North Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for North Point over the next couple of weeks.

First up, we’ve got a pretty solid run of surf starting Thursday, July 23rd. The water is sittin' at 66°, which is about a degree and a half warmer than usual for this time of year – feels nice, a little treat for the skin. The main event wave energy is strong, with a combined energy reading of 2424, coming from a solid SW groundswell. Thursday morning is the standout early on. We’re talking a clean 8 ft of SW swell with a 14-second period, and a clean offshore NE breeze at 12 mph. This is excellent, powerful surf, but at 8 ft, it’s only for the experienced crew. The offshore wind will have those lines holding up perfectly. If you’re an advanced surfer, this is your window.

Thursday afternoon drops off a bit with a light cross-shore wind, and the swell dips a little. Friday, July 24th, is still fun but smaller, with 5 ft of SW swell and a clean cross-offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (859). It’s a good, cruisy day for a paddle.

Saturday, July 25th, sees a slight shift to a WSW swell at 6 ft, but the wind is a bit stronger at 16 mph. It’s still clean, but the quality isn’t as sharp. The wave energy is moderate (1059). Not a day to get too excited about.

Sunday, July 26th, is a write-off. We’ve got a big, lumpy 13 ft swell but with a horrible cross-onshore wind and rain. That’s a messy, blown-out scene. Kite surfers might find it interesting, but for a paddle surfer? Nah, stay home. Monday and Tuesday, July 27th and 28th, are big again – 12 ft to 8 ft SW swell – but the winds are a bit tricky. Tuesday morning looks like the best of that bunch, with a clean 8 ft and offshore NE wind again. The energy is very strong (3002). Another one for the experts only.

Now, here’s the real gear. The second week of the forecast starts to look promising. Friday, July 31st, the swell is back up to 12 ft from the WSW, with a very long 18-second period. The energy is massive (7384). The wind is light and cross-shore, so it won’t be perfect, but that long-period groundswell will be wrapping around the point. This is a spot where a long period like that works well, so the shape should be good, but expect long lulls between sets.

The absolute standout of the whole outlook lands on Saturday, August 1st and Sunday, August 2nd. Saturday afternoon is the pick: 13 ft of SW swell, 15-second period, with a clean cross-offshore breeze from the ESE at 12 mph. The wave energy is enormous (8994). This is a big, powerful, clean swell for the point. Sunday morning is also looking fantastic with a similar 13 ft and clean SE wind. Both of these are serious, expert-only waves. The crowds are listed as "sometimes" at North Point, so on a day like this, expect a few other chargers in the water, but nothing like a peak-hour circus.

After that, the swell stays solid through Monday, August 4th, and Tuesday, August 5th, with 12 ft to 13 ft and clean winds. The energy stays in the very strong range. However, by Wednesday, August 6th, the wind starts to get nasty, and from Thursday, August 7th, onward, it’s a total blowout with gale-force winds and rain. The last few days of the forecast are a complete loss for surf.

So, here’s the bottom line: Thursday morning, July 23rd, is your first solid call. For the big one, circle Saturday, August 1st, afternoon. That’s the day the stars align for a long time, though it’s a long-range call so keep your fingers crossed. After that, the window closes fast.

- Rusty

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