
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SSE swell with 2,992 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 2.0m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 1.0m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here, and I'm lookin' at what we got for the next couple weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, but there's a few windows that'll get the stoke goin'.
Right now, things are a bit messy. The good news is we've got a solid pulse of swell rolling in, but the wind's been a bastard. We kick off on Monday, July 6th, with a thumping 9.8ft SSE swell rollin' into Blue Bay. Problem is, that's a cross-shore wind with a nasty chop, and the wave energy's intense at 1796. It's surfable for the experienced crew, but the conditions are rough. That holds through Tuesday, July 7th as the swell pushes 11.5ft and the energy jumps to 2650 (moderate to strong energy), but the wind's still howlin'. It's gonna be a heavy, lumpy mess for the most part.
Now, Wednesday, July 8th is where it starts to look a bit more appealing. The swell drops a touch to 8.2ft from the SSE, but a 9 mph cross-offshore breeze cleans it right up. You're looking at clean lines and 1972 (moderate to strong energy). For a bigger-wave intermediate, this is your call. That clean trend holds through Thursday, July 9th, with a 6.2ft SE swell (835) and light winds. It's a drop in size, but the quality is right.
The real gem, the standout, lands on Friday, July 10th. The swell holds at a friendly 5.2ft from the SE, period around 10 seconds (solid groundswell). The energy is 528 (moderate). But the winner here is that afternoon: glassy conditions, not a breath of wind. That is gonna be perfect, clean, and smooth. If you can get out there for the afternoon session, that's the best on offer for the week.
That quality keeps rolling into Saturday, July 11th with a clean 3.9ft swell (440) from the SE. Not huge, but clean and fun. After that, it drops right off. Sunday, July 12th through Wednesday, July 15th you're lookin' at a flat spell. Tiny, weak waves with barely any energy. It's a proper lull.
Then, Wednesday, July 15th sees a new pulse of swell, 8.2ft from the S, but it gets chopped up again. By Thursday, July 16th, it's back up to 11.5ft (2500 energy) from the S, but the winds are strong again. Not ideal.
Hold on though, because Saturday, July 18th looks like another potential cracker. A 6.6ft swell from the SSE, with a light offshore wind. That'll be clean and powerful (1008 energy). A morning session that day will be worth the wait for the more advanced guys.
The second week drops off again, with some small, clean options but nothing to get wild about until we see a big, short-period swell (9.8ft, 8 seconds, 1185 energy) blowin' in on Tuesday, July 21st, but with fresh offshore winds. That'll be raw, punchy, and heavy, definitely expert territory. It's a long-range call, so keep an eye on it.
So, for this region, the standout is Friday afternoon, July 10th. Get on it. The crowds are *sometimes* a problem at Blue Bay, but on a glassy afternoon like that, it'll be worth the company.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sun 12 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2541 | 1765 | 1658 | 1868 | 2349 | 2992 | 2330 | 1630 | 1340 | 1010 | 639 | 668 | 538 | 456 | 517 | 450 | 225 | 226 | 135 | 66 | 94 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 11:35PM1.38m | 12:42PM1.19m | 00:21AM1.30m | 1:34PM1.25m | 1:18AM1.20m | 2:29PM1.33m | 2:25AM1.12m | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | 4:57AM1.05m | 5:23PM1.64m | 6:06AM1.07m | 6:19PM1.74m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:18AM0.20m | 6:23PM0.52m | 6:59AM0.22m | 7:29PM0.53m | 7:46AM0.24m | 8:44PM0.49m | 8:39AM0.27m | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:11PM0.30m | 10:38AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.17m | 11:38AM0.29m | ||||||||
— | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | |
— | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | |
mm | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | E 14 | E 14 | — | SE 14 | — | S 16 | ESE 13 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | SSE 8 | ESE 10 |
14 | 16 | 14 | — | 301 | — | 20 | 342 | 1340 | 1010 | 639 | 668 | 538 | 456 | 517 | 450 | 225 | 156 | 135 | 47 | 94 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 14 | E 14 | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | S 16 | SE 13 | S 19 | ESE 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 9 | ESE 9 | SSE 8 |
— | 15 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | 249 | 69 | 190 | 39 | 5 | 63 | 7 | 41 | 210 | 226 | 67 | 61 | 26 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | S 18 | S 17 | S 20 | S 19 | S 14 | S 21 | S 16 | S 15 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | S 16 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 81 | 66 | 5 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 3 | W 3 | — | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 |
2541 | 1765 | 1658 | 1868 | 2349 | 2992 | 2330 | 1630 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | 5 | 25 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 296 | 238 | 166 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 130 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











