Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 12s period, S swell with 1,321 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 11s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.2m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here, peering at the coming swell window for Blue Bay. We’ve got a mixed bag on the way, but there are definitely a couple of sessions that will have you grinning ear to ear. The water temp is sittin' right around average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first real standout lands on Monday the 20th in the morning. Blue Bay is waking up to clean conditions with the wind going dead glassy. We’ve got a solid 6ft swell from the East-North-East with a nice 11-second period, and it’s packing moderate energy (1052). That combo is going to produce some clean, lined-up walls. This is the pick of the first week, without a doubt. The reef will handle that longer period swell well.
After that, the surf dips a bit through the middle of the week, with smaller, choppier days, but keep your eyes peeled for Sunday the 26th morning. That’s another cracker. A new 7ft groundswell from the South, with a long 12-second period, rolls in. The energy jumps right up to strong (1117), and with a gentle offshore wind, it’s going to be clean and powerful. The longer period means these waves will have plenty of push and shape, typical of a solid groundswell for Blue Bay – just watch for a longer lull between sets.
It’s also worth a mention that Saturday the 1st of August shows a chunky 7ft South swell, but the cross-shore wind will introduce a bit of chop, making it less perfect than the Sunday session before it. Overall, Monday the 20th morning is your go-to for clean, glassy perfection, and Sunday the 26th morning is for when you want a bit more size and grunt.
Stay stoked,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed morning, min 6°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 10 | E 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1107 | 818 | 934 | 862 | 685 | 566 | 416 | 307 | 332 | 201 | 161 | 119 | 92 | 70 | 363 | 513 | 417 | 369 | 259 | 350 | 660 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | on | off | off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:09PM1.27m | 00:01AM1.34m | 12:59PM1.28m | 00:51AM1.17m | 1:51PM1.29m | 1:47AM1.03m | 2:45PM1.31m | 2:54AM0.93m | 3:41PM1.32m | 4:07AM0.89m | 4:36PM1.36m | 5:13AM0.89m | 5:26PM1.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:59PM0.42m | 6:30AM0.22m | 7:01PM0.48m | 7:10AM0.31m | 8:11PM0.52m | 7:53AM0.39m | 9:27PM0.53m | 8:42AM0.45m | 10:38PM0.50m | 9:37AM0.49m | 11:38PM0.44m | 10:34AM0.49m | 00:26AM0.38m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 18 | 13 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 10 | E 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 |
| kJ | 1107 | 818 | 934 | 862 | 685 | 566 | 416 | 307 | 332 | 201 | 161 | 119 | 92 | 70 | 43 | 513 | 417 | 369 | 259 | 350 | 660 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | S 16 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 17 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 18 | S 16 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 95 | 125 | 162 | 181 | 178 | 84 | 56 | 52 | 31 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 243 | 127 | 13 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 15 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | NW 3 | — | E 9 | E 8 | SE 8 | S 16 | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | N 10 |
| kJ | 12 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | — | 14 | 13 | — | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | NE 5 | NW 2 | — | W 2 | SW 5 | SSW 6 | S 8 | — | — | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 59 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 60 | 363 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 41 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 117 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 112 | 11 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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