Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty here, and we're taking a close look at Blue Bay.

Right off the bat, the water's sitting at 66°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild going on there temp-wise. Now, the outlook for the next couple of weeks is a real mixed bag. We've got a long stretch of nothing much happening for the first week or so. From now until the 15th of July, the waves are tiny and the conditions are pretty ordinary, so you might as well leave the board in the car.

Things start to get interesting on Wednesday the 15th. We've got a big pulse of south swell coming in, pushing up to 8 ft, but the period is short at 7 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 544, and with 19 mph cross-offshore wind, it's surfable but messy. Then on Wednesday afternoon, it really jumps to a 13 ft south swell with 10-second period. The energy rockets up to a very strong 3012, but with 22 mph cross-offshore winds, it's a beast. This size is only for experts, and the conditions are described as marginal, so it's pretty raw and powerful.

The swell hangs around through the 16th, 17th, and 18th of July with chest-to-head-high sets, but the wind goes onshore from the SSE, chopping up the surface. It's not pretty. The energy stays strong, peaking at 3545 on the morning of the 19th of July with a 13 ft swell, but it's still cross-onshore and messy. Again, this is big-wave territory for experienced surfers only.

After all that grunt, we finally get a window of clean conditions. Monday the 20th of July morning looks to be the standout. A solid 8 ft easterly swell with a 10-second period gives moderate-strong combined energy of 1289, and a light 6 mph cross-offshore wind from the SW is going to make for some clean, lined-up waves. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

After that, the swell starts to fade, but the conditions remain good. Tuesday the 21st morning has a 6 ft easterly swell with a light offshore wind – clean, fun waves. By the 22nd it's dropping, and then from the 23rd onwards we're back to small and ordinary surf until the end of the outlook period.

So, while Blue Bay is an inconsistent reef that needs the right alignment, the pick of the fortnight is Monday the 20th of July morning. That 8 ft east swell with clean offshore wind will be the best quality you'll see. Tuesday the 21st morning is a close second for a fun, smaller session.

Rusty.

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