
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period, E swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with 2,029 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 7s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at the outlook for Blue Bay.
This is a pretty quiet stretch overall. The first week is mostly a write-off with poor surf and strong, messy winds. There’s a bit of a pulse mid-month, but it’s all pretty marginal. The real standout comes later, in the second week, when we get a run of cleaner, more manageable waves.
We start off on Tuesday, July 14th with tiny, clean conditions but barely a ripple – 0.3ft to 0.7ft from the south with a long period but no power at all. That’s a no-go, just a morning paddle at best.
Wednesday July 15th sees a jump in size, but it’s a rough one. A solid 8.2ft to 9.8ft southerly swell rolls in, with moderate wave energy (949 to 1570), but the wind is a cross-offshore breeze that’s too strong at 15 mph. The setup looks messy, more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It’s really only for the experts if anyone’s mad enough to try.
The rest of that week and into the weekend is poor. Onshore and cross-shore winds, rain showers, and lumpy conditions. The swell drops to 3.3ft on Friday 17th, then picks up again to 4.9ft–6.6ft over the weekend but with cross-onshore wind and chop. Monday July 20th has onshore wind and a 5.6ft easterly, but it’s still not good.
Then, finally, something worth waking up for. Tuesday July 21st, the morning brings a clean glass-off: barely a breath of wind from the west-southwest, 4.6ft of east-northeast swell with a 10-second period, and moderate wave energy (421). The wind is light offshore, the surface is clean. This is the best on offer in the whole outlook. Blue Bay is a reef break that’s inconsistent, but when it lines up like this, it’s a gem. Crowds are possible though, so get there early.
Wednesday July 22nd and Thursday July 23rd mornings are similar – clear skies, light offshore breezes, 4.6ft to 4.9ft easterly swell, and clean conditions. The energy is solid (385 to 451). Not as punchy as Tuesday, but still very surfable. Friday July 24th morning is another good one with 4.3ft and a light northwesterly offshore.
The final weekend, July 25th and 26th, starts to fade. Saturday morning is still clean with 3.3ft from the east, but the afternoon goes onshore and it gets ordinary. Sunday offers a small 3.3ft easterly swell with light offshore winds in the morning, but it’s nothing special.
After that, a strong south-southwest wind kicks in from Monday July 27th, blowing 22 to 31 mph, and the surf is poor and blown out. The window closes.
So, the standout is without a doubt Tuesday morning July 21st at Blue Bay. Clean, light wind, 4.6ft of easterly groundswell. It’s the pick of the bunch. The following mornings through to Friday are also worth a look if you’re keen for a small, clean wave.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Tue morning, fresh winds from the S by Thu morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri night, min 15°C on Sat afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Mon 20 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 20 | S 13 | S 15 | S 9 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | E 7 | SE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
9 | 8 | 14 | 18 | 949 | 1570 | 565 | 710 | 642 | 181 | 89 | 106 | 198 | 149 | 237 | 476 | 740 | 673 | 643 | 610 | 520 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 8:03AM1.14m | 8:04PM1.86m | 8:55AM1.18m | 8:54PM1.85m | 9:44AM1.21m | 9:42PM1.79m | 10:32AM1.23m | 10:29PM1.67m | 11:20AM1.25m | 11:15PM1.51m | 12:09PM1.27m | 00:01AM1.34m | 12:59PM1.28m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:06AM-0.02m | 1:30PM0.24m | 2:56AM-0.06m | 2:23PM0.23m | 3:43AM-0.06m | 3:15PM0.24m | 4:28AM-0.02m | 4:07PM0.28m | 5:10AM0.04m | 5:01PM0.35m | 5:51AM0.13m | 5:59PM0.42m | 6:30AM0.22m | ||||||||
— | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | |
— | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 6 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | S 13 | SSW 10 | — | — | S 15 | S 15 | S 17 | S 7 | S 7 | S 6 | S 23 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 |
8 | 10 | 14 | 20 | — | — | 5 | 4 | 24 | 181 | 89 | 38 | 11 | 68 | 66 | 45 | 41 | 673 | 643 | 610 | 520 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | S 7 | S 15 | — | — | — | — | S 18 | S 12 | E 8 | S 8 | S 23 | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | S 18 | S 17 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 |
9 | 2 | 4 | 18 | — | — | — | — | 25 | 12 | 19 | 35 | 10 | 35 | 8 | 65 | 99 | 94 | 92 | 117 | 103 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | S 20 | E 10 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | S 14 | S 16 | S 17 | S 11 | S 18 | — | S 16 | S 15 | — | S 9 | S 8 | SE 15 | SE 15 |
2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 15 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 6 | — | 5 | 18 | — | 25 | 12 | 9 | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | SSW 5 | S 9 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 7 | SE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | E 9 | E 10 | — | — | — | — |
13 | 7 | 1 | 45 | 949 | 1570 | 565 | 710 | 642 | 45 | 47 | 106 | 198 | 149 | 237 | 476 | 740 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 229 | 229 | 398 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 11 | 110 | 128 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 35 | 41 | 11 | 35 | 11 | 41 | 11 | 11 | 81 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











