Surf Forecasts:
San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 18s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 18s period, SW swell with 769 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Pancho (San Francisco) this week:
The surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Pancho (San Francisco) in the next 16 days are 1.1m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey, it’s Rusty. Let’s run through the San Pancho (San Francisco) setup.
It’s a slow starter, no doubt. This is a reef break that breaks fairly regularly, but you gotta wait for the right windows. The water temp is around 88°, which is a touch warmer than the usual for this time of August.
The first real fun starts Monday morning, August 10th. We get a light offshore wind from the east with 0.7m of SW swell. It’s not big, but the energy in the water is moderate (317) and the shape will be there. Tuesday and Wednesday mornings keep that same clean vibe going with slightly more push.
The first standout is the morning of Friday, August 14th. Glassy conditions, 0.7m of SW groundswell with a period of 18 seconds. That’s long-period energy that will line up beautifully at this reef. The combined wave energy is a solid 589. You’re looking at some proper, well-shaped waves. Crowds can be an issue, so get out there at first light.
Saturday morning (August 15th) is another good one despite a risk of thunder. You’ve got a cross-offshore wind pulling 1.1m of SW swell with energy at 644. It’ll be clean and punchy, but expect some company.
The second week is a bit smaller. Mornings from the 17th through the 19th stay clean or glassy with 0.8m to 0.9m waves. The real second standout is Sunday morning, August 23rd. You’ve got 0.7m of SW swell, but the period jumps to 19 seconds with a cross-offshore wind. The wave energy is up at 476, and this reef will make the most of that long-period juice. Monday the 24th keeps the good run going with clean, then glassy, conditions.
Best bet: The glassy dawn patrol on Friday, August 14th, and the long-period cruiser session on Sunday, August 23rd.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 26°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 20 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 200 | 178 | 180 | 239 | 151 | 307 | 307 | 190 | 432 | 306 | 339 | 344 | 242 | 258 | 375 | 769 | 651 | 635 | 627 | 505 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | off | off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | off | cross-on | off | glassy | on | glassy | cross-off | on | glassy |
High Tide | 6:53PM1.49m | 9:14AM1.26m | 7:46PM1.58m | 9:38AM1.32m | 8:31PM1.63m | 10:03AM1.35m | 9:13PM1.62m | 10:27AM1.38m | 9:52PM1.56m | 10:50AM1.40m | 10:29PM1.45m | 11:11AM1.40m | 11:04PM1.31m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:19AM0.02m | 2:04PM0.83m | 2:56AM-0.03m | 2:44PM0.73m | 3:30AM-0.02m | 3:21PM0.63m | 4:01AM0.05m | 3:57PM0.57m | 4:28AM0.17m | 4:33PM0.53m | 4:51AM0.31m | 5:08PM0.52m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | |  | | | |
 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — |
 | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — |
mm | — | 4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | 4 |
Temp °C | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 33 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 35 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 200 | 178 | 180 | 178 | 151 | 307 | 307 | 190 | 432 | 306 | 339 | 344 | 242 | 258 | 375 | 769 | 651 | 635 | 627 | 505 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | W 12 | NW 13 | NW 3 | WNW 5 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 15 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 |
| kJ | 73 | 71 | 136 | 239 | 133 | 164 | 138 | 83 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 136 | 231 | 209 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | NW 5 | W 13 | W 13 | W 13 | W 12 | NW 4 | S 12 | W 24 | SW 22 | SW 21 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SW 7 | S 10 | SW 7 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 71 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Pancho (San Francisco) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Pancho (San Francisco) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Pancho (San Francisco)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Pancho (San Francisco) is 32 km (20 miles) from the city of Ixtapa. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ixtapa. Ixtapa has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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