Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, S swell with 2,441 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 03) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sat 4th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Right, listen up. Rusty here, checking the charts for Blue Bay. Things start off pretty quiet, so don't rush to grab a board just yet. There's a bit of waiting to do.
The first real surf worth a mention is on the morning of Saturday the 4th. We're looking at a small but clean 4ft S swell with a nice 11-second period. The energy is moderate (446), and the light WNW wind keeps it clean. It's a start.
Now, the real standout is going to be later on. Keep an eye on Tuesday the 14th. That morning you've got an excellent 8ft S swell rolling in, with a long 12-second period packing strong energy (1756). The wind is gentle offshore from the WNW, so you're looking at clean, powerful lines. It's a bit thick for beginners but a solid session for the intermediates. Right now, that's the one to pencil in. The crowds at Blue Bay can show up sometimes, so you might have some company on the better waves.
The week in between goes from okay to big and messy. Sunday the 5th morning sees a solid but tricky 10ft S swell with a fresh cross-offshore wind. That's expert territory at over 8ft, and the energy is very strong (2083), but the moderate period of 11 seconds and the lumpy afternoon wind will make it a handful. By Tuesday morning the 7th and Wednesday the 8th, the swell drops but stays big at 8ft, with clean winds, but the conditions are flagged as marginal. Thursday the 9th is similar, but the swell starts easing into Friday the 10th, where the 7ft morning looks cleaner with light winds.
After the Tuesday the 14th high point, it drops off. Wednesday the 15th morning still has 7ft S swell, but the wind is cranking at 19 mph, which will spoil it. By Thursday the 16th, the swell is fading and the wind is blowing a gale, making it look more like a kiteboarding day than a paddle session.
To sum up: the start is small and clean on the 4th, the middle of the month is a bit of a mixed bag of solid but tricky conditions, and the real prize is Tuesday the 14th. After that, it's a long stretch of poor, blown-out conditions leading into the third week. All the cold water here feels pretty normal for this time of year.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the S by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 23 | 22 | 418 | 257 | 205 | 2067 | 1734 | 1870 | 1212 | 1021 | 562 | 1314 | 1168 | 1358 | 1249 | 1245 | 1513 | 1243 | 1378 | 1253 | 984 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:18PM1.52m | 11:11AM1.10m | 10:55PM1.46m | 11:55AM1.14m | 11:35PM1.38m | 12:42PM1.19m | 00:21AM1.30m | 1:34PM1.25m | 1:18AM1.20m | 2:29PM1.33m | 2:25AM1.12m | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:06AM0.19m | 4:36PM0.46m | 5:41AM0.19m | 5:25PM0.50m | 6:18AM0.20m | 6:23PM0.52m | 6:59AM0.22m | 7:29PM0.53m | 7:46AM0.24m | 8:44PM0.49m | 8:39AM0.27m | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.30m | ||||||||
 |  | | |  |  | |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 |
 | 4:57 | — | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | 5:00 |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 2 |
Temp °C | 18 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 11 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | SSW 7 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | E 8 | E 13 | E 13 | E 14 | E 13 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SE 13 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 19 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 23 | 60 | 418 | 257 | 66 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 358 | 922 | 180 | 1358 | 1249 | 978 | 7 | 1243 | 1378 | 1253 | 984 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | ENE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | E 11 | ENE 7 | E 13 | E 13 | E 14 | E 14 | E 12 | S 10 | S 17 | S 15 | — | — | — | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 20 |
| kJ | 1 | 22 | 14 | 13 | 23 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 138 | 6 | 5 | — | — | — | 81 | 24 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 12 | E 13 | E 12 | ENE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 11 | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 16 | — | S 20 | — |
| kJ | 11 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | — | 8 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | W 3 | — | — | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | — | — | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 8 | 3 | — | — | 205 | 2067 | 1734 | 1870 | 1212 | 1021 | 562 | 1314 | 1168 | — | — | 1245 | 1513 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 219 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 158 | 260 | 303 | 205 | 166 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 130 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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