
Surf Forecasts:
San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 12s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 16s period, SW swell with 966 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Pancho (San Francisco) this week:
The surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Pancho (San Francisco) in the next 16 days are 1.3m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for San Pancho.
We’ve got a solid run of surf starting right now, Wednesday the 2nd. This morning is the pick of the whole forecast. The water’s sitting at 89° – that’s much warmer than what’s normal for this time of year, so you’ll be sweating in your wetsuit. Swell’s coming in at 5ft from the SSW with a moderate 12-second period, and the combined energy is a healthy 810. The wind is light and offshore from the ENE, making for clean lines. It’s a reef setup, so take it seriously if you’re not an intermediate.
Thursday morning, the 3rd, is another standout. A touch smaller at 5ft from the SW, period drops a couple ticks to 10 seconds, but the combined energy jumps up to 1003. Offshore wind is glassy from the east at just 3 mph. The swell direction is a great match for the break’s optimum from the WSW. This is clean and punchy – one of the best windows in the whole outlook.
Friday the 4th through to Sunday the 6th all have solid morning sessions. Friday morning the swell is 4ft from the SW, long 16-second period, combined energy 1334 – that’s a lot of push. Light cross-offshore breeze from the NNE, waves will be clean. Saturday morning is similar, 4ft SW, 16 seconds, combo energy 1090, with light cross-off winds. Sunday morning the wind goes totally glassy, 0 mph from the SSE, with a 3ft SW swell, 15-second period, and combined energy of 803. That’s a very good, clean morning.
Through the second week, from Monday the 7th onward, the size steps down. You’re looking at mornings with 2ft to 4ft SW swell, mostly in the 11-16 second range. The combined energy drops into the 200-600 range. It’s still clean most mornings with light offshore or glassy winds, especially on Thursday the 10th with a 3ft SW, 16-second glassy swell, and again on Monday the 14th with the same. Nothing huge, but if you’re keen, there’s rideable surf most days.
One thing: the swell does drop off small mid-week, with heights under 3ft and combined energy below 300. That’s more of a longboard or cruise session. By the 16th and 17th, the period stretches way out to 23-24 seconds, but the height is tiny at 2-3ft. That long-period groundswell will wrap around the reef, but it’s going to be small and slow.
Overall, the best on offer is Wednesday morning and Thursday morning of this first week. After that, it’s still good but nothing that’ll blow your mind. Get out early, it’s when the wind plays ball.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 31°C on Wed afternoon, min 27°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 10 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
961 | 913 | 451 | 588 | 802 | 966 | 728 | 710 | 701 | 612 | 479 | 418 | 418 | 301 | 297 | 284 | 195 | 192 | 191 | 165 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | off | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 1:08AM0.88m | 12:03PM1.36m | 12:47PM1.27m | 10:02AM1.14m | 4:11PM1.21m | 8:34AM1.19m | 6:04PM1.31m | 8:33AM1.26m | 7:04PM1.43m | 8:46AM1.33m | 7:51PM1.52m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 6:53PM0.47m | 4:54AM0.79m | 8:45PM0.53m | 11:49PM0.44m | 11:55AM1.13m | 00:52AM0.29m | 1:01PM0.99m | 1:33AM0.17m | 1:36PM0.84m | 2:07AM0.10m | 2:08PM0.69m | 2:37AM0.09m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | |
7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:14 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:10 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 4 | — | — | 16 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 31 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 32 | 35 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 31 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 11 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 |
961 | 913 | 451 | 299 | 802 | 966 | 728 | 710 | 701 | 612 | 479 | 303 | 291 | 284 | 244 | 244 | 195 | 192 | 191 | 149 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 11 | SW 19 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | W 11 | W 10 | WSW 11 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 16 |
39 | 131 | 227 | 588 | 204 | 141 | 183 | 236 | 229 | 204 | 205 | 418 | 418 | 301 | 297 | 284 | 180 | 178 | 114 | 165 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 11 | WSW 11 | SW 18 | W 11 | — | — | SSW 12 | — | SW 21 | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SSW 12 |
2 | 22 | 325 | 2 | — | — | 57 | — | 18 | — | 8 | 2 | 15 | 15 | 57 | 53 | 111 | 111 | 106 | 103 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | — | — | NW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 43 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 43 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Pancho (San Francisco) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Pancho (San Francisco) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Pancho (San Francisco)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Pancho (San Francisco) is 32 km (20 miles) from the city of Ixtapa. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ixtapa. Ixtapa has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










