Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and let’s be real about this one. The only break on the radar is Middleton Beach, and it’s serving up a long, drawn-out run of solid swell—but there are some real hurdles. This spot is very sheltered, inconsistent, and best for beginners, so when the swell gets big, it’s not the kind of place to get excited about unless you’re after a particular kind of challenge. The water is sitting at 66°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year—nothing crazy, but you’ll notice it’s a bit more comfortable than usual.

First real standout is Tuesday morning, July 14. We’ve got a clean 10ft SSW swell rolling in with a 15-second period, giving it that long-period groundswell feel. The energy is solid (3919), and with a light NNW breeze keeping it cross-off, the surface should be clean. For a beginner-friendly spot, this is a rare window where the size is manageable and the conditions line up. Crowds are possible here, so factor that in.

Things get a bit messy after that. Wednesday through Thursday have solid swell, but the wind picks up into the 15–19 mph range, and the scores are marginal. The swell stays big—7ft to 10ft—but with that much wind, it’s more of a wrestling match than a session. The energy peaks over 5000 at times, which is strong, but the quality isn’t there.

Friday July 17 morning is a bright spot. The swell drops to 5ft SW with a 13-second period, and we get a clean offshore wind from the NW. The energy is moderate (962), and the conditions are described as “moderate offshore and clean.” It’s a smaller, more user-friendly option for the beginner crowd, and the wind is working in your favour. Keep an eye on possible crowds.

Then we hit a gap. Saturday July 18 through Monday July 20 are rough—strong winds, heavy rain, and the surf quality is either poor or marginal. The swell is still there, but it’s not worth paddling out for. The big numbers on Saturday afternoon (10ft, 5552 energy) are tempting, but the fresh offshore wind and rain showers make it a messy proposition.

The next true standout is Tuesday July 21 morning. Swell is 8ft SW with a 14-second period, clean offshore wind from the NW, and the energy is strong (4091). The forecast calls for excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers. The size is pushing into expert territory, but the wind is clean, and the long period should give it shape. This is the best bet of the whole run—if you’re comfortable in solid waves, this is your morning.

Wednesday July 22 through Thursday July 23 are for the brave. Swell sits at 12ft to 13ft, energy is massive (over 5000), and the wind is fresh offshore. This is big, powerful, and only for experienced surfers. The consistency is a problem here, but if it breaks, it’ll be a handful.

Friday July 24 brings a return to cleaner conditions. Morning has 10ft SSW swell with a light cross-off breeze, and the afternoon goes glassy with 8ft SSW swell. The energy is still strong, and the glassy conditions are rare. This is a solid all-rounder day.

Saturday July 25 is another glassy day, with 7ft SSW swell in the afternoon and a slight air. Clean, tidy, and manageable. The energy is moderate (1233), making it a good session for the intermediate crowd.

From Sunday July 26 onward, the swell drops off significantly. The last week of the forecast shows small waves (4ft to 5ft) with weak energy (as low as 352). The conditions are clean but ordinary, and there’s nothing to get excited about. The final few days, July 28 and 29, see a bump in size (10ft to 15ft) but with cross-shore or cross-onshore winds, making it choppy and messy. For a beach setup like this, that’s more kite-surfing territory than paddle surfing.

So, if you’re looking to surf Middleton Beach, the real standout is Tuesday July 21 morning. Tuesday July 14 morning and Friday July 17 morning are also solid, but smaller. The long gap from July 18 to July 20 is best spent on land. The second week holds promise on July 21, then it fades fast.

Rusty.

Read more