Surf Forecasts:
San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 21s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 21s period, SW swell with 1,455 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Pancho (San Francisco) this week:
The surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Pancho (San Francisco) in the next 16 days are 1.3m 21s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 21s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 21s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about San Pancho for the next couple of weeks. This reef break is set to see a solid run of south-west groundswell, with most of the action stacking up in the mornings. Afternoons, especially from mid-week onward, tend to get chopped up by onshore breezes, so you’ll want to be an early bird. The pattern is clear: glassy or light offshore conditions early, then fading into messy cross-onshore junk by lunch. That said, there are some absolute gems in the lineup if you time it right.
We kick off Sunday morning, July 19 – glassy, 0.9m (about 3 ft) of SW swell with a long 17-second period, and a combined energy of 682. That’s proper groundswell, clean and inviting. Monday morning, July 20, stays clean with 1.0m (3.3 ft) at 16 seconds. Then Tuesday and Wednesday mornings are clean but the swell dips a bit.
The real standout lands on Tuesday morning, July 28. We’re looking at 1.9m (6.2 ft) of SW groundswell, 17-second period, and a strong offshore wind from the east. That’s clean, well-shaped, and the combined energy hits 2010 – that’s serious juice. This is a session for experienced surfers only; beginners will find it too meaty. The reef should handle that long-period energy beautifully, giving you proper lines. Crowds are possible, but with that size and quality, it’ll be worth waiting your turn.
Another beauty is Monday morning, July 27 – 1.3m (4.3 ft), 17 seconds, glassy, and an excellent rating. Slightly smaller but still a cracking window. And don’t overlook Friday morning, July 24, with 0.7m (2.3 ft) at 24 seconds – that’s a very long period groundswell, glassy, and moderate energy (735). The reef will make the most of that long period, but beach breaks might have it breaking too straight – not an issue here.
As we move into the second week, the size holds but the consistency and quality remain strong in the mornings. Wednesday, July 29 morning gives 1.6m (5.2 ft) at 14 seconds with offshore wind, and Thursday, July 30 morning offers 1.8m (5.9 ft) at 14 seconds with cross-off breeze. Both are excellent for experienced surfers. By Friday, July 31, the swell drops to 1.5m (4.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 25°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 26 | SW 9 | SW 24 | SW 23 | SW 21 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 254 | 487 | 408 | 309 | 492 | 492 | 456 | 432 | 346 | 265 | 181 | 160 | 127 | 84 | 237 | 103 | 541 | 193 | 1455 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:02AM1.16m | 1:11PM1.24m | 00:55AM0.99m | 1:45PM1.23m | 2:39AM0.85m | 2:28PM1.21m | 3:34PM1.20m | 4:53PM1.21m | 9:21AM1.07m | 5:58PM1.26m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 6:19AM0.54m | 7:28PM0.75m | 6:28AM0.69m | 9:19PM0.73m | 6:10AM0.80m | 11:42PM0.64m | 00:45AM0.52m | 1:23AM0.41m | 12:43PM1.02m | 1:53AM0.31m | |||||||||
 |  | |  |  | | | | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — |
 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:43 | — |
mm | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 34 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | SW 17 | WSW 10 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 24 | WSW 9 | SW 21 |
| kJ | 79 | 487 | 157 | 309 | 492 | 492 | 456 | 432 | 346 | 265 | 181 | 160 | 59 | 55 | 96 | 103 | 541 | 55 | 1455 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 10 | SW 17 | SW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 9 | SW 12 | WSW 10 |
| kJ | 254 | 145 | 408 | 84 | 53 | 59 | 35 | 22 | 20 | 10 | 48 | 53 | 127 | 84 | 84 | 83 | 83 | 75 | 77 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WNW 17 | SW 18 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | SSW 9 | WNW 15 | WNW 15 | SSW 8 | WNW 4 | SW 19 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | SW 26 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SW 23 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 129 | 50 | 55 | 150 | 50 | 49 | 15 | 44 | 43 | 6 | 3 | 59 | 6 | 5 | 237 | 79 | 111 | 193 | 72 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 4 | — | — | W 5 | — | — | WNW 5 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 8 | — | — | 6 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 497 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Pancho (San Francisco) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Pancho (San Francisco) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Pancho (San Francisco)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Pancho (San Francisco) is 32 km (20 miles) from the city of Ixtapa. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ixtapa. Ixtapa has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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