Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag for Middleton Beach. The first few days are going to be a write-off, but there’s a decent window of cleaner, more manageable surf coming, and a couple of days that’ll be worth your while.

We’re starting off with a lot of energy in the water, but it’s messy. On Saturday the 8th, we’ve got a big 21ft SSW swell rolling in, but it’s coming with a near-gale cross-offshore wind and rain. The combined energy is a massive 20810, so there’s plenty of power, but it’s going to be chaotic. That’s way too big for beginners and it’ll have your heart pumping just looking at it. The water temp is 65°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t be freezing while you’re getting thumped.

Sunday the 9th is still on the big side, with a 16ft SSW swell dropping through the day, but the wind is still a fresh cross-off. It’s clean, but the size and the conditions make it a tough one. Monday the 10th, the wind picks up again to a strong breeze, and the swell jumps back up to 16ft. It’s not looking friendly at all.

The turning point comes on Thursday the 13th. The swell has dropped to a more manageable 10ft to 13ft out of the SSW, and for the first time we get a proper offshore wind. The morning is looking excellent, with a moderate offshore breeze and clean conditions. The energy is still robust at 7468, but it’s a much better shape. This is the first real day where you’ll get some decent waves without being in survival mode. Friday the 14th also looks clean, with light winds and an 11ft SSW swell, but it’s a touch smaller.

The following week sees a bit of a lull. The swell drops right down to the 6ft to 8ft range over the weekend of the 15th and 16th. It’s still clean, but the energy is weak, and it just doesn’t have the push. Then, there’s a gap of a few days where conditions are either too small or the wind is messy. It’s not until Monday the 17th that things start to get interesting again. We get an 11ft SW swell with a long 17-second period, and a light offshore wind in the morning. This is a proper groundswell, and it’ll have some good shape to it.

The standout, though, is looking like Friday the 21st. The swell is a solid 10ft from the SW, the period is a nice 15 seconds, and we get a moderate offshore breeze all day. The morning is decent, but the afternoon is where it’s at. The conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers, with that clean, offshore push. The energy is moderate at 5250, but the quality makes up for it. That’s the one to circle.

After that, the swell starts to build again. Saturday the 22nd brings a 13ft SW swell with a strong 17-second period, and Sunday the 23rd sees a bigger 16ft SW swell with a 19-second period. The energy is back up into the 13000-18000 range, but the wind is ruining the party with fresh cross-shore and onshore breezes. It’s going to be big, powerful, and lumpy – definitely not for the faint-hearted. This setup, with that much swell and cross-shore wind, looks more interesting for the kite surfers than for us paddle surfers.

So, in summary: the first few days are a washout. The best bet is Thursday the 13th for a clean, solid session, and then Friday the 21st for what looks like the pick of the bunch. The long-range stuff for the 22nd and 23rd is promising but it’s a week and a half away, so take it with a grain of salt. Keep an eye on the wind, and we’ll see you out there.

Rusty.

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