
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, S swell with 3,405 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 7s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Sat 4th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s break down what’s coming for Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a slow start, but things get real intense later. The first proper window opens on Saturday the 4th. Blue Bay is a reef, and it’s inconsistent, so you gotta work for it. Saturday morning brings a clean 5ft swell out of the S, period of 11 seconds, with a light WNW cross-off breeze. Combined energy is moderate at 529. Water temp is about 67°, which is normal for this time of year. It’s a decent little session for an intermediate.
Sunday the 5th, we see a big jump. Swell hits 10ft from the S, period still at 11 seconds. That’s serious groundswell and the energy is pumping at 2334. But the wind is howling out of the SSW at 19 mph. It’s cross-off, so the face will be clean, but 10ft is expert territory. Only the experienced crew should be out there. Afternoon gets lumpy with a cross-shore breeze.
Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th keep that big S swell rolling, 8ft to 10ft, but the wind stays fresh and cross-shore. It’s choppy and not much fun. The energy stays well over 1000.
Mid-week, we get a bit of a break. Thursday the 9th through Saturday the 11th has smaller, cleaner options – around 5ft to 7ft, with lighter winds. Energy drops to moderate. Surfable, but nothing special.
Then we hit a flat spell. From Sunday the 12th all the way to Friday the 17th, it’s mostly tiny – under 3ft, often barely breaking. Winds are light, but there’s just no swell. A few days have offshore breezes, but with no waves, it’s a write-off.
Now, here’s the big one. Circle Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th. On Saturday afternoon, the swell jumps to 10ft out of the S, period 9 seconds, with a light offshore wind from the W. Energy is strong at 1433. That’s excellent for experienced surfers. But the real standout is Sunday the 19th morning. We’re talking a huge 16ft S swell, period of 11 seconds, with a gentle offshore breeze from the WNW. The combined energy is massive at 5928 – that’s very strong. It’s clean, powerful, and absolutely expert-only. Blue Bay is a reef, and with that size and direction, it’s going to be a serious, critical wave. This is a long-range call, so it’s promising but not certain, but if it hits, it’s the session of the fortnight.
Bottom line: skip the first few days unless you like small clean waves. Stay off the big windy days. The middle of the week is flat. Your one true standout is Sunday the 19th morning – that’s the one to chase. Just make sure you’ve got the skills.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the SSE by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
501 | 220 | 152 | 2319 | 1917 | 2119 | 1422 | 1263 | 1325 | 1569 | 2102 | 1978 | 1843 | 1532 | 1450 | 1067 | 924 | 886 | 1144 | 980 | 650 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:11AM1.10m | 10:55PM1.46m | 11:55AM1.14m | 11:35PM1.38m | 12:42PM1.19m | 00:21AM1.30m | 1:34PM1.25m | 1:18AM1.20m | 2:29PM1.33m | 2:25AM1.12m | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:36PM0.46m | 5:41AM0.19m | 5:25PM0.50m | 6:18AM0.20m | 6:23PM0.52m | 6:59AM0.22m | 7:29PM0.53m | 7:46AM0.24m | 8:44PM0.49m | 8:39AM0.27m | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:11PM0.30m | ||||||||
6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | |
— | 4:58 | — | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | E 8 | S 16 | E 13 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | — | S 17 | SE 11 | ESE 15 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 |
501 | 220 | 152 | 11 | 503 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 14 | — | 5 | 1978 | 86 | 225 | 109 | 1067 | 924 | 886 | 1144 | 980 | 650 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | S 12 | S 12 | ENE 7 | E 8 | — | E 14 | E 13 | — | — | — | S 16 | ESE 15 | S 16 | S 20 | S 23 | ESE 10 | SE 15 | — | S 20 | S 21 |
14 | 74 | 132 | 4 | 11 | — | 15 | 14 | — | — | — | 20 | 121 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 171 | — | 7 | 9 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | — | NE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 18 | S 17 | S 21 | — | — | — |
14 | 10 | 18 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 8 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | — | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 2319 | 1917 | 2119 | 1422 | 1263 | 1325 | 1569 | 2102 | — | 1843 | 1532 | 1450 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 11 | 0 | 124 | 296 | 296 | 228 | 166 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 35 | 41 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










