Kamakura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s be real about Kamakura over the next couple of weeks. The outlook is pretty flat and grim for a long stretch, so don't get your hopes up early.

Right now, we're sitting on almost nothing. A tiny 0.7ft to 1ft swell from the south and southeast with weak energy (around 10) and onshore breezes. The water temp is about average for this time of year. You’d be scratching for anything rideable. The first few days are a write-off – Sunday the 13th through to Friday the 18th of September, mostly poor surf with small, weak, messy waves and no real power. The wind might go offshore now and then, but there’s just no swell to work with. It’s a real dry spell.

There’s a long gap of quiet conditions until we see a genuine pulse around Saturday the 19th of September. That's when the energy finally kicks in – we’re looking at moderate to strong wave energy (1412) with a 6ft swell from the southeast. This swell has a very long period of 16 seconds, which means it's a proper groundswell. That long period will make it peel nicely at the better sandbanks, but it’s already getting up to a size that’s more for the experienced crew. The wind is fresh offshore from the north, so the surface should be clean. That Saturday afternoon bumps up to 6ft (energy 1533) and still offshore – that’s the standout of the whole forecast period.

Sunday the 20th holds similar size at 5ft with moderate offshore flow, but the period drops to 11 seconds – still decent but not as punchy. The real highlight, though, remains Saturday the 19th. By Monday the 21st, the swell is 6ft from the south-southwest, but the wind turns light cross-onshore, putting a bit of chop on the face. It might get fat and lumpy. Tuesday the 22nd morning is 8ft from the south, but with stronger cross-onshore wind, it’ll be choppy and hard to manage – that size is getting into expert-only territory anyway.

After that, the forecast falls apart again. Wednesday the 23rd looks blown out with a severe gale and tiny surf, and the rest of the month fades into tiny, weak, clean but unsurfable junk. The early part of the second week shows a bit of swell, but nothing that holds a candle to that Saturday blast.

So, the one true standout is Saturday, September 19th. Kamakura will have a solid 6ft to 6ft southeast swell with a very long 14-16 second period. The wind is fresh offshore from the north, so expect glassy, lined-up waves. This is for the experienced surfers – the size and power are no joke. It’s the only real day where everything clicks.

Rusty.

Read more