St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s chew the fat on what’s cookin’ for St Tugen over the next coupla weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: this is a lean stretch. The first week and a half is pretty tough sledding. We’ve got a solid run of poor surf conditions from Saturday the 1st right through to the morning of Monday the 10th of August. That’s a long gap of nothing much to get excited about.

The wind is the main culprit. It’s gonna be howling from the NNW and NW a lot, 18 to 27 mph, which is a cross-off or cross wind for this spot. That keeps the ocean messy, even if the swell is small. The swell itself is tiny, barely 1 ft to 2 ft through the first week, with a short period under 9 seconds, so there’s barely any push. The combined wave energy barely cracks 70 for most of that time, which is weak juice.

Now, we do see a little bump. Tuesday the 4th of August morning sees a pulse of 4 ft from the WSW, but the wind is onshore from the SW at 12 mph, which is gonna make a mess of it. The energy does climb to 146 (moderate), but the wind is junk. It’s the same story Wednesday the 5th: 4 ft to 5 ft from the WSW/W, but the periods are still short (7-8 seconds), and the wind is cross or cross-onshore, making it choppy. The energy peaks at 290 (moderate) Wednesday afternoon, but it’s not clean. For a beach setup, this is looking more like a kite-surfing day than a paddle session.

The one real, honest-to-goodness standout comes late in the window. Mark your calendars for the morning of Saturday the 15th of August. We get a 4 ft swell from the NW, with a clean, gentle offshore wind from the NNE at 10 mph. That’s the kind of wind that polishes the surface like glass. The energy is 158 (moderate), so there’s some grunt behind it. The period is only 7 seconds, so it’s a short-period windswell, but with that offshore wind it’ll hold up alright. The water is sitting at 66°F with a 2°F anomaly, so about average for the time of year. This is your best bet. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so get out early.

The morning of Sunday the 16th of August is a secondary option, with 3 ft from the NW and a cross-off breeze, but it’s a step down from Saturday.

So, overall, it’s a long wait for a short window of decent surf. The first nine days are a write-off. Hang in there, and be ready for that Saturday the 15th morning session. After that, it looks like it’s back to the waiting game.

Rusty.

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