Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty.

For the next 16 days, we’re looking at a pretty bleak stretch here at Blue Bay. There’s a real drought of quality surf on the cards, with only a couple of windows that might get you wet. The rest of the time, it’s a mix of small, weak swell and blown-out conditions.

The first real chance to paddle out comes on Friday morning, August 7th. We’ve got a tiny 2ft swell from the SSE, but the wind is light offshore from the west. The combined energy is weak at 127, so it’s not going to get your heart racing, but it’ll be clean. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no shock to the system there.

After that, it’s a long, grim gap. We’re talking days of nothing worthwhile. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly onshore, and the scores are all duds. You’ll see a bit of a spike in energy on Sunday the 9th with a 3ft swell from the ENE and moderate energy (210), but it’s a cross-shore mess and the quality is poor.

The real standout, and the only one I’d circle on the calendar, is Friday morning, August 14th. This is the best of the bunch. We’ve got a solid 7ft groundswell from the south, with a period of 11 seconds, giving it some real grunt. The combined energy is a strong 1021. The wind is light offshore from the west, so it’s going to be clean. That’s a proper session for experienced surfers – 7ft is too big for beginners, and the long period means it’ll have some punch, so it’s best suited for the reef setup here. It’s a promising one, but it's over a week away, so keep an eye on it.

Saturday morning, August 15th, is a decent follow-up with 5ft swell from the south and a moderate energy of 439, still clean with a cross-offshore breeze. Good for intermediate surfers.

After that, it fades off again. Sunday morning, August 16th, has a glassy 4ft from the south, which is nice for a clean, small wave session if you’re desperate.

But honestly, for the rest of August, the forecast is grim. The swell direction never matches up well with the wind, and the quality is poor. It’s a long dry spell, and that’s just how it goes sometimes.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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