St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your wettie, let’s have a look at the charts for St Tugen.

The next week and a bit is mostly a frustrating story. We're looking at a lot of blown-out, choppy surf with strong onshores, right through until the end of the first week of September. There's plenty of water moving around, but it's messy. Patience is the name of the game here.

To be honest, the first real pulse of quality doesn't show up until the morning of Saturday the 5th. A fresh groundswell fills in from the WNW with a proper 13-second period, and the wind swings around to a light offshore from the ENE. Those are the ingredients for a magic morning. The swell is a solid 5ft, driven by strong wave energy (902), and the break should be a lot of fun. This is the standout of the next two weeks, full stop. Get on it early, because the wind gets a bit weird in the afternoon as it becomes light cross-shore, and the wave energy backs down (672).

The lull returns straight after, and we're back to mushy and weak surf through the 6th. Don't get too excited.

The next interesting window appears on the morning of Monday the 7th. There's a bigger pulse of energy moving in, with a 6ft groundswell from the WNW (1029 energy). But the wind is up in the cross-shore direction, not offshore, which will put a bit of texture on the face. It's a bigger and stronger swell, so it could be worth checking, but it won't have that same clean, groomed look as Saturday. It's a bit of a tricky one, as the period is still good at 13 seconds, but the cross-shore breeze will make it more of a handful. This one's not as user-friendly.

After that, the Atlantic gets angry. We get hammered with a strong onshore breeze at 25 mph on the Tuesday morning, and with a 6ft swell. That will create a mess. Expect the conditions to remain poor, with lumpy, cross-choppy surf right through the middle of the second week. The swell stays around, but it's all over the place quality-wise.

The latter part of the second week starts shaping up with more promise. On the 14th, the morning is still a bit uncertain, but look at the afternoon forecast for Monday the 14th. The wind goes glassy with a 5ft WSW swell moving in. That's a very special forecast for a spot like this. It's a smaller swell but with that glassy surface, the break will feel much more powerful and lined up. That's a solid pick for a surf.

We get another taste of something really lovely on the morning of Wednesday the 16th. Another good-looking groundswell from the W at 6ft, and the wind is again glassy. That's a really solid swell size with perfect conditions, and the energy is in the strong range (826). That could be one for the books, though it's a long way out and we're just eyeballing it right now. It’s promising.

So, to keep it simple: the standout windows are Saturday morning the 5th, with a cleaner but slightly smaller swell, and the glassy afternoons of the 14th and the morning of the 16th, which look to hold the bigger surf.

This is a picky wave, St Tugen. It needs its offshore and clean windows to shine, and when it gets them, it can be special. The cross-shore stuff will be a mess, so don't get tempted unless you're just keen for a paddle. If it gets big with that cross-shore wind, it might be more interesting for the kite crew than the surfers.

Talk soon.

Rusty

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