Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,402 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, let's talk about what’s cookin’ at Blue Bay. This reef break can be a bit of a tease, and this 16-day stretch is no different. It’s inconsistent, so you gotta pick your moments.
We got a dry spell right at the start. Sunday the 6th is a total mess, and the next day is glassy but the swell is tiny and weak. Not worth paddling out.
The big moment, the one you circle on your calendar, is Friday the 11th in the morning. We’re talking an 8ft south swell with clean offshore wind. The energy is pumping hard. This is for the experienced crew only at that size, but the waves will be powerful and well-shaped. The water is about 65°F, which is normal for this time of year.
Another real good window is Saturday the 12th morning. The swell drops to a very fun 6ft, and with a longer period, it’ll have nice lines. The light cross-off wind will keep it clean for everyone.
Jumping into the second week, Wednesday the 16th morning is a gem. It’s glassy, with a 5ft south swell. It’ll be super clean and fun for a wide range of skill levels. Then on Friday the 18th, we get a weird one. The swell is only 3ft, but the period is a massive 19 seconds. The energy is still high, but that kind of groundswell can run straight at a reef. If you know the break, it’ll be a unique, long-lining session with the offshore wind cleaning it up.
Steer clear of the big, windy days like Thursday the 10th with that 10ft swell. With the cross-shore wind, it’s just a chunky, dangerous mess. Not the one.
The crowds at Blue Bay can get thick sometimes, so for those Friday and Saturday standouts, get there early. The first week is a slow burn for one killer day, and the second week has a couple of clean, smaller windows.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, strong winds from the S by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Wed afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Fri morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | S 7 | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 198 | 1017 | 251 | 355 | 480 | 973 | 521 | 422 | 173 | 585 | 2402 | 1586 | 1591 | 2214 | 1406 | 830 | 818 | 807 | 584 | 322 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:59AM1.02m | 5:00PM1.56m | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | 8:44AM1.46m | 8:54PM1.50m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:57PM0.24m | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:28AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.28m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | 2:47PM0.17m | 3:07AM0.11m | |||||||
 |  | | |  | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — |
 | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 12 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | E 11 | E 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 6 | 1017 | 251 | 355 | 9 | 8 | 521 | 422 | 173 | 17 | 70 | 39 | 23 | 1676 | 1066 | 830 | 818 | 807 | 584 | 322 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | NE 8 | SSE 11 | E 10 | E 8 | — | E 10 | E 10 | SE 7 | ENE 9 | E 16 | S 23 | SSE 22 | SSE 21 | E 15 | E 14 | E 13 | ENE 14 | S 18 | S 17 |
| kJ | 8 | 2 | 39 | 8 | 1 | — | 8 | 7 | 50 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 157 | 150 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 19 | 56 | 50 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | E 10 | E 10 | N 8 | E 8 | — | N 9 | E 15 | E 9 | E 17 | S 26 | S 17 | E 15 | ESE 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 |
| kJ | 4 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 17 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | — | — | E 3 | S 7 | S 9 | — | — | NW 3 | S 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 198 | — | — | 5 | 480 | 973 | — | — | 2 | 585 | 2402 | 1586 | 1591 | 2214 | 1406 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 180 | 46 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 349 | 124 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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