Surf Forecasts:
San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 19s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period, SW swell with 1,560 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 21s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Pancho (San Francisco) this week:
The surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 21s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Pancho (San Francisco) in the next 16 days are 1.6m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 21s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next couple weeks of surf for this spot.
We got a fun run of swell coming through, but it takes a few days to get started, and by the end we’re looking at a long flat spell. The real highlight is Monday through Wednesday next week, with a solid, clean Southwest groundswell pushing in.
Saturday the 25th starts small, with knee to waist-high waves and a chance of thunderstorms. The morning is the better bet with a light cross-off breeze. Sunday the 26th sees the swell picking up to waist-high, and with glassy conditions in the morning that’s the first real clean session.
The main event is Monday the 27th through Wednesday the 29th. We are talking head-high to slightly overhead surf (about 5 ft) from the SW, with a very long period – 18 seconds on Monday, easing to 16 seconds by Wednesday. That’s proper groundswell, and the combined energy is strong to very strong (1404 to 1083). That long period makes the reef at San Pancho (San Francisco) really come alive, and the SW direction is exactly what it wants. Monday morning has offshore E wind, Tuesday morning is glassy – dead calm – and Wednesday morning is offshore again. All three mornings are rated excellent for experienced surfers. If you can paddle out at dawn on any of these days, you’ll get the best waves of the whole forecast. Crowds do show up here *sometimes*, so you’ll want to be early.
Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st still have waist-high leftovers but the period drops off. Mornings stay clean enough with offshore or cross-off breezes. By Saturday the 1st of August the swell drops to knee-high and weak, with combined energy down in the 300s. Sunday the 2nd is even smaller at about 2 ft. From Sunday the 2nd through to Saturday the 9th of August we’re looking at a long flat spell. Waves are knee-high or smaller, energy is very low (100-365). The afternoons are mostly blown out, and even the clean mornings will be tiny and weak. For beginners, the Monday the 27th to Wednesday the 29th surf is over 5 ft and better left to the experienced crew. This kind of flat period is normal for the area in summer, just a seasonal lull.
Water temp is about normal for this time of year, nothing to write home about.
Keep your eyes on those early morning windows and don’t get your hopes up for the second week.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 31mm), heaviest during Fri night. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1455 | 635 | 945 | 1195 | 813 | 881 | 1099 | 1398 | 1216 | 1297 | 1267 | 1137 | 897 | 875 | 773 | 551 | 407 | 401 | 379 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy | glassy | on | cross | off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | off | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | on | glassy |
High Tide | 9:13AM1.11m | 6:48PM1.33m | 9:22AM1.15m | 7:28PM1.40m | 9:37AM1.18m | 8:04PM1.46m | 9:56AM1.21m | 8:37PM1.51m | 10:16AM1.23m | 9:08PM1.53m | 10:36AM1.26m | 9:39PM1.51m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:53AM0.31m | 1:24PM0.96m | 2:22AM0.23m | 1:53PM0.90m | 2:49AM0.16m | 2:20PM0.84m | 3:14AM0.12m | 2:47PM0.79m | 3:39AM0.11m | 3:14PM0.73m | 4:03AM0.13m | 3:44PM0.69m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — |
 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:40 | — |
mm | 8 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 6 | — | 1 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
Temp °C | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 33 | 33 | 31 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 |
| kJ | 1455 | 635 | 945 | 1195 | 813 | 881 | 1099 | 1398 | 1216 | 1297 | 1267 | 1137 | 897 | 875 | 773 | 491 | 365 | 333 | 355 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | WSW 8 | SW 12 | WSW 8 | SW 11 | WSW 7 | SSW 12 | W 7 | W 7 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 10 | SW 10 | WSW 12 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 55 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 31 | 17 | 50 | 4 | 4 | 211 | 349 | 376 | 212 | 173 | 294 | 551 | 407 | 401 | 379 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 11 | WSW 7 | SW 14 | WSW 7 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 | W 8 | W 9 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | S 11 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 72 | 36 | 33 | 31 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 57 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Pancho (San Francisco) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Pancho (San Francisco) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Pancho (San Francisco)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Pancho (San Francisco) is 32 km (20 miles) from the city of Ixtapa. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ixtapa. Ixtapa has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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