St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight – the next couple of weeks around St Tugen are mostly a waiting game. There’s a long stretch of small, messy, or just plain poor conditions, but there’s a flicker of something special way out at the end of the forecast. Don’t get too excited early on.

Right now, Tuesday the 11th, we’ve got nothing doing. Tiny 2ft to 2ft WNW swell with a weak, short-period 8 seconds, and the wind is cross or cross-off, not helping. The combined wave energy is a paltry 56, so you’re better off doing something else. Wednesday and Thursday stay in the gutter – same story, small swells, and the wind shifts around, keeping things poor. The morning of Thursday the 13th nudges up to 3ft from the west at 11 seconds, with a clean cross-off breeze, and the energy hits 240, but it’s still rated marginal. It’s the first breath of life, but it’s not enough to get me out of bed.

Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th are more of the same: waist-high slop, mostly under 3ft, with cross-off winds that keep the surface clean but the waves are just ordinary. The energy stays below 130. Sunday the 16th through to Thursday the 21st of August is a long, flat stretch. Swell sizes drop below 3ft, periods are short, and the energy is weak. The morning of the 21st finally shows a pulse – 4ft from the WNW at 10 seconds, with a light cross-off breeze and a combined energy of 272. It’s clean, but it’s only a glimmer in a sea of nothing.

Now, the standout – and I mean the only real standout – is Saturday the 22nd of August. A proper big-arse swell rolls in: 12ft from the WNW with a 12-second period, and the energy is a huge 3104. The morning has a light cross-on breeze, but the swell is simply too big for St Tugen. It’s a beast for experts only, and the break is exposed, so it’ll be a washing machine. Sunday the 23rd drops to 7ft, still big, but the wind is good cross-off and the energy is 1682. This is the pick of the bunch for experienced surfers, but it’s still a heavy paddle.

Monday the 24th of August brings a shift: 3ft from the WSW at a very long 15 seconds. That’s groundswell, perfect for a point or reef, but at a beach break like St Tugen, it might break too straight. The morning is clean with a light cross-off breeze and energy of 644. It’s a decent session for the patient surfer. The rest of the week tails off into small, ordinary stuff.

So, if you’re looking for waves, the best bet is likely the morning of Saturday the 22nd for sheer power, but only if you’re an expert. For something more manageable, the morning of Monday the 24th has that long-period groundswell and clean conditions, but it’s a tricky one. Crowds are possible at St Tugen, so expect company if you go.

Rusty.

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