Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period, S swell with 1,127 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.7m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk surf at Blue Bay. Rusty here.
We’ve got a couple of clear winners in this 16-day stretch, but a fair bit of flatness in between. The action starts on Monday, July 20th. The morning is glassy, dead calm, and we’ve got a solid 1.9m groundswell from the ENE, with an 11-second period. The combined energy is 1052 – that’s moderate to strong. The water temp is 19°, right where it should be for this time of year. That Monday morning is the pick of the first week. Clean, punchy, and fun.
The swell fades Tuesday and Wednesday down to 1.2m to 1.5m, with shorter period and messy onshore winds. Not worth it.
Thursday the 23rd is small but clean – 0.8m, okay for a grovel. Then Friday the 24th morning brings a new south swell: 2.2m, 10-second period, combined energy 916, and a clean offshore breeze from the WSW. That’s a good one. The swell direction is south, and Blue Bay likes SSE, so it’s a little off but still works. A bit big for beginners, but fine for intermediates.
Saturday the 25th morning has a 1.5m south swell with a longer 12-second period, combined energy 642, and moderate offshore wind. Clean and lined up.
We hit a lull from the 27th through the end of the month and into early August. Waves drop below 1m, periods get short or weird, and the wind is often cross or onshore. The combined energy drops under 100, which is weak. A real flat spell.
Then on Monday, August 3rd, the ocean wakes up. A huge 4.0m south swell with a 12-second period. Combined energy is 7407 – that’s very strong. Only for experts. The morning is a little lumpy with cross-shore wind, but by afternoon the wind shifts to NNW, becoming cross-offshore, and the swell is still 3.5m with clean conditions. That’s the big one for experienced surfers.
The 4th of August sees it drop to 1.8m to 2.0m, still clean in the morning, but the wind gets cross-shore in the afternoon.
So, the standouts: Monday morning, July 20th for a clean, moderate session, and Monday, August 3rd for the big, expert-only groundswell. Blue Bay is a reef break and inconsistent, so when it’s on, it’s special. Crowds are possible on the good days.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Thu afternoon, calm by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 17 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 862 | 763 | 501 | 416 | 307 | 312 | 248 | 205 | 124 | 92 | 90 | 44 | 876 | 461 | 691 | 628 | 449 | 750 | 585 | 392 | 371 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-on | off | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:59PM1.28m | 00:51AM1.17m | 1:51PM1.29m | 1:47AM1.03m | 2:45PM1.31m | 2:54AM0.93m | 3:41PM1.32m | 4:07AM0.89m | 4:36PM1.36m | 5:13AM0.89m | 5:26PM1.40m | 6:08AM0.93m | 6:12PM1.46m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:01PM0.48m | 7:10AM0.31m | 8:11PM0.52m | 7:53AM0.39m | 9:27PM0.53m | 8:42AM0.45m | 10:38PM0.50m | 9:37AM0.49m | 11:38PM0.44m | 10:34AM0.49m | 00:26AM0.38m | 11:27AM0.47m | 1:07AM0.32m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 |
| kJ | 862 | 763 | 501 | 416 | 307 | 312 | 248 | 205 | 124 | 92 | 90 | 44 | 876 | 461 | 459 | 628 | 449 | 750 | 585 | 392 | 371 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 4 | ESE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 17 | ENE 8 | SSE 18 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 |
| kJ | 181 | 136 | 84 | 56 | 53 | 31 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 691 | 14 | 112 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 15 | SE 15 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 12 | NW 3 | — | E 9 | S 5 | S 14 | E 7 | S 22 | ENE 8 | — | ENE 8 | — | E 8 | — | — |
| kJ | 9 | 9 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 23 | — | 14 | — | 1 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NE 4 | NW 3 | — | W 2 | WSW 3 | SW 5 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 3 | 17 | 2 | — | 1 | 4 | 13 | 198 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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