Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 12 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
18.9° C
0.5° 

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with 1,406 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 16th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 8s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 16th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 8s
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 15th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

The outlook is a long, quiet stretch. The first real surf worth talking about doesn’t arrive until Wednesday, July 15th. Before that, Monday and Tuesday are flat out—don’t even bother.

The best call by far is Wednesday morning, July 15th, at Blue Bay. You’ve got a 8ft swell from the south, with a 10-second period. The combined energy is strong at 2297, so there’s some serious juice. Winds are cross-off from the southwest, so the surface should be clean. But this is a reef break that’s inconsistent and rarely breaks, so it’s a gamble. At this size, it’s only for experts—beginners stay out. The afternoon drops to 8ft from the south, but the wind turns cross-shore and gets choppier, so the morning is the one.

Thursday July 16th has 6-6ft south swell, but the period drops to 8 seconds, and the energy drops to around 449-467. Winds are still cross-off but stronger, with a fresh breeze in the afternoon. It’s surfable, but not as good.

From Friday July 17th onward, we’re in a long decline. Most days show waves under 3ft, with onshore or cross-shore winds, showers, and poor conditions. There’s a small clean window on Monday July 20th morning—a 5ft east-northeast swell with a 10-second period, and light offshore wind from the west-northwest. That’s clean but small, with energy at 415. Not a standout, just a “maybe.”

The water temp is about average for this time of year.

A heads-up: on Wednesday morning, that 8ft swell with a 10-second period might be a bit fat at this reef, but it’s your best bet. Crowds are only *sometimes* an issue at Blue Bay, so you might get lucky. But remember, this spot is inconsistent—it doesn’t break often.

The last few days, from July 24th to 28th, are tiny—1.0ft to 3ft—with some clean moments but nothing worth paddling out for.

The one true standout: Wednesday July 15th morning at Blue Bay. That’s your shot.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sun
19
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SE
9
0.2
S
11
0.2
ESE
8
0.1
E
10
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
13
0.1
E
10
2.5
S
10
2.4
S
11
1.5
S
8
1.8
S
8
1.9
S
8
1.6
SSE
7
1
S
7
0.8
S
6
0.8
S
8
0.9
E
8
1
E
8
1.1
E
8
1.2
E
9
1.2
ENE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
21
10
7
2
9
13
2
1353
1271
317
432
447
261
88
48
78
92
110
138
230
238
Wind (km/h)
25
WNW
20
WNW
15
NW
20
WNW
20
WNW
5
SW
15
SW
20
SSW
20
S
15
SW
25
SW
30
SSW
15
S
15
SSE
25
SSE
15
SSE
10
S
10
SE
15
E
10
E
10
NE
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
High Tide
7:08AM1.11m
7:13PM1.82m
8:03AM1.14m
8:04PM1.86m
8:55AM1.18m
8:54PM1.85m
9:44AM1.21m
9:42PM1.79m
10:32AM1.23m
10:29PM1.67m
11:20AM1.25m
11:15PM1.51m
12:09PM1.27m
Low Tide
1:13AM0.06m
12:36PM0.26m
2:06AM-0.02m
1:30PM0.24m
2:56AM-0.06m
2:23PM0.23m
3:43AM-0.06m
3:15PM0.24m
4:28AM-0.02m
4:07PM0.28m
5:10AM0.04m
5:01PM0.35m
5:51AM0.13m
5:59PM0.42m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:04
5:05
5:05
5:06
 mm
1
9
3
1
4
1
Temp °C
11
18
19
13
19
20
14
15
15
15
15
16
16
16
16
16
17
17
16
17
17
Feels °C
5
13
14
8
16
17
10
9
10
12
9
11
12
12
12
13
15
15
14
15
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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