St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks around here.

Honestly, for the next couple of weeks, it’s a tough watch. We’ve got a big, long lull to start, and the surf that does show up is mostly a mess with wind and choppy conditions. There’s light at the end of the tunnel, but you’re going to have to be patient. The first real chance of anything worth getting out of bed for doesn’t even show up until Sunday the 6th of September, which is nearly two weeks away. Between now and then, there’s hardly any surf worth mentioning.

Right now, Monday the 24th of August, you’re looking at tiny, weak 1 ft to 2 ft swell with a short period. The water temperature is 63°, which is about a degree and a half colder than usual for this time of year, so you’ll feel that slight chill. Wind is cross-off, but it doesn’t matter because there’s no energy – the combined swell energy is only 19 to 47 (weak). Poor surf.

We roll through the rest of the week and into the following week with the same story. Tuesday the 25th to Saturday the 30th of August, you’re dealing with wind from the south and southwest, mostly cross-on and onshore. Swell heights bobble between 2 ft and 8 ft, but the wind just kills it. The combined energy climbs a bit, hitting a moderate 174 on Wednesday the 26th, but it’s still messy. The whole run is “poor surf conditions” or “marginal.”

The standout in this entire stretch, if you’re desperate, is Thursday morning the 27th. The swell jumps to 8 ft from the SW with a 10-second period, and the combined energy is a strong 1189. But the wind is cross-on from the SSW at 9 mph, so it’s going to be choppy. That’s expert-only territory because it’s over 5 ft and the quality is marginal. Not a day for learning.

We get a bit more size again on Monday the 31st of August and Tuesday the 1st of September, with 7 ft to 7 ft swell, but it’s still cross-on and bumpy. Nothing clean.

Things get interesting on Sunday the 6th of September. That morning is the one to circle on your calendar. You’ve got a 4 ft swell from the WSW with a very long period of 20 seconds. That’s groundswell, proper energy. The combined energy is a huge 1427 (strong). The wind is cross-off from the north at only 9 mph. That means clean conditions. This is going to be excellent for experienced surfers, but keep in mind, that long period can make beach breaks wonky. You need a point or a reef to make the most of it. St Tugen likes a WSW swell, so this is money.

Later that day and into Monday the 7th of September, the swell gets bigger, 5 ft to 7 ft, but the wind turns cross-on and it gets lumpy again. Still, that Sunday morning is the clear winner.

The very last window, Tuesday morning the 8th of September, is also promising. 8 ft from the W with a 12-second period, combined energy of 2000 (strong), and cross-off wind from the NW at 9 mph giving clean faces. That’s another expert session.

So, bottom line: you’ve got nearly two weeks of mostly flat or wind-blown junk. The real standout is Sunday morning the 6th of September, and maybe Tuesday morning the 8th, for clean, powerful, long-period groundswell. Get your rest.

Rusty.

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