Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, same story just on the imperial scale.

We’ve got a proper wait on our hands, folks. The surf window doesn’t really kick off until Tuesday the 7th of July, and even then, it’s strictly for the experienced crew only. The first few days are a bit of a tease, but once it gets going, there’s some serious grunt in the water.

The big story is a long-period groundswell arriving Tuesday morning from the SSW. We’re talking 12 ft of swell with a 16-second period – that’s a ton of energy (5856) and it’s pushing straight into this very sheltered spot. The wind is light offshore out of the W, so those sets will be clean as a whistle. But let’s be clear: this is expert territory. Anything over 5 ft is gnarly, and at 12 ft, beginners need to stay well clear. That long period is a dream for a point or reef, but here at Middleton, a beach setup, it can make things a bit straight and dumpy. Still, for the experienced surfer, Tuesday morning is the standout early call.

Wednesday the 8th keeps the energy alive with another 8 ft to 10 ft SSW swell (energy 4521) and cross-off winds that are still light. Clean, powerful, and again, only for the strong paddler. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so a decent 4/3mm steamer is all you’ll need.

Thursday the 9th drops off a fair bit – only 6 ft in the morning with a shorter 13-second period (1966 energy). The wind turns offshore from the NW, so it’s clean but weak. Not really the main event.

Now, hold onto your board. Friday the 10th gets small – barely 4 ft – but then Saturday the 11th ramps back up with a solid 8 ft SSW groundswell (2624 energy) and a moderate offshore wind from the W. This is another one for the experienced lot. Clean, punchy, and the sets will have some gap between them.

Sunday the 12th is a mixed bag. The morning is a bit sloppy with cross-shore wind, but the afternoon brings back the goods: 10 ft SSW swell (8400 energy) with light cross-off wind. Dead clean. That’s the second real standout for the first week – a big, clean, powerful afternoon session.

Monday the 13th looks like a mirror of Tuesday: 12 ft in the morning (6514 energy), glassy offshore wind, and perfect conditions for experts only. Then it starts to wind down.

From Tuesday the 14th onwards, things get messy. The wind swings cross-on and choppy, and the swell quality drops. There are a few windows later – like Friday the 17th afternoon with 12 ft and offshore wind (6640 energy), but that’s still only for the brave. The second week is all about those intermittent bigger pulses, but the wind is often fresh and the conditions are more marginal. A few mornings on the 19th and 20th of July look promising with moderate offshore wind and 7 ft to 8 ft SSW swell (2283–3086 energy) – decent, but nothing in the same league as that first big Tuesday.

Overall, the first week has two absolute standouts: Tuesday the 7th morning and Sunday the 12th afternoon. Both are big, clean, and powerful. If you’re an expert, those are your sessions. If you’re not, give this place a wide berth for the next fortnight. The rest of the time is either too small, too windy, or too raw.

Rusty.

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