Surf Forecasts:
Packery Channel surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period, SSE swell with 52 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Packery Channel this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Packery Channel in the next 16 days are 1.0m 5s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Packery Channel over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the next couple weeks are looking pretty flat and grim for the Texas coast.
We’ve got a long stretch of nothing on the cards. From the start of the outlook right through to around September 10th, it’s a total bust. Tiny ankle-snappers that won’t even break proper. The swell energy is weak, barely registering, with small SE windswells of about 1 ft to 3 ft and a short, gutless period of just 4 to 6 seconds. To make matters worse, the wind is almost always cross-onshore or onshore, keeping things choppy and messy. Even the mornings that might offer light breezes are still crossed-up. Beginners wouldn’t have anything to ride, and experienced surfers wouldn’t bother getting wet.
The only spot in the mix is Packery Channel. It’s a breakwater setup, exposed to the SE, which is the direction we need. But right now, that’s not delivering. The water temp on August 31st is about 86°, which is just over half a degree warmer than average – nothing to get excited about. It’s consistent when there’s swell, but there just isn’t any.
Looking deeper into the forecast, around September 11th (Friday) we finally see a pulse of energy. The combined swell energy bumps up – that’s finally some moderate energy, but still nothing special. Swell height hits about 4 ft from the SE with a period of 6 seconds. That’s still short-period windswell, and it’s getting hammered by a fresh cross-onshore breeze at about 19 mph. That combo will be lumpy, choppy, and uninviting. Definitely not a standout. It stays messy through the weekend and into the next week, with energy dropping back down and the wind not letting up.
Honestly, in this stretch, there’s no day I’d send you out. If you’re into kitesurfing, the stronger onshore winds on September 11th and 12th (19-22 mph) with that 4 ft to 4 ft lump might be more your scene than a paddle surfer’s. For the rest of us, it’s a solid two-week blank. The area can have these runs – it’s not unusual.
Hang in there, check back in a week, the forecasts might shift. Until then, keep the stick in the rack.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Mon afternoon, min 27°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Tue morning, fresh winds from the SE by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sat morning, min 28°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | SE 4 | S 4 | E 6 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 4 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
9 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 18 | 35 | 47 | 27 | 32 | 24 | 19 | 31 | 29 | 19 | 30 | 27 | 16 | 24 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:53PM0.48m | 4:38AM0.41m | 8:30PM0.52m | 10:43PM0.57m | 1:00AM0.63m | 2:10AM0.67m | 3:03AM0.68m | 3:45AM0.66m | ||||||||||||
Low Tide | 00:39AM0.37m | 12:02PM0.07m | 12:51PM0.01m | 1:51PM-0.04m | 3:02PM-0.07m | 4:21PM-0.08m | 5:39PM-0.08m | |||||||||||||
— | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | |
7:50 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 31 | 31 | 33 | 30 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 32 | 31 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | SSE 4 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 5 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 5 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 8 | SE 5 | — | — | SE 5 | E 8 | E 8 |
8 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | — | — | 27 | 1 | 1 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | E 6 | E 6 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | — | — | SE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 8 | E 8 | — |
8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | SE 4 | S 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | S 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | — | SE 5 | SE 5 | — | SE 5 | SE 4 |
9 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 18 | 35 | 25 | 27 | 32 | 24 | 19 | 31 | — | 19 | 30 | — | 16 | 24 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1134 | 1030 | 1034 | 1134 | 1030 | 1030 | 1148 | 1030 | 1034 | 1134 | 1030 | 1034 | 1149 | 1030 | 1034 | 1136 | 1058 | 1034 | 1136 | 1030 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Texas | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Packery Channel Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Packery Channel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Packery Channel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Packery Channel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Packery Channel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Packery Channel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Packery Channel is 28 km (17 miles) from Corpus Christi. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corpus Christi. Corpus Christi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











