Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next 16 days at Middleton Beach are a mixed bag, and you’ll need to pick your moments. The first few days of the run are mostly a write-off with messy, marginal conditions. We’ve got a solid window of clean surf building from Friday the 24th, but the real standout is a couple of weeks away. Let’s get into it.

We kick off Wednesday, July 22nd, with a bit of rain and a solid 12ft SSW swell but the wind is a cross-on from the south at 9 mph, making for a choppy, average mess. The water is 65°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. Thursday morning, the 23rd, we see a 10ft SSW swell but the wind is cross-shore from the NNE at 6 mph, creating small wind ripples. Not great.

Friday, July 24th, things start to look up. The morning brings a 6ft SSW swell with a light cross-offshore from the NNW at 6 mph. The conditions are clean. It’s not big, but it’s workable. The swell energy is moderate (929). Friday afternoon stays clean with a 5ft swell.

Saturday, July 25th, has a 4ft SW swell but the wind is up to 12 mph from the NNW. It’s clean but the energy is weak (760), and the surf is pretty poor. Same story on Sunday, the 26th, with a 12ft WSW swell but the wind is a fresh 22 mph cross-offshore. The period is a short 8 seconds, making it a messy windswell, and the energy is strong (2316) but it’s unsurfable. This continues into Monday and Tuesday with choppy, cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions.

Now, the real standout. Thursday, July 31st, is a cracker. The morning shows a 10ft SSW swell, with a 15-second period and a light offshore wind from the WNW at 9 mph. The wave energy is very strong (4131). This is a serious groundswell. The offshore wind will make it clean and lined up. The swell is over 8ft, so this is one for experienced surfers only. The direction matches the optimum swell from the SSE, making Middleton Beach handle it well. It’s a rare, inconsistent spot, so when it fires like this, it’s a special morning. Expect crowds to be possible.

Sunday, August 3rd, is another promising window. Monday afternoon, the 3rd, has a 7ft SW swell with a 19-second period, very clean with a light cross-offshore. The energy is strong (3387). The following morning, Tuesday, August 4th, brings a 6ft SW swell with a 17-second period and a gentle offshore from the WNW. These are long-period groundswells that will peel beautifully along the point. Again, the swell is a bit over 5ft, so it’s not for total beginners.

The long-range forecast for Thursday, August 6th, shows a massive 16ft SW swell with a 15-second period and a moderate cross-offshore from the NNW at 12 mph. The energy is extreme (10319). That is a lot of water. This is purely for experts. The wind is okay, but conditions are marginal, so it’s a watch-and-wait situation. This one is a long way out, so treat it as a promising but less certain prospect.

Overall, the best on offer is the morning of Thursday, July 31st, with that 10ft clean groundswell. The second standout is Monday afternoon, August 3rd, with the 7ft long-period swell. The rest of the run is a mix of average to poor conditions. There’s a gap from July 26th to the 30th where it’s mostly not worth paddling out. For a spot that’s inconsistent, this is a normal pattern of waiting for the right day.

– Rusty

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