Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for Middleton Beach. This is a real sheltered, beginner-friendly setup, and the water’s sitting at 65°F, which is a touch warmer than average for the season – a nice little treat.

Right now, it’s a mess. Monday’s got a 8ft SW swell but the cross-on S wind at 16 mph is making it choppy and not worth your time. The energy is there (3167), but it’s all noise with that onshore breeze. Monday afternoon bumps up to 10ft but it’s still cross-on and the forecast calls it marginal – I’d sit this one out.

Come Tuesday the 7th, things turn on. Tuesday morning is the absolute standout of the whole run. You’ve got a clean 12ft SSW groundswell with a 16-second period, glassy conditions (SW, 3 mph), and the combined energy is pumping at 6038. This is expert territory only – anything over 8ft is too big for beginners – but those long-period lines off that SSW direction will be smooth, clean waves at this sheltered break. That’s the one to chase. Tuesday afternoon drops a little to 10ft with a light cross-on; it’s okay, but not as pristine as the morning.

Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th stay solid but not spectacular. Wednesday has 7ft to 10ft with clean, cross-off breeze (N and W). Thursday goes offshore with NW and W winds, 8ft to 7ft SW swell – clean, rideable, good fun for the crew. Crowds are only “sometimes” an issue, so you’ll find your own bank.

Friday the 10th turns ugly. The wind cranks to 19-28 mph, the swell period crashes to 7-8 seconds – that’s short-period junk. The energy is there (792 to 1487) but it’s a windy, lumpy mess. Skip it.

Saturday the 11th brings a huge swell – 16ft SSW at 14 seconds – but with a fresh SW cross-off at 19 mph. The energy is enormous (11161), but that’s big and only clean-ish for the brave. It’s marginal, and way too big for anyone who isn’t an expert. Kite surfers will have a field day; paddlers will get hammered.

Sunday the 12th is a relief. A drop to 8ft SSW with a 14-second period, light W cross-off, and the morning is clean. The energy is still strong at 4628. But Sunday afternoon? That’s another beauty: 8ft, 17-second period, WNW offshore at 6 mph, clean as glass, and energy at 4624. That long-period groundswell will set up beautifully at Middleton since it’s so sheltered – expect smooth, powerful waves with long lulls. This is your second standout window.

Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th keep the dream alive: 10ft to 12ft SSW groundswell, offshore to glassy winds, excellent for experienced surfers. The combination of big energy (up to 5818) and perfect wind is rare for this spot. Tuesday afternoon is glassy with S at 3 mph – that’s pure magic.

Then there’s a gap. From Wednesday the 15th through Thursday the 16th the swell drops to 5ft-5ft and the wind swings cross-off, but it’s weak and inconsistent. The energy falls below 2000, and the scores drop off. Not worth a special trip.

Friday the 17th brings back big surf – 12ft to 10ft SW, offshore wind and clean for the afternoon, energy back above 4800. Another one for the experts.

Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th get serious: 13ft to 18ft swells, strong offshore winds (up to 25 mph), energy readings from 6372 up to 12916. These are massive, powerful waves. The wind is howling offshore, which cleans them up but makes paddling into these beasts a real mission. Only for the very experienced.

Monday the 20th is the biggest in the whole run – a colossal 23ft SSW groundswell at 16 seconds, energy a staggering 23858. Strong offshore W wind at 25 mph. It’s clean but absolutely charging. This is a big-wave day, and the forecast still calls it marginal because of the raw power.

After that, Tuesday the 21st starts to ease a bit with 15ft to 13ft, but still windy and heavy.

To sum it up: for the experienced surfer, the absolute best windows are Tuesday morning the 7th and Sunday afternoon the 12th into Monday the 13th. That’s when the combination of long-period groundswell and glassy or offshore wind is top-shelf for this break. Beginners should stick to the smaller, cleaner days around Wednesday the 8th or Thursday the 9th, or the mellow drop-off on the 15th.

Stay safe out there.

- Rusty

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