Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Howdy, Rusty here. We’re lookin’ at Middleton Beach as the only spot in town for the next 16 days. This break is *very sheltered* and *inconsistent*, so don’t expect non-stop action. But when it lines up, it can really deliver for the patient surfer.

The first few days are a quiet start. Monday 27 July has 8 ft of SW swell at 13 seconds, with a 20 km/h cross-off wind. The combined energy sits at 2676 (moderate), but the surf’s marginal—leave it.

Then Tuesday 28 July morning fires up. We get 10 ft of SSW groundswell at 14 seconds with glass conditions (5 km/h south, then calm all day). That 10 ft is only for experienced surfers—beginners stay out. The energy climbs to 4127–4570 (strong), and the water’s 65°—a touch warmer than usual for this time of year (anomaly 3°). This is your first standout.

Wednesday 29 July settles to 7 ft S swell at 11 seconds, with a 15 km/h cross-off north wind. Clean but not as powerful. Energy’s 2604 (moderate). Fun but not a standout.

Thursday 30 July drops to 4–4 ft SSW at 14 seconds—marginal.

Friday 31 July jumps to 13 ft SSW at 17 seconds by afternoon, but with 30 km/h NW cross-off wind. That 13 ft is expert-only, and the wind’s fresh. Energy’s 8670 (strong). Not clean enough to call a standout.

Saturday 1 August sees 16 ft SSW swell at 15 seconds, 30 km/h WSW cross-off, rain. Energy’s 11465 (very strong). Only for the brave, and the rain makes it a slog.

Then Sunday 2 August morning is another beauty: 8 ft SW swell at 14 seconds, glass conditions with 5 km/h east wind. This is your second standout. Energy’s 4062 (strong), and the surface is glassy clean.

Monday 3 August goes back to 6 ft SW at 15 seconds—marginal with light cross-shore wind.

Tuesday 4 August is a standout again: 10 ft SSW at a very long 18 seconds, with 10 km/h offshore to cross-off wind. Energy is 5093–5950 (strong). That 18-second period is pure groundswell—great for point breaks and reefs, but it can straighten out at the beach. Clean and powerful for experienced surfers.

Wednesday 5 August afternoon: 12 ft SSW at 16 seconds, gentle 15 km/h NW cross-off, energy 6221. Another strong day for the advanced crew.

Thursday 6 August morning: 13 ft SW at 17 seconds, gentle offshore NW wind, glassy. Energy 8285. Huge and clean—expert-only.

Friday 7 through Sunday 9 August stay big (10–16 ft, 14–16 seconds) but wind’s 20–25 km/h cross-off, so it’s rougher. Energy stays high (4500–9168), but not standouts.

Then the biggest day: Monday 10 August. Both morning and afternoon show 20 ft SW swell at 15 seconds with offshore wind (20 km/h W, then 15 km/h WNW). Energy hits 16021–15304 (very strong). This is enormous—expert-only, clean offshore. A massive finale for those who can handle it.

From 11 August, swell drops to 13 ft then 12 ft with fresh cross-off winds. Still big, but no more standouts.

Bottom line: the two best days are Tuesday 28 July (10 ft, glass, warm water) and Sunday 2 August (8 ft, glass). Tuesday 4 August is also a gem if you love long-period groundswell. Monday 10 August is the monster swell for experts. Beginners, this whole window is too big. Mark those glassy days and be ready.

Rusty.

Read more