Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 25 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 7s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period, S swell with 461 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 27) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Tue 25th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's coming up at Blue Bay.
The next couple of weeks look pretty grim for the most part, with a few small windows of cleaner conditions that could be worth a paddle. The first real chance to get wet doesn't come around until Wednesday morning, August 26th, so we've got a few days of waiting.
The best surf on offer is a solid, late-period spike on Friday, September 4th. That morning, we're looking at an 12ft swell from the south, with a period of 8 seconds. The wind is light and offshore from the NNW, keeping it clean. The combined energy of all swells directed here is pumping at 1454, so there's a lot of power in the water. This is for experienced surfers only – that size is serious. The afternoon still holds a 10ft swell from the SSE, with an offshore breeze, but it's still big.
The other standout is much smaller but still a highlight. On Wednesday morning, August 27th, we have a clean 5ft swell from the NE, with a light offshore wind from the NW. The energy is moderate at 560, and the conditions will be clean. It's a reef break that's inconsistent, so don't expect a wave every minute, but when it comes, it'll be good.
For the rest of the period, it's mostly onshore or cross-shore wind, with small, weak swells. There's a brief moment of glassy conditions on Friday morning, August 28th, with a 4ft swell from the ENE, but the energy is low at 198. It's surfable, but nothing special.
The water temperature is about average for the time of year. So, if you're keen, the real action is for the big wave crew on September 4th. For everyone else, the cleanest small windows are August 26th and 27th.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Sat night, fresh winds from the NNE by Mon afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 14°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | S 10 | S 14 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 9 | NE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 9 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 461 | 200 | 257 | 162 | 128 | 69 | 61 | 211 | 371 | 308 | 120 | 113 | 100 | 134 | 172 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:41AM0.86m | 4:00PM1.29m | 4:54AM0.89m | 4:58PM1.35m | 5:47AM0.94m | 5:46PM1.42m | 6:29AM1.01m | 6:27PM1.49m | 7:06AM1.09m | 7:04PM1.54m | 7:41AM1.17m | 7:40PM1.57m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:05PM0.51m | 8:59AM0.56m | 11:09PM0.46m | 10:09AM0.54m | 11:58PM0.39m | 11:07AM0.50m | 00:37AM0.32m | 11:56AM0.43m | 1:11AM0.24m | 12:39PM0.37m | 1:43AM0.18m | 1:19PM0.32m | 2:14AM0.13m | ||||||
 |  | |  |  | |  | | | | |  |  |  |  | | | | | |
 | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 22 | 21 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | S 10 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | S 9 | ENE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 461 | 200 | 257 | 162 | 128 | 47 | 32 | 41 | 203 | 178 | 120 | 113 | 100 | 134 | 172 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | S 9 | SSW 6 | S 6 | NE 6 | S 14 | E 14 | NE 5 | E 13 | S 10 | S 9 | S 16 | S 9 | S 15 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 194 | 4 | 23 | 3 | 69 | 61 | 43 | 14 | 74 | 21 | 20 | 31 | 30 | 28 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | E 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 18 | E 14 | — | ENE 8 | E 13 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | — | S 16 | — | S 15 | — | S 14 | S 14 | S 13 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 4 | — | 11 | 3 | 20 | 32 | — | 47 | — | 17 | — | 15 | 16 | 31 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | W 3 | — | SE 4 | — | NE 9 | ENE 4 | NE 5 | ENE 5 | — | — | ENE 9 | NE 7 | NE 8 | NNW 3 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 2 |
| kJ | 6 | 1 | — | 12 | — | 20 | 20 | 37 | 65 | — | — | 211 | 371 | 308 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 219 | 145 | 296 | 100 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 221 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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