Blue Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya from the beach.

The next 16 days are a real mixed bag for us. We’re lookin’ at a lot of time where the conditions just aren't gonna be kind to a paddler. There’s a big gap of poor surf from now all the way through until Thursday morning the 13th of August, so don’t even bother waxing the board for the first few days. It’s a pretty bleak start.

We’ve got one real standout and that’s Friday morning the 14th. That’s your window. Blue Bay is the spot. It’s the only time in this outlook that everything clicks. We have a clean 4ft swell coming from the south with a solid 10-second period, and it’s gonna be glassy – dead calm wind. That’s rare, and it’ll make for some gorgeous, clean lines. The energy in the water is moderate (363). The water temp is sittin’ around 64°, which is about average for this time of year – nothing shocking.

Now, after that, it gets real ordinary again. Saturday the 15th is cross-shore with light rain, not really worth paddling out with the messy conditions. Sunday the 16th the wind picks up onshore and it’s choppy. That run of ordinary and poor surf stretches all the way into the middle of the next week. The swell is small and the wind is just never in our favour for Blue Bay.

There’s a flicker of hope on Wednesday morning the 19th with a little offshore wind and some clean 4ft swell, but the period is short (7 seconds) and the energy is weak (212). You might get a couple of fun ones if you’re desperate, but it’s nothing to write home about. Thursday the 20th morning is glassy again with a tiny 4ft swell – same problem, low energy and short period (121).

Looking into the second week, things stay pretty flat and wimpy. We get a long stretch of tiny 2ft to 3ft swell from the ENE. The wind is offshore for a few days, so it’ll be clean, but there’s no power behind it. Good for a longboard cruise maybe, but not for a real session. The week closes out with a big spike in energy on the 27th – a solid 6ft S swell with an 11-second period and massive energy (873) – but it’s blowing a 25 mph cross-offshore wind, which just makes it a wild, messy ocean. That’s more kite-surfing territory than paddle-surfing. The next day, a 7ft S swell (1266) is just going to be a washing machine with those strong onshore winds. Avoid it.

So bottom line: nail that Friday morning glass-off. It’s the best of a bad bunch.

- Rusty

Read more