Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again.

Let’s be real, Blue Bay is looking pretty sleepy for the next couple of weeks, but there are a couple of windows that will fire up. Most of the time it’s flat or junky, but a solid south swell later on will break the pattern.

The first chance is Wednesday morning, August 19th. We’ve got a tiny 3-foot swell from the ESE with a short period, and the combined energy is weak at 211. But the wind is glassy from the NNW at 3 mph, so it’s clean. You could snag a couple of knee-high noodles, but it’s really just surfable waves in very ordinary conditions. Water temp is 64°F, which is about 1°F cooler than average, so no surprises there. The afternoon gets wrecked by a 12 mph cross-onshore.

From Thursday the 20th through Sunday the 23rd, it’s mostly flat or blown out. There’s a tiny clean moment on Sunday the 23rd morning, but it’s a weak 3-foot wave. Not worth the drive.

The first real standout is Thursday morning, August 27th. The swell picks up to a solid 6 feet from the south, with a period of 8 seconds and moderate energy of 420. The wind is light and clean from the WNW at 3 mph, giving us cross-offshore conditions. This is a proper intermediate session. The 6-foot is a good size, not too heavy, and the reef will handle that south swell nicely.

The absolute best session of the whole forecast is Saturday morning, August 29th. This is the one. We’ve got a strong 7-foot south swell with an 8-second period, and the combined energy is a beefy 658. The wind is offshore from the west at 16 mph. That’s the recipe for clean, hollow waves. This is expert territory at 7 feet, so it’s not for the faint of heart. The break is a reef, so it will line up well. Crowds are *sometimes* an issue here, but with this size and offshore wind, expect a full parking lot. Saturday afternoon goes to 12 feet with strong cross-shore winds, which is a kite-surfing day, not a paddle day.

Sunday the 30th and Monday the 31st are huge – 10 to 12 feet – but the strong cross-shore wind makes them a messy, dangerous mess.

Into the first week of September, it drops off. Tuesday the 1st has a 4-foot swell with light cross-onshore wind. Marginal. Wednesday the 2nd morning is glassy again with a tiny 3-foot wave. Thursday the 3rd is the same with 2-foot surf.

So here’s the call: the first week is a bust. Your best bet is Saturday morning, August 29th, for the biggest, cleanest swell of the period. Thursday morning, August 27th, is a solid backup. After that, we’re back to small stuff.

Rusty.

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