Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Middleton Beach has got cookin’ for us over the next couple of weeks.

First up, we’re looking at a stretch that’s very sheltered, so it takes a serious dose of south-southwest energy to get it going. The water temp is sitting pretty average for this time of year, nothing wild going on there.

The outlook kicks off Monday the 13th with a big, powerful SSW groundswell rolling in. We’re talking a solid 13ft at 16 seconds on the morning, with a massive combined energy of 7088. That’s a lot of grunt for a sheltered spot. Winds are cross-off, so it’ll be clean, but this is expert-only territory at that size. It drops to 8ft in the afternoon, still packing plenty of punch (5355 energy), but the conditions stay clean.

Tuesday the 14th looks like the real standout. The morning has 7ft of SW swell (15 seconds) under a clear sky with light NNW winds. That’s near-perfect for a wave that’s big enough to get into but not terrifying. Combined energy is still substantial at 3687. The afternoon nudges up to 10ft from the SSW (14 seconds) with light north breezes staying clean. This is your window – solid, clean, and with energy that’ll give you proper rides.

Wednesday the 15th gets tricky. The morning swell is still 8ft at a very long 18 seconds from the SSW (5352 energy), but fresh NNW winds at 22 mph will mess it up. That long period stuff can be weird on a beach setup anyway. The afternoon is similar, just a bit less wind. Not the day.

From Thursday the 16th through to the 22nd, it turns into a frustrating run. Winds are mostly moderate to fresh, and while there’s plenty of swell in the water, the quality just isn’t there. The 18th (Saturday) sees a massive 15ft swell at 18 seconds (11457 energy!) with offshore winds, but the report flags it as marginal – likely just too much power and hard to paddle into, even if it’s clean. That’s a big water day for the hardcore crew only.

We finally get a break on Sunday the 19th. Morning has 10ft SSW swell at 14 seconds, moderate offshore winds from the WNW, and combined energy of 4163. It’s listed as excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon stays clean with gentle offshore breezes and 10ft swell. This is your second-best window, but still solidly in the intermediate-to-advanced range.

After a few more windy, poor days, Thursday the 23rd of July lights up again. Morning delivers 10ft SSW at 14 seconds with moderate offshore winds (4864 energy). By afternoon, it bumps to 12ft at 17 seconds (8671 energy) with fresh offshore winds. This is a serious groundswell, clean, and powerful – another one for the experienced crew.

The last few days (24th to 28th) get messy with onshore winds and dropping swell, except for Monday the 27th. That morning looks magic: 5ft SSW groundswell at a long 16 seconds, with glassy conditions and a light rain sky. Combined energy of 2026 and a report calling for “very good surf conditions.” That’s the go-to for anyone who missed the earlier bombs. Much more manageable, and glassy. That’s your sleeper hit.

Best of the bunch: Tuesday the 14th (morning or afternoon) for a clean, solid swell with light winds. Second pick is Sunday the 19th for a similarly clean, powerful day. If you want smaller and glassy, Monday the 27th morning is an absolute treat.

This spot is super inconsistent and rarely breaks with this much quality. When it does, you better be on it. But don’t expect a crowd-free zone – it’s a known spot.

That’s it from me. Keep your eyes on the horizon and your wax on.

Rusty

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