
Surf Forecasts:
San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 13s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period, SW swell with 878 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 16s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Pancho (San Francisco) this week:
The surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Pancho (San Francisco) in the next 16 days are 1.6m 13s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming down the line for San Pancho.
We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but it’s building into something special by the weekend. The first couple of days are small and pretty average, but from Sunday the 19th onwards, the energy starts to show up and we get some really clean windows.
Thursday the 16th is flat and messy, not worth a paddle. A little bump shows Friday morning with 2ft SSW swell and a clean cross-off wind, but it’s still weak (combined energy of 282). Saturday morning is similar with 2ft SW swell and glassy conditions, but still nothing to rave about.
The real action kicks off Sunday the 19th. The morning session looks excellent: 4ft of WSW swell with a 12-second period and offshore ENE wind at 6 mph. The combined energy jumps to 899, a solid moderate pulse. That’s a proper reef-break day for an intermediate surfer, and the crowds are only “sometimes” an issue here, so you’ll likely have plenty of waves. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.
Monday the 20th continues the run with a glassy 3ft SW swell on the morning. That’s a beauty – clean, light air, and decent energy (673). Tuesday the 21st holds at 4ft SW with a light cross-off, but the afternoon gets a bit choppy. The standout window is from Sunday morning through to Wednesday the 22nd morning, with clean conditions and waist-to-chest high swell.
Looking further out, we’ve got a couple of real crackers. Friday the 24th morning is a standout for experienced surfers: 2ft of SW swell but with a massive 24-second period. That is very long-period groundswell. The combined energy reads 1036, which is strong, and it’s glassy with light cross-off wind. This is a reef and point setup, so that long period will wrap in beautifully, delivering some proper shape and power.
Saturday the 25th morning is another glassy gem with 3ft SW swell at a 21-second period and 990 combined energy. For a point or reef, that is a dream.
After that, the swell drops back a bit but stays in the 3ft to 4ft range through the end of the month. Tuesday the 28th morning looks excellent again with 4ft SW swell and clean conditions, combined energy hitting 1130 – that’s proper strong for this region. The final days of July have some nice, clean, smaller options too.
So, to sum it up: the first few days are weak, but from Sunday the 19th through Tuesday the 28th, there are plenty of clean, punchy sessions. If I had to pick one true standout, it’s Friday the 24th morning for that freak long-period groundswell and glassy conditions. The second pick is Tuesday the 28th morning for the strongest swell of the run with clean air. Get on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 30°C on Thu afternoon, min 27°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Sat night. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wed 22 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 10 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 17 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
208 | 65 | 112 | 131 | 104 | 81 | 190 | 243 | 122 | 423 | 451 | 408 | 255 | 492 | 560 | 335 | 695 | 755 | 827 | 712 | 657 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | off | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy | off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on |
High Tide | 9:56PM1.59m | 11:38AM1.27m | 10:38PM1.48m | 12:09PM1.27m | 11:19PM1.33m | 12:40PM1.26m | 00:02AM1.16m | 1:11PM1.24m | 00:55AM0.99m | 1:45PM1.23m | 2:39AM0.85m | 2:28PM1.21m | 3:34PM1.20m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:59AM0.07m | 4:47PM0.73m | 5:31AM0.22m | 5:32PM0.73m | 5:58AM0.38m | 6:23PM0.74m | 6:19AM0.54m | 7:28PM0.75m | 6:28AM0.69m | 9:19PM0.73m | 6:10AM0.80m | 11:42PM0.64m | |||||||||
— | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | |
— | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:44 | |
mm | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | 10 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 |
Feels °C | 33 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 30 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 30 | 32 | 33 | 31 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 34 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 11 | SW 10 | SW 17 | SW 10 | SW 10 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
208 | 65 | 112 | 106 | 87 | 47 | 190 | 94 | 122 | 423 | 451 | 270 | 154 | 492 | 560 | 335 | 695 | 755 | 827 | 712 | 657 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | WSW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 9 | SW 17 | WSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 15 | WSW 9 | WSW 11 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | SW 14 |
63 | 49 | 59 | 56 | 104 | 81 | 39 | 243 | 111 | 169 | 418 | 408 | 255 | 124 | 156 | 94 | 70 | 31 | 26 | 14 | 53 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 7 | SW 16 | SSW 6 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | SW 18 | S 11 | S 10 | SW 12 | WNW 15 | WNW 15 | WNW 15 | WNW 14 | W 9 |
11 | 41 | 4 | 131 | 91 | 54 | 36 | 65 | 95 | 59 | 30 | 55 | 150 | 57 | 52 | 146 | 44 | 43 | 21 | 20 | 14 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NW 5 | — | — | WNW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Pancho (San Francisco) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Pancho (San Francisco) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Pancho (San Francisco)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Pancho (San Francisco) is 32 km (20 miles) from the city of Ixtapa. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ixtapa. Ixtapa has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











