Middleton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up. The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag. We’re going to see a massive pulse of energy roll through, but it’s going to take a while to get past a run of poor conditions. The first decent surf isn’t even on the cards until next week, so don’t rush out yet.

Middleton Beach is the only spot in the game here. It’s sheltered and inconsistent, which means it has to be perfect to fire, and for the first week, it just isn’t. The water is sitting at 63°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a small comfort while you wait.

The first few days are a write-off. Monday the 7th has some solid swell at 10 to 12 ft, but it’s messy. The wind is all wrong, and the combined energy is huge (6101 in the morning), but it’s not translating to quality. Tuesday the 8th through Friday the 11th is just a grind of cross-onshore winds and lumpy, poor surf. There’s a brief window on Friday the 11th afternoon where the swell drops to 7 ft from the SW with a very long 18-second period, and the wind goes light and cross. That’s the best of a bad bunch in the first week, but it’s still just marginal.

There’s a big gap of poor to marginal conditions from the 7th right through to the 15th. Nothing really worth paddling out for.

Then we hit the weekend of the 16th and 17th. Wednesday the 16th looks clean with a gentle offshore wind (NW) and head-high swell at 5-5 ft from the SW. That’s a nice, clean, small-wave day. Not a standout, but a pleasant change.

The real standout is the following week. Monday the 21st of September is the one to circle. We’re looking at a massive 16 ft SSW groundswell with a very long 19-second period. The combined energy is a staggering 16348 – that’s strong, powerful stuff. The wind is light offshore from the WNW. This is a serious, expert-level swell. It’s going to be incredibly powerful, and with that period, it’ll be better on a reef or point, but Middleton is a beach. Expect it to be pitching and heavy, possibly breaking too straight. This is not for beginners; it’s for experienced surfers only. The next day, Tuesday the 22nd, is also a standout with a 13 ft SSW swell going glassy in the morning. That’s as clean as it gets. The combined energy is 8167, still very strong. This is the best two-day window of the entire outlook.

Bottom line: The first week is a wash. Wait for the 16th for a small, clean day, but the real power arrives on the 21st and 22nd of September. Mark it, but be ready for a serious, expert-only swell.

Rusty.

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