Packery Channel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, lookin’ at the same picture in feet and miles. Straight up, there’s nothin’ worth your time for the next 16 days around here. The only break on the list is Packery Channel, and every single report from Sunday morning, July 5th, all the way to Monday afternoon, July 20th, is flagged as “poor surf conditions.” That’s a long, flat spell with no relief.

The waves are puny. For the first week, we’re talkin’ about 2 ft waves out of the SSE or SE, with a weak period of just 4 to 6 seconds – that’s pure windslop, no power. The combined energy is low, mostly in the teens and twenties (16 to 66). The wind is a constant buzzkill, blowin’ cross-on from the S or SE at 9 to 19 mph, churnin’ the surface up and makin’ it choppy. Water temp sits at 84° with a +1° anomaly, so just your average July water.

Into the second week, we get a little bump. Around Saturday, July 11th and Sunday, July 12th, the swell pushes up to 5 ft to 5 ft from the SE, and the combined energy finally hits triple digits (163 and 190) – moderate energy, finally. But the period is still short at 6 to 7 seconds, so it’s weak and lumpy. The wind stays onshore or cross-on at 15 to 19 mph, so the surface is messy. By Monday, July 13th, the energy peaks at 237, but again, cross-on wind and chop ruin it. No standout day.

The only glimmer is maybe Wednesday morning, July 15th or Thursday morning, July 16th, when the wind switches light out of the SSW at 6 mph, givin’ us a cross-shore breeze. The swell is still small, around 4 ft to 4 ft from the SE with a 6 to 7 second period, and the energy is moderate (109 to 154). It’d be small and weak, but might be the cleanest look of the whole stretch. Still, the wave comment says poor. Just not worth it.

This is one of those dead runs for the area. With no consistent swell and onshore winds forecast for almost every session, it’s a good excuse to take a break. Unless the forecast changes, we’re waitin’.

Rusty.

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