Packery Channel Surf Break

Packery Channel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 27.62° N 97.20° W

Issued: 12 pm 05 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Packery Channel sea temperature is
29.0° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Packery Channel surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Packery Channel surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period, ESE swell with 313 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Packery Channel this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Packery Channel in the next 16 days are 1.9m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (CDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 1AM (Sun 12th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Packery Channel over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, let’s get real. Gotta be honest with you, the next couple of weeks look pretty grim for Packery Channel. I’m not seeing any proper windows in the first 15 days. It’s a long, dry spell.

From Sunday July 5th right through to Thursday July 16th, it’s basically a write-off. The swell is tiny, mostly around 1 to 4 ft, and coming from the SSE or SE. The period is short – only 4 to 6 seconds – so it’s just weak, windswell mush. The onshore and cross-onshore winds are a constant problem, mostly from the S and SSE, blowing 9 to 19 mph. The water temp is sitting at 84° with a 1° anomaly, so pretty average for this time of year. The combined energy is weak, mostly under 100 (20 to 80), so there’s just no punch. The forecasters are calling it “poor surf conditions” every single session. Total bust.

We finally get a flicker of hope on Tuesday July 14th morning. The wind swings light from the SW at 6 mph, going cross-offshore. The swell is still small, 4 ft from the SE at 7 seconds, and the energy is only moderate at 115. The wave comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” That’s the only window with a score of 1 out of 10, which is the best of a bad bunch. It’ll be clean, but don’t expect much.

Then it’s right back to the choppy, onshore junk until the end of the forecast.

The one standout that catches the eye, but it’s a long way off, is Saturday July 18th morning. The swell jumps up to 10 ft from the SE with a 10-second period. That’s a big swell, over 8 ft, so it’s expert-only territory, and it’s going to be a beast at a breakwater. The combined energy is massive at 1531, so there’s heaps of power. But the wind is a moderate cross-shore from the SSW at 12 mph, and the wave comment is “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” It’s a promising, heavy, long-range possibility, but it’s far from a sure thing and the wind could easily mess it up. The afternoon gets worse with strong onshore winds.

So, if you’re really jonesing, the Tuesday July 14th morning session is the only clean, surfable option in the near term, but it’s small. That big Saturday July 18th morning swell is the one to watch, but it’s for experts only and a long way off.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sun morning, min 27°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 27°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSE
4
0.6
SSE
4
0.7
SE
4
0.7
SSE
4
0.5
SSE
5
0.6
SSE
4
0.7
SSE
5
0.6
SSE
5
0.9
SSE
6
0.9
SE
5
0.7
SE
5
1.1
SE
5
1
SE
6
1.1
SE
6
1.3
SSE
6
0.9
SE
5
1.1
SE
5
1.1
SE
6
1.3
SE
6
1.3
SE
6
1.9
ESE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
17
13
16
18
12
12
19
15
53
41
30
60
59
80
112
41
68
82
124
128
313
Wind (km/h)
20
S
20
SE
20
SSE
15
S
20
SE
20
SSE
15
SSE
20
SE
25
SSE
20
S
25
SSE
30
S
25
S
30
SSE
25
S
25
SSE
25
SSE
25
SSE
40
SSE
20
SSE
25
SE
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
High Tide
6:24PM0.24m
8:19AM0.35m
8:50PM0.25m
8:16AM0.33m
11:22PM0.30m
7:50AM0.33m
2:10AM0.41m
3:18AM0.50m
4:12AM0.57m
Low Tide
3:43PM0.23m
00:41AM0.08m
3:23PM0.15m
1:24AM0.18m
3:40PM0.05m
2:23AM0.29m
4:16PM-0.05m
5:02PM-0.15m
5:56PM-0.23m
6:53PM-0.30m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:37
6:37
6:39
6:39
6:39
6:39
6:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:28
8:28
8:28
8:27
8:27
8:27
8:27
 mm
1
1
3
4
1
Temp °C
29
29
28
28
29
28
29
29
28
28
29
28
28
28
28
29
29
29
27
28
28
Feels °C
31
31
29
31
30
30
31
31
29
31
31
28
29
28
29
30
29
30
25
29
28
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SE
8
0.1
SE
8
0.2
ESE
9
0.7
SSE
4
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
8
0.1
SE
8
0.1
SE
8
0.1
SE
9
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
Energy kJ
3
3
8
18
7
7
8
7
6
3
3
3
4
3
8
8
8
9
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SE
5
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
Energy kJ
1
8
7
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
Energy kJ
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSE
4
0.6
SSE
4
0.7
SE
4
0.5
SSE
5
0.6
SSE
4
0.7
SSE
5
0.6
SSE
5
0.9
SSE
6
0.9
SE
5
0.7
SE
5
1.1
SE
5
1
SE
6
1.1
SE
6
1.3
SSE
6
0.9
SE
5
1.1
SE
5
1.1
SE
6
1.3
SE
6
1.3
SE
6
1.9
ESE
7
Energy kJ
17
13
16
12
12
19
15
53
41
30
60
59
80
112
41
68
82
124
128
313
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
3
3
4
3
3
2
3
3
2
3
2
3
2
2
3
2
2
1
2
Distance (km)
1034
1134
1030
1034
1210
1030
1034
1134
1030
1034
1132
1030
1030
1148
1030
1030
1047
1030
1034
1132
1049
Best forecast wave conditions in Texas
Rating
(10 max)
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
3
2
2
4
2
2
4
3
2
4
3
2
4
2
4
3
2
2
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
4
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
5
6
5
8
5
5
8
6
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Packery Channel Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Packery Channel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Packery Channel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Packery Channel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Packery Channel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Packery Channel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Packery Channel is 28 km (17 miles) from Corpus Christi. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corpus Christi. Corpus Christi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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