Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about Blue Bay for the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 64°F – that's about 2°F cooler than average for this time of year, so nothing too wild, just a touch nippy.

Now, here’s the deal: the start of this outlook is flat and uninspiring. The first many days are a write-off. From Monday the 14th all the way through most of the next week, it’s either tiny, short-period junk, or blown-out with onshore winds. We’re talking barely a ripple, mostly 0.7ft to 5ft of messy, choppy slop, and the combined wave energy is low – 45 to 470 (weak to low moderate). No bueno for a paddle.

Wednesday the 16th morning brings a sudden spike – a solid 12ft swell from the S, period 10 seconds, and clean conditions with a light offshore touch. The combined energy hits 2129 (strong). But that is big – over 8ft, so this one’s strictly for the experts. The afternoon gets messy with cross-shore wind and lumps up to 13ft.

Thursday the 17th morning keeps it interesting: still a chunky 10ft from the S, period 10 seconds, clean with light offshore wind, and energy at 1634 (strong). Again, big and powerful – only for the brave and the skilled. This is the standout.

Friday the 18th drops to 5ft but the cross-onshore breeze chops it up. Saturday morning the 19th has a tiny 3ft S swell, but the wind goes glassy – absolute perfection for small waves, but it’s inconsistent at Blue Bay, so you’ll wait for sets. Energy is 241 (moderate).

After that, from the 20th right through to the 29th, it’s back to small, weak, onshore-affected surf – 0.7ft to 6ft of mostly poor conditions. Winds are cross-on or onshore pretty much the whole time, with some rain toward the end. Combined energies stay under 767, often in the weak range. Nothing to get excited about.

Best bet: Thursday morning, September 17 – 10ft S swell, 10 second period, clean and offshore. That’s the only real highlight for experienced surfers. Beginners – sit this one out.

Rusty.

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