Kamakura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what we've got coming up for Kamakura.

First up, the water temperature is about 82°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Feels nice.

Honestly, the next week and a bit is pretty grim. We're looking at a real flat spell from Friday, July 24th, right through to the morning of Monday, August 3rd. Nothing but tiny, weak dribble with onshore winds more often than not. You're not missing a thing.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on the morning of Monday, August 3rd. It's only a tiny 3-foot swell from the south, but the wind goes glassy. That's a rare treat. The wave energy is still weak (67), so don't expect much power, but if you're desperate for a clean, small wave, that's your window.

Tuesday, August 4th afternoon sees a bit more size. We get a 2-foot southeast swell, but it's a long-period groundswell at 15 seconds, pushing the energy into the moderate range (128). The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the northeast. The longer period will mean better shaped waves, but at a beach break like Kamakura, it might be a bit straight. Still, it's surfable and clean.

Then things get interesting, but only for the experts. From Wednesday, August 5th, the swell really starts to build. By Thursday, August 6th, we're looking at a 5 to 6-foot southeast swell with a very long 17-second period. The energy is strong (1453 to 1843), and the wind is a clean cross-offshore from the north-northeast. This is the best window for a confident surfer. The wave quality is good, but the size is getting into the "too big for beginners" zone.

Now, for the big standouts – and a major caveat. Friday, August 7th, and Saturday, August 8th, pump with serious swell. On Friday morning, we've got a 10-foot southeast swell with an 18-second period, powerful offshore winds from the north-northeast, and a massive wave energy reading of 5274. The conditions are perfect. Saturday is even bigger, with a 13-foot swell from the south-southeast and strong offshore winds. The energy is enormous (9633 to 10270). The forecast says the wind and tide are favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This is for absolute experts only, and even then, it's a heavy, powerful ocean. Most folks will be watching from the shore. If you're not an expert, it's a no-go.

So, to wrap it up: a long flat spell, a tiny glassy morning on the 3rd for the patient, a solid but manageable day on the 6th for the confident, and then a massive, expert-only event on the 7th and 8th.

Rusty.

Read more