Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, NE swell with 530 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's break it down for the next couple of weeks. First few days are basically a no-go – tiny waves and bad conditions. Big gap of nothing worth surfing until later.
From Thursday 6th August through Wednesday 12th August – a real bum stretch. Waves are tiny and weak, with combined energy under 130 (weak), and the wind is either onshore or just messy. You’ll be sitting this one out for about a week straight.
Thursday 13th and Friday 14th August look like the only real chance. Friday 14th August morning at Blue Bay is the standout. We’ve got a big 10ft swell from the S, with a period around 10 seconds. Combined energy is a massive 3343 – that's very strong. Not for beginners – this is expert-only territory. The wind is offshore from the WNW at 6 mph, so it should be clean enough. Water temp is about 64°, which is normal for the season.
Saturday 15th August morning – still some solid size around 5ft from the SSE with light wind. Combined energy drops to 420 (moderate). The afternoon gets messier with an onshore breeze, so stick to the morning.
From Sunday 16th August onward, there's plenty of size – 5ft to 6ft – but the wind is mostly cross-off or cross-shore and often strong. The wave comments keep saying "poor surf conditions" or "very ordinary". By Thursday 20th and Friday 21st August, the swell's still there but the wind's cross-shore and choppy.
Best bet overall: Friday morning 14th August at Blue Bay – for experienced surfers only, a powerful 10ft S swell. The reef is inconsistent so be ready to wait. Crowds only show up "sometimes", so you might have it quiet. Water temp is normal. That's the only session worth the drive in this whole forecast. Everything else is flat, messy, or just not worth it.
Hang in there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Sun night, light winds from the W by Tue morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | ENE 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 30 | 91 | 99 | 52 | 55 | 49 | 32 | 21 | 85 | 184 | 184 | 530 | 255 | 133 | 48 | 308 | 41 | 235 | 158 | 90 | 73 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | off | on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 1:51PM1.39m | 2:10AM1.03m | 2:58PM1.44m | 3:35AM0.98m | 4:06PM1.52m | 4:56AM1.00m | 5:11PM1.61m | 6:03AM1.06m | 6:09PM1.71m | 6:59AM1.13m | 7:01PM1.78m | 7:49AM1.20m | 7:50PM1.80m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:28PM0.44m | 8:05AM0.36m | 9:50PM0.38m | 9:15AM0.39m | 11:05PM0.28m | 10:25AM0.38m | 00:08AM0.16m | 11:31AM0.33m | 1:02AM0.07m | 12:29PM0.27m | 1:49AM-0.00m | 1:22PM0.22m | 2:33AM-0.03m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — |
 | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 20 | 20 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 5 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSW 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 9 | 91 | 99 | 49 | 52 | 49 | 33 | 29 | 85 | 184 | 184 | 386 | 255 | 133 | 85 | 308 | 158 | 235 | 158 | 90 | 73 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | E 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | E 7 | SSE 9 | ENE 7 | S 7 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | E 14 | S 13 | S 13 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | S 12 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 9 |
| kJ | 30 | 21 | 19 | 52 | 55 | 26 | 32 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 38 | 77 | 58 | 77 | 83 | 38 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | SSE 12 | E 10 | SSE 12 | ENE 8 | S 8 | ENE 7 | E 8 | SSE 9 | S 6 | S 6 | S 10 | — | S 13 | E 13 | NNE 8 | ENE 10 | NE 7 | — | ENE 10 | — |
| kJ | 5 | 15 | 18 | 27 | 21 | 33 | 18 | 21 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 2 | — | 72 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | — | — | NE 8 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | W 4 | WNW 4 | NW 3 | NNW 4 | N 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | — | — | 530 | 45 | 47 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 40 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 148 | 233 | 250 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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