Kamakura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, here’s the situation for Kamakura over the next 16 days. First off, I gotta be straight with ya – we’re looking at a pretty bleak run for a solid week. The first proper surf doesn’t really show up until Monday the 24th of August, and even then, it’s messy.

So, we’ve got a bit of a dry spell from now until Sunday the 23rd. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly onshore, and the scores are flat. It’s a real bummer.

Then Monday the 24th of August morning brings a bit of life. The swell jumps to 4 ft from the SSE, with a super long period of 15 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy – the combined energy is 1051 (moderate). But the wind is onshore from the S, and the report says it’s a marginal call. The afternoon gets bigger at 5 ft, but the wind picks up onshore and the score drops. It’s a tease.

Tuesday the 25th of August morning has a 6 ft swell from the S, period 14 seconds, combined energy up to 1404 (strong). Again, the wind is onshore, ruining it for us. The afternoon gets to 7 ft, but with a 22 mph onshore wind, it’s a total mess. This is not for the faint-hearted – anything over 8 ft is expert only, and the wind is going to make it horrible.

The rest of the week into early September is a write-off – small, onshore, poor conditions. There’s a glimmer on Sunday the 30th of August with a morning offshore breeze from the NNE, but the swell is only 3 ft from the SSE. The combined energy is 196 (weak). It’s surfable, but very ordinary.

Now, the real standout is way out there, on Thursday the 3rd of September. We’ve got a massive 8 ft swell from the SE with an 18-second period. The combined energy is a whopping 4624 (very strong). The wind is offshore from the NE at 19 mph, so it’ll be clean. But here’s the catch – that’s too big for beginners, and at 8 ft, it’s pushing into expert-only territory. The report warns the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. The afternoon gets even bigger, 12 ft from the SE with a 16-second period, combined energy 6411 (very strong). The wind stays offshore, but again, it’s predicted to be too big. For a beginner break like Kamakura, this is a spectacle, not a session.

The next day, Friday the 4th of September morning, is the real monster. An 18 ft swell from the SSE with an 11-second period, combined energy of 7470 (very strong). The wind is fresh offshore from the N. This is for experts only, and it’s a huge, powerful swell. The afternoon drops to 8 ft from the S, period 9 seconds, combined energy 1790 (strong), with offshore winds. Still big, but maybe a bit more manageable for the very experienced.

So, if you’re a beginner, this whole 16-day window is a no-go. For the experienced crew, the weekend of the 3rd and 4th of September is the only true standout, but it’s a long way off and the size is intimidating. The water temp is about 80°, which is pretty average for this time of year – nothing unusual there.

The break is inconsistent, so it’s not a surprise we’ve got a big blank run. Keep an eye on the forecasts, because things can change.

Rusty.

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