Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s take a look at what’s on offer. First up, we’ve got Blue Bay, a reef setup that’s fairly exposed to the swell but inconsistent. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The overall pattern is pretty quiet for a while. There’s a bit of a gap here – from now through Thursday the 3rd, it’s either flat or messy. Thursday morning has a weak 2ft southerly swell with a 10-second period, but the wind is cross-off from the NW at 12 mph, and the combined energy is only 110 – weak stuff. The afternoon cleans up a little with a 2ft southerly swell and a light 6 mph offshore wind from the W, energy drops to 90, but it’s still very ordinary.

Friday the 4th morning is where things start to look a bit more interesting. We’ve got a 4ft southerly swell, 11-second period, and light cross-off wind from the SSW at 6 mph. Combined energy hits 390 – moderate – and the conditions are clean. This is the first real standout. It’s not huge, but the wave quality should be good for an intermediate. The afternoon gets messy with onshore wind, so make the most of the morning.

Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th are pretty poor – small, weak, or windy. Sunday afternoon actually sees a 6ft southerly swell with a 12-second period and energy of 776, but the wind is cross-on from the ESE at 12 mph, making it choppy and unappealing.

Monday the 7th morning is marginal. There’s a 4ft southerly swell, 10-second period, with an almost glassy NNE breeze at 3 mph. Combined energy is 349. It’s clean, but the tide or something else is questionable. Worth a look if you’re local but not a standout.

Tuesday the 8th has a 5ft SSE swell, but the period is a short 8 seconds, and the wind is cross-off from the SSW at 16 mph in the morning – energy is 408. It’s clean but the short period means it won’t be that well-shaped. The afternoon is cross-shore and a bit choppy.

Now, here’s the real standout – Thursday the 10th morning. There’s a 7ft SSE swell, but the period is a short 7 seconds, and combined energy is a solid 1063 (strong). The wind is light cross-shore from the S at 9 mph. This is big enough for experts only – over 8ft it would be too much, but 7ft is still a solid push. The short period means it might be a bit bumpy, but the energy is there. Not the best shape, but if you’re chasing size, that’s your window.

Then Friday the 11th morning is the best overall. We’ve got a 5ft SSE swell, 11-second period, and light cross-off wind from the SSW at 3 mph. Combined energy is 583 – moderate. The conditions are clean, the swell has good length, and it’s not too big. This is for intermediate surfers, and it’s the best on offer in the whole outlook. After that, the swell drops off and the winds go unfavourable.

The second week is quiet. Blue Bay stays small and inconsistent through the 12th to the 18th. There’s a brief moment on Thursday the 17th morning – a 4ft southerly swell, 10-second period, with a 16 mph offshore wind from the W, energy of 408. It’s clean, but the wind is moderate, so it’s not pristine. After that, it fades again.

Overall, the best bet is Friday the 11th morning – clean 5ft groundswell from the SSE, light offshore, and good energy. Thursday the 10th morning has the biggest swell (7ft) but shorter period, so only for the experienced. Don’t expect much in the second week – it’s lean.

Rusty.

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