Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – this 16-day window for Middleton Beach is a proper mixed bag, and honestly, it’s a bit of a struggle to find a real standout. The water’s a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sittin’ at about 63.3°, which is a nice little bonus for the soul.

We kick off on Friday the 4th of September, but don’t get too excited. There’s a big, powerful 18-foot SW swell on the Friday morning, with a solid 12-second period and combined energy through the roof at 8541 – that’s serious power. But the wind is howlin’ out of the SW at 28 mph, comin’ cross-off, and the write-up says it’s marginal. It’s just too messy and blown out to be any fun. The afternoon drops a bit to 11.5 feet, but still a strong breeze and not worth paddling out for.

Saturday the 5th sees the swell drop to about 7 feet, but the wind swings to a friendly NNW, still cross-off. The period stretches out to 14 seconds from the SW, which is a nice groundswell, but the energy is down to 3270. It’s still only rated as marginal. It’s not terrible, but I wouldn’t call it a winner.

Now, Sunday the 6th is a write-off. The wind goes cross-on from the SSE, the swell gets short and lumpy, and the conditions are rated poor. Same for Monday the 7th, even though we get a solid 11.5-foot SSW swell with a 17-second period – that’s a proper long-period groundswell, and the wind is onshore from the SE, making it clean but the notes say “marginal” and it’s likely just too straight for the beach break. With onshore wind, it’s a messy, blown-out affair.

Tuesday the 8th is a bit of a cruel joke. The swell is pumpin’ again at 13 feet with a 17-second period, and the combined energy is huge at 8772 in the morning. But the wind is onshore from the SE, and the conditions are “marginal” at best. That’s a big, powerful, challenging wave for experts only, and with the wind on it, it’s gonna be a washing machine. The afternoon is even worse with a 0 rating.

From Wednesday the 9th through to Friday the 11th, it’s all cross-on or cross-shore winds with lumpy, choppy conditions. The swell drops to 4 feet and 5 feet, and the energy fades. There’s nothing to get excited about.

Alright, here’s a glimmer. Saturday the 12th of September. The morning shows a 6.2-foot SW swell, a 16-second period, and the wind is a fresh NW at 22 mph, comin’ cross-off. The notes say “clean.” That’s a good sign. The afternoon gets even better: the wind swings to a clean offshore from the WNW at 16 mph, with a 5.6-foot SW swell. The combined energy is a modest 1516, but the conditions are clean. It’s not a big day, but it’s the most surfable we’ve seen in a while.

Sunday the 13th starts with a howlin’ 28 mph offshore wind from the W, which is clean but the swell is tiny at 3.6 feet, and the energy is only 552. Hard to paddle into. The afternoon gets a bit more size at 8.2 feet, but the wind is still a strong 28 mph cross-off, and the energy jumps to 3898. It’s clean, but that wind is brutal.

Now, Monday the 14th of September. This is the big one. Morning session has a massive 16.4-foot SW swell, a 14-second period, and the combined energy is a staggerin’ 9832. The wind is a fresh cross-shore from the SSW, and the notes say “poor” – it’s gonna be lumpy and dangerous. But the afternoon? The wind drops to a moderate 16 mph, still cross-off from the SW, the swell holds at 16.4 feet, and the energy is 9663. The notes say “marginal” but give it a 3. For a surfer who knows what they’re doin’, this is the pick of the whole forecast

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