Jugendbad Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey team, Rusty checking in from Jugendbad. Let’s not sugarcoat it – the next two weeks are a tough beat.

Honestly, there’s not a single solid day to get frothy about in the whole 16-day window. It’s a long, empty run, which is a bummer. The water is sitting at 68°, which is a notable 4° warmer than usual for this time of year.

The first week is a total washout. Starting Sunday the 2nd, we’ve got a pathetic 2ft NW swell with a 6-second period and weak wave energy (24). The morning is glass, but there’s no push. The afternoon wind swings hard sideshore, killing any hope. Monday through Wednesday offers nothing but tiny, short-period windswell from the NW, with winds either cross or onshore ruining what little shape there is. Wednesday afternoon shows a slight bump to 4ft, but it’s a messy 5-second Westerly windswell with a strong cross-onshore wind. By Thursday afternoon, the swell gets to 6ft with energy at 246, but the wind is screaming at 28 mph from the W, turning it into a chop-infested nightmare – you’d be better off on a kite than a surfboard.

Week two doesn’t get much better. It’s a series of small, weak, and messy days. There’s a clean offshore moment on Monday the 10th, but with a 2ft swell and 5-second period, it’s barely a ripple. The rest of the week is dominated by strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy seas, with a couple days showing zero swell at all. This kind of dead run is unfortunately more normal for the area when the weather patterns aren’t playing ball.

Right at the very end, on Sunday the 16th, we get a hint of life: a 5ft swell from the W with a 6-second period and energy at 134. The afternoon goes glassy, which is a huge plus for clean conditions. It’s just surfable, but it’s a start. Then, Monday the 17th morning is the only real standout. The wind is dead calm – glassy – and the swell is 5ft from the WNW with energy hitting 200. The 6-second period means it won’t be the most powerful wave, but with zero wind, it’ll be the cleanest and most rideable of the whole stretch. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it.

For the beginners, that 5ft swell on the 17th is getting a bit big, so be cautious. The wait is brutal, but forecasts can shift, and that last bit of energy shows the ocean isn’t totally flat. For now, save the wax and wait for a better day.

Rusty.

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