St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up for St Tugen over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water temp is sitting at about 64°F, which is pretty average for this time of year – nothing unusual there.

Right now, the start of the period is a bit of a write-off. Monday afternoon is small with a weak 3ft W swell and a light cross-on breeze. It’s messy. Tuesday is even worse with strong cross-shore winds and a drop in energy. Wednesday sees the swell start to build, with a 7ft WNW groundswell on Wednesday morning, but a fresh cross-off wind keeps it clean. The energy is ramping up, moderate, but the conditions are still only marginal. Wednesday afternoon stays around 7ft with the same wind, but the tide or something is questionable.

Thursday brings a drop in size and onshore winds, so that’s a no-go.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Friday the 18th is the real standout. Friday morning we’ve got a solid 8ft WNW swell, with a very long 15-second period. That’s proper groundswell. The combined energy is strong, and with a light cross-off breeze from the NNW at 15 mph, the conditions are clean. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers only – that size is not for beginners. Because of that long period, St Tugen, being an exposed break, should handle it well, but the longer gaps between sets will make the paddle out easier. This is the pick of the fortnight. Friday afternoon, however, gets a bit choppy with a cross-on breeze, so aim for the morning.

The weekend is a mixed bag. Saturday morning has a clean 5ft swell with a SSW offshore wind, which sounds great on paper, but the wave comment is poor. Saturday afternoon is only marginal with a light cross-on. Sunday the 20th has a clean morning with a 5ft WNW swell and a light NE offshore wind – that’ll be good, clean surf, with moderate energy.

Looking into the following week, Monday the 21st morning is looking very good. A 5ft W swell with a 13-second period, a light E cross-off breeze, and clean conditions. That’s another one to pencil in.

The rest of the week drops off in size. Tuesday the 22nd is small, around 3ft, but glassy offshore conditions in the morning make it surfable. Wednesday and Thursday mornings offer clean but small waves, with a light offshore breeze. Friday the 25th and Saturday the 26th mornings both have a 3ft to 4ft W swell and light offshore winds – clean, small, but fun for a longboard.

The final days of the forecast, from the 27th onward, are tiny. Sunday morning has a 2ft swell, and by Monday the 28th it’s barely breaking at 2ft. The energy is weak. There is a brief pulse on Tuesday the 29th afternoon with a 3ft W swell and a very long 16-second period, glassy conditions. That’s promising but it’s a long way out, so don’t bank on it.

So, to sum it up: if you’re an experienced surfer, Friday the 18th morning is your session. For the rest of us, Sunday the 20th morning and Monday the 21st morning offer the best clean, manageable waves.

Rusty.

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