Surf Forecasts:
San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SW swell with 589 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Pancho (San Francisco) this week:
The surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Pancho (San Francisco) in the next 16 days are 1.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the San Pancho stretch over the next couple of weeks.
Alright, so the pickin’s are a bit slim, but we’ve got a standout window early on. The real deal is Saturday morning, September 5th. We’re looking at a solid 4ft of southwest swell, with a long 16 second period pumping in. The water is a toasty 89° – that’s a good 4° warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s like bathwater out there. The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze from the NE, making it clean. The combined energy is strong at 1056, so there’s plenty of push. This is the best on offer, no question. For the experienced guys, this is gonna be firing.
The rest of the outlook is a bit of a mixed bag. Sunday morning, September 6th, drops a touch to 3ft, but with a light SSE breeze and a 15 second period, it’ll still be clean and fun. The energy drops to moderate at 653. From Monday morning, September 7th, through to the following week, the swell never really gets back up to that Saturday peak. We’ve got a long stretch from Monday afternoon right through to the end of the forecast where the afternoons are consistently blown out or onshore, trashing any chance of good surf. The mornings are where you’ll find your window, with clean conditions and waist-to-chest high waves (2ft to 3ft) from the SW. The standout mornings are Saturday, September 12th, with glassy conditions and a light SE breeze, and Sunday, September 20th, with a clean 3ft and a long 19 second period. The deep water energy is moderate for those, ranging from 305 to 473.
If you’re a beginner, anything over 5ft is a handful, so Saturday morning is for the advanced crew. The long period (over 15 seconds) on Saturday and on the 20th means the waves will have plenty of power and shape, but the sets will be more spread out, giving you a breather between waves. It’s a reef break, so it handles the longer period well.
Keep an eye on the glassy mornings, they’re your best bet outside of that Saturday blast. The second week is a bit of a waiting game, but with fairly consistent waves showing, it won’t stay flat for long.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 33mm), heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | W 10 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 683 | 479 | 418 | 418 | 301 | 297 | 284 | 180 | 178 | 133 | 165 | 260 | 346 | 300 | 486 | 480 | 474 | 421 | 301 | 293 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-on | off | glassy | on | glassy |
High Tide | 4:11PM1.21m | 8:34AM1.19m | 6:04PM1.31m | 8:33AM1.26m | 7:04PM1.43m | 8:46AM1.33m | 7:51PM1.52m | 9:03AM1.40m | 8:31PM1.56m | 9:22AM1.45m | 9:08PM1.56m | 9:40AM1.49m | 9:42PM1.50m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:52AM0.29m | 1:01PM0.99m | 1:33AM0.17m | 1:36PM0.84m | 2:07AM0.10m | 2:08PM0.69m | 2:37AM0.09m | 2:39PM0.55m | 3:05AM0.13m | 3:10PM0.44m | 3:29AM0.22m | 3:40PM0.36m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — |
 | 7:14 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:07 | — |
mm | — | 5 | 2 | — | 16 | 2 | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 33 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 35 | 29 | 34 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 31 | 29 | 32 | 33 | 34 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 683 | 479 | 418 | 223 | 223 | 164 | 161 | 168 | 128 | 133 | 98 | 260 | 346 | 300 | 486 | 480 | 474 | 421 | 301 | 293 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 11 | W 11 | W 11 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | W 10 | W 10 | SW 15 | W 9 | W 9 | NNW 4 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 308 | 233 | 233 | 418 | 301 | 297 | 284 | 180 | 178 | 114 | 136 | 68 | 67 | 176 | 41 | 40 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 13 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 3 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 9 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | W 9 | SSW 11 | SW 11 | W 9 | W 11 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 |
| kJ | — | 2 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 80 | 111 | 43 | 165 | 99 | 82 | 42 | 40 | 30 | 23 | 10 | 16 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Pancho (San Francisco) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Pancho (San Francisco) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Pancho (San Francisco) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Pancho (San Francisco) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Pancho (San Francisco)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Pancho (San Francisco) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Pancho (San Francisco) is 32 km (20 miles) from the city of Ixtapa. If you plan a holiday in Nayarit, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ixtapa. Ixtapa has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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