Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get straight into it.

The next couple of weeks are looking pretty wild for Middleton Beach, but honestly, there’s not a lot of time to get excited about a clean session. The first real opportunity comes on Saturday the 26th of July, but it’s a messy one.

We’ve got a massive 16ft to 20ft WSW to SW swell rolling in with a moderate period, but the wind is howling from the west at 34 mph, making it near gale-force and very hard to paddle into. The combined wave energy is through the roof at 5922 to 12504, so the ocean is stacked with power, but it’s not going to be pretty. The only good news? It’s a very sheltered break, so some of that swell might wrap in, but honestly, this is more for the wind-whipped crew than surfers.

Sunday the 27th starts to settle a little. Still a solid 8ft to 8ft SSW swell, period around 11–14 seconds, and the energy is still high at 3366 to 2860. The wind is cross-off from the SSW at 12 mph, so the surface stays clean. It’s a bit marginal for tide conditions, but there’s potential for a few good ones.

Now, the standout period is Monday the 28th of July into Tuesday the 29th. On Monday morning, we’ve got a 8ft SSW swell with a 14-second period, wind from the SE at 6 mph, blowing directly offshore. That’s glassy. The wave energy is 3589, which is solid, and the break is very sheltered and inconsistent – but when it comes, it’ll be well-shaped and clean. Tuesday morning continues the trend: 7ft S swell, 11-second period, light N wind, cross-off, and the energy is 2700. Conditions are clean, and the water temp is about 65°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nice.

Wednesday the 30th is still good, with a 5ft to 6ft SSW swell, period stretching to 15 seconds, and light NNW wind. The crowd factor is “sometimes,” so you might get a few waves to yourself.

After that, it gets messy again. Friday the 31st of July has a 10ft SSW swell with a 16-second period, and the wind goes offshore from the WNW at 9 mph. That’s a clean session, but the swell is over 8ft, so it’s really for experts only. The energy is 3957, which is strong.

The first week of August is a write-off for surf quality. Winds are cross-on and strong, making the ocean lumpy and messy. The swell is still big – 8ft to 12ft – but with SSE winds at 16–25 mph, it’s choppy and not worth paddling into. The combined energy sits around 2670 to 4271, but it’s all blown out.

There’s a brief glimmer on Monday the 3rd of August. The wind goes glassy, ENE at 3 mph, with a 7ft SSW swell, 14-second period, and energy at 1919. That’s clean, but it’s a marginal tide day.

The real highlight for the second week comes on Tuesday the 4th of August. We’ve got a 12ft SSW swell with a 20-second period, wind from the WNW at 22 mph, offshore. The energy is massive at 9943, and the break is clean. It’s a long-period groundswell, so it’ll be heaving, but Middleton is a very sheltered spot, so it might handle it. This is one for confident, experienced surfers only.

Wednesday the 5th holds similar conditions: 10ft SW swell, 16-second period, offshore wind, energy 4630. Still clean and powerful.

From Thursday the 6th onward, the wind swings cross and onshore, bringing chop and messy conditions through to the weekend. The swell is still there, but the quality drops.

The last chance in the window is Sunday the 9th of August. A 10ft to 13ft SW swell, 18-second period, with offshore winds from the WNW. The energy is 7260 to 10410, but the wind is near gale-force at 31 mph, making it incredibly hard to paddle into. This is for the brave or the kite surfers.

Overall, the best bets are Monday the 28th and Tuesday the 29th of July for clean, expert-level surf, and Tuesday the 4th of August for a big, clean, powerful swell that’s for the brave only.

Rusty

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