Kamakura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, coming to you live from the shores of Kamakura. Let’s be honest, the next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, and we’ve got a long quiet spell to get through first.

The first real surfable energy doesn’t show up until Sunday morning, the 2nd of August. The early part of the week is a write-off – tiny, weak swells with poor conditions. But Sunday’s dawn patrol has a glimmer of hope. We’re looking at a 1ft swell from the ESE, with a very long period of 16 seconds. That groundswell energy is moderate (104), and the glassy offshore wind from the ENE will have it looking clean. The water temp is sitting at 81°, which is about normal for this time of year.

Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th see the swell really start to build, coming from the SE. Monday morning brings 3ft, and by Tuesday morning we’re up to 5ft, with the period hanging around 16-17 seconds. The wind is a clean cross-off from the NE all through that period, so the lines will be tidy. The combined energy jumps from 486 to 1379, showing a solid pulse of power.

Now, the standout window is Wednesday the 5th through Thursday the 6th. This is where it gets serious. Wednesday morning sees 8ft from the SSE, and by the afternoon it’s a solid 10ft. The energy is pumping – 3549 and then 5383. Thursday morning peaks at 12ft from the S with a massive 6113 energy reading. The winds are favorable, with cross-off breezes, but the plain truth is this swell is too big for the break at Kamakura. The score says it all: this is for experts only. The long period (15-17 seconds) will make for powerful, thick lines, but it’ll be a washing machine. For the average punter, this might be more interesting for the kite surfers.

After that peak, the swell backs off quickly. Friday the 7th is still 8ft in the morning but with a risk of thunderstorms and a cross-shore wind, it’s messy. By Saturday the 8th we’re down to 4ft, and the wind goes onshore in the afternoon. The following week, from the 9th through the 14th, it’s mostly small and weak again, with poor surf conditions. There’s a tiny pulse on the 12th, but it’s nothing to get excited about.

So, the best bet is the Thursday morning, the 6th of August, if you’re a solid, experienced surfer. The 12ft S swell with clean cross-off winds and that huge energy is the true standout. For everyone else, the early Sunday morning the 2nd or the clean Monday and Tuesday mornings (3rd and 4th) offer smaller, more manageable options with good conditions.

Rusty.

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