Narrabeen-North Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you—this next sixteen days is a tough stretch for Narrabeen-North. We’re looking at a whole lot of nothing for the first week and a bit, then a flicker of something towards the end that might get the blood pumping.

The Overall Picture:

Mate, the first eleven days are pretty much a write-off. Tiny, weak, and messy. There’s a little pulse on the Saturday afternoon (the 5th) with 3ft from the NE at a short 5 seconds, but the wind is howling offshore at 16 mph, making it bumpy and barely worth dragging the board out. Stronger NW wind on that Saturday arvo means it’ll be clean but sectiony and gutless. The combined swell energy is only 36 to 39 in those early mornings, which is weak – just not enough grunt.

Then we hit a proper lull from Sunday the 6th through to Monday the 14th. Days of sub-2ft junk, weird short-period windswell, and onshore or cross-shore breezes. You’ll see some glassy moments early Friday morning the 4th and Monday morning the 7th (NW 3 mph, glass) but with only 1ft of swell it’s basically a flat, clean lake. The combined energy drops to as low as 9 on the 8th – that’s barely a ripple. It’s frustrating.

The Best of a Bad Bunch:

The only real standout comes late in the period. Mark Monday the 14th afternoon. We get a jump in energy to 339 (moderate), with a 4ft SSE groundswell rolling in at 11 seconds. That’s a proper long-period swell, meaning better shape and more push, perfect for the beach break here. The wind is cross-off from the W at 12 mph, keeping the faces reasonably clean. This is the best chance for a few decent, punchy waves.

Breakdown by the Numbers:

* Thursday 3rd to Friday 4th: Tiny. Best session is Friday morning (1ft NE, 7 sec, glass) but it’s flat.
* Saturday 5th: Afternoon offers 3ft NE at 5 sec with offshore NW 16 mph. Clean but soft and short period.
* Sunday 6th to Sunday 13th: Mostly flat or very small, with onshore or cross-off winds. A few glassy pockets on Monday 7th morning (1ft SSE, 11 sec) but not enough size.
* Monday 14th (The Window): Arvo is the pick. 4ft SSE at 11 seconds, cross-off W wind 12 mph. Combined energy of 339. The swell direction (SSE) is a bit south of the optimum ENE, but the longer period means it’ll wrap in with some power. Crowds are *often* a factor here, so get in the water early. At 4ft, it’s manageable for most competent surfers.
* Tuesday 15th to Wednesday 16th: Back to tiny junk. Wednesday morning the 16th has 3ft NE (5 sec) with offshore NNW 9 mph, but it’s poor quality.
* Wednesday 16th afternoon to Thursday 17th: A bit more size (5ft NE on the 16th arvo, 5ft NE on the 17th morning), but mixed with rain and onshore winds. The energy jumps to 282-149, but the conditions are ordinary (marginal at best). Not worth chasing unless you’re desperate.
* Friday 18th: Tiny again, with a fresh offshore NNW 19 mph. Clean but nothing to ride.

So, to sum it up: mostly flat for the first ten days, then a glimmer of hope on Monday the 14th afternoon with a long-period SSE groundswell. It’s not a classic, but for this window, it’s the only game in town. Water temp is sitting around 64°F, which is dead average for this time of year.

Keep an eye on the forecasts, mate. It tends not to stay this flat for long.

Rusty

Read more