Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at the outlook for Blue Bay.

We've got a bit of a mixed bag here at Blue Bay over the next couple of weeks. The water temp is sitting at 65.5°, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We're starting off quiet this weekend. Saturday and Sunday are pretty lackluster with tiny, weak waves and poor conditions. Not worth paddling out for.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Monday the 7th. Monday morning is looking *magic*. We've got clean 5.2 ft surf rolling in from the S, but the real story is the wind: dead calm, glassy conditions. The swell energy is moderate at 473, and with the period at 8 seconds, it'll be a bit weak but super clean. This is the one to aim for if you want a smooth session with nobody around.

The swell starts to ramp up into the new week. Tuesday the 8th gets big – 9.8 ft from the S (strong energy at 1557), but it’s cross-shore and a bit messy on the morning, then cross-onshore in the arvo. That’s big, powerful surf (energy over 1500), but the winds are going to chop it up. Only for the experienced crew, and honestly, the conditions won’t do it justice.

Wednesday the 9th morning is another standout. It backs off to 5.2 ft, but the wind goes light and cross-offshore. For a reef, that’s going to produce some clean, lined-up waves. The energy is still moderate at 432. This is a real quality window before the wind goes howling from the S in the afternoon.

The pattern repeats: Thursday the 10th morning offers another clean shot at 9.8 ft from the S with a light cross-off breeze, but the wind gets messy again by afternoon. The energy is strong (1828).

After that, the forecast gets a bit ordinary until we see another clean spell. Sunday the 13th morning is glassy again, but the swell drops right back to 3.3 ft. A long period of 12 seconds means it’ll be clean but small and a bit inconsistent.

Looking further out, the best bet in the second week is Wednesday the 16th. A solid 8.2 ft from the S with moderate energy (1559) but a cross-shore wind will keep it a bit ragged. Thursday the 17th morning cleans up with a 6.6 ft S swell and a cross-off wind.

Best on offer: No doubt about it, Monday morning the 7th is the pick for clean, surfable conditions with no wind. For a bigger, more powerful session, Wednesday morning the 9th offers a great mix of size and cross-offshore wind, but watch that afternoon wind. The later part of the forecast is all about watching the wind – the swell is there, but the conditions are a gamble.

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