Kamakura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. To be straight with you, the next week and a half is a real struggle. We’ve got a long, dry spell with hardly any surf worth paddling out for. After that, there’s a late window that looks promising, but it’s a long way off.

Right now, the only flicker of hope is a Tuesday morning session. Kamakura is showing a 4ft S swell, with a period of 9 seconds, and glassy conditions. The wave energy is moderate, sitting at 476. It’s an exposed spot, and with the wind flat and glassy, it’ll be clean. But it’s an inconsistent break, and the crowds can be around sometimes, so don’t expect an empty peak. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

From Tuesday afternoon onwards, it’s a grim picture. The winds turn onshore or straight up howling, and the swell drops away. By Friday the 11th, we’re down to knee-high dribble with a weak 65 energy reading. Surfable, but ordinary. That trend continues right through to the 20th of September. There’s a solid stretch of nearly a week with nothing worth recommending; the swell just totally flatlines. The energy readings dip into the teens and twenties, which tells you the ocean is basically asleep. For a spot like Kamakura that’s inconsistent anyway, this kind of blank run isn’t a surprise.

Now, hold on to your boards, because around the 20th of September things start to shift. The 21st of September is the standout. We’ve got a SE groundswell arriving, 5ft, with a very long period of 15-16 seconds. The energy jumps to 832 on Monday morning and hits 1094 by the afternoon. Combine that with a moderate offshore wind from the N, and you’re looking at clean, powerful lines. This is a long-period swell, so it’ll be better shaped and have more energy, but it’s prone to breaking straight on a beach break. At Kamakura, a point or river setup would be ideal. Tuesday the 22nd keeps the swell pumping at 6ft and 7ft, with a 16-second period. The energy is huge, hitting 2058. The wind stays clean, but the swell is getting big—over 8ft by Wednesday morning, which is expert territory. This is a long-range call, so the forecasts might change, but as it stands, that’s the real deal.

Stay safe, check the tides, and if you’re a beginner, stay out of the water when it’s over 5ft. For the kite surfers, the whole first week of onshore slop might look more interesting than it is for us paddle surfers.

Rusty.

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