Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 9s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, S swell with 2,920 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 9s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s coming our way for Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks.
The honest truth is, this forecast is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of mostly poor to marginal conditions, with only a few very brief windows where things come together. The first few days are a write-off, with strong winds and messy, bumpy surf. It’s not until the morning of Thursday the 10th that we see something that might get you out of bed, but even that comes with a big caveat.
The standout moment, and the one you should really circle, is the morning of Saturday the 12th. On that morning, we’ve got a 5ft south swell with a 10-second period, and the wind is completely glassy – off the charts clean. The water is sitting at 66°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there. The wave energy is moderate (577), and for a spot that’s normally inconsistent, this is a rare chance at some clean, fun waves. The swell direction is S, which is close to the optimum SSE for Blue Bay, so it should wrap in okay. Just be aware that crowds are possible here, and with conditions this good, you won’t be alone.
The rest of the run is grim. Thursday the 10th morning has a bigger 10ft south swell (1630 energy), but it’s a tricky one – the wind is cross-off and clean, but the height is pushing into expert territory, and the report flags it as marginal. The swell period is 10 seconds, so it’s not a long-period groundswell that would really suit this reef. After that, the wind turns onshore and the sizes drop off fast. The second week of the outlook is quiet, with tiny waves and poor wind, though the morning of Saturday the 19th has a tiny 1ft, 18-second period swell with clean cross-off wind – that’s a long-period groundswell, but it’s so small it’s barely a ripple. The morning of Sunday the 20th offers a brief glassy moment with 4ft, but it’s short-period and ordinary.
So, to put it plainly: if you’ve got a flexible schedule, aim for Saturday morning the 12th. That’s your best bet. The rest of the 16 days is mostly a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 13°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the NE by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1183 | 603 | 477 | 165 | 800 | 2920 | 1495 | 1688 | 1520 | 1047 | 783 | 471 | 441 | 439 | 194 | 161 | 164 | 98 | 175 | 169 | 81 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | 8:44AM1.46m | 8:54PM1.50m | 9:21AM1.49m | 9:34PM1.38m | 9:57AM1.49m | 10:13PM1.25m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:28AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.28m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | 2:47PM0.17m | 3:07AM0.11m | 3:31PM0.19m | 3:39AM0.19m | 4:15PM0.24m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 23 |
Feels °C | 10 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 17 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | SE 10 | S 22 | SSE 22 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | NE 6 | S 12 | S 12 | NE 5 |
| kJ | 8 | 603 | 477 | 165 | 17 | 47 | 25 | 348 | 48 | 1047 | 783 | 471 | 441 | 439 | 194 | 161 | 164 | 47 | 175 | 169 | 30 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 10 | E 10 | SE 7 | E 9 | S 25 | SSE 23 | SE 9 | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | E 13 | SSE 19 | S 18 | S 20 | NE 4 | S 15 | S 10 | NE 6 | ENE 12 | S 11 |
| kJ | — | 8 | 7 | 75 | 6 | 12 | 105 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 117 | 162 | 194 | 7 | 71 | 98 | 11 | 15 | 81 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 9 | E 15 | E 9 | E 17 | NE 16 | E 16 | E 9 | E 10 | S 21 | ENE 14 | E 9 | ENE 14 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 | S 17 | ENE 13 | S 13 | ENE 13 | — | E 12 |
| kJ | — | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 2 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 91 | 17 | 56 | 17 | — | 12 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | — | — | NW 3 | S 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 4 | — | — | NE 4 | SW 2 |
| kJ | 1183 | — | — | 2 | 800 | 2920 | 1495 | 1688 | 1520 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 25 | 10 | 47 | — | — | 19 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 157 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 130 | 11 | 180 | 11 | 32 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 170 | 0 | 0 | 99 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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