Kamakura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna level with ya – the next week or so at Kamakura is pretty damn grim. You’re looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak surf with onshore winds messing it up, so don’t bother paddling out until we get deep into the back half of the outlook. The water’s sitting at 81°, which is about average for this time of year.

The first real chance of anything worth getting wet for shows up on Sunday the 23rd. Thursday the 22nd is still a write-off, with onshore southerly winds and swell struggling to hit 2 ft – it’s a no-go.

Now, onto the good stuff. Sunday the 23rd is where things get interesting. Morning sees a clean, cross-off breeze from the northeast with a 4 ft SSE groundswell, and the period is a proper 16 seconds. That’s a long-period swell, so it’ll have plenty of energy – you can feel the 668 in the combined energy. The afternoon pushes up to 4 ft from the SSE, still clean with that northeasterly cross-off. This is your first standout window, and it’s worth getting out for.

But the real gem, the absolute standout, is Monday the 24th. Monday morning is going to be magic. The wind drops to a glassy easterly breeze, absolutely zero chop, and the swell builds to 5 ft from the SSE with a 15-second period. The combined energy is a strong 1190, and the waves look excellent for experienced surfers. Kamakura is an exposed beach break, and with that long period, the sets will be clean, powerful, and lined up. It will be a bit big for beginners at 5 ft, but for anyone with a bit of experience, this is the session to aim for. Crowds are listed as “sometimes” here, but on a morning this good, expect company.

Tuesday the 25th morning keeps the run going with a glassy calm wind and a 7 ft SSE groundswell, also with a 15-second period – combined energy sitting at a very strong 1833. This is for experts only, as 7 ft on a long-period swell at an exposed beach can be a heavy paddle and big drops. The afternoon turns messy with a strong onshore southerly blowing 30 km/h (19 mph), so get your session in early. Wednesday the 26th fades fast, with onshore winds and tiny leftover swell.

So to wrap it up: the first 9 days are a write-off. Your best bets are Sunday the 23rd for a fun, clean day, and Monday the 24th morning for the absolute peak of the window. Tuesday the 25th morning is for the brave and the skilled. After that, it’s back to small, ordinary conditions. Keep your eyes on the horizon.

Rusty.

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