Kamakura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let's get into it for Kamakura. Honestly, the next week and a half looks pretty grim for a proper paddle session. The swell is tiny and inconsistent, with the wind often ruining what little bump there is. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing much going on from now through to Saturday, August 3rd. The water is sitting at a mild 81°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

Thursday morning (July 30th) we’ve got a tiny 1 ft SSW swell with only 7 seconds between waves, and cross-off winds. It’s just poor surf. Friday and Saturday look even smaller. The energy is weak (values around 28-32), and it’s just not worth paddling out for you. Sunday morning (August 2nd) sees a slight improvement with a 1 ft SE swell, but now the period bumps up to 16 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell for the size, but with combined energy still only reaching 69, it’s weak. The wind is light and cross-off, making it clean, but it’s only described as “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” Not a standout by any means.

The real story here is what’s brewing for the following week. Monday morning (August 3rd) the swell starts to build, but it’s still messy. Then things get serious. Tuesday, August 4th, through Thursday, August 6th, a big pulse of swell arrives. We’re looking at solid 10 ft to 12 ft SSE groundswell with a very long period of 16-17 seconds. The combined energy is incredibly strong (4342 up to 5979). This is a major event. However, and it’s a big however, the guidance is clear: this break is predicted to be too big and dangerous for most. It’s expert territory only. Winds are offshore or cross-off, so the surface will be clean, but the power will be raw and intimidating. If you’re not a seasoned pro, stay on the sand for that one. That period of huge swell is the only true standout for the whole 16-day window.

After that, Friday August 7th and into the weekend of the 8th and 9th, the swell drops back down to a more manageable 3 ft to 8 ft, but the winds turn onshore or cross, and the conditions get sloppy again. The energy drops to moderate values (518-674). The final week dries up completely with tiny, gutless swell and poor conditions.

To sum it up: the only time worth putting your wettie on is for the massive groundswell on August 4th through 6th, but only if you’ve got the skill and the nerve. The rest is a write-off. Stick to body surfing or wait for the next flyer.

Rusty.

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