
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, S swell with 2,749 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Blue Bay.
First off, the week ahead is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got some solid swell pulses, but the wind is going to be a real factor, especially for the first few days. The water is sitting at 65°F – that’s pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first real chance to get wet comes on Monday morning, the 7th of September. We’re looking at a clean 5ft swell from the south, with a period of 8 seconds. The wind is glassy – almost nothing – so the surface will be looking real good. Combined wave energy is moderate at 306. Not a huge day, but it’ll be a nice, clean wave for the intermediate crew. The break is a reef, so keep that in mind.
Things build quickly after that. Tuesday morning, the 8th, sees the swell jumping to 10ft from the south, with a period of 9 seconds and a combined energy of 2430 – that’s strong wave energy. The wind is cross-shore though, so it’ll be a bit messy. This one is for the experienced surfers only; 10ft is too big for beginners.
The real standout window is shaping up for Friday, the 11th of September. The morning is looking prime: clean 10ft south swell at 10 seconds, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSW. The combined energy is massive at 3077. That’s a serious groundswell with excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The sets will be clean and powerful. The reef setup at Blue Bay should handle this swell direction well. Crowds are sometimes a problem here, so get in early.
The next big one is a long-range call, but it’s worth a mention. On Friday, the 18th of September, we’ve got a beast of a swell. The afternoon is looking exceptional: 16ft from the south, 13-second period, and offshore wind from the west. The combined energy is a whopping 7357. This is expert-only territory, but for those with the skill, it’s going to be a day to remember. The wind is moderate offshore, so it’ll be clean and powerful. This one is a true standout, but it’s a solid week and a half away, so keep an eye on the forecasts.
The morning of Saturday, the 19th, is also a good bet: 10ft from the SSE with a 12-second period, and it’s glassy. That’s a beautiful long-period groundswell, but it’ll be breaking a bit straight at the beach breaks – the reef at Blue Bay should be the better option for this one.
In between those main pulses, there are a few mornings with cleaner conditions, like the 10th and 16th of September, but the swell is either big and cross-shore or dropping off. The 16th has a 4ft south swell with a 12-second period and offshore wind – that’s a good, clean option for the intermediate surfer, with moderate wave energy (509).
Overall, the best bets are Friday the 11th and Friday the 18th, with the 19th morning as a solid backup. The rest of the period is a mix of onshore winds and messy conditions, but the standouts are real quality.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the S by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Wed afternoon, light winds from the SSW by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | SSE 10 | S 7 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
11 | 198 | 1129 | 295 | 267 | 539 | 1336 | 790 | 589 | 336 | 954 | 2749 | 1559 | 1624 | 1585 | 1752 | 1170 | 1334 | 1095 | 736 | 468 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:54PM1.49m | 4:59AM1.02m | 5:00PM1.56m | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | 8:44AM1.46m | 8:54PM1.50m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:57PM0.24m | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:28AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.28m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | 2:47PM0.17m | 3:07AM0.11m | ||||||||
6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | |
— | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 15 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | NE 6 | S 10 | S 8 | SSE 10 | E 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 |
11 | 6 | 1129 | 295 | 267 | 9 | 1087 | 790 | 589 | 336 | 17 | 48 | 39 | 23 | 8 | 1283 | 1170 | 1026 | 1095 | 736 | 468 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | S 9 | NE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 9 | E 17 | SSW 16 | S 18 | E 15 | E 15 | S 21 | E 14 | E 13 | ENE 14 | S 17 | SSE 18 |
9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 146 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 58 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 14 | 14 | 19 | 53 | 67 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | S 15 | NE 8 | NE 8 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | E 16 | S 16 | NE 16 | E 16 | E 15 | E 10 | ESE 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 14 | ENE 13 |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 17 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | S 8 | — | — | — | S 7 | S 9 | — | — | NW 3 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | S 10 | — | — | — |
71 | 198 | — | — | — | 539 | 1336 | — | — | 2 | 954 | 2749 | 1559 | 1624 | 1585 | 1752 | — | 1334 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 610 | 0 | 0 | 434 | 180 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 764 | 124 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










