Packery Channel Surf Break

Lat Long: 27.62° N 97.20° W

Packery Channel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 11 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Packery Channel sea temperature is
29.0° C
0.6° 

Packery Channel surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Packery Channel surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period, SE swell with 143 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Packery Channel this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Packery Channel in the next 16 days are 1.2m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (CDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 17th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Packery Channel over the next 16 days.


Alright, this is a tough one to call, but I’ll level with you. For the next 16 days, the surf at Packery Channel is looking pretty grim. There’s not a single day that I’d say is truly worth paddling out for, so we’re looking at a long, dry spell. The water temp is sitting at 84°, which is about average for this time of year, so at least you won’t freeze while you’re sitting there waiting for a wave that never comes.

The forecast kicks off on Saturday July 11th with a tiny 3ft swell from the SE, but it’s wrapped in a sloppy onshore breeze. The combined energy is weak (50), and the wave quality is just poor. That same story repeats itself day after day. Sunday the 12th has a cross-on wind and a little 3ft SE swell, but it’s choppy and messy. Monday the 13th bumps up to 4ft, and the energy climbs into the moderate range (113), but the wind is still cross-on from the SSE at 15 mph, turning it into a washing machine. The period is short, only 6 seconds, so there’s no real push to the waves.

Tuesday the 14th, Wednesday the 15th, Thursday the 16th… it’s the same sad song. 3ft to 4ft SE swell, periods hanging around 5-7 seconds, cross-on winds, and the “poor surf conditions” tag follows every single row. The energy metric stays in the low to moderate range (58 to 130), but it’s wasted on the onshore chop. Even Friday the 17th, with a slightly bigger 4ft swell and energy hitting 131, the wind is still cross-on, so the surface is just lumpy. The second week doesn’t get any better. From Saturday the 18th all the way through to Sunday the 26th, you’re looking at 2ft to 4ft swells, almost always cross-on or onshore winds, and periods that rarely crack 7 seconds. The combined energy drops back under 100 often, and it’s all classified as poor surf.

There are two glimmers, but they’re barely worth mentioning. On Saturday July 25th morning, the wind goes glassy from the W at just 3 mph, and the comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” The swell is a tiny 3ft from the SSE with a short 5-second period, but the glassy conditions are a major positive. Then on Sunday July 26th morning, the wind is dead calm, glassy, with a 3ft SSE swell. Again, the comment is “surfable waves but very ordinary.” These are the only two windows where the wind is clean, but the swell is weak and short-period. The combined energy is only 50-56, so it’s not going to be punchy.

Overall, this is a blank run. The break is exposed to the SE swell and the optimum direction is SE, so the swell direction is right, but the wind is almost always cross-on. The period is too short for any real quality. With such consistent poor conditions, a beach-and-reef setup like this looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Forecasts can change, but right now, leave your board in the car.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 27°C on Wed afternoon). Mainly fresh winds.

Sat
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SE
6
1
SE
6
0.9
SE
6
0.9
SE
6
0.9
SE
6
1.1
SE
6
1.1
SE
7
1
SE
7
1
SE
6
1
SE
7
0.9
SE
6
1
SE
5
1.1
SE
6
1.1
SE
6
1.1
SE
6
1.1
SE
7
1.1
SE
6
1.2
SE
7
1.1
SE
7
1.3
SE
6
1.1
SE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
43
65
50
46
54
82
130
84
76
100
66
54
96
82
93
111
91
131
125
107
116
Wind (km/h)
20
ESE
25
SSE
20
SSE
20
SE
25
SSE
25
SSE
25
SE
25
SSE
15
SE
20
SE
20
SE
25
SSE
20
E
30
SE
20
SSE
20
SE
25
SE
15
SSE
25
ESE
25
SSE
20
SSE
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
5:05AM0.61m
5:56AM0.62m
6:44AM0.59m
7:22AM0.54m
7:45AM0.47m
2:30PM0.39m
7:50AM0.40m
4:39PM0.34m
7:47AM0.34m
Low Tide
6:53PM-0.30m
7:52PM-0.34m
8:51PM-0.34m
9:49PM-0.31m
10:44PM-0.25m
1:31PM0.39m
11:38PM-0.15m
1:17PM0.31m
00:30AM-0.03m
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
rain showers
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
6:41
6:41
6:41
6:43
6:43
6:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:27
8:27
8:25
8:25
8:25
8:25
8:24
8:24
 mm
1
1
1
6
3
2
1
2
1
3
Temp °C
29
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
Feels °C
31
29
30
30
29
30
29
30
31
30
31
29
29
28
30
30
29
30
28
28
29
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Packery Channel Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Packery Channel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Packery Channel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Packery Channel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Packery Channel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Packery Channel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Packery Channel is 28 km (17 miles) from Corpus Christi. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corpus Christi. Corpus Christi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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