Surf Forecasts:
Packery Channel surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 5s period, S swell with 57 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Packery Channel this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Packery Channel in the next 16 days are 1.1m 5s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Packery Channel over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this is a tough one for the local stretch. We’re looking at a 16-day window that’s mostly a write-off for decent paddle surfing. The whole period is dominated by weak, short-period windswell from the SSE and SE, and the wind is predominantly cross-onshore, which is going to keep the surface choppy and lumpy. The forecast starts with a gap of no real surf on offer from now until the end of the first week.
The first real pulse of any note shows up on Monday, 27 July. The swell bumps up to 4 ft from the SSE, but the problem is that wind is still a cross-onshore mess at 15-18 mph. The energy is moderate (121-128), but the conditions are just poor. It’s not rideable in any quality sense.
The one standout in the whole outlook is on Tuesday, 28 July. The swell peaks at 6 ft from the SE, with a period of 7 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 365 – that’s solid moderate energy. The wave state is still described as "poor surf conditions" though, and the wind is a strong cross-onshore at 15-18 mph. That’s big enough and energetic enough to get your attention, but the wind is going to tear it up. For a breakwater setup like Packery Channel, this is going to be a messy, lumpy, and choppy affair. It’s not beginner-friendly at 6 ft, and with the wind, it’s really only for experienced surfers who don’t mind a battle. This is the best on offer, but it’s far from perfect.
The rest of the window after that drops back to ankle-to-knee high junk, with the same cross-onshore wind pattern. There’s no second week highlight to speak of – it’s all small and chopped.
At Packery Channel (Texas) the water temperature is 84° with a tiny anomaly of +0.4°, so it’s pretty average for late July – warm and tropical feeling.
Bottom line: if you’re desperate, Tuesday 28 July has the most size and energy, but don’t expect clean waves. The whole setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of the period.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sun morning, min 26°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 29°C on Thu afternoon, min 25°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | S 4 | S 4 | S 5 | S 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | S 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 47 | 36 | 53 | 32 | 20 | 26 | 14 | 10 | 43 | 22 | 12 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 45 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:29PM0.30m | 7:33AM0.30m | 11:22PM0.33m | 7:10AM0.31m | 2:03AM0.40m | 3:05AM0.45m | 3:50AM0.49m | 4:31AM0.51m | |||||||||||||
Low Tide | 2:21PM0.12m | 2:28AM0.21m | 3:06PM0.04m | 4:26AM0.30m | 3:53PM-0.03m | 4:42PM-0.08m | 5:31PM-0.11m | 6:20PM-0.14m | 7:07PM-0.15m | ||||||||||||
 | |  | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — |
 | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 30 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 26 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 27 | 32 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 6 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | S 5 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSE 4 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | S 4 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 5 | SE 8 | SE 8 |
| kJ | 9 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 3 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | ESE 9 | — | SE 5 | — | — | — | ESE 9 | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 9 | — | — | SE 6 | SE 8 | — | ESE 6 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 8 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | — | — | 5 | 3 | — | 3 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 6 | E 6 | — | E 6 | — | — | SE 8 | — | — | SE 8 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 3 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | S 4 | S 4 | S 5 | — | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | — | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | SW 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | SW 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 |
| kJ | 47 | 36 | 53 | 32 | 20 | 26 | 14 | 10 | 43 | — | 12 | 20 | — | 11 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 45 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1030 | 1047 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 852 | 238 | 1136 | 852 | 966 | 1197 | 1030 | 1034 | 1134 | 1030 | 1034 | 1304 | 1030 | 1034 | 1134 | 935 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Texas | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Packery Channel Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Packery Channel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Packery Channel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Packery Channel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Packery Channel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Packery Channel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Packery Channel is 28 km (17 miles) from Corpus Christi. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corpus Christi. Corpus Christi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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