Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Look, I'm not gonna sugarcoat it – for Middleton Beach, this forecast window is a bit of a mixed bag, with some real windows of opportunity but also a fair share of days where you'll want to stay on the sand. The water is sitting around 63°, which is a touch warmer than what we'd normally expect for this time of year, so it's not a shock to the system.

The real action starts building from Friday, September 19th onwards. Before that, we've got a few days of poor-to-marginal conditions. The first glimmer of hope comes on the morning of Thursday, September 18th, with a clean 3ft SW swell, but it's weak with only moderate wave energy (784). Honestly, you'll be scratching for a wave. The afternoon bumps up to a 8ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period and strong energy (3908), but the northerly wind is blowing 22 mph, making it messy.

Now, let's talk about the real standout. Saturday, September 20th morning. True offshore wind from the west at 22 mph, cleaning up a solid 7ft SW swell with a hefty 2385 energy. That's proper surf for the more confident surfer. It'll be a bit punchy, but the wind is gold. If you can handle a bit of size, that's the pick of the first week.

Following that, we get a string of days with surf in the 4ft to 8ft range. The morning of Thursday, September 25th looks very promising with a 8ft SW swell, clean conditions, and moderate wave energy (2080). If you want a bit less crowd and a clean wave, that's another solid call.

But hold onto your board, because late month is where the big dog shows up. The 25th and 26th September are massive. Friday the 25th morning rocks in with a 15ft SSW groundswell, a 18-second period, and an insane 11679 energy – that's well into expert territory. The wind is cross-offshore, so it'll be clean but these are waves for the experienced crew only. The afternoon is even bigger at 15ft with 12109 energy. Same strong cross-off wind.

Saturday the 26th morning drops slightly to a still massive 13ft SSW swell with a 16-second period and 9163 energy, but the wind turns cross-shore, which will put a chop on the face. The afternoon settles to 10ft with a lighter cross-shore wind – still big, but more manageable for a strong surfer. There'll be long lulls between sets with that long period, so use the breather to paddle out.

After that, the swell drops and the wind turns ugly with strong onshore winds from the 27th through the 30th, making it a messy, lumpy mess. Not worth a paddle. This is a long run of poor conditions to close out the forecast.

So here's the bottom line: your best bets are Saturday morning the 20th for a clean, fun-sized swell, and the window from Thursday the 24th morning through the big stuff on the 25th. That big late-month pulse is for experts only and comes with a caveat – that very long period swell can break straight and close out at a beach break like Middleton, so it's a power session.

Signing off, Rusty.

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