Surf Forecasts:
Blue Bay surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, S swell with 1,612 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blue Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 2.0m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blue Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blue Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Howdy folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cookin’ at Blue Bay. It’s a reef setup, intermediate territory, and it’s inconsistent, so you gotta be patient. The optimum swell direction is from the SSE, and it’s fairly exposed to swell. The water temp is about average for this time of year.
We’re looking at a real slow start. Wednesday the 29th is a total write-off, with tiny 0.7ft to 0.3ft swell and a long 17-second period, but it’s just too weak to do anything, with energy in the 20s (29) and then 8 – just a tease. Forget it.
Thursday the 30th is where it finally wakes up. Thursday morning brings a clean 7ft S swell, 10-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (757), and the wave comment says to expect very good surf. The wind is light, so it’ll be clean. That’s a solid morning. Thursday afternoon gets a bit cross-shore and messy, so aim for the early.
Friday the 31st is the real standout. Friday morning hits with a 7ft S swell, 11-second period, and a clean cross-offshore breeze. The energy is strong (1872), and the wave comment says it’s excellent for experienced surfers. This is not a beginner wave – over 5ft, so novices be warned. Crowds are possible at this spot, but with the inconsistent nature, you might find some space. This is the best on offer.
Saturday the 1st of August starts with a glassy 5ft S swell, 10-second period, and moderate energy (440). The wind is glassy – that’s a major positive. It’ll be clean and fun. Saturday afternoon goes onshore and gets messy.
Sunday the 2nd of August has a clean 5ft SSE swell, 11-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze in the morning. The energy is moderate (492). The afternoon gets a strong onshore wind, so keep it to the morning.
After that, we drop off. Monday the 3rd through to the end of the period has some small, weak, or messy days. There’s a highlight on Thursday the 6th of August morning with a 6ft S swell, 10-second period, and a clean light offshore breeze, with good energy (739). That’s another good window. And Friday the 7th of August morning is glassy with a 6ft SSE swell, 10-second period, and strong energy (851) – that’s a real gem. But after that, it’s a long stretch of small, weak surf into the second week.
So, the standouts are clear: Friday the 31st morning for the biggest, punchy swell, and Friday the 7th of August morning for the glassy, clean conditions. The rest are mostly small or wind-affected.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 20°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 17 | S 16 | S 14 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SSE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 13 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 753 | 425 | 1104 | 1069 | 786 | 563 | 432 | 328 | 710 | 486 | 322 | 288 | 175 | 90 | 34 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 8:10AM1.07m | 8:08PM1.60m | 8:46AM1.11m | 8:43PM1.60m | 9:22AM1.16m | 9:17PM1.58m | 9:58AM1.20m | 9:52PM1.53m | 10:36AM1.25m | 10:28PM1.45m | 11:16AM1.29m | 11:09PM1.35m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:19AM0.21m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:52AM0.17m | 2:16PM0.34m | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.34m | 3:55AM0.13m | 3:36PM0.35m | 4:26AM0.13m | 4:19PM0.37m | 4:59AM0.16m | 5:08PM0.40m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 16 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 17 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 8 | S 16 | ENE 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | ENE 7 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SSE 9 |
| kJ | 13 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 753 | 425 | 1104 | 795 | 5 | 563 | 432 | 328 | 710 | 486 | 322 | 288 | 175 | 90 | 34 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | N 4 | S 7 | S 14 | NE 6 | NE 6 | — | ENE 7 | E 13 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SSE 14 | NE 6 | NE 4 | SE 13 | NE 4 | NE 5 | ENE 5 | SE 8 |
| kJ | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 74 | 2 | 3 | 162 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 16 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 3 | S 17 | SE 6 | S 13 | E 13 | E 12 | — | E 13 | — | E 13 | E 12 | ENE 7 | E 12 | NE 9 | E 17 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | SE 15 | ENE 5 |
| kJ | 2 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | NW 3 | WSW 3 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | S 11 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NE 3 | NNE 4 | NNW 2 | NNW 2 | WSW 3 |
| kJ | 1 | 5 | 6 | 82 | — | — | — | 1069 | 786 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 95 | 536 | 229 | 38 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blue Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blue Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blue Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blue Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blue Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blue Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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