Surf Forecasts:
Packery Channel surf forecast from 17 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 5s period, SSE swell with 83 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Packery Channel this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Packery Channel in the next 16 days are 1.3m 5s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Packery Channel over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, I’m gonna level with ya. The next 16 days are looking pretty grim for us here at Packery Channel. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak, messy surf from August 17th right through the end of the month, and into September 1st. The swell is tiny – mostly around 1 to 3 feet – and it’s coming from the southeast and south-southeast, which is not the optimum direction for this spot. The period is short, 4 to 7 seconds, so there’s no real power behind it. The combined energy is weak, mostly in the 20s and 30s, with a brief bump to 100 on the afternoon of the 31st – still not enough to get excited about.
For the first week and a half, it’s a constant run of choppy, cross-onshore winds. The wind is mostly from the SE, SSE, or S, blowing 10 to 19 mph, which just ruins what little shape there is. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so nothing weird there, but it won’t make up for the lack of waves.
The only moments that even hint at something better are a few isolated glassy periods. On August 28th, Friday morning, we get a glassy window with light winds from the south, but the swell is still a pathetic 2 feet from the southeast, period 5 seconds – barely a ripple. August 30th, Sunday morning, is also glassy, but again, it’s a tiny 2-foot swell with a 4-second period. August 31st, Monday morning, is another glassy start, but the swell is still 2 feet. By the afternoon of the 31st, the swell jumps to 4 feet from the east, with a period of 5 seconds and energy of 100, but the wind is onshore and moderate, leaving it messy.
Into September, the 1st sees a 4-foot easterly swell with a 6-second period, but it’s cross-onshore. Not worth a paddle.
Honestly, the whole 16-day window is a write-off. There’s no standout session, no day where the swell, wind, and conditions come together. The consistency is “fairly consistent” here, which normally would keep hope alive, but this run is just a flat, choppy mess. If you’re desperate, the glassy mornings on the 28th, 30th, or 31st might give you a knee-high dribble, but don’t expect anything more. For a spot that’s a breakwater, exposed to the southeast, we need a proper groundswell with good wind – and we’re not getting any of that.
So, my advice? Save your energy. This is a stretch better suited for a flat day paddle or a nap in the sun. The forecast can always change, but right now, it’s a blank.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sun night, min 27°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Mon morning, fresh winds from the SSE by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Thu morning, min 27°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SE 7 | SE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SSE 4 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 26 | 21 | 25 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 25 | 14 | 51 | 42 | 35 | 79 | 35 | 39 | 83 | 53 | 42 | 48 | 33 | 28 | 34 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:48AM0.34m | 9:04PM0.43m | 5:13AM0.37m | 11:54PM0.46m | 1:36AM0.51m | 2:33AM0.54m | 3:18AM0.55m | 3:56AM0.56m | |||||||||||||
Low Tide | 1:02PM0.08m | 3:29AM0.36m | 1:49PM0.03m | 2:42PM0.00m | 3:41PM-0.01m | 4:44PM-0.02m | 5:45PM-0.03m | 6:40PM-0.04m | |||||||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — |
 | — | 8:05 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:59 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 33 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 27 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 5 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | SE 7 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 5 | SE 9 | E 8 | SSE 5 | SE 7 | — | SSE 5 | E 8 | — |
| kJ | 26 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | — | 33 | 1 | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 9 | — | — | E 8 | — | — | E 8 | — | — |
| kJ | — | 2 | 8 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 6 | SE 6 | S 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | S 5 | SE 5 | SSE 5 | — | SE 5 | SSE 5 | S 5 | SE 5 | SSE 4 |
| kJ | — | 21 | 25 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 25 | 10 | 51 | 42 | 35 | 79 | 20 | 39 | 83 | — | 42 | 48 | 16 | 28 | 34 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1034 | 1047 | 1030 | 1061 | 1134 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1366 | 1030 | 1050 | 1134 | 1030 | 1034 | 1134 | 1030 |
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Information about the Packery Channel Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Packery Channel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Packery Channel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Packery Channel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Packery Channel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Packery Channel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Packery Channel is 28 km (17 miles) from Corpus Christi. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corpus Christi. Corpus Christi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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