Kamakura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's talk waves. Rusty here. It's looking like a slow, frustrating week ahead for Kamakura, but don't lose hope just yet. We gotta sit through some real small stuff before the ocean wakes up.

Right now, the water is a touch warmer than normal, about 2° above average at 83°, but that's the only thing with any warmth. For the first few days, through the 1st and into the 2nd, we got barely a ripple. Swell energy is almost non-existent (24 to 33), and you'd be lucky to find a wave over an ankle.

We see a tiny bump on the 3rd, but with the wind going onshore, it'll be junk. The 4th and 5th are more of the same—weak and mushy. It's the kind of flat spell that tests your patience.

Now, things start to look a little more hopeful around the 6th and 7th. The energy picks up to 395, and we see some new SSE groundswell trying to fill in. It's still pretty small, under 3 feet, but the period is improving. It's clean but not powerful.

Okay, the first real, worthwhile surf shows up on Tuesday the 8th. We're looking at offshore winds and clean 4-to-4-foot waves. That afternoon is even better, going glassy with that same 4-foot SSE swell. It's not a slab, but it's clean, consistent, and fun. That Tuesday is definitely your pick for the week.

But here's the big one. On Wednesday the 9th, the ocean decides to show some real muscle. We're talking a massive jump to 8-foot, then 10-foot by the afternoon. The energy readings are off the charts (2215, then 3810). This is a proper, powerful groundswell. But, and this is a huge but, it's just way too big for Kamakura. It's gonna be a churning, dangerous mess. Unless you're a top-tier expert on a big-wave gun, stay off it. It's more of a spectator sport at that size.

The 10th is still huge but dropping, with strong 35 km/h offshore winds that will make it tough. The 11th is still interesting with a new SSW swell at 4-4 feet and a long period, but again, the wind is up.

After that, it fades fast. There's a glassy 3-foot morning on the 13th, but it's not much else. The run just peters out by the 14th.

So, the takeaway: For the average surfer looking for clean, fun waves, Tuesday the 8th is your day. Glassy and chest-high. For the experts only, the 9th is a huge and dangerous swell, remarkable but not for the faint of heart. Pick your days, and don't get caught out on the big one.

Rusty.

Read more