St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start on the cards, but there’s a glimmer of hope for the patient ones. The surf is going to be a struggle right out of the gate, with the first few days offering nothing but frustrating conditions. The first real chance to get wet is going to be the morning of Thursday the 6th, but it’s barely worth getting excited about.

St Tugen kicks off the period on Sunday afternoon, August 2nd, but it’s looking pretty grim. We’re talking a tiny 1ft swell from the WSW, with a period of a measly 10 seconds, and a cross-shore wind of 9 mph. The water is a balmy 66°, which is about average for this time of year. The combined energy is a weak 43, and honestly, the conditions are just poor. Nothing to see here.

Monday the 3rd is more of the same – small, weak swell in the 2ft range, and the wind is either cross or onshore. It’s a write-off.

Tuesday the 4th sees a bump in size to 4ft, but the period drops to a short 7 seconds, and the wind is onshore at 12 mph. The energy picks up to 161 (moderate), but the quality is just not there. It’s poor.

Wednesday the 5th delivers the biggest swell of the early run, hitting 6ft from the W. The energy climbs to 396 (moderate), but the period is still a short 8 seconds, and the wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy and messy. This is a beach setup that would be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing right now.

Finally, on Thursday morning, August 6th, we get a tiny window of clean surf. The swell drops back to 4ft from the WNW, with a 7-second period, and the energy is 148 (moderate). The big win here is the wind: a light 9 mph cross-offshore breeze from the NNW. It’s clean. The waves are surfable, but very ordinary. The morning on Friday the 7th is also clean with a tiny 2ft, but it’s barely a ripple.

After that, we hit a dry spell. The conditions are mostly poor or the swell is just too small to matter. There’s a gap of several days where I wouldn’t even bother.

The next real standout shows up on the morning of Saturday, August 15th. This is the one to mark on your calendar. St Tugen is looking at a clean 4ft swell from the WNW, with a period of 10 seconds. The energy is a solid 279 (moderate). The real magic is the wind: a fresh 19 mph offshore breeze from the ENE. Clean, lined-up waves. This is the best on offer for the whole outlook. The afternoon is similar, with a 5ft swell and 296 energy, also with that fresh offshore wind. It’s a couple of weeks away, so it’s promising but not a guarantee, but it’s the one to keep an eye on. Sunday morning, August 16th, is also decent with a 4ft, 9-second swell, and clean conditions.

The rest of the forecast after that drifts back into the small and ordinary zone. So, if you’ve got the patience, the 15th is your target.

Keep your stick in the water,
Rusty

Read more