Surf Forecasts:
Packery Channel surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period, SE swell with 82 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Packery Channel this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Packery Channel in the next 16 days are 1.1m 6s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Packery Channel over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Rusty here.
Alright, let's be straight with you—this is a tough stretch for the Texas coast. The next two weeks are looking pretty bleak for anything resembling a proper surf session. That first solid swell is a long way off, so we’ve got a big gap to get through.
The whole 16-day outlook is basically a test of patience. We're looking at a long run of tiny, weak surf with mostly onshore or cross-onshore winds. The wave energy is just pitiful, mostly in the single digits (14) and low double digits (39) for the first week and a half, with a few days of moderate energy kicking in around September 7th and 8th. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so that’s one small comfort.
The only real pulse of swell comes in around the 8th of September. The combined energy jumps to 655, which is a solid moderate-to-strong pulse. But before you get excited, the wind is a mess—onshore from the SE at 12 mph, making it choppy. The swell is 8 ft from the SE with a period of 8 seconds. That’s a lot of water for a beach break, and with that wind, it’s going to be a washing machine. Honestly, that setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It’s big enough for experts only, but the quality is going to be poor.
Before that, there’s nothing. The first week is flat with zero scoring options. A few mornings on the 5th of September show a clean look with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNE, but the swell is a pathetic 3 ft with a 6-second period. The energy is only 34. You could make it work on a longboard if you’re desperate, but it’s not worth a special trip.
For the whole period, the only break with any data is Packery Channel. It’s a breakwater setup, exposed to the swell, but it’s always crowded, and it’s beginner-friendly. Even when the bigger swell shows up on the 8th, the conditions are poor. The direction of the swell (SE) is okay, but the wind is just wrecking it.
So, to be honest, there’s no standout. The best on offer is probably the morning of the 5th of September for a clean, tiny wave, but it’s not a true standout. The bigger swell on the 8th of September is the most energy we’ll see, but it’s a write-off for quality. It’s a blank run of about 10 days before that one pulse, and even that isn’t worth changing your plans for.
Keep your eyes on the charts, but this one’s a wash.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Mon morning, min 28°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 4 | SE 4 | SE 3 | S 4 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 5 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 27 | 47 | 55 | 47 | 82 | 50 | 44 | 61 | 55 | 40 | 60 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 5:01AM0.46m | 2:56PM0.43m | 5:01AM0.43m | 4:11PM0.44m | 5:01AM0.41m | 5:29PM0.46m | 4:57AM0.40m | 6:53PM0.48m | 4:38AM0.41m | 8:30PM0.52m | 10:43PM0.57m | 1:00AM0.63m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 10:38AM0.36m | 10:07PM0.12m | 10:40AM0.30m | 10:47PM0.19m | 10:55AM0.22m | 11:35PM0.28m | 11:24AM0.14m | 00:39AM0.37m | 12:02PM0.07m | 12:51PM0.01m | 1:51PM-0.04m | ||||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — |
 | — | 7:53 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — |
mm | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 |
Feels °C | 32 | 29 | 30 | 33 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 4 | SE 8 | SE 8 | S 4 | SSE 4 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | E 8 | — | — | SE 8 | — | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | — |
| kJ | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | 55 | 40 | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | SE 8 | — | — | ESE 9 | — | SE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 2 | — | — | 8 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | — | — | SE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 4 | SE 3 | — | — | SSE 3 | SE 4 | SE 5 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | — | — | ESE 6 |
| kJ | — | 4 | 3 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 27 | 47 | 55 | 47 | 82 | 50 | 44 | 61 | — | — | 60 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1126 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1134 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1134 | 1030 | 1034 | 1126 | 1030 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Texas | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Packery Channel Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Packery Channel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Packery Channel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Packery Channel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Packery Channel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Packery Channel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Packery Channel is 28 km (17 miles) from Corpus Christi. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corpus Christi. Corpus Christi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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