North Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag on the way up at North Point. The swell is going to pump through most of the window, but the wind is going to be the real story—and for a lot of it, the story ain’t pretty. That said, there are a few windows where everything lines up, and they’re worth keeping an eye on.

We start off on Friday the 11th with a bit of a tease. A solid 8ft groundswell from the WSW, period a very long 18 seconds (4282 combined energy)—that’s a proper groundswell with heaps of push. But the NNW wind is cross-off at 16 mph, which would normally be clean, except the report says the conditions are only marginal. The water is sitting at 65°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th are a write-off. We’ve got an 12ft swell on Saturday afternoon, but it’s onshore and choppy with a W wind at 16 mph. Sunday is much the same—cross-on wind, messy. Not worth paddling out.

Monday the 14th is where it gets interesting. There’s still a solid 12ft swell from the SW, period 14 seconds (5302 combined energy), but now the wind is swinging around to the SE at 9 mph—cross-off and clean. Conditions are rated excellent for experienced surfers. This is the standout window in the first week. The only catch is that with an 12ft swell, this is expert territory—not for the faint-hearted.

Tuesday the 15th morning is another clean one: 10ft groundswell from the WSW, period 14 seconds (3483 combined energy), and a light offshore from the ENE at 9 mph. Gentle offshore and clean. Again, solid size for the experienced crew.

From Wednesday the 16th through Thursday the 17th, the swell eases off to around 5ft to 5ft, but the conditions are only fair to marginal. Not the best, but clean enough for a smaller board if you’re keen.

Friday the 18th sees the swell jump back up to 8ft in the morning (3522 combined energy), with a clean cross-off from the N at 12 mph. By the afternoon, we’re looking at a big 12ft groundswell (6012 combined energy) from the WSW with a 17-second period, but the wind shifts cross-shore, adding some chop. Still a good day if you pick your session.

Then things start getting wild. Saturday the 19th brings a 16ft monster (8239 combined energy) with a S wind at 28 mph—strong cross-onshore and messy. That’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing. Sunday the 20th is still big at 13ft, but the wind is onshore or cross-on, so it’s a rough one.

Monday the 22nd is the last real standout. Tuesday morning the 22nd: 10ft clean groundswell from the SW (3944 combined energy) with a light 6 mph offshore from the N. That’s glassy and clean, excellent for experienced surfers.

After that, the second week gets shaky—onshore winds and dropping swell. Thursday the 24th has a 7ft long-period swell (18 seconds, 3841 combined energy), but the wind is fresh cross-onshore at 19 mph. Not great. Friday the 25th afternoon is a bit of a late hope: 13ft groundswell from the SW (10331 combined energy, strong energy), but the SSE wind is 19 mph cross-shore and lumpy.

So here’s the bottom line: the best of the best is Monday the 14th and Tuesday morning the 22nd. Big, clean, powerful groundswell with clean winds. Everything else is either too windy or too messy.

Rusty.

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