North Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s take a good, hard look at what North Point has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a beast of a forecast on our hands, but you’re gonna have to be patient.

The overall pattern is pretty wild: we’re kicking off with a massive, messy pulse of swell that’s way too big and blown out for this break. It’s a real shame because the energy is there, but the wind and size are slamming the door shut. You’re looking at a solid week of waiting, with Thursday the 6th through to Tuesday the 11th being a complete write-off. We’re talking solid 13ft to 25ft of SW groundswell, but it’s clobbered by onshore and cross-onshore winds from the west and southwest, gusting over 30 mph at times. The water temp is sitting at 68°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a little weird, but you’ll be surfing in a shorty if you do get out.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Wednesday the 12th, but it’s only marginal. The swell drops to a still-sizeable 15ft from the SW, with a long 15-second period, and the wind backs off to a gentle breeze. The tides might make it tricky, so it’s a watch-and-see situation. Thursday the 13th is similar, with 12ft to 13ft SW swell and a light breeze, but still cross-onshore, keeping things a bit choppy.

The standout window of the whole 16-day forecast is Friday the 14th of August. That morning, the stars finally align. We get a clean 13ft groundswell from the SW, but the wind shifts to a light NNE cross-offshore breeze at just 6 mph, creating clean conditions. The combined swell energy is still pumping at 8381 – that’s strong wave energy, but the size drops just enough for it to be manageable for advanced surfers. The forecast even calls it "exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers." This is your best bet. The swell direction from the SW is a perfect match for this point break, and the long period will give you some proper, grinding lines. After that, Saturday the 15th drops off significantly to 10ft from the WSW with a cleaner wind, but the energy is much weaker.

Looking further out, there’s another big pulse brewing. Around Wednesday the 19th of August, another 20ft SW groundswell arrives, but the wind is messy and it’s likely just too big for the break again. However, the real sleeper is Thursday the 20th of August. The forecast shows a 20ft W groundswell with glassy conditions – a 3 mph southerly breeze that’s basically nothing. The energy is massive at 19768, and the conditions are called "exceptional for experts." That morning session could be an absolute monster if the sand hasn’t shifted. It’s more than two weeks away, so treat it as a promising but less certain prospect. After that, it drops back to cleaner but smaller 15ft SW swell on Friday the 21st under a clean cross-offshore breeze.

So, the two standouts: Friday the 14th of August for cleaner, powerful SW groundswell at 13ft, and Thursday the 20th of August for a glassy, massive W groundswell at 20ft, but only for experts.

Rusty.

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