Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 10s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 10s period, S swell with 3,647 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 4.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
Alright, the outlook for Blue Bay is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a solid pulse of swell early on, but it’s a short-lived window. The real standout is right at the start, so don’t sleep on it.
Thursday the 9th is the pick of the bunch. We’re waking up to a clean 6.2 ft swell from the SE, with a period of 10 seconds. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the WSW, keeping things tidy. The combined wave energy is a solid moderate 804, so there’s plenty of push. The water temp is a very pleasant 66.2°, which is about average for this time of year. This is a reef break that’s inconsistent, so you’ll want to be patient, but when the sets come through, they’ll be well-shaped. The conditions are glassy and clean, perfect for an intermediate surfer.
Thursday afternoon sees the wind shift onshore and the quality drops off fast. By Friday morning, the swell is still a decent 5.9 ft, but the wind is cross-off and the surf is a little less punchy. Friday afternoon, however, is a beauty with glassy conditions, so if you can sneak out then, you’ll find clean, fun waves.
Saturday morning is still rideable at 3.9 ft, but the swell is dropping. After that, the surf gets small and pretty gutless. We’ve got a long stretch of poor conditions from Sunday the 12th right through to the end of the second week. The wind gets strong and messy, and the swell either stays tiny or gets blown out.
There’s a late pulse of energy coming in around Wednesday the 22nd with a 5.6 ft S swell, and the morning is glassy. That could be a sneaky good session, but it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it.
So, to sum it up: Thursday morning is the clear winner. Get it while it’s good, because the following week is a write-off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | S 12 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 18 | S 6 | S 9 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 625 | 614 | 502 | 627 | 592 | 373 | 220 | 190 | 194 | 85 | 56 | 16 | 77 | 177 | 63 | 28 | 39 | 25 | 247 | 2013 | 3421 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | 4:57AM1.05m | 5:23PM1.64m | 6:06AM1.07m | 6:19PM1.74m | 7:08AM1.11m | 7:13PM1.82m | 8:03AM1.14m | 8:04PM1.86m | 8:55AM1.18m | 8:54PM1.85m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.30m | 11:11PM0.30m | 10:38AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.17m | 11:38AM0.29m | 1:13AM0.06m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:06AM-0.02m | 1:30PM0.24m | 2:56AM-0.06m | 2:23PM0.23m | 3:43AM-0.06m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | |  |  |  | |
 | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — |
 | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — |
mm | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 21 | 12 | 8 |
Temp °C | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SSW 6 | S 12 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 6 | S 16 | — | — |
| kJ | 625 | 614 | 502 | 627 | 592 | 373 | 220 | 132 | 194 | 85 | 56 | 23 | 77 | 177 | 63 | 28 | 39 | 3 | 20 | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 14 | S 19 | S 21 | ESE 15 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SSW 6 | ESE 9 | SSW 7 | E 9 | E 10 | S 9 | — | S 10 | E 9 | — | — |
| kJ | 173 | 38 | 114 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 213 | 190 | 39 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 16 | — | 8 | 2 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | — | S 15 | S 17 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | ESE 9 | — | E 8 | E 10 | E 10 | S 18 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 6 | 6 | 5 | — | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 25 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | NNW 3 | SW 3 | S 6 | S 9 | S 10 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 247 | 2013 | 3421 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 30 | 9 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 93 | 95 | 296 | 266 | 335 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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