Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 10s period, SE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 10s period, SSE swell with 346 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.3m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Blue Bay's got cooking over the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, but there is a standout session to get excited about.
Right now, we're looking at a pretty average run of conditions. The first week is lean, with only small, weak pulses of swell and a lot of onshore or cross-onshore wind messing things up. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.
The first real glimmer is on Sunday the 30th of August morning. We'll see a small, glassy 3ft S swell creep in. The wind is light from the NNE, making it completely glassy. It's not big, but for a clean morning surf on a reef setup, it's the best we've got for a few days.
After that, we get a proper gap with pretty poor surf until the real highlight arrives. Mark your calendar for the morning of Sunday the 6th of September. This is the standout. We've got a solid 6ft S swell rolling in, with a moderate wave energy of 766. The wind is light from the N, giving us clean, cross-offshore conditions. This is proper surf for the experienced crew, and given it's a fairly exposed reef break that is inconsistent, this is a special event. The size and quality will be there, so get in the water.
Following that, conditions get a bit messy again with strong winds and choppy seas through the middle of the week. There is another pulse of swell on Wednesday the 9th of September morning, with a 7ft S swell and a high energy of 874, but the wind is a moderate cross-off from the SSW, which will keep it a bit lumpy. It's a big one, but the quality is questionable. The following days fade back into small, onshore slop.
So, bottom line: the first week is a wait-and-see with only that one glassy Sunday morning for a small wave session. The real action is that big, clean swell on Sunday the 6th of September morning. The rest of the window is mostly for the very dedicated or those who don't mind a messy wave.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 16 | S 15 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 312 | 251 | 192 | 125 | 157 | 251 | 176 | 150 | 140 | 272 | 237 | 182 | 96 | 96 | 71 | 49 | 47 | 47 | 45 | 97 | 31 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | off | glassy | on | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:50PM1.54m | 9:24AM1.38m | 9:27PM1.47m | 10:01AM1.42m | 10:07PM1.38m | 10:41AM1.45m | 10:52PM1.27m | 11:26AM1.45m | 11:44PM1.14m | 12:20PM1.44m | 00:50AM1.03m | 1:25PM1.43m | 2:14AM0.96m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:39PM0.26m | 3:14AM0.10m | 3:21PM0.25m | 3:46AM0.12m | 4:05PM0.26m | 4:20AM0.17m | 4:55PM0.29m | 4:58AM0.24m | 5:52PM0.33m | 5:42AM0.32m | 7:01PM0.37m | 6:37AM0.40m | 8:22PM0.37m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — |
 | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 27 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 19 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | S 9 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 5 | S 9 | ENE 4 |
| kJ | 312 | 214 | 192 | 125 | 157 | 251 | 167 | 97 | 140 | 272 | 237 | 182 | 96 | 96 | 71 | 49 | 47 | 47 | 30 | 97 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SSE 10 | S 8 | SE 9 | SE 9 | S 18 | S 16 | S 15 | ENE 9 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | NE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 9 | ENE 10 | S 10 |
| kJ | 57 | 251 | 93 | 90 | 90 | 150 | 176 | 150 | 15 | 38 | 37 | 21 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 18 | 18 | 45 | 18 | 31 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 16 | ENE 8 | — | ENE 10 | NE 5 | — | NE 5 | ENE 5 | NNW 3 | S 9 | ENE 10 | SSE 12 | S 6 |
| kJ | 28 | 28 | 27 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 17 | 16 | 43 | 6 | — | 33 | 4 | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 19 | 28 | 12 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | NE 4 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | SSE 3 | SSW 4 | — | ESE 4 | NW 2 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 14 | — | 3 | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 52 | 13 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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