Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break this down for Middleton Beach. It’s a tough start, but if you’ve got patience, there’s a serious payoff coming.

Right now, on Thursday the 9th, the surf is clean but just okay. You’ve got a 6ft swell from the SW with a long 14-second period, and the wind is offshore from the WNW. It’s surfable, but the water’s at 65°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The wave energy is solid at 1806, but it’s not a standout. Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th are looking messy with strong cross-off winds and jumbled conditions. The swell gets bigger, up to 10ft on Saturday, but the period drops and the wind is just not cooperating. It’s a big, unruly mess.

The real story starts next week. Sunday the 12th is still marginal, with a big 10ft SSW swell at 15 seconds. The wave energy is massive (5135), but the wind is cross-off, keeping it clean but a bit too raw for most. Monday the 13th is where you need to be. We’re talking a solid 13ft SSW groundswell with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is a monstrous 8085 – that’s serious power. Wind is a light cross-off from the W, so it’ll be clean. This is big, powerful, expert-only territory. If you’re not comfortable in waves over 8ft, stay on the beach. Tuesday the 14th holds the energy with an 12ft SSW swell, still 15 seconds, and a light offshore breeze from the N. The morning will be excellent for experienced surfers, but it’s still a heavy, long-period swell that will be better on a reef or a point than a beach break. The crowds are listed as “sometimes” so you might have some company, but it’s worth it for the quality.

After that, it drops off again. Wednesday the 15th through the 21st is a real mix of fresh winds and deteriorating conditions. Swell sticks around, but the wind is mostly onshore or cross-shore, creating chop. There’s a brief glimmer on the morning of Wednesday the 22nd of July, when the wind goes glassy and a 5ft SSW groundswell with a 15-second period rolls in – that would be a clean, fun session for the faithful, but it’s a brief window.

Then, the last standout is on Thursday the 23rd of July. The morning brings a 7ft SW swell at 14 seconds with a light cross-off breeze. Clean, very good conditions. The energy is back up to 2074. That’s a much more manageable size for a confident intermediate.

Finally, on Friday the 24th of July, we see a massive 16ft, 18-second period storm swell from the SSW. The combined energy is a ludicrous 15864. The wind is onshore from the SSE, making it a choppy, dangerous, and unmanageable mess. That’s a hard pass for paddle surfing; it looks more like a tow-in or kite-surfing day if you’re crazy enough.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off for good waves. The best bet is Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th of July for the big, powerful, clean groundswell – but that’s for experts only. The next best is the morning of Thursday the 23rd of July for a more manageable size and clean conditions. The rest of the time, it’s mostly a waiting game.

Rusty.

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