Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Middleton Beach over the next 16 days.

Overall, this is a stretch with some serious size and energy, but the wind is going to be the main character here. We’ve got a couple of real standout windows, but also some periods where it’s just too blown out or messy to bother. The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

The first real chance to get wet kicks off on Monday, 27 July, but honestly, it’s a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a 8ft SW swell at 13 seconds, but with a 25 km/h SW cross-off wind, it’s just not clean enough. The combined energy is strong (2607), but the conditions are marginal. Tuesday morning, 28 July, is a different story. We’re looking at a 10ft SSW swell with a 14-second period, and the wind is glassy from the WNW at just 5 km/h. That’s a proper standout. The water will be clean, the energy is high (3890), and it’s going to be a ripper of a session for experienced surfers.

Tuesday afternoon stays solid with a 10ft SSW swell, 14-second period, and a light cross-off breeze. It’s clean, powerful, and the energy jumps to 4570. Wednesday morning, 29 July, sees a 7ft S swell with a 11-second period, and a cross-off wind from the N. It’s clean, but the energy is a bit lower (2624). Wednesday afternoon is a beauty – 6ft SSW swell with a very long 16-second period, and glassy conditions from the NNE. That’s a long-period groundswell, so it’ll be better shaped, with longer lulls between sets. It’s a great option for a late arvo paddle.

Thursday, 30 July, is smaller but clean. Morning has a 4ft SW swell with a 15-second period, and a cross-off breeze. Afternoon goes glassy with a 4ft SSW swell. Both are clean, but not the big stuff. Friday, 31 July, is where it gets big again. The morning has a 10ft SSW swell with a very long 17-second period, but a 25 km/h cross-off wind makes it a bit touch and go. The real standout comes Friday afternoon – a 13ft SSW swell, 17-second period, and clean offshore wind from the WNW at 25 km/h. The combined energy is massive (8120). This is big, powerful, and for experts only. If you’ve got the skills, this is the session.

The weekend gets rowdy. Saturday, 1 August, has a 18ft SSW swell, but a 30 km/h cross-off wind makes it a mess. The energy is enormous (12645), but it’s just not rideable for most. Sunday, 2 August, drops to 10ft, but the wind is cross-shore, and the afternoon gets a cross-on breeze. Not great.

Early next week, Monday, 3 August, is a rest day with a smaller 5ft SW swell, clean but weak. Tuesday, 4 August, is another standout. Morning has a 10ft SSW swell with an 18-second period – that’s a very long period groundswell – and a light cross-off breeze. The energy is high (6147), and it’s clean. This is a serious session for experienced surfers. Wednesday, 5 August, stays big (10ft to 12ft), but the wind picks up to 35 km/h, making it choppy and marginal. Thursday, 6 August, is a gem with a 10ft SW swell, 15-second period, and a clean offshore breeze from the NW. The energy is solid (4245), and it’s a great day for a paddle.

The second week starts to get messy. Friday, 7 August, through Monday, 10 August, has plenty of size (10ft to 15ft), but the wind is consistently 25-45 km/h, creating cross-off or cross-on chop. The energy is high, but the quality drops. By Tuesday, 11 August, it’s a full-on washout with a 15ft SW swell, 18-second period, and a strong 25 km/h cross-on wind. The combined energy is massive (12280), but it’s choppy and poor. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing one.

So, the true standouts are Tuesday morning, 28 July, and Tuesday morning, 4 August. Both offer clean, powerful, groundswell-driven surf with light winds. Friday afternoon, 31 July, is the big-wave call for experts. The rest of the window is either too small, too windy, or too messy to be worth the drive.

Rusty.

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