North Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a wild 16 days ahead, with a real mix of everything. The ocean is going to be restless, but finding clean waves will take some patience. The immediate outlook is blown out, but there are a couple of windows that will make it all worth it. Keep your wetsuit handy, because the water is running much warmer than usual for this time of year, about 2° warmer than average, which is a nice bonus considering the conditions we’ll have to sift through.

The first few days are a write-off for quality surfing. Monday kicks off with a strong cross-onshore breeze and a messy 15ft SW swell. The energy is powerful, hitting 4050, but it’s all over the place. Tuesday isn't much better. The swell jumps to 18ft and the period stretches out to a long 16 seconds, pushing the energy up to 14883, but the cross-onshore wind is still there, making it lumpy and unrideable for a clean session. You’d be fighting a losing battle.

We start to see a change mid-week. Wednesday morning the wind drops to a gentle onshore, and we’ve got a 13ft SW swell with a 14-second period. The energy is still moderate at 6041, but it’s a marginal call at best. Things improve a bit more on Thursday. The wind goes light and cross-onshore, and the swell cleans up to 12ft with a 15-second period. Still, it’s not a standout. The real turn comes on Friday morning. The wind swings around to a light cross-offshore from the NE, and we get clean conditions with a solid 12ft SW groundswell at 16 seconds. This is the first real chance for a proper surf, even if the energy is a bit more moderate at 5788. It won't be perfect, but it will be the best we’ve seen. That afternoon, the wind goes light and cross-shore, with the swell backing off slightly.

The weekend sees the swell drop a bit, but the clean, cross-offshore winds hold. Saturday and Sunday mornings have 8ft to 10ft SW and WSW swells, with clean conditions, but the energy is dropping, so it’s more about fun waves than power.

Then the ocean turns again. Monday the 17th brings a new pulse of energy, with a 15ft SW swell and an 18-second period. That’s a massive, long-period groundswell, pushing the energy up to 11236. But the onshore wind returns, making it a messy, powerful beast. That afternoon the wind eases and it becomes more of a marginal option. Tuesday is a mess with a fresh cross-shore, and then Wednesday and Thursday are just blown out again with strong cross-onshore winds and messy, powerful surf.

After this chaotic stretch, we finally get our standout. Saturday the 22nd looks like the pick of the entire period. The wind drops to nothing, with glassy conditions. We have a consistent 12ft SW groundswell with a long 16-second period, and the energy is moderate at 5134. This is where North Point will show its true colors. A long-period swell like this at a point break is going to be lined up and powerful. It's an advanced wave on a good day, and this looks like it. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so getting out early will pay off. The glassy conditions are a huge positive, making it the standout session of the outlook. The afternoon stays glassy, with the swell easing slightly to 10ft.

The final days of the outlook are a step down. Sunday gets a clean but smaller cross-offshore swell, and Monday the 24th is a marginal call with onshore winds again. The energy picks back up on Tuesday the 25th with a strong 16ft SW swell, but the fresh cross-onshore wind ruins it.

So, there you have it. It’s a rough start, a rough middle, and a rough end, but there’s a couple of windows of pure magic. Friday the 14th is your first chance for something clean, but the real one to circle on the calendar is Saturday the 22nd. That glassy morning with that long-period SW groundswell is the one. It’s a long way out, so don’t bet the farm on it, but it’s got the makings of a proper session.

Stay stoked.

Rusty.

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