
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period, S swell with 225 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.2m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – it’s a slow start. We’re looking at a real quiet spell from the beginning of August all the way through to the 16th. There’s barely a bump worth paddling for, and most days are scoring a flat zero on the surfability scale. That’s a solid two-week gap with no real recommendations. The wind is often light or offshore, but there just isn't any swell energy to work with. It’s the kind of run that’s frustrating, but it happens here.
Then, things finally get interesting. The standout window is Monday morning, the 18th of August. That’s the one you’ve been waiting for. We’ve got a solid 8ft of S swell rolling in, with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy is a massive 1111 – that’s proper power. The wind is glassy, calm, zero on the dial. It’s going to be absolutely clean. That’s the session for the experienced crew only, though – 8ft is pushing into expert territory, especially at a reef break like Blue Bay. The Tuesday afternoon following that keeps the size up around 8ft, but the wind clocks cross-on, so it’ll get a bit choppy and less inviting.
For the rest of the calendar, forget it. You get a tiny 1ft bump on the 4th, another 1ft on the 5th, but with poor wind and no energy. There’s a morning on the 6th with glassy conditions, but only 2ft of weak S swell. A couple of afternoons in the second week show a bit of a pulse, like the 13th with 4ft and offshore wind, but the energy is still moderate and the quality is just ordinary.
So, the bottom line: Blue Bay is a write-off until the 17th, and then the 18th of August is your one true standout. That Monday morning, with the S swell, clean conditions, and a reef break that handles the direction, is the best on offer. If you’re an expert and you can wait, mark that date. If you’re a beginner, give it a miss – it’ll be too big.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 7 | E 13 | E 10 | E 9 | S 5 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
254 | 87 | 25 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 27 | 17 | 36 | 89 | 132 | 79 | 108 | 48 | 199 | 78 | 42 | 101 | 103 | 116 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-on | off | off | on | off | glassy | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:09PM1.35m | 12:01PM1.32m | 11:57PM1.24m | 12:52PM1.35m | 00:56AM1.12m | 1:51PM1.39m | 2:10AM1.03m | 2:58PM1.44m | 3:35AM0.98m | 4:06PM1.52m | 4:56AM1.00m | 5:11PM1.61m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:08PM0.40m | 5:35AM0.19m | 6:03PM0.43m | 6:16AM0.25m | 7:10PM0.45m | 7:05AM0.31m | 8:28PM0.44m | 8:05AM0.36m | 9:50PM0.38m | 9:15AM0.39m | 11:05PM0.28m | 10:25AM0.38m | 00:08AM0.16m | |||||||
— | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | |
5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 13 |
Feels °C | 17 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSW 5 | S 6 | E 7 | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | S 5 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 6 | S 8 | S 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 |
254 | 87 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 89 | 132 | 79 | 108 | 19 | 199 | 78 | 42 | 101 | 103 | 116 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 15 | NE 5 | SE 10 | ESE 7 | E 11 | E 10 | E 9 | E 8 | S 6 | E 11 | E 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 7 | SSE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 |
4 | 5 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 28 | 16 | 48 | 22 | 31 | 25 | 35 | 31 | 9 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | NNW 3 | ESE 7 | SSE 10 | E 13 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | E 8 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SE 9 | E 10 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | SE 9 | SSE 9 | E 14 | E 14 | N 4 |
5 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 22 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 3 | WNW 3 | — | — | SW 4 | W 3 | — | W 3 | — | — | N 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | NW 3 | NW 3 | W 3 |
5 | 1 | — | — | 12 | 1 | — | 3 | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | 2 | 9 | 5 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 0 | 9 | 349 | 219 | 8 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 26 | 8 | 110 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Latest Updates
Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











