Kamakura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s comin’ up for Kamakura.

Right now, the surf is flat as a pancake. We’re lookin’ at a solid stretch of tiny, weak waves with poor conditions through the end of July and into the first few days of August. The combined energy is barely a whisper, and most of the time the wind is onshore or just messy. You’re better off keepin’ the board in the car for now.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on the morning of Tuesday, August 4th. The swell starts to build from the SE at 4ft, with a long period of 18 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell, and the energy jumps to 791 (moderate). The wind is a clean cross-offshore out of the NE at 9 mph, so the waves should be clean. This is a point-break setup, so that long period will wrap in nicely. It’s the best on offer in the whole forecast. The crowd situation here is “sometimes,” so you might have a few friends out, but it’s not a zoo.

The swell keeps building through Wednesday, August 5th, with the morning seeing 8ft SE swell (energy 4304 – strong), but the wind freshens to 22 mph. By the afternoon, the swell hits 10ft, which is too big for most, and the forecast says it’s too big for the break. This is for experts only. If you’re a strong paddler, the morning of the 5th could be a memorable session, but the wind is a factor.

Water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

Then things get a bit wild. August 6th sees 13ft swells, but the wind is cross-shore and choppy, and the energy is enormous (over 7758 – very strong). This is serious, heavy stuff, and not for a relaxed paddle. The conditions are poor for surfing, but for a kite surfer, that setup looks a lot more interesting than for a paddle surfer.

After that, the swell drops but the wind stays messy through the weekend, with onshore flow and lumpy conditions. The energy drops back to moderate levels but the wind is cross-on or onshore, so it’s not worth the paddle out.

The second week of the forecast fades out again. Monday, August 10th, has a brief window of small (2ft) S swell with offshore wind in the morning, but the energy is weak. After that, it’s back to tiny, poor waves through to the end of the record.

So, the standout is Tuesday, August 4th morning. That’s the one to circle. The rest of the run is either flat, blown out, or too big. Keep your eyes on the sky, because it’s a long wait for a good one.

Rusty.

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