Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 12s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NE swell with 862 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here. Let's break down the next couple weeks for Blue Bay. It's a slow start, no two ways about it. We've got a long stretch of small, weak stuff before things finally wake up in the second week. Water temp is 64°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.
The first few days are basically a write-off. Wednesday and Thursday mornings have some knee-high dribble, but the energy is weak (39 and 50) and it's just not doing anything. Winds are offshore or glassy, which is a tease, but with no swell to work with, it's pointless. You're looking at a solid 4-5 day gap where the board stays in the car.
We get a little bump on Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th. Friday morning has 3ft of south swell at 9 seconds with light offshore wind, but it's nothing special. Saturday morning is glassy with 3ft of short-period south swell, but again, it lacks the punch. You might get a few, but it's a grinder.
Monday the 10th brings a bigger pulse – 5ft of east-northeast swell with a strong 421 energy reading. That's the most power we see, but the wind is a strong cross-offshore at 35 km/h, which is going to make it lumpy. The direction is also wrong for this spot, which wants that south-southeast angle. The afternoon drops to 3ft but the wind goes fully offshore, though the energy fades.
Then we have our clear winner. Tuesday the 11th afternoon. A 3ft south swell at 12 seconds rolls in, and with a moderate offshore wind from the west, Blue Bay will finally have some proper lines. The energy is solid at 294. That's your session.
Wednesday the 12th morning still has some size, but the wind is cranking offshore at 40 km/h, making it a bit hairy. The standout is definitely Tuesday afternoon.
We get one more good window on Friday the 14th morning. 4ft of south swell at 10 seconds, with a strong 486 energy reading. Light cross-offshore breeze means it should be clean, but the shorter period might make it a bit uneven. Still, it's worth a look.
After that, it's done. The rest of the second week is small and weak. So, mark your calendar for Tuesday the 11th afternoon, and keep an eye on Friday the 14th morning. The rest? Go fish.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the WNW by Mon morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 9 | E 8 | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 12 | ENE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 31 | 27 | 22 | 45 | 109 | 99 | 110 | 113 | 48 | 68 | 41 | 63 | 134 | 123 | 394 | 413 | 176 | 73 | 49 | 235 | 77 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | on | off | off | on | off | off | cross-on | off | glassy | on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 12:52PM1.35m | 00:56AM1.12m | 1:51PM1.39m | 2:10AM1.03m | 2:58PM1.44m | 3:35AM0.98m | 4:06PM1.52m | 4:56AM1.00m | 5:11PM1.61m | 6:03AM1.06m | 6:09PM1.71m | 6:59AM1.13m | 7:01PM1.78m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:10PM0.45m | 7:05AM0.31m | 8:28PM0.44m | 8:05AM0.36m | 9:50PM0.38m | 9:15AM0.39m | 11:05PM0.28m | 10:25AM0.38m | 00:08AM0.16m | 11:31AM0.33m | 1:02AM0.07m | 12:29PM0.27m | 1:49AM-0.00m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — |
 | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 18 | 18 | 13 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 5 | E 9 | SSW 4 | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | ENE 7 | S 8 | S 8 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 13 | S 12 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 17 | 27 | 11 | 45 | 109 | 99 | 110 | 113 | 41 | 68 | 41 | 63 | 134 | 123 | 6 | 413 | 176 | 73 | 334 | 235 | 77 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SSW 5 | E 8 | SSW 5 | E 11 | SSE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | E 8 | S 7 | S 6 | S 6 | E 14 | NNE 5 | S 13 | SSW 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | S 9 |
| kJ | 31 | 8 | 22 | 8 | 21 | 19 | 16 | 20 | 48 | 44 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 49 | 56 | 54 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | E 8 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SE 12 | E 12 | S 8 | ENE 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 13 | S 13 | S 13 | E 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 |
| kJ | 8 | 6 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 35 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 40 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | — | W 3 | — | — | NNE 3 | WNW 2 | — | — | — | ENE 7 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | ENE 8 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | W 4 | WNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 |
| kJ | 2 | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 18 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 394 | 65 | 69 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 170 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 233 | 112 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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