
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 1,808 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks.
First up, a bit of a slow start. The water temp is sitting pretty average for this time of year, so no real surprises there. The first real chance for a paddle isn't until Saturday the 11th, and honestly, it's a tease. The morning sees a clean 3ft swell from the ESE with a nice 12-second period, and the combined energy is a solid 411. That's a decent amount of push, and with a light offshore breeze, it'll be clean. But it's a reef break that's inconsistent, and it's only really exposed to a SSE swell, so this ESE energy isn't quite hitting it right. It’s a bit of a shame, because the setup looks good, but the wave direction is off. The afternoon gets a bit choppy and the score drops off, so that morning window is the only real look on Saturday.
Sunday the 12th is a write-off. The swell drops to 3ft, and while the wind is offshore, it's howling at 15-18 mph. The wave energy is weak (130), so it's just a windy, blown-out mess.
We then hit a dead zone. From Monday the 13th through to Tuesday the 14th, there's barely a ripple. The swell is tiny, wind is all over the place, and the energy figures are in the single digits or low teens. Save your gas.
Things start to get interesting on Wednesday the 15th, but it's a wild card. The morning shows a sudden spike to a 10ft S swell. That's a big jump, and the combined energy is a massive 1808. That's a lot of water moving. However, the wind is a strong cross-off, and the period is only 10 seconds. For a spot that's a reef, it's going to be a heavy, walled-up mess. This is expert-only territory, and it's not going to be pretty. The afternoon drops to 7ft, still big, but still messy. The wind is up and it's just not a clean wave.
Thursday the 16th stays big with 6ft S swell, but it's got light rain and a cross-shore wind. The energy is still high (463), but the quality is poor. The wind is just making it a lumpy, choppy hazard.
The next decent window appears on Monday the 20th. The morning is okay, but the afternoon is the standout. We get a 5ft swell from the ENE with a 9-second period. The energy jumps to 791, and the wind is a light, clean cross-off from the NNW. That's where you want to be. The wave size is solid, the wind is good, and the swell direction is a better match for the break than the earlier S swells. This is the best bet on offer.
After that, Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd offer some more clean conditions. Wednesday morning the 22nd is particularly sweet with a glassy 5ft S swell and 516 energy. That's a great session for a surfer who knows the reef.
The rest of the forecast fades out. The swell gets smaller and the winds get stronger again. There's a weak, clean morning on Thursday the 23rd with 4ft S swell, but nothing to write home about after that.
So, to keep it simple: The one true standout is Monday afternoon, the 20th of July. That ENE swell with the light offshore wind will be the cleanest, most powerful wave of the whole run. For a secondary look, that glassy Wednesday morning the 22nd is worth sniffing around for. The rest of the time, it's a mix of too big, too small, or too windy.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Fri night, fresh winds from the WNW by Sun night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Wed morning, light winds from the ESE by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Fri 17 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | ESE 7 | S 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
373 | 210 | 234 | 261 | 109 | 51 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 1808 | 876 | 656 | 458 | 387 | 142 | 47 | 130 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:57AM1.05m | 5:23PM1.64m | 6:06AM1.07m | 6:19PM1.74m | 7:08AM1.11m | 7:13PM1.82m | 8:03AM1.14m | 8:04PM1.86m | 8:55AM1.18m | 8:54PM1.85m | 9:44AM1.21m | 9:42PM1.79m | 10:32AM1.23m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:11PM0.30m | 10:38AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.17m | 11:38AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.06m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:06AM-0.02m | 1:30PM0.24m | 2:56AM-0.06m | 2:23PM0.23m | 3:43AM-0.06m | 3:15PM0.24m | 4:28AM-0.02m | 4:07PM0.28m | |||||||
— | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | |
— | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 14 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 18 | 19 | 12 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 |
Feels °C | 13 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 5 | SSW 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | S 7 | SSW 7 | S 11 | — | — | — | S 16 | S 14 | S 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 |
373 | 197 | 132 | 261 | 109 | 51 | 18 | 47 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 21 | — | — | — | 5 | 16 | 142 | 47 | 34 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 15 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | S 15 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 7 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 7 | E 9 | E 9 |
42 | 210 | 234 | 4 | 17 | 6 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 57 | 25 | 40 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | NE 5 | S 12 | E 11 | SE 8 | E 8 | S 20 | S 17 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 |
6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | 26 | 12 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | N 2 | NNW 3 | WNW 4 | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 4 | NNW 3 | WNW 4 | NW 4 | W 3 | SSW 6 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | — | S 6 | S 6 |
— | — | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 167 | 1808 | 876 | 656 | 458 | 387 | — | 130 | 130 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 83 | 91 | 9 | 19 | 161 | 229 | 161 | 13 | 124 | 41 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











