Kamakura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks around Kamakura are a real mixed bag, and for the most part, it’s pretty frustrating. We’ve got some tiny windows of clean-ish surf, but nothing that’ll have you calling in sick. The real standout is a promising, but uncertain, pulse right at the end of the forecast.

We kick off on Thursday, 27 August, with a bit of a nothing show. The morning is a write-off with a risk of thunderstorms and a light cross-on breeze. There’s a small 3-foot SSW swell (132 energy) but it’s messy. The afternoon cleans up nicely with a moderate offshore wind from the N, but the swell drops to 2 feet (95 energy) – surfable, but you’ll be working for ‘em.

Friday morning, 28 August, is another poor one with a cross-on breeze. The afternoon, though, gets glassy. A nice 3-foot SSW swell (115 energy) with glassy conditions – that’s your first real window. It’s small, but clean, and a longboard would be perfect.

The weekend is a total dud. Saturday and Sunday, 29 and 30 August, see the swell drop right off, with heights under 2 feet and energy readings in the 20s and 30s. There’s some glassy periods on Saturday afternoon and Sunday afternoon, but the swell just isn’t there. Not worth paddling out for.

Monday, 31 August, brings a little pulse of longer-period S swell. The morning is glassy with a 2-foot, 13-second swell (110 energy). It’s clean, but small. The wind goes onshore in the afternoon and ruins it.

From Tuesday, 1 September, right through to the middle of the second week, it’s a real grind. The wind is mostly onshore, and every time some swell tries to show up, it gets blown out. We’re looking at 3-foot to 3-foot swells, but the wind is from the S, straight onshore. There’s a period of strong offshore winds on the 5th and 6th of September, with some clean conditions, but the swell is inconsistent and small, with energy hanging around 100-170. It’s rideable, but nothing to get excited about.

Now, the real tease comes on Tuesday, 8 September. The morning session has a decent 3-foot SSW swell with a 12-second period (264 energy) and a clean cross-off breeze. It’s a marginal forecast, but it’s the best we’ve seen in a while. Then things get a bit wild. On Wednesday, 9 September, we see a rapid jump in swell energy. The morning has a 5-foot SSW swell (655 energy), but the wind is onshore. The afternoon, however, is a monster. An 8-foot SSW swell rolls in with a 13-second period, and the energy reading hits a massive 2709. That’s serious power. But the wind is howling onshore from the S at 15 mph, making it blown out and dangerous. This is strictly for experts only, and even then, the conditions are ugly.

The swell sticks around through the 10th and 11th of September, but the wind is all over the shop. On Friday, 11 September, the afternoon finally looks promising. A 5-foot SSW swell (657 energy) with a 12-second period, and a clean cross-off wind from the NE. That’s a solid wave. It’s a long-range call, so don’t bet the farm on it, but if the wind plays ball, this could be the best session of the whole forecast. The water temperature is sitting at 82°F, which is notably warm for this time of year, about 2°F above average.

So, to wrap it up: the first week is mostly a wash, with a few tiny, clean windows. The second week has a few pulses of energy, but the wind is your enemy. The standout, if you’re willing to gamble, is the afternoon of Friday, 11 September. Keep your eyes on the forecast.

Stay salty,
Rusty

Read more