Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at the outlook for Blue Bay.

This is a pretty quiet stretch overall. The first week is mostly a write-off with poor surf and strong, messy winds. There’s a bit of a pulse mid-month, but it’s all pretty marginal. The real standout comes later, in the second week, when we get a run of cleaner, more manageable waves.

We start off on Tuesday, July 14th with tiny, clean conditions but barely a ripple – 0.3ft to 0.7ft from the south with a long period but no power at all. That’s a no-go, just a morning paddle at best.

Wednesday July 15th sees a jump in size, but it’s a rough one. A solid 8.2ft to 9.8ft southerly swell rolls in, with moderate wave energy (949 to 1570), but the wind is a cross-offshore breeze that’s too strong at 15 mph. The setup looks messy, more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It’s really only for the experts if anyone’s mad enough to try.

The rest of that week and into the weekend is poor. Onshore and cross-shore winds, rain showers, and lumpy conditions. The swell drops to 3.3ft on Friday 17th, then picks up again to 4.9ft–6.6ft over the weekend but with cross-onshore wind and chop. Monday July 20th has onshore wind and a 5.6ft easterly, but it’s still not good.

Then, finally, something worth waking up for. Tuesday July 21st, the morning brings a clean glass-off: barely a breath of wind from the west-southwest, 4.6ft of east-northeast swell with a 10-second period, and moderate wave energy (421). The wind is light offshore, the surface is clean. This is the best on offer in the whole outlook. Blue Bay is a reef break that’s inconsistent, but when it lines up like this, it’s a gem. Crowds are possible though, so get there early.

Wednesday July 22nd and Thursday July 23rd mornings are similar – clear skies, light offshore breezes, 4.6ft to 4.9ft easterly swell, and clean conditions. The energy is solid (385 to 451). Not as punchy as Tuesday, but still very surfable. Friday July 24th morning is another good one with 4.3ft and a light northwesterly offshore.

The final weekend, July 25th and 26th, starts to fade. Saturday morning is still clean with 3.3ft from the east, but the afternoon goes onshore and it gets ordinary. Sunday offers a small 3.3ft easterly swell with light offshore winds in the morning, but it’s nothing special.

After that, a strong south-southwest wind kicks in from Monday July 27th, blowing 22 to 31 mph, and the surf is poor and blown out. The window closes.

So, the standout is without a doubt Tuesday morning July 21st at Blue Bay. Clean, light wind, 4.6ft of easterly groundswell. It’s the pick of the bunch. The following mornings through to Friday are also worth a look if you’re keen for a small, clean wave.

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