Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
18.7° C
0.4° 

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 10s period, S swell with 1,029 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.2m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 16th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 8s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 16th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 8s
Most Powerful 4PM (Wed 15th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


Righto, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at Blue Bay.

Honestly, the next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag here. There’s a run of small, weak, and mostly messy surf to start, but the back half of the outlook does have a couple of windows where things clean up. The main event looks to be a pulse of south swell that pushes through mid-week, but it’s a bit of a bulldozer with iffy winds, so only the most experienced crew should be on it.

The first real surfable day is Wednesday, July 15th. There’s a solid 8ft south swell (moderate to strong energy at 1452) that’s got some grunt, but it’s coming in with a short 9-second period and a cross-off wind. The swell is well over 5ft, so it’s going to be a bit much for beginners, and the short period means it’ll be a bit jumbled and fat. Afternoon sees a similar 7ft south swell (1029 energy), still with a short period, so it’s a day for the strong paddlers only if you’re chasing some size.

Thursday, July 16th, the swell drops to 6ft in the morning, but the period drops to 8 seconds (470 energy) with a 25 km/h cross-off wind. It’s a messy, bumpy combo. The afternoon goes to 7ft and 30 km/h south wind; it’s blown out and not worth the paddle unless you’re on a kite.

Friday, July 17th, it drops right off to a weak 3ft south swell (137 energy) and a 7-second period. The wind is light though, so it’s clean but really small. More of a longboard or a sea kayak kind of wave.

There’s then a long stretch of poor, cross-onshore conditions from Saturday, July 18th, right through to the end of the following week. The swell stays around 5ft to 6ft with predominately onshore winds from the east or southeast, which chops the place up. The water temperature right now is 66°, which is about average for the time of year.

The standout window comes on Tuesday, July 22nd. The morning shows a glassy 5ft east swell (366 energy) with a 9-second period. The wind is from the NNW at 5 km/h and it’s dead glass. That’s the best you’ll see all fortnight – clean, perfectly manageable waves for intermediates, with a reasonable crowd likely. The swell direction is from the east, which is a touch off the optimum SSE for Blue Bay, but at that size and with glassy conditions, it’ll still offer some fun lines.

The other potential is Wednesday morning, July 23rd, with a 4ft east swell (265 energy) and a light NNE wind, but it’s cross-on and a bit smaller. The glassy Wednesday morning is the one to plan for.

Later in the window, around Saturday, July 26th, there’s a bigger 3ft east swell with a 12-second period (307 energy), but it’s coming with 25 km/h southwest winds. It’s clean, but the long period means the beach break might be a bit straight and fat. It’s a long-range call, so promising but not locked in.

Overall, keep your eyes peeled on the 22nd for the best of the lot. The rest of the time, it’s either too small, too windy, or too big and messy for the average surfer.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the SSW by Thu morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 15°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Thu afternoon, light winds from the S by Fri morning).

Mon
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ESE
8
0.2
S
11
0.1
S
20
0.2
S
12
0.1
S
15
2.3
S
9
2.2
S
10
1.6
S
8
1.9
S
8
2.1
S
8
1.4
S
7
1
S
7
0.9
ESE
6
1.3
ESE
6
1.6
SE
7
1.6
ESE
7
1.6
E
8
1.7
E
9
1.7
E
9
1.6
E
9
1.5
E
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
7
9
8
12
4
859
1029
351
466
545
205
89
51
119
251
261
338
449
476
441
397
Wind (km/h)
10
NW
20
WNW
20
WNW
10
WSW
20
SW
15
SW
20
SSW
15
SW
25
SW
30
S
15
SSE
10
SSW
15
SSE
15
SE
20
SE
20
SE
20
SE
20
SE
15
SE
15
SE
15
SE
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
7:13PM1.82m
8:03AM1.14m
8:04PM1.86m
8:55AM1.18m
8:54PM1.85m
9:44AM1.21m
9:42PM1.79m
10:32AM1.23m
10:29PM1.67m
11:20AM1.25m
11:15PM1.51m
12:09PM1.27m
00:01AM1.34m
12:59PM1.28m
Low Tide
2:06AM-0.02m
1:30PM0.24m
2:56AM-0.06m
2:23PM0.23m
3:43AM-0.06m
3:15PM0.24m
4:28AM-0.02m
4:07PM0.28m
5:10AM0.04m
5:01PM0.35m
5:51AM0.13m
5:59PM0.42m
6:30AM0.22m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:56
6:56
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:04
5:05
5:05
5:06
5:06
 mm
6
1
Temp °C
20
13
18
20
15
15
15
15
15
16
16
17
17
17
16
17
16
15
16
16
17
Feels °C
16
8
14
16
11
10
11
12
9
10
14
13
13
13
12
12
11
11
13
12
15
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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