St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for St Tugen.

Honestly, I’ve got to be straight with you – the next 16 days are a bit of a heartbreak for this spot. The first few days are a total write-off. We’re looking at flat, weak dribble until we get to the end of the week. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a small comfort while you’re staring at a glassy nothing.

There’s a real gap here. The first bit of something that might get you out of bed is on Sunday the 19th. The morning shows a small NW swell, 3ft, and we’ve got offshore winds from the NE at 15 mph. The combined energy is only 83 (weak), and the period is a short 7 seconds, so it’s not going to be anything special – just a few weak, crumbly lines. It’s surfable, but only just. Winds go fresh offshore in the afternoon, but the swell drops right off.

After that, it’s back to misery. The entire second week, from the 20th through to the 29th, is a grim run of tiny waves and poor conditions. The swell barely cracks 1ft most days, and when it does, like on the 25th afternoon, we get a bigger but messy 4ft NW windswell (period 7 seconds, energy 175 – moderate). Problem is, the wind is a fresh cross-off from the NW at 22 mph, which will tear the surface up. It’s more of a kite-surfing session than a clean paddle session.

We do see some longer period swell (11 seconds) on the 28th from the W, but it’s only 1.0ft, so it’s all show and no go. The wind is gentle cross-shore, so it’s clean, but there’s simply no power.

The only real standout is a long-range promise that’s about as reliable as a weather forecast in a dream. On the 30th of July, Thursday morning, we get a tiny bump from the SW at 1ft, but it’s onshore wind and a terrible 5-second period, energy 29 (weak). The afternoon is similar with 2ft and 4-second period. Don’t get your hopes up.

So, the bottom line: there’s nothing worth paddling out for. The best you’ll get is a weak, windy, Sunday morning session on the 19th. For the rest, save your energy and wax. The forecasts can change, and it can’t stay this poor forever, but for now, it’s a dust-off.

Rusty.

Read more