother.

Monday morning, August 3rd, drops to a 3 ft SE swell (11-second period, groundswell), with a clean cross-off wind from the NNW. The energy is light (286), but it’s clean. A good session for a log or a fun board.

From Tuesday, August 4th, through to Thursday, August 7th, the swell is tiny or messy, with most days offering nothing. There’s a brief reprieve on Thursday morning, August 6th, with a 5 ft south swell, 9-second period, and glassy conditions—clean, but the energy is moderate (433). Still, that’s a morning worth checking.

Friday morning, August 7th, is another gem. A 5 ft south swell, 10-second period, and glassy calm from the SSW. The energy is moderate (472). Clean, fun waves for the experienced intermediate. The afternoon is a no-go with onshore easterly wind.

After that, the second week fades fast. Saturday, August 8th, drops to 3 ft, and by Sunday, August 9th, it’s barely an ankle-snapper at 3 ft. From Monday, August 10th, through to Saturday, August 15th, the swell is tiny—1.0 ft to 3 ft—with periods of strong offshore winds that keep it clean but too small to ride. The energy is weak (20 to 168). A few mornings have a glassy feel, but the waves just aren’t there.

The best of the lot? Saturday morning, August 1st (glassy, clean) and Sunday morning, August 2nd (strong groundswell, 12-second period, moderate energy). The long-range later in the second week is a snooze—don’t hold your breath.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

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