Panoramas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve taken a long hard look at the charts for the next couple of weeks. Let’s get into it.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: the first week and a half is a tough slog. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor surf conditions, with hardly any windows for a decent paddle. The first real chance to even get a wet suit on doesn't come until Monday the 7th, and even then, it’s barely a whisper.

The only spot in the game is Panoramas, a beach and reef setup that's fairly exposed to the swell. The water is sitting at about 72°, which is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

From the 4th through the 6th of September, it’s a total write-off. We’ve got tiny, weak swell, messy wind, and the combined energy is barely a whisper (33 to 51). Don’t even bother.

Monday the 7th morning is the first glimmer. We get a glassy morning with a tiny 1 ft NW swell. The period is a long 11 seconds, so it’s got a bit of push, but the energy is still weak (90). It’s surfable, but only just. If you’re desperate, you might get a few fun ones on a log. The afternoon gets ruined by a 12 mph cross-on breeze.

The next real standout, and the best bet of the whole outlook, is Wednesday the 9th of September. The morning is glassy again, with a 3 ft NW swell, a clean 10-second period, and the combined energy jumps to a moderate 246. That’s the most juice we see. For a spot like Panoramas, that’s a fun little wave, and with zero wind, it’ll be clean as a whistle. This is the one to circle on your calendar. But don’t expect it to last; the afternoon gets choppy.

After that, it’s back to the grind. The 14th and 15th have some glassy mornings with tiny 1 ft to 2 ft NW swells, but the energy is low (74 and 83). It’s more of the same “surfable but very ordinary” story.

The 16th and 17th are interesting. The 16th morning has a tiny 1 ft WNW swell, but look at that period: 15 seconds. That’s a very long groundswell, with moderate energy (156). It’ll be glassy, but that long period at a beach-and-reef break might make it break a little too straight, so it’s a bit of a gamble. The 17th morning is similar with a 2 ft, 13-second NW swell and glassy wind (energy 160). Again, it’s promising but a bit of a wildcard.

Beyond that, the 18th and 19th just fade back into tiny, weak, and onshore conditions. The combined energy drops to 86 and below. A kite surfer might find something to do on the 17th afternoon when the wind comes onshore and the swell hits 4 ft, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a no-go.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a bust. The standout is the morning of Wednesday, September 9th. That’s your best shot at clean, fun waves. The 16th and 17th have some interesting long-period swells, but they’re less certain. Get out there on the 9th if you can.

Rusty.

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