Surf Forecasts:
Packery Channel surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, SE swell with 207 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Packery Channel this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Packery Channel in the next 16 days are 1.6m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Packery Channel over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next 16 days.
Right off the bat, I gotta level with you – it’s a grim stretch ahead on the Texas coast, specifically at Packery Channel. The whole 16-day window is basically a write-off for decent waves. We won’t have a single standout day, and the first real surf on offer kicks off on Wednesday the 15th, but it ain’t anything to get excited about.
Starting on Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th, we’ve got a little bit of 4ft to 4ft swell coming out of the SE, but the period is a short, weak 5 to 6 seconds. That’s just wind-slop, mates. The combined energy is weak to moderate at its best (128), and it’s all under a persistent cross-onshore breeze from the SSE and SE at 16 to 19 mph. The water temp this week is about 83°, which is totally normal for this time of year, so at least the bathwater is comfortable. But the surf? It’s just choppy, lumpy, and poor – not worth paddling out.
The swell bumps up a bit to 5ft on Friday the 17th, still from the SE and still short period at 7 seconds. The energy kicks up to 195, which is moderate, but the wind stays cross-onshore. This combo just makes a mess. With that wind and a beach setup, this honestly looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a guy on a longboard. Same story through Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th – 4ft to 4ft, same crummy wind, same poor quality.
Then from Monday the 20th onward, it goes from bad to worse. Swell drops off a cliff – 2ft to 3ft for days, with periods bottoming out at 4 or 5 seconds. That’s barely a ripple. The combined energy falls into the double digits (as low as 19 on the 24th), which is weak. Even when the wind briefly goes onshore on the 22nd and 26th, there’s just no swell to ride. This is a drought, plain and simple.
We’ve got a gap of nothing worthwhile from about the 21st through the 29th of July. There’s a tiny puff of energy on the 29th afternoon with 4ft and a 6-second period, and again on the 30th with 3ft, but the cross-onshore wind is back and the period is still trash. It’s not enough to make a call on.
Look, the crowds are listed as “always” at Packery, but with surf this bad, that’s probably just dudes sitting in the parking lot. When things are this flat and consistently poor, it tends not to stay that way forever – forecasts can flip. But right now? I wouldn’t bother waxing up for at least two weeks. Hang loose and wait for a change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 28°C on Wed morning, min 27°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sat morning, min 27°C on Sat morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 7 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 7 | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 62 | 69 | 96 | 128 | 118 | 136 | 195 | 131 | 106 | 122 | 116 | 87 | 80 | 102 | 90 | 72 | 66 | 67 | 32 | 22 | 30 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:45AM0.47m | 2:30PM0.39m | 7:50AM0.40m | 4:39PM0.34m | 7:47AM0.34m | 6:28PM0.31m | 7:41AM0.31m | 8:29PM0.30m | 7:33AM0.30m | 11:22PM0.33m | 7:10AM0.31m | 2:03AM0.40m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 10:44PM-0.25m | 1:31PM0.39m | 11:38PM-0.15m | 1:17PM0.31m | 00:30AM-0.03m | 1:43PM0.21m | 1:24AM0.09m | 2:21PM0.12m | 2:28AM0.21m | 3:06PM0.04m | 4:26AM0.30m | 3:53PM-0.03m | |||||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  | | |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — |
 | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:23 | — |
mm | 2 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | — | — | — | — | SE 7 | E 10 | — | SE 11 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 |
| kJ | 8 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | 131 | 2 | — | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 9 | — | — | SSE 8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 7 | — | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 7 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 7 | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 |
| kJ | 62 | 69 | 96 | 128 | 118 | 136 | 195 | — | 106 | 122 | 116 | 87 | 80 | 102 | 90 | 72 | 66 | 67 | 32 | 22 | 30 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1034 | 1136 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 | 1030 | 1132 | 1030 | 1030 | 1030 | 1030 | 1034 | 1061 | 1030 | 1030 | 1047 | 1030 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Texas | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Packery Channel Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Packery Channel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Packery Channel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Packery Channel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Packery Channel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Packery Channel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Packery Channel is 28 km (17 miles) from Corpus Christi. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corpus Christi. Corpus Christi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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