Kamakura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up for our local shores. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s get straight into it.

First up, we’re looking at a pretty flat start to the period. There’s a small pulse of swell rolling in for the first Saturday, but the conditions are nothing to write home about with light rain and a cross-off breeze. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. The water temp is sitting at 83°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year.

Sunday and Monday are pretty much write-offs, with some heavy rain and strong winds. Monday actually sees a big jump in swell, with 8ft to 12ft southerly swell and a combined wave energy that’s through the roof (1564 on Monday morning, ramping up to 3736 in the afternoon). But with strong onshore and cross-onshore winds, it’s going to be a messy, blown-out mess. That kind of size and wind setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing at Kamakura.

Now, here’s where we get a standout. Tuesday, 8th September, is your best bet. The morning is absolute gold. We’ve got 6ft of south swell rolling in with a 10-second period, and the wind goes glassy – dead calm. That means clean, smooth faces. The combined wave energy is a solid 668, so there’s plenty of push. It’s a beginner-friendly break, so the size is manageable. Just be aware it can get crowded here sometimes. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

Wednesday the 9th throws another curveball. The morning shows a very solid 10ft south swell with strong energy (2447), but it’s flagged as being too big for this break. The wind is cross-shore, so maybe for the experts only, but the size makes it a no-go for most of us. The afternoon settles back to 6ft and cleaner conditions.

After that, things drop off fast. From Thursday the 10th onwards, the swell steadily fades. We see a few days of small, clean waves in the 1.0ft to 2ft range with offshore breezes, but the energy is weak (scores in the double digits and low triple digits). For a solid stretch from the 11th all the way through to the 20th of September, it’s a long, flat run. There’s a glimmer on the last day, Sunday the 20th, with 5ft of SSW swell and glassy conditions in the afternoon, but the energy is low (154) and it’s a windswell with a short 6-second period – not exactly setting the world on fire.

So, to sum it up: don’t bother with this week or the next until Tuesday morning, 8th September. That’s your golden window. Everything else is either blown out, too big, or just flat.

Rusty.

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