North Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into the outlook for North Point. We’ve got a solid run of swell on the cards, but the devil’s in the detail with the wind, so we’ll need to pick our moments.

The overall pattern is a classic run of long-period groundswell from the southwest, with energy levels that are going to be a real handful. We’re looking at a strong to very strong wave energy state throughout the entire period, with values ranging from the high hundreds right up into the ten-thousands. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might get away with a thinner wetsuit.

The first real chance to get wet is on Thursday, the 30th of July. The morning session is your best bet. We’ve got a clean 6ft SW groundswell, with a solid 14-second period, and a moderate cross-offshore breeze from the NNE. The combined energy is a very strong 1771. It’s a powerful, lined-up swell for an advanced crew, but it’s going to be a bit of a battle as the tide might be a bit of a factor. The afternoon sees the wind swing cross-shore, bringing a bit of chop, so the morning is the pick of the day.

Now, Friday the 31st, things get real. The swell is pumping up to 10ft to 12ft, with a 16-second period, giving a massive 6610 combined energy. This is expert territory. The wind is howling from the NW, and then swinging onshore in the afternoon. It’s going to be a lumpy, blown-out mess. Not a day for a paddle session unless you’re a total charger and don’t mind the whitewash.

Saturday the 1st of August is a write-off. The swell is huge, 13ft to 15ft, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, creating a chaotic, choppy, and dangerous sea state. The energy is off the charts, but it’s for kite surfers, not paddle surfers.

The standout of the whole forecast is Sunday, the 2nd of August. The swell drops to a still-sizeable 10ft from the SW, with a 13-second period, which is a very solid groundswell. The magic is the wind. In the afternoon, we get glassy conditions with a 3 mph northerly breeze. The combined energy is still a strong 3482, and the wave comment says it’s excellent for experienced surfers. This is the day to circle. The long period will make it a bit wally on the sets, but the clean, glassy surface will be pure gold. The crowd is listed as “sometimes,” so there could be a few out, but it’ll be worth it.

Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th see the swell drop back a bit, but the wind is mostly cross-onshore, keeping the surf a bit choppy and marginal. The energy is still strong, but it’s not as clean as Sunday.

The following week, from the 5th of August onwards, the swell stays big, mostly in the 10ft to 18ft range, with massive energy. But the wind is a constant problem. We’ve got a lot of onshore, cross-onshore, and even gale-force winds. The only decent window might be Monday the 10th of August, with a clean 12ft to 13ft SW swell and a cross-offshore breeze, but the energy is still big, and the wind is strong. The 12th of August looks completely blown out.

So, the final word: Sunday the 2nd of August afternoon is your best bet for a powerful, clean, glassy session. The first week has a few windows, but the second week is mostly a write-off due to the wind. Aim for the early morning windows when the wind is lighter.

Rusty.

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