Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 25 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 11s period, S swell with 493 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 25 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.4m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Tue 25th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Tue 25th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, gang, Rusty here again, same spot, different units. Let’s break down Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks.
Water temp is sitting at 64°F, about what you’d expect for this time of year. The first few days are a total dud—don’t even bother paddling out until later in the week.
First real chance comes Friday morning, August 28. Glassy conditions, wind from the NNE at just 6 mph, and a 4ft swell from the S with a 10-second period. Combined energy is moderate at 360. This is the standout early on—clean, fun, intermediate-friendly. Just remember this break is inconsistent, and crowds are possible.
Now, the big one on the horizon is Tuesday morning, September 8. Offshore wind from the WSW at 9 mph, glassy, and a solid 4ft S swell with a 12-second period. Energy jumps to 416. That’s the best wave of the whole outlook, but it’s two weeks away, so keep one eye on it.
Aside from those two windows, it’s pretty quiet. A small clean window on Saturday morning, August 29 with a 3ft swell, but nothing special. The stretch from August 31 to September 7 is mostly flat or weak.
Your best bets: Friday August 28 morning and the long-range promise of Tuesday September 8 morning.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 23°C on Tue morning, min 14°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 6 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 13 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 8 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 156 | 123 | 87 | 226 | 169 | 158 | 109 | 78 | 217 | 295 | 203 | 155 | 305 | 127 | 151 | 179 | 201 | 181 | 83 | 62 | 49 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | glassy | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | glassy | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:46PM1.42m | 6:29AM1.01m | 6:27PM1.49m | 7:06AM1.09m | 7:04PM1.54m | 7:41AM1.17m | 7:40PM1.57m | 8:15AM1.25m | 8:15PM1.57m | 8:49AM1.32m | 8:50PM1.54m | 9:24AM1.38m | 9:27PM1.47m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:07AM0.50m | 00:37AM0.32m | 11:56AM0.43m | 1:11AM0.24m | 12:39PM0.37m | 1:43AM0.18m | 1:19PM0.32m | 2:14AM0.13m | 1:59PM0.28m | 2:44AM0.10m | 2:39PM0.26m | 3:14AM0.10m | 3:21PM0.25m | 3:46AM0.12m | |||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — |
 | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | 11 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 19 | 17 | 23 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 15 | 15 | 14 | 20 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 7 | S 10 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 8 | SE 8 |
| kJ | 156 | 123 | 73 | 117 | 29 | 158 | 109 | 78 | 54 | 295 | 203 | 120 | 305 | 127 | 151 | 179 | 201 | 181 | 83 | 62 | 34 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 5 | — | NE 9 | S 10 | S 16 | S 9 | NNW 3 | S 15 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 13 | ENE 8 | SE 11 | S 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 30 | — | 21 | 47 | 19 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 54 | 34 | 155 | 38 | 96 | 31 | 27 | 42 | 44 | 42 | 45 | 49 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | E 13 | S 18 | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | — | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | ENE 9 | S 15 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 16 | S 9 | S 9 | ENE 4 |
| kJ | 12 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 43 | 47 | 19 | — | 5 | 17 | 37 | 59 | 17 | 36 | 35 | 20 | 17 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | NW 2 | WSW 2 | S 5 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 |
| kJ | 40 | 68 | 87 | 226 | 169 | 1 | 1 | 87 | 217 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 221 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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