Surf Forecasts:
San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 17s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SW swell with 667 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Pancho (San Francisco) this week:
The surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Pancho (San Francisco) in the next 16 days are 1.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey everyone, Rusty here with the San Pancho forecast.
The first few days are a bit ordinary, but we get going on Wednesday morning, September 9th. The wind goes glassy on a 2ft swell out of the SW with a long 16-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 423, and the water is a balmy 89°, which is much warmer than normal for the time of year. This is a clean, tropical start. The break is a reef, so that long period means better shape but a bit more time between sets. And yeah, it can get crowded sometimes.
The real standout is Thursday morning, September 10th. Swell pushes up to a clean 3ft from the SW with that same 16-second period, but the wind goes offshore from the East at just 3 mph. That's a recipe for perfect, glassy walls. The combined energy is 549 (moderate). This is your best morning of the first week.
We get a solid run of clean mornings after that. Friday the 11th morning has a 3ft SW swell (15-second period) with a light cross-offshore breeze. Sunday the 13th, Monday the 14th, Tuesday the 15th, and Wednesday the 16th mornings all bring glassy or light offshore conditions on SW swells between 2ft and 3ft. Get up early.
Looking ahead, Friday morning, September 18th looks special. It’s a smaller 2ft swell, but the period jumps to a very long 20 seconds – that’s some serious groundswell energy, with a combined energy of 502 (moderate). A light cross-offshore breeze will keep it clean. That’s a long-range call, so don't book your flight yet, but mark it.
Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th mornings keep the pattern going with clean, glassy 3ft SW groundswells (18-second period).
The call here is Thursday morning the 10th for the best mix of size and conditions in the first week, and Friday morning the 18th for the long-period quality if it holds. Afternoons get choppy, so don't sleep in. Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 27°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Mon morning, min 26°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 114 | 211 | 260 | 346 | 300 | 486 | 480 | 546 | 365 | 301 | 293 | 245 | 195 | 144 | 140 | 138 | 134 | 194 | 249 | 370 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off | off | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross | glassy | glassy | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 7:51PM1.52m | 9:03AM1.40m | 8:31PM1.56m | 9:22AM1.45m | 9:08PM1.56m | 9:40AM1.49m | 9:42PM1.50m | 9:58AM1.50m | 10:15PM1.40m | 10:15AM1.50m | 10:46PM1.28m | 10:31AM1.48m | 11:15PM1.15m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:37AM0.09m | 2:39PM0.55m | 3:05AM0.13m | 3:10PM0.44m | 3:29AM0.22m | 3:40PM0.36m | 3:50AM0.32m | 4:10PM0.32m | 4:08AM0.44m | 4:38PM0.33m | 4:20AM0.55m | 5:06PM0.36m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  | |  |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — |
 | 7:10 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:05 | — |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 34 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 30 | 32 | 30 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 10 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | W 7 | W 6 | SW 13 | WSW 6 | W 6 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 96 | 92 | 260 | 346 | 300 | 486 | 480 | 546 | 365 | 301 | 293 | 245 | 195 | 56 | 27 | 138 | 44 | 36 | 249 | 370 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SW 16 | W 10 | W 9 | SW 15 | W 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SSW 10 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | W 6 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 12 | W 6 |
| kJ | 114 | 211 | 64 | 41 | 176 | 38 | 23 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 16 | 144 | 140 | 133 | 134 | 194 | 72 | 15 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | W 13 | SSW 10 | W 8 | WNW 7 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 13 | SW 19 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 12 | W 12 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 104 | 103 | 99 | 56 | 81 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 49 | 49 | 13 | 58 | 66 | 129 | 73 | 11 | 69 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | W 6 | — | — | W 6 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | — | — | 24 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 504 | 17 |
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Information about the San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Pancho (San Francisco) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Pancho (San Francisco) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Pancho (San Francisco)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Pancho (San Francisco) is 32 km (20 miles) from the city of Ixtapa. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ixtapa. Ixtapa has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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