Surf Forecasts:
Packery Channel surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period, SE swell with 159 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Packery Channel this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Packery Channel in the next 16 days are 1.3m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Packery Channel over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks look pretty bleak for a proper paddle. Let's get into it.
We've got a long stretch of nothing special on the cards. The first real surf recommendation doesn't pop up until July 15th, and honestly, it's a tough start. For the whole 16-day window, the only break on the radar is Packery Channel, a breakwater spot that's exposed to the SE. It's a beginner-friendly spot, which is good, but it's also consistently crowded, so you'll be sharing the water.
Through Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th, we're looking at a small, weak, short-period SE swell, around 4 ft to 5 ft, with a period of just 5 to 6 seconds. The combined energy is weak to moderate (between 77 and 151). The real killer is the wind – it's a nasty cross-on from the SSE and SE, blowing 15 to 19 mph, making the surface choppy and lumpy. This is poor surf, pure and simple.
This messy pattern barely lets up. From Friday the 17th right through to Sunday July 27th, the swell stays small and weak, with heights mostly under 3 ft and periods rarely breaking 6 seconds. The combined energy is consistently low, often under 100. The wind is a relentless cross-on, keeping the surface chopped up. There's a brief moment on the morning of Tuesday the 21st where the wind shifts to an onshore direction at 12 mph, but the swell is already down to 3 ft and the energy is weak (48). It's a non-event.
The only flicker of something happens on July 28th. The swell bumps up to 5 ft from the SSE, with a 6-second period, and the combined energy touches 122. Still, with a moderate cross-on wind, it's going to be messy. This is the biggest swell of the window, but it's not clean. For a beginner spot, 5 ft can be a bit of a handful, but the real issue is the wind. Given the persistent cross-on wind and the beach/breakwater setup, this honestly looks more interesting for a kite session than a paddle surf.
So, no standout days. The whole forecast is a write-off for clean, rideable waves. A blank run like this is just part of the deal for this area sometimes. Keep your eye on the forecast because things can change, but for now, I wouldn't wax the board.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Tue night, min 27°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Fri night, min 27°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 7 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 74 | 69 | 89 | 141 | 151 | 124 | 159 | 131 | 95 | 90 | 102 | 68 | 62 | 74 | 79 | 67 | 72 | 67 | 32 | 22 | 45 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:22AM0.54m | 7:45AM0.47m | 2:30PM0.39m | 7:50AM0.40m | 4:39PM0.34m | 7:47AM0.34m | 6:28PM0.31m | 7:41AM0.31m | 8:29PM0.30m | 7:33AM0.30m | 11:22PM0.33m | 7:10AM0.31m | 2:03AM0.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:44PM-0.25m | 1:31PM0.39m | 11:38PM-0.15m | 1:17PM0.31m | 00:30AM-0.03m | 1:43PM0.21m | 1:24AM0.09m | 2:21PM0.12m | 2:28AM0.21m | 3:06PM0.04m | 4:26AM0.30m | 3:53PM-0.03m | |||||||||
 | |  | | |  |  |  | |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — |
 | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:23 | — |
mm | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | E 10 | E 12 | SE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 |
| kJ | 8 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 8 | — | — | SE 8 | — | — | ESE 9 | SE 7 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 8 | 2 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 7 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 6 |
| kJ | 74 | 69 | 89 | 141 | 151 | 124 | 159 | 131 | 95 | 90 | 102 | 68 | 62 | 74 | 79 | 67 | 72 | 67 | 32 | 22 | 45 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1034 | 1136 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 | 1030 | 1134 | 1030 | 1030 | 1030 | 1030 | 1034 | 1134 | 1030 | 1030 | 1058 | 1030 |
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Information about the Packery Channel Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Packery Channel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Packery Channel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Packery Channel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Packery Channel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Packery Channel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Packery Channel is 28 km (17 miles) from Corpus Christi. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corpus Christi. Corpus Christi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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