Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for the next 16 days.

First off, this is a pretty wild run. The water here is sitting at 65°F, which is a touch warmer than we'd normally expect for this time of year. We're starting with a real bang of energy, but it's not a clean, easy bang. The swell is just too big and messy for a nice, tidy session.

The first few days, starting Saturday the 11th, are a write-off for a good paddle. We've got a solid 8ft swell from the SSW with a combined energy of 2452, but it's coupled with a moderate breeze and the forecast is calling it marginal. The swell is gonna be a huge 13ft by Sunday the 12th, with a massive 7750 energy reading, but the wind is just cross-off and the quality is still poor. This is simply too much for a beginner, and even for the experienced guys, it's just a messy, blown-out affair. The period is long, hitting 15-16 seconds, which can be a good thing for shape, but with that much size and cross-off wind, it's gonna be a battle.

We get a brief, much cleaner window on Tuesday the 14th. The morning is looking clear with a light NNW breeze, glassy, and the swell drops to a more manageable 8ft from the SW with a 3725 energy. The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions," but the break is listed as "inconsistent" and "very sheltered" from the SSE, so it's a rare event. The swell direction is SW, which is better than the optimum SSE, but it might still be worth a look for the locals who know where it breaks. The afternoon turns cross-on, so get in early.

From Wednesday the 15th through to the 18th, the wind picks up again, and the surf stays big and messy. The kite surfers are going to be loving this stretch, especially with the 15ft and 16ft swells and strong winds on Saturday the 18th. For us on a paddle board, it's not our friend.

Now, here's the one true standout. Sunday the 19th of July morning. The forecast says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." The wind goes offshore from the WNW, a moderate breeze, and the swell is a solid 12ft from the SSW with a 4913 energy reading. The period is a nice 14 seconds. This is the one. It's a big day, definitely for the experienced crew only, but the conditions are lined up for some proper, clean, offshore waves. That's the session to circle on the calendar.

After that, we get a bit of a lull. Monday the 20th looks okay for a smaller board, with a 5ft swell and offshore wind, but the energy is low at 1022. Then Tuesday the 21st has a fresh offshore wind but the swell is only 6ft.

The last week is a bit of a gamble. Wednesday the 22nd has another big 13ft swell, but it's cross-off again. The wind finally goes offshore again on the afternoon of the 22nd and into the morning of the 23rd, but the swell is huge and the winds are strong, making it a challenge. The 26th looks like a nice, clean, offshore morning with a 5ft swell from the SSW, but it's a long way out.

So, to sum it up: the one to aim for is Sunday the 19th of July morning. It's the best of a rough bunch. The rest is either too big and messy, or too small and inconsistent. The long-range promise for the 26th is there, but it's a long way off, and the forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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