North Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up.

We’ve got a solid run of swell on the way, but the wind is going to be the main character here. The first few days are questionable, but there’s a real window of opportunity mid-week that’s got my attention. The water’s sitting at 67°, which is a good 4° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s notable, you’ll be comfortable in a spring suit.

North Point is the only game in town, and it’s a classic point break that demands respect. It’s advanced territory, fairly consistent, and it needs a good SW swell to light up. The wind is make or break.

Wednesday, August 12th is a write-off. We’ve got 13ft of SW swell coming in, but the wind is onshore and strong at 15 km/h. The combined swell energy is heavy (6494), but it’s messy. Don’t bother.

Thursday, August 13th is where it gets interesting. The morning is the standout. We’ve got a 13ft SW groundswell, with a period of 16 seconds – that’s a long period, meaning proper energy and shape, but it might be a bit straight for the beach. The key here is the wind: glassy, 5 km/h offshore from the NW. It’s going to be clean. The combined energy is pumping (7979). This is for experts only at this size – over 8ft, it’s serious. The afternoon is still solid with a 13ft SW swell, 17-second period, but the wind goes cross-onshore, taking the shine off.

Friday, August 14th is another good one. The swell drops slightly to 12ft, but the period is still a long 16 seconds. The morning has a light 10 km/h cross-offshore wind from the NNE, keeping it clean. The combined energy is still strong (5535). The afternoon drops to 10ft, but the wind goes cross-shore, still rideable.

Saturday, August 15th the swell backs off to 8ft, with a shorter 14-second period. The wind is cross-offshore from the NNE at 25 km/h, which is a bit breezy, but it’s clean. The energy is moderate (2576). The afternoon is a bit smaller at 8ft, but the wind drops to 15 km/h. It’s still a good option for experienced surfers.

Sunday, August 16th the swell picks back up to 10ft, but the wind is fresh from the NNE at 30 km/h. It’s clean, but it’s a strong cross-offshore. The energy is back up (4125). A heavy session for the crew that can handle it.

Then things get ugly. Monday, August 17th through to Thursday, August 22nd is a write-off. We’ve got a massive storm system moving in. On Monday, we’re looking at 45 km/h winds, thunderstorms, and a 16ft onshore mess. The energy is huge (7375), but it’s un-surfable. The wind and rain just keep hammering the coast. The swell peaks on Saturday, August 22nd with a 20ft SW swell and 17-second period, producing a monstrous 19219 energy reading, but the wind is a strong cross-onshore. This is more of a kite-surfing situation than a paddle-surfing one.

Tuesday, August 25th is the last real highlight. The swell drops to 8ft, but the wind is dead calm, glassy, with a 13-second period from the SW. The energy is moderate (2732). It’s a clean, mellow morning for the experienced crew. The afternoon drops to 5ft, but the period stretches to 20 seconds – very long, but it’s small and a bit cross-onshore.

After that, the wind gets messy again through to the end of the forecast. The 27th of August looks poor with onshore wind and rain.

The Standout: Thursday, August 13th morning. The combination of a 13ft SW groundswell, 16-second period, and glassy offshore wind is the best you’ll see in this window. It’s expert-only, but it’s going to be a classic session.

Rusty.

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