Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 1,886 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 7s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at the next couple of weeks at Blue Bay.
Things start off slow, real slow. The first few days are tiny and not really worth paddling out for. The surf picks up later, but it often comes with messy or questionable conditions until we get to a couple of windows that stand out.
The main event looks to be Thursday morning the 23rd of July. This is a proper standout. We get a clean 6 ft of easterly swell running at a solid 13 seconds, which is that longer-period groundswell that carries real punch – combined swell energy is strong (1102). The kicker is the wind: glassy, just a whisper. That means the waves will be smooth, clean and lined-up. This is the best on offer for the whole outlook. Blue Bay is a reef setup, and with that long period, it should handle it beautifully, though it might be a little too much for beginners over 5 ft.
Before that, Wednesday morning the 22nd also looks promising. You get a clean 4 ft swell with offshore light wind from the west. It won’t be as big or as powerful as the 23rd, but it’s cleaner than most and a good option for intermediate surfers. Crowds are possible here sometimes.
From the 15th to the 20th, there’s actually some decent sized swell, with waves coming in around 7 ft to 10 ft on Wednesday the 15th, but the winds are mostly cross-off or onshore, and the period on that 10 ft swell is only around 9 seconds. The combined energies are strong (1192 and 1628) but the quality is just not there. It’s too messy, and the big days on the 15th and 16th are over 8 ft, so those are expert-only territory. The 19th and 20th aren’t much better with cross-shore and onshore winds.
After the 23rd, the quality starts to drop off. Friday the 24th has a decent 5 ft swell but winds go onshore. The weekend of the 25th and 26th sees more moderate sized swell with fresh winds and cross-chop, so not a good call.
The water temp at Blue Bay is 66°F with an anomaly of just +0.7°, so that’s about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.
Overall, the best session to mark your calendar for is that Thursday morning the 23rd. It’s clean, punchy, and glassy. The Wednesday before is a solid backup if you can’t wait.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Tue morning, fresh winds from the S by Thu morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 16°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 20 | S 16 | S 15 | S 9 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 9 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | E 8 | E 10 | E 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 8 | 19 | 5 | 1192 | 1628 | 544 | 620 | 625 | 248 | 89 | 57 | 133 | 127 | 171 | 364 | 770 | 917 | 598 | 533 | 555 | 482 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:04PM1.86m | 8:55AM1.18m | 8:54PM1.85m | 9:44AM1.21m | 9:42PM1.79m | 10:32AM1.23m | 10:29PM1.67m | 11:20AM1.25m | 11:15PM1.51m | 12:09PM1.27m | 00:01AM1.34m | 12:59PM1.28m | 00:51AM1.17m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:30PM0.24m | 2:56AM-0.06m | 2:23PM0.23m | 3:43AM-0.06m | 3:15PM0.24m | 4:28AM-0.02m | 4:07PM0.28m | 5:10AM0.04m | 5:01PM0.35m | 5:51AM0.13m | 5:59PM0.42m | 6:30AM0.22m | 7:01PM0.48m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  |  |  | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — |
 | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 14 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 10 | — | — | S 15 | S 18 | S 18 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | E 10 | E 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 10 | 9 | 10 | — | — | 5 | 6 | 24 | 248 | 89 | 57 | 133 | 73 | 69 | 45 | 770 | 917 | 598 | 533 | 555 | 482 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 16 | S 15 | — | — | — | S 15 | S 18 | S 17 | S 17 | ENE 7 | S 24 | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | S 9 | S 17 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 |
| kJ | 2 | 19 | 5 | — | — | — | 4 | 27 | 23 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 35 | 30 | 64 | 25 | 143 | 88 | 153 | 141 | 90 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 20 | S 12 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | E 10 | S 11 | S 18 | — | S 18 | — | SSE 18 | S 10 | S 8 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 |
| kJ | 8 | 11 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 2 | 21 | 6 | — | 6 | — | 104 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | SW 5 | S 9 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 7 | 1 | 67 | 1192 | 1628 | 544 | 620 | 625 | 30 | 40 | 47 | 90 | 127 | 171 | 364 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 229 | 366 | 52 | 37 | 41 | 30 | 83 | 83 | 11 | 37 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 84 | 124 | 41 | 41 | 99 | 26 | 81 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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