Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. We’re lookin’ at a bit of a mixed bag for Blue Bay over the next few weeks. There’s a real quiet patch to start, then the ocean wakes up with some serious size.

Right off the bat, the water’s sittin’ at a mild 66°F, which is about what you’d expect for this time of year – no surprises there.

First up, we finally get a little pulse on Saturday the 11th for the morning session. It ain't huge, with some clean 3 ft lines from the ESE chuggin’ in at a nice long 12 seconds. The wind’s a light cross-off, so it’ll be smooth. The energy is weak (411), but for a little warm-up it’ll do. The best part? That afternoon and through Sunday and Monday, it drops right off. We’re talkin’ tiny waves under 2 ft – barely a ripple – and that flat spell lasts all the way through Monday.

Now, hold onto your board shorts. Wednesday the 15th is where it gets real. A big Southerly swell rolls in with strong energy (2666) and a solid 13 ft face. That is serious grunt. But the wind is howlin’ out of the SSW at 22 mph with rain showers. It’s messy, and that kind of size at a reef setup like Blue Bay is only for the brave. The period is a short 10 seconds, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and shallow. Not a beginner’s day.

Thursday the 16th drops a little to 8 ft from the SE, but the period is a short 7 seconds and the wind is cross-shore, so it’ll be choppy. The energy is moderate (657), but the quality is poor.

Friday the 17th – meh. 6 ft from the ESE, light cross-shore wind, but still wet with light rain. The energy (574) says there’s push, but the wave comment says it’s marginal.

Things start to clean up Saturday the 18th. The swell drops back to a manageable 5 ft from the East, period’s a mediocre 9 seconds, but the wind turns light cross-off and the sky clears. The energy is moderate (569). It’s good, but not a standout.

Sunday the 19th sees the swell bump back up to 8 ft from the East with moderate energy (2940), but the wind goes cross-on from the NE. It’s got rain and clouds, and it’s looking messy for paddling.

Now, here’s your real chance to score. Monday the 20th – this is the highlight. The morning is glassy. Completely still wind. And there’s a solid 8 ft East swell with a long 12 seconds and very strong energy (2202). This is a proper groundswell, and with those conditions, Blue Bay is going to be clean, powerful, and lined up. That’s expert territory for sure, but for those who can handle it, this is the day.

Tuesday the 21st drops a touch to 8 ft from the East (period 12s), but the wind picks up to a moderate cross-off. Energy is still strong (1577). Good, but not as perfect as Monday.

Wednesday the 22nd brings another burst of Southerly swell – 10 ft (short 9s period, very strong energy at 2927) with a fresh cross-off wind. It’s big and raw.

We close out the period with Thursday 23rd down to 7 ft from the South (9s period), moderate energy (1176) and light cross-off winds – a clean, solid day. Friday 24th stays solid with 7 ft from the SSE (9s, moderate energy at 988) and light cross-off breezes. Saturday 25th is 7 ft from the SE with 11 seconds and light cross-off – that’s a nice clean combo with moderate energy (911). And Sunday 26th rounds it out with 5 ft from the ESE (11s, moderate energy at 644) with clean offshore winds.

So, to wrap it: the first few days are a bust. The real standouts are Monday 20th for the glassy, heavy East swell, and Saturday 25th is a solid pick for cleaner, medium-sized fun.

Rusty.

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