Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, grab a coffee, this is a long one. We’re looking at a really drawn-out, solid run of south-west groundswell for Middleton Beach, but it’s not for the faint-hearted. The water is running about 2° warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a touch on the toasty side.

The first few days are a write-off, honestly. Friday the 10th is a mess with a chunky 8 ft south-west swell and strong cross-offshore wind. The wave energy is only moderate (751) for a big lump, and the period is a short, weak 7 seconds. It’s a no-go.

Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th are still messy. The swell builds to a proper 12 ft on Sunday morning with a long 15-second period from the south-south-west, and the combined energy is very strong (5826). But the wind is cross-off and the notes say marginal conditions. This is expert-only territory, and honestly, the quality isn’t there yet. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing right now.

Monday the 13th is the first real standout. Monday morning sees a solid 13 ft south-south-west swell with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is extreme (7434). The wind is a gentle cross-off, and by the afternoon, the forecast is calling it “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is a proper groundswell. The long period means it’ll be pitching hard at a beach break like this, but if it lines up, there will be some big, powerful walls. This is the one to circle on the calendar for the experienced crew.

Tuesday the 14th morning is still good, with a 10 ft south-south-west swell, very long 15-second period, and a light breeze. The energy is still very strong (4381). But the afternoon wind swings cross-onshore and ruins it.

We then hit a gap. Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th are all poor or marginal with moderate to fresh winds. Friday the 17th morning pulls a genuine offshore wind (WNW), which is a major positive. The swell drops to 5 ft from the south-west with a 13-second period, and the energy is moderate (1361). It’s not huge, but clean offshore conditions on a dropping swell is a good sign.

Then we look at Sunday the 19th. Sunday morning is a monster. A 20 ft south-south-west swell with a 14-second period and a moderate offshore wind. The combined energy is off the charts (14848). The notes say “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is huge. Absolutely massive. For expert-only chargers. This will be dangerous, but if you’ve got the balls, that’s the session of the year.

The following week (from Monday the 20th onwards) is a continuation of big, powerful south-west groundswell, but the wind is a constant struggle. Tuesday the 21st has fresh offshore wind with a 13 ft south-south-west swell, so that’s promising. Thursday the 23rd afternoon looks clean with a light breeze and a 10 ft south-west swell (13-second period, strong energy at 6016). Friday the 24th also has clean conditions with a moderate offshore and a 8 ft to 10 ft swell. There is more wave energy on offer beyond the first week, but the wind consistency fades in and out.

In short, there are two major standouts: Monday the 13th for a big, powerful, clean session, and then Sunday the 19th for an absolute beast of a day for experts only. There’s a lot of surf in the second week, but you’ll need to pick your moments for the right wind.

Rusty.

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