Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up for us. It’s a bit of a slow burner to start, but there are a couple of proper windows if you’re willing to wait it out.

The surf this week is pretty ordinary. We’ve got a fair bit of swell on the way in, but the wind is going to be all over the shop for most of it, making things messy. You’ll see that the energy in the water is moderate at first (1737), but it’s not going to be rideable. The opening days are a write-off, sadly. The period is long, over 15 seconds, so there’s some proper groundswell in the mix, but it’s just not clean.

Water temp is sitting at 63.3°, which is a touch warmer than we'd usually expect for this time of year, so you might get away with a slightly thinner wetsuit.

Middleton Beach is the only spot on the cards, so we're stuck with what we've got. Thursday the 10th is a complete no-go, with onshore breezes and a junky cross-chop. Friday the 11th is a tease. The morning looks a bit better with a clean 6ft SW groundswell, but the guiding notes say it's marginal due to tide. The afternoon gets a bit smaller to 4.2ft, but the wind goes light offshore, and it says "very good" – that’s your first real look at a wave. It’s a long 18-second period, so it's best to head for a bank that handles the long lines.

Saturday the 12th is a different beast. The swell jumps right up to 11.4ft with a strong 6216 energy, but it's going to be blown out by a strong W wind. This one’s for experts only at this size, and even then, it’s going to be a washing machine. The wind stays fresh from the west on Sunday, but the size eases off a touch. It's a short-lived window on Sunday afternoon with a drop to 7.8ft, but the period drops to 8 seconds, making it a bit of a junky, short-period swell. Not great.

Monday the 14th sees another pulse of big SSW swell, around 11.4ft, but the wind swings onshore from the ESE, which ruins it. Tuesday is more of the same – too much wind and messy conditions. We're basically in a holding pattern until Wednesday the 16th. That morning is the standout for the first week. The swell settles to a clean 6.8ft from the SSW, with a light offshore breeze and some good juice behind it (2095). Still a long 15-second period, so it'll be powerful. That's your day if you want a clean one. The afternoon it gets a bit smaller and a light cross-shore kicks in, but it's still rideable.

After that, we go into another poor stretch. Thursday and Friday are blown out, and Saturday the 19th sees another big jump in size. The swell hits 9.8ft on Saturday morning with a strong offshore wind, making it clean but heavy. The afternoon sees it pushing 13ft (7020), which is full-on, expert territory.

Then the weekend degenerates into a choppy mess again with onshore winds. This is a long stretch of poor quality, from Saturday afternoon right through Monday the 21st, with big, messy, and often onshore surf. This is where the wait gets tough.

Alright, here’s the light at the end of the tunnel. The long-range charts are showing something promising for the final week. It's a bit further out, so don't book the time off just yet, but the models are aligning. On Tuesday the 22nd, the wind drops right out early, and we’ve got a clean 7.2ft SSW groundswell, with a fraction under 2800 energy. That looks smooth and clean.

And then, we've got the gem of the whole period. Wednesday the 23rd and Thursday the 24th are looking like the best days on offer. The 23rd has a clean 7.2ft S swell with light winds and excellent energy (3532). But Thursday the 24th is the standout: a solid 9.8ft SSW groundswell at a long 18 seconds, with a moderate offshore wind. The energy is strong (6397) and it’s marked as excellent for experienced surfers. That’s a proper day. Remember, a long-period swell like this at a beach break can sometimes close out, so you'll want to pick your bank carefully. The water will be a bit cooler by then as well.

So to sum it up: this week is mostly about dodging the wind. The first real window is Wednesday the 16th. Then we've got a proper waiting game for the big, clean groundswell that looks set to hit on Thursday the 24th of September. That's the one to keep your eye on. It’s a long way off, so treat it as promising, but the potential is definitely there for a day to remember.

Stay stoked.

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