St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's shaping up for St Tugen.

Right now, it's a bit of a slow start. The first hint of anything rideable shows up on Thursday the 13th of August with a morning session, but honestly, it's pretty weak. We're looking at a 3ft swell coming from the W, with a period of 11 seconds and a combined energy of just 242 (moderate). The wind is a cross-offshore from the NNW at 9 mph, so the surface will be clean, making it a "clean" wave state. The water's sitting at 66°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. But overall, the quality is just marginal, so don't get your hopes up.

The rest of that day and through to the end of the first week is mostly a write-off. The wind picks up, the swell drops off, and we're seeing a lot of poor surf conditions and zero scores. From Thursday afternoon all the way through to Tuesday the 19th of August, it's mostly a flat spell with nothing to recommend. There's a small bump of 3ft on the 19th morning, but it's ordinary at best.

There's a bit of a flicker on Friday the 21st of August in the morning. A small 3ft NW swell with a period of 8 seconds, combined energy of 109 (moderate), and a light NNW breeze at 6 mph giving us cross-offshore, clean conditions. Again, it's just "ordinary," not a standout.

The real story, the one that has a little bit of life, is the end of the run. On Sunday the 23rd of August, the swell starts to pick up. The morning sees 6ft from the W with a period of 8 seconds and a combined energy of 395 (moderate to strong). The wind is light from the SW at 3 mph, blowing onshore. The water temp anomaly is nothing special. It's got more size, but the conditions are questionable.

Then on Monday the 24th of August, the swell hangs in there at 6ft from the WNW, period 9 seconds, but the energy jumps to 547 (strong). The wind is a moderate cross-onshore from the W at 12 mph, making it choppy. It's sizeable enough for experienced surfers, but the wind is a problem.

If I had to pick the only real standout, even though it's got problems, it's Monday morning the 25th of August. The swell is dropping to 3ft from the WNW, period 7 seconds, combined energy of 115 (moderate). The wind is light from the WSW at 3 mph, blowing onshore. It's not great, but compared to the rest of the forecast, it's the only time the energy and wind are even in the same ballpark.

Honestly, the whole 16-day window is a tough one. There's no real power or quality. The swell direction is mainly W to WNW, which is the optimum for St Tugen, and the break is fairly consistent, but the wind just won't cooperate. For a spot that's exposed to the WSW, we're just not getting the right combination. This stretch looks more like a kiter's dream than a surfer's playground for most of it.

Stay patient, lads. The forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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