Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SSE swell with 2,992 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 2.0m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 1.0m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s talk about Blue Bay in feet and miles per hour.
The big picture is a long stretch of solid, heavy swell, but the wind is gonna fight us for a lot of it. Right off the bat, we’re hit with a serious pulse, the combined energy is a massive 3116 – that’s some strong juice. But that 35 mph southerly wind is gonna just chop it all up. Not pretty.
Water temp is about 66°F, which is average for this time of year, so you’ll be in a spring suit.
The first real hope comes in from Wednesday the 8th through Friday the 10th. The swell settles into a fun 6 to 8 feet range from the SSE, and the wind finally gets right – offshore or clean cross-off. The energy is still solid, around 873 on Thursday morning. Those mornings are gonna be glassy and clean. That’s your best bet for a nice, stress-free session in the first week.
Then we hit a flat spell. From Sunday the 12th through Wednesday the 15th, the swell just disappears, with energy readings dropping to 67 and then down to 6. A proper dead period.
But hold on, because the second week is wild. Starting Thursday the 16th through Monday the 20th, another huge swell arrives, even bigger. We’re seeing 10 to 12 feet of SSE groundswell.
Now, the absolute standout moment is Friday, July 17th, in the afternoon. That’s a monster. You’ve got a 12-foot swell from the SSE with a proper deep-ocean period of 16 seconds. The combined energy rockets to 5218. That is a very, very long period groundswell. For a reef break like Blue Bay, that’s going to mean long, powerful, hollow bombs. The wind is just a light cross-onshore at 10 mph, which at that size is fine. This is for experts only – over 8 feet and that period makes it a serious, heavy-water day. Watch out for the long lulls between sets.
The pick overall is that Friday afternoon, July 17th. It’s a promise of something truly special, but it’s far out, so keep an eye on it. For the most reliable, fun, and clean waves, aim for Thursday morning, July 9th.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sun 12 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2541 | 1765 | 1658 | 1868 | 2349 | 2992 | 2330 | 1630 | 1340 | 1010 | 639 | 668 | 538 | 456 | 517 | 450 | 225 | 226 | 135 | 66 | 94 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 11:35PM1.38m | 12:42PM1.19m | 00:21AM1.30m | 1:34PM1.25m | 1:18AM1.20m | 2:29PM1.33m | 2:25AM1.12m | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | 4:57AM1.05m | 5:23PM1.64m | 6:06AM1.07m | 6:19PM1.74m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:18AM0.20m | 6:23PM0.52m | 6:59AM0.22m | 7:29PM0.53m | 7:46AM0.24m | 8:44PM0.49m | 8:39AM0.27m | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:11PM0.30m | 10:38AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.17m | 11:38AM0.29m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | |  |  |  |  | |  | |
 | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — |
 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 |
mm | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | E 14 | E 14 | — | SE 14 | — | S 16 | ESE 13 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | SSE 8 | ESE 10 |
| kJ | 14 | 16 | 14 | — | 301 | — | 20 | 342 | 1340 | 1010 | 639 | 668 | 538 | 456 | 517 | 450 | 225 | 156 | 135 | 47 | 94 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 14 | E 14 | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | S 16 | SE 13 | S 19 | ESE 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 9 | ESE 9 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | — | 15 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | 249 | 69 | 190 | 39 | 5 | 63 | 7 | 41 | 210 | 226 | 67 | 61 | 26 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | S 18 | S 17 | S 20 | S 19 | S 14 | S 21 | S 16 | S 15 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | S 16 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 81 | 66 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 3 | W 3 | — | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 |
| kJ | 2541 | 1765 | 1658 | 1868 | 2349 | 2992 | 2330 | 1630 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | 5 | 25 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 296 | 296 | 292 | 166 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Blue Bay surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Nearest