Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's cast an eye over what we've got cooking for Middleton Beach.

First up, the long-range picture. We’ve got a lot of swell energy on the way, but the wind is going to be the main character in this story. For much of the first week, the onshores and cross-shore breezes are going to make a mess of things, so we’ll have to be patient.

Saturday the 5th kicks off with a 7ft SW groundswell (period 14 seconds) and a NNW cross-off breeze. The combined energy is strong (3234), but the score isn't great, so it’s more of a look-see than a full-blown session.

Sunday the 6th is a write-off. The swell builds to 10ft but with a strong cross-onshore SSE wind, it’s just going to be a washing machine. Choppy and poor.

Monday the 7th sees a big 12ft SSW groundswell (period 17 seconds) rolling in. The combined energy is very strong (6231). The wind is a gentler cross-onshore, but it's still on it. It’s going to be big and a bit lumpy – one for experienced surfers only. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th are both blown out by strong cross-onshore and onshore winds, despite the size. Kite surfers might be having a ball, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a skip.

Thursday the 10th through to Monday the 14th is a real mixed bag. The swell drops off and the winds are messy. The one bright spot is Saturday the 12th morning. We get a 5ft SW groundswell (period 16 seconds) with a clean, gentle offshore W wind. The combined energy is moderate (1985) but the conditions are there. It’ll be clean and fun for a few hours on the longer boards. Keep in mind, this break is very sheltered and inconsistent, so you have to be in the right spot at the right time. And yes, crowds are possible here.

The second week starts to show some serious promise, even if it’s a bit further out. Thursday the 17th afternoon has a 10ft SW groundswell (period 16 seconds) with a fresh offshore W wind. That’s a powerful combo with very strong energy (4653). This is the standout of the outlook. It’s big—over 8ft—so it’s for experts only. That long period (16 seconds) and offshore wind could produce some really clean, powerful lines, but a beach break like this might have it breaking a bit straight with that long period.

The very end of the outlook, Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th, is showing some monster swells. Saturday has a 13ft SW groundswell (period 18 seconds) with crazy strong energy (11940), but it’s blowing a near gale. Sunday the 20th is looking even bigger with a 20ft SW groundswell (period 15 seconds) and the most extreme energy in the whole run (16529). The wind is light though, which is rare. This is the real long-range wildcard. It’s a once-in-a-while kind of thing if it comes together. Huge, clean, and only for the brave.

To sum it up: The first week is mostly a bust for a good wave, with only Saturday the 12th morning offering a small, clean window for a longboard. The true standout is Thursday the 17th afternoon for the experts, and the real monster potential is on Sunday the 20th, but that’s a long way off, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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