Surf Forecasts:
Packery Channel surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 6s period, SE swell with 160 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Packery Channel this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Packery Channel in the next 16 days are 1.6m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Packery Channel over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – we’re looking at a pretty flat and uninspiring stretch ahead for our local waters. The outlook is a long one, running sixteen days, but almost the entire run is a write-off for any proper paddle surfing. From now right through to the end of the period, the wave energy is just too weak, and the wind is working against us.
We’re talking about Packery Channel, a breakwater setup that’s open to the elements. The problem is we’ve got a persistent onshore or cross-onshore wind from the south and southeast for the vast majority of the forecast. That means chop, lumps, and generally poor conditions. The swell is tiny – mostly hanging around 1 ft to 4 ft, with a short, weak period of 4 to 8 seconds. The combined swell energy is laughable, mostly in the low double digits or struggling to crack 100. For example, on the afternoon of September 15th, it’s only reaching 100 – that’s barely moderate. It’s just not enough to push any real shape through the breakwater.
The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
There is a tiny, tiny glimmer. If you’re absolutely desperate, the morning of September 19th offers a brief moment of sanity. The wind swings around to a light NNW breeze at 6 mph, which is a cross-offshore, and the forecast calls it "clean." The swell is only 2 ft from the ESE, with a period of 6 seconds, and the combined energy is a very weak 31. It’s not going to be good, but it’s the only time in the entire window where the wind isn’t working against you. That’s the only morning that might be worth a look if you’ve got a log and zero expectations. Everything else is a solid pass.
Honestly, for the next two weeks, this setup looks way more interesting for the kite surfers than anyone with a paddle. The wind is consistent, and the waves are too small and weak to bother with. Don’t waste your time. The forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a long, blank run.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Wed night, min 28°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 30°C on Sat night, min 29°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | S 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SSE 6 | ESE 4 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 8 | 6 | 49 | 57 | 56 | 114 | 77 | 62 | 75 | 81 | 61 | 77 | 69 | 72 | 160 | 96 | 100 | 79 | 43 | 18 | 39 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 4:27AM0.49m | 2:21PM0.53m | 4:21AM0.45m | 3:44PM0.54m | 4:14AM0.42m | 5:02PM0.56m | 4:07AM0.41m | 6:19PM0.57m | 3:52AM0.43m | 7:41PM0.58m | 9:18PM0.59m | 11:17PM0.61m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 9:28AM0.40m | 9:54PM0.14m | 9:46AM0.31m | 10:51PM0.23m | 10:14AM0.23m | 11:51PM0.33m | 10:45AM0.16m | 1:07AM0.41m | 11:20AM0.12m | 11:58AM0.09m | 12:41PM0.08m | ||||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — |
 | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:31 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 |
Feels °C | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 29 | 32 | 32 | 30 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 8 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | SE 7 | E 5 | — | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 9 | — | — | — | SE 9 | SE 6 | SSE 6 | ESE 9 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | 43 | 18 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 8 | ESE 7 | SE 8 | SE 8 | E 5 | E 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 11 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | S 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | — | E 5 | ESE 4 |
| kJ | 8 | 6 | 49 | 57 | 56 | 114 | 77 | 62 | 75 | 81 | 61 | 77 | 69 | 72 | 160 | 96 | 100 | 79 | — | 11 | 39 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1034 | 1061 | 1030 | 1030 | 1134 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 | 1030 | 1053 | 1030 | 1030 | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 | 1030 | 1061 | 1030 |
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Information about the Packery Channel Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Packery Channel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Packery Channel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Packery Channel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Packery Channel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Packery Channel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Packery Channel is 28 km (17 miles) from Corpus Christi. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corpus Christi. Corpus Christi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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