Blue Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.36° S 151.50° E

Issued: 9 am 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blue Bay sea temperature is
19.6° C

1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Blue Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blue Bay surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 11s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with 2,316 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 12s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 03) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sat 4th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 12s
Best Surf 1AM (Wed 8th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 11s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sun 5th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a long, hard look at what Blue Bay has got cookin’ for us over the next couple of weeks.

First, the overall pattern. We’ve got a bit of a slow start here. The next couple of days are looking pretty average, but don’t lose hope. There’s a real pulse of energy building for the following week, and the back half of this outlook is where things get properly interesting. Hold tight.

Right, so this Friday morning (3rd July) is a write-off. Tiny 2 ft NE windswell with a short 7-second period and a cross-offshore breeze. Just 35 on the combined energy scale – that’s weak as. Not worth paddling for.

We stay flat through the afternoon, but Saturday morning (4th July) things change. A new 4 ft S swell rolls in, with a solid 12-second period. The combined energy jumps to 418, a moderate pulse, and it’s clean. That’s your first real window. Blue Bay is a reef break, so that longer period swell will wrap in nicely. The wind is light, cross-offshore, and it’s gonna be clean. The water is sitting at 67°, which is about 2° warmer than usual for this time of year – a little treat.

Sunday (5th July) gets chunky. We’re looking at 10 ft from the south, but it’s blown out by strong SSW winds in the morning. That’s big for most, over 8 ft, so experts only here. Combined energy is a huge 2116 (strong). The afternoon brings rain and the same wind, so it’s lumpy, messy cross-shore. Not your day.

Monday and Tuesday (6th & 7th July) hold plenty of swell, still 8 ft to 8 ft, but the wind is cross or cross-onshore. Decent energy, 1243 and 1527 respectively, but the conditions are just not clean enough to call it a standout.

Now, here’s where we get interesting. Wednesday morning (8th July) is a real gem. 7 ft SE swell, period 10 seconds, combined energy 932 (moderate). The wind is a gentle cross-offshore from the SW and it’s clean. That’s gonna be fun, lined-up waves for the intermediate crew. Crowds are listed as ‘sometimes’, so you might have the place to yourself if you get out early.

Friday (10th July) morning drops back a bit to 4 ft, but it’s clean again. A good option if you missed the earlier windows.

Saturday (11th July) morning offers a touch more magic. 4 ft SE swell with a 9-second period and glassy offshore conditions from the west. The energy is 280 – not huge, but with the wind that clean, it’ll be a fun, user-friendly wave. This is a legitimate choice for a relaxed session.

After that, the surf dies right down. Sunday (12th) through Tuesday (14th) morning are all tiny and weak, with energy numbers below 100. There’s a four-day gap of nothing special.

Then, bam. Tuesday afternoon (14th July) the south swell returns. 6 ft S swell, 10-second period, and a solid offshore wind. Energy 665 (moderate). This is the start of the main event.

Wednesday (15th July) morning is a treat: 7 ft S swell, 10 seconds, clean with light offshore winds. By the afternoon, it’s a proper standout. 10 ft of pure south groundswell, period reaching 13 seconds. Combined energy is a massive 3555. The wind is a whisper-light offshore – glassy. This is excellent, powerful surf for experienced surfers. The long period will make it grind perfectly down the reef. This is your top pick.

The energy peaks on Thursday (16th July). Morning sees 13 ft S swell with a 13-second period and energy at 5040. The afternoon holds 12 ft with energy 4189. This is big, strong, and clean. For experts only, but it will be unforgettable.

Friday morning (17th July) still pumps at 8 ft S swell, 13-second period, energy 1852. Still clean.

Sadly, the run ends with a thud. Friday afternoon (17th July) through to Saturday (18th July) gets smashed by heavy rain and strong cross-onshore winds from the SE. The swell is still there, but it’s blown out, lumpy, and dangerous. A real shame.

