Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Issued: 3 am 05 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
19.3° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 11s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, S swell with 3,854 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 11s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Thu 9th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 11s
Best Surf 1AM (Thu 9th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 11s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sun 5th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, folks, Rusty here with a look at what Blue Bay has got cooking for us. We’re looking at a solid run of surf, but the quality and size are all over the shop.

First thing to note: the water’s sitting at about 67°, which is just a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, but nothing too wild.

The pattern kicks off with a big pulse of swell on Sunday July 5th. We’re talking a solid 12ft of south swell rolling in, with a 12-second period. That’s a proper groundswell, and the energy is pumping hard – we're looking at 3019 on the energy scale. But here’s the kicker: the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-offshore from the SSW, which should keep things reasonably clean. This is a reef break that’s inconsistent, so you’ll have to be patient for the sets, but the size and period mean the waves will have real power. This is only for experienced surfers though – 12ft is no joke.

The highlight of the whole run, the one that’s got me a bit emotional, is Thursday July 16th. The morning session is looking *exceptional*, with a 15ft south swell, 11-second period, and a light offshore wind from the WSW at just 6 mph. That’s glassy conditions for a serious, powerful reef break. The energy reading is a massive 5089. This is expert country – way too big for anyone but the most skilled. But for those guys, it’s a once-in-a-while setup. Then Friday July 17th keeps the fire burning with another big 18ft SSE groundswell, 12-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze. The energy jumps even higher to 10398. Again, experts only, but absolutely pumping.

After that massive couple of days, things taper off into the second week. We’ve got a nice run of cleaner, smaller surf from July 18th through the 20th, with 7-10ft waves and offshore winds, but it’s a slow comedown compared to the big stuff.

There’s a big gap of flat, non-surfable days right at the start – from about July 11th to the 14th it’s tiny, under 3ft, before the big swell kicks in.

So, bottom line: if you’re an expert, circle July 16th and 17th on the calendar. That’s the standout. For the rest of us, the Thursday July 9th morning session with 7ft and light winds is a much more manageable clean option.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Sun morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed morning, calm by Fri night).

Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
0
1
1
3
3
1
3
3
2
3
3
1
2
1
0
2
2
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
S
12
3
S
11
3
S
12
2.5
SSE
10
2.5
SSE
10
2.5
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SE
11
3
SE
11
2.5
SE
10
2.3
SE
10
2
SE
11
2.1
SE
10
1.9
SE
10
1.8
SE
9
1.6
SE
10
1.7
SE
10
1.6
SE
10
1.3
SE
9
1.1
SE
9
1
ESE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3008
1897
2427
1480
1412
1492
1779
2408
1978
1300
1060
986
793
653
549
442
535
496
287
190
147
Wind (km/h)
30
SSW
30
SSE
30
SSE
25
SSE
25
SSE
25
S
25
SSW
30
S
15
SSW
25
SW
25
SSW
15
SSW
15
SW
15
S
10
WSW
15
WSW
20
S
10
WSW
10
NW
15
NNE
10
NW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
11:55AM1.14m
11:35PM1.38m
12:42PM1.19m
00:21AM1.30m
1:34PM1.25m
1:18AM1.20m
2:29PM1.33m
2:25AM1.12m
3:27PM1.43m
3:41AM1.07m
4:26PM1.53m
4:57AM1.05m
5:23PM1.64m
Low Tide
5:25PM0.50m
6:18AM0.20m
6:23PM0.52m
6:59AM0.22m
7:29PM0.53m
7:46AM0.24m
8:44PM0.49m
8:39AM0.27m
10:00PM0.41m
9:38AM0.30m
11:11PM0.30m
10:38AM0.30m
00:15AM0.17m
rain showers
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:58
4:59
4:59
5:00
5:00
5:00
5:00
 mm
1
2
3
2
2
4
2
2
4
2
4
1
1
6
3
2
1
Temp °C
14
15
15
16
16
16
16
16
16
14
15
14
14
16
14
14
14
14
16
18
15
Feels °C
8
8
9
11
11
11
11
10
12
8
10
10
12
12
12
11
11
13
14
15
12
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
E
8
1.7
S
14
0.2
E
13
0.2
E
14
0.2
E
14
0.2
E
12
0.9
SE
13
0.1
S
17
0.2
S
15
2.5
SE
10
2.3
SE
10
2
SE
11
2.1
SE
10
1.9
SE
10
1.8
SE
9
1.6
SE
10
1.7
SE
10
1.6
SE
10
1.3
SE
9
1.1
SE
9
1
ESE
8
Energy kJ
11
1129
13
15
15
12
261
5
18
1300
1060
986
793
653
549
442
535
496
287
190
147
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
E
8
0.2
E
14
0.2
E
13
0.8
ESE
14
1.1
ESE
13
0.9
SSE
10
0.5
ESE
10
0.4
ESE
10
0.1
S
20
0.4
SE
14
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
18
0.1
E
15
0.3
ESE
14
0.6
ESE
11
Energy kJ
11
15
14
233
384
192
57
39
8
64
4
6
5
36
98
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
13
0.1
NE
8
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
23
0.1
S
21
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
19
0.1
S
14
0.1
S
16
0.1
SE
11
Energy kJ
13
2
4
10
9
5
7
4
5
5
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
S
12
3
S
11
3
S
12
2.5
SSE
10
2.5
SSE
10
2.5
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SE
11
3
SE
11
0.3
W
3
0.9
SSW
5
0.6
N
4
Energy kJ
3008
1897
2427
1480
1412
1492
1779
2408
1978
1
30
9
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
5
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
3
3
2
2
2
1
Distance (km)
124
296
296
238
166
11
11
41
11
11
41
0
0
11
0
9
11
0
0
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
1
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
9
7
4
4
8
7
4
5
7
5
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
2
2
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
9
7
5
5
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
6
6
5
5
4
6
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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