Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got a bit of a mixed bag for you from Middleton Beach. Don’t get your hopes up too high for the first week—there’s a lot of waiting around before we see something truly special. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The forecast kicks off on Friday the 4th with a solid pulse of swell, but it’s a messy one. We’re looking at 18 ft from the SW early on Friday morning, with a 12-second period, but that wind is howling out of the WSW at 25 mph, cross-off but strong. The wave energy is cranked right up (8533), but the conditions are marginal at best. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, but with that size, honestly, it’s more of a look-and-see situation. Friday afternoon drops to 12 ft, still from the SSW, but the wind stays lively. Not great.

Saturday the 5th is similar—7 ft from the SW in the morning, dropping to 5 ft by the arvo. The wind swings NNW at 12 mph, still cross-off, and the wave energy is moderate (3121 and 1956). But the forecast says marginal, so it’s not really firing. Sunday the 6th is a write-off: the wind goes cross-on from the SSE, and the swell is onshore and lumpy. A 0 out of 10 says it all. That continues through Monday and Tuesday the 8th and 9th—big swells, but with onshore winds and poor quality. The wave energy is massive (up to 9585), but it’s just not clean. For a beach-and-reef setup like this, with that wind, it’s looking more like a kite surfer’s playground than a paddler’s dream.

We get a brief flicker of hope on Saturday the 12th. The morning brings 12 ft from the SW with a 16-second period and cross-off NNW wind at 22 mph. The wave energy is strong (5989), but it’s still marginal. Then Saturday afternoon, the wind shifts offshore from the NW at 16 mph, and the swell drops to 8 ft with a 15-second period. The energy is moderate (3324), but the conditions are clean and the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s a standout for the week, but it’s not huge.

Sunday the 13th goes back to poor with strong WSW wind, and Monday the 14th is cross-shore chop. Not worth it.

Now, here’s the real standout. Tuesday the 15th: morning session, we’ve got 12 ft from the SSW with a 17-second period, and the wind is a gentle WSW breeze at 9 mph, cross-off. The wave energy is pumping (6576), and the forecast says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” That’s a 4 out of 10, and it’s the best call of the whole window. The swell is over 8 ft, so it’s for the crew who know what they’re doing. The long period (17 seconds) means it’s a groundswell, and it’ll be peeling nicely with the offshore flow. The wind is light, so it’ll be clean. This is the one to circle.

Wednesday the 16th is a big swell day again—16 ft from the SSW in the morning, but the wind is onshore from the E at 9 mph, so it’s a bit of a gamble. The energy is huge (14665), but the conditions are marginal. The afternoon goes lumpy with cross-on wind.

The end of the window has a couple of nice moments. Thursday the 17th afternoon: 7 ft from the SW with a 14-second period, light NNW wind at 6 mph, cross-off. The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions,” and the energy is moderate (2997). That’s a clean, fun option. Friday the 18th morning is even lighter—5 ft from the SW, 14-second period, and barely a breath of wind from the WSW at 3 mph. “Expect good surf conditions” with a 2 out of 10. Small, but clean.

And then the final highlight: Saturday the 19th morning. We’ve got 15 ft from the SSW with an 18-second period—that’s a very long period groundswell. The wind is glassy out of the north at 3 mph. The wave energy is massive (11525), and the forecast says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” That’s a 4 out of 10. For a long-period swell like this, Middleton Beach can be tricky—it’s a beach break, so it might break a bit straight—but with glassy conditions and that size, it’s a serious option for the experienced crew. Just be aware that crowds are possible here.

So, to sum it up: the first week is mostly a washout. The standout is Tuesday the 15th morning for the big, clean groundswell, and Saturday the 19th morning for the glassy, massive swell. Don’t waste your time on the rest.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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