Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Rusty here.

We’re looking at a long stretch ahead at Middleton Beach, but honestly, don’t get your hopes up too early. The first week is a mixed bag of messy, windy, and just plain tricky conditions. The surf is there, but it’s mostly for the experienced crew. The real standout is shaping up to be Thursday the 3rd of September, and then we’ve got a couple of promising windows in the second week worth keeping an eye on.

The water’s sitting at 64°F down at Middleton Beach, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing wild, but a nice little bonus.

Right, let’s break it down. Tuesday the 1st kicks off with a solid 8ft swell from the SSW, period around 14 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, meaning proper lines, but the wind is a cross-off from the WSW at 16 mph. It’s clean, but the energy is massive – 2409 – and the report says it’s marginal. This is a beginner spot, but at this size and with that power, it’s not for the faint-hearted.

Wednesday the 2nd sees the swell jump to 10ft, still from the SSW. That’s getting into expert-only territory. The wind stays cross-off, and the energy is through the roof – 3236 and 3348. Still, the surf quality is marginal. It’s a lot of water moving around.

Now, Thursday the 3rd. This is the pick of the first week. The swell is a solid 12ft from the SSW, period stretching to 15 seconds. The wind swings around to the NW, and by the afternoon it’s offshore at 16 mph. That’s a major positive. The combined energy is 4970, which is very strong, but the conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. If you’ve got the ability, this is the session to target. The wave direction is SSW, but the optimum for this break is SSE – there’s a bit of mismatch, but the sheer quality of the forecast outweighs that.

Friday the 4th holds 12ft in the morning from the SW, but the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-off. Energy is 6012, but it’s messy. By the afternoon it drops to 10ft, and the wind eases, but still cross-off. Saturday the 5th drops off fast, with the swell falling to 7ft and then 5ft, and the wind shifting to a strong 22 mph cross-off. Not worth it.

Sunday the 6th is a write-off. The morning has 12ft from the SSW, but the wind is a cross-shore from the SSW at 19 mph, creating a lumpy cross-chop. The afternoon sees a drop to 6ft but with a very long 17-second period from the SW, and cleaner conditions. Still, it’s not a standout.

Monday the 7th is another big one. The morning has 12ft from the SW, 16-second period, and offshore wind from the W at 16 mph. The energy is 6460, and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a proper session for the big-wave hunters. The afternoon stays big but the wind picks up to 19 mph cross-off.

Tuesday the 8th is a disaster. The swell is 16ft from the SSW with onshore wind from the ESE. That’s 12694 energy – extreme – and the surf is poor. It’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddling one. The afternoon is 15ft with cross-onshore wind. Avoid.

Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th are messy cross-shore affairs with swell around 10ft and 7ft. Not great.

Now, the second week. Friday the 11th sees a 10ft swell from the SW, 17-second period, but the wind is cross-shore from the SSW, creating a chop. Not clean.

The real hope comes in on Sunday the 13th. The morning is glassy – wind from the S at 0 mph – with a 4ft swell from the SW, 13-second period. The energy is low at 865, but the conditions are good. It’s a small, clean window for the less experienced or anyone wanting a fun session.

Monday the 14th is the other standout. The morning has 5ft from the SW, 15-second period, with offshore wind from the WNW at 16 mph. The energy is 1321, and the conditions are good. The afternoon is even better: 5ft, 14-second period, offshore wind at 12 mph, and the energy is 2341. The report says “very good surf conditions.” This is your best bet in the second week – clean, manageable, and lined up.

After that, Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th see a return to big, windy conditions with 12ft and 10ft swells, and cross-off winds. Not for the crowds.

The standout in the whole window is Thursday the 3rd of September for the experienced surfers, and Monday the 14th of September for a cleaner, more manageable session.

Signing off, Rusty.

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