Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 11s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 8 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, S swell with 1,119 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s break down the next couple of weeks at Blue Bay in feet.
The start is dead flat—nothing to get excited about. The first real action is on Friday the 4th of September. That morning, we’ve got a 3ft swell coming from the south with an 11-second period and moderate energy (288). The wind is glassy out of the SSW, so conditions are pristine. That’s your best session of the whole run. The water is 65°, pretty average for the season.
The weekend goes quiet again. Swell drops to small, winds get messy, and wave energy falls to almost nothing by Sunday.
Then around Thursday the 10th of September, things get serious. A big S swell hits 8ft in the afternoon, with a very long period of 16 seconds and energy readings up at 3498—that’s powerful stuff. The wind is cross-shore, and with that size, only experts should even think about paddling out. The long period will make for widely spaced sets, but the chop will be a factor.
Friday the 11th of September is a better bet for the average surfer: 6ft SSE swell, clean cross-off wind in the morning, and strong energy (1240). It’s a week out, so keep an eye on it.
After that, it’s a slow fade. The 18th of September has a tiny 1ft SSE swell with an 18-second period, but it’s barely surfable—energy is only 184.
Best call: Friday morning the 4th of September. Clean, glassy, and 3ft of southerly swell. The rest is a waiting game. Blue Bay is an inconsistent reef, so don’t expect much.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Sat morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 11 | S 9 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 6 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 73 | 52 | 33 | 246 | 201 | 65 | 94 | 60 | 28 | 10 | 819 | 347 | 282 | 169 | 239 | 1088 | 542 | 240 | 163 | 107 | 310 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 12:20PM1.44m | 00:50AM1.03m | 1:25PM1.43m | 2:14AM0.96m | 2:40PM1.44m | 3:44AM0.96m | 3:54PM1.49m | 4:59AM1.02m | 5:00PM1.56m | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:01PM0.37m | 6:37AM0.40m | 8:22PM0.37m | 7:47AM0.46m | 9:46PM0.33m | 9:08AM0.47m | 10:57PM0.24m | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:28AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.28m | 1:23AM0.04m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |  | | | |  | |  | |
 | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 31 | 29 | 22 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 21 | 21 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 27 | 25 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 11 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 6 | SSW 7 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | E 10 | ENE 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 15 |
| kJ | 73 | 52 | 33 | 246 | 201 | 42 | 94 | 60 | 28 | 91 | 819 | 347 | 282 | 169 | 9 | 9 | 542 | 240 | 163 | 107 | 17 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | NE 7 | S 6 | ENE 10 | NE 4 | ENE 9 | ENE 5 | S 9 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | NE 4 | NE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 31 | 38 | 13 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 45 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 86 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NW 3 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | NNE 8 | S 12 | SSW 15 | E 9 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 7 | NE 8 | SE 11 | NE 8 | — | — | SE 11 | ENE 9 | S 17 | E 16 |
| kJ | 6 | 2 | 18 | 19 | 6 | 65 | 47 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | — | — | 5 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | SW 3 | SSW 5 | SW 5 | — | WNW 3 | NNE 4 | NW 4 | SW 3 | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | S 6 | S 9 | — | — | — | SE 8 | SSE 7 |
| kJ | 10 | 1 | 31 | 32 | — | 2 | 14 | 12 | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 239 | 1088 | — | — | — | 79 | 310 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 158 | 0 | 8 | 776 | 161 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 563 | 166 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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