Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mates, Rusty here. Let’s talk Middleton Beach. I won’t sugarcoat it—most of the next two weeks looks pretty average for a paddle. There’s a lot of big, wind-whipped swell that’s just not gonna give you clean rides. But we’ve got a couple of mornings that’ll make it worth checking.

The water’s sitting at 65°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for August. Feels nice, but it’s not the main story.

Sunday the 9th kicks off with a big 16ft swell out of the SSW, period a very long 16 seconds, and the energy is cranked up to 13086—strong stuff. But the wind’s howling from the SW at 22 mph, cross-off, and the call is "marginal." This is big and ugly, only for experts who don’t mind a beatdown.

Monday the10th is worse—offshore wind at 25 mph in the morning but the comment says "hard to paddle into" on a 10ft swell. Afternoon jumps to 16ft with cross-off wind, still poor. Tuesday the11th stays big—18ft in the morning (16 seconds, 16107 energy), but cross-off winds and a "marginal" tag. These days are just messy.

Then we hit a sweet spot. Thursday the13th of August morning: 10ft SSW swell, 16-second period, and a gentle 9 mph offshore wind from the W. The comment says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers" and the energy’s at 7448—moderate, but clean. That’s the one. Friday the14th morning is also real good: 12ft, same direction, 16 seconds, light 6 mph cross-off from the NNE, and 5882 energy. Two mornings in a row where Middleton Beach actually looks like a wave.

After that, it drops off. The weekend of the15th and16th has smaller 7ft to 8ft swell but cross-off winds, and the energy’s weak (under 2500). Sunday the16th afternoon gets a cross-shore chop. Not worth it.

The following week from Monday the17th onward is mixed. Swell hangs around 8ft to 13ft, mostly from the SW, with periods of 14-18 seconds. Winds stay cross-off to offshore, but the comments are almost all "marginal" or "poor" except for a couple. Friday the21st of August morning has a 8ft SW swell with a 6 mph offshore wind from the WNW and a "very good" tag—that’s another little window. Saturday the22nd afternoon also gets a "very good" with 10ft SW swell and gentle winds. But the rest of that week’s got fresh breezes or rain. By Monday the24th, it’s back to poor with 25 mph winds.

So the best of the whole run is Thursday the13th and Friday the14th of August in the mornings. Clean, solid, long-period SSW swell with light winds. That’s your window. The rest is either too big and messy, or too small and wind-affected. There’s a gap of several days after the14th where it’s not worth paddling out, and another short window on the21st and22nd. Don’t expect consistency here.

Rusty.

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