Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, lookin’ over the Middleton Beach forecast. Straight up, this is a funny one – for a spot that’s super sheltered, it’s copping a proper beating from the ocean for a lot of the period, but there are a couple of absolute magic windows in the second week that will make it all worth it for the patient punter. The first few days are a write-off for any decent paddle surfing.

Right, let’s get into it. The opening weekend and start of the week are a no-go. Sunday the 13th has a small, long-period SW groundswell rolling in at around 5ft, but it’s from the wrong direction for this very sheltered spot, and the south-westerly wind is howling over the bank. Monday the 14th gets ugly – the swell jumps to 11ft, but it’s onshore and messy, way too big for the average surfer and blown out to bits. Tuesday the 15th through to Saturday the 19th is a real write-off. We’ve got solid, powerful SW swells, but the wind just never lines up. It’s mostly lumpy, choppy, and cross-onshore, with the swell energy sitting at moderate to strong. Sunday the 20th morning sees a drop in size to about 7ft, but with cross-shore winds, it’s still pretty average.

Now here’s where it gets interesting. The real standout, and I mean *the* one to circle on your calendar, is Monday the 21st of September. It won’t be a secret because the conditions are just that good. We’ve got a proper 13ft groundswell, period a meaty 16 seconds, arriving from the optimum direction for Middleton Beach (SSW). The wind goes totally glassy in the morning – zero wind. This is big, powerful surf, over 8ft, so this is strictly for experienced surfers with the right board and the know-how. The combined energy is strong to very strong, so you’ll feel the ocean’s power. The break is inconsistent and very sheltered, so every set that rolls through will be a big, clean, lined-up bomb. This is the best on offer, full stop.

If you miss that, Tuesday the 22nd morning is another beauty, though slightly smaller. We’ve got 10ft of that same SSW groundswell, still a long 15 seconds, and glassy conditions again. Again, big for the experienced crew. And Wednesday the 23rd morning is another absolute gem – 13ft of super-long period SSW swell at 18 seconds. This is the biggest, cleanest of the lot, with light offshore winds creating a smooth face. It’s a real long-period groundswell, so at the beach break at Middleton, it might run a bit straight, but on a good bank and at the right tide, it’ll be epic for the crew who know the spot. Late in the run, Friday the 25th and Saturday the 26th just get messy again with strong winds and lumpy conditions.

The water temp here is running pretty much average for the time of year, so no need for a winter steamer, just a decent spring suit.

So to sum it up: forget the first week, it’s a bust for decent paddle waves. Focus all your energy on the mornings of Monday 21st, Tuesday 22nd, and Wednesday 23rd of September – those are your best bets by a long shot. Patience is the key, and it pays off big time.

Rusty.

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