San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf Break

Lat Long: 20.90° N 105.42° W

San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 21 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's San Pancho (San Francisco) sea temperature is
31.6° C
2.2° 

San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 17s period, SW swell with 760 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 21 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Pancho (San Francisco) this week:

The surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at San Pancho (San Francisco) in the next 16 days are 1.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (CST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Fri 21st Aug)2ft (0.6m) 14s
Best Surf12AM (Sat 22nd Aug)2ft (0.6m) 14s
Most Powerful 6PM (Fri 28th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at San Pancho.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but the second half of this 16-day window is where it gets interesting. The water is much warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 89°, so you can leave the thick wetsuit at home.

The first few days are fairly ordinary. Friday morning the 21st you’ll find some small, clean 2ft SW groundswell with a light offshore breeze, but the conditions are very ordinary. That afternoon the wind swings onshore and it’s a write-off.

Saturday the 22nd shapes up better. The morning brings a bit more energy, with 2ft SW swell and the period stretching to 16 seconds, giving it some real push. The wind is light offshore, so it’ll be clean. The combined energy is moderate at 318.

Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th follow a similar pattern: small, clean mornings with offshore or cross-offshore winds, and a solid 14-18 second period. The swell holds around 2ft to 3ft, and the energy is still moderate. Those morning sessions are the ones to chase.

Now, Tuesday the 25th is a real standout. The morning is dead glassy, with 3ft of SW groundswell at 11 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 400, a solid moderate push. For a reef break like San Pancho, that long-period groundswell and glassy conditions will make for some really fun, clean lines. A great call if you can get out.

The theme continues into the end of the month. Wednesday the 26th morning is glassy again with 2ft SW groundswell, and Thursday the 27th morning is clean with a light cross-offshore breeze.

But the real highlight of the whole forecast lands on the morning of Friday the 28th of August. We’ve got 3ft of SW groundswell with a 16-second period – that’s a proper groundswell pulse. The wind is a light cross-offshore, and the combined energy hits 542, which is getting into strong territory. This is the best-looking session of the entire run. Clean, solid, and with that long period, the reef at San Pancho will be working beautifully.

The weekend of the 29th and 30th keeps the fun going. Saturday morning the 29th has 4ft of SW groundswell at 16 seconds and a cross-offshore breeze, with energy at 706. Sunday the 30th morning is similar: 4ft, 15-second period, light offshore wind, and energy at 511. Both are excellent.

Into the first week of September, the pattern holds. Monday the 31st morning is clean, with 3ft SW groundswell. Tuesday the 1st of September morning has a light offshore, and by the afternoon it goes glassy – a great session if you can sneak it.

The 3rd and 4th of September mornings are also looking prime. Thursday the 3rd has 4ft of SW groundswell, cross-offshore wind, and energy rocketing up to 797. Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th mornings are both glassy, with 4ft of SW groundswell and energy in the 700s. Those are proper, clean, powerful sessions.

Overall, there’s a lot to like here. The mornings are your window, and the best of the bunch is the morning of Friday the 28th of August. After that, the 3rd to the 5th of September mornings are also world-class for this spot. Get on it.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Fri morning. Warm (max 31°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Mon night. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
2
2
0
2
2
0
2
2
0
2
2
0
2
2
0
2
2
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
14
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SSW
13
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
0.8
SW
12
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
113
114
133
255
118
203
211
158
219
150
219
277
165
200
203
198
139
134
169
206
165
Wind (km/h)
5
E
0
WSW
5
ESE
10
ENE
15
W
5
SSE
5
E
15
W
5
ESE
5
SE
15
W
15
SSE
5
E
10
W
10
ENE
5
ENE
10
WNW
5
NE
5
ENE
15
NW
5
NE
Wind State
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
on
glassy
glassy
on
off
glassy
on
cross-off
glassy
on
cross-off
glassy
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
10:57AM1.13m
3:06PM1.11m
9:41AM1.12m
5:48PM1.16m
9:08AM1.14m
6:45PM1.27m
9:03AM1.18m
7:24PM1.37m
9:10AM1.23m
7:58PM1.46m
9:22AM1.29m
8:30PM1.52m
9:36AM1.34m
9:01PM1.54m
Low Tide
2:30PM1.11m
1:21AM0.44m
1:32PM1.04m
1:46AM0.34m
1:40PM0.95m
2:09AM0.25m
1:55PM0.86m
2:30AM0.19m
2:16PM0.76m
2:52AM0.15m
2:39PM0.67m
3:13AM0.14m
3:05PM0.57m
mod rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
6:41
6:41
6:43
6:43
6:43
6:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:27
7:25
7:24
7:23
7:22
7:22
7:22
 mm
10
7
3
2
13
4
1
Temp °C
28
30
29
30
31
29
29
29
28
29
30
28
28
29
28
29
29
27
29
30
29
Feels °C
33
33
34
33
34
33
32
32
33
32
33
30
31
31
32
32
32
31
32
33
34
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for San Pancho (San Francisco) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Pancho (San Francisco) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Pancho (San Francisco)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

San Pancho (San Francisco) is 32 km (20 miles) from the city of Ixtapa. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ixtapa. Ixtapa has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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