Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks. We’re talking about Blue Bay, a reef break that’s pretty much only going to fire when the conditions line up just right. It’s inconsistent by nature, so don’t expect a daily wave. The water temperature is sitting at 64°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

The first real chance of a wave worth paddling out for looks like Saturday morning, August 1st. We’ve got a 5ft SSE swell, but the wind is cross-on and light, making it a bit bumpy. The energy is moderate at 399. It’s marginal, but if you’re desperate, you might get a couple. Sunday morning the 2nd cleans up a little with a cross-shore wind, and the swell pushes up to 5ft with a period of 12 seconds, giving us a solid 915 energy reading. That’s got some push, but the wind is still side-on, so it’s not perfect.

Honestly, the standout of the whole outlook is Friday morning, August 14th. We’ve got a 6ft S swell with a 9-second period and a clean offshore wind from the west. The energy is pumping at 796, and the conditions are clean. That’s the one to circle. The swell direction (S) is just off the optimum SSE, but it’s close enough to wrap in nicely at this reef. Afternoon on the 14th is glassy with a 5ft S swell, so if you can’t make the morning, the afternoon will be smooth as silk.

Before that, there’s a bit of a dry spell. From the 3rd to the 13th, we’ve got a lot of small, weak, or onshore-affected days. The swell energy drops right off, with values like 35, 18, and 69, meaning the ocean just goes quiet. There’s a brief flash on the 7th with a 6ft S swell and clean conditions, but the energy is moderate at 490, and it’s a Friday, so it’s worth a look if you’re keen. The 13th shows a bit of a pulse with a 4ft E swell and a 12-second period, giving 366 energy, but the wind is cross-off, and the rating is poor. Not worth the effort.

The 15th and 16th drop off again into small, clean but weak waves. The 16th, Sunday morning, has a 1ft swell with an ENE direction and a long 11-second period, but the energy is just 72 – barely a ripple.

So, bottom line: if you’re in the water, make it Friday the 14th. That’s the pick. The rest is a whole lot of waiting, with a few marginal sessions for the die-hards. This is a fickle spot, so when it’s on, it’s on, but when it’s off, it’s a lake.

Rusty.

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