Surf Forecasts:
Packery Channel surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 5s period, SSE swell with 56 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Packery Channel this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Packery Channel in the next 16 days are 1.1m 5s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Packery Channel over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, straight up, it’s a difficult stretch. We’re looking at a long, almost complete blank run with no good surf on offer for the entire 16-day window. The forecast is a flat spell with small, weak, short-period windswell that just won’t get its act together.
The only spot in the mix is Packery Channel (Packery-Channel, Texas). The water temps are sitting at about 86°, which is about 2° warmer than average for this time of year – a little toastier than usual, but not crazy.
Kicking off from Thursday afternoon, 20 August, we’ve got tiny 2ft swell from the SE with a period of just 5 seconds and a combined energy of only 26 (weak). The wind is a fresh cross-onshore breeze at 19 mph, which is making for lumpy, poor conditions. This same story pretty much repeats day after day. Friday morning, 21 August, sees 3ft from the SSE with a 5-second period (combined energy 38), but still a moderate cross-onshore wind making it choppy. Every afternoon and morning through the week is the same – small, short-period swell, cross-onshore or onshore winds, and the wave comment is consistently “poor surf conditions.”
The weekend? Saturday 22 August offers a tiny 2ft cross-shore morning with light winds, but the swell is so weak (combined energy 21) it’s barely rideable. Sunday is even smaller at 2ft.
The pattern doesn’t change. Through the rest of August and into the first week of September, we see the swell height occasionally bump up to 3ft or 4ft (like on Monday 31 August morning and Tuesday 1 September morning), and the combined energy edges into the 50s and 80s – still weak to moderate. But the period stays stuck at 5–6 seconds, which is pure windswell, and the wind remains cross-onshore, often fresh at 16–19 mph. The last few days of the forecast, around 4 September, we get 4ft swell from the SE with a 6-second period and combined energy hitting 97 (close to moderate), but the wind is still cross-onshore and choppy.
There’s no standout session here. Nothing is clean, nothing has any power or shape. The swell direction is always from the SE or SSE, which is not the optimum direction for Packery Channel (optimum is SE, so it’s not terrible, but it’s not helping). The breaks are “beginner” level and “fairly consistent,” but with such poor quality and constantly onshore winds, it’s not worth a paddle. With the small, weak, wind-affected surf, this setup might be more interesting for kite surfers than paddle surfers.
So, my call is: don’t hold your breath. There are no good surf options in this 16-day window. But the break is fairly consistent usually, so it’s likely this flat spell will pass – forecasts can always change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Thu afternoon, min 26°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SE on Thu afternoon, light winds from the SSW by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | S 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SSE 5 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
23 | 40 | 34 | 21 | 47 | 17 | 12 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 24 | 19 | 46 | 32 | 24 | 44 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:33AM0.54m | 3:18AM0.55m | 3:56AM0.56m | 4:29AM0.56m | 4:52AM0.54m | 5:03AM0.52m | ||||||||||||||
Low Tide | 4:44PM-0.02m | 5:45PM-0.03m | 6:40PM-0.04m | 7:29PM-0.03m | 8:13PM-0.02m | 8:52PM0.01m | ||||||||||||||
— | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | |
8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:59 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:55 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 30 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 27 | 31 | 29 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 6 | E 8 | SSE 5 | SE 8 | E 7 | SE 5 | E 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 |
3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 5 | E 9 | E 9 | — | E 8 | S 8 | — | E 8 | — | SE 6 | SE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SE 8 | — | — | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | — | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | S 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SSE 5 |
23 | 40 | 34 | 21 | 47 | — | 12 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 24 | 19 | 46 | 32 | 24 | 44 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1218 | 1030 | 1061 | 1134 | 1030 | 1034 | 1134 | 1030 | 1034 | 1134 | 1030 | 1030 | 1132 | 1030 | 1034 | 1132 | 1030 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Texas | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Packery Channel Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Packery Channel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Packery Channel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Packery Channel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Packery Channel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Packery Channel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Packery Channel is 28 km (17 miles) from Corpus Christi. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corpus Christi. Corpus Christi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











