
Surf Forecasts:
San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 21s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 21s period, SW swell with 1,455 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Pancho (San Francisco) this week:
The surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Pancho (San Francisco) in the next 16 days are 1.3m 21s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 21s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 21s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for San Pancho over the next couple of weeks.
Overall, we’ve got a solid run of surf coming through, with a real standout patch right around the end of next week. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.
The first real window opens up on the morning of Wednesday, July 22nd. San Pancho (San Francisco) is a reef setup, and it’s fairly consistent. We’ve got a clean 3 ft swell from the SW with an 11-second period, and a light NE cross-off breeze. The combined energy is moderate (448). It’s a good, clean start to the session.
Thursday morning, July 23rd, stays clean but the swell drops a little to 2 ft from the SW, though the period stretches to 13 seconds. Light cross-off wind again. The energy is lighter (219), but it’s still a nice morning for a paddle.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Friday morning, July 24th, we’ve got glassy conditions with a 2 ft SW swell, and the period is a very long 24 seconds. The energy jumps to moderate (663). This is a groundswell and that long period means it’ll be a bit more lined up, but on a reef setup like San Pancho, that’s a good thing. This is a morning to get excited about.
Saturday morning, July 25th, is also glassy. The swell is 3 ft from the SW, period at 21 seconds, and the energy is up to 709. Another very clean, very good morning.
Sunday morning, July 26th, stays clean with a cross-off NE breeze, 4 ft SW swell at 18 seconds, and 886 combined energy. It’s a solid Sunday sesh.
The real standout arrives on Monday morning, July 27th. We’ve got an offshore ENE breeze at 15 km/h, a 4 ft SW swell with an 18-second period, and the combined energy is strong (1153). The conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the pick of the run. The wind is offshore, the swell has size and period, and the reef will handle it well. This is the one to circle.
Tuesday morning, July 28th, keeps it going with a clean 5 ft SW swell from a light cross-off breeze. The energy is very strong (1469) and the period is 17 seconds. Still excellent for experienced surfers.
Wednesday morning, July 29th, has a clean 6 ft SW swell (13 seconds) and an offshore ENE breeze. The energy is very strong (1703). This is getting big for the average punter, but for the crew who know what they’re doing, it’s a cracker.
Thursday morning, July 30th, is glassy again with a 6 ft SW swell from the south, 13-second period, and very strong energy (1401). This is the biggest of the run, and with glassy conditions, it’s pure magic for the experienced. Too big for beginners, though.
After that, the swell starts to ease. Friday morning, July 31st, has a clean 4 ft WSW swell with a 12-second period and 678 energy. It’s still very good, but the peak has passed.
Saturday morning, August 1st, is similar with a 4 ft WSW swell, 11-second period, and 490 energy. Clean, but dropping.
From Sunday, August 2nd, the swell backs off to 2 ft and stays small through the following week. The mornings are mostly clean, but the energy is low (below 254). The waves are surfable but ordinary, and you’ll be scratching for a decent ride.
The run from July 30th to August 6th sees a gradual decline, with a few days of very small, weak swell. The combined energy drops to as low as 64 on the afternoon of August 4th. It’s a quiet end to the forecast.
So, the best on offer? Hands down, Monday morning, July 27th through Thursday morning, July 30th. That’s your window. If you can only make one, Monday the 27th is the jewel – offshore wind, solid 4 ft SW groundswell, and strong energy. Thursday the 30th is a close second with glassy conditions and the biggest swell of the run. Get out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Thu night. Warm (max 30°C on Wed morning, min 27°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 43mm), heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 29°C on Sat morning, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 13 | SW 26 | SW 13 | SW 24 | SW 23 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
184 | 159 | 242 | 151 | 108 | 237 | 83 | 541 | 268 | 1455 | 635 | 945 | 1195 | 813 | 881 | 1099 | 1099 | 929 | 1062 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 3:34PM1.20m | 4:53PM1.21m | 9:21AM1.07m | 5:58PM1.26m | 9:13AM1.11m | 6:48PM1.33m | 9:22AM1.15m | 7:28PM1.40m | 9:37AM1.18m | 8:04PM1.46m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 11:42PM0.64m | 00:45AM0.52m | 1:23AM0.41m | 12:43PM1.02m | 1:53AM0.31m | 1:24PM0.96m | 2:22AM0.23m | 1:53PM0.90m | 2:49AM0.16m | 2:20PM0.84m | |||||||||
— | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
— | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:42 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | — | — | 14 | — | — | 12 | 1 | 1 | 12 |
Temp °C | 29 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 32 | 34 | 34 | 36 | 34 | 33 | 35 | 35 | 34 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 24 | SW 12 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 |
184 | 159 | 242 | 151 | 94 | 64 | 53 | 541 | 75 | 1455 | 635 | 945 | 1195 | 813 | 881 | 1099 | 1099 | 929 | 1062 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 10 | W 9 | WSW 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 10 | W 9 | WSW 9 | S 10 |
130 | 145 | 160 | 125 | 108 | 84 | 83 | 82 | 55 | 64 | 38 | 49 | 46 | 42 | 42 | 48 | 43 | 28 | 75 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | SW 13 | SW 19 | W 6 | W 6 | SW 26 | W 6 | WSW 8 | SW 23 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 11 | SW 14 | W 11 | SSW 10 | S 13 | W 10 |
5 | 144 | 59 | 9 | 17 | 237 | 17 | 40 | 268 | 72 | 36 | 35 | 54 | 31 | 46 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 30 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 4 | — | — | WNW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 4 | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 17 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 4 | 17 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Pancho (San Francisco) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Pancho (San Francisco) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Pancho (San Francisco)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Pancho (San Francisco) is 32 km (20 miles) from the city of Ixtapa. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ixtapa. Ixtapa has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