So, to sum it up: Saturday morning (4th July) is your first good call for a clean start. Wednesday morning (8th July) is a solid mid-range treat. But the absolute standout, the one to circle on the calendar, is Wednesday afternoon (15th July) through Thursday (16th July). That’s the big, clean, powerful south groundswell. It’s a long way off, so don’t get too attached, but if it holds, it’s gonna be epic. For experts only at that size though.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
2
1
2
2
1
0
0
2
2
2
3
3
3
1
1
2
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
NE
7
0.4
ENE
8
0.4
ENE
8
1.2
S
12
1.1
S
10
1.3
S
9
3
S
11
3
S
10
3
SSE
11
2.5
SSE
10
2.5
SSE
10
1.9
SE
10
2.4
SSE
10
2.4
SE
11
2.4
SE
11
2.1
SE
10
1.9
SE
10
1.7
SE
10
1.5
SSE
10
2.3
S
12
2
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
26
23
22
390
230
247
2106
1734
1870
1212
1324
681
1169
1414
1250
884
724
535
430
1447
761
Wind (km/h)
25
WNW
30
W
15
W
5
NW
5
E
10
SSW
30
SSW
30
S
25
SSE
25
SE
20
SSE
25
SSW
25
SW
25
SSW
15
SW
15
SW
15
SSE
15
WSW
20
SW
20
SSW
15
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
10:30AM1.07m
10:18PM1.52m
11:11AM1.10m
10:55PM1.46m
11:55AM1.14m
11:35PM1.38m
12:42PM1.19m
00:21AM1.30m
1:34PM1.25m
1:18AM1.20m
2:29PM1.33m
2:25AM1.12m
3:27PM1.43m
3:41AM1.07m
Low Tide
3:52PM0.43m
5:06AM0.19m
4:36PM0.46m
5:41AM0.19m
5:25PM0.50m
6:18AM0.20m
6:23PM0.52m
6:59AM0.22m
7:29PM0.53m
7:46AM0.24m
8:44PM0.49m
8:39AM0.27m
10:00PM0.41m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:56
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:57
4:58
4:58
4:59
4:59
5:00
5:00
 mm
2
2
3
1
1
2
2
Temp °C
19
18
12
14
15
15
14
15
15
16
16
15
15
16
15
15
15
15
14
14
13
Feels °C
12
11
7
12
14
13
8
9
10
11
11
10
11
11
12
12
11
12
9
10
9
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
NE
7
0.4
ENE
8
0.9
SSW
7
1.2
S
12
1.1
S
10
1
S
8
0.3
E
8
0.3
E
8
0.2
E
13
0.2
E
14
2.4
SSE
10
1.3
S
11
2.4
SSE
10
2.4
SE
11
2.4
SE
11
2.1
SE
10
1.9
SE
10
1.7
SE
10
1.5
SSE
10
2.3
S
12
2
S
10
Energy kJ
26
23
64
390
230
136
10
11
13
16
1064
372
1169
1414
1250
884
724
535
430
1447
761
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
9
0.2
E
12
0.4
ENE
8
0.4
NE
7
0.4
S
12
0.5
S
12
0.2
E
13
0.5
S
15
0.2
E
14
0.2
E
14
0.2
E
13
0.5
SE
14
0.7
S
11
0.1
S
15
0.5
S
10
0.2
E
13
0.6
S
15
1
SE
10
0.2
ESE
9
Energy kJ
6
11
22
14
48
66
13
110
15
14
13
97
108
5
48
14
155
181
8
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
E
12
0.2
E
12
0.2
E
13
0.4
NE
7
0.3
ENE
7
0.2
E
13
0.2
E
13
0.1
S
16
0.2
S
15
0.1
S
23
0.4
ESE
11
0.3
ESE
11
0.1
S
16
Energy kJ
3
11
14
13
10
14
14
5
18
10
49
22
5
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
NW
4
0.7
W
4
0.4
W
3
1.3
S
9
3
S
11
3
S
10
3
SSE
11
2.5
SSE
10
2.5
SSE
10
1.9
SE
10
0.3
WSW
3
1.3
S
9
Energy kJ
13
12
3
247
2106
1734
1870
1212
1324
681
2
275
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
2
2
2
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
4
3
3
3
2
3
4
3
Distance (km)
42
161
0
0
11
0
124
434
294
166
166
11
11
11
0
0
11
11
11
11
11
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
2
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
4
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
3
4
4
5
8
4
5
7
4
9
9
8
4
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
5
9
5
6
8
5
9
7
5
9
9
8
6
5
9
9
9
5
5
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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