Surf Forecasts:
San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SW swell with 411 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Pancho (San Francisco) this week:
The surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Pancho (San Francisco) in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s break down this San Pancho window.
We’ve got a steady southwest groundswell running the whole stretch, just what this reef wants to see. The curse is the afternoon sea breeze – it kills it every day. Your move is sunrise.
It kicks off Tuesday, August 18th. Waves around 3ft, 14-second period, glassy with a light southeast air. Water’s a balmy 89°, which is about 4° above normal, so you’ll be sweating in your wetsuit. Moderate energy (297). It’s fine, but nothing to write home about.
Wednesday, August 19th, and Thursday, August 20th, are similar: clean mornings, 3-3ft waves, but the energy drops. You’ll be scratching for waves.
Saturday, August 22nd, the period bumps to 16 seconds, bringing 3ft waves with moderate-to-strong energy (318). Glassy and clean. Sunday the 23rd is similar, slightly smaller.
Monday, August 24th, is the sleeper of the first week. The actual wave height is only 2ft, but the period is a pumping 18 seconds. That’s pure energy rolling in, and it’s clean with a cross-off breeze. Energy is 245. A reef break handles that long-period energy beautifully. It’s a consistent enough spot, and crowds are sometimes a factor, but a Monday morning is your best bet.
The pattern of clean, small mornings continues, but the real meat is the end of the month.
The standout is the final weekend of August.
Friday morning, August 28th, we see the swell rise to 3ft with a 16-second period. Glassy. Strong energy (501).
Saturday, August 29th, is the absolute pick of the entire forecast. 4ft of southwest groundswell, 16-second period, and glassy as a lake. The energy is pumping at 702. This is a proper, quality session. Not too big for a decent intermediate, but with that period, the reef will be lined up beautifully.
Sunday, August 30th, is another strong one: 4ft, 14-second period, glassy, and strong energy (555).
Then Monday, August 31st, the wind screws it with a cross-onshore flow. The first few days of September get messy with cross-shore winds and lower-period swell.
So here’s the word: mornings only. Forget the afternoon. If you can only paddle out once, make it Saturday, August 29th. That’s the stand-out.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 27°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Fri night. Warm (max 31°C on Fri afternoon, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 16 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 293 | 309 | 411 | 266 | 251 | 245 | 155 | 147 | 140 | 113 | 138 | 133 | 255 | 118 | 203 | 211 | 125 | 201 | 150 | 219 | 280 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | off | off | on | glassy | off | cross-on | cross-off | off | on | cross-off | off | on | cross-off | glassy | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:03PM1.31m | 00:59AM0.84m | 12:13PM1.25m | 12:08PM1.19m | 10:57AM1.13m | 3:06PM1.11m | 9:41AM1.12m | 5:48PM1.16m | 9:08AM1.14m | 6:45PM1.27m | 9:03AM1.18m | 7:24PM1.37m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 7:12PM0.64m | 4:47AM0.77m | 9:54PM0.68m | 00:49AM0.56m | 2:30PM1.11m | 1:21AM0.44m | 1:32PM1.04m | 1:46AM0.34m | 1:40PM0.95m | 2:09AM0.25m | 1:55PM0.86m | 2:30AM0.19m | |||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | |  | | |  | |
 | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — |
 | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:23 | — |
mm | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 9 | 1 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 33 | 34 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 35 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 31 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 16 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
| kJ | 293 | 309 | 411 | 266 | 251 | 245 | 155 | 147 | 140 | 113 | 138 | 133 | 255 | 118 | 203 | 211 | 125 | 114 | 93 | 219 | 280 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | W 6 | WNW 12 | WNW 7 | W 8 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 17 | W 13 | SW 18 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 2 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 57 | 44 | 3 | 109 | 61 | 59 | 96 | 114 | 112 | 201 | 150 | 83 | 71 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | SW 20 | W 12 | SW 21 | SW 18 | NW 11 | WNW 3 | WNW 9 | W 9 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | W 5 | NW 11 | WNW 11 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 68 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | WNW 12 | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | WNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 5 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 506 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 506 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Pancho (San Francisco) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Pancho (San Francisco) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Pancho (San Francisco)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Pancho (San Francisco) is 32 km (20 miles) from the city of Ixtapa. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ixtapa. Ixtapa has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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