Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here.

Alright, let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next 16 days. We’ve got a heap of swell activity coming through, but honestly, it’s a bit of a mixed bag for clean conditions. The water is sitting at about 65°—a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, which is a nice little bonus if you’re out there.

We’re starting off with a bit of a slow burn. The first real standout hits on Thursday, 16 July, in the afternoon. Middleton Beach is seeing a 8ft SSW swell, period of 14 seconds—that’s proper groundswell energy coming through. The wind is a light NW breeze at 6 mph, keeping it cross-off and clean. The combined energy is moderate at 2091. It’s not massive, but it’s clean and surfable, and this is the best call early on for a wave.

Then we get a bit of a lull. Friday (17 July) drops off hard with poor surf, and Saturday morning (18 July) is a ripper for swell height (8ft SW) with offshore wind, but it’s a strong breeze at 25 mph, making it hard to paddle into. Saturday afternoon steps it up with a 10ft SW swell, 17-second period, and fresh offshore wind—clean but big. Combined energy is strong at 5653. This is for experienced surfers only.

The real highlight, though, is Tuesday, 21 July. Both morning and afternoon are firing. The morning brings a 12ft SSW swell, 16-second period, with moderate offshore wind from the WNW at 16 mph. Combined energy is a massive 5805. The afternoon is similar with a 12ft SW swell, 14-second period, and the same offshore wind. This is excellent surf for those who know what they’re doing. The swell direction is a good match for the optimum, and the offshore wind keeps it glassy. Crowds are possible—it’s rated as “sometimes”—so expect company.

The next big one is Wednesday, 22 July, afternoon. A 16ft SSW swell, 16-second period, with gentle offshore wind at 9 mph. The combined energy is 11546—that’s very strong. This is massive, expert-only territory. The long period means it’ll be powerful and better suited to the point or reef setups, but Middleton is a beach break, so it could be a bit of a closeout. Still, for the brave, it’s a standout.

Thursday, 23 July, is also a cracker. Both morning and afternoon are clean with 13ft SSW swell, 17-second period, light offshore wind. The combined energy is 9548 and 8655 respectively. Another expert session.

After that, we see a drop in quality. Friday 24 July has some decent 10ft swell but with a cross-shore wind in the afternoon, which messes with the face. Saturday 25 July is a write-off. Then Sunday 26 July picks up again with 10ft SW swell and offshore wind, but it’s a shorter period (11 seconds) and the wind is fresh, so it’s not as clean as the earlier days.

The final week has some good-looking days. Monday 27 July through Tuesday 28 July are solid with 4ft to 6ft SW swell, moderate offshore winds, and clean conditions. Combined energy is moderate (around 1000-1200). These are good for all levels, but the swell is a bit smaller. Wednesday 29 July has a 7ft SW swell but the wind is howling—25 mph in the morning, 31 mph in the afternoon—making it near impossible to paddle out. Then Thursday 30 July wraps it up with a 12ft SW swell, 17-second period, and cross-off wind. Combined energy is 7763. Clean, but big and powerful.

So, the best on offer: Tuesday 21 July and Thursday 23 July. Both are big, clean, offshore, and groundswell driven. That’s where you want to be. Keep in mind, after the 21st, the swell stays big for a few days, so if you’re not an expert, stay clear.

Rusty.

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