Kamakura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag for our stretch of coast, but there’s a definite window of fun to be had if you’re keen and patient. The ocean is going to be in a bit of a moody state, but that doesn't mean we won't get some runners.

The early part of the forecast has a pulse of swell, but it’s not going to be all-time. We’re looking at a period of decent-sized surf, but the wind and conditions are going to be the real story. The water is sitting at 83.7°, which is a couple of degrees warmer than usual for this time of year—it’s got that proper summer bathwater feel to it.

The first real window of interest kicks off on Wednesday morning, August 5th. We’ve got a solid 7.2ft of south-southeast swell with a 15-second period, which is a proper groundswell. The energy at that point is strong, with a combined energy reading of 2348. The problem is the wind is a cross-off from the northeast at 15 mph, which keeps it from being perfect. It’s surfable, but a bit tricky. The morning is the better call before the afternoon breeze swings more easterly.

Thursday, August 6th, is where it starts to come together. The swell eases slightly to 5.9ft, period drops to 13 seconds, but the morning wind is a cleaner northeast cross-off at 9 mph. The energy is still moderate at 1073. This is the standout morning of the first part of the forecast. The reports are calling it excellent for experienced surfers, and I’d agree. Conditions should be clean and the south-southeast swell will be hitting the beach with some push. It’s a bit too big for the beginners, but for anyone with a bit of time in the water, this is the one to chase.

Friday looks like a step down in quality. The swell holds around 6.5ft, but the wind goes onshore and it gets a bit messy. We’ll see some waves, but it’s not going to be pretty. The magic returns on Saturday morning, August 8th. The swell drops to 4.6ft, but the wind turns light and cross-off from the east-northeast at just 6 mph. It’s going to be glassy and clean, a total contrast to the day before. The energy is still moderate at 869. This is a really fun, user-friendly size and I reckon it’ll be worth the paddle.

After that, the plug gets pulled. From Sunday the 9th onwards, the swell drops away and the window pretty much closes. We go from small to tiny, and the omens aren't good. The wind stays offshore but it gets fresh, and the swell just dies. There’s a couple of days mid-week from the 10th to the 12th where it’s just 1.6ft to 2.6ft, and the wind is howling offshore at 19-22 mph. It’s clean but there’s just nothing on it. That stretch from the 9th through to the 19th is a real dry spell. The wait will be a long one.

There is a tiny flicker of hope way out there on the 20th of August. The swell bumps back up to 2ft with a more promising 12-second period from the south-southwest and light winds. It’s not enough to get excited about, but it’s a sign the ocean might be waking up. But for now, we're talking about a ten-day stretch of near-flat conditions. It's a quiet period, and for this area, that's not all that unusual. It'll turn around; it always does.

So, if you’re looking for a wave in the next two weeks, make sure you’re on it early Thursday morning. That’s the best of the bunch. Saturday morning is a solid second. The rest of the time, you might be better off finding a different hobby.

Stay wet.

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