Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s have a look.

The first decent surf showing up is on Sunday the 26th of July. Blue Bay’s got a clean 7ft S swell rolling in, period about 11 seconds, so there’s some proper groundswell energy in the water (combined energy reading of 938). Wind is light offshore from the West early – that’ll have the waves looking pretty crisp. This is your standout for the forecast. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild. Keep in mind it’s an inconsistent reef break and can get a crowd sometimes, which makes a good session on offer even more valuable. The swell direction of S is a little off its optimum SSE, but with that clean start and the swell size, it’s the pick.

Things drop off pretty sharply later Sunday as the wind swings onshore, and Monday the 27th is a write-off with tiny, ordinary waves. Tuesday the 28th is barely a ripple, with weak 2ft or 2ft swells. Wednesday the 29th has almost nothing. There’s a gap of a few days here.

Thursday the 30th of July sees a jump back up to a solid 8ft to 8ft S swell (energy readings of 1106 and 1342), but wind is tricky. The early clean cross-off gets eaten by a strong cross-shore in the arvo. It’s surfable but not clean all day. Friday the 31st pushes up to 10ft in the morning from the S (energy is a hefty 3046). That’s getting big – solidly in expert territory for this reef. Still looking at a moderate cross-off wind, which keeps it from being perfect.

The next real highlight is Sunday the 2nd of August. Morning glass-off conditions with a light W offshore wind, swell sitting at 6ft from the SSE, right in the optimum direction. Periods are a nice 11 seconds, and the energy is strong (899). This is another one to circle. It’s clean, a good size for intermediates, and the direction is perfect. The afternoon gets ruined by a cross-onshore, so get in early.

After that, the swell fades through the first week of August. Monday the 3rd has clean but smaller 5ft surf. By Tuesday the 4th it’s dropping into the 2ft range. There’s a big drop-off into tiny surf until Thursday the 6th of August when a 7ft S swell shows up, but it’s wind-affected with rain around, and the period is a short 8 seconds. Nothing to get excited about.

The second week is pretty quiet overall. Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th are weak and sloppy. Sunday the 9th of August has a small 3ft swell but it’s onshore. Monday the 10th of August sees a spike to 8ft S swell (835 energy) but it’s a short period 8-second windswell and a cross-shore wind, so it’ll be messy.

So, the real windows are Sunday the 26th of July morning and Sunday the 2nd of August morning. Don’t sleep on those. As for the rest, the combined swell energy is pumping for a few days around the 30th and 31st of July, but the wind and tide conditions look marginal.

Keep your eyes peeled, but don’t hold your breath for the second week – it’s a gamble that far out.

Rusty.

Read more