St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about St Tugen in feet and miles per hour.

The early part of the forecast is a bust. On Friday the 21st, we’ve got a weak, short-period swell from the WNW at about 4.6ft, but a fresh 19 mph cross-offshore wind from the NNW is wrecking it. The water temp is 63.7°F, which is about average for the time of year. Not worth paddling out.

Saturday the 22nd morning has a small 2.3ft NW swell with a clean 6 mph offshore breeze from the NE. The energy is weak (121), but it’s rideable. The afternoon goes flat and messy.

Sunday the 23rd has a tiny 1ft SW groundswell with a long 14-second period in the morning, but the wind is howling. Sunday afternoon turns glassy with a light offshore, but the swell is only 1.6ft – not much to work with.

Monday and Tuesday are a complete loss with onshore winds and very weak energy.

Wednesday the 26th sees a jump in size to 4.6ft from the SW, but the period is a short 7 seconds and the wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy. The energy is moderate (211), but the quality is poor. Thursday the 27th gets bigger, up to 8.2ft from the W by afternoon, but that’s a big, short-period mess with a 19 mph cross-onshore wind. That’s expert-only size, and the wind makes it a lumpy, choppy disaster.

The best stretch is coming up on Sunday the 30th of August. In the afternoon, we get a 5.9ft W swell with a 3 mph glassy wind – absolutely still conditions. The energy is moderate (428), and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” The period is a short 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit walled up, but St Tugen is an exposed WSW-facing spot, so it should handle it. With no wind, you’ll be getting some clean waves. Monday the 31st morning also has a glassy 5.9ft W swell, so that’s a solid back-to-back window.

After that, the wind turns nasty again through the start of September, with fresh cross-onshore winds and swell in the 4.6ft to 4.9ft range. The energy stays moderate, but the conditions are poor.

One more flash of hope on Thursday the 3rd of September. The morning shows a 7.5ft SW swell with a 6 mph cross-offshore breeze from the N. The energy is strong (608), and the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” The wind is clean, so that could be a ripper, but it’s a longer-range call, so keep an eye on it. The afternoon stays big at 8.2ft from the WSW but with a cross-shore wind, so it’s a bit more tricky – still good for the experienced crew.

Friday the 4th has a solid 5.9ft W swell in the morning, light cross-shore wind, but the forecast says it’s marginal. Worth a look if you’re keen.

Overall, there’s a big gap of poor surf from the 21st to the 29th, then a clear window on the 30th and 31st of August, and another possible standout on the 3rd of September. If you’re flexible, aim for the 30th and 31st – that’s the best bet.

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