San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf Break

Lat Long: 20.90° N 105.42° W

San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's San Pancho (San Francisco) sea temperature is
31.5° C
2.7° 

San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 15s period, SSW swell with 398 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Pancho (San Francisco) this week:

The surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at San Pancho (San Francisco) in the next 16 days are 0.9m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (CST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Fri 10th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 15s
Best Surf 9PM (Fri 10th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 15s
Most Powerful12AM (Sun 12th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days.


Hey, Rusty here with the scoop on San Pancho. We’ve got a sweet little run of small but clean surf coming, and one day that’s going to pump for the more experienced crew. The water is sitting at a very warm 89°F, which is way hotter than usual for this time of year, so leave the wetsuit at home.

It all starts on Friday the 10th with the morning session. Waves are around 3ft of southwest groundswell with a long 15-second period. Combined wave energy is moderate at 364, and with a light east-northeast cross-off breeze around 6 mph, it’s clean as can be. This pattern repeats Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th: mornings with 3ft of SW swell and light cross-off winds for good conditions. Afternoons are a mess with onshore wind, so forget about those.

Monday the 13th morning is glassy perfection. A 2ft SW swell with a 14-second period, and the wind goes dead calm. It’s going to be like a lake out there. Tuesday the 14th morning is glassy again, with a tiny 2ft swell from the south-southwest, perfect for a log. The small but clean mornings continue through the week.

The real standout kicks off on Monday the 20th. On the 19th, we start to see the energy building, but Monday the 20th is the call. A 3ft SW swell at 16 seconds, combined energy at 557. The morning is clean, but the afternoon goes completely glassy with a light east-northeast breeze dropping to nearly nothing. That afternoon session is the pick of the whole forecast—smooth, shoulder-high lines with zero wind.

Another top session is Thursday the 23rd morning. This is the biggest swell of the run, with waves hitting 6ft from the southwest. Combined energy is a strong 883. The period is a shorter 12 seconds, but a clean north-northeast cross-off breeze at 9 mph keeps it tidy. This one is for the stronger surfers—big enough to be a handful for beginners. Friday the 24th still has a solid 5ft in the morning, and Saturday the 25th offers a 4ft WSW groundswell with a light offshore breeze.

Because San Pancho is a reef, those long-period groundswells (anything over 15 seconds) will give you great shape and longer lulls between sets, making it easier to get out back. Just remember the mornings are gold, and the afternoons get blown out. Don’t sleep on that Monday the 20th afternoon glass-off.

That’s the goods from me. Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 30°C on Fri afternoon, min 25°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 27°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
2
2
0
2
2
0
2
2
0
2
2
0
2
2
0
2
2
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.5
SW
19
0.7
SW
13
0.6
SSW
13
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.5
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.5
SW
16
0.5
SW
15
0.8
SSW
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
355
360
322
301
305
398
276
257
261
191
184
178
114
252
154
147
208
208
125
113
138
Wind (km/h)
10
ENE
10
WNW
10
NNE
10
NNE
15
NW
10
NNE
10
NNE
15
NW
20
E
5
ESE
15
W
5
ENE
0
ESE
15
WSW
5
ESE
10
ENE
15
W
5
ENE
5
ESE
10
WSW
10
SSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
glassy
on
cross-off
glassy
on
cross-off
off
on
glassy
off
on
cross
High Tide
5:52PM1.46m
8:39AM1.17m
6:48PM1.55m
9:19AM1.23m
7:40PM1.62m
9:56AM1.26m
8:28PM1.66m
10:31AM1.28m
9:13PM1.65m
11:05AM1.28m
9:56PM1.59m
11:38AM1.27m
10:38PM1.48m
Low Tide
11:52AM0.94m
1:34AM0.12m
1:00PM0.92m
2:20AM-0.01m
1:52PM0.88m
3:03AM-0.09m
2:38PM0.83m
3:44AM-0.09m
3:21PM0.78m
4:23AM-0.04m
4:04PM0.75m
4:59AM0.07m
4:47PM0.73m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
thunderstorm
clear
clear
thunderstorm
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:26
6:26
6:26
6:28
6:28
6:28
6:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:45
7:45
7:45
7:45
7:45
7:45
7:45
 mm
3
1
5
1
5
Temp °C
29
30
29
29
30
29
29
30
29
29
30
29
30
30
28
29
30
28
29
30
29
Feels °C
32
33
34
32
33
33
32
33
34
32
32
34
33
33
33
32
33
32
33
33
32
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for San Pancho (San Francisco) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Pancho (San Francisco) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Pancho (San Francisco)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

San Pancho (San Francisco) is 32 km (20 miles) from the city of Ixtapa. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ixtapa. Ixtapa has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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