Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is a tricky one, so I’ll break it down day by day.

First up, the water temp at Middleton Beach is sitting at 65°, which is a touch warmer than what you’d normally expect for this time of year – about 2° above average. It’s not a crazy anomaly, but it’s noticeable.

The next few days are a write-off, I’m not gonna lie. The swell is solid, but the wind is all over the shop and the wave quality is poor. You’ve got a big 12ft SSW swell rolling in on Wednesday the 22nd, but it’s cross-on and choppy – not worth paddling out for. That pattern sticks around through Thursday and Friday morning, with strong cross-shore winds. The combined energy is massive (5,368 on Wednesday morning), but it’s a messy, blown-out mess.

We do get a bit of a window Friday afternoon (24th July). The wind drops right off, with a light NNW breeze, and the swell drops to 5ft from the SSW. It’s clean, but still not great. Combined energy is down to 800. It’s surfable, but just barely.

Saturday morning (25th) is a similar story – 4ft SW swell, clean, but ordinary. The energy is weak (710). It’s not a standout.

Now, here’s the one that catches my eye: Sunday the 26th of July. A big 15ft SSW swell (combined energy 5,988) is hitting the coast with a fresh offshore W wind. That’s clean, powerful, and the wind is right. But this is a beach break setup, and with that size, it’s going to be big and raw. It’s not a beginner wave – this is for experienced surfers only. The period is 12 seconds, so it’s got some grunt. The caveat is that with such a big swell, it’s going to be a heavy, closed-out affair at the beach. If you’re an expert, and you know the bank, you could score. But it’s a gamble.

Monday and Tuesday (27th-28th) are back to poor conditions – cross-on winds and choppy, messy surf. Not worth it.

Then we get an interesting long-range prospect. Wednesday the 29th of July. The swell drops to a clean 5ft from the SSW, but the period jumps to 18 seconds. That’s a very long-period groundswell. The wind is light offshore from the north (6 mph), and it’s clean. The combined energy is still moderate (2,198). This is the one to pencil in. That long period will produce some nice, lined-up waves, but it’s best at a reef or point break, not a beach. Middleton Beach is a beach break, so it might break a bit too straight with that 18-second period. Still, it’s the cleanest, most promising day in the whole run.

Thursday the 30th is a ghost – 3ft, glassy, but tiny. Friday the 31st has a bit more energy (5ft, 15-second period, glassy on the afternoon) – a good option for the longboard or a fun little grovel.

The first week of August is a write-off. Big swell on the 3rd (15ft, combined energy 8,897) but cross-shore and lumpy, not worth it. The 4th and 5th have similar issues – big swell, but wind is not cooperating.

So, if I’m picking a standout, it’s a toss-up between the raw, powerful Sunday the 26th for the brave, and the clean, long-period Wednesday the 29th for the finesse player. The 29th is the better bet for clean, fun waves, but don’t expect perfection off a beach.

There’s a big gap of nothing from the 30th through to the 2nd of August, with only tiny or blown-out options.

Rusty.

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