St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next couple of weeks for St Tugen.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start here, with the first few days looking pretty average. The good news is there’s a serious pulse of energy coming through later on, but you’ll need to be patient and pick your moments.

The first real chance to get wet is on Monday, the 31st of August. The morning will see an 8ft swell from the west with a period of 10 seconds, giving us moderate wave energy. It’s a bit on the bigger side, so it might be too much for beginners. The wind is a cross-shore from the WNW at 12 mph, which is okay but not perfect. The afternoon drops to 7ft, still with a west swell, and the wind shifts to a gentler cross-shore from the NW at 9 mph. The water temp is about average for this time of year around here.

Tuesday the 1st of September sees the swell drop right off, with the morning offering 4ft from the west. The wind is light cross-onshore from the SSW at 3 mph, so it’s not clean, but the energy is low. It’s not really worth getting excited about.

Then we hit a big gap. From Wednesday the 2nd right through to Wednesday the 9th, the conditions are mostly poor. The swell is small, the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and the energy is low – it’s a real flat spell.

Now, the standout. The real event is on Friday, the 4th of September. This is the one to circle on the calendar. We’ve got a solid 10ft groundswell from the WNW with a very long period of 14 seconds in the morning, and 13 seconds in the afternoon. The combined energy is massive. This is serious, powerful surf. The wind is a moderate cross-shore from the WNW at 12-15 mph. However, this swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This is for experts only. The long period means it will be best at the point, as it’ll be too straight for the beach. The swell direction (WNW) matches the optimum for St Tugen (WSW) pretty well, but that size is the main factor.

Saturday the 5th of September is a solid consolation if Friday was too much. The morning offers a clean 6ft from the WNW with a period of 11 seconds. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the ESE at 6 mph, which is a major positive – it’ll be glassy. This is a much more manageable size for intermediate surfers and the conditions should be very good.

After that, the outlook drops off again. Sunday the 6th sees the wind pick up strong from the SE, making a mess of things, and the rest of the second week is a mix of onshore winds and poor conditions. There’s a pulse on Friday the 11th of September with a 7ft swell from the west, but it’s onshore and looks messy, so it’s hard to recommend.

To sum it up: Friday the 4th is the big one, but it’s a beast. Saturday the 5th is your best bet for a proper, clean session. Everything else is a wait-and-see.

Rusty.

Read more