Packery Channel Surf Break

Lat Long: 27.62° N 97.20° W

Packery Channel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 07 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Packery Channel sea temperature is
29.1° C
0.8° 

Packery Channel surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Packery Channel surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, SE swell with 176 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Packery Channel this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Packery Channel in the next 16 days are 1.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (CDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 1PM (Mon 13th Jul)4.5ft (1.4m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Packery Channel over the next 16 days.


Alright, let’s get into it. Rusty here.

Right off the bat, I gotta tell ya – this forecast for Packery Channel is pretty grim for the next couple weeks. The first sign of anything even close to decent doesn’t show up until Wednesday the 15th, so we’re looking at a solid 8-day dry spell for any kind of surf. That’s a tough stretch if you’re itching to get wet.

Before that, from Tuesday the 7th all the way through Tuesday the 14th, it’s all poor surf conditions. Small swell, constant cross-onshore wind, and choppy, lumpy water. Not worth paddling out for. The combined swell energy is weak, usually under 157, with a brief jump on Tuesday the 21st, but that still comes with poor conditions and fresh cross-onshore breeze. This is a breakwater setup exposed to the southeast, and it’s just not getting the right combo of wind and swell.

Now, Wednesday morning July 15th – that’s the one little window worth talking about. We’ve got a tiny 0.7m swell from the south, period of 5 seconds, and the wind goes glassy. Just a slight air, no wind at all. That’s a rare treat for Packery. The combined energy is weak, but when it’s glassy, it’s glassy. The water temp is sitting at about 84°F and it’s pretty normal for this time of year – warm and sticky. This is the only time in the whole 16-day run where you might scrape together a couple of rideable little waves, but honestly, it’s still very ordinary.

After that, from Thursday the 16th right through to Wednesday the 22nd, it’s back to poor surf and cross-onshore slop. The swell bumps up to about 6 ft on the 21st and 22nd, but with a steady 35 km/h SSE wind, it’s lumpy, messy, and just not fun for a paddle. For a beginner spot like this, that’s too much size and too much wind. Kite surfers might get a kick out of it, but for the rest of us, it’s a no-go.

Crowds at Packery are always an issue, but with so little quality on offer, you’d have the place to yourself on that Wednesday morning. That’s the one highlight, if you can call it that. Keep your expectations real low.

So bottom line: one brief, glassy morning on the 15th with tiny swell is the only thing that even registers. The rest is a long, boring wait. But hey, forecasts change, and this spot does get consistent swell sometimes. Don’t give up hope.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Thu night. Warm (max 29°C on Tue afternoon, min 27°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Fri afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 28°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Tue
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSE
5
0.8
SSE
5
0.7
SE
5
0.6
SSE
5
1
SSE
5
0.8
SSE
5
1
SSE
5
1.4
SE
6
1.1
SE
6
1.1
SE
6
1.3
SE
6
1.4
SE
6
1.3
SE
6
1.3
SE
6
1.4
SE
6
1.3
SE
6
1.3
SE
6
1.4
SE
6
1.3
SE
7
1.3
SE
6
1.1
SE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
15
27
27
19
52
34
61
147
92
89
107
137
136
128
151
145
124
157
143
122
91
Wind (km/h)
20
SE
25
SSE
15
S
20
SE
30
S
20
SSE
35
SSE
25
SSE
25
SSE
25
SE
30
SE
30
SSE
25
SSE
25
SE
25
SSE
25
SE
25
SSE
25
SSE
20
SE
20
SSE
15
S
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
11:22PM0.30m
7:50AM0.33m
2:10AM0.41m
3:18AM0.50m
4:12AM0.57m
5:05AM0.61m
5:56AM0.62m
6:44AM0.59m
Low Tide
2:23AM0.29m
4:16PM-0.05m
5:02PM-0.15m
5:56PM-0.23m
6:53PM-0.30m
7:52PM-0.34m
8:51PM-0.34m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:39
6:39
6:39
6:41
6:41
6:41
6:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:28
8:27
8:27
8:27
8:27
8:27
8:25
8:25
 mm
1
1
7
2
1
Temp °C
29
28
29
29
28
28
28
28
28
29
29
29
29
29
29
30
29
29
29
29
28
Feels °C
31
29
31
30
27
29
26
28
28
30
30
30
31
31
30
31
30
30
31
31
30
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Packery Channel Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Packery Channel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Packery Channel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Packery Channel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Packery Channel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Packery Channel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Packery Channel is 28 km (17 miles) from Corpus Christi. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corpus Christi. Corpus Christi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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