Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna level with you. The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag for Blue Bay. We’ve got a decent pulse of swell arriving, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The open window is this Friday the 24th, but it’s a slow start. Let’s get into it.

Friday 24th July is a write-off. The morning has a 6 ft south swell at 10 seconds, but with a cross-off 12 mph wind from the southwest, it’s messy and marginal. The afternoon is even worse with a cross-on breeze. The combined energy is moderate at 617 (morning), but the conditions are just off. It’s a frustrating tease.

Saturday 25th July is where it gets interesting. This is the standout, no doubt. The morning brings a clean 6 ft south swell (11-second period) with a light WNW cross-off breeze. The combined energy jumps to 943 (moderate), and the forecast says “very good surf conditions.” This is the best on offer. The afternoon glass off with a 5 ft south swell and 3 mph NE wind is absolute perfection. The water temp is 65°, which is about normal for this time of year.

Sunday 26th July keeps the run going, but it’s a morning-only session. A clean 6 ft south swell (11 seconds) with a gentle SW cross-off, energy at 789. The afternoon turns to cross-on crap, so get in early.

Monday 27th July has a rare, glassy morning with a 4 ft south swell. It’s small, but with zero wind, it’s a clean, fun session for the intermediates. The combined energy is weak at 249. The afternoon turns to onshore slop, so don’t bother.

From Tuesday 28th July through to Sunday 2nd August it’s mostly a flat spell or poor quality. The swell drops to 2 ft, then 1.0 ft, and the onshore winds chew it up. There’s a gap of about four days where you’re better off waxing your board than paddling out. The energy drops to single digits (17, 51, 77), so it’s dead.

Monday 3rd August and Tuesday 4th August are still poor, with a tiny 2 ft wind swell from the east. Not worth a look.

Wednesday 5th August has a bit of life again. The morning brings a 5 ft south swell (7 seconds) with a light NW cross-off breeze. The combined energy is 273 (weak), and the forecast says “good surf conditions.” It’s a short-period swell, so it’ll be a bit crumbly, but it’s clean enough for a morning paddle.

Thursday 6th August is the second standout. A 5 ft south swell (7 seconds) with a light WSW cross-off wind. The energy is moderate at 539, and the forecast again says “good surf conditions.” The morning is your window. The afternoon turns into a choppy mess.

Friday 7th August has a weird one. A 2 ft south swell, but the period is a massive 16 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell, which at a reef break like Blue Bay can be a real treat – clean, walled-up waves. The morning is glassy with a light offshore wind, and the combined energy is 379 (weak but punchy). The water is glassy. This is a sneaky good session for the experienced surfer who loves a long wait between sets.

Saturday 8th August is the last call. A 3 ft south swell with a 12-second period, glassy in the morning. Combined energy is 344 (weak). It’s a clean, small day for the log or the longboard.

Blue Bay is an inconsistent reef, so don’t expect a daily feast. The best bets are the Saturday morning (25th) and the Thursday morning (6th August). The long period Friday (7th August) is a specialist’s choice. Get out there when it’s clean.

Rusty.

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