Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, Rusty here. Looking at the 16-day outlook for Blue Bay, it’s a pretty quiet stretch overall, but there’s one morning that really stands out for experienced surfers. The rest of the time, you’re mostly looking at clean waves but with very ordinary, weak energy that won’t get most people excited.

We kick off Tuesday morning the 1st with a small 3 ft south swell at 11 seconds, giving us moderate energy (292). Winds are light cross from the north, so it’s rideable but nothing special—just a marginal session. That afternoon the wind swings to a cross-offshore, dropping the swell to 3 ft, and the energy fades (240). Not worth paddling out.

Wednesday the 2nd is more of the same: 2 ft south swell with gentle cross-offshore winds, clean conditions but very ordinary. Energy is low (141). Thursday the 3rd drops further to 2 ft, and while the wind is offshore in the afternoon (77), the swell is too weak to get excited about.

Friday the 4th bumps back to 3 ft south swell, but the wind is cross-onshore and fresh from the NE (19 mph), making it choppy. Energy is moderate (255), but the conditions kill it. Saturday the 5th is small again (2 ft), clean but weak (123). Sunday the 6th has a 3 ft south swell with a 12-second period—decent period but cross-onshore wind ruins the surface.

Monday the 7th sees a jump in combined energy to 455 with a 3 ft south swell in the morning, but the wind is cross-onshore and the waves are lumpy. That afternoon the swell shifts to 5 ft from the NE at a short 7 seconds, with strong cross-offshore wind—energy is high (487), but the short period means it’s messy and not well-shaped.

Tuesday the 8th is small again (3 ft), clean but boring. Wednesday the 9th is the standout morning: 13 ft south swell at 11 seconds, glassy conditions, and a massive 3302 combined energy. This is excellent for experienced surfers only—too big for beginners. The power is huge, and with zero wind, it’ll be clean and heavy. This is the one to circle on your calendar. But that afternoon the wind goes cross-onshore, dropping quality fast.

Thursday the 10th morning has 5 ft south swell (338) but light cross-onshore wind and marginal conditions. The rest of the week fades fast: Friday the 11th drops to 1.0 ft with a long 19-second period, but that’s barely a ripple (114). Saturday the 12th through Wednesday the 16th is mostly tiny waves under 3 ft, with very weak energy (often below 100). The wind is often clean, but there’s just no swell to work with.

Overall, best bet: Wednesday morning September 9th at Blue Bay. Big 13 ft south swell, glassy, and huge energy—only for experts, but absolutely firing. Expect the spot to be inconsistent in general, so that morning is a rare treat. Winds are calm, so it’ll be perfect. The rest of the window is mostly small and weak, with a few clean but ordinary days for longboarders or beginners.

- Rusty

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