Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let's look at what's coming for Middleton Beach.

First off, the water is sitting at 66°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus if you’re heading out without a thick wetsuit.

Now, the pattern. The week kicks off with a solid pulse of swell, but it's a tricky one. We’ve got a big, powerful 10ft SSW groundswell with a long 15-second period rolling in on Tuesday morning, and the combined energy is pumping at a very strong 3919. The wind is a light NNW cross-off, so it’s clean. For a beginner spot that’s inconsistent and very sheltered, this is a serious standout. The swell direction is a perfect match for what this break needs. That said, at 10ft, this is expert territory. It’s a rare day when Middleton gets this kind of size and quality, but it’s going to be a freight train. The morning session on Tuesday, July 14th, is the best on offer.

Tuesday afternoon sees the same size but the wind swings cross-shore, and the forecast flags questionable tide conditions, so it’s a step down.

Wednesday, July 15th, through Thursday, July 16th, the swell holds in the 7ft to 8ft range with clean, cross-off winds, but the forecast scores are low, suggesting the quality isn’t there despite the numbers. The energy is still very strong (around 3093 to 3605), but the conditions aren't coming together.

By Friday, July 17th, the swell drops to 5ft, and the energy eases to a moderate 948. It’s surfable in the morning with a gentle cross-off, but it’s ordinary. Saturday, July 18th, sees a new pulse of 10ft SW swell, and the wind turns offshore from the WNW at 25 mph in the morning and 19 mph in the afternoon. The afternoon has a 17-second period and a very strong energy reading of 5772. This is a proper groundswell. The offshore wind will make it glassy, but at 10ft, it’s still only for the experienced crew. Sunday, July 19th, also offers a strong 8ft to 12ft swell with offshore winds in the morning, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag.

After that, the swell drops off and the following week is a lot quieter. From Monday, July 20th, through to the end of the month, the size rarely pushes above 7ft, and the energy ranges from moderate to moderate-strong. The wind is often offshore, keeping things clean, but the waves are smaller and less consistent. There are a few workable mornings, like Tuesday, July 21st and Thursday, July 23rd, with 4ft to 6ft SSW swell and light offshore winds, but it’s nothing to write home about.

Then, on the far horizon, we’ve got a big one. Wednesday, July 29th, shows a massive 15ft to 16ft SSW swell with a very long 17-second period. The energy readings are off the charts at 10255 and 13220. That is a serious, serious ocean. The wind is light, but mainly cross or cross-onshore, and the forecast is marginal. For a break that’s very sheltered and inconsistent, this is a once-in-a-blue-moon event, but it’s also a long way out and could change. If it holds, that’s a day for experts only, and you’d want to be watching the tide like a hawk, especially with that long period swell that can be tricky at a beach setup.

Overall, if you’re an experienced surfer, get on Tuesday morning, July 14th. That’s the standout. The rest of the period is a bit of a mixed bag with some big, clean days for the brave, and a lot of smaller, cleaner days for the patient.

Rusty.

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