Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been watching this stretch of coast like a hawk. Got the Blue Bay (Egypt) forecast in front of me, and I’ll be straight with you—the first week’s a slow burn. We’ve got a gap from now (Tuesday the 4th) right through till Thursday morning the 7th with no real surf worth paddling out for. That’s a solid three days of flatness or junk. After that, things start to stir, but it’s a long wait for the real juice.

The water temp’s sitting at 64°, which is about average for the time of year—nothing wild there.

Tuesday morning the 4th is a write-off: tiny 1ft swell from the SE, weak energy (35), and the wind’s light offshore, but there’s no wave to work with. That theme hangs around through Wednesday and Thursday—tiny, weak, poor. Thursday morning the 6th offers a bit of a tease with glassy conditions and a 2ft S swell, but that period’s a short 8 seconds, and the energy’s still low (56). Not worth getting wet.

Friday morning the 7th—finally, something. We’ve got 2ft from the SSE with a 10-second period, offshore wind, and the energy’s up to 107. The surf’s weak but clean. It’s an *inconsistent* reef break here, so you’ll be waiting for waves, but the light offshore breeze will keep it tidy. Crowds are *sometimes* an issue, so you might get a few local heads. This is a spot for intermediate surfers, as the reef adds a bit of spice.

The real standout in this whole 16-day window is the morning of Friday the 14th. That’s a full week out, but it’s the one to circle. Blue Bay (Egypt) gets a 10ft swell from the SSE, period of 9 seconds, and a cross-off wind from the SW at 15 km/h. The combined swell energy is a massive 1559, which is strong. The reef will handle that long-period swell well, shaping up some proper waves. This is for experienced surfers only—over 8ft is big, and the reef demands respect. The water’s still clean, with a moderate breeze keeping the surface tidy. The morning before, Thursday the 13th, sees a bigger 13ft swell from the S, but with more wind and cross-chop, it’s messier and more dangerous. Stick with Friday the 14th morning.

Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th drop back to 6ft from the SSE/SE, but the wind’s picking up, and it’s more cross-shore. The energy stays moderate (428–506), and the conditions are marginal. Monday the 17th brings a 3ft swell from the ESE with a 12-second period and a fresh breeze, making it blowy and clean—but it’s only 3ft, so not much push.

Wednesday the 19th morning offers a final chance with 4ft from the ESE, light offshore wind, and moderate energy (319). It’s clean, but the swell’s dropping off again. Good for a quiet session, but not a standout.

Best bet: get ready for Friday the 14th. That’s the one. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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