San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf Break

San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 20.90° N 105.42° W

Issued: 11 pm 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's San Pancho (San Francisco) sea temperature is
31.4° C

2.7°C warmer than normal for this time of year

San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 18s period, SW swell with 891 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Pancho (San Francisco) this week:

The surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at San Pancho (San Francisco) in the next 16 days are 1.2m 18s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (CST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Tue 7th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 18s
Best Surf 6AM (Tue 7th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 18s
Most Powerful12PM (Tue 7th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here with the local scoop for San Pancho. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty average overall, but there are a couple of windows that’ll get the heart pumping.

We’re kicking off with a solid run of clean, rideable surf. Tuesday morning the 7th, it’s already glassy out there with a nice 3ft SW groundswell. The water’s sitting right about where you’d expect for this time of year. The energy’s moderate at 690, but with that 18-second period, this is proper groundswell—long lines, long waits between sets, but real quality. The afternoons turn a bit onshore and messy, though.

Wednesday the 8th is a strong contender for the best of the first week. The swell holds at 4ft from the SW with a 16-second pulse, and the wind’s light and cross-offshore all day. That’s clean, open faces at the reef. Combined energy is 696 in the morning and 583 in the arvo, so there’s enough push to have some fun. Thursday and Friday mornings keep that glassy, clean theme going with smaller 3ft swell, but still fun for the log or a mid-length.

The long-range stuff is where things get interesting. Looking ahead to Saturday the 19th, we’ve got a really clean setup rolling in. The swell is 3ft from the SW with a 17-second period, and the winds go cross-offshore in the morning and glassy in the afternoon. The energy jumps to 635 and then 550, which is still moderate, but the quality of those waves will be top-notch for the size.

Then we get the real standout. Mark your calendars for Monday the 20th. The morning brings a solid 3ft SW groundswell and clean, cross-offshore wind, with combined energy hitting 901. That’s a great sign. The afternoon sees a jump to 6ft from the SSW, but the wind turns cross-on and the period drops to 11 seconds, so it gets a bit lumpy.

But the big one is Tuesday the 21st. This is for the experienced crew only. We’re looking at 8ft of SW swell, glassy in the morning with a 12-second period. The energy is enormous—1920—which is a proper dose of power heading into the reef. This is big, serious surf. Steer clear if you’re not solid. The morning of Wednesday the 22nd keeps that same size and energy (1885) with clean, cross-offshore wind. Another one for the experts.

So, to wrap it up: week one is all about clean, smaller waves, with Wednesday the 8th being the pick. Week two holds the promise of some serious muscle on the 21st and 22nd of July, but that’s only for the strong. This is a spot that can deliver, and right now it’s looking like it knows it.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 27°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Mon
13
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
1
3
3
3
3
2
1
2
2
0
2
2
0
2
2
0
2
2
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
19
0.9
SW
18
1.2
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
1
SW
16
1
SW
16
1
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
423
522
881
754
686
574
496
483
459
365
355
360
322
305
350
326
276
257
208
194
183
Wind (km/h)
5
NE
5
NE
15
W
10
ENE
5
ESE
5
SE
5
E
5
SSE
10
WSW
5
ESE
5
E
10
NW
10
NNE
10
NNE
15
NW
15
NNE
15
NE
15
NW
5
NNE
10
SSE
15
WSW
Wind State
glassy
glassy
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
High Tide
1:38AM0.99m
2:42PM1.26m
4:15AM0.91m
3:45PM1.31m
6:40AM0.98m
4:51PM1.38m
7:53AM1.08m
5:52PM1.46m
8:39AM1.17m
6:48PM1.55m
9:19AM1.23m
7:40PM1.62m
9:56AM1.26m
Low Tide
7:24AM0.68m
10:08PM0.65m
8:22AM0.81m
11:42PM0.48m
10:10AM0.92m
00:43AM0.29m
11:52AM0.94m
1:34AM0.12m
1:00PM0.92m
2:20AM-0.01m
1:52PM0.88m
3:03AM-0.09m
2:38PM0.83m
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
thunderstorm
part cloud
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:26
6:26
6:26
6:26
6:26
6:26
6:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:46
7:46
7:45
7:45
7:45
7:45
7:45
 mm
1
3
3
2
2
4
2
4
Temp °C
29
29
30
29
28
29
28
29
29
28
29
29
29
29
30
29
29
30
29
29
29
Feels °C
34
33
33
33
32
33
33
32
32
32
32
31
33
32
33
32
33
33
33
32
31
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
19
0.9
SW
18
1.2
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
1
SW
16
1
SW
16
1
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
13
Energy kJ
423
522
881
754
686
574
496
483
459
365
355
360
322
305
350
326
276
257
208
194
183
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
0.1
W
14
0.2
WNW
7
0.1
W
13
0.1
W
13
0.2
W
8
0.2
WNW
8
0.2
WNW
8
0.2
WNW
8
0.2
WNW
8
0.2
SSW
20
0.1
NW
11
0.3
SSW
18
0.1
SW
22
0.5
NW
4
0.4
NW
4
0.4
NW
4
0.3
WNW
4
0.3
WNW
4
0.4
SW
19
Energy kJ
262
164
4
5
3
3
5
7
6
7
7
37
5
61
18
7
3
4
3
4
133
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
WNW
7
0.2
W
7
0.1
W
6
0.1
NW
13
0.1
NW
13
0.1
W
13
0.1
W
12
0.1
W
12
0.1
W
12
0.1
W
11
0.1
NW
8
0.1
NW
10
0.1
W
11
0.1
SW
20
0.1
SW
21
0.3
SW
21
0.3
SW
20
0.2
WNW
5
Energy kJ
5
4
1
7
6
3
3
3
3
2
3
4
2
15
17
72
63
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WNW
6
0.1
NW
10
Energy kJ
8
4
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
Distance (km)
4
4
17
4
4
4
4
4
17
4
4
17
4
4
18
17
4
17
4
4
43
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
3
3
2
3
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
3
2
3
3
2
3
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
9
8
7
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
6
8
6
5
5
5
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for San Pancho (San Francisco) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Pancho (San Francisco) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Pancho (San Francisco)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

San Pancho (San Francisco) is 32 km (20 miles) from the city of Ixtapa. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ixtapa. Ixtapa has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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