St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The surf window kicks off with a few decent windows, then goes flat for a while, before a real pulse shows up further out.

The first real chance is Friday, July 3rd, at St Tugen. Morning session is the go. We’re looking at clean waves around 5 ft out of the west, with a 10-second period, and the wind is light from the north, cross-off, keeping things tidy. Water temp is sitting at 66°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice bonus. The combined energy is moderate at 384, enough to push some fun, shapely waves. This is the pick of the early window. It’s a fairly consistent spot, but can get crowded sometimes, so get in early.

Saturday, July 4th, morning is smaller at 4 ft from the west, still with a 10-second period and a light north wind. Clean, but backing off. By Sunday morning, the swell drops to 2 ft, but you get proper offshore winds from the north-northeast. The waves will be small and clean, more for a longboard or a funboard.

Then we hit a lull. From Monday, July 6th, right through until Tuesday, July 14th, the swell drops under 3 ft and mostly stays below 3 ft. There are a few mornings with clean conditions, like Monday the 6th with glassy conditions and a tiny 2 ft west-northwest swell (energy down to 75 – weak), but it’s more about enjoying the water than catching real waves. Wednesday the 8th and Friday the 10th offer similar small, clean windows but nothing to write home about. The wind stays light or offshore at times, but the swell just isn’t there. That’s a long stretch of flat to marginal surf.

Now, the standout. Look ahead to Saturday, July 18th. The morning session has real potential. Swell jumps to 6 ft from the west-southwest, period 8 seconds, and the wind is light from the north-northwest, cross-off, so the waves should be clean. The combined energy is strong at 528. This is a proper pulse for the area. It’s a bit bigger, so less for beginners, and it’s coming from the optimum direction for this break. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The afternoon gets messy with a cross-shore wind, so stick to the morning.

Right now, the first few days offer the best bet, with that pulse on the 18th being the real long-range highlight – promising, but we’ll see how it firms up.

Rusty.

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