Panoramas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the surf outlook for Panoramas.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 71°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next few days are pretty grim. We’ve got a long stretch of poor surf conditions ahead. From Thursday the 3rd right through to Saturday the 5th, it’s all tiny waves and messy wind. You’re looking at swell around 1.0ft to 2ft, mostly from the NW, with a combined energy that’s weak (59 or less). The wind is all over the place, mostly cross-onshore, keeping things choppy. There’s a glassy moment on Saturday morning, but the swell is only 1.0ft – not worth paddling out for.

Sunday the 6th morning shows a little flicker of hope. We get a glassy morning with a 2ft NW swell, but the period is only 7 seconds, so it’s short and weak. The combined energy picks up to 72 (moderate), but it’s still just “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” The afternoon gets messy again. This pattern of mediocre mornings and blown-out afternoons repeats for a while.

The first real standout window comes around Tuesday the 8th afternoon. The swell bumps up to 3ft from the NW, with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 344 (strong). That’s a proper pulse of energy. Unfortunately, the wind is a moderate cross-onshore (12 mph), so it’s going to be choppy. Still, that’s the most size we’ve seen.

If you can wait, keep an eye on Wednesday the 9th morning. It’s glassy, with a 3ft NW swell and a 10-second period. The energy is 177 (moderate). That’s a clean, surfable wave, but nothing to write home about. Thursday the 10th morning is also glassy with 3ft, but again, it’s ordinary.

Honestly, looking at the whole 16-day window, there’s no single day that screams “standout.” The best bets are the glassy mornings with modest swell, like Wednesday the 9th or the 15th of September morning. On the 15th, we get a 3ft NW swell with zero wind – dead glassy – and combined energy of 116 (moderate). That’s about as clean as it gets, but the waves are small.

For the real expert crew, Tuesday the 8th afternoon has the most energy (344), but it’s choppy. Not ideal. The second week (from around the 12th onward) drops off again into tiny, weak surf.

So, the bottom line: no big swell, no perfect conditions. If you’re desperate, hit the glassy mornings around the 9th or 15th for a few small, clean waves. Crowds are possible at Panoramas, so you might have some company. It’s a beach and reef setup, so those long-period swells (over 11 seconds) like on the 14th might offer a better shape on the reef, but the wind is usually on it.

Rusty signing off.

Read more