Packery Channel Surf Break

Lat Long: 27.62° N 97.20° W

Packery Channel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 24 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Packery Channel sea temperature is
29.0° C
0.5° 

Packery Channel surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Packery Channel surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 6s period, SSE swell with 115 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Packery Channel this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Packery Channel in the next 16 days are 1.4m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (CDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 4AM (Tue 28th Jul)4.5ft (1.4m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Packery Channel over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you. I've looked over the outlook for Packery Channel, and mate, I'm not gonna sugar-coat it. For the next sixteen days, it's a tough stretch. We're looking at a long run of small, onshore-slanted conditions that are just going to leave you frustrated if you're looking for a proper surf.

Right from the get-go, starting Friday the 24th of July, the water temp is sitting at a comfortable 84°, which is about average for this time of year. But that's where the good news ends. The wind is stuck in a cross-on pattern from the SSE and SE, swinging up to a fresh 19 mph at times, just chopping everything up. The swell is tiny, hanging around 2 ft to 3 ft with a short-period of just 5 to 6 seconds, and the combined energy is weak (mostly under 100). It's poor surf, plain and simple.

This grim run keeps rolling through the end of July and into the first week of August. The wind stays cross-on, the swell stays small and weak. There's a slight bump in the energy numbers towards the end of the first week, but the direction is still from the SSE to SE, which isn't the optimum SE direction for this break.

Now, looking into the second week, things *do* tick up a bit in size. From about Monday the 3rd of August, we start seeing swell heights hovering around 3 ft to 5 ft. The period extends slightly to 6 to 7 seconds, which is a bit more direction, and the combined energy climbs into the moderate range (101 to 187). But here's the kicker: every single record shows "poor surf conditions". The wind is relentless on that cross-on shore, keeping the surface lumpy and choppy, especially in the afternoons when it gets up to 19 mph again.

There's a moment on the morning of Wednesday the 5th of August where we see 5 ft of SE swell with a 7-second period and the highest energy of the whole run at 187, but that wind from the SSE at 12 mph is just going to junk it up. It’s a classic case of "there's swell but you can't surf it cleanly".

For the absolute best of a bad bunch, if I had to pick a window, I'd point to the period from the 5th to the 7th of August. We get the biggest swell of the whole 16-day forecast at 5 ft from the SE, giving the best chance of a few rideable waves. But with the persistent cross-on wind, you're still fighting chop. It's not a screaming standout, just the least worst option. For a beginner spot, that 5 ft swell with a choppy surface starts getting a bit tricky. And with crowds listed as "always" here, you'll be sharing the mediocre waves with everyone else.

So, what's the call? The whole 16-day window is a write-off for quality surf. We're looking at a solid two weeks of onshore wind and weak, short-period swell. It’s the kind of blank run that’s pretty normal for this area in this pattern. Unless you're desperate for a paddle and don't mind the chop, save the energy. With that persistent cross-onshore wind, this setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

Stay patient.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Fri afternoon, min 27°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Mon afternoon, min 27°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Fri
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SSE
6
1.1
SE
6
0.9
SE
6
0.8
SE
6
0.8
SE
6
0.8
SE
5
0.7
SE
5
0.9
SE
4
0.9
SSE
5
0.9
SSE
5
1.3
SSE
5
1.2
SSE
6
1
SSE
5
1.1
SSE
5
0.9
SSE
5
0.8
SSE
5
0.9
SSE
5
0.8
SSE
5
0.7
SSE
5
0.8
SSE
5
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
53
77
50
38
51
37
29
32
45
41
93
81
58
59
46
30
35
31
23
27
Wind (km/h)
30
SSE
25
SSE
15
SSE
20
SE
20
SSE
15
SSE
20
SE
25
SSE
20
S
30
SSE
35
S
30
SSE
35
SSE
30
SSE
20
SSE
25
SE
25
SSE
20
SSE
25
SE
25
SSE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
4:31AM0.51m
5:09AM0.52m
5:43AM0.52m
6:11AM0.50m
6:29AM0.48m
6:36AM0.46m
Low Tide
6:20PM-0.14m
7:07PM-0.15m
7:51PM-0.16m
8:32PM-0.16m
9:08PM-0.15m
9:42PM-0.12m
10:14PM-0.08m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:48
6:48
6:48
6:48
6:50
6:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:22
8:22
8:21
8:21
8:20
8:20
8:19
 mm
Temp °C
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
27
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
Feels °C
29
29
31
29
30
31
30
30
31
28
26
28
27
29
30
29
29
31
30
30
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Packery Channel Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Packery Channel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Packery Channel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Packery Channel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Packery Channel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Packery Channel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Packery Channel is 28 km (17 miles) from Corpus Christi. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corpus Christi. Corpus Christi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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