Kamakura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s ahead for Kamakura.

Honestly, it’s a pretty grim start. We’re looking at a long stretch of flat, junk surf. From Friday 17 July right through to the end of Sunday 26 July, there’s nothing worth paddling out for. The water temp is sitting at 77°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so at least a dip won’t shock you, but the waves? Barely a ripple. Mostly onshore winds, some cross-onshore, and tiny swell with weak energy (27 on Friday morning, barely climbing into the 30s and 50s later). It’s a wasteland.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Monday 27 July. A solid south swell pushes in, with heights around 5 ft and a period of 16 seconds – that’s a long-period groundswell bringing good energy (2112). The only problem? The wind is straight onshore from the SSW. It’s going to be a messy, lumpy beast. For the experts, maybe there’s a rogue set, but it’s not clean. Not the one to get excited about.

Tuesday 28 July is more of the same: onshore wind, 6 ft swell from the SSW, but the energy drops a bit (1196). Still messy.

Now, Wednesday 29 July. This is where it gets interesting. The morning sees a moderate breeze from the NE – that’s cross-offshore, and it cleans things up nicely. Swell is 5 ft from the SSW, period 12 seconds, energy around 604. By the afternoon, the wind eases to a gentle breeze, still cross-off, and the swell bumps up to 5 ft with 609 energy. The comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the standout. Kamakura is exposed to the south, and this SSW swell lines up perfectly with the optimum direction. It’s not too big for most intermediate surfers, and the clean conditions will make for some proper fun waves. Crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so it could get a bit busy, but with quality like this on offer, it’s worth the company.

Thursday 30 July starts clean again with a light NE cross-off and 4 ft swell, but the afternoon turns to junk with a cross-onshore and lumpy chop. Friday 31 July has a bigger pulse – 8 ft and 8 ft from the SSW, with a clean morning (787 energy) and a choppy, messy afternoon. That morning session is only for the experts, as it’s over 8 ft, and the period is only 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit shifty and dumpy. After that, it fades quickly into the weekend with weak, onshore slop.

So, for the best on offer: without a doubt, Wednesday 29 July afternoon is your window. Clean, solid, decent energy. If you can only get out once in the next two weeks, make it that afternoon.

Rusty.

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