Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a good, long look at what’s on offer for Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow burner, but there are a few windows that could be worth paddling out for.

The first bit of decent surf shows up on Friday the 4th of September. We’ve got a clean 4ft swell rolling in from the south, with a nice 12-second period, and the wind is glassy from the north-northeast. This is the standout session of the entire forecast. The water is sitting right around the seasonal average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The energy is solid (469), and conditions look prime for a reef break like this. Just keep in mind Blue Bay is inconsistent, and it can get a bit crowded sometimes, but early on a Friday morning, you might beat the rush.

After that Friday morning gold, things fall apart quickly. The wind swings hard onshore in the afternoon, and the swell drops. The rest of the weekend and into the start of the following week is pretty grim. You get a few glassy mornings on the 7th and 9th, but the swell is small and weak, with short periods. The energy is low (around 181 to 240), and the waves are just too ordinary to get excited about.

There’s a big spike in swell size around the 10th and 11th of September, with the swell hitting 10ft and the energy absolutely thumping (2172 to 4503). But don’t get your hopes up for a paddle. The wind is howling cross-shore, and the conditions are messy. For a reef break, 10ft of south swell with that kind of wind is a washing machine. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a surfers’ paradise. The period is short to moderate, so it’s not holding its shape well.

The next possible window comes on the morning of Saturday the 12th of September. The swell has dropped to a comfortable 5ft, still from the south, with a lovely 12-second period, and the wind is light and cross-offshore from the southwest. The energy is still moderate (648), and the waves should be clean. This is a solid second-best option, but it’s not the power of that first Friday.

From the 13th onward, it’s a long, slow decline. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-shore, the swell keeps fading, and by the 15th, you’re looking at tiny waves. There’s a few clean mornings with offshore winds on the 15th and 16th, but the swell is just too small to get a proper ride. The end of the run, around the 18th and 19th, gets wild again with big swell and near gale-force winds, but it’s a messy, blown-out affair.

So, to wrap it up: Friday morning the 4th of September is your best bet by a long shot. Glassy, clean, and a nice 4ft groundswell from the south. If you miss that, the morning of the 12th of September is the next best, with 5ft and clean conditions. Don’t bother with the big stuff in between unless you’re kiting.

Rusty.

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