North Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for North Point. It’s a point break that needs a solid SW swell, and it’s going to get plenty. The water is a warm 67° right now, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick wetsuit.

The first few days are a no-go. Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th are a total mess – strong cross-onshore winds, lumpy, and the wave energy is huge but all wrong. Monday afternoon has a combined energy of 8512, huge, but it’s just a washing machine. Tuesday morning sees 15270, even bigger, but still blown out. Nothing worth paddling for.

Wednesday the 12th is a little better, but still marginal. You’ve got 13ft of SW swell with a 14-second period, but the wind is directly onshore, so it’s not clean. The combined energy is still high at 6494, but the quality isn’t there. Only a 3 out of 10 from me for the morning.

Thursday the 13th shows a flicker of hope. The morning is a bit crossed up with 12ft of SW swell at a very long 16 seconds, light wind, but it’s cross-shore, so the face gets a little bumpy. The afternoon cleans up slightly with a 13ft swell at 17 seconds, but it’s still onshore. That’s a 5 and a 6 in the morning and afternoon – nearly there.

Friday the 14th morning is where it starts to get good. Clean, 12ft of SW swell at 16 seconds, and a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNE. That’s a 5 out of 10 and the surf is clean – the sets will be long and powerful. The 15th and 16th (Saturday and Sunday) keep this run of clean cross-offshore winds, with swell dropping from 10ft to 8ft, periods in the 13 to 14-second range. The energy is still moderate to strong (3122 down to 2457), and it’s clean surf for experienced surfers. Saturday morning is the pick of this middle stretch.

Then Monday the 17th gets smashed again – a near gale from the west and then a fresh onshore breeze, combined energy spiking to 12098 and 6180, but it’s blown out rubbish.

Now, here’s the standout. Tuesday the 18th. This is the one to circle. Morning and afternoon both score a 9 out of 10. You’ve got a 15ft SW swell with a 14 to 16-second period, and the wind is light and cross-offshore from the NNE and N. The combined energy is 12112 in the morning, 10959 in the afternoon – that’s proper, powerful groundswell. The water is clean, the sets will be long and lined up. This is for expert surfers only – 15ft of swell is big, and the period is long, so it’ll be heavy and powerful. The best on offer, no question.

After that, Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th drop back to 10ft and 7ft, still clean on the 19th morning, but the energy fades. From the 21st onwards, the wind swings back onshore and cross-onshore, and the quality drops. The 22nd of August has a decent morning with 15ft of swell at 17 seconds and a cross-offshore breeze, scoring an 8 out of 10, but it’s a week and a half out, so treat that as a promising but less certain call. The rest of the run into the 25th is mostly onshore or cross-shore mess.

So, bottom line: the first week is a battle with onshore winds, but Friday the 14th morning, Saturday the 15th, and especially Tuesday the 18th are the real deals. That Tuesday is the big one. Get ready.

Rusty.

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