Packery Channel Surf Break

Lat Long: 27.62° N 97.20° W

Packery Channel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 pm 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Packery Channel sea temperature is
28.5° C
0.1° 

Packery Channel surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Packery Channel surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, SE swell with 207 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Packery Channel this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Packery Channel in the next 16 days are 1.6m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (CDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 7AM (Fri 17th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Packery Channel over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next 16 days.

Right off the bat, I gotta level with you – it’s a grim stretch ahead on the Texas coast, specifically at Packery Channel. The whole 16-day window is basically a write-off for decent waves. We won’t have a single standout day, and the first real surf on offer kicks off on Wednesday the 15th, but it ain’t anything to get excited about.

Starting on Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th, we’ve got a little bit of 4ft to 4ft swell coming out of the SE, but the period is a short, weak 5 to 6 seconds. That’s just wind-slop, mates. The combined energy is weak to moderate at its best (128), and it’s all under a persistent cross-onshore breeze from the SSE and SE at 16 to 19 mph. The water temp this week is about 83°, which is totally normal for this time of year, so at least the bathwater is comfortable. But the surf? It’s just choppy, lumpy, and poor – not worth paddling out.

The swell bumps up a bit to 5ft on Friday the 17th, still from the SE and still short period at 7 seconds. The energy kicks up to 195, which is moderate, but the wind stays cross-onshore. This combo just makes a mess. With that wind and a beach setup, this honestly looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a guy on a longboard. Same story through Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th – 4ft to 4ft, same crummy wind, same poor quality.

Then from Monday the 20th onward, it goes from bad to worse. Swell drops off a cliff – 2ft to 3ft for days, with periods bottoming out at 4 or 5 seconds. That’s barely a ripple. The combined energy falls into the double digits (as low as 19 on the 24th), which is weak. Even when the wind briefly goes onshore on the 22nd and 26th, there’s just no swell to ride. This is a drought, plain and simple.

We’ve got a gap of nothing worthwhile from about the 21st through the 29th of July. There’s a tiny puff of energy on the 29th afternoon with 4ft and a 6-second period, and again on the 30th with 3ft, but the cross-onshore wind is back and the period is still trash. It’s not enough to make a call on.

Look, the crowds are listed as “always” at Packery, but with surf this bad, that’s probably just dudes sitting in the parking lot. When things are this flat and consistently poor, it tends not to stay that way forever – forecasts can flip. But right now? I wouldn’t bother waxing up for at least two weeks. Hang loose and wait for a change.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 28°C on Wed morning, min 27°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sat morning, min 27°C on Sat morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SE
5
1.1
SE
6
1.2
SE
6
1.3
SE
6
1.3
SE
6
1.3
SE
6
1.5
SE
7
1.2
SE
7
1.2
SE
6
1.3
SE
6
1.1
SE
7
1.1
SE
6
1.1
SE
6
1.1
SE
7
1.3
SE
5
1.1
SE
6
1
SE
6
1.1
SE
5
0.8
SE
5
0.6
SE
5
0.8
SE
5
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
62
69
96
128
118
136
195
131
106
122
116
87
80
102
90
72
66
67
32
22
30
Wind (km/h)
25
SSE
25
SE
30
SE
30
SSE
25
SE
30
SSE
25
SSE
25
SE
30
SE
25
SSE
25
SSE
30
SSE
25
SSE
30
SSE
25
SSE
25
SSE
30
SSE
25
SSE
20
SE
25
SE
25
SSE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
7:45AM0.47m
2:30PM0.39m
7:50AM0.40m
4:39PM0.34m
7:47AM0.34m
6:28PM0.31m
7:41AM0.31m
8:29PM0.30m
7:33AM0.30m
11:22PM0.33m
7:10AM0.31m
2:03AM0.40m
Low Tide
10:44PM-0.25m
1:31PM0.39m
11:38PM-0.15m
1:17PM0.31m
00:30AM-0.03m
1:43PM0.21m
1:24AM0.09m
2:21PM0.12m
2:28AM0.21m
3:06PM0.04m
4:26AM0.30m
3:53PM-0.03m
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
6:43
6:43
6:43
6:43
6:45
6:46
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:25
8:25
8:24
8:24
8:24
8:23
8:23
 mm
2
2
1
1
Temp °C
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
27
28
28
28
28
28
28
Feels °C
30
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
28
30
29
28
29
29
27
29
28
29
31
29
29
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Packery Channel Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Packery Channel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Packery Channel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Packery Channel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Packery Channel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Packery Channel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Packery Channel is 28 km (17 miles) from Corpus Christi. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corpus Christi. Corpus Christi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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