Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 1 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period, S swell with 493 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 1 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 4s. Another secondary swell of 1.1m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.3m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 6s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s take a good, hard look at the next 16 days. We’ve only got one spot on the radar worth talking about, and it’s a bit of a journey to get there.
The water temp at Blue Bay is sitting at 64°, which is right around the norm for this time of year. No surprises there.
Things are pretty quiet for a long stretch. The first real standout doesn’t show up until we get to the 10th of September. That’s a full week of very average to poor conditions before we get anything worth getting excited about. After that, things drop off again, so the window is really narrow.
The one true standout is the morning of Thursday, the 10th of September at Blue Bay. This is a reef break, and it’s normally inconsistent, but this day is special. We’re looking at a solid 10 ft swell from the south, with a nice long period of 13 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is a massive 3314, which is super strong. The wind is glassy, coming from the north-east at only 3 mph. That’s going to give you absolute perfection. The wave comment says it’s excellent for experienced surfers, and that’s because 10 ft is serious, expert-only territory. The swell direction is from the south, and the optimum direction for Blue Bay is SSE, so it’s close enough to be working well.
The day before, on Wednesday, the 9th of September, the morning has a 10 ft south swell as well, with a combined energy of 1882, but the wind is a cross-off from the SSW at 16 mph. It’s still clean, but not as perfect as the glassy morning that follows. The afternoon of the 9th drops a bit, with a 8 ft south swell but onshore wind, so it’ll be choppier.
The morning of the 10th is the day. Don’t miss it. It's a short window, but it's a cracker. Otherwise, the rest of the period is a write-off.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sat morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 11 | S 9 | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
250 | 189 | 138 | 104 | 108 | 71 | 73 | 52 | 33 | 379 | 125 | 44 | 110 | 69 | 25 | 403 | 246 | 155 | 317 | 192 | 199 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 10:41AM1.45m | 10:52PM1.27m | 11:26AM1.45m | 11:44PM1.14m | 12:20PM1.44m | 00:50AM1.03m | 1:25PM1.43m | 2:14AM0.96m | 2:40PM1.44m | 3:44AM0.96m | 3:54PM1.49m | 4:59AM1.02m | 5:00PM1.56m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:55PM0.29m | 4:58AM0.24m | 5:52PM0.33m | 5:42AM0.32m | 7:01PM0.37m | 6:37AM0.40m | 8:22PM0.37m | 7:47AM0.46m | 9:46PM0.33m | 9:08AM0.47m | 10:57PM0.24m | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | ||||||||
6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
— | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 24 | 26 | 20 | 26 | 26 | 20 | 26 | 25 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 22 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
Feels °C | 19 | 21 | 17 | 22 | 22 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 24 | 23 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 6 | S 11 | S 9 | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | NE 6 | S 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | ENE 8 |
250 | 189 | 138 | 104 | 108 | 71 | 73 | 52 | 45 | 379 | 125 | 44 | 110 | 69 | 20 | 403 | 246 | 155 | 317 | 192 | 199 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | NE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSE 10 | ENE 10 | SSE 11 | NE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 6 | S 9 | NE 6 | E 10 | S 14 | E 10 | — | S 10 |
38 | 37 | 23 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 18 | 19 | 33 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 25 | 6 | 8 | 59 | 8 | — | 123 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 12 | NE 12 | ENE 10 | NE 6 | NE 6 | SSE 13 | NE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 10 | NNE 7 | S 18 | S 11 | E 9 | E 9 | E 11 | E 10 | NE 6 | E 10 | — | — | — |
3 | 6 | 33 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 8 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 3 | NNE 3 | NW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 4 | W 4 | W 3 | — | NE 3 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | W 2 | S 5 | SE 3 | E 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | NNW 3 |
2 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | — | 10 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 20 | 33 | 164 | 3 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 82 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











