Surf Forecasts:
San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period, SW swell with 917 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Pancho (San Francisco) this week:
The surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Pancho (San Francisco) in the next 16 days are 1.4m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming down the pike for San Pancho.
We’ve got a decent run of small but clean surf kicking off right away. The water is sitting at a warm 89°, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year, so you might not even need the full wetsuit. The energy is moderate but solid for the size, with a combined energy reading of (355).
Kicking things off on Thursday morning, August 27th, it’s glassy as a mirror with a small 2ft swell out of the southwest. The period is a long 14 seconds, so those waves will have some push, though at this size, it's more of a groveler's delight. The wind stays glassy again on Friday morning, August 28th, with the swell bumping up just a touch to 3ft and the period stretching to 16 seconds – that’s some nice groundswell moving in.
Saturday morning, August 29th, is when it starts looking more interesting. The swell pushes to 4ft from the southwest with a 16-second period, and with a light cross-offshore breeze, those waves will be clean and lined up. Combined energy is up to (855), making this one of the better windows. Sunday morning, August 30th, holds similar potential with 3ft swell and clean cross-off winds, though the period drops a little to 14 seconds.
There’s a stretch of small but clean mornings through the start of September. Tuesday, September 1st, and Wednesday, September 2nd, both have morning offshores with 2ft and 2ft swell, but the real standout appears on Thursday, September 3rd. That morning is absolutely glassy again, with a 3ft groundswell at 15 seconds and a combined energy of (768). Perfect conditions for a longboard or a twinny.
If you can wait, Friday, September 4th, is probably the pick of the lot for the whole outlook. The morning brings a clean 4ft swell from the southwest with a 17-second period – that’s very long-period groundswell energy (953). The wind is light and cross-offshore, so expect clean, powerful waves. Just be aware, the long period means the sets will be more spaced out, but the shape should be excellent.
Saturday, September 5th, is also a gem with glassy conditions and 4ft swell. Then the mornings continue to offer clean options through to September 11th, though the swell size drops back to the 2-3ft range. The afternoon winds consistently turn onshore or cross-onshore, making the mornings the only real window.
For the second week, from the 8th to the 11th, the pattern remains the same: small, clean mornings with good wind, but nothing that will blow you away. Keep an eye on that Thursday, September 10th, though – that morning has light offshore wind and a solid 3ft southwest swell with a 16-second period. It’s promising.
For a break like San Pancho, it tends not to stay flat for long, and these forecasts can always shift. Right now, the plan is clear: get out there on the morning glass-offs for the cleanest rides. The reef setup here and the southwest swell direction is a classic match, so enjoy it.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 25°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 26°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
169 | 203 | 165 | 314 | 582 | 854 | 719 | 539 | 598 | 393 | 453 | 331 | 215 | 212 | 178 | 170 | 134 | 150 | 211 | 254 | 157 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy | glassy | on | off | off | cross-on | cross-off | off | on | glassy |
High Tide | 9:36AM1.34m | 9:01PM1.54m | 9:53AM1.39m | 9:33PM1.52m | 10:10AM1.43m | 10:05PM1.46m | 10:28AM1.47m | 10:39PM1.36m | 10:48AM1.48m | 11:15PM1.23m | 11:10AM1.47m | 11:59PM1.06m | 11:35AM1.43m | 1:08AM0.88m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:05PM0.57m | 3:34AM0.17m | 3:33PM0.49m | 3:55AM0.23m | 4:03PM0.42m | 4:16AM0.32m | 4:36PM0.38m | 4:35AM0.43m | 5:13PM0.38m | 4:53AM0.55m | 5:56PM0.41m | 5:05AM0.68m | 6:53PM0.47m | ||||||||
6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | |
— | 7:22 | — | — | 7:21 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | 7 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 30 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 36 | 35 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 34 | 32 | 33 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 9 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | WSW 11 | SW 16 | W 10 |
77 | 203 | 165 | 314 | 582 | 854 | 719 | 539 | 598 | 349 | 453 | 331 | 215 | 103 | 178 | 170 | 134 | 111 | 119 | 254 | 102 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | WSW 9 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | W 7 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 14 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 13 | SW 9 | SW 8 | SW 8 | W 10 | SW 16 | WSW 11 | SW 16 |
169 | 64 | 113 | 109 | 60 | 15 | 128 | 239 | 146 | 393 | 220 | 141 | 122 | 212 | 65 | 33 | 31 | 50 | 211 | 119 | 157 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 13 | WSW 6 | W 6 | WNW 4 | WNW 11 | W 11 | W 11 | WSW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WSW 10 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 |
109 | 154 | 37 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 36 | 57 | 53 | 112 | 34 | 150 | 106 | 99 | 98 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 4 | — | — | — | — |
— | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Pancho (San Francisco) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Pancho (San Francisco) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Pancho (San Francisco)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Pancho (San Francisco) is 32 km (20 miles) from the city of Ixtapa. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ixtapa. Ixtapa has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











