Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 13s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 11s period, S swell with 814 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 1.8m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, mates, let’s talk about Blue Bay for the next couple of weeks. It's gonna be a slow start, but there's a big one lurking out there.
For the first week or so, it’s a lot of small, weak surf. You’re looking at waist-high mush and a lot of onshore or cross-shore breezes messing with the surface. There are some clean windows here and there, but the waves are just too small to get excited about. Don't get fooled by the little bumps early on; it's just ordinary.
Now, the first thing that really gets your attention is Sunday the 6th of September. A bigger pulse of south swell is showing, pushing the surf up to around 1.9m (6ft). The energy in the water is strong, around 819. But the wind is coming from the side, putting some chop on the face and making it messy. It’ll be a bigger day, but it won't be the clean, classic Blue Bay we want.
Hold on, because Friday the 11th is the real standout. The models are showing a solid 3.0m (10ft) of south swell, with a very strong energy reading of 1767. That Friday morning, the wind is supposed to go light and glassy. That is the day. This is the one that will have the reef roaring. This is for experienced surfers only – it’s well overhead and powerful. If you're a beginner, stay on the beach for this one.
There’s a smaller, still fun day on the morning of the 12th with about 1.4m (4-5ft) of clean leftover swell and an offshore breeze. It’ll be a good option if you’re tired after Friday.
Water temp is at 18°, which is about normal for the season. So grab your usual rubber.
So keep your head up, get through the flat spells, and get ready for Friday the 11th. That's the one that could be something special. This is Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed morning, min 14°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sat morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Thu afternoon, fresh winds from the NNE by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 16 | S 15 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | E 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 210 | 174 | 157 | 140 | 242 | 185 | 138 | 104 | 79 | 50 | 51 | 54 | 33 | 112 | 110 | 78 | 102 | 66 | 9 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | on | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 10:01AM1.42m | 10:07PM1.38m | 10:41AM1.45m | 10:52PM1.27m | 11:26AM1.45m | 11:44PM1.14m | 12:20PM1.44m | 00:50AM1.03m | 1:25PM1.43m | 2:14AM0.96m | 2:40PM1.44m | 3:44AM0.96m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:46AM0.12m | 4:05PM0.26m | 4:20AM0.17m | 4:55PM0.29m | 4:58AM0.24m | 5:52PM0.33m | 5:42AM0.32m | 7:01PM0.37m | 6:37AM0.40m | 8:22PM0.37m | 7:47AM0.46m | 9:46PM0.33m | |||||||
 |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 24 | 26 | 20 | 27 | 26 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 29 | 27 | 18 |
Feels °C | 16 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 21 | 17 | 24 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 23 | 22 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 6 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 |
| kJ | 210 | 148 | 117 | 140 | 242 | 185 | 138 | 104 | 79 | 50 | 51 | 54 | 58 | 112 | 110 | 78 | 102 | 66 | 49 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | NE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSE 10 | S 6 | S 18 | NNE 4 | NE 5 | NE 6 | NE 6 |
| kJ | 148 | 174 | 157 | 104 | 38 | 37 | 23 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 19 | 33 | 16 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | NE 12 | ENE 10 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NNW 3 | NE 6 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 19 | S 15 | E 9 | E 9 | E 11 |
| kJ | 24 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 27 | 42 | 15 | 7 | 9 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ENE 2 | NE 3 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | W 3 | S 2 | SSW 6 | — | NE 3 | NW 3 | N 3 | WNW 4 | WSW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 107 | — | 8 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 8 | 26 | 128 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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