North Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The forecast kicks off on Monday the 3rd of August, but there’s a bit of a slow start. The first few days are looking tough with messy winds and iffy conditions, so we’ve got to be patient. The real action starts to build later in the first week and into the second, but the standout window is shaping up nicely around the 14th and 15th.

Right out of the gate, Monday the 3rd afternoon is a write-off. We’ve got a 6 ft SW swell, but with a 16 mph cross-shore from the NNW, it’s choppy and not worth paddling out.

Tuesday the 4th sees a big jump in size – 12 ft from the WSW – but the wind is on it or cross-onshore all day, making it messy and poor. The energy is huge (6692 and 6347) but it’s just not clean.

Wednesday the 5th is a bit better. Still 15 ft of WSW swell, but the wind drops way down to a light breeze. There’s still a cross-on element, but it’s light, so the morning and afternoon both score a 7 out of 10 internally. The energy is massive (10754 and 10034), but it’s big – over 8 ft – so this is expert territory only. Not for the faint of heart.

Thursday the 6th through to the 12th is a tough stretch. The swell stays large (12 ft to 18 ft) but the wind is mostly cross-onshore, onshore, or strong, with rain and t-storms in the mix. Saturday the 8th hits 18 ft from the SW with energy over 14668, but it’s a lumpy, messy mess. Kite surfers might be eyeing this up, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a hard pass.

Then we get a break. The 13th has some easing swell (10-12 ft) but still cross-on winds. It’s marginal.

Now, the real standout: Friday the 14th morning. This is it. The water temp is about 67°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. We’ve got a 6 ft SW swell, but the wind is glassy from the ENE at just 3 mph. The period is 13 seconds, which is long-period groundswell, and with the glassy conditions, this is a dream. The break is North Point, a point break, so that long-period swell will set up beautifully. The combined energy is 2004 – moderate. The crowd is sometimes, so you might see a few others, but it’s worth it. This is for experienced surfers, but the conditions are excellent.

Saturday the 15th morning is another gem. 10 ft of SW swell, again glassy with ENE wind at 3 mph. The period is 16 seconds, so very long groundswell. Energy is 4085. Again, it’s expert-only due to size, but clean and powerful. The break will handle it well.

Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th still have solid 8 ft to 8 ft WSW swell, with clean cross-offshore winds. The 17th afternoon is especially nice with just 9 mph offshore wind. The water is still warm.

Tuesday the 18th sees a bit of a bump back up to 10 ft and 12 ft, but the wind gets fresh again, adding some lump.

So, the two true standouts are Friday the 14th morning and Saturday the 15th morning. Glassy, clean, long-period groundswell, and the point break will handle it perfectly. Get on it.

Rusty.

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