Surf Forecasts:
San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 492 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Pancho (San Francisco) this week:
The surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Pancho (San Francisco) in the next 16 days are 1.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here, breakin' it down for San Pancho in good ol' feet and knots.
Water temp is about where it should be for this time of year, so no need for rubber. The pattern is a slow start, then a real nice building sequence with a few killer windows.
Monday morning the 13th is glassy with a tiny 3ft SSW swell, period 14 seconds – that's a long-period groundswell, so the sets will have some grunt but the lulls will be long. The combined energy is moderate (304). The reef will handle that long period just fine. It's clean but small. Tuesday morning the 14th is cleaner with a light cross-off breeze and a 2ft SSW swell, 13 seconds – still small, but the wind is kind. Wednesday morning the 15th is the same: offshore wind, 2ft SW swell, clean and fun for a longboard.
Thursday and Friday mornings drop off – 2ft to 2ft, weak energy (156 to 173), but the wind is light. You can still find a ripple.
Then it gets good. Saturday morning the 18th: offshore wind, 2ft SW swell, period 18 seconds – combined energy 383 (moderate). The reef will turn that long-period groundswell into a little beauty. Clean. Sunday the 19th is the first real standout. Offshore wind, risk of a thunderstorm, 3ft SW swell, 17 seconds, and the combined energy hits 690 (strong). This is the pick of the first week. Crowds can be around, so get in early.
The swell builds through the next week. Monday the 20th morning is glassy with 4ft SW, 16 seconds, energy 586 (strong). Tuesday the 21st morning is clean cross-off, 4ft SW, 15 seconds, and the afternoon turns glassy with 5ft SW, 12 seconds – energy 718 (strong). Wednesday the 22nd morning is the big one: glassy, 6ft SW swell, 13 seconds, combined energy 933 (strong to very strong). That’s a proper, clean, powerful reef wave. It’s a standout. At 6ft, intermediates will be fine, but beginners will be in over their head.
Thursday the 23rd morning: 5ft WSW, 12 seconds, cross-off, energy 550 (strong). Friday the 24th morning: 4ft WSW, 12 seconds, clean. Saturday the 25th morning: 4ft WSW, 12 seconds, cross-off, energy 677 (strong). All good.
Sunday the 26th morning: 3ft SW, 19 seconds – very long period – combined energy 764 (strong), clean. Monday the 27th morning: 3ft SW, 18 seconds, energy 614 (strong), clean. Tuesday the 28th morning: 8ft SW, 13 seconds, cross-off wind, but the combined energy is a massive 2239 (very strong). That’s expert-only territory, big and powerful.
The best sessions are Sunday the 19th and Wednesday the 22nd mornings – glassy, solid energy, and the reef will be firing.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Mon night. Warm (max 30°C on Mon morning, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Fri night. Warm (max 30°C on Thu afternoon, min 25°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sun 19 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 15 | SW 10 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 261 | 239 | 184 | 154 | 114 | 252 | 154 | 147 | 211 | 208 | 65 | 112 | 131 | 104 | 100 | 148 | 246 | 127 | 211 | 487 | 408 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:56AM1.26m | 8:28PM1.66m | 10:31AM1.28m | 9:13PM1.65m | 11:05AM1.28m | 9:56PM1.59m | 11:38AM1.27m | 10:38PM1.48m | 12:09PM1.27m | 11:19PM1.33m | 12:40PM1.26m | 00:02AM1.16m | 1:11PM1.24m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:03AM-0.09m | 2:38PM0.83m | 3:44AM-0.09m | 3:21PM0.78m | 4:23AM-0.04m | 4:04PM0.75m | 4:59AM0.07m | 4:47PM0.73m | 5:31AM0.22m | 5:32PM0.73m | 5:58AM0.38m | 6:23PM0.74m | 6:19AM0.54m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — |
 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 |
mm | — | — | — | 15 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | 15 | 8 | — | 13 | 3 | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 27 |
Feels °C | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 34 | 33 | 29 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SW 17 | SW 17 |
| kJ | 261 | 239 | 183 | 154 | 114 | 252 | 104 | 85 | 211 | 208 | 65 | 112 | 106 | 104 | 100 | 85 | 92 | 81 | 78 | 487 | 408 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SSW 12 | SW 13 | WSW 16 | SSW 12 | SW 19 | SSW 12 | WSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 10 | WSW 12 |
| kJ | 1 | 63 | 184 | 97 | 114 | 114 | 154 | 147 | 99 | 100 | 49 | 59 | 131 | 53 | 81 | 148 | 246 | 127 | 211 | 88 | 137 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | WNW 4 | — | SSW 5 | WNW 5 | W 5 | S 6 | W 15 | W 16 | SW 21 | SW 16 | SSW 6 | SSW 9 | SW 8 | SSW 11 | NW 4 | SW 13 | SW 19 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 9 |
| kJ | 72 | 2 | — | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 71 | 41 | 4 | 30 | 16 | 43 | 3 | 45 | 95 | 93 | 115 | 50 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 5 | — | NNW 3 | NNW 2 | — | — | NW 4 | — | — | — | SW 3 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 4 | 43 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 510 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Pancho (San Francisco) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Pancho (San Francisco) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Pancho (San Francisco)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Pancho (San Francisco) is 32 km (20 miles) from the city of Ixtapa. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ixtapa. Ixtapa has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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