
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, S swell with 3,913 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sat 4th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here, let's pull up a chair and look at what Blue Bay's got cookin' for us over the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, but there are a couple of windows that'll get the stoke going.
First up, the water temp is sitting at 67°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprise there.
We're looking at a slow start with a real run of nothing special on the cards. The 4th of July (Saturday afternoon) has a tiny 4ft south swell at 10 seconds, but with a cross-on wind, it's a write-off. The next day, Sunday the 5th, the swell jumps up to a powerful 12ft from the south with an 11-second period, generating strong wave energy (2664). But that's coupled with a 19 mph cross-off wind. While the morning session is described as clean, anything over 8ft is strictly for the experts, and the wind is going to make it a battle. This pattern of big, bumpy surf continues for the next several days.
The real standout, the one you want to circle on the calendar, is Friday morning, July 10th. We've got a 6ft south-southeast swell, with a clean offshore breeze from the southwest. The combined energy is moderate (755), and the conditions are described as "very good." This is the pocket where everything lines up for a surfer.
Another good window opens up on Saturday morning, July 11th. It's a touch smaller at 5ft from the southeast, but a light offshore (NW) wind keeps it clean. It's not a monster, but it'll be a fun, manageable size. Then on Saturday afternoon, the wind goes glassy (NNW at 3 mph), making for silky smooth 4ft waves – perfect for a longboard or a cruiser.
After that, we hit a dead zone. From Sunday the 12th all the way through to Tuesday the 15th of July, the swells drop to knee-high and the energy is weak. There's basically nothing worth paddling out for.
But hold onto your board, because things get interesting again. Wednesday morning, July 15th sees a big pulse of swell from the south, hitting 13ft with an 11-second period. That's a heavy energy reading (3801). The wind is offshore from the southwest, making for clean faces. This is a big, powerful groundswell. At that size, it's only for experts, and with a long period like 11 seconds, it might be a bit too straight for a beach break, but it could be cooking on a reef or point. It's still a full week out, so keep an eye on it.
Then, Sunday, July 19th looks promising. A 5ft southeast swell with a very long 13-second period arrives. The morning has a light offshore (WNW at 6 mph), and the afternoon goes glassy. The energy is moderate (951). This is the kind of clean, lined-up swell that makes everything worthwhile. Again, it's a long-range forecast, so treat it as a promising possibility rather than a sure thing.
As for crowds at Blue Bay, being a reef break that's inconsistent and "sometimes" crowded, you can expect company if the surf is good, but it's not always packed.
So, to wrap it up: the best bet in the first week is Friday morning, July 10th. For the second week, keep an eye on Sunday, July 19th for what could be a glassy gem.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 13°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the S by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Tue afternoon, light winds from the SSW by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sat 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
220 | 148 | 2653 | 1873 | 2496 | 1480 | 1412 | 1594 | 2023 | 2956 | 2382 | 1768 | 1456 | 1146 | 710 | 681 | 526 | 460 | 730 | 580 | 335 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:55PM1.46m | 11:55AM1.14m | 11:35PM1.38m | 12:42PM1.19m | 00:21AM1.30m | 1:34PM1.25m | 1:18AM1.20m | 2:29PM1.33m | 2:25AM1.12m | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | 4:57AM1.05m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:36PM0.46m | 5:41AM0.19m | 5:25PM0.50m | 6:18AM0.20m | 6:23PM0.52m | 6:59AM0.22m | 7:29PM0.53m | 7:46AM0.24m | 8:44PM0.49m | 8:39AM0.27m | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:11PM0.30m | 10:38AM0.30m | |||||||
— | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | |
4:58 | — | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | 5:00 | |
mm | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 17 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | E 8 | S 14 | E 13 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | — | — | — | SE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 9 |
220 | 148 | 11 | 1162 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 3 | — | — | — | 1768 | 1456 | 109 | 710 | 681 | 526 | 460 | 730 | 580 | 335 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | — | E 8 | — | E 14 | E 13 | — | — | — | — | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | S 20 | ESE 11 | S 21 | SE 16 | SE 13 | S 15 | S 21 | S 16 |
74 | 134 | — | 11 | — | 15 | 14 | — | — | — | — | 201 | 213 | 8 | 161 | 9 | 10 | 161 | 4 | 9 | 5 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | E 11 | — | — | — | NE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 | S 15 | S 12 | S 22 | S 16 | SE 15 | S 19 | S 18 | E 15 |
10 | 23 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 134 | 7 | 6 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | — | — | SSE 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 2653 | 1873 | 2496 | 1480 | 1412 | 1594 | 2023 | 2956 | 2382 | — | — | 1146 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 0 | 124 | 296 | 296 | 238 | 166 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











