St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me get my boots on and look over the logs for the next couple of weeks here for St Tugen.

Right off the bat, I’ve got to be honest with you – it’s a pretty bleak outlook for the next two weeks. We’re looking at a long stretch of flat to weak, unexciting surf, with only a few very brief moments that might be worth a paddle if you’re desperate. The whole run is filled with "poor surf conditions," and that's not me being dramatic, that's what’s on the charts.

We’ve got a massive gap with zero recommendations. From Sunday the 9th right through to Monday the 18th, it’s just one day after another of small, weak, and often messy surf. The combined swell energy is low, mostly sitting in the double digits (36 to 277), which is barely a pulse. For the first week, we’re stuck with tiny 1 ft to 2 ft W to WNW swell, with short periods of 8-9 seconds. The wind is mostly cross-off or cross, but the wave quality is consistently rated as poor. Even when the wind looks clean, the swell just doesn’t have any push. By Saturday the 15th, the swell bumps up a touch to 5 ft, but the period drops to 8 seconds and the wind turns cross, creating a choppy mess. At that size and with those conditions, it’s borderline more interesting for a kite than a paddle.

The only tiny glimmer in this long drought comes on Tuesday morning, the 17th of August. We get a little 3 ft swell from the WNW, a 6-second period, but the wind turns clean offshore from the NE at 19 mph. The finder calls it “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” The combined energy is a meager 61. It’s not good, but it's the one morning in the whole stretch where the offshore wind might make a tiny wave rideable. Still, with that short period, it's going to be a bit fat and weak at the beach.

After that, it’s back to the same story. The 22nd of August shows a bump in energy from the SW (346 combined energy), but it’s a 4 ft NW windswell with strong onshore winds. That’s messy and blown out. The consistency at St Tugen is “fairly consistent,” which is the only reason I’m holding out any hope – when it’s this poor for this long, it normally doesn't stay that way forever.

Best on offer: There isn’t a true standout. If I had to pick the best of a bad bunch, it’s Tuesday morning, the 17th of August. The offshore wind will be clean, but you’re getting very small, weak waves.

Signing off, Rusty.

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