Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll level with you – the next couple of weeks around Middleton Beach are a real mixed bag, and for the most part, it’s a waiting game. The spot is very sheltered, and that really shows in the forecast. We’ve got a big blank run to start, with hardly anything worth paddling out for until the second week.

The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t come until Friday the 11th of September. Thursday the 10th is a write-off with fresh cross-onshore winds and poor, choppy surf. On Friday morning we see some improvement: a 6ft SW swell rolling in with a long period of 16 seconds, and the wind goes cross-offshore and clean. The combined energy is moderate (2529). It’s still a marginal call, with cloudy skies and questionable tide, but it’s the first sign of life. Friday afternoon drops to a 4ft SW swell, but the period stretches to a very long 18 seconds, and the wind goes light and cross, making for a glassy surface. That afternoon session is the pick of the early days – small but clean.

Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th stay marginal at best. The swell hangs around 4ft to 6ft, but winds are fresh and mostly cross-off. Sunday morning does have a brief window of clean, offshore conditions on a 4ft SW swell, but it’s weak in energy (1575). Not much to get excited about.

We then hit a lumpy, blown-out patch from Monday the 14th through to Thursday the 17th. Swell size bumps up to 10ft, but with strong cross-onshore winds and choppy conditions, it’s poor for paddling. The water temp is a touch warmer than normal at 63°.

Now, here’s where things get interesting – and a bit wild. Friday the 18th of September starts rough, but the afternoon brings a shift: the wind goes offshore from the WNW at 19 mph, and the swell jumps to 10ft from the WSW with an 11-second period. Combined energy is strong (2590), and it’s clean, but that period is short, making it a bit lumpy and less organised.

The standout, without a doubt, is Saturday the 19th of September. Saturday morning is for experts only. We’re looking at a massive 18ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period, and the wind is strong offshore from the WNW at 25 mph. That’s a combined energy reading of 10966 – very strong. It’s clean but hard to paddle into. Saturday afternoon drops to 13ft but the wind picks up to a near gale from the WSW at 31 mph – that’s kite surfing territory for sure. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Sunday the 20th of September is the true highlight of the entire outlook. Morning sees a solid 16ft SSW groundswell with a very long 17-second period, and the wind is a moderate cross-off from the WSW. Combined energy is 12673 – very strong. The afternoon is where it all comes together: a 15ft SSW swell still holding 16-second period, with a light cross-off breeze from the SW at just 9 mph. The conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the one to aim for. It’s clean, powerful, and the wave shape will be good, though that very long period may make it break a little straight on the beach, so look for the banks.

Monday the 21st still offers solid 12ft SSW swell with a light offshore wind in the morning, but it’s a step down from Sunday. After that, we’re back into cross-onshore winds and choppy, poor conditions through to the end of the outlook on the 24th. For a sheltered spot like this, a blank run is fairly normal, but when it fires – like that Sunday the 20th – it’s a proper session.

Rusty.

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