St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I've been staring at the charts for St Tugen and, to be honest, it's a pretty grim run for the next couple of weeks. This spot is exposed to the open ocean, so it does get swell, but for the vast majority of this forecast, the wind is just a disaster. The water temp is sitting right around 66°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so at least a spring suit will be fine.

We start off right now, Sunday morning, with a tiny 2 ft W swell. The wind is light offshore from the ENE, so the surface is clean, but there's just no energy in the water (combined energy of all swells directed here: 43). It's a total write-off. The whole first week is basically a washout. Monday through to Wednesday sees a bit of a bump in size, hitting 5 ft on Wednesday, but the wind is an ugly cross-onshore, making it a choppy mess. The combined energy climbs a bit (286), but it's all for nothing. Thursday morning is the first time we see a little light, with a clean surface and a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is only 4 ft (145) and it's ordinary at best. Friday and Saturday are similar – small, weak, and mostly blown out.

The following week starts the same way. A tiny bit of swell on Monday and Tuesday, but it's all cross-shore wind and poor conditions. The swell energy drops to pitiful levels (3 on Wednesday morning). It's a proper blank run.

Then, finally, on the 14th of August, Friday morning, things start to look interesting. We've got a 6 ft W swell rolling in, with a period of 8 seconds. The wind is light offshore from the NE, which is the optimum direction for the break, and the surface is clean. The combined energy is a solid 489 – moderate to strong. The score says "expect good surf conditions," and I reckon that's the standout. It's a bit of a bigger swell, so it might be a bit much for beginners, but for the intermediates, that's the one. Just be aware that the afternoon gets wrecked by a cross-shore wind. The weekend after that, the 15th and 16th, has some size (5 ft to 6 ft) but the wind is either a messy cross-off or a choppy cross-onshore, so it's a bit of a gamble. The 17th of August, Monday, has a 6 ft W swell with a longer 10 second period, and the combined energy is cranking at 630, but it's a cross-shore wind with a chop, so it's a marginal call.

So, the long and short of it: the first week is a total dud. The only real glimmer in the whole 16 days is that Friday morning, the 14th of August. Get on it if you can, because the rest of the run is a write-off.

Rusty.

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