Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 27 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 11s period, S swell with 332 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.2m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 29) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 27th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what Blue Bay’s got coming your way over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be honest—it’s a slow start, and you’ll need to pick your moments.
The first few days from Sunday the 23rd of August are pretty average. A small SSE swell around 4ft, but the wind’s blowing cross-on from the ENE, making it choppy and unpleasant. Combined wave energy is moderate at 423, but conditions are poor. Monday and Tuesday (24th–25th) stay weak and messy. Tuesday afternoon does brighten a little though—a 4ft ENE swell with a light cross-off breeze from the NW cleans things up. It’s surfable, but nothing special.
The clear standout? Thursday morning the 27th of August. This is the one to circle. Swell hits 5ft from the S, period at 8 seconds, combined energy 399 (moderate), and the wind goes glassy—dead calm from the S at just 3 mph. Glassy, clean conditions on a reef break that loves that S direction, which is close to its optimum SSE. Water temp’s 64°, pretty normal for this time of year.
Friday morning the 28th is also clean with a 3ft S swell and glassy ENE breeze, but it’s smaller. The afternoon brings a long period 11-second groundswell at 3ft, but onshore wind spoils it.
Into the second week, Tuesday the 1st of September morning stands out again. A 3ft S swell with a 14-second period (proper long-period groundswell), combined energy 454 (moderate), and dead calm, glassy conditions. That’s a clean, powerful reef wave. Just keep in mind, with that long period, it might wall up and be better for intermediates and above.
Later on, Sunday the 6th of September morning offers another tidy window—3ft S swell, 12-second period, combined energy 356, with a light cross-off breeze from the NW, so clean again. The afternoon pushes to 4ft but the wind picks up, making it more borderline.
So your best bets: Thursday the 27th of August morning and Tuesday the 1st of September morning. Clean conditions, decent swell, and that reef will be working. Crowds can show up sometimes, so don’t be surprised to see a few others paddling out.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 23°C on Tue morning, min 14°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 11 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 207 | 267 | 159 | 125 | 75 | 96 | 160 | 158 | 149 | 116 | 134 | 313 | 234 | 149 | 159 | 238 | 250 | 156 | 225 | 121 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | on | glassy | cross | on | off |
High Tide | 4:58PM1.35m | 5:47AM0.94m | 5:46PM1.42m | 6:29AM1.01m | 6:27PM1.49m | 7:06AM1.09m | 7:04PM1.54m | 7:41AM1.17m | 7:40PM1.57m | 8:15AM1.25m | 8:15PM1.57m | 8:49AM1.32m | 8:50PM1.54m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:58PM0.39m | 11:07AM0.50m | 00:37AM0.32m | 11:56AM0.43m | 1:11AM0.24m | 12:39PM0.37m | 1:43AM0.18m | 1:19PM0.32m | 2:14AM0.13m | 1:59PM0.28m | 2:44AM0.10m | 2:39PM0.26m | 3:14AM0.10m | |||||||
 |  | | |  |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — |
 | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 23 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 7 | S 10 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 |
| kJ | 207 | 267 | 159 | 125 | 75 | 96 | 29 | 158 | 149 | 116 | 78 | 313 | 234 | 120 | 159 | 238 | 250 | 156 | 225 | 121 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | E 14 | ENE 5 | S 16 | NE 9 | S 10 | S 16 | S 9 | S 16 | S 11 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 8 | NE 5 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 196 | 4 | 33 | 46 | 20 | 47 | 19 | 15 | 42 | 21 | 10 | 67 | 54 | 113 | 76 | 61 | 38 | 62 | 65 | 61 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ENE 8 | E 13 | S 18 | S 16 | — | S 16 | S 9 | — | — | S 16 | S 15 | S 11 | SSE 13 | S 13 | ENE 8 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 4 |
| kJ | — | — | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21 | — | 46 | 6 | — | — | 19 | 39 | 149 | 55 | 29 | 35 | 21 | 2 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | ENE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | NNW 2 | ENE 7 | NW 3 | W 2 | S 4 | S 7 | — | — | NE 3 | — | ENE 8 | — | S 4 | S 4 | — |
| kJ | 20 | 46 | 50 | 68 | 65 | 1 | 160 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 134 | — | — | 3 | — | 75 | — | 12 | 12 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 26 | 26 | 0 | 171 | 26 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 11 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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