St Tugen Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s brewing for St Tugen. The next couple of weeks have a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s one clear window that’s got my attention.

The biggest news is a solid pulse of swell arriving early on. Saturday the 5th of September is your standout. We’re looking at a 7ft swell from the WNW, with a period of 13 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, carrying a lot of energy (1243). The wind is a light easterly, coming cross-offshore at 6 mph, keeping the surface clean. This is prime stuff for experienced surfers. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there. Crowds are possible at St Tugen, so get your timing right.

Saturday afternoon the wind swings onshore and the quality drops off. Sunday the 6th is a write-off – strong SE winds at 19 mph and a messy 3ft wave. We’ve got a long stretch of poor conditions after that. Monday the 7th sees a bump in size to 6ft from the west, but the wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy and marginal. The 8th, 9th, and 10th are all ruled out by onshore winds and messy conditions, with waves ranging from 4ft to 7ft, but the wind just ruins it.

The 11th and 12th are still messy. There’s a slight improvement on the morning of the 12th with a clean 3ft wave and a cross-offshore NNW breeze, but it’s small and weak (114). The 13th through the 16th are a write-off – onshore winds and choppy surf. The 14th is particularly nasty with a strong 25 mph cross-shore wind.

We do get a little glimmer of hope later. The 15th of September morning and afternoon both show a clean 4ft swell from the west with a long 14-second period. The wind is cross-offshore from the NNW, but it’s a fresh 22 mph breeze, so it’ll be a battle. The energy is moderate (633 and 551). It’s a marginal call, but for the hardy crew, there might be a few clean ones to be had.

The 17th is clean but small at 3ft, and the 18th morning looks absolutely glassy with a 3ft wave and a light easterly breeze of 3 mph. That’s a rare treat, but the wave energy is very weak (107). After that, it’s tiny and flat through to the 20th, with waves dropping to 1.0ft.

So, the big winner is Saturday the 5th of September morning. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. After that, the 15th and 18th mornings offer something for the patient surfer, but you’ll be working for it. The rest of the window is a long, frustrating gap of poor conditions.

Rusty.

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