Surf Forecasts:
San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period, SW swell with 253 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Pancho (San Francisco) this week:
The surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Pancho (San Francisco) in the next 16 days are 0.9m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s chew the fat about the surf for the Punta de Mita stretch, specifically San Pancho. It’s a reef break that’s wide open to a west-southwest swell, and the water temp is about normal for this time of year.
The next few days are a mixed bag. We've got some small, clean waves in the mornings, but the afternoons are going to be junk with the sea breeze. Friday morning will see a clean 3ft SW swell with a 13-second period from the cross-offshore breeze, and the energy is moderate at 331. Don't even think about the afternoon; it's choppy and messy.
Saturday morning is clean but smaller, dropping to around 2ft. Sunday is glassy but tiny. It's that time where you’re just getting wet, not really getting waves.
But here's the kicker. The real juice shows up on Friday the 7th. The morning is clean, with a 2ft SW swell, but the period jumps to a very long 18 seconds. That’s some serious juice for a small wave, and the energy shows it at 377. It's not big, but it's got that long-period push that makes a reef like this absolutely sing.
Then Saturday the 8th morning is the standout. It's glassy, with a slightly bigger 3ft SW swell at 16 seconds, and the energy is up there at 374. This is the early morning session to make. The direction is right on for this break, and with the glassy conditions, it's going to be as clean as it gets all week. Again, the afternoon gets chopped up.
The rest of the second week keeps up the same pattern: clean, rideable mornings with that long-period SW energy, then blown out afternoons. The mornings of the 12th, 13th, and 15th are all looking good with clean, glassy conditions and waves in the 2ft to 3ft range, with energy readings from 370 to 445. The period stays juicy in that 14 to 16 second zone. It's all about getting out at sunrise.
The call is simple: skip the afternoon chaos. Set the alarm, get out there at dawn, and snag those clean, glassy reef waves. The 8th looks like the pick of the bunch, but that whole second week has good morning potential. Get it while it’s good.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 30°C on Fri morning, min 27°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 27°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 384 | 261 | 249 | 167 | 136 | 104 | 116 | 64 | 142 | 134 | 79 | 80 | 77 | 72 | 71 | 84 | 103 | 100 | 95 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | glassy | cross-off | on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 9:39PM1.51m | 10:56AM1.28m | 10:10PM1.46m | 11:16AM1.31m | 10:43PM1.38m | 11:38AM1.33m | 11:20PM1.26m | 12:02PM1.34m | 00:05AM1.11m | 12:32PM1.34m | 1:14AM0.94m | 1:13PM1.33m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:26AM0.17m | 4:16PM0.65m | 4:49AM0.25m | 4:51PM0.62m | 5:11AM0.34m | 5:31PM0.60m | 5:33AM0.46m | 6:19PM0.59m | 5:53AM0.59m | 7:24PM0.60m | 6:07AM0.73m | 9:14PM0.58m | |||||||
 |  | |  | | |  | | | |  | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — |
 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 |
Temp °C | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 34 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 384 | 261 | 249 | 167 | 136 | 104 | 116 | 64 | 142 | 134 | 79 | 80 | 77 | 72 | 71 | 56 | 103 | 100 | 95 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SSW 12 | W 9 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | SW 16 | W 5 | W 5 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 |
| kJ | 94 | 67 | 41 | 39 | 22 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 67 | 8 | 8 | 57 | 84 | 34 | 31 | 32 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 12 | W 9 | SW 18 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | S 9 | SW 20 |
| kJ | 1 | 3 | 2 | 64 | 60 | 76 | 53 | 26 | 50 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 66 | 64 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 60 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 4 | — | — | W 5 | — | — | WNW 5 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 13 | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 1199 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 43 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Pancho (San Francisco) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Pancho (San Francisco) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Pancho (San Francisco)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Pancho (San Francisco) is 32 km (20 miles) from the city of Ixtapa. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ixtapa. Ixtapa has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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