Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey everyone, Rusty here. Look, I’ve been staring at the charts for Middleton Beach and it’s a bit of a rollercoaster. We’ve got plenty of swell on the way, but the wind is going to be a real pain for a lot of the run. Let’s break it down.

The main story is a series of strong SW groundswells, but they’re mostly arriving with cross-onshore winds, which is going to make things messy for a lot of the time. The water is sitting a warm 65°F at the start, which is much warmer than you’d expect for this time of year.

We’re kicking off on Tuesday, August 25th, with a 4ft SW swell showing up, but it’s weak and the NNW wind is blowing 19 mph cross-off, so it won’t be worth your time. The energy is low (1269). It gets bigger into Wednesday morning, August 26th, with an 12ft SW swell and a long 15-second period. The wind goes light W at 9 mph, cross-off, and the conditions are clean. This is actually the first real standout for experienced surfers only - the combined energy is pumping at 6474. The swell is big and it’s a groundswell with great period, but the size will push it for experts. It’s good, but not perfect.

The rest of that week and into the weekend is mostly a write-off. From Thursday, August 27th, through to Saturday, August 29th, we’ve got strong cross-onshore winds (gusting 25 mph) and a lot of rain, which makes the surf poor or marginal. The swell stays solid, but the wind just ruins it. The setup honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing during that stretch.

Now, hold onto your board. Sunday, August 30th morning shapes up as the absolute pick of the first week. It’s clear, with a light N breeze at 6 mph blowing cross-off. We’ve got a 10ft SW swell with a 16-second period, and the water is clean. The energy is big (4228), and it’s all lining up for excellent conditions. This is the one to circle on your calendar.

Monday, August 31st, is also very good in the morning, with a lighter 7ft SW swell, but a clean offshore W wind at 9 mph. The period is still a solid 16 seconds, and the crowd profile suggests it might be busy. It’s a strong option, but not quite as punchy as the Sunday before.

Looking further out, early September has more to offer. Wednesday, September 3rd morning has a clean offshore NW wind with an 8ft SW swell – that’s a good, clean, solid day for a wider range of surfers. Then the following weekend, September 5th Saturday morning, we see a bigger 15ft SSW groundswell with a 15-second period, and the wind is a moderate offshore from the W at 16 mph. The energy is massive (8611), and it’s another top pick for experienced surfers only. That Sunday, September 6th, could be even bigger at 16ft, but the wind is a strong offshore at 28 mph, which makes it hard to paddle into. That one’s for the experts and the brave.

So, for the whole forecast, my two true standouts are Sunday, August 30th morning for the cleaner, more manageable size, and Saturday, September 5th morning for the bigger, more powerful groundswell with perfect offshore conditions. Both will have clean conditions.

A quick note on the spot itself: Middleton Beach is a very sheltered spot that’s inconsistent. When the swell and wind do align, it can be magic, but there are long gaps of nothing, and it’s rated for beginners. The crowds can sometimes be an issue when it’s good.

Keep your eyes open, mates.

Rusty

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