Surf Forecasts:
Packery Channel surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 27 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 5s period, SSE swell with 83 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Packery Channel this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Packery Channel in the next 16 days are 1.2m 5s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 27th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Packery Channel over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you: the next 16 days are looking pretty grim for a paddle. We're focusing on Packery Channel, a breakwater spot that's best with a SE swell, but the conditions just aren't cooperating.
The water's sitting at a normal 85°F for this time of year, but that's about the only thing that's average.
Right from the start, Friday the 21st of August, we've got a weak 3ft swell from the SSE with a short, wind-swell period of just 5 seconds. The combined wave energy is a measly 31, and a cross-onshore breeze from the S at 12 mph is already chopping it up. The forecast says "poor surf conditions" and that's the truth. This pattern just doesn't shift.
We roll through the weekend and into the next week. The swell barely ticks up, never getting over 3ft, and that period stays stuck at 4 to 6 seconds – that's pure wind chop. The winds are mostly cross-onshore from the S or SSE, 9 to 16 mph, keeping the surface messy. Every single entry from Friday morning to the end of August is stamped "poor surf conditions." It's a long, flat, choppy stretch.
Heading into September, the swell starts to build a little. By Wednesday the 2nd of September morning, we're seeing 4ft from the SE, but still with a short 5-second period. The energy is picking up, hitting 83. The wind is still a cross-onshore mess on the afternoons at 16 mph. By Thursday the 3rd morning, the swell hits 4ft from the SE, and the energy finally cracks into the moderate range at 126. But the wind is still cross-onshore at 16 mph. It's still not clean.
The best we get on paper is Friday the 4th of September morning. The swell is 5ft from the SE, period 6 seconds, and combined energy is 161. The wind is a gentle 9 mph from the SE, which is still cross-onshore, but lighter. The forecast still says "poor surf conditions." It's bigger, but the quality isn't there.
Then it drops back down into the weekend. For the entire 16-day window, the waves are too small, too short-period, and the wind is consistently wrong for this break. It's a total write-off for paddle surfing. The consistent onshore flow and short period swell make it look more like a kite session, but even that's marginal.
Stay tuned, though. It can't stay this flat forever.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Fri morning, min 26°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Wed morning, min 27°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 27 | 20 | 29 | 22 | 12 | 21 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 36 | 33 | 61 | 53 | 33 | 80 | 61 | 33 | 53 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:18AM0.55m | 3:56AM0.56m | 4:29AM0.56m | 4:52AM0.54m | 5:03AM0.52m | 5:03AM0.49m | 1:38PM0.42m | ||||||||||||||
Low Tide | 4:44PM-0.02m | 5:45PM-0.03m | 6:40PM-0.04m | 7:29PM-0.03m | 8:13PM-0.02m | 8:52PM0.01m | 10:47AM0.40m | 9:29PM0.05m | |||||||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — |
 | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:59 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:55 | — | — | 7:54 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 31 | 30 | 28 | 31 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | SSE 4 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 9 | E 8 | SSE 5 | E 8 | E 8 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 61 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | — | SE 8 | S 8 | — | E 8 | — | — | SE 9 | — | — | ESE 9 | — | — | SE 9 | — | — | E 8 | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 8 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 8 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | — | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | S 5 | SSE 5 | SE 5 |
| kJ | 27 | 20 | 29 | 22 | 12 | 21 | — | 8 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 36 | 33 | 61 | 53 | 33 | 80 | 25 | 33 | 53 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1034 | 1194 | 1030 | 1034 | 1134 | 1030 | 1034 | 1134 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1047 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1136 | 1030 |
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Information about the Packery Channel Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Packery Channel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Packery Channel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Packery Channel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Packery Channel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Packery Channel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Packery Channel is 28 km (17 miles) from Corpus Christi. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corpus Christi. Corpus Christi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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