Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. This is a mixed bag for Blue Bay over the next few weeks, so let’s break it down.

We’ve got a bit of a wait for the first decent session. The coming days are mostly a write-off with messy winds and poor conditions, but there’s one clear standout that’s worth circling on the calendar.

Monday, September 7th is your best bet early on. The morning glass-off is magic. Glassy conditions, barely a breath of wind out of the west, and clean 5 ft S swell with a short 8-second period. Combined energy is moderate at 304. The water’s sitting at 65°, pretty much bang on average for this time of year. That Monday morning is the only real bright spot in the first week.

After that, things get a bit rough. The wind swings around and picks up, and the swell gets a bit messy. Tuesday morning the 8th looks bumpy and the swell jumps to 8 ft S with a lot of energy (1190), but that cross-shore wind will chop it up. Wednesday the 9th? Forget it. A 28 mph S wind on the 10 ft S swell? That’s a washing machine, not a surf break. More of a kite-surfing setup than a paddling one.

Thursday, September 10th morning has potential for the bold. It’s a clean 10 ft S swell, period at 10 seconds, and the wind is light cross-off from the SW. That’s a lot of water moving around – combined energy is a hefty 1563 – but it’s big. Over 8 ft, so this is strictly for experienced surfers only. The afternoon wind picks up again, spoiling the party.

The real standout of the whole window is Friday, September 11th morning. This is the one. Clean conditions, cross-off wind from the SSW, and a solid 8 ft SSE swell with a 10-second period. Combined energy is strong at 1273. The direction is right on the optimum for the reef, and it’s not too big for an intermediate who knows what they’re doing. The water is clean, the wind is kind, and the waves should have some real punch. This is the session to aim for.

The second week drops off significantly. From Saturday the 12th onward, the swell fades, the wind turns onshore, and the size drops right back. There are a few mornings with clean, glassy conditions – like Sunday, September 20th – but the swell is tiny (3 ft). You’ll be bobbing around on a longboard, not really surfing.

There’s a long gap of flat, small, or windy days from the 12th through to the 22nd. The only other faint pulse of energy comes on Tuesday, September 22nd morning, with a 8 ft S swell and a short 7-second period, but the wind is light cross-on, which won’t help the shape. It’s a maybe, but don’t get your hopes up.

The long-range stuff on the 22nd afternoon looks big again – 10 ft S swell with 1361 energy – but it’s onshore, so unless you like a battle, give it a miss.

So, to wrap it up: Monday morning the 7th is a clean, fun, smaller session. But the real date to save is Friday, September 11th morning. That’s the pick of the fortnight. After that, you’re looking at a long stretch of mediocrity. Hang in there.

Rusty.

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