Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 12s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 11s period, S swell with 1,001 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, it's Rusty here. Let's have a look at the surf for Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we're in a bit of a slow patch. The first few days of the forecast are flat and not worth a paddle. Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th offer nothing but tiny, weak swell with very poor wave quality. You're better off taking a few days off the water.
The first real glimmer of hope arrives on Thursday the 30th of July. The morning session is the standout of the early period. We've got a solid 5ft south swell rolling in, with a moderate combined wave energy of 693. The wind is a light cross-offshore, keeping the surface clean. This is the best bet of the first week, offering some proper waves for intermediate surfers. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Friday the 31st of July morning is also looking solid, with a similar 6ft south swell and even more energy (763). The light cross-offshore wind will have it looking clean again. The afternoon sees the wind shift and the quality drops off a bit, so get it early.
Saturday the 1st of August morning is worth a look too, with the same 5ft south swell and a near-glassy light breeze. It’s a bit more consistent than the earlier days but still a solid option.
Sunday the 2nd of August morning has a nice long-period 4ft SSE groundswell with a very long 14-second period. The wave energy is pumping at 758, but that long period means it might wrap a bit better around the reef than a beach break. The wind is perfect, light and cross-off, so it'll be clean.
After that, we hit another dry spell. From Monday the 3rd of August right through to the end of the forecast, the surf drops off significantly. There are a few mornings with small, weak swell and clean conditions, but the wave heights are tiny and the energy is low. You'll see some 2ft to 4ft days, but the quality is poor or ordinary, and the swell direction isn't doing Blue Bay any favours. It's a long stretch of flat to marginal conditions, with no real standouts.
The best of the best is definitely the Thursday the 30th of July morning, with the Friday the 31st of July and Sunday the 2nd of August mornings also being solid. After that, put the board away for a while.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 15 | S 17 | S 16 | S 14 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 112 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 23 | 20 | 4 | 464 | 383 | 1001 | 755 | 883 | 668 | 499 | 454 | 358 | 480 | 943 | 500 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 7:33AM1.02m | 7:32PM1.57m | 8:10AM1.07m | 8:08PM1.60m | 8:46AM1.11m | 8:43PM1.60m | 9:22AM1.16m | 9:17PM1.58m | 9:58AM1.20m | 9:52PM1.53m | 10:36AM1.25m | 10:28PM1.45m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:44AM0.26m | 12:57PM0.39m | 2:19AM0.21m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:52AM0.17m | 2:16PM0.34m | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.34m | 3:55AM0.13m | 3:36PM0.35m | 4:26AM0.13m | 4:19PM0.37m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | |  |  |  | | | | | |
 | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 20 | 20 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 16 |
Feels °C | 14 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 |
| kJ | 112 | 41 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 464 | 383 | 1001 | 755 | 883 | 668 | 499 | 454 | 358 | 275 | 943 | 500 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 16 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | S 17 | S 16 | S 14 | S 12 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SSE 14 | SSE 14 | SSE 14 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 10 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 23 | 20 | 4 | 228 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 229 | 480 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | NNE 3 | SE 15 | S 15 | SE 6 | S 7 | E 13 | NE 6 | E 12 | — | E 13 | E 13 | SSE 15 | E 12 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 9 | E 17 | E 16 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 3 | — | NNW 3 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | WSW 4 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 |
| kJ | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 19 | 95 | 229 | 229 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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