
Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, S swell with 1,603 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.1m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it just for Blue Bay.
Alright, looking at the next couple of weeks for Blue Bay, it's a real mixed bag. We start off with a bit of a wait, but things build into a few standout windows if you're patient.
The first decent opportunity rolls in on Saturday, July 25th. The early morning session is the pick here. We've got a clean 6-foot swell rolling in from the south with a 11-second period, and the wind is light offshore from the WNW. The water is sitting at 65°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate (837). The reef setup here means that longer period south swell like this should wrap in nicely, offering some proper lines. The only downside is that it's inconsistent, so you might have to wait a bit for the set, but when it comes, it'll be worth it.
Sunday, July 26th morning is also a solid shout. Similar conditions: a clean 5-foot south swell, 11-second period, with light offshore wind from the west. The energy is a bit lower (628), but it's still a fun, clean wave. Keep in mind, this spot can get crowded sometimes, so get in early.
The real standout, the one you circle on the calendar, is Wednesday morning, August 6th, and even more so Friday morning, August 7th. On the 6th, we're looking at a massive 13-foot south-east swell, with a very long 13-second period. The combined energy is huge (5553), which is serious power. The wind is light from the SSE. This is big, heavy groundswell. For a reef break, this is proper, but it's strictly for experienced surfers only. The 7th is the pick of the whole run. The swell drops slightly to 10 feet from the ESE, still with a 13-second period, giving you that same incredible energy (3270), but the wind goes completely glassy. Zero wind. That is a rare and beautiful thing. This will be an epic, clean, powerful session for the guys who can handle it. The water temperature will be a bit cooler by then, but with a forecast like that, you won't care.
There's a sizable gap in quality between the end of July and the start of the second week with a lot of onshore, lumpy, and poor conditions. The wind swings around onshore a lot, and that big surf in early August gets chopped up by the wind. The early sessions on the 25th and 26th of July are your best bet for fun, manageable waves, while the first week of August is for the big guns only, when the wind plays nice.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Thu night, calm by Fri afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 15 | S 16 | S 19 | S 16 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
90 | 44 | 535 | 598 | 1603 | 797 | 416 | 332 | 621 | 477 | 345 | 210 | 177 | 170 | 99 | 73 | 72 | 80 | 116 | 85 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | cross-on | off | off | cross | off | off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 4:07AM0.89m | 4:36PM1.36m | 5:13AM0.89m | 5:26PM1.40m | 6:08AM0.93m | 6:12PM1.46m | 6:53AM0.97m | 6:53PM1.52m | 7:33AM1.02m | 7:32PM1.57m | 8:10AM1.07m | 8:08PM1.60m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:38PM0.50m | 9:37AM0.49m | 11:38PM0.44m | 10:34AM0.49m | 00:26AM0.38m | 11:27AM0.47m | 1:07AM0.32m | 12:14PM0.43m | 1:44AM0.26m | 12:57PM0.39m | 2:19AM0.21m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:52AM0.17m | |||||||
— | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | |
5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 |
Temp °C | 19 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 14 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 16 | S 19 | S 10 |
90 | 44 | 535 | 598 | 1603 | 797 | 416 | 332 | 621 | 477 | 345 | 210 | 177 | 170 | 99 | 73 | 32 | 80 | 116 | 72 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | SE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | SE 16 | SE 14 | S 14 | S 15 | S 8 | SSW 6 | S 16 |
7 | 2 | 28 | 27 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 72 | 11 | 7 | 85 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | S 14 | SE 7 | S 18 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | — | — | SE 17 | SE 14 | NE 8 | NE 8 | SE 15 | NE 4 | NE 4 | E 8 | NE 8 |
3 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 12 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 4 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | NE 8 | — | SW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 8 | — | NE 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 2 | — | SSE 5 |
3 | 197 | — | — | — | 17 | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | 47 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 544 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










