St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's break down what's happening at St Tugen for you.

Gotta be honest, this forecast is a real mixed bag, and for the most part, you're gonna be waiting. We've got a long run of small, poor-quality surf with winds that just won't play ball, before one standout window appears on Sunday, August 9th. That's the one to lock in. The combined swell energy will be mostly weak to moderate, under 500 for most of the run, so don't expect much grunt.

Water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.

We get a tiny flash of hope on Monday, July 27th. St Tugen sees a clean 5-foot swell from the WNW, with a 10-second period and moderate energy of 482. The wind is a light cross-off NW breeze, so the morning should be clean. You might snag a few, but by the afternoon, the wind cranks up cross-shore and things get ugly. That window shuts fast.

From Monday afternoon all the way through to Saturday, August 8th, it's pretty much a dead zone. Over a week of poor conditions. Swells drop under 3 feet, periods are short, and we're getting hammered by onshore or cross-shore winds. The energy is weak, and there's simply no quality on offer.

Now, here's the one that's got me buzzing. Mark your calendar for Sunday, August 9th. The morning at St Tugen is looking like a proper standout. We've got a solid 8-foot swell from the west, with an 8-second period. The energy rating is massive at 1712, which is strong. The wind is glassy, a dead calm from the SSE, and that's going to give you perfect, clean faces. This is expert territory at 8-foot – it's gonna be powerful and not for beginners. It'll be a big, walled-up beach break, and while the short period might make it close out in sections, when it's glassy like that, you'll find some absolute gems.

The afternoon of the 9th turns more marginal with an onshore wind, so that Sunday morning is your golden window. After that, it's back to small, poor conditions and onshore winds. Saturday morning the 8th shows a little more promise with a clean 3-foot swell, but it's nothing compared to what's coming Sunday.

So, the bottom line: the next week plus is mostly wind and small waves. Save your energy, your wax, and your stoke for the morning of Sunday, August 9th. St Tugen will be the spot for those who can handle it, with glassy conditions and a strong, powerful swell.

Rusty.

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