Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cooking for Middleton Beach.

Alright, here’s the deal. This spot is a very sheltered, inconsistent beginner’s wave. It’s not going to fire every day, and the next couple of weeks are a mixed bag. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 65°, so that’s a small blessing.

The first real sniff of action comes early Friday morning (August 7th). We’ve got a serious 13ft SW groundswell rolling in, with a very long 15-second period. That’s a lot of water moving. The wind is offshore from the WNW at 12 mph, which will keep things clean. The combined energy is strong, clocking in at 6055. However, this is a big swell for a beginner spot, and the period is so long that it might just break too straight and fat for good shape here. This is one for the experienced crew only, and even then, the quality is marginal.

Friday afternoon stays solid with 12ft from the SW, but the wind picks up to 19 mph, making it less inviting.

The outlook gets rough after that. Saturday and Sunday are blown out by strong SW cross-offshore winds, with the swell jumping up to 18ft and even 23ft. That’s cyclone-level energy (12643 and 21618), and it’s a total mess. With that much wind and swell on a beach setup, this is looking way more interesting for kite surfers than anyone with a paddle.

The following week is a long stretch of marginal conditions. From Monday the 10th through to about Wednesday the 19th, it’s a relentless run of strong cross-offshore breezes and big, lumpy swell in the 10ft to 21ft range. There’s plenty of energy (some readings over 25000), but with the wind howling at 25 mph most days, the surf will be messy and hard to manage. Not your window.

Now, we get a standout. Friday afternoon, August 14th is the one to circle. The swell drops to a much more manageable 8ft from the SW, still with a long period of 16 seconds. The magic is the wind: it goes almost glassy, a Slight air from the NNW at just 3 mph. This is the cleanest window in the whole outlook. The combined energy is low at 4685, but the conditions will make every bit of that well-shaped swell count. It’s still an expert-level wave at that size, but it’ll be the best it looks all fortnight.

The following Sunday, August 16th, also looks promising. The swell is 8ft to 10ft, and we get a moderate offshore breeze from the NW and WNW. The energy is moderate (4335), and the conditions should be good, clean fun. Monday the 17th afternoon has a light cross-shore breeze and a clean 12ft swell, which is a solid option if the dawn patrol doesn’t work.

The final days from the 20th onward see the swell fading. Thursday the 20th has clean 8ft waves with a moderate offshore, but by Friday the 21st it drops to a weak 4ft with energy down to just 836. A few more pulses follow, but the wind starts to swing onshore again.

So, to sum it up: there’s a lot of stormy, blown-out junk in this forecast. Don’t bother with the first weekend. Your absolute best bet is Friday afternoon, August 14th for that glassy, clean swell. The Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th are decent secondary calls. After that, it’s a waiting game for a new swell.

Rusty.

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