Packery Channel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for the next couple of weeks.

I’ll be honest – it’s a grim outlook. There’s a long stretch of nothing before we even get a sniff of a wave. The first recommendation doesn’t pop up until Wednesday, July 22nd, with a few days of total junk beforehand.

The main spot is Packery Channel (Texas). It’s a breakwater, good for beginners, and it breaks fairly often, but you’ll be fighting the crowds. The water is 84°, which is about normal for this time of year.

On Monday and Tuesday, July 20–21, forget it. Cross-onshore winds at 12–16 mph are ruining tiny SSE swells around 2 to 3 feet. The period is a weak 5 seconds, and the combined energy is barely a whisper – 45 and dropping to 19. Poor conditions all around.

Wednesday morning, July 22, is the best we’ve got. The wind goes light WSW at 6 mph, turning cross-offshore, which cleans the surface. The swell is still tiny at 2 feet from the south, period 5 seconds, but the energy climbs to 51. It’s surfable, but barely. The afternoon ruins it again with a cross-on wind.

From Thursday, July 23, all the way through to early August, it’s a nightmare. The wind stays cross-on or cross, blowing 12–28 mph, getting especially strong from July 28 onward. Swell heights run from 2 feet to 5 feet, but it’s all short-period, choppy, and lumpy. The energy does hit 127 on the 28th, which is moderate, but with fresh cross-onshore winds and a messy surface, it’s no good for paddling. That steady wind and junky texture? This looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, there’s no real standout here. The only half-decent window is a very ordinary, clean wave on Wednesday morning, July 22, but it’s tiny. The rest of the 16 days is a washout. For this area, dry spells like this happen. Forecasts can change, so keep checking, but for now, I’d say save the wax.

Rusty.

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