Kamakura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s be straight – the outlook for Kamakura over the next sixteen days is a tough one. We’re not looking at a single standout session to get excited about. The whole window is filled with small, weak swells, and the wind and conditions are rarely cooperating. The best advice I can give is to keep your expectations low and watch the forecast closely.

The first week is a real struggle. From Wednesday the 15th through to the end of July, the swell is tiny, mostly under 2ft, with a combined energy that rarely gets into the double digits (peaking at a meager 42). On Wednesday the 15th, we have a clear sky but a southerly wind right onshore, making things a write-off. Thursday the 16th morning has a moment of glassy conditions with an easterly breeze, but the swell is still a weak 2ft from the SSW with a short, weak period of 5 seconds – not enough to push any real shape. The rest of that week just gets worse, with onshore winds and the odd shower.

Things don’t improve much into the second week. The swell remains small, mostly under 2ft. The first glimmer of something better comes early on Saturday the 25th. We have a clean, cross-off wind from the NE, and the swell bumps up to 2ft from the south. The combined energy hits 50, which is at least something. It’s described as "surfable but very ordinary," so you could get a little fun one on a longboard, but it’s nothing to write home about.

Then, on Monday the 27th, the morning is again clean with a cross-off wind from the ENE. The swell is a similar 2ft from the SSE, but the combined energy climbs to 82. It’s still small, but that’s the highest energy we see in the whole window. The very last entry on Thursday the 30th afternoon is perhaps the most interesting, but it’s a long way off. The wind goes glassy with a westerly breeze, and the swell from the SE has a period of 16 seconds with a combined energy of 122. That’s a long-period groundswell, but at only 1ft, it’s more of a hint of something than a real wave. For a spot like Kamakura, which is exposed to the south, it’s just not enough.

Overall, this is a blank run for Kamakura. The consistency is low, and the swell is just not there. Don’t bother checking the water temp – it’s a normal 77° for the time of year, but you won’t be in it long enough to care. Keep the board in the car and hope the next forecast cycle brings something better.

Rusty

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