Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve got the latest on what’s happening at Middleton Beach. The next 16 days are a mixed bag, with plenty of swell but a heap of wind and tide issues mucking it up. We’ve got a solid run of swells, but the first few days are a write-off for any decent paddle. Things start to turn around after the first week, with a couple of standouts that are worth a look.

Alright, let’s get into it. The first real chance to get wet isn’t until Saturday the 5th, and even then it’s not great. Saturday morning sees an 8ft SSW swell, but with a moderate NNW cross-offshore wind at 15 mph, it’s clean but the forecast says it’s marginal. The swell energy is strong at 3400. Water temp is 63°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Saturday afternoon drops to 7ft, and the conditions are still average. Sunday the 6th is a total dud with strong cross-onshore winds and poor surf – don’t bother.

Monday the 7th has a big 12ft SSW swell, but it’s blown out by onshore winds, so it’s messy and only for the brave. The energy is ramping up though (5940). Tuesday the 8th is even worse – huge 12ft swell with strong onshore winds. This is more of a kite-surfing session than a paddle one. The whole first week is a struggle.

Now, the first real standout comes on Friday the 11th. The morning session has a 4ft SW swell, but it’s got a light NNW cross-offshore breeze at 6 mph, making it clean. The swell energy is moderate (1722). This is the best we’ve seen so far, but it’s small. Still, with light winds and clean conditions, it’s a decent option for a beginner-friendly wave. The afternoon brings a bit more rain, but the surf stays clean.

But the true standout is Tuesday the 15th. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The morning is glassy – no wind at all – with a 10ft SW swell from a long 17-second period. The energy is strong at 4446. This is excellent surf, but it’s only for experienced surfers – 10ft is too big for beginners. The glassy conditions mean it’ll be perfect, but the long period means it’s going to be better for point breaks and reefs than beach breaks. Middleton Beach is a beach break, so expect it to break a bit straight. Still, it’s the best on offer.

After that, Wednesday the 16th afternoon has a 10ft SW swell with clean conditions, and Thursday the 17th morning has a 7ft SW swell with light winds – both are very good. The last weekend, the 19th and 20th, sees a massive 13ft SW swell with strong energy (9993), but it’s cross-offshore and clean. That’s big, powerful, and only for experts.

Overall, the first week is a write-off until the 11th, then the 12th to 14th are average. The 15th is the standout, and the 16th to 20th have some good options too. Stick with the morning sessions when the wind is lightest. Middleton Beach is inconsistent, so don’t expect a perfect wave every day, but when it lines up, it’s worth it.

Keep an eye on the long-range stuff – the 19th and 20th have potential, but it’s still a week and a half out, so don’t lock in plans just yet.

Rusty.

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