Surf Forecasts:
San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SW swell with 371 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Pancho (San Francisco) this week:
The surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Pancho (San Francisco) in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for San Pancho.
This is a reef set-up that loves a solid SW groundswell, and we’ve got a nice little run of pulses lining up. The water is sitting at 89°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – you’ll be surfing in a bathtub.
The first couple of days are a bit messy. Thursday the 6th has some clean waves in the morning at 2ft from the SW with 13-second period (195 combined energy), but a risk of thunderstorms and light ESE wind make it pretty average. The afternoons are a write-off with cross-on wind.
Now, Friday the 7th morning is where it starts to get interesting. We’ve got a glassy surface with a 2ft SW groundswell, but the period has jumped to 18 seconds, pushing the energy up to a solid 400. That’s a proper long-period groundswell, so expect long lines and clean conditions. This is a standout for the early session.
The best of the best, though, looks like Saturday the 15th morning. A solid 4ft SW swell with 16-second period and a combined energy reading of 647. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the NE. That is going to be firing, with well-shaped, powerful waves. Another cracker is Friday the 14th morning with 3ft, 18-second period and a massive 651 energy reading – glassy conditions make that a serious contender too.
There are plenty of other good mornings mixed in, like Sunday the 9th, Monday the 10th, and the 17th, 18th, 20th and 21st, all offering clean, surfable waves in the 2ft to 3ft range. The afternoons are generally blown out by the westerly sea breeze, so stick to the dawn patrol. The longest gap with no quality options is just the afternoons, which is pretty standard.
The highlight is definitely the 14th and 15th mornings. That big, clean SW groundswell will make San Pancho a rippable reef.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 45mm), heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 30°C on Thu afternoon, min 24°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 26°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 20 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 113 | 140 | 166 | 249 | 358 | 264 | 367 | 276 | 255 | 211 | 200 | 178 | 180 | 239 | 133 | 307 | 307 | 190 | 366 | 251 | 287 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy | off | on | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy |
High Tide | 2:20PM1.30m | 4:11PM1.31m | 8:44AM1.11m | 5:46PM1.38m | 8:53AM1.20m | 6:53PM1.49m | 9:14AM1.26m | 7:46PM1.58m | 9:38AM1.32m | 8:31PM1.63m | 10:03AM1.35m | 9:13PM1.62m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 11:35PM0.45m | 00:49AM0.28m | 12:12PM1.04m | 1:38AM0.13m | 1:19PM0.94m | 2:19AM0.02m | 2:04PM0.83m | 2:56AM-0.03m | 2:44PM0.73m | 3:30AM-0.02m | 3:21PM0.63m | ||||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — |
 | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:32 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | 6 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 34 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 30 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 34 | 31 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 31 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 113 | 140 | 136 | 151 | 358 | 264 | 367 | 276 | 255 | 211 | 200 | 178 | 180 | 178 | 129 | 307 | 307 | 190 | 366 | 251 | 287 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | NW 12 | W 13 | WNW 4 |
| kJ | 22 | 113 | 166 | 249 | 95 | 89 | 87 | 69 | 43 | 18 | 73 | 72 | 136 | 239 | 133 | 164 | 108 | 66 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | W 6 | WNW 3 | — | S 13 | — | W 13 | SW 23 | WSW 5 | W 5 | W 12 | WNW 5 | SW 16 | W 13 | NW 5 | W 13 | W 12 | NW 3 | S 12 | S 11 | SW 22 |
| kJ | 60 | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | — | 4 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | W 5 | — | — | NW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | — |
| kJ | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 4 |
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Information about the San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Pancho (San Francisco) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Pancho (San Francisco) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Pancho (San Francisco)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Pancho (San Francisco) is 32 km (20 miles) from the city of Ixtapa. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ixtapa. Ixtapa has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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