Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the long-range picture for the only spot that’s served up on the menu: Middleton Beach.

Right from the get-go, we’ve got to face facts. The first few days are a write-off. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd are just not worth paddling out for. The swell is there, but it’s all wrapped up in marginal conditions, and honestly, the scorecard is telling me to wait. The water is sitting at 65°F which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a small comfort while you’re sitting on the beach waiting.

The real action, and the standout window of this entire forecast, kicks off on Tuesday the 4th and rolls through Wednesday the 5th. That’s where the magic is. On Tuesday afternoon, we’re looking at a solid 10 ft SSW groundswell with a long period of 17 seconds, and the wind is blowing offshore from the WNW. That’s a recipe for clean, powerful lines. The combined energy is pumping hard at 5508, and it’s an excellent session for experienced surfers. Wednesday morning and afternoon are even better, with 13 ft SW swell holding that 16-second period and the wind staying offshore. The energy readings are up around 7600 to 7832, and it’s clean, clear, and firing. This is the best on offer, hands down.

Tuesday the 4th morning is also an option, with 8 ft SW swell, 18-second period, and offshore wind, but the afternoon is definitely the pick. Wednesday is the full day to circle on your calendar.

After that peak, the quality drops off a little, but the swell stays big. Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th still have 12 ft to 18 ft SW swell, but the wind goes cross-off, and the surf quality is marked as marginal. The wave energy is still massive, over 6000 on Thursday and over 11,000 on Friday morning, but it’s not the same pristine, groomed surface we had mid-week.

Then we hit a massive, gnarly patch. From Saturday the 8th, the wind gets up, with strong breezes and near gale conditions. The swell is huge, 16 ft to 21 ft, and the energy numbers are astronomical—over 15,000 on Saturday, and a whopping 43,832 on Sunday the 9th morning. But the wind is a problem. It’s offshore, which means the surface will be clean, but at 19 to 28 mph, it’s going to be a battle to get out and hold your line. This is expert-only, and even then, it’s a mission. The marginal labels on those days are a warning, not a promise.

The second week is a bit of a mixed bag. Monday the 10th is a washout with a 28 mph onshore wind. Tuesday the 11th is a near gale. Wednesday the 12th through Friday the 14th still have 13 ft to 16 ft SSW swell with long periods, and the wind is offshore or cross-off, but it’s strong. The energy is high, but paddling into these waves is going to be a serious, serious workout. The scores are low, reflecting the difficulty.

Looking at the very end, Sunday the 16th finally shows a drop in swell, down to 6 ft to 7 ft SW with a 14-second period and moderate offshore winds. That’s a much more manageable, fun-sized wave to finish the period on, but it’s not a standout.

So, here’s the bottom line: If you’ve got the skills and the nerve, Tuesday the 4th afternoon and Wednesday the 5th are your absolute best bets. That’s the clean, powerful, offshore gold. The rest of the window is either too small, too windy, or too damn big for anyone but the hardcore.

Stay safe out there.
Rusty

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