Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s lining up.

Alright, look, Middleton Beach is the only game in town for this forecast, and it’s a real mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. The water is sitting at 65°, which is a touch warmer than what we’d normally expect for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus to start.

The first real surfable action kicks off on Friday morning, the 24th of July. We’ve got a 6ft swell from the SSW, with a decent 13-second period. The wind is a cross-off from the NNW at 9 mph, keeping things clean. The combined energy is moderate at 1070. It’s not a standout, but it’s a solid start to get wet.

Saturday the 25th is a bit of a write-off. The swell drops, and the wind gets stronger. It’s a no-go.

Sunday morning the 26th is poor, but the afternoon is a whole different story. A massive 13ft swell from the WSW rolls in, with 11-second period. The wind is howling offshore from the WNW at 28 mph, so it’s an incredibly strong offshore wind. The combined energy is a huge 4465, strong to very strong. This is *not* for beginners. Over 8ft, this is strictly expert territory. The wind is so strong it’s going to be a battle to paddle out, and the waves will be a challenge. Honestly, with that setup, it might be more fun on a kiteboard than a paddleboard.

Monday the 27th keeps the big swell going, 10ft in the morning from the SW, but it’s a messy cross-off wind. The energy is still high at 4024. Not the best quality.

The first real standout window opens up on Tuesday the 28th. The morning is a bit messy with a cross-on wind, but the afternoon is magic. The swell is 8ft from the SSW, with a long 14-second period, and the wind goes glassy, dead calm from the East. The energy is very strong at 3010. This is the best pick of the first week. It’s a big swell, so it’s for experienced surfers, but the glassy conditions will make it absolutely beautiful.

Wednesday the 29th is another winner. The morning has a 7ft SSW swell with a very long 17-second period, and a light cross-off wind. The afternoon is even better, with a 6ft swell and a 16-second period, and glassy conditions again. The combined energy is strong at 2143. For a break like Middleton, which is a beach-and-reef setup, that long period (over 15 seconds) can make the waves a bit too straight at the beach, but it’ll be quality out on the reef.

Thursday the 30th morning is clean with offshore winds and a 5ft swell, but the afternoon gets a bit lumpy with a cross-on.

Now, listen up for the second week. The real monster is coming. Friday the 31st of July is the absolute standout. The morning delivers a 10ft SSW swell with a 16-second period, offshore wind, and the combined energy is through the roof at 5269. The afternoon is insane: a 15ft swell from the SSW with a 17-second period, glassy offshore, and the energy reading is 11214. That’s a massive, powerful swell. This is only for experts. It’s more than a week out, so it’s a promising forecast, but it’s looking like a proper session for the brave.

Saturday the 1st of August morning holds the same massive 10ft swell with offshore winds, but the afternoon turns onshore from the ESE, ruining the quality.

After that, the swell stays a solid 7ft to 8ft range for the next few days, with some clean windows on Monday the 3rd afternoon and Tuesday the 4th morning is a washout thanks to strong winds. Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th of August see another pulse of 10ft to 12ft swell, but with strong offshore winds making it a challenging paddle.

The last few days of the outlook, from the 7th and 8th of August, the conditions drop off. The swell gets smaller, and the wind gets stormy. It’s a poor end to the run.

So, to sum it up: the best on offer is Tuesday afternoon the 28th of July for the glassy conditions on a solid 8ft swell, and Friday the 31st of July for the massive, powerful groundswell for the experts. Don’t expect much consistency, and be ready for some big, windy days in between.

Rusty.

Read more