Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period, SSE swell with 777 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.7m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. We’re looking at Blue Bay, a reef break that’s pretty exposed to the south and southeast—and it’s an inconsistent setup, so when it turns on, it’s worth paying attention to. The water temp is sitting at 64°F, which is about 0.9°F cooler than average for this time of year, so nothing drastic, just a touch fresh.
The first decent window we’ve got is actually this coming Friday morning, the 28th of August. That’s looking like the standout in the whole period. Early Friday, it’s dead glassy with a clean 6ft swell out of the SSE, period around 11 seconds, and the combined energy is sitting at 812—moderate energy but solid for the spot. That’s the one to aim for. No crowds mentioned, which is a bonus, but with it being inconsistent, you’ll want to be on it when it’s good.
Saturday morning the 29th is okay too, with 4ft from the SSE, clean conditions, and a light cross-off breeze. The energy drops to 381, so it’s not as punchy, but still worth a paddle if you missed Friday.
Sunday morning the 30th is glassy again, but the swell is only 3ft and the energy is down to 302. It’s surfable, but nothing special.
Then we hit a real dry spell. From Monday afternoon the 31st all the way through to the 6th of September, it’s mostly small, weak, and messy. Swell heights hover around 1ft to 2ft, energy is under 100 most days, and the conditions are either choppy or just not there. The period from about the 1st to the 6th is basically a write-off for decent waves.
Now, there’s a flicker of hope on Monday the 7th of September. The morning shows a 6ft swell from the south, period 9 seconds, and energy at 632. It’s clean with a cross-off breeze, but it’s marked as marginal, so tide could be a factor. If you’re keen, it’s worth checking, but it’s not a sure thing.
After that, it’s back to small and ordinary right through to the 11th. The 11th of September has a long period 20-second swell from the SSE, but only 1ft, and the energy is 253—more of a pulse than something you can ride. The Friday afternoon is choppy, so don’t get your hopes up.
Bottom line: Friday morning the 28th of August is the clear winner. Glassy, 6ft, solid SSE groundswell, and good energy. Get on it if you can. After that, it’s a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 17 | S 16 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 656 | 440 | 299 | 724 | 511 | 287 | 269 | 502 | 161 | 160 | 157 | 334 | 273 | 248 | 153 | 268 | 206 | 146 | 78 | 55 | 32 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:40PM1.57m | 8:15AM1.25m | 8:15PM1.57m | 8:49AM1.32m | 8:50PM1.54m | 9:24AM1.38m | 9:27PM1.47m | 10:01AM1.42m | 10:07PM1.38m | 10:41AM1.45m | 10:52PM1.27m | 11:26AM1.45m | 11:44PM1.14m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:19PM0.32m | 2:14AM0.13m | 1:59PM0.28m | 2:44AM0.10m | 2:39PM0.26m | 3:14AM0.10m | 3:21PM0.25m | 3:46AM0.12m | 4:05PM0.26m | 4:20AM0.17m | 4:55PM0.29m | 4:58AM0.24m | 5:52PM0.33m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — |
 | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 24 | 26 | 20 | 27 | 28 | 22 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 21 | 17 | 22 | 24 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 |
| kJ | 656 | 440 | 299 | 724 | 511 | 287 | 269 | 502 | 136 | 160 | 157 | 334 | 209 | 192 | 153 | 268 | 206 | 146 | 78 | 55 | 31 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | S 16 | S 17 | S 16 | S 16 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 41 | 35 | 41 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 83 | 103 | 161 | 117 | 86 | 83 | 273 | 248 | 121 | 22 | 38 | 18 | 33 | 31 | 32 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 14 | SSE 13 | S 14 | ENE 8 | S 11 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | NE 12 | ENE 10 | NE 5 | ENE 5 | NE 5 |
| kJ | 17 | 37 | 70 | 62 | 26 | 38 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 25 | 25 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NNE 4 | NE 4 | NW 2 | NW 3 | N 3 | NNW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 166 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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