St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Rusty here, lookin’ at what’s on the cards for you folks around St Tugen.

First up, the honest truth: the next week or so is pretty grim. We’ve got a real flat spell kickin’ off, with hardly any energy to speak of. You’ll be staring at the ocean for days. From Friday the 24th right through the end of July, it’s pretty much a write-off – tiny waves, mostly under 2 ft, and the wind is all over the shop. The water temp is sittin’ around 65°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so nothin’ special there.

The first real sign of life doesn’t show up until Saturday the 1st of August. The energy finally kicks in – we’re talkin’ a solid 4 ft swell from the west, with a period of 11 seconds. That’s got some push to it. The combined energy is a hefty 751 (moderate to strong), and early in the day we’ve got a light north wind, makin’ it a cross-off breeze. That’s a decent setup for St Tugen. The waves should be clean. It’s rated as “fairly consistent” here, so you won’t be waitin’ forever between sets. Keep an eye on the crowds though – they’re “sometimes” around, so you might have some company. This is the standout of the whole window: Saturday morning.

Now, if you’re an experienced surfer and you’re lookin’ for a proper challenge, mark Sunday the 2nd of August. The swell jumps up to 8 ft from the west, with that same 11-second period. The energy is huge – 1280 (strong to very strong). That’s a proper groundswell. The early morning has a north-northeast breeze, light and cross-off, so it’ll be clean. But let’s be real – at 8 ft, this is for the crew who know what they’re doin’. It’s likely too big for beginners. That’s the second standout, but it’s a big one.

After that, things start to drop off again. Monday the 3rd still has some size, 5 ft, but the wind is stronger and the quality slips. Tuesday the 4th is messy. Wednesday the 5th of August gives a little glassy window in the morning with 4 ft from the west-southwest, but the energy is low and it’s nothin’ to write home about. The rest of the forecast into the second week is small and sloppy.

So, here’s the bottom line: you’ve got a long, flat spell to sit through, then a solid couple of days at the start of August. Saturday morning the 1st is your best bet for a clean, fun session. Sunday the 2nd is for the big dogs. Nothin’ else in this 16-day window really comes close.

Rusty.

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