Kamakura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's take a look at what's happening for Kamakura over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you—this isn't looking like a classic stretch for Kamakura. We've got some bumpy, onshore conditions and the swell is coming in from the south to south-southwest, which isn't ideal for this exposed spot that really prefers a good south swell.

The water temperature at the moment is sitting at 75°F, which is a touch cooler than normal for this time of year by about 2°F, so nothing too wild there.

We kick things off on Wednesday, July 8th, with a clean Wednesday afternoon, but the wind is straight on from the south at 9 mph, making things rough. The swell is 5ft with a long 16-second period from the SSE, giving a very strong 1477 (combined energy). This is a groundswell scenario, and while the period is long, the onshore wind is killing it. The forecast is marginal at best.

Thursday the 9th is more of the same story, maybe a touch smaller. Thursday morning is a little cleaner with lighter south winds (6 mph), but the swell drops slightly to 5ft from the south at 14 seconds. The afternoon gets windier with SSW winds at 12 mph, making it messy.

Friday the 10th has the swell building a bit, 5ft in the morning from the south with a 15-second period (1672 energy), but the SSW wind is still on at 9 mph. By Friday afternoon the wind picks up to 16 mph from the south, pushing that 7ft swell into a choppy mess—definitely not one for the beginners, and I'd call it poor.

Saturday the 11th is the biggest push of this whole run. Morning sees 7ft from the SSW with a very long 17-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 2809. That's a lot of power. But again, the onshore south wind is blowing 12 mph. The afternoon slices in with 19 mph winds and some clouds, making it all blow out. If you're an expert and you can find a sheltered corner, maybe, but honestly, this is looking more like a session for the kite crew than the paddle crew.

Sunday the 12th offers a slight reprieve in the morning with lighter SSW winds at 6 mph and the swell dropping to 6ft (16 seconds, 1376 energy). The break might be rideable for a confident surfer, but the afternoon winds come back strong from the south at 19 mph, wrecking it again. By Monday the 13th, the swell fades fast to 3ft with only 180 energy, and the wind is light but variable.

From there, we slide into a long, quiet period. From Monday afternoon the 13th all the way through to Thursday the 23rd of July, the swell is tiny—mostly 1.0ft to 2ft—and combined energy barely cracks 100. The wind does turn offshore a few times, like on Tuesday the 14th (NNE at 3 mph) and Thursday the 23rd (NNE at 12 mph), which would make for glassy or clean conditions, but the waves just aren't there. A 1ft wave with a 10-second period is barely a ripple for a beginner.

So honestly, the best on offer in this whole 16-day window? It's a tough call. Maybe the early morning of Sunday, July 12th. The swell is still a solid 6ft from the SSW, the period is 16 seconds, and the wind is light at 6 mph from the SSW—so it's still onshore but light enough that you might find a clean-ish face. It's still very marginal and for experienced paddlers only, but it's the least bad of a pretty average run.

Gaps? After Sunday the 12th, there's a massive 10-day stretch of tiny, weak, or non-existent surf. Kamakura can be inconsistent, and this is one of those times where it just doesn't line up.

Keep an eye on the long-range forecasts, though—things can change. But for now, I'd be taking a longer break than I'd like.

Rusty.

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