North Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the next couple of weeks at North Point, and I tell ya, it’s a mixed bag with a real highlight if you time it right.

We’ve got a solid run of surf coming, but the wind is gonna be a pain for most of it. The first standout is Friday morning, the 21st of August. That’s the one to circle. You’ve got a solid 12-foot swell pulsing in from the SW, with a long 14-second period that’ll put some real grunt and shape into the waves. The water’s a touch warmer than normal at 66°, about 3° above average, so it’s a bit more comfortable than usual for this time of year. The wind? Glassy. Dead calm. That’s rare, and it means North Point will be absolutely clean, with set waves that’ll have some real push. The combined energy is strong as hell (4862), so there’s plenty of juice. This is a break for advanced surfers, and with that size and power, it’s not for the faint-hearted. The swell direction is right on the money for the optimum SW, so expect some nice lines wrapping around the point. Crowds are sometimes an issue, but on a Friday morning with that size, it might be a bit quieter.

Now, the rest of the week is a battle. Thursday afternoon the 20th is a write-off: cross-on wind, 12-foot swell but messy and choppy. Friday afternoon the wind picks up, still cross-on, and the quality drops. Saturday and Sunday are blown out too, with moderate cross-onshore winds and choppy conditions. There’s a gap of poor quality from the 22nd to the 24th, with the wind just ruining what could be good swell.

Then Monday the 24th offers a bit of a break – cross-shore wind, 10-foot swell, but still with some ripples. It’s marginal, but better than the weekend slop. The swell energy is moderate (2820). Tuesday the 25th is similar, cross-shore winds but a bit lumpy. The swell drops a touch, but still 7 feet to 10 feet.

Then things get interesting again, but rougher. Wednesday the 26th of August sees a big jump in size – up to 18 feet with a very long 19-second period. That’s a serious groundswell, and the energy is enormous (18892). The problem is, the wind is cross-onshore from the south at 12 mph, so it’s going to be choppy and tough. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s going to be a battle. The combination of that huge swell and poor wind makes it look more like a kite-surfing day than a paddle session. Thursday the 27th stays big (16 feet), but the wind is cross-shore, so it’s lumpy but a bit more manageable for the brave.

Friday the 28th of August is a bit of a reprieve – the swell drops to 10 feet, and the wind goes cross-offshore from the SE at 12 mph. That’s clean, but the swell has a shorter period (12 seconds) and the energy is moderate (2545). It’s not the standout, but it’s a solid session if you missed the Friday morning window.

The second week gets a bit mixed. Saturday the 29th of August has a small 5-foot swell with a cross-offshore breeze – clean, but small. The energy is weak (1248). Sunday the 30th sees the swell pick up again, but the wind turns cross-onshore, so it’s choppy. Monday the 31st has an 12-foot to 15-foot swell with a gentle cross-onshore, but the period is short (13-16 seconds), so it’s not as clean. The energy is moderate to strong (6549 to 9280). Tuesday the 1st of September and beyond sees big swell (13 feet) but onshore winds, making it poor. The wind finally goes onshore from the WSW, and it’s just messy.

So, to sum it up: the absolute best is Friday morning, the 21st of August. Glassy, solid 12-foot SW swell, long period, and clean. That’s your window. After that, you’re chasing marginal conditions until the big swell on the 26th, which is more for the experts or the kite crew. Keep an eye on the 28th for a clean, smaller session. The rest is a bit of a grind.

Rusty.

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