Surf Forecasts:
Packery Channel surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 18 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period, E swell with 114 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Packery Channel this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Packery Channel in the next 16 days are 1.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 18) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Fri 18th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Packery Channel over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Gather 'round, crew. Rusty here. Lookin' at the next 16 days for our stretch of coast here at Packery Channel, and I gotta be straight with ya – the outlook is flat, flat, flat. It's a rough run.
We've got a solid 16-day span on the books, but the honest truth is there ain't a single day worth paddling out for. Right from the get-go on Monday the 14th of September, it's a tough start with small, weak 3ft southeast windswell (energy a measly 47). And it doesn't get any better. The whole first week is a write-off. The waves just stay tiny, the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the forecasters keep calling it "poor surf conditions."
The only time we get a sniff of something different is the 18th of September – a Friday morning – when that combined energy gauge finally pushes past 100 (hitting 102) with a 4ft easterly swell. But even then, at a short 6-second period, it's just a weak, bumpy mess with onshore winds. Not a surfable prospect, just more chop.
To be honest, the entire 16-day window is a barren landscape. There are big gaps between any sort of recommendation – which there are none of – because the wave energy just flatlines. We see periods where the swell drops to a pathetic 0.3ft or 1.0ft, and the combined energy drops into single digits (like 6 or 7 on the 22nd and 23rd of September). That's basically a lake.
To put it in perspective, on the 14th of September, the water is sitting at 86°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – but you won't feel it on a board because you won't be on one. There's a little patch of glassy conditions on the 22nd and 23rd of September mornings, but with waves at just 1ft and a 4-second period, you’d be bobbing like a cork. Even the cleaner spots with light cross-shore winds on the 21st and 24th only offer knee-high dribble.
Look, I know this area can pump, but this run is a proper dud. It’s one of those stretches where the ocean just doesn't cooperate. We’re stuck in a pattern of weak, short-period windswell and persistent onshore flow. The only setups that might look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing are the choppy afternoons, but even then, there's barely any juice.
Hold tight, folks. It won't stay like this forever. Forecasts can and do change. But for now, save the wax and go find something else to do.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 28°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Thu afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 5 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 5 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 44 | 60 | 41 | 35 | 30 | 19 | 15 | 34 | 39 | 40 | 83 | 101 | 113 | 94 | 72 | 74 | 68 | 68 | 44 | 41 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:41PM0.58m | 9:18PM0.59m | 11:17PM0.61m | 00:44AM0.62m | 1:42AM0.63m | 2:25AM0.64m | 2:56AM0.62m | |||||||||||||
Low Tide | 11:58AM0.09m | 12:41PM0.08m | 1:33PM0.08m | 2:35PM0.09m | 3:47PM0.10m | 4:58PM0.11m | ||||||||||||||
 |  | | | |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — |
 | 7:35 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:28 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 30 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 33 | 31 | 30 | 32 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 32 | 30 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 5 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 5 | E 6 | SE 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | — | — | SE 8 | — |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 40 | 3 | 1 | 113 | 94 | 72 | 74 | — | — | 3 | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 9 | SE 6 | — | SE 9 | SE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | — | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | — | — | E 6 | E 6 | — | — | — | — | ESE 5 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 5 |
| kJ | 44 | 60 | 41 | 35 | 30 | — | 15 | 34 | — | — | 83 | 101 | — | — | — | — | 68 | 68 | 44 | 41 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1134 | 1030 | 1034 | 1134 | 1030 | 1030 | 1076 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1134 | 1030 | 166 | 1148 | 1030 | 1034 | 1134 | 1030 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Texas | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Packery Channel Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Packery Channel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Packery Channel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Packery Channel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Packery Channel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Packery Channel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Packery Channel is 28 km (17 miles) from Corpus Christi. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corpus Christi. Corpus Christi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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