Surf Forecasts:
Packery Channel surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, SE swell with 119 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Packery Channel this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Packery Channel in the next 16 days are 1.3m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Packery Channel over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.
Truth be told, the first week and a half is pretty bleak. There’s just nothing lined up that’s worth paddling out for. We’re looking at a stretch from Wednesday the 9th all the way through to the start of the second week with swell energy that’s basically a whisper, mostly under 100 (weak). The wind is a constant problem too, with a lot of cross-onshore and onshore stuff messing up what little form there is. The water temp is sitting around 86° at Packery Channel, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only interesting thing for a while.
The first real flicker of hope comes on Wednesday the 23rd. That morning at Packery Channel, the wind swings around to a cross-offshore from the N at 12 mph, and the swell ticks up a little to 4ft from the ESE with a period of 6 seconds. The combined energy finally breaks into three digits at 100 (moderate). It’s not huge, but it’s clean. The afternoon gets messy again with onshore wind, so if you’re gonna go, that morning window on the 23rd is your best bet by a long shot.
Then Thursday the 24th morning... now we’re talking. Still at Packery Channel, the swell holds at 4ft from the E with the same 6-second period, but the wind stays clean from the N at 16 mph. The real story here is the energy jump – a solid 242 (moderate to strong). That’s the standout of the whole outlook. It’s not a giant groundswell, so it shouldn’t wall up too straight for a beach break like this. It’s just a solid, clean little window of surf. Get on it early Thursday morning before the wind shifts and the energy drops in the arvo. It promises the most push and the cleanest conditions of the whole 16-day run.
Don’t hold your breath for the rest of the second week though; it drops right back off.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 28°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Thu morning, fresh winds from the SE by Fri afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 29°C on Sat afternoon). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | S 6 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 9 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 67 | 62 | 56 | 106 | 78 | 75 | 101 | 84 | 80 | 101 | 83 | 82 | 119 | 93 | 88 | 74 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:27AM0.49m | 2:21PM0.53m | 4:21AM0.45m | 3:44PM0.54m | 4:14AM0.42m | 5:02PM0.56m | 4:07AM0.41m | 6:19PM0.57m | 3:52AM0.43m | 7:41PM0.58m | 9:18PM0.59m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 8:58PM0.05m | 9:28AM0.40m | 9:54PM0.14m | 9:46AM0.31m | 10:51PM0.23m | 10:14AM0.23m | 11:51PM0.33m | 10:45AM0.16m | 1:07AM0.41m | 11:20AM0.12m | 11:58AM0.09m | |||||||||
 |  | | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — |
 | 7:39 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:32 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 |
Feels °C | 32 | 30 | 32 | 30 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 30 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | SE 7 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | — | — | — | SE 9 | ESE 9 |
| kJ | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | 7 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | — | NE 4 | — | E 8 | ESE 7 | SE 8 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | S 6 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 |
| kJ | — | 12 | 11 | 6 | 67 | 62 | 56 | 106 | 78 | 75 | 101 | 84 | 80 | 101 | 83 | 82 | 119 | 93 | 88 | 74 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1134 | 1030 | 1030 | 1134 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1134 | 1034 | 1030 | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1136 | 1030 |
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Information about the Packery Channel Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Packery Channel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Packery Channel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Packery Channel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Packery Channel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Packery Channel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Packery Channel is 28 km (17 miles) from Corpus Christi. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corpus Christi. Corpus Christi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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