Surf Forecasts:
Mount Maunganui surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 15s period, NE swell with 37 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mount Maunganui this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Mount Maunganui in the next 16 days are 0.3m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 1ft (0.3m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mount Maunganui over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve gotta be straight with you – it’s a pretty bleak run for the Mount. We’re looking at a solid block of nothing for the first week, with hardly a ripple worth paddling for right through to the end of next Sunday, the 9th. The energy’s just not there, with wave heights barely lifting a finger and long-period groundswell trickling in but offering no real power. The combined swell energy stays in the weak-to-negligible range, mostly between 13 and 48, and I just can’t recommend the water for a surf during that stretch.
Now, the water temp at the Mount is sitting around 58°, which is just about normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t get a shock jumping in – not that there’s much to jump for.
We finally get a pulse on Monday the 10th. The morning brings a little bump of 3 ft from the north with a short, choppy 5-second period, but it’s still rated poor. The afternoon shows some promise: the swell pushes up to 5 ft from the north, and with glassy conditions and a combined energy of 169, it’s surfable. Things actually look best on Tuesday the 11th. The morning serves up 5 ft north swell with a glassy surface and good surf conditions, with the combined energy jumping to 285. That’s the standout window – clean, offshore-friendly winds from the SSE, and a wave that’s manageable for most. But keep in mind, the swell period is only 7 seconds, so it’s a bit of a windswell, not a classic groundswell. By the afternoon, the wind turns onshore and it falls apart.
After that, it’s a messy slog. Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th bring onshore winds and rain, with swell hanging around but deteriorating. Friday the 14th throws up some big numbers – a 12 ft north-northeast swell with energy at 1997 – but with howling onshore winds over 18 mph and rain, that’s one for the kite crew, not for paddle surfing. That kind of size is expert-only if it cleans up, but it never does. The rest of the run to the 17th is rain, moderate winds, and shifty cross-shore crud.
Bottom line: if you’ve got a window, make it the morning of Tuesday, August 11th. That’s the only real taste of decent surf in this 16-day stretch. The rest is a long, flat wait.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Sun morning, fresh winds from the WSW by Mon afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 5°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 16 | NE 15 | NE 14 | ENE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | E 18 | NE 18 | NE 18 | NE 16 | NE 16 | NE 16 | NE 15 | NE 15 | NE 14 | NE 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 39 | 33 | 33 | 17 | 27 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | on | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 9:40AM1.61m | 10:11PM1.69m | 10:20AM1.60m | 10:52PM1.68m | 11:04AM1.59m | 11:34PM1.66m | 11:51AM1.60m | 00:19AM1.64m | 12:43PM1.61m | 1:07AM1.64m | 1:38PM1.62m | 2:01AM1.65m | 2:38PM1.64m | 3:00AM1.66m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:45PM0.16m | 4:20AM0.18m | 4:27PM0.17m | 5:02AM0.15m | 5:10PM0.21m | 5:45AM0.14m | 5:57PM0.26m | 6:30AM0.16m | 6:49PM0.32m | 7:20AM0.21m | 7:47PM0.36m | 8:15AM0.25m | 8:51PM0.38m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — |
 | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Feels °C | 7 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | ENE 5 | NE 14 | ENE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NE 11 | ESE 4 | E 4 | E 5 | E 6 | E 5 | NE 15 | NE 15 | NE 14 | NE 13 |
| kJ | 4 | 4 | 33 | 17 | 27 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 16 | NE 15 | ENE 4 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 9 | NE 12 | E 16 | E 18 | — | E 6 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | E 7 | E 6 | NE 10 | — |
| kJ | 39 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 5 | 6 | — | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | N 5 | N 7 | NE 16 | — | E 9 | NW 5 | W 5 | — | — | E 15 | E 18 | NE 18 | NE 18 | NE 16 | NE 16 | NE 16 | NE 10 | NE 10 | N 12 | N 12 |
| kJ | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 4 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 2 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | SW 4 | SW 4 | SE 4 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 1 | 21 | 26 | 24 | 4 | 12 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 59 | 169 | 169 | 188 | 196 | 123 | 186 | 255 | 32 | 89 | 149 | 120 | 120 | 169 | 120 | 120 | 149 | 120 | 120 | 186 | 120 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mount Maunganui Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mount Maunganui provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mount Maunganui can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mount Maunganui surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mount Maunganui) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mount Maunganui may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Mount Maunganui, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 6 km (4 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 57 km (35 miles) away, Cambridge, Hamilton and Whakatane.
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