
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 12s period, S swell with 1,113 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 28 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya from the home spot. Let's talk about the next couple of weeks at Blue Bay.
First thing to note, we've got a bit of a slow start. The beginning of the period is pretty flat, with nothing really worth paddling out for until at least Thursday the 30th. That's a few days of small, weak, or just poor conditions to sit through, but hang tight, because there's some real promise on the horizon.
Thursday morning, the 30th of July, is where things start to get interesting. The swell picks up to a solid 4ft out of the south, with a moderate combined energy of 675. The wind is a light breeze from the southwest, giving us a clean, cross-offshore texture. The water temp is sitting at a very normal 65° for this time of year, nothing unusual there. That morning session is looking like the first real taste of good surf.
Now, the standout of the whole run hits on Friday morning, the 31st of July. This is the one. We're looking at 7ft of south swell, with a period of 11 seconds, and the combined energy dials right up to 1681. That's a lot of power, so this is firmly in the "experienced surfers only" zone. The wind is light and glassy from the southwest, making for excellent conditions. The break is Blue Bay, a reef setup that's fairly exposed to this swell direction. It's rated for intermediate and up, and it's inconsistent, so you'll have to be patient for the sets, but the quality when they come will be worth it. The water is a normal 65° out there, and with the light air, it's going to be clean. Keep in mind, crowds are possible here on the better days, so get there early.
Saturday morning, the 1st of August, eases back a touch with 5ft from the SSE and a combined energy of 349. Still a clean, cross-off morning, and a good option if you want a slightly more manageable size than Friday.
After that, things drop off again for a few days into the first week of August, with smaller swells and less favorable wind, before we get another big pulse. The next major highlight is a long-range call for Saturday, the 8th of August. That morning, the swell is set to pump at 10ft from the SSE, with a period of 11 seconds and a massive combined energy of 2308. That's a proper, powerful groundswell. The wind is light from the southwest, keeping it glassy. This is another big-wave day, only for the experts. Blue Bay is a reef, so it should handle that long period energy well, but it's a serious step up in size.
The morning of Sunday the 9th of August is still solid at 7ft from the SE, but the wind turns a bit cross-shore, and the energy drops to 986. It's still a good option, but not quite the standout that Saturday morning is.
For the rest of the second week, the swell hangs around but the wind gets messy, and the period drops off. It's a bit of a fade-out. If you're looking for the best of the best, mark your calendar for Friday the 31st of July and Saturday the 8th of August. Those are the days to be on it.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri night, min 10°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 15 | S 17 | S 16 | NE 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
235 | 185 | 108 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 668 | 501 | 1085 | 974 | 696 | 593 | 340 | 300 | 278 | 281 | 277 | 206 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:53PM1.52m | 7:33AM1.02m | 7:32PM1.57m | 8:10AM1.07m | 8:08PM1.60m | 8:46AM1.11m | 8:43PM1.60m | 9:22AM1.16m | 9:17PM1.58m | 9:58AM1.20m | 9:52PM1.53m | 10:36AM1.25m | 10:28PM1.45m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:14PM0.43m | 1:44AM0.26m | 12:57PM0.39m | 2:19AM0.21m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:52AM0.17m | 2:16PM0.34m | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.34m | 3:55AM0.13m | 3:36PM0.35m | 4:26AM0.13m | 4:19PM0.37m | ||||||||
6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | |
— | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 17 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | ENE 7 | NE 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
235 | 185 | 108 | 41 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 668 | 501 | 1085 | 700 | 696 | 593 | 340 | 300 | 278 | 281 | 277 | 206 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NE 8 | SE 16 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | S 17 | S 16 | S 14 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 7 | ENE 8 | NE 7 | SE 13 | S 12 | S 11 | ENE 8 |
2 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 11 | 3 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | SE 14 | E 8 | — | SE 15 | S 15 | SE 6 | SE 6 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | S 16 | S 14 | NE 7 | E 17 | E 16 |
6 | 8 | 1 | — | 8 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 5 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 3 | — | NNW 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | WSW 3 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | S 11 | — | — | — | — | ENE 7 | N 3 | ENE 8 | NE 4 |
— | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 97 | — | — | — | 974 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | 7 | 29 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 63 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 95 | 229 | 219 | 26 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










