
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 16s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 16s period, S swell with 2,314 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.2m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 9s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let’s see what we’ve got for Blue Bay. This is a reef break that’s inconsistent, so you gotta pick your moments. The water temp is sitting about average for the time of year, nothing weird there.
The first half of the week is a bit of a slow burn. There’s a small swell, around 4ft to 5ft from the ENE, but the wind is all over the place – morning cross-shore on Tuesday, then a choppy afternoon. Wednesday morning cleans up with a light cross-offshore breeze from the WNW, making the 4ft ENE swell look pretty tidy. That’s your first real window.
Thursday gets interesting. The swell shifts to the south and bumps up to 5ft on Friday morning, with a clean cross-offshore wind from the SW. The combined energy is moderate (506). It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about.
Now, the real standout is Saturday the 25th. We’ve got a solid 6ft south swell rolling in with a 12-second period, pushing decent energy (906). The wind is cracking offshore from the west in the morning, so it’s going to be clean and lined up. That’s easily the best session of the first week. The afternoon glass-off is a bonus but the swell drops a touch.
Sunday the 26th still has some leftover south swell, about 4ft, with a clean cross-offshore breeze. It’s a good follow-up session, but not as punchy as Saturday.
The middle of the week after that goes quiet. Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th are mostly flat or poor, with tiny swell and messy wind. A bit of a dead zone.
Things start to look promising again toward the end of the month. Friday the 31st has a 4ft south swell and a nice offshore wind from the west, with energy spiking to 849. That’s a solid call. Then Saturday the 1st of August brings a 4ft south swell with a 14-second period, light cross-offshore wind, and energy jumping to 1255. That’s proper groundswell – long lines, plenty of power. It’s a reef break, so the long period will work well here, but it might be a bit much for beginners. The afternoon on the 1st gets a bit cross-on, so the morning is the pick.
Monday the 3rd of August has a 5ft south swell with a fresh 19 mph offshore wind from the west, which is clean but strong. The period is 11 seconds, energy is moderate (812). It’s a goer for experienced surfers, but the wind is strong enough to keep the crowds down.
Overall, the best offerings are Saturday the 25th for a fun, clean south swell, and Saturday the 1st of August for some proper long-period groundswell. The inconsistency means you’ve got to be ready to move when it’s on.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Wed morning, fresh winds from the WSW by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 16 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
501 | 363 | 307 | 332 | 248 | 205 | 149 | 119 | 92 | 44 | 464 | 490 | 2314 | 885 | 515 | 267 | 387 | 459 | 327 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | on | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 00:51AM1.17m | 1:51PM1.29m | 1:47AM1.03m | 2:45PM1.31m | 2:54AM0.93m | 3:41PM1.32m | 4:07AM0.89m | 4:36PM1.36m | 5:13AM0.89m | 5:26PM1.40m | 6:08AM0.93m | 6:12PM1.46m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:10AM0.31m | 8:11PM0.52m | 7:53AM0.39m | 9:27PM0.53m | 8:42AM0.45m | 10:38PM0.50m | 9:37AM0.49m | 11:38PM0.44m | 10:34AM0.49m | 00:26AM0.38m | 11:27AM0.47m | 1:07AM0.32m | |||||||
— | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 16 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 |
501 | 363 | 307 | 332 | 248 | 205 | 149 | 119 | 92 | 44 | 464 | 490 | 2314 | 885 | 515 | 267 | 387 | 459 | 327 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 6 | SE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | E 8 | S 16 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
84 | 56 | 53 | 31 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 40 | 27 | 23 | 15 | 6 | 47 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 12 | NW 3 | — | E 9 | S 10 | S 18 | SE 7 | S 22 | — | E 9 | ENE 9 | E 9 | S 15 | ENE 8 | S 15 |
17 | 19 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 | — | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 6 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 3 | NE 4 | NW 3 | — | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 4 | — | — |
— | — | 3 | 26 | 2 | — | 2 | 4 | 27 | 195 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 128 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










