
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with 2,476 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for this stretch of coast. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, with the first proper action showing up on Sunday the 26th. Things kick off with a solid pulse, then it gets quiet for a few days before another pulse arrives later. Sit tight, I’ll walk you through it blow by blow.
The first real swell shows up on Sunday morning, the 26th of July. This is your standout window for the near term. Blue Bay is getting a clean 7ft southerly swell, with a period of 11 seconds pumping in. That’s a nice groundswell with some real energy behind it – combined energy is at 938 (moderate). The wind is light offshore from the WSW, so expect those lines to be clean, well-shaped, and offering up some proper fun. It’s a reef break and inconsistent here, but when it’s on like this morning, it’s gold. The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is dead average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Crowds are a possibility here on the better days. This Sunday morning is the highlight of the first week without a doubt.
By Sunday afternoon, the wind swings around and the quality drops right off. Into Monday and Tuesday the swell fades fast, dropping to waist-to-chest high junk or smaller. The week through Wednesday is a total write-off with tiny surf and not worth paddling for.
Things start to look more interesting again Thursday the 30th of July, but it’s tricky. A big 8ft south swell arrives with moderate energy (2054), but it’s going to be a handful. That size is only for experienced surfers, and the period is 10 seconds – okay but not super clean, especially with cross-offshore winds in the morning. The afternoon gets chopped out. This is more of a “maybe” session for the confident crew.
Friday the 31st is similar: another 8ft south swell but with even more energy (2662 in the morning). The wind stays cross-offshore so it might have some shape, but the size keeps it in expert territory. Saturday the 1st of August drops off a bit to 6ft SSE, still manageable for intermediates if they’re keen, but conditions are only average.
The next real standout window is very early on Sunday the 2nd of August. Morning brings a 5ft SSE swell, combined energy 462, and – here’s the magic part – glassy conditions with a light northerly breeze. That is your ticket to clean, user-friendly waves at Blue Bay. It’s a great size for a solid intermediate session. After that, the rest of the first week and into the second week fades into small, ordinary surf again, with only a few marginal windows.
Look ahead to Thursday the 6th of August: another fresh 7ft south swell with 8-second period pops up. The wind is offshore in the morning, so it’ll be clean but those short-period waves might be a bit walled. Still, it’s surfable.
Now, if you can wait, the *real* standout of the entire 16-day run is Monday the 10th of August. Blue Bay gets a very large 13ft SE swell pounding in – combined energy is a massive 3772 – with a glassy morning. That is a *big* day. Only for experts, and it will be a proper handful with a 10-second period. The wind is glassy, making the surface clean, but 13ft is serious juice. This one is weeks out, so keep an eye on it – can’t lock it in yet, but the potential is huge.
Other than that, there are long gaps of nothing worth recommending – the middle of the second week is particularly quiet. For an inconsistent reef like Blue Bay, a blank run like this is pretty normal for the area. Forecasts can always change, but right now, you’re looking at Sunday the 26th morning and maybe that glassy Sunday the 2nd of August morning as your top calls this side of that giant swell on the 10th.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 7°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 15 | S 17 | S 16 | S 9 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
932 | 649 | 371 | 235 | 190 | 105 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 61 | 1250 | 1860 | 1853 | 1489 | 1124 | 669 | 702 | 575 | 736 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | off |
High Tide | 6:12PM1.46m | 6:53AM0.97m | 6:53PM1.52m | 7:33AM1.02m | 7:32PM1.57m | 8:10AM1.07m | 8:08PM1.60m | 8:46AM1.11m | 8:43PM1.60m | 9:22AM1.16m | 9:17PM1.58m | 9:58AM1.20m | 9:52PM1.53m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:27AM0.47m | 1:07AM0.32m | 12:14PM0.43m | 1:44AM0.26m | 12:57PM0.39m | 2:19AM0.21m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:52AM0.17m | 2:16PM0.34m | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.34m | 3:55AM0.13m | 3:36PM0.35m | ||||||||
6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | |
— | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 20 | 20 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 16 | S 9 | S 10 | — | S 10 | S 10 | E 13 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 |
932 | 649 | 371 | 235 | 190 | 105 | 41 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 61 | 797 | — | 1470 | 1170 | 3 | 669 | 702 | 575 | 736 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 4 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 6 | S 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | — | — | E 13 | — | SSE 12 | NE 8 | SSE 13 | S 14 |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | — | — | 3 | — | 172 | 2 | 277 | 16 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 17 | SE 14 | SE 16 | ENE 4 | SE 15 | S 15 | S 17 | SE 6 | E 13 | E 12 | — | — | — | — | E 13 | NE 8 | NE 7 | E 18 |
— | — | — | 6 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | NNW 2 | — | NNW 3 | W 4 | WNW 3 | SW 4 | SSW 6 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 72 | 1250 | 1860 | 1853 | 1489 | 1124 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 335 | 229 | 11 | 11 | 46 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










