Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The next couple of weeks are a mixed bag, to be honest. There’s some fun stuff on the horizon, but you’re gonna have to wade through a lot of average-to-poor days to get to it. The first real window we’ve got is next week, and it’s worth circling on the calendar.

We’re starting off pretty flat and messy. The weekend and the start of next week are mostly small and wonky. There’s a pulse of energy coming through on Monday the 10th, with the swell jumping to about 6 feet, but the wind is howling from the northwest at 19-22 mph, which is just going to chop it all up. Not worth your time. The energy is there, but it’s not clean.

The following morning, Tuesday the 11th, has a little bit of shape to it, with a clean 3 ft from the ENE under a moderate offshore breeze, but it’s just not enough power to get excited about.

Wednesday the 12th sees another bump in energy, with a 3 ft south swell and a period of 11 seconds, which gets the water moving, but the wind swings around to a strong offshore. That makes it clean but a real battle to paddle into. You’ll spend more time fighting the wind than riding waves.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Thursday the 13th afternoon, the ocean decides to wake up. The combined energy jumps to a strong 1486, and we see nearly 8 ft of south swell on the charts. It’s a big jump, and it’s likely to be a bit raw and crossed-up as it arrives. Could be a bit much for a Thursday afternoon session.

But hold on. Friday morning, August 14th, is the first real standout. Blue Bay (South Coast) is looking prime. We’ve got about 4 ft of clean south swell, with a period of 11 seconds, and the wind is forecast to be totally glassy, with a slight offshore breeze. The combined energy is a solid 399, which is a good, pushy amount of punch. Conditions are going to be clean, and the reef will have some proper shape to it. This is the one to get on. Expect the crowds to be there, as it’s the first decent day in a while.

Then, the best of the bunch is shaping up for Saturday morning, August 15th. The swell is up to around 6 ft from the south, with a period of 10 seconds, and the energy is pumping at a strong 1184. The wind is light and cross-offshore, which should keep the faces clean and rippable. There’s a chance of a little rain, but that won’t matter. This is a proper session. It’s got size and power, but it’s still manageable for a confident intermediate. It's a bigger day, so beginners might want to watch from the sand. The glassy surface will make it feel even punchier.

Saturday afternoon, the wind swings onshore and the quality drops off, so get your fill in the morning.

After that, we slip back into a bit of a lull. The swell drops right down, and the wind goes onshore, giving us a few days of poor quality. There’s some new groundswell trying to push through on Tuesday and Wednesday, but it’s small and the wind is junk.

Looking further out, the following weekend is looking like it has some potential. Saturday, August 22nd is the one to keep an eye on. The morning shows about 5 ft of ENE swell with an offshore wind, and a moderate energy of 340. That’s a solid combo. The afternoon looks even better, with the swell bumping up to around 5 ft and the wind going glassy again. The energy is stronger at 482. That’s a promising couple of sessions, but it’s a week away, so treat it as a “promising” rather than a “locked-in” call.

So, in the short term, pencil in Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th. After that, the swell fades into the background for a bit, but the outlook for the 22nd is something to get a little excited about.

The water temps are about average for this time of year, so not too much of a shock when you get in.

That’s the picture. Keep it salty.

Rusty

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