Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me tell you how it's looking. The only real game in town for the whole sixteen days is Blue Bay, and it's a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a run of poor conditions to start, but there’s a couple of windows that are worth getting excited about. The water temp here is sitting about average for the time of year, which is no surprise.

The first few days are a write-off. Friday the 17th through Sunday the 19th are all poor to marginal, with onshore winds and messy conditions. Swell is there but it’s not worth paddling out for. The energy is weak at first, climbing to moderate by Sunday, but the wind just ruins it.

Then we get a real treat. Monday morning, the 20th of July, is the standout. The wind goes glassy, with a clean 6ft swell from the ENE. The period is a solid 10 seconds, so there’s some good shape and power in the water. The combined energy is moderate (791), and with the offshore wind, it’s going to be smooth. This is the one to circle on your calendar.

Tuesday morning the 21st is also a good option, with clean 5ft waves and glassy conditions, but the energy is a bit lower (438). Still a fun session.

Things drop off again through the middle of the week. Thursday the 23rd afternoon has a clean 3ft wave with offshore wind, but it’s small and weak, so only worth it if you’re desperate.

Then we get a big pulse from the south. Friday the 24th of July sees a solid 10ft swell roll in, but the wind is cross-off and the conditions are described as marginal. The energy is very strong (2068), but at that size, it’s for experts only. Saturday morning the 25th is cleaner with 6ft and offshore wind, offering a better shaped wave.

Sunday the 26th morning brings another big 8ft swell from the south, with strong energy (2001) and clean cross-off wind. Again, this is a powerful, expert-level wave.

The real long-range standout is Monday morning, the 27th of July. A 5ft SE swell with a very long period of 12 seconds, and clean cross-off wind. The energy is strong (826) and the quality should be excellent. This is a promising one, but it’s a week and a half out, so keep an eye on it.

After that, it’s a slow fade into smaller, less clean conditions through the end of the month and into August. The wave energy drops off, and the wind turns onshore again, with some lumpy, poor surf by the 31st.

So, the best on offer is Monday the 20th for a clean, user-friendly session, and Monday the 27th for a more powerful, quality groundswell if you can wait. The rest of the time, you’re better off leaving the board in the car.

Rusty.

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