Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 9s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, S swell with 3,429 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 6s period with NE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 17th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight up about Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks – it’s a tough stretch with a whole lot of nothing for a while. The first week is basically a write-off; we’re looking at small, messy, poor surf with light cross-onshore breezes messing up the surface from the 13th through the 15th. Swell energy is weak, sitting around 57 to 316 (combined energy) and the waves are barely 2 ft or so. Not worth paddling out.
The first real pulse of size shows up on Wednesday the 16th, but don’t get too excited – it’s raw and wind-affected. We get a big jump in swell, 10 ft to 13 ft from the south with a moderate period of 9 to 10 seconds, and combined energy jumps to 1474 then 3429 – that’s strong stuff. But it’s not surfable for most. The wind is fresh to strong cross-off, keeping it clean but the size is well over 8 ft, so experts only. Thursday the 17th stays big, 10 ft to 12 ft south swell, still strong energy (1456 to 2110), but the wind swings cross and it gets lumpy. Too gnarly and tricky for a good session unless you’re charging.
Friday the 18th drops back to 4 ft, but it’s cross-on and weak. Saturday the 19th morning is the standout of the whole forecast – glassy conditions, 3 ft southeast swell with a solid 11-second period, combined energy of 394. It’s small, but that glassy surface will make it clean as a whistle. This is the best on offer, but keep in mind Blue Bay is inconsistent, so catching it right is a bonus. The afternoon gets weird with a 17-second period onshore mess.
The second week has a few moments but nothing special. Monday the 21st sees another pulse of 10 ft south swell (1637 combined energy) but with a cross breeze and messy conditions. Tuesday the 22nd morning goes glassy with 4 ft, but it’s ordinary. After that, it’s mostly small, weak, and choppy through to the 28th, when another 8 ft south swell hits but with cross-onshore wind. Overall, Blue Bay is pretty dry – if you’re desperate, the 19th morning is your best shot. Otherwise, wait for a change in the forecast.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sun night, fresh winds from the S by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Wed morning, calm by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 11 | NE 6 | S 12 | S 11 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | S 7 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | ESE 10 | SE 11 | S 17 | S 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 164 | 184 | 184 | 132 | 82 | 141 | 44 | 21 | 784 | 1463 | 3429 | 3111 | 2100 | 1446 | 675 | 251 | 245 | 220 | 169 | 142 | 56 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-on | cross-on | off | glassy | on | off |
High Tide | 9:34PM1.38m | 9:57AM1.49m | 10:13PM1.25m | 10:34AM1.46m | 10:54PM1.12m | 11:13AM1.40m | 11:39PM1.01m | 11:59AM1.34m | 00:34AM0.92m | 12:55PM1.27m | 1:48AM0.86m | 2:04PM1.24m | 3:16AM0.87m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:31PM0.19m | 3:39AM0.19m | 4:15PM0.24m | 4:10AM0.28m | 5:01PM0.31m | 4:42AM0.37m | 5:51PM0.39m | 5:18AM0.46m | 6:50PM0.46m | 6:02AM0.54m | 8:03PM0.50m | 7:03AM0.59m | 9:21PM0.50m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — |
 | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 18 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 19 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 11 | NE 6 | S 12 | S 11 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SE 11 | SE 9 | S 9 |
| kJ | 164 | 184 | 112 | 132 | 82 | 88 | 44 | 21 | 12 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 675 | 251 | 245 | 184 | 169 | 95 | 56 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 5 | S 15 | S 10 | NE 6 | ENE 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | E 14 | E 14 | — | — | NE 13 | NE 13 | E 13 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SE 9 |
| kJ | 15 | 41 | 138 | 34 | 15 | 50 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 4 | — | — | 7 | 7 | 3 | 129 | 101 | 220 | 102 | 78 | 38 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | — | E 12 | NE 13 | E 13 | S 16 | S 15 | — | — | — | — | NE 13 | E 12 | ESE 10 | S 17 | S 16 | S 17 | NE 4 |
| kJ | 53 | 17 | 17 | 17 | — | 12 | 6 | 14 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 3 | 42 | 145 | 122 | 142 | 10 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | ENE 5 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 5 | NE 6 | — | SE 3 | S 7 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | NNE 3 | N 3 | E 3 | — |
| kJ | 22 | 74 | 184 | 68 | 41 | 141 | — | 7 | 784 | 1463 | 3429 | 3111 | 2100 | 1446 | — | — | — | 5 | 1 | 4 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 221 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 124 | 791 | 776 | 238 | 158 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Blue Bay surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Nearest