Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, taking a look at what’s coming for Middleton Beach.

The pattern is a slow build this time. We got a solid south-west groundswell train coming, but the first few days are messed up by tricky winds or just being raw. It’s not until we get past the first week that we see some real windows. A few dry gaps are scattered in there where the conditions just don’t line up.

Let’s start with Sunday the 19th. The morning is a dud – rain showers, 12 mph cross-off wind, and 8ft of SW swell (2484 moderate combined energy). It’s surfable but marginal. The real deal is Sunday afternoon. The wind drops to a gentle 9 mph from the west, going offshore, and the swell jumps to a solid 10ft from the SSW with a 14-second period. The energy is strong at 3209, and it’s clean. That’s the first real standout of the period. Water temp is 65°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

Monday the 20th stays clean with a WNW offshore breeze all day, but the swell drops back to a more fun 6ft to 6ft from the SSW (around 1300 moderate energy). Good, clean surf for a beginner to intermediate surfer.

Tuesday the 21st sees the swell pick back up to 7ft from the SW, but the wind shifts to a 12 mph cross-off from the southwest. The energy is strong (2465), but the conditions are marginal—not that glassy perfection.

Wednesday the 22nd gets nasty. Morning has a 10ft SSW swell but it’s cross-on at 9 mph, creating chop. The afternoon gets bigger – 12ft at 16 seconds (6132 very strong energy) – but still cross-on. At that size with onshore wind, Middleton is a washing machine. Look elsewhere, or it’s a kite day.

Now, Thursday the 23rd looks like our second standout. Morning has an 8ft SSW groundswell (2791 energy) with a light 6 mph cross-off from the north. Clean. But the real gem is Thursday afternoon: the wind goes flat glassy from the east at 0 mph, with a 6ft SSW swell at 13 seconds (1768 energy). Perfect conditions for a point break or reef setup like this. That’s the pick of the first week.

Friday the 24th is still fun. Morning is clean with a 5ft SSW swell, and the afternoon goes glassy again with 4ft from the SW. Nice little session.

Then we hit a dry spell. Saturday the 25th through Monday the 27th is a write-off with poor conditions, building into a massive, stormy 15ft to 20ft SSW swell on the 27th with 25 mph winds. This is huge, powerful energy (9207), but it’s messy and way too big for anyone but hard-core chargers. Tuesday the 28th continues poor with cross-on winds. That’s a blank run for about 3 days.

The second week gets sketchy but interesting. From Wednesday the 29th to Friday the 31st, the swell direction shifts but winds stay onshore or cross, keeping the surf poor. Not worth the paddle.

Then, bang – Saturday the 1st of August. This is the big one for the whole forecast. Morning shows a 13ft SW swell at 14 seconds with gentle 9 mph cross wind. Decent. But look at Saturday afternoon: a massive 20ft SW groundswell with a *very long* 18-second period. The energy is enormous at 24494. The wind is just a light 6 mph NNE cross breeze. This is an expert-level, absolutely pumping groundswell. The direction is spot-on for Middleton’s optimum. This is the premier event, but the size and period mean it’s for experienced surfers only, and it’ll be breaking a bit straight on the beach – best on the points. Expect a big crowd.

Sunday the 2nd stays big at 10ft (6774 energy) with clean offshore winds from the north. Excellent, but again big.

Monday the 3rd wraps it up with an 18ft WSW swell (21107 energy) and a fresh offshore breeze. The afternoon drops to 13ft from the SSW with a solid 14-second period and moderate offshore wind. This is the last big, clean session for the forecast, and it’s looking excellent for those who can handle the size.

So, the real standouts are: Thursday afternoon the 23rd for a clean, glassy, manageable session in the 6ft range, and Saturday afternoon the 1st of August for the huge, groundswell of the season – but be ready for a crowd and some size.

Stay stoked, and check the conditions before you paddle out.

Rusty.

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