Kamakura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Kamakura’s got cookin’ for us over the next couple weeks. I’ll be straight with ya – it’s a lean stretch, but there’s a little nugget way out there if you’ve got patience.

The pattern starts off pretty flat and stays that way for a long time. We’re looking at a solid gap of nearly two weeks with very little to get excited about. The first actual surfable day is Tuesday morning, August 25th, but even that’s a bit of a struggle. You’ve got a 5ft SSE swell rolling in with a 13-second period, which gives it some decent energy (766), but the wind is straight on from the SSW at 9 mph. It’s messy, lumpy, and just not gonna be a fun paddle. That’s the best of the opening few days, and that’s sayin’ something.

The next couple of days are mostly small and onshore. Wednesday the 26th has a tiny 3ft SSW swell, but the wind is cross-on, and the energy is weak (259). Thursday morning the 27th, the swell drops to 1ft, but the wind goes glassy from the NNW at 3 mph. That’s a beautiful window of clean conditions, but there’s just no power in the water – energy is only 137. A longboarder might get a few knee-high dribblers, but it’s not really surf.

Then it’s a proper drought. From Friday the 28th of August all the way through to Monday the 31st, we’re looking at wave heights of 0.7ft to 2ft, with energy readings well under 100. The wind is sometimes clean, but there’s just nothing to ride. That’s a good four days of near-flatness.

The first bit of September doesn’t bring much hope either. September 1st shows a 2ft S swell with a bit more life (102 energy), and clean cross-off wind in the morning, but it’s still tiny. The 2nd and 3rd of September see a slight bump in size – up to 3ft and 4ft – but the wind is straight onshore and strong, up to 25 mph, making it a complete mess. Not worth the wetsuit.

Now, the real standout happens way down the line. September 8th, Tuesday morning, is the one to circle on your calendar. A 7ft S swell with a 10-second period and a solid 865 energy reading. The wind is offshore from the NNW at 12 mph, so expect clean, lined-up waves. This is a proper swell, and with offshore wind, it’s gonna be really good. The swells are coming from the S, which is the optimum direction for Kamakura. Just a heads up – at 7ft, this is getting into the zone where it’s more for experienced surfers, and the long period (10 seconds) means it’ll have some punch. Don’t expect it to be super consistent, but the sets that come through will be the best we’ve seen all outlook.

The afternoon of the 8th drops a bit (5ft) and the wind goes cross-on, so the morning session is the clear winner. The day after, September 9th, the swell fades back to 3ft, and the wind is cross-off, but it’s just not the same.

So, here’s the bottom line: the first two weeks are mostly a write-off. The standout is the morning of Tuesday, September 8th. That’s your best chance for a proper session. It’s a long way off, and forecasts can change, but right now, that’s the one you want to be ready for.

Rusty, signing off.

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