Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at Middleton Beach look like a real mixed bag. We’re in for a long stretch of waiting, with a lot of wind-ruined days and only a couple of windows where it all comes together. The water’s sitting at 63°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t be freezing your arse off while you’re staring at the whitecaps.

The pattern starts pretty grim. Tuesday and Wednesday the 8th and 9th of September are write-offs – strong onshore winds and big, messy surf. That carries on through Thursday the 10th. Friday the 11th eases up a bit, but it’s still cross-shore and only marginal, with a 6ft to 6ft SW swell (period 15-16 seconds) and the energy is moderate (2,756). Not worth paddling out for.

Saturday the 12th gets a bit interesting in the morning. There’s a strong offshore wind from the west, but it’s a 25 mph blow, so even though it’s clean, that’s a big paddle. The swell’s 6ft from the SW with a 16-second period, but the energy’s only moderate (1,853). The afternoon sees a 10ft swell from the WSW, but the period drops to a short 8 seconds, so it’s just a washing machine. Sunday the 13th is a write-off again.

Monday the 14th through to Thursday the 17th September is a real slog. We’ve got a 8ft to 10ft SW swell, but the wind is mainly cross-onshore, chopping it up. The morning of Thursday the 17th is the best of this lot – a moderate offshore breeze from the west, clean lines, 6ft from the SW (15 seconds, 1,660 energy). But it’s only a marginal call, so don’t get too excited.

The real standout, and I mean the *only* standout you should pencil in, is the weekend of the 20th and 21st of September. Sunday the 20th is the pick of the whole 16-day window. The morning shows a 13ft SSW swell with a very long 17-second period, and the energy is strong (9,789). The wind is a gentle offshore, so it’s clean. The afternoon is even better – 15ft from the SSW, same period, energy through the roof (11,414), and a light cross-offshore breeze. That’s what I call a proper groundswell. This is expert territory – over 8ft, so leave the foamies at home. The long period means it’ll be a bit fat and straight at the beach, but if you can find a bank or a rip, it’ll be a hell of a ride. Expect crowds to be possible.

Monday the 21st holds a solid 12ft from the SSW (16 seconds, 6,684 energy), with a fresh offshore wind, but it’s a bit windier than Sunday. Then Wednesday the 23rd of September has another strong pulse – 10ft to 13ft from the SSW, with a moderate offshore wind and energy in the strong range (6,451 to 7,835). Again, experts only.

The gap in the middle is rough – from Tuesday the 10th through to Saturday the 19th, there’s barely a session worth chasing. That’s a solid week of disappointment. But the 20th and 23rd look like they could deliver the goods. Fingers crossed the forecasts hold.

Rusty.

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