Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at Blue Bay over the next couple weeks.

Water temp is about 67°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing major, just a little extra warmth.

First few days are flat. Friday into Saturday morning you’ve got tiny swell around 1 ft and barely any energy (29). Wind is offshore but there’s nothing to ride. Don’t bother.

Saturday afternoon things turn on. A solid 4 ft S swell rolls in with a 12-second period, energy jumps to 432 – that’s proper moderate power. By late Saturday the wind goes glassy, ESE at 3 mph, so you’re looking at clean, lined-up waves. This is the first real highlight. It’s a reef break, and it’s inconsistent, so don’t expect non-stop sets, but when they come they’ll be good.

Sunday morning the swell hits 10 ft from the S, 11-second period, energy at 2137 – that’s strong. Wind is howling SSW at 18 mph, cross-off, so it’s clean but it’s for experts only. Too big for beginners. Sunday afternoon gets lumpy with cross-shore chop – not the pick.

Monday stays big at 8 ft from the SSE, but wind turns cross-on and choppy. Poor.

Tuesday through Wednesday is a good stretch. Tuesday morning has 8 ft SE swell with moderate energy (2374) and cross-off SW wind at 15 mph – clean and powerful. Wednesday morning is even better: 7 ft SE swell, offshore WSW wind at just 6 mph, clean as glass. Energy is 967, still moderate but well-shaped with 10-second periods. That’s a standout morning for experienced surfers.

Thursday drops to 5 ft, still clean early. Fun but not a standout.

The middle of the second week goes quiet. From Friday the 10th to Monday the 13th morning it’s small and weak, mostly poor. A few clean small waves but nothing to write home about.

Monday afternoon the 13th is a surprise. Swell jumps to 8 ft from the S, 10-second period, with offshore WNW wind at 12 mph. Energy is 1045 – moderate to strong. That’s a sneaky good session.

After that, wind gets strong and swell drops. Tuesday the 14th through Thursday the 17th is mostly blown out or too small.

The final standout is Saturday the 18th morning. A clean 6 ft S swell with 11-second period, gentle WSW wind at 9 mph, energy at 754. That’s a sweet, clean groundswell for a morning session. The afternoon builds to 12 ft but with onshore wind – too big and messy.

Best of the best: Saturday the 4th afternoon – glassy, 4 ft S swell, perfect for a reef break when it’s inconsistent but clean. And Wednesday the 8th morning – offshore, 7 ft SE swell, clean and powerful. Those are the ones to aim for.

No buoys to check, just what’s forecast. Keep an eye on the wind and get out there when it lines up.

Rusty.

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