Kamakura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer for Kamakura over the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a slow start, but there's some serious potential hiding in the back half.

Right now, we are in a bit of a flat spell. The first few days from Friday the 3rd to Sunday the 5th are a write-off. Tiny, weak swells and a messy cross-on wind in the afternoons mean you might as well leave the board in the car. The water is sitting at 74°, which is just about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th start to see some life, but it's still pretty marginal. The swell bumps up a bit on Tuesday the 7th, with a 4ft SSE groundswell carrying a very long 17-second period. The wind is a clean cross-off, but the energy (854) is just not there yet for a proper session. You might get a few but it's hard work.

Now, here is where it gets interesting. Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th are the standout window. Kamakura is going to be pumping. We’re looking at a solid 6ft to 7ft swell from the SSE, with periods still sitting in that juicy 16 to 17-second range. The combined wave energy is very strong, hitting over 2000 (2089 on Wednesday morning and 1968 Wednesday afternoon). This is big, powerful groundswell. For a beginner, this is way too much at over 5ft, but for experienced surfers, this is prime. The wind is a light cross-off, so it's going to be clean. Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning are your best bets—just be aware that a long-period swell like this can make a beach break close out, but with the right banks, it will be firing.

Friday the 10th starts with even more size at 7ft, but the wind swings onshore from the south, turning it into a messy, blown-out wall. That strong energy (2833) is completely wasted. Saturday the 11th is a similar story: plenty of size but onshore wind. The swell stays solid but the quality drops right off.

Things settle down for the second week. From Monday the 14th through to the end of the window, it's smaller and cleaner, but nothing that will get your heart racing. There's a brief mention of a fun, smaller swell on Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th, with 3ft to 5ft SSE swell and light offshore winds, but it’s not in the same league as that Wednesday/Thursday window.

So, to sum it up: the first few days are a bust. The real action is Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th. That’s the time to be in the water, with clean, powerful, head-high plus waves. Don't sleep on it. Get ready for it.

Rusty.

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