Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 8 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, S swell with 1,137 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. Rusty here, talkin’ about Blue Bay for the next couple of weeks.
So, it starts off pretty slow. The waves are tiny and the wind’s a bit all over the place, so don’t get too excited just yet. But there’s some real good stuff coming.
Thursday morning, September 4th, is where we get going. We’ve got a glassy 1.3m south swell, period of 11 seconds. That’s a real groundswell, nice and clean. The combined energy is moderate at 431, and the water is 18°, which is normal for this time of year. That morning is the best of the first week.
Friday the 5th morning is a bit of a letdown, with some bumpy cross-shore wind and smaller waves. But Monday the 7th of September morning comes back clean and glassy, with a 1.2m south swell at 9 seconds. Combined energy is a decent 284. Good, clean fun.
Now, Tuesday the 8th of September morning is a big one. We’ve got a solid 2.5m south swell, and the combined energy jumps to 1144—that’s strong. The wind is cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean. But that size is for experts only. Beginners, sit this one out. Crowds can show up here sometimes, but on a day like that, the paddle will be the main challenge.
Then we get another glassy morning on Friday the 11th of September, with a 1.5m south swell at 12 seconds. Combined energy is 639—strong and clean. That’s a good day for intermediates and above.
Looking into the second week, there’s a big pulse for Friday the 18th of September morning. A 3.0m south swell with a combined energy of 1792. That’s very strong, and it’s for experts only. The cross-offshore wind will keep it clean, but it’s a long way off and could change. Keep an eye on it.
In between, from around the 12th to the 17th, the swell drops and the wind turns onshore, so that’s a stretch of poor quality days.
The real standouts are Thursday 4th morning, Monday 7th morning, and Friday 11th morning for the cleanest, most manageable waves. The bigger days on the 8th and 18th are for the brave.
Stay stoked, and I’ll see you out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, strong winds from the S by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 9 | S 11 | S 9 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | NE 6 | S 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 73 | 52 | 53 | 403 | 196 | 66 | 123 | 62 | 45 | 10 | 805 | 340 | 235 | 230 | 257 | 1137 | 707 | 279 | 171 | 132 | 393 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | glassy | on | off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross |
High Tide | 12:20PM1.44m | 00:50AM1.03m | 1:25PM1.43m | 2:14AM0.96m | 2:40PM1.44m | 3:44AM0.96m | 3:54PM1.49m | 4:59AM1.02m | 5:00PM1.56m | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:01PM0.37m | 6:37AM0.40m | 8:22PM0.37m | 7:47AM0.46m | 9:46PM0.33m | 9:08AM0.47m | 10:57PM0.24m | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:28AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.28m | 1:23AM0.04m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |  | | | |  | | | |
 | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 30 | 30 | 24 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
Feels °C | 21 | 21 | 13 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 26 | 25 | 19 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 9 | S 11 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 6 | SSW 6 | S 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 8 | S 8 |
| kJ | 73 | 52 | 53 | 403 | 196 | 57 | 123 | 62 | 26 | 68 | 805 | 340 | 235 | 230 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 279 | 171 | 79 | 393 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | NE 6 | SSE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 12 | ENE 9 | NE 5 | S 10 | NE 6 | NE 6 | E 10 | SSE 11 | NE 3 | NE 4 | — | NE 9 | SSE 11 | SE 8 | ENE 9 | S 14 |
| kJ | 31 | 10 | 33 | 19 | 18 | 66 | 17 | 12 | 45 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 90 | 8 | 142 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | ENE 10 | SSE 13 | NE 7 | NNE 7 | NE 4 | — | E 9 | N 3 | E 11 | E 10 | NE 6 | NE 10 | ENE 10 | NE 8 | — | — | E 10 | ENE 9 | S 18 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 4 | 19 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 7 | — | 15 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 3 | — | — | 8 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | W 3 | SSW 5 | — | — | — | N 3 | NW 3 | SW 2 | SSW 6 | — | — | NNW 3 | — | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | — | — | S 8 | — |
| kJ | 11 | 3 | 31 | — | — | — | 8 | 8 | 1 | 80 | — | — | 3 | — | 257 | 1137 | 707 | — | — | 132 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 52 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 216 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | 11 | 37 | 11 | 11 | 205 | 180 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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