St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water’s sitting at 64° which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year – about a degree and a half up, so noticeably pleasant for a morning paddle.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start. The first real session worth looking at is Thursday morning, July 9, at St Tugen. It’s small, 3 ft from the west with a 10-second period, and the wind is offshore from the NE at 9 mph. That’s clean, glassy conditions on offer. The combined energy is moderate (120). It’s not pumping, but it’s surfable and clean – a good way to ease into the day. Crowds are possible here, so you might have company.

Friday morning, July 10, is another decent shout. Slightly bigger at 3 ft, still from the west-northwest, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the ESE at 6 mph. The swell energy bumps up a bit (142), and it’s clean. Not a standout, but a solid small-wave option.

Saturday morning, July 11, brings more of the same: 3 ft from the west, 10-second period, offshore ENE wind at 9 mph, clean. Then Saturday afternoon turns glassy – 2 ft, 10 seconds, and barely a breath of wind from the ESE at 3 mph. The energy drops to 92, so weak, but if you want a smooth, tiny wave session, that’s your window.

After that, we hit a dry spell. From Sunday, July 12, right through to Wednesday, July 23, the surf is pretty poor. Waves shrink, winds turn messy, and the energy is low. There are a few mornings with clean conditions, but the swell is tiny – mostly under 2 ft. It’s a long gap of about 11 days with nothing worth recommending.

Then, on Thursday morning, July 23, something interesting pops up. The swell is small at 1 ft, but it’s coming from the west-northwest with a very long period of 14 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is moderate (121). The wind is light and cross-shore from the NW at 6 mph. That long period will make for tidy, lined-up waves on a point or reef, but at a beach break it might be too straight. It’s a tease, not a goer for size.

The real standout lands on Friday, July 24. Morning brings 5 ft from the west-northwest with a 7-second period, and the wind is cross-shore from the NW at 9 mph. The energy is strong (227). It’s marginal, but the afternoon pushes 5 ft from the same direction, with a cross-onshore wind from the west at 16 mph. That’s a bit choppy, and over 5 ft, it’s getting too big for beginners. For the experienced crew, there’s some push there, but the wind is a letdown. Keep an eye on it, but don’t get your hopes up.

Overall, the first few days are worth a paddle if you’re desperate, and the last Friday might have some grunt for the experts. The middle is a total write-off.

Rusty.

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