Surf Forecasts:
Packery Channel surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 18 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, E swell with 181 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Packery Channel this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Packery Channel in the next 16 days are 1.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 18) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 18th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Packery Channel over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s happening down at our local spot, Packery Channel.
Right off the bat, I’ll be straight with you – this outlook is a tough one. There’s a massive gap right at the start with no surf worth talking about. We’re looking at a long, dry spell from now all the way through to the 18th of September. For ten days straight, it’s just onshore junk. We’ve got solid winds from the SE and SSE, mostly cross-onshore, and the swell is all short-period windswell under 4 ft. The combined energy is weak, stuck between 48 and 116, so it’s all chop and no power. The water is sitting at 87°F with an anomaly of 3°F warmer – a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but you won’t be enjoying it with those conditions. Honestly, it’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing one.
Now, things start to shift a little around the 19th of September. Saturday the 19th sees a light westerly breeze (6 mph) swinging cross-offshore in the morning, and while the swell is only 3 ft from the E with a short period of 7 seconds, the combined energy is still low at 92. The waves are surfable but very ordinary. It’s a glimmer of hope, but nothing to get excited about.
The best of the entire 16-day window shows up on the 24th of September. That Thursday morning is the standout. We’ve got a glassy morning with a light NE breeze (3 mph) and a small 3 ft swell from the ESE at 8 seconds. The combined energy nudges up to 85. It’s not big, but with glassy conditions, that’s clean, fun little waves for a beginner-friendly break. This is the one to aim for if you can wait.
After that, Friday the 25th morning offers another glassy window with a similar small 2 ft swell from the E, but the energy drops back to 57. Still clean, but tiny.
From the 21st onwards, the swell drops off a cliff, down to 2 ft or less, with onshore winds or cross-shore breezes. The last week is a write-off.
So, to sum it up: don’t bother paddling out until the morning of Thursday the 24th. That’s your only true standout for clean, glassy conditions on small waves. It’s a long wait, but sometimes you just gotta be patient.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sun morning, min 28°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 28°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SE on Mon night, light winds from the ESE by Wed night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 5 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 49 | 126 | 109 | 80 | 80 | 55 | 44 | 43 | 45 | 45 | 74 | 57 | 54 | 46 | 38 | 30 | 46 | 47 | 64 | 166 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 4:14AM0.42m | 5:02PM0.56m | 4:07AM0.41m | 6:19PM0.57m | 3:52AM0.43m | 7:41PM0.58m | 9:18PM0.59m | 11:17PM0.61m | 00:44AM0.62m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:51PM0.23m | 10:14AM0.23m | 11:51PM0.33m | 10:45AM0.16m | 1:07AM0.41m | 11:20AM0.12m | 11:58AM0.09m | 12:41PM0.08m | 1:33PM0.08m | |||||||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | |  | |
 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — |
 | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 8 | 5 | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 |
Feels °C | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 32 | 32 | 30 | 32 | 32 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 34 | 30 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | SE 5 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 6 | SE 9 | — |
| kJ | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 3 | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 6 | E 5 | E 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | — | SE 9 | — | — |
| kJ | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 8 | — | 3 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 5 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 5 | — | SE 5 | ESE 5 | — | E 6 | E 6 |
| kJ | 49 | 126 | 109 | 80 | 80 | 55 | 44 | 43 | 45 | 45 | 74 | 57 | 54 | 46 | — | 30 | 46 | — | 64 | 166 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1136 | 1034 | 1034 | 1132 | 1034 | 1034 | 1134 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1051 | 1030 | 1034 | 1311 | 852 |
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Information about the Packery Channel Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Packery Channel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Packery Channel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Packery Channel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Packery Channel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Packery Channel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Packery Channel is 28 km (17 miles) from Corpus Christi. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corpus Christi. Corpus Christi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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