Surf Forecasts:
Mount Maunganui surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 18s period, E swell with 55 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mount Maunganui this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Mount Maunganui in the next 16 days are 0.3m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 1ft (0.3m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mount Maunganui over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. I’ve been through the charts for our local stretch, and truth be told, it’s a quiet run. We’ve got a long stretch of flatness before anything shows up – the first wave worth a look doesn’t arrive until Saturday, July 25th. That’s more than a week of barely a ripple.
The water’s running a bit cooler than usual for the season, sitting at 57°F, about 2°F below the norm. Hood and gloves territory for sure.
Let’s break it down. Saturday morning, July 25th, at Mount Maunganui brings the first pulse: combined energy of 416 (moderate) with a 6ft swell from the NNW. But the period is short – only 8 seconds – so it’s gonna be fat and lumpy. Wind is cross-off from the WSW at 9 mph, keeping the surface clean, but the wave quality is only marginal. For a beginner, 6ft is too much; for a keen surfer, it might offer a few blobby waves. Crowds are a factor here, so don’t expect an empty lineup.
That same Saturday afternoon, the swell drops to 4ft from the north, still with a short 8-second period and energy around 202. Wind picks up a bit to 12 mph, still cross-off. It’s not the pick; it’s just something to look at.
From there, we get glassy conditions on the 26th and into the next week, but the swell is tiny – 1ft or less – with weak energy and poor shape. A few small east swells on the 30th and 31st with 11-second periods (a bit more groundswell feel) and energy around 130, but still under 2ft and not worth the paddle. Winds stay clean, but the waves just aren’t there.
There’s no true standout. The best of a slow period is Saturday morning, July 25th, at Mount Maunganui – the only day with any real size, but the short period and marginal rating keep it from being a go-to. Most of the 16 days are a blank. Keep your gear ready, but don’t rush out the door.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 19 | E 18 | E 18 | E 17 | E 17 | E 16 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | N 10 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 12 | 28 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:01PM2.04m | 9:19AM1.85m | 9:51PM2.00m | 10:10AM1.82m | 10:42PM1.92m | 11:02AM1.77m | 11:32PM1.84m | 11:54AM1.72m | 00:21AM1.77m | 12:47PM1.66m | 1:09AM1.70m | 1:39PM1.60m | 1:55AM1.65m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:11AM0.24m | 3:21PM0.11m | 4:02AM0.20m | 4:13PM0.14m | 4:53AM0.18m | 5:04PM0.20m | 5:42AM0.18m | 5:54PM0.26m | 6:30AM0.21m | 6:43PM0.32m | 7:18AM0.26m | 7:34PM0.38m | ||||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — |
 | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 11 |
Feels °C | 13 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 19 | E 18 | E 18 | E 17 | E 13 | E 16 | E 14 | E 13 | — | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | — | N 8 | — | N 8 | N 9 | N 9 | N 10 |
| kJ | 12 | 28 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | NE 10 | E 12 | NE 10 | NE 10 | E 17 | NE 9 | N 9 | N 9 | E 13 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | E 11 | N 8 | — | E 11 | N 6 | E 10 |
| kJ | 4 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | E 13 | NE 10 | — | NE 10 | NE 10 | — | — | N 8 | N 9 | N 9 | N 10 | N 10 | E 11 | — | E 11 | E 11 | — | E 10 | — |
| kJ | 1 | 3 | 4 | — | 4 | 4 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 3 | WSW 2 | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | SW 3 | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | — | — | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | W 3 | SW 4 |
| kJ | — | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 163 | 59 | 59 | 32 | 59 | 59 | 59 | 89 | 149 | 178 | 149 | 186 | 163 | 120 | 120 | 178 | 186 | 186 | 186 | 147 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mount Maunganui Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mount Maunganui provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mount Maunganui can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mount Maunganui surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mount Maunganui) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mount Maunganui may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Mount Maunganui, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 6 km (4 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 57 km (35 miles) away, Cambridge, Hamilton and Whakatane.
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