North Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what the next couple of weeks are throwing at us for North Point. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. We’ve got a solid run of west-southwest groundswell lining up, but the wind’s going to be the main character in this story for a while. Once that cleans up, there’s some serious potential.

Right now, over this Saturday the 12th, it’s pretty grim. We’re looking at a 7 ft WSW swell, but a fresh 30 km/h west-southwest wind has it all chopped up. The energy is moderate, coming in at 3983, but it’s just not rideable. Sunday the 13th isn’t any better, with the swell pushing 10 ft to 12 ft but the cross-onshore wind keeps it ugly. This stretch is a write-off.

Monday the 14th sees a bit of a shift. The swell drops slightly to 12 ft and the wind swings around to a southeast cross-offshore at 15-20 km/h. The sea state cleans right up, and the guidance calls it “clean,” which is a huge improvement. The energy jumps to over 5000, so there’s plenty of push. It’s still big and challenging, but at least it’s got some shape. This is where it starts to get interesting.

Now, for the standout of the first week, you gotta look at Tuesday the 15th morning. The swell is a solid 10 ft from the WSW with a 14-second period. But the magic is the wind: a light 10 km/h offshore from the ENE. That’s glassy, clean, and absolutely perfect for a point break like this. The energy is strong at 3483. This is the one to circle. Conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers, and that’s no lie. It’s going to be crowded, though, so get out early. The afternoon turns a bit mushy with a cross-on wind, but the morning is the call.

From Wednesday the 16th through Thursday the 17th, the swell eases back to the 4 ft to 6 ft range. The energy drops to around 1000, which is pretty weak. There are still some rideable waves, but it’s going to be smaller and less consistent. The winds are mostly cross or cross-off, so it won’t be terrible, but it’s a step down from Tuesday.

Then things get wild again. Friday the 18th brings a gale. We’re talking 65-70 km/h winds, completely blowing out a 10-12 ft swell. Absolutely unsurfable. Saturday the 19th is huge but messy – an 18 ft swell with a fresh cross-onshore wind, and the energy is pumping at a massive 11324. That's strong to very strong energy, but it’s just a maelstrom. Sunday the 20th backs off a bit to 12 ft, and the wind goes cross-offshore again, which makes it clean but still hefty.

Now, looking further out, there’s another standout shaping up for the morning of Monday the 22nd. The forecast shows a 13 ft swell from the southwest with a 15-second period. But the key is a light 10 km/h cross-offshore wind from the east-southeast. The guidance again calls it “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” The energy is strong at 6599. This is the other big one to keep an eye on. It’s a week and a half away, so don’t book the time off just yet, but it’s got all the ingredients.

The days around it are a bit messy. Monday afternoon and Tuesday the 23rd get chopped up. Wednesday the 24th through Friday the 26th have some big swell (8 ft – 13 ft) but the wind is all over the place—onshore or cross-onshore, making it lumpy and poor. The period drops to 10 seconds on the 26th, which is a bit shorter and less clean. The final day, Sunday the 27th, has a 13 ft swell with a fresh cross-shore wind, which will leave it lumpy.

So, the bottom line is: the good windows are tight. Tuesday the 15th morning is the clear winner in the near term, with that clean offshore and solid groundswell. Then Monday the 22nd morning looks like another ripper, but it’s a long way out. Everything else is either too big with bad wind, or too small and weak. You’ve got to be patient and pick your moments with this one.

Stay stoked.

Rusty

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