St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

It's a real slow start, folks. The first few days are a write-off – nothing but flat, weak dribble. We're looking at a gap of about four days before anything even worth paddling out for shows up. The water is sitting at 65°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so at least you won't be freezing while you wait.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Monday morning, the 27th of July. St Tugen wakes up with a clean, 5ft swell rolling in from the WNW, with a 10-second period giving it some decent shape. The wind is light and offshore from the NNW, so it'll be clean. The combined energy is up to a moderate 343, so there's a bit of push behind it. It's not a monster, but it's the first proper surf of the window and it'll be a welcome sight.

The real standout, the one you've been waiting for, looks like Sunday morning, the 2nd of August. The stars almost align. We've got a 4ft swell from the west, a 9-second period, and the wind is glassy. Absolutely dead calm. That is a rare and beautiful thing. The combined energy is a solid 262, so there's enough grunt to make it fun. This is the pick of the entire forecast. St Tugen is exposed to the swell here, and with the wind dead off the land, it'll be as clean as it gets. Get in the water, you won't regret it.

After that, the outlook gets a bit messy again. The swell sticks around, but the wind turns onshore and choppy for the next few days, making things a real struggle. There's a bit of a pulse on Tuesday the 4th of August – a 5ft swell from the west with a long 10-second period and combined energy of 542, which is a strong pulse. But the wind is cross-onshore and choppy, so it's going to be a battle. That kind of energy with a short-to-medium period like that at a beach setup is more for the kite crew than a paddle surfer.

The very end of the run, Thursday morning the 6th of August, shows a clean little 3ft swell with a light cross-offshore breeze and glassy conditions again in the afternoon. It's small, but it's clean. It might be a nice way to finish the window.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a dud, but hang in there. Monday the 27th is your first chance, but Sunday the 2nd of August is the one to circle on the calendar. That glassy morning is the best bet of the whole 16 days.

Rusty.

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