Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s chew the fat on Blue Bay for the next couple of weeks.

Look, I’ll level with you: the first week and a half is pretty bleak. We get a little bump on Monday the 3rd of August with some chest-high, 4ft SE groundswell at 11 seconds, but the wind is messy cross-shore and the whole thing feels ordinary. The combined energy is moderate (375), but the conditions are just off. That afternoon, it fades.

From Tuesday the 4th through to Saturday the 16th, it’s mostly a bust. We’re looking at knee-to-waist high slop, periods under 10 seconds, and onshore or cross-shore winds killing any chance of a clean face. The combined energy sits well under 200 most days, really weak. A couple of glassy mornings on Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th give you clean 4ft to 4ft S swell, but the energy is low and the period is short, so the waves are soft and fat. Nothing to write home about. There’s a real dry spell here of about 12 days where I wouldn’t bother suiting up unless you just want to sit on your board.

The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing to report.

Now for the good stuff. Hold out until Monday the 17th of August. That’s when she finally lights up. A solid 7ft S swell rolls in during the morning, with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 885 (moderate-strong). Winds are light offshore from the WSW, keeping it clean. This is the one to chase, and it’s for intermediates and up – 7ft is gonna be too much for beginners. The afternoon pushes the swell to 8ft from the S, with a longer 12-second period and energy soaring to 1680 (strong). It’s a little cross-shore, so maybe a bit more tricky, but the power is undeniable. Tuesday the 18th keeps the 7ft S swell going with clean offshore winds again. This is your best bet, no doubt.

Since Blue Bay is a reef break, that long-period groundswell will wrap in nicely, but it can also make it a bit too lined up for the beach if you’re not in the zone. Still, these two days are your only real window.

So, the long and short of it: you’ll be waiting a while, but the 17th and 18th of August are the ones to mark on the calendar. Promising, but it’s a week and a half out, so keep your fingers crossed.

Rusty.

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