Mount Maunganui Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a yarn about the surf ahead. I'm looking at Mount Maunganui, and to be honest, the outlook is a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. We've got a window of clean waves coming up, but you'll need to be patient for most of this run.

The immediate future is not great. For the next few days, the ocean is pretty messy. That NNE swell from Tuesday afternoon is around 6 ft, but with a 12 mph cross-on wind, it's choppy and ugly. The combined energy is moderate (481), but the quality is just not there for a good paddle. That window passes, and Wednesday, the 8th of July, is where it gets interesting.

Wednesday morning is the standout for this whole period. The wind swings to a clean 6 mph offshore from the SSW. That's going to clean up the 5 ft NNE swell (419 combined energy) perfectly. It's a short period windswell, but with that offshore wind, the waves will have shape. This is your best bet. It's a beginner-friendly break anyway, so a clean 5 ft day is a treat. The water temp is 59°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

The good news keeps rolling for Wednesday afternoon. It stays clean with a light cross-off, even if the swell drops to 4 ft. Thursday morning starts dropping fast with 2 ft from the east, and the energy is weak (112). Thursday afternoon and all of Friday hold tiny waves and clean but weak conditions. Saturday the 11th through the following Tuesday the 14th are pretty much flat, with the swell size between 1.0 ft and 2 ft and the combined energy under 100. There are a few glassy mornings, but nothing you'd get out of bed for.

We get a pulse around the 15th of July with a 5 ft northerly swell (219 combined energy), but it's accompanied by a 9 mph cross wind, so the quality is poor. Nothing really cleans up until the 16th of July, where we get a 4 ft N swell with a 12 mph cross-offshore wind, but the scores are still a zero for quality. The rest of the run into the second week is tiny and clean again, with flat conditions and no real surfable size.

So, to wrap it up: Wednesday morning, the 8th of July, is the one to chase. That offshore wind and the 5 ft swell (419 combined energy) will be the best we see. After that, it's a waiting game. Don't expect much else in this window until the 22nd of July, and even that looks like a stormy mess with heavy onshore winds.

Rusty.

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